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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn.

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Speaker 1: Ten seconds of aining, so just go show under the basket,

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Speaker 1: Under the basket, it's the truth for the wind.

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Speaker 2: God make a miracle.

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Speaker 3: I'm up the water.

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Speaker 2: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 3: What's up the generate Nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 3: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett NGM. This is the

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Speaker 3: College Basketball Conference Tournament Betting Preview, Part nine. I'm stucky

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Speaker 3: and joining me as they do each and every morning,

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Speaker 3: my fellow Monday morning, not every morning, my fellow BBOC

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Speaker 3: cast Greg Waddell and Mike Calabrese. Today we are going

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Speaker 3: to hit the rest of the conferences that we have

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Speaker 3: not yet. That is the Big ten, the SEC, the

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Speaker 3: A ten, and I'll even get to some meac and

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Speaker 3: swack at the end. You haven't checked out Parts six, seven,

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Speaker 3: and eight. Did this yesterday with the guys from the

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Speaker 3: Three Man Weaves to cover all of the other tournaments

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Speaker 3: that start this week. It's a beautiful time of the year, boys, Greg,

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Speaker 3: how goes it?

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Speaker 4: That was great, man, I was saying before you jumped

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Speaker 4: down the call. I'm just so energized every single year

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Speaker 4: this week and then I come crashing down the week after.

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Speaker 4: But like, we have so much to look forward to

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Speaker 4: selection Sundays on the radar. But first we have this

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Speaker 4: great week of like all day basketball, every single day,

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Speaker 4: teams playing desperate. It truly is the happiest time of

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Speaker 4: year for people like us, and I'm trying to soak

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Speaker 4: it in because it feels like you snap your fingers

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Speaker 4: on but nothing can knock me off my high horse

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Speaker 4: this week.

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Speaker 2: I'm loving it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and the games have been great. I mean just

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Speaker 3: take yesterday for example. You have Lehigh coming back from

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Speaker 3: twenty down fortunately for my future there to beat Boston

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Speaker 3: and overtime.

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Speaker 1: You had.

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Speaker 3: DTSU somehow coming back from twenty down to beat Chattanooga

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Speaker 3: in overtime. You had arc State and win at the buzzer.

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Speaker 3: It's just been awesome basketball throughout the asun The Big

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Speaker 3: South tournaments were amazing, and I had a feeling I

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Speaker 3: wasn't getting many buzzer beaters. Said that coming in the March.

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Speaker 3: We've gotten a bunch of good fortune on those for

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Speaker 3: my future, so hopefully that continues. Calvary's enjoying the madness.

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Speaker 1: I also have a twelve to one ticket on Lehigh,

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Speaker 1: So that was it was one of the few games

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Speaker 1: I got to just sit down and watch end to

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Speaker 1: end really in the last week or so, and just

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Speaker 1: you know, watching it with some friends and they're pulling

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Speaker 1: for me, and they were kind of confused when I

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Speaker 1: was still rooting them on when they were down twenty,

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Speaker 1: I was like, no, there's no home court advantage in

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Speaker 1: the Patriot League. Boston is I don't really think that

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Speaker 1: much of their coach. He did not do a good

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Speaker 1: job coaching them with the lead. But yeah, that was

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Speaker 1: an exciting game. I think also, we need to come

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Speaker 1: together a little prayer circle, light a candle for Indiana

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Speaker 1: State please make it to the tournament as an at large.

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Speaker 1: It was the exact scenario that I laid out a

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Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago with Randall and Stuck, where I

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Speaker 1: thought that Drake would win Arch Madness and if it

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Speaker 1: was a close game, Indiana State should get into. But

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Speaker 1: now it's going to be just a brutal like ten

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Speaker 1: day wait or so for the Sycamores, it's going to

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Speaker 1: kill me if they put in, you know, a Virginia

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Speaker 1: Wake of Villanova over them as the last at large team.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't put it past the committee. They do crap

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Speaker 1: like this all the time. But I think the whole

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Speaker 1: sport in the country should you know, benefit from Indiana

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Speaker 1: State being in the tournament. So I'm just pulling for them.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I believe in What it kind of reminds me of,

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Speaker 3: which we could see is Missouri State one year. I

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Speaker 3: think it was like it's one of the Barry Hinton teams.

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Speaker 3: They might have been Southwest Missouri State then, but I

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Speaker 3: thought they were a lot. They were like twenty in

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Speaker 3: the RPI and they got croshed I think by Creighton

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Speaker 3: in the Missouri Valley Championship and they didn't end up

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Speaker 3: making it. If I had a bet on it, I

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Speaker 3: would bet that Indiana State does not get in. I

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Speaker 3: think it's just easy to lead them out through the committee,

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Speaker 3: so you can just say, look at where the quad

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Speaker 3: one wins. They lost at home to Southern Illinois. I

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Speaker 3: hope they get in, but I think they might be

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Speaker 3: on the wrong side of the bubble.

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Speaker 1: Also on the other side of it. If they do

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Speaker 1: get in, that eleven game play and I could see

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Speaker 1: them absolutely using that as a springboard to run to

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Speaker 1: the second weekends. Like They're already such a fun offense

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Speaker 1: to begin with, giving them a little bit of added

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Speaker 1: momentum going into the round of sick four. If they

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Speaker 1: were able to win in that playing game, I think

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Speaker 1: they could be really dangerous. But I agree with you

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Speaker 1: got into my head right now. I bet they get

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Speaker 1: hosed with the committee, Greg, you agree, yeah.

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Speaker 2: One hundred percent. I am already heartbroken on their behalf.

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Speaker 2: I think they're outside utching, which is devastating.

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Speaker 4: It was like one of the very top teams we

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Speaker 4: all wanted to see make the rioted brutal just a

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Speaker 4: brutal loss.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, Let's get into the remaining conference tournaments.

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Speaker 3: Let's start with the Big ten fourteen teams. This will

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Speaker 3: be played in Minneapolis. Top four get double buys. That's Purdue,

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Speaker 3: Northwestern Illinois, Nebraska, five through ten seeds get single buys.

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Speaker 3: Indiana actually finished with the sixth seed and big conglomertive

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Speaker 3: teams in that in the middle of the Big ten standings,

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Speaker 3: and then you have I guess the first round or

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Speaker 3: playing games. Maryland will take on Rutgers, hence State will

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Speaker 3: take on Michigan. Produe is a favorite here at around

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Speaker 3: even money, which I have is about fair. You have

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Speaker 3: Illinois at about three to one. As always shop around,

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Speaker 3: I'm just going based off of one book here, Nebraska,

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Speaker 3: Wisconsin at eleven to twelve to one, range, Michigan State

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Speaker 3: fourteen to one, Northwestern twenty to one. Ohio State is

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Speaker 3: surgeing Ohio stateight teen thirty to one, Iowa thirty three

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Speaker 3: to one, Indiana forty one. Then you get into some

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Speaker 3: longer shots, some housekeeping injury questions. Marilynd Julian Reese, who

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Speaker 3: is obviously super important for them. He's got to play

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Speaker 3: and then I mean, they're not a threat to win

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Speaker 3: this thing, but just as far as your betting is concerned,

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Speaker 3: and he's got stay out of foul trouble when he

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Speaker 3: does play. He did warm up yesterday, but I guess,

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Speaker 3: I mean, they weren't really playing for anything, but he

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Speaker 3: didn't play, So just keep an eye on his status.

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Speaker 3: Nincommalu out for the year for Michigan, mag for Rutgers,

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Speaker 3: he matters, he hasn't played. Clary was dismissed for Penn State,

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Speaker 3: and then Northwestern. You have ty Berry out for the year,

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Speaker 3: Matthew Nicholson dealing with an injury as well, hasn't played

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Speaker 3: the last few. When I look at this bracket, the

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Speaker 3: first team, you know, Northwestern with boo booie at twenty

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Speaker 3: to one. You know, they're the four seed. You might say, wow,

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Speaker 3: they have a double buy I no, thank you. I

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Speaker 3: know they've played Purdue tough, but with all the injuries

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Speaker 3: they're dealing with and the lack of depth, you know

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Speaker 3: you're gonna have to win three games in three days.

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Speaker 3: It's just not a team that I'm personally looking to back,

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Speaker 3: you know, and they're in that top half with Purdue.

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Speaker 3: I think Nebraska at eleven twelve to one ISH is

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Speaker 3: intriguing to me. Since February first nine and one been

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Speaker 3: a top ten team. Pert Torvik second in overall just

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Speaker 3: the defensive efficiency. Their defense is playing really well. They've

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Speaker 3: also added just like some road wins and not the

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Speaker 3: best road wins, but they've been playing better away from home.

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Speaker 3: Plus they're deep. For three games in three days won't

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Speaker 3: bother them at all. So, you know, for a team

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Speaker 3: that's the three seed on the other half of the

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Speaker 3: bracket of Purdue, their path you know, would be Indiana presumably,

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Speaker 3: and then Illinois, Iowa or Ohio State. They took Illinois

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Speaker 3: two overtime in Champagne and Illinois, you know, they still

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Speaker 3: have defensive questions. Their offenses explosive, they're gonna have to

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Speaker 3: deal with. They they match up pretty well with Iowa

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Speaker 3: as we've seen. But you know it's I want to

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Speaker 3: Ohio State. Two desperate teams whoever wins that game, and

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Speaker 3: two teams that have played a bit better down the stretch.

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Speaker 3: All especially Ohio State. That's not a walk in the

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Speaker 3: park for them. And one of the most important things

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Speaker 3: that Nebraska does is they keep you out of transition

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Speaker 3: three percent through three third percent tile nationally in transition

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Speaker 3: frequency allowed. That's so important against Illinois. Illinois is deadly

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Speaker 3: in transition. Shannon is just a walking bucket whenever he

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Speaker 3: can get out and run, and Nebraska just doesn't let

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Speaker 3: you do that. So yeah, I think Nebraska at you know,

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Speaker 3: the way that they're playing right now. Their draw, I

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Speaker 3: think eleven and twelve to one, they're the team. I

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Speaker 3: make them fair like nine to nine and a half

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Speaker 3: to one, so I show value the number two. They're

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Speaker 3: the team I'm looking at. Greg. This is your wheelhouse,

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Speaker 3: the big ten. So let's here's how'll have you guide

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Speaker 3: us through this eleven through fourteen seeds that would have

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Speaker 3: to win five games in five days. Maryland, Rutgers, Penn State, Michigan.

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Speaker 3: We can throw all them out, right.

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Speaker 4: Yes, there's there's one I'm not throwing out stuck, and

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Speaker 4: it's the team you alluded to, Julia Reese.

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Speaker 3: So we do have a power ball. We have a

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Speaker 3: power ball section.

