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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: in your life. This is a paid advertisement, all right,

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Speaker 2: instant reaction. We have all sorts of stuff I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: give you about twelve to fifteen minutes on the Rams Niners,

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Speaker 2: and some Belichick thoughts something was uncovered tonight. That's fascinating.

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Speaker 2: Chad Millman, Sharper Square. We're gonna also talk Belichick and UFOs.

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Speaker 2: You know why not. So the Rams beat the forty

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Speaker 2: nine ers twelve to six. So the first thing is

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Speaker 2: I did I stayed away from this game. I wouldn't

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Speaker 2: touch it. I could have done a DraftKings bet, I said,

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Speaker 2: I there's too many injuries, weather, it's shaky, and the

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Speaker 2: Rams just played a flawless football game against Buffalo. Then

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Speaker 2: you got to get on a plane Wednesday, flight to

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Speaker 2: arrival division game like added no what? I just I

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Speaker 2: knew the Rams were gonna be off. You cannot play

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Speaker 2: a game against a team like Buffalo, a high stakes

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Speaker 2: game and be flawless, even with men. This isn't college.

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Speaker 2: But to go on the road against your rival Green

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Speaker 2: Laws back Bosa played. So they won and you have

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Speaker 2: to be healthy. But they won and you have to

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Speaker 2: be happy. But here's the thing. So all these wide receivers,

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Speaker 2: do you know Tyreek Hill, Jamar Chase, and Deebo Samuel's

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Speaker 2: record this year seventeen and twenty three. Top five rushing

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Speaker 2: teams are all right now in the playoffs, you gotta

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Speaker 2: be careful with DIVA wide receivers. Deebo wants the ball.

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Speaker 2: Oh Debo can't catch the ball tonight on an underneath

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Speaker 2: route where he had a chance to peel off a

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Speaker 2: huge play, potentially a touchdown, and they settled for a

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Speaker 2: field goal. You could clearly see the Niners trying to

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Speaker 2: appease Debo and get in the ball and force it.

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Speaker 2: I like him better as a running back than a

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Speaker 2: receiver anyway. I think his yards after the catch and

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Speaker 2: his running ability is much greater than his separation ability.

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Speaker 2: I think he's become sort of a banged up poor

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Speaker 2: man's and Kwon Bolden that you know doesn't separate. But

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Speaker 2: he's physically tough and a nice player. But this is

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Speaker 2: so you have young brock Purdy, you know, doesn't want

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Speaker 2: to lose Debo. Ayyuk's already out for the year. Trent Williams,

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Speaker 2: Christian McCaffrey hurt. So Deebo picks the worst time to,

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Speaker 2: you know, be high maintenance because you know pretty's young.

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Speaker 2: He doesn't have Ayyuk. You know, Kittle is tremendous, but

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Speaker 2: a lot of teams now are taking him out and

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Speaker 2: spending a lot of coverage on him. So they forced

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Speaker 2: a debo and this is what you get. Biggest game

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Speaker 2: of the year for the Niners, one hundred and ninety

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Speaker 2: seven total yards. You know it, brock pretty in thirteen starts.

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Speaker 2: Everybody talks about him getting paid big money. It's a

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Speaker 2: big mistake. I don't buy it. I never have. Doesn't

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Speaker 2: have Christian McCaffrey, doesn't have Trent Williams in thirteen starts

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Speaker 2: this year, fifteen touchdowns, nine picks, and you want to

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Speaker 2: pay him fifty five million dollars the minute you take

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Speaker 2: away his best players. He is a guy. He didn't

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Speaker 2: get passed by everybody in this draft. You know, during

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Speaker 2: Tom Brady's run, there were more sleepers. You find occasional sleepers,

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Speaker 2: but scouting departments now are much more sophisticated. You know,

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Speaker 2: in Brady's era, you didn't have all the YouTube stuff.

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Speaker 2: You didn't have the ability to see some of these

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Speaker 2: college games. They're all on television. Now, it's just really

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Speaker 2: hard to hide people. Staffs are bigger, Scouting departments are bigger.

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Speaker 2: There's just more sophistication. You know, Rock Purty dropped to

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Speaker 2: the seventh round. He's small, he doesn't have a big arm.

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Speaker 2: He's athletic but not special. Hands are a bit small,

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Speaker 2: you know, And you're watching a guy that when you

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Speaker 2: lose people, what do you get? And conversely, tonight, Matt

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Speaker 2: Stafford very very rough first half. I mean it was

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Speaker 2: like the Niners defense had the Rams playbook. They knew

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Speaker 2: where he was. He was just trying to beg in

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Speaker 2: to throw an interception. And yet he showed exactly why

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Speaker 2: he's a real franchise player on those big drives late third,

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Speaker 2: early fourth quarter, using his feet two or three times

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Speaker 2: ducking out of stuff, really big third down throw. I

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Speaker 2: wrote this big third down throw to Colby Parkinson late

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Speaker 2: whereas pretty previously in the fourth quarter had a really

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Speaker 2: really ugly end zone pick. You saw the real separation

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Speaker 2: here Rams, short week of a highly emotional game on

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Speaker 2: the road division rival. Neither team has their fastball. Stafford

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Speaker 2: in the second half after a shaky first really made

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Speaker 2: all the big throws. And because the coaches are both great,

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Speaker 2: the offensive lines are good, not great, And that's the

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Speaker 2: separation between the two. Yeah, I'm looking at this two

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Speaker 2: big drives Stafford in the second half. That's the ball game.

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Speaker 2: And you know, people, people think I'm anti Purty no,

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Speaker 2: but somebody's got to pop the balloon on this nonsense.

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Speaker 2: I think Pretty is a less athletic Dak. Now, Dak

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Speaker 2: after a second surgery here is going to be even

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Speaker 2: less athletic. He lost mobility after his first surgery. He'll

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Speaker 2: be less athletic. You're seeing what it's doing to Aaron Rodgers.

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Speaker 2: You're saying what it's doing to Kirk Cousins. He's younger,

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Speaker 2: but he won't be the same. And this is what

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Speaker 2: holds the Cowboys back. They're paying a B quarterback A

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Speaker 2: plus money. If you pay Pretty A minus money, he's

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Speaker 2: a he's a B quarterback. You just still want to

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Speaker 2: get into that space. Pittsburg will probably pay Russell Wilson.

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Speaker 2: They're going to pay him B quarterback money. Darnold could

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Speaker 2: be franchise tag for forty million, forty one million, but

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Speaker 2: that's B quarterback money. And I've said this, I wrote

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Speaker 2: the Niners obituary three or four weeks ago. I don't

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Speaker 2: think this is a tweak. I don't think it's a tweak.

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Speaker 2: I think I both Ayuk and Deebo are now pretty verbal.

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Speaker 2: Don't neither seems terribly happy. Kittle's horrific, but he's a

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Speaker 2: tight end. He is aging. Trent Williams doesn't have much

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Speaker 2: left on the tires, so I think they have to

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Speaker 2: rebuild both offensive lines. And conversely, the Rams are really

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Speaker 2: well coached. I said, outside of the Lions, I'm not

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Speaker 2: sure there's a team in the league that has a

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Speaker 2: better offensive head coach, quarterback, star running back, and two

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Speaker 2: elite receivers. And they're doing it without Tyler higgsby their

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Speaker 2: top tight end, who is coming back soon. So is

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Speaker 2: the Rams. Offensive line has gotten healthier over the last month.

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Speaker 2: Stafford's been exceptional. You noticed it tonight. He had better protection.

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Speaker 2: Now they're getting their tight end back to go along

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Speaker 2: with Colby Parkinson and David Allen, So all of a sudden,

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Speaker 2: now the Rams are healthy down the stretch, and I

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Speaker 2: think they can play with anybody. Now. They're defense, they're

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Speaker 2: a little like the Packers. They feel like they're a

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Speaker 2: tad young. The Packers are young on offense. The Rams

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Speaker 2: feel a little young on defense, and they still need

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Speaker 2: a number one corner in the draft. But this is

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Speaker 2: a real RAMS team, and I think they solidified their

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Speaker 2: playoffs tonight. It's a quarterback coach league, and nothing against Shanahan,

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Speaker 2: but he's got pretty and Stafford and McVeigh are another level.

