WEBVTT - Tech CEOs Face Lawmakers’ Queries on Disinformation

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Charle Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanibek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. So this week's Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week cover story, it's a business takeover about vaccine passports,

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<v Speaker 1>which could not only help global tourism, but also some

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<v Speaker 1>other industries as well. In fact, every industry is safe

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<v Speaker 1>to say. Here's more with Bloomberg Business Week Assistant Managing

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<v Speaker 1>editor Jim Ellis. So, we've we've heard so much about,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the pain that businesses have had and the

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<v Speaker 1>countries have had, you know, particularly tourist dependent countries, since

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<v Speaker 1>the pandemic has pretty much stopped the ability that's sort

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<v Speaker 1>of easily moved tween places or even the congregating groups.

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<v Speaker 1>So I thought it would be a great idea to

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<v Speaker 1>sort of take a long look, deep dive at, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a the problem and also the range of solutions that

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<v Speaker 1>are coming out now and whether this vaccine passport, this

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<v Speaker 1>sort of mythical savior that so many people have been

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<v Speaker 1>talking about, is really going to be as effective and

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<v Speaker 1>is easy to put together as a lot of people

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<v Speaker 1>seem to think. I mean, this is one of those

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<v Speaker 1>things that this is a solution that people came up

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<v Speaker 1>with quite so quickly before actually understanding what it means.

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<v Speaker 1>It's like, look at that, really, will it be the

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<v Speaker 1>golden ticket? And you guys take us to Israel, you

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<v Speaker 1>take us to uh Europe, where I feel like this

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<v Speaker 1>is where we're starting to see kind of moves in

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<v Speaker 1>that direction, at least more ahead than some other parts

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<v Speaker 1>of the world. Yeah, they've been very, very much more

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<v Speaker 1>interested in in in getting things reopened in a coordinated

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<v Speaker 1>way than here in the US for for a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of reasons. I mean, it's in some ways it's simpler

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<v Speaker 1>because their health systems sort of centralize a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>data and so therefore, uh, here in the US, we've

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<v Speaker 1>got a health system where you know, millions of different

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<v Speaker 1>systems in every state and so it's sort of hard

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<v Speaker 1>to be able to track people. That's easier and in

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<v Speaker 1>countries that have their own health systems. But more importantly, um,

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<v Speaker 1>certain parts of the world are so impacted by the

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<v Speaker 1>drop and travel that they have an interesting getting this

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<v Speaker 1>back together, particularly Europe. Europe has a lot of countries,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly in southern Europe, like a Greece or Spain or

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<v Speaker 1>in Italy, that desperately need to urism to come back.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a big piece of their GDP and they want

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<v Speaker 1>some reason to say that it's safe to travel, whether

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<v Speaker 1>it's truly safe or whether that's just a big lead.

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<v Speaker 1>It seems more and more businesses, whether it's an airline,

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<v Speaker 1>whether it's in the hospitality business, but increasingly whether it's

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<v Speaker 1>in things like sporting events, um um, you know, gyms,

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<v Speaker 1>all those are looking to a vaccine passport as a

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<v Speaker 1>way to say, hey, it's safe, here's your get out

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<v Speaker 1>of jail car. You have this. Now let's get back

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<v Speaker 1>to business as usual, all right, So let's talk about

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<v Speaker 1>some of the things that are out there. There's the

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<v Speaker 1>International Air Transport Association. They've got a travel pass app.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got the EU with their digital Green Pass proposal,

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<v Speaker 1>You've got the A Okay Pass. Any of this really

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<v Speaker 1>working well or at least maybe some tests of it, well, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>the things are in test. The issue is that there's

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<v Speaker 1>right now no coherent standard about what these things should um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, sort of what kind of data they should capture,

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<v Speaker 1>and how they should be able to sort of share

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<v Speaker 1>that data, and what do you have to do to

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<v Speaker 1>make sure that data is sort of private because it's

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<v Speaker 1>often tied to other data, other health data on you

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<v Speaker 1>and other sort of just personal information on you, which

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<v Speaker 1>is a really big issue in parts of the world,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly in Europe, where privacy is a major concern amount

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<v Speaker 1>over everything. And so you've got a lot of competing

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<v Speaker 1>systems as opposed to a standard, whether it's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>right now, Air Frances trialing something called an a O

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<v Speaker 1>K pass, um you know, IATA you know has its

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<v Speaker 1>travel Pass, the Common Pass, which is something that's backed

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<v Speaker 1>by the World Economic Forum. All of these are basically

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<v Speaker 1>competing systems that in various ways take your vaccination and

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<v Speaker 1>and and COVID testing history and put it uh into

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<v Speaker 1>a form that can somehow be displayed on a screen. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>The problem is that, um, you know, how that happens

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<v Speaker 1>can really affect how private the data is. So increasingly

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<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing is people are you know, coalescing around

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<v Speaker 1>sort of an open standard that's tied in with the

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<v Speaker 1>way that we look at security on the Worldwide Web,

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<v Speaker 1>which is pretty well adopted around the world. And the

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<v Speaker 1>key here is rather than having a central database that

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<v Speaker 1>has everyone in the world's health data, which is something

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<v Speaker 1>that most people would not want, I'm just gonna say,

