WEBVTT - Let Me Up I've Had Enough! 0:00:01.920 --> 0:00:06.240 Broadcasting live from the Abraham Lincoln Radio Studio, the George 0:00:06.280 --> 0:00:10.280 Washington Broadcast Center, Jack Armstrong and Joe, Getty. 0:00:10.280 --> 0:00:18.200 Arm Strong and Getty Enough Hee Armstrong and Getty. 0:00:24.239 --> 0:00:27.240 Yeah, we finally made it Election Day. Yeah, but it's 0:00:27.240 --> 0:00:29.560 that super chill time when the whole country it takes 0:00:29.640 --> 0:00:32.280 on the vibe of two am waffle House parking lot. 0:00:34.680 --> 0:00:36.320 Of course, there's a good chance we won't know the 0:00:36.360 --> 0:00:39.040 final results, which is kind of frustrating. It's like sitting 0:00:39.040 --> 0:00:40.920 through a twenty four hour gender reveal party in the 0:00:40.960 --> 0:00:42.880 couple's like, you guys, guys, come back on Friday. 0:00:42.920 --> 0:00:46.440 We're just gonna do pat. Yeah. 0:00:46.600 --> 0:00:51.360 I remember it was the day over before the election 0:00:51.479 --> 0:00:52.360 in two thousand. 0:00:52.560 --> 0:00:57.240 Joe and I were still doing this same show twenty 0:00:57.240 --> 0:01:03.240 four years dead end gig. Anyway, it was. 0:01:03.600 --> 0:01:05.160 It was looking like it was going to be close, 0:01:05.200 --> 0:01:08.560 and I remember us saying, wouldn't it be crazy if 0:01:08.600 --> 0:01:11.280 we didn't know who even won today? We had to 0:01:11.360 --> 0:01:14.000 wait till tomorrow. I mean that because that hadn't happened 0:01:14.000 --> 0:01:17.480 in our lifetimes. As always, you find out that night 0:01:17.520 --> 0:01:19.679 it's solid, everybody believes it, and you go on with 0:01:19.760 --> 0:01:22.360 your life. And then it ended up being mean ment, 0:01:22.400 --> 0:01:24.720 and now we kind of are in a place where 0:01:25.520 --> 0:01:30.399 you hardly expect to find out who won, uh looking 0:01:30.440 --> 0:01:33.520 at Ian Bremmer just tweeted this out. When Americans elections 0:01:33.520 --> 0:01:38.080 have been called since nineteen eighty four, so going all 0:01:38.120 --> 0:01:41.720 the way back to then within an hour of the 0:01:41.760 --> 0:01:46.720 polls closing every election eighty four, eighty eight, ninety two, 0:01:46.800 --> 0:01:48.840 ninety six, which is why we had the attitude we 0:01:48.920 --> 0:01:51.600 had going into two thousand. Then you had a thirty 0:01:51.640 --> 0:01:55.240 six day in two thousand. In two thousand and four, 0:01:55.320 --> 0:02:00.760 it took till the next morning and eight it took 0:02:00.760 --> 0:02:04.000 a couple hours twenty twelve, couple hours twenty sixteen, few hours, 0:02:04.240 --> 0:02:06.200 twenty twenty long time. 0:02:06.360 --> 0:02:10.680 As we all know how it's going to go tonight, 0:02:10.720 --> 0:02:11.240 I do not know. 0:02:11.280 --> 0:02:13.280 Here are two things I'm going to be watching just 0:02:13.320 --> 0:02:17.600 because the pundits that I listen to, And I'm going 0:02:17.639 --> 0:02:19.720 to give West Coast times because I don't like the 0:02:19.800 --> 0:02:22.480 belligerent East Coast always giving East Coast times as if 0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:23.960 I'm supposed to do the math when I live in 0:02:23.960 --> 0:02:24.800 California all the time. 0:02:24.840 --> 0:02:26.200 So these are West Coast times. 0:02:27.000 --> 0:02:31.160 North Carolina and Georgia close at four and four thirty, 0:02:32.200 --> 0:02:34.639 and they will know results fairly quickly. 0:02:34.760 --> 0:02:35.840 If Kamala Harris. 