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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Pearlt. Follow

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Speaker 2: me across all socials at sports dot Matt. Each and

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Speaker 2: every morning, this podcast is being brought to you by

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Speaker 2: Omaha Steaks dot com with the special URL Omaha Steaks

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Speaker 2: dot com slash Juice. Subscriptions available right now at omasteaks

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Speaker 2: dot com slash Juice ten percent off your first order

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Speaker 2: when you subscribe, and free burgers for life when you

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Speaker 2: do so. At omahasteaks dot Com slash Juice one satisfaction

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Speaker 2: money back guarantee. Okay, frustrating day because well, I went

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Speaker 2: one and two officially, but the other bets I talked

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Speaker 2: about went three and oh the Florida Alabama over hit

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Speaker 2: Florida plus four hit Kentucky over hit Kentucky, didn't cover.

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Speaker 2: The Iowa was to eight game did cover, but we

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Speaker 2: did not get the what was the third bet yesterday? Oh,

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Speaker 2: Houston under didn't hit, So frustration there again. If you

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Speaker 2: bet everything, you went four and two. If you bet

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Speaker 2: just the official plays, you went one and two, which

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Speaker 2: is kind of frustrating, but it's a five and two

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Speaker 2: day over the last two days. We're still up for

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Speaker 2: the week, still have a chance to have a winning week.

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Speaker 2: This is what I'm going to do, Okay. I have

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Speaker 2: a ton of action in college basketball, like a stupid amount.

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Speaker 2: Some of the games I'm betting our gut feel okay.

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Speaker 2: Like for instance, Western Kentucky is playing in the championship

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Speaker 2: game in Huntsville, Alabama. Western Kentucky is coached by a

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Speaker 2: man named Steve Lutz. They're playing UTEP.

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Speaker 1: This game. The handicap is kind of I.

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Speaker 2: Don't know what I want to describe it simplistic. So

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Speaker 2: this game is the Conference USA championship game. Kem pom

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Speaker 2: has it as a three point win for Western Kentucky.

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Speaker 2: Steve Lutz being the coach of Western Kentucky. Steve Lutz

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Speaker 2: coached on the Creighton basketball staff. He was the lead

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Speaker 2: recruiting coach, a guy I worked really close with when

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Speaker 2: I was working for rivals, getting quotes and having interviews

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Speaker 2: with him all the time. A guy of stayed in

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Speaker 2: contact with. He went from coach allt Sorry, he went

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Speaker 2: from coach Greg McDermott to Matt Painter at Purdue to

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Speaker 2: then Texas A and m Corpus Christy and now he's

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Speaker 2: the head coach of Western Kentucky. Western Kentucky had a

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Speaker 2: really big win yesterday in the semi final. The game

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Speaker 2: wasn't close. They beat MTSU eighty five fifty four. They

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Speaker 2: beat New Mexico eighty nine sixty nine. What am I doing?

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Speaker 2: Of course, I'm betting on Western Kentucky laying three and

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Speaker 2: a half. Of course, done one hundred percent lay it.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to bet South Florida today. Why am I

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Speaker 2: betting South Florida. Well, I've been waiting for a while

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Speaker 2: to bet South Florida and I just hadn't come around

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Speaker 2: on them because I was waiting for the right moment.

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Speaker 2: They were red hot, Okay, then they lost to Tulsa

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Speaker 2: in their last game. They were they had won what

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Speaker 2: fifteen straight games, and they lost to Tulsa. They killed

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Speaker 2: East Carolina eighty one fifty nine yesterday. They play UAB

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Speaker 2: today to four point win. According to Ken Pump, I'm

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Speaker 2: laying the three Why because South Florida could be a

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Speaker 2: team that makes a run in the Dance Out of

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Speaker 2: the American. I think they win today, good shot at

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Speaker 2: winning tomorrow winning the American. Is that a great handicap.

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Speaker 1: Nah, not really.

