1 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: Live from the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers Studios. This is Bloomberg 2 00:00:07,240 --> 00:00:10,160 Speaker 1: day Break for Friday, March thirty. First coming up today. 3 00:00:10,480 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 1: For the first time ever, a former US president has 4 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:16,439 Speaker 1: been indicted. Donald Trump could be arraigned on charges as 5 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: early as Tuesday. The former president calls it political persecution 6 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:24,200 Speaker 1: and election interference, and we have complete team coverage. Straight ahead, 7 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: the NYPD searches for those responsible for drugging robbery victims, 8 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:32,360 Speaker 1: plus protesters fact the Tennessee capital after the Nashville school shooting. 9 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:36,160 Speaker 1: I'm Michael barn Far ahead, I'm Dom statown Swards Opening 10 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:38,560 Speaker 1: Day wins with the Meds and Yankees, The Devil stopped 11 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:44,159 Speaker 1: the Rangers. That Nick's play in Cleveland tonight. That's all 12 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:47,600 Speaker 1: straight ahead on Bloomberg day Break, The business news you 13 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:51,160 Speaker 1: need disturn your day, and just one fifteen minute podcast 14 00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 1: each pointing on Apples, Spotify, the Bloomberg Business app and 15 00:00:55,160 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 1: everywhere you get your podcasts. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager 16 00:01:01,640 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 1: and I'm Cameron Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. 17 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 1: It is a historic moment in American politics and law. 18 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 1: For the first time ever, a former US president is 19 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: facing criminal charges. A grand jury in Manhattan is going 20 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 1: ahead with a case against Donald Trump over hush payments 21 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:21,039 Speaker 1: to a porn star during the twenty sixteen campaign. We 22 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 1: have team coverage for you this morning, beginning with Bloomberg 23 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:27,479 Speaker 1: Politics contributor Jeanie she and Zano. She says this will 24 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: add fuel to a twenty twenty four campaign for Trump 25 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: that is already driven by grievance. His message has always 26 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:36,920 Speaker 1: been not just that he's a victim, but that his 27 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 1: supporters are a victim, that this is a witch hunt 28 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:42,559 Speaker 1: not just against him, but of them. And he always says, 29 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:44,759 Speaker 1: if they can do this to me, they'll do this 30 00:01:44,880 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 1: to you. Bloomberg Politics contributor Geanie Sheanzano and former federal 31 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 1: prosecutor Robert Mintz says this is a big political gamble 32 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 1: for Manhattan's District Attorney Alvin Bragg. As a prosecutor, you 33 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: better have all your ducks lined up, all your facts, 34 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 1: all your witnesses that into place before you bring that indictment. 35 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:05,280 Speaker 1: On the other hand, they are racing against the political 36 00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 1: clock because they are not unmindful of the fact that 37 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:10,919 Speaker 1: there is an election coming up. Robert mans with the 38 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 1: law firm McCarter in English. Former President Trump's lawyer says 39 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 1: his client could be arraigned as early as Tuesday. Well, Nathan, 40 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 1: just moments after the news broke, the former president came 41 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 1: out with a statement blasting the indictment, and we get 42 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:27,959 Speaker 1: details from Bloomberg's Jeff Bellinger. The former president came out 43 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 1: swinging when he learned of the indictment. Trump said Manhattan 44 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 1: District Attorney Alvin Bragg is behind a political witch hunt, 45 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:38,800 Speaker 1: and he called the indictment quote political persecution and election 46 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 1: interference at the highest level in history. He went on 47 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 1: to say, quoting again, the American people realize exactly what 48 00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:49,960 Speaker 1: the radical left Democrats are doing here. Trump's attorney says 49 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 1: the former president plans to appear before New York authorities. 50 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 1: He has not been told about the specific charges. Jeff Bellinger, 51 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:00,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg day Break, Thank you, Jeff, And already Mike Pence 52 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:03,080 Speaker 1: is weighing in on the news. The former Vice president 53 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 1: tells CNN he thinks the prosecution of former President Trump 54 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 1: is politically motivated, and Bloomberg's d Baxter continues our team coverage. 