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Speaker 1: It's the Favorites Podcast presented by FanDuel. Football season is here,

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Speaker 1: k S Gambling help dot com in Kansas one eight

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Speaker 1: eight seven and seven eight Hope n y or text

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Speaker 1: Hope and Why in New York Tennessee. Redline is one

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Speaker 1: eight hundred eight eight nine nine hundred five hundred in Wyoming,

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Speaker 1: or visit www. One eight hundred gambler dot net in

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Speaker 1: West Virginia. Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the

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Speaker 1: Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer

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Speaker 1: of the Action Network. I am joined by my co host,

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Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, my compadre, professional better Diamond Hunter.

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Speaker 1: We winners Buddy Week three wrapped three and two, eleven

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Speaker 1: and four in the contest. That's the gold, Buddy. Life

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Speaker 1: is good when you can start a year off and

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Speaker 1: not lose for a month to start the season, and

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Speaker 1: now we're gonna moving October September. Is in fact that

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Speaker 1: we won every week, I can ask for a better

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Speaker 1: start the gear chat. That's the that's the ultimate goal,

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Speaker 1: especially because what we're just building up opinions and data

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Speaker 1: right now like this this is hopefully we'll just get

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Speaker 1: better as we go along here, but can't can't start

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Speaker 1: any better again every weekend the goal is three and two.

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Speaker 1: Lucky for us, we started five and oh week one,

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Speaker 1: so our numbers are pumped up right now. Opinions and data.

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Speaker 1: Opinions and data. God, that is a great way to

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Speaker 1: describe it. As a reminder. We had the Bengals, we

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Speaker 1: had Washington. That one was a stinker, never close, wrong

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Speaker 1: side from the beginning, kind of a bummer we had

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Speaker 1: the Colts started out great, made us a little nervous,

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Speaker 1: and then they remembered they were the Colts and they

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Speaker 1: at least close it out with a win. I still

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Speaker 1: have no faith in this team long term, but that

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Speaker 1: was the right spot. We had the Jags never a sweat,

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Speaker 1: wouldn't have been a sweat at any number. We loved

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Speaker 1: him from the beginning. And we had New England three

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Speaker 1: and a half against the Ravens. I thought the Patriots

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Speaker 1: had a shot in that game. That was our big

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Speaker 1: balls better the week. It was a bet we made

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Speaker 1: in our contest. It was a game wise guys loved

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Speaker 1: the number was moving fast from three and a half,

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Speaker 1: kept moving down, down, down. You know. I think they

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Speaker 1: were a Kendrick Born fumble away from taking the lead

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Speaker 1: in that game and it and it being much closer

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Speaker 1: in the final score appeared. Yeah, definitely. The Patriots had

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Speaker 1: all the opportunities in the world. They just their their

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Speaker 1: issue this year is they turned the ball over too much,

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Speaker 1: they had fumbles, Mac had a terrible pick in the

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Speaker 1: back of the end zone. Um brutal, But again that's

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Speaker 1: kind of how it goes where it's like you're playing

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Speaker 1: the numbers and the bounces you to kind of go

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Speaker 1: your way as well. So to me, the Colts was

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Speaker 1: the prime example of shut up, you don't know anything.

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Speaker 1: I don't know anything. Whatever you watch week the week

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Speaker 1: doesn't really matter. You just gotta trust the numbers. And

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Speaker 1: that was the definition of a game. It stunked the

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Speaker 1: minute it came out. I mean, you had it. We

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Speaker 1: liked that seven, like that six and a half. Just

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Speaker 1: the game stunk once it got all way down to

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Speaker 1: four and a half. And you've got guys a gammera

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Speaker 1: of ELTONI. It's their biggest bet, and everyone's all over

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs. You're you're just feeling really good about your

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Speaker 1: position with this Colds team, because you know, the public

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Speaker 1: is absolutely pounding that number and it keeps dropping. The

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Speaker 1: book keeps them on better number. And so at four

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Speaker 1: and a half, the books clearly took a position. They

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Speaker 1: didn't think the cultuream went either. The Chiefs there they

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Speaker 1: lost that game, right, Can we say that the Colts

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Speaker 1: didn't so much. Yeah, they made the players. Of course,

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Speaker 1: Kelsey dropped a catch right in the back of the

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Speaker 1: end zone that was a touchdown. They would have been

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Speaker 1: up what ten, and then they missed the field goal.

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Speaker 1: So it was just one of the things. It was

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Speaker 1: all serendipity. It was just like, you really can't fight fate.

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Speaker 1: Colts went right down the field scored that touchdown and

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Speaker 1: that was just crazy. I mean again, that's that's why

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Speaker 1: we love betting on ugly dogs. You get these positions.

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Speaker 1: Another one we did even take but we gave out

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Speaker 1: was the Miami money line. That was such a fun game.

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Speaker 1: It was just classic. Nothing makes sense. The Bills are

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Speaker 1: by far the better team in every aspect, but Miami

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Speaker 1: made the plays. They frustrated Alan to no end, and

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Speaker 1: they like again, that was just such a bizarre game.

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Speaker 1: And that was one of those you're just playing the

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Speaker 1: number in situation and we looked like geniuses and then

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Speaker 1: the other side look like an idiot. On Washington, I'll

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Speaker 1: own that one. Definitely the worst read of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: Um still actually had chances desplay. I think at one

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Speaker 1: point the chart said, I think the Eagles had three

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Speaker 1: twenty two yards and Washington had minus one through whatever

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Speaker 1: it was at that point, it would have been two

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Speaker 1: or three quarters. That's how bad Washington was. So to me,

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Speaker 1: that was just a bad read where Washington. I don't

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Speaker 1: even want to say the team played better, it was

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Speaker 1: just Carson he held on it to too long. I

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Speaker 1: think he end up giving up nine sacks. Um. That

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Speaker 1: was just a complete meltdown by a guy that you

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Speaker 1: can see why he's been on three different teams in

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Speaker 1: three years. It's it's just it's a tough time right

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Speaker 1: now for Washington fans. Where we again, we're we're talking

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Speaker 1: about them for sure this week. Um, we talked about it.

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Speaker 1: I fell into the trap. You just don't know you're

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Speaker 1: getting week the week from that team, and they're gonna

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Speaker 1: be kind of impossible to bet all season. Yeah. I

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Speaker 1: hated that one. Hey, Carson Wentz, I feel like, you know,

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Speaker 1: we've got a couple of regrets here. You said it

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Speaker 1: the keywords opinions in data, right, So in that spot

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Speaker 1: you gotta bet the Commanders at six and a half,

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Speaker 1: buying low on them, selling high on the Eagles. It's

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Speaker 1: the right spot. It was disgusting to hold your nose.

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Speaker 1: I'm not a Carson Wentz believer despite the numbers. To me,

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Speaker 1: they're superficial, but you gotta bet it. Dolphins were gonna

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Speaker 1: talk a lot about because it's the first game on

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Speaker 1: Thursday night. I don't want to spend too much time

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Speaker 1: on that. We also just we left out sort of

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Speaker 1: the last few out were the Falcons, which ended up

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Speaker 1: being the right side and they continue to be the

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Speaker 1: wise guy Juggernaut, And we left out the Vikings, which

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Speaker 1: I just sort of hated that game the whole time.

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Speaker 1: It never made sense to me, so I'm glad we

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Speaker 1: didn't play that one. But whatever, We're three and two.

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Speaker 1: We're moving on. I want to remind everybody we will

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Speaker 1: do foxhold in this bet uh in this uh in

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Speaker 1: this show. We will do our Simon says, we will

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Speaker 1: do our executive decision. We will do our early leans

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Speaker 1: on survivor for those who have UH picks that lock Thursday,

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Speaker 1: although I don't have anyone's left and survivor. Between the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs losing and the Bills losing, I was getting messages

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Speaker 1: all week, thank god we chose the Bengals because everybody

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Speaker 1: else is out of their leagues. Um are their pools

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Speaker 1: last week. Just reminders Foxhol was Vikings minus six that's

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Speaker 1: a loss, Exact Decision, Bengals minus four and a half. Hello,

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Speaker 1: Chad Simon says Bucks minus two. Boo Simon survivor was

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Speaker 1: the Bengals and scooch row let I had the Jacks

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Speaker 1: plus seven, you with the Falcons minus one. Reminder again,

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Speaker 1: follow the phase five in the Action Network app. That's

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Speaker 1: what you get our final That's where you will get

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Speaker 1: our final five picks. Will post him in the app.

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Speaker 1: Actual Network app download for free. Follow phase five. We'll

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Speaker 1: post him in the app on Sunday after or new.

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Speaker 1: All the other picks Foxhol Exact Decision Simon says, Scoot Roulette, etcetera.

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Speaker 1: Those are under the Favorite podcast also in the Action

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Speaker 1: Network app. We split them up so we can be

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Speaker 1: very clear and full transparency on the five picks from

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Speaker 1: making every week and just track those for the record keeping.

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Speaker 1: One of the things I want to say, Sigmon, okay,

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Speaker 1: I throw my notes away here. Cancy Chiefs are a

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Speaker 1: very interesting team right now because you could easily look

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Speaker 1: at Week one and think, okay, they were better, but

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Speaker 1: they played a crappy team. We two Chargers missed a

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Speaker 1: lot of opportunities to shut down Patrick Mahomes, and by

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Speaker 1: luck of Patrick, they just did not make the right

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Speaker 1: they didn't make the interceptions, and then we three. He

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Speaker 1: looks pretty human against the Colts. So we're gonna get

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Speaker 1: to a Chiefs game. The Chiefs are playing the Buccaneers.

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Speaker 1: It's something to keep an eye on. I want to

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Speaker 1: be thinking about that. I want you to be thinking

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Speaker 1: about what I said there, because first, this was the

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Speaker 1: first game I bet this week, Dolphins at since the

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Speaker 1: Thursday night game opened Bengals one and a half, it's

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Speaker 1: now up to three and a half. Full disclosure in

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Speaker 1: the app. I bet it's Sunday night at two and

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Speaker 1: a half. It moved within five minutes. Bet the Bengals,

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Speaker 1: what say you? Oh, hey, didn't you're you're going off

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Speaker 1: the fact that Miami just played in that game, or

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Speaker 1: they're all exhausted from everything and just went on to us.

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Speaker 1: Got what their claim is a back injury, But I

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Speaker 1: think the months of us think it's a head injury.

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Speaker 1: But back of his head maybe, yeah exactly. But again,

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Speaker 1: I I gotta go with that NFL saying they apparently

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Speaker 1: haven't got in trouble yet, so maybe they're not lying,

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Speaker 1: but I don't hate it. But to me, my first

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Speaker 1: clients instinct was smash the Dolphins here, like this is

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Speaker 1: this is a great matchup for this team. But again,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do that because I think two is

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Speaker 1: banged up and like came in that second half. Hell,

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Speaker 1: they put up fourteen points really quick on that Bill's team,

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Speaker 1: and then they didn't get that seven until later on

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Speaker 1: and that was like what one played a waddle, I think,

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Speaker 1: and then they ran it in. Clearly something's going on there.

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Speaker 1: And they didn't really pass it with him either, because

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Speaker 1: they said when I'm taking hits. So but I just

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Speaker 1: blindly bet the Bengals right now. I don't hate the

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Speaker 1: position because you're still getting it under four, and I

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Speaker 1: think it will go up. We talked about it last

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Speaker 1: week I was on Cleveland. I usually take these home

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Speaker 1: favorites on Thursday nights. I just play it that way.

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Speaker 1: Even if the public's on it, I still ride with

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Speaker 1: it because historically works out for me. Bengals, again, I

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Speaker 1: think they're overrated and I think Miami is just as

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Speaker 1: good as them. But in this position, like Chad's kind

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Speaker 1: of thinking, here on a short week after what they've

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Speaker 1: just gone through in a couple of injuries. It's it's

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Speaker 1: a lot to ask, um of this Miami team to

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Speaker 1: go on the road and throw, on top of that

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Speaker 1: Hurricanes coming. So it just feels like there's a lot

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Speaker 1: going on these guys, these players lives and minds where

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Speaker 1: I don't know how much this game is going to

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Speaker 1: be to them. At three and oh where this band?

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Speaker 1: Those teams they're one and two, they need this game.

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Speaker 1: This is this is them kind of getting a groove right,

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Speaker 1: a big win last week, So kind of get where

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Speaker 1: Chad's coming from. At least he got the best of

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Speaker 1: the number. For me, I still don't think it a

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Speaker 1: terrible number three and a half. Um at four or

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Speaker 1: four and a half, I started thinking Miami, though. The

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Speaker 1: Dolphins one of the hottest teams in the NFL. Back

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Speaker 1: to back wins against the teams everyone thought were the

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Speaker 1: amongst the three best in the a f C along

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Speaker 1: with the Chiefs. They've played in a hundred degree weather

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Speaker 1: for two straight weeks, a lot of plays on the field,

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Speaker 1: and despite the fact that it was the visiting teams,

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Speaker 1: the Ravens and the Bills that struggled in the heat.

