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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into Week eleven? It

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Speaker 1: is time for early bets survivor plays and BET's the

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Speaker 1: lock in right now? He is Pat fits Morris. I

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Speaker 1: am Att Paroltz. It was a well interesting week. Let's

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Speaker 1: call it that interesting week last week not the nearly

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Speaker 1: the topsy turvy Pats on week nine. Week ten went

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Speaker 1: a little bit as expected, but overall, how do the

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Speaker 1: week go for you?

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Speaker 2: Interesting?

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Speaker 3: It went well from a betting standpoint, Matt, but it

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Speaker 3: was kind of ended with a kick in the teeth

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Speaker 3: with the Packers losing to the Eagles. But I did

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Speaker 3: have the Eagles in that game since the Eagles had

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Speaker 3: beaten the Packers twice the previous year. Jalen Hurts was

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Speaker 3: on a heater coming into this game. He didn't really

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Speaker 3: do much against the Packers defense, but he did enough,

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Speaker 3: and he certainly did more than Jordan Love Dead. And

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Speaker 3: by the way, Matt, have we ever seen a week

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Speaker 3: in the NFL book ended by a pair of ten

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Speaker 3: to seven games before?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? I don't know what the gods are telling us here,

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Speaker 1: but Thursday with the Patriots and the Jets is not

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Speaker 1: going to be much more entertaining in my mind, so like,

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Speaker 1: we had an awful game Thursday and awful game on Monday,

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Speaker 1: and I think the game on Thursday is going to

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Speaker 1: be equally as boring. So we'll get into all of

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Speaker 1: that here. If you guys are alive in your Survivor plays, congratulations, Okay,

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Speaker 1: you've made it all the way here to week eleven.

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Speaker 1: There are not many left in Survivor, so if you

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Speaker 1: were one of the Congratulations, you are in the running

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Speaker 1: to win your pool. We'll try to give you some

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Speaker 1: options as we head towards the Thanksgiving holiday. If you're

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Speaker 1: in the big one here in Las Vegas in the Circrimelion,

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Speaker 1: remember that is a two pick week for you guys.

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Speaker 1: It's Thanksgiving, Black Friday and then on Sunday as well,

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Speaker 1: so you got to start to make sure you have

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Speaker 1: teams available to be selected, so you weren't basically iced

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Speaker 1: out because you don't have any teams available that will

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Speaker 1: play on Black Friday and on Thanksgiving. But Pat, let's

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Speaker 1: start with your early plays. What do you like? What

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Speaker 1: are you looking at for Week eleven?

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Speaker 3: First one, I really like Matt and probably the early

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Speaker 3: bet I like the most is Vikings minus three at

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Speaker 3: home against the Bears. I just I love betting the

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Speaker 3: Vikings at home coming off a home loss.

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Speaker 2: It worked pretty well earlier this.

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Speaker 3: Season when the Vikings got clocked by the Falcons in

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Speaker 3: a Sunday night home game, then absolutely demolished the Bengals

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Speaker 3: at home the following week. Now the Vikings are coming

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Speaker 3: off of home loss to the Ravens game where the

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Speaker 3: Vikings didn't really play that poorly, and now they face

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Speaker 3: the Bears, who really are not as good as their

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Speaker 3: six and three record. I think six and three is

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Speaker 3: why this game is close, but Chicago is a negative

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Speaker 3: point differential for the season minus eight. Bears rank twenty

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Speaker 3: eighth in defensive DVA twenty sixth in special teams DVA.

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Speaker 3: Their two best quarterbacks are uninjured reserve Jalen Johnson and

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Speaker 3: Kyler Gordon, so the Bears are going to have a

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Speaker 3: hard time dealing with Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison in

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Speaker 3: this game and the Vikings the trends definitely favor them here.

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Speaker 3: They've won eight of their last nine against the Bears,

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Speaker 3: and they've gone six to two to one against the

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Speaker 3: spread in those nine games. Will happily lay the three

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Speaker 3: points and take the Vikings in a bounce back spot

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Speaker 3: at home.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what to make of the Vikings and

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Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell, Like, your logic is completely sounded. I think

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Speaker 1: it's the only play in this game is to take

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Speaker 1: the Vikings. I just don't know where they are. I mean,

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Speaker 1: every time I think Jji McCarthy is not going to

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Speaker 1: play well, he plays extremely well. Every Time I think

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Speaker 1: he's gonna play well, he does not. So Like I

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Speaker 1: feel like he's a difficult guy to trust, just because

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Speaker 1: the inconsistencies are there. But it's November. The Vikings after

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Speaker 1: they lose a game, I thought they would be more

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Speaker 1: competitive in that game last week. I'll be honest, Like,

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Speaker 1: I thought the Ravens might win the football game, but

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Speaker 1: I didn't think it was going to be that lopsided.

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Speaker 1: Like I was really watching that in the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: I was like, Wow, Okay, maybe that's the Ravens and

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Speaker 1: maybe that's the team that we should be betting on

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Speaker 1: going forward because of how well they're playing. But that

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Speaker 1: gave me a little pause because of what happened last week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the one the biggest problem they have, it seems

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Speaker 3: like it's instability on the offensive line. They just haven't

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Speaker 3: been getting the offensive line play. They had eight false

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Speaker 3: starts against the Ravens at home. How do you have

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Speaker 3: eight false starts in a home game, Matt, That's just crazy.

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Speaker 3: But I think that might be less of a problem

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Speaker 3: against the Bears, who don't have a really good pass rush,

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Speaker 3: aren't great at stuffing the run. So I think you

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Speaker 3: can maybe get by with so so offensive line play.

