WEBVTT - Saba Capital Management Founder, CIO Talks Closed-End Fund Arbitrage

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<v Speaker 1>You might have known boas Weinstein back in the day

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<v Speaker 1>for taking on the JP Morgan London whale, And of

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<v Speaker 1>course he's been known for many many years out of

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<v Speaker 1>the credit world because of course he invests in very

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<v Speaker 1>complicated credit assets. But more recently he's been known as

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<v Speaker 1>an activist investor. You have been most recently after for

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<v Speaker 1>a while targeting a series of clothes down funds, very

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<v Speaker 1>let's say, aggressively going after Black Rock. There have been lawsuits,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course proxy battles. Were actually in the center

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<v Speaker 1>of a proxy battle right now with certain funds actually

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<v Speaker 1>have already been voted on over the last couple of weeks.

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<v Speaker 1>What we don't know and what is a very important thing.

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<v Speaker 1>You've been very vocal on Twitter usually on how these

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<v Speaker 1>battles are going. You've been pretty quiet. How have the

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<v Speaker 1>meetings gone? Have you won anything?

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<v Speaker 2>So it's always nice to aspire to break news.

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<v Speaker 3>On at a conference like this, and it so happens

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<v Speaker 3>that the fund that has gotten the most most of my.

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<v Speaker 2>Attention, which is called big Z.

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<v Speaker 3>BIGZ, just had the voting closed at eleven o'clock. So

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<v Speaker 3>I can say preliminarily I didn't count the votes, but

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<v Speaker 3>they've announced it that actually all the Sauba nominees there

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<v Speaker 3>were seven got more votes than all of the Blackrock nominees,

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<v Speaker 3>and four of our nominees got more than two times

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<v Speaker 3>as many votes as black Rock, so more than two

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<v Speaker 3>to one. And when you win an election by two

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<v Speaker 3>to one, the voters have spoken. You know, we all

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<v Speaker 3>know landslide is like sixty forty fifty eight to forty two.

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<v Speaker 3>If more than two thirds voted one way, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>Blackrock can no longer say and that they purport to

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<v Speaker 3>speak for the shareholder and try to create some divisions.

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<v Speaker 3>The shareholder is spoken, we won, and what we The

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<v Speaker 3>reason that there's been litigation, it's been outward. It's us

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<v Speaker 3>to them is because they have put in place election

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<v Speaker 3>rules that would make Vladimir Putin blush.

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<v Speaker 1>So let's step back, big step back. This is one

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<v Speaker 1>fund you said you will voting for today, but they're

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<v Speaker 1>ten funds. Ultimately, what is it that you want want

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<v Speaker 1>out of this strategy? These are closed in funds, so

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<v Speaker 1>you're locking up or Blackrock has locked up capital for

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<v Speaker 1>a longer period of time forever right in many of

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<v Speaker 1>these funds. So what is it that you're trying to

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<v Speaker 1>accomplish by targeting them. I understand that you target them

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<v Speaker 1>when they're trading below their net asset value. You want

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<v Speaker 1>them to bring investors whole. But what's the endgame here?

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<v Speaker 1>You won at one fund, what else do you want?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 3>So ETFs, as we all know, can be sold in

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<v Speaker 3>net acid value, or the market maker can redeem them

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<v Speaker 3>for net asset value, and then the manager Blackrock will

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<v Speaker 3>go instell the assets and give back net asset value.

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<v Speaker 3>Closed in funds, you're trapped. Many of these funds have

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<v Speaker 3>no maturity. They could be around for one hundred years,

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<v Speaker 3>two hundred years, and so there are periods where the

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<v Speaker 3>investors don't want them. And for some reason, there isn't

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<v Speaker 3>a manager more than Blackrock that the investors don't want.

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<v Speaker 3>It's something personal. I'm not looking to not be besties

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<v Speaker 3>with Larry Fink. I'm not looking to be besties with

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<v Speaker 3>Larry Fink.

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<v Speaker 2>You know.

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<v Speaker 3>I basically am just looking to make my investors money.

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<v Speaker 3>And if the discounts are persons, and they're there year

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<v Speaker 3>after year, and you can buy it a literal dollar

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<v Speaker 3>for eighty five cents, you have the power, unlike in

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<v Speaker 3>normal activism, to turn that back into a dollar, because

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<v Speaker 3>if you change the fund structure to being an open

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<v Speaker 3>fund like an ETF or a mutual fund, or the

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<v Speaker 3>manager agrees to buy back shares a net asset value,

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<v Speaker 3>just like Franklin Templeton did this month in three energy funds,

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<v Speaker 3>the investor has a chance to go from eighty five

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<v Speaker 3>to one hundred. And as you all know, that's not

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<v Speaker 3>even just fifteen percent, because it's fifteen over eighty five.

