Speaker 1: Check it on Man no down Man, Good Monday morning
Speaker 1: to see who it is getting lines right here on
Speaker 1: the numbers. Gave a piece in the sports betting network
Speaker 1: Serious Except Channel to A four Visa dot Com. The
Speaker 1: Visa have Fubo Sling and Game Plus. Jason Cott is
Speaker 1: here as well. How you doing, Jason, Good morning, Gail,
Speaker 1: Happy Monday, Happy Monday. Don't tell my mother that I'm
Speaker 1: here at work today on yom kipor let's keep that
Speaker 1: between us. It will be our secret. It'll be our secret.
Speaker 1: There will be no incident. Ladies and gentlemen to do
Speaker 1: the guessing line show, of course, each and every Monday.
Speaker 1: The star of the show, the South Point Sports Book Director.
Speaker 1: It's Chrissie Andrews. Good morning, Chris, excuse me, good morning,
Speaker 1: good morning. I'm good. What would you catch you doing
Speaker 1: something else? You have a thing going on over there?
Speaker 1: Has done? Still drinking my morning coffee? Okay, apologize allright?
Speaker 1: Week three in the National Football League from a book's perspective,
Speaker 1: Real quick, what was it up? Down? Neutral? What kind
Speaker 1: of weekend was it? NFL wise? Uh? We didn't do
Speaker 1: very well? You know. I saw Todd Dooey at an
Speaker 1: article in the page that hey, the sports books it
Speaker 1: finally had a good weekend. Well, he never called me
Speaker 1: because we did not have a good We did not
Speaker 1: have a good sound. I can tell you that um
Speaker 1: Man was nearly as bad as last week, and we
Speaker 1: had some late, late, big play on Green Day last night.
Speaker 1: They kind of tilted it a little, but we Stephen.
Speaker 1: Without that, we would have lost. So we did not
Speaker 1: have a good day of day all. So I don't
Speaker 1: know where Todd got his figures or who he talked to,
Speaker 1: but he didn't talk to me, and I would have
Speaker 1: reported something completely opposite. Yeah, okay, well, well you know,
Speaker 1: I'm sure you'll bounce back. And as you like to say,
Speaker 1: no one shedding a tear, right, no one shedding a
Speaker 1: tear for you? At this point they shouldn't know that. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm shedding a few tears, but I don't expecting. Well
Speaker 1: has been joined me. Well for those landing on this
Speaker 1: show for the first time, this is a tribute to
Speaker 1: the old Stardust radio show. H Roxy roxborw who by
Speaker 1: the way, we'll be on the show tomorrow, Chris. I
Speaker 1: don't know if you know this. Roxy from Pouquette, Thailand
Speaker 1: on the show tomorrow by request. Roxy was like, Hey,
Speaker 1: let's let's do it. Let's do an election history segment
Speaker 1: or two. So tomorrow is all election stuff with Roxy.
Speaker 1: He's got perspective on what he thinks should happen with
Speaker 1: election betting. We'll do baseball full on preview and we'll
Speaker 1: actually talk French ship and and basketball and football with
Speaker 1: Drew Dinsick as well. So Jason Wygartan with a baseball
Speaker 1: preview Paul Sports. So tomorrow show writes itself for goodness sakes.
Speaker 1: But today, if you're landing on this, this is the
Speaker 1: exercise where I've been a cocoon. I guess what next
Speaker 1: week's lines are going to be in the NFL week
Speaker 1: number four as it is, and Chrissie tells me what
Speaker 1: it actually will be in terms of posting it at
Speaker 1: the south point right after this show, and within that exercise,
Speaker 1: we look to extract value for the second straight week.
Speaker 1: This is our third a week doing this because we
Speaker 1: don't do it before week one, before the second week
Speaker 1: in a row. Last week, two out of the three
Speaker 1: that at least I came up with that showed to
Speaker 1: me a big difference. Last week came through, so if
Speaker 1: you could do that every week, go two out of
Speaker 1: three in terms of hey, I think this line looks
Speaker 1: a little off, Um, then that's a good thing. By
Speaker 1: the way, the one that I that I thought was
Speaker 1: the most off was the one that didn't come through,
Speaker 1: which is Tennessee Titans against the Minnesota Vikings, which we'll
Speaker 1: talk to, which we'll talk about, but let's start with
Speaker 1: Thursday night, Chrissie, what's on tap? Yeah, I'm looking at
Speaker 1: the mine notes. I had three out of four that
Speaker 1: I leave like, which would be which were your four
Speaker 1: on my sheet? On the Steelers barely got the Bengals,
Speaker 1: the Seahawks. Unfortunately I had the Jets, so yeah, I
Speaker 1: had Yeah, I had the Bengals, Seahawks and the Titans,
Speaker 1: so ty didn't quite get there. Yeah, alright, lots of
Speaker 1: games to get to. Once again, no buys yet, Yeah,
Speaker 1: no buds yet. I'm also uh, you know, uh, just
Speaker 1: kind of a little precursor here. I'm still not sure
Speaker 1: what to do at home fool advantage. Um, half the
Speaker 1: teams have two home games together at the one home
Speaker 1: game so far, trying to wait till everybody has at
Speaker 1: least two home games. Of course, I start going through
Speaker 1: in carking some numbers and see is their home froold
Speaker 1: advantages here. I kind of think there is to be
Speaker 1: honest with yet, but I haven't been able to attach
Speaker 1: any sort of number yet, and are going to be
Speaker 1: different for every single teak just like in most years. Anyway,
Speaker 1: let's get to this one. We have the Broncos at
Speaker 1: the Jets Thursday night action two oh and three teams,
Speaker 1: two different and three teams. Denver loses yesterday. Uh, they
Speaker 1: do so to Tampa Bay to ten. Bad performance by
Speaker 1: Jeff Driscoll. He was seventeen thirty one seventy six, one touchdown,
Speaker 1: one pick, sacked five times. He was benched in favor
Speaker 1: of Brett Rippon late. Uh. The nephew of former Super
Speaker 1: Bowl m v P Super Bowl champion Mark Rippon. Rippon
Speaker 1: went eight of nine for fifty three, no touchdowns, one pick.
Speaker 1: He was sacked once. Two hundred and twenty six total
Speaker 1: yards of offense for Denver against Tampa Bay. Not good.
Speaker 1: Driscoll falls to one and eight as a starter. Um.
Speaker 1: By the way, Rippon was called up for the practice
Speaker 1: squad on Saturday. I didn't even know that he was
Speaker 1: on the roster. When when he came in the game,
Speaker 1: uh And and Vic Fangio first quarterback decision to be
Speaker 1: made on the board. Here Fangio not ready to declare
Speaker 1: his starting quarterback for this game against the Jets of
Speaker 1: the meadow Land. He could go back to Driscoll, he
Speaker 1: could stick with Ripping, or even turned to Blake Bortles,
Speaker 1: who joined the team on Thursday, two days before Ripping
Speaker 1: did off the practice squad. And then there's the Jets
Speaker 1: Chrissie Sam Donald seventy nine for one in their absolute
Speaker 1: drubbing at the hands of the Cold one touchdown, three picks,
Speaker 1: two of which were returned for touchdowns, two sacks. He
Speaker 1: also took a safety, so two pick sixes in a safety.
Speaker 1: They only had two hundred and sixty total yards. They
Speaker 1: were minus three in turnovers, but they had the first
Speaker 1: nineteen plays of the game. They were holding the ball
Speaker 1: for nearly ten minutes. New York had a hundred and
Speaker 1: eighty eight yards of offense in the first half against
Speaker 1: the league's number one defense through two weeks, and then
Speaker 1: they only finished with the two sixty, so it didn't
Speaker 1: start out badly. And by the way, there's one other
Speaker 1: play in that game. Can I mentioned before I before
Speaker 1: I get make a pick here, make a guess. You
Speaker 1: know how everybody last night was was moaning about that, uh,
Speaker 1: that p I that was called on the Saints where
Speaker 1: the ball was completely uncatchable. This game had one that
Speaker 1: was way worse than that, where the Jets had the
Speaker 1: where the Colts had the ball. It was seven to seven,
Speaker 1: this game was still in the balance. There it is
Speaker 1: Ralph Vacciano tweeting about this terrible p I call on
Speaker 1: the Jets quarterback Pier to see that ball sure looked
Speaker 1: uncatchable to me. One play later, Rivers one yard touchdown
Speaker 1: past to put the Colts up fourteen and seven. This
Speaker 1: uncatchable thing is an epidemic. If if it's if you're
Speaker 1: not going to ever call it meaning a p meaning
Speaker 1: wave off a p I. If a ball is uncatchable,
Speaker 1: it should not be on the books because they just
Speaker 1: don't call it anymore under any circumstances. And we'll get
Speaker 1: to a one that decided another game obviously coming up.
Speaker 1: Um Oh, anyway, all of that said, listen, the Jets
Speaker 1: are more the Jets are more sickly, I think than
Speaker 1: the Broncos. So I'll say the Broncos. Not quite by three.
Speaker 1: I'll say Broncos minus two and a half. It's three.
Speaker 1: I do see one two and a half flat h
Speaker 1: and I see one two and a half with some
Speaker 1: juice on it too, but mostly three with juice on
Speaker 1: the dog. Oh man, I'd say this one is so
Speaker 1: tough for me because my follow ratings come a little
Speaker 1: a little higher. Like I said, you gotta travel a
Speaker 1: lot of things. I'd like to look at on the
Speaker 1: Thursday night games. Who has a better coaching staff with
Speaker 1: their quarterback? I think that really played into it quite
Speaker 1: a bit. Well, looking at these two, how do you
Speaker 1: think that? You know? I don't know, but I think
Speaker 1: the Jets talked about it yesterday in the office that
Speaker 1: I had them as not the lowest rated team that
Speaker 1: I've ever had since I started keeping these, but they're
Speaker 1: they're getting close. And then they're throwing that performance yesterday
Speaker 1: and really against a team that was pretty banged up
Speaker 1: in the pulse. So I think that was really dismally bad.
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna open with the three. Um, I'm
Speaker 1: just gonna have to move this fairly quickly. If I
Speaker 1: get that, I'm sure I probably will. I think it
Speaker 1: is a really, really tough game between two two teams
Speaker 1: that you know are as far off the mark right
Speaker 1: now as they could possibly be. Yeah, an early candidate
Speaker 1: Broncos at Jets for game you would want no part
Speaker 1: of the make up? Odd question on the Beating of
Speaker 1: the Book podcast? Which game if you had to bet
Speaker 1: a side on every one of these we got one
Speaker 1: free pass? Which game you want a free pass on?
Speaker 1: This might be it? Geez, that's bad Thursday, a terrible game.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go talk to about boy. Both these
Speaker 1: guys deserved the coach was and then they can't do
Speaker 1: that now right. I don't know how these two guys
Speaker 1: make it through the year. I don't know how Adam
Speaker 1: Gaze and Dan Quinnon, whom we'll get too soon. I
Speaker 1: don't know how to get passed this week. But you
Speaker 1: may have just called it for white games. Might because
Speaker 1: of the early game this week. How many Sunday early
Speaker 1: morning games do we have this weekend? It's all but three?
Speaker 1: All but three? All but three. That's fun, all right,
Speaker 1: let's go Sunday morning. I hate this keeps happening, Kate,
Speaker 1: that this keeps happening. Cold Set the Bears, Colts at
Speaker 1: the Bears. We just mentioned the Colts. Uh, they roll
Speaker 1: over the Jets, by the way, final score of that
Speaker 1: game thirties six to seven. I said they shouldn't be
Speaker 1: favored by eleven and a half over anybody. Apparently I
Speaker 1: was maybe maybe against the Jets. They darnwell should have. Uh.
Speaker 1: And then there's by the way, Philip Rivers seventeen twenty
Speaker 1: one in that game for to seventeen, very efficient, one touchdown,
Speaker 1: no picks, no sacks. Um. There's that that play after
Speaker 1: the Jets, through a pass interference called the end zone,
Speaker 1: Rivers found mo Alei Cox for a one yard score
Speaker 1: to break the seven seven tie. And that's really where
Speaker 1: the floodgates open. Jets. We're looking good up until then.
Speaker 1: Chicago yesterday r I p Mitch Robiskie's starting career. UH.
