WEBVTT - Santander’s Ana Botín, Reality of Quantum Computing, Netherlands Pension Reform, Data Center Win-Win

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<v Speaker 1>This is Wall Street Week. I'm David Weston, bringing you

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<v Speaker 1>stories of capitalism playing dice with the universe, the strange

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<v Speaker 1>new world of quantum computing and how it may change

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<v Speaker 1>our lives even more than AI plus, coming to terms

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<v Speaker 1>with growing older and lower interest rates as Western nations

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<v Speaker 1>face growing problems providing for the elderly. We take a

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<v Speaker 1>look at the largest set of pension assets in Europe

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<v Speaker 1>and why the Dutch are changing the way they invest

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<v Speaker 1>those assets and turning concerns about data center energy consumption

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<v Speaker 1>into a way to heat our houses. That's what they're

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<v Speaker 1>doing in Finland. But we start with banking and how

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<v Speaker 1>regulators in Europe and the United States are taking increasingly

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<v Speaker 1>different approaches, creating both opportunities and challenges for Annaboutem, executive

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<v Speaker 1>chairman of Spain's leading bank, Santander Bacos. Santander has had

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<v Speaker 1>a big year. Give us a sense of how big

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<v Speaker 1>a year it's been.

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<v Speaker 2>It's been a great year. Our numbers will be totally

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<v Speaker 2>on track to deliver all the numbers in our three

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<v Speaker 2>year plan, and again in twenty five we're going to

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<v Speaker 2>reach our profitability sixteen and a half percent. And for shareholders,

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<v Speaker 2>you know great value creation, increasing different per share. Our

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<v Speaker 2>share price is up one hundred percent, but there's still

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of inherent value in our stock. Our multiples

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<v Speaker 2>are still very attractive compared to US banks. For example,

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<v Speaker 2>we're training a bit under ten times price earnings, and

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<v Speaker 2>we deserve a premium to Europe and I would say

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<v Speaker 2>even to the US banks because our profitability is getting

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<v Speaker 2>better and we have growth.

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<v Speaker 1>What were the main drivers of the success you've had

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<v Speaker 1>this year?

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<v Speaker 2>So I say it's an overnight success, ten years in

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<v Speaker 2>the making. So since I took over inherited a group

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<v Speaker 2>of banks, it was a big bank, but many different geographies,

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<v Speaker 2>different business models, very disconnected and the whole vision is

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<v Speaker 2>to bring them all together and they are a single,

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<v Speaker 2>open financial services platform and that's what we have been

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<v Speaker 2>working on. So this year, every single one of our

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<v Speaker 2>five businesses is growing. We have simplified the organization. We

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<v Speaker 2>sold Poland we bought in the UK, so UK business

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<v Speaker 2>now is at scale and this is really the opportunity.

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<v Speaker 2>At Santandre we have profitable growth for many years.

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<v Speaker 1>Organically sometime there succeeded in selling half of its Polish

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<v Speaker 1>unit this year, while other European banks, including UniCredit and

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<v Speaker 1>BBVA had a tough time getting deals done. As you say,

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<v Speaker 1>you sold Poland, you bought in the UK. There were

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<v Speaker 1>other banks in Europe that tried to do transactions this

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<v Speaker 1>year that didn't go so well. How come you got

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<v Speaker 1>it done well? Y?

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<v Speaker 2>You know, the stale of Poland was the largest cross

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<v Speaker 2>border m and A in Europe in a decade. And

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<v Speaker 2>in today's world, where governments defend their countries and you know,

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<v Speaker 2>regulation is what it is, friendly deals are the way

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<v Speaker 2>to go. And so I believe that's a secret.

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<v Speaker 1>As you say, bacosana there as you inherit it is

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<v Speaker 1>pretty far flung. I mean, you've got obviously Spain, you've

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<v Speaker 1>got Europe, You've got UK, you've got US, Mexico, Brazil.

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<v Speaker 1>How much is that helping baccos on there? That diversification.

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<v Speaker 2>So in today's economy, either you're large and you have

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<v Speaker 2>global scale, or you're very specialized and we have the scale.

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<v Speaker 2>We're one of the largest banks in the world by

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<v Speaker 2>number of customers one hundred and eighty million. That's more

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<v Speaker 2>than the number one and number two bank in the

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<v Speaker 2>United States together. We have added sixty million customers in

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<v Speaker 2>the last ten years. And so you know that scale

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<v Speaker 2>t to benefit from that scale, to have the operating leverage,

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<v Speaker 2>you need to work across the company. You cannot just

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<v Speaker 2>work separately by business or by geographies.

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<v Speaker 1>One of your goals has been efficiency increasing the Efficiency Bank.

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<v Speaker 1>How much success have you had, how much further can

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<v Speaker 1>you take it?

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<v Speaker 2>We're only just scratching the surface of our potential as

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<v Speaker 2>a group. We have gravity, our cooperating system. We have

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<v Speaker 2>our payments core system, which is allowing us to reduce

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<v Speaker 2>cost per transaction in the last few years by a third.

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<v Speaker 2>What is now coming is what you as a customer

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<v Speaker 2>are going to see, which is the Open Bank. The

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<v Speaker 2>front end this year will have flat to downcost and

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<v Speaker 2>growing top line and this should continue into the next

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<v Speaker 2>few years. And again organically, you know, we are in

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<v Speaker 2>markets with one point two one point three billion people

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<v Speaker 2>where we are at scale in each one of them,

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<v Speaker 2>and building our own platforms is something that very few banks,

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<v Speaker 2>very few companies have in the world today.

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<v Speaker 1>One of Santantaier's strongest verticals is it's auto business, working

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<v Speaker 1>with dealerships at fourteen thousand points of sale as well

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<v Speaker 1>as through its digital platform Open Bank.

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<v Speaker 2>The last two years delinquencies were very low during COVID

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<v Speaker 2>have normalized, so they have been going up. But our

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<v Speaker 2>final loss rate is actually stable over the last twelve months,

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<v Speaker 2>and consumers are actually you know, getting up to date

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<v Speaker 2>on their loans even though they get a bit behind.

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<v Speaker 2>So the loss rates are stable and we're not seeing

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<v Speaker 2>anything right now that tells us the US consumer on

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<v Speaker 2>average at least is having any issues. It's very solid.

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<v Speaker 1>We see interest rates coming down in Europe. Now what

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<v Speaker 1>does that do to your bank and the banks generally.

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<v Speaker 2>So the way the terminal rate and you know, we

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<v Speaker 2>can have a debate about what that is in Europe

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<v Speaker 2>or in the US, given the size of a level

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<v Speaker 2>of government debt, given demographics, defence, spending, deg organization. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>we don't see that rate being below two percent in Europe,

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<v Speaker 2>probably below three in the United States something like that.

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<v Speaker 2>And that is a very good level for banks because

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<v Speaker 2>it is high enough for us to have a margin,

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<v Speaker 2>but not that high that the credit gets bad. Rates

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<v Speaker 2>are at a level that I think will allow growth

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<v Speaker 2>to remain around three percent globally right now. By the way,

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<v Speaker 2>that's not fast enough, but at least we're growing.

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<v Speaker 1>Regulation maybe one thing holding down growth in Europe. In

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<v Speaker 1>the last six years, the EU has added thirteen thousand

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<v Speaker 1>new banking rules. Well, the US came up with only

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<v Speaker 1>thirty five hundred. Give us your sense of regulation of

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<v Speaker 1>banks in Europe versus the United States.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I think regulation, like life, is all about balance, right,

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<v Speaker 2>and so we do believe in smart regulation. But we've

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<v Speaker 2>gone way too far on certain items like capital. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>soundless of banks doesn't just depend on capital, as we've seen.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, if you look at the capital ratios of

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<v Speaker 2>some of the banks that had problems, sore pretty high.

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<v Speaker 2>And so we think against santandrev look at our CDs,

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<v Speaker 2>it's one of the best in the world, including the

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<v Speaker 2>best banks in the United States. Why because it's about

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<v Speaker 2>a strong balance sheet, liquidity, you know, scale, business model,

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<v Speaker 2>et cetera. So you know, we have gone as far

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<v Speaker 2>as I think we need to go on capital, and

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<v Speaker 2>now we need to be supporting growth.

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<v Speaker 1>Mario Dragging came out with a famous report. What's been

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<v Speaker 1>done with that report?

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<v Speaker 2>So the ambition is very high. Even if you don't

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<v Speaker 2>get to that, you're going to do pretty big things.

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<v Speaker 2>And so this is the thing in Europe. What is

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<v Speaker 2>our ambition for growth. Maria Dragi gave us a diagnosis.

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<v Speaker 2>How much have we executed? Not more than ten percent

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<v Speaker 2>in one year. So we have to have a much

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<v Speaker 2>greater ambition on delivering on those recommendations. I've said it publicly.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, if taxes every euro we make in Europe

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<v Speaker 2>fifty eight cents go to the government, every dollar we

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<v Speaker 2>make in the United States forty two, that's not a

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<v Speaker 2>small number, but it's you know, significantly lower. So excess regulation,

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<v Speaker 2>excess taxation actually is a tax on the economy and growth.

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<v Speaker 2>At some point people don't invest, and so this is

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<v Speaker 2>the balance we need to find. And Europe is getting

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<v Speaker 2>further apart from the United States not coming closer.