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Speaker 2: Okay, ticket, okay, yeah, yea yeah.

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Speaker 3: So who's the potential power ball?

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Speaker 2: The power ball for me is Maryland.

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Speaker 4: Now Reese's injury hangs over this team for sure, But

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Speaker 4: you're looking for a team from that first group that

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Speaker 4: you see a path to win maybe three straight, and

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Speaker 4: then it's anyone's guest from there, right, I.

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Speaker 2: Will put the caveat on this.

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Speaker 4: You're not gonna hear me talk about this tournament and

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Speaker 4: advised that you truly believe anyone wins this. This isn't Purdue,

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Speaker 4: this is the Purdue Invitational. They are so much better

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Speaker 4: than every other team in this league. Get them at

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Speaker 4: even money. I have that as great value. I don't

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Speaker 4: think they lose a game in this tournament. So if

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Speaker 4: you're betting anybody else you're looking for, let's get value

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Speaker 4: on them. To make the semi and then find ways

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Speaker 4: to hedge and make sure you cover your bases on

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Speaker 4: either side, which makes it harder to back the middle

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Speaker 4: of the path. Like Illinois three to one, not worth

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Speaker 4: it for me. Nebraska, I do like your call. I

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Speaker 4: think they have a great draw and more on another

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Speaker 4: team I could see coming out of that region or

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Speaker 4: that side in just a little bit.

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Speaker 2: But from the first four.

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Speaker 4: Seeds, to me, it is Maryland because it would be

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Speaker 4: a very similar path to what we saw Ohio State

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Speaker 4: do in this tournament last year, where they opened the

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Speaker 4: tournament in the very first game one to three straight,

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Speaker 4: got to Purdue in the semi.

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Speaker 2: That was a competitive.

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Speaker 4: Basketball game for the first thirty five minutes before they

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Speaker 4: ended up falling apart late. This Maryland team, on paper,

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Speaker 4: is top or top five minimum in talent, and they've

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Speaker 4: underachieved all season. There's no, I mean, no way around it.

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Speaker 4: This team does not have enough shooting. That roster is

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Speaker 4: not going to fix itself overnight. But they still have

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Speaker 4: a superstar. They still have Jamiir Young, who is one

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Speaker 4: of the five best players in this league, and in

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Speaker 4: a single elimination game setting that matters their path, right

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Speaker 4: now is going to be Rutgers, likely without Mawatt mag

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Speaker 4: who has been horrendous down the stretch run of the season.

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Speaker 4: Their most recent game to end the year was the

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Speaker 4: most underwhelmed I've been with Rutgers. They've lost six of

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Speaker 4: their last seven. They just got He's st up by

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Speaker 4: twenty two points to Ohio State at the rack. Like,

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Speaker 4: I think this is an automatic win for Maryland in

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Speaker 4: round one. Then you get a Wisconsin team that I mean,

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Speaker 4: has there been a worse team in the country over

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Speaker 4: the last month and a half than Wisconsin. They were

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Speaker 4: on the two line at one point. They have won

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Speaker 4: three games since February. First, to me, they're safely in

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Speaker 4: the tournament. They're not desperate. Maryland's playing for their tournament lives.

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Speaker 4: I think that's a great draw. And then you're talking

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Speaker 4: if they get to the quarterfinal. It's a Northwestern team

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Speaker 4: who's missing two starters that once again is in the

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Speaker 4: NCAA tournament. Even with a loss in the first game,

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Speaker 4: they're not playing for anything. I think this opens up

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Speaker 4: very very well for a Jamiir Young superstar run. He's

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Speaker 4: gonna have to get thirty points a game. These are

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Speaker 4: gonna have to be grinded out, ugly games, but Maryland will.

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Speaker 3: Be Maryland, Rutgers, Maryland, Wisconsin, Maryland, Northwestern. Those are r

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Speaker 3: fifty eight to fifty five, which is what you want

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Speaker 3: for a long shot, low possession, high variants games which

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Speaker 3: they'll get through the three rounds no matter who they played.

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Speaker 4: It's exactly what Maryland wants. And until the last month,

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Speaker 4: this was a top five defense in the country. It's

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Speaker 4: fallen off a little bit. It's now ranked eleventh per

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Speaker 4: Ken POMD. But man, you go through, this team's lost

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Speaker 4: a bunch of games lately. It hasn't been because they're

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Speaker 4: getting blown out or haven't showed up like some of

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Speaker 4: these other teams. Like you're talking a five point loss

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Speaker 4: to Illinois, four point loss at the Cole Senator Wisconsin,

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Speaker 4: seven point loss to Northwestern. I think this team's right there.

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Speaker 4: I think they're gonna make a little bit of a run.

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Speaker 4: Now again, that all ends when you get Perdue and

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Speaker 4: they are on Purdue side of the bracket. They'd have

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Speaker 4: to see them in the semi. But if you can

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Speaker 4: get them at a really good price early, I think

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Speaker 4: you could have some value late and cover your bases.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I actually don't hate that at all as

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Speaker 3: a super lunch and even all throughout the throughout league play.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they lost to Ohio State in double overton,

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Speaker 3: they lost to Rutgers by three, Michigan State by two,

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Speaker 3: with Western by three, Minnesota by three, you know, Illinois

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Speaker 3: by five. They were in. They're in almost every game,

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Speaker 3: and I believe that Reesel play. I think that it

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Speaker 3: was the last regular season game. They're not, you know,

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Speaker 3: they have to win the Big Ten tournament. They were

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Speaker 3: probably just being castus. And he did go through warm ups.

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Speaker 3: I thought he was gonna play, so I would assume

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Speaker 3: that he'll play and then hopefully he stays out of

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Speaker 3: Foult troubles. So I don't hate that from a long

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Speaker 3: shot perspective. Anyone in the second tier, which would be

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Speaker 3: teams playing on Thursday with the single by Michigan State, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa,

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Speaker 3: Ohio State in Indiana, that catch your eye or anything

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Speaker 3: you want to mention.

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Speaker 2: There, Yeah, there is.

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Speaker 4: I like Indiana from that tier, and I see them

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Speaker 4: at eighty to one right now. I think that's incredible

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Speaker 4: value for a team that has just won four consecutive games.

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Speaker 4: They're playing well, right now, all the rumors of a

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Speaker 4: mass exodus from Mike Woodson have seen been pushed aside

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Speaker 4: here because they lost Leam mcnely, their big recruit. You're thinking, oh, okay,

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Speaker 4: every player on this roster is going to leave. They

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Speaker 4: announced Woodson's coming back next year, and all the rumors said,

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Speaker 4: no one wants to play for him. Well, they're playing

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Speaker 4: their best basketball. They literally look like a completely different team.

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Speaker 4: The biggest reason why it's been Mackenzie and Bacco is

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Speaker 4: a dude right now. He's the five star that they

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Speaker 4: had at the beginning of the year that was promised.

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Speaker 4: It really took him three months to get his feet

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Speaker 4: under him. Right now, he finally looks comfortable. He's shooting

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Speaker 4: the ball with confidence, he's getting the three point attempts up,

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Speaker 4: which were not present through the first two months of

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Speaker 4: the season, and they're winning like they've been convincing in

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Speaker 4: my opinion. They jumped out to a big lead on

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Speaker 4: Michigan State before you know, letting them hang around. There

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Speaker 4: were some I don't know, injury stuff there right Tregalloway

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Speaker 4: went out. I think if treg Alloway doesn't go down

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Speaker 4: for Indiana in the first half of that game, they

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Speaker 4: probably win it comfortably. But before that, man two straight

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Speaker 4: road wins at Maryland, at Minnesota. They went to the

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Speaker 4: Barn and spanked Minnesota last week. I think they're playing

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Speaker 4: really well, and draw draws the important for me here.

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Speaker 4: They are in the same odd that Nebraska is. You

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Speaker 4: talked about how Nebraska has a decent path here. You

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Speaker 4: avoid Purdue until the championship game, Michigan or Penn State.

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Speaker 4: Whoever wins that game, it's likely going to be Penn State.

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Speaker 4: That's not something I think you'd have to sweat on.

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Speaker 4: Although I will say Penn State beat Indiana twice this year.

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Speaker 4: To me and I view that angle much more as

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Speaker 4: it's hard to beat a team three times. I think

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Speaker 4: the way Indiana's playing right now would be a little

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Speaker 4: revenge factor. Okay, we want to see them. I think

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Speaker 4: if you're gonna bet anybody from this side of the bracket,

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Speaker 4: it makes sense for it to be Indiana or Nebraska.

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Speaker 4: Take your pick which you like more. I think you're

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Speaker 4: getting significantly more value at the number with Indiana, but Nebraska,

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Speaker 4: I'm with you, stuck. I think they have a path

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Speaker 4: right and if there is one team in this draw

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Speaker 4: that I think is not going to be afraid to

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Speaker 4: see Purdue. Maybe wanting another chance at Purdue. I think

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Speaker 4: it's Nebraska who gave them the most impressive performance any

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Speaker 4: opponents given Perdue this year. I litz them in Lincoln.

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Speaker 4: You can't convince me that Illinois wants to see Purdue again.

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Speaker 4: I think that's hanging over this. They lost two straight

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Speaker 4: games against him this year. They tried to make it

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Speaker 4: Illinois versus Purdue. Mentally, there's a caliber difference there that's

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Speaker 4: not there. I think that pod between Indiana Nebraska is

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Speaker 4: the spot to target.

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Speaker 2: Take your pick who you liked more.

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Speaker 4: I'll put my money out Indiana at the number eighty

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Speaker 4: to one, just because I think it's great value.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and then you can also hope for you know,

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Speaker 3: I mean, Nebraska does have a really good post defense,

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Speaker 3: like the way that they play schematically, which is huge

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Speaker 3: against Purdue. And Northwestern does a really good job if

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Speaker 3: they get if they have Nicholson back, you know of

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Speaker 3: trapping bigs, and they've given Purdue some some problems, so

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Speaker 3: you know, maybe there's a chance that they pick off Purdue.

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Speaker 3: You'd have that boo boo, you just go bananas. But

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Speaker 3: that's just something. I don't think it's likely, but you

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Speaker 3: would just it's something that could work in your favor

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Speaker 3: if you take some of these bigger numbers in the

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Speaker 3: Bobby half. But I think, yeah, Nebraska, it's not the

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Speaker 3: worst matchup in the world. If they get to the

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Speaker 3: final and face Purdue, and you would have a juicy

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Speaker 3: ticket anyway. But I agree you want to I think

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Speaker 3: with Purdue's dominance, you want to target the bottom half

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Speaker 3: or take a lottery ticket on Saint Maryland, which I

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Speaker 3: don't hate, but you want to talk at the bottom half.