Speaker 1: Nick Foles comes in in relief. Chicago makes up a
Speaker 1: sixteen point lead or point deficit, I should say, in
Speaker 1: the final six and a half minutes against Atlanta yesterday,
Speaker 1: we will get to the Falcons, who have done something
Speaker 1: epic two straight weeks. But Fols go sixteen of twenty
Speaker 1: nine for eight and relief three touchdowns, one pick, which
Speaker 1: really wasn't his fault uh and was never sacked. Got
Speaker 1: his chance after Trabisky through an interception in the third
Speaker 1: quarter that led to a Falcons field goal, pushing the
Speaker 1: lead to one. He's six to ten, and then the
Speaker 1: former Super Super Bowl m v P went to town
Speaker 1: and eventually won it with a twenty yard touchdown past
Speaker 1: to Anthony Miller with one fifty three remaining. Uh and
Speaker 1: that's after Foals had two apparent touchdown passes overturned by
Speaker 1: official reviews and still managed to pull out the victory.
Speaker 1: By the way, the reviews were correct, but he still
Speaker 1: had to overcome those two. Rabinsky was thirteen of twenty
Speaker 1: two for one before Foals came in one touchdown, one pick.
Speaker 1: He was sacked twice. Robinson was the big target in
Speaker 1: the game, ten for one touchdown. Jimmy Graham six of
Speaker 1: sixty two touchdowns. Bears had ten penalties for eight yards.
Speaker 1: That's still something they have to clean up. But that's
Speaker 1: their first three and oh start since and Matt Naggy
Speaker 1: is saying, Chrissy, well, I'll decide on the starting quarterback today.
Speaker 1: Come on, man, But this is why we we all
Speaker 1: knew right all offseason, all of us here on the network,
Speaker 1: and think there was one person who dissented on this.
Speaker 1: We're all like on that prop. Who's gonna start the season?
Speaker 1: Folds or Rabinsky? You know, I I said, and I
Speaker 1: think everybody else, did you have to start your bisky
Speaker 1: for the season beginning, because if you don't, that's the
Speaker 1: end of his confidence right there off the bat. So
Speaker 1: you always had this as a looming thing. As soon
Speaker 1: as Trabiski was, you know, as soon as Naggy lost
Speaker 1: confidence in him, falls was always there to come in.
Speaker 1: But I don't see a reason to go back. You're three,
Speaker 1: and oh those winds are banked. Stick with the Super
Speaker 1: Bowl m v P. Chicago should be a I'll say
Speaker 1: there are two and a half point favorite against Indianapolis.
Speaker 1: I don't want to say that I like your number
Speaker 1: better than what's out there, but I like your thinking
Speaker 1: better than what's out there. And the Colts too and
Speaker 1: half with juice on the favorite or three, I usually
Speaker 1: a three flat little three with some juice and were gone.
Speaker 1: I don't think the Colts should be favorite. Wait the
Speaker 1: Colts yesterday's game, Colts are favorite. I don't think we
Speaker 1: should let yesterday's game influence us too much, they'd be
Speaker 1: a horrible team. Like I said, the Colts still have
Speaker 1: a lot of injury problems. And uh, Philip Rivers, you know,
Speaker 1: I've never been a big Rivers guy. And uh, I
Speaker 1: didn't like even the trade they made here to get him. Um,
Speaker 1: I don't know why their favorite. I thought this game
Speaker 1: to be much closer to pick them. I would not
Speaker 1: have made the Bears of favorite either, by the way,
Speaker 1: but I do. I'm gonna open two and a half.
Speaker 1: I see a lot higher, but I'm kind of with you. Um,
Speaker 1: don't get don't get swayed too much that they could
Speaker 1: performing yesterday. They really are not that good. They just
Speaker 1: beat up a horrible team. And you mentioned earlier they
Speaker 1: kind of struggled a little bit in the beginning until
Speaker 1: the floodgates open. So and lost to the and lost
Speaker 1: earlier in the season. Uh already once right, and then
Speaker 1: you know just got by since they lost to the
Speaker 1: Jaguars right opening week. And then who did they beat
Speaker 1: last week? Jason Colts Viking the Vikings right again? Another
Speaker 1: team that is that is uh, certainly not you know,
Speaker 1: a shell of what it was, certainly a shell of
Speaker 1: what they were so yeah, they it didn't start well yesterday.
Speaker 1: The think I'm very curious about that line. Does I mean,
Speaker 1: do they think that Trabisky is starting? Because this is
Speaker 1: the this is what we talked about all the time.
Speaker 1: What's the difference between your starting quarterback and your backup quarterback?
Speaker 1: Right in the case of the Bears, like this is
Speaker 1: this is a big line difference to me between Trubisky
Speaker 1: and Folls. Wow, I'm surprised. I'm surprised that the cults
Speaker 1: are favored there. Um all right, well, that's the first
Speaker 1: going to disagree with you on that point, if I
Speaker 1: just jump in. At least I didn't think Foles looked
Speaker 1: all that great, And I don't have that big of
Speaker 1: a difference between the two at all, mostly because of
Speaker 1: the fact that I think, like you, like everybody thought
Speaker 1: that they were they were going to start Trabisky, and
Speaker 1: the yeared a lot of that offense around what Trabisky
Speaker 1: can and can't do, so now they have to change
Speaker 1: some things up. So but I'm not saying who is
Speaker 1: the better quarterback. I'm saying just the situation. To me,
Speaker 1: Dore's not mean there's that much of a difference line
Speaker 1: wise in the quarterback. How I don't see it that
Speaker 1: way at all. I mean, this isn't locked to drisk All.
Speaker 1: This is biscuit of I think the Bears are interesting.
Speaker 1: All right, we'll do more of these guesting lines. We
Speaker 1: already have one, and that we that we're interested in
Speaker 1: for sure. That is shocking to me. It's Gill Alexander.
Speaker 1: We get tweets that beating the book. I just want
Speaker 1: to cherry pick one here. It's from Andy Grossman. Gil.
Speaker 1: I too, am working on ympor because I have no
Speaker 1: sins to atone for me. Eire Andy, Wait, that might
Speaker 1: not be true. Just don't tell my parents. Hey, let's
Speaker 1: look at the Miami Heat Los Angeles Lakers series price.
Speaker 1: Can we Heat get by the Celtics last night? And
Speaker 1: it is a Lakers Heat final that begins on Wednesday,
Speaker 1: pat Riley against his former team lebron against his former team.
Speaker 1: If you will Lakers minus three sixty Heat plus three
Speaker 1: hundred at bet MGM Jason. I bet this immediately when
Speaker 1: it came out yesterday at plus three seventeen. Give me
Speaker 1: the heat. Give me one reason why I shouldn't bet
Speaker 1: the Heat other than the other. Then quote that the
Speaker 1: refs won't let it happen. Unquote, there is not one. Okay,
Speaker 1: thank you, thanks for that, waiting for deep dived alliss
Speaker 1: got right there, all right, Chris, Let's continue with guessing
Speaker 1: lines a week number four, sir, Thanks at the Lions Saints.
Speaker 1: At the Lions. Saints lose to the Packers last night,
Speaker 1: much of the chagrin of the South Point, as Chris
Speaker 1: he told us earlier, lose it thirty seven to thirty
Speaker 1: um Drew Brees thirty six for eight, three touchdowns, no picks,
Speaker 1: sack twice. Looks fine on the statuet Uh Kimara six
Speaker 1: of fifty eight on the ground thirteen for one thirty
Speaker 1: nine and two touchdowns, receiving one of those touchdowns, a
Speaker 1: scintillating fifty two yarder in which he broke four tackles.
Speaker 1: Keep pointing this game last night. It was tied at
Speaker 1: twenty seven. Excuse me. Early in the fourth quarter, and
Speaker 1: just two plays after the Saints d back's Malcolm Jenkins
Speaker 1: and Marshawn Lattimore combined to stop Aaron Jones short on
Speaker 1: fourth and one. Zadarius Smith then strips Taysom Hill on
Speaker 1: a read option run and recovers the fumble to give
Speaker 1: Green Bay possession again near midfield. So Chris Collins word
Speaker 1: described this perfectly. When the Saints stopped the Packers, it
Speaker 1: was like they had It's like they had broken serve
Speaker 1: because it doesn't look like either defense could stop either offense.
Speaker 1: And then the Saints did the Taysom Hill thing. Now,
Speaker 1: I know we've all been saying Drew Brees doesn't have
Speaker 1: the arm strength to throw the ball down, feel anymore,
Speaker 1: that's become trite, It's become cliche. I also happened to
Speaker 1: think it's true, but everybody saying it, you know what
Speaker 1: no one else is saying. And I'll be the first
Speaker 1: person to say this because because this has been bubbling
Speaker 1: under for me for a long time, someone please explain
Speaker 1: the infatuation with Taysom Hill to me? Seriously, what what
Speaker 1: is this? Why is this? Why did we anoint him
Speaker 1: this amazing multidimensional force when there's other players that require
Speaker 1: years for us to be convinced of that. We've just
Speaker 1: decided taste him. Hill is that guy. Here's twenty million
Speaker 1: over two years just to keep you around, and we're
Speaker 1: going to throw you into situations that are just going
Speaker 1: to be so strange in our offense. Anyway, they get
Speaker 1: the fumble, they get the strip, and that was the
Speaker 1: game because Rogers took over from there um took a
Speaker 1: ten point lead. I will give Sean Payton credit for
Speaker 1: this though, for betters. After the Packers went up ten late,
Speaker 1: I immediately in gamed the Packers at minus six and
Speaker 1: a half, figuring that short of a long bomb into
Speaker 1: the end zone or bomb deep into the red zone,
Speaker 1: Peyton would be smart enough to kick the field goal
Speaker 1: first down two scores, and he did, in fact do that.
Speaker 1: So thank you Sean Payton for knowing how to play
Speaker 1: Madden and for knowing what to do optimally in that situation.
Speaker 1: That's an in game winner. But New Orleans loses. And
Speaker 1: then there's Detroit. Detroit beats Arizona, a rematch of last
Speaker 1: year's Week one tie, but they get it done. Stafford
Speaker 1: one for two seventy two touchdowns. No Pixie was sacked
Speaker 1: four times. Calmly let a drive in the final minutes
Speaker 1: that was capped by Matt Prator's thirty nine yard field
Speaker 1: goals time expired. Lions win for the first time in
Speaker 1: eleven months, beat the Cardinals twenty three. Patricia now ten
Speaker 1: twenty four and one. In two plus seasons ten twenty
Speaker 1: four and one, New Orleans will be favored, will be
Speaker 1: more than a field goal, be minus four and a half.
Speaker 1: We got thirty seconds here, Chrissy, it's four, and my
Speaker 1: power ratings come a little higher. But I really think
Speaker 1: I like the four better. Uh. You know, a lot
Speaker 1: of money, sharp money showed on Detroit yesterday. Uh, and
Speaker 1: I have to give a little credence to that. So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna look for even when my power rats come
Speaker 1: a little higher. New Orleans by four. Okay, anything else
Speaker 1: you want to say about this, we'll get your comments
Speaker 1: here after the break. New Orleans minus four, Chris. He's
Speaker 1: putting up at Detroit next week. Both teams now one
Speaker 1: and two. A lot of games to get. To promise you,
Speaker 1: we'll get to each and every one of them. Coming
Speaker 1: up guessing lines week four in the National Football League,
Speaker 1: exclusively right here on a numbers game, right here at
Speaker 1: Visa these sports betting network. Uh. We're just talking about
Speaker 1: this Joe Montana story, which is amazing. And Malibu. Some
Speaker 1: intruder goes into his house, takes his grandchild out of
Speaker 1: the bassinet in his home, then runs upstairs with the child.
Speaker 1: The the kid, the alleged or would be kidnapper, runs upstairs.
Speaker 1: Montana and his wife try to reason this intruder out
Speaker 1: of the child or to let go of the child.
Speaker 1: A tussle ensues. Montana's wife rests the child away from
Speaker 1: her and then she flees and they and they capture
Speaker 1: Joe Montana. Everybody unbelievable, is right? That has nothing to
Speaker 1: do with anything. I'm just amazed by the story. Hey, Christy,
Speaker 1: did you want to add anything to New Orleans Detroit
Speaker 1: or or the Joe Montana Shenannigan's No, I mean you
Speaker 1: only no, I mean I have plenty in Montana stories,
Speaker 1: but none seem appropriate. Right, Yeah, it's gonna say, yeah,
Speaker 1: the John Candy story is for another time. That's that's yeah, Yeah,
Speaker 1: I have some other good ones. Actually, by my pan,
Speaker 1: that was the time anything New Orleans Detroit. No, you know,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say that my power rings some a little higher.
