1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Froze College Football Show. 2 00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: It's our week eleven preview episode where we've got our 3 00:00:08,920 --> 00:00:12,039 Speaker 1: official picks and predictions barreling towards you for the top 4 00:00:12,080 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 1: ten games on the slate. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, 5 00:00:15,120 --> 00:00:18,279 Speaker 1: gearing up for what should be another sensational Saturday of 6 00:00:18,360 --> 00:00:21,119 Speaker 1: college ball across the country. And joining me is a 7 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: dude who's seen just about everything in as many years 8 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: of following this sport. He's Scott big Time Bogman Boggs. 9 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:30,480 Speaker 1: How are you coming off the initial projected college football 10 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:33,520 Speaker 1: playoff bracket being released by the committee and any thoughts 11 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:34,200 Speaker 1: on how they did. 12 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 2: I've seen the BCS, Seth. I've seen nine interceptions in 13 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 2: a cactus ball that is now a cheese at ball. 14 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:42,520 Speaker 3: Yeah. 15 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 2: I've been to the high, highs and low lows of 16 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:47,560 Speaker 2: college football. I thought the committee did a great job, man, 17 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 2: I thought they really did. I thought unpacking these rankings 18 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 2: was great, you know, and that's even with my team 19 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 2: being the first team out. I think if Texas handles 20 00:00:57,160 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 2: business against Georgia handles business against Texas, and that they're 21 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 2: going to be in no matter what. BYU and Texas 22 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 2: Tech are playing this week. One of those team is 23 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 2: going to drop out. No ACC team, so just one 24 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:10,760 Speaker 2: bid for the ACC and the G six. So I 25 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:13,120 Speaker 2: think they did a great job the way they have 26 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:15,680 Speaker 2: it right now. So as long as they keep this up, 27 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:18,640 Speaker 2: I am in favor of what is going on. 28 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:21,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, I wish I could be one of those people 29 00:01:21,640 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 1: who had a hot take, who had an opinion that 30 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:26,800 Speaker 1: was strongly different from what the committee did. They did 31 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: tell us to be the end of the season. Look, 32 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: strength of schedule is going to matter, and I think 33 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: they did reward the proper teams for that, so I 34 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:34,959 Speaker 1: got no issue with it. I'm excited to see how 35 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 1: things continue to shake out as we go down the 36 00:01:37,560 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 1: stretch of the season. And as always, shout out to 37 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 1: everyone who is tuning in either on the Bank pros 38 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 1: YouTube channel or the audio feed. We see you, We 39 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 1: appreciate you the easiest freeway support us. Please give this 40 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 1: video a thumbs up if you enjoy this type of content, 41 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 1: and if you're new, make sure you subscribe to the channels. 42 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 1: You don't miss a moment of college football and NFL 43 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:59,160 Speaker 1: betting coverage this season. And before we get to the game, 44 00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 1: previews fall buy our best bets. Let's take a moment 45 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:05,560 Speaker 1: to think are presenting sponsor hard Rock Bet. 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If you are somebody 76 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 4: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 77 00:03:26,760 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 4: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 78 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:33,119 Speaker 4: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 79 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 1: Let's pop the top off in the birthplace of rock 80 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 1: and roll, where we've seen some big line movement with 81 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: the number twenty two Memphis Tigers now laying anywhere between 82 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: three and a half to four and a half points 83 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 1: on the six and two two lane Green Wave after 84 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:51,640 Speaker 1: opening up as seven and a half point favorites. We 85 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 1: have two lanes starting linebacker Dixon agu and a few 86 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: members of that defense of two deep questionable. We also 87 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 1: have Memphis who is equal. He is banged up in 88 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 1: their defenses too deep. Plus they're starting tight end Christian 89 00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:06,800 Speaker 1: Ross is questionable. And right before we went live here Boggs, 90 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: we also got notified that the Tigers starting quarterback Brendan 91 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,320 Speaker 1: Lewis is questionable, maybe leading to some of that line 92 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:16,480 Speaker 1: movement our BP projections. Right now they have this line 93 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 1: still at ten points. So any interest for you in 94 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:23,479 Speaker 1: maybe a Memphis minus three and a half, maybe alted 95 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:24,839 Speaker 1: down to minus two and a half. 96 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 2: You know what, I don't care. I love this line. 97 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 2: I was all over Memphis. Memphis might still be my favorite. 98 00:04:33,440 --> 00:04:36,280 Speaker 2: Bet we'll see when we get there. But yeah, you 99 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:38,800 Speaker 2: are not kidding. I'm talking like three or four minutes 100 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 2: before we started recording this, we got word that Brendan 101 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 2: Lewis is iffy for Friday. But he was iffy a 102 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 2: couple of weeks ago. I didn't think he's gonna play 103 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 2: it in me with the media. He didn't practice that 104 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 2: much any play. He's a gamer, so read between the 105 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:55,720 Speaker 2: lines is what I would say on that. I think 106 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:58,200 Speaker 2: he's gonna at least give it a shot. I know 107 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:00,480 Speaker 2: he had to leave a little bit early, it's rice, 108 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:03,040 Speaker 2: but they had that game in hand, so he's gonna 109 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 2: give a shot. And even if he doesn't, the reason 110 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 2: that I like Memphis in this game is because of 111 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 2: the pathetic effort that we saw from this Tulane defense 112 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 2: last week. Now, Retz Laugh is fine. I think reds 113 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:19,200 Speaker 2: Laugh is gonna be okay. But utsa quarterback Ole McCowan. 114 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:22,240 Speaker 2: His season high passing before this game against Tulane was 115 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,520 Speaker 2: two hundred and thirty eight yards and he was thirty 116 00:05:24,520 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 2: one of thirty three for three seventy and four scores. 117 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 2: I mentioned that same stat all Monday. It still blows 118 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:33,479 Speaker 2: my mind. So I just think that this defense for 119 00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 2: Tulane is not quite there. I know a lot of 120 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,040 Speaker 2: people think it's a look ahead spot. You know, aj 121 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 2: Hills like the highest recruited player to Memphis. Ever, so 122 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:43,880 Speaker 2: if he has to step in and play for Brendan Lewis, 123 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,479 Speaker 2: I think he's gonna be fine. Against his defense, it 124 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 2: looked just absolutely pathetic last week. I mean, you look 125 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:52,920 Speaker 2: at stats, Memphis is way better than Tulane. You look 126 00:05:52,960 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 2: at grades, Memphis is way better than Tulane. 127 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:57,280 Speaker 3: There's just not that. 128 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 2: There's not many spots where Tulane has the advantage over Memphis. 