1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: Welcome in, friends, It's time to place your bets right here. 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:08,800 Speaker 1: I'm betting pros without Joe Piezapia. Nope, the bald beauties, 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: they're all out of here. It's nothing but luscious locks 4 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 1: for you in week ten on this Thursday episode. Look 5 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: at those luscious locks we've got. I'm Chris Welsh. You 6 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:20,680 Speaker 1: can find me on Twitter. At is that the Welsh? 7 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 1: Joined by our two experts of the week. Of course, 8 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 1: we always have Andrew Erickson with the gorgeous hair, the 9 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 1: gorgeous picks, the props, the sides, the totals. It's all 10 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:32,920 Speaker 1: there for you and my best friend in the world. 11 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 1: We got Scott Bagman, who decided to wear a hat 12 00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:37,479 Speaker 1: and not show off those luscious locks. But I can 13 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:40,480 Speaker 1: tell you they're quite gorgeous. So it's a lot of help. 14 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 2: Wash my hair today, Welsh, and it will poof out 15 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:44,599 Speaker 2: to like right here. 16 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:45,599 Speaker 3: If I take this hat on. 17 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:47,200 Speaker 1: I think that would have been a pretty good look, 18 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 1: if we're being. 19 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:49,879 Speaker 3: Honest, you would so. 20 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, mister Erickson, how are you my friend? 21 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 4: No Joe Pizzapia this week. 22 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: I think he's off drinking butter beers in Florida or 23 00:00:57,480 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 1: something like that, so it's just the three of us 24 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:01,959 Speaker 1: holding down the fort to make some of the best 25 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:04,480 Speaker 1: bets this week. How are you doing, I'm doing good. 26 00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 4: Yeah. 27 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 5: No, I mean we've got a barn burner tonight between 28 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:10,680 Speaker 5: the Chicago Bears and Carolina Panthers, so that should be 29 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 5: that should be fun to watch. But got my Patriots 30 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 5: playing in Germany. I got ready to wake up early. No, 31 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 5: I'm not, so it should be fun. There's a couple 32 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 5: interesting spots here on this card this week. There's one 33 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 5: spot that I think we're gonna start off with that 34 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 5: I really like. I know bogs as well, so let's 35 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:30,399 Speaker 5: let's dive in. 36 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna do the whole thing, getting you all 37 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 1: your sides and totals and make sure that you are 38 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:38,759 Speaker 1: locked in here to the Betting Pros YouTube channel as well, 39 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:41,479 Speaker 1: so you can catch us on Friday as we're gonna 40 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:45,120 Speaker 1: be talking about props and everything under the sun for betting. 41 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 1: But I always want to remind you guys if you 42 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: checked out the Betting Pros app. It's on iOS and 43 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:52,280 Speaker 1: you can do that really anywhere on the app stores. 44 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:55,280 Speaker 1: We've given the app a fresh makeover and you can 45 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,200 Speaker 1: create a better overall experience. So if you're looking for 46 00:01:58,240 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: the community section, we've got feed you can follow track 47 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: your bets. There's prop bet hit rates, everything is there. 48 00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: Go and check it out today and download the Betting 49 00:02:08,480 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 1: Pros app and get going. I also love the app 50 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,560 Speaker 1: line Alerts, where when you download it you can get 51 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: game notifications for certain lines that you're looking for. So 52 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: whin those hit you can jump on your book and 53 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 1: you can start betting today. You'll be notified lock in 54 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: the best lines possible and you can set what number 55 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: you want on your sportsbook. So head over to Bettingpros 56 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 1: dot com slash apps and download and start setting your 57 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:38,920 Speaker 1: lines today. These gentlemen, they've got some lines for you 58 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 1: on the sides and totals and Ericson, you mentioned it 59 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 1: at the top. You guys actually have a shared game 60 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:48,519 Speaker 1: that you love so much. So Ericson, let's talk about 61 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,520 Speaker 1: Detroit at the top for our favorite lines for the week. 62 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 5: Detroit is like my favorite blanket that I wear when 63 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 5: I come out from the cold here in New England. 64 00:02:56,520 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 5: It's fall, it's cold, it's rainy today, but the Lions 65 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 5: this blanket covers me. The Lions have covered fifteen of 66 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:07,000 Speaker 5: their last eighteen games eighty three percent. 67 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 4: That is by far the best in the NFL. 68 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 5: They've covered eighty three percent of their games just this season, 69 00:03:12,600 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 5: so it's been consistent dating back to the middle of 70 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 5: last year. Looking at this number at now it's at 71 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 5: minus three. I got to set minus one to happ 72 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 5: because I actually bet on the Lions before the Monday 73 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 5: night game against the charge because I was like, you know, 74 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 5: there is no way that this game's outcome could be. Oh, 75 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:30,239 Speaker 5: I'm going to back the Chargers when they play the 76 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:33,440 Speaker 5: Lions next week. The Lions are playing off a bye 77 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:36,120 Speaker 5: week against a Chargers team that's coming off a short 78 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 5: week playing on Monday Night football where their offense looked 79 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:41,160 Speaker 5: like it couldn't get out of its own way. So 80 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 5: I don't understand why this line is giving this much 81 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 5: credit to the Chargers as a fraudulent team that has 82 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 5: beaten up bad teams and back to back weeks against 83 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 5: the Chargers or excuse me, against the Bears and the Jets. 84 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 5: I mean, the Chargers have been a team that we 85 00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 5: looking to not bet on, like we want to bet 86 00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 5: against the Chargers against a team like the Detroit Lions, 87 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 5: who have been the class act. I