Speaker 1: I'm still I'm still you know, we have zero home
Speaker 1: field advantage, you know, and I'm still not sure what
Speaker 1: it is. It looks like it does mean a little something,
Speaker 1: so I think four is actually fine. Okay, let's move on.
Speaker 1: What else Sunday morning? Uh, Sunday morning. Next up, Cardons
Speaker 1: at the Panthers, Pardiners at the Panthers. I guess Kyler
Speaker 1: Murray is human. Uh didn't see that coming. We just
Speaker 1: talked about the loss to Detroit. Detroit beats Arizona outright
Speaker 1: by the score of three. Do so has five point
Speaker 1: closing dogs and that one Kyler Murray twenty three thirty
Speaker 1: five or two seventy two touchdowns, three picks sacked once,
Speaker 1: five of twenty nine on the ground for a touchdown.
Speaker 1: He always has one high play and that was amazing
Speaker 1: how he juked uh the defender there. DeAndre Hopkins ten
Speaker 1: for one thirty seven. I gotta I'm gonna say, DeAndre
Speaker 1: Hopkins stats every week just a pound home. How ridiculous
Speaker 1: that trade was. We all knew it. There were some
Speaker 1: people who were saying, Oh, I don't know, Bill O'Brien, no,
Speaker 1: stop it, just stop it. Andy Isabella for fantasy owners.
Speaker 1: Four catches, forty seven yards, two touchdowns, But the Cardinals
Speaker 1: were minus three in turnovers, zero to three. That that'll
Speaker 1: do it every time. You're not gonna win in the
Speaker 1: National Football League. Being minus three in turnovers Carolina. Uh,
Speaker 1: they get off the schneide and they beat the l
Speaker 1: A Chargers outright at six point dogs twenty one to sixteen,
Speaker 1: Just like the Chargers that lose a game like that.
Speaker 1: Teddie Bridgewater thirty five one touchdown, no picks, he was
Speaker 1: sacked twice. Panthers force three Chargers turnovers. Joey Sly kicked
Speaker 1: five field goals in the sixteen win. Carolina snaps a
Speaker 1: ten game losing streak dating till last season. Came down
Speaker 1: to the final play though. Chargers in position for a
Speaker 1: go ahead touchdown in the finals seconds. Uh, and they
Speaker 1: should perhaps have won it a hook and lateral. It
Speaker 1: goes to keenan Allen. He ladders it back just behind
Speaker 1: Austin Ekeler. If it goes right to him, Ekeler is
Speaker 1: free to the house. That would have been unbelievable. Doesn't
Speaker 1: work out for the Chargers, by the way, the Panthers
Speaker 1: converted three all three Cardinals turnovers into twelve points. Panthers
Speaker 1: average three point nine yards per carry without All Pro
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey, so they didn't really make up for his absence,
Speaker 1: but they do get the win. Um, I'll say Arizona,
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not gonna read too much into either
Speaker 1: of those two outcomes yesterday. So I'll say Arizona minus
Speaker 1: six should come to six and a half again with
Speaker 1: no uh no home field advantage. I have to give
Speaker 1: him a little something. Uh. The number I see right
Speaker 1: now is four, and I don't have a beat with that.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with four. Actually, think you have never
Speaker 1: been the biggest murray, you know. And I also think
Speaker 1: the Panthers are playing. They played hard, but I gotta
Speaker 1: set that last like, oh man, that should have gone
Speaker 1: for a touch down. I mean they executed that well perfectly. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean all of except for dropping the ball. Uh,
Speaker 1: but that you could just see when they showed like
Speaker 1: the wine angle from behind, he had clear sailing to
Speaker 1: the end tone. I mean, they gotta really be kicking
Speaker 1: themselves with that one. So anyways, okay, and that's where
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go. Looked like it was headed to the US.
Speaker 1: Four seems a little light to me. That's interesting. Four.
Speaker 1: Let's file that away, all right, Let's do another. Next up,
Speaker 1: they've got the Jaguars and the Bengals. Oh my god,
Speaker 1: is that bad Jaguars at the Bengals? Uh? Jaguars on
Speaker 1: extra rest here. Jaguars lost to Miami on Thursday night.
Speaker 1: Minshew was thirty or forty two for two seventy five,
Speaker 1: no touchdowns to pick with sack four times. James Robinson
Speaker 1: filled up the statute eleven six on the ground with
Speaker 1: two touchdowns six catches for eighty three yards. But uh
Speaker 1: you know for of misqs, Conley dropped a couple of
Speaker 1: passes that would have been first downs was flagged for
Speaker 1: an O p I. In the third quarter. Minshew fumbled
Speaker 1: the next play that led to a Miami touchdown. Their
Speaker 1: left tackle Cam Robinson was disqualified for making contact with
Speaker 1: an official following that funnel. A whole bunch of errors.
Speaker 1: I'm just listening a couple. Um so Jacksonville's one and two.
Speaker 1: Sincecinnati gets a tie with the Bengals yesterday, excuse me
Speaker 1: with the Eagles yesterday. Burrow thirty one of forty four
Speaker 1: for three twelve two touchdowns note picks. He was sacked
Speaker 1: eight times. Was Joe Burrow. Tyler Boyd was his number
Speaker 1: one target ten of one, but Burrow did toss Parrott
Speaker 1: touchdown passes. The Tee Higgins and regulation Wentz Dove into
Speaker 1: the end zone. Carson wentz. That is for the time
Speaker 1: score in the final minute, twenty three tie though is
Speaker 1: neither team could really do much, either through effort or
Speaker 1: lack of effort, which we'll get to coming up with
Speaker 1: the Eagles in overtime, So it ends up twenty three
Speaker 1: to twenty three. Uh. Jake Elliott had lined up for
Speaker 1: a fifty nine yard or with nineteen seconds left and
Speaker 1: o t but a false start on Matt Prior forced
Speaker 1: the Eagles to put it away, or I'll use the
Speaker 1: word forced in quotes. They decided to put it away
Speaker 1: to play for the tide. Neither team would really do
Speaker 1: anything in over time. As I said, I actually think
Speaker 1: Cincinnati should be a field goal favorite here against Jacksonville.
Speaker 1: How about that, Well, you're right, it's uh three. I
Speaker 1: even see three with some juice on the favorite. I
Speaker 1: got no beef with the three. Again, without any home
Speaker 1: field advantage. I have the Bengals one point better than
Speaker 1: the Jaguars, so at this point I can't dispute the three.
Speaker 1: Uh you know, I didn't say during the off season,
Speaker 1: and uh you know, probably on this show a few times.
Speaker 1: I think the Bengals are a bet on team when
Speaker 1: you can get them plus some points. But now that
Speaker 1: they're the favorite, I would tread very lightly. Let me
Speaker 1: you know, I think three is okay, but let's not
Speaker 1: go crazy on this one. Yeah, that makes sense. I
Speaker 1: would agree with that. Alright, how many way through with
Speaker 1: through five? Let's I do We'll do three after the break,
Speaker 1: we'll be back on schedule. Uh, and we'll look at
Speaker 1: some baseball series prices as well as the show goes on.
Speaker 1: So far, so far, the one that sticks out to
Speaker 1: me though, is Indianapolis Chicago. I don't really have a
Speaker 1: problem with anything else. Arizona is a little light maybe
Speaker 1: to me. That's that's something. I'll put that in the
Speaker 1: second category. But right now that indian Indianapolis Chicago, that
Speaker 1: number two and a half a favor of the Colt.
Speaker 1: I would have thought the Bears would be a tick
Speaker 1: of a favorite. I even said two and a half
Speaker 1: on that. So that's curious. We'll come back whole bunch
Speaker 1: more of early games, only three afternoon games in week
Speaker 1: number four. Why do we do these things? Why? And
Speaker 1: the uh? The justice, the scourge of uncatchable passes still
Speaker 1: being called for p I that decided a game between
Speaker 1: Buffalo and the Rams will get into that as well.
Speaker 1: It's a numbers game at Visa and guessing lines right
Speaker 1: here at these Sports Betting Network. Speaking of the Chiefs
Speaker 1: and Ravens tonight, Ravens favored by three and a half. Chrissy,
Speaker 1: do you I know, you never really know the answer
Speaker 1: and about questions like this until it actually happens. Do
Speaker 1: you expect a massive handle Chiefs Ravens to night because
Speaker 1: of the fact that it is such the marquee matchup. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I think we're going to get a huge handle. I
Speaker 1: have to mend the two. The public has one two
Speaker 1: weeks in a row, so everybody got money. It's a great,
Speaker 1: great matchup. I know that Ravens really believe they were
Speaker 1: the best team in the league last year, and they
Speaker 1: they really word on the bulk of the season, so
Speaker 1: I think they have an eye on this. But I mean,
Speaker 1: of course Kansas City wants to go and say, hey,
Speaker 1: you guys might believe many you want. We won, We
Speaker 1: won the Super Bowl. So I think it's gonna be
Speaker 1: a really intense game. Two great quarterbacks, too, great coaches,
Speaker 1: and just a great venue night. And I'm really looking
Speaker 1: forward to it, and I think the general public is
Speaker 1: going to feel the same way. Let me rephrase that.
Speaker 1: Do you think it could be a record breaking Monday
Speaker 1: night handle? Is that in play? That's what I thought
Speaker 1: you would say. You know, I don't think that yet
Speaker 1: the you read I don't see this because we haven't
Speaker 1: had much line movement. A line movement action will create action.
Speaker 1: But that that's why gum think will get that before
Speaker 1: we move on to a few more games here before
Speaker 1: before the top of the hour, Jason, you said something
Speaker 1: interesting about the Bears line. What was it that you said?
Speaker 1: All fair, imagine if the Bears weren't three and o
Speaker 1: with that line, what that line would be. And that
Speaker 1: brings up that jogs in my head another thing. The
Speaker 1: Bears are three and oh. The Bears could very well
Speaker 1: be oh in three right. They had a furious comeback
Speaker 1: against Detroit, a furious comeback, by the way, I like
Speaker 1: when comebacks are described as furious, like they're really angry
Speaker 1: yesterday against Atlanta, and then remember the Giants had the
Speaker 1: ball with the chance to beat him in the last
Speaker 1: drive last week. So three and oh could very well
Speaker 1: be two and one, one and two and even oh
Speaker 1: and three. So I will give you that on that line.
Speaker 1: That might explain some of it if I if I
Speaker 1: look at it through that lens, that's a that's a
Speaker 1: good way to look through through it. All right, let's
Speaker 1: do one more here, Let's do a couple more, a
Speaker 1: few more, even early games, just necessarily real quick. Mitch
Speaker 1: Moss was in my office at the end of the
Speaker 1: Bears game. They Bears now three and bear for three
Speaker 1: and oh and each was precarious, each one of them. Yeah, yeah, okay,
Speaker 1: next time. The Browns and the Cowboys. Browns and the Cowboys. Uh,
Speaker 1: Browns beat the Washington football team yesterday. Uh. And they
Speaker 1: did so, I guess in the end pretty handily. Uh.
Speaker 1: They did so by the score of thirty four to twenty,
Speaker 1: easily covering the seven points spread. But they were really
Speaker 1: helped along by the antics of Dwayne Haskins, who to
Speaker 1: me is still not quite ready for prime time. So Cleveland,
Speaker 1: for the first time in six years, the Browns have
Speaker 1: a winning record. Everybody, For the first time since Week
Speaker 1: fourteen of the season, the Browns, at two and one,
Speaker 1: have themselves a winning record. Mayfield against the uh Washington
Speaker 1: football team sixteen of two, three for one, fifty six,
Speaker 1: didn't really have to do much. Two touchdowns, no picks.
Speaker 1: He was sacked twice. Nick Chubb got it done nineteen
Speaker 1: for one o eight on the ground with two touchdowns.