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<v Speaker 1>We also have regulation of banks at both the European

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<v Speaker 1>level and member state level. To what extent do member

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<v Speaker 1>state whole things back?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, and there's one thing you didn't mention. So there's

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<v Speaker 2>the regulation, and then that's the level two and three.

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<v Speaker 2>Here in the United States, there's a lot of talk

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<v Speaker 2>about the agencies. Clearly there's work to do in the

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<v Speaker 2>United States. In Europe there's even much more work to do,

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<v Speaker 2>right and I show at a conference on regulation only

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<v Speaker 2>financial services regulation without the rest of the interpretation of

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<v Speaker 2>the rules, which is thousands more ninety seven thousand lines,

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<v Speaker 2>which a hundred don quixotes. You know, I showed it there,

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<v Speaker 2>and so that is a second level. And then the

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<v Speaker 2>third is what you say, which is the national rules

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<v Speaker 2>and regulations.

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<v Speaker 1>How do you decide how to allocate your capital for

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<v Speaker 1>growth and to what extent is it affected by things

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<v Speaker 1>like the relative different in regulatory levels.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, that of course matters a lot, right if other

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<v Speaker 2>things equal, every dollar I put in Europe, you know

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<v Speaker 2>fifty eight of the profit goes to the state and

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<v Speaker 2>forty two in the United States, Well, you know Europe

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<v Speaker 2>is going to have to give me higher growth or

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<v Speaker 2>higher profitability of both for us other things equal to

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<v Speaker 2>go there. So yes, it matters a lot.

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<v Speaker 1>There's innovation and creativity in Europe, entrepreneurship in Europe. Do

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<v Speaker 1>the capital market support it.

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<v Speaker 2>We have been pushing for a long time for capital

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<v Speaker 2>markets union. We now have the Savings Union, which is

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<v Speaker 2>not exactly the same, but it's gonna be helpful. The

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<v Speaker 2>reality is that most of SME commercial lending comes from banks,

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<v Speaker 2>and that is why it's so existential and urgent that

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<v Speaker 2>we increase the ambition for change, because we will only

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<v Speaker 2>be more competitive if there's more investment. This is coming

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<v Speaker 2>from smaller, medium sized companies and a lot of that

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<v Speaker 2>lending comes from the banks, and that's why capacity to

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<v Speaker 2>lend has to expand. And that is what you know. Again, regulation,

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<v Speaker 2>smart regulation would be very helpful.

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<v Speaker 1>Is there any prospect of a unified banking regulatory system

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<v Speaker 1>in Europe?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, you know how many years did it take to

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<v Speaker 2>build the United States two hundred Europe we've been going

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<v Speaker 2>at this for fifty or sixty years, so it will happen.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure I will see.

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<v Speaker 1>It coming up. We try to make sense of something

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<v Speaker 1>that Einstein threw up his hands, trying to understand quantum

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<v Speaker 1>mechanics and the revolution it may bring to computing by

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<v Speaker 1>doing some things better than AI. This is a story

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<v Speaker 1>about God playing dice with the universe, something Albert Einstein

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<v Speaker 1>told us he didn't do. Back in nineteen twenty six,

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<v Speaker 1>Einstein was criticizing physicists theory of quantum mechanics. Yet a

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<v Speaker 1>century after Einstein's denial, billions of dollars are being invested

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<v Speaker 1>today in taking that theory and turning it into reality,

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<v Speaker 1>with the prospect of a revolution in computing, potentially larger

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<v Speaker 1>even than generative AI.

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<v Speaker 3>Quantum computing is very high potential Inbastors are increasingly asking

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<v Speaker 3>us about the implications of quantum.

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<v Speaker 4>Computing, quantum computing, quantum computing, political and state level economic

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<v Speaker 4>supports to develop quantum and we want to be part

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<v Speaker 4>of that.

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<v Speaker 1>IBM is one of the companies leading the charge in

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<v Speaker 1>quantum computing.

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<v Speaker 5>Not IBM, we developed some of the very foundations of

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<v Speaker 5>quantum information science starting as early as nineteen seventy.

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<v Speaker 1>Jamie Garcia is the Director of Quantum Partnerships at IBM.

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<v Speaker 1>A PhD chemist, she's working on quantum computers transforming healthcare

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<v Speaker 1>at places like the Cleveland Clinic.

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<v Speaker 5>Quantum computers are just a totally different paradigm to calculate

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<v Speaker 5>solutions to problems, and so what most experts have done

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<v Speaker 5>today that are studying quantum computing for different application spaces

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<v Speaker 5>is to really sit down with the math and figure out, like,

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<v Speaker 5>are the algorithms here that I can use and that

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<v Speaker 5>I can exploit using a quantum computer going to bring

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<v Speaker 5>me any sort of advantage over what can be done

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<v Speaker 5>today in classical sort of state of the art techniques.

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<v Speaker 1>At the core of classical computing are bits, single pieces

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<v Speaker 1>of information that can have the value of zero or one,

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<v Speaker 1>But quantum technology relies on cubits, a unit that can

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<v Speaker 1>have multiple values simultaneously. It's like holding a coin in

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<v Speaker 1>your hand that is heads, tails and everything in between

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<v Speaker 1>until you open your hand to check. Physicist Jerry Chow

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<v Speaker 1>is IBM's director of Quantum Hardware System Development.

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<v Speaker 3>Really fundamentally, there's a different math, right's the mathematics of

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<v Speaker 3>quantum mechanics that is governing how you actually manipulate these

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<v Speaker 3>quantum bits, which then gives rise to a whole host

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<v Speaker 3>of different opportunities for algorithms and types of problems that

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<v Speaker 3>you can actually solve using quantum muters.

0:13:43.520 --> 0:13:47.160
<v Speaker 5>As we're studying things today, we're using a lot of

0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:50.640
<v Speaker 5>something called error mitigation as our approach to dealing with

0:13:50.800 --> 0:13:53.439
<v Speaker 5>errors and ways in the system and in the quantum

0:13:53.480 --> 0:13:57.240
<v Speaker 5>computer itself. This is going to continue to evolve. In fact,

0:13:57.320 --> 0:13:59.640
<v Speaker 5>we think that next year we're going to see examples

0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:02.520
<v Speaker 5>of what we call quantum advantage, which is where you're

0:14:02.600 --> 0:14:05.160
<v Speaker 5>able to come up with a solution to a problem

0:14:05.400 --> 0:14:09.680
<v Speaker 5>that is cheaper, faster, or more accurate than with classical alone.

0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:13.920
<v Speaker 1>A turning point in IBM's efforts to make quantum computing

0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:16.880
<v Speaker 1>a reality came when it made it available to the

0:14:16.920 --> 0:14:18.040
<v Speaker 1>world on the.

0:14:17.960 --> 0:14:19.480
<v Speaker 5>Cloud twenty sixteen.

0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:23.440
<v Speaker 3>The IBM Quantum Experience was really a pivotal moment for

0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:28.000
<v Speaker 3>us in terms of getting quantum computers for the first

0:14:28.000 --> 0:14:32.200
<v Speaker 3>time out onto the cloud and into the hands of anybody,

0:14:32.520 --> 0:14:36.000
<v Speaker 3>really people. Right. What's interesting is that before that period,

0:14:36.120 --> 0:14:39.280
<v Speaker 3>I'd say, it was really much more in the realm

0:14:39.360 --> 0:14:44.280
<v Speaker 3>of physics, right that we were doing experiments on small devices,

0:14:44.360 --> 0:14:47.760
<v Speaker 3>cubit devices that we were looking at, understanding how they worked,

0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:51.600
<v Speaker 3>trying to make them better, but we didn't have any

0:14:51.680 --> 0:14:54.480
<v Speaker 3>kind of real thought about how is this going to

0:14:54.480 --> 0:14:55.480
<v Speaker 3>be used for computation.

0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:59.080
<v Speaker 1>In the nine years since you put Quantum Experience out there,

0:14:59.160 --> 0:15:01.480
<v Speaker 1>what is what have you learned at IBM?

0:15:01.720 --> 0:15:04.160
<v Speaker 3>I think what I learned from that experience really was

0:15:04.240 --> 0:15:07.520
<v Speaker 3>that there was a whole lot of people out there

0:15:07.520 --> 0:15:10.520
<v Speaker 3>who wanted to touch and learn about quantum. I think

0:15:10.520 --> 0:15:12.720
<v Speaker 3>we were sitting there that first night after we launched it,

0:15:12.800 --> 0:15:16.840
<v Speaker 3>watching these circuits coming in and people were actually running things,

0:15:16.880 --> 0:15:18.920
<v Speaker 3>and we were like, oh wow, this is picking up

0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:22.160
<v Speaker 3>some steam here. And then you know, to this point,

0:15:22.200 --> 0:15:25.040
<v Speaker 3>we've had tremendous uptake in terms of using the platform

0:15:25.080 --> 0:15:29.280
<v Speaker 3>to actually generate new papers and research. Thousands of papers

0:15:29.280 --> 0:15:31.480
<v Speaker 3>have been generated which have been would have been impossible

0:15:31.480 --> 0:15:34.480
<v Speaker 3>for us to do, just as individual scientists or researchers

0:15:34.480 --> 0:15:37.120
<v Speaker 3>studying these devices in our own lab and working with

0:15:37.480 --> 0:15:40.280
<v Speaker 3>other scientists and collaborations, and.