think of the 88 00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 5: NFC for the mostly this season, aside for that one 89 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:09,640 Speaker 5: loss to the Ravens. I mean, they've been in every 90 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 5: single game this season. So for me, Lions, I think 91 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 5: that the line is like, oh, well, you know, Jared 92 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,960 Speaker 5: Goff on the road, man, Like I don't know about this. Like, guys, 93 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:22,000 Speaker 5: he's playing in Los Angeles where there may be more 94 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 5: Jared Goff fans than justin Herbert fans number one, and 95 00:04:26,160 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 5: the Chargers don't have home field advantage anyway, So I 96 00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 5: think it's road goth that you're getting even valued, like 97 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 5: even at minus three. It's like this team is better 98 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 5: up and down in every single category. It's just the 99 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 5: fact that they're on the road. But like I said, 100 00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:43,280 Speaker 5: this is like the least roadiest road game there could 101 00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 5: possibly be for Jared Goff. 102 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:47,039 Speaker 4: So I love the Lions here. 103 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 1: It is weird and we don't have to do a 104 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 1: big switch over because we're staying in this game. It's 105 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:56,359 Speaker 1: not quite trappy. It doesn't have the makings of a 106 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 1: trick because I think everything you said it's built up 107 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:01,000 Speaker 1: where you look at this game and you go, hmm, 108 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 1: there is the standard three point home advantage that's given, 109 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:08,880 Speaker 1: and maybe it it ticks down a little bit into 110 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:11,480 Speaker 1: the two and a half. But you look at this game. 111 00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: I don't quite understand where we are with this because 112 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:19,679 Speaker 1: we've got David Montgomery back. We having a fantastic matchup 113 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:23,799 Speaker 1: for GoF against the secondary. So Boggs talk us through 114 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:27,279 Speaker 1: why you love this game so much and probably echoing 115 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 1: a lot of what Ericson was talking about. 116 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I know a lot of people don't like 117 00:05:30,760 --> 00:05:33,839 Speaker 2: golf on the road, but let's live by our boy. 118 00:05:33,960 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 2: Joe Pizzapa is saying. Jared Goff is an indoor cat, 119 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 2: and this is an indoor game. So this is They're 120 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:43,240 Speaker 2: not going up north in the snow to play. They're 121 00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 2: going to La in the sun, indoors to play. And 122 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:49,440 Speaker 2: you know Ericson mentioned it all. You know, Detroit gets 123 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 2: David Montgomery back, a monor's name. Brown isn't sick anymore. 124 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:54,880 Speaker 2: He's had enough time to deal with that. And we 125 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 2: just saw the Chargers all be in a win get 126 00:05:57,000 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 2: dominated by the Jets line. They took down Herbert five times. 127 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:02,680 Speaker 2: If they let Aiden Hudginson make noise, it's gonna be 128 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 2: a long day for the Chargers. They just won against 129 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 2: the Jets with only one hundred and ninety one yards 130 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,880 Speaker 2: of offense. That is not the formula to beat a 131 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 2: Detroit team coming off of bye with the Chargers coming 132 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 2: off short rest. It's just to me, this was one 133 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 2: I'd like to stay away from the same games, or 134 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 2: just away from the same bets. But I was looking 135 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:24,160 Speaker 2: at this, I'm like, we'll screw you, Eric's and you 136 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:28,280 Speaker 2: can't have I got this one too. It's too easy. 137 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:30,120 Speaker 4: It's the first one I put on the sheet. 138 00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a first one I put on the sheet, 139 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 2: and then I saw you had it second, so I 140 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 2: moved it to second. But we started with it here 141 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:38,479 Speaker 2: and I like it a lot. I think it's going 142 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 2: to be I think it's one of the best ones 143 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 2: of the week. I think the Lions rolled the Chargers 144 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:43,839 Speaker 2: and Branton Saley one of the worst coaches in the NFL, 145 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 2: so now that McDaniels is gone, he might be the worst. 146 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:48,839 Speaker 1: By the way, it's not good. Who's the number one 147 00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:51,800 Speaker 1: outdoor cat of quarterbacks? I have an idea of who 148 00:06:51,839 --> 00:06:54,280 Speaker 1: I think Mahomes? You think Patrick Mahomes. 149 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 3: I think it's a little too See he's played in 150 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 3: a lot of weather games. 151 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:59,359 Speaker 1: Okay, okay, but I guess I'm I was thinking like 152 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:02,839 Speaker 1: Sam House feral. Sam how to me feels like a 153 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 1: very outdoor cat because I like that term there where 154 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:07,280 Speaker 1: Jared goff on the indoor. 155 00:07:07,040 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 2: Sam Howel is the cat that disappears for two months 156 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 2: and then comes back and you're like, oh, you're not dead. 157 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 3: Okay, look at that. 158 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, or disappears for two quarters and then it's like. 159 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 4: Fourth quarter and praise on the Eagles comes out. Praise 160 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 4: on Eagles. There you go. 161 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 1: That's our outdoor cat officially locked in, Sam Hawl our 162 00:07:22,840 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 1: outdoor cat. All right, we've got more best bets. Let's 163 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 1: kick it over to a total rickson your second on 164 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 1: the best bets for the week. We're going on to 165 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 1: the total market. 