Speaker 1: Dallas loses to Seattle, and anybody who had Dallas yesterday
Speaker 1: and it's like, oh, it's such a bad beat, stop
Speaker 1: it stop. DJ metcalf willingly just let go of the
Speaker 1: ball on the way into the end zone, please dak
Speaker 1: thirty five and fifty five for four fifty five, good lord,
Speaker 1: three touchdowns, two picks, he was sacked twice. Career highs
Speaker 1: for him in both yards and attempts. Gallop six for
Speaker 1: one thirty and a touchdown. Wilson three for ninety and
Speaker 1: two touchdowns. That's Cedric Wilson, by the way. Zeke though
Speaker 1: held in check fourteen of thirty four of a touchdown,
Speaker 1: six catches for twenty four but five hundred and eleven
Speaker 1: total yards of offense for Dallas. But we knew this
Speaker 1: is what this game was going to be about between
Speaker 1: Seattle and Dallas, right, a lot of offense and no defense.
Speaker 1: Seattle wins it thirty eight to thirty one, and they
Speaker 1: do cover the five and a half point spread. Dallas
Speaker 1: once again a lot of penalties ten for fifty nine,
Speaker 1: but Dallas trailed thirty to fifteen after Prescott fumbled on
Speaker 1: the first play of the second half, and then Russell
Speaker 1: Wilson subsequently through his fourth touchdown pass. Prescott then threw
Speaker 1: touchdown passes a forty two yards et Cedric Willson forty
Speaker 1: three to Michael Gallup, and then Gazer Lines forty two
Speaker 1: yard field goal with four oh three left gave Dallas
Speaker 1: a thirty one to thirty lead. Alden Smith big on
Speaker 1: the Cowboys defense with three sacks, two tackles for a
Speaker 1: lost four quarterback hits in the past defense in his
Speaker 1: most impactful game of the season. But it was Russell
Speaker 1: Wilson and the Seahawks in the end, And really the
Speaker 1: play of that game is going to be shown for
Speaker 1: years to come. Wilson and Metcalf, who later atoned for
Speaker 1: his sin by scoring late. I believe the final touchdown four.
Speaker 1: The Seahawks will get to that a little little later.
Speaker 1: Dallas should be favored, though this is in Dallas. They'll
Speaker 1: say Dallas minus four, Uh is Dallas five. Um. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go with that, but I you know, I haven't
Speaker 1: completely done all my work yet, I mean storm a
Speaker 1: lot of my numbers point to the Browns. Uh. But
Speaker 1: I could just seek psychologically for the to like the
Speaker 1: schoolyard bullie, finding somebody that he could beat the crap
Speaker 1: out of them and regain his reputation, right, And I
Speaker 1: just see them maybe troumping the Browns. And on Monday morning,
Speaker 1: next week day, we find finally the Cowboys ever rived.
Speaker 1: Here's that Cowboys team we're expecting. Cowboys, aren't they good?
Speaker 1: Most because of their defense, the bigger you know, other
Speaker 1: issues too. But you know, like I said, my numbers
Speaker 1: come to the Browns. I have to look at this
Speaker 1: a little more closely. But psychologically I could see the
Speaker 1: Browns beating up this scene. And like I said, everybody
Speaker 1: just saying, oh, they're back in the Super Bowl hunt,
Speaker 1: you know, And I'm not so sure. Cowboys are gonna
Speaker 1: win the NFC East at eight and eight, and they're
Speaker 1: gonna win it comfortably. The the Eagles gained ground on
Speaker 1: the NFC East, the entire NFC East yesterday with the tie.
Speaker 1: That's all you need to know. You need to know,
Speaker 1: all right, what's next? King? The Texas fightings at the Texans. Oh,
Speaker 1: this three against one three right, all that's great? Um, okay,
Speaker 1: this might be a play on Houston for me Minnesota.
Speaker 1: Yesterday they they probably should have won that game against Tennessee.
Speaker 1: I don't know what should have, but they end up
Speaker 1: losing thirty one to thirty. They do cover as three
Speaker 1: point dogs. Cousins sixteen of twenty seven for two fifty one,
Speaker 1: three touchdowns, two picks. He was sacked twice. Dalvin Cook
Speaker 1: twenty two of one eighty one for a touchdown, and
Speaker 1: l s us Justin Jefferson or at least l s
Speaker 1: u U a product Justin Jefferson seven catches for one
Speaker 1: seventy five and a touchdown. But the Vikings were minus
Speaker 1: two in turnovers UH in their game against Tennessee, and
Speaker 1: that usually does at four sixty four to four forty
Speaker 1: four in total yards versus Tennessee. Got a lot of yards,
Speaker 1: game up, a lot of yards, and there's Houston. Houston
Speaker 1: looked like they were gonna beat your Pittsburgh Steelers for
Speaker 1: most of the afternoon, at least the first half. Deshaun
Speaker 1: was nineteen twenty seven for two sixty four, two touchdowns,
Speaker 1: one pick, but he was sacked five times. They only
Speaker 1: in the end, Houston had two hundred sixty totally yards
Speaker 1: of offense twenty three oh nine time of possession. Houston
Speaker 1: managed just fifty one in yards and two first downs
Speaker 1: in the final thirty minutes, but in the second half
Speaker 1: to fall to o and three, they opened oh in
Speaker 1: three and eighteen and rally to win the a f
Speaker 1: C South. Remember that. UM, not sure that's gonna happen
Speaker 1: this year, but I'll say Houston should be more than
Speaker 1: the three point favorite. I think they should be a
Speaker 1: four and a half point favorite here. How about that,
Speaker 1: you're a shade high. I see three and a half,
Speaker 1: one and three and a half and mostly four. I
Speaker 1: think the four is good. Again, my numbers would not
Speaker 1: indicate that they should be such a big favorite, but
Speaker 1: you know, he looks psychologically. Look at the first three
Speaker 1: teams Houston has played, and the three best teams in
Speaker 1: the a f C. So there they are three. But
Speaker 1: there was almost like expected that they could be the
Speaker 1: uh you know that record, but maybe they could pull
Speaker 1: out one win and they're actually the wise guys did
Speaker 1: that on Houston yesterday to beat the Steelers. Uh, And
Speaker 1: I gotta I gotta give some credit to that to
Speaker 1: the Vikings that haven't been able to put it together.
Speaker 1: You know, I think probably if this is a mid
Speaker 1: season game both with equal which you're probably looking at
Speaker 1: a three or three and a half. But I think
Speaker 1: the situation really uh dictated, Houston should be a four
Speaker 1: points favorite. And that's what I'm gonna open with. But
Speaker 1: if you want to bet Houston, I can certainly see uh,
Speaker 1: your your logic and that I had a feeling Houston
Speaker 1: is gonna be the right tide here. Yeah, I do too.
Speaker 1: All right, let's try to squeeze in one more here,
Speaker 1: Sea Hawks at your Miami Dolphins. Seahawks at the Dolphins.
Speaker 1: Seahawks three and oh Miami on extra rest here at
Speaker 1: one and two. Seahawks, as we mentioned, beat the Cowboys yesterday.
Speaker 1: Dolphins beat the Jags way back on the Thursday. DJ Metcalf,
Speaker 1: i mentioned it earlier, catches a twenty nine yard touchdown
Speaker 1: pass for Russell Wilson one forty seven remaining Seahawks hold
Speaker 1: off the Cowboys thirty eight to thirty one. Metcalf appeared
Speaker 1: to have a walk in touchdown earlier after hauling in
Speaker 1: a deep pass from Wilson lat in the first quarter.
Speaker 1: But was careless with the ball in the final few
Speaker 1: steps before the gold line, and Trayvon Diggs, cornerback, came
Speaker 1: up from behind, knocked the ball free, went out of
Speaker 1: the end zone for a touch at worst ruling football,
Speaker 1: but serves DJ Metcalf right because he was hot dogging,
Speaker 1: and instead of a touchdown in a sixteen to three lead,
Speaker 1: it was a sixty two yard reception in an embarrassing moment.
Speaker 1: Wilson five touchdowns, no picks, four sacks. He's thrown five
Speaker 1: touchdown passes now, setting a record for the most scoring
Speaker 1: passes five touchdowns. Yesterday setting a record for the most
Speaker 1: scoring passes in the first three games of the season
Speaker 1: with fourteen. He became the first quarterback to have at
Speaker 1: least four touchdown passes in each of the first three games,
Speaker 1: and the fifth quarterback to throw five touchdown passes in
Speaker 1: consecutive games. Metcalf ends up four for one tenant touchdown
Speaker 1: lock at nine for a hundred and three touchdowns. And
Speaker 1: here's a Russell Wilson stat for you. Since Russell Wilson's arrival,
Speaker 1: everybody ready for this. The Seahawks are fifty eight and
Speaker 1: oh when leading by at least four points at halftime. Wow.
Speaker 1: Courtesy of Stats fifty eight no when leading at halftime
Speaker 1: by four points or more, excuse me, by at least
Speaker 1: four points. He s by the way. Significant injuries though
Speaker 1: for the Seahawks, Jamal Adams growing strain, Chris Carson sprain knee.
Speaker 1: They lost both their starting guards Ia Patti and Damien
Speaker 1: Lewis in the first half. And then there's Miami on
Speaker 1: extra rest. Who uh, Shellac Jacksonville. I'm gonna say, Seattle
Speaker 1: minus six. You can tell me what the number is
Speaker 1: and you can comment on this after the break. Chrissie,
Speaker 1: what's the number? Six and a half? All right? That
Speaker 1: makes sense. Miami looked good on Thursday night there one
Speaker 1: in two, but Seattle and Russell Wilson, let me repeat,
Speaker 1: that's that in the break. Since Russell Wilson's arrival, the
Speaker 1: Seahawks are fifty eight and no when leading by at
Speaker 1: least four points at halftime. That's unbelievable. It's coming back
Speaker 1: guessing lines week four, right here on the numbers game
Speaker 1: at Visa These Sports Betting Network. Our number two of
Speaker 1: guessing lines right here at Visa These Sports bet These
Speaker 1: Sports Betting Network. Rather series sex of Channel two or
Speaker 1: four Visa dot Com. In the Visa A Voobos League
Speaker 1: and Game Plus, it is Gil Alexander producing number seven.
Speaker 1: Jason con Is here. Chrissie Andrews Mika runs the South
Speaker 1: Point Hotel Casino right here letting us know what he
Speaker 1: will post right after the show at the South Point
Speaker 1: Hotel Casino. By the way, here's a tweet from Ryan Smith.
Speaker 1: How do you suppose the Bears are favorites? Did you
Speaker 1: see the numbers? The Colts defense put up Colts at
Speaker 1: better wide receivers and better running backs, also a better coach. Well,
Speaker 1: the Colts again have beaten the Jets and a defensively
Speaker 1: bereft Vikings team and lost to the Jags. Not exactly
Speaker 1: the They're not exactly the nineteen forty Bears. That for
Speaker 1: a reference. Uh, and then you know there's a quarterback upgrade.
Speaker 1: I don't know if you've heard about this with the Bears.
Speaker 1: So that's how I got him as favorites. Just answer
Speaker 1: the question, Um, all right, Uh, Chrissy, anything to say so?
Speaker 1: By the way, I left Miami, I didn't say anything
Speaker 1: about Miami and their win against the Jaguars ten uh
Speaker 1: ten days ago. We'll have been ten days once this
Speaker 1: game gets played. But Ryan fitzpatrickal when eighteen of twenty
Speaker 1: against the Jags for one sixty two touchdowns. Note pis
Speaker 1: he was sacked once, but he did gain thirty eight
Speaker 1: yards on the ground on seven carries for a touchdown.
Speaker 1: He becomes the first NFL quarterback in history to notch
Speaker 1: six wins over the same opponent with six teams. So
Speaker 1: he is a Jags killer. And it's the Dolphins first
Speaker 1: double digit victory in thirty nine games. Wow, ending the
Speaker 1: longest drought in the league. So I guess Seattle minus six.
Speaker 1: You said it was minus six and a half. And
Speaker 1: I just want to linger on that Russell Wilson stat
Speaker 1: again since his arrival like this, it's almost impossible that
Speaker 1: this is true. Since his arrival, the Seahawks are fifty
Speaker 1: eight and oh when leading by at least four points
Speaker 1: at halftime. What does that say? Like, think about that,
Speaker 1: step back and listen to that's that? So four points
Speaker 1: not that much. And it's not like he's been surrounded
Speaker 1: by great weapons many of these years. They're the anti Falcons.
