WEBVTT - Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Week 4 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:11.960 Check it on Man no down Man, Good Monday morning 0:00:11.960 --> 0:00:14.440 to see who it is getting lines right here on 0:00:14.520 --> 0:00:16.360 the numbers. Gave a piece in the sports betting network 0:00:16.520 --> 0:00:18.640 Serious Except Channel to A four Visa dot Com. The 0:00:18.720 --> 0:00:22.960 Visa have Fubo Sling and Game Plus. Jason Cott is 0:00:23.000 --> 0:00:25.079 here as well. How you doing, Jason, Good morning, Gail, 0:00:25.160 --> 0:00:27.920 Happy Monday, Happy Monday. Don't tell my mother that I'm 0:00:27.920 --> 0:00:30.040 here at work today on yom kipor let's keep that 0:00:30.080 --> 0:00:32.240 between us. It will be our secret. It'll be our secret. 0:00:32.680 --> 0:00:35.360 There will be no incident. Ladies and gentlemen to do 0:00:35.400 --> 0:00:37.640 the guessing line show, of course, each and every Monday. 0:00:37.640 --> 0:00:40.600 The star of the show, the South Point Sports Book Director. 0:00:40.640 --> 0:00:46.440 It's Chrissie Andrews. Good morning, Chris, excuse me, good morning, 0:00:46.520 --> 0:00:50.279 good morning. I'm good. What would you catch you doing 0:00:50.320 --> 0:00:51.959 something else? You have a thing going on over there? 0:00:54.960 --> 0:00:59.120 Has done? Still drinking my morning coffee? Okay, apologize allright? 0:00:59.160 --> 0:01:01.959 Week three in the National Football League from a book's perspective, 0:01:02.000 --> 0:01:06.039 Real quick, what was it up? Down? Neutral? What kind 0:01:06.040 --> 0:01:10.000 of weekend was it? NFL wise? Uh? We didn't do 0:01:10.200 --> 0:01:12.720 very well? You know. I saw Todd Dooey at an 0:01:12.800 --> 0:01:15.320 article in the page that hey, the sports books it 0:01:15.520 --> 0:01:18.000 finally had a good weekend. Well, he never called me 0:01:18.520 --> 0:01:20.280 because we did not have a good We did not 0:01:20.319 --> 0:01:23.000 have a good sound. I can tell you that um 0:01:23.120 --> 0:01:26.560 Man was nearly as bad as last week, and we 0:01:26.600 --> 0:01:31.000 had some late, late, big play on Green Day last night. 0:01:31.040 --> 0:01:34.200 They kind of tilted it a little, but we Stephen. 0:01:34.280 --> 0:01:36.560 Without that, we would have lost. So we did not 0:01:36.680 --> 0:01:38.480 have a good day of day all. So I don't 0:01:38.480 --> 0:01:40.560 know where Todd got his figures or who he talked to, 0:01:40.680 --> 0:01:42.600 but he didn't talk to me, and I would have 0:01:42.680 --> 0:01:47.520 reported something completely opposite. Yeah, okay, well, well you know, 0:01:47.600 --> 0:01:49.600 I'm sure you'll bounce back. And as you like to say, 0:01:49.760 --> 0:01:52.120 no one shedding a tear, right, no one shedding a 0:01:52.120 --> 0:01:56.440 tear for you? At this point they shouldn't know that. Yeah, 0:01:56.760 --> 0:02:00.280 I'm shedding a few tears, but I don't expecting. Well 0:02:00.320 --> 0:02:02.320 has been joined me. Well for those landing on this 0:02:02.360 --> 0:02:04.040 show for the first time, this is a tribute to 0:02:04.080 --> 0:02:07.360 the old Stardust radio show. H Roxy roxborw who by 0:02:07.360 --> 0:02:09.960 the way, we'll be on the show tomorrow, Chris. I 0:02:09.960 --> 0:02:12.760 don't know if you know this. Roxy from Pouquette, Thailand 0:02:13.240 --> 0:02:16.280 on the show tomorrow by request. Roxy was like, Hey, 0:02:16.360 --> 0:02:20.280 let's let's do it. Let's do an election history segment 0:02:20.400 --> 0:02:24.000 or two. So tomorrow is all election stuff with Roxy. 0:02:24.040 --> 0:02:26.760 He's got perspective on what he thinks should happen with 0:02:26.840 --> 0:02:30.680 election betting. We'll do baseball full on preview and we'll 0:02:30.680 --> 0:02:33.639 actually talk French ship and and basketball and football with 0:02:33.720 --> 0:02:36.280 Drew Dinsick as well. So Jason Wygartan with a baseball 0:02:36.280 --> 0:02:39.919 preview Paul Sports. So tomorrow show writes itself for goodness sakes. 