166 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 4: Yeah. 167 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 5: So I'm looking at the Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore 168 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 5: Ravens under thirty seven and a half. I've talked about 169 00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:42,400 Speaker 5: the Ravens on the show a bunch of different times, 170 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 5: where they play down to their competition most of the time. 171 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 5: So when they play a bad team, they usually don't 172 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 5: play nearly as well. They don't execute, I don't think 173 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 5: with the same composure, you know, and that's kind of 174 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 5: reflected on what some of their stats have been. But 175 00:07:55,480 --> 00:07:58,240 Speaker 5: we look at the total, so they're six and three 176 00:07:58,280 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 5: towards the under the season, and again it's in most 177 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 5: against bad quarterbacks, Like the Ravens have had a pretty 178 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:05,160 Speaker 5: easy schedule, which I don't think. I think it's getting 179 00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 5: lost a little bit with like how they're used as 180 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 5: like the best team in the NFL. It's like, look, 181 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:12,640 Speaker 5: they've played two NFC teams. The NFC is worse than 182 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:15,560 Speaker 5: the AFC. We already know that, and they've destroyed them 183 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 5: both at home, Like they haven't played them on the road, 184 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 5: so they've had a favorable schedule. But regardless, a lot 185 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 5: of these games are going under the total. Looking at 186 00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 5: what they've done as favorites, nine of the last ten 187 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 5: Ravens games as favorites have gone under the total. You're 188 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:31,200 Speaker 5: looking at what they've done at home, Ten of the 189 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 5: eleven Ravens last home games have gone under the total. Like, 190 00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:37,960 Speaker 5: do we really expect DeShawn Watt again? When they play 191 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:40,240 Speaker 5: a bad quarterback, it goes under the total. Are they 192 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:43,959 Speaker 5: afraid of Deshaun Watson? I don't think so. So again, 193 00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 5: just following the trends, of what the Ravens usually do 194 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:49,040 Speaker 5: against bad quarterbacks, it's going to go under the total. 195 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 5: So I like the under here at thirty seven and 196 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:54,319 Speaker 5: a half in what looks to me like a AFC 197 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:57,600 Speaker 5: North like black and Blue slugfest type of game where 198 00:08:57,760 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 5: you're just trying to cut out a win. And I 199 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 5: do want to point out the Ravens often how they 200 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 5: scored offensively in this first matchup. They put up twenty 201 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 5: eight points. You might think, oh, well, they scored so 202 00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:10,440 Speaker 5: many points. I'm not so sure that that happens again 203 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 5: because a lot of that was short fields. 204 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:14,439 Speaker 4: You know, Dtr was the quarterback. He's just turning the 205 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:14,760 Speaker 4: ball over. 206 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 5: The Ravens didn't have to do a lot, didn't have 207 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:18,559 Speaker 5: to sustain a lot of drives in that game to 208 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:19,200 Speaker 5: score their points. 209 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:19,839 Speaker 4: It was like a red zone. 210 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:22,440 Speaker 5: Stuffy actually punted a lot in that game when they 211 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:24,560 Speaker 5: didn't have the short fields to work with. So Watson 212 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:27,160 Speaker 5: is obviously an upgrade over DTR. He won't turn the 213 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 5: ball over it nearly as much. So I think that 214 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 5: the best bet here is on the under thirty seven 215 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 5: and a half. 216 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:36,680 Speaker 1: Well, Bogs, you have a bet in this exact same game, 217 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 1: so you guys are going to stay in the game. 218 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: It's a different bet. So let's stay in Baltimore. And 219 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:44,000 Speaker 1: you say no total, sir, spread it out. 220 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm taking the Rappers here. Give me the Ravens 221 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 2: against the Browns. I think they are clicking. Like Ericson mentioned, 222 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:54,079 Speaker 2: you know the last game between these two it was 223 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 2: dtr So you take that game and throw it away. 224 00:09:57,280 --> 00:09:58,840 Speaker 2: I mean, it was not a very good game. 225 00:09:59,080 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 3: In that game. 226 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 2: The only thing that we learned is dtr ain't ready, 227 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 2: So that's all we got out of that one. But 228 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 2: I mean, Watson is not one hundred percent and there's 229 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:12,240 Speaker 2: like every week they're so well, he's still. 230 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:14,599 Speaker 3: Dealing with the shoulder injury. It's probably not gonna be 231 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 3: good until you have surgery. 232 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:17,080 Speaker 1: Is that how they sound. 233 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:19,439 Speaker 2: That's how they all sound when they're talking about well, 234 00:10:19,440 --> 00:10:22,920 Speaker 2: he's still not one hundred percent, so he's football all that. 235 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 2: But the Ravens are kind of clicking right now, especially 236 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 2: in the run game, and Keaton Mitchell adds some explosiveness 237 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 2: that is missing from this offense right now because they 238 00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 2: Flowers had it, but he has been on a bad 239 00:10:35,679 --> 00:10:37,440 Speaker 2: stretch right now. But they're getting it, getting it from 240 00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 2: other spots. If it's not Flowers, then it's Mitchell. If 241 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:43,000 Speaker 2: it's not Mitchell, then it's Mark Andrews with big plays 242 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:45,480 Speaker 2: or Lamar Jackson. They have a bunch of ways to 243 00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 2: beat this Browns defense that is very, very good. And 244 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 2: on the opposite side, the Ravens have been taking down 245 00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 2: quarterback Kyle van Noy was getting after the quarterback last week. 246 00:10:55,400 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 2: They're not I don't even know if they're clicking on 247 00:10:57,200 --> 00:11:00,679 Speaker 2: all cylinders defensively either right now, but I think they 248 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 2: are much better than this Cleveland team is now. The 249 00:11:05,640 --> 00:11:08,599 Speaker 2: Browns defense is good. The only way I see the 250 00:11:08,640 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 2: Browns really competing in this game is if they. 251 00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 3: Force fumbles, and Lamar will fumble. 252 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 2: That has happened, but I think they're going to design 253 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 2: a game plan for him to get away from Miles 254 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 2: Garrett and probably use his legs a lot in this 255 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:23,840 Speaker 2: game and tuck that ball. So I think Baltimore wins 256 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 2: this game at home going away, I think they stomped 257 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:27,320 Speaker 2: the Browns into the ground. 258 00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:28,439 Speaker 3: I don't think it's very close. 