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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Friday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt to follow me on Twitter. This podcast always

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Speaker 2: being brought to you by bet MGM and their offer

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Speaker 2: for new users. It's a one thousand dollars first bet

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Speaker 2: offer available for new users with that promo Codejuice at

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Speaker 2: betmgm dot com. Okay, a bunch of stuff to get

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Speaker 2: here on Friday. I have a little bit of a

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Speaker 2: bigger card than what I normally would have, because, well,

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Speaker 2: if I'm going to go down, let's go down swinging.

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Speaker 1: And it's been a rough week.

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Speaker 2: Okay, this is I'm one in four over my last

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Speaker 2: four college basketball bets. So what do I do. I've

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Speaker 2: got three point twenty five or I guess more than that,

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Speaker 2: three point five to five units in play on college

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Speaker 2: basketball today. Why look, it's March. I know you guys

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Speaker 2: want to bet it. I want to bet it. We're

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Speaker 2: all watching. We're heading into the weekend. My daughter is

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Speaker 2: going to spring break here. You know, she's eight years old,

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Speaker 2: she gets out of school. We've got a big weekend plan,

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Speaker 2: got a big week plan next week. A lot of

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Speaker 2: fun things happening, just in a good mood, and I

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Speaker 2: want to fire. Maybe stupid because I was against the

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Speaker 2: Steam on Wednesday went one and two. I was with

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Speaker 2: the Steam on Thursday and I went oh in two.

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Speaker 2: Miami should have covered. I mean, my goodness, gracious, that

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Speaker 2: was frustrating. Iowa lost outright to Ohio state. So just

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Speaker 2: a heads up, you could fade these bets. This is

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Speaker 2: a reminder. I only ask for your attention. That's what

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Speaker 2: I ask your time now, it's a lot right When

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Speaker 2: I asked for your time, that's a pretty big guess.

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Speaker 2: Your most valuable thing is your time, so you give

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Speaker 2: me your time. I am very appreciative. I do not

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Speaker 2: mind if you fade my bets. I do not mind

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Speaker 2: if you use my information and go bet something else. Okay, yes,

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Speaker 2: I have the parlay today. We've missed it quite a bit.

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Speaker 2: But the premise of the parlay was a three leg

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Speaker 2: minus one ten bet for a plus six hundred return. Now,

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Speaker 2: over the years, it's more, it's morphed into all sorts

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Speaker 2: of things plus money plus eight hundred. But the minimum

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Speaker 2: has always been three legs six to one. I have

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Speaker 2: a three leg six to one college basketball parlay going today.

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Speaker 1: It's ugly, it's not gonna be fun, but it might hit.

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Speaker 2: I have a three leg moneyline parlay going today which

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Speaker 2: might not hit. I have two other straight bets as

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Speaker 2: well that I'm going to get into that are small

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Speaker 2: lines that we'll get to here in one second.

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Speaker 1: But before we get to that, we have to do

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Speaker 1: one thing.

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Speaker 2: We got to make an announcement as to who won

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Speaker 2: this month's premium giveaway, and a lot of you guys have.

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Speaker 1: Been asking questions about what's going to happen.

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Speaker 2: The winner of the one year of Betting Pros Premium

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Speaker 2: is Tabin Cool. Tabin Cool, please get in touch with

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Speaker 2: our customer support agents at mail Bag one word Mailbag

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Speaker 2: at Bettingpros dot com with your mailing address, proof of

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Speaker 2: subscription to Betting Pros, that YouTube channel that we tell

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Speaker 2: you every night to subscribe to, and your current Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros username. We will upgrade you and get that processed

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Speaker 2: as soon as we can. Again, the winner is taviin Cool. Congratulations,

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Speaker 2: you have been upgraded to Betting Pros Premium for one

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Speaker 2: year now. You might be new watching this podcast, going

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Speaker 2: Wait a minute, how can I get upgraded Matt, how.

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Speaker 1: Do I do this?

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Speaker 2: How do I get upgraded? Well, you can do that

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Speaker 2: by going and subscribing to this YouTube channel and then

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Speaker 2: leaving a comment underneath the video, positive, negative, whatever you

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Speaker 2: want to do. Because Premium Access will give you a

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Speaker 2: premium suite of tools and services to help you win

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Speaker 2: more bets. You can view top rated bets, including one

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Speaker 2: to five star for spreads, totals, and prop bets. You

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Speaker 2: can get bet signals including percentage of money and percent

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Speaker 2: of bets on either on sides and totals. And you

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Speaker 2: can set up a custom app alert to instantly be

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Speaker 2: notified online movement that targets the number you set, which

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Speaker 2: I absolutely love to do like this. Go ahead and

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Speaker 2: subscribe to this YouTube channel, the Betting Pros YouTube channel,

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Speaker 2: and then also leave a comment underneath, and you could

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Speaker 2: very well be upgraded like Tavin Coole got upgraded for

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Speaker 2: one full year of Betting Pros Premium.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the parlay. You guys are always.