0:02:35.919 --> 0:02:37.880 According to Mark Calprin and a couple other punnets, if 0:02:38.040 --> 0:02:41.160 if Kamala Harris wins one or both of those, she's 0:02:41.200 --> 0:02:44.760 almost certainly going to win. If she wins North Carolina Georgia, 0:02:44.800 --> 0:02:47.800 and that'll be middle of the afternoon for those of 0:02:47.840 --> 0:02:49.320 us on the on the west side of the. 0:02:49.280 --> 0:02:51.720 Country, early enough for everybody. 0:02:51.800 --> 0:02:53.679 Yeah, if she wins one or both of those, she's 0:02:53.760 --> 0:02:54.799 probably going to win. 0:02:55.560 --> 0:02:57.640 Most likely Trump wins them, and then we're still, you know, 0:02:58.000 --> 0:02:58.520 up in the air. 0:02:58.560 --> 0:03:01.000 But that to me, then I'll just turn off the 0:03:01.040 --> 0:03:02.880 TV and I'll do something else, and I'll listen to music, 0:03:02.880 --> 0:03:04.440 and I'll wake up in the morning and I'll walk 0:03:04.480 --> 0:03:07.480 out to the UH driveway and get the morning paper 0:03:07.480 --> 0:03:09.520 and see who won, because I'm not going to follow 0:03:09.560 --> 0:03:10.120 all that crap. 0:03:10.160 --> 0:03:12.400 If it's Kamala winning, you know, I won't get no million. 0:03:12.400 --> 0:03:14.400 I'm going to I'm gonna put on my Captain America 0:03:14.400 --> 0:03:16.799 outfit and put on my lace up, my riot and 0:03:16.919 --> 0:03:20.160 shoes and get ready to smash stuff up because that's 0:03:20.160 --> 0:03:22.520 what the media keeps telling me. I'm going to do, 0:03:22.840 --> 0:03:23.959 right yeah, no kidding. 0:03:24.120 --> 0:03:27.320 Here's a little infotainment for you on what we can 0:03:27.320 --> 0:03:27.959 look for tonight. 0:03:28.360 --> 0:03:30.639 Here's what to expect as being wait for the results. 0:03:30.960 --> 0:03:34.000 Forty three states can begin processing absentee and mail in 0:03:34.080 --> 0:03:37.880 ballots before election day. This typically involves verify the voter's 0:03:37.920 --> 0:03:41.240 information and eligibility and then opening the envelopes who it 0:03:41.280 --> 0:03:44.760 can be tabulated by a voting machine. Washington, DC, and 0:03:44.800 --> 0:03:48.280 seven states including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin don't begin these steps 0:03:48.320 --> 0:03:50.120 until today, so just keep that in mind. 0:03:50.400 --> 0:03:53.160 Yeah, that slows things down the states that don't start 0:03:53.200 --> 0:03:53.680 till today. 0:03:53.720 --> 0:03:55.800 More on that now, ask. 0:03:55.720 --> 0:03:58.520 For the count Fourteen states and DC do not allow 0:03:58.600 --> 0:04:01.920 counting until the polls close. Oo Twenty three states allow 0:04:02.040 --> 0:04:05.520 counting to begin before the polls close. However, different states 0:04:05.560 --> 0:04:08.840 have different laws. In North Carolina, for instance, in person 0:04:08.880 --> 0:04:11.880 early votes can't be counted before the polls close, but 0:04:12.440 --> 0:04:16.240 mail absentee ballots received before election day can be tabulated. 0:04:16.600 --> 0:04:19.720 In Georgia, election officials can begin working on early in 0:04:19.760 --> 0:04:22.560 person votes when the polls open, but they can't tabulate 0:04:22.600 --> 0:04:24.119 them until the polls close. 0:04:24.200 --> 0:04:24.440 And then. 0:04:24.520 --> 0:04:28.000 Finally, twelve states allow both processing and counting to begin 0:04:28.080 --> 0:04:31.800 before election day. This is the case in Nevada and Arizona. 0:04:31.880 --> 0:04:36.240 Officials from Aricopa County, Arizona's most populous county, expect to 0:04:36.279 --> 0:04:39.080 report fifty five percent of the total vote and seventy 0:04:39.120 --> 0:04:41.880 to seventy five percent of early ballots by the time 0:04:41.920 --> 0:04:42.479 poles close. 