0:02:40.080 --> 0:02:42.160 But today, if you're landing on this, this is the 0:02:42.200 --> 0:02:45.080 exercise where I've been a cocoon. I guess what next 0:02:45.080 --> 0:02:47.280 week's lines are going to be in the NFL week 0:02:47.720 --> 0:02:50.920 number four as it is, and Chrissie tells me what 0:02:51.040 --> 0:02:53.359 it actually will be in terms of posting it at 0:02:53.360 --> 0:02:56.000 the south point right after this show, and within that exercise, 0:02:56.200 --> 0:02:58.639 we look to extract value for the second straight week. 0:02:58.760 --> 0:03:00.840 This is our third a week doing this because we 0:03:00.840 --> 0:03:03.000 don't do it before week one, before the second week 0:03:03.040 --> 0:03:06.320 in a row. Last week, two out of the three 0:03:07.040 --> 0:03:09.800 that at least I came up with that showed to 0:03:09.880 --> 0:03:13.680 me a big difference. Last week came through, so if 0:03:13.720 --> 0:03:15.560 you could do that every week, go two out of 0:03:15.560 --> 0:03:17.280 three in terms of hey, I think this line looks 0:03:17.280 --> 0:03:20.320 a little off, Um, then that's a good thing. By 0:03:20.320 --> 0:03:21.919 the way, the one that I that I thought was 0:03:21.960 --> 0:03:23.680 the most off was the one that didn't come through, 0:03:23.720 --> 0:03:26.080 which is Tennessee Titans against the Minnesota Vikings, which we'll 0:03:26.080 --> 0:03:28.280 talk to, which we'll talk about, but let's start with 0:03:28.320 --> 0:03:32.280 Thursday night, Chrissie, what's on tap? Yeah, I'm looking at 0:03:32.280 --> 0:03:36.000 the mine notes. I had three out of four that 0:03:36.160 --> 0:03:42.280 I leave like, which would be which were your four 0:03:43.560 --> 0:03:49.360 on my sheet? On the Steelers barely got the Bengals, 0:03:50.920 --> 0:03:55.520 the Seahawks. Unfortunately I had the Jets, so yeah, I 0:03:55.560 --> 0:03:59.080 had Yeah, I had the Bengals, Seahawks and the Titans, 0:03:59.520 --> 0:04:02.680 so ty didn't quite get there. Yeah, alright, lots of 0:04:02.720 --> 0:04:08.360 games to get to. Once again, no buys yet, Yeah, 0:04:08.400 --> 0:04:11.280 no buds yet. I'm also uh, you know, uh, just 0:04:11.360 --> 0:04:14.600 kind of a little precursor here. I'm still not sure 0:04:14.640 --> 0:04:17.919 what to do at home fool advantage. Um, half the 0:04:17.920 --> 0:04:20.640 teams have two home games together at the one home 0:04:20.680 --> 0:04:23.599 game so far, trying to wait till everybody has at 0:04:23.680 --> 0:04:25.520 least two home games. Of course, I start going through 0:04:25.520 --> 0:04:28.200 in carking some numbers and see is their home froold 0:04:28.200 --> 0:04:30.479 advantages here. I kind of think there is to be 0:04:30.520 --> 0:04:33.159 honest with yet, but I haven't been able to attach 0:04:33.200 --> 0:04:34.919 any sort of number yet, and are going to be 0:04:34.920 --> 0:04:38.040 different for every single teak just like in most years. Anyway, 0:04:38.120 --> 0:04:40.839 let's get to this one. We have the Broncos at 0:04:40.920 --> 0:04:47.080 the Jets Thursday night action two oh and three teams, 0:04:47.600 --> 0:04:52.440 two different and three teams. Denver loses yesterday. Uh, they 0:04:52.480 --> 0:04:56.000 do so to Tampa Bay to ten. Bad performance by 0:04:56.080 --> 0:04:59.440 Jeff Driscoll. He was seventeen thirty one seventy six, one touchdown, 0:04:59.440 --> 0:05:03.320 one pick, sacked five times. He was benched in favor 0:05:03.360 --> 0:05:07.600 of Brett Rippon late. Uh. The nephew of former Super 0:05:07.640 --> 0:05:10.880 Bowl m v P Super Bowl champion Mark Rippon. Rippon 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:13.599 went eight of nine for fifty three, no touchdowns, one pick. 0:05:13.640 --> 0:05:16.760 He was sacked once. Two hundred and twenty six total 0:05:16.880 --> 0:05:20.480 yards of offense for Denver against Tampa Bay. Not good. 0:05:20.720 --> 0:05:24.080 Driscoll falls to one and eight as a starter. Um. 0:05:24.560 --> 0:05:26.479 By the way, Rippon was called up for the practice 0:05:26.480 --> 0:05:28.640 squad on Saturday. I didn't even know that he was 0:05:28.680 --> 0:05:30.520 on the roster. When when he came in the game, 0:05:31.040 --> 0:05:34.479 uh And and Vic Fangio first quarterback decision to be 0:05:34.560 --> 0:05:37.719 made on the board. Here Fangio not ready to declare 0:05:37.760 --> 0:05:41.040 his starting quarterback for this game against the Jets of 0:05:41.080 --> 0:05:43.280 the meadow Land. He could go back to Driscoll, he 0:05:43.320 --> 0:05:46.159 could stick with Ripping, or even turned to Blake Bortles, 0:05:47.000 --> 0:05:50.000 who joined the team on Thursday, two days before Ripping 0:05:50.080 --> 0:05:52.440 did off the practice squad. And then there's the Jets 0:05:52.480 --> 0:05:58.320 Chrissie Sam Donald seventy nine for one in their absolute 0:05:58.480 --> 0:06:02.799 drubbing at the hands of the Cold one touchdown, three picks, 0:06:02.839 --> 0:06:06.479 two of which were returned for touchdowns, two sacks. He 0:06:06.520 --> 0:06:09.680 also took a safety, so two pick sixes in a safety. 0:06:09.839 --> 0:06:13.080 They only had two hundred and sixty total yards. They 0:06:13.080 --> 0:06:15.800 were minus three in turnovers, but they had the first 0:06:15.880 --> 0:06:17.880 nineteen plays of the game. They were holding the ball 0:06:17.920 --> 0:06:20.280 for nearly ten minutes. New York had a hundred and 0:06:20.320 --> 0:06:23.200 eighty eight yards of offense in the first half against 0:06:23.240 --> 0:06:25.880 the league's number one defense through two weeks, and then 0:06:25.880 --> 0:06:28.679 they only finished with the two sixty, so it didn't 0:06:28.720 --> 0:06:32.720 start out badly. And by the way, there's one other 0:06:32.720 --> 0:06:34.560 play in that game. Can I mentioned before I before 0:06:34.560 --> 0:06:37.839 I get make a pick here, make a guess. You 0:06:37.839 --> 0:06:41.120 know how everybody last night was was moaning about that, uh, 0:06:41.200 --> 0:06:43.880 that p I that was called on the Saints where 0:06:43.880 --> 0:06:47.000 the ball was completely uncatchable. This game had one that 0:06:47.160 --> 0:06:50.359 was way worse than that, where the Jets had the 0:06:50.760 --> 0:06:53.279 where the Colts had the ball. It was seven to seven, 0:06:53.839 --> 0:06:55.400 this game was still in the balance. There it is 0:06:55.720 --> 0:06:58.680 Ralph Vacciano tweeting about this terrible p I call on 0:06:58.720 --> 0:07:01.080 the Jets quarterback Pier to see that ball sure looked 0:07:01.160 --> 0:07:04.120 uncatchable to me. One play later, Rivers one yard touchdown 0:07:04.120 --> 0:07:06.640 past to put the Colts up fourteen and seven. This 0:07:06.720 --> 0:07:10.360 uncatchable thing is an epidemic. If if it's if you're 0:07:10.400 --> 0:07:14.520 not going to ever call it meaning a p meaning 0:07:14.560 --> 0:07:16.600 wave off a p I. If a ball is uncatchable, 0:07:16.800 --> 0:07:19.480 it should not be on the books because they just 0:07:19.560 --> 0:07:22.480 don't call it anymore under any circumstances. And we'll get 0:07:22.520 --> 0:07:25.040 to a one that decided another game obviously coming up. 0:07:25.480 --> 0:07:29.040 Um Oh, anyway, all of that said, listen, the Jets 0:07:29.040 --> 0:07:32.840 are more the Jets are more sickly, I think than 0:07:32.880 --> 0:07:36.080 the Broncos. So I'll say the Broncos. Not quite by three. 0:07:36.640 --> 0:07:42.200 I'll say Broncos minus two and a half. It's three. 0:07:43.240 --> 0:07:46.360 I do see one two and a half flat h 0:07:46.520 --> 0:07:47.880 and I see one two and a half with some 0:07:47.960 --> 0:07:50.360 juice on it too, but mostly three with juice on 0:07:50.400 --> 0:07:53.760 the dog. Oh man, I'd say this one is so 0:07:53.840 --> 0:07:56.360 tough for me because my follow ratings come a little 0:07:56.520 --> 0:08:00.920 a little higher. Like I said, you gotta travel a 0:08:01.000 --> 0:08:02.480 lot of things. I'd like to look at on the 0:08:02.680 --> 0:08:05.080 Thursday night games. Who has a better coaching staff with 0:08:05.280 --> 0:08:09.040 their quarterback? I think that really played into it quite 0:08:09.040 --> 0:08:11.640 a bit. Well, looking at these two, how do you 0:08:11.680 --> 0:08:14.480 think that? You know? I don't know, but I think 0:08:14.520 --> 0:08:18.040 the Jets talked about it yesterday in the office that 0:08:18.280 --> 0:08:21.360 I had them as not the lowest rated team that 0:08:21.400 --> 0:08:24.720 I've ever had since I started keeping these, but they're 0:08:24.840 --> 0:08:27.880 they're