259 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:30,080 Speaker 2: That's why I didn't want to touch the total, because 260 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:32,560 Speaker 2: I think this is a Baltimore dominant game. I don't 261 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 2: think this one is very close, even though it's a 262 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:37,440 Speaker 2: rivalry game that tends to play close. I think Baltimore 263 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:38,240 Speaker 2: dominates this one. 264 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:41,080 Speaker 1: I like Baltimore in this game too. I like say 265 00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 1: Flowers in this game. His second best yards per catch performance, 266 00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:48,680 Speaker 1: by the way, came against the Browns earlier this year. 267 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:50,839 Speaker 1: So when we get into the props, I think I'm 268 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:52,680 Speaker 1: going to be a little bit back into the favorable 269 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:56,679 Speaker 1: side of Zay Flowers. But everything works in favor of 270 00:11:56,760 --> 00:11:59,720 Speaker 1: this bad boy. Let's go into game number three, and 271 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:02,840 Speaker 1: this is an interesting one, mister Andrew Rickson, because Kyler 272 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:07,920 Speaker 1: Murray is back. We're looking at plus money, James Connor, 273 00:12:08,200 --> 00:12:11,160 Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of a question here. This is 274 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 1: a nice matchup, which is putting a quarterback who's miss 275 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:19,520 Speaker 1: significant time into probably a top ten startable spot in 276 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:23,680 Speaker 1: Week ten. And you are interested in some plus money 277 00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:26,000 Speaker 1: in the Cardinals game. So what's our best bet? 278 00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 5: Yeah, Arizona Cardinals plus one and a half Arizona Cardinals 279 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:29,840 Speaker 5: money line. 280 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:32,679 Speaker 4: Look, you don't need to. 281 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:34,440 Speaker 5: Tie my arms behind my back to bed against Arthur 282 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:37,960 Speaker 5: Smith on the road, So I'm doing it man like. Look, 283 00:12:38,040 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 5: the reason the line is why it is is because 284 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 5: there's just this unknown factor with Kyler Murray. It's like, oh, well, 285 00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:45,439 Speaker 5: you know, how good is like how back is he? 286 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 5: Is he going to be rusty? And it's like, you know, yeah, 287 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:50,040 Speaker 5: he's probably gonna be somewhat rusty here and there. 288 00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 4: But it's the way I see it is. It's the 289 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:53,160 Speaker 4: books is kind of hedging. 290 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:55,320 Speaker 5: They're like, oh, well, if he's only like seventy five percent, 291 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 5: like this is a better number. But it's like, Okay, 292 00:12:57,600 --> 00:13:00,800 Speaker 5: Taylor Heineke's the other quarterback on the road, Like, is 293 00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:03,280 Speaker 5: Tarror Heinike worth one and a half points more than 294 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:05,080 Speaker 5: a seventy five percent Kyler Murray? 295 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:07,959 Speaker 4: I don't think so. So so for me. 296 00:13:08,000 --> 00:13:10,400 Speaker 5: Again, especially what we saw with them last week. The 297 00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:13,840 Speaker 5: Falcons laid an egg against the Minnesota Vikings, starting a 298 00:13:13,840 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 5: third string quarterback who had been with the team for 299 00:13:15,400 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 5: four days, and now their favorites on the road the 300 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 5: next week after they lost to the Vikings. I can't 301 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 5: I can't buy it. So I like the Cardinals year. 302 00:13:24,640 --> 00:13:26,160 Speaker 5: Just look up what Murray did last year. So he 303 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:29,080 Speaker 5: was six and six against the spread. Tara Heinecke's basically 304 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:31,480 Speaker 5: been right around five hundred as well against the spread 305 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 5: since he was the starter last year. So it's like, 306 00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 5: I think these quarterbacks even again Murray seventy five percent, 307 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:38,440 Speaker 5: I think it's more of a pickup, like it's between 308 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:40,760 Speaker 5: the two Q beats. I think they should be valued equally, 309 00:13:40,960 --> 00:13:43,880 Speaker 5: especially with Arizona at home. Arizona at home this year 310 00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:46,160 Speaker 5: three and one against the spread, like they have been 311 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 5: a very good team at home. And I mentioned how 312 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,160 Speaker 5: bad the Falcons have been on the road. A lot 313 00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:51,760 Speaker 5: of that has to do with Desmond Ritter, but we 314 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:54,240 Speaker 5: saw last week like it didn't carry over well with 315 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 5: Tara Heinike making the start. So I really think that 316 00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:00,160 Speaker 5: this is a great spot to buy low on the 317 00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:04,320 Speaker 5: Arizona Cardinals. The Falcons again, they're turning in the raw direction. 318 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:07,160 Speaker 5: Five game streak of failing to cover the spread. As 319 00:14:07,200 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 5: a favorite, you're expected to win, five game strike a 320 00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 5: failing to cover the spread. 321 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 4: What's new with Arthur Smith. Maybe he'll get Jon. 322 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:15,200 Speaker 5: The only way they win is it Bijon gets all 323 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:16,839 Speaker 5: the red zone and I'm okay with that. 324 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 4: I'm okay with that, but if that doesn't happen, go 325 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:20,760 Speaker 4: with the Cardinals. 326 00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 1: Don't hold your breath on that either. By the way, 327 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:25,800 Speaker 1: you did the Lebron meme at the beginning, You're like 328 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:29,360 Speaker 1: credit card, traded card, playing card, don't care. Here's on 329 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 1: the Cardinals plus one and a half. That's what she did, 330 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 1: So someone make that meme for it there with the 331 00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 1: Lebron cigarette. Yeah, exactly, traded card Arizona Cardinals in one 332 00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:42,200 Speaker 1: and a half. All right, Bogs, we're gonna jump over 333 00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 1: to your third on your side, your totals best bets 334 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 1: of the week, and you are going to give us 335 00:14:48,040 --> 00:14:48,400 Speaker 1: a total. 336 00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 4: So what do we got. 337 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going to go over on the Houston and 338 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 2: Cincinnati game. And I know a lot of people may 339 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:55,760 Speaker 2: roll their eyes at this because it is it is 340 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 2: a high total. It is forty seven the last time 341 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:02,760 Speaker 2: I saw. And this is more about the defenses in 342 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 2: this game and the fact that I mean, obviously, it's 343 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 2: the fact that Joe Burrow has looked good, particularly against 344 00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 2: pressure recently, He's looked very good. I know Jamar Chase 345 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 2: a little nicked up. They're gonna give him the goofballs. 