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Speaker 2: I've just been waiting to bet South Florida and then

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Speaker 2: finally Florida. I'm betting Florida because I think they have

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Speaker 2: a shot to win the whole damn thing. I don't

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Speaker 2: like their favored I don't like it, Okay, I'm betting

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Speaker 2: it because I think Florida can go ahead win the

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Speaker 2: whole thing. If Florida wins today, I'm gonna roll it

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Speaker 2: the winnings here. Personally, I'm gonna take Florida minus two.

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Speaker 2: If they win, I'm gonna roll it over into the

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Speaker 2: game tomorrow because if they win this game today, Florida

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Speaker 2: I think has a really good shot of winning the

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Speaker 2: whole thing. And I think it's probably gonna be Auburn

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Speaker 2: on the other side, and that's gonna be an unbelievable

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Speaker 2: basketball game. Florida whipped Auburn earlier in this year eighty

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Speaker 2: one sixty five at home, and the only game that

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Speaker 2: they played. I think Florida beats Auburn. If Auburn winds

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Speaker 2: up winning on the other side, which I think they're

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Speaker 2: going to, I think Florida wins the whole thing. So

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Speaker 2: I'll take the one unit win and I'll double it

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Speaker 2: down and take Florida two units. I'm doing this personally

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Speaker 2: tomorrow for the SEC Championship, and I think Florida is

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Speaker 2: gonna win the whole thing.

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Speaker 1: I know.

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Speaker 2: I got people who I know who a eighty to

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Speaker 2: one tickets on A and M to win the SEC.

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Speaker 2: I think they lose today. So those are all personal place, Okay.

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Speaker 2: Florida minus two, South Florida minus three, Western Kentucky minus

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Speaker 2: three and a half. The handicap is not great, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna admit. Okay, it's more gut check, more feel, more

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Speaker 2: eyeball test. The numbers don't really paint it out like

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Speaker 2: these are good bets. Okay, So what am I betting officially? Well,

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Speaker 2: before I give you that, let's talk quickly here about

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Speaker 2: bet three six five. Have you guys gone to betting

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Speaker 2: pros dot com slash bet three six five A five

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Speaker 2: dollars bet after a ten dollars real money deposit when

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Speaker 2: you win, and you can bet any bet you want.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna give you one hundred and fifty dollars in

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Speaker 2: bonus bets when you do so. Bet three six five

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Speaker 2: bettingpros dot Com slash three six five is the link

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Speaker 2: to go there. You deposit ten dollars, make a five

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Speaker 2: dollars bet. You win that bet, They're going to give

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Speaker 2: you one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets at

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Speaker 2: betting pros dot com LASH three six five.

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Speaker 1: So what am I betting? Officially?

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Speaker 2: Let's start with Vermont. I've been talking about Vermont forever.

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Speaker 2: The countermounts are at home. This is an eleven o'clock

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Speaker 2: Eastern time start eleven am am. Nine You guys in

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Speaker 2: the Mountain time zones. Okay, you guys in the Central

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Speaker 2: time zones, it's ten for us out west here on

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Speaker 2: the in the Pacific time zone, it's eight am, eight

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Speaker 2: am start time.

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Speaker 1: Vermont. The number is seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: You. Mass Lowe is coached by Pat Duquette. I love

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Speaker 2: Pat Dukett. I've known Pat Duquette for years. When U

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Speaker 2: mass Lowell went to be a D one basketball program,

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Speaker 2: the flagship station was the station I ran and did

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Speaker 2: afternoon drive for in Nasha, Winna, Hampshire, which is just

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Speaker 2: across the border from Lowell. If you know where U

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Speaker 2: mass Lowell is, Okay, long ties to this program. I

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Speaker 2: would love to tell you that U mass Lowe is

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Speaker 2: going to go up there and win, but I can't

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Speaker 2: see it.

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Speaker 1: U mass Lowall lost by twelve on March.

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Speaker 2: Second at Vermont, the earliest Star Time helps Vermont UMAs

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Speaker 2: Lowell lost in overtime when they played them at home

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Speaker 2: seventy two sixty five. That was also a seven point win.