129 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 2: Strength of schedule is it like Memphis really has improven 130 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 2: it against top tier competition all that often. But they 131 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 2: beat South Florida, so I think they're gonna be fine 132 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:13,279 Speaker 2: here against Tulane. 133 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:17,280 Speaker 1: Yeah. I love what John Sumral's done with Tulane. I 134 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:22,479 Speaker 1: think they're a very hard, fighting, well coached team. But 135 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 1: I think there is a talent discrepancy here, specifically at 136 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: the quarterback position. Like I like Jake Retzov. He's scrappy, 137 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 1: but when he gets down in games like we saw Bogs, 138 00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:33,680 Speaker 1: he looked like Gino's Smith out there just chucking him. 139 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:37,080 Speaker 1: So I will have no action in this game. And 140 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:39,360 Speaker 1: you know me, I love the American right now, it's 141 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 1: been really fun football to watch. I'm gonna remain on 142 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 1: the sideline, but if this gets down minus two and 143 00:06:44,960 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 1: a half, I might consider it. I definitely might consider it. 144 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:50,599 Speaker 1: Let's move forward, though, where most books have come to 145 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:54,920 Speaker 1: consensus in Los Angeles listing the twentieth ranked USC Trojans 146 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 1: as fourteen and a half point favorites, but there are 147 00:06:58,080 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 1: some giving them fifteen and a half points against the 148 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: five and three Northwestern Wildcats on Friday Night. Northwestern has 149 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 1: cornerback or a Diey questionable. They also have their linebacker 150 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 1: Yarni karloftis he remains on the shelf. USC has questionable 151 00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: tackle Elijah Page, center Killian O'Connor, RB, one wayman Jordan, 152 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: and some defense of two deep members as well BEP rejections. 153 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:25,640 Speaker 1: Right now, we have this line at about seventeen points, 154 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:28,720 Speaker 1: so Boggs, any thoughts for you? Is there maybe some 155 00:07:28,880 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 1: value on the Trojans in this home spot. 156 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:33,680 Speaker 2: I don't like the side here. I'm gonna go with 157 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 2: the toll them. We're gonna go under. 158 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:36,880 Speaker 3: My Leen is gonna continue to be the under. 159 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 2: I said that on Monday and only Oregon Intulena beat 160 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 2: Northwestern by double digits. I think this is probably a 161 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:46,680 Speaker 2: late cover by USC, but I definitely wouldn't bet on that. 162 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 2: I think the better Leen is gonna be towards the under. 163 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 2: Northwestern's defense is thirteenth and points per game allowed. I 164 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 2: think USC's defense is gonna be able to tee off 165 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:58,800 Speaker 2: once they get up. Preston Stone has not been good 166 00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 2: throwing the ball. They have okay pass catchers. They've gotten 167 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 2: better since that embarrassing performance Week one against Ulane, but 168 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 2: I just don't know that they have the horses to 169 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:10,720 Speaker 2: catch up. I think this is like a twenty eight 170 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:15,280 Speaker 2: to twenty one USC win, thirty five to fourteen USC win, 171 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 2: and that keeps US under the fifty and a half. 172 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 2: So a thirty one to ten also could be in 173 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:23,120 Speaker 2: store here. So I do like USC. I think they 174 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 2: cover late. I don't know if I want to bet 175 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 2: on it, though, because Northwestern has been pretty good. They 176 00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:29,680 Speaker 2: went up to Penn State and beat your boys. Even 177 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 2: that was I know it's suppressing. I'm not trying to 178 00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:34,560 Speaker 2: bring it up to to mock you or anything, but 179 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 2: I mean, this is the type of This is the 180 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:38,400 Speaker 2: same type of a game. It's on the road against 181 00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 2: a traditionally much better school that is way better on 182 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 2: one side of the ball. They're way but USC is 183 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:45,920 Speaker 2: way better on offense. Penn State was way better than 184 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 2: them on defense and they still ended up winning that game. 185 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 3: This is a scrappy team. 186 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:52,679 Speaker 2: Northwestern They've been playing great football all year, so I 187 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 2: don't want to pick against them in the spread. This 188 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:57,680 Speaker 2: too many points, but I will take the under because 189 00:08:57,720 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to score, and I think 190 00:08:59,040 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 2: they do wholel USC a little bit better than where 191 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:04,320 Speaker 2: at anticipating that song, Yeah, I think. 192 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: I'm there with you. I do like USC in this spot, 193 00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 1: but it's just a little too many points for me 194 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 1: because Northwestern's but over a wild card team, honestly that 195 00:09:12,440 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 1: they feel like they could get up at any moment, 196 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,080 Speaker 1: as they did in Happy Valley just about a month 197 00:09:17,160 --> 00:09:19,720 Speaker 1: or so ago. Before we keep it moving. A real 198 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:22,760 Speaker 1: quick reminder to please track your bets, stay accountable, and 199 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 1: level up by downloading the free Betting Pros app today. 200 00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 1: With sportsbook Sink, you can automatically track your bets across 201 00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:33,200 Speaker 1: all major sportsbooks in just one simple spot. You can 202 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:36,400 Speaker 1: easily monitor your bet performance by sport and bet type, 203 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:39,680 Speaker 1: including game picks, props, and of course parlays great custom 204 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:44,319 Speaker 1: betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities. New users, 205 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:46,920 Speaker 1: you can score yourself six months of Betting Pros Premium 206 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:50,280 Speaker 1: for free with your first deposit and wager at any 207 00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:54,200 Speaker 1: of our partner sportsbooks. Learn more at bettingpros dot com 208 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:59,440 Speaker 1: slash Premium. The spread has shrunk some in State College, 209 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:03,000 Speaker 1: with second ranked Indiana Hoosiers listed as fourteen and a 210 00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 1: half to fifteen and a half point favorites over the 211 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:08,959 Speaker 1: three and five Penn State Nitney Lions. IU currently is 212 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 1: questionable wide receiver Elijah Surratt, guard Drew Evans, edge Kellen Wyatt, 213 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:19,000 Speaker 1: and a linebacker Aiden Fisher. Penn State's backup quarterback Jackson Smollick. 214 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: We used him in that Bo Papiola type role against 215 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:25,000 Speaker 1: Iowa a few weeks ago. He's questionable after missing last 216 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 1: week BP projections. Right now we have this line closer 217 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:31,080 Speaker 1: to eleven and a half. But I don't care, man Like, 218 00:10:31,120 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 1: I think it's time to get on board. It has 219 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 1: been a money making machine to fade the Nitney Lions. 220 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:38,400 Speaker 1: I'm doing it here. I'm laying the thirteen and a 221 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: half points. 