0:04:43.360 --> 0:04:48.200 All right, the entire audience's eyes glazed over eight seconds 0:04:48.200 --> 0:04:50.280 into that and realized, I'm never going to comprehend, much 0:04:50.360 --> 0:04:53.280 less memorise all of your problaration. I will tell you 0:04:53.279 --> 0:04:54.320 this two interesting things. 0:04:54.400 --> 0:04:57.279 Number One, to something like two thirds of the population 0:04:57.360 --> 0:05:00.720 of Arizona is in Maricopa County. It's like everybody practically 0:05:01.240 --> 0:05:05.600 in the county that includes Phoenix. Secondly, this list of 0:05:05.640 --> 0:05:06.480 the states. 0:05:06.160 --> 0:05:11.960 That matter, the states that it all hinges upon Pennsylvania. 0:05:12.279 --> 0:05:14.800 Excellent point. I would say to any journalists out there, 0:05:14.880 --> 0:05:18.159 any talk about polls closing or anything like that in 0:05:18.240 --> 0:05:22.280 anything other than the seven swing states is worthless information. 0:05:22.320 --> 0:05:24.479 Forty three states do this, in seventeen states do that. 0:05:24.560 --> 0:05:27.200 On the other hand, half of those seventeen and triple 0:05:27.240 --> 0:05:28.960 the number of the other thirty four who this that 0:05:29.960 --> 0:05:30.560 nobody can. 0:05:30.480 --> 0:05:33.160 Come only matters in six to seven states. 0:05:33.720 --> 0:05:39.440 So, for example, Pennsylvania last time around, when it was 0:05:39.560 --> 0:05:44.800 quite close. Biden declared victory after the AP called Pennsylvania 0:05:44.839 --> 0:05:46.039 three and a half days later. 0:05:47.640 --> 0:05:48.880 And it's likely. 0:05:50.200 --> 0:05:54.920 Because of Pennsylvania's various vote counting procedures that it'll take 0:05:54.960 --> 0:05:57.799 a while to know. Well, Godor Shapiro says, they've cleaned 0:05:57.800 --> 0:06:00.000 that up a lot, they get I hope that's true. 0:06:00.000 --> 0:06:05.520 They got a lot more employees, they've got a better method. Yeah, Arizona. 0:06:05.839 --> 0:06:08.160 And it's funny because so many of the swing states 0:06:08.240 --> 0:06:10.400 have various wrinkles in their voting laws that tend to 0:06:10.400 --> 0:06:14.080 make it a longer process to figure out who won. 0:06:15.640 --> 0:06:18.800 Arizona permits election officials to begin processing mail in ballots 0:06:18.800 --> 0:06:21.560 after early voting begins, but crucially requires officials to wait 0:06:21.600 --> 0:06:25.080 until after the polls closed to count them. During the 0:06:25.080 --> 0:06:27.160 twenty two mid terms, some twenty percent of mail in 0:06:27.240 --> 0:06:30.640 votes were dropped off on election day, requiring time consuming 0:06:30.720 --> 0:06:35.160 verification procedures to ensure the ballots were legit Well, one 0:06:35.200 --> 0:06:36.559 of the. 0:06:36.040 --> 0:06:38.800 Problems with comparing anything to twenty twenty is we're in 0:06:38.800 --> 0:06:41.159 the midst of the worst pandemic in a century, and 0:06:41.240 --> 0:06:42.440 things were very weird. 0:06:43.160 --> 0:06:46.839 Yeah, that was twenty two for the record, but yes, 0:06:46.920 --> 0:06:52.159 that is absolutely valid, they mentioned, and again some of 0:06:52.160 --> 0:06:54.799 the states have cleaned up their acts. But just for instance, 0:06:54.839 --> 0:06:56.960 it took three and a half days to Can't to 0:06:57.080 --> 0:07:01.920 call Pennsylvania, it took six sixteen days to call Georgia, 0:07:02.600 --> 0:07:06.200 it took ten days to call North Carolina, and it 0:07:06.320 --> 0:07:09.400 took eight days to call Alaska. 0:07:09.440 --> 0:07:10.600 Nobody cares about Alaska. 0:07:10.600 --> 0:07:14.200 Now Alaskan's care about I care about Alaska, But electorally speaking, 0:07:15.400 --> 0:07:16.400 let's talk about Moose. 