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Speaker 3: And Illinois at their price just has no value under

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Speaker 3: three to one, and they're going to struggle to stop

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Speaker 3: Eedie and Purdue at their rim no matter what, or

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Speaker 3: just give up a ton of open threes trying to

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Speaker 3: cover that. I don't think it's a great matchup for Illinois,

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Speaker 3: and I just don't see any value in the number Calvary's.

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Speaker 1: Let me go to you, what are you seeing in

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Speaker 1: the big ten? You guys are so thorough. I had

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Speaker 1: all my notes on Nebraska. I was like, I can't

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Speaker 1: wait to bring them to the table. I'm gonna have

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Speaker 1: some interest, and then you hit every single note. The

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Speaker 1: only one that you left on the table for me.

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Speaker 1: You alluded to them playing produce so well at home,

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Speaker 1: but beyond that, they also held to Edy to fifteen

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Speaker 1: and seven, which is essentially like holding him lower than

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Speaker 1: any other team this entire season. So I understand the

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Speaker 1: game flow. You know, by the second half it was

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Speaker 1: a runaway. Still holding him to fifteen and seven is

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Speaker 1: so incredibly impressive. And when you look at their path,

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Speaker 1: when you talk about Indiana, they killed them twice and

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Speaker 1: they took Illinois to overtime in Champagne. So I agree

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Speaker 1: with all the points here. I had it circled. If

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Speaker 1: I could get it better than eight to one, you're

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Speaker 1: saying it's eleven or twelve to one in the market

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Speaker 1: the Cornhuskers, for me, I'm going.

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Speaker 3: With them, Greg get anything else wanted ad in the

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Speaker 3: Big Ten is Michigan State they I mean they can

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Speaker 3: they give for du a scare. I mean, Minnesota's fading.

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Speaker 3: I would assume that they win that game. I watched

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Speaker 3: that first Michigan that last Michigan State Minnesota game. Michigan

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Speaker 3: State was in control of that game, and then Walker

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Speaker 3: got hurt and he went out for like it's like

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Speaker 3: seven eight minutes and Minnesota made a run. But Minnesota's

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Speaker 3: fading quick. So Michigan State, can they do they have

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Speaker 3: any chance against Purdue?

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Speaker 4: In a word, no, I am fading Michigan State pretty

383
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Speaker 4: hard at this point in the year. And I don't

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Speaker 4: even think it's cool to fade them anymore. I think

385
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Speaker 4: it was a month ago, but now everybody's caught on

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Speaker 4: Tyson Walker's just hurt.

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Speaker 2: That's all this is.

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Speaker 4: He has a serious groin injury, and everyone knows that

389
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Speaker 4: without him shooting twenty times a game, playing thirty eight minutes,

390
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Speaker 4: this offense just doesn't have enough answers in the half court.

391
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Speaker 4: They have total non factors at center. They don't have

392
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Speaker 4: enough shooting. I mean, the one thing they do well

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Speaker 4: in a half court setting is shoot threes. They make

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Speaker 4: thirty six percent of them, but they're in the three

395
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Speaker 4: hundreds into three point attempt rate and tom Izzo's hitting

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Speaker 4: the podium complaining that they shot too many.

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Speaker 2: Threes against Indiana. It's insane.

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Speaker 4: I don't know how they expect to win games shooting

399
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Speaker 4: so many fade away tough two pointers from Malie Hall

400
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Speaker 4: and a hurt Tyson Right now, they did get gifted Minnesota.

401
00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:58,400
Speaker 4: Who I test why something is seriously wrong with them.

402
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Speaker 4: I think a month ago they would have been kind

403
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Speaker 4: of the darling pick here in Minneapolis. You want to

404
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Speaker 4: think the home crowd could boost them, and they played

405
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Speaker 4: really good ball through January and February. Something's off here.

406
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Speaker 4: They've lost for their last five in blowout fashion. The

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Speaker 4: one win they were down forty one to eighteen at

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Speaker 4: home to Penn State. This is not the team they

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Speaker 4: were a month ago. There's heavy rumors that Dawson Garcia

410
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Speaker 4: has made himself very available in the transfer portal and

411
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Speaker 4: is already seeking some offers. I think that locker room's

412
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Speaker 4: blown up a little bit. So I do think Michigan

413
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Speaker 4: State wins that first game, but no, I do not

414
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Speaker 4: think it's going to be overly competitive no matter who

415
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Speaker 4: wins against Purdue.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and if you're considering Michigan State as a future walker,

417
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Speaker 3: dealing with a groin injury and them needing to beat

418
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Speaker 3: Purdue and win four games in four days, not ideal, no,

419
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Speaker 3: to say the least. All right, good stuff there, This

420
00:21:54,840 --> 00:22:00,320
Speaker 3: is all of our These are all of our home references,

421
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:03,160
Speaker 3: so to speak. You have Greg with his big ten,

422
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Speaker 3: me with Kentucky and the SEC which we'll touch on,

423
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 3: and then Calavarese's Belove at a ten. This podcast is

424
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:14,400
Speaker 3: probably presented by Bett MGM use bonus code action when

425
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Speaker 3: signing up to get up to one hundred and fifty

426
00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:18,640
Speaker 3: eight dollars in bonus bets when you bet five dollars

427
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Speaker 3: for new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky,

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00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:25,960
Speaker 3: the Louisiana, MARYLD, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia,

429
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,679
Speaker 3: West Virginia, and Wyoming. Termscusis apply must be twenty one

430
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434
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435
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436
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437
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438
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441
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:08,080
Speaker 3: Network dot Com slash madness. Make sure you get there

442
00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:11,040
Speaker 3: before the deal expires. Cheers. That's one of the A

443
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:15,879
Speaker 3: ten which will take place in Brooklyn. All fifteen teams

444
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:20,200
Speaker 3: make the tournament. Top four get double buys, five through

445
00:23:20,280 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 3: nine seeds get single buys. The double values the double

446
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 3: buys are Richmond, the one seed, Loil Chicago, the two

447
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:32,879
Speaker 3: seed Dayton, the three seed UMass, the four seed Dayton

448
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:38,120
Speaker 3: is the favorite here plus one forty Richmond five to one,

449
00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:42,199
Speaker 3: UMass six to one, Oil Chicago plus six fifty PCU

450
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:44,600
Speaker 3: ten to one, Ducane twelve to one, Bonnies twelve to one,

451
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:48,320
Speaker 3: Mason sixteen to one, Saints Joe's twenty to one. And

452
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:51,679
Speaker 3: then you have a bunch of longer shots. Some housekeeping here.

453
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:57,000
Speaker 3: For Dayton, their point guard Bennett, he is expected to

454
00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:59,639
Speaker 3: be available, dealing with a thumb injury. He does matter

455
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:03,359
Speaker 3: UMass key on Thompson, who also matters big drop off

456
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:07,199
Speaker 3: to Curry, the freshman he didn't play like, reaggrevated an

457
00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:10,720
Speaker 3: injury in their finale. Their depth also gets thin quick

458
00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:14,800
Speaker 3: without him. George Mason Keishawn Hall. He didn't play in

459
00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 3: their finalite, but I think he should be good to

460
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 3: go here. I thought he was gonna play over the weekend.

461
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:23,320
Speaker 3: They're probably just being a little bit cautious. GW one

462
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:25,520
Speaker 3: of their better freshman, Garret Johnson. He's been out for

463
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:28,760
Speaker 3: about a month. Not sure if his status headed in

464
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:31,880
Speaker 3: to the tournament. They did get bout canon back instantly.

465
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,959
Speaker 3: When I look at this first, the first thing I'll

466
00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:38,159
Speaker 3: say is dat and horrible value plus one forty no,

467
00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:41,320
Speaker 3: thank you. You know they're they're already in the tournament.

468
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,760
Speaker 3: They're the three seed. They're also a high variance team,

469
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:48,119
Speaker 3: which you don't want as the favorite in a tournament setting.

470
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:51,920
Speaker 3: They play slow, and they shoot a bunch of threes

471
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:54,080
Speaker 3: and give up a bunch of threes like plus one forty,

472
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:55,719
Speaker 3: Oh thanks. I think that they should be like plus

473
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:58,480
Speaker 3: two to fifty. Plus three hundred would be closer to fair.

474
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:04,399
Speaker 3: So I want no part of Dayton Well Richmond. For

475
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 3: what it's worth, they are the one seed at five

476
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:09,159
Speaker 3: to one. Since February first, per Torvick, they've been the

477
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:12,240
Speaker 3: seventh best team in the A ten, So maybe a

478
00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:17,560
Speaker 3: bit of a misleading seed line for Richmond Loyola. Meanwhile,

479
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:21,159
Speaker 3: at plus six point fifty, I think Greg Wight end

480
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:23,480
Speaker 3: up shooting their aren't curious to see where he goes,

481
00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:24,679
Speaker 3: but it will be my guests. They're nine and one

482
00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 3: since February first, rated as the best team in the

483
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:31,239
Speaker 3: A ten. Their path would be presumably Saint Bonnie's, then

484
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 3: Dayton in the semis, and then whoever comes out at

485
00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 3: the top in the final. The teams that I would

486
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:40,840
Speaker 3: potentially well, there's one team that I'm looking to target.

487
00:25:42,000 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 3: I will say Saint Joe's as the nine. They are

488
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:49,159
Speaker 3: a high variance team. They shoot a ton of threes,

489
00:25:49,240 --> 00:25:51,400
Speaker 3: they give up a ton of three, is very compact defense.

490
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:55,080
Speaker 3: Mason is also a high variance team. They play slow,

491
00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:56,920
Speaker 3: oh they give up a ton of three. Saint Jo's

492
00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 3: does play a little bit faster, but they both have

493
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 3: some high variance to them. I think Claul's going to

494
00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:07,360
Speaker 3: come back for Mason, and you know, at sixteen to one,

495
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:11,199
Speaker 3: I'm this team is super talented. They can play with

496
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,119
Speaker 3: anyone in this league. They just destroyed Richmond, who if

497
00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:17,240
Speaker 3: they get by Saint Joe's they would play in the quarters.

498
00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 3: This team has a ton of talent and I think

499
00:26:22,040 --> 00:26:24,000
Speaker 3: they're going to be fully healthy, which they haven't been

500
00:26:24,040 --> 00:26:26,920
Speaker 3: for stretches this season. So George Mason is the team

501
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:30,240
Speaker 3: that I'm potentially looking at. But I'm curious to Calabris

502
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:32,240
Speaker 3: to get your thoughts. The way I'll walk you through.