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Speaker 1: And I'm good with fading the Bears. I think you're

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Speaker 1: absolutely right. I don't think the Bears are as good

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Speaker 1: as a record. Six and three is somewhat of a

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Speaker 1: surprising number for them. And look, everybody is Ben Johnson.

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Speaker 1: This Ben Johnson that Well, let's see what happens when

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Speaker 1: he goes up against this Vikings defense. We'll see what

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Speaker 1: the play is. I do think the only play is

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Speaker 1: your side on the Vikings. I'm going to go to

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Speaker 1: the game in Madrid for my first play, and I'm

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna buy the Dolphins here. I'm going to lay

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Speaker 1: the two and a half points against the Commanders. The

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Speaker 1: Dolphins have been talking about running the table. Now I

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Speaker 1: don't think they're going to run the table, but they

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Speaker 1: think that they can make the postseason if they were

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Speaker 1: to get hot. Now they've been very inconsistent over the

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Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. They lost to the Browns, they

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Speaker 1: beat the Falcons, they lost to the Ravens. They then

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Speaker 1: beat the Bills thirty to thirteen. Was an eye opener.

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Speaker 1: I don't think anybody thought the Dolphins would take Buffalo

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Speaker 1: apart like that, and they did. Now they go overseas

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Speaker 1: to Spain into a building that we don't have much evidence,

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Speaker 1: much history with. Like in the London games, we have

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Speaker 1: a lot of data in the Tottenham games, we have

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Speaker 1: a lot of data. We don't have a lot of

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Speaker 1: data with Spain, so we don't really know what the environment,

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Speaker 1: what the field's going to be like. But I just

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Speaker 1: think watching that Washington team and watching how poorly they played,

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Speaker 1: and I know it's the Lions, but still I like

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Speaker 1: Tua in company. I like them to win and cover.

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Speaker 1: Here minus two and a half is a good number.

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Speaker 1: I think to jump in with, how do you feel

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Speaker 1: about the commanders in Spain against the Dolphins.

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Speaker 3: I like it that we're talking about where the morale

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Speaker 3: has to be for these two teams in two totally

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Speaker 3: different places. The Dolphins, it's been a tough season, but

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Speaker 3: they've never quit under Mike McDonald. Like since that first week,

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Speaker 3: the blowout loss to the Colton Week one, they've really

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Speaker 3: only had one game where they have had their doors

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Speaker 3: blown off. And now they're coming off the upside over

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Speaker 3: the Bills. I mean, they have to be feeling good

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Speaker 3: about themselves, whereas great expectations for the Commanders after being

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Speaker 3: in the NFC Championship Game last year and obviously their

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Speaker 3: season has just been a complete catastrophe. No Jade Daniels,

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Speaker 3: no hope for this season. I think they're just kind

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Speaker 3: of playing out the string for dan Quinn here, who's

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Speaker 3: gone after this year, I would assume, and uh so

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Speaker 3: lame deck, lame duck coach. And I think didn't Mike

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Speaker 3: McDonald just kind of get a semi vote of confidence?

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Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, I mean the one thing I would say

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Speaker 1: about what's happening with the head coaching situation is that

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Speaker 1: if by some way the Dolphins did make the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: I mean everyone thought that Mike McDaniel was a dead

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Speaker 1: man walking. If he if he winds up getting to

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Speaker 1: the postseason, I mean he might get a race, so

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Speaker 1: like you would be one of those like crazy stories

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Speaker 1: if he was able to resurrect it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and it was already their their general manager who

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Speaker 3: was made to walk the plant.

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Speaker 1: Yes, and Chris Greer was not good. I mean most

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Speaker 1: Dolphin bans wanted Chris Gyar gone, so like I think

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Speaker 1: that they feel like, well, we have the head coach.

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Speaker 1: It was the GM's fault with the talent he was

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Speaker 1: bringing in. So now maybe there's something to be said

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Speaker 1: about going forward with Mike McDaniel and not with Chris Greer,

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Speaker 1: and you have a chance to actually build a roster

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Speaker 1: that can be competitive.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: Now I don't like this run the table talk, Matt,

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Speaker 3: because I have a sizeable bat on under eight and

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Speaker 3: a half wins for the Dolphins, and you know that

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Speaker 3: would be in jeopardy.

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Speaker 2: But I am not too worried about that happening.

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Speaker 1: So if they will, they have four, right, so you've

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Speaker 1: been under eight and a half, correct, I think you're

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Speaker 1: probably good because they end the year with the Steelers, Bengals, Bucks, Patriots. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so they're in the soft part of their schedule right now,

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Speaker 1: where they'll play the Commanders, the Saints, and the Jets.

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Speaker 1: So I think the Dolphins are going to go on

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Speaker 1: a bit of a run here, so I think you

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Speaker 1: could see them win, you know, four game in a row,

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Speaker 1: and then it's at the Steelers, home for the Bengals,

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Speaker 1: home for the Bucks, and at the Patriots, I mean

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Speaker 1: playing the Patriots in January. I mean, maybe you're coming

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Speaker 1: down to like you know, you said under eight and

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Speaker 1: a half is what you bet under eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: I like it. I think you're good. Yeah, I think

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Speaker 1: they might win up at eight eight start stealing in

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Speaker 1: my mind eight and nine, But eight and nine puts

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Speaker 1: you in the conversation four dog guard good.

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Speaker 3: So so yeah, I'm with you on this one. Like

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Speaker 3: I am surprised it's only at two and a half,

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Speaker 3: and I know there's no home field advantage for the Dolphins,

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Speaker 3: but still, I just think the Dolphins are more than

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Speaker 3: a field goal better than the Commanders.