0:07:16.640 --> 0:07:19.200 Just more interesting, just for all the punditry I take in. 0:07:19.400 --> 0:07:21.400 I think we're gonna get a result tonight, especially if 0:07:21.440 --> 0:07:24.000 you're a West coast since it's you know, it might 0:07:24.040 --> 0:07:25.760 be one or two in the morning if you're on 0:07:25.800 --> 0:07:27.160 the East coast. But I think we're gonna get a 0:07:27.160 --> 0:07:30.560 result tonight, either like a solid result or a we 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:32.440 know how it's gonna turn out. They can't call it 0:07:32.520 --> 0:07:35.800 because statistically you could catch up, but very unlikely. 0:07:35.960 --> 0:07:37.840 I think we'll know. I just I think that's the 0:07:37.840 --> 0:07:40.080 way it's gonna break. I hope you're right. I think 0:07:40.080 --> 0:07:42.080 that would be much better for the country, no doubt 0:07:42.080 --> 0:07:44.520 about that. And then just wanted to speak to and 0:07:44.560 --> 0:07:45.040 this is. 0:07:47.080 --> 0:07:49.520 One value out of hearing that long list of how 0:07:49.560 --> 0:07:51.720 everybody does it, including states that we know how they're 0:07:51.720 --> 0:07:55.200 gonna vote. There's an argument always from a certain crowd 0:07:55.200 --> 0:07:57.840 of why don't we make this more uniform. Well, the 0:07:57.880 --> 0:08:00.320 fact that it's so not uniform is one of the 0:08:00.400 --> 0:08:03.960 reasons it's so difficult to rig an election in this country. 0:08:04.120 --> 0:08:06.760 Every precinct, every county, every state has such a different 0:08:06.800 --> 0:08:07.960 way of doing things. 0:08:08.240 --> 0:08:11.840 It would be really, really hard to rig a national election. 0:08:13.040 --> 0:08:15.840 Which is good and you're absolutely right. 0:08:16.360 --> 0:08:20.720 We are listing some of the horrific policies of Kamala 0:08:20.760 --> 0:08:24.280 and the left last hour, including packing the Supreme Court, 0:08:24.560 --> 0:08:27.040 ending the filibuster, throwing the borders open. 0:08:27.080 --> 0:08:28.160 I mean, the list goes on and on. 0:08:28.720 --> 0:08:34.240 We left out, We left out the fact that they 0:08:34.240 --> 0:08:39.320 want to nationalize all election procedures and controls, which is 0:08:39.400 --> 0:08:43.240 a horrible idea. And boy, the party that's in favor 0:08:43.280 --> 0:08:46.719 of ballot harvesting and spreading ballots willy nilly across the 0:08:46.800 --> 0:08:49.880 land and voting for six months and all, they also 0:08:49.960 --> 0:08:52.080 want to control the process from DC. 0:08:52.840 --> 0:08:54.480 That's so interesting. 0:08:55.360 --> 0:09:00.640 There's a slim possibility that Kamala Harris win the. 0:09:02.280 --> 0:09:04.559 Electoral College and loses the popular vote. 0:09:04.679 --> 0:09:07.640 Very slim, but it could happen, which would be fun 0:09:07.720 --> 0:09:10.200 because everybody would flip their scripts on whether or not 0:09:10.280 --> 0:09:13.400 they support the electoral college versus the popular vote. 0:09:13.520 --> 0:09:14.800 That would be hilarious to watch. 0:09:17.679 --> 0:09:20.520 And again, I'm sorry, Michael, Michael, give me fifty two again. 0:09:21.040 --> 0:09:25.240 Enjoy today the election day, especially for this reason. 0:09:25.600 --> 0:09:31.160 If we don't show up tomorrow, it is entirely possible. No, 0:09:31.200 --> 0:09:34.080 it's not that we will not have the opportunity to 0:09:34.200 --> 0:09:35.720 ever cast a ballot. 0:09:35.840 --> 0:09:40.560 Again, that's dumb. Okay. God is the last American election. 0:09:40.800 --> 0:09:44.120 According to Oprah Winfrey, it Republicans prevails. 