1 00:00:02,160 --> 00:00:04,520 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into week five? 2 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:07,600 Speaker 1: It is time for early bets, Early prediction, Live Movement 3 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:11,000 Speaker 1: Survivor plays in more. He is pepits Morse, I'matt Peraltan 4 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 1: we He had to look at the first week in 5 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 1: the NFL with buys pat. It's a smaller schedule and 6 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 1: than what we're used to seeing. But how are you 7 00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:21,279 Speaker 1: on this Tuesday as we look forward to happening with 8 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 1: that from Thursday and Sunday. 9 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, doing well, Matt. 10 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 3: The Broncos helped ensure that I wasn't gonna have a 11 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 3: losing week, close to a losing week, but the Broncos 12 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 3: kind of saved me last night. So feeling good going 13 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 3: into week five. Yeah, shorter slaves the byes already. Man, 14 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 3: seems like the season just started and here we are 15 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 3: in week five. 16 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:39,200 Speaker 2: Bye weeks. 17 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:42,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, last night saved me too. Monday night, I had 18 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 1: the over in the first game and then I had 19 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:48,400 Speaker 1: the Broncos big and took JK. Dobbins over laddered it 20 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:50,839 Speaker 1: a little bit for his rushing totals. So that was 21 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 1: a nice little pick me up after a pretty bad 22 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 1: Sunday for me. So I was excited about what happened there. 23 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 1: I don't know how the Lions game didn't go over 24 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: for us. I just don't. I don't get it. We 25 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 1: talked about it on Sunday. It fell forty four. I 26 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 1: laid forty four and a half, forty four and a half, 27 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:09,280 Speaker 1: and we got hooked on that total. So I don't 28 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:11,959 Speaker 1: understand how we lost that. But that's fine, that's gambling. 29 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:14,320 Speaker 1: And we move on here to what we're going to 30 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 1: see today in this week. Let's start with Thursday, because 31 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: that's one of the games that I would say you 32 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,399 Speaker 1: should fire on right now. It is a divisional game. 33 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:25,400 Speaker 1: It is the Rams against a banged up forty nine 34 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 1: Ers team. Nick Bosa is gone, but I mean the 35 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,479 Speaker 1: quarterback situation is very much in flux as to whether 36 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:34,559 Speaker 1: Brock Purty will play in this game or not. Pat, 37 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 1: I think you lay the five and a half right 38 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: now and don't wait for this to go to six 39 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 1: or seven or higher with the Rams as the limits 40 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: open up. But do you think the Niners have a 41 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 1: shot at keeping this game close? 42 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:44,320 Speaker 2: Boy? 43 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 3: They got one pressure last week on Trevor Lawrence, one pressure, 44 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 3: and now they don't have Nick Bosa for the entire season, 45 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 3: Like that's a problem. Give Matthew Stafford time and he 46 00:01:56,520 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 3: will pick you apart. And also the fact that yet 47 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 3: brock Perty just did not look himself like arm strength. 48 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 3: He doesn't really have a rocket arm to begin with, 49 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 3: and it seemed like he had a little less juice, 50 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 3: like something wasn't quite right, and we saw it on 51 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 3: with at least one of the interceptions. So yeah, I'm 52 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 3: a little concerned about the forty nine ers. I don't 53 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 3: mind taking the Rams in this. I'm the Rams. You know, 54 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 3: like they they got a good game from the Colts 55 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 3: and they prevailed, and they've taken the Eagles best punch 56 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 3: and you know, like hung in that game and got 57 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:41,240 Speaker 3: unfortunate with a blocked kick at the end. So like 58 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 3: the Rams are an absolute heavyweight. And I don't know 59 00:02:44,960 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 3: if the forty nine ers were sort of on fraud 60 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 3: watch after starting three and zero, Like I think they're 61 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 3: kind of on the fraud list now after that home 62 00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:53,640 Speaker 3: loss to the Jaguars. 63 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 1: It's just too many injuries. I don't know how you 64 00:02:56,840 --> 00:02:59,640 Speaker 1: overcome the number of injuries they have sustained on offense, 65 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 1: in on defense. It's a short week, I know, it's 66 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 1: a quick travel. It's a quick flight, but it's still travel. 67 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: It's still going to La to take on a Rams 68 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 1: team that was at home last week. Who, Yes, Pookin 69 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 1: Nakua's thumb is a little bit of a question. We 70 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 1: want to make sure that he's going to be in 71 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 1: this game, and I do think he'll play. He came 72 00:03:15,919 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 1: back after going to the locker room with the thumb 73 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 1: and came back and played very well. But DeVante Adams 74 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:23,959 Speaker 1: and Pukin Nacua, this receiving corps with Matthew Stafford and 75 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 1: the offensive line for the Rams is not getting nearly 76 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 1: enough pub as it should because they're giving him tons 77 00:03:29,320 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: of time on top of the fact that they're running 78 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: the ball extremely effectively. At the moment. This is a 79 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: Rams offense that with Sean McVay, this right now, early 80 00:03:39,280 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 1: is my is my team to watch out for in 81 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 1: the NFL, and it's a team I want to back. 82 00:03:44,440 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 1: I backed him last week. Laid the three and a half. 83 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 1: Was that lucky? I mean, hang on to a football, 84 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 1: don't celebrate before you get to the end zone. Might 85 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: have been a different game, but Rams w Rams cover 86 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: twenty seven to twenty after with a really long touchdown 87 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: to win the game. I I like the Rams here 88 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 1: and I think anything less than a touchdown is a 89 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:05,640 Speaker 1: good play here for the Rams, just because the Niners 90 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 1: are really up against it. And frankly, other than Christian McCaffrey, 91 00:04:10,240 --> 00:04:12,640 Speaker 1: who I get it is Christian McCaffrey. But who are 92 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 1: you really afraid of right now on this offense? For 93 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 1: the forty nine ers. I mean, no, they'll get better, 94 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 1: they'll get healthy down the line, But right now, are 95 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:21,160 Speaker 1: you afraid of the offense at all? 96 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 4: No? 97 00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:22,200 Speaker 1: No. 98 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 3: George Kittle seriously doesn't seem like Ricky Piersoll is going 99 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:29,080 Speaker 3: to play like he's got some sort of knee issue 100 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 3: said he felt instability in the knee. That does not 101 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:34,279 Speaker 3: suggest he's gonna do a quick turnaround and play on 102 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:37,480 Speaker 3: Thursday night. So there's really no one. I mean, they're 103 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 3: down to Juwon Jennings. It's they're only real credible pass catcher, right. 104 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 3: And he took a shot and he's been banged up 105 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 3: all season. 106 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, he took a shot to the ribs that I 107 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 1: think any boxer cringed, anding, Oh man, that's got to 108 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 1: hurt in the morning. So you don't like playing receiver 109 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 1: with Bruce Ribbs and that's what he's playing with. So 110 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 1: just a lot of problems up and down that roster 111 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: right now for sifferences. So Thursday night game, I think 112 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:03,840 Speaker 1: you go ahead and jump on it early. Take the 113 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 1: five and a half, and I know there's been some 114 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 1: movements here today. Going to the dog on the Niners. 115 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:14,279 Speaker 1: I think if you can get five, grab it five 116 00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:16,359 Speaker 1: and a half, grab it all right to one of 117 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:19,160 Speaker 1: your plays, Pat and it's the Vikings on the road 118 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:22,839 Speaker 1: again overseas. They become the first team in NFL history 119 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 1: to play two games in two weeks in two different countries. 120 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 1: They played against in Ireland. It took them a half 121 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:31,560 Speaker 1: to wake up. First half they were asleep. Second half 122 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 1: they woke up. Which seems to be a trend right now. 123 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,120 Speaker 1: By the way, if you're watching the Viking games, it 124 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: feels like the defense of intensity at halftime, whatever is 125 00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:44,040 Speaker 1: being said by Brian Flores at halftime is waking up 126 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:46,479 Speaker 1: the defense because they did it against the Bears and 127 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:49,680 Speaker 1: now they did it against the Steelers. But it wasn't enough. 128 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 1: They were down. The mountain was too high for them 129 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:54,599 Speaker 1: to climb. Twenty four to twenty one was the final 130 00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:56,960 Speaker 1: now the Vikings are on the road to the Browns. 131 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:00,080 Speaker 1: What do you make of this? A team staying in 132 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:02,599 Speaker 1: Europe is that a big benefit in your mind for 133 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: a team like the Browns coming off of a loss 134 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: to the Alliance where they're traveling over to Tottenham. 135 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:10,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, I do think the travel narrative favors the Vikings here. 136 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:13,159 Speaker 3: Having played in Ireland last Sunday, they're staying in Europe 137 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,159 Speaker 3: for this London game. Just make the very short trip 138 00:06:16,240 --> 00:06:19,760 Speaker 3: to get to London and the Vikings Circadian rhythms have 139 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 3: probably adjusted European time by now. The Browns flying over 140 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:27,839 Speaker 3: this week advantage Vikings. And as far as as last week, 141 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:31,039 Speaker 3: like I do think the Vikings took a well deserved loss. 142 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:34,159 Speaker 3: They were outplayed pretty thoroughly in that first half. We 143 00:06:34,240 --> 00:06:36,839 Speaker 3: also saw the Vikings get thoroughly outplayed by the Falcons 144 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 3: in Week two, and they responded by absolutely crushing the 145 00:06:40,520 --> 00:06:43,480 Speaker 3: Bengals in week three. And obviously the Bengals have their problems, 146 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 3: and the Browns are certainly a better team than the Bengals. 147 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 3: And who would have thought we'd be confidently saying that 148 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 3: less than a month into the season, but well coached 149 00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 3: teams tend not to play two bad games in a row, 150 00:06:55,880 --> 00:06:58,359 Speaker 3: and the Vikings are a very well coached team with 151 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:01,480 Speaker 3: Kevin O'Connell at the helm and Flores running the defense. 152 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:04,760 Speaker 3: Joe Flacco is just toast, like he had kind of 153 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:08,040 Speaker 3: a fun let it ripped style when he had stints 154 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 3: as a starter the last couple of years, but that 155 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 3: late career Pizaz has just gone at age forty, like 156 00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 3: Flaco can't handle the pressure at all, and the Brian 157 00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 3: Flores defense is going to throw all sorts of pressure 158 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 3: at him in unexpected ways. I think the Browns are 159 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:25,600 Speaker 3: going to struggle to score in this one. And while 160 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 3: Carson Wentz isn't really that great at quarterback either, at 161 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 3: least he has playmakers like Justin Jefferson is great, Jordan 162 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 3: Addison is very good, had over one hundred yards and 163 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:38,000 Speaker 3: his first came back from suspension last week. I think 164 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:40,560 Speaker 3: the Vikings roll pretty easily in this one. 165 00:07:41,800 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 1: I agree. I don't know what's going on with the 166 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 1: quarterback spot for the Browns. I think if I'm a 167 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns fan, I