222 00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:42,520 Speaker 3: I don't hate that, But I also I don't really like. 223 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:46,360 Speaker 2: How this is opening up, specifically because we're showing value 224 00:10:46,440 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 2: towards Penn State. But Penn State's defense is not as 225 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:53,679 Speaker 2: beat up as the offense. We saw Indiana struggle on 226 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:57,240 Speaker 2: the road a bit against Iowa, But to me, the 227 00:10:57,320 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 2: safest bet in this game isnt team total under sixteen 228 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:04,720 Speaker 2: and a half. Oregon is the only team to score 229 00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:07,160 Speaker 2: more than fifteen points against the Hoogiers so far this season. 230 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 2: That was at home, right odi U has actually put 231 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 2: up the most offensive points against the Hoosiers with two 232 00:11:13,960 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 2: big plays by Curtis Joseph In that Week one game, 233 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 2: Oregon had to pick six, so they only scored thirteen 234 00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:24,840 Speaker 2: on offense, and two of Iowa's thirteen points came on 235 00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:26,920 Speaker 2: that safety at the end of the game. Rip set. 236 00:11:27,040 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 2: I didn't want to bet, but you know it, just 237 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:33,440 Speaker 2: it fits this narrative here. So no one is scoring 238 00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 2: this many offensive points against the Hoosiers, and I think 239 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:39,360 Speaker 2: Penn State's not going to either, specifically with brunken Meyer 240 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 2: in there. So yeah, Penn State team total under sixteen 241 00:11:42,520 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 2: and a half, I'm probably gonna pivot to that being 242 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:48,080 Speaker 2: my favorite bet of the week since Brendon Lewis is 243 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 2: iffy for Friday, So yeah, that's gonna be one of 244 00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:53,840 Speaker 2: my favorite bets. Just nobody has put this total up 245 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 2: on them, and they played much better offenses than what 246 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:58,040 Speaker 2: Penn State is at right now. 247 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:02,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's sharp, man. I can't tell if Nick Singleton 248 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:04,240 Speaker 1: is hurt if he is just. 249 00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:08,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, it might be a little give up too, but 250 00:12:08,480 --> 00:12:11,160 Speaker 2: Kate kateron Allen is not giving up. 251 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, And like I feel like it's him on offense 252 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 1: right now. We're starting to get ross going a little bit, 253 00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 1: but like Penya's kind of been a non factor and 254 00:12:18,200 --> 00:12:20,120 Speaker 1: you know how much I liked him coming down from 255 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 1: the Orange. 256 00:12:20,800 --> 00:12:22,479 Speaker 3: Can't get him the ball in the offseason. 257 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:25,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, So I think I'm with you. Drunk did some 258 00:12:25,800 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 1: good things last week and even in Iowa as well, 259 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: But I think it's a different unit with with Kamara 260 00:12:31,520 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 1: and the boys on the other side of the ball 261 00:12:33,640 --> 00:12:36,160 Speaker 1: coming at him. So let's keep it moving here With 262 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:38,760 Speaker 1: the fifth rank Georgia Bulldogs, They've remained seven and a 263 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 1: half to nine a half points favorite heading to Starkfield 264 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:45,400 Speaker 1: to face the five and four Mississippi State Bulldogs. Georgia 265 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:47,839 Speaker 1: they will of course be without X wide receiver Colby 266 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: Young for the rest of the season and their safety 267 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 1: Kyen Jones. He's questionable Mississippi State right now, three starting 268 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:58,160 Speaker 1: offensive linemen are coming into this one questionable BP projections. 269 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:00,400 Speaker 1: We are right in line with this near an eight 270 00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 1: point game, so I think it's the clear pass for me. 271 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: I got burned as soon as I tried to go 272 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:08,600 Speaker 1: on the Bulldogs last week. You were there with me 273 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 1: bog soaked. 274 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 3: And ye kneeling at the one. What are you doing? 275 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 1: Man? 276 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:13,200 Speaker 3: Come on? 277 00:13:13,480 --> 00:13:15,319 Speaker 1: So do you have a play in this one? 278 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 2: No, I'm not gonna be back on gunnerstock than any uga. 279 00:13:18,960 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 2: I was really upset by that kneeling at the one. 280 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:23,920 Speaker 2: That was so annoying. 281 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:24,560 Speaker 1: Break. 282 00:13:24,720 --> 00:13:26,280 Speaker 2: But the more I think about this game, the more 283 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:29,960 Speaker 2: I think we just get a substantial effort from Mississippi State. 284 00:13:30,040 --> 00:13:31,959 Speaker 2: Like I mentioned on Monday, this team is gonna have 285 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,720 Speaker 2: to be one of Georgia, Missouri or Ole Miss to 286 00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 2: become Bowl eligible, and this game is at home. But 287 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:42,199 Speaker 2: what I really like is Texas A and M is 288 00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 2: the only team to really dominate Mississippi State this season, 289 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 2: and that game was seven to three at halftime against 290 00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 2: A and M. Mississippi State was tied at seventeen with 291 00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:55,720 Speaker 2: Tennessee at the half. They were up by ten against 292 00:13:55,760 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 2: the Longhorns at halftime as well, the only SEC opponent 293 00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:01,520 Speaker 2: that they have played that has had them by more 294 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 2: than four and a half was Florida thirteen to seven, 295 00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 2: and they pulled that game to two points at the 296 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:09,960 Speaker 2: end in Napier was fired after they won. So my 297 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:13,120 Speaker 2: best bet in this game is going to be Mississippi 298 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 2: State plus four and a half. In the first half, 299 00:14:15,640 --> 00:14:18,360 Speaker 2: they just I think we've seen it from Georgia as well, 300 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 2: not as much as people say that they like to 301 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 2: play with their food and start slow and all that stuff. 302 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:26,960 Speaker 2: It hasn't been quite as bad as people make it 303 00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 2: out to be. Mississippi State has shown wrinkles and they 304 00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,480 Speaker 2: get adjusted on in the second half, not the first half. 305 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 3: They played very hard there. 306 00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna take Missippi State plus four and a 307 00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:41,760 Speaker 2: half at home against the ug of Bulldogs here and I. 308 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:43,600 Speaker 3: Think that we can handle this one. So plus four 309 00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:44,720 Speaker 3: and a half fro Mississippi State. 310 00:14:45,040 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 1: First half very sharp. I love Fluff being back in 311 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:51,880 Speaker 1: the backfield there, the receivers, Thompson Evans, they've been sensational 312 00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 1: as well. So I really liked that first half play. 313 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 1: That is a sharp one because Uga, Man, if you've 314 00:14:57,480 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 1: been betting them like we were last week, like the 315 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:01,680 Speaker 1: first half did not look good. It did not look 316 00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:03,520 Speaker 1: good and they've been winning in the second half, so 317 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 1: I think that's a very very sharp play. Let's keep 318 00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 1: going though where the spread is actually wide and even 319 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 1: further in Lubbock with the number nine Texas Tech Red Raiders, 320 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:15,160 Speaker 1: they are now sitting as ten to eleven and a 321 00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 1: half point favorites against the number eight BYU Cougars. BYU's 322 00:15:19,560 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 1: RB two, Siona Moa and some of the two deep 323 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:26,360 Speaker 1: cornerbacks are coming into this one questionable. Texas Tech's tackle 324 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:30,440 Speaker 1: hunters and Brono and some depth wide receivers are questionable 325 00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 1: for them BP projections. Right now, we're setting this near 326 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 1: eight points, so they think it's too many. I think 327 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 1: it's too many. But I will not fade Barrett Morton 328 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:42,560 Speaker 1: in this spot. I will not fade him maybe ever 329 00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:44,080 Speaker 1: this season. What about you, Scotti? 