0:09:44.240 --> 0:09:47.240 So I respect her more if she's pandering than if 0:09:47.280 --> 0:09:48.400 she actually believes that. 0:09:49.679 --> 0:09:50.439 God. 0:09:51.000 --> 0:09:53.679 I just saw ABC's Yeah, I'd rather deal with a 0:09:53.720 --> 0:09:54.920 liar than a lunatic. 0:09:55.040 --> 0:09:55.360 Yeah. 0:09:55.480 --> 0:09:59.520 ABC's headline was after the shortest election in US history 0:10:01.280 --> 0:10:05.000 or campaigns, which is technically true, But did it feel 0:10:05.040 --> 0:10:05.920 that way to anybody? 0:10:06.240 --> 0:10:06.400 Now? 0:10:08.400 --> 0:10:10.440 Boy? Let me up, I've had enough. 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Download the app today, use the card 0:11:07.559 --> 0:11:10.480 I'm Sorry the code Armstrong to get fifty dollars instantly 0:11:10.520 --> 0:11:13.360 after you play your first five dollars lineup. That's the 0:11:13.400 --> 0:11:16.200 code Armstrong to get fifty bucks instantly after you play 0:11:16.200 --> 0:11:17.360 your first five dollar lineup. 0:11:17.480 --> 0:11:19.400 Prize picks, run your game. 0:11:19.840 --> 0:11:22.679 If you want celebrities saying things that are almost certainly 0:11:22.720 --> 0:11:26.960 not true and hyperbole on the closing moments of Silly Season. 0:11:27.000 --> 0:11:30.440 Elon Musk was on Joe Rogan yesterday and said, if 0:11:30.559 --> 0:11:33.120 Kamala Harris wins, she will shut down Twitter. 0:11:33.600 --> 0:11:35.079 I don't think that's true. 0:11:35.600 --> 0:11:38.319 But the important thing out of that conversation was Joe 0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:45.960 Rogan endorsed Donald Trump. That endorsement, if any matter, is 0:11:46.640 --> 0:11:49.680 miles more important than whether or not the Washington Post 0:11:49.760 --> 0:11:54.080 is endorsed Kamala Harris. Oh yeah, yeah, monumentally more important 0:11:54.080 --> 0:11:57.240 in terms of undecided working class people out there who 0:11:57.280 --> 0:12:00.520 listen to Joe Rogan. Absolute freaking lutely, that's more important. 0:12:00.600 --> 0:12:03.959 Didn't get near the attention as whether the Washington Post 0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:06.640 endorsed or not, or when j Lo comes out and 0:12:06.640 --> 0:12:07.960 makes an endorsement. 0:12:07.760 --> 0:12:09.600 Are you crazy, Joe? Honesty? 0:12:09.640 --> 0:12:12.640 Taylor Swift's endorsement was more important than the Washington Post. 0:12:12.640 --> 0:12:15.640 Oh absolutely, absolutely, that got enormous attention. 0:12:15.720 --> 0:12:18.160 It's funny the contrast between the attention paid to the 0:12:18.160 --> 0:12:20.920 two endorsements, isn't it? It's odd? This is something going 0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:21.360 on here. 0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:24.199 We got an interesting question for our old friend lanhie 0:12:24.280 --> 0:12:26.520 Chin coming up a little later this hour. Give us 0:12:26.800 --> 0:12:29.800 a handful of reasons why each candidate could win, or 0:12:29.800 --> 0:12:32.000 if they won, why they won, which I think will 0:12:32.000 --> 0:12:34.520 be interesting from a super smart guy, among other things. 0:12:34.559 --> 0:12:40.960 On the way, art, heyety, I I don't feel any 0:12:41.000 --> 0:12:42.880 different from when I was sixteen. 0:12:43.280 --> 0:12:44.120 I still think. 0:12:43.920 --> 0:12:45.920 About boys, and I still hate my hair. 0:12:46.400 --> 0:12:48.440 You know that has not changed. 0:12:49.040 --> 0:12:52.160 You know what the big difference is. Tell us I 0:12:52.200 --> 0:12:56.680 can say no, and younger people are so access to please. 