would like to see somebody else 168 00:07:50,360 --> 00:07:53,040 Speaker 1: besides Joe Flacco play quarterback, and I would like to 169 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 1: see them at least develop a young quarterback and say, look, 170 00:07:56,160 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 1: this is a lost season anyway, Why are we playing 171 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 1: an aging veteran. Doesn't make any sense. So I think 172 00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: you're right about the travel and I think this offense 173 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 1: for Cleveland just isn't really all that good. And I 174 00:08:07,000 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 1: think the Vikings should be able to put up better 175 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 1: numbers and not have the turnover as you would hope. 176 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: That happened last week in the first half that really 177 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 1: derailed that offense for the Vikings to put them in 178 00:08:17,400 --> 00:08:20,480 Speaker 1: that hole to the Steelers. So don't turn the football over. 179 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: I think the Vikings win and the Vikings will cover 180 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:24,040 Speaker 1: that three and a half points. I don't know how 181 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 1: many points to Cleveland Brown's actually score. So I'm with 182 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:29,800 Speaker 1: you on on the Vikings. This next play we both 183 00:08:29,840 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 1: are on, and that is Tampa Bay and Seattle. This 184 00:08:33,520 --> 00:08:36,880 Speaker 1: number is three and climbing. This is why we do 185 00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:39,520 Speaker 1: this show because the key number of three is what 186 00:08:39,559 --> 00:08:41,840 Speaker 1: you want, not three and a half. At the time 187 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 1: of taping, most books are at three, some have moved 188 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 1: to three and a half. For Seattle, opening number was 189 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: one and a half. Tampa Bay is really really banged up, 190 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 1: and now they're going across the country to take on 191 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:56,480 Speaker 1: a Seahawk team that at home is very, very difficult. 192 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:59,520 Speaker 1: I like Seattle, You like Seattle. Why are we all 193 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 1: in on the seat Hawks? Pep. 194 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 3: I don't think people realize just how good the Seattle 195 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:03,679 Speaker 3: defense is. 196 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 1: Matt like. 197 00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:08,360 Speaker 3: The Seahawks rank number one in defensive DVA. They're number 198 00:09:08,400 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 3: two against the pass, number three against the run. They 199 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 3: have the fourth best opponent passer rating. They have the 200 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 3: sixth most sacks. They've given up the sixth fewest rushing yards, 201 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:20,680 Speaker 3: and there's only been one run of twenty yards or 202 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 3: more against them all season. They're defensive backfield one of 203 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 3: the best in the league. Buccaneers are down a couple 204 00:09:27,760 --> 00:09:31,560 Speaker 3: of starting offensive linemen, and running back Bucky Irving is 205 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:33,440 Speaker 3: dealing with some sort of foot issue. They don't have 206 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 3: Mike Evans. Baker Mayfield is a magician. I always worry 207 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:42,200 Speaker 3: about betting against Baker as a dog, but Baker has 208 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 3: also gotten a little lucky this season. He's had several 209 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:49,280 Speaker 3: interception worthy throws that were not intercepted. Like, you cannot 210 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 3: make those sorts of mistakes against the Seattle defense. They 211 00:09:52,920 --> 00:09:55,120 Speaker 3: will make you pay. I believe they have seven interceptions 212 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:57,800 Speaker 3: already on the season. I think the Seahawks win this 213 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 3: one pretty convincingly at home against a visiting Buccaneers team. 214 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:06,040 Speaker 3: More travel narrative here, Matt making about the longest possible 215 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:08,880 Speaker 3: road trip you can make in the NFL, going from 216 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:12,079 Speaker 3: Florida to the Pacific Northwest. 217 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:17,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, yesterday, at the press conference on Monday, Todd Bowles 218 00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:19,559 Speaker 1: was asked about injuries, and he said, there's so many 219 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 1: players getting MRIs. I don't know how many I have 220 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:25,320 Speaker 1: to tell you about. Like he couldn't even mention the 221 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:29,360 Speaker 1: number of players it was so high getting MRIs. This 222 00:10:29,480 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 1: is a really really banged up football team. That is, 223 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:35,680 Speaker 1: as you mentioned, they won three games on last second drives. 224 00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:38,199 Speaker 1: That's somewhat fortuitous here in the fourth quarter in the 225 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 1: NFL to come and win games like the way the 226 00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:42,839 Speaker 1: Bucks have went. And I love the Bucks, don't get 227 00:10:42,880 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 1: me wrong. Went healthy the Bucks, I think the best 228 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 1: team in the division. But they're not healthy, and they 229 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:50,839 Speaker 1: don't have Mike Evans you mentioned two up in the line. 230 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:52,720 Speaker 1: They got Tristan Wurf's back, but they still give up 231 00:10:52,760 --> 00:10:55,960 Speaker 1: tons of pressure to Baker against the Eagles last week. 232 00:10:56,640 --> 00:10:59,200 Speaker 1: Bucky Irvin's injury concerns me because he's been that one 233 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:01,800 Speaker 1: big weapon, a big play, big touchdown, run or catch. 234 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 1: Rather against the Eagles, I'm with you. I don't think 235 00:11:06,000 --> 00:11:08,560 Speaker 1: this is a good spot. I'm not saying teams punt 236 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 1: in the NFL, but over seventeen weeks, if you're Tampa 237 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:15,440 Speaker 1: Bay losing at Seattle, there's no there's no real you know, 238 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:18,080 Speaker 1: harm in it. It's just it's a hard place to play. 239 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 1: It's a hard trip, and you're going to be up 240 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:24,040 Speaker 1: against it without having a vast majority of your players 241 00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:25,840 Speaker 1: that you would want to have this it was a 242 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:28,560 Speaker 1: playoff game, I might think differently. You're right about Baker 243 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:30,920 Speaker 1: Mayfield record as a dog. He's tremendous as a dog, 244 00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:33,760 Speaker 1: awful as a favorite, great as a dog. Look look 245 00:11:33,760 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 1: what happened last week against the Eagles. But I don't 246 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:39,080 Speaker 1: think this is a good spot. I think this is 247 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 1: this is one of those comeback down to Earth moments. 