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Speaker 2: Interested in the parlay. I'm going numbers based today, really heavy. Okay.

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Speaker 2: Three teams are in action that are three of the

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Speaker 2: most under teams in college basketball, Marquette, Io State and Northwestern,

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Speaker 2: these teams have played under games consistently season. You go

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Speaker 2: and start pulling some of these numbers and some of

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Speaker 2: these trends, and I love looking at this, and I

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Speaker 2: love going like, Okay, what are we looking at from

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Speaker 2: from an over under perspective and how these teams are

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Speaker 2: performing so on the year. If you look at just

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Speaker 2: stats wise, Northwestern nineteen eleven and one to the under,

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Speaker 2: Iowa State twenty and eleven to the under, and Marquette,

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Speaker 2: which isn't as aggressive to the under, but they've been

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Speaker 2: an under team recently. And I really like the way

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Speaker 2: they're playing defensively. I like Shakas Mark's system a lot,

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Speaker 2: in particular in tournament settings.

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Speaker 1: I like it a lot.

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Speaker 2: I think we're gonna see quite a bit of aggressive

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Speaker 2: defenses here by all three of these teams today. I'm

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Speaker 2: going under in all three games coming up here today. Now,

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Speaker 2: I know that's not really a fun parlay to get into.

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Speaker 2: But Iowa State in Kansas, they have played two times

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Speaker 2: this season. Both games have gone under. Okay, not gone

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Speaker 2: way under, but they've gone under. Kansas was one thirty six.

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Speaker 2: In the first matchup for Iowa State in Kansas, it

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Speaker 2: was under by fourteen points, sixty two to sixty. In

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Speaker 2: the second matchup, it was one thirty three and a

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Speaker 2: half and the game went under by twelve point twelve

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Speaker 2: and a half points. So both gamesically did go under

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Speaker 2: pretty aggressively, both at fog Allen and at in Ames.

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Speaker 2: For Iowa State in Kansas now it's one thirty and

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Speaker 2: a half lower. Still going to bet under Kansas, Iowa

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Speaker 2: State under Marquette and Yukon. Now, pace wise, this game

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Speaker 2: should be played pretty slowly, you know, just taking a

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Speaker 2: look at the way that Marquet has played this year.

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Speaker 2: Marquette has been on the road a ten to five

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Speaker 2: team to the under away from home this year, eleven

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Speaker 2: and ten to the over in games in the Big East.

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Speaker 2: Same with Marquette. But you're looking at Yukon. Yes, the

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Speaker 2: Yukon game went over, Okay, but two only two of

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Speaker 2: the last six games for Marquette have gone over. They're

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Speaker 2: playing slower. Last three games for Yukon have all gone under.

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Speaker 2: Same thing. Five of the last seven games for Yukon

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Speaker 2: have gone under. And yes, again I know, the two

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Speaker 2: Marquette games both went over by eleven and a half

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Speaker 2: and by ten. The number is one forty seven. However, Okay,

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Speaker 2: so it's right back to where it was one forty

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Speaker 2: seven and a half and one forty eight, or right

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Speaker 2: back to one forty seven. This is a neutral court,

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Speaker 2: this is a semi final, and I think Marquette's gonna

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Speaker 2: look to slow the pace down. That might be the

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Speaker 2: one leg that's the scariest of the under bets, just

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Speaker 2: given the way these teams have played. Yukon's gone under

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Speaker 2: by four and a half and by eight and a

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Speaker 2: half here at this tournament. The game against Saint John's

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Speaker 2: went under by twenty twenty yesterday for Marquette under one

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Speaker 2: forty seven. And then the third leg of this three

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Speaker 2: leg under parlay is Northwestern and Northwestern coming in against

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Speaker 2: Penn State. Now, Penn State has been an over team,

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Speaker 2: and you might go, oh, Matt, this is going to

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Speaker 2: be scary till those one thirty one here, Okay, Northwestern

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Speaker 2: nineteen eleven and one Penn State eighteen thirteen and one

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Speaker 2: to the over under Northwestern over Penn State. When these

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Speaker 2: teams played this season, it pushed. It was one thirty

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Speaker 2: three and it pushed. Okay, The total now is one

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Speaker 2: thirty one between these two teams and I think we're

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Speaker 2: going to see a very slow pace. The game against

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Speaker 2: Illinois went over. For Penn State they seventy nine seventy six.