0:12:57.080 --> 0:12:59.240 Oh yes, I can do that. Oh sure I want that. 0:12:59.440 --> 0:13:01.960 Oh yes, that's a good idea. I've learned to say 0:13:03.120 --> 0:13:06.439 I'm sorry. That doesn't really work for me. I've never 0:13:06.480 --> 0:13:07.600 been able to say that. 0:13:08.040 --> 0:13:08.319 Ever. 0:13:08.760 --> 0:13:10.960 That's an eighty five year old explaining what it's like 0:13:11.000 --> 0:13:13.200 to be eighty five versus when she was younger. She 0:13:13.280 --> 0:13:16.240 still thinks about boys, hates her hair, but now can 0:13:16.280 --> 0:13:17.120 say no to things. 0:13:17.320 --> 0:13:23.640 Hmm, excellent. Here's the personal growth coming up? Coming up? 0:13:23.720 --> 0:13:26.160 Could California elect Donald Trump? 0:13:26.960 --> 0:13:28.120 What? I know? 0:13:28.200 --> 0:13:30.760 It's an odd question. It's a bit of a trick question. 0:13:30.920 --> 0:13:34.480 And speaking of could this or that, could a monkey, 0:13:35.440 --> 0:13:40.160 given infinite time rite Shakespeare's complete works before the universe 0:13:40.200 --> 0:13:46.480 dives dies? Okay, so that's a long running conundrum. You know, 0:13:46.559 --> 0:13:49.440 the whole infinite number of monkeys on an infinite number 0:13:49.440 --> 0:13:52.839 of typewriters, given an infinite time, would eventually produce the 0:13:52.880 --> 0:13:54.080 complete works of Shakespeare. 0:13:54.160 --> 0:13:56.480 I don't think I've ever bought that. So this is 0:13:56.520 --> 0:13:59.360 answering the question. Well, yeah, although. 0:13:59.080 --> 0:14:02.840 This one went with it's a variation of that, the 0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:08.600 infinite monkey theorem that given infinite time, could a monkey 0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:10.479 produce the works of Shakespeare? 0:14:10.520 --> 0:14:12.880 I suppose technically, if you've got infinite time, you can't 0:14:12.880 --> 0:14:14.000 say no to anything. 0:14:15.080 --> 0:14:20.640 Well, right, but that's if that is like a groovy 0:14:20.720 --> 0:14:25.160 and funny way to explain what infinity is to somebody. Okay, great, 0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:28.280 but no, no, damn monkeys are going to produce the 0:14:28.320 --> 0:14:32.120 works of Shay. Can you imagine? And the first time 0:14:32.440 --> 0:14:34.800 I heard that, I said, I'm not buying that. No, 0:14:35.080 --> 0:14:35.680 not happening. 0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:37.000 Can you imagine? 0:14:37.000 --> 0:14:39.120 You get like to the I don't remember the last 0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:40.280 thing Shakespeare wrote, but you. 0:14:40.240 --> 0:14:41.880 Get to the end and like on the last page, 0:14:41.880 --> 0:14:42.560 there's a typo. 0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:46.400 Oh yeah, that's the great Simpsons joke where mister Burns 0:14:46.440 --> 0:14:49.920 walks in a room full of monkeys at typewriters and 0:14:49.960 --> 0:14:51.400 he pulls a piece of paper out at one of 0:14:51.400 --> 0:14:54.040 the monkeys typewriters and he reads it was the best 0:14:54.040 --> 0:14:54.440 of times. 0:14:54.440 --> 0:14:56.000 It was the blurst of times. 0:14:56.880 --> 0:15:04.600 He's angry because a monkey's had a typo right, hilarious. 0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:06.560 So they were able to type literature. They just made 0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:10.400 a mistake on one word, and he was angry. Also 0:15:10.440 --> 0:15:11.040 read three search. 