503
00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:34,119
Speaker 3: I'll walk through this the same way I did the

504
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:37,760
Speaker 3: Big Ten with Greg. Teams that are playing in the

505
00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,960
Speaker 3: first round, you know, and then we'll call it a

506
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:45,440
Speaker 3: power ball section. Sets ten through fifteen. You have LaSalle

507
00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:48,600
Speaker 3: taking on GW Right Island taking it on Saint Louis,

508
00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:52,680
Speaker 3: Fordham taking on Davidson. If either of these teams were

509
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,000
Speaker 3: to make a crazy run, they'd have to win five

510
00:26:55,160 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 3: games in five days. Tough task and big talent discrepancy

511
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:02,960
Speaker 3: between some of these teams in the top of the league.

512
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 3: Any flyers that you're seeing, or can we cross those

513
00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:06,520
Speaker 3: teams off?

514
00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:09,439
Speaker 1: We can go ahead and cross those teams off. I

515
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:12,399
Speaker 1: don't think any of those teams have more than two

516
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:16,480
Speaker 1: wins in the chamber. If it had set up so

517
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:21,160
Speaker 1: that LaSalle could have caught Ducane in the second rounds, maybe,

518
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 1: but as it stands, you know, having you go through

519
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 1: Saint Bonaventure and then Loyola, I just that's the only

520
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:27,760
Speaker 1: team that I could talk myself into a little bit,

521
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 1: and just the luck of the draw, they didn't get

522
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 1: the best path forward. So we can go ahead and

523
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:35,320
Speaker 1: skip those teams in the first round on Tuesday.

524
00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:39,639
Speaker 3: Okay, So let's move on to the second tier of

525
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:43,639
Speaker 3: teams that will begin their A ten campaign on Wednesday.

526
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:46,360
Speaker 3: In the second round, I talked about Mason and Saint

527
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 3: Joe's playing each other, with the winner facing Richmond. Then

528
00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 3: you have VCU kind of faded down the stretch. They

529
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 3: think they were benefiting from some lucky shooting variants for

530
00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:00,680
Speaker 3: long stretches, both on offense and defense. They're the five seed.

531
00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:04,040
Speaker 3: They'll get the winner of Fordham Davidson. You have Saint Bonaventure,

532
00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:07,159
Speaker 3: very inconsistent team all year. They're the seven seed, and

533
00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:10,000
Speaker 3: the Bonnies will weight the winner of the Sounds w

534
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:13,280
Speaker 3: and then Ducaine the sixth seed, doubt with some injuries

535
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 3: this year, they'll take on the winner of Rhode Island,

536
00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:19,920
Speaker 3: Saint Louis. Any of these teams in the second tier

537
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 3: intriguer or any matchups you want to mention.

538
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:25,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the number is good on Saint Shows

539
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:25,680
Speaker 1: twenty to one.

540
00:28:25,800 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 3: I'll play that.

541
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 1: I mean, you look at their highs, what they've done

542
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:31,359
Speaker 1: on the road this year. They whipped Nova, they beat

543
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 1: U mass on the road. They took Kentucky to ot

544
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 1: at Rupp. That's important to me. Now, obviously the Low's

545
00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,480
Speaker 1: were pretty bad. They lose a Rhode Island, they lose

546
00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 1: to Saint Louis. But in this tournament setting, they're High

547
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 1: Varians team three.

548
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:45,680
Speaker 3: It's gonna be a ton of threes on both ends, exactly.

549
00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 1: And when you look at the draw, they beat George

550
00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 1: Mason this year, and then they get Richmond. They gave

551
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,120
Speaker 1: Richmond a really good game in their building. They were

552
00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 1: down five points in the final minute. As you mentioned,

553
00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 1: they take a town of threes almost twenty ninth per game,

554
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 1: that's eleventh in the country. They make a lot of them.

555
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:01,560
Speaker 1: They're over ten per game, that's ninth. Eric Reynolds is

556
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:02,960
Speaker 1: going to have to put the team on his back,

557
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 1: and he has eleven twenty plus point performances this year,

558
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:08,040
Speaker 1: so he's been able to do it. They also feature

559
00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:10,960
Speaker 1: five double digit scorers and their rotation and the Hawks

560
00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 1: are twenty seventh nationally in lineup continuity. They know how

561
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,640
Speaker 1: to play together. I think they can absolutely get hot,

562
00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:18,440
Speaker 1: and I think just the way that it shook out

563
00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 1: getting Richmonds there, you know, if they are able to

564
00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:23,440
Speaker 1: get pass towards Mason, that's a team that you want

565
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:26,280
Speaker 1: to face, as opposed to potentially drawing a team that

566
00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 1: plays slower like Dayton. I don't think that would be

567
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 1: as ideal. So twenty to one was a number threshold

568
00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 1: that I needed. I got it, So I'll go with

569
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 1: the Hawks at this price point.

570
00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:39,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's the game the target. It just

571
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:42,960
Speaker 3: depends on which flavor you prefer between George Mason and

572
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,680
Speaker 3: Saint Joe's because I think either one of the whoever

573
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:49,200
Speaker 3: wins that eight nine game, can make a run to

574
00:29:49,280 --> 00:29:54,880
Speaker 3: the championship, and they both have high variance nature in

575
00:29:54,920 --> 00:29:57,960
Speaker 3: the way that they play for various reasons. But let's

576
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 3: talk about the top four seeds Les Richmond, the one,

577
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,160
Speaker 3: U Mass the four in the top half of the bracket,

578
00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:09,800
Speaker 3: Loyla Chicago the two, Dayton, the three. The only one

579
00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:12,120
Speaker 3: of these teams that's safely in the field is in

580
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 3: the tournament field is Dayton. But what are you looking

581
00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:17,600
Speaker 3: at or what do you see or want to mention

582
00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:20,240
Speaker 3: as far as the top four seeds that will receive

583
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 3: the double bye of the quarters on Thursday.

584
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:25,960
Speaker 1: I agree. I think oddsmakers just looked at Dayton residing

585
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:27,840
Speaker 1: the top twenty five for the majority of the season,

586
00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:30,120
Speaker 1: said oh, we have to price them really low. There's

587
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:31,760
Speaker 1: no way they should be plus one forty to win

588
00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 1: this tournament. I mean, they were mortal down the stretch

589
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 1: for starters. They're eight and four straight up in their

590
00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:39,200
Speaker 1: last twelve, five and seven against the closing number. The

591
00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 1: offense just broke down in losses, which is confusing because

592
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:44,800
Speaker 1: they do the right things quote unquote. They're thirtieth in

593
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 1: rim and three rate, but they don't get to the

594
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,560
Speaker 1: line very often, you know, full on mediocre in that stat.

595
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:52,160
Speaker 1: They don't force turnovers, so they get nothing in transition.

596
00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 1: They're two hundred and eighty second in fast break points

597
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:56,800
Speaker 1: per game, And it boils down to this, if they

598
00:30:56,840 --> 00:30:59,280
Speaker 1: can't make ten or more threes. At this point, the

599
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:01,440
Speaker 1: teams that they're going to start facing in this tournament,

600
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:03,880
Speaker 1: from their very first game, they can lose to anybody.

601
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:06,440
Speaker 1: So Dayton is a total pass for me. And then

602
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:08,280
Speaker 1: you start looking at these other teams. I'll start with

603
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 1: UMass great front court. We know what Cohen and Cross

604
00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 1: can do. They average thirty two and fifteen as a tandem.

605
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:17,280
Speaker 1: They're sixteenth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage. And they beat Richmond,

606
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:20,000
Speaker 1: they smash VCU, they lost by one de Loyola for

607
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:22,280
Speaker 1: to Dayton, both of those games on the road, and

608
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:25,959
Speaker 1: Evan Maia's opponent adjusts Metric points out that UMass plays

609
00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,680
Speaker 1: much better against quality opponents, tops in the A ten,

610
00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:30,920
Speaker 1: So it's six to one. I think that they're a

611
00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:33,560
Speaker 1: team that you really need to consider playing their path

612
00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:37,240
Speaker 1: probably being VCU, Richmond, Dayden or Loyola. I think that

613
00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:39,600
Speaker 1: they could potentially beat all of those teams, So there's

614
00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 1: not a matchup that I really have to stretch my

615
00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:44,720
Speaker 1: imagination to see them pulling out. The issue for the

616
00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:46,880
Speaker 1: minute met's pretty simple. They're not a good shooting team,

617
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:50,160
Speaker 1: particularly from three, and Rasull Diggins is the only reliable

618
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:53,480
Speaker 1: scorer guard Thompson, he talked about his injury concerns, but

619
00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 1: both him and Curry they totally disappear at times, and

620
00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 1: they both shoot twenty five percent or worse from three

621
00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 1: point range. So that's the reason. And against the minute men,

622
00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:03,680
Speaker 1: when I look at Loyola, I know that we've talked

623
00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:06,520
Speaker 1: a lot about them on this pod, and the Ramblers

624
00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:08,440
Speaker 1: in mean, they got wins over Dayton and UMass at

625
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:11,000
Speaker 1: two point loss to Richmond, so they're right there against

626
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:13,720
Speaker 1: the top teams ten and one down the stretch. Here's

627
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:15,680
Speaker 1: here's my actual concern. I'll just get right to it.

628
00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:18,920
Speaker 1: Eight and two in games decided by five points or fewer.

629
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:21,080
Speaker 1: That's one of the highest win percentages in the entire

630
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:24,280
Speaker 1: country in close games. And it's confusing to me because

631
00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:27,240
Speaker 1: they shoot worse than sixty nine percent from the line,

632
00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 1: three hundred and seventh in the country. I think when

633
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,120
Speaker 1: you mix that with the fact that their offense has

634
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:35,160
Speaker 1: limitations one hundred and eighty second and Ken Bombo, there's

635
00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 1: some issues there. Everything about this team, it's all on

636
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 1: their defense. They're statistical DNA is so strong in the

637
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 1: defensive end. They're fourth and two point shooting percentage defense,

638
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 1: They're twenty fifth in defensive rebounding. Can they win a

639
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:49,520
Speaker 1: bunch of rock fights on the way? That's a personal preference.

640
00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 1: They're a pass for me, just because I think they've

641
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:55,160
Speaker 1: been fortunate in close games and their offense really, you know,

642
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 1: gives me concerns so then I land on Richmond, and

643
00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 1: I understand that Richmond, when you look at Torvikston's February first,

644
00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:04,920
Speaker 1: has been a middling team. But there's a couple things

645
00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:08,120
Speaker 1: that jump out to me. They're statistically similar to Loyola,

646
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:10,240
Speaker 1: a little bit better on offense, twenty ninth on d

647
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,160
Speaker 1: by Ken Palm. They're a much better shooting team than

648
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:16,959
Speaker 1: Loyola nearly across the board defensively eighteenth and shooting efficiency

649
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 1: really good on the defensive glass. And here's the thing

650
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:22,480
Speaker 1: about the tournament play that brings me to the Spiders.