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Speaker 2: But for Northwestern against Rutgers, they won sixty five fifty three,

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Speaker 2: went under by nine and a half points. They just

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Speaker 2: played Penn State in the last regular season game. They

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Speaker 2: lost sixty eight sixty five at home. That game pushed

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Speaker 2: total was one thirty three. So now here we are

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Speaker 2: neutral site game, we're going under one thirty one. All right,

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Speaker 2: quarter unit bet Marquette under one forty seven, Iowa State

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Speaker 2: under one thirty and a half, Northwestern under one thirty one.

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Speaker 2: It is a six to one return for a quarter

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Speaker 2: unit bet here. For Fridays, don't bet parlay parlays. So here,

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Speaker 2: I am saying, don't bet parlays, and I'm betting two

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Speaker 2: of them today. The reason I hate betting point spreads. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm done laying more than two points. Okay, that's it,

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Speaker 2: two and a half. I'm out in college basketball the

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Speaker 2: rest of the way. I'm just gonna bet money lines,

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Speaker 2: all right. Houston, according to Ken Palm, is number one,

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Speaker 2: Ucla is number two, and Alabama is number three.

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Speaker 1: In all three play today.

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Speaker 2: All right, I'm going chalk as chalk can be with

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Speaker 2: a little method to my madness.

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Speaker 1: All right, So Alabama plays early.

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Speaker 2: They play at ten o'clock Pacific time, one pm Eastern

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Speaker 2: noon in Nashville, first game of the day.

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Speaker 1: Alabama four and oh.

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Speaker 2: The game following a loss, and they just lost to

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Speaker 2: Texas A and M in their final of their regular season.

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Speaker 2: They've been sitting and waiting and watching. All Right, Alabama

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Speaker 2: taking on Mississippi State. This, according to Ken Palm, is

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Speaker 2: right on the number seven eight points. Okay, this is

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Speaker 2: going to be a heavily pro Alabama crowd tied fans

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Speaker 2: are going to be there, tied. Defense is fourth in

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Speaker 2: adjusted efficiency. Mississippi State is sixth.

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Speaker 1: All right. When these teams have played this season, it's

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Speaker 1: not been blowouts.

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Speaker 2: Alabama won sixty six to sixty three in the game

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Speaker 2: in Tuscaloosa, and they won seventy eight sixty seven.

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Speaker 1: On the road. Okay, so I don't think this is

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Speaker 1: a going away.

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Speaker 2: I lean towards taking the points with Missippi State, but

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Speaker 2: I'm not doing that giving the Alabama's four and oh

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Speaker 2: following a loss, and they have the firepower to blow

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Speaker 2: out anybody they want, and they could blow out Missippi

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Speaker 2: State first leg. Alabama money line minus three to h

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Speaker 2: five second leg. I've seen this number for Houston today

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Speaker 2: anywhere from minus four thousand to minus eight thousand. You're

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Speaker 2: gonna want to get to the minus four thousand number

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Speaker 2: if you can, all Right, try hard because it's gonna

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Speaker 2: affect the actual return on the podcast on the on

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Speaker 2: this parlay, twenty point win over East Carolina. All Right,

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Speaker 2: Houston's winning their game today. This is just a throw in.

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Speaker 2: They're winning this game. They're not losing. If I lose

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Speaker 2: this parlay, then I'm ice cold because of Houston losing.

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Speaker 2: I'm ice cold and just fade everything the rest of

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Speaker 2: the weekend because I'm dead cold. This is an important

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Speaker 2: number though, I got minus four thousand, all right, So

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Speaker 2: Houston to win, Alabama to win if the first two

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Speaker 2: legs come in. There is a strategy here, okay, that

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Speaker 2: leaves the UCLA Bruins game, which will take place later tonight, Okay,

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Speaker 2: late night game happening up against Oregon. This will be

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Speaker 2: the hardest game of the day for us to get

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Speaker 2: Oregon's live to win this game, Okay, UCLA should win,

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Speaker 2: but one hundred percent hedge this okay, don't lose any money.