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Speaker 1: Right now, play number two for you.

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Speaker 3: I am going to go to the Buccaneers Bills game,

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Speaker 3: speaking of the Bills, and I'm going to take the

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Speaker 3: Buccaneers in five and a half points. Matt bet Baker

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Speaker 3: Mayfield is an underdog, Fatom is a favorite, and also, Matt,

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Speaker 3: I think the Buccaneers might be a more complete team

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Speaker 3: than the Bills right now, Buffalo has a couple of

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Speaker 3: real glaring weaknesses. Offensively, they have no downfield passing game

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Speaker 3: to speak of, no pass catchers who can make things

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Speaker 3: happen beyond five or ten yards of the line of scrimmage.

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Speaker 3: And defensively, the Bills can't stop the run. They rank

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Speaker 3: twenty second in defensive DVA thirtieth against the run, one

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Speaker 3: of the worst run defenses in the league. And Matt,

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Speaker 3: the Buccaneers offensive line is healthy again and it is

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Speaker 3: one of the best offensive lines in the league, right

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Speaker 3: up there with.

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Speaker 2: Buffalo's offensive line.

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Speaker 3: So I wonder how much of this is a weather narrative, Matt.

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Speaker 3: The Florida team traveling to Buffalo in mid November, but

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Speaker 3: the forecast for Buffalo this Saturday or Sunday not especially cold,

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Speaker 3: I think like mid forties with the possibility of some rain.

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Speaker 3: It's not like this game is going to be played

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Speaker 3: in snow or sub zero wind chill temperatures. So five

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Speaker 3: and a half points just seems like a generous number

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Speaker 3: for the Buccaneers, and I'm going to jump on it.

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Speaker 1: With the Patriots playing the Jets on Thursday, the Patriots

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Speaker 1: could wind up being nine and two. There will be

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Speaker 1: some real heat on this seat for Sean McDermott if

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Speaker 1: he loses this game to the Bucks coming up on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: That is the only reason why I am concerned about

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Speaker 1: this play, other than that this is the right side

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Speaker 1: because I like Baker, I like the bounce back spot,

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Speaker 1: I like the fact that the Bucks have been good

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Speaker 1: on the road this year, and your weather narrative exactly right.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we're not and obviously it's Buffalo, so the

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Speaker 1: weather can change quickly. But as of right now time

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Speaker 1: of taping Tuesday, the weather on Sunday is not supposed

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Speaker 1: to be bad at all in Buffalo. And you know,

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Speaker 1: there's an anger situation going on in Tampa after what

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Speaker 1: just happened with the Patriots, because that was embarrassing for

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Speaker 1: them at home. They couldn't run the football and they

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Speaker 1: really couldn't move the ball on the Patriots defense as

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Speaker 1: much as they would have liked. So I don't like

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Speaker 1: the Bills defense at all. Let's see what happens with

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Speaker 1: Bucky Irving. He might be coming back, which would be

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Speaker 1: big if he could get him back into the fold

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Speaker 1: running the football. Given what we saw with a channing

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Speaker 1: company and what he did to that Buffalo Bills defense.

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Speaker 1: I'm with you as long as the Bills losing this

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Speaker 1: game outright is a possibility, like the Bucks might win

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Speaker 1: this game. So I like the five and a half points,

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Speaker 1: but I think you can sprinkle money line here on

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Speaker 1: this as to Baker going in there and shocking everybody.

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Speaker 1: And if the Patriots are nine and two and the

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Speaker 1: Bills lose this game, it's a two and a half

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Speaker 1: game lead in mid November for the Patriots with the

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Speaker 1: AFC East, So this is starting to slip a little

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Speaker 1: bit here for the Bills and the numbers. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the Patriots are already two dollars favorites to win the division.

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Speaker 1: They will spike to like five dollars favorites if they

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Speaker 1: beat the Jets on Thursday and the Bills lose to

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Speaker 1: the Bucks on Sunday, which I like your side. I

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Speaker 1: think the Bucks are live, and I think take as

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Speaker 1: many points as you can on this, but really I

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Speaker 1: think anything over three, I think you might be good here.

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Speaker 1: With Tampa on the road. For my second play, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go to the Chargers and the Jags. This is

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Speaker 1: an eyeball thing for me. I mean, the Jaguars losing

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Speaker 1: the game to the Texans last week. I watched that

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Speaker 1: whole fourth quarter. I don't know how in the world

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Speaker 1: if you were laying one and a half and you covered, like,

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Speaker 1: go buy a lottery ticket like that. That is the

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Speaker 1: worst beat of the season. At plus one and a half.

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Speaker 1: All Trevor Lawrence has to do is not get intercepted

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Speaker 1: for a pick six and a big guy does it.

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Speaker 1: A defensive lineman does it. To you, that is brutal.

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Speaker 1: I like the Chargers. I liked them all year. I

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Speaker 1: think they run the ball, they play defense numbers two

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Speaker 1: and a half, I like it before it gets to three. Here,

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Speaker 1: give me the Chargers laying two and a half on

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Speaker 1: the road to the Jags.

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Speaker 2: Boy, and the Jaguars.

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Speaker 3: The only the only thing that gives me even a

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Speaker 3: little pause here, Matt, it's just the state of the

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Speaker 3: Chargers offensive line with no Joe alt Like.

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Speaker 2: It's not a good offensive line.