0:15:40.320 --> 0:15:44.360
<v Speaker 1>In success, that community could go places that classical computing,

0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:48.080
<v Speaker 1>even using the large language models of AI, could never

0:15:48.240 --> 0:15:51.840
<v Speaker 1>take us. So it's not just speech, it's actual accuracy.

0:15:51.960 --> 0:15:56.080
<v Speaker 1>When we're using classical no matter how infinite we get,

0:15:56.320 --> 0:15:57.960
<v Speaker 1>it's an approximation.

0:15:57.480 --> 0:16:00.840
<v Speaker 3>Right, Absolutely, it's absolutely not just not not a question

0:16:00.880 --> 0:16:03.520
<v Speaker 3>about speed. The whole point of the quantum computer and

0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:05.360
<v Speaker 3>what it can do is that it can give us

0:16:05.400 --> 0:16:08.560
<v Speaker 3>the ability to actually get potentially more accurate results, also

0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:13.640
<v Speaker 3>get results that otherwise are unattainable using a classical computer alone.

0:16:14.800 --> 0:16:18.800
<v Speaker 1>Companies like Google, Microsoft, and Intel are all exploring the

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:22.160
<v Speaker 1>potential of quantum computing, but there's also a new group

0:16:22.160 --> 0:16:25.320
<v Speaker 1>of contenders, startups that are betting it all on the

0:16:25.360 --> 0:16:28.920
<v Speaker 1>hope that quantum tech will one day become profitable. One

0:16:28.960 --> 0:16:32.800
<v Speaker 1>of those firms is Maryland based ion Q. Its CEO

0:16:33.000 --> 0:16:36.600
<v Speaker 1>is Nicolo Demasi, who believes he has the best horse

0:16:36.760 --> 0:16:37.360
<v Speaker 1>in the race.

0:16:38.120 --> 0:16:44.800
<v Speaker 6>We supply quantum computers to both federal, state and commercial

0:16:45.200 --> 0:16:49.480
<v Speaker 6>customer partners. We also provide quantum key distribution, and we

0:16:49.520 --> 0:16:52.560
<v Speaker 6>do that both on the ground and up in the heavens.

0:16:52.680 --> 0:16:56.760
<v Speaker 6>Quantum key dissolution is effectively quantum cyber security, and we're

0:16:56.840 --> 0:16:59.760
<v Speaker 6>very focused on this not being just proof points in

0:16:59.760 --> 0:17:03.880
<v Speaker 6>the lad lab, but doing useful quantum advantage examples for

0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:07.639
<v Speaker 6>our customers and embedding ourselves into their workflows on an

0:17:07.680 --> 0:17:08.480
<v Speaker 6>ongoing basis.

0:17:09.480 --> 0:17:11.760
<v Speaker 1>So what will it look like as we go beyond

0:17:11.760 --> 0:17:15.560
<v Speaker 1>showing so called quantum advantage in the lab and embedding

0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:19.439
<v Speaker 1>it into real world workflows. One place people look to

0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 1>first is in the life sciences work like doctor Garcia

0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:25.080
<v Speaker 1>is doing at the Cleveland Clinic.

0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:28.560
<v Speaker 5>An example of something that we've done is we've taken

0:17:28.560 --> 0:17:31.879
<v Speaker 5>in some of the algorithms that we've worked on for chemistry,

0:17:32.440 --> 0:17:37.040
<v Speaker 5>and alongside Cleveland Clinic, we've started looking at different chemical

0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:40.360
<v Speaker 5>processes that they really care about. So you can think

0:17:40.400 --> 0:17:45.240
<v Speaker 5>about this in the larger context of therapeutics, design, drug discovery,

0:17:45.560 --> 0:17:47.679
<v Speaker 5>that kind of thing, and really what we're doing with

0:17:47.720 --> 0:17:53.640
<v Speaker 5>Cleveland Clinic is pushing the boundaries of algorithm development methodology

0:17:54.040 --> 0:17:59.280
<v Speaker 5>of using quantum computers, again in concert with classical computers

0:17:59.600 --> 0:18:03.679
<v Speaker 5>to come up with solutions to problems that they care about.

0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:08.720
<v Speaker 5>Protein folding is definitely one area mRNA Secondary structure. Understanding

0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:12.840
<v Speaker 5>how things come together and how they look in sort

0:18:12.840 --> 0:18:15.520
<v Speaker 5>of three D is a very interesting area, as you

0:18:15.520 --> 0:18:18.520
<v Speaker 5>can imagine as you're trying to understand how these things

0:18:18.600 --> 0:18:22.200
<v Speaker 5>fit together in a biological system.

0:18:22.400 --> 0:18:25.719
<v Speaker 1>It isn't just life sciences that could be revolutionized by

0:18:25.720 --> 0:18:29.959
<v Speaker 1>the addition of quantum computing. Financial markets are another target

0:18:30.000 --> 0:18:34.040
<v Speaker 1>of opportunity. IBM scored an early advantage this year when

0:18:34.240 --> 0:18:38.119
<v Speaker 1>HSBC said it used the tech company's Heron quantum processor

0:18:38.480 --> 0:18:41.480
<v Speaker 1>to make a thirty four percent improvement in predicting how

0:18:41.640 --> 0:18:44.040
<v Speaker 1>likely a bond will trade at a given price.

0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:46.040
<v Speaker 3>I think there's a lot of excitement in the market

0:18:46.160 --> 0:18:51.000
<v Speaker 3>space as well right especially because optimization is certainly in

0:18:51.040 --> 0:18:54.160
<v Speaker 3>another area which we know is a classically difficult problem,

0:18:55.040 --> 0:18:58.119
<v Speaker 3>and from the point of view of actually using a

0:18:58.200 --> 0:19:01.000
<v Speaker 3>quantum computer to address optimization, are many threads there in

0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:06.199
<v Speaker 3>terms of leveraging this kind of large, exponentially computational space.

0:19:06.280 --> 0:19:11.840
<v Speaker 3>To handle problems such as portfolio optimization right or risk management.

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:15.040
<v Speaker 3>So there's a lot of interesting ideas there that are

0:19:15.080 --> 0:19:17.080
<v Speaker 3>being looked at by various financial institutions.

0:19:17.160 --> 0:19:20.760
<v Speaker 6>What I can say at this stage is portfolio theory,

0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:24.879
<v Speaker 6>options pricing. These are very much now accessible from a

0:19:24.920 --> 0:19:28.960
<v Speaker 6>quantum advantage perspective using our new tempo system, quantum key

0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:33.320
<v Speaker 6>distribution and cybersecurity that is of course front and center

0:19:33.359 --> 0:19:36.680
<v Speaker 6>for financial services on a global basis, and so security

0:19:36.680 --> 0:19:39.639
<v Speaker 6>and integrity of the data flow is of course vital.

0:19:40.440 --> 0:19:43.720
<v Speaker 6>I always like to jokingly say that you can spot

0:19:43.840 --> 0:19:46.960
<v Speaker 6>our quantum security customers because they are not in the

0:19:47.000 --> 0:19:48.720
<v Speaker 6>news for data breaches.

0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 1>Even agriculture could benefit from quantum computing in ways we

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:54.719
<v Speaker 1>haven't yet imagined.

0:19:55.440 --> 0:20:00.480
<v Speaker 3>Understanding processes such as nitrogen fixation to make things like

0:20:00.520 --> 0:20:03.680
<v Speaker 3>better fertilizer right to help us grow better crops right,

0:20:04.480 --> 0:20:09.320
<v Speaker 3>Understanding things that are critical in impacting climate change right

0:20:09.359 --> 0:20:13.920
<v Speaker 3>and in terms of how carbon is handled right, other

0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:19.200
<v Speaker 3>things including better batteries right in terms of materials discovery.

0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:23.399
<v Speaker 1>The potential may be great, as are the investments being made,

0:20:24.000 --> 0:20:27.600
<v Speaker 1>but when can we expect to see these potentially dramatic results.

0:20:28.240 --> 0:20:31.160
<v Speaker 1>It turns out that that depends on whom you ask.

0:20:31.760 --> 0:20:34.640
<v Speaker 1>IBM has made getting to quantum advantage in the real

0:20:34.680 --> 0:20:38.040
<v Speaker 1>world a strategic priority and has a timeline of getting

0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:40.600
<v Speaker 1>there in a big way by twenty twenty nine.

0:20:41.040 --> 0:20:44.080
<v Speaker 3>Our roadmap really shows the detail in terms of how

0:20:44.160 --> 0:20:46.640
<v Speaker 3>we want to get from today to twenty twenty nine.