Speaker 1: Well said, well said, And he is Superman period. I'm sorry, Christie,
Speaker 1: anything to add to this game, to at Miami or
Speaker 1: any one thing football. You keep you keep calling DJ
Speaker 1: Metcalf DK metcal that because I want to keep calling us.
Speaker 1: I want to call him decaf Metcalf. You know which
Speaker 1: kids go crazy? Is making fun of me? If I did, dame,
Speaker 1: I guess and the end of the I want to say,
Speaker 1: I looked at Fitzpatrick's numbers eighteen and twenty hundred sixty
Speaker 1: yards eight yards, but chief is that hall that I
Speaker 1: look at his qb RD ninety seven point two because
Speaker 1: he really Yeah, those a few numbers I mentioned don't
Speaker 1: tell the story at all. He was much much better
Speaker 1: than that. I think it's a live dog that you know.
Speaker 1: I'm crazy about betting against Russey Wilson very often, but
Speaker 1: he's getting six and half points at home with Miami.
Speaker 1: I think that's a good number myself. Okay, so we're
Speaker 1: halfway through. We're still on early games, man, We're still
Speaker 1: on early games on Sunday. All right, what's next? Yeah?
Speaker 1: Charges that Ampa Bay? Charges of Tampa Bay. We already mentioned.
Speaker 1: The Chargers figured out a way to lose to the Panthers.
Speaker 1: They lost twenty one to sixteen. Should have perhaps won
Speaker 1: it with that final beautiful hook at lateral, but they
Speaker 1: couldn't get the pitch from Alan to Eckler, and so
Speaker 1: they get the lost Chargers one and two Tampa Bay's
Speaker 1: two and one Tampa Bay Uh. They beat Denver twenty
Speaker 1: eight to ten. Pretty dominant performance by the way. Ekeler,
Speaker 1: who would have coasted in Herbert thirty four of forty
Speaker 1: nine for the Chargers yesterday for three twenty one, one touchdown,
Speaker 1: one pick, He sacked twice, did lose one fumble. He
Speaker 1: becomes the third quarterback since the merger to throw for
Speaker 1: three hundred yards in his first two starts. Ekeler did
Speaker 1: end up with twelve carries for fifty nine yards and
Speaker 1: touchdown eleven catches for eighty four Keenan Allen twelve for
Speaker 1: one tree in touchdown charges were ten of fourteen on
Speaker 1: third down. Panthers just couldn't get him off the field.
Speaker 1: But minus four in turnovers really minus three because that
Speaker 1: last UH pitch that wasn't on the final play gets
Speaker 1: counted as a turnover. But minus three in turnovers. We
Speaker 1: talked about what the Cardinals, You're not going to win
Speaker 1: in the NFL going minus three in turnovers on the
Speaker 1: final play mentioned, Alan caught the ball to Carolina fifteen,
Speaker 1: but the lateral to Austin Ekeler too high. Brady Tom
Speaker 1: Brady for the Bucks or thirty eight for two ninety seven,
Speaker 1: three touchdowns dope picks. He was sacked twice. Gronk shows
Speaker 1: up in the stat sheet six or eight in terms
Speaker 1: of his receiving yards Tampa Bay minus six. Chrissie, I
Speaker 1: like your number better. It's seven and a half, really
Speaker 1: a blanket seven and a half. But my numbers come
Speaker 1: a little lower. And uh, I thought maybe I was
Speaker 1: a lonely voice crying in the wilderness that I'm still
Speaker 1: not honored they're sending sold on the Tampa Bay team. Now.
Speaker 1: I think they are getting better, and I think by
Speaker 1: the end of the season they may be where we're
Speaker 1: anticipating if they will be. But I don't think they're
Speaker 1: very yet. The defensive very good. Rady good. You know,
Speaker 1: I don't want to mock him too much, but you
Speaker 1: know he's he's good. He's not Tom Brady and five
Speaker 1: six years ago. Uh, I think your numbers are shade high.
Speaker 1: And I'm gonna put a little X next to the
Speaker 1: charge of the name here. I like that side. I
Speaker 1: think that, I think that's the take, like a lot
Speaker 1: of points skill Alexander, Chris Andrews. It is a numbers
Speaker 1: game right here at Visa, the Sports betting network. This
Speaker 1: is guessing lines. We do it each and every Monday
Speaker 1: during football season. Tribute to the old Stardust radio show
Speaker 1: with Roxy Roxborough. Uh. It's a exercise to try to
Speaker 1: extract value next week's lines and pretty much uh. Chrissie's
Speaker 1: first reactions through the first couple of weeks of the
Speaker 1: season and my own, by and large, have been good.
Speaker 1: The instincts have been good. There have been exceptions each week,
Speaker 1: but by and large, most of these have gone our
Speaker 1: away first instincts often times the best, and then we
Speaker 1: spend the rest of the week convincing ourselves otherwise overthinking it.
Speaker 1: We still rely on on Sunday, what's next? Yeah? Yes,
Speaker 1: so bad? What's the reason for this? Have we ever?
Speaker 1: Have we ever asked what's what's the possible reason for this?
Speaker 1: I'm sure it's money. I'm sure it's money. Right, They
Speaker 1: just want to focus focus on those couple of games. Money, Chris,
Speaker 1: what a surprising answer. All right, what's next? Pittsburgh at Tennessee,
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and Tennessee you're Pittsburgh Steelers, and I do mean
Speaker 1: Chrissie's Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh's Pittsburgh and tensey that wait, that's
Speaker 1: three and overse three and oh isn't it? Yes, it
Speaker 1: is Battle of the unbeatens Big Ben yesterday in Pittsburgh's
Speaker 1: win over Houston, and Pittsburgh ends up winning that game
Speaker 1: by the score ofuminuminum num. Let's see, why can I
Speaker 1: find that game? Was it? Yeah? Why is it on
Speaker 1: my board? Yeah? Steelers Stowe, there it is. Pittsburgh couldn't
Speaker 1: find it. Big Ben twenty three of thirty six for
Speaker 1: two thirty seven two touchdowns. Note picks sack twice James
Speaker 1: Conner eighteen of one on nine for a touchdown. Time
Speaker 1: of possession We always talk about time of possession and
Speaker 1: we we put the caveat afterwards of you know, sometimes
Speaker 1: time of its possession doesn't matter, like if the Chiefs
Speaker 1: score in two seconds, type of possession doesn't matter if
Speaker 1: they keep doing that. But in the case of this game,
Speaker 1: it really did. Pittsburgh held the ball for thirty six
Speaker 1: minutes and fifty one seconds versus Houston. They ran seventy
Speaker 1: six offensive plays to Houston's forty seven, and we already
Speaker 1: mentioned when talking about the Texans after halftime, Pittsburgh just
Speaker 1: completely shut them down. So they're three and O are
Speaker 1: the Steelers, then Tennessee is three and oh. Stephen Gostkowski
Speaker 1: made a career high six field goals yesterday, including a
Speaker 1: fifty five yard or with one forty four left that
Speaker 1: lifted undefeated Tennessee to a thirty one thirty victory over
Speaker 1: the Vikings. As we mentioned, they don't cover, but they
Speaker 1: win after Ryan Tannehill directed an to come back, guiding
Speaker 1: the Titans on a go ahead drive in the fourth
Speaker 1: quarter or overtime rather for the six time in sixteen
Speaker 1: games since becoming the starter of the Titans. Titans twelve
Speaker 1: and four now behind Tannehill, including the playoffs and their
Speaker 1: fifteen and o. When Henry, the NFL rushing leader last year,
Speaker 1: hits the one dred yard mark. Tannehill was twenty three
Speaker 1: of thirty seven for three twenty one, no touchdowns, one pick.
Speaker 1: He was sacked once. Derrick Henry, as I mentioned, twenty
Speaker 1: six carries for one nineteen and two touchdowns. By the way,
Speaker 1: calif Raymond three three catches for one eighteen. The Titans
Speaker 1: are three and oh by a combined six points one
Speaker 1: point win, three point win, two point win. Gotskowski, remember,
Speaker 1: missed three field goals in the forty forty nine yard
Speaker 1: range and two extra points over his first two performances
Speaker 1: with the Titans, still had two game winners in both
Speaker 1: those two games, and then the fifteen year veteran with
Speaker 1: his third game winning kick with less than two minutes
Speaker 1: left in three games. Though Taylor la Wand, though their
Speaker 1: left tackle hurt his shoulder late in the first quarter,
Speaker 1: did not return. That could be a big loss for
Speaker 1: the Titans. I think the Titans again the question of
Speaker 1: home field advantage. Is it a thing? Or is it
Speaker 1: not a thing? Chrissie, I'm not sure. I'm not sure
Speaker 1: if it is. So I'm not gonna give Tennessee three here,
Speaker 1: I'll say Tennessee. I'll split the difference between the pick
Speaker 1: them and three. I'll say Tennessee minus a point and
Speaker 1: a half. Well, okay, first one, let me tell you
Speaker 1: I'm gonna open Pittsburgh probably one and a half here.
Speaker 1: But let me give you a little thingle what happened
Speaker 1: a long time, don't I'll look at the games on
Speaker 1: Sunday night a long time. I barely pay attention to
Speaker 1: what teams opened because I think those numbers get manipulated
Speaker 1: a lot. It's not like in the old days forty
Speaker 1: years ago when Bob Martin opened the number on something
Speaker 1: like that was the opening number. Now we've got like
Speaker 1: ten different opening members. What Anyway, Titan's open to favorite,
Speaker 1: and this morning I looked before we got on the
Speaker 1: show and it was pretty much picked them, And I said, yeah, okay,
Speaker 1: I think that that makes sense. I don't think the
Speaker 1: Titans should be a favorite. And my numbers come to
Speaker 1: the Steelers too, again with no home field advantage whatsoever.
Speaker 1: But now all morning I've seen money coming in on
Speaker 1: the Steelers to various sites, and it's been all Steelers
Speaker 1: so far. I te the game anywhere from one to two, one,
Speaker 1: one and happened too. Steelers a favorite in virtually every spot.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna open to one and a half. Um, you know,
Speaker 1: I might change my mind and open one, but I
Speaker 1: think that's closer to the numbers, closer to what the
Speaker 1: public is going to view. I hate that one and
Speaker 1: a half because I know that you've bet a six
Speaker 1: point teaser in a game like this with Tennessee plus
Speaker 1: seven and a half probably a pretty decent bent, So
Speaker 1: I might want to steer clear that. So I might
Speaker 1: open one strictly as a teaser prevention strategy, but I
Speaker 1: think that's probably the right number. Um, but this should
Speaker 1: be a really good game to really gritty tough teams
Speaker 1: and U you know, uh, certainly one of the marquee
Speaker 1: games of Sunday morning teaser prevention strategy. Keep mind what
Speaker 1: Chrissy just said there. He was opening at one, so
Speaker 1: six point teasers can't get past the seven. I think
Speaker 1: if this was if this is plus one and a half,
Speaker 1: either way, it's a great teaser, like whether it's Tennessee
Speaker 1: or Pittsburgh. Yeah, um, okay, yeah, And I could see
Speaker 1: the outcome going either way, really could. All Right, what's next, Ravens?
Speaker 1: That your Washington football team. I don't have much to
Speaker 1: say about this raven Ravens haven't played yet. They played
Speaker 1: a night their three and a half way favorites against
Speaker 1: the Chiefs, which which is not only the marquis matchup
Speaker 1: of the weekend, but really the Markey matchup of the
Speaker 1: entire NFL regular season. You couldn't put two teams together
Speaker 1: that would be a more anticipated matchup than the Chiefs
Speaker 1: and the Ravens tonight, uh defending Super Bowl champions against
Speaker 1: last year's regular season best Baltimore Ravens. And then there's
Speaker 1: the Washington football team. We already talked about them. They
Speaker 1: lost to Cleveland. They probably could have had a chance
Speaker 1: here if they just didn't turn the ball over like
Speaker 1: they did. Um, but they did, and Dwayne Haskins was
Speaker 1: one of thirty seven for two twenty four two touchdowns.
