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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Deal Juice podcast. My name is Matt Peroalt. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: Every morning we are here bettingpros dot com to find

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Speaker 2: the podcast if you don't find it on YouTube or

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Speaker 2: wherever you get your audio podcasts. They offer ten dollars

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Speaker 2: to win. One hundred and fifty dollars is being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by bet MGM. When you are a new user.

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Speaker 2: Use the promo code Juice one fifty at BETMGM betemgm

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Speaker 2: dot com. Okay, so it's a one in one night.

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Speaker 2: Steph Curry, I'm gonna call the Steph Curry lost a

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Speaker 2: bad beat. Here's why. Steph Curry went six to seventeen

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Speaker 2: from behind the three point line. But that's not why it.

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Speaker 1: Was a bad beat.

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Speaker 2: It was a bad beat because Steph Curry had at

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Speaker 2: six may threes going into the fourth quarter. He played

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Speaker 2: the entire or most of the fourth quarter and did

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Speaker 2: not shoot, did not hit one three. He attempted two

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Speaker 2: threes I believe in the fourth quarter. So unfortunately, the

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Speaker 2: Warrior is gonna win. So we are well on our

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Speaker 2: way to cashing that over forty seven and a half

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Speaker 2: win bet for the Warriors. But e over six and

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Speaker 2: a half does not come in. He gets to six.

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Speaker 2: Now if you bet that late interesting movement with that.

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Speaker 2: So the line opened at six and a half minus

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Speaker 2: one twenty. The pros came in and beet it down

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Speaker 2: to five and a half. Then they came in. Other

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Speaker 2: pros came in and bet it over five and a half.

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Speaker 2: So it was interesting where you got. The number mattered

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Speaker 2: if you got over, and it was plus money five

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Speaker 2: and a half plus money, I said on the discord channel.

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Speaker 1: I was like, yeah, get in on that. That's that's great.

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Speaker 2: So for a lot of you, you cash that bet

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Speaker 2: with plus money last night. For me, the hook gets

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Speaker 2: me unfortunately, and yeah kind of stinks.

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Speaker 1: There we go.

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Speaker 2: So we go one in one Wisconsin with a miracle

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Speaker 2: for us in college basketball, they were down seven with

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Speaker 2: like four to play and they came back to cover

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Speaker 2: win by five and cover the three and a half

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Speaker 2: point line for us. Remember that when we're crying about

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Speaker 2: bad beats, because that's a very fortuitous one in one

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Speaker 2: night could have been an zero to two night easy.

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Speaker 2: So one in one night down like point zero nine.

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Speaker 2: Whatever it is. The juice took nothing for last night,

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Speaker 2: so pretty much a wash of a night heading into

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Speaker 2: Thursday night football.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so let's get to the bets here.

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Speaker 2: Okay, I got two college basketball in one NFL bet

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Speaker 2: to give you. However, here's what I am doing. I

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Speaker 2: am going to wait before we bet the Vikings and

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Speaker 2: the Steelers coming up here. Tonight, the line opened up

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Speaker 2: at three and a half and the professionals came in.

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Speaker 2: They bet plus three and a half. Because it's Mike

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Speaker 2: Tomlin catching points on the road. He's very good at

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Speaker 2: this situation where he rallies. The Vikings are playing without

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Speaker 2: Adam Thielen, but they'll have Justin Jefferson, not gonna have

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Speaker 2: Dalvin Cook. It's a primetime game for Kirk Cousins.

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Speaker 1: TJ.

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Speaker 2: Watt's going to be playing. This is what I want.

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Speaker 2: I want three and a half. The current line is

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Speaker 2: minus three minus one twenty, so I think we're gonna

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Speaker 2: get back off of three. I think the public's gonna

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Speaker 2: bet the Vikings enough or enough money will come in

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Speaker 2: on the Vikings to get us back to three and

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Speaker 2: a half, and then I'll take the Steelers at plus

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Speaker 2: three and a half, okay, But if it stays at

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Speaker 2: three and doesn't move or goes down below three to

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Speaker 2: the Vikings minus two and a half, I very well

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Speaker 2: make Cam come in and bet the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know what I'm doing yet exactly on

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Speaker 2: this game, because I do think at three and a

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Speaker 2: half because the Vikings play every game tight, Every game

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Speaker 2: comes down to a field goal.