330 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:44,800 Speaker 3: Yeah? 331 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:47,560 Speaker 2: Look, I think still in this game, it's BYU away 332 00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 2: from home. They run it a sixty percent clip and 333 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:53,800 Speaker 2: they asked to face the number one run defense statistically 334 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 2: and by grade in Texas Tech. If BYU wins this game, 335 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:00,680 Speaker 2: I think we have to seriously consider that stats do 336 00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 2: not matter for this team. There's some weird juju going on. 337 00:16:03,520 --> 00:16:07,040 Speaker 2: There's some magic. You know, somebody put a curse on 338 00:16:07,160 --> 00:16:09,560 Speaker 2: something here. We got to find a way to undo 339 00:16:09,640 --> 00:16:14,080 Speaker 2: the curse at that point. But I heard Andy Staples 340 00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:16,600 Speaker 2: say that the last time that BYU lost by more 341 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 2: than seven was November of twenty twenty three. They've been scrappy, 342 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:23,160 Speaker 2: they've been final. They keep themselves in games the last 343 00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:26,280 Speaker 2: two years in a row. But when I see this 344 00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 2: matchup on paper, it just looks like a Red Raider 345 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:34,040 Speaker 2: stomping to me. Now, look, we've seen Texas Tech lose. 346 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 2: They lost Arizona State, right, but they didn't have Baron 347 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 2: Morton then, and Barry Morton looked so good against Kansas State, 348 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:43,560 Speaker 2: a defense that looked great in that matchup against Kansas 349 00:16:44,200 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 2: just the week before. So I'm still leaning on the 350 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:50,800 Speaker 2: Red Raiders, but I don't like that this line is 351 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 2: going the wrong way. 352 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 3: I think more people are gonna. 353 00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:56,000 Speaker 2: Bet BYU before the week is up. I think this 354 00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 2: is gonna come back down under double digits. So I'm 355 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:00,840 Speaker 2: just gonna wait till Saturday. If we can see it 356 00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 2: get back to eight and a half, seven and a 357 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 2: half something like that, great. If it doesn't move down 358 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,720 Speaker 2: and it keeps moving up, and you know, you get 359 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:10,880 Speaker 2: more points. I'm just gonna leave it alone because on paper, 360 00:17:11,320 --> 00:17:14,919 Speaker 2: Texas Tech should beat the crap out of BYU. Hasn't 361 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:18,160 Speaker 2: been No one is beating BYU at all this year, 362 00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 2: so I just don't think I can put my money 363 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:23,160 Speaker 2: on it. So I'm gonna lean towards the Red Raiders here, 364 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:25,960 Speaker 2: but I just don't like it unless this line ticks 365 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 2: back down and it's going the wrong way right now. 366 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 1: Is there a bigger matchup in this game to you 367 00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:35,720 Speaker 1: than the BYU offensive line versus that pass rush for 368 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,400 Speaker 1: Texas Tech, Because I mean those guys are naturally the game. 369 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the I think like Texas Tech is going 370 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:43,680 Speaker 2: to score, right. We know that Texas Tech is gonna 371 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:44,879 Speaker 2: score on BYU's defense. 372 00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 3: They have a good defense. 373 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 2: I'm not trying to knock up, but Texas Tech's gonna 374 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:51,240 Speaker 2: score on anybody. So BYU needs to hold the ball. 375 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:53,159 Speaker 2: They needed to run the ball, and they need to 376 00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:53,920 Speaker 2: control the clock. 377 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:54,879 Speaker 3: That is what you do. 378 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:56,400 Speaker 1: You make our game with LJ two. 379 00:17:56,680 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 3: You make them panic, You make Texas Tech panic. 380 00:17:59,280 --> 00:18:02,239 Speaker 2: But Texas Tech has been stopping everybody's running game, So 381 00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:06,040 Speaker 2: I just if they can't run now, you're gonna have 382 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:08,440 Speaker 2: to bear Bachmeyer throw a bunch and David Bailey's gonna 383 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:11,119 Speaker 2: eat his lunch. So I just I think if you 384 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:13,080 Speaker 2: get to that spot, if Texas Tech gets up ten 385 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:14,960 Speaker 2: points early, might be all. 386 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:16,560 Speaker 3: She wrote. I don't know, I by he's gonna be 387 00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:17,640 Speaker 3: able to keep up. 388 00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 1: Well that's kind of how it went last week against 389 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 1: Kansas State, right like as soon as Texas Tech started 390 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,359 Speaker 1: shutting down the run, Avery Johnson got a little buck 391 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:28,240 Speaker 1: Wilde back there and started making some turnovers and some 392 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:30,600 Speaker 1: bad decisions, and that Texas Tech is a team who 393 00:18:30,600 --> 00:18:33,480 Speaker 1: makes you pay. So love that there from you. Let's 394 00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:36,320 Speaker 1: keep going forward here where five and a half point 395 00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:39,119 Speaker 1: tickets in favor of the number six Oregon Ducks starting 396 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,639 Speaker 1: to go by the wayside for when they travel to 397 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:44,600 Speaker 1: Iowa City to face the six and two Hawkeys. Heard 398 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:47,119 Speaker 1: from our friend Andy Barns he might be at this game. Also, 399 00:18:47,119 --> 00:18:49,600 Speaker 1: Scott Fish might be making a trip. So a lot 400 00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:52,360 Speaker 1: of people excited to see this one. Iowa fans are 401 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:54,920 Speaker 1: riled up as always on the internet. Not a fan, 402 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:56,560 Speaker 1: but you know, you know how I roll out here. 403 00:18:57,080 --> 00:19:00,680 Speaker 1: Oregon's backfield there continue to be thin, but their two 404 00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 1: top backs, including no Winnington will be up Iowa's top 405 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,840 Speaker 1: tight end over there at the tight end university Dj Vanaheim. 406 00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:11,120 Speaker 1: He is out of this one. VP projections right now 407 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,359 Speaker 1: has it at six and a half. So Boggs, do 408 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:15,679 Speaker 1: you have any interest? While we can still get the 409 00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 1: Ducks at a full point below that key number of 410 00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:19,640 Speaker 1: six and a half. 411 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:21,560 Speaker 3: It's not for the Ducks, I'll say this. 412 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:23,760 Speaker 2: The narrative being talked about in this game is the 413 00:19:23,760 --> 00:19:27,879 Speaker 2: fact that Oregon hasn't been challenged this season. Their only 414 00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:31,880 Speaker 2: win against a team with a winning record was against Northwestern. 