346 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 2: He'll be fine. I know T Higgs. I'm a little 347 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 2: more worried about T Higgins. But also we saw Joe 348 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:19,760 Speaker 2: Burrow last week get the tight ends involved. We saw 349 00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:22,880 Speaker 2: irv Smith catch a touchdown, Drew Sample caught a touchdown, 350 00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:26,360 Speaker 2: so it's not just the wide receivers. And even if 351 00:15:26,400 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 2: the wide receivers are down, I mean I think Ericson 352 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 2: would test this. Josevac looks really good if he needs 353 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:35,720 Speaker 2: to step up and play. Trenton Irwin has looked very good. 354 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:38,360 Speaker 2: He was the talk of camp for that team as well, 355 00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:40,880 Speaker 2: so they have these in depth. If those guys are 356 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:43,320 Speaker 2: banged up. And on the Houston side, I mean, name 357 00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:44,400 Speaker 2: a hotter player than c J. 358 00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:45,880 Speaker 3: Stroud. There isn't one. 359 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:46,360 Speaker 5: C J. 360 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:48,520 Speaker 3: Stroud has been unbelievable recently. 361 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 2: And this Bengals defense, this is what I'm talking about, 362 00:15:51,520 --> 00:15:55,920 Speaker 2: like twenty second in pass yards allowed, twenty seventh in 363 00:15:56,040 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 2: rushing yards allowed, and they grade out even worse on 364 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 2: sites like pf F in terms of defense as well. 365 00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:04,200 Speaker 2: I think they're ranked like twenty nine or twenty eight 366 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 2: overall on defense. And Houston is a young defense that's 367 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:10,680 Speaker 2: up and coming. But Will Anderson, their best player, is 368 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:13,840 Speaker 2: banged up, like Cashman is banged up. On the Cincinnati side, 369 00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 2: Sam Hubbard is a toss up to play this game 370 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:19,720 Speaker 2: as well, So I think if you give two hot 371 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 2: quarterbacks time to throw the football, and particularly Joe Burrow, 372 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:26,880 Speaker 2: who you know is dumping that calf injury and looks 373 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:29,480 Speaker 2: like MVP level Joe Burrow right now, I think this 374 00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:31,360 Speaker 2: one's going to be a fun shootout, a lot like 375 00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 2: we saw between Houston and Tampa Bay last week. So 376 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 2: I like this one to go over even when scoring 377 00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 2: is down, even when there haven't been a lot of 378 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 2: overs hit. 379 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 3: I think this one hits this week. 380 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:44,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I was going to point out this game 381 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:47,800 Speaker 1: is moved from its opening line at forty four and 382 00:16:47,840 --> 00:16:49,880 Speaker 1: a half has moved up to forty seven. I was 383 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 1: curious if you thought that the forty seven was a 384 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: baked in injury number or if it was pushing more 385 00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 1: like we think everybody's gonna play it, because I'm a 386 00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 1: little worried abou both of the wide receivers. 387 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 3: CJ. 388 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:07,120 Speaker 1: Stroud makes every over possible. Every over is in play 389 00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:11,200 Speaker 1: with CJ. Stroud. It's just where the Bengals are. Yeah, 390 00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 1: it's just where the Bengals are in this with those injuries. 391 00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:15,800 Speaker 1: I just wasn't sure if you thought this was a 392 00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 1: baked Did you think it was baked in at. 393 00:17:17,160 --> 00:17:20,400 Speaker 2: All I think a little bit. But also, like I said, 394 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 2: I like the guys behind Chase. No one is Chase. 395 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:24,479 Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not gonna sit here and try and 396 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 2: argue that point. But I don't think the wager Joe 397 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:31,679 Speaker 2: Burrow is playing. I don't know that. You know, Chase 398 00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:34,119 Speaker 2: is the big difference maker here. I think it is Burrow. 399 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:36,600 Speaker 2: So as long as he has a good game, I 400 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:38,200 Speaker 2: think they're gonna be okay. And like I said, I 401 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:40,239 Speaker 2: think they give Chase the goofballs and he goes. He 402 00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:42,159 Speaker 2: had the back injury last week, he played through it, 403 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,119 Speaker 2: so I think he's gonna be okay. 404 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:48,360 Speaker 1: Put your skills to the test today. You hear all 405 00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:51,120 Speaker 1: of these picks and you go, well, I'm pretty good 406 00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:54,240 Speaker 1: at this. Well you can do it. Go to bettingpros 407 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,680 Speaker 1: dot com slash NFL contest or check out the community 408 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 1: tab on the Betting Pros app and you can join 409 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 1: our NFL contest weekly and season to date prizes. We've 410 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:07,680 Speaker 1: got leader boards for each as well. Weekly you can 411 00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 1: easily still get in on minimum of five NFL picks 412 00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:13,600 Speaker 1: per week. Season to day might be kind of tough 413 00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,320 Speaker 1: because you got one hundred NFL minimum picks, so maybe 414 00:18:16,280 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 1: you pick every single game. It's a great way to 415 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,960 Speaker 1: test your skills if you're new into the betting market 416 00:18:22,040 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 1: or your season pro because we've got prizes Jackson Smith 417 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:29,359 Speaker 1: and Jigba Autograph Jersey. We have swag going from the 418 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:33,159 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros and the Betting Pro Shop, and upgrades one 419 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:35,800 Speaker 1: year premium upgrades on both the apps. All this stuff 420 00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:37,480 Speaker 1: is in line for you, so check it out today. 421 00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:40,000 Speaker 1: Go to Bettingpros dot com, slash NFL contests or open 422 00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:43,680 Speaker 1: up your app and check out that contest today. Gentlemen, 423 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:45,560 Speaker 1: we have only got a couple more here on the 424 00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 1: Best bets ericson coming in at number four. I think 425 00:18:49,000 --> 00:18:51,040 Speaker 1: we're sticking with some totals for you for the rest 426 00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:54,080 Speaker 1: of the way through. What do you got on your 427 00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:56,240 Speaker 1: fourth of your favorite best bets for the week? 428 00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:59,919 Speaker 5: Ye getting in on this overaction early in the mor 429 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:04,160 Speaker 5: here in New England, New England Patriots, Indianapolis Colts over 430 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,919 Speaker 5: forty three and a half. In Germany, I know the 431 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:10,200 Speaker 5: Germans got the barn burner last week between the Dolphins 432 00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:10,760 Speaker 5: and the Chiefs. 