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Speaker 3: But man, just just though I mean they did, Steelers

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Speaker 3: got them right against a team with a fairly fearsome

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Speaker 3: front seven. And I know the Chargers offense kind of

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Speaker 3: sputtered a little bit in that game, but they were

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Speaker 3: able to run the ball well enough, and they were

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Speaker 3: able to get some big plays in the passing The

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Speaker 3: big plays in the passing game are ripe for the

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Speaker 3: taking against the Jaguars. Like this is just not a

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Speaker 3: good pass defense right now, and like there are questions

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Speaker 3: about the Jaguars offense too. I think we've seen the

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Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence is just a below average starting quarterback in

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Speaker 3: the NFL at this point. I don't think they're running

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Speaker 3: game really strikes fear into anyone.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I.

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Speaker 3: Definitely think the Chargers have the Jaguars outclassed in this matchup.

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Speaker 1: And look, we're watching, We're watching what's happening in the West.

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Speaker 1: We have a big game Denver and the Chiefs play,

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Speaker 1: so that's a big game there. So when you're playing

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Speaker 1: a bad football team and you're competing for the division,

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Speaker 1: this is a game LA needs to win, even on

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Speaker 1: the road in Florida. Thankfully for them, it's gonna be warm,

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Speaker 1: so having a chance to go and take care of

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Speaker 1: business for you. Number three play of the week.

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Speaker 3: Last one, let's go back to that game in Spain.

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Speaker 3: Matt Commanders Dolphins over forty seven and a half. These

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Speaker 3: are just two wretched defenses, especially the Commander's defense. Right now,

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Speaker 3: the Dolphins are twenty ninth in defensive EPA per play,

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Speaker 3: the Commanders are thirtieth. The Commanders are twenty second in

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Speaker 3: defensive DVOA, the Dolphins twenty ninth. Commanders right now have

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Speaker 3: the highest opponent passer rating in the league and the

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Speaker 3: Dolphins are third highest. And right now, Washington is giving

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Speaker 3: up eight point nine yards per pass attempt. No other

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Speaker 3: team is giving up more than eight point two passing

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Speaker 3: yards per attempt. Dallas is giving up eight point two.

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Speaker 3: So the Commander's pass defense is even worse than the

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Speaker 3: Dallas Cowboys pass defense. And look, I know it's too

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Speaker 3: a tongue of vailoo versus Marcus Mariotta. I still think

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Speaker 3: we get a lot of points in yardage in this game. Matt,

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Speaker 3: I like it to go over forty seven.

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Speaker 1: And a half. I like it too. I think it's

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Speaker 1: the only real I mean, I'm not playing the under

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Speaker 1: this game, Like, no way my touching the under of

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Speaker 1: this game. So I like the over in this And

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Speaker 1: the only question really is the turf, right Like, it's

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Speaker 1: just what are the environment? What's the environment the game's

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00:14:55,640 --> 00:14:57,000
Speaker 1: can be played in? Like we just don't have a

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Speaker 1: lot of data. Like I mentioned before about games being

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Speaker 1: played in Spain, that would be my only concern. But

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Speaker 1: I think I bet Devon ah Chan over his rush

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Speaker 1: in receiving total the last two games. I think it's

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Speaker 1: a rinse and repeat, do it again. I think he

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Speaker 1: has a big game. So I think it's a similar

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Speaker 1: situation here with offense coming on both and my last

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Speaker 1: play is offense as well, but it's more of the

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Speaker 1: fact that the Raiders offense can't score. And I don't

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Speaker 1: care who they're playing against. The Dallas Cowboys defense is awful, okay,

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Speaker 1: but they've made some changes, They've made some trades. Let's

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Speaker 1: see what they look like now with this new look

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Speaker 1: defense going into Monday night with an extra day to

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Speaker 1: prepare against Gino Smith and company, and three and a

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Speaker 1: half is not enough points, Okay, this number should be

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Speaker 1: five six. I think it will wind up being somewhere

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Speaker 1: in there. The Raiders are done in my mind, if

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Speaker 1: you watch the way that team played, I think that

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Speaker 1: was their last hurrah on Thursday, if an extra time

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Speaker 1: to kind of prepare, but that is a game that

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Speaker 1: they had to win against the Broncos, and they did

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Speaker 1: not I think Chip Kelly could be out at the

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Speaker 1: end of the year. I don't believe Geno Smith's gonna

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Speaker 1: be back next year as the quarterback for this team.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot of questions here in town about what

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Speaker 1: direction the franchise is going. The Cowboys coming in, It's

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Speaker 1: going to be all Dallas in that building, Allegian Stadium

346
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Speaker 1: is going to be Dallas West. Three and a half

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Speaker 1: points not enough, give me the Cowboys on Monday Night. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: As bad as the Dallas defense has been that, I

349
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Speaker 3: think the Raiders are capable of making them look good.

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Speaker 3: The Raiders offensive line is just a disaster right now

351
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Speaker 3: with no Colton Miller and now I think they lost

352
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Speaker 3: Evan powers Johnson so this season, yeah, it was a

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Speaker 3: bad offensive line to begin with and down all this

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Speaker 3: man power. So I'm with you on this one. Plus,

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Speaker 3: maybe we see the Cowboys sort of rally here after

356
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Speaker 3: this is their first game since the Marshawn Neeland's death.

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Speaker 3: You know they're going to try to go out and

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Speaker 3: win this game for him, I would imagine, and I

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Speaker 3: would not be surprised if they turned in one of

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Speaker 3: their better defensive efforts of the season.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't like, what's happening here in Vegas.

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Speaker 2: And we know they're they're gonna throw on the Raiders

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Speaker 2: too obviously, Yeah.