651
00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:25,560
Speaker 1: At this number, they won't beat themselves. They have few

652
00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 1: of the nine turnovers per game, which is fourth in

653
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:30,760
Speaker 1: the country, thirteenth most experienced team in America. And you

654
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,200
Speaker 1: mix that with a veteran coach, Chris Mooney excels in

655
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 1: tournament formats, whether it's the Big Dance, the NIT, the CBI.

656
00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 1: In his last six postseasons, he's won at least one

657
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 1: game and he's only been bounced once in his first

658
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:44,400
Speaker 1: game in the A ten tournament in the last nine years.

659
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 1: So I feel strongly about them making a run in

660
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:50,080
Speaker 1: this tournament. I understand that they've left a little bit

661
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,160
Speaker 1: to be desired in recent weeks, but I think he's

662
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:54,280
Speaker 1: going to circle the wagons get some good game plans

663
00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:56,880
Speaker 1: with this coaching staff, as he always does. So Richmond's

664
00:33:56,920 --> 00:34:00,360
Speaker 1: actually my play to win this thing. I just wanted

665
00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:02,760
Speaker 1: to lay out the rationale for all of these teams

666
00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 1: here because all of them bring some nice things to

667
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:07,440
Speaker 1: the table. But I think there's some fatal flaws all

668
00:34:07,440 --> 00:34:09,319
Speaker 1: the way up to Dayton to scare you off some

669
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:10,279
Speaker 1: of these picks.

670
00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:13,040
Speaker 3: So you sent you you want your you think Saint

671
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:14,920
Speaker 3: Jose is worth a flyer, but you think Richmond is

672
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:15,960
Speaker 3: going to Yes, I have.

673
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:18,759
Speaker 1: A good feeling that that the champion from the A

674
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:20,839
Speaker 1: ten is going to come out of that cluster. So

675
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:25,239
Speaker 1: that George Mason, Saint Jose, Richmond trio just depends on

676
00:34:25,280 --> 00:34:27,560
Speaker 1: your your risk appetite for you know, how long you

677
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:28,319
Speaker 1: want the shot to be.

678
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:30,520
Speaker 3: So it was a very thorough breakdown. Thank you, Calvary

679
00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:32,319
Speaker 3: Sgreg I'll let you go wherever you want to go

680
00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:34,880
Speaker 3: with this in the A ten. If you want to

681
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 3: talk long shots, how you're seeing it or who you like,

682
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 3: I assume you're going to make a case for your

683
00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:43,320
Speaker 3: best friend, mister Valentine.

684
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:43,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, a couple of things for me.

685
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 4: I I think Calbury's laid out the correct way to

686
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 4: approach betting this tournament.

687
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:52,799
Speaker 2: Like I believe the winner is going to come from

688
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:53,480
Speaker 2: the top half of.

689
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:56,360
Speaker 4: This bracket, and I am bummed on behalf of my

690
00:34:56,800 --> 00:34:59,480
Speaker 4: great friend Drew Valentine, who if he was on the

691
00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 4: top half of the bracket, I'd be screaming his praises

692
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:04,600
Speaker 4: and saying how I love to draw. The reality is

693
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 4: if they catch Dayton in a semi after how emotional

694
00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:10,840
Speaker 4: that win was at home a week and a half ago,

695
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:12,799
Speaker 4: and you have to get through that just to make

696
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:16,240
Speaker 4: a title game. I think that's a large emotional task

697
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:17,920
Speaker 4: for a team that knows they need to win this

698
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:20,680
Speaker 4: tournament to make the NCAA tournament.

699
00:35:20,680 --> 00:35:21,240
Speaker 2: That's tough.

700
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 4: I still think they have been the best team in

701
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:26,200
Speaker 4: this league, and at six and a half to one,

702
00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:30,239
Speaker 4: I don't mind taking a flyer on that, But that's

703
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:31,719
Speaker 4: not where I would put my money. That's not where

704
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:33,560
Speaker 4: I think the best value is the only point I

705
00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:36,080
Speaker 4: want to give to Calbary's. I think I do understand

706
00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:39,359
Speaker 4: why they have some close game luck despite the bad

707
00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:42,000
Speaker 4: free throw shooting numbers. They have one elite free throw

708
00:35:42,040 --> 00:35:45,480
Speaker 4: shooter Braydon Norris is. I mean, he's lights out right.

709
00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:48,000
Speaker 4: He only shoots free throws when it's a tie game

710
00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 4: and there's auto files.

711
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 2: He doesn't get to the line. Outside of that, then.

712
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:53,080
Speaker 4: He's fifty for fifty eight on the year, So that

713
00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 4: does make sense to me. Of like he usually doesn't miss.

714
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 4: He missed against Dayton, which was interesting. The team that

715
00:35:58,719 --> 00:36:01,200
Speaker 4: I am going to take a flyer on, which I

716
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:03,560
Speaker 4: haven't heard brought up yet, is actually VCU.

717
00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:05,640
Speaker 2: I like where they're at here now.

718
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:08,879
Speaker 4: They got blitzed by UMass earlier this season, but at

719
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:11,239
Speaker 4: ten to one, that's the number I'm seeing. I think

720
00:36:11,280 --> 00:36:14,120
Speaker 4: that's pretty good for a team that per Torvik, go

721
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:17,680
Speaker 4: back to January ninth, they're third in this league, sixty

722
00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 4: seventh nationally. Dayton and Loyola, just for perspective purposes, is

723
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:25,640
Speaker 4: forty first and fifty ninth nationally. VCU is closer to

724
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:28,320
Speaker 4: that level of a team since the beginning of January

725
00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:31,319
Speaker 4: than the gap to the fourth best team in this league,

726
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 4: which is closer down to the one hundred into the

727
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:35,920
Speaker 4: one fifties where everybody else is. If you look at

728
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 4: their last three they've lost three straight games at Richmond,

729
00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 4: lose by three at Dayton, take them to overtime. I

730
00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:44,160
Speaker 4: thought they were the better team in that game. Dayton

731
00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:45,960
Speaker 4: just hit a bunch of tough shots. They had to

732
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:48,040
Speaker 4: shoot fifty five percent from three to win that game

733
00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:50,440
Speaker 4: at home. The Sandwich game in the middle was the

734
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:52,440
Speaker 4: bad one. You lose by ten at home to Ducane.

735
00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:55,440
Speaker 4: But again, Sandwich game in the Middle, it wasn't a

736
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:58,400
Speaker 4: crazy spot to see a surprise there. I think this

737
00:36:58,440 --> 00:37:01,359
Speaker 4: team's playing really, really well. They are eleven and five,

738
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:04,160
Speaker 4: including that three game losing streak since that January ninth

739
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:05,359
Speaker 4: date that I put out there.

740
00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:06,759
Speaker 2: They've got shooters.

741
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:09,600
Speaker 4: Shulga is a guy who can just get hot, hit

742
00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:11,719
Speaker 4: six threes and win you a game. I really like

743
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:14,360
Speaker 4: the eye test of how zeb Jackson is playing right now.

744
00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:16,000
Speaker 2: I like teams.

745
00:37:16,120 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 4: Again, you talk about this when you're the underdog stock,

746
00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:22,400
Speaker 4: you want to limit possessions and shooting variants is a

747
00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 4: good thing.

748
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 2: VCU forty second in the core.

749
00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:27,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, at least play slow.

750
00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:32,000
Speaker 4: Exactly VCU thirty seven percent on the year from three

751
00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:34,919
Speaker 4: forty second in the country. They have the fortieth best

752
00:37:34,920 --> 00:37:37,400
Speaker 4: three point percentage defense. Like if they're going to make

753
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:40,399
Speaker 4: more threes than their opponent and limit possessions. And they're

754
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:42,399
Speaker 4: on the right side of the draw and they've been

755
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:46,200
Speaker 4: better than Richmond since January ninth. Like, I think it's

756
00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:48,080
Speaker 4: wide open at ten to one. I really like the

757
00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:51,120
Speaker 4: price point for the Rams and I think you're getting

758
00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:53,560
Speaker 4: some value given the fact they lost these close games

759
00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:55,200
Speaker 4: late to the best teams in this league.

760
00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:57,319
Speaker 2: But man, they were right there. They're playing like one

761
00:37:57,320 --> 00:37:58,359
Speaker 2: of the best teams in the A ten.

762
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:01,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, they have some high there. It's nature to them

763
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:04,520
Speaker 3: and by playing slow, shot a ton of threes which

764
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:06,600
Speaker 3: they can make. And they have a really good coach

765
00:38:06,640 --> 00:38:08,880
Speaker 3: as well, which is what you want in a tournament

766
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 3: setting in ryan Odum before you move on to the

767
00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:13,480
Speaker 3: SEC Calgaries. You want to put a bow on this

768
00:38:13,520 --> 00:38:15,040
Speaker 3: and at anything to the A ten or do we

769
00:38:15,080 --> 00:38:15,640
Speaker 3: cover it all.

770
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:18,680
Speaker 1: One last thing about Loyola, and it's not because I'm

771
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:21,319
Speaker 1: anti the Ramblers. I think they deserve their flowers for

772
00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:23,320
Speaker 1: what they've been able to squeeze out of this team.

773
00:38:23,520 --> 00:38:26,640
Speaker 1: And I mean it's just kind of like an I

774
00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:29,200
Speaker 1: the Beholder situation where it's like, do you win the

775
00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:31,839
Speaker 1: close games because you're nails and you just you run

776
00:38:31,880 --> 00:38:33,480
Speaker 1: good sets and you know what you want to do

777
00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 1: and you handle the pressure or is it because you're lucky.

778
00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:38,799
Speaker 1: I think it's like somewhere in between for them. But

779
00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:40,960
Speaker 1: also it's worth noting that they're in the three hundreds

780
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:44,800
Speaker 1: in the away from Home performance Metric bimetrics, So I

781
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:46,799
Speaker 1: think that's a concern to have to win this many

782
00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:49,600
Speaker 1: games up in Brooklyn. You know, for a team that's

783
00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:51,759
Speaker 1: at the western out post of the A ten, they're

784
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:54,200
Speaker 1: probably not gonna have a lot of fans there. It's

785
00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:57,239
Speaker 1: it's something, at least it's in my mind and it's

786
00:38:57,280 --> 00:38:59,799
Speaker 1: baked into my opinion of them being able to put

787
00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:00,280
Speaker 1: it together.

788
00:39:00,960 --> 00:39:03,640
Speaker 3: It's finally March, so you know what that means. It's

789
00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 3: time to say top of the morning to the most

790
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:10,520
Speaker 3: famous Saint Patrick's Day. Shamrock Shavers are new sponsor Manscaped.

