1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,320 Speaker 1: Are you back there, Blair doing your thing? Can I 2 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:06,280 Speaker 1: sit on your shoulder? Is that going about it? Oh? 3 00:00:06,559 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: Get out, please, get out, get out. Oh that's so brutal. 4 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: This is Blair Montgomery. I flew to Chicago to visit 5 00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:23,239 Speaker 1: him back in June, and I promise you that he 6 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 1: wanted me to visit. He wasn't yelling at me to 7 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:29,640 Speaker 1: get out. He was yelling at a baseball, a baseball 8 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 1: hit by a player with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Blair 9 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: had a two fifty dollar parlay in the game. That's 10 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:38,560 Speaker 1: one large bet made up of a string of smaller bets. 11 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: I have a baseball parley where it was like I 12 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 1: picked a guy to hit a home run and the 13 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 1: team to win for three separate games, and uh, I 14 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:52,080 Speaker 1: hit the first two. I need the Dodgers to win, 15 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 1: and I need one of their players to hit a 16 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: home run. So this girl, I just wanted to go 17 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 1: to ex trainings. And if this game goes to extra innings, 18 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: we may be paying quite a bit of attention to 19 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 1: this one. How much will this pay for you? If 20 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 1: everything works, if if if Freddie Freeman right, so, Freddie 21 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 1: Freeman right here, he's that second for the Dodgers. He's 22 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:12,760 Speaker 1: their first baseman. He hit a ball to the fence 23 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: earlier and a guy jumped up and caught it right 24 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 1: at the wall. And if he hits a home run 25 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: in the Dodgers win, it pays out like almost sixty grand. 26 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 1: You actually think it's like sixty three grand. So it's 27 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: obviously a very, very very profitable and big parlay. Welcome 28 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 1: to Crash Course, the podcast about business, political, and social 29 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 1: disruption and what we can learn from it. I'm Tim O'Brien. 30 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: If it hasn't already, sports gambling is coming to your town, 31 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 1: your living room, and your kid's cell phone. Last year, 32 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 1: Americans bet about four hundred and fifty million dollars on 33 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: sports every day. That's one of those numbers. I don't 34 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: even know how to comprehend. It's so huge. That translates 35 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: to a hundred and sixty five billion dollars a year, 36 00:01:57,600 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 1: but of course gamblers lose a lot of that. That's 37 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: how the industry pulled in forty four billion dollars last year, 38 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: and it looks like betting is going to keep on exploding. 39 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:10,920 Speaker 1: I've been watching the gambling industry for years, but the 40 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:15,399 Speaker 1: current boom is like no other. It's going to reshape games, fans, 41 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:19,239 Speaker 1: and society, and its impact has only begun to be felt. 42 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 1: And because some gamblers become addicts, it can be a 43 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 1: wildly destructive activity. It can also lead to corruption in sports. 44 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:30,520 Speaker 1: In honor of the Super Bowl this weekend and the 45 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 1: vast number of bets that we placed on the game, 46 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 1: this is the first of three episodes about the past, present, 47 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 1: and future of the multibillion dollars sports betting boom. Over 48 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 1: the next three episodes will travel from Chicago to London 49 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 1: to the tribal lands of Connecticut to explore all of this, 50 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 1: looking at mobile betting, match fixing, and the future of 51 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:58,959 Speaker 1: tribal casinos. But first things first, Today's crash course inside 52 00:02:58,960 --> 00:03:05,800 Speaker 1: the digital sports bet Boom to better understand that boom, 53 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:08,640 Speaker 1: I wanted to spend time with somebody who's really good 54 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:11,399 Speaker 1: at navigating all of the ups and downs of gambling. 55 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,959 Speaker 1: Blair is one of the industry's super users. He gambles 56 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 1: every day, every weekend, and he's making more money betting 57 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 1: than he does from his day job. He's also a 58 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 1: window under the peculiar set of talents that makes successful 59 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 1: gamblers interesting to me. Unlike most people who bet, he's 60 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: actually able to make a handsome living off of it. 61 00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 1: He's obsessive, but to my untrained eye, not an addict. 