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<v Speaker 2>That's an eighteen percent return.

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<v Speaker 3>Big Z today is at greater than a fifteen percent discount,

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<v Speaker 3>and it's a fund that lit its investors' money on fire.

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<v Speaker 3>Now I say that it sounds dramatic. The last three

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<v Speaker 3>years we've been in more or lessible market, not for everything,

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<v Speaker 3>but Big Z has lost more than fifty percent of

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<v Speaker 3>its capital from the stock prices going down and from

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<v Speaker 3>the discounts going up, and so it's lost billions of dollars.

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<v Speaker 3>And here we have investors resoundingly saying we want change

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<v Speaker 3>at the board level. But the part that many of

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<v Speaker 3>you would be shocked to hear. Why I mentioned that

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<v Speaker 3>quip about Putin is that they've decided to set election

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<v Speaker 3>rules such that in order to replace their board, you

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<v Speaker 3>have to actually get fifty percent of all the shares

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<v Speaker 3>now in big z preliminarily they got about fifty one

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<v Speaker 3>to vote, so we would have needed fifty out of

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<v Speaker 3>fifty one. Okay, winning thirty five to fifteen wasn't good enough,

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<v Speaker 3>and so that kind of math makes it literally impossible.

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<v Speaker 3>But ironically it makes it impossible for them to put

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<v Speaker 3>anyone else on the board because they would have to

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<v Speaker 3>go through their own arcane rules. And so as a

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<v Speaker 3>result to the black Rock nominees each sit on approximately

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<v Speaker 3>seventy boards, seventy different boards. How can they do their

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<v Speaker 3>job at seventy boards At JP Morgan, each nominee sits

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<v Speaker 3>on one board. It's horrific governance from a firm that's

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<v Speaker 3>an incredible firm that actually prides itself in raising money

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<v Speaker 3>to invest in good governance.

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<v Speaker 1>Now, I think importantly, as we've mentioned, this is one

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<v Speaker 1>fund that you know the outcome far. Yes, it's a

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<v Speaker 1>big fund for you to be investing in a large discount,

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<v Speaker 1>But what about the rest of them? If you were

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<v Speaker 1>to be on course to lose, how would you react? Right?

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<v Speaker 1>Know anything about those votes?

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<v Speaker 2>Right?

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<v Speaker 3>So I can't announce what's going to happen for the

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<v Speaker 3>other big funds. Big Z is something like a billion seven.

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<v Speaker 3>It's really large, and that's also why this has captivated

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<v Speaker 3>the media's attention and also individual investors. There's a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of money at stake. Going to NAV just a few

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<v Speaker 3>weeks ago was worth one point four billion dollars to

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<v Speaker 3>mostly mom and pop investors and to our investors who.

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<v Speaker 2>Include mom and pop.

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<v Speaker 3>We manage money in these very strategies for three different

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<v Speaker 3>state pensions millions of pensioneers. So the results are in

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<v Speaker 3>limbo even if we win, because it depends what the

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<v Speaker 3>judge says. We've taken them to court this year for

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<v Speaker 3>this election, this election scheme, and last year we did

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<v Speaker 3>it for a different election scheme, and we won in

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<v Speaker 3>summary judgment against Blackrock against Neuveen, and I have a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of respect for our former our panelist from the

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<v Speaker 3>last session from New Veene, but it's Blackrock, to be fair,

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<v Speaker 3>is not the only one, but they are by far

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<v Speaker 3>the worst. And it's those legal victories that have helped

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<v Speaker 3>us in order to get good results with other managers

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<v Speaker 3>who don't want to be on the wrong side of

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<v Speaker 3>the law.

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<v Speaker 2>And so that's why this year.

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<v Speaker 3>I was very proud that we won Institutional Investor Activist

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<v Speaker 3>of the Year back to back years and no closed

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<v Speaker 3>in fund activist has ever won it before, and we

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<v Speaker 3>were voted the best activists according to Institutional You're.

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<v Speaker 1>No longer just a closed end fund activist. You're also

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<v Speaker 1>a close and fund manager, given that you've taken over

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<v Speaker 1>some funds and those funds are actually not trading at

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<v Speaker 1>asset value. So how then do you turn around and

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<v Speaker 1>attack black Rock when your own funds are trading at

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<v Speaker 1>a discount.

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<v Speaker 3>So firstly, there's two measures. Let's say there's how they performed.

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<v Speaker 3>How much money did investors make or lose? In not

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<v Speaker 3>you mentioned there's a lot of Blackrock funds where we

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<v Speaker 3>went after There are ten, nine of them the last

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<v Speaker 3>three years have lost investors money. Nine out of ten.