0:20:47.240 --> 0:20:50.399
<v Speaker 3>In between, we have this real important milestone also that

0:20:50.440 --> 0:20:53.080
<v Speaker 3>we believe that with the community, we'll be hitting quantum

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:57.200
<v Speaker 3>advantage right where there will be some problems and claims

0:20:57.200 --> 0:21:02.880
<v Speaker 3>of advantage where we'll see quantum really surpassing any classical

0:21:02.920 --> 0:21:06.520
<v Speaker 3>methods of solving certain types of problems. Right, and we

0:21:06.680 --> 0:21:10.720
<v Speaker 3>are looking at various ways of showing that academically, scientifically

0:21:10.800 --> 0:21:14.000
<v Speaker 3>and also empirically from the ground up in terms of

0:21:14.080 --> 0:21:18.520
<v Speaker 3>compared with various kinds of classical methods today. And then

0:21:18.720 --> 0:21:20.520
<v Speaker 3>we're building a lot of the it's you know, it's

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:24.280
<v Speaker 3>in the end, it's like architecting a large skyscraper. We're

0:21:24.280 --> 0:21:27.399
<v Speaker 3>building a lot of the foundational elements so that when

0:21:27.480 --> 0:21:32.400
<v Speaker 3>we hit Starling and twenty twenty nine, all the applications

0:21:32.400 --> 0:21:35.360
<v Speaker 3>that people have been developing, all the software stack, all

0:21:35.440 --> 0:21:39.399
<v Speaker 3>the eventual software libraries, they're still going to work that

0:21:39.440 --> 0:21:42.280
<v Speaker 3>they're going to work on a machine that's even more capable,

0:21:42.560 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 3>something that can run hundreds of millions of gate operations

0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:49.280
<v Speaker 3>compared to several thousands of gate operations on the on

0:21:49.359 --> 0:21:51.480
<v Speaker 3>the advantage level machines that we're building today.

0:21:52.280 --> 0:21:55.240
<v Speaker 1>IBM says it's on track to have quantum computing payoff

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:58.399
<v Speaker 1>in a big way by twenty twenty nine, but ion

0:21:58.520 --> 0:22:00.960
<v Speaker 1>C's Demasi says they're already there.

0:22:01.400 --> 0:22:04.040
<v Speaker 6>So our machines we announced on September twelfth at our

0:22:04.040 --> 0:22:08.800
<v Speaker 6>Analyst Day are thirty six quadrillion times more powerful than

0:22:08.880 --> 0:22:13.359
<v Speaker 6>anyone else's machine, and that gap is increasing. Not only

0:22:13.359 --> 0:22:15.639
<v Speaker 6>do we believe we are five years ahead of anybody

0:22:15.680 --> 0:22:20.960
<v Speaker 6>else in the quantum computing business, whether it's government programs, adversaries,

0:22:21.480 --> 0:22:25.400
<v Speaker 6>or commercial companies, but we also have the lowest unit economics,

0:22:25.600 --> 0:22:29.080
<v Speaker 6>so we're able to build a fully tolerant two million

0:22:29.119 --> 0:22:33.000
<v Speaker 6>Cuba system and keep our cost of good souls under

0:22:33.040 --> 0:22:36.240
<v Speaker 6>thirty million dollars. Taking that together, it means that we're

0:22:36.280 --> 0:22:40.000
<v Speaker 6>a fully flagged quantum Internet solution. We can provide our

0:22:40.080 --> 0:22:45.399
<v Speaker 6>customer as a platform of computing, cybersecurity, networking, communications and sensing,

0:22:45.880 --> 0:22:47.800
<v Speaker 6>and there's no other company in the history of the

0:22:47.840 --> 0:22:51.080
<v Speaker 6>world that's evering able to supply a complete quantum Internet.

0:22:51.880 --> 0:22:54.919
<v Speaker 1>Everyone in the quantum business seems to agree that Einstein

0:22:55.160 --> 0:22:58.800
<v Speaker 1>was wrong, that it's either coming soon or is already here,

0:22:59.240 --> 0:23:02.800
<v Speaker 1>and that it will be big. But figuring out who's

0:23:02.840 --> 0:23:06.760
<v Speaker 1>ahead in this race sometimes feels like predicting those dice.

0:23:07.240 --> 0:23:10.680
<v Speaker 1>IBM says it's ahead because it has more total cubits

0:23:10.720 --> 0:23:14.080
<v Speaker 1>in its machines. Ion Q says it's not the number

0:23:14.080 --> 0:23:17.560
<v Speaker 1>of cubits, but the number of algorithmic cubits, putting it

0:23:17.720 --> 0:23:22.600
<v Speaker 1>in front. And quantum company Continuum has yet a third

0:23:22.640 --> 0:23:25.800
<v Speaker 1>measure of quantum value. Maybe we shouldn't be surprised that

0:23:25.840 --> 0:23:29.159
<v Speaker 1>there isn't a single measurement. It's like those cubits that

0:23:29.200 --> 0:23:32.800
<v Speaker 1>are both ones and zero's at the same time until

0:23:32.880 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 1>they're observed. And it looks likely that we will all

0:23:36.359 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 1>be able to observe what quantum computing can do for

0:23:39.119 --> 0:23:45.080
<v Speaker 1>us in the very near future. Up next, an aging

0:23:45.160 --> 0:23:49.360
<v Speaker 1>population meets lower interest rates. It's a problem countries throughout

0:23:49.400 --> 0:23:51.960
<v Speaker 1>the West are facing. We tell the story of what

0:23:52.040 --> 0:24:08.359
<v Speaker 1>the Netherlands is doing about it. This is a story

0:24:08.400 --> 0:24:12.000
<v Speaker 1>about nest eggs. Those nest eggs were all supposed to

0:24:12.040 --> 0:24:15.720
<v Speaker 1>be putting away for our retirement years, with or without

0:24:15.760 --> 0:24:19.720
<v Speaker 1>the help of the government or employers. Unfortunately, too many

0:24:19.720 --> 0:24:22.080
<v Speaker 1>of us count on support that may or may not

0:24:22.240 --> 0:24:27.600
<v Speaker 1>be enough to carry us in our later years. We

0:24:27.680 --> 0:24:31.120
<v Speaker 1>have still fifty seven million Americans who don't have any

0:24:31.400 --> 0:24:35.639
<v Speaker 1>savings or any retirement plan, whether it's state funded pension

0:24:35.640 --> 0:24:39.360
<v Speaker 1>plans for teachers and policemen or Social Security for everyone.

0:24:39.920 --> 0:24:43.200
<v Speaker 1>We all know about the looming problems in providing adequate

0:24:43.240 --> 0:24:46.320
<v Speaker 1>income for retirees in the United States, but it's not

0:24:46.440 --> 0:24:48.440
<v Speaker 1>just the US that has a problem.

0:24:48.720 --> 0:24:52.440
<v Speaker 7>Many countries made provisions for those promises, and now promises

0:24:52.600 --> 0:24:56.639
<v Speaker 7>are being cashed in, and many countries are saying, oh wait,

0:24:57.040 --> 0:24:58.639
<v Speaker 7>you know we don't want to pay the bill.

0:24:59.119 --> 0:25:03.119
<v Speaker 1>Teresa gillard Ucci is professor of economics and policy analysis

0:25:03.119 --> 0:25:05.679
<v Speaker 1>at the New School in New York and author of

0:25:05.920 --> 0:25:10.320
<v Speaker 1>Rescuing Retirement with Tony James. The challenges faced by retirees

0:25:10.359 --> 0:25:13.320
<v Speaker 1>around much of the world are reflected in higher poverty

0:25:13.400 --> 0:25:17.760
<v Speaker 1>levels of those over sixty five, with the OECD reporting

0:25:17.760 --> 0:25:20.640
<v Speaker 1>that forty percent of the elderly in Korea live on

0:25:20.720 --> 0:25:23.640
<v Speaker 1>less than half of the median income in the country

0:25:23.720 --> 0:25:27.440
<v Speaker 1>and the United States just under twenty five percent. Gilarducci

0:25:27.520 --> 0:25:30.359
<v Speaker 1>says one of the reasons is lower interest rates.

0:25:30.800 --> 0:25:34.240
<v Speaker 7>The life expectancy does not put a strain on pension system,

0:25:34.480 --> 0:25:38.480
<v Speaker 7>but what has changed as over the past twenty years,

0:25:38.960 --> 0:25:42.360
<v Speaker 7>there was a regime of very low interest rates for

0:25:42.480 --> 0:25:45.080
<v Speaker 7>lots of reasons. One of them was a financial crisis.

0:25:45.240 --> 0:25:47.399
<v Speaker 7>A lot of it was the way that we managed

0:25:47.440 --> 0:25:51.160
<v Speaker 7>our economies was to make sure that capital investment was low.

0:25:51.520 --> 0:25:54.480
<v Speaker 7>That distorted a lot of decisions. But one of those

0:25:54.480 --> 0:25:57.840
<v Speaker 7>things that it distorted is that the safe assets like

0:25:57.920 --> 0:26:00.639
<v Speaker 7>government bonds didn't pay much.

0:26:01.080 --> 0:26:04.880
<v Speaker 1>The US is hardly alone in facing the coming retirement crisis,

0:26:05.119 --> 0:26:08.679
<v Speaker 1>but one country, the Netherlands, is doing something about it.

0:26:09.040 --> 0:26:12.280
<v Speaker 1>Adrian Riker's firm is one of those putting those funds

0:26:12.320 --> 0:26:12.840
<v Speaker 1>to work.

0:26:13.160 --> 0:26:16.040
<v Speaker 8>In the Dutch pension system. In the second pillar, there

0:26:16.080 --> 0:26:20.760
<v Speaker 8>are around sixteen hundred billion euros of assets under management,

0:26:21.119 --> 0:26:25.199
<v Speaker 8>which equates to around one point five two times the

0:26:25.359 --> 0:26:26.840
<v Speaker 8>GDP of the Netherlands.