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Speaker 1: Basically for the Vikings.

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Speaker 2: It's a you know, one score game every time, and

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Speaker 2: I do think it's going to be a very tight game.

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Speaker 2: You know, Steelers win against the Ravens last week, Ravens

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Speaker 2: go for two. You know they could have lost the game,

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Speaker 2: but you know the Steelers were at home catching four

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Speaker 2: and a half four points in that game. They win

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Speaker 2: the game outright here they're catching three three and a

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Speaker 2: half half points, but on the road this time, not

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Speaker 2: at home, not a divisional game against a Vikings team.

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Speaker 2: In Mike Zimmer that, I think they're reeling off of

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Speaker 2: the loss to the Lions. Where are they psychologically, where

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Speaker 2: are they health wise? Feelings out? Like I mentioned, you

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Speaker 2: do have Jefferson, but again, Kirk Cousins in primetime, yikes

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Speaker 2: against that defense getting after him again if we get

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Speaker 2: three and a half. I'm not gonna make a bet

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Speaker 2: yet until we get closer to the game here, Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is one of those games on a Thursday night.

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Speaker 2: I think line movement matters. I think where the money

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Speaker 2: comes in matters. I'm gonna wait all the way till

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Speaker 2: we get right before kickoff. So on the Discord channel,

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Speaker 2: bettingpros dot com s last Chat, or.

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Speaker 1: Or you can go underneath you Stars. My phone was

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Speaker 1: ringing while I was doing this.

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Speaker 2: Sorry, underneath me here on YouTube for the link to

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Speaker 2: get into the Discord channel to come in and be

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Speaker 2: a part of this. So we will see where we're

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Speaker 2: going to go with this coming up. I don't exactly

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Speaker 2: know yet where I am going for this. I am

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Speaker 2: leaning heavily towards Steelers plus three and a half, but

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Speaker 2: I gotta get it. I'm not gonna buy it. I'm

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Speaker 2: not buying it. It's minus one thirty five at most books.

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Speaker 2: To get it off of three, it's the most expensive

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Speaker 2: thing to do in the sports book is to move

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Speaker 2: it to buy it up from three to three and

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Speaker 2: a half. I'm just not interested in doing that at

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Speaker 2: the moment. So yeah, that is my opportunity here for that.

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Speaker 2: So we'll jump in for that later on today. Okay,

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Speaker 2: later on today for one unit, we'll have a play

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Speaker 2: hopefully Steelers plus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: That probably, but it's got to get there.

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Speaker 2: If it doesn't get there, I got to think about it,

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Speaker 2: because again, if it goes under two and a half,

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Speaker 2: very I may be comfortable taking the Vikings minus three

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Speaker 2: at home. So we'll kind of wait and see how

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Speaker 2: this whole thing plays out. Okay, so let's get to

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Speaker 2: a couple of college basketball plays, because that's obviously the play.

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Speaker 1: Here for football. Will wait.

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Speaker 2: I could have some player props as well, going depending

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Speaker 2: on where we're gonna go here, could have some you know,

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Speaker 2: maybe some we may bet the Roethlisberger, by the way,

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Speaker 2: under half a yard rushing that very well might be

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Speaker 2: a prop bet that we bet just it would be

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Speaker 2: juiced to holy hell.

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Speaker 1: But it's hit.

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Speaker 2: I think I don't know how many consecutive weeks in

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Speaker 2: a row it's hit. He doesn't move, he can't move,

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Speaker 2: So we may have that. So all in the discord

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Speaker 2: channel coming up before kickoff for Vikings Steelers. Okay, let's

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Speaker 2: tell college basketball. Let's first start with Texas at Seaton Hall.

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Speaker 2: This number opened at one, it's now two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Seaton Hall's at home. They're four and three against the number.

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Speaker 2: Texas four and three against the number at home Seaton

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Speaker 2: Hall three and one, Texas zero to one against the spread.

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Speaker 2: On the road, Texas last game out destroyed Texas Pan American.