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<v Speaker 1>you made me really nervous. Like I think about it's

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<v Speaker 1>like similar to what we're trying to do with you know,

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<v Speaker 1>medical history. Every time I go to the doctor's office,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm frustrated that I file something out. But will I

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<v Speaker 1>be ultimately comfortable if there is a universal database that

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<v Speaker 1>knows everything medically on me, particularly since that database is

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<v Speaker 1>you know, some people would say that's cool if it's

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<v Speaker 1>just to transport, to transit borders or something like that

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<v Speaker 1>where government is involved, but increasingly, you know, this is

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<v Speaker 1>going to be used in Britain is arguing now about

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<v Speaker 1>whether this can be whether a vaccine passport can be

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<v Speaker 1>used for admissions to pubs. Um you know and um

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<v Speaker 1>in other places. I mean, high It earlier this month

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<v Speaker 1>said that it would consider using one of these apps,

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<v Speaker 1>exploring using one of these apps to determine whether you

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<v Speaker 1>should be able to attend a meeting or convention at

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<v Speaker 1>one of its hotels. So, I mean a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>people are worried about that leaking out. So what the

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<v Speaker 1>standard that seems to be emerging will be something that

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<v Speaker 1>actually allows the data from your sort of health center

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<v Speaker 1>or your health a tester to somehow go into a

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<v Speaker 1>secure app within your phone and then you can decide

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<v Speaker 1>what what piece of it you want to put out.

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<v Speaker 1>And so therefore the border guard or the hard tender

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<v Speaker 1>or whatever wouldn't have access to all of your information,

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<v Speaker 1>just what little piece you determine that they can have

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<v Speaker 1>from the phone at that time, and that the user,

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<v Speaker 1>the person whose data this is, would always be in control.

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<v Speaker 1>If they can make that work, and they think that

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<v Speaker 1>they can use web protocols to do that, then that

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<v Speaker 1>may be a solution. Vaccine passport, Yes for me, Yes

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<v Speaker 1>for you. Yeah. Look, it is so tricky and I

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<v Speaker 1>hesitate to be totally willing to give up my information,

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<v Speaker 1>but we are really in unprecedented times right now. And

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<v Speaker 1>it's so sticky because and we talked about this on

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Take yesterday, there are so many issues with this,

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<v Speaker 1>so many issues when it comes to equal access to vaccines.

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<v Speaker 1>But I don't know, I don't know. I'm I'm I say,

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<v Speaker 1>I say yes, but I'm also on the fence. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know. I feel like there's so much already information

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<v Speaker 1>we put out there. Is it just so bad to

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<v Speaker 1>just say, Okay, yeah, I've got the vaccine. Is it

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<v Speaker 1>as simple as that? And it's just, you know, some

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<v Speaker 1>universal system that really makes it possible for us to

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<v Speaker 1>start moving around. I mean, you know, my wife went

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<v Speaker 1>got her first dose this week and she got a

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<v Speaker 1>sticker that said that she got vaccinated. She just feeling

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<v Speaker 1>probably kind of good. Not like she goes outside and

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<v Speaker 1>wears it around, right, It's not like we're going anywhere

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<v Speaker 1>right now. Well, that, of course was Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>Assistant Managing editor Jim l Is just really breaking down

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<v Speaker 1>he oversaw the coverage. Be sure to check out the

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<v Speaker 1>Vaccine Passport issue of the magazine. It's on newsstands now

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com, Slash business Week, and of course,

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<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg terminal. All of those stories really a

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<v Speaker 1>thoughtful deep dive into the possibility of vaccine passports. This

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg. It

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<v Speaker 1>takes Tim Stenovik on Bloomberg Radio. Alright, so we are

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<v Speaker 1>glued to our live blog that is all about three

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<v Speaker 1>well known tech CEOs testifying up on Capitol Hill. We're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about CEO Mark Zuckerberg, Google CEO Sundchi, and Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>CEO Jack Dorsey testifying right now before the House Energy

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<v Speaker 1>and Commerce Committee. The committee Tim is called Disinformation Nation

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<v Speaker 1>social media's role and promoting extremism and misinformation. Take that,

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<v Speaker 1>your three tex CEOs. You know, I'm starting to see

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<v Speaker 1>a pattern here. All right, let's get into it. What's

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<v Speaker 1>the pattern that these guys get grilled all the time

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<v Speaker 1>by members of the house, warm and fuzzy and cozy

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<v Speaker 1>when they're up there. Let's get into it with Sarah Roberts,

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<v Speaker 1>Assistant Professor of Information Studies at u c l A

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<v Speaker 1>Graduate School of Education, Information studies author behind the screen

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<v Speaker 1>content moderation in the Shadows of social Media. She's with

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<v Speaker 1>us from l A on the phone, John Erlickman, anchor

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<v Speaker 1>byan and Bloomberg's the Open correspondent for CTV National News

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Toronto. A great twosome to talking

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<v Speaker 1>to Sarah. Let me kick it off with you, um

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<v Speaker 1>this hearing. What's the problem? Who needs to be really accountable?

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<v Speaker 1>How do you see it? You understand this world? Yes?