62 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 1: He's emotionally disciplined, he manages money well, he's good at math, 63 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:44,120 Speaker 1: he's intuitive, and he knows how to judge risk. Anyone 64 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 1: can hit those bets one time. It doesn't take someone 65 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 1: who's a sharp sports better or someone who knows sports 66 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 1: extremely well to hit that at one time. But to 67 00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 1: be able to do that repetitively over time, or the 68 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 1: even come close to hitting those things over time, I 69 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: think you gotta be a little nuts and a little crazy. 70 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 1: And that's kind of how I am like, meaning being 71 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 1: entirely risk forward, being comfortable with massive risks, Yeah, exactly. 72 00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:16,320 Speaker 1: And you have to put the work in. And if 73 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:18,520 Speaker 1: you don't and you lose your edge on that and 74 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 1: you're not showing up and being really active with it, 75 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:23,360 Speaker 1: I think it's gonna come bacted by you, and you're 76 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:30,160 Speaker 1: gonna start losing and it's gonna hurt a lot. It 77 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 1: was a great weekend to go to Chicago to watch 78 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 1: Blair gamble the French Open crowd its winners game two 79 00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 1: of the NBA Finals tied up the series, and the 80 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: baseball season was in full swing. I was excited to 81 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,479 Speaker 1: meet Blair and watch him in action. How you do it, 82 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 1: good man? How are you good? It's good to see you. 83 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:49,840 Speaker 1: As I told you, a lot of our a lot 84 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 1: of our interaction is gonna be putting this mic close 85 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:54,720 Speaker 1: to your Yeah, that's fine to worry about it. Don't 86 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:56,840 Speaker 1: confuse Blair with that image you might have in your 87 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:59,479 Speaker 1: mind of a worn out old gambler lurking in a 88 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:03,800 Speaker 1: casino him. He looks like a jock, athletic and trim, 89 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 1: with close cropped auburn hair. He's energetic and friendly, very Midwestern. 90 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 1: I was introduced to Blair by some sports cammeblers I 91 00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 1: know who hang out together online. I heard he was 92 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:18,680 Speaker 1: really good at this whole sports betting thing, and he 93 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 1: was even considering turning the side hustle into a full 94 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:25,479 Speaker 1: time job. I found Blair a fascinating person to focus 95 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 1: on because he's an unknown who's already started making a 96 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,479 Speaker 1: big splash. And I think he's the embodiment of all 97 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 1: of the highs and lows to be found in the 98 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:36,919 Speaker 1: gambling boom. I've always had like a really good just 99 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:41,640 Speaker 1: general read on sporting events. And I think my mom 100 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:43,279 Speaker 1: always joked and she was like, you're gonna work for 101 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 1: ESPN someday. And when I didn't go that around in college, 102 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:48,680 Speaker 1: she was a little disappointed. But it didn't really change 103 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 1: much in terms of who I was or what people 104 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 1: knew me about. They just didn't know that I could 105 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 1: turn hunter Bucks into you know, sixties seventy dollars and 106 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:00,840 Speaker 1: then you could make tens of thousand some dollars off 107 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,919 Speaker 1: of it in a sitting. Like I said, Blair is 108 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:08,159 Speaker 1: very good at this. Here's how he got here. When 109 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: he was around ten or eleven, he started playing poker 110 00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 1: with his buddies in a small town in Michigan. He 111 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: was a good student and a good athlete, competitive and 112 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 1: he routinely demolished his poker partners. His tournaments with friends 113 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 1: grew through high school to thirty forty kids in somebody's basement. 114 00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:28,840 Speaker 1: In college, he started going to real casinos. He spent 115 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:32,479 Speaker 1: whole days playing tournaments. I think it's extremely fair to 116 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:34,640 Speaker 1: say that when I was younger, in particularly I was 117 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 1: playing poker that you know, going on tilt is a 118 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:40,919 Speaker 1: very common term in poker, and I had an extremely 119 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 1: hard time balancing that a lot of people do, you know, 120 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 1: and so there were times where I was playing with 121 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:48,479 Speaker 1: money that I shouldn't have, and there are times where 122 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 1: I lost money that I couldn't afford to lose. Around 123 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:53,480 Speaker 1: the time he turned one, a poker front of his 124 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,360 Speaker 1: suggested he get into sports betting, so he started to 125 00:06:56,440 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: dabble in that too. Poker would soon take a back 126 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 1: seat because in the Supreme Court ended Nevada's monopoly on 127 00:07:04,560 --> 00:07:07,920 