415 00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:32,480 Speaker 3: That's it. 416 00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:35,720 Speaker 2: Obviously, they lost Indiana at home, and this is the 417 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 2: next biggest test since that game. To me, this is 418 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:42,359 Speaker 2: a playoff elimination game for Iowa, but a win would 419 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:45,320 Speaker 2: put them right smack in the middle of the playoff 420 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,760 Speaker 2: conversation as well. I think I'm gonna lean towards the 421 00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:52,640 Speaker 2: Hawkeys getting this many points at home. Iowa held Indiana 422 00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:54,800 Speaker 2: to one hundred and three yards rushing at home. They 423 00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:58,639 Speaker 2: really disrupted the flow of their offense. And I don't 424 00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,159 Speaker 2: know that Iowa can make it up plays against the 425 00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:04,399 Speaker 2: Oregon defense to win this game, but I think I 426 00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:08,400 Speaker 2: like them dragging Oregon down into the mud and making 427 00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:10,119 Speaker 2: them play their game. It's the same thing they did 428 00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:13,719 Speaker 2: to Indiana, and we haven't seen Indiana really, you know, 429 00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:16,600 Speaker 2: pull up for anybody else this year except for Iowa 430 00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:20,679 Speaker 2: at home. So just the fact that Oregon hasn't truly 431 00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:23,520 Speaker 2: been tested. This is a really good defense that has 432 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:26,960 Speaker 2: been slowing down even the best offenses this year. I 433 00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 2: still don't understand how they lost to Iowa State, who's 434 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:34,359 Speaker 2: not good, but you know, their offense can go dry. 435 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:37,439 Speaker 2: So it's not my safest bet of the week because 436 00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 2: Iowa's offense is just still pretty pathetic. But I think 437 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,000 Speaker 2: that defense keeps a minute, So I'm going to lean 438 00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:44,359 Speaker 2: towards the Hawkeyes in this game. 439 00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,920 Speaker 1: If you want a chance to score this, signed Kiren Williams, 440 00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:51,320 Speaker 1: Los Angeles rams helmet for free Curtisy of our friends 441 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:53,800 Speaker 1: over at Pristine Auction dot com. All you need to 442 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:56,280 Speaker 1: do is head to Bettingpros dot com slash contest, complete 443 00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:59,200 Speaker 1: the form and either a download the free Betting Pros 444 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 1: app today, leave a review for the Betting Pros podcast, 445 00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:05,400 Speaker 1: or see subscribe to our social media channels. 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Our friends over at 453 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:28,359 Speaker 1: hard Rock bet are once again ahead of the curve. 454 00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 1: They're listing the number three Texas A and m Aggie's 455 00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:34,040 Speaker 1: at the key number of six and a half points 456 00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,360 Speaker 1: over the number nineteen. Missouri Tigers A and M will 457 00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:39,840 Speaker 1: be without starting running back leavey On Moss for some 458 00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 1: time still, and there RB two. Ruben Owens is probable. 459 00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:46,320 Speaker 1: Looks like he will be up for this one hopefully. Miszoo, 460 00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:49,960 Speaker 1: of course, they are without quarterbacks Bo Privola and Sam 461 00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:52,520 Speaker 1: Horn for the rest of the season, leaving freshman Matt 462 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:55,800 Speaker 1: Zehlers under center. BP projections right now, we have this 463 00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:58,679 Speaker 1: under a field goal, but I'm still gonna lay this 464 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:00,680 Speaker 1: number here. I actually got a five and a half 465 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:04,000 Speaker 1: ticket earlier today, Bogs, so maybe a little squad ride 466 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,160 Speaker 1: action on A and M. 467 00:22:05,760 --> 00:22:10,280 Speaker 2: I'm never gonna ride, so don't don't don't bark up 468 00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,359 Speaker 2: that tree step. This line has jumped out too much 469 00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:15,600 Speaker 2: for me to want to take Texas A and M. 470 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:17,880 Speaker 3: I think I'm gonna take the Tigers at home. 471 00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:21,240 Speaker 2: The ultimate question is will Zalers be able to move 472 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:24,359 Speaker 2: the ball and uh will Miszoo be able to keep 473 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,240 Speaker 2: Howl off of him? That is the biggest question in 474 00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:30,800 Speaker 2: this game. And I think Texas A and M moves 475 00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:32,639 Speaker 2: the ball. I think they're gonna move it even on 476 00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:36,359 Speaker 2: a strong Tigers defense. So I just think Texas A 477 00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:37,879 Speaker 2: and M's offense is on a heater right now. I 478 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:39,399 Speaker 2: don't think they can be stopped. But I really like 479 00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:42,479 Speaker 2: Miszoo's run game and the games that have been close 480 00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:45,400 Speaker 2: for A and M. They've been run on. Archie ran 481 00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 2: for two hundred and sixty eight on them, and that 482 00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:49,320 Speaker 2: was a forty five to forty two Texas A and 483 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:51,840 Speaker 2: M win. Notre Dame went for one thirty six with 484 00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:56,800 Speaker 2: only six yards of rushing for LSU, but Barry average 485 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,880 Speaker 2: six point six yards per carrying, Durham average seven point two. 486 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:02,639 Speaker 2: They just got so far down they weren't able to 487 00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 2: run in that game, and they hung Nussmeier out to dry. 488 00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 2: So I think Miszoo, with this strong running game, is 489 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:10,879 Speaker 2: going to be able to run. I think they control 490 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:12,840 Speaker 2: the clock a little bit and make it a little 491 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:16,919 Speaker 2: bit more of a closer, uglier game than we thought. Obviously, 492 00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:20,320 Speaker 2: the entire offense is going to rest on the shoulders 493 00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:23,040 Speaker 2: of Zalars. I think they'll do a better job. I 494 00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:25,360 Speaker 2: think A and M is gettable if you can run 495 00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:28,119 Speaker 2: on them. You have to run to pass against an M. 496 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,199 Speaker 2: You can't pass to run, but I think that's the 497 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 2: way you want to do it with a guy like 498 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:35,359 Speaker 2: Zoalers anyway, So I think that that offense keeps them 499 00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:38,720 Speaker 2: in this game at home, but it is still a 500 00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 2: tall task ask them to beat A and M. A 501 00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:42,840 Speaker 2: and M is a very good team on a heater, 502 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:46,840 Speaker 2: specifically on offense right now, but roster strength, these teams 503 00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:50,120 Speaker 2: are pretty close. So I think I like Missouri at home, 504 00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 2: give me the points. 505 00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:53,200 Speaker 1: The best thing Maszoo has going for it right now, 506 00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:55,480 Speaker 1: Boggs is that this is at home, right Like, what 507 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:58,000 Speaker 1: is this line if it's at Kyle Field? Two touchdowns? 508 00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:00,239 Speaker 2: Twelve and a half, I think it's probably ten and 509 00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:02,280 Speaker 2: a half. I think you get to double digits. 510 00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:06,760 Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, so I understand where you're coming from. I 511 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:08,320 Speaker 1: really do like A and M. This is the first 512 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:10,240 Speaker 1: time monom all season, so maybe i'll. 513 00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 3: Cool them off as well. 514 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:16,119 Speaker 2: But let's see a cool Yeah, pick the Aggies with enthusiasm. 