55 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: Penn says, Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg ran on prosecuting Donald 56 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 1: Trump and a long time since I was in law school. 57 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 1: But I remember the old saying, you can indict a 58 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 1: ham Sandwich right the threshold. The burden of proof is 59 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: very low. Prosecutors make decisions, discretionary decisions about what they 60 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:29,959 Speaker 1: bring all the time. Pence also says he will decide 61 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 1: on whether to testify on the classified document in January 62 00:03:32,960 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: six investigations in the next few days. In San Francisco, 63 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 1: I'm at Baxter Bloomberg Daybreak, all right, and thanks. So 64 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: we're also getting reaction from Capitol Hill as lawmakers worry 65 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 1: about the potential for violence in the wake of the indictment. 66 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 1: Amy Morris continues our coverage from the Bloomberg ninety nine 67 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 1: one newsroom in Washington. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer is 68 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 1: calling for peace by both Trump's critics and supporters. California 69 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 1: Democratic Congressman Eric Swalwell says the indictment is a somber 70 00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 1: day for a Mary Erica and urged quote, let us 71 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 1: neither celebrate nor destroy Georgia. Republican Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene tweeted, 72 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 1: quote the gloves are off and that Trump is the 73 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 1: only one standing in the way of tyrants. Former House 74 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 1: Speaker Nancy Pelosi says she hopes former President Trump will 75 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:20,480 Speaker 1: peacefully respect the justice system. Current House Speaker Kevin McCarthy tweeted, 76 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: the American people will not tolerate this injustice in Washington. 77 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 1: I'm Amy Morris Bloomberg Day Break. Thank you, Amy. So 78 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: now that this highly anticipated indictment has come down, what 79 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 1: are the next legal steps for the former president? Bloomberg 80 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:36,279 Speaker 1: legal analyst June Grosso has that angle as we continue 81 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 1: our team coverage. In some respects, Trump will be treated 82 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 1: like other high profile defendants. The Manhattan DA's office will 83 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: work out a day and time for his surrender with 84 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:49,120 Speaker 1: his attorneys. Trump will be booked and fingerprinted, and his 85 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 1: mug shot will be taken like any other defendant. He'll 86 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 1: then be escorted to the courtroom for his arraignment. But remember, 87 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,840 Speaker 1: unlike other defendants, Trump will have a secret service can 88 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: tingent with him at all times, and there'll be no 89 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 1: need to discuss bail. Bloomberg's June Grosso reports officials have 90 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:09,479 Speaker 1: been in contact with Trump's attorney to coordinate his surrender 91 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 1: for arraignment. Well, Nathan, this historic case will not be 92 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 1: an easy one for the judge who's eventually assigned to it. 93 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 1: We spoke with former federal prosecutor Michael Zelden. Well, it'll 94 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 1: be a big issue for the judge to make sure 95 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 1: that the jury's selection process is fair to the defendant 96 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:30,040 Speaker 1: and fair to the prosecution, and I expect that'll take 97 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: a long time. Michael Zelden is a former federal prosecutor 98 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,400 Speaker 1: and served as special counselor to Robert Muller at the 99 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: Justice Department. Zelden points out that Shrump's announced run for 100 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:43,240 Speaker 1: president could complicate proceedings in this case. Now, of course, Karen, 101 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:46,480 Speaker 1: this case isn't the only potential legal woe for Donald 102 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:49,800 Speaker 1: Trump Bloomberg. Steve Rappaport joins US Live in New York 103 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 1: with the details on that, Steve, that's right, Nathan and Karen. 