Speaker 1: He was picked three times, sacked three times. By the way,
Speaker 1: he fumbled twice. He lost one of them on that
Speaker 1: Miles Garrett strip sack. Terry McLaurin, the only real Redskin
Speaker 1: consistent offensive weapon, four for eighty three, four catches for
Speaker 1: eighty three yards, and the Skins lost. Excuse me, the
Speaker 1: watching football team lost rookie defense event Chase Young to
Speaker 1: a groin injury, so he got to monitor that situation.
Speaker 1: That's not good. He never came back once he left
Speaker 1: that game. So Baltimore will be sight unseen again tonight.
Speaker 1: We don't know. But as a placeholder, I mean, fourteen
Speaker 1: is not enough. I'll say fourteen and a half. But
Speaker 1: that's interesting. Nine numbers from the fourteen and a half
Speaker 1: UM thirteen and thirteen and a half during this game,
Speaker 1: give me the Ravens. Yeah, I mean it could be
Speaker 1: a little left down at b or lose UM. Not
Speaker 1: much of a travel though, obviously from Baltimore, Washington Umn
Speaker 1: my numbers coming to fourteen and a half. I'm thinking
Speaker 1: of an open thirteen and a half because I see
Speaker 1: both numbers thirteen and thirteen half, and I'll be a
Speaker 1: little bit on the higher end. But you know what,
Speaker 1: do we dimminishing returns? We talked about sometimes when you
Speaker 1: got these big jocks in the NFL. Yeah, do you
Speaker 1: get to cover a fourteen app and never really be
Speaker 1: in the game. So I'd be very careful. Yeah, forty
Speaker 1: five minutes south on ninety five from Baltimore, d C.
Speaker 1: Not much of a travel, uh situation whatsoever. But again,
Speaker 1: the Ravens have not played tonight, so we shall see
Speaker 1: them performed before that line gets solidified. All right, we
Speaker 1: go to the afternoon then, according to your numbers, I
Speaker 1: think this is an afternoon game. Finally, Yeah, yeah, we
Speaker 1: got the Giants at the lands. Giants are in three
Speaker 1: jets and Giants are oh and three. There you go,
Speaker 1: New York. We have We're gonna have a great time
Speaker 1: on Primetime Action tonight on MSG plus. Talking about those
Speaker 1: two teams. Daniel Jones may not be good. I don't
Speaker 1: know yet. Grissy Jerry still out. I'm not sure about
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones. Seventeen of thirty two for one seventy nine,
Speaker 1: no touchdowns, one pick, sack twice. He was their leading
Speaker 1: rusher in the absence of se Kwon Barkley five carries
Speaker 1: forty nine yards, but the Giants only had two hundred
Speaker 1: and thirty one total yards of offense against the depleted
Speaker 1: and I do mean depleted San Francisco forty niners who
Speaker 1: were eleven men down. They lose thirty six to nine.
Speaker 1: The Giants did not run a single play in the
Speaker 1: red zone yesterday. Is that good? Wow? Not a single
Speaker 1: play in the red zone. Meanwhile, the Rams knocked from
Speaker 1: the undefeated, the early season undefeated. They rallied furiously from
Speaker 1: a twenty five point deficit. They were down twenty to
Speaker 1: three with eight oh five left in the third quarter,
Speaker 1: and if they had pulled this off, it would have
Speaker 1: matched the third biggest comeback in the history of the
Speaker 1: National Football League, but instead uh first of all golf
Speaker 1: led the Ramps to score on four consecutive drives, and
Speaker 1: l A took the lead on Henderson's one yard run
Speaker 1: with four thirty remaining, but then Josh Allen bailed the
Speaker 1: Bills out by completing a three yard passed tight end
Speaker 1: ty Lacross fifteen seconds remaining to secure the thirty five
Speaker 1: to thirty two win on Sunday. However, that doesn't explain
Speaker 1: the whole story. Fourth and seven late in this game,
Speaker 1: and I already talked about earlier in the show incase
Speaker 1: you missed it, the the scourge of the uncatchables, right.
Speaker 1: People wanted to talk about it in the Saints Packers
Speaker 1: game last night, oh because it's a national TV and
Speaker 1: everybody's watching it. But it happened in the Jets Colts game.
Speaker 1: And I know the Colts ended up crushing the Jets,
Speaker 1: but it was seven and seven at the time, and
Speaker 1: you just never know. But the balls, like you know,
Speaker 1: I'm exaggerating, right, It still it's just you cannot catch it,
Speaker 1: and they're still throw flags. Okay, that's fine. If you're
Speaker 1: never gonna catch uncatchables, I mean, if you're never gonna
Speaker 1: cite the uncatchable rule and the gate p I s
Speaker 1: then just don't have it on the on the rule books.
Speaker 1: So this play yesterday, the Bills are driving late, the
Speaker 1: Rams have got him in fourth and seven, and the
Speaker 1: Rams are trying to pull off again matching that what
Speaker 1: would be the third what would match the third greatest
Speaker 1: comeback in NFL history, And Darius Williams gets flagged for
Speaker 1: a p I on Gabriel Davis on that fourth and
Speaker 1: seven that ended up setting up the bill subsequent touchdown
Speaker 1: to Croft. Not only is the ball uncatchable, but forget
Speaker 1: the uncatchable part. What is Williams supposed to do? Gabriel
Speaker 1: Davis engages him right off the line, you know, puts
Speaker 1: his body into him. You can't take a charge. This
Speaker 1: isn't basketball, right, You have to sort of engage back,
Speaker 1: and to to William's credit, he disengaged pretty much as
Speaker 1: soon as he possibly could. Flag gets thrown, determines outcome
Speaker 1: of game, and I will you know, look, the Rams
Speaker 1: were the beneficiary of an o p I against Dallas
Speaker 1: week one, so the refs have giveth and they have
Speaker 1: taken away with the l a Rams. But that's how
Speaker 1: the cookie crumbled for the Rams yesterday. They failed to
Speaker 1: match what would have been the third largest comeback or
Speaker 1: match the third largest comeback in NFL regular season history.
Speaker 1: Let me point that out that distinction regular season history.
Speaker 1: Golf ended up twenty three or thirty two for three
Speaker 1: twenty one, two touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked twice,
Speaker 1: Henderson fourteen and a touchdown Cup Cooper Cup nine for
Speaker 1: one oh seven in a touchdown. Four hundred seventy eight
Speaker 1: total yards for the Rams. All goes by the wayside.
Speaker 1: Aaron Donald, though sublime to sacks, also forced in Alan
Speaker 1: fumble which he recovered at the Bills thirty seven that
Speaker 1: led to Henderson's touchdown, would which put the Rams up
Speaker 1: thirty two to twenty eight. But you know how it ended.
Speaker 1: The Rams got hosed. In my opinion, Oh, I have
Speaker 1: to pick a left to pick the line. I forgot
Speaker 1: what I was talking about giants at the Rams. I'll say, Oh,
Speaker 1: I forgot how this show goes. Chrissy, I'm just going
Speaker 1: on a ramp. Just like I said, the Ravens were
Speaker 1: fourteen and a half against the Washington football team, I'll
Speaker 1: say the Rams ten and a half against the Giants. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you're like it's third team. And by the way, is
Speaker 1: that we're probably wonder is you ever gonna get the number? Sorry,
Speaker 1: I'd be thirteen. I definitely like that better. I mean,
Speaker 1: you know so much. Wise guy money showed up on
Speaker 1: the Giant yesterday. That was one of the few games
Speaker 1: we won. Uh, but they looked as horrible as they
Speaker 1: could against a team you know, I know we talked
Speaker 1: about decimated with injuries. I've never seen a week three
Speaker 1: teams decimated by injuries as this forty moniteam and they
Speaker 1: played great, amazing. Can't take anything away from them. So
Speaker 1: I think, you know, the Rams, they definitely got hose
Speaker 1: and I think the Rams are a lot better than
Speaker 1: we fought going into this year. So I like thirteen.
Speaker 1: I can see this more and higher. Um, I just
Speaker 1: don't know what this Giant team has. I really don't.
Speaker 1: And the Rams, Uh, that offense is really good. And
Speaker 1: you've talked about Aaron Donald and sometimes it's a statute
Speaker 1: doesn't tell you everything. Decimal, decimated, meeting destimated, But he
Speaker 1: decimated that front line for Buffalo. I mean they could
Speaker 1: not handle him at all. He ripped right through them
Speaker 1: all virtually every play. I don't know how the grading
Speaker 1: system works for these guys, and they look at but
Speaker 1: that's gonna be one of the highest graded defensive tackles
Speaker 1: that you know, that I've seen so far this year.
Speaker 1: I mean, he just right through a pretty good offensive line,
Speaker 1: third teams the number. But I'll tell you what, I'd
Speaker 1: be hard for us about the Giants. You said, Chris,
Speaker 1: this is interesting me. You said, the wise guys were
Speaker 1: all over the Giants yesterday, and I would assume I
Speaker 1: would assume the rationale would be because the Niners had
Speaker 1: so many players out, which is fine, Okay, I get that,
Speaker 1: but like the se Kwan Barkley absence, didn't like Negate
Speaker 1: that for them. Well, and then Shepard the best receiver.
Speaker 1: I mean you know that that barely has gotten mentioned,
Speaker 1: but evidently not, you know, I mean you know, I'll
Speaker 1: tell you what. They look up and down that at
Speaker 1: nine and lineup and who missed the game this ship.
Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's like, you know, a Pro Bowl
Speaker 1: caliber players. I mean that's really I mean, key, key
Speaker 1: guys missed for that team. You know, they're on the
Speaker 1: road two weeks in a row, uh in New York.
Speaker 1: Actually two weeks in a row. You know, I could
Speaker 1: see their logic. I didn't want to take a big
Speaker 1: stand against them by any means um, but uh, you
Speaker 1: know they were about a million percent wrong. They couldn't
Speaker 1: have been more long. Yeah, well I was wrong about
Speaker 1: other things, not about that one. But Giants lose outright
Speaker 1: to the Niners thirty six to nine. We'll get to
Speaker 1: the Niners when they come up in all of their
Speaker 1: laundry list of injuries that they overcame to win that game.
Speaker 1: Giants didn't run a single play in the red zone.
Speaker 1: Let me just repeat that. We'll come back. We will
Speaker 1: continue with the I think there's two more afternoon games
Speaker 1: than the primetime games, and we'll take a look at
Speaker 1: the baseball series prices for the rounds of three. It's
Speaker 1: guessing lines right here in the numbers game at Visa,
Speaker 1: the Sports Betting Network brought to you by bet MGM Nevada.
Speaker 1: Chrissie Andrews is here. My book runs the South Point
Speaker 1: Hotel Casino Sports Book. Again, he's posting these right after
Speaker 1: the show. This is not some some vague exercise. We're
Speaker 1: performing here and we're not We're not doing this for show.
Speaker 1: Christie you're actually posting the numbers. You say you're gonna
Speaker 1: post right after the show? Correct, Yeah, just when I
Speaker 1: hang up my next minute or two, I called Louis
Speaker 1: and we put up the numbers in Louie. All right,
Speaker 1: what's next in the afternoon on sea for a bookmaker?
Speaker 1: By the way, Louie, Louis on the line, get me, Louie.
Speaker 1: Louie got the games three? I don't know what you
Speaker 1: got it? All right? What's next? In the New England
Speaker 1: at the Kansas City. Okay, New England was my survivor
Speaker 1: pick yesterday. Got through what the north of a hundred
Speaker 1: got knocked out of circuit Survivor yesterday. Yeah, so that's
Speaker 1: about there was. There was almost nine was an eight
Speaker 1: hundred something left. I'm not sure what's the rule on
Speaker 1: the tie losers? So a lot of people lost on
Speaker 1: the on the Eagles. Yeah, I mean, I don't mean
Speaker 1: they're losers things not. I'm not commenting on them as humans.
Speaker 1: I'm just saying judgment. They just lose the survivors what
Speaker 1: I mean. Yeah, No, you gotta win. That's brutal. It's brutal. Well,
Speaker 1: we'll get to the Eagles. We'll get to that in
Speaker 1: a bit, but New England beats the Raiders. I decided
Speaker 1: to go with the Patriots Cam seventeen twenty eight yesterday
Speaker 1: for one sixty two, one touchdown, one pick uh two
Speaker 1: times sacked Sony Michelle nine for one seventeen on the ground.