getting close. And then they're throwing that performance yesterday 0:08:28.320 --> 0:08:31.080 and really against a team that was pretty banged up 0:08:31.080 --> 0:08:35.320 in the pulse. So I think that was really dismally bad. 0:08:36.160 --> 0:08:39.600 I think I'm gonna open with the three. Um, I'm 0:08:39.600 --> 0:08:41.680 just gonna have to move this fairly quickly. If I 0:08:41.720 --> 0:08:44.319 get that, I'm sure I probably will. I think it 0:08:44.440 --> 0:08:49.120 is a really, really tough game between two two teams 0:08:49.160 --> 0:08:52.360 that you know are as far off the mark right 0:08:52.360 --> 0:08:55.760 now as they could possibly be. Yeah, an early candidate 0:08:55.840 --> 0:08:59.240 Broncos at Jets for game you would want no part 0:08:59.280 --> 0:09:00.920 of the make up? Odd question on the Beating of 0:09:00.920 --> 0:09:03.040 the Book podcast? Which game if you had to bet 0:09:03.040 --> 0:09:04.679 a side on every one of these we got one 0:09:04.760 --> 0:09:06.800 free pass? Which game you want a free pass on? 0:09:07.200 --> 0:09:11.760 This might be it? Geez, that's bad Thursday, a terrible game. 0:09:12.120 --> 0:09:14.600 All right, let's go talk to about boy. Both these 0:09:14.600 --> 0:09:18.520 guys deserved the coach was and then they can't do 0:09:18.559 --> 0:09:21.720 that now right. I don't know how these two guys 0:09:21.760 --> 0:09:23.840 make it through the year. I don't know how Adam 0:09:23.920 --> 0:09:26.719 Gaze and Dan Quinnon, whom we'll get too soon. I 0:09:26.760 --> 0:09:28.440 don't know how to get passed this week. But you 0:09:28.480 --> 0:09:30.520 may have just called it for white games. Might because 0:09:30.520 --> 0:09:33.640 of the early game this week. How many Sunday early 0:09:33.679 --> 0:09:38.040 morning games do we have this weekend? It's all but three? 0:09:38.400 --> 0:09:42.800 All but three? All but three. That's fun, all right, 0:09:42.920 --> 0:09:45.840 let's go Sunday morning. I hate this keeps happening, Kate, 0:09:45.920 --> 0:09:50.480 that this keeps happening. Cold Set the Bears, Colts at 0:09:50.480 --> 0:09:53.199 the Bears. We just mentioned the Colts. Uh, they roll 0:09:53.360 --> 0:09:55.319 over the Jets, by the way, final score of that 0:09:55.360 --> 0:09:58.920 game thirties six to seven. I said they shouldn't be 0:09:58.960 --> 0:10:02.200 favored by eleven and a half over anybody. Apparently I 0:10:02.240 --> 0:10:06.600 was maybe maybe against the Jets. They darnwell should have. Uh. 0:10:06.640 --> 0:10:09.240 And then there's by the way, Philip Rivers seventeen twenty 0:10:09.240 --> 0:10:12.800 one in that game for to seventeen, very efficient, one touchdown, 0:10:12.800 --> 0:10:15.800 no picks, no sacks. Um. There's that that play after 0:10:15.800 --> 0:10:17.600 the Jets, through a pass interference called the end zone, 0:10:17.679 --> 0:10:19.640 Rivers found mo Alei Cox for a one yard score 0:10:19.679 --> 0:10:22.080 to break the seven seven tie. And that's really where 0:10:22.080 --> 0:10:24.679 the floodgates open. Jets. We're looking good up until then. 0:10:25.040 --> 0:10:31.080 Chicago yesterday r I p Mitch Robiskie's starting career. UH. 0:10:31.240 --> 0:10:35.480 Nick Foles comes in in relief. Chicago makes up a 0:10:35.520 --> 0:10:39.160 sixteen point lead or point deficit, I should say, in 0:10:39.200 --> 0:10:41.800 the final six and a half minutes against Atlanta yesterday, 0:10:41.840 --> 0:10:44.439 we will get to the Falcons, who have done something 0:10:44.520 --> 0:10:48.080 epic two straight weeks. But Fols go sixteen of twenty 0:10:48.200 --> 0:10:51.840 nine for eight and relief three touchdowns, one pick, which 0:10:51.880 --> 0:10:55.120 really wasn't his fault uh and was never sacked. Got 0:10:55.160 --> 0:10:57.280 his chance after Trabisky through an interception in the third 0:10:57.360 --> 0:10:59.559 quarter that led to a Falcons field goal, pushing the 0:10:59.640 --> 0:11:01.600 lead to one. He's six to ten, and then the 0:11:01.600 --> 0:11:04.120 former Super Super Bowl m v P went to town 0:11:04.559 --> 0:11:06.800 and eventually won it with a twenty yard touchdown past 0:11:06.800 --> 0:11:10.120 to Anthony Miller with one fifty three remaining. Uh and 0:11:10.160 --> 0:11:13.160 that's after Foals had two apparent touchdown passes overturned by 0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:15.440 official reviews and still managed to pull out the victory. 