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Speaker 2: So congratulations. So I want to add this because this

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Speaker 2: came down tonight. So Chad Melbourne and I talks in Belichick,

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Speaker 2: but I didn't have this information. So I made the

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Speaker 2: prediction today on FS one. I said, my take is

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Speaker 2: Bill Belichick, easy schedule Carolina. It's going to win eight

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Speaker 2: or nine games and maybe get to the playoff, but

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Speaker 2: get to a big Bowl. But I don't necessarily think

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Speaker 2: he'll coach in that bowl. I think Belichick is going

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Speaker 2: to get irritated. His coaching and his structure and the

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Speaker 2: personnel with Mike Lombardi will be fine. I don't think

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Speaker 2: those guys are long term fits at the college level.

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Speaker 2: They've got a very Charlie weissfield but even more blunt,

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Speaker 2: and Belichick's got so much power, and because Lombardi's his friend,

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Speaker 2: Lombardi's got power. I think they'll it could be pretty rough.

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Speaker 2: They're pretty terse, blunt, you know, outspoken guys, both very

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Speaker 2: very talented. I know Mike Lombardi is very talented guy,

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Speaker 2: and I wish him both well. But it comes out tonight.

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Speaker 2: Belichick Steele has a buyout of only one million dollars

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Speaker 2: and he can leave after June first this year. Now,

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Speaker 2: he's not going to duh and nobody hires a coach

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Speaker 2: after June first, obviously, But I said today, I think

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Speaker 2: he's going to coach one year and go back and

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Speaker 2: get an offer in the NFL. And I think he's

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Speaker 2: going to hand it over to his son. So there's

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Speaker 2: some things that will come out in the contract. And

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Speaker 2: I do think Bill wanted the Bear's job. They're not interested.

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Speaker 2: I think he's really interested in the Jacksonville job. They're

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Speaker 2: not interested. Mike Rabel. By the way, and I talked

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Speaker 2: to Mike Brabel for about fifteen minutes this morning, and

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to give a lie details of that,

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Speaker 2: but you know, one of the things I told Mike,

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Speaker 2: I said, you're now the number one candidate. I'm just

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Speaker 2: not sure there are any jobs worthy of your coaching ability.

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Speaker 2: I think next year is a much more interesting year.

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Speaker 2: If you look at Zach Taylor Cincinnati, I think he'll

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Speaker 2: retain his job. I'm not sure if he'll retain it

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Speaker 2: if the Bengals have another season like this, keep your

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Speaker 2: eye on that. I think Mike McCarthy will keep his

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Speaker 2: job potentially, and so will Brian Dable. But both the

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Speaker 2: Giants with a Shador Sanders at quarterback and the Cowboys

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Speaker 2: could have openings. I think the openings this year too

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Speaker 2: many impulsive odd ownership executive areas Jets, Bears, Jacksonville. But

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Speaker 2: Belichick say it again. I said it on the air today.

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Speaker 2: I think he'll stay one year in Bolt his contract.

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Speaker 2: He could bolt after June first this year. He's not

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Speaker 2: going to. But my prediction he'll leave after one year.

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Speaker 2: And Bill Parcells twice broadcasting Bolted told people I'm going

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Speaker 2: to stay at Bolted. Bill's a coach. Sean Payton stayed

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Speaker 2: for a year, loved it. I mean, Sean really loved

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Speaker 2: working as an analyst. He left Bill Belichick's coach, and

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Speaker 2: I do think he'll I mean, I saw and talked

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Speaker 2: at length today about the schedule at North Carolina. The

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Speaker 2: a SEC is so bad. I mean, he gets Clemson

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Speaker 2: at home. They're not another game that he can't win.

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Speaker 2: Syracuse on the road could be little dicey, but so

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Speaker 2: it's just interesting. In order for that to be in

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Speaker 2: the contract, Bill Belichick demanded that it was in the

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Speaker 2: contract because, as I told you, Jimmy Sexton, the top

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Speaker 2: agent in college football, he's not sending his top clients there.

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Speaker 2: And Belichick's not represented by Jimmy Sexton. So this is

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Speaker 2: not a very highly coveted job because the push and

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Speaker 2: pull between kind of academics and football. The chancellor, I

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Speaker 2: think it's always been a little bit of a sleeping giant,

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Speaker 2: but it's had some good years with mac Brown the

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Speaker 2: first time and mac Brown the second time. But to

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Speaker 2: get that in the contract, you wanted it in the

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Speaker 2: contract and demanded it be in the contract. Okay, I've

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Speaker 2: never seen a contract stipulation like that that he could

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Speaker 2: leave basically after June first, and again, he's not leading

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Speaker 2: this year. That's never what I said, but I do

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Speaker 2: my prediction he will leave after one year. He would

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Speaker 2: deny that, obviously, But college football is I mean, you're

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Speaker 2: seeing on a weekly basis guys that love college football,

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Speaker 2: young coaches talk about how frustrating the portal, the lack

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Speaker 2: of regulations, and the NIL is. I still contend the

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Speaker 2: NIL should have about an eighteen million dollars salary cap.

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Speaker 2: NFL's got one. Otherwise you're going to get a separation

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Speaker 2: of Texas Band forty million and spending three I just

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Speaker 2: it will be. It will be, you know, even the

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Speaker 2: disparity between the top and the bottom will be even

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Speaker 2: greater than it is now. And it's pretty great now.

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Speaker 2: So that's the latest. Congrats to the Rams, gutt you win,

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Speaker 2: Stavord and McVeigh. That's why you pay him the big bucks.

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Speaker 2: Belichick's deal, that is a very interesting clause, one that

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Speaker 2: he wanted or he wouldn't have fought for it, and

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Speaker 2: one that North Carolina agreed with. North Carolina is telling you, hey,

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Speaker 2: just bringing you on campus, getting the publicity, elevating our

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Speaker 2: nil from four million to eighteen to twenty million, adding

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Speaker 2: a professional structure to our program. Hey, we appreciate it.

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Speaker 2: We need that the world's changing and we're not ready

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Speaker 2: for it. And if you're willing in one year, give

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Speaker 2: us at least one full year. And I think even

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Speaker 2: though that's in the contract, I think it's understood. Bill

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Speaker 2: wouldn't bolt June second. Nobody's hiring coaches. Then all right,

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Speaker 2: Chad Millman, here we go. Well, It's the most wonderful

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Speaker 2: Right time for another edition. We released this on Thursday

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Speaker 2: night and the YouTube channel or Friday on the podcast

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Speaker 2: Sharper Square. Chad Millman co host of the Favorites. All

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Speaker 2: of our odds provided by DraftKings, So last week a

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Speaker 2: lot of favorites were in favor for me and didn't

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Speaker 2: necessarily do well. I'm still surprised how the Rams played

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Speaker 2: perhaps the most flawless half too game of offensive football

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Speaker 2: by any team on the season. I was just watching

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Speaker 2: some clips of it today and they did everything right.

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Speaker 2: Nobody dropped a pass, ball, never hit the turf, no holding.

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Speaker 2: It was a thing of art. And it's interesting because

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Speaker 2: now this week you get the Bills getting two and

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Speaker 2: a half at the Lions, and I like the Bills here,

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Speaker 2: use they're getting Kincaid, the tight end is healthy, they're

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Speaker 2: getting Coleman back. It was almost as if it was

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Speaker 2: this Sandwich game, even though it's McVeigh and Stafford. You know,

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Speaker 2: Buffalo travels west. They know half the stadium is going

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Speaker 2: to be theirs. They're looking at that Detroit game even

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Speaker 2: though it's not an AFC or a divisional game. And

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Speaker 2: they had a couple of guys on the cusp that

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Speaker 2: could play or not, and they elected not, and they

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Speaker 2: got caught flat footed when the Rams played a flawless game.

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Speaker 2: So I like Buffalo plus two and a half now

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Speaker 2: sharper square.

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Speaker 4: Well, the line has moved from one and a half

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Speaker 4: Detroit to two and a half Detroit. And I will

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Speaker 4: tell you that the majority of betting tickets have been

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Speaker 4: coming in on the Buffalo Bills. So when you see

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Speaker 4: a line move that goes in the direction of one

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Speaker 4: side that is opposite where the betting tickets are, that's

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Speaker 4: a reverse line move, and that sizes you. The professional

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Speaker 4: betters are on the Lions, and they've been on the

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Speaker 4: Lions at one and a half and two at two

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Speaker 4: and a half. You start to see the pressure point

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Speaker 4: you'll find an equal number who still like the Lions

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Speaker 4: at two and a half, and they take it up

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Speaker 4: to three, and you'll find the number of wise guys

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Speaker 4: who are coming in at two and a half on

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Speaker 4: the Bills and liking the Bills because they like Josh Allen.