248 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 1: I'm with you on Seattle to get a big win 249 00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:47,600 Speaker 1: here against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Guys, track your bets, 250 00:11:47,679 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 1: stay accountable, and level up by downloading the betting pros 251 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 1: app with sports books Sink automatically track your bets across 252 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:56,800 Speaker 1: all major sports books in one spot. Easily monetary your 253 00:11:56,840 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 1: bet performance by sport and bet type, including game picks, 254 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 1: prop and parlays. Create custom betting systems to find winning 255 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:06,199 Speaker 1: trends and profitable opportunities. New users can get six months 256 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:09,480 Speaker 1: of Betting Pros Premium for free with your first deposit 257 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:12,880 Speaker 1: and wager at one of our partners sportsbooks. Learn more 258 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:17,240 Speaker 1: by going to Bettingpros dot com slash Premium. All right, 259 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 1: your third play here, pat and I am really interested 260 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:27,200 Speaker 1: to hear your take on this because my Patriots are 261 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 1: playing in primetime up against the Buffalo Bills, and Drake 262 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:36,320 Speaker 1: may If he throws for two touchdowns and completes seventy 263 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:40,320 Speaker 1: five percent of his passes against Buffalo's defense, I will 264 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:43,320 Speaker 1: be floored. And not only will I be floored, that 265 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 1: will also tie the NFL record for the most consecutive 266 00:12:46,760 --> 00:12:49,720 Speaker 1: games with that stat line, tying the one in the 267 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:53,040 Speaker 1: only Tom Brady who did it in two thousand and 268 00:12:53,120 --> 00:12:56,679 Speaker 1: seven with the Patriots. I don't see that type of 269 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 1: performance here, but you like the Pats plus eight eight 270 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:00,440 Speaker 1: and a half. Tell me why I do? 271 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:03,480 Speaker 3: And I do think Drake may can move the ball 272 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:06,240 Speaker 3: against the Bills, and you can absolutely run on the Bills. 273 00:13:06,240 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 3: They ranked thirtieth in DVOA against the run. Like their 274 00:13:08,840 --> 00:13:11,079 Speaker 3: run defense. It's just bad right now. 275 00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:13,760 Speaker 2: And Matt, you know how. 276 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:16,240 Speaker 3: The Chiefs kind of when they were at their the 277 00:13:16,280 --> 00:13:19,160 Speaker 3: height of their powers in the AFC just a few 278 00:13:19,200 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 3: short years ago, they had this way of not covering 279 00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:28,080 Speaker 3: against lesser teams as big favorites, especially at home, And 280 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 3: I think we're starting to see sort of the same 281 00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:32,319 Speaker 3: phenomenon with the Bills, like we have seen them play 282 00:13:32,360 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 3: with their food in each of the last two weeks. 283 00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 3: They had a scare thrown into them by the Dolphins 284 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:41,680 Speaker 3: in a Thursday night home game in Week three, didn't cover. 285 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 3: They were big home favorites against the Saints in Week four, 286 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 3: let the Saints hang around well into the second half, 287 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:50,960 Speaker 3: didn't cover. Now for a third straight week, the Bills 288 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 3: are big home favorites, but this time against a pretty 289 00:13:54,520 --> 00:13:58,000 Speaker 3: plucky divisional rival that's two and two and really should 290 00:13:58,000 --> 00:14:00,199 Speaker 3: be three and one had they not committed a bunch 291 00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:02,679 Speaker 3: of costly turnovers and what should have been an easy 292 00:14:02,679 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 3: win over the Steelers. Yeah, I'm totally. 293 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 2: Sold on Drake may. 294 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:10,560 Speaker 3: I think he is already one of the ten best 295 00:14:10,600 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 3: quarterbacks in the league, and it might be in the 296 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:17,640 Speaker 3: you know, on the Josh Allen tier before too long. 297 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:18,040 Speaker 1: Here. 298 00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:22,640 Speaker 3: You know, it's whether it's whether the Patriots can get 299 00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 3: enough stops against this Bell's offense. And you know, the 300 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 3: Patriots have been pretty decent against the run so far. 301 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:33,360 Speaker 3: So I'm looking forward to this game. I think it's 302 00:14:33,400 --> 00:14:35,760 Speaker 3: going to be closer than a lot of people are expecting. 303 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:40,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, the Superman cape for Josh Allen worries me, and 304 00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:45,160 Speaker 1: I've seen it before, and this is where in prime time, 305 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 1: Josh Allen is the best player on the field and 306 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 1: the Patriots can't stop him running or passing, and it 307 00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 1: opens up all sorts of weapons down the field because 308 00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:56,600 Speaker 1: they're so worried about Josh Allen's scrambling ability. This is 309 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 1: a big game for the Patriots because they have gone 310 00:14:59,760 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: to Buffalo before and they have shocked the Bills before, 311 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 1: and they've had opportunities to beat the Bills in Buffalo 312 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: recently that really changed the course of a season, and 313 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:12,400 Speaker 1: they've made one or two mistakes that just things didn't 314 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 1: work out. Eight and a half, seven and a half, 315 00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:18,160 Speaker 1: I think anything over seven. I wouldn't bet seven or less, 316 00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 1: but I think seven and a half are higher. I 317 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 1: think is a good number to jump in with the Patriots. 318 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:26,040 Speaker 1: And I'm also going to be watching what happens. You 319 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 1: mentioned the running game. So the Patriots right now have 320 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 1: three good running backs, but Trayvon Henderson is the only 321 00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 1: one who hasn't fumbled. So Gibson's fumbled, Stevenson has fumbled. 322 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 1: But yet last week on Sunday, they took care of 323 00:15:38,720 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 1: the football. Now you can say that's against the Panthers, 324 00:15:41,160 --> 00:15:44,000 Speaker 1: but you're supposed to do that against bad football teams. 