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<v Speaker 3>Think about the market we're in, where the SMP is,

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<v Speaker 3>even where the Russell is. Nine out of ten are

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<v Speaker 3>in the red our fund that we've been managing for

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<v Speaker 3>two and a half years. That fund has actually made

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<v Speaker 3>quite a bit of money, and in twenty twenty two,

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<v Speaker 3>the first year we managed it, it was ranked number

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<v Speaker 3>one out of two hundred and fifty seven funds. Who's

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<v Speaker 3>in where the motive was income income based funds, and

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<v Speaker 3>we were We came in first. So Blackrock can say, well,

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<v Speaker 3>their fund trades at a discount too. But what they

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<v Speaker 3>leave aside, this is the rub sonali, is that we

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<v Speaker 3>when we took it over, said to the investors, if

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<v Speaker 3>you want to get out at any V or close

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<v Speaker 3>to any V, we will let you. We conducted a

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<v Speaker 3>tender and then there was there were more people that

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<v Speaker 3>wanted to get out, kind of like you know, looking

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<v Speaker 3>at it from capturing that discount, and we did a

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<v Speaker 3>second tender, so we let investors out of forty five percent.

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<v Speaker 3>Forty five percent of the capital exited and we let

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<v Speaker 3>them out of anyv Blackrock is not willing to do

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<v Speaker 3>anything like that.

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<v Speaker 1>One critique I've heard you make is the idea of

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<v Speaker 1>lowering fees here to attract more investment. But for these funds,

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<v Speaker 1>they tend to run at higher fees in the ETF structure.

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<v Speaker 1>Would you consider lowering fees for your own funds?

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<v Speaker 2>Right?

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<v Speaker 3>So, our fund that we took over in January, the

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<v Speaker 3>tickers SABA, is one of the lowest fee funds in

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<v Speaker 3>the marketplace. It only charges seventy five basis points. The

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<v Speaker 3>other funds is more normal. It charges around right around

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<v Speaker 3>one percent, but it's also you get what you pay for,

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<v Speaker 3>you know. I think most investors appreciate that if the

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<v Speaker 3>fund is going to do interesting things. You mentioned Preditor

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<v Speaker 3>of Wizardry or whatever you said in the beginning, and

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<v Speaker 3>we are doing really neat things in those funds. We're

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<v Speaker 3>not just putting together a long portfolio and letting it sit.

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<v Speaker 3>And so I think our fees are actually very modest.

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<v Speaker 3>It's not for me to say, it's for the investors

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<v Speaker 3>to say, when you look at.

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<v Speaker 1>What you're getting now, I want to read you Blackrock statement,

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<v Speaker 1>because of course they have fought back. They have not

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<v Speaker 1>let you jes attize their funds. They said that Blackrock

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<v Speaker 1>and the funds boards remained focused on delivering value for

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<v Speaker 1>all shareholders through concrete actions such as increased distributions and

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<v Speaker 1>discount management programs. SABA is an activist hedge fund looking

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<v Speaker 1>to arbitrage funds to capture quick profits. This attack is

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<v Speaker 1>not about government's performance or discounts. It is about executing

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<v Speaker 1>saba's well known playbook buying can, rolling positions, and forcing

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<v Speaker 1>short term changes that harm retail investors to benefit SABA

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<v Speaker 1>and at touch fund investors. What is your response to

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<v Speaker 1>that and what what do you do after these campaigns?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you know, when I sit here and think, throw

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<v Speaker 3>your best at me, Shali, Like they send you a question,

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<v Speaker 3>just please, like give me your toughest question. There's no,

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<v Speaker 3>there's no, we're not We're not. I'm not here to

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<v Speaker 3>be to be, we don't have some friendly arrangement. Ask

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<v Speaker 3>me anything you want. I fear none of their questions

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<v Speaker 3>because they're so absurd. Okay, when they say that we're

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<v Speaker 3>using some purported playbook to help investors in the short term,

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<v Speaker 3>where is the long term pain of making investors money?

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<v Speaker 3>Usually when you say you have a short term motive,

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<v Speaker 3>there's a long term consequence having the funds, have investors

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<v Speaker 3>have a chance to get out.

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<v Speaker 2>At full value. Where is where is the negative in that?

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<v Speaker 3>And I'm not going to use my words, Okay, I

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<v Speaker 3>assess which is independent?

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<v Speaker 2>Okay?

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<v Speaker 3>Which stands to tell the small investor how they should

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<v Speaker 3>view this kind of rough contest that you know that

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<v Speaker 3>that we're having. Here's what ISS said about this year. Okay,

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<v Speaker 3>the board is deeply entrenched. A direct intervention remains necessary.

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<v Speaker 3>It is rare to witness a board so brazenly flout

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<v Speaker 3>the most basic of shareholder rights in furtherance of their

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<v Speaker 3>own enrichment.

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<v Speaker 2>I'll read one more.

