1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:03,520 Speaker 1: Welcome to season three of the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: I'm Pat Fitzmorris here with Baul McBrayer. The main part 3 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:09,440 Speaker 1: of the PGA Tour season kicks off this week with 4 00:00:09,480 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: the Sony Open in Hawaii. Every week during the PGA season, 5 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: we will give you a full betting preview of the 6 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: upcoming events. We'll describe each course and talk about which 7 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:22,439 Speaker 1: players it favors or disfavors. We'll discuss the favorites from 8 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 1: the perspective of betting value. We'll give you our favorite 9 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 1: mid range values and our favorite long shots. We'll tell 10 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 1: you who we have on our own betting cards for 11 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 1: the week. And since we know a lot of you 12 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 1: like to play in one and done contest, BO and 13 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:36,800 Speaker 1: I will make one and done picks of our own 14 00:00:36,840 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: every week and have a little competition. Bo destroyed me 15 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:43,040 Speaker 1: in last week's one and done contest, but nevertheless it's 16 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 1: great to see you. 17 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:43,879 Speaker 2: Bo. 18 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:47,160 Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but once the FedEx Cup 19 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 1: playoffs are over, the only golf betting I'll do is 20 00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 1: Ryder Cup or President's Cup. I'll pay attention to the 21 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 1: fall events and the dp World Tour, but I don't 22 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: really bet those events. What about you do you dabble 23 00:00:58,640 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: in those offseason tournaments. 24 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 3: I think I do even less with the fall swing. 25 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 3: It's golf, but it's not It's not the golf that 26 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 3: I really am into that much. I like to bet 27 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 3: what I know, I like to watch what I know, 28 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 3: and I don't really have a lot of extra time 29 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:20,400 Speaker 3: to watch the fall swing. It's football season. Come on, guys. Yeah, 30 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 3: now that winter is upon us and we're getting back 31 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 3: into the West Coast swing with the Sony Open this week, 32 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 3: I'm fully engaged in golf mode. 33 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, excellent, Well, it's great to have you back. Let's 34 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: get to this week's tournament, the Sony Open. Normally we 35 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: would start the show with a quick recap of the 36 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:42,759 Speaker 1: previous week's event, but as I mentioned at the top 37 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 1: of the show, this is the first tournament of the 38 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 1: main part of the PGA Tour calendar. Normally we get 39 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 1: two events in Hawaii. The first event has traditionally been 40 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 1: the Century at Kapalua's Plantation Course. That event was canceled 41 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 1: because of concerns that drought conditions and water restrictions might 42 00:01:59,400 --> 00:02:02,680 Speaker 1: leave the course unfit for tournament plays. So let's get 43 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 1: right to the Sony. It's a full field event with 44 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 1: a thirty six hole cut, but this year most of 45 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 1: the full field events will have one hundred and twenty 46 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:14,080 Speaker 1: entrants rather than one hundred and forty four. The tour 47 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 1: is trying to improve the flow of play and have 48 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 1: fewer instances of rounds not being completed before sunset. The 49 00:02:21,200 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 1: Sony will once again be played at Wiley Country Club 50 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:28,880 Speaker 1: in Honolulu. It's a par seventy measuring seven forty four yards. 51 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:31,919 Speaker 1: Wiley has been a fixture on the PGA Tour since 52 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 1: nineteen sixty five. It's a short course with a lot 53 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 1: of dog legs. It's not that the fairways are especially narrow, 54 00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:41,240 Speaker 1: but there are trees along the fairways and a lot 55 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 1: of holes, sometimes with branches overhanging fairways. So accuracy off 56 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:47,960 Speaker 1: the t is essential so that players have a good 57 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:50,920 Speaker 1: angle of attack into these greens. If you miss your 58 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:52,639 Speaker 1: target off the tea, you might not have much of 59 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: an angle, and if you really miss your target, you're 60 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 1: gonna have to deal with the thick and unpredictable permuta. 61 00:02:58,960 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 1: Rough thought, the ty not that big an advantage. Accuracy 62 00:03:03,120 --> 00:03:06,520 Speaker 1: much more importance. Iron play is going to be critical 63 00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 1: this week as well. The greens at Wila or Bermuda. 