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Speaker 2: This is what this program does in the America East Conference.

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Speaker 2: They play all year to get the one seed to

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Speaker 2: host this game on national TV in the Patrick Dymnasium,

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Speaker 2: which seats three thousand, two hundred and.

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Speaker 1: Sixty six people.

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Speaker 2: There are basketball gyms for high school here in Las

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Speaker 2: Vegas that seat more than the Patrick Doymnasium in Burlington, Vermont,

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Speaker 2: but it will be standing room only at eleven am

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Speaker 2: because all the old people will open up for five

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Speaker 2: hours ready to go for their Catamounts to go and

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Speaker 2: win and go to the n SAA Tournament.

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Speaker 1: They've won nine straight games.

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Speaker 2: That's the fifth longest win streak in college basketball. They

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Speaker 2: have the two hundred and thirty ninety third largest basketball

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Speaker 2: gym in D one. There are three hundred and thirty

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Speaker 2: eight basketball gyms for home court in college basketball. I

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Speaker 2: believe one of the smallest gyms you'll ever see. But

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Speaker 2: all they do is win. Okay, the only game they've

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Speaker 2: lost so far this year at home they lost to

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Speaker 2: Colgate seventy seven seventy one back on December the ninth.

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Speaker 1: That's it.

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Speaker 2: Every other game they have lost has been on the road.

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Speaker 2: They lost to Bradley on the road. They lost to

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Speaker 2: Virginia Tech on the road, They lost to Miamu Ohio

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Speaker 2: on the road. And they lost one game in conference

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Speaker 2: this year. That was a two point loss to NJI,

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Speaker 2: New Jersey in steud Technology. Other than that, they've whipped everybody.

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Speaker 2: They just beat New Hampshire by seven, although you and

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Speaker 2: Ahs did hang around and covered in that game. By

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Speaker 2: the way, the numbers have been quite high for Vermont.

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Speaker 2: It's been one of the problems when it comes to

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Speaker 2: Vermont versus the number. This is a decent number. This

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Speaker 2: number is not excessive like you would think, you know,

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Speaker 2: you go, oh, okay, wait a minute, somemer's really high.

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Speaker 1: I don't think I can really get behind this.

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Speaker 2: This number is not excessive, so being only seven and

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Speaker 2: a half, it's not like it's unbettable. Where other games

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Speaker 2: this year for Vermont, I mean at home against you

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Speaker 2: and h. It was sixteen against Albany sixteen and a

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Speaker 2: half against New Hampshire was eight and a half. U

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Speaker 2: Mass Lowell was seven. They won by twelve. Briant eight

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Speaker 2: and a half, they won by seventeen, Albany eleven. They

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Speaker 2: won by fourteen. You know New Hampshire was ten, they

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Speaker 2: won by sixteen. Right, So when the number is reasonable,

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Speaker 2: they're covering. When it gets ridiculous sixteen seventeen points, they're

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Speaker 2: not covering. But this is a program that Yes, they

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Speaker 2: went five and nine ats at home and New mass

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Speaker 2: Lola went ten and six ats at home. But again

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Speaker 2: they've got one loss in conference. They're not losing the

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Speaker 2: championship game. I don't believe, even though I'd love to

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Speaker 2: you messlol will do it. I just I can't see it.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the seven and a half. Officially Vermont

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Speaker 2: minus seven and a half early Star time in the

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Speaker 2: America East. First game of the day. Vermont minus seven

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Speaker 2: and a half for one point one units bet number two.

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Speaker 2: Let's go to Purdue in the Big Ten taking on Wisconsin.

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Speaker 2: Kempom has it as a six point win. That's what

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Speaker 2: the line is. Perdue minus six. Now they played Wisconsin.