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Speaker 1: God, I mean they're gonna light them up. I mean

365
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Speaker 1: the team total Dallas over. You can bet the game

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Speaker 1: over if you want. It's fifty and a half from

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Speaker 1: a total perspective, and the first move was to the under,

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Speaker 1: and I think that has more to do with the

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Speaker 1: fact that the Raiders aren't gonna score. So it's like,

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Speaker 1: how many points fourteen, seventeen points, I mean, that's the problem.

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Speaker 1: It's get to fifty. It could be a thirty one

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Speaker 1: to fourteen final and you're going under. So like, that's

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Speaker 1: my worry about playing. The total in this game is

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Speaker 1: just late at three and a half with Dallas, they

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Speaker 1: should go in there and win the game relatively easily.

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Speaker 1: Don't worry about the total perspective because I'm not sure

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Speaker 1: how many points the Raiders are going to score. Coming

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Speaker 1: All r. Let's go to survivor if you are alive.

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00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:55,720
Speaker 1: As I said in the open, congratulations you made it

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00:18:55,760 --> 00:18:59,000
Speaker 1: to here into week eleven. Hard to do. But where

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00:18:59,080 --> 00:19:01,359
Speaker 1: is your eye going? Or a survivor play this week?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, not that anyone's listening to me.

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Speaker 3: After recommending the Panthers last week, Matt, and boy did

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Speaker 3: they trip me up in one Survivor of pool pick.

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Speaker 2: So much for the shortcuts, but.

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Speaker 3: It'd gotten to the point where I had to take

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00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:16,359
Speaker 3: a shortcut with someone, and you know, I just picked

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00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:17,680
Speaker 3: the wrong horse to bet on there.

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Speaker 2: But I know you don't like.

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Speaker 3: Divisional teams, Matt, and I don't know how you feel

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Speaker 3: about Thursday night games, but I think the Patriots look

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Speaker 3: like the best play to me this week is eleven

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00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,439
Speaker 3: and a half point favorites over the Jets. I just

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00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:34,800
Speaker 3: don't think the Jets can muster enough offense to make

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Speaker 3: a game of this.

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Speaker 1: I pray you're right, because I hate the Jets so much.

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Speaker 1: They are the team that I enjoy their misery more

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00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:48,280
Speaker 1: than any other in the NFL. And the Patriots are

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00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:52,119
Speaker 1: eleven point favorites or eleven and a half point favorites

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00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:55,800
Speaker 1: over the Jets on Thursday night. The Jets have two

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00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:58,679
Speaker 1: wins and they're both against teams from the state of Ohio.

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Speaker 1: This game is scaring the holy hell out of me

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00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:05,919
Speaker 1: to the point where I think I'm gonna bet the Jets.

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Speaker 1: I bet the Bucks last week and I was wrong.

433
00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,080
Speaker 1: I'm tempted to do the same thing, to be superstitious

434
00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:14,120
Speaker 1: and just take the eleven points with the Jets and go,

435
00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:16,399
Speaker 1: come on. They can't. The Patriots aren't gonna blow this

436
00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:18,480
Speaker 1: right because we talked about it. The Patriots lose on

437
00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:23,159
Speaker 1: Thursday and the Bills win on Sunday, I mean it's gone.

438
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,480
Speaker 1: The head to head is the only differentiator, and the

439
00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:30,240
Speaker 1: Patriots could have a huge moment here in this season.

440
00:20:30,760 --> 00:20:33,040
Speaker 1: This is a big test for Mike Rabel. Can you

441
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:36,480
Speaker 1: handle can this young team with a second year quarterback,

442
00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:40,399
Speaker 1: a rookie running back who had a huge game two

443
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:43,800
Speaker 1: touchdowns for Trevon Henderson, Kyle Williams comes off of the

444
00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:45,959
Speaker 1: back of a milk carton to have a seventy two

445
00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:48,520
Speaker 1: yard reception that everybody went wait. His third catch of

446
00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 1: the year is a seventy two yard touchdown. I don't

447
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:54,639
Speaker 1: think Boute is playing, but maybe he'll play, and that

448
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:57,760
Speaker 1: will help the offense obviously. But this is a young

449
00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:00,840
Speaker 1: team with a lot of praise. Drake May is the

450
00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:04,080
Speaker 1: odds on favorite to win the MVP. Let's see how

451
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:06,399
Speaker 1: they handle it. I think a survivor play is the

452
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,520
Speaker 1: right move, but I'm not laying eleven points with the Patriots.

453
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I get it, and Drake May doesn't have to

454
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:16,879
Speaker 3: worry about Sas Gardner or Quinn Williams anymore. And Matt I,

455
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:20,000
Speaker 3: just where are the Jets points coming from in this game?

456
00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:23,600
Speaker 3: With trying to run against the Patriots defense that had

457
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:26,680
Speaker 3: not allowed a fifty yard rusher until Sean Tucker eked

458
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:30,160
Speaker 3: out fifty three yards against him on Sunday somehow, and

459
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:34,359
Speaker 3: the Jets have no Garrett Wilson reinjured himself. He's gonna

460
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:36,320
Speaker 3: miss I think they said three to four weeks, but

461
00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:37,679
Speaker 3: they might just shut him down.

462
00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:38,359
Speaker 1: They should.

463
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:43,880
Speaker 3: That leaves Tyler Johnson as the Jets' best wide receiver. Probably,

464
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:46,840
Speaker 3: I mean maybe maybe ad Nai Mitchell, but he's just

465
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 3: like on his second week with his new team, or

466
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:53,640
Speaker 3: John Matchi, who also just joined the Jets. Like this

467
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:57,199
Speaker 3: offense is a train wreck. I'd be stunned if the

468
00:21:57,240 --> 00:22:00,439
Speaker 3: Jets made a game of this, Matt. But if you

469
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,879
Speaker 3: don't like betting, there's really no good out of division options.