64 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: They're small by PGA Tour standards. There's some water on 65 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:15,359 Speaker 1: the course, not a ton of it. Bunker play will 66 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:19,160 Speaker 1: be important. There's something like eighty bunkers at Wila and 67 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 1: they are well placed. The course does tend to play 68 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 1: firm and fast, and it's Hawaii, so there is going 69 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:29,080 Speaker 1: to be some breeze throughout the week. But still birdies 70 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: are plentiful. Even though it's a par seventy. With only 71 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 1: two par fives, players generally need to get to sixteen 72 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 1: or seventeen under par to have a chance. And by 73 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 1: the way, two par fives are number nine to number eighteen, 74 00:03:42,440 --> 00:03:45,720 Speaker 1: so players always close out each nine with a par five. 75 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:49,560 Speaker 1: And obviously, with only two par fives, par four scoring 76 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 1: is going to be very important this week. The back 77 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 1: nine is easier than the front nine at Wila. If 78 00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:56,960 Speaker 1: you're going to contend, you have to pile up birdies 79 00:03:57,040 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: of the back nine. The defending Sony Open champion is 80 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 1: Nick Taylor. He was sixteen under par last year, beat 81 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 1: neck nko Ettriveria in a playoff the Lake. Grayson Murray 82 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 1: won here in twenty twenty four with the score of 83 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 1: seventeen under. He beat Keegan Murray and Ben On in 84 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 1: a playoff, Seewoo Kim one here in twenty twenty three 85 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 1: with the scar of minus eighteen, and Jdeki Matsuyama one 86 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two, finishing minus twenty three and beating 87 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:26,800 Speaker 1: Russell Henley in a playoff. The weather should be lovely 88 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: typical Hawaii staph temperatures in the mid to upper seventies, 89 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:32,479 Speaker 1: with wins in the ten to twenty mile an hour 90 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 1: range bowl what will it take to conquer Whylea and 91 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:37,600 Speaker 1: win the. 92 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 3: Sony accuracy off the tee and on approach proximity on approach, 93 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:46,599 Speaker 3: It's not going to be enough at the Sony Open 94 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:49,920 Speaker 3: to merely hit the green. You're going to be looking 95 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 3: at real birdy opportunities. And for as small as those 96 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:56,280 Speaker 3: greens are, they're also not that flat. They're pretty undulating. 97 00:04:56,320 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 3: Hawaii is a pretty hilly state, especially on the island 98 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:03,919 Speaker 3: of o Wahu, so I do expect a little bit 99 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 3: of pushback from this golf course that's traditionally not one 100 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 3: of the easier on the tour, which is probably why 101 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 3: it stood the test of time. We've seen Sony sponsor 102 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:15,599 Speaker 3: this tournament for a long long time, and even before 103 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 3: Sony had this tournament, it was way back in the 104 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:22,839 Speaker 3: sixties when they had it. And it's such a gorgeous property, 105 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,599 Speaker 3: challenging golf course that used to be a par seventy two. 106 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 3: They got rid of two of the par fives and 107 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 3: turned them into par four's. Accuracy off the tea is essential. 108 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:34,039 Speaker 3: I'm going to be looking at guys who not just 109 00:05:34,920 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 3: hit the fairway, but can score from the fairway. So 110 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 3: I'm looking at the guys who aren't going to make 111 00:05:41,800 --> 00:05:44,480 Speaker 3: too many mistakes off the tee, and if they are 112 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 3: in position, they can cash in with good approach play, 113 00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:50,640 Speaker 3: proximity on approach in the distances I'm looking at between 114 00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:53,280 Speaker 3: one fifty and two hundred yards. That's going to be 115 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:57,360 Speaker 3: really really important. And of course, birdier better percentage, because 116 00:05:57,640 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 3: at the end of the day, you're not going to 117 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 3: be able to win a one hundred and twenty man 118 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 3: field and take home all that money if you can't 119 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:08,720 Speaker 3: make birdies. It's gonna be a fun one. I love 120 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 3: the Sony Open ever since I was playing the Wilight 121 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,839 Speaker 3: country Club golf game on Nintendo sixty four back in 122 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 3: the day. Shout out to those who get that reference. 123 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 3: That's an actual video game and the only course on 124 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 3: that game was Wiley Country Club, So I know the 125 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:24,839 Speaker 3: course intimately because I'd play that game for hours. 126 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: Pretty good field for this one too. We've got no 127 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:32,960 Speaker 1: Scottie Shuffler, We've got no Rory McElroy, but still there's 128 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 1: some pretty good names here. It's gonna be a fun 129 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:37,840 Speaker 1: events and we will get to the odds for the 130 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:40,720 Speaker 1: Sony Open in just a moment, But first. 131 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 3: Track your bets. Stay accountable and level up by downloading 132 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:48,920 Speaker 3: the Betting Pros app with sportsbooks Sink automatically track your 133 00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:53,240 Speaker 3: bets across all major sports books in one spot. Easily 134 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:56,600 Speaker 3: monitor your bet performance by sport and bet type, including 135 00:06:56,680 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 3: game picks, props and parlays, custom betting solutions to find 136 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:06,039 Speaker 3: winning trends and profitable opportunities. New users can get six 137 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 3: months of Betting Pros Premium free with your first deposit 138 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:13,559 Speaker 3: and wager at one of our partner sports books. Learn 139 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 3: more at bettingpros dot com slash Premium. 