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<v Speaker 3>The board actions are so grave that they would warrant

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<v Speaker 3>adverse vote for incumbents in an uncontested election. What Isss

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<v Speaker 3>said is that even if we didn't run against Blackrock,

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<v Speaker 3>they would have recommended against their nominees. That is literally

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<v Speaker 3>how bad it is. And I want to just say,

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<v Speaker 3>BlackRock's an amazing firm. They managed ten and a half

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<v Speaker 3>trillion dollars by last account. This might be big to us,

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<v Speaker 3>This might be very big to our investors. This is tiny,

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<v Speaker 3>small potatoes, and it will someday be a case study

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<v Speaker 3>at HBS of a strategy failure that for five billion

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<v Speaker 3>dollars of action of buying back funds at a discount,

0:10:48.160 --> 0:10:51.160
<v Speaker 3>including their own employees who would get to make that money,

0:10:51.200 --> 0:10:53.680
<v Speaker 3>including their shareholders, that they would say, look, we actually

0:10:53.679 --> 0:10:55.559
<v Speaker 3>care about you. We're going to treat you the way

0:10:55.600 --> 0:10:57.400
<v Speaker 3>other managers are treating their shareholders.

0:10:57.559 --> 0:10:59.200
<v Speaker 2>They wouldn't have this problem on their hands.

0:10:59.200 --> 0:11:02.840
<v Speaker 3>They have amazing but for closed end funds, they basically

0:11:02.920 --> 0:11:04.959
<v Speaker 3>have taken the position no one is going to tell

0:11:05.040 --> 0:11:07.360
<v Speaker 3>us what to do, and we're willing to do whatever

0:11:07.400 --> 0:11:11.240
<v Speaker 3>it takes to squash share the rights of the shareholder,

0:11:11.240 --> 0:11:13.560
<v Speaker 3>which is enshrined in the forty Act. The forty Act

0:11:13.720 --> 0:11:16.760
<v Speaker 3>is there, the nineteen forty Act, the Investment Company Act

0:11:16.760 --> 0:11:19.480
<v Speaker 3>is there to protect small investors. They don't need the

0:11:19.520 --> 0:11:22.280
<v Speaker 3>same protections in ETFs because you can vote with your feet,

0:11:22.320 --> 0:11:24.080
<v Speaker 3>you can redeem a mutual fund, you can sell an

0:11:24.080 --> 0:11:26.360
<v Speaker 3>ETF at a ne EV. But they are violating the

0:11:26.400 --> 0:11:29.600
<v Speaker 3>Investment Company Act. Don't trust my words. A judge said

0:11:29.640 --> 0:11:31.320
<v Speaker 3>it last year and we won our case.

0:11:31.440 --> 0:11:34.240
<v Speaker 1>What is your endgame here, because in addition to yes,

0:11:34.280 --> 0:11:37.240
<v Speaker 1>they did support you on the director push, but they

0:11:37.280 --> 0:11:40.720
<v Speaker 1>did not support you iss that is to terminate black

0:11:40.800 --> 0:11:44.240
<v Speaker 1>Rock as the investment advisor. Is your ultimate end game

0:11:44.400 --> 0:11:45.640
<v Speaker 1>to take over these funds.

0:11:46.520 --> 0:11:48.760
<v Speaker 3>So we've been in this is not my first rodeo.

0:11:48.800 --> 0:11:51.760
<v Speaker 3>We've been in about I don't know eighty campaigns, and

0:11:51.960 --> 0:11:55.640
<v Speaker 3>across eighty campaigns, only two times did the end result

0:11:55.720 --> 0:11:57.199
<v Speaker 3>come that we took it over. In the first case,

0:11:57.200 --> 0:11:59.240
<v Speaker 3>actually the manager resigned. They said we'll stay on as

0:11:59.320 --> 0:12:02.680
<v Speaker 3>manager until you can find a new manager. So we

0:12:02.720 --> 0:12:04.400
<v Speaker 3>don't come into it with that goal. We come into

0:12:04.480 --> 0:12:06.400
<v Speaker 3>it with the goal of making our investors' money, and

0:12:06.760 --> 0:12:08.800
<v Speaker 3>it turns out all shareholders get to make the same

0:12:08.840 --> 0:12:10.720
<v Speaker 3>amount of money. They don't have to pay the legal

0:12:10.720 --> 0:12:13.040
<v Speaker 3>fees that we're paying. And by the way, Blackrock has

0:12:13.080 --> 0:12:15.760
<v Speaker 3>sent tons of mailers. You saw the chiron and you

0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:18.640
<v Speaker 3>saw the graphic SABA is trying to destroy your fund.