791
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:14,399
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792
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:17,080
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793
00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:21,120
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794
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:24,040
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795
00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:28,680
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796
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:32,320
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797
00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:35,400
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798
00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:39,040
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799
00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:43,240
Speaker 3: the Misty Moors shave under a waterfall shave while betting

800
00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:46,920
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801
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:51,160
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802
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:54,279
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803
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 3: code bboc at manscaped dot com. This Saint Patrick's day.

804
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:01,600
Speaker 3: Make sure you're a hairy to leprechaun is luckier than

805
00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:06,600
Speaker 3: ever with bandscaped. All right, good stuff. The A ten

806
00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:09,440
Speaker 3: should be a good one in Brooklyn. Let's move on.

807
00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:13,000
Speaker 3: Let's head down south and move on to the SEC.

808
00:40:14,120 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 3: All fourteen teams make it top four double buys, five

809
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:22,200
Speaker 3: through ten single buys. This is in exact replica format

810
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:26,960
Speaker 3: as the Big Ten, but instead of Minneapolis in Nashville,

811
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:29,719
Speaker 3: Tennessee is the top seed. They are the favorite of

812
00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:34,800
Speaker 3: plus one sixty. Auburn the second favorite. Interesting enough, and

813
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:38,000
Speaker 3: they're around two to one. They are the two top

814
00:40:38,040 --> 00:40:40,239
Speaker 3: seeds in the top half of the bracket. So if

815
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:42,600
Speaker 3: the Chalk holds, they would face each other in the

816
00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:47,040
Speaker 3: semi finals. I see zero value in either of those numbers.

817
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:51,520
Speaker 3: Tennessee Auburn would be an awesome semi final matchup though,

818
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:53,680
Speaker 3: and if the Chalk holds in the bottom it would

819
00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:58,200
Speaker 3: be Kentucky Alabama and meeting in the semi finals, both

820
00:40:58,239 --> 00:41:02,480
Speaker 3: around five to one. I when I look at this,

821
00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:05,160
Speaker 3: and then you know you're five through ten seeds have

822
00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:07,719
Speaker 3: a single buy that's Lsussissippi State will play each other

823
00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:10,080
Speaker 3: in the eight nine games, South Carolina, the five seed

824
00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:13,040
Speaker 3: Texas A and m O miss rematch from the finale,

825
00:41:13,160 --> 00:41:16,160
Speaker 3: the Texas A and m dominated in the seven to

826
00:41:16,160 --> 00:41:20,960
Speaker 3: ten matchup, and then Florida as the sixth seed. First

827
00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:24,920
Speaker 3: round games Arkansas vers Vanderbilt, Georgia versus Missouri. So when

828
00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:26,800
Speaker 3: I look at this, I see no value in Tennessee

829
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:31,000
Speaker 3: just from a numbers perspective, no value in Auburn. I

830
00:41:31,080 --> 00:41:33,399
Speaker 3: and then I look at Kentucky at five to one,

831
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:36,479
Speaker 3: No thanks. I mean they can beat anybody. They could

832
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:40,279
Speaker 3: lose to anybody. You know, their offense is so good.

833
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 3: Their defense still has issues. It's been better in some facets,

834
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:46,239
Speaker 3: but I mean they were just at home the game

835
00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:49,080
Speaker 3: before they wanted Tennessee with you know, Arkansas, and it

836
00:41:49,160 --> 00:41:51,799
Speaker 3: was like ninety to eighty eight with three minutes to go.

837
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:54,879
Speaker 3: So no thank you on Florida. Excuse me, no thank

838
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:58,319
Speaker 3: you on Kentucky, and no thank you in Alabama. It's

839
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 3: worth noting that Ryland Griffin. I think he's he has

840
00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:03,520
Speaker 3: a calf injuries dealing with. I think he should be available,

841
00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:07,160
Speaker 3: but worth monitoring their Alabama's defense seems to be getting worse.

842
00:42:08,239 --> 00:42:13,040
Speaker 3: They does anyone on that team they want to defend.

843
00:42:14,719 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 3: It's bad. They can't get stops. So no thank you

844
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:19,560
Speaker 3: on them five to one. But I think because of

845
00:42:19,600 --> 00:42:21,759
Speaker 3: their you know, Alabama can't get stops. They're also a

846
00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:23,720
Speaker 3: super high variants team. They shoot a ton of threes.

847
00:42:24,880 --> 00:42:29,200
Speaker 3: In Kentucky with their you know, their offense and defense,

848
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:33,480
Speaker 3: their defensive liability, those are vulnerable two three seed high

849
00:42:33,560 --> 00:42:37,200
Speaker 3: variance teams, which I think, you know, Tennessee is more

850
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:40,120
Speaker 3: of a consistent commodity. I think they'll probably come out

851
00:42:40,120 --> 00:42:42,120
Speaker 3: of the top half, but I just don't see any

852
00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:43,520
Speaker 3: guy in the number. But I don't want to attack

853
00:42:43,560 --> 00:42:46,000
Speaker 3: any long shots in the top half. If I was

854
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:48,960
Speaker 3: that threw a powerball it would be Arkansas just for

855
00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:52,160
Speaker 3: couch change, just because of you know, they're you know,

856
00:42:52,200 --> 00:42:54,600
Speaker 3: it's a team that was ranked coming in the season,

857
00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:57,239
Speaker 3: had a ton of potential flopped. Now they'd have to

858
00:42:57,280 --> 00:43:00,200
Speaker 3: win five games in five days. But you know, their

859
00:43:00,200 --> 00:43:03,000
Speaker 3: offense is playing extremely well right now, battles averaging like

860
00:43:03,200 --> 00:43:05,560
Speaker 3: I think, thirty three points per game over the last five.

861
00:43:06,080 --> 00:43:09,440
Speaker 3: That would be a powerball ticket, but I'm targeting. I

862
00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:13,479
Speaker 3: would rather target teams in the bottom half, and those

863
00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:18,040
Speaker 3: two would be Florida at fourteen to one. They should

864
00:43:18,080 --> 00:43:20,719
Speaker 3: be Georgia or Missouri in the second round and get

865
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:27,400
Speaker 3: to Alabama, who they already beat. They already beat Kentucky,

866
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:33,279
Speaker 3: the two seed en roup and they've been a top

867
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:36,280
Speaker 3: twenty team since January first, had injuries early in the season.

868
00:43:37,520 --> 00:43:41,680
Speaker 3: You have a great coach in Todd Golden. So Florida

869
00:43:41,680 --> 00:43:44,279
Speaker 3: being fourteen to one compared to Alabama and Kentucky at

870
00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:46,800
Speaker 3: five to one, I think that there's some value there.

871
00:43:47,680 --> 00:43:51,319
Speaker 3: And Texas A and M. I can't get away from

872
00:43:51,600 --> 00:43:53,920
Speaker 3: A and M. They do have a decent bench, they

873
00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:55,719
Speaker 3: play slow, they give up a ton of three, So

874
00:43:55,800 --> 00:44:00,479
Speaker 3: fifty to one they're a good candidate as a long shot.

875
00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 3: They already beat Kentucky. I you know, they already beat Florida,

876
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 3: and there's a good chance Florida takes that. Alabama I hate.

877
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:11,080
Speaker 3: I would hate them to face Alabama just because now

878
00:44:11,080 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 3: the good thing is they could Alabama could just be

879
00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:14,080
Speaker 3: off from three, which is what you want with a

880
00:44:14,120 --> 00:44:16,839
Speaker 3: fifty to one shot. It's just when you when tex

881
00:44:16,880 --> 00:44:19,200
Speaker 3: A and M plays Alabama, you always feel like you're

882
00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 3: trying to combat threes with twos, which is it's just

883
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:25,200
Speaker 3: an uphill climb. But those are the two teams I'm

884
00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:28,359
Speaker 3: targeting in the bottom half, which I think could be

885
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:35,319
Speaker 3: pretty chaotic with Alabama and Kentucky as the two and

886
00:44:35,400 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 3: three seeds. So yeah, Texa, A and M and Florida

887
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:41,319
Speaker 3: the two teams that jumped out to me. Greg, let

888
00:44:41,360 --> 00:44:42,600
Speaker 3: me go to you first. What are you sing in

889
00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:43,080
Speaker 3: the sec?

890
00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:45,720
Speaker 4: I think you hit on a lot of the key points.

891
00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:48,040
Speaker 4: I'm just gonna say at the top, my pick to

892
00:44:48,120 --> 00:44:52,080
Speaker 4: win this tournament is Kentucky at five to one.

893
00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:54,480
Speaker 2: I don't hate that price. I agree. I wish it

894
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:56,120
Speaker 2: was a little juice here than that, but.

895
00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:03,120
Speaker 4: I think the draw ah here favors the bottom half significantly,

896
00:45:03,160 --> 00:45:06,120
Speaker 4: which is Kentucky, Alabama, Texas A and IM Florida. Take

897
00:45:06,120 --> 00:45:08,600
Speaker 4: your pick who you liked there. Look, there's two elite

898
00:45:08,640 --> 00:45:11,359
Speaker 4: teams in this league. If you believe the metrics, it's

899
00:45:11,360 --> 00:45:15,200
Speaker 4: Tennessee and it's Auburn. People have finally understood that Alabama

900
00:45:15,239 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 4: hasn't beaten anyone with a pulsal season long. Kentucky can

901
00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:21,880
Speaker 4: play like an elite team atny given game, but their

902
00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:24,680
Speaker 4: FLOORA is also just significantly lower than Tennessee and Auburn

903
00:45:25,040 --> 00:45:27,360
Speaker 4: are to me, and the fact that Tennessee and Auburn

904
00:45:27,400 --> 00:45:29,080
Speaker 4: have to go through each other in the semi is

905
00:45:29,400 --> 00:45:31,920
Speaker 4: a huge obstacle here. It truly is. There's no value

906
00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:32,480
Speaker 4: on Tennessee.

907
00:45:32,520 --> 00:45:33,040
Speaker 2: You nailed it.

908
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:35,759
Speaker 4: I feel the same about Auburn, so you have to

909
00:45:35,760 --> 00:45:38,080
Speaker 4: take a flyer on somebody from the bottom. I believe

910
00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:41,080
Speaker 4: Kentucky has been significantly better than everybody else on that

911
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:43,560
Speaker 4: side of the draw. They've been twelfth per Torvic in

912
00:45:43,600 --> 00:45:46,439
Speaker 4: the last month. Nobody else in the SEC is even

913
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:49,160
Speaker 4: top thirty five in the country in the last month.

914
00:45:49,520 --> 00:45:50,600
Speaker 2: That's notable to me.