140 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: Let's get to the odds for the Sony Open. Russell 141 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 1: Henley is the favorite at eleven to one. Ben Griffin 142 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 1: is seventeen to one, Hideki Matsuyama is eighteen to one. 143 00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: JJ Spawn is nineteen to one, Colin Monk Morikawa is 144 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 1: twenty to one, Seawoo Kim, Robert McIntyre and Keegan Bradley 145 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:38,239 Speaker 1: are twenty two to one. Harry Hall and Maverick McNeely 146 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 1: are twenty five to one. Nick Taylor, the defending champ, 147 00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:43,480 Speaker 1: is twenty eight to one, and if thirty five to one. 148 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 1: We have a big group with Corey Connors, Chris Kirk, 149 00:07:46,200 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: Aaron Rai, Kurt Kitty Yama and Jordan Speith. Do you 150 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:51,360 Speaker 1: like anyone from this group? 151 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 3: Bo, what a great field. We don't need Scotti Scheffler 152 00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 3: and Rory McElroy in this field. This field's perfectly fined. 153 00:07:57,400 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 3: It is deep. There's some really good young teen in 154 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 3: this field. I like Colin Moricaba on this course. In theory. 155 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 3: I don't know that he'll win at twenty to one. 156 00:08:07,480 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 3: I better be pretty sure he's gonna win. I think 157 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 3: this field's too strong, it's too deep, it's got too 158 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 3: many it's got too many rising stars for Colin Morricaba 159 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 3: to say, to really put his foot down and stamp 160 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:23,360 Speaker 3: it so I'm going to actually go with a more 161 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:26,520 Speaker 3: proven name in recent years at twenty to one, with 162 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:30,960 Speaker 3: JJ Spahn and many people who just if you maybe 163 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 3: just started watching golf last year, you might think JJ 164 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 3: Spahn's a star on tour because he won the US Open. 165 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:40,079 Speaker 3: He did all these great things. He was head to 166 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 3: head with Scotti Scheffler and took him down. JJ Spahn 167 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:46,800 Speaker 3: is a star on the PGA Tour, but it wasn't 168 00:08:46,800 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 3: that long ago, maybe three or four years ago, but 169 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 3: JJ Spahn was taking advantage of this kind of tournament 170 00:08:52,840 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 3: with the shorter golf courses accuracy as a premium, and 171 00:08:56,800 --> 00:09:00,480 Speaker 3: he was those are the tournaments he usually was pegged at. Oh, 172 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:03,360 Speaker 3: this is a JJ spawn week now that he's a 173 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 3: star on tour and it's a perfect stop off on 174 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 3: the PJ Tour course fit wise, I'm gonna lay my 175 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 3: money on JJ Spawn at twenty to one. And in 176 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 3: the same vein we saw a little bit of a 177 00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:17,720 Speaker 3: coming out party last year from Harry Hall, the britt 178 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:21,000 Speaker 3: the Englishman twenty five to one. That guy's got way 179 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:22,960 Speaker 3: too much talent to be at twenty five to one. 180 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:26,679 Speaker 3: This is the this the young talent wave. I mean, 181 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:28,679 Speaker 3: Harry Hall's not the youngest guy, but as far as 182 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 3: experience goes on tour, this is gonna be a banner 183 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:34,880 Speaker 3: year for Harry Hall. He's got every bit of talent 184 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 3: that it takes to win multiple events in a season 185 00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:39,960 Speaker 3: and this might be just be the first one. 186 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,080 Speaker 1: And we know he can roll in birdies. Well he's 187 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 1: gonna put wow, Yeah, he can put so yeah. JJ 188 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:49,720 Speaker 1: Spawn finished third at the Sony last year, and he 189 00:09:49,760 --> 00:09:54,080 Speaker 1: finished fourth at the Hero World Challenge not long ago 190 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:58,079 Speaker 1: in early December. Russell Henley, oh the favorite. I mean, 191 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 1: he won this event back in twenty thirteen. He's had 192 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 1: some close calls. He's finished top eleven here in four 193 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:07,320 Speaker 1: of the last five years and Russell Henley a phenomenal 194 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 1: putter on Bermuda Greens've got Ben Griffin coming off the 195 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 1: breakout twenty twenty five season. Doesn't have much of a 196 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:15,880 Speaker 1: track record at the Sony, but he did win his 197 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 1: last event, the Worldwide Technology Championship, which was part of 198 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:24,160 Speaker 1: the False Swing. Another defending champ, Pideki Matsuyama, won in 199 00:10:24,200 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 1: twenty twenty two, but traditionally has not putted all that 200 00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:31,200 Speaker 1: well at Wila and twenty twenty two, the birdie putts 201 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:33,679 Speaker 1: were going in. So I'm kind of with you on 202 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:40,319 Speaker 1: Kalamarkawa at twenty to one. At first glance, I thought 203 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:42,480 Speaker 1: that was an attractive price, and the more I thought 204 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:45,320 Speaker 1: about it, I just didn't like it. Hasn't played the 205 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:49,040 Speaker 1: Sony since twenty twenty one, finished seventh in that event. 