104 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 1: The numerous legal actions pending against the former president include 105 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 1: criminal investigations by a prosecutor in Georgia and the Justice 106 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 1: Partment regarding efforts to overturn the twenty twenty election. DJ 107 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:06,159 Speaker 1: is also probing whether Trump broke the law by storing 108 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 1: classified records at his Moralago home. On the civil side, 109 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 1: there's a defamation charge from a woman who claims Trump 110 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 1: raped her, the New York Attorney generals suing Trump and 111 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:17,839 Speaker 1: his company, and lawsuits from Capitol police officers injured in 112 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 1: the January sixth riot. Live in New York. I'm Steve 113 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:27,159 Speaker 1: Rappaport Bloomberg Daybreak. It's thirty nine degrees in New York. 114 00:06:27,160 --> 00:06:29,560 Speaker 1: It's going to turn cloudy today, Showers developing by late 115 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:32,039 Speaker 1: afternoon on a way in your fifty five. Temperatures will 116 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:35,120 Speaker 1: rise overnight as showers continue. Take a look at some 117 00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:37,240 Speaker 1: of the other stories making news in New York and 118 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: around the world. For that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael 119 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 1: bar Good morning, Michael, Good morning, Nathan. The fallout continues 120 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:46,320 Speaker 1: from Russia's detainment of an American journalist. Secretary of State 121 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:49,320 Speaker 1: Anthony B. Lincoln is confirming his office is in touch 122 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 1: with The Wall Street Journal, where American journalist Evan Gerskovich 123 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:57,239 Speaker 1: is employed. Russian authorities detained Gerskovich, accusing him of spying. 124 00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: Why How's Press Secretary Kerin Jean Pierre all the espionage 125 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 1: charges ridiculous. We condemned the detention of mister Gerskovich in 126 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:10,560 Speaker 1: the strongest in the strongest terms. We also condemned the 127 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 1: Russian government's continued targeting and repression of journalists. State Department 128 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 1: officials are now urging US citizens residing or traveling in 129 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 1: Russia to depart immediately, citing numerous safety risks. Authorities are 130 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:27,800 Speaker 1: looking for the people responsible for more than forty druggings 131 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 1: linked to robberies around Manhattan clubs. Seven of the druggings, 132 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 1: dating back to September or twenty twenty one, were fatal. 133 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 1: Prosecutors believe at least six people are connected. So far, 134 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 1: no one has been arrested for the crimes, including second 135 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 1: degree murder. Angry over the deadly schools shooting in Nashville, 136 00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:47,880 Speaker 1: hundreds of protesters packed into the Tennessee capital to demand 137 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:52,040 Speaker 1: action from lawmakers. The demonstrators demanded new gun safety legislation, 138 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 1: including red flag laws and background checks. People are heartbroken 139 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: and angry. The sense of powerlessness is really really strong 140 00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 1: because our legislature generally tries to ignore the stuff, so 141 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:09,160 Speaker 1: we had to get in our faces. Six people, including 142 00:08:09,200 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: three children, were killed in Monday's mass shooting. Officials vowed 143 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:16,239 Speaker 1: to ramp up defense against cyber threats toward the United 144 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:20,239 Speaker 1: States at the Advancing Technology summoned in Washington, Homeland Security 145 00:08:20,280 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 1: Secretary Alejandro Majorcas says, we know we must do more 146 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:28,520 Speaker 1: to protect vulnerable groups. We will extend our ongoing cybersecurity 147 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:33,439 Speaker 1: work to communities at heightened risk of targeting by sophisticated 148 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:38,000 Speaker 1: cyber threat actors. Secretary Mayorcus and other officials say digital 149 00:08:38,120 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 1: repression and manipulation are means for authoritarian governments to manipulate 150 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:47,040 Speaker 1: the information and their citizens. Absorbed Global News twenty four 151 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:49,680 Speaker 1: hours a day, powered by more than twenty seven hundred 152 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:52,400 Speaker 1: journalists and analysts and over one hundred twenty countries. I'm 153 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 1: Michael bar This is Bloomberg, Nathan. Thank you, Michael. Time 154 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 1: now for Bloomberg Sports Update on the morning after predecent 155 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 1: opening Day. John stash Hour, Nathan, It's something that happened 156 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 1: sixty two times last year, and it happened again. Pitches 157 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:10,839 Speaker 1: swing on and hit and are to center field in 158 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 1: d macgoes just Strumpet on the track at the wall. 159 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:19,560 Speaker 1: She is done. Unbelievable. Aaron Judge in his first at 160 00:09:19,679 --> 00:09:23,000 Speaker 1: batt of the year. It's a home run to dead center. 