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<v Speaker 1>Thanks for having me to discuss um. I think one

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<v Speaker 1>of the big takeaways that I had very early on

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<v Speaker 1>in this hearing today, which is as we as we

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<v Speaker 1>acknowledge one in a series, we see, we've seen that

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen these guys being created before Congress now with

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<v Speaker 1>the fair amount of regularity. One of the things that

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<v Speaker 1>I was noting today was that there really are conversations

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<v Speaker 1>happening by our Congress members that a number of different

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<v Speaker 1>registers with regard to UH their their complaints, and they're

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<v Speaker 1>they're questioning to the CEOs. We have some members of

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<v Speaker 1>Congress who are representing their constituents and talking about individual

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<v Speaker 1>perceptions of you know, biased towards them based on perhaps

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<v Speaker 1>political or religious orientation or creed or practice. We have

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<v Speaker 1>other members of Congress talking about much larger issues such

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<v Speaker 1>as the Rohinga genocide and me and mar that seems

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<v Speaker 1>to have been orchestrated and and carried out through people

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<v Speaker 1>communicating on Facebook. That's fairly well known at this point.

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<v Speaker 1>And then we have even members of Congress bringing it UH.

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<v Speaker 1>Multilateral trade agreements into the conversation. Trade agreements notorious for

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<v Speaker 1>their secrecy, and it comes comes to be the case

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<v Speaker 1>that Section two thirty UH like language is being built

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<v Speaker 1>into them. So in a way, although I'm not known

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<v Speaker 1>for my great UH sympathy towards the pech firms, I

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<v Speaker 1>do have to say that it's it's quite a it's

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<v Speaker 1>quite a feat for them to respond to all of

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<v Speaker 1>these different registers that the problems are being asked to

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<v Speaker 1>respond to are just coming at them from all different directions,

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<v Speaker 1>and there's not a lot of cohesion from our Congress members.

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<v Speaker 1>It's you know, just as a constituent, I find that

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<v Speaker 1>a little disappointing because it really does derail in some

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<v Speaker 1>ways the kinds of complexity is that could be gotten into.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, we know that there's a lot of grand

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<v Speaker 1>standing that goes on things that a lot of just

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<v Speaker 1>yes or no, I answer the question to prove a points.

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<v Speaker 1>So we got to take that political theater into and

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<v Speaker 1>to the equation to right, and then that happens every time,

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<v Speaker 1>as we've seen time and time again. I should note that,

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<v Speaker 1>as planned, the committee is recessing for fifteen minutes right now.

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<v Speaker 1>I John Erlickman, come on in here and talk a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit about the lawmakers and their lines of questioning here,

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<v Speaker 1>because a common criticism over the past few years when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to the way that these members of Congress

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<v Speaker 1>do speak to these CEOs, has been that it's not

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<v Speaker 1>always clear that they know exactly what they're talking about.

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<v Speaker 1>Do they seem, you know, quote unquote read in on this. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a great question, Tim, And I'll be honest, after

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<v Speaker 1>listening to so many of these grill sessions and I

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<v Speaker 1>and I totally um um see you're serious coming from

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<v Speaker 1>It's true that they have thrown at a whole bunch

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<v Speaker 1>of stuff, and maybe the net result is you don't

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<v Speaker 1>get as far as you need to get with what

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<v Speaker 1>ultimately the goal may have been with today. But at

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<v Speaker 1>the same time, this has been some of the most

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<v Speaker 1>compelling testimony that I've observed, partly because at the very

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<v Speaker 1>least I have walked away so far feeling as if

0:12:16.840 --> 0:12:21.719
<v Speaker 1>we have moved beyond whether we actually you know understand

0:12:21.760 --> 0:12:24.839
<v Speaker 1>the business, you know, just watching everything, it felt to

0:12:24.880 --> 0:12:27.079
<v Speaker 1>me like I don't need to know if this lawmaker

0:12:27.480 --> 0:12:31.600
<v Speaker 1>understands everything that goes into the business of Facebook or Google.

0:12:31.640 --> 0:12:36.840
<v Speaker 1>There's a robust conversation around whether or not these massive

0:12:36.960 --> 0:12:41.880
<v Speaker 1>platforms should have the power to ignore or police their content.

0:12:42.040 --> 0:12:46.160
<v Speaker 1>Content that for years they said we don't create, so

0:12:46.200 --> 0:12:49.640
<v Speaker 1>we're not responsible for and now they are saying we

0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:52.800
<v Speaker 1>have or we want to implement better ways to police

0:12:52.840 --> 0:12:56.040
<v Speaker 1>the content. And to the same A's point, they have

0:12:56.200 --> 0:12:59.040
<v Speaker 1>come to the table with a lot of great examples

0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:02.800
<v Speaker 1>summary total. Maybe it's a you know, one politician whose

0:13:02.840 --> 0:13:05.800
<v Speaker 1>posts were taken down, or maybe it's something else, but

0:13:06.040 --> 0:13:10.160
<v Speaker 1>we've got we've gotten to a point where things can

0:13:10.280 --> 0:13:14.360
<v Speaker 1>be toxic as a result of what happens on these platforms.

0:13:14.440 --> 0:13:17.040
<v Speaker 1>They've done a lot of exciting things. The technology has

0:13:17.080 --> 0:13:19.480
<v Speaker 1>allowed us to do a lot, but I would have

0:13:19.520 --> 0:13:23.560
<v Speaker 1>hoped that they these executives were in many ways more prepared.