206 00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 1: I mean, terrific with the irons, which definitely makes him 207 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 1: dangerous at Wiley. But I don't know, I just I 208 00:10:56,200 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 1: can't go there. But what do you think about Seawu Kim. 209 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 1: It's been really in this event. He's had some poor finishes, 210 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:04,680 Speaker 1: but he did win here in twenty twenty three. He's 211 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:07,880 Speaker 1: had two top fives in the last two months. He 212 00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 1: was fourth with the PGA Tours RSM Classic and then 213 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:14,680 Speaker 1: he was third at the Crown Australia Open, a DP 214 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 1: World Tour event. 215 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's kind of the thing with Seawoo. It's 216 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:21,559 Speaker 3: not just this event. It might not be any particular event, 217 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 3: but Seewu Kim is a streaky, streaky player, and you 218 00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 3: can't as a sports better, as a golf better as 219 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 3: somebody who's going to give out advice on who to bet. 220 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 3: I really kind of have to stick to the sea 221 00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:39,720 Speaker 3: Wu Kim only on Pete Dye design rule. If I 222 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:41,680 Speaker 3: get a Pete Die course, I'm gonna I'm gonna be 223 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,480 Speaker 3: in on seaw Kim because it just seems like he 224 00:11:44,559 --> 00:11:46,920 Speaker 3: just owns Pete Die golf courses. This is not a 225 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:50,400 Speaker 3: Pete Die design and therefore I cannot bet seaw Kim 226 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:53,200 Speaker 3: because he scares me. He makes me tremble in my 227 00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:55,960 Speaker 3: boots when I have money riding on him, because I 228 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 3: know that he's either gonna win by six or he's 229 00:11:58,120 --> 00:11:59,320 Speaker 3: gonna miss the cut by eight. 230 00:12:01,600 --> 00:12:04,679 Speaker 1: We've got Keegan Bradley who finished second here in twenty 231 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:07,560 Speaker 1: twenty four, sixth and twenty twenty five, so he's had 232 00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:10,560 Speaker 1: a couple of good showings here in recent years. Boe 233 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 1: a horse for the course. What about our champ Nick 234 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:17,560 Speaker 1: Taylor won here last year seventh and twenty twenty three, 235 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:20,800 Speaker 1: seventh and twenty twenty four, eleventh and twenty twenty one, 236 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:24,080 Speaker 1: short and straight off the tee, get a good recipe 237 00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:27,320 Speaker 1: and he pots these greens well, he just likes. 238 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:31,839 Speaker 3: The clutch clutch player. I don't see any reason why 239 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:33,679 Speaker 3: he can't win it. He's not on my radar as 240 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:36,480 Speaker 3: a player to win this year because of all the 241 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 3: names I'm going to be reading off and supporting later 242 00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 3: on in the show. Here are the reason why I 243 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:45,679 Speaker 3: can't really, in good conscious call for a back to 244 00:12:45,760 --> 00:12:48,080 Speaker 3: back win for Nick Taylor, even though I love reading 245 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 3: for the guy, because who doesn't love a good Canadian 246 00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:51,160 Speaker 3: who likes to win? 247 00:12:52,080 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 1: That's right? Yeah, I mean he's great here, But agree 248 00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 1: the caliber of player in a field this good, maybe 249 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:03,920 Speaker 1: twenty eight to one is not the most attractive price. No, yeah, 250 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:06,120 Speaker 1: So let's look at some of the mid range options. 251 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:08,960 Speaker 1: We've got Adam Scott and Keith Mitchell at forty to one, 252 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 1: Rico Hoey and Chris godd her Up are forty five 253 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:16,520 Speaker 1: to one. John Keefer, Danny McCarthy, Jake Knapp, Brian Harmon 254 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:20,480 Speaker 1: and Nico Etcheveria are fifty to one. Taylor Pendrith, Eric 255 00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:25,360 Speaker 1: Cole and Christopher Ratan are fifty five to one, Daniel Berger, 256 00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:28,200 Speaker 1: Matt McCarty and Mac Meisner are sixty to one, Ryan 257 00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:30,480 Speaker 1: Gerard and Michael Brennan sixty five to one, and at 258 00:13:30,520 --> 00:13:34,360 Speaker 1: seventy to one, Gary Woodland, Pearson Cooty and Billy Horshall. 259 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 1: How about these guys boy to get lots. 260 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:40,959 Speaker 3: Of good names. Remember the name if you've never heard 261 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 3: of Johnny Keefer. That's a spectacular golfer. Fifty to one 262 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:48,560 Speaker 3: with his upside, this guy's also another winner. This is 263 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 3: the killer en stique type of golfer competitor. He reminds 264 00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 3: me a lot of Brooks Koepka, where he might be 265 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:56,960 Speaker 3: a big game hunter down the road. This is his 266 00:13:57,120 --> 00:14:01,719 Speaker 3: really first big main tournament on the tour. So I'm 267 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:03,840 Speaker 3: gonna I'm gonna put some on the line for Johnny 268 00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:07,320 Speaker 3: Keefer because I think he's got the intestinal fortitude to 269 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 3: stand toe to toe with these guys that have been 270 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,320 Speaker 3: on tour for a long time. Pearson Cooty at seventy 271 00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 3: to one is also very appealing. That guy. If you 272 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:16,920 Speaker 3: did watch the fall swing in the end of last 273 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:20,760 Speaker 3: season on the PGA Tour, Pearson Couty was blazing hot. 274 00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:25,080 Speaker 3: And this guy is a real good golfer. He's a 275 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:28,120 Speaker 3: streaky golfer, kind of like see with Kim. He gets 276 00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:30,560 Speaker 3: in trouble on short game on occasion. He's got a 277 00:14:30,560 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 3: little bit of a little bit of Victor Hovelin game 278 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:36,680 Speaker 3: in him where he's a really intriguing ball striker, but 279 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 3: a little bit of an up and down roller coaster. 