Speaker 1: Rex Burkhead showed up in a big way for the
Speaker 1: Patriots yesterday and James White's absence. James White, whose father
Speaker 1: tragically died in a car accident just before last week's game.
Speaker 1: Burkehead said all for James White six for forty nine
Speaker 1: on the ground with two touchdowns, seven catches forty nine
Speaker 1: and a touchdown through the air, season high two hundred
Speaker 1: fifty yards rushing for the Pats against the Raiders yesterday.
Speaker 1: Pats ended up winning it, you know, going away thirty
Speaker 1: six to twenty. But I'll say this with with all
Speaker 1: these NFL games, even in the blowouts, you know, our
Speaker 1: brains tend to think, oh, the Colts crushed the Jets,
Speaker 1: the Patriots one of going away against the Raiders. But
Speaker 1: these games turn on these one like situation, these these
Speaker 1: singular plays, and then it's just gates, you know, flood
Speaker 1: gates open that game yesterday. To me, flipped. It was
Speaker 1: thirteen to three Patriots late in the first half, and
Speaker 1: the Raiders came right down field in the final minute,
Speaker 1: um the long past to Renfro at the half yard
Speaker 1: line right there. That set up the touchdown. So it's
Speaker 1: thirteen to ten going into the locker room. And the
Speaker 1: Raiders had all the you know, the the mythical momentum
Speaker 1: at that point. And then they get the ball in
Speaker 1: the second half and Daniel Carlson sets up for a
Speaker 1: forty one yard field goal attempt um that quite frankly
Speaker 1: not only would have put at thirteen to thirteen, but
Speaker 1: with ten forty three left in the third quarter. But
Speaker 1: is anybody's game at that point? He misses short field, Patriots,
Speaker 1: and the route was on missed field goals. Man, especially
Speaker 1: in this day and age, it's amazing how they flipped
Speaker 1: games like that. Uh. And they're at Kansas City. Kansas
Speaker 1: City hasn't played. They played to night the three and
Speaker 1: a half point dogs of course against the Ravens. So
Speaker 1: sight unseen with the Chiefs tonight, I will say Kansas
Speaker 1: City not quite a field goal. Let's give let's give
Speaker 1: the Patriots a Patriots point, So I'll say minus six. Um,
Speaker 1: I see seven a little bit of six and a half,
Speaker 1: actually seven with juice on the dog, Uh, six and
Speaker 1: a half. I like the six and a half a
Speaker 1: little better. I think the Patriots are good enough to
Speaker 1: keep this close. Uh you know still, you know, like
Speaker 1: with Bill Chicks doing with this team, big surprise, you know,
Speaker 1: I think we're getting a little ahead of ourselves, like
Speaker 1: Cam Newton with some of the talk. But nonetheless, I
Speaker 1: think I think seven would be a take for me
Speaker 1: in this game. So I'm anna open six and a
Speaker 1: half and let's see what happens tonight. Yeah, you agree
Speaker 1: with me on that. On that premise though, like so
Speaker 1: much of recency biases formed by one play changing outcomes dramatically,
Speaker 1: I've always felt that way about the NFL. Well, yeah,
Speaker 1: and that there's no question about that, you know. And
Speaker 1: I remember when I was I was doing some work
Speaker 1: with William Hill way back yonder. Uh. They wanted to
Speaker 1: get an algorithm for predicting, you know, in game. You know,
Speaker 1: you can't do it in the NFL. I mean just
Speaker 1: you know, one team could be ready to score, they fumble,
Speaker 1: it's six points. The other way, it's a fourteen point swing,
Speaker 1: you know, and you know, you don't see it that often,
Speaker 1: but you see stuff like this where these you know,
Speaker 1: sock there. Our goal is one, you know football, it
Speaker 1: could be six seven eight. You a field goal street,
Speaker 1: you know. I mean, it's just it's this bizarre scoring
Speaker 1: system that we have really you know, attached ourselves to
Speaker 1: and just take for granted. But it really is a
Speaker 1: bizarre system. And sometimes these scores can't get accentuated one
Speaker 1: way or the other. Yeah, one more afternoon game to
Speaker 1: get to two more prime time obviously a Sunday night
Speaker 1: and Monday night, defying recency. So it's so much of
Speaker 1: this is about. And then of course we'll look back
Speaker 1: on all these which we like best. It's a week
Speaker 1: number four guessing lines right here in a numbers game
Speaker 1: at Visa these sports betting network. We get tweets at
Speaker 1: beating the book. Uh, it's skill Alexander here, everybody, thanks
Speaker 1: for joining us. Once again. This is from RAJ Body
Speaker 1: producing number seven. If you use hooking lateral in a
Speaker 1: sentence instead of hooking ladder, I will add one month
Speaker 1: to the over under on your tenure with Gil. I
Speaker 1: said lateral. By the way, just for the record, I
Speaker 1: said it correctly, even though, said DJ mecalfisode of DK
Speaker 1: metcalf um Man Bear poet Gil Pinnacles been dealing teaser
Speaker 1: prevention lines for ten years. Oh I know, trust me,
Speaker 1: I know. If a game was eight everywhere, they'd have
Speaker 1: nine and quarter thirty cents on the dog, they'd make
Speaker 1: one and a half one minus fifteen or minus twenty. Yeah. No,
Speaker 1: they've been dealing prevention. They've been doing a lot of
Speaker 1: strange stuff over there over the years. Dr Randall Coast. Uh,
Speaker 1: and there it is, Week for Diminishing Returns makes its
Speaker 1: first appearance to my knowledge on Kussing lines this year,
Speaker 1: one of Chrissy's staple lines, Diminishing returns. Um okay uh oh,
Speaker 1: Roj said you you said it properly, Gil, you are
Speaker 1: the standard we need to raise others. Do yes, It's okay,
Speaker 1: lateral Uh real quick. The baseball lines for now Tomorrow
Speaker 1: on the show let me repeat tomorrow on the show,
Speaker 1: The Great Roxy Roxborough will be here. Roxy will discuss
Speaker 1: election odds history with me debate tomorrow between Donald Trump
Speaker 1: and Joe Biden, and Roxy's gonna do you know, just
Speaker 1: a couple of segments with us recounting historical odds from
Speaker 1: night to the present with his personal experience betting and
Speaker 1: booking since nineteen seventy six, with an emphasis on the
Speaker 1: upcoming tilt, plus some caveats to booking elections never discussed before.
Speaker 1: That's a podcast. We gotta put that in podcast for
Speaker 1: him too. And then we'll do a baseball preview as
Speaker 1: well with Jason Weingarten and Paul Sport and we'll have
Speaker 1: Drew Jnsic to talk tennis French Open with us NBA
Speaker 1: finals in the National Football League. What a show tomorrow. Wow.
Speaker 1: Here are your opening playoff series prices. National League Cubbies
Speaker 1: minus one Marlin's plus one sixty coming back the Bartman
Speaker 1: rematch too soon, Dodgers minus three versus of the Brewers
Speaker 1: plus two forty. I think Jason Weingarn made jump on
Speaker 1: the Brewers there. Brewers have good pitching at the top.
Speaker 1: Braves minus Reds plus one oh five. The market loves
Speaker 1: the Reds seventh seed, but they a have that starting
Speaker 1: pitching of Bower, Castillo and Gray. And then the Padres
Speaker 1: minus one seventy five versus the Cardinals plus one. Where
Speaker 1: are these courtesy of By the way, Jason, I don't
Speaker 1: know okay, Visa lines, it's gonna be American League real quick.
Speaker 1: I don't know, it's trust me. We're not making them
Speaker 1: up though. Do you have the American Leagueyeah, let's flash
Speaker 1: up the American League as well here at the Visa
Speaker 1: dot Com and the Visa app. Cannot wait. Playoffs start
Speaker 1: tomorrow and then Wednesday, all eight series are in action.
Speaker 1: White Sox are plus one ten versus the A's. Remember
Speaker 1: the White Sox ended up as the wild card, So
Speaker 1: the A's or minus one thirty five they are a
Speaker 1: very short shot favorite. Raise in the one eight minus
Speaker 1: two ten over the Blue Jays or plus one seventy
Speaker 1: Twinkies minus one twenty Astros or even Astros getting into
Speaker 1: the playoffs with a losing record, and then the Yankees
Speaker 1: minus one thirty five at the Indians, who are playoff
Speaker 1: built at plus one ten with top heavy pitching. So
Speaker 1: I have a two one on the Blue Jays, I
Speaker 1: have a thirty nine to one on the Reds in
Speaker 1: a nineteen to one on the Tribe to win it all.
Speaker 1: Those are the positions I'm in. We'll talk about all
Speaker 1: the series prices and what bets I'll make along with
Speaker 1: Jason and Paul tomorrow, Let's do the last afternoon game.
Speaker 1: By the way, Christ, do you expect a lot of
Speaker 1: handle on the baseball playoffs this year? We have? I think,
Speaker 1: first of all, baseball handle has been very good. All
Speaker 1: the football certainly has taken them some away. But I
Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a really good a good format
Speaker 1: for betting, I can tell you, Man, I can't wait.
Speaker 1: August was spectacular with the bubbles starting September even better?
Speaker 1: Uh with football starting, man, is October gonna be great?
Speaker 1: NBA Finals? Baseball playoffs? Football? All right? What's the last
Speaker 1: afternoon game? Next week? The Bills at the Raiders. Bills
Speaker 1: at the Raiders Bills three and oh. As we mentioned
Speaker 1: benefits of a flag late against the Rams, they stave
Speaker 1: off a mat us have come back. Josh Allen thirty
Speaker 1: three for three, eleven, four touchdowns, one pick, sacked four
Speaker 1: times against the Rams. He was four, had four carries
Speaker 1: for eight yards and a touchdown on the ground, but
Speaker 1: it was clouded his performance by two turnovers that led
Speaker 1: to Rams touchdowns. He had a pick, a fumble, He
Speaker 1: even got flagged for a face mask himself. Eighth successful
Speaker 1: fourth quarter comeback for Alan in his three seasons, though,
Speaker 1: when all is said and done, and then there's the Raiders, who,
Speaker 1: as I mentioned, lose to the Patriots. But we're really
Speaker 1: in this game until the third quarter when they missed
Speaker 1: that field goal from Carlson could have tied the game up.
Speaker 1: Derek Carr thirty two for two sixty one, two touchdowns,
Speaker 1: no pick. He was sacked twice. Hunter Renfro six catches
Speaker 1: for eighty four yards and a touchdown. I have no
Speaker 1: idea why the first two weeks of the season the
Speaker 1: Raiders went away from Renfro just didn't have enough snaps.
Speaker 1: The first two weeks of the season, car two fumbles
Speaker 1: that led to a field goal for New England and
Speaker 1: a late touchdown when he lost the ball in the
Speaker 1: end zone. It was recovered by the Patriots. Wise, Josh
Speaker 1: Jacobs also had a fumble in this game. I'll say
Speaker 1: Buffalo minus three, Chrissie, this is one of those two
Speaker 1: and a half three games. You know. It's two and
Speaker 1: a half juice from the favorite, three juice from the dog.
Speaker 1: I'd see a little more two and a half a
Speaker 1: matter of fact, be a lot more to an half.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna open it too and alf but I
Speaker 1: kind of like the higher remember better again my power
Speaker 1: ratings come higher. Still debating what they do with home
Speaker 1: field advantage. Don't really know, but we know there's no
Speaker 1: real no fans in with the Raiders. Um, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: open to an half, but I don't think surprised if
Speaker 1: I get beat up to three very quickly and they
Speaker 1: want to take to three, somebody will take it back.
Speaker 1: So it's just the way it goes. And we talked
Speaker 1: about uh teas or prevention lines the Pinnacle US as well.
Speaker 1: You know, they don't use everything at minus one time
Speaker 1: like we do at the top point. So here's that
Speaker 1: all right. Um, these aren't as easy to come by
Speaker 1: as last week's. I don't think Jason, you said you
Speaker 1: like the Patriots if they catch seven against the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: Definitely like the Patriots. Sorry, yeah, that's interesting. One Cardinals
Speaker 1: or something I thought about. Two. I think that's a
Speaker 1: little like the Bears in the rands all day long.