0:26:27.240 --> 0:26:30.840
<v Speaker 1>That one point six trillion euros in Dutch pension assets

0:26:30.880 --> 0:26:35.119
<v Speaker 1>accounts for fifty nine percent of all European pension funds,

0:26:35.480 --> 0:26:38.920
<v Speaker 1>while having only four percent of the population, which means

0:26:38.960 --> 0:26:41.960
<v Speaker 1>that it ranks near the bottom of the OECD numbers

0:26:41.960 --> 0:26:46.840
<v Speaker 1>in elderly poverty at just under five percent, But despite

0:26:46.880 --> 0:26:49.920
<v Speaker 1>having more assets set aside for retirement than any other

0:26:50.080 --> 0:26:54.080
<v Speaker 1>European country, the Netherlands is about to overhaul the fundamentals

0:26:54.160 --> 0:26:55.200
<v Speaker 1>of its pension system.

0:26:55.840 --> 0:26:59.960
<v Speaker 8>Now we are moving from defined benefits to defined country

0:27:00.680 --> 0:27:04.440
<v Speaker 8>and the reason for this change is mainly to increase

0:27:04.440 --> 0:27:07.600
<v Speaker 8>the sustainability of the fund towards the future.

0:27:08.280 --> 0:27:11.800
<v Speaker 1>At first glance, the math seems straightforward. The old model

0:27:11.920 --> 0:27:14.919
<v Speaker 1>wasn't sustainable, it was time for something new, But the

0:27:15.000 --> 0:27:18.680
<v Speaker 1>debate over restructuring the system was anything but simple.

0:27:19.320 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 9>The private pillar is what is in the process of

0:27:22.760 --> 0:27:26.879
<v Speaker 9>getting reformed now. That reform took a number of years

0:27:26.920 --> 0:27:30.920
<v Speaker 9>to reach. Discussions started in the early two thousands after

0:27:30.960 --> 0:27:33.760
<v Speaker 9>the dot Com crisis, when a number of Dutch pension

0:27:33.760 --> 0:27:36.879
<v Speaker 9>funds sought a coverage ratios drop. It came to a

0:27:36.920 --> 0:27:42.320
<v Speaker 9>conclusion sort of around the started pandemic when the shape

0:27:42.359 --> 0:27:44.520
<v Speaker 9>of the current Pensruon reform was decided upon.

0:27:45.240 --> 0:27:48.640
<v Speaker 1>Stan Voiger is a senior fellow in Economic policy Studies

0:27:48.680 --> 0:27:52.200
<v Speaker 1>at the American Enterprise Institute and director of the Netherland

0:27:52.280 --> 0:27:53.400
<v Speaker 1>America Foundation.

0:27:54.160 --> 0:27:57.760
<v Speaker 9>That didn't mean, of course, that the political discussions around

0:27:57.800 --> 0:28:02.440
<v Speaker 9>the reform completely dissipated. In the outgoing government, the Scove

0:28:02.560 --> 0:28:06.760
<v Speaker 9>Cabinet that was in place for the past year or so,

0:28:07.840 --> 0:28:10.800
<v Speaker 9>there was there was one political party, the New Social

0:28:10.840 --> 0:28:16.760
<v Speaker 9>Contract Party, that was quite aggressively opposed to the Benson

0:28:16.840 --> 0:28:19.600
<v Speaker 9>reform as it had been designed, and they in fact

0:28:19.880 --> 0:28:24.040
<v Speaker 9>tried to derail it by letting individual workers and retiaries

0:28:24.600 --> 0:28:28.000
<v Speaker 9>vote on an industry by industry, or occupation by occupation,

0:28:28.080 --> 0:28:32.040
<v Speaker 9>or even firm by firm basis on whether to remain

0:28:32.160 --> 0:28:36.320
<v Speaker 9>under the old pension system, which is a defined benefit

0:28:36.400 --> 0:28:39.280
<v Speaker 9>system basically, or whether to accept the transition to the new,

0:28:39.520 --> 0:28:45.000
<v Speaker 9>more collective, defined contribution system. That effort by them ultimately failed.

0:28:45.080 --> 0:28:47.840
<v Speaker 9>It lost a vote in Parliament, but only barely, and

0:28:47.880 --> 0:28:51.080
<v Speaker 9>I think that was really the end of political uncertainty

0:28:51.120 --> 0:28:54.479
<v Speaker 9>around this Benson reform, not only because that vote failed,

0:28:54.680 --> 0:28:58.480
<v Speaker 9>but also because the Scove of government fell. This summer

0:28:58.840 --> 0:29:02.200
<v Speaker 9>we had elections and the party most associated with those

0:29:02.280 --> 0:29:06.360
<v Speaker 9>efforts to basically undo the pension reform to a significant extent,

0:29:06.480 --> 0:29:08.200
<v Speaker 9>that party lost all of its seats in Partland.

0:29:09.200 --> 0:29:13.000
<v Speaker 1>The Dutch pension plan changes may be controversial, but necessary

0:29:13.320 --> 0:29:16.560
<v Speaker 1>given the larger forces that all retirement plans in western

0:29:16.600 --> 0:29:17.680
<v Speaker 1>countries are facing.

0:29:18.280 --> 0:29:21.680
<v Speaker 8>The move to define contributions is something that we see

0:29:22.160 --> 0:29:24.880
<v Speaker 8>all across the globe if we look at the pension

0:29:24.960 --> 0:29:28.680
<v Speaker 8>index that is published yearly, if you look at what

0:29:28.800 --> 0:29:33.920
<v Speaker 8>pension advisors and actuaries are saying exactly. These changes are

0:29:33.960 --> 0:29:37.840
<v Speaker 8>not specific to just the Netherlands, but because we have

0:29:38.000 --> 0:29:40.840
<v Speaker 8>such a large pension build up, we have so much

0:29:40.840 --> 0:29:44.600
<v Speaker 8>capital in the system, very high adequacy rates. It is

0:29:44.840 --> 0:29:49.880
<v Speaker 8>very prevalent in the Dutch system. Since the global financial crisis,

0:29:49.880 --> 0:29:53.560
<v Speaker 8>interest rates have been in steady decline, mainly because of

0:29:53.720 --> 0:29:59.040
<v Speaker 8>monetary policy and because of the way that pension liabilities

0:29:59.120 --> 0:30:02.800
<v Speaker 8>are valued. They have a direct link with interest rates,

0:30:02.880 --> 0:30:06.560
<v Speaker 8>and as interest rates decrease, the liabilities of pension funds

0:30:06.560 --> 0:30:11.000
<v Speaker 8>increase and thus place a burden on the pension fund sustainability.

0:30:11.320 --> 0:30:14.600
<v Speaker 8>But also on top of that you have longevity which

0:30:14.640 --> 0:30:19.080
<v Speaker 8>has increased amongst the participants, and coverage in the Netherlands

0:30:19.120 --> 0:30:22.719
<v Speaker 8>of the second pillar pensions is very high. The way

0:30:23.000 --> 0:30:26.320
<v Speaker 8>in the old system that we had, the way it

0:30:26.400 --> 0:30:30.680
<v Speaker 8>worked is that employees would usually stay at the same

0:30:30.800 --> 0:30:33.760
<v Speaker 8>firm that they started at or stay within the same

0:30:33.800 --> 0:30:38.680
<v Speaker 8>industry and work until the retirement age. And if this happened,

0:30:39.080 --> 0:30:44.800
<v Speaker 8>the current pension system was perfectly equipped for this, but

0:30:45.040 --> 0:30:48.840
<v Speaker 8>nowadays we see more and more people moving away from

0:30:48.920 --> 0:30:53.320
<v Speaker 8>a lifetime employment and moving more into self employment.

0:30:54.280 --> 0:30:57.080
<v Speaker 1>One way to address the increased number of people relying

0:30:57.080 --> 0:31:00.280
<v Speaker 1>on their pensions amid lower interest rates might be to

0:31:00.320 --> 0:31:03.680
<v Speaker 1>extend the time when people start receiving their benefits, but

0:31:03.720 --> 0:31:06.400
<v Speaker 1>that is not the way the Netherlands chose to go.

0:31:07.040 --> 0:31:11.680
<v Speaker 8>The reforms mainly are in the way we invest in,

0:31:11.800 --> 0:31:16.440
<v Speaker 8>changing from defined benefits to only defining the contribution.

0:31:17.600 --> 0:31:20.120
<v Speaker 1>The Dutch system is designed to increase the size of

0:31:20.160 --> 0:31:23.880
<v Speaker 1>the available pie by permitting pension asset managers to invest

0:31:23.880 --> 0:31:27.400
<v Speaker 1>in higher risk and higher yield assets for younger workers

0:31:27.400 --> 0:31:29.520
<v Speaker 1>with many years to go until their retirement.

0:31:30.120 --> 0:31:33.600
<v Speaker 8>You now go to a more individual approach with your

0:31:33.640 --> 0:31:38.680
<v Speaker 8>collective investments, in that you have to see what individual

0:31:38.720 --> 0:31:43.360
<v Speaker 8>investors need at certain age age groups. So, for instance,

0:31:43.480 --> 0:31:48.400
<v Speaker 8>a young person on average has less financial capital but

0:31:48.520 --> 0:31:52.120
<v Speaker 8>still has a lot of years to work in its career,

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:55.880
<v Speaker 8>and what that enables younger investors to do is to

0:31:55.920 --> 0:32:01.240
<v Speaker 8>take on more risk because the biggest determinant of capital

0:32:01.680 --> 0:32:05.840
<v Speaker 8>build up at a young age is the contributions you

0:32:05.920 --> 0:32:08.920
<v Speaker 8>get each year. But as you near the end of

0:32:08.960 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 8>your career, contributions become less of a big part, less

0:32:13.080 --> 0:32:15.720
<v Speaker 8>of a big influence on the income that you will

0:32:15.720 --> 0:32:20.360
<v Speaker 8>have on retirement, and the income or the focus shifts

0:32:20.400 --> 0:32:25.280
<v Speaker 8>from contributions to investment results that should be stable and

0:32:25.440 --> 0:32:26.440
<v Speaker 8>lower in shocks.