0:13:23.960 --> 0:13:26.640
<v Speaker 1>And so now headlines are coming out because there are

0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:30.760
<v Speaker 1>served specific examples used like the capital riots. Right. Uh,

0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:33.720
<v Speaker 1>some of the lawmakers were asking yes or no, do

0:13:33.800 --> 0:13:36.680
<v Speaker 1>you bear responsibility for this? And there's sort of these

0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:40.360
<v Speaker 1>stuttering answers, and you know, Jack Dorsey walks away as

0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:43.040
<v Speaker 1>the one who acknowledges Okay, yes, Twitter did play a

0:13:43.160 --> 0:13:45.959
<v Speaker 1>role in that. And I and I think that, um,

0:13:46.000 --> 0:13:49.280
<v Speaker 1>I think that the line of questioning, although scattered, is

0:13:49.360 --> 0:13:53.840
<v Speaker 1>actually far more improved from when this process began. Accountability,

0:13:53.920 --> 0:13:58.520
<v Speaker 1>yes or now Sarah, I'm pretending I'm one of the lawmakers.

0:13:57.160 --> 0:14:01.680
<v Speaker 1>But do they ultimately need to be Sarah accountable for

0:14:01.720 --> 0:14:03.600
<v Speaker 1>the content? I think this is what we're trying to

0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:06.520
<v Speaker 1>figure out. Are they accountable? Should they be accountable? And

0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:08.320
<v Speaker 1>we've only got about forty seconds and then we'll come

0:14:08.320 --> 0:14:12.680
<v Speaker 1>back and talk some more. Yeah, I'll tell you that

0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:15.480
<v Speaker 1>that that normative question is a bit of a misnomer

0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:19.560
<v Speaker 1>because the fact is that they are already accountable. They're

0:14:19.600 --> 0:14:22.200
<v Speaker 1>just accountable to themselves. So it's not as if we're

0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:26.480
<v Speaker 1>going from no kind of remediation and accountability. It's just

0:14:26.600 --> 0:14:29.280
<v Speaker 1>that the public and now we both sides the aisle

0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:34.120
<v Speaker 1>very much united in this hearing, with with with anger

0:14:34.280 --> 0:14:36.840
<v Speaker 1>towards the firms. Well, or does it need to be

0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:40.600
<v Speaker 1>accountability to an outside entity and not just internally? All right,

0:14:40.640 --> 0:14:42.880
<v Speaker 1>let's get right back to our discussion we're talking about

0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:46.920
<v Speaker 1>the three big tech CEOs, Mark Zuckerberg, Sounder Pichai, and

0:14:47.120 --> 0:14:49.680
<v Speaker 1>Jack Dorsey up on Capitol Hill right now. They're taking

0:14:49.680 --> 0:14:51.480
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of a recess, but they are testifying

0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:55.360
<v Speaker 1>about really disinformation on their platform. Sarah Roberts is still

0:14:55.400 --> 0:14:57.840
<v Speaker 1>with US, Associate Professor of Information Studies at u c

0:14:58.000 --> 0:15:02.120
<v Speaker 1>l A Graduate School of Education Information Studies and also

0:15:02.160 --> 0:15:04.880
<v Speaker 1>still with US. She's from l A. John Erlichman on

0:15:04.880 --> 0:15:07.320
<v Speaker 1>the phone in Toronto. He's anchored being in Bloomberg's The

0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:10.440
<v Speaker 1>Open Chris Bonnet for CTV National News. Um, Sarah, I

0:15:10.440 --> 0:15:12.640
<v Speaker 1>just want to quickly follow up I was talking about,

0:15:12.840 --> 0:15:15.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, you said there is accountability, but do we

0:15:15.920 --> 0:15:19.240
<v Speaker 1>need to have more outside accountability of these social media

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:23.200
<v Speaker 1>platforms in order for it to be better and especially

0:15:23.240 --> 0:15:27.360
<v Speaker 1>in terms of the spread of disinformation? Just quickly, yes,

0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:29.440
<v Speaker 1>absolutely absolutely we do. And you know, I made the

0:15:29.480 --> 0:15:32.920
<v Speaker 1>point somewhat facetiously to illustrate the fact that what we

0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:35.080
<v Speaker 1>have right now is the case of the Fox reguarding

0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 1>the hen House, and that doesn't usually turn out so

0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:40.520
<v Speaker 1>well for the hen. Uh. It's it's just not a

0:15:40.680 --> 0:15:43.800
<v Speaker 1>it's not a good model. And moreover, many other industries

0:15:43.840 --> 0:15:47.480
<v Speaker 1>don't seem to enjoy this kind of uh, this kind

0:15:47.480 --> 0:15:51.200
<v Speaker 1>of leeway that has led to the front uh becoming

0:15:51.240 --> 0:15:54.440
<v Speaker 1>the bihemos that they are. One Early on in the hearing,

0:15:54.600 --> 0:15:59.120
<v Speaker 1>Zuckerberg pointed ingestured at his firms development of their Facebook

0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:03.520
<v Speaker 1>Oversight board, the mechanism they're using once again to put

0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:06.320
<v Speaker 1>a check on their decision making power. And that board