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Speaker 4: I will tell you I'm a Lions backer. In this game,

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Speaker 4: I bettered at one and a half, I bettered at two.

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Speaker 4: As healthy as the Bills are starting to get with

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Speaker 4: players coming back, this may be the healthiest the Lions

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Speaker 4: have been in eight weeks. They could get a lot

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Speaker 4: of guys back on the defensive line that has just

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Speaker 4: been decimated over the past three to four weeks. Also,

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Speaker 4: the Lions haven't played on the road since November twenty

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Speaker 4: fourth at the Colts. They haven't played period for ten days.

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Speaker 4: You talk about the Bills, they just had a gauntlet, right,

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Speaker 4: They had the Chiefs, they had the Niners. Those were

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Speaker 4: massive games for them, getting over huge humps. They go

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Speaker 4: on the road, have an intense, nearly perfect game that

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Speaker 4: just isn't perfect enough against the Rams. Now they got

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Speaker 4: to go on the road again against what might be

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Speaker 4: the best team in the NFL, and they could face

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Speaker 4: them in the Super Bowl. So you know you're not

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Speaker 4: wrong by betting the Bills at two and a half.

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Speaker 4: But if you said I like the Lions, you'd be

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Speaker 4: on the sharp side too. It's a pretty even split

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Speaker 4: at this number. Just at this number.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Steelers getting five and a half at the Eagles.

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Speaker 2: And the reason I like this is because Pittsburgh's mostly

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Speaker 2: been a pretty good team against the run. If you

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Speaker 2: look at what the Eagles have decided to do since

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Speaker 2: the buy, it is throw the ball less. Green Bay's

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Speaker 2: doing this too. They are a run first team, as

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Speaker 2: they should be. Their best player is Saq One. Their

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Speaker 2: second best player is AJ Brown. I think Pittsburgh can

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Speaker 2: have some vulnerabilities against the pass, but I don't think

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Speaker 2: Jalen hurts from the hocket. I mean, AJ Brown's not

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Speaker 2: happy he's only getting six and a half targets. Mike

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Speaker 2: Tomlin is the best underdog coach in the league. Four

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Speaker 2: and a half points. These two don't play very often.

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Speaker 2: It feels like a lot of points to a very

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Speaker 2: good roster. Even if Pittsburgh lost, If Pickens plays, they

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00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:26,359
Speaker 2: have enough big play ability to back door cover. The

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00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:30,040
Speaker 2: line seems out of whack. I'll take the Steelers Sharper square.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's sharp.

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Speaker 4: And this is what we talked about on the Favorites

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Speaker 4: podcast was why isn't this number three? Why isn't this

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Speaker 4: number three and a half? When the number is so

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00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:44,120
Speaker 4: out of whack, you either are being asked to do

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Speaker 4: something that is too easy, which the books never do,

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Speaker 4: or you feel like you're missing something. I don't know

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Speaker 4: what we're missing here. Like you just mentioned, Tomlin is

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Speaker 4: the best underdog coach in the league. Tomlin is the

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Speaker 4: best underdog coach in a generation. Let's put this in perspective.

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Speaker 4: You win fifty three percent of your bets. You're an

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Speaker 4: incredible sports better, right, that's what you're looking for. So

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Speaker 4: when we talk about trends, and we talk about analytics

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Speaker 4: on certain opportunities and metrics and betting, if we can

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Speaker 4: find a trend that is fifty six percent against the

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Speaker 4: spread over in historically relevant period of time, you tend

354
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,119
Speaker 4: to want to play that if all the other factors

355
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:30,359
Speaker 4: are in your direction. Tomlin, he's sixty plus percent in

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Speaker 4: just about every category. As an underdog, you say, all right,

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Speaker 4: between three and seven two key numbers, sixty seven percent,

358
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:41,119
Speaker 4: you say on the road, as a dog sixty four percent,

359
00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,359
Speaker 4: like you can't name a category where he's not sixty

360
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,919
Speaker 4: plus percent. And then if you look at the matchup too,

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Speaker 4: you mentioned Saquan right, the Eagles are the only team

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Speaker 4: in the NFL that is running the ball at a

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00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:54,359
Speaker 4: higher percenters and they're passing the ball, and I would

364
00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:58,080
Speaker 4: not think, oh my god, Jalen Hurts and AJ Brown

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00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 4: there's you know, strife and now they're getting along again.

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Speaker 4: Doesn't mean that Kellen Moore is going to change this

367
00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:06,040
Speaker 4: offense and all of a sudden try to make it so.

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00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:08,760
Speaker 4: AJ Brown is getting more and more touches. This is

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Speaker 4: who they are. Jalen Hurst has throwing the fewest passes

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00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:14,159
Speaker 4: in the NFL this year, So I would expect a

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00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:17,240
Speaker 4: little scoring game wise. Guys are expecting a little scoring

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Speaker 4: game that plays to the advantage of the team that

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Speaker 4: is more than a field goal underdog.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, that's the sharp side.

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00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:32,520
Speaker 2: I like the Broncos minus four, both teams off a bye.

376
00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:36,280
Speaker 2: I think Denver's got a really good defense now again,

377
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:40,040
Speaker 2: Jamis Winston. I think you can beat it down the field.

378
00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 2: That's not really what the Colts do. I think there

379
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:46,880
Speaker 2: are ways to score on virtually every team in this league,

380
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:49,200
Speaker 2: and I think Cleveland is one of those weird bad

381
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:52,119
Speaker 2: teams that can be highly productive throwing the ball down

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Speaker 2: the field. But it should be noted in that game

383
00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,800
Speaker 2: denverly Denver eventually got picked sixes and turn the game

384
00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:04,960
Speaker 2: around with their defense. Is I think Anthony Richardson is

385
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:08,320
Speaker 2: struggling with Shane steikn Look what Shane Steiken did with

386
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 2: Gardner Minshew Okay, Shane Steiken as a rookie with Justin

387
00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:18,399
Speaker 2: Herbert set records made Jalen Hurts an MVP level player

388
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 2: and he's pretty average from the pocket. That passing game

389
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:25,080
Speaker 2: is limited, and I think it's limited because Anthony Richardson

390
00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 2: may not be a pro starting quarterback. I get an

391
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:35,959
Speaker 2: experience coach an excellent defense at home against a Dome team.

392
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:39,920
Speaker 2: You know, I love the number four. It's probably square,

393
00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:43,520
Speaker 2: but I like Denver. Here, give me Sean Payton, Shanahan,

394
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Speaker 2: McVeigh read extra time, Sharper square.

395
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Speaker 4: Yeah, you know the answer, It's totally square. The wise

396
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:54,199
Speaker 4: guys love the Colts here. It's been bet down. It

397
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:56,639
Speaker 4: was at four and a half, it's at four. It'll

398
00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 4: probably go down to three and a half. If you

399
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:02,600
Speaker 4: want to bet the Colts, get it now, because it's

400
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 4: only going.

401
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:04,480
Speaker 1: To go in their direction.

402
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:09,920
Speaker 4: You're right about the Broncos coming off a bye, and

403
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 4: there is a lot of public sentiment on the Broncos

404
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:17,119
Speaker 4: right now. The last time anyone saw them, they were

405
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 4: winning in dramatic fashion against the Browns, right they were

406
00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:24,240
Speaker 4: getting two pick sixes, they were covering with a miracle

407
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,600
Speaker 4: and interception in the end zone. The Broncos are covering

408
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:31,800
Speaker 4: by five points per game. Historically, teams that are covering

409
00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:34,760
Speaker 4: by five points per game over the course of the

410
00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:38,280
Speaker 4: season once we get past Week five only covered about

411
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 4: a forty four percent clip against the spread. So there's

412
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:45,160
Speaker 4: one trend to help the cause of the cults. But also,

413
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:48,040
Speaker 4: I don't know that wise guys agree with you about

414
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,520
Speaker 4: Anthony Richardson. I think there's a little bit of Bryce

415
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 4: Young sort of in the way he's come back from

416
00:23:55,119 --> 00:24:00,159
Speaker 4: being benched. Since he's come back, eighth rated passer to

417
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 4: Pro Football Focus, fourth in big plays according to Pro

418
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,879
Speaker 4: Football Focus, big play throws according to Pro Football Focus.