325 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 1: You're supposed to take them behind the woodshed and blow 326 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:49,640 Speaker 1: their doors off. The Patriots defense looked great, but here's 327 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 1: the one hook that I think could really benefit you. 328 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:54,840 Speaker 1: And we'll see what the Bills look like. I watched 329 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 1: the Saints game. The Patriots have two special teams touchdowns 330 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:01,600 Speaker 1: so far this year. They have a kick return for 331 00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 1: a touchdown against Miami and a put return against the Panthers. 332 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:08,920 Speaker 1: They are scoring in that third kind of secret. We 333 00:16:08,960 --> 00:16:12,200 Speaker 1: don't talk about special teams all that much offensive defense, 334 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 1: but they have weapons right now in the return game 335 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:16,640 Speaker 1: that I think could really help Drake may in this 336 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: offense with short fields against Buffalo. So if that trend 337 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:23,240 Speaker 1: continues and the Patriots special teams continues to be a 338 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 1: big story for them, I'm right there with you. If 339 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 1: it's not, I'm concerned about that number. Concerned that the 340 00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:32,880 Speaker 1: Patriots turned the ball over and it turns into a 341 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 1: thirty two, you know, a thirty to seventeen type victory. 342 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 3: And by the Bills, by the way Bills run defense, 343 00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 3: giving up six yards of carry right now, and even 344 00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 3: six yards per carry. 345 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 1: Sounds like a Remandroe Stevenson game. That sounds like load 346 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 1: him up and let him a on and see if 347 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 1: he can finally get himself going and not fumble the 348 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 1: football like Patriot fans. He's not Derrick Henry, but he 349 00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 1: does have that propensity to run through defenses. And Derrick 350 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:02,240 Speaker 1: Henry lit up this Buffalo Bills defense in week number one, 351 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:05,440 Speaker 1: so they're not the same. But Stevens is a big, 352 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:07,879 Speaker 1: powerful back who once he gets into the open field, 353 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:12,120 Speaker 1: you don't want to tackle him. So if he's rolling, 354 00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:14,280 Speaker 1: I think you're right. The Patriots might have a shot 355 00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:15,760 Speaker 1: right at the end to win the game, let alone 356 00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:18,160 Speaker 1: cover the spread. Patriots might be there to win the game, 357 00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:20,040 Speaker 1: and that would be a I mean, you want to 358 00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:23,080 Speaker 1: announce your presence, Drake may go to Buffalo and beat 359 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:26,720 Speaker 1: the Bills. Go do that. That would be that would 360 00:17:26,720 --> 00:17:29,760 Speaker 1: be wild from my final game for a locket in 361 00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:32,360 Speaker 1: now number I go to Monday night and the Chiefs 362 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 1: up against Jacksonville, and look, I know there's been a 363 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,800 Speaker 1: lot of talk about the Chiefs on the road and 364 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:41,199 Speaker 1: what they look like versus at home, and they were 365 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:43,120 Speaker 1: at home against the Ravens. But that was a get 366 00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 1: right game for the Chiefs offense in my mind. And 367 00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:49,679 Speaker 1: the Jacksonville Jaguars they're flying high after a big win 368 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,240 Speaker 1: on the road against the forty nine ers. They come 369 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:55,679 Speaker 1: back and I just think in prime time. I'm sorry, 370 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 1: I'm not again faded. I'm fading the Niners as a 371 00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:01,080 Speaker 1: theme here. I'm fading the nine. That's one of my plays. 372 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 1: I don't like San Francisco. So I'm not in love 373 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 1: with the Jacksonville Jaguars win last week. I'm not enamored 374 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:07,679 Speaker 1: by it, going like, oh my gosh, this team has 375 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:10,679 Speaker 1: figured it out with Lean Coleen as the coach. I 376 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:12,480 Speaker 1: just think the Chiefs are the better football team, and 377 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:14,719 Speaker 1: I don't want to lay more than three points. So 378 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 1: I think Casey's Casey wins by how much. I don't 379 00:18:18,520 --> 00:18:20,159 Speaker 1: think it's much more than a field goal, But I 380 00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:21,880 Speaker 1: don't want to get three and a half or four pad. 381 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 1: I want to jump in and lay the three right now. 382 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 3: With Kansas City, Yeah, I haven't decided if I'm going 383 00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 3: to play this one myself or not, Matt, but I 384 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:30,040 Speaker 3: would be inclined to play the Chiefs. 385 00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 2: I think, like I'm we know the Jaguars can't really. 386 00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 3: Pass effectively, have not at all this season, and this 387 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:41,280 Speaker 3: quarterback match up Patrick Mahomes against Trevor Lawrence seems like 388 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 3: a pretty epic missmatch. The Jaguars defense, I can't figure 389 00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:48,480 Speaker 3: out whether it's legitimate or whether they're just riding on 390 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:52,439 Speaker 3: good turnover lock. I know Josh Allen, Josh Hines Allen, 391 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:55,080 Speaker 3: their edge rusher, is just a freak of nature. He 392 00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:57,880 Speaker 3: is like on the he has almost on the Miles 393 00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:02,400 Speaker 3: Garrett Micah Parsons type two like he is just I mean, 394 00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:06,640 Speaker 3: he abused Trent Williams last week, just abused him. 395 00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:08,760 Speaker 2: And you know, I know Trent Williams is. 396 00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:10,680 Speaker 3: Older, but he's He's been a pretty good tackle and 397 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:15,080 Speaker 3: Josh heinz Allen just picked his teeth with Trent Williams, 398 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 3: so he could be a problem for the Chiefs, but 399 00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:20,439 Speaker 3: they're getting a lot of turnovers. I don't know if 400 00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:25,399 Speaker 3: that kind of good fortune sustains itself. Let's hope it 401 00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:27,439 Speaker 3: was a get right game for the Chiefs offense and 402 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 3: that what we saw against the Ravens was legit and 403 00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 3: not just the Chiefs picking on a really banged up defense. 