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Speaker 2: They've played nobody since losing by twelve to Gonzaga, so

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Speaker 2: now they're on the road. They played San Houston State,

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Speaker 2: Cal Baptist, San Jose State Northern Colorado, and then they've

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Speaker 2: taken on one team Gonzaga and they lost by twelve

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Speaker 2: at seven point dogs. On the other side, Seaton Hall

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Speaker 2: has played Michigan, Ohio State, and Cal Okay. They beat

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Speaker 2: Michigan outright on the road as eight point dogs.

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Speaker 1: Huge win.

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Speaker 2: They turned around and they lost to Ohio State by

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Speaker 2: three as two and a half point favorites, and then

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Speaker 2: they won by three over Cal when they were laying

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Speaker 2: twelve Wagner last time out, they were favored by eighteen

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Speaker 2: points and they won the game by twenty two points.

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Speaker 2: Here is and they played a nothing game last time out,

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Speaker 2: won by forty six against a joke team. But this

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Speaker 2: is a team in Seaton Hall where they are physical,

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Speaker 2: they rebound, They are a tough matchup at home. Texas

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Speaker 2: is a bunch of transfers and they're trying to throw

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Speaker 2: Chris Piard's a very good coach, but they're trying to

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Speaker 2: throw it all together. And I just think this game

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Speaker 2: comes down to rebounding. And I just think this game

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Speaker 2: comes down to where Seaton Hall is on the glass,

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Speaker 2: physical basketball. I'm catching two and a half points at

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Speaker 2: home with the more physical team in Seaton Hall and

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Speaker 2: a team that's already been tested against multiple high quality

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Speaker 2: Division one opponents. I don't know if Texas is ready

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Speaker 2: here to walk into this environment as to what they're

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Speaker 2: going to be dealing with, rocking atmosphere Seaton Hall. The

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Speaker 2: Pirates fans are going to be going crazy, and I

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Speaker 2: just think this Seaton Hall team is gritty enough to

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Speaker 2: scrape out potentially an outright win. But I got plus

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Speaker 2: two and a half here with Seaton Hall. I think

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Speaker 2: Texas is going to be a very good team come March.

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Speaker 2: I just don't think they're there just yet. They got

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Speaker 2: to get into conference play and go through the conference battles.

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Speaker 2: This is one of the final non conference games for

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Speaker 2: these teams in the Big Twelve before they wind up

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Speaker 2: going into conference play. Big East is sneaky good this year.

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Speaker 2: Seaton Hall is better than their twenty first ranking. In

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Speaker 2: my opinion, they may be the better team in this game.

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Speaker 2: To be quite honest, it's just forget the little number

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Speaker 2: next to UT's name. Haven't played to anybody. I like

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Speaker 2: Seaton Hall. Give me the home dog plus two and

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Speaker 2: a half Seaton Hall for a half a unit? All right,

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Speaker 2: other half a unit. Let's go to Iowa. Iowa State.

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Speaker 2: This number is up to four and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 2: seeing a lot of pro and movement on this line

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Speaker 2: opened up at three.

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Speaker 1: Now it's four and a half.

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Speaker 2: Iowa State at home in Ames tj Otzilberger, who was

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Speaker 2: here for U and LV. It's why I bet so

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Speaker 2: much last year on UNLV. You guys know, I'm a

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Speaker 2: massive fan of Otzolberger and I've known him for a

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Speaker 2: very long time. Him and our families are our friends.

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Speaker 2: I've known him, my daughter has played with his daughter

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Speaker 2: like I just have a very tight connection. Frean McCaffrey

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Speaker 2: and I do not get along, at least not when

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Speaker 2: when I was covering Iowa and you know, back in

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Speaker 2: my days in Des Moines, not a very big big

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Speaker 2: I'm not a big fan of Fran McCaffrey, to be

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Speaker 2: go honest. Iowa is a team. They're six and three

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Speaker 2: against the number. Iowa State five and three against the number.

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Speaker 2: Iowa State's coming off that monster win against Creighton on

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Speaker 2: the road as five and a half point dogs. They

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Speaker 2: won the game outright by six. This team is undefeated.

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Speaker 2: Iowa State is undefeated. The folks in Ames, the Cyclone

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Speaker 2: fans are going crazy. Iowa has lost back to back games.