419
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:11,679
Speaker 4: So it's not as bad as you would think. And

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Speaker 4: I do think there's something key here. Remember what happened

421
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Speaker 4: with the Browns against the Broncos on that in that

422
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 4: primetime game, they didn't have Riley Moss at cornerback. They

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00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,359
Speaker 4: had William Vance. Will In Vance he might have still

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Speaker 4: he might still be giving up touchdowns to Jerry Judy

425
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:31,520
Speaker 4: as we speak, like he was getting torched in that game.

426
00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 4: Riley Moss is the only guy who didn't practice this

427
00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:36,159
Speaker 4: week for the Broncos. So if he's not playing, I

428
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:39,159
Speaker 4: think that's a severely diminished defense and it impacts what

429
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:43,960
Speaker 4: they can do all across the board. So there's trend reasons.

430
00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:47,480
Speaker 4: There's inflation reasons. The line is just too high the

431
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,399
Speaker 4: wise guys think uh. And there's some matchup reasons.

432
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:56,359
Speaker 2: Packers Seahawks is a really interesting game. Packers, like the Eagles,

433
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:59,720
Speaker 2: have taken passing attempts away from Jordan Love in the

434
00:24:59,800 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 2: last this month. They're now a power run team that

435
00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:04,959
Speaker 2: makes far fewer mistakes. But Green Bay is like a

436
00:25:05,000 --> 00:25:07,679
Speaker 2: younger version of Philadelphia. They have just decided we're a

437
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 2: power run team. We do have weapons over the top,

438
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 2: but we're not going to let our quarterback throw more

439
00:25:12,280 --> 00:25:14,120
Speaker 2: than like twenty two to twenty four times, and we're

440
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 2: going to reduce the errors and when green Bay does

441
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:21,080
Speaker 2: reduce the errors. They're really really good football team. I

442
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:25,320
Speaker 2: like Seattle. I still don't think they're an elite team.

443
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:29,119
Speaker 2: I think they're I think they're a playoff team, maybe

444
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 2: in a OK division. I think green Bay is absolutely

445
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,800
Speaker 2: a playoff team in an excellent division. I like green

446
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,120
Speaker 2: Bay minus two and a half Sharper.

447
00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:41,960
Speaker 4: Square one sharp at two and a half, if it

448
00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:44,080
Speaker 4: gets to three is a pass.

449
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:46,280
Speaker 1: And if it gets to three.

450
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,520
Speaker 4: You know, the wise guys will probably want to bet

451
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:52,479
Speaker 4: on Seattle. But at two and a half, it's one

452
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:55,240
Speaker 4: hundred percent the Packers for the reasons you just stated,

453
00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:59,680
Speaker 4: and the most important thing, it's like playing SEC in

454
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 4: the mad right. The Packers are losing really close games

455
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 4: and winning really close games in the best division in football.

456
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:15,000
Speaker 4: They are battle tested every single week. The Seahawks, they're

457
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:18,720
Speaker 4: winning a flukey game against the Cardinals a few weeks ago,

458
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:21,359
Speaker 4: then they're getting the Cardinals in a class at Kyler

459
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:25,240
Speaker 4: Murray game last week, And they won a miraculous game

460
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:27,280
Speaker 4: against the Jets, which they should have lost, but they

461
00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:30,119
Speaker 4: got Leonard Williams running a pick six back for you know,

462
00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 4: ninety something yards, So they're much better teams since the

463
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:37,880
Speaker 4: buy and credit to their coaching staff and everything they've done,

464
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:40,679
Speaker 4: and they've improved their defense significantly and their offense. By

465
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,280
Speaker 4: the way, you know Zach Charbiney and what he did

466
00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 4: last week was a great match for how they want

467
00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:48,800
Speaker 4: to build their running scheme. But the wise guys like

468
00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:51,159
Speaker 4: the Packers here just so it's a better team. And

469
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,639
Speaker 4: by the way, Matt Lafleor is a wizard when it

470
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,159
Speaker 4: comes to covering the spread. It's very possible when fifteen

471
00:26:57,240 --> 00:26:59,720
Speaker 4: years if Matt laflour is still coaching the Packers, he's

472
00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:03,239
Speaker 4: got Mike Tomlin like stats as a favorite and as

473
00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:04,919
Speaker 4: an underdog covering the spread.

474
00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 2: Okay, game, I want you to tell me where to go?

475
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:10,240
Speaker 2: Is Bears plus six and a half at the Viking.

476
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:12,400
Speaker 2: So Minnesota is a really good team. But that game

477
00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:15,240
Speaker 2: with Atlanta was tied going into the fourth quarter. I've

478
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:17,879
Speaker 2: seen them against teams like the Jags go zero for

479
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:21,159
Speaker 2: five in the red zone. It's a good team with

480
00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:24,600
Speaker 2: a quarterback having a great year, but six and a

481
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:26,959
Speaker 2: half is a lot. It's a divisional game, and the

482
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,959
Speaker 2: Bears before that disaster in the Bay Area, which was

483
00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,879
Speaker 2: probably easier to predict than I would have admitted. I

484
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,119
Speaker 2: do think they'll get back on track. I do think

485
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 2: they have a very good roster. This is again seems

486
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:40,680
Speaker 2: out of whack six and a half. I mean, I

487
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:42,800
Speaker 2: think it's I honestly see it as a go either

488
00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,720
Speaker 2: way game in the fourth quarter. Probably take the better

489
00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 2: coaching staff, but sharper square Bears plus the points.

490
00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:53,440
Speaker 4: So the Bear it's it's the sharp ish play only

491
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:55,280
Speaker 4: because and we talk about this all the time in

492
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:57,560
Speaker 4: the show, you want to get the best of the number.

493
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,639
Speaker 4: Twenty four hours ago, this game was seven and a half,

494
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:03,000
Speaker 4: and then it went down to seven, and now it's

495
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:04,480
Speaker 4: down to six and a half.

496
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:06,160
Speaker 1: That alone tells you, Colin, that.

497
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:09,400
Speaker 4: You're on the sharp side if you're betting the Bears.

498
00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:12,879
Speaker 4: The number has been moving in their direction. The line

499
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:17,199
Speaker 4: is way too inflated, and you're getting a very bilo

500
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:21,639
Speaker 4: on the Bears. Sell high on the Vikings spot. The

501
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:25,800
Speaker 4: Bears were a train wreck. They couldn't have looked any worse.

502
00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:28,520
Speaker 4: They were out of it against the Niners in the

503
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:32,040
Speaker 4: first half, right, they had four total yards and they

504
00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 4: had five punts, and the Niners had three hundred and

505
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:36,480
Speaker 4: nineteen yards, whereas the Vikings. You're right, that game was

506
00:28:36,520 --> 00:28:38,680
Speaker 4: tied and they really blew it open in the fourth

507
00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 4: quarter because of a couple bad plays and turnovers on

508
00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 4: the part of the Falcons, not because of anything magical

509
00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 4: that the Vikings did to run away with it, even

510
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 4: though Sam Darnold had an incredible game, But they have

511
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 4: had their hiccups. Brian Flor's defense has not been as

512
00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:54,600
Speaker 4: good in the second half of the year as it

513
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 4: was in the first half of the year. So yes,

514
00:28:57,520 --> 00:29:00,240
Speaker 4: you're on the sharp side, but it's a caution. Know

515
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 4: that if you're playing this number, you've given away some value.

516
00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:08,520
Speaker 2: So I think the Titans getting four and a half

517
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:11,360
Speaker 2: with the Bengals. Of my prediction is that's the ugly game.

518
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:13,720
Speaker 2: I ask you every week for a game that I've missed.

519
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:17,080
Speaker 2: My guess is the Titans a pretty good defensive team

520
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:20,520
Speaker 2: at home, playing with pride against the Cincinnati team. You

521
00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:22,680
Speaker 2: can just move the ball. I mean, if not for

522
00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 2: a gaff by the Cowboys special teams, We're going to

523
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:32,720
Speaker 2: overtime against a very mediocre Dallas team with Cooper Rush

524
00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:35,040
Speaker 2: is Tennessee plus four and a half. The side here

525
00:29:35,120 --> 00:29:37,920
Speaker 2: is that the game I'm missing, well, certainly it's a

526
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 2: side like it was at five and it's come down.