915
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:53,799
Speaker 4: Obviously, they've won five straight games, but I think there's

916
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:56,240
Speaker 4: something to this team being a big game team stuck.

917
00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,640
Speaker 4: They're four and zher on the road this year against

918
00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:01,600
Speaker 4: kemp Palm top forty opponent. It seems like their best

919
00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:04,919
Speaker 4: performances have all been the bright lights performances, especially down

920
00:46:05,040 --> 00:46:07,760
Speaker 4: the stretch of this season, and I think that matters

921
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:10,080
Speaker 4: like I just do. I think there's certain teams to

922
00:46:10,280 --> 00:46:13,800
Speaker 4: thrive in a single game, elimination style setting. I'm excited

923
00:46:13,840 --> 00:46:16,120
Speaker 4: to see what these young Cardiac Cats can do, but

924
00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:19,440
Speaker 4: I believe that they can do it, like I think

925
00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:22,400
Speaker 4: Rob Dilleham and Reed Shepherd are psychopaths who are going

926
00:46:22,440 --> 00:46:25,040
Speaker 4: to be ready for this moment. The flyer I like

927
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:27,480
Speaker 4: you mentioned is the Aggies. I think you see them

928
00:46:27,680 --> 00:46:32,000
Speaker 4: at one hundred to one. That's crazy. Fifth best team

929
00:46:32,080 --> 00:46:34,239
Speaker 4: in the country over the last three games. Now that's

930
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:37,280
Speaker 4: a small sample size, but calendar turns to March first.

931
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:39,680
Speaker 4: This team has been on the outside looking in. According

932
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:42,000
Speaker 4: to bracket Matrix, they're still on the outside looking in.

933
00:46:42,040 --> 00:46:44,160
Speaker 4: They're the fifth team off the cut line. They need

934
00:46:44,200 --> 00:46:47,240
Speaker 4: to win multiple games laural in this tournament to qualify

935
00:46:47,239 --> 00:46:49,400
Speaker 4: for the NCAA Tournament. Now, I think if they were

936
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:51,799
Speaker 4: to beat Ole Miss and then beat Kentucky, maybe they

937
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:54,640
Speaker 4: punched their ticket at that point, but their last three

938
00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:58,560
Speaker 4: have been convincing. I mean blowout Ole Miss at Ole

939
00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:01,479
Speaker 4: Miss by twenty six points. Finally, the regular season feels good.

940
00:47:01,680 --> 00:47:03,640
Speaker 4: We all know what wayde Taylor can do. We know

941
00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:06,320
Speaker 4: they're not going to get out hustled. The rebounding numbers

942
00:47:06,320 --> 00:47:08,719
Speaker 4: are stupid. This is the best offensive rebounding team in

943
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:09,200
Speaker 4: the country.

944
00:47:09,239 --> 00:47:09,839
Speaker 2: That is an area.

945
00:47:09,920 --> 00:47:12,720
Speaker 3: So you can where you can live against Kentucky.

946
00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:17,520
Speaker 4: Right, Kentucky's very vulnerable to that specific weakness. So I uh, look,

947
00:47:17,640 --> 00:47:20,520
Speaker 4: I think Kentucky will win that game, but I think

948
00:47:20,560 --> 00:47:23,040
Speaker 4: whoever wins that game is my pick to win this tournament.

949
00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 4: And before I seed my time here, gentlemen, just want

950
00:47:26,280 --> 00:47:28,759
Speaker 4: to throw this out. I would like to slander Alabama

951
00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:31,480
Speaker 4: and Auburn collectively before I'm done with my time here.

952
00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:35,239
Speaker 4: These two teams on the season guys oh to ten

953
00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:38,840
Speaker 4: against Ken Palm top twenty five opponents combined that aren't

954
00:47:38,880 --> 00:47:39,359
Speaker 4: each other.

955
00:47:40,120 --> 00:47:42,640
Speaker 2: They haven't beaten anyone except for each other.

956
00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:44,960
Speaker 4: And we're supposed to buy that both of these teams

957
00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:47,760
Speaker 4: are serious threats to make deep runs in March.

958
00:47:48,120 --> 00:47:49,320
Speaker 2: I don't see it at all.

959
00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:52,880
Speaker 4: I still believe Tennessee is great, But to me, the

960
00:47:52,920 --> 00:47:55,160
Speaker 4: bottom half of the brackets where to target for value?

961
00:47:55,840 --> 00:47:57,719
Speaker 3: Well, let me along those lines. This is what I

962
00:47:57,719 --> 00:47:58,319
Speaker 3: was gonna bring up.

963
00:47:58,360 --> 00:47:58,600
Speaker 2: Next.

964
00:47:59,000 --> 00:48:00,839
Speaker 3: Name Auburn's best went away from home?

965
00:48:01,400 --> 00:48:03,400
Speaker 2: I think who they got an SEC play was nobody

966
00:48:03,400 --> 00:48:04,040
Speaker 2: in the non con.

967
00:48:05,200 --> 00:48:08,080
Speaker 3: Here's Notre Here's Auburn's wins away from home this year,

968
00:48:08,840 --> 00:48:15,040
Speaker 3: Notre Dame Bonnie's on neutral courts, Indiana on a neutral court,

969
00:48:15,680 --> 00:48:21,240
Speaker 3: unc Asheville on a neutral court, at Arkansas, at Vanderbilt,

970
00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:26,160
Speaker 3: at Ole Miss, at Georgia, at Missouri. That's it. They

971
00:48:26,360 --> 00:48:28,120
Speaker 3: not beat a tournament team on the road of all year.

972
00:48:28,160 --> 00:48:30,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's Drew Pember, Drew Pember and unc Ashville.

973
00:48:30,800 --> 00:48:31,680
Speaker 1: I think that's the best one.

974
00:48:33,080 --> 00:48:39,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's yeah, they have not beat anybody away from home.

975
00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:43,400
Speaker 3: But good stuff there, Calbreys, what are your thoughts here

976
00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:43,920
Speaker 3: on the SEC?

977
00:48:44,480 --> 00:48:48,880
Speaker 1: This is my top play in terms of a team,

978
00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:51,560
Speaker 1: you know, double digit odds to win for all the

979
00:48:51,600 --> 00:48:54,920
Speaker 1: Power Conference tournaments. Florida twenty to one. You gotta be

980
00:48:55,000 --> 00:48:59,360
Speaker 1: kidding me, because you look at we talked about the path,

981
00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:01,880
Speaker 1: look at the fact that they get Bama. They just

982
00:49:01,960 --> 00:49:03,960
Speaker 1: dropped one hundred and five on Bama in an eighteen

983
00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:06,759
Speaker 1: point win. Then probably Kentucky. They lost by two at

984
00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:09,479
Speaker 1: home to Kentucky and upset them in overtime at rupp

985
00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:12,320
Speaker 1: They play fast, they gobble up a ton of rebounds,

986
00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:14,680
Speaker 1: they get to the line a ton. I think this

987
00:49:14,800 --> 00:49:18,399
Speaker 1: team is surging. You talked about since January one. We'll

988
00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:22,040
Speaker 1: go February one, twenty first nationally and Tourvik. I just

989
00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:25,239
Speaker 1: view them as a team that always plays up. That

990
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:27,319
Speaker 1: was my thought, and then I go in and look

991
00:49:27,360 --> 00:49:29,600
Speaker 1: at the Evan Maya metric. When it comes to playing

992
00:49:29,600 --> 00:49:33,839
Speaker 1: against better quality opponents. No power conference team in America

993
00:49:33,960 --> 00:49:37,440
Speaker 1: is anywhere close to Florida they have. They're like in

994
00:49:37,520 --> 00:49:39,680
Speaker 1: terms of the color, it's like the darkest red it

995
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:42,759
Speaker 1: can go. In terms of them playing up to their opponents,

996
00:49:43,080 --> 00:49:45,520
Speaker 1: so it's like that basically confirmed for me what I

997
00:49:45,560 --> 00:49:47,640
Speaker 1: was already feeling. I love their backcourt. I love what

998
00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:49,920
Speaker 1: they did in the transfer portal. Clayton Junior is a

999
00:49:49,920 --> 00:49:52,279
Speaker 1: guy I'm happy to hang my hat on. They are

1000
00:49:52,320 --> 00:49:54,879
Speaker 1: going to make a deep run in this tournament. Ends.

1001
00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:57,480
Speaker 1: The number that I had just to play it was

1002
00:49:57,480 --> 00:49:59,279
Speaker 1: ten to one. The fact that I get it twenty

1003
00:49:59,360 --> 00:50:02,080
Speaker 1: to one makes it number one play, so it's great

1004
00:50:02,080 --> 00:50:02,839
Speaker 1: to be a Florida Gator.

1005
00:50:02,920 --> 00:50:05,839
Speaker 3: Let's do it. Yeah, twenty one is a joke, all right,

1006
00:50:05,920 --> 00:50:09,680
Speaker 3: So good stuff on the SEC. We do have two

1007
00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:12,960
Speaker 3: more leagues to get to give you a couple minutes

1008
00:50:13,120 --> 00:50:17,120
Speaker 3: on each caligaries. Let's start where do you want to start?

1009
00:50:17,120 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 3: Do you want to start in the Slack or the Miac.

1010
00:50:19,239 --> 00:50:23,040
Speaker 1: Let's go Miac first. I'll give you the breakdown on

1011
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:24,880
Speaker 1: the favorite to win it. And then the team that

1012
00:50:24,920 --> 00:50:28,720
Speaker 1: I like is a sleeper Norfolk at plus one eighty. Listen,

1013
00:50:28,760 --> 00:50:30,800
Speaker 1: they attack you a lot, so they get to the line.

1014
00:50:30,880 --> 00:50:33,440
Speaker 1: They force a ton of turnovers nearly twenty percent of

1015
00:50:33,480 --> 00:50:37,279
Speaker 1: opponent possessions. But they can't shoot very well. That's that's

1016
00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:40,000
Speaker 1: not any news. The entire conference can't shoot. But their path.

1017
00:50:40,160 --> 00:50:42,319
Speaker 1: They get the eight seed, they get Coppin, then neither

1018
00:50:42,360 --> 00:50:45,000
Speaker 1: Howard or Morgan State. They swept those three teams, so

1019
00:50:45,080 --> 00:50:47,000
Speaker 1: I think this is a cake walk for them to

1020
00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:49,680
Speaker 1: the title game. So I don't think there's any value

1021
00:50:49,719 --> 00:50:51,640
Speaker 1: necessarily at plus one eighty, but it makes sense and

1022
00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:53,560
Speaker 1: how they're priced. But I'm gonna go ahead and take

1023
00:50:53,560 --> 00:50:56,520
Speaker 1: South Carolina State plus five fifty second best team in

1024
00:50:56,560 --> 00:50:59,239
Speaker 1: the MIAC down the stretch. According to Torvik, the only

1025
00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:02,840
Speaker 1: team the league play defense at all. They have you know,

1026
00:51:02,920 --> 00:51:06,360
Speaker 1: they're basically like seventy spots higher than everybody else in

1027
00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:09,319
Speaker 1: ken Palm d and freshman Mitchell Taylor got hurt in

1028
00:51:09,320 --> 00:51:12,280
Speaker 1: their overtime loss to Norfolk, leaving the game with zero points.