470
00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:07,680
Speaker 3: I mean I just kind of explained why, like Buccaneers

471
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:08,960
Speaker 3: right Bills.

472
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,399
Speaker 2: So I'm not touching that one. Packers at Giants.

473
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:14,200
Speaker 3: I don't want to touch the Packers on a short

474
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:19,400
Speaker 3: week traveling, especially after how their offense looked. Steelers five

475
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:22,359
Speaker 3: and a half at home against the Bengals. We've already

476
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,159
Speaker 3: seen the Steelers lose to the Bengals. Ravens minus eight

477
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,080
Speaker 3: and a half at Browns. I guess that's the runner up.

478
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,440
Speaker 1: Possibly, yeah, I mean that's the play. I mean that

479
00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:31,800
Speaker 1: that will be the number one if you have the

480
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:34,360
Speaker 1: Ravens available, The Ravens will be the number one pick.

481
00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:37,320
Speaker 1: But again, it's a divisional game, like this is November, right.

482
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,879
Speaker 1: The number of divisional games we are seeing this week

483
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,760
Speaker 1: makes it extremely difficult to pick a survivor. Winner, because look,

484
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:47,440
Speaker 1: I'm with you, the Packers are a little bit scary,

485
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,639
Speaker 1: but I would think the Packers are an option for

486
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:53,680
Speaker 1: some people off the loss on the road against the Giants.

487
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:56,680
Speaker 1: But the dead cap bounce of the Giants is really

488
00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 1: scary because it just fired Brian Dabble. So do you

489
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 1: really want to back the Packers after their losses back

490
00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:03,640
Speaker 1: to back home losses, are on the road to face

491
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,439
Speaker 1: a Giants team that's going to be obviously playing for jobs,

492
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:09,480
Speaker 1: So that's somewhat scary. It might not be Jackson Dart,

493
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:12,679
Speaker 1: it might be Russ. It's better if it's Russ. But

494
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:15,640
Speaker 1: he can, you know, sometimes rise up and do big things.

495
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:19,240
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously he's a competent quarterback. So yeah, Packers

496
00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:21,720
Speaker 1: are scary. The Texans I think are on the board.

497
00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:26,560
Speaker 1: There are potential but Titans stink. But you've got only

498
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 1: seven point line for a reason. The Houston offense stinks,

499
00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:32,600
Speaker 1: So like, you know, is it going to be C. J.

500
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 1: Stroud or is it gonna be Davis Mills? And you

501
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:36,120
Speaker 1: want to back a backup quarterback going on the road

502
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 1: to Tennessee? Not really? Now if you made a survivor pool,

503
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 1: this far right, So it's it's a hard week.

504
00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:45,159
Speaker 2: Really tough week. Yeah, if I knew it was going

505
00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:47,240
Speaker 2: to be CJ. Stroud, I might have that game in play,

506
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:48,000
Speaker 2: but we don't.

507
00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:48,400
Speaker 1: Know that for sure.

508
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:52,200
Speaker 2: Concussion possible, it's more than a one week concussion.

509
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 1: I mean, what are the Dolphins. If you have the

510
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:58,400
Speaker 1: Dolphins available, can you back Miami? And I know it's

511
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:00,880
Speaker 1: in Spain, but can you act the Dolphins to beat

512
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,160
Speaker 1: the Commanders. Yeah?

513
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:05,960
Speaker 3: I would think about that, but for me personally, I'd

514
00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:09,480
Speaker 3: rather take the Vikings over the Bears than the Commander

515
00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 3: than the Dolphins over.

516
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:12,919
Speaker 1: The divisional But the Vikings Bears a divisional game, so

517
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 1: you're violating one of the principles of survivors.

518
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 3: It's hard not to violate that principle this week, Matt, correct, right.

519
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:21,679
Speaker 1: I mean, if you have the I mean the games

520
00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:25,880
Speaker 1: that are not division or Washington, Miami, Green Bay, New Jersey,

521
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:34,680
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, Buffalo Chargers, Jacksonville, and then Detroit, Philadelphia, Dallas

522
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:36,800
Speaker 1: and the and and the Raiders. I don't mind the

523
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:39,400
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys play, but if I'm assuming people have used

524
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:41,480
Speaker 1: the Cowboys but by now, But I don't mind. But

525
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:43,680
Speaker 1: it's a road team. You're backing. That's not great. I

526
00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:46,440
Speaker 1: mean you want to be involved with Detroit, Philadelphia, or Baltimore,

527
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 1: Cleveland or Seattle, LA for the rams. No, like that's right,

528
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:53,440
Speaker 1: that's a that's a sweaty. I mean you're going to

529
00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:56,359
Speaker 1: be pacing if you have a survivor pool available with

530
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 1: these this week? Did this is a really really hard week?

531
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:02,200
Speaker 2: Yeah? They're no layups. This is all fifteen foot jumpers

532
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:02,680
Speaker 2: this way.

533
00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is this is hard? Is it gonna make

534
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 1: you sweat? And make your work? Here? To get to

535
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:09,720
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536
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541
00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:26,360
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543
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544
00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 1: so a play that you would fire on right now

545
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 1: that the line might move. If you're looking at it

546
00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:40,320
Speaker 1: on a Tuesday afternoon, what would you play?