280 00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:41,680 Speaker 3: But seventy to one for a guy who I have 281 00:14:41,840 --> 00:14:45,480 Speaker 3: seen win and do a pretty good job of winning 282 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:50,400 Speaker 3: on the corn Ferry Tour and lesser Fall Tour events. 283 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 3: That's a guy I can actually picture winning this tournament. 284 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 3: Seventy to one. That's a big payoff. 285 00:14:55,760 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, those are interesting names for sure. 286 00:14:59,280 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 3: Not what you expect did from me, was it? 287 00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:01,720 Speaker 2: No? 288 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 1: It was not. I did not expect you to be 289 00:15:04,560 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 1: on John Kiefer right away, the twenty four year old. 290 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:11,400 Speaker 3: I'm a Johnny Kiefer fan. He converted me last year 291 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 3: because I was watching him play and he's got real talent. 292 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:16,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, it does feel like this could be a breakthrough 293 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:18,960 Speaker 1: season for him. I just wonder if we'd get the 294 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:24,520 Speaker 1: breakthrough in Honolulu. It's possible. Rico Hoy is kind of interesting. 295 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,240 Speaker 1: Me played four fall events and finished twenty second or 296 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:29,720 Speaker 1: better in all of them, including a second place finish 297 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 1: at the Bank of Utah Championship. Accurate with the driver, 298 00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:35,800 Speaker 1: very good with the middle irons, just not a very 299 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 1: good putter. 300 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:38,480 Speaker 3: That's an awful putter, concerns me. 301 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, So I like Nico Etriveria quite a bit this week. 302 00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:45,120 Speaker 1: He almost won here last year but lost in the playoff. 303 00:15:45,480 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 1: Finished fourth in his most recent event, the RSM Classic. 304 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 1: Straight off the tee, good with the short irons, and he, 305 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: unlike Rico Holy is an excellent putter. 306 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 3: Yes, he's a fantastic short game. Yeah, go ahead. I 307 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:01,800 Speaker 3: saw a little bit on Nico because he's gonna be 308 00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:04,120 Speaker 3: a very popular choice. I want you, if you're if 309 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,040 Speaker 3: you're going to the sports books, as soon as you 310 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:08,560 Speaker 3: see this, you're on your DraftKings app or whatever app 311 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 3: you use, and you see you see Niko Echeveria, that 312 00:16:12,640 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 3: number is going to be moving shorter because he's going 313 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 3: to be every stat guy's darling. Niko Echeveria is going 314 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 3: to be a very popular betting choice, which means I'm 315 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 3: expecting his line to get shorter and shorter, which isn't 316 00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 3: good value for us. That's what I'm expecting. By the 317 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 3: time this airs, we're going to be probably shorter than 318 00:16:31,640 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 3: what is fifty five sixty to one. I think Nico 319 00:16:34,520 --> 00:16:36,520 Speaker 3: is going to be around forty something by the time 320 00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:37,240 Speaker 3: we're locking. 321 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:41,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, right now, fifty to one, fifty Yeah, I guess that's. 322 00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:43,720 Speaker 3: Really about as short as I'm willing to go on him. 323 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:45,800 Speaker 3: I don't mind fifty to one on him, but if 324 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 3: he gets in the forties or even shorter, I'm off. 325 00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:51,640 Speaker 1: Nico, do you like any of these guys at the 326 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:56,000 Speaker 1: sixty to one price? Daniel Berger, Mac Meisner, and Matt 327 00:16:56,080 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 1: McCarty are all there, and Meisner made as on debut 328 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 1: here last season, finished twenty first. Short but accurate driver 329 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 1: of the ball, well, he wasn't that accurate off the 330 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:11,840 Speaker 1: team last season. He used to be more accurate last 331 00:17:11,920 --> 00:17:14,960 Speaker 1: year not so much, but also very good with the 332 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 1: short irons. And while I just seems like a course 333 00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:22,960 Speaker 1: that fits his game, and Daniel Berger seems to have 334 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 1: the perfect game for while if the t strong with 335 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:29,040 Speaker 1: the irons, but his short game and his putting were 336 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:31,480 Speaker 1: not good last season. And it's hard to win the 337 00:17:31,600 --> 00:17:34,720 Speaker 1: Sony Open if you're not getting strokes on and around 338 00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:35,080 Speaker 1: the green. 339 00:17:35,320 --> 00:17:37,920 Speaker 3: When's the last time Daniel Berger won a tournament, let 340 00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 3: alone at it, or even performed got a top ten 341 00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:43,840 Speaker 3: at one of these courses that should fit his game perfect. 