161 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:26,559 Speaker 1: Dude is a judge and blood that's of course. John 162 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:29,920 Speaker 1: stirleing w Fan judgees first swing of the season, Glabor 163 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 1: Torres later a patented Yankee Stadium right field homer. Game 164 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 1: of the man on. Yanks won the opener five to 165 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 1: nothing over the Giants, a game where both teams struck 166 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:41,840 Speaker 1: out sixteen times. Garrett Cole fanned eleven and six innings, 167 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:44,319 Speaker 1: most ever by a Yankee and an opener. Ron Marinaccio 168 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:47,439 Speaker 1: pitched the last two. Anthony Volpe called it the most 169 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:50,240 Speaker 1: fun day of his only twenty one year old life, 170 00:09:50,280 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 1: as the new Yankee shortstop made his big league debut. 171 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:55,599 Speaker 1: Mets in Miami led three nothing sixth inning Mexers Or 172 00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 1: was cruising. The Marlins tied the game of the Mets 173 00:09:57,679 --> 00:09:59,840 Speaker 1: got a two run double in the seventh from Grand 174 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 1: Nimo and won five to three. Shots Or the winner, 175 00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 1: and David Robertson got the save. He's now the closer 176 00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 1: with the season long injury to Edwin Diaz and another 177 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 1: Met injury not nearly as serious, but Justin Verlander begins 178 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:15,240 Speaker 1: the season on the injured list muscles strained near his shoulder. 179 00:10:15,400 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 1: Verlander said if this was the postseason, he would pitch 180 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 1: Julius Randall as the sprained ankle won't play the last 181 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 1: five games of the next regular season, starting tonight in Cleveland, 182 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 1: with almost certainly a playoff preview, as was the game 183 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:29,880 Speaker 1: last night in Newark, Devil's two goals in the first 184 00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:32,360 Speaker 1: period and up for a two one win over the Rangers, 185 00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 1: who just gave twenty three year old Philipedal four year 186 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 1: contract extension. John Stashedward Bloomberg Sports Live from coast to coast, 187 00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:46,920 Speaker 1: from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, d C. 188 00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:51,239 Speaker 1: Nationwide on Sirius XAM, the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg 189 00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:56,840 Speaker 1: dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. 190 00:10:56,920 --> 00:11:00,559 Speaker 1: The twenty twenty four presidential race is now moving into 191 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 1: uncharted territory. For the first time, a former US president, 192 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 1: Donald Trump is facing a criminal indictment. Of course, Trump 193 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:11,720 Speaker 1: is the first president to be impeached twice, and now 194 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:16,760 Speaker 1: this legal issue comes as the former president is seeking 195 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 1: reelection in a campaign already driven by grievance and shadowed 196 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 1: by multiple legal challenges. For more on where this goes 197 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:26,599 Speaker 1: from here and the impact on the campaigns, where you 198 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:29,960 Speaker 1: are joined by a couple top Washington analysts, Terry Haynes 199 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:33,200 Speaker 1: the founder of Pangaea Policy and Greg Valier, chief US 200 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 1: policy strategist at AGF Investments. Gentlemen, it's good to speak 201 00:11:37,400 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 1: with you both. I'll start with you, Terry, to get 202 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:43,160 Speaker 1: your reaction to this indictment and what it means for 203 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:50,320 Speaker 1: the presidential race. Good morning, Nathan. Three points at the top. First, 204 00:11:51,080 --> 00:11:53,600 Speaker 1: I think this is sad for the country, which deserves 205 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:57,920 Speaker 1: a lot better than endless bread and circuses. But both 206 00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:01,560 Speaker 1: Trump is providing and in this case, legal profession is providing. 207 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 1: You can't have bread and circass without but without bakers 208 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:09,000 Speaker 1: and cooks, so let's not forget that. Secondly, sad for 209 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:11,320 Speaker 1: the legal profession. I mean what you've got here is 210 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,959 Speaker 1: I think politicized justice with a fairly weak case. That's 211 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 1: not good for the how the legal profession is viewed 212 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:22,040 Speaker 1: in the country. Finally, I'll say it's non consensus on 213 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:28,680 Speaker 1: the politics. I think the conventional wisdom is that the 214 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:31,839 Speaker 1: strengthens Trump in primaries makes it weaker with Biden and 215 00:12:31,920 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: all the rest. I think it's likelier to cause more 216 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 1: Trump fatigue, and since Trump fatigue is a key part 217 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:41,240 Speaker 1: of the Santus's pitch, I think it's likelier to help 218 00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:45,320 Speaker 1: the Santus. Finally, it's you know, the country sees straight 219 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:49,959 Speaker 1: through this as politicized. Sixty percent is politically motivated in 220 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:53,440 Speaker 1: sixty seven percent think Trump's payment was a personal expense. 