0:11:15.480 --> 0:11:17.520 By the way, the reviews were correct, but he still 0:11:17.559 --> 0:11:20.480 had to overcome those two. Rabinsky was thirteen of twenty 0:11:20.480 --> 0:11:23.920 two for one before Foals came in one touchdown, one pick. 0:11:23.920 --> 0:11:26.680 He was sacked twice. Robinson was the big target in 0:11:26.679 --> 0:11:29.240 the game, ten for one touchdown. Jimmy Graham six of 0:11:29.320 --> 0:11:32.520 sixty two touchdowns. Bears had ten penalties for eight yards. 0:11:32.600 --> 0:11:34.920 That's still something they have to clean up. But that's 0:11:34.960 --> 0:11:39.160 their first three and oh start since and Matt Naggy 0:11:39.280 --> 0:11:43.520 is saying, Chrissy, well, I'll decide on the starting quarterback today. 0:11:43.800 --> 0:11:47.280 Come on, man, But this is why we we all 0:11:47.360 --> 0:11:49.640 knew right all offseason, all of us here on the network, 0:11:49.640 --> 0:11:51.400 and think there was one person who dissented on this. 0:11:51.640 --> 0:11:54.160 We're all like on that prop. Who's gonna start the season? 0:11:54.200 --> 0:11:57.120 Folds or Rabinsky? You know, I I said, and I 0:11:57.160 --> 0:11:59.760 think everybody else, did you have to start your bisky 0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:02.000 for the season beginning, because if you don't, that's the 0:12:02.080 --> 0:12:04.520 end of his confidence right there off the bat. So 0:12:04.720 --> 0:12:07.240 you always had this as a looming thing. As soon 0:12:07.280 --> 0:12:10.360 as Trabiski was, you know, as soon as Naggy lost 0:12:10.360 --> 0:12:13.480 confidence in him, falls was always there to come in. 0:12:13.840 --> 0:12:16.559 But I don't see a reason to go back. You're three, 0:12:16.559 --> 0:12:19.040 and oh those winds are banked. Stick with the Super 0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:23.040 Bowl m v P. Chicago should be a I'll say 0:12:23.040 --> 0:12:25.679 there are two and a half point favorite against Indianapolis. 0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:29.920 I don't want to say that I like your number 0:12:29.960 --> 0:12:32.400 better than what's out there, but I like your thinking 0:12:32.480 --> 0:12:34.640 better than what's out there. And the Colts too and 0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:38.640 half with juice on the favorite or three, I usually 0:12:38.679 --> 0:12:41.080 a three flat little three with some juice and were gone. 0:12:41.320 --> 0:12:43.120 I don't think the Colts should be favorite. Wait the 0:12:43.200 --> 0:12:48.240 Colts yesterday's game, Colts are favorite. I don't think we 0:12:48.240 --> 0:12:51.600 should let yesterday's game influence us too much, they'd be 0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:54.640 a horrible team. Like I said, the Colts still have 0:12:54.840 --> 0:12:59.320 a lot of injury problems. And uh, Philip Rivers, you know, 0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:03.679 I've never been a big Rivers guy. And uh, I 0:13:03.720 --> 0:13:09.120 didn't like even the trade they made here to get him. Um, 0:13:09.160 --> 0:13:11.959 I don't know why their favorite. I thought this game 0:13:12.000 --> 0:13:14.439 to be much closer to pick them. I would not 0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:16.520 have made the Bears of favorite either, by the way, 0:13:16.559 --> 0:13:18.240 but I do. I'm gonna open two and a half. 0:13:18.520 --> 0:13:21.480 I see a lot higher, but I'm kind of with you. Um, 0:13:21.760 --> 0:13:24.200 don't get don't get swayed too much that they could 0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:26.720 performing yesterday. They really are not that good. They just 0:13:26.920 --> 0:13:29.960 beat up a horrible team. And you mentioned earlier they 0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:32.120 kind of struggled a little bit in the beginning until 0:13:32.120 --> 0:13:36.200 the floodgates open. So and lost to the and lost 0:13:36.360 --> 0:13:40.040 earlier in the season. Uh already once right, and then 0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:43.199 you know just got by since they lost to the 0:13:43.280 --> 0:13:46.400 Jaguars right opening week. And then who did they beat 0:13:46.520 --> 0:13:51.800 last week? Jason Colts Viking the Vikings right again? Another 0:13:51.840 --> 0:13:54.680 team that is that is uh, certainly not you know, 0:13:54.720 --> 0:13:56.680 a shell of what it was, certainly a shell of 0:13:56.720 --> 0:13:59.520 what they were so yeah, they it didn't start well yesterday. 