0:32:27.160 --> 0:32:30.800
<v Speaker 1>Whether permitting more flexible investments, particularly riskier ones for earlier

0:32:30.840 --> 0:32:33.840
<v Speaker 1>in a worker's life, will work or not. It does

0:32:33.920 --> 0:32:37.640
<v Speaker 1>relieve the pensions from facing obligations greater than their resources,

0:32:37.960 --> 0:32:40.920
<v Speaker 1>but also means that one's benefits could go up or

0:32:41.000 --> 0:32:43.920
<v Speaker 1>down depending on the markets. Getting people to agree to

0:32:43.960 --> 0:32:48.040
<v Speaker 1>this big change took time and all the stakeholders working together.

0:32:48.400 --> 0:32:53.280
<v Speaker 9>One distinguishing feature of the Dutch system of policy making

0:32:54.200 --> 0:32:56.960
<v Speaker 9>is that there is a lot of focus on consensus

0:32:56.960 --> 0:33:01.560
<v Speaker 9>building between employers, employees, and the government. The fact that

0:33:01.560 --> 0:33:07.200
<v Speaker 9>ANUELYS has these structures that facilitate the coming together of

0:33:07.360 --> 0:33:11.440
<v Speaker 9>business and labor, I think, is particularly helpful in the

0:33:11.520 --> 0:33:14.280
<v Speaker 9>pension context. There are lots of political problems where there

0:33:14.280 --> 0:33:17.320
<v Speaker 9>are all sorts of other stakeholders involved, but in the

0:33:17.400 --> 0:33:20.920
<v Speaker 9>pension context it really still is employers and employees who

0:33:20.960 --> 0:33:24.880
<v Speaker 9>have to come together and reach agreement on on how

0:33:24.920 --> 0:33:26.640
<v Speaker 9>to design the pension system.

0:33:27.080 --> 0:33:29.280
<v Speaker 1>What can the rest of the world learn from the

0:33:29.360 --> 0:33:33.120
<v Speaker 1>Dutch in providing for retirement, perhaps a lesson in persistence.

0:33:33.720 --> 0:33:36.160
<v Speaker 1>The most recent changes are just the latest in a

0:33:36.280 --> 0:33:39.320
<v Speaker 1>series of attempts at pension reform, go back to the

0:33:39.360 --> 0:33:43.600
<v Speaker 1>eighties under Ronald Reagan, when they did take steps to

0:33:43.640 --> 0:33:46.640
<v Speaker 1>try to extend SoC security. What made it possible then,

0:33:46.880 --> 0:33:48.480
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't make it possible now.

0:33:48.840 --> 0:33:53.880
<v Speaker 7>Well, what made it possible for a bipartisan commission and

0:33:54.560 --> 0:33:58.560
<v Speaker 7>of fits to happen was that the crisis was only

0:33:58.600 --> 0:34:02.600
<v Speaker 7>one year away. It had to do with surprise inflation

0:34:03.160 --> 0:34:05.920
<v Speaker 7>and a surprise among the actuaries that they wouldn't have

0:34:06.040 --> 0:34:09.279
<v Speaker 7>enough money in the shortfall. So money needed to be

0:34:09.760 --> 0:34:14.400
<v Speaker 7>infused into the system immediately, and so the Green Span

0:34:14.480 --> 0:34:18.400
<v Speaker 7>Commission under the Reagan administration recommended that the payroll tax

0:34:18.440 --> 0:34:22.600
<v Speaker 7>be increased, and everybody agreed. Later, when it came to Congress,

0:34:22.719 --> 0:34:25.719
<v Speaker 7>there was some political effort to say, well, if we're

0:34:25.719 --> 0:34:28.719
<v Speaker 7>going to raise taxes, we have to really look to

0:34:28.800 --> 0:34:32.560
<v Speaker 7>see how much the taxes have to be increased. And

0:34:32.600 --> 0:34:35.799
<v Speaker 7>so that's when they looked at the past and said, well,

0:34:35.840 --> 0:34:39.759
<v Speaker 7>since everybody's living longer, then we should have a system

0:34:39.840 --> 0:34:42.840
<v Speaker 7>that represents that and will raise the retirement age to

0:34:42.880 --> 0:34:45.960
<v Speaker 7>sixty seven. But that cut and benefit was going to

0:34:46.000 --> 0:34:48.799
<v Speaker 7>be in the future, and they all agreed they needed

0:34:48.880 --> 0:34:51.719
<v Speaker 7>infusion of cash, and taxes were increased. Maybe that's what

0:34:51.760 --> 0:34:55.280
<v Speaker 7>we need to raise taxes, is to have a real

0:34:56.760 --> 0:35:01.200
<v Speaker 7>look at what taxes pay for everyone likes their social

0:35:01.200 --> 0:35:03.239
<v Speaker 7>security benefits, whether.

0:35:03.000 --> 0:35:05.880
<v Speaker 1>It's relying more on the capital markets like the Netherlands,

0:35:06.239 --> 0:35:09.480
<v Speaker 1>or turning to taxpayers to contribute more. The United States

0:35:09.480 --> 0:35:12.640
<v Speaker 1>and other Western nations have some tough choices to make,

0:35:12.880 --> 0:35:15.560
<v Speaker 1>and they need to be made sooner rather than later,

0:35:15.680 --> 0:35:18.080
<v Speaker 1>as people live longer and we want to provide for

0:35:18.160 --> 0:35:24.719
<v Speaker 1>them without stealing from the future. Coming up, getting to

0:35:24.920 --> 0:35:38.400
<v Speaker 1>zero emissions despite those data centers, Finland leads the way.

0:35:44.440 --> 0:35:47.480
<v Speaker 1>This is a story about featuring a problem instead of

0:35:47.680 --> 0:35:51.120
<v Speaker 1>fixing it. This month at COP thirty in Brazil, world

0:35:51.239 --> 0:35:53.200
<v Speaker 1>leaders are trying to get back on the path the

0:35:53.320 --> 0:35:57.239
<v Speaker 1>net zero emissions despite the huge and growing demand of

0:35:57.320 --> 0:36:01.759
<v Speaker 1>data centers for more energy. But European country is already

0:36:01.800 --> 0:36:05.680
<v Speaker 1>a decade ahead. Finland has set the most ambitious climate

0:36:05.719 --> 0:36:09.000
<v Speaker 1>target in the world, pledging to reach carbon neutrality by

0:36:09.040 --> 0:36:12.680
<v Speaker 1>twenty thirty five, and it's featuring the problem of data

0:36:12.680 --> 0:36:16.120
<v Speaker 1>center growth to get there. Bloomberg's Tom mackenzie has the

0:36:16.160 --> 0:36:18.200
<v Speaker 1>story from Helsinki.

0:36:27.600 --> 0:36:32.040
<v Speaker 10>Finland, home to five million people and three million saunas.

0:36:33.160 --> 0:36:37.840
<v Speaker 10>Here warmth isn't just a comfort, it's a culture. But

0:36:38.000 --> 0:36:41.239
<v Speaker 10>now the nation that has perfected staying warm in any

0:36:41.320 --> 0:36:49.600
<v Speaker 10>condition is finding a new way to do it. Fifty

0:36:49.680 --> 0:36:53.279
<v Speaker 10>meters below the streets of Helsinki a hidden network of

0:36:53.360 --> 0:36:54.839
<v Speaker 10>tunnels hums with.

0:36:54.840 --> 0:36:56.160
<v Speaker 1>The sound of machinery.

0:36:56.880 --> 0:36:58.760
<v Speaker 10>Oh so where are we?

0:36:58.760 --> 0:37:02.239
<v Speaker 11>We are at the Helen here pump station where you're

0:37:02.360 --> 0:37:07.279
<v Speaker 11>calling for their helsincodatas and we take the cool and

0:37:07.719 --> 0:37:10.279
<v Speaker 11>sell it as a hereed for the Herzig households.

0:37:10.960 --> 0:37:15.160
<v Speaker 10>Our guide through this underground maze is Oli Circa, CEO

0:37:15.400 --> 0:37:19.640
<v Speaker 10>of helen one of Finland's largest energy providers and the

0:37:19.719 --> 0:37:24.080
<v Speaker 10>company turning data center heat into power for the city.

0:37:24.640 --> 0:37:28.680
<v Speaker 10>Here's how it works. Above ground data centers, the engines

0:37:28.719 --> 0:37:32.759
<v Speaker 10>of our digital lives, generate vast amounts of heat as

0:37:32.800 --> 0:37:37.120
<v Speaker 10>they power everything from AI to streaming video. That heat

0:37:37.200 --> 0:37:41.280
<v Speaker 10>is captured and piped into Helen's system, where heat pumps

0:37:41.440 --> 0:37:44.640
<v Speaker 10>raise its temperature even more and send it through the

0:37:44.680 --> 0:37:49.240
<v Speaker 10>city's district heating network. The same system then returns cooled

0:37:49.280 --> 0:37:52.840
<v Speaker 10>water back to the data centers. It's a test case

0:37:52.880 --> 0:37:57.200
<v Speaker 10>for whether our growing digital appetite for energy can be contained.