0:16:06.440 --> 0:16:09.520
<v Speaker 1>is designed as a as a separate entity in the

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:14.080
<v Speaker 1>body that is wholly independent from Facebook. But the thing

0:16:14.200 --> 0:16:17.240
<v Speaker 1>is still inside of Facebook's logic, and it still doesn't

0:16:17.280 --> 0:16:21.360
<v Speaker 1>curry the same kind of weight and power. That's something

0:16:21.440 --> 0:16:25.920
<v Speaker 1>like governmental regulation might or should, and certainly does in

0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:29.640
<v Speaker 1>the context of other industries. Broadcasting comes to mind as

0:16:29.680 --> 0:16:32.720
<v Speaker 1>just right as we speak on the radio today, Hey John,

0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:34.240
<v Speaker 1>come on in here and talk a little bit about

0:16:34.280 --> 0:16:37.200
<v Speaker 1>this from the investor in business perspective, here, I'm looking

0:16:37.200 --> 0:16:39.360
<v Speaker 1>at a chart of Facebook intra day. It's down four

0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:42.920
<v Speaker 1>tents of one percent. Twitter is down about eight tents

0:16:42.920 --> 0:16:45.680
<v Speaker 1>of one percent, and Alphabet is tired by just two

0:16:45.680 --> 0:16:47.800
<v Speaker 1>tents of one percent from a business perspective, From an

0:16:47.840 --> 0:16:50.800
<v Speaker 1>investor perspective, what is the worst case scenario for these

0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:55.440
<v Speaker 1>companies when it comes to regulation and it happens. I mean,

0:16:55.640 --> 0:16:58.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, the reality, Tim is that we just this

0:16:58.720 --> 0:17:01.600
<v Speaker 1>this hearing today. I think we started this conversation by

0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:04.959
<v Speaker 1>saying a lot has been thrown out. The biggest question

0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:08.840
<v Speaker 1>becomes what contangibly come from this. So if there was

0:17:09.000 --> 0:17:14.280
<v Speaker 1>something truly meaningful that did come, well, that would definitely

0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:16.159
<v Speaker 1>changed the game. But I want to be clear that

0:17:16.200 --> 0:17:21.760
<v Speaker 1>Facebook itself is being proactive in wanting to, you know,

0:17:22.200 --> 0:17:25.040
<v Speaker 1>have a new version of the script because that way

0:17:25.080 --> 0:17:28.080
<v Speaker 1>they can essentially, you know, have a way to just

0:17:28.520 --> 0:17:32.240
<v Speaker 1>manage how things are playing out Washington, but on Wall Street, Uh,

0:17:32.280 --> 0:17:36.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, with their messaging to investors. Um, the numbers

0:17:36.200 --> 0:17:39.639
<v Speaker 1>are pretty astounding, Kim and Carol. I mean, Facebook is

0:17:39.680 --> 0:17:41.679
<v Speaker 1>going to generate more than a billion in revenue this

0:17:41.760 --> 0:17:44.360
<v Speaker 1>year for the first time. Um, it will have done

0:17:44.359 --> 0:17:49.119
<v Speaker 1>that in seventeen years. That's faster than Microsoft, Amazon, Walmart, GM,

0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:52.040
<v Speaker 1>Chevron A, T M T. And you know, it comes

0:17:52.080 --> 0:17:56.080
<v Speaker 1>back to the fact that they're used by everybody and

0:17:56.200 --> 0:17:58.480
<v Speaker 1>they have this massive advice you know, there was a

0:17:58.480 --> 0:18:01.919
<v Speaker 1>funny there was interesting moment when Mark Zuckerberg was asked

0:18:02.520 --> 0:18:06.560
<v Speaker 1>about advertising targeting those under the age of thirteen on Instagram,

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:09.400
<v Speaker 1>at which point he said, well, people under thirteen aren't

0:18:09.400 --> 0:18:16.880
<v Speaker 1>allowed on Instagram, and um, come on, well exactly, and

0:18:16.880 --> 0:18:20.280
<v Speaker 1>and and he and and and so the lawmaker asked, well, okay,

0:18:20.520 --> 0:18:22.920
<v Speaker 1>how do you verify that? And you know, well you

0:18:23.080 --> 0:18:25.840
<v Speaker 1>enter your age and so I think there will come

0:18:25.880 --> 0:18:32.280
<v Speaker 1>on John. But but Zuckerberg, what he talked about really

0:18:32.400 --> 0:18:35.119
<v Speaker 1>the first time was that they're thinking of an Instagram

0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:37.720
<v Speaker 1>for people who are under the age so they can

0:18:37.720 --> 0:18:40.639
<v Speaker 1>further police it. So they've got a business plan for everything.

0:18:40.640 --> 0:18:42.680
<v Speaker 1>And I gotta tell you, guys, to answer Tim's question,

0:18:43.200 --> 0:18:47.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean, investors have loved this story. That is the reality.

0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:50.879
<v Speaker 1>You know, making money attracts people who want to make money.