0:12:18.720 --> 0:12:21.960
<v Speaker 3>That mailer went out four or five times. Robo calls

0:12:22.000 --> 0:12:23.679
<v Speaker 3>on and on. I actually receive them because I'm a

0:12:23.920 --> 0:12:27.160
<v Speaker 3>personal shareholder. I receive these these robo calls and these mailers.

0:12:27.360 --> 0:12:29.240
<v Speaker 3>And what's amazing in the case of Big Z is

0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:31.200
<v Speaker 3>the only one I can talk about. They only got

0:12:31.240 --> 0:12:33.000
<v Speaker 3>one out of seven shareholders to.

0:12:33.040 --> 0:12:33.560
<v Speaker 2>Vote for them.

0:12:33.679 --> 0:12:35.959
<v Speaker 3>I mean, it's just it's just incredible. That's despite the

0:12:36.520 --> 0:12:38.000
<v Speaker 3>So what is my end goal? My end goal is

0:12:38.040 --> 0:12:40.120
<v Speaker 3>to turn these funds back to an ev and make

0:12:40.200 --> 0:12:42.960
<v Speaker 3>everyone a billion three not because I'm some sort of

0:12:43.000 --> 0:12:46.760
<v Speaker 3>management McKinsey wizard, because NAV is a billion three away.

0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:48.800
<v Speaker 1>Has this gotten personal?

0:12:53.720 --> 0:12:56.280
<v Speaker 3>I mean I definitely, you know, I definitely a feeling

0:12:56.320 --> 0:12:58.680
<v Speaker 3>it on the stage right, But no, it's really you

0:12:58.679 --> 0:13:01.280
<v Speaker 3>know what it is. I have a pet, my pet, Peeve,

0:13:01.679 --> 0:13:05.080
<v Speaker 3>is this is going to sound a little corny. Is injustice? Okay,

0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:08.200
<v Speaker 3>it's everyone has their own. It's it's abusive. And and

0:13:08.280 --> 0:13:10.480
<v Speaker 3>so I just, having been doing this, having been in

0:13:10.520 --> 0:13:13.400
<v Speaker 3>eighty campaigns before, I just haven't seen it. We actually

0:13:13.960 --> 0:13:16.800
<v Speaker 3>decided this past year and year two of this craziness

0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:20.600
<v Speaker 3>to launch a fund dedicated to the closed in funds

0:13:20.600 --> 0:13:23.000
<v Speaker 3>of a single manager. Okay, we didn't say we're going

0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:25.480
<v Speaker 3>to pick black Rock. We looked at the attributes. What

0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:27.360
<v Speaker 3>are the funds that are at the biggest discounts, What

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:29.439
<v Speaker 3>are the funds that have the worst governance? I should

0:13:29.440 --> 0:13:31.480
<v Speaker 3>say those two funds you mentioned that we run, we

0:13:31.559 --> 0:13:33.080
<v Speaker 3>put in place the best governance.

0:13:33.360 --> 0:13:34.360
<v Speaker 2>ISS agrees.

0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:36.680
<v Speaker 3>We put in place governance where you count the number

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:39.440
<v Speaker 3>of votes, not the number of whatever that you know.

0:13:39.480 --> 0:13:41.520
<v Speaker 3>I don't even know how to describe the You know

0:13:41.720 --> 0:13:43.720
<v Speaker 3>that you need half of all the shares to be

0:13:43.880 --> 0:13:46.080
<v Speaker 3>voted in your favor, even if half don't even show up.

0:13:46.240 --> 0:13:49.320
<v Speaker 3>So all of those things annual elections instead of staggered elections.

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:52.320
<v Speaker 3>It is it is only personal in the sense that

0:13:52.400 --> 0:13:54.960
<v Speaker 3>it is it to me violates. We're so lucky in

0:13:54.960 --> 0:13:57.839
<v Speaker 3>this business. The amount of money that managers management firms

0:13:57.840 --> 0:13:59.760
<v Speaker 3>make they have ten and a half trillion dollars to

0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:01.400
<v Speaker 3>do this because they want.

0:14:01.280 --> 0:14:02.600
<v Speaker 2>To trap capital.

0:14:03.720 --> 0:14:06.640
<v Speaker 3>They're basically blinded by this being long term capital that

0:14:06.720 --> 0:14:08.959
<v Speaker 3>cannot be redeemed and they want to hold on to it.

0:14:09.200 --> 0:14:11.520
<v Speaker 3>And so it to me, it's it's like a very

0:14:11.559 --> 0:14:14.480
<v Speaker 3>noble fight. And we've received you can just look on Twitter,

0:14:14.679 --> 0:14:17.640
<v Speaker 3>hundreds and hundreds of positive comments and basically not one

0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 3>negative comment. So I do enjoy the retail coming along

0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:24.120
<v Speaker 3>for the ride.