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Speaker 1: They're still having to play in that. It takes your

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Speaker 1: body time to recover. Now they got to get on

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Speaker 1: a plane, they got to play in Cincinnati. Their quarterback

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Speaker 1: is banged up. I was only betting the number here

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Speaker 1: was to me, it was just like the Bengals should

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Speaker 1: be a field goal favorite. That's it. They weren't, So

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the half point and moving on. I also

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Speaker 1: had you in the back of my head saying favorites

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Speaker 1: tend to cover on Thursday night. They do just historically

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Speaker 1: they do. Ye. All right, Well, you're not with me

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Speaker 1: on the Bengals, so that's fine. You're kind of with me,

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Speaker 1: but you don't feel as strongly as I do. Know,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I'm just a prime time under guy now,

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Speaker 1: like I'm I'm literally making my most money this year,

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Speaker 1: just slamming, smashing these prime time unders and they keep happening.

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Speaker 1: Last night that would even talked about the best of

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Speaker 1: the number huge last night, we I gave out what

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Speaker 1: is it thirty nine and a half Sunday morning. It

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Speaker 1: was one of my bets for Monday night. It was

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Speaker 1: still there Monday morning. Then the pros came in dropped

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Speaker 1: the thirty eight. Back up the three D and a

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Speaker 1: half game land at thirty nine. So the books were

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Speaker 1: spot on again with the numbers they make. That's the number.

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Speaker 1: It was huge there in that prime time game. But

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Speaker 1: what is it now? Seven and two if you count

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Speaker 1: last night as a loss to the unders for prime time?

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Speaker 1: UM pretty crazy start the year. Here's my problem with

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Speaker 1: UM in totals. There's too much variant and unpredictability in

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Speaker 1: the final two minutes of each half. That's why you're

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Speaker 1: just playing the number and you don't even care what happens.

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Speaker 1: Like it wasn't like I'm just blindly playing these prime

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Speaker 1: time and there's we talk all the time. You usually

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Speaker 1: get one or two points no matter what of value

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Speaker 1: towards the under, just because the public love's betting over.

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Speaker 1: So that's why something I'm looking for This year has

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Speaker 1: been a freak year though I think it's sixty eight

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Speaker 1: percent something crazy like that right towards the unders, or

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Speaker 1: maybe it's sound a sixty three percent. Now this year

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Speaker 1: has been extreme for the start the year for unders.

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Speaker 1: I think it's historically the most unders ever have hit

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Speaker 1: through three weeks. So if you're an overs better it

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Speaker 1: is going to shift like the books will catch up

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Speaker 1: to it. This week it was eight and eight overs

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Speaker 1: unders for the past two weeks where eleven and five

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Speaker 1: eleven and five, So they're clearly making adjustments. Um, if

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Speaker 1: you're in overs better to me, there's just still a

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Speaker 1: lot of games. You've got a good value on these unders. Hey,

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Speaker 1: here's a question I got on the Twitter this week.

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Speaker 1: I want to get your opinion, because I have an

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Speaker 1: opinion of it. In fact, I'll probably start exercising it,

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Speaker 1: which was, let's say you go through week one, week two,

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Speaker 1: week three, and you're winning, do you start to adjust

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Speaker 1: your unit size? What do you mean, like bet Moore, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm probably wrong. I gotta ask because, like, my biggest

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Speaker 1: week other than the super Bowl is probably weak one

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Speaker 1: just because of again bets down for five six months. Again,

283
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Speaker 1: it's not that much money. But then once you hit

284
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Speaker 1: July and books started taking the cap off, you can

285
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Speaker 1: really start adding up the dollars for week one. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I would say, if you if you're feeling good and

287
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Speaker 1: you have a little rhythm going here, bump it up.

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Speaker 1: But nothing extreme, Like I wouldn't be double in if

289
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Speaker 1: say I was bet in a hundred I wouldn't start

290
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Speaker 1: doing two hundred, Maybe go half, maybe one fifty. Maybe

291
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Speaker 1: a game, keep building it up because to me, like

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Speaker 1: me and you to talk about time, you're not getting

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Speaker 1: rich this year, like this is a long term grind

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Speaker 1: out wins kind of thing. So yeah, if you if

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Speaker 1: you're hot again, hotter than me and Chad of course,

296
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Speaker 1: but for me, I definitely bump it up. But it's

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Speaker 1: game to game positioned by position. Like there's certain games

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Speaker 1: I just jump out, I really take a strong position

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Speaker 1: on it. And then there's other times where it's like

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Speaker 1: I've already taken a position for a lot of money

301
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Speaker 1: and I hear someone else is on the other side

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Speaker 1: and I have to get out of it and buying

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Speaker 1: out to real pain because you already have so much

304
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Speaker 1: bet into it where you guys aren't gonna be doing

305
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Speaker 1: that stuff. You're kind of bed into stuff. You're just

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Speaker 1: gonna let it ride. So to me, just don't overdo

307
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Speaker 1: it on a game. You could give a great read

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Speaker 1: because we know there's no sure things things things happen here,

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Speaker 1: So my advice would don't go crazy. I wouldn't double

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Speaker 1: it up just because we're starting so well or you

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Speaker 1: are um, kind of keep it going, but yeah, up

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Speaker 1: in a little bit. Of course, take advantage of you

313
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Speaker 1: being hot right now because we talk all the time.

314
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Speaker 1: Eventually you're going to lose, You're gonna get a little cold.

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Speaker 1: You want to take advantage when you're on a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a hot streak. Yeah, I actually it's week

317
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Speaker 1: three right now. Things have been going really well. I

318
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Speaker 1: usually examine it at the quarter pole. If I'm still

319
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Speaker 1: doing well after week four, then I bump it up

320
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Speaker 1: a little bit. And when I say a little bit

321
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Speaker 1: like maybe, like not, I'm not doubling like Simon says.

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Speaker 1: I'm just trying to be eke out incrementally a little

323
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Speaker 1: more over the course of the season. I don't want

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Speaker 1: it to be something where it's Sunday night or Monday

325
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Speaker 1: night and I'm chasing because I'm down more than I

326
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Speaker 1: want to be, because I made stupid decisions about how

327
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Speaker 1: to manage my bank roll. Every professional better will tell

328
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Speaker 1: you managing your bank roll is the hardest and smartest

329
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Speaker 1: thing you can do in betting. I used to joke

330
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Speaker 1: that wise guys are wise guys because they know how

331
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Speaker 1: to keep money in their pocket. Managing your bank roll

332
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Speaker 1: is paramount in that process. So if you're gonna do it,

333
00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:41,120
Speaker 1: don't be an asshole. Just do it a little tiny

334
00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:43,680
Speaker 1: bit so you feel a little bit better but not

335
00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:52,280
Speaker 1: too much worse if you lose Vikings and Saints cheerios

336
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Speaker 1: just glorious execution. I don't know, man, this is like

337
00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:59,800
Speaker 1: a no brainer to me. You take the Vikings here, yeah, meet,

338
00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:02,440
Speaker 1: you will walk right into this trap. This game's in London,

339
00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:05,280
Speaker 1: it's early in the morning, I'm honestly. Then, just take

340
00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:09,160
Speaker 1: the sense that the books cannot get these Saints team right.

341
00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:11,439
Speaker 1: They're owing three eights, yes, clear of the books keep

342
00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:13,880
Speaker 1: putting up shipping numbers on the Saints team, they keep

343
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Speaker 1: not covering, and for some reason they're not justin. Maybe

344
00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:19,800
Speaker 1: we're walking into this right now because the books are

345
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Speaker 1: clearly saying the Saints defense is going to shut down

346
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Speaker 1: this Vikings offense because there's nothing in the Saints have

347
00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:28,520
Speaker 1: shown an offense to give you any hope that they

348
00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:30,840
Speaker 1: could keep up with this Vikings team on offense. So

349
00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:33,680
Speaker 1: to me, the books are clearly made a statement here

350
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Speaker 1: saying everyone in the world come back the Vikings, come

351
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Speaker 1: get them under a field goal. It stinks the holy

352
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Speaker 1: hell so no chance I would let Chat talk me

353
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Speaker 1: and putting this. We had two bad experiences with London

354
00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:47,119
Speaker 1: games where I kind of like woke up and was

355
00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:49,120
Speaker 1: just like, no, we gotta take this in the contest,

356
00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:51,440
Speaker 1: and it blew up in my face. So hopefully Chat

357
00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:54,400
Speaker 1: won't let me do it again. But this Vikings number stinks,

358
00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:56,280
Speaker 1: like I bet it too when I saw it, because

359
00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:58,480
Speaker 1: it's like, what the hell this is gonna to three?

360
00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:00,800
Speaker 1: Here we are a day and a half later, it's

361
00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:02,959
Speaker 1: still it's still a two and a half. So I

362
00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:05,160
Speaker 1: have no idea what the books think, Like they really

363
00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:08,040
Speaker 1: do believe in the Saints team. I think they're hot garbage, Like,

364
00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:10,160
Speaker 1: I don't know why they haven't adjusted on them. Give

365
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,920
Speaker 1: me three and a half four, I start thinking Saints

366
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:15,960
Speaker 1: two and a half, no brainer. Take the Vikings. Hey,

367
00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:18,240
Speaker 1: by the way, it is two and a half and

368
00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:25,920
Speaker 1: right now about of the money is on the Vikings.

369
00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:31,760
Speaker 1: It just doesn't make any sense. There are something we're

370
00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:34,520
Speaker 1: definitely stepping in it, do you think so? Yeah? I

371
00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:38,200
Speaker 1: mean again, the books could just be hanging a crap number.

372
00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:41,680
Speaker 1: But if if reverse Primetime spot for Kirk Cousins, maybe

373
00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:43,680
Speaker 1: that's what they're banking on Hills, He'll stink it up here.

374
00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:45,800
Speaker 1: But I don't get it. I just don't see how

375
00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:48,119
Speaker 1: the the in what world the Saints offense with a

376
00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:52,159
Speaker 1: broken Jamis can keep up with this Vikings offense. Like

377
00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:56,240
Speaker 1: the Vikings, they are really talented team, and so to me,

378
00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:58,679
Speaker 1: it's just an interesting number. It's like the books are

379
00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:00,880
Speaker 1: really again taking a position, and on the Saints team,

380
00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:03,000
Speaker 1: they're owing three. So I don't really know why they're

381
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:06,880
Speaker 1: backing them like this. All right, well, I would love

382
00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:09,240
Speaker 1: to take this in the contest. It does not concern

383
00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 1: me at all. I'm getting the better team against a

384
00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:15,840
Speaker 1: coach I don't believe in a quarterback who's playing with

385
00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:19,800
Speaker 1: a broken back literally uh an offense that seems like

386
00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:23,600
Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara has lost his mojo and mark ingram is

387
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:28,400
Speaker 1: the bulk of the carries. Uh is like the guy

388
00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:30,760
Speaker 1: they're counting on the most in the backfield at eight

389
00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:33,800
Speaker 1: five years old. I just think this, like his team

390
00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:35,560
Speaker 1: is better. I'm getting the better team in a neutral

391
00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:40,920
Speaker 1: field for less than a field goal. Come man, make

392
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:44,600
Speaker 1: of your exact decision, though, That's what I thought. That's

393
00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:48,600
Speaker 1: what I thought, kirk Man kirk Is, that's the problem Kirk.

394
00:19:49,119 --> 00:19:50,639
Speaker 1: Not that was laughing at people, but people are like,

395
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Speaker 1: what do you think about them? For Super but what

396
00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:53,400
Speaker 1: do you think about him for m v P. It's

397
00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:55,760
Speaker 1: just like have you watched him for ten years now?

398
00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:59,320
Speaker 1: He is what he is. It's just he's Kirk. Next game.

399
00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:02,399
Speaker 1: This is not making our list of anything at this point.

400
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:07,640
Speaker 1: The Vikings, Josh Bills on the road at the Ravens,

401
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,800
Speaker 1: the Ravens three and a half. We got a pro Joe.

402
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:13,600
Speaker 1: We got a pro Joe. The bets on the bills

403
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:18,840
Speaker 1: of the money on the Ravens. I know what I like. Again,

404
00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:20,560
Speaker 1: we don't really have a choice in the spot. We

405
00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:23,240
Speaker 1: have to take the Ravens. Like this is again playing

406
00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,720
Speaker 1: the numbers. What do we said last time? We'll take

407
00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:28,520
Speaker 1: the money line as well here with the Ravens because

408
00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 1: historically Josh Allen beats you. He beats are pretty damn good.

409
00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:34,280
Speaker 1: But at three and a half, this is a key number.

410
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:39,240
Speaker 1: We'll definitely be taking this number. Um the Ravens again,

411
00:20:39,440 --> 00:20:41,960
Speaker 1: Chad kind of talked about it and we we spoke earlier.

412
00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:45,320
Speaker 1: There's secondaries not look good. Just through three weeks they've

413
00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:48,960
Speaker 1: been torn up every team, but they're getting guys back.

414
00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,680
Speaker 1: They got guys back last week, right, those are their

415
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 1: first games, so they did have moments they didn't look

416
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,919
Speaker 1: too good. But as the season goes along here, I

417
00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:01,600
Speaker 1: do think major adjustments from this ravens the defense. I

418
00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:04,200
Speaker 1: would have a little bit of pause about Josh Allen

419
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:06,280
Speaker 1: here because of what he just went through and like

420
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:09,480
Speaker 1: the position he's in here. But we looked at the forecast.