515 00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:16,679 Speaker 3: I love it. 516 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:20,280 Speaker 1: We'll see what happens there moving forward, though, we do 517 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:22,080 Speaker 1: have six and a half and even five and a 518 00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,920 Speaker 1: half point tickets now available in favor of the number 519 00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:28,080 Speaker 1: fifteen Vanderbilt Commodoores at home against the four and five 520 00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:32,000 Speaker 1: Auburn Tigers on the dead Cat Bounce Baby Auburn interim 521 00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:35,160 Speaker 1: head coach and defensive coordinator Dj Diurkin. He has named 522 00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:39,159 Speaker 1: Stanford transfer quarterback Ashton Daniels as the starter in this game, 523 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 1: likely ending the Jackson Arnold era at Auburn. Vandy is 524 00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 1: once again at full strength BP projections right now, we're 525 00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 1: setting this line at seven and a half. So is 526 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:52,000 Speaker 1: there maybe some sneaky value on the commis as we 527 00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 1: approach the weekend bogs? 528 00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 2: There could be, But for as bad as Auburn has been, 529 00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:01,440 Speaker 2: you know, they lost to Oklahoma, Texas and Georgia Missouri, 530 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:04,240 Speaker 2: but they were all by ten points or less. Auburn 531 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 2: is the only team other than Notre Dame to hold 532 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:11,359 Speaker 2: Arkansas below thirty one points. So the defense is for 533 00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:14,440 Speaker 2: real at Auburn, and I think they're gonna keep Vandy 534 00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:18,680 Speaker 2: on their toes. But the Auburn offense is still pathetic, right, 535 00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:22,639 Speaker 2: That is my main takeaway from this game. The most 536 00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:25,919 Speaker 2: recent news is that Ashton Daniels, as you mentioned, is 537 00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:28,040 Speaker 2: going to get the start. He got the majority of 538 00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:30,240 Speaker 2: the first team reps. It wasn't a surprise when they 539 00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:33,679 Speaker 2: announced him a little bit earlier. And I think I 540 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:35,840 Speaker 2: got to take the Auburn team total below nineteen. 541 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 3: And a half. 542 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,600 Speaker 2: They did put up thirty three on Arkansas, but other 543 00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:43,119 Speaker 2: than that, seventeen against Missouri, ten against Georgia, ten against 544 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:46,960 Speaker 2: A and M, seventeen against Ou and obviously the three 545 00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,320 Speaker 2: against Kentucky that got Hugh Freeze fired. 546 00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:51,760 Speaker 3: So Auburn has. 547 00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:54,560 Speaker 2: The talent to succeed, but giving the ball to Daniels 548 00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,760 Speaker 2: is probably even worse than Jackson Donald. Auburn's team total 549 00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 2: is nineteen and a half the under on that one 550 00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:05,520 Speaker 2: against Vanderbilt at Vanderbilt's at home too, So yeah, look, 551 00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:08,480 Speaker 2: I know, did cap mounce Maybe maybe Auburn wins this game, 552 00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:10,879 Speaker 2: but if they win this game, it's probably gonna be 553 00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:13,640 Speaker 2: seventeen to thirteen or something like that. I don't think 554 00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 2: they're they're scoring many points even in a win. So 555 00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:19,040 Speaker 2: under nineteen and a half team total for Auburn is 556 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 2: how I'm gonna handle this one. 557 00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:22,960 Speaker 1: I don't mean to keep fluffing up here, man, but 558 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:26,760 Speaker 1: I really like this play as well, specifically because dude, 559 00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,399 Speaker 1: the commedi's like, like they're out there with that option 560 00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:32,240 Speaker 1: based offense, right, they run as much as they can. 561 00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:34,960 Speaker 1: Cedric Alexander very good running back when they can get 562 00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:36,760 Speaker 1: him going. It seems like he needs to get going 563 00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:38,639 Speaker 1: early in the game or he doesn't get going for 564 00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:40,719 Speaker 1: whatever reason. But I think if they can start off 565 00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:43,040 Speaker 1: hot and start chooing some clock early, this is gonna 566 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:43,720 Speaker 1: look really nice. 567 00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:46,040 Speaker 2: And look, there's no give up from Vandy, right, So like, 568 00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:49,360 Speaker 2: if Auburn comes out firing and they look great, Mandy 569 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:51,680 Speaker 2: is not going to stop. You saw them almost come 570 00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 2: back against Texas. They should have had that second on side. 571 00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:54,960 Speaker 3: Kick, man. 572 00:26:55,040 --> 00:26:58,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, Like Vandy is a never quit I you know, 573 00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:00,920 Speaker 2: Pavia is annoying and all of that. I know people 574 00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 2: don't like him. 575 00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:01,919 Speaker 3: I get it. 576 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:05,000 Speaker 2: His brother's annoying. I don't like his brother. But yeah, look, 577 00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:08,520 Speaker 2: this team is strong. Their defense is strong. They held 578 00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:11,960 Speaker 2: a good Missouri team even without their quarterback. I think 579 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:13,760 Speaker 2: his Vandy team is pretty good. I think they'll be 580 00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:17,399 Speaker 2: able to hold Ashton Daniels. God, they need a quarterback 581 00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:19,880 Speaker 2: at Auburn. They have so much talent on this team. 582 00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:21,000 Speaker 2: That's such a good roster. 583 00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:26,760 Speaker 1: Gross Yeah, yeah, I watched a couple of Stanford games 584 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:29,000 Speaker 1: last season, was able to sweat them out. I remember 585 00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:31,640 Speaker 1: a Week one against TCU a year ago. It's like, man, 586 00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 1: this quarterback is atrocious. Loved elic Io Manner. He was 587 00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:37,320 Speaker 1: like the heart and soul of that team, and he 588 00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:39,480 Speaker 1: had a really down year last year. Because Daniel's gonna 589 00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:40,240 Speaker 1: get it. Give them the ball. 590 00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 2: If you can throw the ball straight up to Cam Coleman, 591 00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:44,680 Speaker 2: that should be a pretty good right. You know, I 592 00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:47,879 Speaker 2: would even just let him go five hundred, triple coverage, 593 00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:50,880 Speaker 2: five hundred, give it to Cam Pullman. I don't care, 594 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:54,159 Speaker 2: you know, let us do something. It's just been pathetic 595 00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:56,879 Speaker 2: and they can't run the ball either. Auburn's offense is 596 00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:57,640 Speaker 2: ugly right now. 597 00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:00,920 Speaker 1: Shops are now out of con Sens is in South 598 00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:04,280 Speaker 1: Bend listing the number ten Notre Dame fighting Irish as 599 00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 1: twenty six and a half point favorites over the seven 600 00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:11,240 Speaker 1: to one Navy midshipman. Navy right now has questionable linebacker 601 00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:15,000 Speaker 1: Luke Priest, also tight end Cody Howard, and wide receiver 602 00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:18,600 Speaker 1: three Luke Hutchinson. For Notre Dame. Right now, their tackle 603 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:23,320 Speaker 1: styles Prescott is questionable, and this is already after losing 604 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:27,720 Speaker 1: their guard Billy Shruth and center Ashton Craig. Their wide 605 00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:30,240 Speaker 1: receiver James Greathhouse. He hasn't been up for most of 606 00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:33,680 Speaker 1: this season. He is still questionable BP projections. Right now, 607 00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,040 Speaker 1: we have this at twenty three and a half points, 608 00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:38,280 Speaker 1: and Bogan, we are