0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:14.680 I just was looking at this schedule. Both candidates have 0:15:15.160 --> 0:15:20.640 huge schedules today, radio interviews, rallies, appearances, So they must think, 0:15:21.240 --> 0:15:24.040 you know, I supposed to make sense if half the 0:15:24.120 --> 0:15:27.960 votes have already been cast, half the votes haven't, but 0:15:28.680 --> 0:15:30.880 boy she got half. 0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:34.800 Then the tiny amount that could be persuaded by one 0:15:34.960 --> 0:15:38.200 more radio interview or rally, which has got to be 0:15:38.640 --> 0:15:40.080 a tiny number. 0:15:41.440 --> 0:15:44.280 Yeah, oh yeah, absolutely. I just think everybody's thinking about 0:15:44.320 --> 0:15:46.840 twenty twenty. We're a vanishingly small number of votes decide 0:15:46.840 --> 0:15:50.080 the election. But I happened to know a person who 0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:54.960 was absolutely determined to vote. Uh, but they are perhaps 0:15:54.960 --> 0:15:59.360 attending a graduate school that's somewhat distant from their home 0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:02.640 address and was gonna have to track and then decided 0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:05.800 not to, then decided to again, or maybe you got to. 0:16:06.160 --> 0:16:08.800 You're a truck driver and your route gets all screwed 0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:11.760 up and you're gonna get home late anyway, and you're thinking, 0:16:11.840 --> 0:16:13.720 I don't know, I'm just one vote. 0:16:13.880 --> 0:16:15.160 They're just trying to get. 0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:19.960 That last tiny squeeze, that last drop of turnout. 0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:22.520 Sure, got a sick kid at home today. You know, 0:16:22.640 --> 0:16:24.520 you can be planning to do something, the kids sick, 0:16:24.520 --> 0:16:26.280 and you think, yeah, I just got too much going on. 0:16:27.040 --> 0:16:29.480 It can happen unless there's just that one little tweak. 0:16:29.600 --> 0:16:30.040 Do you want to hear? 0:16:30.080 --> 0:16:33.520 The California thing is long we're talking about this could 0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:37.920 California elect Donald Trump? It's from the Wall Street Journal 0:16:38.000 --> 0:16:44.600 editorial board. There has been so much outflow of people 0:16:44.960 --> 0:16:50.080 from California, New York and Illinois that it might swing 0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:53.800 the election for Donald Trump. What it's plausible that the 0:16:53.840 --> 0:16:56.320 population flight from those states to some of this year's 0:16:56.320 --> 0:17:00.320 electoral battlegrounds could help Trump win a second term. And 0:17:00.560 --> 0:17:04.200 they mention it's not only that a lot of conservative 0:17:04.200 --> 0:17:07.600 to moderate people have left the Blue states but population 0:17:07.680 --> 0:17:10.480 shifts in the twenty tens reduced the Democrats advantage in 0:17:10.520 --> 0:17:15.159 the electoral college. California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, 0:17:15.160 --> 0:17:19.040 and West Virginia each lost a vote in the electoral 0:17:19.040 --> 0:17:21.920 college because they lost a rep in the House of Representatives. 0:17:22.080 --> 0:17:25.960 Texas picked up two. Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and 0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:29.160 Oregon each added one. And they go through a bunch 0:17:29.240 --> 0:17:34.040 of scenarios where Kamala Harris starts the count with a 0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:37.000 built in lead that's three votes smaller than Joe Biden's 0:17:37.000 --> 0:17:40.840 in twenty twenty, the sure blue states are three electoral 0:17:40.880 --> 0:17:44.040 votes fewer than they were, and they run through various 0:17:44.080 --> 0:17:48.159 scenarios where if she won a fairly predictable slate of states, 0:17:48.160 --> 0:17:52.040 she'd be two electoral votes short just because of the 0:17:52.119 --> 0:17:54.000 change in population over the last decade. 0:17:54.640 --> 0:17:58.000 Man, I'm taking in some of the cable news channel media, 0:17:58.200 --> 0:18:01.640 just through highlights and stuff like that. Democrat panels seem 0:18:01.720 --> 0:18:05.199 a little panicked. I don't know what insider information they have, 0:18:05.359 --> 0:18:08.280 but there it looks like there's some finger pointing going on. 0:18:08.400 --> 0:18:10.960 We're gonna talk to Lennie jen about the election coming 0:18:11.000 --> 0:18:12.159 up stay with us. 0:18:12.240 --> 0:18:13.439 Are strong and getty. 0:18:14.920 --> 0:18:19.440 You say, Kamala, you're horrible at your job. You don't 0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:22.520 know what you're doing. You're a low IQ individual. We 0:18:22.560 --> 0:18:25.479 want smart people, we want cunning people. We're dealing with 0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:28.840 the smartest people in the world. We don't want your 0:18:28.880 --> 0:18:31.560 negotiating nuclear deals because you don't want there. 0:18:31.640 --> 0:18:36.560 You don't know what the word nuclear means. Kamala, Yeah fired, 0:18:36.680 --> 0:18:38.000 Get the hell out of here. 0:18:39.080 --> 0:18:43.520 I ask you one last time. Are you ready to 0:18:43.560 --> 0:18:51.879 make your voices heard? Do we believe in freedom? Do 0:18:52.040 --> 0:18:53.840 we believe in opportunity? 0:18:55.520 --> 0:19:00.760 Do we believe in the promise of America? 0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:04.320 Wait? Running to find. 0:19:05.920 --> 0:19:13.960 Yeah? Bless what could be better after hearing from our 0:19:14.000 --> 0:19:18.480 two sterling candidates than Lady Gaga lifting her voice in. 0:19:18.640 --> 0:19:24.840 Saul turn it Up? Michael standy side. Oh boy, I 0:19:24.920 --> 0:19:27.879 just saw Why am I? What have I done that 0:19:27.920 --> 0:19:32.080 I'm being punished like this? I just saw Van Jones off. 0:19:32.119 --> 0:19:32.840 I can't stand it. 0:19:32.960 --> 0:19:35.800 I just saw Van Jones on CNN saying I don't 0:19:35.840 --> 0:19:38.159 think closing with all the celebrities was a good idea. 0:19:38.240 --> 0:19:42.760 The difference is working class, blue collar people Michigan, Wisconsin 0:19:42.800 --> 0:19:46.200 and Pennsylvania. I don't think Lady Gaga and all these celebrities. 0:19:46.280 --> 0:19:48.040 Was a good idea that's from Van Jones, which I 0:19:48.040 --> 0:19:48.800 think is interesting. 0:19:49.480 --> 0:19:52.400 Hmmm, he's a serious man. Speaking of serious men. 0:19:52.440 --> 0:19:55.160 Please welcome lon each end of the show, Lonie David 0:19:55.200 --> 0:19:57.959 and Diane Staffy, Fellow in American Public Policy Studies at 0:19:57.960 --> 0:20:00.880 the Hoover Institution and the Director of Domestic Policy Studies 0:20:01.080 --> 0:20:02.560 at Stanford University. 0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:03.640 Lon Hey, greetings, how. 0:20:03.520 --> 0:20:05.440 Are you Happy election day? 0:20:05.600 --> 0:20:06.000 Gentlemen? 0:20:06.800 --> 0:20:09.879 Thank you, thank you, just just taking off on what 0:20:09.880 --> 0:20:12.600 we were just talking about, like saying happy surgery days. 0:20:13.280 --> 0:20:18.800 I guess everyone's ready. Everyone's ready, much like the surgery 0:20:18.840 --> 0:20:19.920