527
00:29:40,800 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 4: So that tells you the wise guys are betting on

528
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,600
Speaker 4: the Titans, because certainly the public isn't going to be

529
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 4: betting on the Titans. It's a really tricky game. I

530
00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:52,160
Speaker 4: haven't touched this game one hundred percent. The value is

531
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:54,239
Speaker 4: on the Titans. It's not the game I was going

532
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:58,000
Speaker 4: to talk to you about. But the challenge here, You've

533
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 4: basically got a one dimensional Bengals team, right. All they

534
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:05,560
Speaker 4: can really do is throw the ball to Higgins and

535
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 4: Chase Joe Burrow. Higgins, Joe Burrow's Chase. That's their game plan.

536
00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 4: They can't really run the ball, they don't have a

537
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 4: screen game, they don't really have play action to speak of.

538
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:18,520
Speaker 4: All of those things that could slow down a better

539
00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:21,719
Speaker 4: than average defense in the Titans, and they have no

540
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:26,320
Speaker 4: defense to speak of. The problem is Will Levis. He's

541
00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 4: not any better than Cooper Rush. Right, He's got a

542
00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:31,120
Speaker 4: better arm. Maybe he can fling it downfield further, but

543
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:33,680
Speaker 4: he couldn't even beat up on the Jaguars at home

544
00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 4: last week despite so many opportunities. So you're kind of

545
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 4: banking on the fact you're hoping that when there's an opening,

546
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:44,080
Speaker 4: Will Levis can convert. You're going to take the Titans,

547
00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:46,080
Speaker 4: because if you're a better that's what you do.

548
00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 1: You bet.

549
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 4: You bet the number, but know that you're you're playing

550
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:52,640
Speaker 4: with fire here because you're not just betting the number

551
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 4: and you're betting Will Lews.

552
00:30:54,840 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 2: All right, tell me the game I missed.

553
00:30:56,320 --> 00:31:00,720
Speaker 4: You didn't talk about Cleveland and Kansas City. Bridge dropped

554
00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:02,720
Speaker 4: from six and a half to four and a half.

555
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:06,200
Speaker 2: So the Browns are the side.

556
00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 4: The Browns have been the side. The Browns are the

557
00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 4: side until it gets to about three and a half.

558
00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:11,840
Speaker 1: And this one.

559
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 4: You know, in the betting community, there's two things that

560
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 4: are sort of scary right now. It's the frequency and

561
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:26,600
Speaker 4: regularity with which you can count on fading Patrick Mahomes

562
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:29,040
Speaker 4: when he's a favorite of more than three, and the

563
00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 4: frequency and regularity with which you can count on betting

564
00:31:32,320 --> 00:31:37,320
Speaker 4: Mike Tomlin as an underdog. I said, percentage wise, if

565
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:39,920
Speaker 4: something is happening six out of ten times, which is

566
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:44,080
Speaker 4: basically what is happening with both of those categories, Tomlin

567
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:47,040
Speaker 4: is a dog, Mahomes is a favorite of more than three,

568
00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 4: it manages that four times those bets are going to

569
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:52,760
Speaker 4: lose this year that they haven't been losing at all,

570
00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:58,080
Speaker 4: And so wise guys know in this spot, the spot

571
00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:01,480
Speaker 4: is to play Cleveland. But it's a little bit scarier

572
00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:03,680
Speaker 4: because you keep waiting for the other shoot to drop.

573
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:06,440
Speaker 4: A lot of guys, including myself, about what happened last

574
00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:07,800
Speaker 4: week against the Chargers.

575
00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 1: No JK.

576
00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 4: Dobbins, no Lad McConkey, and it looked like it was

577
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 4: going to and then again the Chiefs kind of fell

578
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:16,680
Speaker 4: apart because they have no protection in the offensive line.

579
00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:21,280
Speaker 4: So the Browns pressure the ball, pressure the quarterback more

580
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:24,719
Speaker 4: than the Chargers and are better at it. And meanwhile

581
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:27,880
Speaker 4: the Chiefs now they're sending guys off the street to

582
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:31,560
Speaker 4: play in the defensive backfield. And if you want to

583
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:33,920
Speaker 4: talk about a quarterback who could have a good time

584
00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 4: slinging it against a wonky defensive backfield, let's talk about jams. Now,

585
00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:42,120
Speaker 4: are you potentially going to suffer a pick six that

586
00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:44,600
Speaker 4: can ruin it for you? Sure, but the wise guys

587
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 4: are willing to literally make that bet. So they're playing Cleveland.

588
00:32:57,000 --> 00:32:59,680
Speaker 2: You know, I know the games a couple of weeks away,

589
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:05,640
Speaker 2: but I I think it's really interesting the Ohio State

590
00:33:05,680 --> 00:33:09,520
Speaker 2: hosting Tennessee first round playoff game to me is one

591
00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 2: of the more fascinating games ever. So you take a

592
00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:16,440
Speaker 2: warm weather team from Knoxville and everybody's having to wait

593
00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:19,080
Speaker 2: for the playoff to start. That means the weather's getting uglier.

594
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:20,920
Speaker 2: My wife was in Chicago to the day and she's like,

595
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:24,120
Speaker 2: it is cold. So you take a warm weather SEC

596
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 2: team up to a superior roster. I believe in Ohio State.

597
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:32,280
Speaker 2: You get an Ohio State team that's got a little

598
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:38,120
Speaker 2: insecurity and lack of identity off a historically bad loss,

599
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,600
Speaker 2: so they'll play with incredible intensity and focus. You know,

600
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 2: Ohio State really is coming with their hair on fire. Yeah,

601
00:33:46,760 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 2: and now Ohio State's O line is the weak unit

602
00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 2: on their roster, and the D line for the volunteers

603
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:58,440
Speaker 2: is the strength of their roster. The weather could play

604
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 2: aff factor. Ohio State's greatest asset is their vertical nature.

605
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:05,640
Speaker 2: On the perimeter. It could be thirty eight degrees and windy.

606
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:08,520
Speaker 2: I looked at the forecast. Now it's fourteen days out

607
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:10,440
Speaker 2: or twelve days or ten days. I looked at it

608
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:11,840
Speaker 2: about four days ago and I'm like, oh, it's going

609
00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:14,840
Speaker 2: to be forty one degrees and wet. How does the

610
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,960
Speaker 2: betting community or have they looked at that game?

611
00:34:18,880 --> 00:34:21,120
Speaker 4: Well, right now the number is seven and a half.

612
00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:25,680
Speaker 4: People have been talking about it. I think there's a

613
00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 4: lot of circumstances still to go. I'm looking in the

614
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:33,120
Speaker 4: app right now, not a ton of action on the

615
00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:36,520
Speaker 4: game at this point, and like this is so early

616
00:34:36,680 --> 00:34:40,840
Speaker 4: you can't really take anything of it. Majority of money

617
00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:45,120
Speaker 4: and tickets are on Tennessee. I also think a week

618
00:34:45,160 --> 00:34:48,480
Speaker 4: spot for the for Ohio State is their quarterback, Like

619
00:34:49,040 --> 00:34:51,839
Speaker 4: he's not sort of an elite passer who can take

620
00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:55,440
Speaker 4: advantage of the talent they have, the elite talent, you know,

621
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 4: top round, first round draft pick talent they have at

622
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:02,719
Speaker 4: Ohio State. You and I have talked about Ohio State

623
00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:07,280
Speaker 4: a lot and Ryan Day. The AD came out today

624
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:09,400
Speaker 4: and said he supports Ryan Day.

625
00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:12,680
Speaker 1: He wants Ryan Day to be back as the head coach.

626
00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:19,120
Speaker 4: Like I think there's so much tension inside that community

627
00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:23,360
Speaker 4: right now about not just beating Tennessee, but the having

628
00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:27,320
Speaker 4: to advance that his teams have shown up and played

629
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:29,320
Speaker 4: type in big games.

630
00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:30,680
Speaker 1: They play type.

631
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,440
Speaker 4: So if you're seeing the early numbers come in on Tennessee,

632
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:37,320
Speaker 4: I think it's partly a fade of Ryan Day's ability

633
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:40,520
Speaker 4: to have his team play loose and take full advantage

634
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:42,800
Speaker 4: of the talent that they have on their roster.

635
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:47,840
Speaker 2: Let's talk about Belichick. I saw today an incredibly weak schedule.

636
00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,640
Speaker 2: Next year they have Clemson at home and then Syracuse

637
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:53,879
Speaker 2: on the road, but it screams ten wins. They don't

638
00:35:53,880 --> 00:35:56,120
Speaker 2: have a quarterback, the old line's a bit of a mess.

639
00:35:56,840 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 2: He's bringing in Mike Lombardi to be like his GM.