0:18:51.440 --> 0:18:53.600
<v Speaker 1>So what does that mean then, John from the investor

0:18:53.640 --> 0:18:58.040
<v Speaker 1>world just quickly that I don't really think unless there

0:18:58.040 --> 0:19:00.560
<v Speaker 1>are are our real teeth and what Wall makes are

0:19:00.560 --> 0:19:02.280
<v Speaker 1>going to do. And I don't think we know that

0:19:02.400 --> 0:19:04.920
<v Speaker 1>right now. That Facebook is still in a power position

0:19:04.920 --> 0:19:07.639
<v Speaker 1>along with Google. Yeah, exactly, and they've gotten smarter in

0:19:07.720 --> 0:19:09.840
<v Speaker 1>terms of lobbying and spending a lot more money, just

0:19:09.960 --> 0:19:13.359
<v Speaker 1>like UH companies that have been around for a hundred years. Sarah. Realistically,

0:19:13.400 --> 0:19:15.000
<v Speaker 1>we've just got about a minute and a half left here.

0:19:15.000 --> 0:19:17.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean, realistically, is this just grandstanding? We'll have these

0:19:17.640 --> 0:19:20.720
<v Speaker 1>hearings and then we're gonna move on and nothing really changes. Well,

0:19:21.600 --> 0:19:23.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, you you set it up perfectly for me

0:19:23.600 --> 0:19:25.640
<v Speaker 1>to spike it over the net. I was reading report

0:19:25.760 --> 0:19:29.440
<v Speaker 1>yesterday about the biggest players in the in the government

0:19:30.200 --> 0:19:33.880
<v Speaker 1>relations a k a. Lobbying scene in terms of dollars

0:19:33.920 --> 0:19:37.040
<v Speaker 1>and boots on the ground in places like DC. Guests

0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:40.080
<v Speaker 1>who's leading that race right now? If you guess Facebook,

0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:42.959
<v Speaker 1>you'd be right. If you guess Amazon, you'd be right

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:45.160
<v Speaker 1>to their number two. And of course we're not talking

0:19:45.160 --> 0:19:48.680
<v Speaker 1>about them today, but they're in the background here as well. So, um,

0:19:48.720 --> 0:19:51.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, the question remains beyond these kinds of hearings

0:19:51.680 --> 0:19:54.600
<v Speaker 1>that are a lot of political theater. We have to

0:19:54.600 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 1>see what we'll actually shake out in the form of legislation.

0:19:57.960 --> 0:20:01.800
<v Speaker 1>But it's important to know that lawmakers often know where

0:20:01.800 --> 0:20:04.480
<v Speaker 1>the bread is buttered, right, and these lobbyists are there

0:20:04.520 --> 0:20:07.879
<v Speaker 1>to remind them. Uh So the money piece following the

0:20:07.920 --> 0:20:10.040
<v Speaker 1>money is going to be important. And I also have

0:20:10.160 --> 0:20:12.639
<v Speaker 1>to say, just as an industry watcher, you know, I

0:20:12.760 --> 0:20:15.320
<v Speaker 1>just checked in with this with the trading and stock

0:20:15.359 --> 0:20:17.520
<v Speaker 1>prices just before I got on the call. And as

0:20:17.560 --> 0:20:20.480
<v Speaker 1>we all know, these uh, these these firms have their

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:23.720
<v Speaker 1>shares trading at darn year fifty two week highs in

0:20:23.800 --> 0:20:27.159
<v Speaker 1>some cases all time highs for for a firm like Twitter,

0:20:28.560 --> 0:20:33.600
<v Speaker 1>which was languishing and languering, uh, languishing and linkering and

0:20:33.720 --> 0:20:37.760
<v Speaker 1>these like really low places. It's way you know, right,

0:20:38.200 --> 0:20:40.879
<v Speaker 1>many many times. Hey, guys, Sarah, we gotta run. This

0:20:40.960 --> 0:20:42.639
<v Speaker 1>is great and I know we'll come back to this,

0:20:43.080 --> 0:20:45.560
<v Speaker 1>no doubt about it over the next few months. Sarah Roberts,

0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:48.080
<v Speaker 1>Associate Professor of Information Studies at u c l A

0:20:48.119 --> 0:20:51.479
<v Speaker 1>Graduate School of Education Information Studies. John Arlickman anchor Being

0:20:51.520 --> 0:20:54.720
<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg is the open Chris Bonnet for CTV National News. Guys,

0:20:54.720 --> 0:21:04.399
<v Speaker 1>thank you so much. This is Bloomberg Journal. Yeah, but

0:21:04.520 --> 0:21:09.359
<v Speaker 1>you let me drive. No, no drive home an please,

0:21:09.480 --> 0:21:12.880
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the right drivel Lets me I want to drive,

0:21:15.600 --> 0:21:28.680
<v Speaker 1>Just drive baby, question, get drying. This is the drive

0:21:28.800 --> 0:21:32.240
<v Speaker 1>to the Globe. Give me thanks well, drying us down

0:21:32.520 --> 0:21:35.439
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio quite just about nine minutes left in

0:21:35.480 --> 0:21:38.280
<v Speaker 1>today's trading session. Let's get to the drive to the close.

0:21:38.320 --> 0:21:41.920
<v Speaker 1>Bill Smede back with US CEO ce IO at Smede

0:21:42.040 --> 0:21:46.640
<v Speaker 1>Capital Management, based in Seattle, but on the phone in Phoenix, Arizona.