404 00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:38,480 Speaker 1: The Ravens are one in three, amazing one in three 405 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 1: for the Ravens. It really is something. Guys. Today's show 406 00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 1: is being brought to you by hard Rock Bet. The 407 00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:45,240 Speaker 1: leaves are falling and the stakes are rising. As we know, 408 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:48,119 Speaker 1: talk football all the time here on Betting Pros, but 409 00:19:48,160 --> 00:19:51,480 Speaker 1: posts and baseball is also here. Every swing can change 410 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 1: the season. 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If you are something you know has a 428 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 4: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and 429 00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:43,840 Speaker 4: nine with it gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, 430 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:45,600 Speaker 4: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 431 00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:50,000 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk survivor pools here in what could 432 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:52,200 Speaker 1: be an option? Now? Like I said before last week, 433 00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:54,480 Speaker 1: and we'll kind of say it again, what you guys 434 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,320 Speaker 1: have available to you maybe different than what we are 435 00:20:57,359 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 1: going to talk about. So We're just giving out ideas 436 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:02,399 Speaker 1: for games that you could use if that team is 437 00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:05,959 Speaker 1: available to you. But once you use a team, obviously 438 00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:08,159 Speaker 1: you can't go ahead and do that. We hope for 439 00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,800 Speaker 1: no ties this week, Pat, no ties, because if you're 440 00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:14,040 Speaker 1: playing in the Circus Survivor, you're out on both sides 441 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,720 Speaker 1: with the Cowboys and the Packers. But who do you 442 00:21:16,800 --> 00:21:17,960 Speaker 1: like in Survivor this week? 443 00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:21,520 Speaker 2: I mean, I think the obvious pick if you've got 444 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,400 Speaker 2: them available, although you know some people will never take 445 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,880 Speaker 2: a road team, but man, like, is there any chance 446 00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:28,680 Speaker 2: the Bengals could beat the Detroit Lions. 447 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 1: Absolutely not. 448 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:34,520 Speaker 3: Just doesn't seem like that. So you know, like, I 449 00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:37,320 Speaker 3: don't know if I'm going to go that route, Matt. 450 00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:40,439 Speaker 3: I think I'm going to. And this one terrifies me 451 00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:44,879 Speaker 3: because I do not believe very much in the Cardinals offense, 452 00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:48,320 Speaker 3: but I very much don't believe in the Titans or 453 00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:51,080 Speaker 3: anything they're doing on offense or defense, and think they're 454 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:55,119 Speaker 3: probably the worst team in football. I am inclined to 455 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 3: take the Cardinals against the Titans this week and not 456 00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:03,480 Speaker 3: burn a major team, and like those major teams becoming 457 00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:06,320 Speaker 3: a little more precious because I think the Packers have 458 00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:11,160 Speaker 3: shown maybe they're not as their operation isn't as air 459 00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:14,320 Speaker 3: tight as we had hoped after two weeks. And the 460 00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:16,600 Speaker 3: Ravens we thought were going to be one of the 461 00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 3: powerhouses and they are not. So the Lions are one 462 00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:23,199 Speaker 3: of the few bankable powerhouse teams. I'm not sure I 463 00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 3: want to burn them just yet. I think I'm going 464 00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:27,680 Speaker 3: to go with the Cardinals and try to skatee by 465 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:31,120 Speaker 3: against the Titans. I also consider the Colts against the Raiders, 466 00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:33,360 Speaker 3: but I don't know. I don't think the Raiders are 467 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,600 Speaker 3: that bad a team, and maybe this is a letdown 468 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:40,679 Speaker 3: spot for the Colts after their high profile game against 469 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,760 Speaker 3: the Rams, which they probably should have won. Matt if 470 00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:47,640 Speaker 3: Ady Mitchell doesn't have that horrible fumble, and I think 471 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,160 Speaker 3: Adie Mitchell also got a holding call on a long 472 00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 3: Jonathan Taylor touchdown run that was negated. 473 00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:53,920 Speaker 2: Tough game for him. 474 00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:58,000 Speaker 3: But like, I don't know, I just I worry a 475 00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:00,320 Speaker 3: little bit about the Colts in that spot against the Raider. 476 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:01,760 Speaker 2: So yeah, the Cardinals are my play. 477 00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,200 Speaker 1: I like it. It's a teaser special for me as well. 478 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 1: I mean, I think you just pulled that down from 479 00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:09,680 Speaker 1: eight to two, and you tease the Cardinals. If you 480 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 1: don't want to take them and survivor, it has to 481 00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:14,960 Speaker 1: be on your card. The Titans changed up offensive play 482 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:18,280 Speaker 1: calling last week and it gave them, let's check up, 483 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 1: no points. So yeah, great job, Brian Callahan. 484 00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:23,399 Speaker 2: Way to go. 485 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:25,280 Speaker 1: And I had to give up the play calling. I'm 486 00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:27,000 Speaker 1: not doing anything wrong. We don't want to give up 487 00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 1: the play calling because you know, I need to be 488 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:31,160 Speaker 1: a full coach on it. Yeah, you scored zero points 489 00:23:31,160 --> 00:23:35,240 Speaker 1: against the Texans, so yeah, one hundred percent. Fading the 490 00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 1: Titans the rest of the way isn't a bad idea. 491 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:41,280 Speaker 1: Cardinals are desperate, they need to win. They're at home, 492 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:44,080 Speaker 1: it's a tough environment to go play out there in 493 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,399 Speaker 1: the desert and the big Toaster as it used to 494 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:50,320 Speaker 1: be called. Yeah, I'm with you on that. Equally, the 495 00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 1: Bengals are a complete disaster. They are now eight and 496 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:56,879 Speaker 1: twenty four with Zach Taylor as the head coach without 497 00:23:56,960 --> 00:24:00,200 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, and I am I have staked my own 498 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:04,320 Speaker 1: gambling reputation on that. Brian Callahan has no clue what 499 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:07,800 Speaker 1: he's doing, and Zach Taylor