Speaker 1: sports betting by striking down a federal law that had 128 00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 1: effectively banned it in most other states. Pretty quickly, states 129 00:07:12,360 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: started legalizing something that had once been considered taboo. Indiana 130 00:07:19,080 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: was the closest state to Blair to legalize it in 131 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:25,640 Speaker 1: the fall of but it was still old school. You 132 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:27,800 Speaker 1: had to go to a casino and wager in person, 133 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: so Blair had to get up early in the morning 134 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 1: at Chicago to drive an hour or so to Indiana, 135 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:36,040 Speaker 1: pushes money through a window to a bookie, and then 136 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 1: drive home to watch the games. Betting became more popular 137 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:43,320 Speaker 1: and the lines of the casinos grew longer. It was 138 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 1: like going to like an amusement park, you know, were 139 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:47,360 Speaker 1: you wait in line for two hours for a ride. 140 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: This all had to be done before the games could start. 141 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 1: If you wanted a bet during the game, you could 142 00:07:54,160 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 1: try your luck at a digital kiosk, But the problem 143 00:07:57,320 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 1: was the betting lines or the odds we're changing by 144 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: the second, and the machine couldn't keep up. So you 145 00:08:04,400 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 1: would submit, and then it would think, and then it 146 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 1: would be like do you accept the odds change? And 147 00:08:08,280 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 1: you're like yes, and you eat it again and they're like, 148 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 1: do you accept the odds change? Like this is just ridiculous, 149 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 1: Like I am never gonna get this in, so then 150 00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 1: you just remove it. But nobody would have to wait. 151 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 1: Once gambling went digital apps operated a lot faster than 152 00:08:20,280 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 1: electronic kiosks. The rise of sports betting apps like FanDuel 153 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 1: and DraftKings man it easier to monitor odds and place 154 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 1: bets from the comfort of your own home. Blair's trips 155 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:37,200 Speaker 1: to Indiana effectively ended when Illinois legalized online betting. In 156 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 1: his living room became his new gambling den. It's a bright, 157 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:44,200 Speaker 1: airy space with a view of the Chicago skyline and 158 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:47,679 Speaker 1: decorated with a comfy L shaped couch in a big 159 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:52,960 Speaker 1: flat panel TV. Decidedly not a casino vibe. It's completely 160 00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 1: different than the brick and mortar experience. It's still fun 161 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 1: having like the actual paper slip that you keep and 162 00:08:58,160 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 1: when you win and you go in and you turn 163 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:03,320 Speaker 1: it in. It's a really cool feeling. But how technology 164 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 1: has changed the way that you can just do this 165 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: on your phone is what's made this boom so insane. 166 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:11,079 Speaker 1: Over the last a couple of years, COVID lockdowns caused 167 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:14,679 Speaker 1: a huge spike and online gambling across the country, from 168 00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 1: hundreds of millions of dollars in wagers a month to 169 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:21,880 Speaker 1: several billion. But it wasn't until the fall of the 170 00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:25,920 Speaker 1: Blair's own sports gambling career really took off, and it 171 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 1: all started at a friend's wedding. Before Blair drove to 172 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:33,080 Speaker 1: that wedding, he had lined up five or six different 173 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:36,600 Speaker 1: parlays for NFL games that day, laying down a total 174 00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: of about a thousand dollars in bets. Remember, a parlay 175 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:42,720 Speaker 1: is basically one wager made up of a bunch of 176 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 1: smaller different bets. How many field goals are kicked, added 177 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 1: to the number of touchdowns, added to the total score, 178 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 1: and so on and so on. Each one of those 179 00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:57,199 Speaker 1: bets needs to win for the entire bet to pay off, 180 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:02,360 Speaker 1: because they're so risky. The odds are astronomically bad. But 181 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 1: if all of the smaller legs of the better winners, 182 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 1: gamblers can get a massive payout. During the wedding, Blair's 183 00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:13,040 Speaker 1: most promising parley was shaping up nicely, but by the 184 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:15,680 Speaker 1: time the bride and groom had said I do and 185 00:10:15,760 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 1: he sat down at the reception, he was a nervous wreck. 186 00:10:19,840 --> 00:10:22,960 Speaker 1: Rather than celebrating, his eyes were glued to his phone. 