expected to have some weather in 609 00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:41,280 Speaker 1: this one as well. So can you back Blake Horvath 610 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:43,240 Speaker 1: as nearly a four touchdown dog? 611 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:45,640 Speaker 3: I mean, I'm. 612 00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:47,680 Speaker 2: Gonna wait and see how big it gets. That's kind 613 00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:50,200 Speaker 2: of where I'm going with this one. I don't think 614 00:28:50,280 --> 00:28:52,760 Speaker 2: Navy has a chance in this game. Right They run 615 00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:55,640 Speaker 2: the ball at a seventy three percent clip. Notre Dame 616 00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:58,720 Speaker 2: has a twelfth ranked run defense in the country statistically 617 00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:02,680 Speaker 2: twentieth graded according to PFF, and they've been shutting down 618 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:06,360 Speaker 2: better offenses the Navy in recent days. So I just 619 00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:13,000 Speaker 2: I think with the nasty weather thirty four degrees raining, sideways, windy, gross, 620 00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:14,960 Speaker 2: I think both teams want to get gonna get the 621 00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 2: hell out of here, right Like, OK, let's run this ball. Specifically, 622 00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:21,400 Speaker 2: if Notre Dame is up by seventeen points or more 623 00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:23,560 Speaker 2: going in the fourth quarter, let's run this ball and 624 00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,760 Speaker 2: let's go home. So for now, I think it's going 625 00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:29,800 Speaker 2: to be a lean to Navy. Look, if they can 626 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,320 Speaker 2: run the ball, they're going to slow down the pace 627 00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:34,480 Speaker 2: of this game. Their pace right now is one hundred 628 00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:36,400 Speaker 2: and twenty ninth out of one hundred and thirty six teams. 629 00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:39,760 Speaker 2: So they'll bleed the clock. They'll make it so that 630 00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:44,520 Speaker 2: Notre Dame has to play a little bit quicker. Sure, 631 00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:46,479 Speaker 2: I just don't know if that's going to happen. I 632 00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:50,000 Speaker 2: do think Notre Dame wins this game going away, but 633 00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:52,960 Speaker 2: this is a lot of points to cover. Specifically, in 634 00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:55,720 Speaker 2: a game like this, Navy is still playing for their life. 635 00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:57,840 Speaker 2: This is another game where if Navy were to somehow 636 00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:01,520 Speaker 2: make an upset, I don't know where or how it happens, right, 637 00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:04,240 Speaker 2: but by some miracle of God, that they come away 638 00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:05,880 Speaker 2: with this game. They're right in the middle of the 639 00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:09,240 Speaker 2: playoff conversation. So I think we're gonna get a good 640 00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:11,360 Speaker 2: effort from Navy in this game. I just don't think 641 00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,000 Speaker 2: it's going to be enough. I think Notre Dame wins big. 642 00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:16,600 Speaker 2: This is too many points, though, and it keeps expanding, 643 00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:19,440 Speaker 2: it keeps expanding. Let's see if it gets to twenty eight. 644 00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 3: And a half. 645 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:21,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, two more points. 646 00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:22,840 Speaker 2: It's all we need is twenty six and a half 647 00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:26,520 Speaker 2: at a couple books right now, So let's see it 648 00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:29,120 Speaker 2: branch out, and if we can get to twenty eight 649 00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:30,320 Speaker 2: and a half, I'm gonna hammer it. 650 00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:31,240 Speaker 3: Okay. 651 00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:33,720 Speaker 1: I like to hear that. Man, Navy's very fun team 652 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:37,360 Speaker 1: to watch. Defense is atrocious, I mean really bad, and 653 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:39,040 Speaker 1: I was honestly expecting a little more out of their 654 00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:42,000 Speaker 1: offense last week against North Texas. This defense, it is also, 655 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:43,360 Speaker 1: i'd say, very good. 656 00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:47,120 Speaker 2: We doubted the tackling ability of North Texas. That team 657 00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:51,000 Speaker 2: tackles like nobody's business. They are very very good at it. 658 00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:51,560 Speaker 4: Well. 659 00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:53,440 Speaker 1: Glad to hear they did last week, because they certainly 660 00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,560 Speaker 1: did not very well against Charlotte, at least in that 661 00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:58,560 Speaker 1: first half of that game. The week before, when we 662 00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:00,080 Speaker 1: were sweating that team total over. 663 00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 2: That was a Thursday or Friday game, right, so that 664 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:05,600 Speaker 2: was it was, it was Friday. Heard circumstances true one 665 00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:07,920 Speaker 2: day less one one day less arrest some point. 666 00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:12,120 Speaker 1: There's surprisingly been no line movement actually in Tuscaloosa thus 667 00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:15,400 Speaker 1: far with the fourth ranked Alabama Crimson Tide. They're remaining 668 00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:18,080 Speaker 1: a nine and a half to ten point favorite over 669 00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:22,320 Speaker 1: the LSU Tigers. LSU right now they have tackles Tyrese 670 00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:26,920 Speaker 1: Adams out also linebacker which weeks He has listed as doubtful. 671 00:31:27,120 --> 00:31:31,320 Speaker 1: Their other tackle here Carrius Kerna. He is also probable. 672 00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:35,680 Speaker 1: Edge Gabriel Rhineford, he is questionable. Bamos wide receiver four 673 00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:39,680 Speaker 1: lotsi Er Brooks is questionable. BP projections right now, we 674 00:31:39,840 --> 00:31:42,720 Speaker 1: have this just a mark over ten and a half points, 675 00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 1: So any play or lean for this primetime showdown at Bogman, 676 00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:47,960 Speaker 1: I'm thinking that. 677 00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:49,960 Speaker 2: This is gonna get below double digits. I know it 678 00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,560 Speaker 2: hasn't moved much. It was eleven and a half downs 679 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:55,480 Speaker 2: ten and a half, but I think it only moved 680 00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,440 Speaker 2: on Monday, so it just has not moved a lot. 681 00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:00,400 Speaker 3: But LSU my play lose. 682 00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:03,400 Speaker 2: They might play more free number one roster strength right, 683 00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 2: Brian Kelly wasn't well liked, and I think sometimes you get, 684 00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:09,440 Speaker 2: you know, you get the reverse of the dead cap mounts, 685 00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:11,240 Speaker 2: like if they do fire a coach that the guys 686 00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:13,920 Speaker 2: like you get less effort. I don't think that's going 687 00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,160 Speaker 2: to be the case here. I think everybody hated Brian 688 00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:18,600 Speaker 2: Kelly's guts. I think a lot of people are glad 689 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:21,840 Speaker 2: that he's gone, and I think you're gonna see LSU 690 00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,160 Speaker 2: play a little better. But Bama can be run on, 691 00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:27,320 Speaker 2: but LSU doesn't run the ball well. I just don't 692 00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:31,160 Speaker 2: think this is the best x's and o's matchup for LSU. 693 00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:34,320 Speaker 2: The LSU defense has covered well, but they haven't put 694 00:32:34,360 --> 00:32:37,200 Speaker 2: pressure on quarterbacks very well. And without pressure, Simpson is 695 00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:40,920 Speaker 2: going to carve them up. There might be a shake 696 00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:43,480 Speaker 2: up on that LSUO line that has been getting wrecked 697 00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 2: their eighty eighth and pass block grade one hundred and 698 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,920 Speaker 2: nineteenth and run block grade. Bama hasn't rushed the passer 699 00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:51,120 Speaker 2: well this year, but they got sellers in the biggest 700 00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:55,280 