0:14:24.160 --> 0:14:25.760
<v Speaker 2>Yes, in that sense, it's personal.

0:14:26.120 --> 0:14:29.280
<v Speaker 1>So also to be clear, this is an investment strategy.

0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:31.920
<v Speaker 1>This is a strategy that is meant to return money

0:14:32.000 --> 0:14:35.280
<v Speaker 1>to shareholders. It's not just on concept. How profitable is

0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:37.600
<v Speaker 1>it and how big of a strategy has it become.

0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:40.720
<v Speaker 1>Has SABA really pivoted from becoming a tail fund to

0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:41.680
<v Speaker 1>an activist fund?

0:14:42.000 --> 0:14:43.760
<v Speaker 3>Well, give me a tail event and I'll be I'll

0:14:43.760 --> 0:14:45.840
<v Speaker 3>be a tail fund manager again. But we've had what

0:14:45.880 --> 0:14:47.640
<v Speaker 3>have we had like forty straight days of the S

0:14:47.680 --> 0:14:50.080
<v Speaker 3>and P not going down even three quarters of a percent?

0:14:50.760 --> 0:14:53.400
<v Speaker 3>I am it is a It is a big business

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:55.240
<v Speaker 3>for us. We own six billion of closed end funds,

0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:57.280
<v Speaker 3>a full third of them or just this single manager

0:14:57.280 --> 0:14:59.720
<v Speaker 3>black Rock and and many of them we think have

0:14:59.760 --> 0:15:02.360
<v Speaker 3>good governance, they just are at discounts. We don't have

0:15:02.400 --> 0:15:05.120
<v Speaker 3>a governance issue. So it's it's it is quite a

0:15:05.120 --> 0:15:07.280
<v Speaker 3>big business for us, and I can't really on this

0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:09.440
<v Speaker 3>stage speak to the returns. But we have an ETF,

0:15:09.480 --> 0:15:12.440
<v Speaker 3>for example, the ticker is CEFS. It's been around for

0:15:12.480 --> 0:15:14.840
<v Speaker 3>more than seven years, and people can plug in how

0:15:14.840 --> 0:15:18.000
<v Speaker 3>that did versus the three other ETFs that own closed

0:15:18.040 --> 0:15:21.000
<v Speaker 3>in funds. It's done, It's done very well.

0:15:21.080 --> 0:15:21.520
<v Speaker 1>How well?

0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:23.440
<v Speaker 2>All right?

0:15:23.520 --> 0:15:25.400
<v Speaker 3>Well, if someone were to plug it into Bloomberg and

0:15:25.440 --> 0:15:28.160
<v Speaker 3>they put CFS and then they put the invesco version

0:15:28.280 --> 0:15:30.880
<v Speaker 3>or the first trust version, I think for the last

0:15:30.880 --> 0:15:33.280
<v Speaker 3>three years, and it's held a lot of it, it's

0:15:33.320 --> 0:15:34.920
<v Speaker 3>been in fixed income, which is you know, had a

0:15:34.920 --> 0:15:37.880
<v Speaker 3>tough time. Those other funds have made between zero and

0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:39.440
<v Speaker 3>two percent and we've made ten percent.

0:15:39.880 --> 0:15:43.680
<v Speaker 1>So let's broaden out here again, because you know, people

0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:45.800
<v Speaker 1>have looked at you for credit markets for a long time.

0:15:46.120 --> 0:15:48.960
<v Speaker 1>When we talk about the closed un funds strategy, there's

0:15:49.040 --> 0:15:52.240
<v Speaker 1>a deeper question. It's not really just about closed on funds.

0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:55.280
<v Speaker 1>There's a whole push by the private acset industry to

0:15:56.080 --> 0:15:59.000
<v Speaker 1>push into retail, to push into interval funds to find

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 1>new strategies to bring money in. Are all of those

0:16:02.800 --> 0:16:04.800
<v Speaker 1>funds vulnerable to activists?

0:16:05.480 --> 0:16:10.000
<v Speaker 3>So by the laws of depending on the structure, some are,

0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:12.320
<v Speaker 3>some are not. You know, in the interval fund you

0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:14.520
<v Speaker 3>generally you only have the right to redeem five percent,

0:16:14.600 --> 0:16:17.440
<v Speaker 3>so you're getting five percent back per quarter, but you can't.

0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:21.200
<v Speaker 3>They also invest generally in deeply liquid assets, so you

0:16:21.200 --> 0:16:24.320
<v Speaker 3>couldn't just sell Microsoft or IBM and raise the cash.

0:16:24.480 --> 0:16:27.640
<v Speaker 3>So it is interesting for me as having been in

0:16:27.720 --> 0:16:30.040
<v Speaker 3>credit at the forefront of all the innovation that came

0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:34.240
<v Speaker 3>after nineteen ninety eight, with with credit derivatives and synthetic

0:16:34.280 --> 0:16:36.960
<v Speaker 3>securitization and all of this sort of stuff. And back

0:16:37.040 --> 0:16:39.400
<v Speaker 3>then retail investors were redeemed.