221 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:58,160 Speaker 1: So yeah, this may play well in Manhattan, it doesn't 222 00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:00,560 Speaker 1: play well in the country, and it's not good for 223 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 1: the country. Greg, is that how you see it as well? 224 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:08,480 Speaker 1: Is that possible that we could see Trump weekend by 225 00:13:08,520 --> 00:13:13,079 Speaker 1: this indictment In the longer term, Well, good morning. I'm 226 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:16,000 Speaker 1: struck by how much we don't know yet. We don't 227 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:19,720 Speaker 1: know what's in the sealed document. Is it's just hush money? 228 00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:22,400 Speaker 1: Is it obstruction of justice? So there's a lot more 229 00:13:22,440 --> 00:13:25,800 Speaker 1: to come out, And I'd say the big takeaway from 230 00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 1: me is that this is just the ordure. This is 231 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:32,680 Speaker 1: just the beginning of these cases. There's a very strong case, 232 00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:37,200 Speaker 1: I think in Georgia of Trump trying to obstruct and 233 00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:41,280 Speaker 1: deny the election result there. I think there's obviously a 234 00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:47,200 Speaker 1: case involved with January sixth, what did Trump do? And finally, 235 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:50,160 Speaker 1: I think that the whole issue of the top secret 236 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 1: documents that wound up in Marlago who could lead to 237 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:56,200 Speaker 1: an indictment as well. So this is just the beginning. 238 00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 1: There's a long process to go. Yeah. I do want 239 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 1: to get to more on those cases as well, but 240 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:06,280 Speaker 1: we've already gotten a reaction as statement from the former 241 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: president when it comes to this looming indictment. He's calling 242 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:14,480 Speaker 1: it political persecution and election interference at the highest level 243 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:18,240 Speaker 1: in American history. That's part of a lengthy statement that 244 00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:20,400 Speaker 1: he put out last night, and we talked about it 245 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 1: earlier with Bloomberg Politics contributor Jeanie she and Zano about 246 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:28,520 Speaker 1: how former President Trump might try to capitalize on this 247 00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 1: particular indictment. Here's what Genie had to say. He is 248 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:34,920 Speaker 1: going to use it, he says, to make the case 249 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 1: that he is the victim of political persecution, the victim 250 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:42,280 Speaker 1: of election interference, that this has been a plan by Democrats, 251 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 1: and he uses these sort of tropes that he talks 252 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 1: about in these statements about Alvin Bragg, the Manhattan DIA 253 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 1: and others that are xenophobic and racist. He's used them 254 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 1: and tried to use them to his advantage. And of course, 255 00:14:55,960 --> 00:14:58,040 Speaker 1: his numbers, by the way, in the last month have 256 00:14:58,240 --> 00:15:02,240 Speaker 1: double digit gone up. Yeah, until your point, Terry, you 257 00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:04,760 Speaker 1: are saying that this is sort of a non consensus 258 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:09,080 Speaker 1: view that this weekends Trump longer term. But what about that? 259 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 1: I mean, he has in the past been able to 260 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:16,760 Speaker 1: galvanize his base, particularly when he's been able to sort 261 00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 1: of grab onto these grievance issues and use them to 262 00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:25,520 Speaker 1: his advantage. Now that's absolutely so. You know, people forget 263 00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:28,600 Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen that Trump had a kind of a 264 00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:31,240 Speaker 1: nugget of a base of about thirty or forty percent, 265 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 1: and then you know, and ended up being coming the 266 00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 1: nominee in part because there were so many other nominees 267 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 1: carving up the sixty to seventy percent majority. So that's 268 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 1: that's certainly still possible. My only comment is that twenty 269 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 1: sixteen in twenty twenty four, two very different situations here, 270 00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 1: and there's always going to be a nugget of support 271 00:15:56,320 --> 00:16:00,320 Speaker 1: for Trump. The bigger question doesn't have much to do 272 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:03,400 Speaker 1: with these prosecutions, and you know, and you know, the 273 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 1: prosecution frankly validates the Trump's point of view. So I think, unfortunately, 274 00:16:09,520 --> 00:16:12,960 Speaker 1: so there we are. But you know, twenty twenty four, 275 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:17,520 Speaker 1: there's there's a rising there's also a rising feeling in 276 00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:20,920 Speaker 1: the party number one, and there's a rising feeling among 277 00:16:21,000 --> 00:16:25,640 Speaker 1: the swing voters that tend to determine presidential elections, that 278 00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:29,960 Speaker 1: there's a very substantial case of enough is enough, you know, regardless. 