without Joe Burrow has no 500 00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:10,600 Speaker 1: clue what he's doing. You saw players fighting on the 501 00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:15,320 Speaker 1: sidelines on Monday night. You saw Jamar Chase being extremely frustrated. Look, 502 00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:18,400 Speaker 1: it's not Jake Browning's fault. The offensive line is horrible, 503 00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 1: and they've invested all this money in John Madden esque 504 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:26,879 Speaker 1: types of video game players. When you pay your quarterback 505 00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 1: and you pay two wide receivers and you play a 506 00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,800 Speaker 1: defensive end, you don't have any money left. And then 507 00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 1: the star wide receiver, sorry the star quarterback goes down 508 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,880 Speaker 1: and so the two star wideouts can't get the football 509 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:39,639 Speaker 1: the way that they want to get the football because 510 00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:43,320 Speaker 1: that was your whole triangle for offense. They're in trouble, 511 00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:47,040 Speaker 1: like they're in big trouble, and they may be down 512 00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:51,600 Speaker 1: in that Browns Titans Saints conversation in terms of the 513 00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:55,720 Speaker 1: worst teams in the NFL. So I fade the Bengals, 514 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:58,520 Speaker 1: fade them the rest of the year. The Lions aren't 515 00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:01,639 Speaker 1: losing to the Bengals. They may not cover ten, but 516 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 1: pat they're not losing, not losing. The Lions aren't losing 517 00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:07,080 Speaker 1: to the Bengals. In my mind, it's hard to imagine. 518 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 1: It is really hard to imagine unless there's major injuries. Right, 519 00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 1: And let's like we see a big injury to Jared 520 00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:17,760 Speaker 1: Goff or we see something that really like derails their 521 00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:21,359 Speaker 1: entire team. If they're healthy and playing up to their capability, Okay, 522 00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:24,440 Speaker 1: maybe they don't cover, but the Lions win. So if 523 00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:26,520 Speaker 1: you have the Lions available to you, I mean, if 524 00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:27,680 Speaker 1: I think it's a good plaint. 525 00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:29,359 Speaker 3: If Jared Goff was out, well would this spread be 526 00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:32,679 Speaker 3: I feel like the Lions would still be a road favorite. 527 00:25:32,640 --> 00:25:35,879 Speaker 1: Seven six and a half. Yeah, yeah, somewhere in that range. 528 00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:36,359 Speaker 1: I mean the. 529 00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:42,119 Speaker 3: Bengals have shown no right, nothing, no. 530 00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:43,240 Speaker 1: No, yeah, you heard of the bone. I mean the Broncos. 531 00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:45,360 Speaker 1: That was one of the most I think I saw 532 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 1: the stat the Broncos that was the fourth largest discrepancy 533 00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 1: in yards gained versus yards given up in the history 534 00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:54,760 Speaker 1: of the Broncos franchise on Monday Night. Like it just 535 00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:57,760 Speaker 1: it was a completely other mismatch. And that and I 536 00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 1: thought bow Knicks didn't play very well. Bon Nicks was okay, 537 00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:03,240 Speaker 1: but I thought they could have that a game could 538 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 1: have been a lot more lopsided if bo Nicks had 539 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 1: played better at the quarterback spot for the Broncos. So, 540 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:09,920 Speaker 1: I mean JK. Dobbins ran all over them. I think 541 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:13,560 Speaker 1: you got to look at both running backs Gibbs anytime touchdown, like, 542 00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:15,680 Speaker 1: just go and load up if you're looking for any 543 00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 1: time touchdowns and yards over for running backs. With that 544 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:23,400 Speaker 1: Lion's offensive line dominating, they're gonna road grade the Bengals. 545 00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,760 Speaker 1: That's that's gonna be ug glee. Guys. Want to track 546 00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:28,439 Speaker 1: you all your wages in one place, check out the 547 00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:31,000 Speaker 1: Betting Pros Picktracker. It syncs up with your sports books 548 00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:34,280 Speaker 1: to tally which picks hit in which picks miss. Plus, 549 00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:36,240 Speaker 1: it gives you a live look at what the public 550 00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:38,320 Speaker 1: is doing, so you can use real time tracking to 551 00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:41,520 Speaker 1: determine which place to make in which place to fade. 552 00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:44,520 Speaker 1: Track your picks today with the Betting Pros Picktracker at 553 00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:49,359 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com, slash tracking or on the Betting Pros app. 554 00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:51,560 Speaker 1: All right, as we wrap here, what are plays that 555 00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,320 Speaker 1: you would make right now? I think we've kind of 556 00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:56,159 Speaker 1: covered a lot of them, But Pat, what would you 557 00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:57,600 Speaker 1: fire on today? Here? On Tuesday? 558 00:26:57,600 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 3: As we tape the one I really want to lock 559 00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:03,920 Speaker 3: in before for this number moves matt Is Commander's Chargers 560 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:08,399 Speaker 3: under forty seven and a half and I just I 561 00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:12,560 Speaker 3: worry that maybe people are going to realize how compromise 562 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,879 Speaker 3: the Chargers are now without Joe Alt he was carted 563 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:18,399 Speaker 3: off last week so not expected to play this week. 564 00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:21,520 Speaker 3: They had already lost their other starting offensive tackle, ver 565 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:27,560 Speaker 3: Shawn Slater, so down both starting offensive tackles, Like it's 566 00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:30,639 Speaker 3: gotta hurt the outlook for Justin Herbert, and he was 567 00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 3: under some pretty heavy duress in that loss to the 568 00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 3: Giants in Week four. So as much splashy firepower as 569 00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:43,200 Speaker 3: the Chargers have With Herbert playing so well, that wide 570 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:47,160 Speaker 3: receiver trio of Quentin Johnston, Keenan Allen and Lad McConkie 571 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:51,080 Speaker 3: and O'marion Hampton running really well. Like the offensive line 572 00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:54,720 Speaker 3: is a problem now, no question about that. Jaden Daniels 573 00:27:54,760 --> 00:27:57,320 Speaker 3: expected back from a knee injury, but we'll see how 574 00:27:57,320 --> 00:28:00,280 Speaker 3: that affects his mobility. I don't know whether he gets 575 