0:21:46.680 --> 0:21:48.680
<v Speaker 1>The Speed Value Fund, by the way, beating just about

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:51.520
<v Speaker 1>all of its peers so far this year and really

0:21:51.600 --> 0:21:55.400
<v Speaker 1>over the past five years, returning on average more than annually.

0:21:55.600 --> 0:21:57.280
<v Speaker 1>Hey Bill, good to have you here with Tim and me.

0:21:57.440 --> 0:22:01.480
<v Speaker 1>How are you very well? Thank you? So, how do

0:22:01.520 --> 0:22:06.440
<v Speaker 1>you see the market environment right now? It's very interesting

0:22:06.600 --> 0:22:09.240
<v Speaker 1>as always, that's one of the beauties of having this

0:22:09.359 --> 0:22:14.920
<v Speaker 1>as an occupation. Uh, you have what is likely a

0:22:15.000 --> 0:22:20.240
<v Speaker 1>bear market developing in the NASDAC. At the same time

0:22:20.480 --> 0:22:24.960
<v Speaker 1>you have bull markets and the things that benefit the

0:22:25.000 --> 0:22:31.200
<v Speaker 1>most from reopening. And it's harder to understand if you're

0:22:31.240 --> 0:22:36.480
<v Speaker 1>in a place that hasn't reopened. I'm in Phoenix, Arizona,

0:22:37.160 --> 0:22:42.320
<v Speaker 1>and the this this town is almost completely open. There

0:22:42.320 --> 0:22:44.800
<v Speaker 1>were a hundred and thirty eight cases in the state

0:22:44.840 --> 0:22:49.080
<v Speaker 1>of Arizona recorded today, and you know that's down from

0:22:49.200 --> 0:22:51.640
<v Speaker 1>ten thousand or something like that, you know, not very

0:22:51.680 --> 0:22:55.720
<v Speaker 1>long ago. And and so watching the activity of people

0:22:55.840 --> 0:22:59.000
<v Speaker 1>here is a nice picture of what it will look

0:22:59.080 --> 0:23:04.520
<v Speaker 1>like once the combination of vaccinated plus you know already

0:23:04.560 --> 0:23:10.280
<v Speaker 1>already had the virus, UH reaches that six level. So

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:14.639
<v Speaker 1>bill a bear market for the NASDAC. What about value

0:23:14.640 --> 0:23:18.920
<v Speaker 1>and where you see opportunity? What are some names? Well, uh,

0:23:18.960 --> 0:23:22.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, we like the home builders. There's a line

0:23:22.320 --> 0:23:25.679
<v Speaker 1>of logic out there that says, g because home building

0:23:25.720 --> 0:23:28.479
<v Speaker 1>has gone so well that it has to be some

0:23:28.560 --> 0:23:31.679
<v Speaker 1>kind of a top or a cyclical high. And we

0:23:31.760 --> 0:23:34.080
<v Speaker 1>have a chart that shows the number of homes built

0:23:34.119 --> 0:23:38.119
<v Speaker 1>each year divided by population going back sixty two years

0:23:38.760 --> 0:23:42.840
<v Speaker 1>and the current the current home building level just gets

0:23:42.920 --> 0:23:47.639
<v Speaker 1>us up to the deepest recession levels of the sixties, seventies, eighties,

0:23:47.680 --> 0:23:52.960
<v Speaker 1>nineties and two thousand's. So so basically we're just still

0:23:53.359 --> 0:23:56.240
<v Speaker 1>about the third or fourth inning of a nine inning

0:23:56.880 --> 0:24:00.800
<v Speaker 1>housing recovery that should stretch the next decade. We like Lennar,

0:24:01.000 --> 0:24:05.320
<v Speaker 1>We liked d R. Horton and UH and we own NBR.

0:24:05.480 --> 0:24:09.320
<v Speaker 1>And what everyone is kind of forgetting is that the

0:24:09.400 --> 0:24:13.520
<v Speaker 1>market share of these companies has grown immensely. Uh. We

0:24:13.600 --> 0:24:16.159
<v Speaker 1>have one chart that shows that DR Horton, the largest

0:24:16.160 --> 0:24:20.360
<v Speaker 1>home builder, had one percent market share in and they

0:24:20.400 --> 0:24:24.720
<v Speaker 1>have about nine market share this year, and and that

0:24:25.480 --> 0:24:28.560
<v Speaker 1>so we have a lot of houses to build, and

0:24:28.800 --> 0:24:31.320
<v Speaker 1>those houses are going to predominantly be built by the

0:24:31.320 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 1>ten largest home builders, and we own three of the

0:24:33.920 --> 0:24:37.479
<v Speaker 1>top five. Hey, Bill, we got Jeff Mezger, the CEO

0:24:37.600 --> 0:24:40.800
<v Speaker 1>of KB Home, joining us uh later than the show

0:24:40.960 --> 0:24:46.280
<v Speaker 1>in the next hour. What would you ask him? Oh? Uh,

0:24:46.520 --> 0:24:48.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't think we need to ask a lot.