342 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:46,840 Speaker 3: Daniel Berger is not what we think he is. He's 343 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:49,520 Speaker 3: not the Daniel Berger from eight years ago. This is 344 00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:52,240 Speaker 3: a different player, and in a good way that he's 345 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:55,200 Speaker 3: more consistent, but in a bad way that he still 346 00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:58,200 Speaker 3: doesn't win tournaments. And so if we're betting outrights, I'm 347 00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 3: not even close on Daniel Berger. Like Mac Meisner, I 348 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:03,720 Speaker 3: don't know if he has enough steam to get enough 349 00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 3: birdies on this golf course. And McCarty I think has 350 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:09,199 Speaker 3: that birdie making ability, but the course doesn't fit his 351 00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:12,120 Speaker 3: game at all. So it's those three guys are good, 352 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,639 Speaker 3: but not great options for me in that range. 353 00:18:15,040 --> 00:18:17,720 Speaker 1: Agree, what about long shots? Bo, is there anyone you 354 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:19,560 Speaker 1: like it? Seventy five to one or longer? 355 00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:23,640 Speaker 3: Oh? I got four of them? Pat at seventy five 356 00:18:23,680 --> 00:18:30,000 Speaker 3: to one. Gangster Michael Kim. We love Michael Kim's He's 357 00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 3: getting better every year, had a spectacular breakout twenty twenty five, 358 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,760 Speaker 3: twenty twenty six. He's starting off in Hawaii on a 359 00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 3: golf course that fits his game. This is a West 360 00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:43,280 Speaker 3: Coast golfer through and through, and those guys tend to 361 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:46,639 Speaker 3: have an advantage in Hawaii in the SoCal tournaments because 362 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:51,240 Speaker 3: it's just a familiar climate. You're not in any foreign land. 363 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:54,720 Speaker 3: And for Michael Kim, I think his comfort level and 364 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:57,640 Speaker 3: his confidence are what's going to propel him. I think 365 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:00,119 Speaker 3: this is a misprice because Michael Kim should be in 366 00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:02,280 Speaker 3: that forty to fifty range with a lot of those 367 00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:05,320 Speaker 3: other guys, and he's just simply not yet. So at 368 00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 3: seventy five to one, Michael Kim's getting a lot of 369 00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 3: my bank roll this week. Next would be a eighty 370 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:14,959 Speaker 3: to one. Ryan Girard the winner of last year's Barracuda 371 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:19,240 Speaker 3: up here in NorCal, very very straight driver of the 372 00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 3: golf ball, very good approach player, streaky putter. When he's on, 373 00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:27,359 Speaker 3: he's really on, and his short game is adequate. I 374 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:31,680 Speaker 3: think Ryan Gerard on these types of courses, the old 375 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 3: Kevin Kissner quote is I can win on a course 376 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 3: if it's not Tory Pines or Breath Page Black, And 377 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:40,920 Speaker 3: they asked him, well why do you even bother? Because 378 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,160 Speaker 3: it's again they stay a lot of money for twentieth. 379 00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:47,680 Speaker 3: This is the type of course where Ryan Gerard isn't 380 00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,399 Speaker 3: looking to just go twentieth. He's looking to win like 381 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 3: he did at the Barracuda. And it's a very good 382 00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 3: course fit for a guy of his pedigree as a 383 00:19:56,600 --> 00:20:00,840 Speaker 3: multiple time PGA Tour winner ninety to one. It's Scottie 384 00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:04,520 Speaker 3: Scheffler's favorite golfer, how Tong Lee. How Tong Lee the 385 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:10,399 Speaker 3: Chinese product. He is an outstanding player. He's going to 386 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:13,359 Speaker 3: be something in this on this tour, He's going to 387 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:18,400 Speaker 3: be something. And so How Tong Lee is a very 388 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,399 Speaker 3: talented player. And I'm just taking a shot in the 389 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:22,800 Speaker 3: dark that he's worth ninety to one. I don't know 390 00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 3: if he can win, but I'm looking top twenty, top 391 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:30,000 Speaker 3: ten bets maybe for him. But at two hundred to one, 392 00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 3: North Carolina tar heeled David Ford. That's a name that's 393 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 3: going to be on everybody's radar by the end of 394 00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:39,000 Speaker 3: the season two and one. Why not. 395 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 1: David Ford? 396 00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:46,399 Speaker 3: Interesting very two hundred and one for a reason because 397 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 3: he's so young, but he's he's a champion, he's he's 398 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,440 Speaker 3: a winner at North Carolina. He won a lot of tournaments, 399 00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:58,119 Speaker 3: and so why not David Ford? Because he can play. 400 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 1: I like them, Michael Kim call, I mean, played so 401 00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:04,959 Speaker 1: well at sort of the middle point of last season, 402 00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:09,199 Speaker 1: flagged a bit at the end, but yeah, I was 403 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:12,000 Speaker 1: kind of surprised to see the price what it was. 404 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:16,800 Speaker 1: I'll give you a Miliano Grio at seventy five to one. 405 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,440 Speaker 1: He has missed the cut at the Sony in three 406 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:21,240 Speaker 1: of the last four years, but when he made the 407 00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:25,440 Speaker 1: cut in twenty twenty four, he finished seventh, And theoretically 408 00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:29,120 Speaker 1: at least Grio's game should fit this course well. He's 409 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,919 Speaker 1: accurate off the tee, he's good with the irons. His 410 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:34,359 Speaker 1: game around the green isn't great. He can be a 411 00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:38,440 Speaker 1: little Victor Hoveland ask himself. But I do think he's 412 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:42,760 Speaker 1: a value at seventy five to one. Bo Can I 413 00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:45,320 Speaker 1: interest you at all in Tony Fino at one hundred 414 00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:49,840 Speaker 1: and ten to one Fena hide knee surgery at the 415 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:52,359 Speaker 1: end of the twenty twenty four season, and it seemed 416 00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 1: like he just wasn't himself in twenty twenty five. If 417 00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,600 Speaker 1: we get the old Tony Final this year, one hundred 418 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,320 Speaker 1: and ten to one is crazy value. 