433 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 4: No points scored. 434 00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 5: Basically, this game is gonna shock everybody because there's gonna 435 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:19,920 Speaker 5: be points galore. You know they're expecting Tom Brady, Peyton Manning. No, no, no, no, no, 436 00:19:20,119 --> 00:19:22,679 Speaker 5: they're getting mac Jones and Garter Minshew. And I bring 437 00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 5: up those two quarterbacks in particular because they rank respectively 438 00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 5: first and second and turnover worthy play rate this season. 439 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,840 Speaker 5: We're gonna get a lot of short fields, We're gonna 440 00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,720 Speaker 5: get pick sixes, we're gonna get fumbles. And it's like, oh, 441 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:36,600 Speaker 5: that's not good for offense. 442 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,639 Speaker 2: Oh no, anymore has two more pick six that's ericson. 443 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 2: I mean, the guy's going defensive Player of. 444 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:42,400 Speaker 3: The Year on team. 445 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 4: He's breaking IDP leeks. 446 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:46,760 Speaker 5: They don't know how to stop Kennymore the Christian McAffrey 447 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:50,119 Speaker 5: of IDP in fantasy football. But when I look at 448 00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:52,520 Speaker 5: the Patriots, so they have actually gone over their projected 449 00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:54,520 Speaker 5: total in two of the last three games. They had 450 00:19:54,520 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 5: it last week except for a couple of key turnovers in 451 00:19:57,400 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 5: the red zone by the Commanders made it fall just 452 00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:03,640 Speaker 5: But the Colts are an over machine six and three 453 00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:05,960 Speaker 5: towards the over for some of the reasons I brought 454 00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 5: up with Garter Minshew, that chaotic way that he plays turns. 455 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 2: They're the over machine, like They've just created overs because 456 00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:16,240 Speaker 2: they have a bad defense. 457 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:18,720 Speaker 5: It gives up a ton of explosive plays. The Patriots defense, 458 00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:21,359 Speaker 5: I kid you not. The commanders were like, all right, 459 00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:24,800 Speaker 5: third and long, time to convert every single time, the 460 00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 5: commands recurring third and long. Because the Patriots are so 461 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:30,240 Speaker 5: decimated on defense, all their best players are hurt. 462 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:30,919 Speaker 4: Look at the. 463 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 5: Last three games, third to last in yards per game 464 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:38,399 Speaker 5: for the Colts, seventh in yards per game allowed, last 465 00:20:38,440 --> 00:20:42,160 Speaker 5: in points per game on defense. Innapolis Colts, like, nobody 466 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:43,679 Speaker 5: wants to bet the over in this game because it's 467 00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:45,920 Speaker 5: it's two gross teams. They're in Germany, it's in Europe. 468 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:48,800 Speaker 5: If if the Chiefs and Dolphins couldn't score, and you're why, 469 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 5: why with the Patriots, Colts exactly why they will because 470 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:54,920 Speaker 5: nobody thinks that they can. The defenses are horrible, the 471 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 5: quarterbacks are horrible. It's gonna be chaos, and I can't 472 00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 5: wait to watch it with everybody in the world, right 473 00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:03,280 Speaker 5: bright and early, with my coffee. And because I can't 474 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:04,760 Speaker 5: been on the Patriots anymore, so you been. 475 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:07,080 Speaker 2: I like how you said brighton early in New England. 476 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:09,880 Speaker 2: How about brighton early on the West coast? That's still 477 00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:11,520 Speaker 2: it's like late in the night it. 478 00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 4: They're waking up artist game. 479 00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:15,560 Speaker 1: It's going to be dark and gloomy is when that 480 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:17,720 Speaker 1: game is going to be airing out here. By the way, 481 00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:20,119 Speaker 1: Patriots have given up over two hundred and fifty passing 482 00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:23,080 Speaker 1: yards to quarterbacks four straight weeks and three of the 483 00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:27,920 Speaker 1: last four multi touchdown passing touchdowns of qbs. That's a 484 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:31,919 Speaker 1: little Gardner Minshew love in there. So the massachist that 485 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 1: is Andrew Erickson looking for this disaster of a game, Bogman, 486 00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:37,879 Speaker 1: we're going to totals for you and you're about to 487 00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:40,239 Speaker 1: get real born with us here for week four. You're 488 00:21:40,280 --> 00:21:41,959 Speaker 1: gonna do the thing that no better wants to do. 489 00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:42,880 Speaker 3: Better enough. 490 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 2: Well, yeah, look, life is too short to bet the unders. 491 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 2: But life is also too short to toss your money away. 492 00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:51,200 Speaker 2: Let's take some money here. Let's take the under on 493 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:53,720 Speaker 2: the Cowboys and Giants game. It's thirty eight and a 494 00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:57,320 Speaker 2: half right now. And remember this on opening night, the 495 00:21:57,359 --> 00:22:00,280 Speaker 2: Sunday Night football game, I think it was forty than 496 00:22:00,560 --> 00:22:03,560 Speaker 2: three at halftime or whatever, and that was the final score. 497 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:06,480 Speaker 2: Like I didn't do any scoring in the second half. 498 00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:09,240 Speaker 2: It was absurd. I remember because I bet the over. 499 00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:11,159 Speaker 2: I think it was like fifty one or something in 500 00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:13,640 Speaker 2: that game. And it may me mad, but we saw 501 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:18,480 Speaker 2: the Raiders just hold this team to one score. Tommy 502 00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:21,080 Speaker 2: DeVito is gonna do nothing. This is now the most 503 00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 2: one dimensional offense in the NFL. To Vito can't get 504 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:27,960 Speaker 2: the ball, the Hyatt Darren Waller is out, it's Saquon 505 00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:31,760 Speaker 2: Barkley for forty carries again probably and a handful of 506 00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 2: targets as well. They have nothing, and it's not like 507 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:38,560 Speaker 2: the Cowboys are clicking on all cylinders. And the Giants defense, 508 00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:41,080 Speaker 2: to their credit, is a bad team. But the Giants 509 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:44,320 Speaker 2: defense has played well overall this year. They didn't last 510 00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 2: week against