00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:03,720 Speaker 3: Terry McLaurin back from his quad injury this week. And 576 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,680 Speaker 3: the Chargers defense is tough. We've seen that like this 577 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:10,399 Speaker 3: is absolutely absolutely a top ten defense. I think they 578 00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 3: ranked sixth in DVOA. This just doesn't feel like a 579 00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:15,280 Speaker 3: shootout to me, Matt, and we're getting a pretty big 580 00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:18,119 Speaker 3: number on it. So I feel like the under is 581 00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:19,960 Speaker 3: a pretty good percentage play here, and I want to 582 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 3: grab it now before this number, you know, before we 583 00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:25,879 Speaker 3: lose a point of value as the week goes on. 584 00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:29,000 Speaker 1: I concur but I would go to the side as well. 585 00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:31,400 Speaker 1: I think the Chargers bounce back and win this game. 586 00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:33,720 Speaker 1: You're absolute right about the offensive line being a question, 587 00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:37,119 Speaker 1: but at home the wins over the Chiefs and the Broncos. 588 00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:40,960 Speaker 1: For the Chargers, I just think the Commanders. I didn't 589 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:43,800 Speaker 1: like them coming into this season. I don't like them now, 590 00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:48,520 Speaker 1: and I mean until even if Daniels comes back, I 591 00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:50,200 Speaker 1: still would go ahead and take the Chargers, and you 592 00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:52,480 Speaker 1: probably get a better number if Jane Daniels does wind 593 00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:55,560 Speaker 1: up playing. But it's Marcus Mariota at the moment and 594 00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:57,680 Speaker 1: the numbers two and a half, So two and a 595 00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,000 Speaker 1: half or three on the Chargers, I think he got it. 596 00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:02,360 Speaker 1: Take the Chargers before it goes over. I think if 597 00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,480 Speaker 1: it is going to be Mariota, for sure, this number 598 00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 1: is gonna be three and a half or higher. So 599 00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:09,160 Speaker 1: I would one hundred percent jump on this now. And 600 00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,640 Speaker 1: I think even with the offensive line, look, they should 601 00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:14,000 Speaker 1: have won the game against the Giants. I mean there's 602 00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:15,960 Speaker 1: two games I'm gonna be furious about for the rest 603 00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:18,600 Speaker 1: of the year. The Chargers lost to the Giants and 604 00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:21,120 Speaker 1: the Packers lost to the Browns. I mean, these are 605 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:23,920 Speaker 1: games that just you know, right now in the NFL, 606 00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:27,160 Speaker 1: if you are laying points on the road, you are 607 00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:33,000 Speaker 1: getting destroyed. Okay, just FYI. Home teams are dominating right 608 00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:35,840 Speaker 1: now in the NFL. Road teams are having a hard 609 00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:38,840 Speaker 1: time winning, let alone covering. They're having a hard time 610 00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,280 Speaker 1: winning game straight up right now. So I would be 611 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:45,040 Speaker 1: careful about Washington any road team. I would be a 612 00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:48,040 Speaker 1: little careful about laying big numbers, like the Lions laying 613 00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:51,360 Speaker 1: ten for instance. Be careful on those games, just because 614 00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:55,000 Speaker 1: what we've seen from a trend perspective in the NFL. 615 00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:56,760 Speaker 1: But the other game, I'd say, I think you have 616 00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:58,560 Speaker 1: to take it before it goes to six or higher. 617 00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:00,960 Speaker 1: Is we talked about it the open. I just think 618 00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:03,200 Speaker 1: the Niners are so banged up, and I think the 619 00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:06,000 Speaker 1: Rams are licking their chops. The NFC West has been 620 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:09,160 Speaker 1: weird like this, right, I mean, like the Cardinals, they 621 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:12,120 Speaker 1: can't beat the Seahawks to save their life. The Niners 622 00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,720 Speaker 1: have a hard time beating the Rams. I think the 623 00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:17,320 Speaker 1: Rams wind up getting a w and covering that five 624 00:30:17,360 --> 00:30:19,800 Speaker 1: and a half six point spread here. I would lock 625 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:21,760 Speaker 1: that in coming up right now if you guys have 626 00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:24,400 Speaker 1: a chance to do so that in closing, any final 627 00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:25,960 Speaker 1: thoughts as we head towards Week five. 628 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:26,400 Speaker 2: That's it. 629 00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 3: You know, keep an eye out for injury news that 630 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:32,280 Speaker 3: can always affect things. But feeling pretty good about the 631 00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:34,320 Speaker 3: wagers we talked about today. 632 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:36,920 Speaker 1: Matt, Yeah, I'm with you. I like the card this week. 633 00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:38,480 Speaker 1: I didn't love the card last week. I do like 634 00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:40,920 Speaker 1: the card this week. And remember, guys, we are into 635 00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:44,280 Speaker 1: the first week of buys. Okay, this is a shorter 636 00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:47,320 Speaker 1: schedule than usual. Bunch of teams in week five, which 637 00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:50,320 Speaker 1: feels really early to take bye weeks, but a bunch 638 00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:52,320 Speaker 1: of teams are off on buys. So if you have 639 00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:54,960 Speaker 1: fantasy lineups and whatnot, make sure you are checking those 640 00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:57,240 Speaker 1: because you may have players who are not playing this 641 00:30:57,280 --> 00:30:59,239 Speaker 1: week that you got to go ahead and sit them 642 00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:01,640 Speaker 1: on the bench. He's beat Fitz Morris. I am at parolt. 643 00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:04,400 Speaker 1: We'll talk to you next week for another episode Week 644 00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:06,680 Speaker 1: six of the NFL. Next week, as we get into 645 00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:07,920 Speaker 1: it here for Betting Pros. 646 00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:10,840 Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 647 00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:13,280 Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 648 00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:16,720 Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 649 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,640 Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 650 00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:23,400 Speaker 5: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 651 00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.