0:16:39.160 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 2>Unsuitable to own these things.

0:16:40.560 --> 0:16:42.320
<v Speaker 3>You couldn't own high yields really if you were not

0:16:42.400 --> 0:16:45.680
<v Speaker 3>a qualified investor. And now whether it's Colo tranches, you know,

0:16:45.720 --> 0:16:49.720
<v Speaker 3>alphabet soup, and so this has been an amazing boom

0:16:49.800 --> 0:16:53.240
<v Speaker 3>for the largest asset managers, the amazing managers like in

0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:56.520
<v Speaker 3>Aries or Apollo that can bring these products their reputations

0:16:56.960 --> 0:16:59.560
<v Speaker 3>and good governance, I should say, because we also see

0:16:59.600 --> 0:17:02.440
<v Speaker 3>a lot of good governance JP Morgan has great governance

0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:03.840
<v Speaker 3>on their closed in funds.

0:17:03.760 --> 0:17:07.920
<v Speaker 2>And we see that. You know, there is huge investor demand.

0:17:08.280 --> 0:17:10.840
<v Speaker 3>The private credit space was a cottage industry a decade

0:17:10.880 --> 0:17:13.120
<v Speaker 3>ago at less than a quarter trillion dollars. Now it's

0:17:13.119 --> 0:17:15.600
<v Speaker 3>one and a half trillion, and it's growing like gangbusters.

0:17:15.600 --> 0:17:19.320
<v Speaker 3>So this kind of liquid credit investing that you're referring

0:17:19.320 --> 0:17:21.639
<v Speaker 3>to allows the manager to lock up for many years.

0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:24.480
<v Speaker 3>It's great for their stock price, it may be great

0:17:24.480 --> 0:17:26.560
<v Speaker 3>for their investors, but you know, we are in a

0:17:26.560 --> 0:17:28.840
<v Speaker 3>little bit of a zero sum world. Like if making

0:17:28.920 --> 0:17:31.800
<v Speaker 3>loans that are secured that are safe, that of you know,

0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:34.560
<v Speaker 3>a lot of acid coverage at twelve percent or thirteen

0:17:34.600 --> 0:17:38.600
<v Speaker 3>percent is great for areas, it probably ain't great for

0:17:38.680 --> 0:17:43.280
<v Speaker 3>the for the borrower, especially in this higher for longer world.

0:17:43.280 --> 0:17:44.840
<v Speaker 3>So just to close on that, just to say, I

0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:47.480
<v Speaker 3>think people just even three months ago, we're really expecting

0:17:47.560 --> 0:17:49.800
<v Speaker 3>rates to come down and that thirteen to go to

0:17:49.840 --> 0:17:52.720
<v Speaker 3>twelve eleven ten and really alleviate that pressure. But I

0:17:52.720 --> 0:17:55.119
<v Speaker 3>think higher for longer we're headed for some sort of

0:17:55.119 --> 0:17:59.520
<v Speaker 3>collision course between If we have that in conjunction with

0:17:59.560 --> 0:18:01.240
<v Speaker 3>an economic slowdown, we are going.

0:18:01.040 --> 0:18:02.080
<v Speaker 2>To have a default cycle.

0:18:02.280 --> 0:18:04.880
<v Speaker 3>We are going to see which firms were good at

0:18:04.960 --> 0:18:07.760
<v Speaker 3>private credit and which we're not, because private credit has

0:18:07.800 --> 0:18:11.840
<v Speaker 3>been touted as this like amazing thing, almost like NFTs

0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:14.960
<v Speaker 3>or you know, chatch ept. I mean, what is private credit?

0:18:15.000 --> 0:18:18.080
<v Speaker 3>You're you're making loans to smaller companies. I mean, how

0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:21.520
<v Speaker 3>is that sexy? No, you know so, but it's very

0:18:21.520 --> 0:18:24.719
<v Speaker 3>sexy for Aris and Apollo and and I look at

0:18:24.720 --> 0:18:28.600
<v Speaker 3>it like this amazing force that will have hiccups in

0:18:28.640 --> 0:18:29.360
<v Speaker 3>the years to come.

0:18:29.560 --> 0:18:32.040
<v Speaker 1>Now, one more question before you before I let you go,

0:18:32.440 --> 0:18:35.879
<v Speaker 1>is you know we have a major catalyst around the corner,

0:18:35.920 --> 0:18:40.720
<v Speaker 1>that is the US presidential election. As a massive investor

0:18:40.760 --> 0:18:43.680
<v Speaker 1>in credit and also as somebody who looks at volatility

0:18:43.760 --> 0:18:47.119
<v Speaker 1>very closely, what are you thinking about headed into that

0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:49.600
<v Speaker 1>election cycle and what comes out of it? How to position?