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Speaker 2: Last week they beat them by eight seventy eight seventy

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Speaker 2: at home. On Senior Day, they went two Wisconsin and

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Speaker 2: they won the game seventy five sixty nine. That was

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Speaker 2: a six point win. This number is six. This number

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Speaker 2: probably will rise to six and a half or seven

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Speaker 2: is my gut on how this game was going to go.

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Speaker 1: But I think.

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Speaker 2: Perdue, even though they they went nine, six and one

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Speaker 2: on the road, Wisconsin is going to be I think

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Speaker 2: a team that could hang around. The number is a

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Speaker 2: little bit too light. Okay, it should be seven or eight.

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Speaker 2: Six is a little bit too thin in my opinion

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Speaker 2: for this. Perdue, though, is one in four ats over

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Speaker 2: their last five and four and six ats excuse me,

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Speaker 2: over their last ten, and Wisconsin has covered their last

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Speaker 2: four games. The public is going to bet Wisconsin.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: But if there's one thing you know about Purdue, they've

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Speaker 2: lost to Ohio State on the road. Since then, they've

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Speaker 2: come back and they've won six straight. They won by five, eight, six, six,

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Speaker 2: eight and twenty eight. All right, So they haven't won

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Speaker 2: a game over their last six by less than five points.

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Speaker 1: Have them been close? Really?

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Speaker 2: The number is six. Comfortable laying it. They beat Michigan State.

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Speaker 2: They were laying seven and a half. They won by five.

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Speaker 2: Wisconsin's a tough team. They play hard, but they also

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Speaker 2: have been known to disappear and Wisconsin, I don't believe

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Speaker 2: is that good of a matchup here. Wisconsin's gonna have

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Speaker 2: a real big problem Effective field goal percentage Perdue's offense

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Speaker 2: is thirteenth in the country. Effective field goal percentage defense

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Speaker 2: for Wisconsin is two hundred and sixty eighth. Purdue is

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Speaker 2: the number three three point shooting team in college basketball

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Speaker 2: at forty one percent. Defensively, was consin is three hundred

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Speaker 2: and forty eighth in three point defense.

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Speaker 1: Purdue hits their threes. This is a route like a

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Speaker 1: straight up route.

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Speaker 2: Blowout central is potentially on deck here for them. On

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Speaker 2: the other side, Wisconsin's offense is pretty good fourteenth in efficiency,

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Speaker 2: produce defense twenty first in efficiency, seventy eighth in effective

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Speaker 2: field goal percentage for Wisconsin on offense, Produce defense is

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Speaker 2: forty ninth in effective field goal percentage three point percentage

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Speaker 2: Wisconsin is one one hundredth in college basketball fifty fifth

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Speaker 2: on defense for Purdue in two point percentage ninety six

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Speaker 2: for Wisconsin sixty seventh defensively for Purdue. Talking about a

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Speaker 2: team that gets just twenty eight percent of their offense

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Speaker 2: from behind the arc for Wisconsin, while Purdue gets thirty percent,

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Speaker 2: but forty eight percent in the interior because of the

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Speaker 2: big guy in Zach Edy matchup nightmare, I mean the

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Speaker 2: tallest guy. Yes, they have a seven footer and Stephen

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Speaker 2: Crawl for Wisconsin, but I think Edy goes to work

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Speaker 2: here to lay the six. Purdue minus six for one

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Speaker 2: point one units. All right, so two number one seeds,

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Speaker 2: Big ten, number one seed in the semi final in

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Speaker 2: the Vermont America East, number one seed at home there

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Speaker 2: minus seven and a half minus six. Let's talk about

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Speaker 2: Oregon and what Oregon did last night. Dana Altman is

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Speaker 2: an absolute wizard. Covered him for a long time in tournaments.

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Speaker 2: Dana Alman just understands how to coach his team. I

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Speaker 2: can't describe it. I don't really know why he's so

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Speaker 2: good in tournaments, but I watched him up close and

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Speaker 2: personal for years with the Creton Blue Jays. He's done

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Speaker 2: the same thing with Oregon. He's taken Oregon to the

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Speaker 2: Final four. He just gets game planning in quick turnarounds.