Speaker 1: You like the Rams can't make that line high enough, right, Truly,
Speaker 1: I'll bet an adjusted line on that one. I said
Speaker 1: ten and a half. Christie, what was at thirteen on
Speaker 1: the Ramsey? At thirteen? He said, all right, Uh, we
Speaker 1: got the Sunday night game, We've got the Monday night game,
Speaker 1: and these involved teams we need to talk about next
Speaker 1: week four guessing lines right here on the numbers game
Speaker 1: at Visa these Sports Betting Network. All right, Chrissy, what
Speaker 1: I got Sunday night, Chris Andrews here? Of course, everybody.
Speaker 1: Eagles at the Eagles at the forty Niners, who we've discussed,
Speaker 1: but there's more to add. The Eagles tie with the
Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals, and again in that tie, pick up ground
Speaker 1: on the entire rest of the NFC East. When seven
Speaker 1: two five, one touchdown, two picks, he was sacked three times.
Speaker 1: He has now thrown multiple picks in three consecutive games.
Speaker 1: The Eagles had eleven penalties for ninety three yards. They
Speaker 1: were ten of twenty one on third downs. Now, as
Speaker 1: you know, I look at these box scores each and
Speaker 1: every week, twenty one third down attempts is one of
Speaker 1: these things that you see rarely. And what does that
Speaker 1: tell you? That tells you that they're just their play
Speaker 1: calling or their execution of that play calling on first
Speaker 1: and second down is just abysmal. That they would have
Speaker 1: twenty one tries on third down, and yes, I get it,
Speaker 1: it went to overtime, but twenty one the Eagles have
Speaker 1: not forced any turnovers on defense through thirteen quarters this season.
Speaker 1: They gained ground, as I said, on the entire division
Speaker 1: with a tie. But in the end, what did you
Speaker 1: think about the last sequence of that game, Jason. They're
Speaker 1: in overtime, they get the ball in what would be
Speaker 1: like ridiculously long field goal range and then run plays
Speaker 1: as if they are in hip shot field goal range
Speaker 1: on first and second down, and then of course when
Speaker 1: they're there to attempt the game winning field goal from
Speaker 1: you know, way out, they get the false start, so
Speaker 1: instead of a fifty nine yard or, it becomes a
Speaker 1: sixty four yard or, which would match the NFL record
Speaker 1: if it goes through. And at that point Doug Peterson
Speaker 1: and the Eagles just say, yeah, we'll tie, and they punt.
Speaker 1: I don't have any problem with the punt. By the way,
Speaker 1: people are focused on the punt. You gotta go for
Speaker 1: the win. No, the problem was the place before that.
Speaker 1: They end up with the tie. San Francisco, as we mentioned,
Speaker 1: beat the Giants and crushed them in the process. Mullins,
Speaker 1: in relief of Garoppolo thirty six for three forty three,
Speaker 1: one touchdown, no pick, sack twice. Brandon i Yuk was
Speaker 1: his leading receiver five for seventy They were eight of
Speaker 1: twelve on third down where the jan where the Niners,
Speaker 1: and they outgained the Giants four twenty to two thirty one.
Speaker 1: They held the ball for thirty nine minutes and forty
Speaker 1: four seconds affect game. Oh my god, Giants. Of course,
Speaker 1: the Niners stayed in West Virginia to prep for the game,
Speaker 1: so here were their injuries. They had Garoppolo with his ankle,
Speaker 1: Nick Bose out for the season, and Solomon Thomas with
Speaker 1: knee injuries. Running Backs were he mostart in Kevin Coleman
Speaker 1: hurt against the Jets. They complained about the new turf
Speaker 1: after the game last week, saying it was quote sticky
Speaker 1: unquote led to injuries. They were also without tight end
Speaker 1: George Kittle Witherspoon in in the in the secondary, Dre
Speaker 1: Greenlaw linebacker round for the game. That in this game
Speaker 1: they lost a Manual Mosley to a head injury and
Speaker 1: tight end Jordan Read with an ankle. As every Skins fan,
Speaker 1: every Washington football team fans like, well, we knew that
Speaker 1: was gonna happen. San Francisco, despite all that, scored on
Speaker 1: seven of its first eight possessions. It would have been
Speaker 1: all eight, but a snaphold problem led to Gould missing
Speaker 1: a fifty five yard or niners ninth possession ended the game.
Speaker 1: Forgot that detail when describing the Giants, Good lord and
Speaker 1: the Niners didn't really want to play with the turf,
Speaker 1: so who knows even how hard they were they were trying,
Speaker 1: meaning that it was in their heads the whole time.
Speaker 1: They're like a lot of a lot of the injuries
Speaker 1: weren't worth specifically because they didn't want playing the turf. Well,
Speaker 1: I mean, San Francisco has gotta be a favorite. Again.
Speaker 1: We don't know who's playing and who's not, but I'll
Speaker 1: say minus six, chrissie, it's it's six and a half.
Speaker 1: And first all back to the Eagles. When I was
Speaker 1: watching that game, I was watching them with their play
Speaker 1: trawling when they had like a fifty nine yard field
Speaker 1: goal in their pocket, and am I adding this up long?
Speaker 1: Is this really like even like you know, forty nine,
Speaker 1: there's no like give me you know, am I you
Speaker 1: know one of my one? Am I looking at here?
Speaker 1: You know. I mean it's acting like a fifty nine
Speaker 1: yards Yeah, I we'll kick it and we'll win the game.
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, I really I'm thinking I thought it was
Speaker 1: like adding it up long. Anyway, the Niners, you know,
Speaker 1: going into yesterday, we're During the course of the week,
Speaker 1: I lowered my power rating on the Niners because of
Speaker 1: all the injuries, because of all the money that showed
Speaker 1: up against him that I did highly respect for sure,
Speaker 1: some like I said, I don't mean the second guest
Speaker 1: in that regard, because you look at the guys they lost.
Speaker 1: I mean it's a huge loss to their lineup, you know,
Speaker 1: legitimate Pro Bowl contenders. Um. Anyway, I had to readjust
Speaker 1: actually after the game. So my power ring has come
Speaker 1: a little higher. But after two straight road games, now
Speaker 1: coming home, I'm not sure I'm gonna lay anything more
Speaker 1: than six and a half. But I don't think six
Speaker 1: and a halfs a little light in this game, and
Speaker 1: I think we'll see a seven. I'm anna open six
Speaker 1: and a half just because they see that everywhere, but
Speaker 1: I'll tell you truth, I don't I don't think i'd
Speaker 1: want to take anything less than seven. If power betting
Speaker 1: the Eagles, and I think this minor team is well coached,
Speaker 1: well constructed by Lynch. Uh. You know a lot of
Speaker 1: good things I can say about this forty nine teams,
Speaker 1: and I think they'll handle this Eagle team that I
Speaker 1: wouldn't take anything less than seven. And I think that's
Speaker 1: where we're gonna wind up on this scheme. Did you
Speaker 1: also notice that, you know how they put on the
Speaker 1: TV telecast, they put the line you know where they
Speaker 1: sort of estimate is the field goal line, And in
Speaker 1: this particular one with the Eagles at the end of overtime,
Speaker 1: like they put it way back like they're like, oh yeah,
Speaker 1: fifty fine. That was the weirdest thing. I was like,
Speaker 1: what am I look? Am I apping? What can I do?
Speaker 1: Jake Elliott? Fifty nine yard or They're like, yeah, that'll
Speaker 1: be fine. Even the TV people were on Peterson side,
Speaker 1: and then it was sixty four They're like, all right, whatever,
Speaker 1: all right, that sounds about right. And then Monday night, Oh,
Speaker 1: I know where we Atlanta's got to be left because
Speaker 1: I know we haven't talked about them. Uh yeah, Atlanta
Speaker 1: had green Bay? All right, green Bay wins last night?
Speaker 1: They do so thirty seven to thirty Rogers one thirty
Speaker 1: two for two eight three, three touchdowns, no picks and
Speaker 1: a sack Lazard six and a touchdown Packers, as we
Speaker 1: talked about when talking about the Saints score ten points
Speaker 1: of the final nine minutes to pull out the win
Speaker 1: with the Packers top receiver Davantae Adams unable to play
Speaker 1: because of a hamstring injury. So Green Bay and Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers just motoring along three and oh. Rogers seems to
Speaker 1: be in sync with La Fleur, who's just been you know,
Speaker 1: experiencing almost you know, nothing but wins. What is sixteen
Speaker 1: and three now in regular season since he's been head coach.
Speaker 1: And then there's the Falcons. The Falcons became the first
Speaker 1: team there oh and three, So this is oh in
Speaker 1: three versus three and oh. The Falcons became the first
Speaker 1: team in NFL history to lose back to back games
Speaker 1: in which it led by fifteen or more points in
Speaker 1: the final period. That's, according to stats, had nine percent
Speaker 1: win probability per Next Gen Stats, a week after having
Speaker 1: nine eight percent when probability last week versus Dallas. That
Speaker 1: is unconscionable and under Dan Quinn. The Falcons of course
Speaker 1: also wasted that three lead in the Super Bowl, as
Speaker 1: we all remember after the sixteen season and lost an
Speaker 1: o t to the Patriots. Also didn't cover. They can
Speaker 1: fill up a statuet Ryan nineteen thirty eight one touchdown,
Speaker 1: one pick, sack twice early fourteen of eighty for a
Speaker 1: touchdown on the ground, Hill nine fifty a touchdown. Ridley
Speaker 1: five catches from one tent. None of it matters with
Speaker 1: the Falcons again when probability last week against the Cowboys
Speaker 1: and the onside kick that mesmerized the entire Falcons team,
Speaker 1: and then against the Bears yesterday, How does Dan Quinn
Speaker 1: still have a job after this? Like, at some point
Speaker 1: you've just got to say to him, look, we love you.
Speaker 1: You're you're actually a better coach than this, obviously, you
Speaker 1: know than the results are showing. But I mean, you
Speaker 1: lose the room at some point, don't you. Oh, I
Speaker 1: have to make it. I have to make a guess.
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I forgot I gotta make a guess. Green Bay.
Speaker 1: Mine is six? Yeah, six? Oh my god, you get flooded.
Speaker 1: Oh wow, yeah, you know my numbers com may now
Speaker 1: at seven and I see some seven app juice on
Speaker 1: the dog. I know. I mean to get the seven
Speaker 1: app on this team come by day, man, I know that.
Speaker 1: And whatever the total is, and I'm looking right now
Speaker 1: at fifty eight, I think that's the highest on the boards. Yes,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna try to stay above it, because last night
Speaker 1: that was the biggest thing I know. We got that
Speaker 1: laid on Green Bay. They pounded me all week on
Speaker 1: the over on that game, and thank god I had
Speaker 1: the wise guests coming in and taking under on that
Speaker 1: New Orleans team New once green Baby, because they will
Speaker 1: bend me over. And I have a feeling they're gonna
Speaker 1: get there with these two defenses. And by the way,
Speaker 1: we keep talking about quarterbacks. Sometime about my home, he
Speaker 1: thought about Jackson with about Russell Wilson, let's not forget
Speaker 1: about Rogers. It looks like he's playing as good at
Speaker 1: football as I've seen it a long long time. He
Speaker 1: is really playing well. And uh, that don't go too
Speaker 1: far down your list before you mentioned this guy, But
Speaker 1: I think he likes it up. I hope I don't
Speaker 1: need to land it next week because all that. But
Speaker 1: there's probably a good dog to take with more than seven,
Speaker 1: And they're probably a good dogs you take because they're
Speaker 1: the kind of threw up a statute with a lot
Speaker 1: of numbers, you know, but you won't have a chance
Speaker 1: in the game. So in the end, I think from
Speaker 1: this exercise, I like Chicago, Arizona and Houston. There's a
Speaker 1: poop poo platter, but that's who I think I like.
Speaker 1: How about you? I like Chicago, the Chargers in New England. Yeah,
Speaker 1: you're with Jason on New England Chargers. I'm gonna have
Speaker 1: to have to hold your nose all that. Uh, Chrissie,
Speaker 1: I thank you always always fun man, and uh we'll
Speaker 1: do this as every month my pleasure deal. It really
Speaker 1: is my favorite two hours mine too. I text you
Speaker 1: after the show every week. I'm like mine, mine to
Speaker 1: favorite Two Flies by Chrissie Andrews everybody, Uh the name
Speaker 1: of the book, by the way, then one day available
Speaker 1: at Amazon and hopefully the other day where books are
Speaker 1: st