0:24:48.960 --> 0:24:52.240
<v Speaker 1>We we we We've been listening to Stuart Miller and

0:24:52.440 --> 0:24:58.760
<v Speaker 1>UH and and speaking regularly and understanding their industry. KB

0:24:59.560 --> 0:25:04.480
<v Speaker 1>is I believe a big California builder. And that's problematic

0:25:05.440 --> 0:25:09.120
<v Speaker 1>because California is a weird state for a couple of reasons. One,

0:25:09.560 --> 0:25:13.920
<v Speaker 1>my my cousin helped create Proposition thirteen a long time ago,

0:25:14.280 --> 0:25:17.920
<v Speaker 1>which caps people's property taxes at the price they bought

0:25:17.960 --> 0:25:21.280
<v Speaker 1>the home at and and so people that are in

0:25:21.320 --> 0:25:23.600
<v Speaker 1>their home never want to leave them because they never

0:25:23.600 --> 0:25:26.880
<v Speaker 1>want to have to pay higher property taxes. And then secondarily,

0:25:26.920 --> 0:25:29.160
<v Speaker 1>there's not a lot of land left in the most

0:25:29.200 --> 0:25:35.560
<v Speaker 1>attractive UH cities like San Francisco, Los Angeles, San Diego, etcetera. Therefore,

0:25:36.000 --> 0:25:38.840
<v Speaker 1>it's just not that great a place to build homes

0:25:38.920 --> 0:25:42.640
<v Speaker 1>unless you move quite a ways away, and they're doing that,

0:25:42.760 --> 0:25:46.679
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure. But the big opportunity really is going to

0:25:47.600 --> 0:25:50.480
<v Speaker 1>seventy five percent of the geography the United States where

0:25:50.480 --> 0:25:52.439
<v Speaker 1>you can build homes for half the price of what

0:25:52.520 --> 0:25:54.520
<v Speaker 1>you can build them in California. Well, and do you

0:25:54.520 --> 0:25:56.800
<v Speaker 1>think working from home and you know all of these

0:25:56.800 --> 0:25:59.200
<v Speaker 1>stories about people and companies now saying listen, you don't

0:25:59.240 --> 0:26:00.520
<v Speaker 1>have to work at our of it says you can

0:26:00.560 --> 0:26:02.760
<v Speaker 1>work anywhere you want in the country. Do you think

0:26:02.840 --> 0:26:05.359
<v Speaker 1>that's going to create some housing booms elsewhere and some

0:26:05.400 --> 0:26:09.560
<v Speaker 1>opportunities in terms of home building in other markets? Well,

0:26:10.040 --> 0:26:14.159
<v Speaker 1>I do, but I think the offices will move to

0:26:14.320 --> 0:26:19.239
<v Speaker 1>the less expensive areas also to accommodate that. And and

0:26:19.720 --> 0:26:22.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm actually in the camp that thinks works from work

0:26:22.359 --> 0:26:25.800
<v Speaker 1>from home is overrated. A good friend of mine ran

0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:28.400
<v Speaker 1>a successful business for a long time. He said, it's

0:26:28.440 --> 0:26:34.159
<v Speaker 1>not what's expected that gets done, it's what's inspected interesting,

0:26:34.800 --> 0:26:38.320
<v Speaker 1>and it's it's hard to inspect what your employees are

0:26:38.359 --> 0:26:42.439
<v Speaker 1>doing when you're not around them. Hey, I'm I'm in

0:26:42.520 --> 0:26:45.600
<v Speaker 1>your camp. Okay, not necessarily because I don't trust, you know,

0:26:45.680 --> 0:26:47.400
<v Speaker 1>my colleagues, but I just like to be at work

0:26:47.520 --> 0:26:50.680
<v Speaker 1>rather than at home. Um. Hey, it's it's good from

0:26:50.680 --> 0:26:54.080
<v Speaker 1>a social stamp. Listen, just got about thirty seconds left.

0:26:54.080 --> 0:26:56.000
<v Speaker 1>There any other names that you think are on your

0:26:56.080 --> 0:26:57.879
<v Speaker 1>radar right now that you've committed new money and just

0:26:57.880 --> 0:27:00.240
<v Speaker 1>got to be really quick if you could. We think

0:27:00.240 --> 0:27:02.880
<v Speaker 1>that people around the country that haven't opened up yet

0:27:02.880 --> 0:27:05.359
<v Speaker 1>are going to be shocked at the number of people

0:27:05.400 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 1>that go to class A malls like Mace rich On

0:27:08.240 --> 0:27:11.840
<v Speaker 1>Simon malls shopping. I haven't want to get back to it.

0:27:11.920 --> 0:27:14.680
<v Speaker 1>I haven't done that in years. Um, good stuff, Bill,

0:27:14.760 --> 0:27:17.159
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much. Stay well. Bill Smeade. He is

0:27:17.240 --> 0:27:20.239
<v Speaker 1>CEO and c i O at SMAD Capital Management. As

0:27:20.240 --> 0:27:23.680
<v Speaker 1>I mentioned, their value fund has been beating almost all

0:27:23.680 --> 0:27:26.879
<v Speaker 1>of its peers consistently over the past five years. Joining

0:27:26.920 --> 0:27:29.359
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone in Phoenix. Thanks for listening to

0:27:29.359 --> 0:27:32.960
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or

0:27:32.960 --> 0:27:35.119
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0:27:35.200 --> 0:27:37.840
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0:27:37.840 --> 0:27:40.520
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