1029
00:51:12,680 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 1: Taking them to overtime without him just shows what their

1030
00:51:15,560 --> 00:51:17,959
Speaker 1: potential is with him back. I like them to get

1031
00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:19,640
Speaker 1: over the hump in the title game if they get

1032
00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:21,959
Speaker 1: a rematch. So eleven to two, I think it's plenty

1033
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:24,200
Speaker 1: of value there in the MAC. In the Miyak, I should.

1034
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:27,560
Speaker 3: Say, yeah, Norfolk State will benefit from this being played

1035
00:51:28,080 --> 00:51:34,120
Speaker 3: in Norfolk. It is a eight team bracket, no buys

1036
00:51:34,440 --> 00:51:41,080
Speaker 3: and you know he starts March thirteenth. Championship on March sixteenth.

1037
00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:48,239
Speaker 3: Norfolk State runs the little funky Amoba zone that can

1038
00:51:48,280 --> 00:51:51,000
Speaker 3: give teams trouble. But I don't hate that call at all.

1039
00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:56,400
Speaker 3: And moving on to the swack, your beloved swack what

1040
00:51:56,560 --> 00:52:00,120
Speaker 3: do you which was wild over the weekend Alabama's One

1041
00:52:00,160 --> 00:52:02,080
Speaker 3: of the wildest games that probably no one was paying

1042
00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:07,359
Speaker 3: attention to is Alabama State. They had a crazy game

1043
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:12,839
Speaker 3: against Grambling. Brambling tied it at the buzzer to force overtime,

1044
00:52:13,560 --> 00:52:18,040
Speaker 3: then Alabama State tied it at the buzzer to force

1045
00:52:20,160 --> 00:52:23,360
Speaker 3: double overtime, and then Alabama State ended up winning it.

1046
00:52:23,400 --> 00:52:30,840
Speaker 3: Because of that, Alabama State ended up making the field

1047
00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:34,080
Speaker 3: as the eight seed. Pine Bluff was out. I think

1048
00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:37,040
Speaker 3: through to scoring margin is what it came down to.

1049
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:42,840
Speaker 3: Alabama State will now face Grambling again in the first

1050
00:52:42,920 --> 00:52:48,400
Speaker 3: round of the quarterfinals. This will take place set in Birmingham, Alabama.

1051
00:52:49,600 --> 00:52:53,920
Speaker 3: This liked the MIAC eighteen bracket No byes March thirteenth

1052
00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:57,440
Speaker 3: through sixteen. What are you seeing in your beloved Swack.

1053
00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:00,680
Speaker 1: So there's a reason that Grambling is the one seed

1054
00:53:00,800 --> 00:53:03,719
Speaker 1: but the third in terms of the odds, Like they're

1055
00:53:03,760 --> 00:53:05,960
Speaker 1: just vulnerable because they turn it over way too much

1056
00:53:06,040 --> 00:53:08,600
Speaker 1: over fourteen times per game, which is bottom thirty and

1057
00:53:08,640 --> 00:53:10,880
Speaker 1: all of D one And like the rest of the teams,

1058
00:53:10,920 --> 00:53:13,080
Speaker 1: this is a common theme when you get to these conferences.

1059
00:53:13,120 --> 00:53:15,360
Speaker 1: Me x Swack, whoever, they can't shoot. They're two hundred

1060
00:53:15,360 --> 00:53:18,600
Speaker 1: and seventy second in shooting efficiency. Auction go for the

1061
00:53:18,600 --> 00:53:20,839
Speaker 1: first time in all these previews with the favorite at

1062
00:53:20,880 --> 00:53:22,600
Speaker 1: plus two to eighty. If you can get them three

1063
00:53:22,640 --> 00:53:24,239
Speaker 1: to one, if you shop Brown a little bit, I'll

1064
00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:27,200
Speaker 1: go Alcorn much better on the offensive end, the best

1065
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:29,680
Speaker 1: offensive rebounding team in the conference by a wide margin.

1066
00:53:29,880 --> 00:53:34,080
Speaker 1: They're four best players, all seniors, including Jeremiah Kendall whoeverages

1067
00:53:34,120 --> 00:53:36,759
Speaker 1: sixteen and seven, and like most of their starters, they

1068
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:39,360
Speaker 1: got they drew Mississippi Valley State in the season finale,

1069
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:41,760
Speaker 1: they got to rest them, so they're gonna have fresh legs,

1070
00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:45,920
Speaker 1: senior laden team. I see them easily winning this tournament.

1071
00:53:46,080 --> 00:53:47,480
Speaker 1: So to get them at three to one, I think

1072
00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:48,200
Speaker 1: it's the best bet.

1073
00:53:48,400 --> 00:53:52,439
Speaker 3: All right. That'll do it every single conference tournament hit.

1074
00:53:53,239 --> 00:53:56,040
Speaker 3: We do have thank you to Mike and Greg for

1075
00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:58,640
Speaker 3: joining me, thanks to all of my other costs, the

1076
00:53:58,640 --> 00:54:03,480
Speaker 3: guys from the three man we Mike Randall and Tanner McGrath.

1077
00:54:03,680 --> 00:54:07,880
Speaker 3: Although Tanner is on my shit list for Maine, tells

1078
00:54:07,880 --> 00:54:11,200
Speaker 3: me Maine is some a good long shot. But I

1079
00:54:11,239 --> 00:54:13,919
Speaker 3: think they lost by sixty in the in their first game,

1080
00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:17,680
Speaker 3: so I'll have to reconsider if we're inviting Tanner back

1081
00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:22,040
Speaker 3: next year for the twenty twenty five America East Term

1082
00:54:22,040 --> 00:54:25,080
Speaker 3: of preview. I'm just messing with you, Tanner, but we

1083
00:54:25,120 --> 00:54:27,160
Speaker 3: do some giveaways, so make sure you always leave five

1084
00:54:27,200 --> 00:54:29,440
Speaker 3: star review. They really help us. And I'll do giveaways

1085
00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:34,000
Speaker 3: a bunch. Just reach out to podcasts at Action network

1086
00:54:34,560 --> 00:54:37,919
Speaker 3: dot com or myself or our producer at Old Boy

1087
00:54:38,000 --> 00:54:41,000
Speaker 3: Uncle Mitchell on Twitter or x or me and we'll

1088
00:54:41,000 --> 00:54:44,759
Speaker 3: get you some gear. Let's go fish seven to five

1089
00:54:44,800 --> 00:54:47,160
Speaker 3: oh seven. Can we add a letter to the podcast

1090
00:54:47,239 --> 00:54:50,000
Speaker 3: name BBOCB Big Boys on Campus BIAC. I think that

1091
00:54:50,040 --> 00:54:53,080
Speaker 3: would look great on a shirt. Basketball Inside is awesome.

1092
00:54:53,600 --> 00:54:57,840
Speaker 3: Thank you, you get some gear. Nelly Rollbirds, great insight,

1093
00:54:58,320 --> 00:55:00,480
Speaker 3: great knowledge, keep up the great work, look forward to

1094
00:55:00,520 --> 00:55:04,120
Speaker 3: common tournament previews. Appreciate the grind. Thank you MN kid

1095
00:55:04,160 --> 00:55:09,960
Speaker 3: in Colorado. You're getting some gear. You requested it. It's

1096
00:55:09,960 --> 00:55:15,640
Speaker 3: that easy, stage Yamp He turned ten dollars one thousands

1097
00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:18,720
Speaker 3: thanks to the podcast. He went from eating occasional ramen

1098
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:24,359
Speaker 3: noodles to stay insurmp with thanks to yukon the Ucon

1099
00:55:24,440 --> 00:55:28,759
Speaker 3: Future last year. All right, you're getting some gear. Trevor Mchaylick,

1100
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:35,359
Speaker 3: appreciate you. Reach out, You're getting some gear. Needlejuice all

1101
00:55:35,360 --> 00:55:38,359
Speaker 3: he did five stars said good one, that's it. That's

1102
00:55:38,360 --> 00:55:41,080
Speaker 3: all you need to do big shoes. Thanks for helping

1103
00:55:41,080 --> 00:55:42,840
Speaker 3: me get through a brutal college basketball season for all

1104
00:55:42,840 --> 00:55:46,400
Speaker 3: of us hoos, your fans, Thank you SB for Life.

1105
00:55:48,719 --> 00:55:50,719
Speaker 3: You did say we're right up there with the favorites.

1106
00:55:50,719 --> 00:55:52,960
Speaker 3: We're clearly better than the favorites, but we'll still send

1107
00:55:53,000 --> 00:55:56,640
Speaker 3: you some gear and Brett seven to one to one

1108
00:55:57,400 --> 00:55:59,080
Speaker 3: lots of gear to send out. Reach out to our

1109
00:55:59,440 --> 00:56:02,640
Speaker 3: awesome or our producer, but appreciate all the five star reviews.

1110
00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:07,000
Speaker 3: Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe, tell a friend Tommy,

1111
00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:09,719
Speaker 3: leave those five star reviews. Thanks to our prust on

1112
00:56:09,719 --> 00:56:11,520
Speaker 3: the back end, Thanks to all of you for tuning in.

1113
00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:14,560
Speaker 3: We will have no episode later in the week because

1114
00:56:14,560 --> 00:56:16,839
Speaker 3: we just won't know the matchups for the weekend yet.

1115
00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:19,399
Speaker 3: We will have a live show on Saturday. We will

1116
00:56:19,400 --> 00:56:23,080
Speaker 3: have a ton of content, including a live show that

1117
00:56:23,160 --> 00:56:28,239
Speaker 3: will be a podcast after the bracket comes out on

1118
00:56:28,400 --> 00:56:32,439
Speaker 3: Sunday night. It's a beautiful week ahead and it only

1119
00:56:32,440 --> 00:56:35,640
Speaker 3: gets better after that. Enjoy it. Good luck on all

1120
00:56:35,680 --> 00:56:40,040
Speaker 3: of your wagers, and we will see you on Saturday

1121
00:56:40,040 --> 00:56:46,400
Speaker 3: for DBOC live. Cheers.

1122
00:56:55,640 --> 00:57:00,160
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1123
00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem. Help is

1124
00:57:03,000 --> 00:57:06,080
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler