WEBVTT - Negotiating from Strength - August 15th, Hour 1 0:00:01.440 --> 0:00:03.520 All right, Thanks Scott Shannon, and thanks to all of 0:00:03.560 --> 0:00:06.040 you for being with us. Right down our toll free 0:00:06.720 --> 0:00:09.039 telephone number, it's eight hundred and ninety four to one, 0:00:09.119 --> 0:00:11.600 Sean if you want to be a part of the program. 0:00:12.080 --> 0:00:15.480 If you are not near a television, let me describe 0:00:15.560 --> 0:00:19.760 the scene. Oh maybe about twenty thirty minutes ago President Trump, 0:00:19.800 --> 0:00:23.600 air Force one landed. Here. We are broadcasting this radio 0:00:23.640 --> 0:00:29.560 program from Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska. This 0:00:29.600 --> 0:00:33.040 is where the summit has taken place between President Trump 0:00:33.080 --> 0:00:37.080 and Vladimir Putin, and in the last six seven minutes 0:00:37.159 --> 0:00:40.400 or so of Vladimir Putin has touchdown. Let me give 0:00:40.400 --> 0:00:43.120 you a quick rundown of what we expect the day 0:00:43.240 --> 0:00:50.600 to be like. Is Air Force one arrived, And sure enough, 0:00:50.840 --> 0:00:54.280 Vladimir Putin has arrived. President Trump has not come off 0:00:54.400 --> 0:00:58.720 Air Force One. He's but that I have the whole schedule. 0:00:58.760 --> 0:01:01.840 This is all planned out, literally to the minute, so 0:01:01.960 --> 0:01:04.000 you know what the day's going to be like. Now, 0:01:04.520 --> 0:01:08.520 there are many unpredictable things that can happen. They'll guarantee 0:01:08.520 --> 0:01:11.959 this meeting will last more than five minutes. Remember President 0:01:11.959 --> 0:01:13.640 Trump said, I think I'll know in two minutes if 0:01:13.640 --> 0:01:16.520 he's serious. I don't think Putin would be here if 0:01:16.520 --> 0:01:22.880 there's not some level desire interest in coming to some agreement. 0:01:23.000 --> 0:01:25.720 And President Trump has been very smart about how he's 0:01:25.760 --> 0:01:29.640 managed expectations about all of this and how this is 0:01:29.680 --> 0:01:33.160 a first step and that the next step if in 0:01:33.200 --> 0:01:36.760 fact Putin is really willing he's going to make that determination. 0:01:36.880 --> 0:01:39.480 He says he may know within two minutes. That's that's 0:01:39.680 --> 0:01:41.520 that's being able to read a room. I'll tell you 0:01:41.560 --> 0:01:43.520 that part. I wonder what he thinks of me when 0:01:43.560 --> 0:01:46.240 he sees me, you know, before the interview that I'm 0:01:46.280 --> 0:01:48.680 about to do with him tonight, He'll size me up 0:01:48.680 --> 0:01:51.160 in a minute and a half. I'm like, that's it, Handedy, 0:01:51.160 --> 0:01:55.559 you're out anyway. I'll go through the itinerary for you, 0:01:55.680 --> 0:02:02.120 just so you know. Between they're both going to come 0:02:02.120 --> 0:02:04.000 off with the plane. Here's President Trump. As a matter 0:02:04.040 --> 0:02:08.840 of fact, now again this is all planned, all orchestrated. 0:02:08.880 --> 0:02:14.000 President Trump is making his descent down Air Force one. 0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:17.079 And you know, I would not be surprised any second 0:02:17.080 --> 0:02:19.440 now if you saw Vladimir Putin do the same thing. 0:02:20.360 --> 0:02:25.200 And I can tell you right now, I'm in an 0:02:25.280 --> 0:02:28.960 airport hangar. If I were to walk out this door 0:02:29.720 --> 0:02:32.480 and hit the hangar and walk to the end of 0:02:32.520 --> 0:02:36.639 the hangar, I'd be watching this live. That's how close 0:02:36.639 --> 0:02:40.639 we are to what was actually happening here. Vladimir Putin 0:02:40.720 --> 0:02:44.280 now is coming down. I think that's Vladimir, comrade, how 0:02:44.320 --> 0:02:49.760 are you vodka? Again? All of this predetermined, all of 0:02:49.760 --> 0:02:53.440 this orchestrated. So this is what they call a spray 0:02:54.240 --> 0:02:59.120 where the two men will meet, and what they'll immediately 0:02:59.200 --> 0:03:01.320 do is and they both have a red carpet that 0:03:01.360 --> 0:03:05.960 they're walking on, and they will then have a private 0:03:06.280 --> 0:03:09.040 meeting as I understand that, it'll be the two of 0:03:09.080 --> 0:03:13.400 them alone, probably with interpreters, although Putin does speak English, 0:03:13.520 --> 0:03:17.760 is my understanding, and then they will have a series 0:03:17.840 --> 0:03:23.160 of breakout meetings that will take us to about I 0:03:23.160 --> 0:03:27.400 don't know, anywhere between you know, five six o'clock. Then 0:03:27.440 --> 0:03:29.560 they're going to have at some point in between, they're 0:03:29.600 --> 0:03:33.360 expected to have lunch together. And when all is said 0:03:33.400 --> 0:03:38.680 and done, and this is maybe scheduled for about seven 0:03:38.720 --> 0:03:44.120 point thirty tonight this evening, they would have a joint 0:03:44.120 --> 0:03:47.720 press conference. We don't know for sure. I mean again, 0:03:47.760 --> 0:03:51.520 that's going to be fluid as well. And at that point, 0:03:51.600 --> 0:03:55.600 immediately after that press conference, I will go up live. 0:03:55.680 --> 0:03:57.839 It might be a little few minutes earlier before nine, 0:03:57.880 --> 0:03:59.640 so you might want to, you know, be watching like 0:03:59.680 --> 0:04:03.800 a five or eight fifty. I will have the first 0:04:04.280 --> 0:04:07.160 exclusive sit down interview with President Trump to find out 0:04:07.160 --> 0:04:11.280 how this whole day works out. You could see President Trump. 0:04:11.280 --> 0:04:14.880 He's greeting the troops. He's clapping to some group of 0:04:14.920 --> 0:04:18.239 people I'm not sure who. Probably I would assume the troops. 0:04:18.600 --> 0:04:21.159 I had the great honor opportunity to meet a lot 0:04:21.200 --> 0:04:25.719 of people that are here serving our country at Joint 0:04:25.720 --> 0:04:31.000 Base Almendroth Richardson. There's the handshake and a flyover with 0:04:31.040 --> 0:04:37.240 what sounds like some fighter jet, and they're smiling, looks friendly, 0:04:38.000 --> 0:04:43.599 shaking hands, walking down the red carpet together. And President 0:04:43.600 --> 0:04:47.520 Trump is significantly taller than Vladimir Putin. I don't know 0:04:47.600 --> 0:04:51.080 if that means anything. I remember one time I was 0:04:51.120 --> 0:04:53.320 mad at President Trump over something that was during his 0:04:53.400 --> 0:04:56.159 first campaign. I said, all just sit down. As soon 0:04:56.160 --> 0:04:58.880 as he sat down, I stood up because I did 0:04:58.960 --> 0:05:00.680 because I wanted to get as a tension. I was 0:05:00.680 --> 0:05:03.080 telling them something that was I felt was important in 0:05:03.120 --> 0:05:07.440 the moment. But optics matter. If I were to give 0:05:07.480 --> 0:05:11.919 you an overall, if you read the room, body language 0:05:12.560 --> 0:05:17.400 very relaxed, both sides, a lot of smiles, so maybe 0:05:17.440 --> 0:05:21.560 not a bad indication. They they add, it's it's actually 0:05:21.600 --> 0:05:24.479 on a delay, which just so you know the feed 0:05:24.600 --> 0:05:28.320 because they both looked up in the air. They're now standing. 0:05:28.360 --> 0:05:31.640 It says Alaska twenty twenty five. I don't know if 0:05:31.640 --> 0:05:34.320 they're f thirty fives behind them. I don't it is 0:05:34.480 --> 0:05:37.040 f thirty fives, Okay, there are two f thirty fives 0:05:37.080 --> 0:05:40.680 behind them. And last time, I don't know. Did you 0:05:40.720 --> 0:05:44.039 see the shot where we had the the a wax 0:05:44.040 --> 0:05:47.280 plane behind me? How cool was that on TV? And 0:05:47.279 --> 0:05:51.760 it says Alaska twenty twenty five. And I believe ones 0:05:52.120 --> 0:05:55.520 is one American. No, they're both. They're all American. They're 0:05:55.560 --> 0:06:00.120 all American. I met kids that were that are surving 0:06:00.160 --> 0:06:03.640 here from all over the country. All right, So they 0:06:03.680 --> 0:06:08.440 had the quick photo op. The Beast is there, that 0:06:08.640 --> 0:06:13.920 is the presidential limousine, and it looks like Vladimir is 0:06:13.960 --> 0:06:18.320 getting inside the Beast. When I was in the Ghost States, 0:06:18.480 --> 0:06:21.240 I got to go in the Beast as part of 0:06:21.240 --> 0:06:24.520 my you know interview and experience with President Trump. The 0:06:24.560 --> 0:06:27.240 doors are thicker than anything you've ever seen in your 0:06:27.400 --> 0:06:31.719 entire life. And I will not reveal secrets I may 0:06:31.839 --> 0:06:35.000 or may not have learned about that. What's interesting is 0:06:36.040 --> 0:06:41.080 I guess because it's I guess because it's on American terrorists. 0:06:41.080 --> 0:06:45.719 It's in Alaska. That's why they're doing that. And so 0:06:46.600 --> 0:06:50.080 you know, again all of this is orchestrated. The spray 0:06:50.200 --> 0:06:53.600 is over Trump and Putin now will go into a meeting. 0:06:54.920 --> 0:06:58.840 The breakout sessions will then follow up with that. I'm 0:06:58.880 --> 0:07:01.799 sure a lot of the breakout sessions will result in First, 0:07:02.760 --> 0:07:06.839 let's queue you into what we discussed, and then let's 0:07:06.920 --> 0:07:10.440 take it a step further in a best case scenario. Now, 0:07:11.520 --> 0:07:14.120 how do we define success here? There's so much to 0:07:14.200 --> 0:07:16.320 tell you about the lead up to all of this. 0:07:18.200 --> 0:07:21.200 There's some rays of hope and then there's some dose 0:07:21.240 --> 0:07:25.400 of reality in the lead up to today. For example, 0:07:26.000 --> 0:07:30.640 you know, we know Ukraine attacked multiple cities in Russia 0:07:31.520 --> 0:07:36.200 just yesterday, and we know that the Russians had also attacked. 0:07:36.880 --> 0:07:39.560 You know, the Ukrainians also hit a Russian oil refinery 0:07:40.760 --> 0:07:46.480 last night in air strikes, and similarly, we know that 0:07:46.560 --> 0:07:50.960 the Russians have been pounding Ukraine, and so, you know, 0:07:51.120 --> 0:07:56.480 both sides I think doing it for some type of advantage. 0:07:56.840 --> 0:07:59.240 Maybe they think it's some type of negotiating advantage. I 0:07:59.280 --> 0:08:02.720 don't really know about Ukraine. Last night struck an oil 0:08:02.800 --> 0:08:08.440 refinery in Russian's Samara region in an overnight attack. Ukrainian 0:08:08.440 --> 0:08:12.880 forces also hit a Caspian seaport cargo vessel. You know, 0:08:12.920 --> 0:08:16.040 the war is ongoing, there's not a ceasefire, so both 0:08:16.080 --> 0:08:20.239 sides are doing the same thing. In Alaska, it was interesting. 0:08:20.280 --> 0:08:24.440 I saw two contingencies. One is a bunch of leftists 0:08:24.440 --> 0:08:29.080 that were protesting and another group several hundred people gathering 0:08:29.120 --> 0:08:33.160 for a pro Ukraine rally here in Anchorage where the 0:08:33.200 --> 0:08:38.719 president is and with hundreds of Russian soldiers. I mean 0:08:38.760 --> 0:08:43.840 both sides, both Ukraine and Russia. Both sides have you know, 0:08:45.040 --> 0:08:47.960 they have been fighting, you know now for going on 0:08:48.040 --> 0:08:52.080 three years. And if anyone would have told me Ukraine 0:08:52.080 --> 0:08:54.120 would still even be in the game, I wouldn't have 0:08:54.160 --> 0:08:58.480 believed it. Now, for the most part, it became a 0:08:58.520 --> 0:09:04.640 proxy war between Joe Biden's administration and Russia. Now, there 0:09:04.640 --> 0:09:08.560 are certain things that have happened that I think really 0:09:09.200 --> 0:09:11.480 got Putin's attention. First of all, I think there is 0:09:11.520 --> 0:09:14.760 a genuine relationship between the two of them. I don't 0:09:14.760 --> 0:09:17.240 think this is like a lot of other summits where 0:09:17.320 --> 0:09:19.800 there's a predetermined outcome. I don't really see that here. 0:09:20.800 --> 0:09:25.040 But if you look at, for example, the fact that 0:09:25.080 --> 0:09:27.800 the President kind of has gotten fed up with Putin 0:09:28.280 --> 0:09:31.240 and him dragging his feet, and he's trying to push 0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:33.840 this thing along, and he's put a lot of political 0:09:33.880 --> 0:09:37.559 capital into this, I think finally said okay, fine, if 0:09:37.600 --> 0:09:39.800 you're going to be difficult and you're going to continue 0:09:39.800 --> 0:09:43.920 to attack innocent women and children, we're going back. We're 0:09:43.920 --> 0:09:47.080 going to arm Ukraine. Although President Trump is doing it 0:09:47.120 --> 0:09:50.200 differently than Joe Biden did is he's selling the weapons. 0:09:50.960 --> 0:09:54.600 The second thing that I'm certain got Russia and Putin's 0:09:54.600 --> 0:09:59.679 attention is the EU trade deal, where close to a 0:09:59.720 --> 0:10:05.160 troph million dollars Europe is now committing to purchasing American energy. 0:10:05.760 --> 0:10:09.920 That's money coming directly out of Putin's pocket. The heart 0:10:10.000 --> 0:10:14.440 and soul of Russia's economy is energy. The fact that 0:10:15.360 --> 0:10:21.040 the European Union has been purchasing so much energy from 0:10:21.120 --> 0:10:26.240 Vladimir Putin has actually worked against them because they're funding 0:10:26.240 --> 0:10:30.600 his war machine in the process. Another big part of 0:10:30.640 --> 0:10:35.520 this is the tariffs the President Trump put on India 0:10:35.559 --> 0:10:38.520 if they continue to buy Russian oil, and when the 0:10:38.559 --> 0:10:41.040 President says over and over again, there will be severe 0:10:41.120 --> 0:10:44.200 consequences if Putin doesn't make a deal. Here not talking 0:10:44.200 --> 0:10:46.839 about going to war with Russia. He is basically saying 0:10:46.880 --> 0:10:50.600 he's going to do everything in his power to prevent 0:10:50.760 --> 0:10:54.280 Russia from being able to sell their energy, which will 0:10:54.320 --> 0:10:57.520 just devastate their economy. The last thing that I'm sure 0:10:57.600 --> 0:11:03.000 got Putin's attention is President Trump was able to get 0:11:03.080 --> 0:11:06.960 NATO to double their commitments. So all of this is 0:11:07.000 --> 0:11:11.559 happening simultaneously. As we continue our coverage, it's going to 0:11:11.600 --> 0:11:13.760 be an interesting day for me. I mean, the show's 0:11:13.800 --> 0:11:15.679 going to be a little bit more fluid than normal, 0:11:16.240 --> 0:11:19.840 and we'll get some expert analysis, but for the most part, 0:11:19.880 --> 0:11:22.160 for the next two hours, they're disappearing in a room 0:11:22.840 --> 0:11:26.080 and I'll try to work some sources and find out, yeah, 0:11:26.120 --> 0:11:28.120 your name and see if you know I can get 0:11:28.160 --> 0:11:32.240 any indication. But Russia's paid a very dear price too. 0:11:32.880 --> 0:11:36.360 Radio Free Europe had a peace out after mounting losses 0:11:36.440 --> 0:11:39.440 in Ukraine, the Russian government appears to be intensifying their 0:11:40.520 --> 0:11:45.600 coercive recruitment tactics. They're now having to target prisoners as 0:11:45.679 --> 0:11:50.480 conscripts and ethnic minorities from remote regions, as well as 0:11:50.520 --> 0:11:54.760 Central Asian migrant communities. Remember, they've also been importing fighters 0:11:54.800 --> 0:11:59.000 from North Korea, and, according to testimonies collected by Radio 0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:04.080 pre Europe, mail inmates and prisons and parts of Siberia 0:12:04.160 --> 0:12:09.000 describe routine beating, psychological torture threats aim to force them 0:12:09.040 --> 0:12:12.640 into military service. And then on the other hand, then 0:12:12.679 --> 0:12:16.040 you have reports that there might be you know, President 0:12:16.120 --> 0:12:19.360 Zelenski is taking guys that are over sixty years old 0:12:19.920 --> 0:12:24.040 to go fight this conflict. I mean, nobody's doing great here, 0:12:24.080 --> 0:12:27.240 nobody's winning in this There's no winners and have been 0:12:27.240 --> 0:12:32.000 no winners here. Fortune magazine pointed out Russia's coming financial 0:12:32.040 --> 0:12:36.120 crunch could derail Putin's war machine. Yeah, well, okay. The 0:12:36.200 --> 0:12:40.120 Kremlins oil and gas revenue, their main source of revenue, 0:12:40.320 --> 0:12:43.079 tumble twenty seven percent in July from a year ago 0:12:43.920 --> 0:12:46.800 to seven hundred and eighty seven point three billion rubles 0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:51.760 to about nine point eight billion, or about down nine 0:12:51.760 --> 0:12:53.800 point eight billion. That's a lot of money, especially if 0:12:53.800 --> 0:12:56.679 you're trying to fight a war, and it's probably about 0:12:56.679 --> 0:13:02.240 to go down significantly more. Now, what is the endgame? 0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:05.400 What it all right? More important? Let me let me 0:13:05.440 --> 0:13:07.240 give you what the reality is. All right, let me 0:13:07.280 --> 0:13:09.360 be very let me let me keep it real here, 0:13:10.480 --> 0:13:14.559 because the best, the best case scenario coming out of 0:13:14.640 --> 0:13:18.040 today would be they have a good meeting, they agree 0:13:18.080 --> 0:13:20.640 to the meeting that Donald Trump has called for, and 0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:24.880 adds Zelensky uh the idea that European countries that have 0:13:25.000 --> 0:13:27.480 enriched Putin are trying to tell Donald Trump how to 0:13:27.520 --> 0:13:30.200 negotiate as a joke to me, because they themselves have 0:13:30.280 --> 0:13:35.520 compromised their own security. So if that in fact happens 0:13:35.600 --> 0:13:37.800 and the and President Trump has said he wants that 0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:42.840 next meeting very quickly. Okay, at that point, then what 0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:47.079 are we really dealing with? Okay, Well, Putin's going to 0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:49.400 retreat and he's going to go back to run. That's 0:13:49.440 --> 0:13:51.960 not going to happen. It's going to be a very 0:13:52.000 --> 0:13:58.319 complicated needle to thread that will involve land swaps. But also, 0:13:58.640 --> 0:14:01.480 well Putin doesn't want to get of Ukraine, which is 0:14:01.520 --> 0:14:05.880 security guarantees so they won't be a third invasion. What's 0:14:05.960 --> 0:14:09.520 the point of doing this? And what you get a 0:14:09.520 --> 0:14:13.119 democratic president in next time and you get another conflict. 0:14:13.760 --> 0:14:16.520 That's not a win to me. All Right, I'll give 0:14:16.559 --> 0:14:19.280 you what the most likely outcoming scenario is here in 0:14:19.320 --> 0:14:23.800 a second. Anyway, we continue. We are at Joint Base 0:14:24.080 --> 0:14:28.120 Elmendorf Richardson. We're in Anchorage, Alaska. We're literally feet away 0:14:28.120 --> 0:14:32.280 from where Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump are. I do 0:14:32.360 --> 0:14:36.240 have the first interview with President Trump tonight, Hannity, Fox News. 0:14:36.320 --> 0:14:38.200 Hope you'll tune in and watch that. That's going to 0:14:38.280 --> 0:14:40.520 be very interesting. I love knowing what's going on behind 0:14:40.560 --> 0:14:42.760 the scenes. What happened, tell me the real secret? What 0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:45.520 did did Vladimir eat anything? One of the more interesting 0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:48.320 things in one of the Kim Jong un summits was 0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:52.160 to find out that nobody in the delegation of North 0:14:52.200 --> 0:14:55.000 Korea ate a bite of food. They must have thought 0:14:55.000 --> 0:14:58.640 it was poisoned. And at the time, Tucker Carlson went 0:14:58.680 --> 0:15:02.440 in and started grabbing the desserts and handing them out. 0:15:03.040 --> 0:15:07.280 True story. There's there's a lot happening here that I 0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:10.360 want to get into. I want to start with this 0:15:10.480 --> 0:15:14.720 is this is not Donald Trump's fault. You look at 0:15:14.760 --> 0:15:19.640 the timeline we have talked extensively about. You know, Joe Biden, 0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:23.440 Joe Biden couldn't even pick up a phone and call Vladimir. 0:15:23.480 --> 0:15:26.000 He Vladimir, why do you have two hundred thousand troops 0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:30.720 and all this military equipment on the on the border 0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:37.440 with Ukraine And you know, maybe we could talk this out, 0:15:37.480 --> 0:15:40.960 Maybe we could talk this through. And Joe Biden never 0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:46.040 bothered to lift a finger. So you know, Joe Biden 0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:49.360 just didn't care. And this is the point. You know, 0:15:49.360 --> 0:15:51.400 if you look at Crimea when it was annexed in 0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:55.160 twenty fourteen, Hello, Instagram, how are you good to see you? 0:15:55.520 --> 0:15:58.120 By the way, we here at the Sean Hannity Show 0:15:58.200 --> 0:16:03.920 support David Sunflower. I prefer the ranch flavor. But this 0:16:04.040 --> 0:16:08.440 all happened Crimea happened under Obama. And in the case 0:16:08.480 --> 0:16:12.600 of this military build up that you know, weaponry and 0:16:12.760 --> 0:16:16.040 troops along the Ukrainian border, it was so obvious. And 0:16:16.320 --> 0:16:21.520 Joe's answer don't and Kamala's answer don't. What is don't mean? 0:16:22.160 --> 0:16:25.000 And oh it depends if it's a minor incursion. What 0:16:25.040 --> 0:16:28.160 does a minor incursion. Mean, this is madness, this is insane. 0:16:29.440 --> 0:16:33.720 So because President Trump now again a lot of negotiation 0:16:33.960 --> 0:16:37.280 is an art, it's not a science. And then what's 0:16:37.320 --> 0:16:40.240 fascinating is is President Trump saying I'll know within two 0:16:40.320 --> 0:16:42.360 minutes whether or not he's serious. Well, two minutes is 0:16:42.400 --> 0:16:45.000 coming gone. Because where you are right here, you know, 0:16:45.080 --> 0:16:48.200 literally we're not. I honestly, I'm sure I could probably 0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:51.520 throw a football to whatever room they're in at Joint 0:16:51.520 --> 0:16:55.840 Base Almendorff Richardson. It's a beautiful place. Wonderful people by 0:16:55.840 --> 0:16:58.080 the way that work here. I I've met these young, 0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:00.800 you know, soldiers from all around the country. They're just 0:17:00.840 --> 0:17:05.280 phenomenal people. But because President Trump, what happened because of 0:17:05.359 --> 0:17:09.760 Biden and his weakness and the minor incursion became a 0:17:09.840 --> 0:17:14.600 full on, blown out war in Europe. What the end 0:17:14.640 --> 0:17:19.439 result is is that Joe Biden ended up providing all 0:17:19.560 --> 0:17:24.080 of the weaponry and funding it. So it evolved into 0:17:24.160 --> 0:17:29.040 what was nothing short of a US proxy war with Russia. 0:17:29.400 --> 0:17:32.760 Well that's never going to end well. And President Trump 0:17:32.760 --> 0:17:36.040 has a whole different strategy, and he said to put 0:17:36.080 --> 0:17:38.200 he said in the lead up to today, there will 0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:40.719 be severe consequences they're going to spell out what that 0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:44.119 will mean. But if you go back just a number 0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:47.240 of months ago and you look at the polling data, 0:17:47.600 --> 0:17:51.600 the polling data was clear Americans they want no part 0:17:52.359 --> 0:17:55.359 of these forever wars and they don't think we should 0:17:55.359 --> 0:17:58.320 be involved in foreign conflicts. So I got pinned by 0:17:58.359 --> 0:18:01.840 these these Russia media people sticking cell phones in my face. 0:18:01.880 --> 0:18:03.480 I'm like, how do you even know who I am? 0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:06.920 And I said, you got to understand Donald Trump will 0:18:06.960 --> 0:18:10.480 walk away in five minutes. Five minutes has passed, so okay, 0:18:10.480 --> 0:18:12.639 he can't walk away now. But when I said that 0:18:12.680 --> 0:18:16.120 to them, it was a reality. And Donald Trump, probably 0:18:16.359 --> 0:18:20.800 the United States, on paper, gets the least out of 0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:25.320 this deal. There's not one European leader that could possibly 0:18:25.440 --> 0:18:28.080 pull this meeting off, not one, not one that would 0:18:28.119 --> 0:18:31.680 even expend the political capital to try. But they don't 0:18:31.680 --> 0:18:34.720 have the strength to do it. But Donald Trump got 0:18:34.760 --> 0:18:36.879 them to commit to more than twice of what they 0:18:36.920 --> 0:18:39.440 were paying for NATO. So many nations weren't paying their 0:18:39.440 --> 0:18:43.159 fair share. And Donald Trump did a trade deal with 0:18:43.240 --> 0:18:46.560 Europe which resulted in a trillion dollars and committed money 0:18:46.600 --> 0:18:48.520 for energies that they're going to buy from US that 0:18:48.600 --> 0:18:52.320 stops funding Putin's war machine. That's a smart thing to do. 0:18:52.920 --> 0:18:56.560 President Trump said to India, you keep importing Russian oil 0:18:56.920 --> 0:18:59.560 at We're going to slapping you with a fifty percent 0:18:59.640 --> 0:19:02.600 terror Guess what. India now has to think twice about 0:19:02.600 --> 0:19:04.719 whether or not they're going to take on any more 0:19:04.840 --> 0:19:07.080 Russian energy, which would not be a good idea for 0:19:07.119 --> 0:19:09.120 them anyway. But in the case of Europe, it's more 0:19:09.160 --> 0:19:14.400 infuriating because they're paying all this money for national defense 0:19:14.440 --> 0:19:19.520 and at NATO alliance well against two against the possibility 0:19:20.040 --> 0:19:24.080 of Vladimir Putin or hostile regimes coming in. It's insane. 0:19:24.640 --> 0:19:30.840 But because Donald Trump has been very, very skillful in 0:19:30.960 --> 0:19:34.520 making sure both sides have something to lose here. You 0:19:34.560 --> 0:19:38.199 see the polls have now reversed and reversed quickly and 0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:42.560 rather dramatically, and it shows sixty two percent of Americans 0:19:42.600 --> 0:19:46.639 overall support sending military assistance to Ukraine. Now, one of 0:19:46.680 --> 0:19:51.000 the reasons for that is that President Trump is not 0:19:51.200 --> 0:19:55.760 giving them the equipment it is, but he is recognizing 0:19:56.520 --> 0:20:02.200 that Russia's handling of this and their lack of a conscience, 0:20:02.240 --> 0:20:04.920 a heart, and a soul when it comes to you know, 0:20:05.160 --> 0:20:08.080 just taking out innocent women and children, which they have 0:20:08.119 --> 0:20:11.800 been targeting, has got to stop. And that is in 0:20:11.840 --> 0:20:14.600 the world's best interest. It is in the world's best interest. 0:20:14.960 --> 0:20:18.920 You know, if countries would focus more on economic partnerships 0:20:19.320 --> 0:20:22.880 over you know, geopolitical conflicts, do you think, just think 0:20:22.920 --> 0:20:25.520 how much better off the world would be. It's like 0:20:25.560 --> 0:20:27.320 some of these people that come up with the most 0:20:27.359 --> 0:20:32.800 sophisticated criminal schemes, You wonder what might they accomplish if 0:20:32.840 --> 0:20:37.159 they ever put all of that energy, all of that thought, 0:20:37.240 --> 0:20:41.800 all of that creativity into something productive. But they don't 0:20:41.840 --> 0:20:45.919 do that. So the one thing that Trump wants it 0:20:45.920 --> 0:20:47.879 he wants a lot of things out of this meeting. 0:20:47.920 --> 0:20:52.199 And but one of the things, if you want to 0:20:52.200 --> 0:20:54.359 look at the big picture, what do we expect? What 0:20:54.480 --> 0:20:56.480 is the realistic outcome here? I don't want to play 0:20:56.520 --> 0:20:59.840 games with all of you out there. Donald Trump's been 0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:03.639 clear that this is a first step. Donald Trump's been 0:21:03.720 --> 0:21:08.600 clear that if this goes well, he wants phase two 0:21:08.640 --> 0:21:12.679 to come very quickly and expeditiously. Phase two would include 0:21:12.760 --> 0:21:16.520 Zelenski then, of course, but then we're talking about a ceasefire. 0:21:17.440 --> 0:21:21.040 Then we're talking about an end to the hopefully the hostilities. 0:21:21.600 --> 0:21:24.720 Then we're talking about a negotiated settlement. That's that would 0:21:24.800 --> 0:21:27.600 be the ultimate goal. That is not what's that's not 0:21:27.640 --> 0:21:30.000 in the cards today. President Trump's been clear that's not 0:21:30.040 --> 0:21:33.240 in the cards. If you want to know what I 0:21:34.040 --> 0:21:38.760 think the realistic outcome is, and maybe some of you 0:21:38.920 --> 0:21:41.000 like this, maybe some of you won't like to hear 0:21:41.160 --> 0:21:43.840 the reality I can. I can sit here and BSU 0:21:43.920 --> 0:21:47.520 and tell you things that just aren't true. But the 0:21:47.560 --> 0:21:52.240 reality is, if this war goes on for a protracted 0:21:52.320 --> 0:21:56.720 period of time, I don't see the odds of Ukraine 0:21:57.080 --> 0:22:01.439 ever winning back any of the territory they currently have lost. 0:22:02.960 --> 0:22:07.760 Ukraine is completely dependent on other countries to fight this conflict. 0:22:07.800 --> 0:22:12.520 The Russians are not. If the Russians find other avenues 0:22:13.280 --> 0:22:16.280 where they can sell their oil, they will be able 0:22:16.320 --> 0:22:19.760 to continue to fund their war machine. Now do I 0:22:19.760 --> 0:22:23.240 think they are foolish enough to want the entire land 0:22:23.320 --> 0:22:27.280 mass of Ukraine and need an occupying force, Because that's 0:22:27.280 --> 0:22:30.199 what it would take, and it would they would have 0:22:30.280 --> 0:22:35.359 their own problems in terms of they would constantly Russian 0:22:35.400 --> 0:22:40.600 soldiers would constantly be killed constantly. You'd be a resistance 0:22:40.800 --> 0:22:43.040 that would go on for decades and decades and decades. 0:22:43.080 --> 0:22:45.359 I don't think that's what it is. But you know, 0:22:45.359 --> 0:22:48.399 Putin would argue that the Dambas region eighty percent Russian 0:22:48.480 --> 0:22:51.480 national if you gave people a vote, they would go 0:22:51.720 --> 0:22:55.560 with Russia. So what is the likely outcome? And again, 0:22:55.680 --> 0:22:57.960 don't shoot the messenger. I'm giving you just a straight 0:22:58.040 --> 0:23:01.840 up analysis on this. I would imagine a landswap is 0:23:01.880 --> 0:23:04.520 probably going to be part of it. What does that mean? 0:23:04.880 --> 0:23:09.320 It probably means at this point because Ukraine has lost 0:23:09.400 --> 0:23:16.200 the territory in a war, right or wrong, historical precedents, whatever, 0:23:16.320 --> 0:23:21.919 it doesn't matter, and that's going to be what Russia wants. 0:23:22.520 --> 0:23:27.560 Now what does Ukraine want? Ukraine is going to want security, 0:23:28.040 --> 0:23:30.840 and by the way, they will. There's no deal worth 0:23:30.880 --> 0:23:34.919 having for Ukraine if now they're not going to have 0:23:35.000 --> 0:23:38.560 NATO security, that's a non starter. But they're going to 0:23:38.640 --> 0:23:43.439 want security guarantees and other European leaders Macron for example, 0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:46.760 said Trump was supportive of continued security guarantees for Ukraine. 0:23:47.359 --> 0:23:49.480 Putin's not going to like that part of the equation. 0:23:50.200 --> 0:23:52.560 Putin would like to have the ability or the option 0:23:52.720 --> 0:23:55.120 to go back in any time. He damn well pleases, 0:23:55.880 --> 0:23:58.520 and that would mean the possibility of a third invasion, 0:23:59.359 --> 0:24:02.920 And what's the point of even starting this process if 0:24:02.920 --> 0:24:05.320 that's going to be the end result. Bad bad idea, 0:24:05.400 --> 0:24:09.320 bad consequence. So, you know, the hope is coming out 0:24:09.359 --> 0:24:11.560 of today is that Vladimir comes in with the right 0:24:11.600 --> 0:24:15.040 attitude and he understands that he's not going to get 0:24:15.080 --> 0:24:18.920 everything he wants. The President has spoken to Zolensky many, 0:24:18.960 --> 0:24:23.720 many times. The President is now funding uh Zolensky in 0:24:23.840 --> 0:24:28.400 terms of you know, it's American weaponry that he's buying 0:24:28.960 --> 0:24:32.040 that is keeping him in the game. You know. So 0:24:32.520 --> 0:24:35.400 it's uh, you know one other thing I think strategically 0:24:35.400 --> 0:24:37.720 for the president's very smart too, because you have the 0:24:38.520 --> 0:24:41.800 you know, how close does does Donald Trump want China 0:24:41.840 --> 0:24:45.960 to Russia? And don't think that Vladimir Putin's not competitive 0:24:46.160 --> 0:24:50.400 with President she because he is now. Putin has praised 0:24:51.080 --> 0:24:55.040 Trump's sincere desire for peace and the lead up to today, 0:24:55.760 --> 0:24:58.120 I thought this was pretty interesting comments that he made 0:24:58.280 --> 0:25:01.520 late yesterday praising the US for making sincere efforts to 0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:04.600 end the war between Russia and Ukraine, which is raged 0:25:04.640 --> 0:25:08.239 on now for over three years. And he said on 0:25:08.359 --> 0:25:11.040 TV that the US was making, in my opinion, quite 0:25:11.160 --> 0:25:14.760 energetic and his sincere efforts to stop the hostilities and 0:25:14.800 --> 0:25:18.399