279 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 1: You know, we've seen the act before, we've been living 280 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:36,080 Speaker 1: it for the past eight or nine years, and enough already. 281 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:41,000 Speaker 1: And my view is very simply that everybody focuses on 282 00:16:41,040 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 1: the Trump base and they're not thinking enough about the 283 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 1: enough already folks, which are much more numerous. Really curious 284 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:51,120 Speaker 1: to hear what you think, Greg about the idea of 285 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 1: enough already voters being out there. It seems like views 286 00:16:56,080 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 1: on the former president have pretty much calcified for a 287 00:16:59,520 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 1: lot of people. Well, are there many swing voters left 288 00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:06,000 Speaker 1: when it comes to former President Trump? I think there 289 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:08,760 Speaker 1: was some that can be moved. Nathan, Just to follow 290 00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 1: up on what Terry said, enough is enough? I wonder 291 00:17:12,040 --> 00:17:14,719 Speaker 1: what Mitch McConnell is thinking this morning. I mean, he 292 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:19,400 Speaker 1: was looking at an election that would revolve around issues 293 00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 1: that would help the Republicans, the uncertainty over the economy, 294 00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 1: crime problems at the border, with the illegal immigration. The 295 00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:31,200 Speaker 1: Republicans have a long list of issues that I think 296 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:35,040 Speaker 1: are quite potent, but they're going to get bogged down 297 00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:39,600 Speaker 1: once again on Donald Trump, And there was a Pavlovian 298 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 1: reaction yesterday from Kevin McCarthy and all the Republicans rushing 299 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:48,560 Speaker 1: to Trump's defense after the second or third indictment. With 300 00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 1: these other cases that loom, I think a lot of 301 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:56,000 Speaker 1: Republicans may have to regret all of the wonderful things 302 00:17:56,040 --> 00:18:00,520 Speaker 1: they said about Donald Trump last night. The reason interesting 303 00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:03,600 Speaker 1: point there, and I think back to after the second 304 00:18:03,600 --> 00:18:08,000 Speaker 1: impeachment when Senator McConnell came to the Senate floor to 305 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 1: explain his vote to acquit the now former president, saying 306 00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 1: that he could face potential prosecution over some of these 307 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:22,639 Speaker 1: issues as a private citizen. Terry, what about some of 308 00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:27,159 Speaker 1: these other cases that are coming over the president? Now? 309 00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:30,440 Speaker 1: We are getting closer to a twenty twenty four race 310 00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:34,439 Speaker 1: where it might get more difficult to pursue some of 311 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:40,439 Speaker 1: these pretty heavy cases against the former president, couldn't it? Yeah? Absolutely, 312 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:43,720 Speaker 1: you know, and those cases are not without peril for 313 00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:49,040 Speaker 1: Democrats as well. You have, in addition to the New 314 00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:52,200 Speaker 1: York case, you've got this Georgia election case where the 315 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:56,439 Speaker 1: law may be stronger, but I think I think the 316 00:18:56,520 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 1: facts are relatively weak, and you know, that'll take some 317 00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:03,080 Speaker 1: time time to get moving. And finally you have the 318 00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:11,080 Speaker 1: whole Marilago documents issue, and that looked that looked one 319 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:14,480 Speaker 1: way in October and looked another way in November after 320 00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:18,320 Speaker 1: we find after we found out that President Biden had 321 00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 1: a generally similar issue withholding documents. And you can you 322 00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:29,000 Speaker 1: can slice and dice the differences between those all day, 323 00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:31,639 Speaker 1: but in the end, what you're going to have as 324 00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:35,000 Speaker 1: a Justice Department saying, look, we have to be real short, 325 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:39,639 Speaker 1: it has to be you know, real big, and you know, 326 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:41,560 Speaker 1: I think they'll faff around with that for quite a 327 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:44,160 Speaker 1: bit and then figure out that they might not want 328 00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:47,720 Speaker 1: to pursue that, not only because the law isn't there. 