Speaker 2: moment two weeks ago. They dropped Perbula and Pavia both 701 00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:59,080 Speaker 2: four times. In those two other most previous matchups, so 702 00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:02,200 Speaker 2: they're getting better putting pressure on the quarterback. I still 703 00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:06,720 Speaker 2: think Bama wins this game, but with our value, the 704 00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:09,640 Speaker 2: BP value right on top of this number, I just 705 00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:11,360 Speaker 2: want to see it drop a little bit. If we 706 00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:13,160 Speaker 2: can get this to eight and a half, seven and 707 00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:15,520 Speaker 2: a half, then I'm gonna hammer Bama. But if it 708 00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:18,600 Speaker 2: stays a double digits and the hook, I'm just not 709 00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,240 Speaker 2: gonna mess with it. So my lean is towards Bama. 710 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:22,760 Speaker 2: But I want to see this number come down. And 711 00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:25,280 Speaker 2: money is on LS right now, so there is a 712 00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,800 Speaker 2: possibility that this number does tick down a little bit. 713 00:33:28,240 --> 00:33:30,160 Speaker 1: Well, I think it's sharp to wait here, man, because like, 714 00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:33,200 Speaker 1: while it has not been the season LSU's wanted, while 715 00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:36,360 Speaker 1: they might not match up super schematically, this game just 716 00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:38,719 Speaker 1: means more, right, Like this is one of those that 717 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,960 Speaker 1: just mean more out here in the Southeastern Conference. So 718 00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:44,520 Speaker 1: really looking forward to that and looking forward this entire 719 00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:47,000 Speaker 1: slate that we have here on deck, Let's go get 720 00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:49,880 Speaker 1: out of here. First. On best bets, Bogman, your best 721 00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,520 Speaker 1: bet for a Week eleven of the college football season 722 00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:54,280 Speaker 1: is you know what. 723 00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:56,800 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with that Auburn team total under nineteen 724 00:33:56,840 --> 00:33:57,160 Speaker 2: and a half. 725 00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:58,560 Speaker 1: I like that one. 726 00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:01,120 Speaker 3: That's gonna be. Oh, I don't know. 727 00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:03,680 Speaker 2: I like that Mississippi State first half one two. You 728 00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:07,120 Speaker 2: know what, I'm gonna flip to that Mississippi State first 729 00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:08,359 Speaker 2: half plus four and a half. 730 00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:09,479 Speaker 3: That's gonna be my best bet. 731 00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:12,560 Speaker 1: Okay, you like all of them, you like all of them. 732 00:34:12,640 --> 00:34:14,440 Speaker 3: I do like all of them. But that's gonna be 733 00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:15,879 Speaker 3: that's gonna be my official take. 734 00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:18,480 Speaker 1: Okay, all right, well, I like to hear that. For me, 735 00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:20,879 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a game we have not previewed. Give 736 00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:24,160 Speaker 1: me Temple versus Army over forty six and a half 737 00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:26,920 Speaker 1: minus one o eight right now. I think it's a 738 00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:30,000 Speaker 1: great spot for some points at noon on Saturday, Bogs. 739 00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:32,640 Speaker 1: And the main mismatch for me in this game is 740 00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:35,160 Speaker 1: that Army is fourth in the country in rushing and 741 00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:37,920 Speaker 1: they are going up against Temple's a rush defense one 742 00:34:38,000 --> 00:34:40,840 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty first in the country. The Black Knights. 743 00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:43,840 Speaker 1: Right now, they are now led by sophomore quarterback Caale 744 00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:46,800 Speaker 1: Hellman's And this is a guy who is now running 745 00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:49,920 Speaker 1: this show full time after splitting time earlier in the season. 746 00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:52,520 Speaker 1: This dude loves to tote the rock band. You think 747 00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:55,080 Speaker 1: you know, whether it's Horvath or whether it's some of 748 00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:58,560 Speaker 1: these other Service Academy quarterbacks. I don't think anyone likes 749 00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:01,439 Speaker 1: to tote it more than Kal here Man. Forty one 750 00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:05,080 Speaker 1: carries against Kansas State earlier this season. That's a third number. 751 00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:09,040 Speaker 1: And also he has been averaging twenty six point five 752 00:35:09,120 --> 00:35:12,520 Speaker 1: rushing attempts per game over the past month alone. Temple's 753 00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:16,520 Speaker 1: defense pretty lackluster honestly, Overall, ninety second in scoring defense, 754 00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:20,680 Speaker 1: their games have averaged fifty eight point nine points scored. 755 00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:24,440 Speaker 1: Temple also, though, isn't that bad on offense themselves, fifty 756 00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:27,920 Speaker 1: first in scoring, eighty eighth in passing, fifty ninth in rushing. 757 00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:31,359 Speaker 1: So I think as long as Army gets big run 758 00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:34,000 Speaker 1: plays like we can't have them just getting stopped for 759 00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:36,480 Speaker 1: three four yards every time, burning the clock down, that 760 00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:38,080 Speaker 1: will make this go under. But I think if they 761 00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:41,400 Speaker 1: can get some big runs going, I think this goes over, 762 00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:44,160 Speaker 1: just like it did when Temple took on Navy earlier 763 00:35:44,160 --> 00:35:47,240 Speaker 1: this season, thirty two to thirty one in that game. Also, 764 00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:50,240 Speaker 1: they had another run heavy opponent in Georgia Tech forty 765 00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:53,640 Speaker 1: five to twenty four. So I'm liking points here. I'm 766 00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:56,520 Speaker 1: going to back the Black Knights and the Owls here 767 00:35:56,880 --> 00:36:01,520 Speaker 1: Bogs in an overspot in the American Conference on hard rock. 768 00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:04,520 Speaker 2: And by the way, you can get Mississippi State plus 769 00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:07,719 Speaker 2: five and a half first half, so we're gonna go 770 00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:09,399 Speaker 2: with that one and then forty six and a half 771 00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:12,160 Speaker 2: for years. You put those together, and that partly is 772 00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:13,920 Speaker 2: plus two sixty five. 773 00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:14,680 Speaker 3: We like that. 774 00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:17,920 Speaker 1: Don't mind if I do, Man, don't mind if I do. 775 00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:20,879 Speaker 1: We'll of course be back for you early next week 776 00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:23,839 Speaker 1: to recap all the action, Bogs. We'll be back later 777 00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:27,120 Speaker 1: this week. Every single Friday, you're releasing your best bets 778 00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:29,400 Speaker 1: and your player prop so stay tuned for that. That 779 00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:31,319 Speaker 1: is going to do it though for us on this 780 00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:34,560 Speaker 1: episode of the Betting Pros College Football Show. Let us 781 00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:37,200 Speaker 1: know down in the comments below your favorite Week eleven 782 00:36:37,239 --> 00:36:39,240 Speaker 1: picks and while you're here, to make sure you're smashing 783 00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:41,799 Speaker 1: that like Bun and subscribing to the channel. If you're 784 00:36:41,800 --> 00:36:44,839 Speaker 1: new for Scott Big Time Bogman, I'm seth Wulcock. Take 785 00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:48,400 Speaker 1: care of y'all. Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. 786 00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:51,040 Speaker 1: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 787 00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:54,000 Speaker 1: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts 788 00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:57,080 Speaker 1: or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at betting 789 00:36:57,080 --> 00:37:00,800 Speaker 1: Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also a subscribe 790 00:37:00,840 --> 00:37:03,560 Speaker 1: to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting 791 00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:03,920 Speaker 1: Pros