0:37:58.200 --> 0:38:01.680
<v Speaker 10>When you have partners like and Microsoft and tell you

0:38:01.680 --> 0:38:04.240
<v Speaker 10>a come to you to work with you and partner

0:38:04.239 --> 0:38:07.360
<v Speaker 10>with Helen, what are they getting exactly in that partnership.

0:38:07.800 --> 0:38:10.719
<v Speaker 12>They have a problem with heat and they need to

0:38:10.760 --> 0:38:14.440
<v Speaker 12>cool down somehow their premises. And now our job is

0:38:14.480 --> 0:38:17.840
<v Speaker 12>to sell heat. So the starting point for this custom

0:38:18.200 --> 0:38:22.080
<v Speaker 12>is really good, and in the end we can actually

0:38:22.120 --> 0:38:23.640
<v Speaker 12>monetize their problem.

0:38:24.000 --> 0:38:26.759
<v Speaker 10>Can you just unpack the business part of that.

0:38:27.000 --> 0:38:29.560
<v Speaker 12>So in normal case, if you build a for example,

0:38:29.640 --> 0:38:33.680
<v Speaker 12>one hundred megawatt data center, almost all of that power,

0:38:33.880 --> 0:38:37.239
<v Speaker 12>practically all of that turns to heat, and they need

0:38:37.280 --> 0:38:40.279
<v Speaker 12>to get rid of that. They need to invest in

0:38:40.600 --> 0:38:45.040
<v Speaker 12>heat pumps and all kinds of cooling equipment. And if

0:38:45.040 --> 0:38:48.440
<v Speaker 12>they cooperate with us, they don't have to do that investment.

0:38:48.480 --> 0:38:51.080
<v Speaker 12>We do it for them, and we take the heat

0:38:51.120 --> 0:38:54.640
<v Speaker 12>out and on top of that, we monetize the excess

0:38:54.680 --> 0:38:58.279
<v Speaker 12>heat by selling it to our customers, so they save

0:38:58.440 --> 0:39:01.959
<v Speaker 12>all the cooling costs and it turns to business for us.

0:39:02.120 --> 0:39:06.000
<v Speaker 10>So that's a big CAPEX outlet, yes for you and

0:39:06.080 --> 0:39:08.960
<v Speaker 10>Capex that they don't have to be putting exagnufacturing into

0:39:08.960 --> 0:39:10.560
<v Speaker 10>their spending plans exactly.

0:39:10.200 --> 0:39:13.520
<v Speaker 12>The CAPEX is needed, but it's done by us and

0:39:14.239 --> 0:39:17.760
<v Speaker 12>we can get a very good profit double business around

0:39:17.760 --> 0:39:19.319
<v Speaker 12>that CAPEX, so it works for us.

0:39:20.719 --> 0:39:25.320
<v Speaker 10>For the local community, the benefits are tangible electricity prices

0:39:25.360 --> 0:39:30.319
<v Speaker 10>that sit below the EU average. Helen's newest partnership is

0:39:30.360 --> 0:39:34.240
<v Speaker 10>expected to provide warmth for roughly fifteen hundred homes.

0:39:35.800 --> 0:39:39.440
<v Speaker 11>We have been able to increase our profits at the

0:39:39.480 --> 0:39:42.800
<v Speaker 11>same time. We have now lowered our prices door times

0:39:42.880 --> 0:39:46.839
<v Speaker 11>in a row during the last four years.

0:39:47.080 --> 0:39:50.759
<v Speaker 10>The impressive progress in Helsinki is set against a challenging

0:39:50.920 --> 0:39:56.440
<v Speaker 10>global backdrop. According to Bloomberg New Energy Finance Research data,

0:39:56.480 --> 0:40:01.440
<v Speaker 10>centers could consume about four point four percent global electricity

0:40:01.760 --> 0:40:05.680
<v Speaker 10>by twenty thirty five. If they were a country, they'd

0:40:05.719 --> 0:40:09.960
<v Speaker 10>rank fourth in electricity use, just behind China, the US,

0:40:10.080 --> 0:40:14.200
<v Speaker 10>and India, and cooling them already takes up nearly a

0:40:14.239 --> 0:40:18.879
<v Speaker 10>third of that energy. According to the World Economic Forum.

0:40:19.280 --> 0:40:21.680
<v Speaker 13>So this is the buzz of the Internet and our

0:40:21.680 --> 0:40:25.880
<v Speaker 13>digital society. So in here you have what we sometimes

0:40:25.880 --> 0:40:27.360
<v Speaker 13>referred to as clouds.

0:40:28.040 --> 0:40:31.279
<v Speaker 10>Helen manages the heat, but it's Equinics that runs the

0:40:31.360 --> 0:40:36.120
<v Speaker 10>data centers, more than two hundred and seventy of them worldwide.

0:40:36.200 --> 0:40:39.280
<v Speaker 13>A data center is a part of everything we do digitally.

0:40:39.640 --> 0:40:42.839
<v Speaker 10>Regina Donata, Dlstrom heads their Nordic operations.

0:40:43.440 --> 0:40:46.839
<v Speaker 13>So inside of these are servers that are collocated by

0:40:47.080 --> 0:40:53.080
<v Speaker 13>enterprise customers of Equinics and Connectivity so connections. So altogether

0:40:53.280 --> 0:40:58.400
<v Speaker 13>we host over four hundred and ninety thousand connections at Tecinics.

0:40:57.920 --> 0:41:00.960
<v Speaker 10>Four hundred ninety thousand connections, and those connects and the

0:41:01.040 --> 0:41:03.799
<v Speaker 10>work that's being done by these service creates a lot

0:41:03.800 --> 0:41:06.320
<v Speaker 10>of heat. You can feel it here in the data center.

0:41:06.400 --> 0:41:10.320
<v Speaker 13>It does, it does. Managing the heat is one of

0:41:10.360 --> 0:41:12.640
<v Speaker 13>the larger parts in operating a data center.

0:41:13.760 --> 0:41:17.720
<v Speaker 10>The heat a reminder that every click, stream and search

0:41:17.920 --> 0:41:22.160
<v Speaker 10>has a footprint somewhere in the real world. Managing it

0:41:22.239 --> 0:41:25.320
<v Speaker 10>is one thing. Finding a way to use it sustainably

0:41:25.800 --> 0:41:26.240
<v Speaker 10>is another.

0:41:27.200 --> 0:41:30.480
<v Speaker 13>The way we measure our data centers is very thoroughly

0:41:30.680 --> 0:41:34.520
<v Speaker 13>with efficiency measures. Per each square meter that's on top

0:41:34.560 --> 0:41:37.680
<v Speaker 13>of mind of any data center operator, because that's money,

0:41:38.120 --> 0:41:40.520
<v Speaker 13>and it's also a proof point to how good of

0:41:40.560 --> 0:41:43.959
<v Speaker 13>a data center you have towards your customers. On top

0:41:44.040 --> 0:41:47.280
<v Speaker 13>of that, we add back to the society in which

0:41:47.360 --> 0:41:49.920
<v Speaker 13>we invest in infrastructure.

0:41:50.840 --> 0:41:53.680
<v Speaker 10>Around the world. The race to build for AI is

0:41:53.719 --> 0:41:58.200
<v Speaker 10>putting new strain on power grids and sparking a backlash.

0:41:58.920 --> 0:42:03.280
<v Speaker 10>A Bloomberg analysis of wholesale electricity prices across the US

0:42:03.760 --> 0:42:06.680
<v Speaker 10>found that electricity now costs as much as two hundred

0:42:06.719 --> 0:42:10.680
<v Speaker 10>and sixty seven percent more for a single month than

0:42:10.680 --> 0:42:14.440
<v Speaker 10>it did five years ago in areas located near it

0:42:14.600 --> 0:42:18.080
<v Speaker 10>significant data center activity. When you look at some of

0:42:18.120 --> 0:42:20.239
<v Speaker 10>your competitors in the data center field, is it a

0:42:20.239 --> 0:42:22.360
<v Speaker 10>sense of frustration or kind of head in your hands

0:42:22.400 --> 0:42:23.960
<v Speaker 10>moment when you look at the fact that a lot

0:42:24.000 --> 0:42:27.040
<v Speaker 10>of these data center operations don't seem to be thinking

0:42:27.080 --> 0:42:28.840
<v Speaker 10>about all the different components that go into it in

0:42:28.920 --> 0:42:30.280
<v Speaker 10>terms of addressing the energy needs.

0:42:30.880 --> 0:42:33.440
<v Speaker 13>No, saying that a data center is a data center

0:42:33.600 --> 0:42:36.640
<v Speaker 13>is like saying a factory is a factory. We do

0:42:36.719 --> 0:42:40.920
<v Speaker 13>cool location services for enterprises, and I would say that

0:42:41.280 --> 0:42:44.640
<v Speaker 13>respecting my peers in that part of the data center industry.

0:42:45.080 --> 0:42:47.840
<v Speaker 13>Most of us do care about sustainability.