329 00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 1: Excuse me, the law and the facts aren't there, that 330 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:53,720 Speaker 1: because it will also make the Justice Department itself look 331 00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:57,480 Speaker 1: very politicized. So you know, I think we've got in 332 00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:02,119 Speaker 1: the end with these prosecutions. As much as anti Trump 333 00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 1: people are salivating this morning, I think we've got a 334 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 1: lot more sizzled than stake. We're speaking with Terry Haynes, 335 00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:11,679 Speaker 1: the founder of Pangaea Policy by phone, joining us on 336 00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:14,919 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Daybreak, and Greg Valier, at Chief US policy strategist 337 00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:20,320 Speaker 1: for AGF investments with us via zoom. Greg, I want 338 00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:24,400 Speaker 1: to ask you about how this could potentially affect policy 339 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:27,440 Speaker 1: making in Washington. We have gotten a lot of reaction, 340 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,880 Speaker 1: as we would come to expect from lawmakers on Capitol 341 00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:35,200 Speaker 1: Hill in terms of the politics of this case against 342 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:38,399 Speaker 1: former President Trump. But as you mentioned, we have a 343 00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:41,320 Speaker 1: debt ceiling fight to come, we have fights over spending 344 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 1: to come, and a very divided government, very different points 345 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:49,919 Speaker 1: of view between Republicans and President Biden. When you have 346 00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:54,199 Speaker 1: former president facing a criminal prosecution, does that put some 347 00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 1: of those policy issues, things that need to get done 348 00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:01,760 Speaker 1: in Washington on hold. Well, I'm not sure we could 349 00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:05,439 Speaker 1: get any more polarized than we already are. So I 350 00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:08,680 Speaker 1: don't know that this makes, for example, getting a death 351 00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:13,960 Speaker 1: ceiling deal easier or tougher, because that's still going to dominate. 352 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 1: Let me make this point, Nathan, for the markets, and 353 00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,240 Speaker 1: we talk to a lot of people, all three of 354 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:22,080 Speaker 1: us in the markets. I think for the markets, this 355 00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:25,679 Speaker 1: is not a big deal. Futures are up this morning. 356 00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:28,440 Speaker 1: The big story for the markets today is not Donald Trump. 357 00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:32,399 Speaker 1: It's that we get the Personal Consumption Expenditure Rounder and 358 00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:35,240 Speaker 1: we get to see what the inflation data is the 359 00:21:35,280 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 1: FED pays a lot of attention to that number. So 360 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 1: in many respects, the markets will just go on looking 361 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:45,240 Speaker 1: at economic data, looking at earnings. This story will not 362 00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:48,640 Speaker 1: have a big impact. However, You've got to say from 363 00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:53,800 Speaker 1: a political standpoint, it does complicate things here in Washington. Yeah. Absolutely, 364 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:56,760 Speaker 1: And Terry, what do you think can government walk and 365 00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 1: chew gum at the same time when it comes to 366 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:03,159 Speaker 1: dealing with the politics of a prosecution against the former 367 00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 1: president and getting policy done in Washington? The reaction from 368 00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:11,520 Speaker 1: Republicans will be that it's more important than ever to 369 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,359 Speaker 1: walk in chew gum at the same time. Uh. You know, 370 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:17,840 Speaker 1: they had they had a good week politically with the 371 00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:21,120 Speaker 1: with the energy bill for example. They had a good 372 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:28,240 Speaker 1: week both Democrats and Republicans on the banking scandal hearings, 373 00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 1: which I think actually marginally helped markets in a lot 374 00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:36,720 Speaker 1: of different ways by showing people that drawing lines under 375 00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 1: the idea that this is not a systemic event. Uh. 376 00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:43,880 Speaker 1: And they will want to continue to push on that, 377 00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:47,360 Speaker 1: and they will want to continue to carve out identity. Frankly, 378 00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 1: that is that's very distinct from Trump. You know, the 379 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:57,760 Speaker 1: people on Washington, people in New York. The national types, Uh, 380 00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 1: always think about election through a national prison, when in fact, 381 00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:07,520 Speaker 1: you know, these people represent states and districts, and it's 382 00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,760 Speaker 1: important to them to have a record for their state 383 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:14,119 Speaker 1: district to talk about and to go back on. They 384 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:17,480 Speaker 1: got elected on something they've been pushing up to depth 385 00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:21,440 Speaker 1: on today, saying that they want to accomplish certain things. 