640
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:01,960
Speaker 2: They're going to use a pro model. I don't think

641
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:05,919
Speaker 2: high school recruiting will be I don't even think they're

642
00:36:05,920 --> 00:36:07,320
Speaker 2: going to fake it. I think it's going to be

643
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:10,759
Speaker 2: an eighty twenty transfer portal team. I don't even think

644
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:13,000
Speaker 2: they're going to fake it because I don't really think

645
00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:15,320
Speaker 2: this is a long term proposition. In fact, I wouldn't

646
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:18,600
Speaker 2: be shocked if after a year Belichick moves back to

647
00:36:18,680 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 2: the Pro League and his son takes over. I really

648
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 2: don't see this as a long term proposition. I think

649
00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:32,160
Speaker 2: the administration, the transfer portal, the fluid nil the needy donors,

650
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:36,680
Speaker 2: clueless administrators, angry lacrosse coach who's not getting attention. I

651
00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:39,000
Speaker 2: could see Belichick after a year saying, guys, I got

652
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 2: nine wins, ten wins, I'm back to the NFL over

653
00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 2: under six and a half I thought was like and

654
00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:50,239
Speaker 2: generally I bet unders on future bets like this year,

655
00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:53,640
Speaker 2: I took Denver in the over. Last year I took

656
00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:56,480
Speaker 2: Rams in the over. I think there's about one gem.

657
00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:59,480
Speaker 2: Three years ago I took Minnesota. They became thirteen and three.

658
00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:02,839
Speaker 2: Got those right. I also like Washington, but generally there's

659
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:05,200
Speaker 2: about one great over a year, and then I just

660
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:09,719
Speaker 2: bet unders. Is the betting community reacting to all six

661
00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:14,719
Speaker 2: and a half seems in a really really weak conference,

662
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:16,320
Speaker 2: seems weirdly low.

663
00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:21,719
Speaker 4: Well, look, we're hours into this. There's no real reaction

664
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:26,799
Speaker 4: if we're talking about North Carolina season wind totals at

665
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:31,440
Speaker 4: six and a half because of Bill Belichick. I agree

666
00:37:31,480 --> 00:37:34,120
Speaker 4: with your theory. I agree with your premise. The one

667
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:37,239
Speaker 4: thing I would say is I think it's fascinating that

668
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:41,120
Speaker 4: he's doing this and the way he's talking about it

669
00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 4: as a treating it like a professional program and bringing

670
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:49,560
Speaker 4: GMS in. He's basically getting the old band back together

671
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:53,640
Speaker 4: right from the Patriot circa, you know, two thousand and five.

672
00:37:54,120 --> 00:38:00,080
Speaker 4: I think it's it's fundamentally brilliant because he's going to

673
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:02,200
Speaker 4: run it the way he said the other day on McAfee,

674
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 4: like he's going to run it like it's a professional organization,

675
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:09,080
Speaker 4: which is what's driving a lot of the college coaches out.

676
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:12,840
Speaker 4: So this is a huge advantage for him. He's managing

677
00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 4: a salary cap. He's trying to bring in the best

678
00:38:16,040 --> 00:38:20,920
Speaker 4: possible talent that are free agents within the college football community. Like,

679
00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:23,800
Speaker 4: this is what the guy has been doing for years,

680
00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:25,360
Speaker 4: and he will be able to do it in a

681
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,719
Speaker 4: way that, at least for a year or two, will

682
00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:31,880
Speaker 4: have the shine of Bill Belichick, greatest coach ever, and

683
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:34,720
Speaker 4: there will be so many people who are high profile

684
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:36,719
Speaker 4: players who are going to be interested in seeing what

685
00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:41,200
Speaker 4: that experience is like. Can he bradify anybody? I think

686
00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:44,800
Speaker 4: it's great. So as a fun flyer, for sure, I

687
00:38:44,800 --> 00:38:46,080
Speaker 4: would take over six and a half.

688
00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:47,560
Speaker 1: You know.

689
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:53,400
Speaker 2: It's what's really interesting about this transfer portal. Deon Sanders,

690
00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:56,480
Speaker 2: Brian Kelly, and Lincoln Riley have found this out. You

691
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:59,959
Speaker 2: could improve the talent near roster, but it's very hard

692
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:04,960
Speaker 2: to improve chemistry when you're basically hiring one year to

693
00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:10,400
Speaker 2: the pro players. Oregon what's really interesting. Oregon got away

694
00:39:10,440 --> 00:39:13,719
Speaker 2: with it, but almost lost to Idaho and Boise State

695
00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:17,920
Speaker 2: early now by, and this is a program with excellent

696
00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:21,480
Speaker 2: high school recruiting and a great staff. But if you

697
00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:23,600
Speaker 2: go back to the first two games for Oregon, they

698
00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:27,000
Speaker 2: were awful because they were moving around offensive line pieces.

699
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:31,280
Speaker 2: They just on sheer talent got away with it. LSU

700
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:35,799
Speaker 2: and USC did not. Colorado did not eventually, So the

701
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:39,000
Speaker 2: transfer portal, even for the teams that win with it,

702
00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:42,759
Speaker 2: I mean Ohio State, Will Howard's not as good as

703
00:39:42,760 --> 00:39:46,359
Speaker 2: they thought. He was passing against big twelve teams. What

704
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:50,000
Speaker 2: do you know, Big ten defenses are better, Big ten

705
00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:54,000
Speaker 2: stadiums are louder, Big ten defensive coaching staffs are better.

706
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:58,080
Speaker 2: Will Howard looks really ordinary. He didn't at Kansas State.

707
00:39:58,160 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 2: I watched them and thought it was a great pickup.

708
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:05,360
Speaker 2: So it's interesting the transfer portal. Belichick, though, has dealt

709
00:40:05,360 --> 00:40:08,120
Speaker 2: with pro athletes, and that's essentially like Ole Miss. They

710
00:40:08,160 --> 00:40:10,400
Speaker 2: just went and bought a pro team and Lane Kiffin,

711
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 2: by the way, that's why it's worked because he's got

712
00:40:12,040 --> 00:40:15,240
Speaker 2: pro experience. So my guess is the personal and coaching

713
00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:20,319
Speaker 2: will work. I think the personality fit. You know, he's

714
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:25,360
Speaker 2: kind of a terse Northeast, confrontational guy. And you know

715
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:29,399
Speaker 2: these colleges, I forget the word woke. You know, they're

716
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:33,200
Speaker 2: a little PC and people they're very tribal. People have

717
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:36,480
Speaker 2: their territory and you go, you walk in. It's not

718
00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:40,920
Speaker 2: just the professors who are tenured. You have decade old administrators.

719
00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:44,080
Speaker 2: He does not care about that. He's not going to

720
00:40:44,080 --> 00:40:47,880
Speaker 2: any volleyball galas. He doesn't care. So I can see

721
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:52,640
Speaker 2: that really wearing him and UNC out in eighteen months.

722
00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:56,080
Speaker 4: So Seth Wickersham, who you've had on your show A ladder.

723
00:40:56,160 --> 00:40:58,439
Speaker 4: He's great, brilliant right our ESPN. He's a great story

724
00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:00,640
Speaker 4: on ESPN dot com today with a little bit of

725
00:41:00,719 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 4: insight and insight info on the process and what the

726
00:41:04,160 --> 00:41:06,160
Speaker 4: NFL was thinking about Belichick, and you know, he did

727
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:10,280
Speaker 4: an amazing story. When Belichick didn't get any jobs about

728
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:14,720
Speaker 4: it seemed like gms and owners were kind of dancing on.

729
00:41:14,880 --> 00:41:16,719
Speaker 1: Belichick's grave a little bit.

730
00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:19,399
Speaker 4: And the fact that he didn't get any offers and

731
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:22,839
Speaker 4: the Falcon saying he wasn't even in their top three

732
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:24,680
Speaker 4: of candidates at the end of the day after the

733
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:30,759
Speaker 4: interview process. So to me, this feels like and he

734
00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:35,839
Speaker 4: pointed out Belichick has a reverence for teaching. And you

735
00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:39,680
Speaker 4: know the book that Haberstam wrote, David Harberstam wrote about

736
00:41:39,680 --> 00:41:41,880
Speaker 4: Belichick and Seth wrote all about this. I'm just cribbing

737
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:44,560
Speaker 4: from his story was called The Education of the Coach.