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Speaker 2: Bet organ if the first two legs hit, bet Oregon

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Speaker 2: to make sure you don't lose any money, and then

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Speaker 2: maybe you get the six to one return. It would

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Speaker 2: would then turn into a five to one return, which

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Speaker 2: is still pretty good. Or just bet back so you

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Speaker 2: get to your profitable You could bet to win more

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Speaker 2: and bet on Oregon. You bet a quarter unit in Oregon,

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Speaker 2: which will be plus two hundred, so you win a

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Speaker 2: half a unit there. So you double your money on

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Speaker 2: the quarter unit and you don't lose anything, right, you

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Speaker 2: just come out and win a quarter unit. So this

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Speaker 2: is there's a method of the madness. Here's what I'm saying.

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Speaker 2: Alabama money line, Houston money line, UCLA money line is

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Speaker 2: minus two sixty all right, So again huge hedge opportunity.

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Speaker 2: Alabama winning very important. But again they're four to zero

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Speaker 2: after a loss of this year, so I'm gonna bank

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Speaker 2: them and beat Missippi State. They get that, they get beat,

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Speaker 2: we're dead one unit. This is a minus one thirteen parlay,

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Speaker 2: all right, So go ahead one point one to three

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Speaker 2: units down to win one unit coming back. Okay, Alabama

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Speaker 2: Houston UCLA, Ken Palm's top three teams moneyline parlay for

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Speaker 2: Bius one thirteen and let's see what happens here. Okay, again,

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Speaker 2: Alabama Houston win, We're gonna you can then hedge off

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Speaker 2: of it with UCLA third bet. I've been running my

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Speaker 2: mouth a lot on my other show about how I

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Speaker 2: bat how bad I think the ACC is. I think

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Speaker 2: the ACC kind of stinks. I don't think there's anybody

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Speaker 2: really all that good except Miami. I like Miami a lot.

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Speaker 2: Miami Hurricanes are three point dogs to Duke. Why because

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Speaker 2: it's Duke. I don't think Miami should be favored in

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Speaker 2: this game. I'm actually pretty surprised, Sorry, the Duke is favored.

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Speaker 2: Miami should be favored in this game. I'm gonna surprised

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Speaker 2: that Duke is favored in this game given the fact that, well, yes,

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Speaker 2: Duke did beat UCA did beat Miami at Cameron sixty

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Speaker 2: eight sixty six lines three when they played at Miami.

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Speaker 2: Miami won eighty one fifty nine. And that game wasn't

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Speaker 2: that long ago. That was on February the sixth, when

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Speaker 2: Miami took a part Duke. Okay, yes, Miami lost to

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Speaker 2: Florida State they came back and beat Pittsburgh. Then they

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Speaker 2: beat wake Forest. They did not cover for us yesterday,

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Speaker 2: laying five. The steam came that number one all the

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Speaker 2: way as high as seven and a half before it

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Speaker 2: came back down to seven.

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Speaker 1: Were close.

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Speaker 2: Every number was dead seven and a half all the

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Speaker 2: way down to the opening number of four. I laid five. No,

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Speaker 2: nothing covered. They won by two points Wake Forest. Laying

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Speaker 2: points is a pain in the neck in these in

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Speaker 2: these games, but I think they can beat Duke outright.

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Speaker 2: I got plus three sprinkle the money line. I think

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Speaker 2: Miami can win this game outright. I think Miami can

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Speaker 2: knock out Duke. I don't think Duke should be favored

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Speaker 2: by three points in this game. Miami plus three for

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Speaker 2: one point one units and the last bet we're gonna

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Speaker 2: jump into.

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Speaker 1: I watched A and M in Alabama.

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Speaker 2: I watched the entire basketball game, and I am I

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Speaker 2: don't want to say stunned that this number is one,

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Speaker 2: but I think A and M is playing incredibly well

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Speaker 2: right now. And I know Arkansas is healthy, and I

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Speaker 2: know people like Arkansas when they're healthy, But Arkansas is

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Speaker 2: eight and eleven ats in the SEC. I like buzz

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Speaker 2: Williams a lot thirteen and five ats in the SEC

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Speaker 2: eight and two over their last ten games, nine and

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Speaker 2: six on the road, Alabama minus one, one by six,

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Speaker 2: Mississippi laid five.

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Speaker 1: One by eight.

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Speaker 2: They lost on the road Mississippi State by seven, but

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Speaker 2: they beat Tennessee at home, laying one and a half

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Speaker 2: one by five. They beat Missouri on the road, catching

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Speaker 2: two and a half. They won by nine.

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Speaker 1: Arkansas.

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Speaker 2: These two teams played back on the fifteenth at home.