547
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,080
Speaker 3: I kind of like the Giants's big home dogs against

548
00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:46,920
Speaker 3: the Packers, and this line is seven and a half

549
00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:51,000
Speaker 3: in some places, Matt, but it is Packers minus eight

550
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:54,560
Speaker 3: at hard Rock Bet as of Tuesday morning. I like

551
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:56,639
Speaker 3: getting it at seven and a half right before the

552
00:25:56,720 --> 00:26:02,200
Speaker 3: Giants quarterback situation is resolved. I doubt Jackson dark plays

553
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:05,760
Speaker 3: even if he clears concussion protocol. Why take chances with

554
00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:09,240
Speaker 3: your franchise quarterback? But I think it might be Jamis

555
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 3: Winston time. I don't think it's gonna be Russell Wilson again,

556
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,200
Speaker 3: or maybe the Giants are just tanking and want to

557
00:26:15,280 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 3: run out Russell Wilson again, even though it's obvious to

558
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:20,679
Speaker 3: everyone that the man just can't play anymore. But I

559
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 3: am guessing that Giants' ownership and front office want to

560
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 3: make a good showing after firing Brian Dable, And as

561
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:30,760
Speaker 3: you know, Matt, teams often respond pretty well the week

562
00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:34,400
Speaker 3: after a head coach gets fired in season. The Packers

563
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:36,720
Speaker 3: offense is kind of a mess right now. We saw

564
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:39,199
Speaker 3: it on Monday night against the Eagles. They don't have

565
00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:43,200
Speaker 3: enough pass catching firepower, and Romeo Dobbs left Monday Night's

566
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 3: game with a chest injury. Their offensive line isn't good,

567
00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 3: and they lost center Elkton Jenkins to an ankle injury.

568
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:53,199
Speaker 3: The Packers averaged four yards per play against the Eagles

569
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:57,119
Speaker 3: on Monday night at home. Now, the Packers defense is good,

570
00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,400
Speaker 3: but a competent quarterback can do business against the green

571
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:04,040
Speaker 3: Bay secondary if the offensive line can at least slow

572
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 3: down Micah Parsons in the green Bay pass rush. So Packers'

573
00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:11,720
Speaker 3: special teams are terrible, like really terrible. I can attest

574
00:27:11,760 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 3: to that as a Packers fan. And this is a

575
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 3: road game for green Bay on a short week of rest.

576
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:19,119
Speaker 3: So I like getting this now. While let's say seven

577
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,560
Speaker 3: and a half or eight, I don't like it nearly

578
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:23,560
Speaker 3: as much if it comes down to seven points or

579
00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 3: falls below seven.

580
00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:29,640
Speaker 1: For me, And I know the trading away of Sauce

581
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:33,760
Speaker 1: Gardner and the trading away of Quintin Mitchell and the

582
00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:38,360
Speaker 1: players that you've seen for the Jets, you'd go, Okay,

583
00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,720
Speaker 1: maybe the Patriots offense is gonna go put up big numbers.

584
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 1: But this is a short week. The Patriots are at

585
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 1: home and the Jets are coming in I think under

586
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,680
Speaker 1: forty three and a half for this game coming up

587
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 1: on Thursday night, simply what we have seen the last

588
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,480
Speaker 1: two primetime games, I guess not Sunday night, but the

589
00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:01,600
Speaker 1: game on Monday and Thursday. We've seen some ugly games,

590
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:03,800
Speaker 1: and I just think we're going to see the Patriots

591
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,240
Speaker 1: who have been Look, the Patriots are six and four

592
00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 1: to the over on the year, Jets are six and three.

593
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:10,359
Speaker 1: The Jets are three and one to the over on

594
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,520
Speaker 1: the road. The Patriots are three and two to the over.

595
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 1: But the last four games of the Patriots have all

596
00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 1: gone over. I just feel like there's a there's a

597
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:20,959
Speaker 1: little bit of a market correction coming here where you

598
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 1: mentioned it. How many points are the Jets going to score?

599
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:26,600
Speaker 1: You need both teams to score, So let's just give

600
00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:29,440
Speaker 1: the Patriots twenty four points. Let's just start there. How

601
00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:31,920
Speaker 1: many points are the Jets going to score? I really

602
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:35,280
Speaker 1: don't know. Ten thirteen. Like I feel like this is

603
00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:38,920
Speaker 1: a thirty to thirteen type final. The Patriots win the

604
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:41,640
Speaker 1: game in a blowout fashion, but it stays under because

605
00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 1: the Jets don't score enough points and there's no real

606
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:46,920
Speaker 1: incentive for the Patriots to run the score up here.

607
00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 1: It's just get a W and get the heck out

608
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 1: of here. So I think this number is going to

609
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 1: come down. It's already below forty four. I don't want

610
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:57,440
Speaker 1: up below forty three. Reminder that your key numbers forty four,

611
00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 1: forty three, forty two from a total percentersive, So we're

612
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:02,840
Speaker 1: already at forty three and a half. I don't want

613
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:06,280
Speaker 1: to go down anymore. I'm taking the under on Thursday Night,

614
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:08,440
Speaker 1: Patriots Jets under forty three and a half.

615
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:12,320
Speaker 3: If the Jets score fourteen points, the Patriots would have

616
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:15,080
Speaker 3: to score thirty to push this one over. Matt, I

617
00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 3: don't think the Jets.

618
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 2: I think they're like fifty to fifty or worse to

619
00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:21,920
Speaker 2: get to fourteen points. That's how bad this offense is

620
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:22,720
Speaker 2: going to be.

621
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, Like they're going to have to run the heck

622
00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 3: out of the ball against a great run defense to

623
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 3: do it, because like this passing game is just non

624
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 3: functional with the quarterback and the pass catchers they have

625
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:36,640
Speaker 3: right now. So yeah, and as far as like putting

626
00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:40,240
Speaker 3: up a big number for the Patriots, they are most

627
00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 3: likely a hamstring issue is probably not going to be

628
00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:46,000
Speaker 3: just a one week deal for Kashawn Booty, So they're

629
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:49,080
Speaker 3: going to be playing without their major home run hitter

630
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 3: in their pass catching corps.