0:13:59.640 --> 0:14:02.640 The think I'm very curious about that line. Does I mean, 0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:05.600 do they think that Trabisky is starting? Because this is 0:14:05.640 --> 0:14:07.160 the this is what we talked about all the time. 0:14:07.240 --> 0:14:10.240 What's the difference between your starting quarterback and your backup quarterback? 0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:13.400 Right in the case of the Bears, like this is 0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:16.520 this is a big line difference to me between Trubisky 0:14:16.559 --> 0:14:20.280 and Folls. Wow, I'm surprised. I'm surprised that the cults 0:14:20.280 --> 0:14:23.120 are favored there. Um all right, well, that's the first 0:14:23.160 --> 0:14:25.600 going to disagree with you on that point, if I 0:14:25.720 --> 0:14:28.280 just jump in. At least I didn't think Foles looked 0:14:28.280 --> 0:14:30.400 all that great, And I don't have that big of 0:14:30.400 --> 0:14:33.640 a difference between the two at all, mostly because of 0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:36.880 the fact that I think, like you, like everybody thought 0:14:37.080 --> 0:14:40.200 that they were they were going to start Trabisky, and 0:14:40.280 --> 0:14:43.880 the yeared a lot of that offense around what Trabisky 0:14:44.160 --> 0:14:47.000 can and can't do, so now they have to change 0:14:47.000 --> 0:14:49.360 some things up. So but I'm not saying who is 0:14:49.400 --> 0:14:52.200 the better quarterback. I'm saying just the situation. To me, 0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:54.680 Dore's not mean there's that much of a difference line 0:14:54.720 --> 0:14:57.400 wise in the quarterback. How I don't see it that 0:14:57.440 --> 0:14:59.440 way at all. I mean, this isn't locked to drisk All. 0:14:59.520 --> 0:15:05.359 This is biscuit of I think the Bears are interesting. 0:15:05.520 --> 0:15:07.440 All right, we'll do more of these guesting lines. We 0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:10.040 already have one, and that we that we're interested in 0:15:10.080 --> 0:15:13.040 for sure. That is shocking to me. It's Gill Alexander. 0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:14.960 We get tweets that beating the book. I just want 0:15:14.960 --> 0:15:17.360 to cherry pick one here. It's from Andy Grossman. Gil. 0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:19.520 I too, am working on ympor because I have no 0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:24.400 sins to atone for me. Eire Andy, Wait, that might 0:15:24.400 --> 0:15:27.080 not be true. Just don't tell my parents. Hey, let's 0:15:27.080 --> 0:15:30.280 look at the Miami Heat Los Angeles Lakers series price. 0:15:30.320 --> 0:15:34.360 Can we Heat get by the Celtics last night? And 0:15:34.400 --> 0:15:38.360 it is a Lakers Heat final that begins on Wednesday, 0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:44.960 pat Riley against his former team lebron against his former team. 0:15:45.000 --> 0:15:48.560 If you will Lakers minus three sixty Heat plus three 0:15:48.600 --> 0:15:51.560 hundred at bet MGM Jason. I bet this immediately when 0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:55.160 it came out yesterday at plus three seventeen. Give me 0:15:55.160 --> 0:15:57.000 the heat. Give me one reason why I shouldn't bet 0:15:57.000 --> 0:16:00.800 the Heat other than the other. Then quote that the 0:16:00.840 --> 0:16:06.480 refs won't let it happen. Unquote, there is not one. Okay, 0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:09.720 thank you, thanks for that, waiting for deep dived alliss 0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:13.640 got right there, all right, Chris, Let's continue with guessing 0:16:13.760 --> 0:16:21.600 lines a week number four, sir, Thanks at the Lions Saints. 0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:24.720 At the Lions. Saints lose to the Packers last night, 0:16:24.800 --> 0:16:26.880 much of the chagrin of the South Point, as Chris 0:16:26.880 --> 0:16:30.280 he told us earlier, lose it thirty seven to thirty 0:16:30.680 --> 0:16:36.400 um Drew Brees thirty six for eight, three touchdowns, no picks, 0:16:36.800 --> 0:16:40.720 sack twice. Looks fine on the statuet Uh Kimara six 0:16:40.760 --> 0:16:43.320 of fifty eight on the ground thirteen for one thirty 0:16:43.440 --> 0:16:46.560 nine and two touchdowns, receiving one of those touchdowns, a 0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:50.520 scintillating fifty two yarder in which he broke four tackles. 0:16:51.320 --> 0:16:53.800 Keep pointing this game last night. It was tied at 0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:57.280 twenty seven. Excuse me. Early in the fourth quarter, and 0:16:57.600 --> 0:17:00.440 just two plays after the Saints d back's Malcolm Jenkins 0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:03.600 and Marshawn Lattimore combined to stop Aaron Jones short on 0:17:03.680 --> 0:17:08.280 fourth and one. Zadarius Smith then strips Taysom Hill on 0:17:08.320 --> 0:17:11.320 a read option run and recovers the fumble to give 0:17:11.400 --> 0:17:14.560 Green Bay possession again near midfield. So Chris Collins word 0:17:14.600 --> 0:17:17.399 described this perfectly. When the Saints stopped the Packers, it 0:17:17.480 --> 0:17:19.919 was like they had It's like they had broken serve 0:17:20.480 --> 0:17:22.959 because it doesn't look like either defense could stop either offense. 0:17:23.240 --> 0:17:25.359 And then the Saints did the Taysom Hill thing. Now, 0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:27.720 I know we've all been saying Drew Brees doesn't have 0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:30.200 the arm strength to throw the ball down, feel anymore, 0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:32.879 that's become trite, It's become cliche. I also happened to 0:17:32.880 --> 0:17:35.560 think it's true, but everybody saying it, you know what 0:17:35.600 --> 0:17:37.280 no one else is saying. And I'll be the first 0:17:37.280 --> 0:17:39.280 person to say this because because this has been bubbling 0:17:39.320 --> 0:17:42.040 under for me for a long time, someone please explain 0:17:42.119 --> 0:17:46.359 the infatuation with Taysom Hill to me? Seriously, what what 0:17:46.520 --> 0:17:50.960 is this? Why is this? Why did we anoint him 0:17:51.080 --> 0:17:56.720 this amazing multidimensional force when there's other players that require 0:17:56.920 --> 0:17:59.199 years for us to be convinced of that. We've just 0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:01.919 decided taste him. Hill is that guy. Here's twenty million 0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:04.200 over two years just to keep you around, and we're 0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:07.440 going to throw you into situations that are just going 0:18:07.480 --> 0:18:10.439 to be so strange in our offense. Anyway, they get 0:18:10.440 --> 0:18:11.840 the fumble, they get the strip, and that was the 0:18:11.880 --> 0:18:16.159 game because Rogers took over from there um took a 0:18:16.240 --> 0:18:18.480 ten point lead. I will give Sean Payton credit for 0:18:18.520 --> 0:18:22.720 this though, for betters. After the Packers went up ten late, 0:18:23.240 --> 0:18:27.320 I immediately in gamed the Packers at minus six and 0:18:27.320 --> 0:18:30.240 a half, figuring that short of a long bomb into 0:18:30.240 --> 0:18:32.400 the end zone or bomb deep into the red zone, 0:18:32.560 --> 0:18:34.720 Peyton would be smart enough to kick the field goal 0:18:34.840 --> 0:18:37.760 first down two scores, and he did, in fact do that. 0:18:38.280 --> 0:18:40.880 So thank you Sean Payton for knowing how to play 0:18:40.960 --> 0:18:44.320 Madden and for knowing what to do optimally in that situation. 0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:47.879 That's an in game winner. But New Orleans loses. And 0:18:47.880 --> 0:18:51.880 then there's Detroit. Detroit beats Arizona, a rematch of last 0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:55.320 year's Week one tie, but they get it done. Stafford 0:18:56.080 --> 0:18:58.320 one for two seventy two touchdowns. No Pixie was sacked 0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:00.720 four times. Calmly let a drive in the final minutes 0:19:00.720 --> 0:19:02.760 that was capped by Matt Prator's thirty nine yard field 0:19:02.760 --> 0:19:05.720 goals time expired. Lions win for the first time in 0:19:05.760 --> 0:19:09.920 eleven months, beat the Cardinals twenty three. Patricia now ten 0:19:10.000 --> 0:19:13.440 twenty four and one. In two plus seasons ten twenty 0:19:13.480 --> 0:19:15.520 four and one, New Orleans will be favored, will be 0:19:15.560 --> 0:19:17.600 more than a field goal, be minus four and a half. 0:19:18.160 --> 0:19:23.159 We got thirty seconds here, Chrissy, it's four, and my 0:19:23.240 --> 0:19:25.720 power ratings come a little higher. But I really think 0:19:25.760 --> 0:19:28.600 I like the four better. Uh. You know, a lot 0:19:28.640 --> 0:19:32.320 of money, sharp money showed on Detroit yesterday. Uh, and 0:19:32.359 --> 0:19:34.359 I have to give a little credence to that. So 0:19:34.400 --> 0:19:36.439 I'm gonna look for even when my power rats come 0:19:36.440 --> 0:19:38.960 a little higher. New Orleans by four. Okay, anything else 0:19:38.960 --> 0:19:40.840 you want to say about this, we'll get your comments 0:19:40.840 --> 0:19:44.200 here after the break. New Orleans minus four, Chris. He's 0:19:44.200 --> 0:19:48.280 putting up at Detroit next week. Both teams now one 0:19:48.480 --> 0:19:52.080 and two. A lot of games to get. To promise you, 0:19:52.080 --> 0:19:53.760 we'll get to each and every one of them. Coming 0:19:53.840 --> 0:19:56.120 up guessing lines week four in the National Football League, 0:19:56.119 --> 0:19:59.040 exclusively right here on a numbers game, right here at 0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:03.520 Visa these sports betting network. Uh. We're just talking about 0:20:03.520 --> 0:20:06.639 this Joe Montana story, which is amazing. And Malibu. Some 0:20:06.840 --> 0:20:12.439 intruder goes into his house, takes his grandchild out of 0:20:12.480 --> 0:20:18.080 the bassinet in his home, then runs upstairs with the child. 0:20:18.160 --> 0:20:22.720 The the kid, the alleged or would be kidnapper, runs upstairs. 0:20:23.440 --> 0:20:27.720 Montana and his wife try to reason this intruder out 0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:29.440 of the child or to let go of the child. 0:20:29.640 --> 0:20:33.960 A tussle ensues. Montana's wife rests the child away from 0:20:33.960 --> 0:20:36.280 her and then she flees and they and they capture 0:20:36.359 --> 0:20:43.840 Joe Montana. Everybody unbelievable, is right? That has nothing to 0:20:43.880 --> 0:20:46.000 do with anything. I'm just amazed by the story. Hey, Christy, 0:20:46.040 --> 0:20:48.399 did you want to add anything to New Orleans Detroit 0:20:48.480 --> 0:20:54.440 or or the Joe Montana Shenannigan's No, I mean you 0:20:54.520 --> 0:20:57.240 only no, I mean I have plenty in Montana stories, 0:20:57.280 --> 0:21:00.480 but none seem appropriate. Right, Yeah, it's gonna say, yeah, 0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:04.320 the John Candy story is for another time. That's that's yeah, Yeah, 0:21:05.280 --> 0:21:07.880 I have some other good ones. Actually, by my pan, 0:21:08.840 --> 0:21:14.399 that was the time anything New Orleans Detroit. No, you know, 0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:16.960 I'm gonna say that my power rings some a little higher. 0:21:16.960 --> 0:21:20.680 I'm still I'm still you know, we have zero home 0:21:20.720 --> 0:21:22.840 field advantage, you know, and I'm still not sure what 0:21:22.840 --> 0:21:24.919 it is. It looks like it does mean a little something, 0:21:25.040 --> 0:21:28.600