738
00:41:45,000 --> 00:41:49,600
Speaker 4: His dad was essentially his professor, right, And so I

739
00:41:49,640 --> 00:41:52,920
Speaker 4: do think there was something for Belichick about going to

740
00:41:53,080 --> 00:41:58,280
Speaker 4: college and being able to shape people from the beginning. Remember,

741
00:41:58,520 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 4: he was drafting guys that he could turn into Super

742
00:42:03,080 --> 00:42:07,880
Speaker 4: Bowl champions, Chuck Knowle, the Chuck no Way was draft

743
00:42:08,160 --> 00:42:11,279
Speaker 4: guys who you can mold, who can turn into the

744
00:42:11,280 --> 00:42:14,400
Speaker 4: players you want them to be, who don't have bad habits.

745
00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:16,800
Speaker 4: I wrote a whole book about this, about the Steelers

746
00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:19,719
Speaker 4: and the Cowboys rivalry, and Chuck Noll was brilliant at this.

747
00:42:20,239 --> 00:42:23,160
Speaker 4: So Belichick going to college, even if he's getting guys

748
00:42:23,160 --> 00:42:26,400
Speaker 4: from a transfer portal, if you're going to play for Belichick,

749
00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:29,640
Speaker 4: you want a certain style of coaching and you want

750
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:31,640
Speaker 4: to know what it takes to get the NFL. You

751
00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:33,880
Speaker 4: are going to be listening to what bell Belichick and

752
00:42:33,960 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 4: whoever he puts on staff with him will be saying

753
00:42:37,080 --> 00:42:40,279
Speaker 4: you will be moldable, you will be coachable. And I

754
00:42:40,280 --> 00:42:43,160
Speaker 4: think if you're North Carolina, you know what you're getting

755
00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:44,759
Speaker 4: and you're staying out of the way. And if it's

756
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:47,839
Speaker 4: a year, if it's two years, whatever it is, you're

757
00:42:47,840 --> 00:42:50,560
Speaker 4: not going to get gruff from ten yured professors. You're

758
00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:52,719
Speaker 4: not going to get gruff from people who don't care

759
00:42:52,760 --> 00:42:55,440
Speaker 4: about football and are annoyed at the attention he's getting.

760
00:42:56,400 --> 00:42:58,520
Speaker 4: You know what you're getting with Bill Belichick, and you're

761
00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:00,640
Speaker 4: going to suck it up and accept it, and he's

762
00:43:00,640 --> 00:43:02,760
Speaker 4: going to bring you victories and shine to your football

763
00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:05,160
Speaker 4: program until he decides to go back the NFL and

764
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:06,240
Speaker 4: get down Shower's record.

765
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,839
Speaker 2: By the way, before we go, there's been a lot

766
00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:15,080
Speaker 2: of UAP and UFO sidings in New Jersey, so I

767
00:43:16,480 --> 00:43:20,279
Speaker 2: always have I don't believe in UFOs. What I do

768
00:43:20,400 --> 00:43:24,560
Speaker 2: believe is that our government lies to us often to

769
00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:30,520
Speaker 2: protect us from adversaries or to hide suppress information, to

770
00:43:30,600 --> 00:43:33,280
Speaker 2: hide technology. They did this with a stealth for years,

771
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:37,319
Speaker 2: So I basically think these are super drones that we're

772
00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:40,759
Speaker 2: experimenting with, our government is experimenting with, and they put

773
00:43:40,840 --> 00:43:44,040
Speaker 2: him in a high a location with a lot of

774
00:43:44,160 --> 00:43:48,440
Speaker 2: media by the water and to see the reaction from

775
00:43:48,560 --> 00:43:52,160
Speaker 2: people and see how they look, how people react. They're

776
00:43:52,200 --> 00:43:55,759
Speaker 2: super drones, drones that our government's been working on, and

777
00:43:55,800 --> 00:44:02,000
Speaker 2: they probably one hundred and fifty miles offshore, probably release them,

778
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:04,680
Speaker 2: you know, one of our you know, giant jets goes

779
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:07,480
Speaker 2: out there, government jets and releases ten into the sky

780
00:44:08,239 --> 00:44:10,520
Speaker 2: and they you know, they play around for a while

781
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:14,080
Speaker 2: and then they come back go back offshore. That's my

782
00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:17,040
Speaker 2: guess on what it is. If you had to guess,

783
00:44:17,360 --> 00:44:20,600
Speaker 2: is the world ending or is it some international or

784
00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:21,759
Speaker 2: government program.

785
00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:26,160
Speaker 4: There's a lot to unpack there and believe it or not.

786
00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:30,799
Speaker 4: I have so many theories. I think about this so much.

787
00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:34,839
Speaker 4: Number one, I am essentially a p doomer. I do

788
00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:39,560
Speaker 4: believe that there is a point in the not too

789
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,279
Speaker 4: distant future, one hundred years, two hundred years, I don't know,

790
00:44:42,760 --> 00:44:45,080
Speaker 4: in which the world will come to an end because

791
00:44:45,080 --> 00:44:51,879
Speaker 4: of some catastrophic whether it's technological, environmental moment right number one.

792
00:44:52,000 --> 00:44:58,120
Speaker 4: Number two, I also agree the government oftentimes will be

793
00:44:58,120 --> 00:45:01,640
Speaker 4: screwing around with us in some kind of program. I'm

794
00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:07,799
Speaker 4: not like a you know, deep government, dark government conspiracy

795
00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 4: theorist I don't believe there are people who are actively

796
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:15,680
Speaker 4: trying to manipulate outcomes and all those kinds of things.

797
00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:22,719
Speaker 4: I am I one hundred percent believe there is alien life,

798
00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:27,880
Speaker 4: and there is intelligent life that is working at a

799
00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:33,080
Speaker 4: higher capacity, with more intellectual capacity than humans. And for

800
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:35,919
Speaker 4: all we know, they could already be here. It could

801
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:38,799
Speaker 4: be sharks. Right, How arrogant do you have to be

802
00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:43,640
Speaker 4: to not think that there could be somebody higher on

803
00:45:43,680 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 4: the intellectual food chain than us. We have explored so

804
00:45:49,560 --> 00:45:57,319
Speaker 4: little of the galaxies to understand what intelligent life is.

805
00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:01,279
Speaker 4: And like I, Carl Sagan is one of the most

806
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:06,160
Speaker 4: brilliant people who ever lived. He believed that there would

807
00:46:06,200 --> 00:46:08,520
Speaker 4: be some form of intelligent life and that there is

808
00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:13,680
Speaker 4: some form of intelligent life outside of known humanity. If

809
00:46:13,719 --> 00:46:14,759
Speaker 4: he believes that, I believe in.

810
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:18,399
Speaker 2: But how do we know they're smarter? I think there's

811
00:46:18,440 --> 00:46:20,319
Speaker 2: something out there, But how do we know they don't

812
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:24,280
Speaker 2: have the IQ equivalency of like the Jersey Shore cast.

813
00:46:25,560 --> 00:46:28,239
Speaker 4: Well, number one, don't don't discount those Jersey Shore folks

814
00:46:28,239 --> 00:46:30,880
Speaker 4: because they have made a killing like they are killing

815
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:34,719
Speaker 4: figured out how to be bankable number one. Number two,

816
00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:37,439
Speaker 4: we don't know that, But then you have to ask

817
00:46:37,480 --> 00:46:40,040
Speaker 4: the other question, how do we know they're not smarter?

818
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:41,560
Speaker 1: And I think it's a.

819
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:45,319
Speaker 2: Better story that they're super geniuses it I think it's

820
00:46:45,360 --> 00:46:46,600
Speaker 2: I think it's a better story.

821
00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 1: Well, it also could be true, like we want to

822
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:52,160
Speaker 1: believe like that. You're right.

823
00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:56,759
Speaker 4: The narrative, the science fiction of it all, is that

824
00:46:57,080 --> 00:47:00,560
Speaker 4: they're out there, they're smarter, They're going to come to Earth.

825
00:47:01,080 --> 00:47:03,399
Speaker 4: They will attack us, they will destroy us, they will

826
00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:06,719
Speaker 4: use us as puppets. You know, all the independence to

827
00:47:06,880 --> 00:47:10,279
Speaker 4: the philosophies, all that kind of stuff. Here's what I'm

828
00:47:10,320 --> 00:47:17,000
Speaker 4: saying to you. Are they here already? That's the question.

829
00:47:17,680 --> 00:47:19,719
Speaker 4: Why are we so arrogant is to believe that they're

830
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:22,840
Speaker 4: not already here? How do we know they're not sharks?