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Speaker 2: Lost to Illinois as three and a half point favorites

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Speaker 2: at home. They lost to Purdue on the road as

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Speaker 2: fifteen and a half point favorites. I'm sorry, dogs, they

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Speaker 2: lost by seven. They covered, but they lost back to

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Speaker 2: back outrights. Here comes the Syhawk Trophy game, Here comes

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Speaker 2: the rivalry game. Iowa's two and zero on the road

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Speaker 2: this year against the spread. Iowa State two and three

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Speaker 2: so far this year at home. But this is where

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Speaker 2: you have Hilton magic, all right, This is where Iowa

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Speaker 2: State fans go crazy. The backcourt for Iowa is physical.

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Speaker 2: I think the Hawk guy's much like we're talking about

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Speaker 2: with Seaton Hall. I think Iowa State is just a tougher,

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Speaker 2: more physical team than Iowa And I think Iowa State's

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Speaker 2: gonna win a defensive battle. And I'm catching four and

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Speaker 2: a half points with a home dog in a rivalry game.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you may get five. You make it more

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Speaker 2: than that. Look, Iowa offensively is a very good team.

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Speaker 2: Ninety points a game is third best in the country

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Speaker 2: scoring wise. But Iowa State's gonna take the air out

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Speaker 2: of the Yeah, look, you want to play the under

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Speaker 2: one fifty one, go with the under. Don't hate that.

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Speaker 2: Play the under if you want. I think unders in play.

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Speaker 2: I'm just not betting totals right now. I mean, I've

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Speaker 2: kind of like eighty six myself from doing totals, So

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Speaker 2: I don't mind that sixty points a game given up

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Speaker 2: by Iowa State. They're only scoring seventy five points per game,

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Speaker 2: but they're playing this grinded out style. That's how they're

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Speaker 2: able to win games. They're just being more physical. Okay,

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Speaker 2: you can go on the road to a place, you know,

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Speaker 2: I know, Creighton's very young. It's a huge win. You

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Speaker 2: beat you know, Greg mcdermot's coach, Otzenberger's mentor. Goes there

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Speaker 2: on the road, hostile environment. You know, good Jay's team,

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Speaker 2: the a great Jay's team, but a good Jays team,

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Speaker 2: and they win the game. Huge monster win for Iowa State.

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Speaker 2: There should a lot of toughness, a lot of grit

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Speaker 2: going into this rebounding wise. I just think Iowa State's

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Speaker 2: gonna do the little things here to keep this game close.

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Speaker 2: I think it's a one position game one way or

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Speaker 2: the other. I got four and a half points. Again,

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Speaker 2: I'm taking a home dog half a unit. Iowa State

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Speaker 2: plus four and a half here in the Syhawk game

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Speaker 2: against Iowa should be an awesome game. Kid out, wait

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Speaker 2: to watch this one with Iowa and Iowa State. It's

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Speaker 2: a bummer that's up against football, but two really good

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Speaker 2: college basketball games to get into. I'm taking the points

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Speaker 2: in both of them. I'm taking plus two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Seaton Hall at home against Texas. I'm taking plus four

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Speaker 2: and a half Iowa State at home against Iowa. Now again,

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Speaker 2: we're watching the NFL game, watching the line movement. My

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Speaker 2: first read is over three and a half. It's sorrys

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Speaker 2: plus three and a half for Pittsburgh. Take the Steelers.

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Speaker 2: But we're gonna wait. A couple of player props I'll

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Speaker 2: throw at you as well, coming up in the Discord

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Speaker 2: channel a little bit later on, so we will have

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Speaker 2: more in action, we will have more play. I will

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Speaker 2: give you for sure a bet on Thursday night football

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Speaker 2: leaning plus three and a half right now. If we

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Speaker 2: get it again, we'll bet it for the Steelers. But

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Speaker 2: we're taking two dogs in college basketball here on a Thursday.

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Speaker 2: Minu's Matt Parolti. You follow me on Twitter at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt. Every morning it's the Day the Jews podcast,

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Speaker 2: always being brought.

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Speaker 1: To you by PTMGM Dopping