0:42:47.920 --> 0:42:50.080
<v Speaker 10>I guess the critics would say, in this rush to

0:42:50.120 --> 0:42:52.920
<v Speaker 10>build out for AI, that corners are going to be

0:42:52.920 --> 0:42:56.600
<v Speaker 10>cut when it comes to energy and to sustainability.

0:42:57.280 --> 0:43:01.480
<v Speaker 13>And I think in any of the technology the waves

0:43:01.520 --> 0:43:04.560
<v Speaker 13>that we've seen, whether that was IoT or five G

0:43:05.040 --> 0:43:08.040
<v Speaker 13>or building up broadband, yes, there are some that get

0:43:08.040 --> 0:43:10.359
<v Speaker 13>it wrong. There are some that cut corners. There are

0:43:10.400 --> 0:43:13.120
<v Speaker 13>some that think they've got it right, and then actually

0:43:13.160 --> 0:43:17.000
<v Speaker 13>the application of the services changes. I think this is

0:43:17.040 --> 0:43:17.600
<v Speaker 13>no different.

0:43:18.600 --> 0:43:21.359
<v Speaker 10>The question now is can the race to get there

0:43:21.520 --> 0:43:26.600
<v Speaker 10>first coexist with the desire to get it right. Nowhere

0:43:26.680 --> 0:43:30.040
<v Speaker 10>is that question more urgent than in the US, home

0:43:30.200 --> 0:43:33.960
<v Speaker 10>to more than five four hundred data centers, more than

0:43:34.080 --> 0:43:38.560
<v Speaker 10>all other major economies combined, and most of the electricity

0:43:38.600 --> 0:43:42.120
<v Speaker 10>to run those data centers still comes from gas and coal,

0:43:42.520 --> 0:43:45.120
<v Speaker 10>which are also expected to meet much of the country's

0:43:45.200 --> 0:43:50.120
<v Speaker 10>new power needs over the next decade. Put simply, Finland

0:43:50.400 --> 0:43:54.080
<v Speaker 10>may offer a glimpse of what's possible, but the real

0:43:54.200 --> 0:43:58.520
<v Speaker 10>test is whether that model can scale worldwide. It's a

0:43:58.600 --> 0:44:01.799
<v Speaker 10>question that Noah Conja has put a lot of time

0:44:01.840 --> 0:44:02.560
<v Speaker 10>into answering.

0:44:03.440 --> 0:44:06.080
<v Speaker 4>The Finnish case is slightly different and across Scandinavia because

0:44:06.080 --> 0:44:08.480
<v Speaker 4>they have a lot of existing heat networks, and in

0:44:08.480 --> 0:44:11.520
<v Speaker 4>a lot of other countries they're not as well developed

0:44:11.640 --> 0:44:14.040
<v Speaker 4>for heat networks. Having said that, it is still possible

0:44:14.080 --> 0:44:16.759
<v Speaker 4>to apply some of the learnings. One of the key

0:44:16.800 --> 0:44:20.560
<v Speaker 4>ones is working with a utility or heat network operator

0:44:20.760 --> 0:44:22.080
<v Speaker 4>that's keen and supportive.

0:44:22.840 --> 0:44:27.200
<v Speaker 10>In Gonja pioneered the technology Equinix uses here in Finland

0:44:27.640 --> 0:44:30.560
<v Speaker 10>and says its applications could be endless.

0:44:31.239 --> 0:44:34.040
<v Speaker 4>It's important to point out that the heat export will

0:44:34.040 --> 0:44:36.160
<v Speaker 4>tend to only work in the right types of climates,

0:44:36.160 --> 0:44:38.320
<v Speaker 4>so those climates where there is a need for heating,

0:44:38.600 --> 0:44:41.840
<v Speaker 4>so it won't be applicable for example in Dubai or

0:44:41.880 --> 0:44:44.640
<v Speaker 4>South Africa where it's a very hot climate. So it'll

0:44:44.680 --> 0:44:47.840
<v Speaker 4>be probably mostly northern Europe and the northern part of

0:44:47.880 --> 0:44:50.680
<v Speaker 4>North America as well. And so what tends to be

0:44:50.719 --> 0:44:53.759
<v Speaker 4>the limiting factor isn't whether you can technically connect in

0:44:53.800 --> 0:44:56.640
<v Speaker 4>the data centers, but it's usually whether there's a partner

0:44:56.640 --> 0:45:00.879
<v Speaker 4>who's actually willing to develop a heat network and make

0:45:00.920 --> 0:45:01.840
<v Speaker 4>the captain investment.

0:45:02.120 --> 0:45:04.760
<v Speaker 10>Do you also do it because it's a valuable revenue stream.

0:45:04.880 --> 0:45:07.560
<v Speaker 4>It's not a really significant revenue stream compared to the

0:45:07.600 --> 0:45:10.759
<v Speaker 4>overall data center business. So we're not looking at heat

0:45:10.760 --> 0:45:13.440
<v Speaker 4>export as a new revenue stream. We're looking because it

0:45:13.440 --> 0:45:17.359
<v Speaker 4>supports our customer sustainability targets and reporting.

0:45:17.200 --> 0:45:22.200
<v Speaker 10>And the model hasn't gone unnoticed. Microsoft, one of the

0:45:22.200 --> 0:45:26.960
<v Speaker 10>world's largest cloud operators, is building its own version, expanding

0:45:26.960 --> 0:45:32.040
<v Speaker 10>the idea at a massive scale. Ian Doherty leads the

0:45:32.080 --> 0:45:35.760
<v Speaker 10>company's cloud operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa.

0:45:36.600 --> 0:45:38.480
<v Speaker 14>We're very proud of the project that we're working on

0:45:38.560 --> 0:45:42.279
<v Speaker 14>in Finland. We're working with Fordham to leverage the waste

0:45:42.320 --> 0:45:46.800
<v Speaker 14>heat from our data center to decarbonize their local heating

0:45:46.840 --> 0:45:50.200
<v Speaker 14>system and provide heating to local homes over two hundred

0:45:50.200 --> 0:45:51.920
<v Speaker 14>and fifty thousand local homes in vote.

0:45:52.800 --> 0:45:55.920
<v Speaker 10>In the data center, rate efficiency is the new currency,

0:45:56.320 --> 0:45:59.560
<v Speaker 10>and even the world's biggest hyper scalers aren't immune from

0:45:59.560 --> 0:46:02.560
<v Speaker 10>the pressure to balance growth with sustainability.

0:46:03.360 --> 0:46:06.799
<v Speaker 14>Clearly, AI is growing in its use case and diffusion

0:46:06.880 --> 0:46:09.560
<v Speaker 14>across the globe, and we're seeing that in our own business,

0:46:10.120 --> 0:46:12.120
<v Speaker 14>and clearly we need to do more of the same

0:46:12.160 --> 0:46:17.000
<v Speaker 14>things in sustainability and contract further renewable energies. So there's

0:46:17.040 --> 0:46:18.960
<v Speaker 14>a lot of great opportunities that we have ahead of.

0:46:19.000 --> 0:46:22.240
<v Speaker 10>Us, momentum is building.

0:46:22.480 --> 0:46:23.040
<v Speaker 1>In Finland.

0:46:23.160 --> 0:46:26.520
<v Speaker 10>Almost one hundred data center operators are in discussions with

0:46:26.600 --> 0:46:30.840
<v Speaker 10>Helen exploring projects that would feed their own excess heat

0:46:31.160 --> 0:46:34.319
<v Speaker 10>into the city's energy system. What do you think your

0:46:34.360 --> 0:46:39.400
<v Speaker 10>example says about Finland's approach to decarbonizing its economy but

0:46:39.560 --> 0:46:41.319
<v Speaker 10>growing at the same time.

0:46:41.880 --> 0:46:45.160
<v Speaker 12>Well, I think, and I hope we can show to

0:46:45.200 --> 0:46:47.239
<v Speaker 12>the rest of the world that you can do the

0:46:47.320 --> 0:46:51.319
<v Speaker 12>decarbonizing in a profitable way, because I don't believe it's

0:46:51.360 --> 0:46:55.080
<v Speaker 12>going to happen if it's forced by state or EU

0:46:55.560 --> 0:46:58.840
<v Speaker 12>or any other regulatory issues. You have to find a

0:46:58.840 --> 0:47:01.520
<v Speaker 12>way how to go to CEO two zero so that

0:47:01.680 --> 0:47:04.360
<v Speaker 12>you can make money with that. Then it starts to happen,

0:47:05.120 --> 0:47:09.000
<v Speaker 12>and I really hope it can be an example how

0:47:09.040 --> 0:47:12.680
<v Speaker 12>that is done.

0:47:11.200 --> 0:47:14.840
<v Speaker 10>In a moment when our digital lives demand more than ever.

0:47:15.280 --> 0:47:20.080
<v Speaker 10>Helsinki offers a quiet reminder that progress isn't measured only

0:47:20.080 --> 0:47:23.319
<v Speaker 10>in speed and scale, but in the balance we keep

0:47:23.560 --> 0:47:25.240
<v Speaker 10>as the world races ahead.

0:47:28.440 --> 0:47:30.279
<v Speaker 1>That does it for us. Here at Wall Street Week,

0:47:30.560 --> 0:47:34.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm David Weston. See you next week for more stories

0:47:34.080 --> 0:47:49.680
<v Speaker 1>of capitalism.