421
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:12,240
Speaker 1: We're supposed to get this hurricane weather for the next

422
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:15,080
Speaker 1: three days up here from I believe it's Saturday, Sunday,

423
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:17,639
Speaker 1: and Monday. That's when this game is on Sunday. So

424
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,959
Speaker 1: you're saying we're gonna have crazy storms up here, Josh Allen.

425
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,560
Speaker 1: They don't run it like you look at the Bills.

426
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Speaker 1: That's the biggest weakness of that team by far as

427
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:28,159
Speaker 1: they don't run the ball, they only throw it. They

428
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 1: were just one dimensional. Now you're gonna tell me we're

429
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:32,720
Speaker 1: gonna have a crazy storm up here. I don't know it.

430
00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:34,320
Speaker 1: Just it feels like we're getting a good number. What's

431
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 1: gonna be a sloppy battle. It's Baltimore, gentlemen. The gods

432
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:41,159
Speaker 1: will not save you. This Bills team is gonna have

433
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,320
Speaker 1: to these injuries start catching up to them. They dropped

434
00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:46,800
Speaker 1: two to two and two here. That's that's pretty that's

435
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:48,680
Speaker 1: that's not what people expected from the team that was

436
00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:51,360
Speaker 1: the most Super Bowl hyped up team here. So I'm

437
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:53,280
Speaker 1: with people that they're gonna be feeling it. I don't

438
00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:55,240
Speaker 1: know if Josh can do much about it. Like we

439
00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:57,879
Speaker 1: saw what Miami did last week. They did too high safety.

440
00:21:57,880 --> 00:21:59,679
Speaker 1: They made him ninking dunk all the way down field

441
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:03,280
Speaker 1: and frustrated the hell out of them. I mean, seventeen

442
00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:06,000
Speaker 1: points against that Miami defense, you expect them more out

443
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,480
Speaker 1: of them. Um again, they got the safety, so they

444
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:11,119
Speaker 1: ended up with nineteen. But it's just it was one

445
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:13,560
Speaker 1: of those things where I saw the issues for Josh,

446
00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:15,880
Speaker 1: and I can see the Ravens doing the same exact thing.

447
00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:18,840
Speaker 1: Like that style of defense. It's not that hard to play,

448
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:21,240
Speaker 1: So you know what, I think we should do it,

449
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:23,879
Speaker 1: because I do think this is a foxhole bet, But

450
00:22:24,200 --> 00:22:25,680
Speaker 1: the Ravens to me at three and a half, it's

451
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:26,760
Speaker 1: one of those I kind of I was gonna make

452
00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:28,199
Speaker 1: it time and says that I have another game. I like,

453
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:30,560
Speaker 1: I would grab this now just in case his weather

454
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,840
Speaker 1: does turn bad. I could see this get into three,

455
00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:35,400
Speaker 1: because why would no one else, everyone else be betting this.

456
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:37,560
Speaker 1: This is a running team and bad weather. This is

457
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:40,080
Speaker 1: kind of where you want to take this Ravens team.

458
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:43,480
Speaker 1: Are we fox holding it? Let's fox hold the foxhole.

459
00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:52,159
Speaker 1: Let's clide down into the foxhole. Ravens plus three and

460
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:55,640
Speaker 1: a half. You said a phrase that I feel like

461
00:22:55,680 --> 00:23:00,680
Speaker 1: it should be part of the vernacular. Too high safety.

462
00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 1: That's like what you should call the dude in college

463
00:23:04,600 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 1: who stays sober when everyone else is getting high. Like

464
00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:12,320
Speaker 1: it's like a designated driver. You're the too high safety. Well,

465
00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:14,320
Speaker 1: I would it be advice to people in college, don't

466
00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,680
Speaker 1: hang out that too high safety. Make regrets, make mistakes.

467
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:24,080
Speaker 1: That's the colleges speaking and regrets. The Commanders are three

468
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs on the road at the

469
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:31,480
Speaker 1: Cooper Rush Cowboys another pro Joe the best coming in

470
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:34,960
Speaker 1: on the Cowboys, of the money coming in on the Commanders.

471
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:38,280
Speaker 1: I know what we just said about Carson Wentz week

472
00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:41,200
Speaker 1: to week, game to game. You gotta forget these things.

473
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:45,359
Speaker 1: You gotta bet the number. It's another It's the same

474
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,960
Speaker 1: exact scenarios last week, only with a team that's much

475
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 1: much worse. You gotta bet the Commanders here. I know

476
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:53,960
Speaker 1: we're not doing it. There's no way this ends up

477
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,960
Speaker 1: in our contest. Chad. Everything you just said is right,

478
00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,480
Speaker 1: but what do we just see the comm As biggest

479
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 1: weakness was I can't fucking block anyone. Now you're giving

480
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:07,120
Speaker 1: then one of the most destroy destructive defensive players we've

481
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:10,879
Speaker 1: ever seen him, like a Parsons, I don't know. Stinks

482
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 1: to holy hell Eagles fan. I'm honestly, my life has

483
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 1: never been better like my team's three and oh the

484
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 1: Cowboys legit have a QB controversy. Cooper Rush, I love

485
00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:22,640
Speaker 1: the ship on the kid made some pro throws like

486
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,919
Speaker 1: good reads and put the ball in there against the

487
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 1: Giants defense. That was good and they were humming. I

488
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 1: can't believe he really did that in that primetime game

489
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:34,240
Speaker 1: last night. So, like again, I wish it was a joke,

490
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:37,399
Speaker 1: but it's like, I don't know him and Deck aren't

491
00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 1: that much different if we're being honest right now. So

492
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 1: to me, I'm with Chad like I'll probably end up

493
00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 1: on the Commanders. But as we sit here on Tuesday,

494
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 1: I got a real bad taste in my mouth with

495
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 1: that that Washington game again, they have all the pieces

496
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:55,119
Speaker 1: there that Washington, that Washington offense is good. Holy sh it, man,

497
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:56,600
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's they can't block or if

498
00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:59,120
Speaker 1: Carson just cannot understand you can't hold on the ball

499
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 1: from more than three to four second spot. This is

500
00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:04,679
Speaker 1: just a bad matchup for US Washington team. So I

501
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 1: get what Chad's coming from this kind of a prose

502
00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:09,800
Speaker 1: pro number, like you're just fading what happened last week,

503
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:13,159
Speaker 1: But I might starving to take this Cowboys team a

504
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 1: little bit more serious. I need to adjust my numbers

505
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 1: because to me, yes, coming into last week, I would

506
00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 1: have been on this commander of this team. Actually think

507
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:22,119
Speaker 1: you might be getting a good number now with this

508
00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:24,919
Speaker 1: Cowboys team. They're not that bad with Cooper Rush as

509
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:26,960
Speaker 1: their quarterback, and they're hell of a lot better than

510
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:30,120
Speaker 1: Washington is right now. So it's it's funny you say

511
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 1: that about Cooper Rush. I was watching that game last night,

512
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,680
Speaker 1: you know, first half, because I went to bed, uh,

513
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,120
Speaker 1: and I thought to myself for a second, I forgot

514
00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:43,879
Speaker 1: who the Cowboys starting quarterback wise, and I thought, is

515
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 1: there going to be a quarterback controversy? And then I

516
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:49,000
Speaker 1: remember it was back like no, they just won't you know,

517
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:54,200
Speaker 1: they won't have it, but they could. Again my again,

518
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,160
Speaker 1: the reason I say they're equal is that Cooper Rush

519
00:25:57,280 --> 00:26:00,680
Speaker 1: is cheap. Back is expensive right now, Like the town

520
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:02,960
Speaker 1: level isn't that different where if I'm getting a huge

521
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,639
Speaker 1: discount on Cooper Rush, you move deck and then you

522
00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:07,920
Speaker 1: build a team out like that's kind of the move there.

523
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:10,760
Speaker 1: So to me, the Cowboys, I can make all these jokes.

524
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:13,520
Speaker 1: Jerry's a crazy dude. I know he's gonna looking at

525
00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:15,359
Speaker 1: that too. And if there's an opportunity to move on

526
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:17,720
Speaker 1: from Dak, who, let's face it, what has he really

527
00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:20,000
Speaker 1: done for that team other then making to the playoffs

528
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:23,480
Speaker 1: and just not capitalized on that those moments. So I

529
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:25,760
Speaker 1: just think it's interesting, like this kid wins another game

530
00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 1: here that their favorite in their three not with Cooper

531
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:31,640
Speaker 1: Rush after getting what was it three points Week one

532
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:36,040
Speaker 1: with Dak against the Bucks. So it's it's gonna be

533
00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:38,760
Speaker 1: interesting this season now with this going on, because as

534
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 1: a fan that had two quarterbacks on the team with

535
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:44,520
Speaker 1: the Eagles, it was a total nightmare every week like

536
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,240
Speaker 1: what was going on behind closed doors? So going to

537
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:49,800
Speaker 1: be interested to watch this Cowboys team me and both

538
00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:53,000
Speaker 1: me and Chad both had them making the playoffs this year. Honestly,

539
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 1: even though when Dak went down, nothing really changed for me,

540
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:58,119
Speaker 1: not even more so. It's just like the NFC is

541
00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:00,200
Speaker 1: so wide open. I can just see a team with

542
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,640
Speaker 1: a defense this could make it in this Cowboys team,

543
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:06,600
Speaker 1: So I kind of again, I might do it justice Cowboys, right,

544
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:08,199
Speaker 1: I think there are actually a lot better than I've

545
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:11,120
Speaker 1: been giving them credit for. Alright, well, we still got

546
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:14,960
Speaker 1: a signment, says in an exact decision to go Titans

547
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:19,440
Speaker 1: plus three and a half on the road at the

548
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:23,720
Speaker 1: Indianapolis Colts. I don't have a strong read on this game,

549
00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:27,200
Speaker 1: strong opinion. It feels like it's kind of at three

550
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:30,240
Speaker 1: and a half. You kind of take the Titans at three,

551
00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 1: you leave it alone, but not for any big, big

552
00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 1: units here. I mean, my gut instinct was to take

553
00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:42,280
Speaker 1: um the Titans just because they've owned this cold steam

554
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 1: last couple of years. Vayable is just his teams have

555
00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:49,080
Speaker 1: just historically played well against his cold steam. But the

556
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 1: fact that it's up to three and a half stinks

557
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 1: to hell. But what a weird number this cold Steam

558
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,840
Speaker 1: is not? Are they really that much better than Tennessee

559
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 1: I don't think so. Um I and I didn't think

560
00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:03,119
Speaker 1: that was so much the Colts winning is the Chiefs

561
00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 1: just kind of blew that game last week. But yeah,

562
00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:08,640
Speaker 1: I'm with your chat. As we sit here on Tuesday,

563
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:11,160
Speaker 1: I haven't really touched this game, and when I looked

564
00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:13,880
Speaker 1: at it again, my first opinion was just go at Tennessee.

565
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 1: But weird, weird number one of the weirder numbers this week,

566
00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 1: Like definitely from an a f C South game. I

567
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:20,960
Speaker 1: tell people of time I love the AFC South because

568
00:28:20,960 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 1: I feel like that's where I make my money just

569
00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:24,760
Speaker 1: because no one cares about those teams, and it's proved

570
00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 1: out this year. We've been all over Uston, We've been

571
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,600
Speaker 1: all over the jag Wires and the Colts last week.

572
00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:31,399
Speaker 1: There's just there's just something about that division that it

573
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:33,679
Speaker 1: just you can find value because no one wants to

574
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:38,680
Speaker 1: bet them. They're just not Excitingly football season is underway,

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604
00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:26,680
Speaker 1: Browns visiting the Falcons. The Falcons look all credit to

605
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 1: you because I am not being a buyer. Falcons covered

606
00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:33,000
Speaker 1: against the Rams, covered against the Seahawks, covered in Week one.

607
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 1: They have been a covering machine this year. The wise

608
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:39,040
Speaker 1: guy said it would be true. Now they're two point

609
00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:43,520
Speaker 1: dogs at home against the Browns. It's bullshit, man. They

610
00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:45,440
Speaker 1: should be two on one. They should have beat the Saints.

611
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 1: They should be tied for the division lead. I mean,

612
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:49,640
Speaker 1: out of my victory Lap of the year gave him

613
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:51,880
Speaker 1: out thirty five to one. They should be tied with

614
00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:54,800
Speaker 1: the lead of this division after three weeks, but they

615
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 1: just they gave that one away Week one again three

616
00:30:57,880 --> 00:30:59,760
Speaker 1: o eight t Shoud talked about three oh to the

617
00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:02,360
Speaker 1: over as well. This is a high powered offense with

618
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:05,360
Speaker 1: a ship defense. So just a fun team like, if

619
00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:08,440
Speaker 1: you like betting ugly teams that are fun, Atlanta is fun.

620
00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:10,880
Speaker 1: Like they just they score a lot in a weird

621
00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 1: offensive style with Mariota and they give up a lot

622
00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:16,920
Speaker 1: of points. So that's Brown's team. My initial instinct is

623
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:21,240
Speaker 1: pound the Browns, like the Browns are good all around.