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Speaker 2: I how to keep his players fresh. Oregon beat UCLA

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Speaker 2: sixty eight sixty six. They weren't supposed to do that.

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Speaker 2: They were eleven and a half point dogs to Arizona.

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Speaker 2: They won the game outright, sixty seven to fifty nine.

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Speaker 1: Amazing.

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Speaker 2: They are trying to get themselves to the NCAA tournaments. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it would be amazing for them to win this bid.

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Speaker 2: Arizona's in to see Oregon getting would be awesome. At

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Speaker 2: twenty two and eleven, they don't have any really big

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Speaker 2: marquee victories on their resume. Most of their wins are

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Speaker 2: all in conference. To shake a stick at, I mean,

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Speaker 2: their best win non conference is against Michigan, was one

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Speaker 2: hundred and twenty eighth on kempom. That's not good. Eighty

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Speaker 2: fifth is UCLA, forty third is Washington State. Those are

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Speaker 2: conference wins. Those aren't non conference wins. So the resume

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Speaker 2: is very thin for the Oregon Ducks. They need to

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Speaker 2: win this conference tournament. They get best Colorado, they may

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Speaker 2: have a shot to do it. It's a four point

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Speaker 2: loss according to kempom. Now, when these teams played this year,

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Speaker 2: they lost to Colorado at home, seventy nine to seventy five,

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Speaker 2: and they lost to Colorado on the road eighty six

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Speaker 2: to seventy. Got blown out by six sixteen on the road,

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Speaker 2: and then at home they.

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Speaker 1: Lost by four. What happens here where? Well?

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Speaker 2: Colorado yesterday outlast outlasted Washington State fifty eight to fifty two. Okay,

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Speaker 2: ugly game, not a very pretty game, but they won

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Speaker 2: the game fifty eight to fifty two. They beat Utah

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Speaker 2: in their first game seventy two to fifty eight. The

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Speaker 2: numbers are pretty interesting when you line this up here.

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Speaker 2: Colorado defensively efficiency twenty fifth, Oregon seventy eighth. Effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage seventeenth to two hundred and forty fifth. But

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Speaker 2: yesterday they played great defense against Oregon. Colorado shoots the three, okay,

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Speaker 2: they're fourth and three point percentage defensively, Oregon is two

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Speaker 2: hundred and thirty. First, there's your game. If the Buffalo's

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Speaker 2: bury threes, Oregon's gonna have a problem. They don't score

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Speaker 2: a ton offensively efficiency, they're fifty seventh, effective field goal

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Speaker 2: percentage are one hundred and eighth. Three point percentage are

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Speaker 2: one hundred and sixty eighth two point percentage they're ninety fifth.

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Speaker 1: Okay, They're a team that scores.

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Speaker 2: A lot of baskets of them get the two percent

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Speaker 2: of their offense comes inside the arc, just twenty nine

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Speaker 2: point eight percent from behind the three point line. But

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Speaker 2: it comes down to the defense for Oregon to get

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Speaker 2: out on the shooters, and Oregon needs to see misses

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Speaker 2: from Colorado. If that happens, Ducks can win. I'll take

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Speaker 2: the points. Oregon is going to be tested in this game.

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Speaker 2: Out of the gate. A lot of people like Colorado.

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Speaker 2: People bet this team to win the PAC twelve tournament,

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Speaker 2: thinking that, you know, if somebody upsets Arizona, which is

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Speaker 2: what happened, that they could be one hundred percent live

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Speaker 2: to win this tournament. We'll see how it all plays out,

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Speaker 2: but I think Oregon is going to be in the game.

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Speaker 1: Plus five. Well what number did I get? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: Plus five Oregon? Right, yeah, plus five? I wrote down

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Speaker 2: six for some reason, I didn't get six. I got

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Speaker 2: five on that for Oregon. Let me double check on

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Speaker 2: the number that I bet here on this and yes

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Speaker 2: I got five. Okay, so plus five Oregon plus five

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Speaker 2: up against Colorado in the PAC twelve semi final, Oregon

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Speaker 2: plus five. And then finally we're going to the Big

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Speaker 2: twelve semi final or is the Big Teal Final? Right? Yeah,

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Speaker 2: Big Teal Final between Iowa State and Houston. So Iowa State.