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Speaker 2: Arkansas was catching four points. They didn't cover. The number

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Speaker 2: was four. They won by six. Texas A and M

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Speaker 2: did LSU on the road, laying six and a half

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Speaker 2: one by twelve, Auburn laying three and a half, one

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Speaker 2: by five. In Georgia laying twelve and a half, they

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Speaker 2: won by twenty five. In the month from February first

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Speaker 2: to today, there's only been one game that Texas A

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Speaker 2: and M didn't cover. Okay, it's minus one, I'm fine,

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Speaker 2: it's basically a money line bet. It's minus one ten.

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Speaker 2: I think A and M wins this game. I think

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Speaker 2: A and M is going to be a problem in

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Speaker 2: the dance. I think Buzz Williams, he's just a very

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Speaker 2: He's a good coach, and I know the numbers aren't

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Speaker 2: that helpful for text A and M in terms of

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Speaker 2: Ken Palm. Yeah, they're twenty fifth according to Ken Pom,

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Speaker 2: and Ken Pomp has this as a one point loss

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Speaker 2: to Arkansas.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I just disagree with that.

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Speaker 2: I mean, maybe Arkansas has got more fans that are

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Speaker 2: gonna be there, but I think just defensively, I know

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Speaker 2: Arkansas can do a lot, but offensively, I like what

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Speaker 2: A and M can do. They're an awesome offensive rebounding

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Speaker 2: team and that's huge in tournaments to get after the glass.

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Speaker 2: It's not gonna be an easy game. It's gonna be

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Speaker 2: a flip flop, back and forth type of basketball game.

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Speaker 2: But it's a seven o'clock Eastern time start. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: lay the one point text A and M minus one

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Speaker 2: up against Arkansas for one point one units. Like I said,

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Speaker 2: you can fade all of these all right, I'm going

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Speaker 2: down swinging here on a Friday. If we have a

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Speaker 2: good day, we could have a winning week. Okay, it's

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Speaker 2: possible we do well today. We could set ourselves up.

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Speaker 2: But we lost one point two units yesterday after losing

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Speaker 2: two units the day before. We won reunits coming back.

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Speaker 2: So I think like we're down three and a half

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Speaker 2: units for the week, somewhere in that range. So a

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Speaker 2: big day today, if we've sweeped the board today, somehow,

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Speaker 2: we're probably gonna wind up not up, No, it'll probably

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Speaker 2: be flat getting into the weekend if we sweep the board,

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Speaker 2: but we can stack day by day, bet by bet

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Speaker 2: and get ourselves to maybe having a Sunday opportunity to

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Speaker 2: have a winning week.

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Speaker 1: So that's kind of my goal here.

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Speaker 2: Do well Friday, do well Saturday, and then potentially have enough,

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Speaker 2: you know, have a hit a bole number on Sunday

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Speaker 2: to wind up getting ourselves a good week. No hockey,

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Speaker 2: there's two games in hockey. Nothing I really like all

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Speaker 2: that much. Just two games in hockey. Big card on Saturday,

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Speaker 2: though that we'll get into a lot of college basketball,

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Speaker 2: a lot of hockey. Not there to the NBA just yet,

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Speaker 2: NBA playoffs. We'll start having conversations about betting on NBA

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Speaker 2: playoffs because everyone plays and everyone plays hard when that happens.

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Speaker 2: By the way, congratsu to the Oilers. The Bruins were

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Speaker 2: forty zho to one, leading by two goals. This season,

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Speaker 2: they were up to nothing in that game. Blew it

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Speaker 2: lost three to two to Edmonton. Heck of a win

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Speaker 2: for Connor McDavid and company. Very well, that could be

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Speaker 2: the Cup. We will have exactas Bruins Stars, Bruins oilers,

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Speaker 2: Hurricane oilers coming into the exactas very very soon here

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Speaker 2: on the podcast. Be watching for Stanley Cup exactas soon.

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Speaker 2: But for now, Marquette under Iowa State under Northwestern. I

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Speaker 2: guess then the numbers matter. Marquette under one forty seven,

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Speaker 2: Iowa State under one thirty and a half, Northwestern under

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Speaker 2: one thirty one, six to one parlay one unit moneyline

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Speaker 2: parlay Alabama Houston, UCLA one point one to three units

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Speaker 2: down on that, Miami plus three against Duke at minus

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Speaker 2: one ten one unit bet and you uh tex A

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Speaker 2: and m minus one one point one units down on

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Speaker 2: that as well against Arkansas minus. Matt Parolt followed me

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Speaker 2: on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning,

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Speaker 2: It's the deal. This podcast being brought to you by

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Speaker 2: Bedam jam MHM