624
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:23,840
Speaker 1: If for second play like he played on Thursday night,

625
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 1: Holy sh it, man, but the Browns are good. We

626
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:27,960
Speaker 1: all we knew they had all the talent in the world,

627
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:31,360
Speaker 1: they just didn't have a quarterback. This line, it kind

628
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:33,800
Speaker 1: of makes you take a second and think it's like, Okay,

629
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 1: this was minus three. The Pros came in a pounded Atlanta.

630
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:39,400
Speaker 1: Wasn't the public that came in heaving on that three.

631
00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:43,400
Speaker 1: It was the Pros. So interesting move by them, because

632
00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 1: I honestly thought you were gonna get an overvalue Atlanta

633
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 1: team at this point. Um just because again they've they've

634
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 1: covered three straight weeks Cleveland extended rest going up gets

635
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:54,360
Speaker 1: a team that really can't stop the running in Atlanta,

636
00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 1: they should be able to dominate this game with Nick Chubb.

637
00:31:57,160 --> 00:32:01,520
Speaker 1: But um no, no, no real take on this game

638
00:32:01,560 --> 00:32:03,920
Speaker 1: for me yet. But I think people can already tell

639
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:06,080
Speaker 1: which way I'm kind of lean like I like Atlanta.

640
00:32:06,080 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 1: I like what Atlanta does. Um, this is usually kind

641
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 1: of a letdown spot for this Cleveland team historically after

642
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:14,440
Speaker 1: a big divisional win. Now they felt good for a

643
00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:17,040
Speaker 1: whole week going up against the team, they're probably not

644
00:32:17,080 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 1: gonna take that serious in Atlanta. This is kind of

645
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 1: where I want to take Atlanta, But hopefully we get

646
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 1: back to a better number because that one and a half,

647
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:26,000
Speaker 1: it's not not the best home dog. There's other positions

648
00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:30,240
Speaker 1: I'd rather take. Yeah, it's a tricky game. A lot

649
00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:34,320
Speaker 1: of this comes down to coaching, right, and the Falcons

650
00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:40,280
Speaker 1: are covering slash winning I think in spite of themselves,

651
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 1: not because they're doing anything extraordinary consistently. Um. You know,

652
00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 1: in that Rams game, they got a lot of turnovers

653
00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:53,240
Speaker 1: against the Seahawks. They had turnovers and they were playing

654
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 1: an inferior team, not discounting the fact that's hard to

655
00:32:56,160 --> 00:33:00,080
Speaker 1: go win on the road. Uh, Saints, they gave it away.

656
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:04,560
Speaker 1: The Browns are a better coach team. And so if

657
00:33:04,600 --> 00:33:09,520
Speaker 1: you're giving me a team and saying they just gotta win,

658
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:11,400
Speaker 1: even though it's on the road, they gotta beat an

659
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:13,760
Speaker 1: inferior team and they're across the board better in every

660
00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:16,040
Speaker 1: other way. It's tough for me to want to back

661
00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 1: the team that seems to win on Flukes, there's a

662
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 1: regression coming for the Falcons. To me, it's true. But

663
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 1: also we saw Cleveland give one away the Jets. We

664
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:30,440
Speaker 1: know that the Cleveland's going to Cleveland, so that's always

665
00:33:30,520 --> 00:33:33,080
Speaker 1: part of built in betting this team. It's like they

666
00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:35,160
Speaker 1: are who we thought they were. Kind of kind of

667
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 1: deal with Cleveland. We still got a Simon says, we

668
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:41,280
Speaker 1: still got an exact decision. By the way, exact decisions

669
00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:49,160
Speaker 1: crushing this year. Uh, not for nothing. Jets Steelers Steelers

670
00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:57,600
Speaker 1: minus three. Simon says, grab that Steelers minus three do

671
00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 1: we do a lot of sciences. Hopefully he doesn't go

672
00:34:01,360 --> 00:34:02,600
Speaker 1: back up the three and a half. We can just

673
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:04,440
Speaker 1: get a three all week in case you want to

674
00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:07,080
Speaker 1: wait on it. But I love Pittsburgh in this position

675
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:10,279
Speaker 1: at home coming off a bad loss. Tomlin in this

676
00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:12,960
Speaker 1: spot historically has been has done well at home with

677
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 1: a team that they're desperate. So get the opponent. Their

678
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:18,719
Speaker 1: name was great Faces and they're playing against the Jets

679
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,680
Speaker 1: team that I thought they put well with Joe Flacco.

680
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 1: But we've seen their ceiling, like they're just not that good.

681
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:27,520
Speaker 1: Like last week against the Bengals, they had different opportunities,

682
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:29,759
Speaker 1: but when it gets a third and eight and they

683
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:32,480
Speaker 1: make some stupid pealing out third and thirteen, that's just

684
00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:35,160
Speaker 1: the Jets, like they just keep putting themselves in bad positions.

685
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:40,120
Speaker 1: Bengals again, they've been incredible in second half. Defensively, they're

686
00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 1: not as good as Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh secondary is better than

687
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:45,200
Speaker 1: the bang of secondary. So to me, if it's gonna

688
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:48,160
Speaker 1: be Zack Wilson and his first start after not playing

689
00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:51,520
Speaker 1: a competitive game and since last year again we saw

690
00:34:51,600 --> 00:34:55,360
Speaker 1: him in preseason, he was absolutely terrible. Um, just a

691
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:57,640
Speaker 1: bad That's why I don't get why they would do

692
00:34:57,680 --> 00:34:59,920
Speaker 1: it while they would put him in this spot against

693
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh because it's literally they're just throwing them to the

694
00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:06,360
Speaker 1: Wolves like it's it's a bad position to put your

695
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:10,399
Speaker 1: QB in. Where we know what Pittsburgh does. They run

696
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:15,480
Speaker 1: different schemes, different blitz packages, are always throwing fake looks constantly.

697
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 1: That's gonna that That to me is such a freaking

698
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:21,600
Speaker 1: huge deal to a kid like Zack Wilson on the

699
00:35:21,640 --> 00:35:25,400
Speaker 1: offensive side. I know people don't like what Trabiski was

700
00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:27,400
Speaker 1: last week, but I thought he actually did make some

701
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:30,000
Speaker 1: good plays and they were moving the ball pretty well

702
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:32,600
Speaker 1: in Cleveland. Just when it got the crunched on, we

703
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:34,520
Speaker 1: saw what happened with Mitch right he tightened up. He

704
00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:36,440
Speaker 1: just could not pick up first downs and you just

705
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:39,600
Speaker 1: couldn't put anything together. So I know people are down

706
00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:40,920
Speaker 1: on them. That's where we're getting a little bit of

707
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:43,680
Speaker 1: value on Pittsburgh, and to me, I'll take that value

708
00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:46,000
Speaker 1: here where this Jets team they're just not good. In

709
00:35:46,040 --> 00:35:48,640
Speaker 1: the fact that Zack Wilson's coming back, it's even more

710
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:50,279
Speaker 1: of a reason. I just cannot see how he can

711
00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:54,239
Speaker 1: put up points against this Pittsburgh's defense. Yeah, you know,

712
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:56,359
Speaker 1: you and I talked a little bit about this on

713
00:35:56,400 --> 00:36:01,400
Speaker 1: our daily show on Action Network, Green Uh Daily. You

714
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:04,120
Speaker 1: gotta watch it because you're getting sort of the betting

715
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:06,920
Speaker 1: agenda for the day and during the NFL season for

716
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:10,839
Speaker 1: the week noon Eastern. Watch it on Action Network, HQ

717
00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 1: and Twitter, and listen to the podcast version of Green

718
00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:20,000
Speaker 1: Dot Daily wherever you like your podcasts. To me, historically,

719
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:24,600
Speaker 1: you're talking about the Steelers not being great as favorites

720
00:36:24,640 --> 00:36:28,680
Speaker 1: at home against inferior teams and outperforming when their road dogs.

721
00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:30,840
Speaker 1: We didn't get the job done, we came up short.

722
00:36:31,040 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 1: Please don't talk to me about more victories are to

723
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:35,719
Speaker 1: be disrespectful to those guys in the room. Now you're

724
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:38,920
Speaker 1: back home. They need to win these games when they

725
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:41,160
Speaker 1: are playing teams that are worse. They can't afford the

726
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:44,600
Speaker 1: letdowns anymore. And I think that also plays to Mike

727
00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:47,600
Speaker 1: Thomlin's strength to be able to define the stakes for

728
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 1: his team in ways that he did not have to

729
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 1: do before because he has so much more talent. The

730
00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:55,480
Speaker 1: standard is the standard. That's our motto, that's our creed,

731
00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:58,840
Speaker 1: that's our approach time and time again. I love the

732
00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:01,160
Speaker 1: Steelers here. I think that that's are fresh. I mean

733
00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:04,880
Speaker 1: we look, we talked about this the Jets one the draft.

734
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 1: Everyone piled on their season win total over you, and

735
00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:11,719
Speaker 1: I went the opposite way. I don't see the Jets

736
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 1: being a very good team, no matter who's playing quarterback. Again,

737
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:17,759
Speaker 1: Lucky for the Jets, like they just got to make

738
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:19,160
Speaker 1: it for these next couple of weeks and then it

739
00:37:19,200 --> 00:37:22,080
Speaker 1: does get easier for you guys. But I just don't

740
00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:23,880
Speaker 1: think this is the this is the spot for exact

741
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:25,839
Speaker 1: to come back. So I'm hoping it is him. That's

742
00:37:25,880 --> 00:37:27,880
Speaker 1: why i want to get this number early. But if

743
00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:30,279
Speaker 1: it's Joe Flacco, doesn't really matter to me. I still

744
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:33,120
Speaker 1: think you're getting good number of this Pittsburgh team. Do

745
00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:34,800
Speaker 1: we like them enough to put them in the contest

746
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:38,839
Speaker 1: right now? Simon says, I would say yeah, at like three,

747
00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:40,759
Speaker 1: I would definitely put that in, just because that's such

748
00:37:40,800 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 1: a good number for this team. At three and a half, four,

749
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,560
Speaker 1: maybe way on a little bit, but at three, I

750
00:37:46,920 --> 00:37:49,319
Speaker 1: can't say no to that. All right, we're adding to

751
00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 1: the list right now. We only got two teams on

752
00:37:51,080 --> 00:37:53,359
Speaker 1: their Ravens plus three and a half, Steelers minus three

753
00:37:53,840 --> 00:37:58,920
Speaker 1: next game up. I immediately thought to myself, the Jaguars

754
00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:02,799
Speaker 1: are visiting the Eagle came open at seven. It's moved

755
00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:08,120
Speaker 1: down a hair a scoche six and a half. Man,

756
00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:11,320
Speaker 1: I mean, look, what the What this is basically saying

757
00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:15,719
Speaker 1: to me is that the market really values what the

758
00:38:15,719 --> 00:38:19,279
Speaker 1: Eagles did against the Commanders a little bit more than

759
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 1: what the Jaguars did against the Chargers. Really, I thought

760
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:27,200
Speaker 1: it it was I think they're valuing them kind of equally.

761
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:28,880
Speaker 1: Like the fact that this is down to six and

762
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:32,080
Speaker 1: a half is kind of telling. We're like, alright, people

763
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 1: have clearly taken position on the seven. The book's respect

764
00:38:35,040 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 1: enough given the six and a half. Now, Eagles are

765
00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:40,520
Speaker 1: the tease team. They're that team like last week was

766
00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:43,200
Speaker 1: the Chiefs, last week was the Bills, last week we're

767
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,320
Speaker 1: the Bengals. That like, they give you this six and

768
00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 1: a half and they said, go ahead, tease these three

769
00:38:47,719 --> 00:38:51,160
Speaker 1: teams down. If you if you hit two of them, congrats,

770
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:52,839
Speaker 1: you're probably not gonna do it. And that's what they're

771
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:55,360
Speaker 1: kind of giving you here. This Eagles team. There's like, alright,

772
00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:57,920
Speaker 1: all the hype. We think the Eagles are the number

773
00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:00,640
Speaker 1: one team the n NFC. There, the ives the best

774
00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:03,120
Speaker 1: offense right now, could argue they're one of the best

775
00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:06,759
Speaker 1: defenses right now playing the Jaguars team that every week

776
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:10,759
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence has improved and like that was again, I

777
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 1: can't ask for much more. They should be three and

778
00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:15,480
Speaker 1: oh they let an egg against that Commander's team week one,

779
00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:17,640
Speaker 1: but they grew from it and they put up a

780
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:20,279
Speaker 1: twenty four and nothing shut out against the Colts. And

781
00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:22,319
Speaker 1: I didn't care if Herbert's but Helsey in that game,

782
00:39:22,520 --> 00:39:24,799
Speaker 1: I don't think that mattered. Like they beat the ship

783
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:27,399
Speaker 1: out of that Chargers team and every facet like there

784
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,520
Speaker 1: they had. They've had injuries the Chargers team, but man,

785
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:33,200
Speaker 1: like the D line of that combo of Walker and

786
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:35,799
Speaker 1: Josh Allen on that D line, it's it's huge for

787
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:38,400
Speaker 1: that that Jaguars team, like their their defense is flying

788
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:42,200
Speaker 1: around and the Trevor Lawrence with that Christian Kirk Robinson

789
00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:44,200
Speaker 1: back off that major injury, he's he's one of the

790
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:47,040
Speaker 1: top five running backs right now in football. It's all

791
00:39:47,080 --> 00:39:50,360
Speaker 1: there for this j Jacksonville team. Now you're giving me

792
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:52,319
Speaker 1: them at six and a half against an Eagles team

793
00:39:52,320 --> 00:39:56,360
Speaker 1: that I do think they're really good, but that's a

794
00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:58,239
Speaker 1: lot of points against the team my view as a

795
00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 1: playoff team and the Jaguars in for Doug Peterson, what

796
00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:04,600
Speaker 1: a position to be in. He knows all these guys,

797
00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:07,240
Speaker 1: like like the the ins and out of this whole team.

798
00:40:07,480 --> 00:40:10,359
Speaker 1: He coached Jalen's whole rookie year, like he's been there

799
00:40:10,400 --> 00:40:13,960
Speaker 1: with all these different players. So I know, and I've

800
00:40:14,000 --> 00:40:16,640
Speaker 1: seen the video clips of the Jaguars team. They love

801
00:40:16,719 --> 00:40:19,080
Speaker 1: Doug Peterson like they like this guy a lot. They're

802
00:40:19,080 --> 00:40:22,799
Speaker 1: gonna play for him. The revenge aspects nice. In fact,

803
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:24,880
Speaker 1: we're getting good numbers, even better like the six and

804
00:40:24,920 --> 00:40:27,000
Speaker 1: a half. It's a really nice number to me. This

805
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:31,560
Speaker 1: is the the Vikings game. Throw that one away. The

806
00:40:31,600 --> 00:40:34,839
Speaker 1: Eagles have been dominant, no doubt, in the first half.

807
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:36,920
Speaker 1: They're one of the best first half teams. Back to

808
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 1: back weeks. They haven't support in the second half. Again,

809
00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:40,520
Speaker 1: that could be taking the foot off the gas, but

810
00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 1: with a high powered offense like Jacksonville, I just can't

811
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,480
Speaker 1: see being a blowout game like this. Jacksonville can keep

812
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:50,280
Speaker 1: pace again. Trevor Lawrence week one one touchdown past last

813
00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:52,719
Speaker 1: uh Week two, he through for two, last week he

814
00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:56,000
Speaker 1: through for three. He's growing, He's getting better. This kind

815
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:58,200
Speaker 1: of one of those positions where we're buying the hype

816
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,279
Speaker 1: right like people knew we were gonna be at this

817
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:03,839
Speaker 1: the Jaguars game. Regardless, it's the fact that it moved

818
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:06,160
Speaker 1: off seven. You're not ideal, But I'll take the six

819
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:09,120
Speaker 1: and a half. That's another key number to me. The

820
00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:13,680
Speaker 1: reason I was saying, um, I feel like they're valuing

821
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:16,879
Speaker 1: the Eagles a little bit more is because I think

822
00:41:16,920 --> 00:41:20,279
Speaker 1: the numbers should have moved more. UM I think it

823
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:22,840
Speaker 1: opened a little bit higher than it should have opened.

824
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:25,680
Speaker 1: And when I saw this game on Sunday night, I

825
00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:29,320
Speaker 1: saw the Jags plus seven, and I'm like, that doesn't

826
00:41:29,360 --> 00:41:31,800
Speaker 1: make any sense to me. I didn't have the courage

827
00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:34,439
Speaker 1: to better in the moment, like I wanted to look

828
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:37,000
Speaker 1: a little bit deeper. I saw moved to six and

829
00:41:37,000 --> 00:41:40,480
Speaker 1: a half and immediately took it because and I'll say

830
00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:44,319
Speaker 1: right now, this is my executive decision. Executive decision. Chad

831
00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:49,200
Speaker 1: Noman is proud of himself. There's so many signals about

832
00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:53,959
Speaker 1: what you what you just said about the Jaguars. Loving

833
00:41:54,040 --> 00:41:57,160
Speaker 1: Doug Peterson and I watched a lot of that Chargers game.

834
00:41:57,320 --> 00:42:00,839
Speaker 1: We're both invested in this Jaguars team. It is a

835
00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:08,920
Speaker 1: really good marriage of enthusiastic, creative coach who's super tolerant

836
00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:12,880
Speaker 1: of mistakes and not afraid to go for it in

837
00:42:12,920 --> 00:42:16,640
Speaker 1: the macro sense, with a quarterback who can sling it

838
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:21,920
Speaker 1: with really good talent around him at he's deep at

839
00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:26,320
Speaker 1: running back, he's deep at receiver. That defense is getting faster.

840
00:42:27,040 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 1: I am shocked right now that if you look at

841
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:32,600
Speaker 1: the future's odds for the a f C South Indianapolis

842
00:42:32,640 --> 00:42:37,040
Speaker 1: Colts plus one hundred Jacksonville Jaguars plus two, Like, it

843
00:42:37,120 --> 00:42:40,359
Speaker 1: makes no sense to me. What are people not seeing

844
00:42:40,400 --> 00:42:45,880
Speaker 1: about this Jaguars team that we're seeing because executive decision

845
00:42:45,960 --> 00:42:50,239
Speaker 1: this game, my friend and put on our list the

846
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:59,839
Speaker 1: choice between the unthinkable and the impossible, executive decision, let's go.

847
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:03,800
Speaker 1: I think that's three straight weeks Chad's executive decision the Jaguars,

848
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:06,239
Speaker 1: it's probably gonna hit from again. No, last week my

849
00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:10,759
Speaker 1: executive decision was the Bengals, which you hated. That's fair.

850
00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:13,840
Speaker 1: Like the whole thing with me about those futures markets

851
00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:17,120
Speaker 1: is it's about the money. So unless unless the pros

852
00:43:17,160 --> 00:43:19,880
Speaker 1: and the public taking position, clearly, the books know what

853
00:43:19,880 --> 00:43:21,640
Speaker 1: they're doing. Because I saw the other day there win

854
00:43:21,680 --> 00:43:23,720
Speaker 1: their win total was still seven and a half eight

855
00:43:24,120 --> 00:43:27,200
Speaker 1: at some books. That's insane to me, Like the Jaguars

856
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:29,000
Speaker 1: aren't gonna get to that number after what you've seen

857
00:43:29,040 --> 00:43:32,520
Speaker 1: through three weeks. So maybe the books are just being cautious, right,

858
00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 1: because like this happens a lot of time, teams get

859
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 1: off the hot starts and they just fade, like they

860
00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:39,279
Speaker 1: fade as the season goes along. I can't see it,

861
00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:42,799
Speaker 1: like Trevor Lawrence throws this kid makes. There's just there's

862
00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:44,920
Speaker 1: only a handful of guys can make those kind of throws.

863
00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:48,600
Speaker 1: And you see how important coaching is. Like Urban Meyer,

864
00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:52,160
Speaker 1: what a joke. Doug already tied him and wins career

865
00:43:52,160 --> 00:43:54,920
Speaker 1: wins in the NFL, and just two and three weeks

866
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:57,560
Speaker 1: are running this Jaguars team, Like that's how bad Urban was.

867
00:43:58,680 --> 00:44:01,360
Speaker 1: It's it's a team we love coming in for a

868
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:04,359
Speaker 1: multiple Tudor reasons. Um, I'm trying to keep it together

869
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:06,200
Speaker 1: because I'm so fired up about how good they are,

870
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:09,360
Speaker 1: but just exciting if you're a Jaguar standard just a better.

871
00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:11,800
Speaker 1: It's just been a really fun to start of the

872
00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:14,200
Speaker 1: year for this team that all the stuff we talked

873
00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:17,759
Speaker 1: about has proven out right. It's amazing. Like this is

874
00:44:17,800 --> 00:44:20,239
Speaker 1: when it's really important to watch all the games because

875
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:22,160
Speaker 1: you can see things that you don't get from just

876
00:44:22,200 --> 00:44:25,280
Speaker 1: looking at the box scores. And you watch this Jaguars

877
00:44:25,280 --> 00:44:29,520
Speaker 1: team and they're just they bought in in every single way.

878
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:32,640
Speaker 1: They smile, they they're just having fun and they believe.

879
00:44:32,760 --> 00:44:37,759
Speaker 1: That's the belief button. Uh Seahawks on the road at

880
00:44:37,800 --> 00:44:41,360
Speaker 1: our favorite team in the NFL, the Detroit Lions. The

881
00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:50,000
Speaker 1: Lions are four and a half point favorites, look like Interestingly,

882
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:53,439
Speaker 1: the majority of the bets, by a slight percentage, are

883
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:56,120
Speaker 1: on the Seahawks. The majority of the money is on

884
00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:58,680
Speaker 1: the Lions at four and a half, I can tell

885
00:44:58,719 --> 00:45:01,000
Speaker 1: you a group I really respect. They hit this number

886
00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:04,360
Speaker 1: quick on the Seahawks. They they I don't know. I

887
00:45:04,360 --> 00:45:07,239
Speaker 1: don't think they're buying Detroit. Maybe it's because of the

888
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:09,960
Speaker 1: Swift news right, Maybe Swift me out to a big

889
00:45:10,000 --> 00:45:12,200
Speaker 1: deal to them. I think it is, by the way,

890
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:14,799
Speaker 1: do you. I don't know. I just I feel like

891
00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:18,319
Speaker 1: Detroit is such a well oiled machine offensively. It's just

892
00:45:18,800 --> 00:45:21,359
Speaker 1: like Williams looked good last week. Run on the ball

893
00:45:21,400 --> 00:45:24,040
Speaker 1: for them. Um, obviously he's no Swift. Like Swift is

894
00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:26,000
Speaker 1: the game changer. I don't really have to do with

895
00:45:26,040 --> 00:45:28,680
Speaker 1: this game, brother, Like I liked, I like the Seehawks

896
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:30,480
Speaker 1: at six. I thought that was a good number just

897
00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:33,759
Speaker 1: because Detroit's defense is gonna give opportunities for a back

898
00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:36,520
Speaker 1: door every game. They just when teams need to put

899
00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 1: up points and score on them. I think they're gonna

900
00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:40,479
Speaker 1: be able to do that, just because their secondary isn't

901
00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:43,719
Speaker 1: that good yet. But four and a half, making start

902
00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:45,520
Speaker 1: thinking Detroit, Like it feels like I'm starting to get

903
00:45:45,560 --> 00:45:48,320
Speaker 1: value in Detroit now. So don't sitting here on Tuesday,

904
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 1: don't really know what what to do with this game. Maybe

905
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:52,920
Speaker 1: I'll lose more money taking another taking another over in

906
00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:54,840
Speaker 1: a Detroit game and letting it go by half a

907
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:58,399
Speaker 1: point under. But this is just a team that kind

908
00:45:58,400 --> 00:45:59,960
Speaker 1: of is just fun. Like we talked coming to the air.

909
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:03,879
Speaker 1: Love their offense, tons of questions on defense. They are

910
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 1: one and two through three weeks because their defense can't

911
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,719
Speaker 1: stop anybody. They couldn't stop the Eagles, they couldn't stop

912
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:13,640
Speaker 1: the Vikings. It's tough. But that's that's the honestreet about

913
00:46:13,640 --> 00:46:16,319
Speaker 1: the tree right now. So Seahawks have shown me they

914
00:46:16,360 --> 00:46:19,520
Speaker 1: can move the ball surprisingly with Gino and those offensive

915
00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:24,320
Speaker 1: weapons like Locket Metcalf, they make plays six. I definitely

916
00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:26,840
Speaker 1: am on Seahawks. Four and a half, I start thinking Detroit,

917
00:46:26,960 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 1: but we'll see. By thirds, I'll probably have a better

918
00:46:28,680 --> 00:46:30,520
Speaker 1: opinion on this game. Yeah, I put that down to

919
00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:33,680
Speaker 1: the watch. It's it's in my watch category. Yeah. Um

920
00:46:34,480 --> 00:46:39,880
Speaker 1: Bears plus three and a half point underdogs at the

921
00:46:39,960 --> 00:46:44,120
Speaker 1: Giants could be a battle of the two worst two

922
00:46:44,120 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 1: and one teams in NFL history. I think the Giants

923
00:46:48,480 --> 00:46:51,719
Speaker 1: are a little bit better than the Bears, but not

924
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:55,880
Speaker 1: by much. They're working with bad quarterbacks all across the board.

925
00:46:55,920 --> 00:46:59,279
Speaker 1: The Giants offensive line made Cooper Rush look as good

926
00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:03,120
Speaker 1: as Dak Press out This game. No value here. I've

927
00:47:03,160 --> 00:47:05,640
Speaker 1: just got two bad teams and essentially the right number.

928
00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:08,000
Speaker 1: I have no opinion. I don't want to bet it.

929
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:10,440
Speaker 1: If it wasn't the Bears, I wouldn't want to watch it.

930
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:13,279
Speaker 1: I've been happy to take the Giants and minus three

931
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:15,359
Speaker 1: minus two and a half because they are the better

932
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:19,319
Speaker 1: team than me. But Chad's right three and a half.