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Speaker 2: According to Kempom, it's a six point loss. Okay, the

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Speaker 2: numbers five for Iowa State. Can't wait to watch this game.

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Speaker 2: With how well Iowa State's been playing and what they

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Speaker 2: just did, Iowa State is one hundred percent live to

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Speaker 2: win this game. Okay, they're catching five. Can they win?

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Speaker 1: Yes?

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Speaker 2: Kempom says it's a six point win for Houston. This

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Speaker 2: team played back on the road at Houston. They lost

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Speaker 2: seventy three sixty five. When Houston played in Ames, it

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Speaker 2: was a fifty seven fifty.

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Speaker 1: Three win for Iowa State.

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Speaker 2: Rubber match in Kansas City, Hilton South will make itself known.

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Speaker 2: I actually think they win the game out right. I

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Speaker 2: think this is going to be an awesome game. I

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Speaker 2: think Iowa State is really interesting. I'm not going to

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Speaker 2: make it official, but I bought a thirty to one

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Speaker 2: ticket on Iowa State before the game yesterday on them

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Speaker 2: to win it all. I felt shaky with the Creighton

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays and I wanted another thirty to one, so

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Speaker 2: I took Iowa State and Tgiotzienberger. I'm as close to

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Speaker 2: TJ as am coach McDermott with Creighton, So I really

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Speaker 2: am pulling for t Theiolsenberger in Iowa State. I think

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Speaker 2: it will be tremendous to see coach take them to

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Speaker 2: a final four win a national championship.

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Speaker 1: It's all about the offense.

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Speaker 2: Them scoring seventy six points against k State in seventy

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Speaker 2: six points.

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Speaker 1: Against Baylor really impressive. Houston.

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Speaker 2: I mean, they're playing typical Houston defense right, but they're

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Speaker 2: playing a lot of minutes. Their bench may come into

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Speaker 2: play here, they may be tired. Three games in three

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Speaker 2: days for Houston. They beat TCU sixty to fifty four.

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Speaker 2: They beat Texas Tech eighty two to fifty nine, but

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Speaker 2: those games were close at halftime. Houston really pushed it

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Speaker 2: out in the second half. Look, I think this is

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Speaker 2: going to be an absolute war. The total in this

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Speaker 2: game is super or super low. I understand why it's

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Speaker 2: so low because just the way these teams have played.

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Speaker 2: One twenty two total though, is absolutely amazing. The game

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Speaker 2: goes under the dog is live. Iowa State plus five

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Speaker 2: for one point one units all right, four plays. Officially,

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Speaker 2: I'm not going anywhere near the NBA. This is a

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Speaker 2: monster college basketball day.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Vermont minus seven and a half, Perdue minus six, Oregon

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Speaker 2: plus five, Iowa State plus five. Four bets, all one

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Speaker 2: point one units, all official. If you want the other stuff,

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Speaker 2: I'm betting again. Gut feel plays not great. Handicap didn't

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Speaker 2: dive deep into the numbers, just eyeball testing it. Florida

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Speaker 2: minus two, South Florida minus three, Western Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: Minas three and a half.

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Speaker 2: If you want some extra stuff, I'm there, but I

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Speaker 2: am not nearly as adamant about the four bets I

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Speaker 2: gave you. Officially Vermont minus seven and a half, Purdue

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Speaker 2: minus six, Oregon plus five. I always stay plus five

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Speaker 2: riding officially with those four plays for a Saturday.

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Speaker 1: Mine's Matt Piolt.

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Speaker 2: Follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning.

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Speaker 2: It is the Eljus Podcast, always being brought to you

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Speaker 2: by Olma Steaks dot com