831
00:47:24,640 --> 00:47:28,040
Speaker 2: I don't think it's arrogant. I think if we saw them,

832
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:31,160
Speaker 2: or we had things that led us to believe they

833
00:47:31,160 --> 00:47:34,800
Speaker 2: were here, that we would believe it. But I think

834
00:47:35,200 --> 00:47:39,560
Speaker 2: there are so many there's so many grifters on the

835
00:47:39,560 --> 00:47:41,959
Speaker 2: Internet that are bored out of their mind, and there's

836
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:47,680
Speaker 2: been so many obviously inauthentic or fake UFO videos that

837
00:47:47,800 --> 00:47:55,839
Speaker 2: most people are appropriately cynical. I am I think I'm

838
00:47:55,880 --> 00:48:00,480
Speaker 2: appropriately cynical. There are more videos now than ever. I

839
00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 2: have seen some in the last two or three weeks.

840
00:48:04,080 --> 00:48:07,520
Speaker 2: There was the Pentagon video the TikTok based tic Tac

841
00:48:07,840 --> 00:48:10,200
Speaker 2: basically over the Pacific, which is, you know, it's hard

842
00:48:10,200 --> 00:48:16,640
Speaker 2: to explain. And those were really genuinely perplexed fighter pilots,

843
00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:18,040
Speaker 2: you know, and they're up in the sky, so that

844
00:48:18,160 --> 00:48:21,160
Speaker 2: stuff's you know, that's obviously something could be China. And

845
00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:24,239
Speaker 2: I've this stuff in New Jersey. I mean, you can

846
00:48:24,280 --> 00:48:26,239
Speaker 2: tell when somebody's faking it, and you can tell when

847
00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:28,799
Speaker 2: it's a husband and a wife having a margarita and

848
00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:32,120
Speaker 2: they're like, what the f is that and they're just laughing.

849
00:48:32,239 --> 00:48:35,080
Speaker 2: You know, you can tell when it's real and when

850
00:48:35,080 --> 00:48:38,440
Speaker 2: it's posers. But I tend to go back to I

851
00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 2: think it's a government plane one hundred and fifty miles

852
00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:44,800
Speaker 2: off shore, releasing super drones and just looking for the reaction.

853
00:48:45,080 --> 00:48:48,520
Speaker 2: How visible, How does our government track them? I think

854
00:48:48,560 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 2: I think our government does a lot of testing, Our

855
00:48:50,239 --> 00:48:52,840
Speaker 2: military does testing, The Pentagon does testing, and they just

856
00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:53,520
Speaker 2: don't tell us.

857
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:56,799
Speaker 4: Yeah, but I don't I agree it could be super

858
00:48:56,880 --> 00:48:58,879
Speaker 4: drones and things like that. I don't think it's because

859
00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:00,319
Speaker 4: they're trying to test for a reaction. And I think

860
00:49:00,360 --> 00:49:03,640
Speaker 4: they're probably trying to test for whatever militaristic use there

861
00:49:03,719 --> 00:49:07,440
Speaker 4: is for something like this and how they can be deployed.

862
00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:12,040
Speaker 4: That is separate from there is some kind of alien

863
00:49:12,120 --> 00:49:14,919
Speaker 4: life probably living among us right now.

864
00:49:15,640 --> 00:49:18,040
Speaker 1: I just I believe it.

865
00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:20,840
Speaker 4: And if it's not here yet, it's out there somewhere,

866
00:49:21,160 --> 00:49:23,839
Speaker 4: and it could be more intelligent than us might not be.

867
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:26,160
Speaker 4: I don't mind listening to your theory and subscribe to

868
00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:30,040
Speaker 4: that either. But I'm telling you, we're not alone, Colin.

869
00:49:30,200 --> 00:49:33,960
Speaker 4: We're just that, we're just not alone. And I'm okay

870
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:37,439
Speaker 4: with it. I'm totally okay with it. I'm like, there's

871
00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:41,120
Speaker 4: plenty of room. Like I don't subscribe to the theory

872
00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:43,359
Speaker 4: that they have to be after us and they want

873
00:49:43,360 --> 00:49:47,440
Speaker 4: to be controlling us. We can all peacefully coexist. I

874
00:49:47,520 --> 00:49:49,800
Speaker 4: love love, Why can't we all just get along?

875
00:49:50,560 --> 00:49:53,799
Speaker 2: Listen? I was there's a man that has died three

876
00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:56,239
Speaker 2: separate times and come back to life. He's all over

877
00:49:56,280 --> 00:50:00,440
Speaker 2: the internet, you know, and his he goes again against

878
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:03,799
Speaker 2: the grain and says, there is no hell. I've experienced

879
00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:08,040
Speaker 2: it three times. What you do is go through the

880
00:50:08,040 --> 00:50:11,200
Speaker 2: moments of your life and your bad interactions and when

881
00:50:11,200 --> 00:50:13,480
Speaker 2: you were rude and when you were mean, and that

882
00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:17,120
Speaker 2: is the hell that you have to revisit, those situations

883
00:50:17,120 --> 00:50:21,839
Speaker 2: when you were unkind and unwelcoming. There is no fiery pit.

884
00:50:22,560 --> 00:50:28,040
Speaker 2: It's a series of confrontations looking back at yourself and

885
00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:33,120
Speaker 2: the moments you misstepped. And that is punishment and it's painful.

886
00:50:33,160 --> 00:50:35,080
Speaker 2: And I hear that, and I think now that seems

887
00:50:35,160 --> 00:50:38,359
Speaker 2: much more realistic to somebody who's died, been unconscious three

888
00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:42,080
Speaker 2: different times and come back to life. So one of

889
00:50:42,120 --> 00:50:45,440
Speaker 2: the things I've always thought about, if there is life

890
00:50:45,480 --> 00:50:49,400
Speaker 2: beyond us, I think they would enter. I think they

891
00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:53,920
Speaker 2: would enter and house themselves in the water, because it's

892
00:50:53,960 --> 00:50:56,120
Speaker 2: the one part of this planet. First of all, it's

893
00:50:56,160 --> 00:51:00,560
Speaker 2: the largest part, it's the most unexplored part. There's not

894
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:05,359
Speaker 2: as many telescopes facing down is up, and it is

895
00:51:05,440 --> 00:51:11,080
Speaker 2: basically uninhabited. It's easier to hide and you can travel

896
00:51:11,160 --> 00:51:14,160
Speaker 2: very well. You know, submarines everywhere. So I always thought

897
00:51:14,239 --> 00:51:18,640
Speaker 2: if there was another society, that's where you'd hide. And

898
00:51:18,680 --> 00:51:21,960
Speaker 2: that's so when I see videos, they're often near the water.

899
00:51:22,560 --> 00:51:25,880
Speaker 2: You don't see you see them so often on coastlines,

900
00:51:25,920 --> 00:51:30,200
Speaker 2: and Virginia's in New Jerseys, in California's in Mexico. And

901
00:51:30,239 --> 00:51:33,040
Speaker 2: it's like, what's the theme. You don't see them in Ottawa,

902
00:51:33,800 --> 00:51:36,560
Speaker 2: you see them near water. You don't see them in

903
00:51:37,000 --> 00:51:38,560
Speaker 2: ye I mean you really don't. You don't see them

904
00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:41,440
Speaker 2: in Kansas very much. So that leads me to believe

905
00:51:41,520 --> 00:51:43,640
Speaker 2: there is some water connection.

906
00:51:44,280 --> 00:51:45,680
Speaker 1: I got two things to say to you.

907
00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:48,080
Speaker 4: Number One, what that guy on the internet is talking

908
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:52,200
Speaker 4: about how Die three times one hundred percent in alien

909
00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:57,719
Speaker 4: Number two, i'm telling you underwater I agree it's the sharks.

910
00:51:58,080 --> 00:52:02,120
Speaker 4: I'm just saying the sharks they could just be alien

911
00:52:02,239 --> 00:52:02,960
Speaker 4: life forms.

912
00:52:04,680 --> 00:52:07,319
Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to sleep on that one, Okay.

913
00:52:07,760 --> 00:52:08,360
Speaker 1: Get back to me.

914
00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:11,120
Speaker 2: Sharper Sharper square chatted Melmane could see anybody?

915
00:52:11,480 --> 00:52:13,040
Speaker 1: All right, brother, I'll talk to you later.

916
00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:16,680
Speaker 3: The volume