933
00:47:19,360 --> 00:47:21,520
Speaker 1: This feels a smart number. Maybe I'll just be on

934
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:24,200
Speaker 1: the under and somehow get burned about these teams. Two

935
00:47:24,239 --> 00:47:28,000
Speaker 1: teams scoring. But I kind of watched a lot of

936
00:47:28,080 --> 00:47:31,800
Speaker 1: Bears film just because I'm hoping to see some flicker

937
00:47:31,880 --> 00:47:36,280
Speaker 1: of hope for Justin Fields here. But it's not good.

938
00:47:36,600 --> 00:47:39,000
Speaker 1: He's not reading defense. He's got a happy feet, he

939
00:47:39,040 --> 00:47:41,520
Speaker 1: pulls it down too quick. Now you look at the

940
00:47:41,520 --> 00:47:43,880
Speaker 1: side the ball and Daniel Jones. He can have flashes,

941
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:46,879
Speaker 1: he has moments. Just he is what he is. He's

942
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:49,520
Speaker 1: an inconsistent He'll be gone out of this year kind

943
00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:53,319
Speaker 1: of quarterback. There's just there is no future for him

944
00:47:53,360 --> 00:47:55,839
Speaker 1: in New York again. They can make a crazy run

945
00:47:55,880 --> 00:47:57,800
Speaker 1: this year somehow to make the playoffs. And the Giants,

946
00:47:58,200 --> 00:47:59,920
Speaker 1: I think them and the fans are just kind of

947
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,320
Speaker 1: over the Danio Jones experience. We kind of know exactly

948
00:48:02,360 --> 00:48:06,200
Speaker 1: what he is. Um, So I'm with your chat. I'll

949
00:48:06,200 --> 00:48:07,839
Speaker 1: probably end have been on the under on this one,

950
00:48:08,160 --> 00:48:11,360
Speaker 1: um and the Giants, but this would never make our contest,

951
00:48:11,440 --> 00:48:14,000
Speaker 1: just no real feel for it. But as a Bears fan,

952
00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:15,920
Speaker 1: your two on one, who would have thought had a

953
00:48:16,000 --> 00:48:18,160
Speaker 1: chance to be three and one after this game? Again?

954
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:19,960
Speaker 1: You as much I want to show on the Bears.

955
00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:22,720
Speaker 1: They could easily win this game. It's just a bizarre

956
00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:24,879
Speaker 1: season right now for this barrious team that I had

957
00:48:24,920 --> 00:48:27,759
Speaker 1: such little expectations for and here they are two on one.

958
00:48:28,440 --> 00:48:32,200
Speaker 1: By the way, this might change everything you just said.

959
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:36,440
Speaker 1: The line is now Giants minus three. Somebody must have

960
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:41,240
Speaker 1: taken the Bears so across the board consensus line Giants

961
00:48:41,239 --> 00:48:45,120
Speaker 1: minus three. I think it's a pass for us. Yeah,

962
00:48:45,120 --> 00:48:47,480
Speaker 1: I'm just saying, yeah, Like I'll throw a little in

963
00:48:47,520 --> 00:48:49,719
Speaker 1: that minus three, but this won't be my top ten

964
00:48:49,800 --> 00:48:55,120
Speaker 1: bets Chargers five point favorites at the Texans. Easy bet.

965
00:48:55,120 --> 00:48:57,279
Speaker 1: I knew as soon as it's never came out our

966
00:48:57,320 --> 00:49:01,360
Speaker 1: contest Texans every time. The Chargers have never any amount

967
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:03,720
Speaker 1: of injuries. Guess who doesn't have any Texans. They're healthy.

968
00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:06,399
Speaker 1: They just suck. But do they suck more than five

969
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:09,040
Speaker 1: points against his Chargers team all banged up? Hell no?

970
00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:12,000
Speaker 1: Like again, Herbert had the day of his life and

971
00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:14,879
Speaker 1: burn us in this matchup. I am happy to pay

972
00:49:14,880 --> 00:49:17,719
Speaker 1: to see it. He's not right, Like, he didn't look

973
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:19,560
Speaker 1: right in that game. He had two throws that only

974
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:22,120
Speaker 1: Herbert can make on third and five. The guy could

975
00:49:22,160 --> 00:49:23,759
Speaker 1: not make a completion to save his life. And he

976
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:26,680
Speaker 1: had happy feet right like any normal humans with crack

977
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:28,760
Speaker 1: ribs is gonna get a little scared in that pocket

978
00:49:28,760 --> 00:49:31,200
Speaker 1: after you get hit a couple of times. So the

979
00:49:31,239 --> 00:49:33,560
Speaker 1: fact that it moved off seven pisces me off because

980
00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:36,720
Speaker 1: the pros took it so early where it's like, you assholes,

981
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:38,319
Speaker 1: how much one are you even getting down? What a

982
00:49:38,360 --> 00:49:41,120
Speaker 1: thousand bucks? And you're moving this number? That was annoying,

983
00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:43,439
Speaker 1: Like that's like in the professional ward. There's a little

984
00:49:43,440 --> 00:49:46,080
Speaker 1: bit of courtesy. They should have just waited they would

985
00:49:46,080 --> 00:49:47,360
Speaker 1: have kept this line up there because I think the

986
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:50,320
Speaker 1: public would have came in on the Chargers and Texas

987
00:49:50,360 --> 00:49:51,640
Speaker 1: are viewed as the worst team and one of the

988
00:49:51,680 --> 00:49:55,360
Speaker 1: worst teams in football. There's two oh and one against

989
00:49:55,360 --> 00:49:57,960
Speaker 1: the spread, right, like the Texans have been in games,

990
00:49:57,960 --> 00:50:01,120
Speaker 1: they've been in close games. I'll take these I'll take

991
00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:03,160
Speaker 1: the points for this home dog. Again. We might get

992
00:50:03,200 --> 00:50:04,920
Speaker 1: talked out of it just because it's not a great number,

993
00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:06,759
Speaker 1: like we much rather have a six and a half

994
00:50:06,880 --> 00:50:10,520
Speaker 1: and seven, but against a banged up Charges defense and offense,

995
00:50:10,640 --> 00:50:13,359
Speaker 1: I gotta take this number of Texans. I just love

996
00:50:13,400 --> 00:50:18,160
Speaker 1: the fact that you're railing against greedy, wise guys right now.

997
00:50:19,080 --> 00:50:21,359
Speaker 1: Good yeah, because it's a scumbag move. It's just you're

998
00:50:21,360 --> 00:50:24,400
Speaker 1: not getting any type of real money down. You're getting

999
00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:26,640
Speaker 1: a couple of schleckels, and they're like, they're like, all right,

1000
00:50:26,719 --> 00:50:29,320
Speaker 1: we'll move it. Then, Like clearly they're taking a stance

1001
00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:32,120
Speaker 1: here on a Sunday and Monday morning that that number

1002
00:50:32,200 --> 00:50:33,880
Speaker 1: jumped out where that's when you could have just waited

1003
00:50:33,880 --> 00:50:35,279
Speaker 1: on and you would have gave everyone else a good,

1004
00:50:35,320 --> 00:50:37,520
Speaker 1: good number to get on own. I love when you

1005
00:50:37,560 --> 00:50:41,440
Speaker 1: try to go Yiddish. It warms my heart that you're

1006
00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:44,800
Speaker 1: trying to connect with me in a real emotional way.

1007
00:50:44,960 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 1: It's shekels what I say, that's affil of me. There's

1008
00:50:50,600 --> 00:50:55,200
Speaker 1: a phrase kind of schlocky, which is like messy, lazy,

1009
00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:59,080
Speaker 1: schlocky and shekels. What you basically did was say it

1010
00:50:59,160 --> 00:51:01,200
Speaker 1: was combined. The two doesn't create a new definition of

1011
00:51:01,239 --> 00:51:04,160
Speaker 1: what wise guys do when they're being greedy. I love it.

1012
00:51:04,320 --> 00:51:09,799
Speaker 1: Print the shirts, way to go, my Hebrew friend. All right, Uh,

1013
00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:15,160
Speaker 1: Cardinals on the road. At the Carolina Panthers, who we

1014
00:51:15,360 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 1: have been loving, loving like they are they are firstborn children.

1015
00:51:21,080 --> 00:51:25,200
Speaker 1: We cannot see any wrong in the Panthers right now.

1016
00:51:25,800 --> 00:51:29,359
Speaker 1: The Panthers are two and a half, yeah, two two

1017
00:51:29,400 --> 00:51:32,080
Speaker 1: and a half. Chad knows we're gonna be on Carolina

1018
00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:34,399
Speaker 1: and I hate it, but this is my life now.

1019
00:51:34,520 --> 00:51:35,920
Speaker 1: So one or two in the year betting then that

1020
00:51:36,040 --> 00:51:38,279
Speaker 1: came through for us last week and I barely had

1021
00:51:38,280 --> 00:51:40,720
Speaker 1: a penny on them, So I'm down a shipload compared

1022
00:51:40,760 --> 00:51:43,120
Speaker 1: to what I've won on them. I gotta take them here.

1023
00:51:43,320 --> 00:51:46,680
Speaker 1: The Arizona sucks like they just they have no identity

1024
00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:49,640
Speaker 1: right now. I hate it. I don't even know, Like

1025
00:51:49,719 --> 00:51:51,160
Speaker 1: I don't even want to do it, but I kind

1026
00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:55,120
Speaker 1: of have to. Where it's Carolina A man again, I

1027
00:51:55,120 --> 00:51:56,959
Speaker 1: probably won't put this in the contest because I can't

1028
00:51:56,960 --> 00:51:58,759
Speaker 1: do the Baker thing. Like they didn't win last week

1029
00:51:58,760 --> 00:52:01,520
Speaker 1: because of Baker. Baker, it was bad last week. They're

1030
00:52:01,560 --> 00:52:04,200
Speaker 1: just no, no, they won last week, I know, but

1031
00:52:04,200 --> 00:52:06,200
Speaker 1: they didn't win because of Baker. That's what I think.

1032
00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:07,960
Speaker 1: I got it. I got yeah, Like that was more

1033
00:52:08,080 --> 00:52:10,560
Speaker 1: like Winston. The Saints offense could do nothing in their

1034
00:52:10,600 --> 00:52:13,120
Speaker 1: defense just dominated that game. I think it was like

1035
00:52:13,160 --> 00:52:15,319
Speaker 1: ten nothing. He threw some little out route to his

1036
00:52:15,360 --> 00:52:17,600
Speaker 1: receiver and his receiver took it eight yards and scored

1037
00:52:17,600 --> 00:52:19,560
Speaker 1: it down and that was kind of the game. So

1038
00:52:20,680 --> 00:52:22,080
Speaker 1: I'll be on a chat, but I'm just I'm not

1039
00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:23,799
Speaker 1: gonna let you talk to me putting Carolina. I just

1040
00:52:23,840 --> 00:52:26,120
Speaker 1: can't do it. Um. I just have no real read

1041
00:52:26,160 --> 00:52:28,640
Speaker 1: on this team. But there's value there, Like this is

1042
00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:31,479
Speaker 1: real value where you're getting under a field goal against

1043
00:52:31,480 --> 00:52:34,160
Speaker 1: an Arizona team that's just bad. They're simply bad. Like

1044
00:52:34,239 --> 00:52:37,080
Speaker 1: that Rams game. I think maybe ten people watched it

1045
00:52:37,080 --> 00:52:38,719
Speaker 1: because it was just probably the more boring games of

1046
00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:41,840
Speaker 1: the whole day, Rams dominated them and Arizona could not

1047
00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:44,320
Speaker 1: get anything anything going. Like Caler Murray tried doing that

1048
00:52:44,400 --> 00:52:47,840
Speaker 1: runaround thing. It only works when you're another two exhausted

1049
00:52:47,840 --> 00:52:49,880
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter. Doesn't work in the first quarter

1050
00:52:49,920 --> 00:52:52,439
Speaker 1: when the team's got their legs. So I don't really

1051
00:52:52,480 --> 00:52:54,680
Speaker 1: have a feeling towards this Arizona team, Like I can't

1052
00:52:54,719 --> 00:52:56,600
Speaker 1: get a good read on them, But what I do

1053
00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:58,239
Speaker 1: know is they're bad. They are one of the bad

1054
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:00,719
Speaker 1: teams in football right now. So to me, I'll be

1055
00:53:00,760 --> 00:53:03,400
Speaker 1: with Chad on Carolina. But I just can't put this

1056
00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:05,359
Speaker 1: in the contest. I just can't do it. People don't

1057
00:53:05,400 --> 00:53:09,520
Speaker 1: let me do it. Comes on day please, Oh believe

1058
00:53:09,560 --> 00:53:13,400
Speaker 1: you me, my friend, It's gonna be an exciting Sunday.

1059
00:53:14,160 --> 00:53:16,560
Speaker 1: You're gonna have to follow along in the favorites, uh

1060
00:53:16,640 --> 00:53:19,720
Speaker 1: in in follow the phase five in the Action Network

1061
00:53:19,760 --> 00:53:22,640
Speaker 1: gap Patriots ten and half point dogs to the Packers,

1062
00:53:23,200 --> 00:53:26,640
Speaker 1: No mac Jones, Brian Hoyer. It feels like a dangerous

1063
00:53:26,640 --> 00:53:30,840
Speaker 1: spot to bet against the Patriots because Brian Hoyer obviously

1064
00:53:30,880 --> 00:53:37,880
Speaker 1: not a starting caliber quarterback, but a reliable, steady back up.

1065
00:53:39,360 --> 00:53:43,239
Speaker 1: He's a professional. That's what I was looking for. Professional quarterback,

1066
00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:46,000
Speaker 1: you can keep moving. I'll probably have been on Green

1067
00:53:46,040 --> 00:53:47,919
Speaker 1: Bay because they historically beat the ship out of bad

1068
00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:51,040
Speaker 1: teams in this weird position. But no, like I'm with you,

1069
00:53:51,160 --> 00:53:53,200
Speaker 1: I got no real read on it. I can't can't

1070
00:53:53,200 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 1: really force it into the contest Patriots. To me, it

1071
00:53:56,000 --> 00:53:58,480
Speaker 1: just seemed broken, and now that Mac's gone, I think

1072
00:53:58,560 --> 00:54:01,960
Speaker 1: there will might be broken. So no, no real read. Honestly,

1073
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:04,000
Speaker 1: on this game, I'd probably be a chalk play or

1074
00:54:04,080 --> 00:54:06,600
Speaker 1: just take the points just because I feel like everyone's

1075
00:54:06,600 --> 00:54:09,440
Speaker 1: just gonna bet the dog in the spot. The Broncos

1076
00:54:10,120 --> 00:54:15,120
Speaker 1: two point underdogs to the Las Vegas Raiders on the

1077
00:54:15,239 --> 00:54:20,239
Speaker 1: road in Vegas. Boy, I gotta say, I love the

1078
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:23,600
Speaker 1: Broncos coming into the season. You love the Raiders coming

1079
00:54:23,600 --> 00:54:27,040
Speaker 1: into the season. Turns out it's the Chiefs all along.

1080
00:54:27,760 --> 00:54:32,240
Speaker 1: And you know, yeah, Chad saying I love the Raiders.

1081
00:54:32,239 --> 00:54:34,200
Speaker 1: I had them coming third in this division. I just

1082
00:54:34,239 --> 00:54:36,279
Speaker 1: had the Broncos coming in fourth. That's That's what I'm

1083
00:54:36,320 --> 00:54:40,000
Speaker 1: dealing with here. People. Um yeah, I don't know when

1084
00:54:40,000 --> 00:54:41,840
Speaker 1: I first law was lying? What was your first instinct?

1085
00:54:42,360 --> 00:54:46,399
Speaker 1: Live life in extremes? My friend? What is our first start?

1086
00:54:46,560 --> 00:54:49,800
Speaker 1: We just take the Broncos, like the Raiders are fucking broken.

1087
00:54:49,880 --> 00:54:52,120
Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels is already having a closed door meetings with

1088
00:54:52,160 --> 00:54:55,160
Speaker 1: the owner, Oh the ship man, Like you think it's

1089
00:54:55,160 --> 00:54:57,959
Speaker 1: a ship show up in Denver. No, they're doing one.

1090
00:54:58,520 --> 00:55:00,600
Speaker 1: They're slowly figuring out. They at least have an identity,

1091
00:55:00,640 --> 00:55:04,000
Speaker 1: they got a good defense, they got nothing seems like

1092
00:55:04,040 --> 00:55:06,480
Speaker 1: down there in Vegas. So I don't know what I'm

1093
00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:08,640
Speaker 1: gonna do with this one right now. I love Denver.

1094
00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:12,239
Speaker 1: I'm hoping whoever's betting the Raiders keep betting and maybe

1095
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:13,959
Speaker 1: I'll get it two and a half or three with Denver.

1096
00:55:14,080 --> 00:55:16,600
Speaker 1: That'd be amazing. But to me, this is like, as

1097
00:55:16,640 --> 00:55:17,759
Speaker 1: soon as I saw his number, I was like, all right,

1098
00:55:17,800 --> 00:55:19,759
Speaker 1: Micha will have in the money line round Robin. It's

1099
00:55:19,800 --> 00:55:21,839
Speaker 1: just we'll be on Denver. They at least know how

1100
00:55:21,840 --> 00:55:25,040
Speaker 1: to win. I've seen nothing proven by this Vegas team

1101
00:55:25,120 --> 00:55:27,520
Speaker 1: that they do. I'm gonna wait and see what Evan

1102
00:55:27,560 --> 00:55:29,799
Speaker 1: ever put out on what to do with this number,

1103
00:55:29,840 --> 00:55:31,840
Speaker 1: because I know there's a bunch of historical things where

1104
00:55:32,160 --> 00:55:34,480
Speaker 1: I think that's oh and three oh and three ts.

1105
00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:36,840
Speaker 1: This tends to be a good week for them, So

1106
00:55:36,880 --> 00:55:38,560
Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait and see before I make a bet

1107
00:55:38,560 --> 00:55:41,440
Speaker 1: on this game. You can't get Broncos at plus two

1108
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:43,839
Speaker 1: and a half in some places. Yeah, that's I mean,

1109
00:55:43,840 --> 00:55:47,840
Speaker 1: that's pretty nice. Sunday Night football, the Chiefs are visiting

1110
00:55:47,880 --> 00:55:51,440
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, so I said, we're gonna talk about the Chiefs.

1111
00:55:52,080 --> 00:55:56,120
Speaker 1: I do feel like this Chief's team is a little

1112
00:55:56,239 --> 00:56:00,080
Speaker 1: more suspect than we think. They aren't the dominant and

1113
00:56:00,160 --> 00:56:04,040
Speaker 1: team of years past. There's some some issues there. I

1114
00:56:04,040 --> 00:56:07,719
Speaker 1: wouldn't say they're broken, you know, but they are not

1115
00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:11,640
Speaker 1: as good as we thought after the first game. Evidenced

1116
00:56:11,640 --> 00:56:15,319
Speaker 1: by the past two games, the Buccaneers might genuinely be

1117
00:56:15,400 --> 00:56:18,799
Speaker 1: broken though, No, I don't think. I guess I'm just

1118
00:56:18,840 --> 00:56:21,440
Speaker 1: a glass half full guy, right. My expectations are different.

1119
00:56:21,440 --> 00:56:23,920
Speaker 1: Where it's like, I think they've looked really good and

1120
00:56:24,120 --> 00:56:26,200
Speaker 1: the fact that they put the money step paying Tyrekan

1121
00:56:26,200 --> 00:56:28,320
Speaker 1: and their defense and their defense is played well as well.

1122
00:56:28,680 --> 00:56:31,640
Speaker 1: I'm excited, like it makes me happy about betting them.

1123
00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:35,080
Speaker 1: Where it's just early weeks. They're kind of figuring out

1124
00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:37,480
Speaker 1: what the hell they are. I know exactly what I'm

1125
00:56:37,520 --> 00:56:39,759
Speaker 1: getting from his Chiefs team come j anyway, Like I

1126
00:56:39,760 --> 00:56:41,960
Speaker 1: know exactly what I'm getting from my homes. I know

1127
00:56:42,080 --> 00:56:44,759
Speaker 1: he curally can't be beat unless he beats himself. That's

1128
00:56:44,760 --> 00:56:46,920
Speaker 1: what happened yesterday. He beat himself in that game. Like

1129
00:56:47,000 --> 00:56:49,640
Speaker 1: Kelsey would that drop on the end zone? What can

1130
00:56:49,719 --> 00:56:55,280
Speaker 1: you do? So to me, I don't overreact to it. Um, Honestly,

1131
00:56:55,280 --> 00:56:58,920
Speaker 1: everything I've seen the FC, every team just has glaring

1132
00:56:59,840 --> 00:57:03,840
Speaker 1: weaknesses and everyone's kind of drop trying to just dodge

1133
00:57:03,920 --> 00:57:06,000
Speaker 1: this injury book. It feels like all these teams are

1134
00:57:06,000 --> 00:57:08,600
Speaker 1: getting sneaked. But I mean, how the Bills they got

1135
00:57:08,640 --> 00:57:11,120
Speaker 1: lucky Gabe Davis came back. You don't look right last week,

1136
00:57:11,200 --> 00:57:12,799
Speaker 1: and then you look at their defense, they're just having

1137
00:57:12,800 --> 00:57:15,960
Speaker 1: the guys drop all across ther secondary. I mean, the

1138
00:57:15,960 --> 00:57:18,880
Speaker 1: Bengals just lost their nose tackle. They're just all these

1139
00:57:18,920 --> 00:57:22,760
Speaker 1: teams are losing key position players where the Chiefs really haven't.

1140
00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:25,520
Speaker 1: And I'm with you, like they looked rough last week.

1141
00:57:25,600 --> 00:57:27,520
Speaker 1: They had moments they left last players on the field.

1142
00:57:27,600 --> 00:57:29,920
Speaker 1: I think there are three for twelve on third downs,

1143
00:57:29,960 --> 00:57:33,200
Speaker 1: which is like very out of body experience from my homes.

1144
00:57:34,000 --> 00:57:35,840
Speaker 1: But that was a trap game, right cheat. We're all

1145
00:57:35,880 --> 00:57:38,120
Speaker 1: over that one trying not to over react to it,

1146
00:57:38,200 --> 00:57:40,840
Speaker 1: and then this number comes out, This Tampa number came

1147
00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:45,240
Speaker 1: out two and a half. Holy shit, Like what that

1148
00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:48,480
Speaker 1: the books are they set another trap? Here are they

1149
00:57:48,560 --> 00:57:51,640
Speaker 1: really they were really doing it like that was That's

1150
00:57:51,680 --> 00:57:55,600
Speaker 1: what's happening, and it is like they're clearly saying go

1151
00:57:55,640 --> 00:57:59,080
Speaker 1: ahead that the Chiefs. We really believe in this Buccaneers defense,

1152
00:57:59,080 --> 00:58:00,800
Speaker 1: that they're gonna be a different in this game. Because

1153
00:58:01,280 --> 00:58:03,440
Speaker 1: as much as I want to agree with Chad they're broken,

1154
00:58:04,080 --> 00:58:05,760
Speaker 1: I don't think they are. I think, literally, once I

1155
00:58:05,840 --> 00:58:07,840
Speaker 1: get these guys back, this team is just going to

1156
00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:09,960
Speaker 1: be exactly what we know they are. The Buccaneers are

1157
00:58:09,960 --> 00:58:12,120
Speaker 1: gonna be able to put up points and have one

1158
00:58:12,120 --> 00:58:14,960
Speaker 1: of the best defenses of football, and like to me,

1159
00:58:15,000 --> 00:58:16,560
Speaker 1: if you want to bet their futures, I still think

1160
00:58:16,600 --> 00:58:18,880
Speaker 1: there's values on the Bucks to win NFC. I know

1161
00:58:18,920 --> 00:58:21,440
Speaker 1: the Eagles are getting all the hype right now, I

1162
00:58:21,520 --> 00:58:24,840
Speaker 1: still think. I'm January Tom Brady comes up to Philadelphia,

1163
00:58:25,520 --> 00:58:27,240
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be scared and I'll probably have him as

1164
00:58:27,280 --> 00:58:29,880
Speaker 1: a slight favorite over the Seagules team in late January.

1165
00:58:29,920 --> 00:58:33,040
Speaker 1: So as much I want to bash his Buccaneers team,

1166
00:58:33,080 --> 00:58:34,840
Speaker 1: maybe I won't bet him this week because of all

1167
00:58:34,840 --> 00:58:37,240
Speaker 1: the nonsense of the hurricane. This game might be moved

1168
00:58:37,320 --> 00:58:40,240
Speaker 1: up now to Minnesota. That's a big deal because to me,

1169
00:58:40,640 --> 00:58:42,720
Speaker 1: playing that home field in Tampa and that heat, that's

1170
00:58:42,720 --> 00:58:45,240
Speaker 1: an advantage for the Florida team. Like we saw last week,

1171
00:58:45,480 --> 00:58:47,160
Speaker 1: Tampa came all the way back on Green Band in

1172
00:58:47,160 --> 00:58:49,320
Speaker 1: that second half. It's a it's a big deal that

1173
00:58:49,440 --> 00:58:53,920
Speaker 1: heat bill has burned down the second half against Miami team. UM,

1174
00:58:54,040 --> 00:58:57,800
Speaker 1: this game moves with the Minnesota Oh shit, whatever, this

1175
00:58:57,880 --> 00:58:59,760
Speaker 1: line will reopen. I think it might roopen and minus

1176
00:58:59,800 --> 00:59:02,720
Speaker 1: four or minus five for the Cincinnati team. Uh, the

1177
00:59:02,800 --> 00:59:05,360
Speaker 1: Chief's team, I should say. And your bets been avoided,

1178
00:59:05,440 --> 00:59:07,800
Speaker 1: so you can you can bet the Chiefs now. It's

1179
00:59:07,880 --> 00:59:09,880
Speaker 1: it's most like you're gonna be avoided once they moved

1180
00:59:09,920 --> 00:59:12,200
Speaker 1: this game to either Miami or they moved up to Minnesota.

1181
00:59:12,240 --> 00:59:14,600
Speaker 1: Wherever they're gonna move it to. UM, it's gonna be

1182
00:59:14,640 --> 00:59:18,160
Speaker 1: a dead number. But in in it is very talent

1183
00:59:18,280 --> 00:59:20,120
Speaker 1: that the books opened this number the where they did

1184
00:59:20,440 --> 00:59:22,960
Speaker 1: because they're clearly with what Chad said. Like the books,

1185
00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:24,880
Speaker 1: they got a lot of questions right now about the

1186
00:59:24,920 --> 00:59:27,520
Speaker 1: Chiefs team, and that's gonna make me, I need to

1187
00:59:27,560 --> 00:59:29,600
Speaker 1: reevaluate them if they do lose the books this week.

1188
00:59:29,640 --> 00:59:31,560
Speaker 1: But to me, I kind of throw last week out.

1189
00:59:31,600 --> 00:59:32,880
Speaker 1: I just said it was just one of those games.

1190
00:59:33,400 --> 00:59:35,040
Speaker 1: I think it'll be a really fun game to watch.

1191
00:59:35,520 --> 00:59:47,640
Speaker 1: It's not in our contest. Rams two and a half

1192
00:59:47,640 --> 00:59:52,080
Speaker 1: point dogs to the forty Niners on Monday night in

1193
00:59:52,120 --> 00:59:55,240
Speaker 1: the Bay Area. This is a pro Joe right now.

1194
00:59:55,240 --> 01:00:00,360
Speaker 1: It's bets on the Rams, money on the Niners. Yeah,

1195
01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:06,040
Speaker 1: short home favorites. Everything says bet the Niners here. Kyle

1196
01:00:06,080 --> 01:00:09,880
Speaker 1: Shannon is not great in these spots and they just

1197
01:00:10,000 --> 01:00:14,280
Speaker 1: lost arguably the most important player on offense, Trent Williams. Right.

1198
01:00:14,520 --> 01:00:16,040
Speaker 1: I think I think we're getting word now that he

1199
01:00:16,120 --> 01:00:18,600
Speaker 1: might be gone for a couple of weeks. That's massive.

1200
01:00:18,720 --> 01:00:20,800
Speaker 1: Soon as he went out against the Broncos that they

1201
01:00:20,840 --> 01:00:23,640
Speaker 1: could not do a thing, Yeah, and Jimmy looked terrified.

1202
01:00:23,720 --> 01:00:28,000
Speaker 1: So historically he actually owns the Rams like this. That

1203
01:00:28,080 --> 01:00:29,640
Speaker 1: last year in that playoffs, that was the first time

1204
01:00:29,640 --> 01:00:32,960
Speaker 1: the Rams and McVeigh had beaten them and forever, like

1205
01:00:33,160 --> 01:00:34,360
Speaker 1: right when this never came out, I was like, Oh,

1206
01:00:34,400 --> 01:00:35,880
Speaker 1: I want to be all over this four ninetis team.

1207
01:00:35,880 --> 01:00:38,800
Speaker 1: And then I remembered ship. Dude, They're they're literally their

1208
01:00:38,840 --> 01:00:42,160
Speaker 1: offensive line is in shambles now. Um, Jimmy's no tray Lands.

1209
01:00:42,200 --> 01:00:44,720
Speaker 1: He can't move around and run away from that type

1210
01:00:44,760 --> 01:00:50,280
Speaker 1: of blitz. So yeah, I would say it's most likely

1211
01:00:50,280 --> 01:00:52,480
Speaker 1: I'll be on the Rams and the dog. Um, I'm

1212
01:00:52,520 --> 01:00:54,040
Speaker 1: just gonna take the money line right now, and if

1213
01:00:54,040 --> 01:00:55,760
Speaker 1: it gets up the three, I'll take the number. But

1214
01:00:55,800 --> 01:00:57,000
Speaker 1: the two and a half, I'll just take the money

1215
01:00:57,000 --> 01:00:58,520
Speaker 1: out of the Rams because I just think they're gonna

1216
01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:01,760
Speaker 1: win out right. Oh that's interesting. If you think they're

1217
01:01:01,800 --> 01:01:03,760
Speaker 1: gonna win out right, then why wouldn't we be debating

1218
01:01:03,800 --> 01:01:05,520
Speaker 1: to have the Rams is two and a half point

1219
01:01:05,560 --> 01:01:09,360
Speaker 1: dogs in the contest. Well, that's more many playing the

1220
01:01:09,400 --> 01:01:11,280
Speaker 1: number in the value. I know people talk about two

1221
01:01:11,320 --> 01:01:14,040
Speaker 1: and a half doesn't matter in these kind of games.

1222
01:01:14,040 --> 01:01:16,360
Speaker 1: I usually like divisional games like this, I usually just

1223
01:01:16,400 --> 01:01:18,160
Speaker 1: take the money line out right, like I did last

1224
01:01:18,200 --> 01:01:19,800
Speaker 1: night with the Cowboys. I think Cowboys were one and

1225
01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:22,880
Speaker 1: a half or two. I just took the money line. Um,

1226
01:01:23,040 --> 01:01:25,439
Speaker 1: the same thing with here. It's like if it's three,

1227
01:01:25,520 --> 01:01:27,360
Speaker 1: which I always talked about such a key number, even

1228
01:01:27,360 --> 01:01:29,000
Speaker 1: to an asking Remember three to me is the real

1229
01:01:29,080 --> 01:01:31,680
Speaker 1: key number, then I'll take that number. And especially our

1230
01:01:31,680 --> 01:01:34,600
Speaker 1: contest jaff it's three, I would definitely take it. But

1231
01:01:35,040 --> 01:01:36,880
Speaker 1: I just hate when we do our contests and say

1232
01:01:36,880 --> 01:01:39,360
Speaker 1: we do go four and now I hate that weight

1233
01:01:39,520 --> 01:01:42,160
Speaker 1: that weighs the money night thing. It's truly the fucking worst.

1234
01:01:42,160 --> 01:01:44,240
Speaker 1: So that's that's the only reason I I right now

1235
01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:46,760
Speaker 1: is say I probably wouldn't, but I just want people

1236
01:01:46,800 --> 01:01:48,120
Speaker 1: to know I am gonna bet the Rams. I am

1237
01:01:48,120 --> 01:01:50,640
Speaker 1: gonna take their money line. That's when we make mistakes,

1238
01:01:50,880 --> 01:01:53,680
Speaker 1: We get caught up in the emotional decisions, don't make

1239
01:01:53,680 --> 01:01:56,479
Speaker 1: the right decisions. So we need to suffer a little

1240
01:01:56,480 --> 01:01:58,680
Speaker 1: bit on Monday. But you know what, it also is

1241
01:01:58,760 --> 01:02:01,600
Speaker 1: something to look forward to. Think about it as an

1242
01:02:01,600 --> 01:02:04,400
Speaker 1: opportunity for us. Right I'm putting the Rams down on

1243
01:02:04,440 --> 01:02:08,440
Speaker 1: our list right now, our foxhole is Ravens plus three

1244
01:02:08,480 --> 01:02:12,920
Speaker 1: and a half. Simon says, Steelers minus three exact decision

1245
01:02:13,080 --> 01:02:16,160
Speaker 1: Jack's plus six and a half. We are keeping an

1246
01:02:16,160 --> 01:02:19,440
Speaker 1: eye on those three teams. Ravens three and a half,

1247
01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:22,440
Speaker 1: Steelers minus three, Jacks plus six and a half for

1248
01:02:22,520 --> 01:02:26,440
Speaker 1: three of our faiths for five. Texas plus five is

1249
01:02:26,440 --> 01:02:29,360
Speaker 1: on the list. And then we are keep we are watching,

1250
01:02:29,760 --> 01:02:33,560
Speaker 1: we are watching as candidates. I put it on this

1251
01:02:33,600 --> 01:02:37,120
Speaker 1: list Commanders plus three and a half, Falcon's plus two,

1252
01:02:37,160 --> 01:02:41,600
Speaker 1: Detroit minus four and a half, Panthers minus two and

1253
01:02:41,600 --> 01:02:44,280
Speaker 1: a half, Broncos plus two and a half, nine uh

1254
01:02:44,440 --> 01:02:46,800
Speaker 1: and Rams plus two and a half. Not a lot

1255
01:02:46,840 --> 01:02:50,000
Speaker 1: of games that we feel strongly about from that list,

1256
01:02:50,040 --> 01:02:52,360
Speaker 1: So we'll have to see if some news comes out

1257
01:02:52,440 --> 01:02:55,160
Speaker 1: or anything else. All the lines, Brother, they're like two

1258
01:02:55,200 --> 01:03:06,280
Speaker 1: two and a half, three survivor. It feels like we

1259
01:03:06,320 --> 01:03:09,640
Speaker 1: only have one choice, and that being Green Bay. Yeah. Well,

1260
01:03:09,640 --> 01:03:12,840
Speaker 1: obviously we'll talk about it again on our next show,

1261
01:03:12,920 --> 01:03:15,240
Speaker 1: but you gotta get it in now. How can you

1262
01:03:15,240 --> 01:03:17,960
Speaker 1: not go Green Bay in this position at home against

1263
01:03:18,000 --> 01:03:21,080
Speaker 1: his Patriots team that you know, I get they're gonna

1264
01:03:21,080 --> 01:03:23,320
Speaker 1: be desperate, but they just don't have the skills to

1265
01:03:23,440 --> 01:03:25,600
Speaker 1: really make you worry in this game. And the fact

1266
01:03:25,600 --> 01:03:28,439
Speaker 1: that it's the biggest spread by far this week. It's

1267
01:03:28,440 --> 01:03:30,080
Speaker 1: hard to pass on the screen Bay in this position

1268
01:03:30,080 --> 01:03:32,720
Speaker 1: because again, their their division is good, like maybe you

1269
01:03:32,720 --> 01:03:35,480
Speaker 1: already use them against the Bears. So I don't know

1270
01:03:35,480 --> 01:03:37,240
Speaker 1: who you'd want to go for the second team, because

1271
01:03:37,560 --> 01:03:40,160
Speaker 1: I just have nothing else that really jumps out, Like

1272
01:03:40,240 --> 01:03:42,600
Speaker 1: you could go Giants at home against the Bears. That

1273
01:03:42,680 --> 01:03:46,360
Speaker 1: feels very risky. Could go Bengals if you didn't use

1274
01:03:46,400 --> 01:03:48,320
Speaker 1: them with us last week against the Dolphins again, that

1275
01:03:48,320 --> 01:03:51,720
Speaker 1: feels risky. So to me, the biggest spread, the safest

1276
01:03:51,840 --> 01:03:55,240
Speaker 1: one this week is Green Bay. It's so hard because

1277
01:03:55,280 --> 01:03:57,880
Speaker 1: that's when you fall into the trap right every time.

1278
01:03:58,200 --> 01:04:04,520
Speaker 1: This past week, Wills, Chiefs, and Chargers were all all

1279
01:04:04,600 --> 01:04:08,760
Speaker 1: open to seven point favorites. Yeah, and like again, that's

1280
01:04:09,480 --> 01:04:11,760
Speaker 1: that's the hardest part by doing this, and like people

1281
01:04:11,760 --> 01:04:14,160
Speaker 1: that took the Vikings, we got lucky. Like that was

1282
01:04:14,760 --> 01:04:16,600
Speaker 1: they missed the field goal. They could have gone for

1283
01:04:16,600 --> 01:04:18,280
Speaker 1: it all fourth down. That game was probably gonna be

1284
01:04:18,280 --> 01:04:21,120
Speaker 1: over for Detroit. That's kind of how you live and

1285
01:04:21,160 --> 01:04:24,000
Speaker 1: die with these survivor pools. It's just survive in advance.

1286
01:04:24,080 --> 01:04:27,600
Speaker 1: So I'll play Chalky this week because nothing really jumps out,

1287
01:04:27,640 --> 01:04:29,320
Speaker 1: like I just don't want to do the Chargers with

1288
01:04:29,440 --> 01:04:32,600
Speaker 1: it banged up Herbert against the Texans. I'm gonna go

1289
01:04:32,640 --> 01:04:37,120
Speaker 1: with Green Bay here, all right, that's all we got

1290
01:04:37,160 --> 01:04:39,560
Speaker 1: for this show. We will be back later in the week.

1291
01:04:39,600 --> 01:04:41,400
Speaker 1: We'll try to nail down our faith five will bring

1292
01:04:41,440 --> 01:04:47,479
Speaker 1: back the big balls. Better the week for Simon Hunter,

1293
01:04:47,600 --> 01:04:52,120
Speaker 1: for Matt Mitchell, I am Chad Millman. Download the favorite

1294
01:04:52,200 --> 01:04:56,960
Speaker 1: podcast from Apple, from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts.

1295
01:04:57,160 --> 01:05:01,400
Speaker 1: Leave us five stars, rate review, subscribe, say whatever you want.

1296
01:05:01,520 --> 01:05:04,360
Speaker 1: Feedback is a gift. Until next time, I Love you,

1297
01:05:05,840 --> 01:05:09,920
Speaker 1: hm hmm