the Raiders because they were gassed. My biggest 511 00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:52,399 Speaker 2: fear in this game is that the Cowboys score like 512 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,120 Speaker 2: forty nine and go over and the game is forty 513 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:57,440 Speaker 2: nine to three or something. That would be my fear 514 00:22:57,720 --> 00:22:59,720 Speaker 2: to the over here. I think this game is probably 515 00:22:59,760 --> 00:23:03,800 Speaker 2: gonna be something like, you know, twenty seven to three, 516 00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:07,760 Speaker 2: twenty seven to seven something in that neighborhood. And I 517 00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:09,439 Speaker 2: think we're just going to see a lot of running 518 00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:11,400 Speaker 2: from the Cowboys in the fourth quarter and a lot 519 00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:13,760 Speaker 2: of running from the Giants in the entire game. So 520 00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:15,800 Speaker 2: I think this is a race to the finish line 521 00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:19,159 Speaker 2: just to get this game over with. And Cowboys want 522 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:20,760 Speaker 2: to come out of this game with a win and healthy. 523 00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:23,359 Speaker 2: I think that's the big thing for them moving forward. 524 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:25,399 Speaker 2: And I don't see any way they lose this game. 525 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:28,880 Speaker 2: So I think you get your starters out somewhat quickly 526 00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:31,680 Speaker 2: if you're up by three touchdowns, which I do think 527 00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:34,360 Speaker 2: could be another one that happens by halftime here. 528 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, whoa, I think this is trending towards the under. 529 00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,000 Speaker 2: I know it seems like a little bit of a 530 00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 2: trappy bet, but I really like it. 531 00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:42,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, say, one of the only worries is you don't 532 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,720 Speaker 1: need it to be forty nine to three. You got 533 00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:47,880 Speaker 1: to be more worried that it's thirty nine to three, 534 00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,439 Speaker 1: you know, and that the Cowboys could just bring up 535 00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:52,360 Speaker 1: and put up forty you know. I think an interesting 536 00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:54,800 Speaker 1: bet in this might be I'd be very interested in 537 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,440 Speaker 1: the second half number, because if it's thirty eight and 538 00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:00,359 Speaker 1: a half, you probably have something close to like nineteen 539 00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:03,439 Speaker 1: and a half first half, maybe around eighteen in the 540 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:05,840 Speaker 1: second half. And I agree with you. If the Cowboys 541 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:07,720 Speaker 1: were to put up a whole bunch in the first half. 542 00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:09,679 Speaker 1: This game might slow down in the second. 543 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,440 Speaker 4: We goo doubt how many how many points? 544 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:14,240 Speaker 5: I mean, I'm assuming neither of you guys are like, 545 00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:16,359 Speaker 5: would be like, oh, Giants plus sixteen and a half 546 00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:18,919 Speaker 5: give me. I mean, I know what number would you 547 00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:20,480 Speaker 5: have to be? Like, I'll take that with the Giants, 548 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:23,080 Speaker 5: like sixteen and a half enough, I mean, because there's 549 00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:25,320 Speaker 5: no value doubt. I mean, I'm not touching this game 550 00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:29,040 Speaker 5: from a twenty three twenty three twenty. 551 00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:30,600 Speaker 1: Three three d That's what I'm saying. Maybe I take 552 00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:33,000 Speaker 1: the total, the second half total under I don't know. 553 00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:33,960 Speaker 4: That's why, like the total. 554 00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 2: Tommy Tito was good enough to start in college, so 555 00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:38,639 Speaker 2: I don't know why he's a starting quarterback in the 556 00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:41,320 Speaker 2: NFL today. And it just doesn't make I would rather 557 00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 2: have signed Carson Wentz or gone, and you know, try 558 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:47,439 Speaker 2: to get James something like. 559 00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:49,480 Speaker 3: I don't know, it's just all it's all bad. 560 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 1: Colin Kaepernick's out there, guys. I mean, if Marteves Bryant 561 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:55,200 Speaker 1: can not play for five years. 562 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:57,920 Speaker 3: I would rather go with Marteve's Brian at quarterback. Sure, 563 00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 3: why not? Do not like Tommy? 564 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:00,800 Speaker 5: All right? 565 00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:02,919 Speaker 1: Well, we're gonna get a little bit cheeky here with 566 00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:05,280 Speaker 1: our final bet. I was talking about I like to 567 00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:08,760 Speaker 1: play with first in second half total sometimes sometimes of 568 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:12,400 Speaker 1: the spreads ericson for the final one. You are gonna 569 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,440 Speaker 1: give us a half bet. So what do we got? 570 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:18,280 Speaker 5: Steelers and agree made Packers last two weeks, last three weeks, 571 00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:21,359 Speaker 5: these teams rank thirty first and thirty second and first 572 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:25,800 Speaker 5: half points scored on offense. They cannot start games fast 573 00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:27,639 Speaker 5: in any capacity. This game is probably gonna be like 574 00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:30,880 Speaker 5: three to nothing or seven to zero heading into half time, 575 00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:33,000 Speaker 5: So I'm taking the under at nineteen and a half points. 576 00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:35,720 Speaker 5: The Packers have just been so bad in the first 577 00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:39,240 Speaker 5: halfs of games. They cannot start fast. The only time 578 00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:41,919 Speaker 5: they have actually any inflection of any offense is when 579 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 5: Aaron Jones has been back. I know he's back in 580 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,560 Speaker 5: this game, but they just are such slow starters. And 581 00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:48,760 Speaker 5: the Steelers are the exact same thing. Like they're not 582 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 5: out here trying to win games because of their offense. 583 00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:53,480 Speaker 5: They're trying to play defense, turn them all over. That's 584 00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:55,600 Speaker 5: what they want to do. So and I tend to 585 00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:57,199 Speaker 5: we tend to see those things kind of happen in 586 00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:00,080 Speaker 5: the second halfs of the games where turnovers teams have, 587 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,239 Speaker 5: does teams start to be a little bit more desperate they 588 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:04,680 Speaker 5: tried to drow back or drop back to throw more. 589 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,080 Speaker 5: You know, that's why Kenny Pickett like fourth quarter's amazing 590 00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:08,520 Speaker 5: because it's like, well, now we got to win the game. 591 00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 5: Gotta take the trading wheels off, Kenny Pickett. But the 592 00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:14,560 Speaker 5: first half that doesn't happen. It's super conservative from both sides. 593 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 5: So I think the under here at nineteen and a 594 00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:18,960 Speaker 5: half is a good way to wins the bets early 595 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:20,080 Speaker 5: on on Sunday. 596 00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:22,200 Speaker 1: And guess what, we don't have to do a big 597 00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:24,480 Speaker 1: transition out of it because the final bet of the 598 00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:27,240 Speaker 1: day on the best bets, when we're looking at sides 599 00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:30,400 Speaker 1: and totals, we're gonna stay in this game, Bogman, as 600 00:26:30,400 --> 00:26:32,320 Speaker 1: we've done on a couple of these. You don't like 601 00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,920 Speaker 1: a half bet, but do you like the full? 602 00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,080 Speaker 2: Give me the whole Enchilada, Yeah, give me the whole 603 00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:39,920 Speaker 2: thing to go under here. This is so conservative. As 604 00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:44,000 Speaker 2: Ericson said that they're hosting the Republican National Convention here 605 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:44,640 Speaker 2: in this game. 606 00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:46,200 Speaker 3: It is ridiculous. 607 00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:50,160 Speaker 2: Look Ericson, before you mentioned you know about the high 608 00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:54,080 Speaker 2: turnover worthy plays. These quarterbacks don't have high turnover worthy plays. 609 00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:57,199 Speaker 2: Picket is very low, Love a little bit higher, but 610 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:00,520 Speaker 2: Pickett doesn't tend to turn the ball over a lot. 611 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:02,639 Speaker 2: So it's not gonna set up short fields for another 612 00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:07,880 Speaker 2: bad offense. This is gonna be slow, plotting, terrible methodical 613 00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:10,240 Speaker 2: drives that I don't want to watch on Sunday, but 614 00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,560 Speaker 2: I'm going to because I'm a Steelers. 615 00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 4: You're gonna win money, so that's okay. 616 00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:15,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. 617 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:17,920 Speaker 2: So the game is going to be like twenty to 618 00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:23,840 Speaker 2: ten as the final, or twenty to thirteen or something stupid. Uh, 619 00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:26,719 Speaker 2: and I hate it, but that's what's gonna happen. These 620 00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:28,960 Speaker 2: guys don't turn the ball over. They're slow, they're plotting. 621 00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:30,639 Speaker 2: We're gonna burn the clock off with a lot of 622 00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:33,080 Speaker 2: running and short passes in this game. I think this 623 00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:37,200 Speaker 2: game easily goes under. And look these teams overall this year, 624 00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:41,320 Speaker 2: the Steelers are one in seven of playing to the over. 625 00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:46,080 Speaker 2: The Packers are three and five, so combine that is 626 00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 2: four and twelve in playing to the overs. These teams 627 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:52,640 Speaker 2: don't play to the overs. So I see this one 628 00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:56,000 Speaker 2: going under again. It fits the trend, and it fits 629 00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:58,840 Speaker 2: both these bad offenses that are slow moving and don't 630 00:27:58,840 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 2: turn the ball over. 631 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,960 Speaker 1: Well again, for Bogman, we've got Houston Sincy over. We've 632 00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,680 Speaker 1: got Detroit on the spread, Baltimore on the spread. We've 633 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:10,480 Speaker 1: got the Giants and Cowboys under, green Bay, Pittsburgh under. 634 00:28:10,520 --> 00:28:13,280 Speaker 1: For Ericson, we've got Cardinals plus one and a half, 635 00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:16,280 Speaker 1: Lions minus two and a half, the Baltimore under, the 636 00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:18,920 Speaker 1: Indy over or the New England over. However you want 637 00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 1: to look at that Germany over, which I ever, I 638 00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,680 Speaker 1: can't ever take these overseas like totals. They're just it's 639 00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,920 Speaker 1: a disaster. But I do I do like this one. 640 00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:31,120 Speaker 4: I like, well that's right. 641 00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,920 Speaker 1: Well there you go, overseas lock it in and Pittsburgh 642 00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,800 Speaker 1: green Bay first half under for Ericson. 643 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:38,400 Speaker 3: That is it. 644 00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:40,760 Speaker 1: You got your five best bets from both of these 645 00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:43,600 Speaker 1: guys all locked up. You can find Andrew Erickson on 646 00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:47,040 Speaker 1: Twitter at Andrew Rickson Underscore Bogman Sports on the Twitter 647 00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:49,400 Speaker 1: if you guys want to check in with them, because 648 00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:51,840 Speaker 1: more bets to be had will actually be doing it here, 649 00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:54,320 Speaker 1: So make sure you're subscribed to the betting pros YouTube 650 00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:57,560 Speaker 1: channel YouTube dot com size Betting Pros. Hit the notification 651 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:00,640 Speaker 1: and get locked in because we have got and bets 652 00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:03,280 Speaker 1: for you every single week and I don't want you 653 00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:05,000 Speaker 1: to miss it. Make sure to go and download the 654 00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:07,920 Speaker 1: Betting Pros apps today because not only can you get 655 00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:12,080 Speaker 1: involved in contests, not only can you get notifications that 656 00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:13,920 Speaker 1: are going to tell you for the best lines. The 657 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,560 Speaker 1: customization you can do is crazy. You also can go 658 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,120 Speaker 1: and follow your favorite betters. You can follow Bogman, you 659 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,600 Speaker 1: can follow myself, follow erics and see what we're betting. 660 00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:24,920 Speaker 1: You can tail you can see all of the good stuff, 661 00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:28,120 Speaker 1: what specific market. We're really good in the Betting Pros app. 662 00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:30,080 Speaker 1: It's one of the best out there. So go and 663 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,560 Speaker 1: download that today. That is going to do it for 664 00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:36,280 Speaker 1: all the hair and none of the balls. We love 665 00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:38,080 Speaker 1: you guys and we will talk to you next time 666 00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,960 Speaker 1: right here on Betting Pros. Go in some money. Friends. 667 00:29:41,640 --> 00:29:43,800 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 668 00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:46,640 Speaker 2: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 669 00:29:46,760 --> 00:29:50,400 Speaker 2: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 670 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,000 Speaker 2: channel at YouTube dot com Slash Betting Pros