0:18:50.240 --> 0:18:53.520
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so you know, it's it's coming closer every day,

0:18:53.520 --> 0:18:56.520
<v Speaker 3>and it warn't our attention. And we'll also if there

0:18:56.600 --> 0:18:59.600
<v Speaker 3>is a change in the presidency, you'll have a president

0:18:59.600 --> 0:19:04.440
<v Speaker 3>that people consider as someone that will be less will

0:19:04.480 --> 0:19:06.600
<v Speaker 3>be more unfettered, let's say, and maybe have scores to

0:19:06.640 --> 0:19:09.040
<v Speaker 3>settle and have views about how to undo things. And

0:19:09.080 --> 0:19:13.040
<v Speaker 3>so change generally means volatility. So it's really reflexive to think, Okay,

0:19:13.080 --> 0:19:15.400
<v Speaker 3>if Trump is elected, there'll be a lot of volatility. Now,

0:19:15.720 --> 0:19:18.240
<v Speaker 3>he also is very interested in the stock market going up,

0:19:18.280 --> 0:19:20.920
<v Speaker 3>which you know usually think about in conjunction with lower volatility.

0:19:20.960 --> 0:19:23.640
<v Speaker 3>So you know, so, but might might the ways he

0:19:23.760 --> 0:19:27.400
<v Speaker 3>does that, whether it's a new Fed governor cause.

0:19:27.400 --> 0:19:30.639
<v Speaker 2>Some short term short term gain for actual long term pain.

0:19:30.520 --> 0:19:32.439
<v Speaker 3>Where interest rates and the front end come down but

0:19:32.480 --> 0:19:35.119
<v Speaker 3>in the back end go up, and and you know

0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:38.160
<v Speaker 3>certain firms are affected that way. As when I think

0:19:38.200 --> 0:19:41.320
<v Speaker 3>through that Trump means volatility. I also the other side

0:19:41.359 --> 0:19:44.719
<v Speaker 3>of me thinks back to twenty seventeen. We had Trump

0:19:44.800 --> 0:19:47.160
<v Speaker 3>and we had Kim jongun and he was calling him

0:19:47.200 --> 0:19:49.119
<v Speaker 3>rocket Man. He was kind of taunting him, and I

0:19:49.119 --> 0:19:52.640
<v Speaker 3>remember during Rocketman, it wasn't an Elton John reference. Right

0:19:52.680 --> 0:19:56.240
<v Speaker 3>at that moment, the Vics hit single digits. The VIX

0:19:56.359 --> 0:19:57.960
<v Speaker 3>was the all time, it was at nine. I like,

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:00.240
<v Speaker 3>I was crying because I'm a long volatility matter. During

0:20:00.240 --> 0:20:02.320
<v Speaker 3>the VICK is literally at nine, and so you know,

0:20:02.400 --> 0:20:06.520
<v Speaker 3>the Trump presidency is, if it happens, is going to

0:20:06.560 --> 0:20:09.119
<v Speaker 3>be in many ways unpredictable, So you think they'll be

0:20:09.200 --> 0:20:11.760
<v Speaker 3>volatility but let's also remember there was also a lot

0:20:11.760 --> 0:20:15.000
<v Speaker 3>of economic stability. Though maybe because we're in a zero

0:20:15.000 --> 0:20:17.720
<v Speaker 3>percent interest rate world and now having seen the excess

0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:21.200
<v Speaker 3>of that and the inflation, maybe we're not going to

0:20:21.440 --> 0:20:23.440
<v Speaker 3>go back to that world, and they'll be volatility whether

0:20:23.480 --> 0:20:25.400
<v Speaker 3>Trump is elected or Biden is reelected.

0:20:25.400 --> 0:20:26.640
<v Speaker 1>Who's better for the bond market?

0:20:27.640 --> 0:20:28.000
<v Speaker 2>Biden?

0:20:28.359 --> 0:20:34.920
<v Speaker 3>Why he's well, because I think he's less motivated by

0:20:34.960 --> 0:20:37.440
<v Speaker 3>the stock market and more motivated by what's good for America.

0:20:38.359 --> 0:20:40.760
<v Speaker 3>On the subject of bonds, I'm not getting that political.

0:20:41.080 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 2>Just bonds.

0:20:43.080 --> 0:20:45.359
<v Speaker 1>We will leave it there, Boaz, thank you so much

0:20:45.359 --> 0:20:47.400
<v Speaker 1>for taking all our questions. That as BoA's mind set

0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:48.159
<v Speaker 1>of SABA Capital