386 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,360 Speaker 1: They'll build double down and want to accomplish those even more. 387 00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,800 Speaker 1: They do not want to have their political fates tied 388 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,480 Speaker 1: to Trump one way or the other. Greg, How does 389 00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 1: this affect President Biden's political fate. We're still waiting for 390 00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:37,359 Speaker 1: him to make the formal announcement that he's running for reelection. 391 00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 1: You have to imagine that the White House is going 392 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:44,760 Speaker 1: to face questions about the former president's indictment. How does 393 00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:48,719 Speaker 1: President Biden deal with this? It's a really good question. 394 00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,800 Speaker 1: I think that he will stay fairly subdued on this, 395 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:56,280 Speaker 1: You won't pile on. I think that, yeah, he probably 396 00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:58,360 Speaker 1: feels that he has to run for a second term 397 00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:02,119 Speaker 1: because there's no logical sussessor in the Democratic Party and 398 00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:06,400 Speaker 1: that he's got to run. So I think that Biden 399 00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 1: will wait as long as possible before announcing he will 400 00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:13,840 Speaker 1: focus on issues. But my sense is that they're not 401 00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:18,400 Speaker 1: going to go after Trump super aggressively. What's the all saying? 402 00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,120 Speaker 1: If your enemy is self destructing, you know, there's no 403 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,080 Speaker 1: need to pile on right now? Do you agree with that, Terry? 404 00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:26,879 Speaker 1: And what as well? What does this mean for potential 405 00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:30,639 Speaker 1: Republican contenders against former President Trump? Are waiting for a 406 00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:34,800 Speaker 1: number of them to make their announcements as well. Sure, 407 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:38,280 Speaker 1: I think I think Grigg's right that the White House 408 00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:44,879 Speaker 1: itself remains subdued. But you know, they democrats, generally national democrats, 409 00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:48,639 Speaker 1: think they're getting the scenario they want. Remember the great 410 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:53,160 Speaker 1: uh you know, remember there was a great Ala Obrook 411 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,200 Speaker 1: line and all the presidents meant and I'm not drawing 412 00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 1: water date comparisons here, but you know, like you know, 413 00:24:57,880 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 1: they wanted against you know, they wanted to run against 414 00:24:59,920 --> 00:25:01,879 Speaker 1: me governed. Look, or they're running against you know, like 415 00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:03,920 Speaker 1: they want to run against Trump, look or they're running 416 00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 1: against and uh, and you're in a situation where, uh, 417 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:11,120 Speaker 1: you know, they want the situation where you know, as 418 00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:16,000 Speaker 1: Biden's talking points are always maga Republicans, Maga Republicans, they 419 00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:18,520 Speaker 1: want the situation where they can say for the next 420 00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:21,240 Speaker 1: two years it's me or or it's me or or 421 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:24,760 Speaker 1: you know, bad Orange Man, and uh, you know they 422 00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:27,919 Speaker 1: think today they're getting that. This is frankly one reason 423 00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:32,080 Speaker 1: why I point out that the alternative, the DeSantis business, 424 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 1: where Trump fatigue kicks in, I think is actually the 425 00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 1: more likely scenario. Yeah Terry Hayes, the founder of Yeah 426 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 1: Greg Real quickly, real quick point. If Trump is weakened 427 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:47,200 Speaker 1: and DeSantis hasn't done that well lately, there is still 428 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:50,960 Speaker 1: another avenue for one more candidate. I think that other 429 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:54,920 Speaker 1: candidate is going to be blend yuncan. This is Bloomberg 430 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:58,200 Speaker 1: Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the stories making news 431 00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:01,440 Speaker 1: from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 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