631
00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 2: And I know, like Diggs and Hollinson.

632
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:56,760
Speaker 1: I mean, he's the Biky fort and he's never targeted.

633
00:29:57,080 --> 00:29:59,120
Speaker 3: And we did see Kyle Williams hit on a big

634
00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:00,920
Speaker 3: play and we've seen the Mayor Doug Lat's have some

635
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:05,520
Speaker 3: big catches this year, so it's not like he's without weapons.

636
00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:08,080
Speaker 3: Drake may Is, Yeah, I think the under is a

637
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:10,000
Speaker 3: real good play here, just playing the.

638
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 2: Jets on the under.

639
00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:15,240
Speaker 1: Matt Yeah, I would. I think it's I'm not laying

640
00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:17,560
Speaker 1: eleven and a half points on a Thursday night game,

641
00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:19,240
Speaker 1: but I think the better play is just to go

642
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:20,920
Speaker 1: ahead and take the under right now before it goes

643
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:24,400
Speaker 1: too low with the Patriots and the Jets on Thursday nights. Guys,

644
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 1: a reminder that you can score six months of Betting

645
00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:29,440
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646
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647
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648
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Speaker 1: in the prop bitt cheat sheet, and the same game

649
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651
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:46,480
Speaker 1: All right, Pat on the way out. Are we in

652
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:50,120
Speaker 1: for a topsy Turvy week? Or is it Favorites Raining

653
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:51,520
Speaker 1: Supreme in week eleven?

654
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:54,040
Speaker 3: It's a good question, matt Where are you at on?

655
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 3: We were talking about this a little before we turned the

656
00:30:57,000 --> 00:31:01,160
Speaker 3: mics on Rams Seahawks, because obviously that is the game

657
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:01,640
Speaker 3: of the week.

658
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:03,840
Speaker 2: I think right now it's what Seattle by two.

659
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 1: And a half? Yep, And I would lay know it's

660
00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:09,280
Speaker 1: Rams by two and a half, as by two and

661
00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:11,760
Speaker 1: a half, that's yeah, Sorry, Rams are at home. Seattle's

662
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:15,200
Speaker 1: on the road for whatever reason, and I don't know why,

663
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:17,720
Speaker 1: but Mike McDonald is a better coach on the road

664
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 1: than he is at home. It doesn't make any sense.

665
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,840
Speaker 1: He's incredible in the Eastern time zone. This game is

666
00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:26,360
Speaker 1: obviously in LA. But I like Seattle, and I think

667
00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:28,720
Speaker 1: this number goes to three, and I think you take

668
00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:31,920
Speaker 1: the Seahawks at plus three up against the Rams, and

669
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,760
Speaker 1: I think they can get after Matthew Stafford. You're gonna

670
00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 1: have to get pressure on Stafford. The thing that has

671
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:39,400
Speaker 1: not happened much this year is it Stafford has had

672
00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 1: a clean pocket to sit back and look at Puka

673
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 1: Nakua and find him open all over the place. And

674
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:46,600
Speaker 1: if he is covered, DeVante Adams on the other side

675
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,600
Speaker 1: is wide open. They run the ball effectively this year.

676
00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 1: It really comes down the offensive line to me and

677
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:55,720
Speaker 1: the Seahawks having to pressure Matthew Stafford and then Sam

678
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:58,600
Speaker 1: Donald can't make mistakes that. The Rams defense is better

679
00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:02,320
Speaker 1: than people think, and they've been very opportunistic, so don't

680
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:06,280
Speaker 1: throw interceptions. But I like Seattle again on the road.

681
00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 1: I think this might be where this where the Rams

682
00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 1: win in Seattle and the Seahawks win in LA. I'll

683
00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:13,200
Speaker 1: take the points, give me Seattle plus three.

684
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:14,160
Speaker 2: I think I'm with you.

685
00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:18,760
Speaker 3: Seattle can put pressure on the Rams on Matthew Stafford.

686
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 3: They have the personal to do it, and by a

687
00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 3: lot of measures, DVOA, EPA, whatever they're like. They say

688
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 3: Seattle is the best team in the NFL right now,

689
00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:31,920
Speaker 3: and I am inclined to believe that.

690
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 2: Like they have looked at.

691
00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:36,280
Speaker 1: I agree. I think they're the best team. Great week,

692
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:40,040
Speaker 1: really good games. We've complained so much about some crap games.

693
00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:42,480
Speaker 1: We've got some really good weeks, really good games. This week.

694
00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:45,040
Speaker 1: It's starting on Thursday, Patriots. Just with the rivalry game,

695
00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:48,200
Speaker 1: Patriots bringing out their Nor'eastern uniforms, which I'm not really

696
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:50,560
Speaker 1: in love with, but if you like icy blue unis,

697
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:53,200
Speaker 1: the Patriots are pulling out ice blue for the game

698
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 1: on Thursday, so we'll see what that looks like. Keys

699
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:58,160
Speaker 1: Bephis Morris, I am at Barod. Thank you for being here.

700
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 1: We are back next week to break down Week two.

701
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:03,120
Speaker 1: Well every Tuesday, we're doing looks Early looks for you

702
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:06,160
Speaker 1: guys heading into the NFL. Thanks for listening to the

703
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 1: Betting Pros podcast.

704
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:10,000
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705
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706
00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:13,720
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707
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:16,640
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708
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:18,600
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709
00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:20,760
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710
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:22,959
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