419 00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:05,320 Speaker 3: It is, But even at the end of last season, 420 00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 3: we were getting one hundred and ten to one Tony 421 00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:10,000 Speaker 3: Feenow and what did we get out of it? Not 422 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:14,000 Speaker 3: a damn not a yes. Yeah. So until he shows 423 00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:16,440 Speaker 3: us that one hundred and ten few is one hundred 424 00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,200 Speaker 3: and ten to one, fe now is crazy Like it 425 00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:22,480 Speaker 3: seems crazy because he's won so much, he's had so 426 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,680 Speaker 3: much success in the past, it seems crazy to say 427 00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,040 Speaker 3: Tony few is one hundred and ten to one, But 428 00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:31,640 Speaker 3: as of recently, there's an absolute no reason to put 429 00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,080 Speaker 3: any money on him until he shows that that one 430 00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:36,320 Speaker 3: hundred and ten to one is actually crazy. It's not 431 00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:40,480 Speaker 3: crazy anymore. Yeah, it just feels it doesn't feel right. 432 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 3: But it's also it's kind of a sucker's bet because 433 00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,600 Speaker 3: they're like, oh, name recognition, everybody knows who Tony f 434 00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:47,600 Speaker 3: Now is. Why is he on hundred and twenty one? 435 00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:51,280 Speaker 3: This is a good little juicy nugget. Yeah, it's just 436 00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:53,639 Speaker 3: not it's not like that based on his performance. 437 00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:56,840 Speaker 1: I feel like Tom Kim is in that same vein too. 438 00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:59,119 Speaker 3: Very much so. But this is, of course that fits 439 00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:01,639 Speaker 3: him if he can actually navigate it. 440 00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 1: Well it does. You know, he's twenty three years old 441 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:07,639 Speaker 1: and he's already a three time PGA Tour winner. 442 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,000 Speaker 3: But this is the type of course he's won all 443 00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:12,199 Speaker 3: three of those times. Yeah, I mean two of them 444 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:15,960 Speaker 3: are at the Windham and it's yeah, he's just he's 445 00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,479 Speaker 3: that guy. When he's on on a course like this, 446 00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:21,560 Speaker 3: he can absolutely win. But we haven't seen it again 447 00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:23,399 Speaker 3: at all the last year or so. 448 00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 1: Right. The reason he's one hundred and ten to one 449 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 1: is that he only had two top twenty five finishes 450 00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:32,320 Speaker 1: during the main part of the PGA Tour schedule last year, 451 00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 1: and one of them was in Scotland. 452 00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:38,840 Speaker 3: So it's unacceptable. And that Scotland one was completely out 453 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:39,480 Speaker 3: of left field. 454 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:45,760 Speaker 1: It was, it was, And Austin Ekrote, I'm mildly interested 455 00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:47,280 Speaker 1: in him at one hundred and thirty to one. He 456 00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:49,399 Speaker 1: is a game that seems to fit this course straight 457 00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:53,639 Speaker 1: off the tee respectable with the Irons. I just I 458 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:55,879 Speaker 1: don't know if he can win. No, I don't know 459 00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:56,320 Speaker 1: if he can win. 460 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,239 Speaker 3: That's a top twenty bet written all over it. If 461 00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:00,840 Speaker 3: you like Austin Ekrot a little bit, yeah, you might 462 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,359 Speaker 3: throw a couple quarters on him winning out right, just 463 00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:06,840 Speaker 3: in case you strike gold. But that's if you're putting 464 00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:08,960 Speaker 3: that much investment into it. It's mostly going to be 465 00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:11,120 Speaker 3: on a placement bet or first round leader and something 466 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:11,440 Speaker 3: like that. 467 00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:14,479 Speaker 1: Great, and now it's time for the hard Rock Best 468 00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 1: Bets of the Week, presented by a hard Rock Bet. 469 00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:21,520 Speaker 1: If you haven't tried your first bet on hard rock bet, 470 00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:23,440 Speaker 1: there's still time for you to get one hundred and 471 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,359 Speaker 1: fifty dollars in bonus bets if you win. Just plays 472 00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:28,720 Speaker 1: a five dollars bet and if it hits, you get 473 00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:31,399 Speaker 1: not only your winnings, but also an extra one hundred 474 00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:34,760 Speaker 1: and fifty dollars in bonus bets. That's hard rock bets. 475 00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 1: Download the hard rock Bet app and make your first 476 00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:41,160 Speaker 1: deposit today. Bo who is on your betting card as 477 00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:41,680 Speaker 1: of now? 478 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 3: All right? So at twenty to one, Jj Spahn twenty 479 00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:48,840 Speaker 3: five to one, Harry Hall fifty to one, Johnny Keefer 480 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:53,399 Speaker 3: seventy to one, Pierson Cootie seventy five to one, Michael Kim. 481 00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:55,399 Speaker 3: That Michael Kim's going to be a lock. I'm going 482 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:58,440 Speaker 3: to do a full ladder on him. I'm very confident 483 00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:01,080 Speaker 3: in his ability to pay off value this week. Same 484 00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,480 Speaker 3: goes for Ryan Gerard. Maybe a tick a lower rung 485 00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:07,080 Speaker 3: on the ladder, but eighty to one for him is amazing. 486 00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:10,480 Speaker 3: Howtong Lee talent. I'm betting on talent. I'm betting on 487 00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:13,960 Speaker 3: just his ascension as into a different tier on the 488 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:17,160 Speaker 3: PGA Tour. And then of course the young, the youngest 489 00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 3: of the young, David Ford out of North Carolina. He's uh, 490 00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:24,439 Speaker 3: he dominated college, so let's let's see what he can 491 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:25,520 Speaker 3: do on the Big Boy Tour. 492 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna tread lightly here with the inaugural event of 493 00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:32,360 Speaker 1: the main part. 494 00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,280 Speaker 3: Of the come on. That just means you're gonna You're 495 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:37,280 Speaker 3: gonna get your feet wet, and then you're gonna jump 496 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,159 Speaker 3: in and do a bunch of live bets, aren't you. 497 00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:41,760 Speaker 1: Maybe I've got a lot of I've got a lot 498 00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,439 Speaker 1: of football to bet this weekend, too, ball It got 499 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:48,879 Speaker 1: got to save something for that, So we're gonna go. Look, bo, 500 00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:52,440 Speaker 1: I've told you that Russell Henley on Bermuda Greens is 501 00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 1: an auto bet for me every time, and I don't 502 00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 1: hate the price on him at eleven to one, I 503 00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:00,399 Speaker 1: am gonna bet the favorite Russell Henley. I'm I'm betting 504 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 1: Nico et Traveria at fifty to one to win, and 505 00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,360 Speaker 1: I'm thrown down on a top ten for Nico at 506 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:10,800 Speaker 1: plus three to ninety. I've got a milliano'grill at seventy 507 00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:13,200 Speaker 1: five to one, and bo, I think I have let 508 00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 1: you talk me into Ryan Girard. What was he ninety 509 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:16,320 Speaker 1: to one or. 510 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,160 Speaker 3: Eighty eighty eighty eighty to one. 511 00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:21,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I you make a really good case for him. 512 00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:24,320 Speaker 1: This does seem like the kind of tournament that Gerard 513 00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:24,800 Speaker 1: could win. 514 00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:27,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, and I did get to meet him last year 515 00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:29,600 Speaker 3: at the Barracuda. That's a that's a really good dude. 516 00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:33,560 Speaker 3: I think he's from Texas. Really really nice guy, very 517 00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:37,600 Speaker 3: very kind of a serious guy, but like he's he's 518 00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:40,399 Speaker 3: locked in. He's got a game face for real nice. 519 00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:43,439 Speaker 1: Now for the one and done competition, we start with 520 00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:46,719 Speaker 1: a blank slate. But you did earn the honors on 521 00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,280 Speaker 1: the tea box with your victory last year both, so 522 00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 1: you have the entire field available to you. Who are 523 00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 1: you taking? 524 00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,120 Speaker 3: Well, I was going to defer the kick to you, 525 00:26:56,280 --> 00:27:00,760 Speaker 3: but in reality, even just picking fur, I'm gonna pick 526 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:03,080 Speaker 3: a guy that's kind of kind of even the odds. Anyway, 527 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:05,880 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Michael Kim week one. Michael Kim 528 00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:09,360 Speaker 3: is my guy this week. I'm gonna ride him all 529 00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:12,120 Speaker 3: week long at the Sony. I think he's just it's 530 00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:14,600 Speaker 3: just for some reason, it makes more sense than anybody else. 531 00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:18,399 Speaker 3: So I'm sure you're gonna pick somebody closer to the 532 00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:20,879 Speaker 3: top of the board, so that that's the way to 533 00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:22,760 Speaker 3: even it. So it's like I got the first pick, 534 00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,760 Speaker 3: but we both got a first pick that we wanted. Fair. 535 00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:28,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, it is going to be someone nearer to the 536 00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 1: top of the board, but not exactly a big gun. 537 00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:33,280 Speaker 1: I'm just going to play the horse for the course 538 00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 1: and go with Nick Taylor and his very smart consistency 539 00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:42,760 Speaker 1: at Wylie. So that is all for this week's Betting 540 00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:46,680 Speaker 1: Pros PGA podcast. We'll be back next week to preview 541 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:51,639 Speaker 1: the American Express in the California Desert. Until then, so 542 00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:52,440 Speaker 1: long everyone. 543 00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:55,520 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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