187 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:25,720 Speaker 1: If I have a bet, particularly parleys that have legs, 188 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 1: I have got to be monitoring it and following it, 189 00:10:29,520 --> 00:10:33,640 Speaker 1: particularly because you're gonna get live cash out offers, and 190 00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 1: if you think something is potentially gonna slip, you need 191 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 1: to jump on it and get out. His friends got 192 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 1: sucked in and started watching the game with him. While 193 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,280 Speaker 1: the father of the bride is giving his speech, the 194 00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:52,559 Speaker 1: Dolphins converted to fourth downs. Basically, they went ninety yards 195 00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:55,880 Speaker 1: in like sixty seconds and they converted a fourth and 196 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 1: to extend the game. All of that helped his bet. 197 00:11:01,120 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 1: Blair was ecstatic, His wife Sarah well less. So, if 198 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:09,320 Speaker 1: we're being fully transparent, I was kind of getting not 199 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:12,319 Speaker 1: upset with him, and I was like, you guys are well. 200 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 1: I was annoyed because I was like, you guys are 201 00:11:13,920 --> 00:11:16,480 Speaker 1: being rude, like you need to listen to the speech. 202 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:20,040 Speaker 1: But then as it turns out, like you know, nobody 203 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:22,240 Speaker 1: even noticed. But I was just next to all of them, 204 00:11:22,320 --> 00:11:25,720 Speaker 1: and I'm like, we're right back in college. I'm on 205 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 1: team Sarah. Here all of these goofs were staring at 206 00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: a cell phone during a wedding reception. But then I 207 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:36,120 Speaker 1: found out how much money was involved. By the end 208 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 1: of the speeches, Blair's parlay had one and he had 209 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:45,040 Speaker 1: guaranteed his biggest win yet thousand dollars. It's hard to 210 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:48,920 Speaker 1: describe because it's literally the best. It's the best feeling 211 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 1: in the world. And as you start to realize, like, 212 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:54,720 Speaker 1: oh my god, this has incredible potential, it gives you 213 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 1: goose bumps, you know, and then when you're down to 214 00:11:57,480 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 1: one game, you're just sitting there sweating out and everyone 215 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 1: one is riding with you and everything, and so it's 216 00:12:02,200 --> 00:12:04,920 Speaker 1: just it's the best feeling in the world. Like it's 217 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 1: i mean again, better than everything else, better than sex 218 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:14,680 Speaker 1: um um. I probably can't answer that one. How I 219 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:17,320 Speaker 1: want to because Sarah will probably get a little mad, 220 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 1: but hitting a parlays the best feeling. It's it's incredible. 221 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:24,000 Speaker 1: After that high at the wedding, Blair kept at it. 222 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 1: In the next couple of weeks, Blair hit not one, 223 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:31,680 Speaker 1: but two other massive parlays for a total payoff of 224 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:36,520 Speaker 1: a hundred and thirty three thousand dollars. Other gamblers started 225 00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 1: paying attention. My following went from eight hundred people on 226 00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:43,360 Speaker 1: Twitter to like ten twelve thousand and in just the 227 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:45,760 Speaker 1: span of a couple of weeks. And then because of 228 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:48,640 Speaker 1: those three successful cart and everyone was like, whoa, Okay, 229 00:12:48,640 --> 00:12:50,719 Speaker 1: I didn't know that you actually were good at this. 230 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:53,600 Speaker 1: And you hit one and people are like, oh, that's cool. 231 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:56,240 Speaker 1: You hit two and people are like, oh, okay, and 232 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 1: then you hit three in a row, and everyone is 233 00:12:58,080 --> 00:12:59,880 Speaker 1: kind of losing their minds and they're like, this kid 234 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 1: could be from the future. Blair's Twitter account at Monty 235 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 1: Parley now has about thirty five followers, and Blair's built 236 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:11,400 Speaker 1: a real community there. In case you didn't know it, 237 00:13:11,880 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 1: gambling Twitter as a thing. Lots of people congregate there 238 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:18,439 Speaker 1: looking for hot tips. Blair tweets out his bets and 239 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 1: his analysis so followers can decide whether or not to 240 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:24,680 Speaker 1: piggyback with their own bets. He complains about his losses, 241 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:28,480 Speaker 1: and he celebrates his major wins. He really engages with 242 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:32,679 Speaker 1: his followers. He also has a discord group that's an 243 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:35,320 Speaker 1: online chat room where people pay twenty dollars a month 244 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 1: to talk about their bets and get advice from him. 245 00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:42,760 Speaker 1: He takes that responsibility very seriously. If people are going 246 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:44,800 Speaker 1: to have faith in me and follow me, like I 247 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 1: take it to heart and take it serious. Trying to 248 00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: please a lot of people and I'm trying to help 249 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 1: them make some money, you know. I've had people that 250 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:54,040 Speaker 1: have DM me on Twitter after a parlay hits and 251 00:13:54,040 --> 00:13:58,239 Speaker 1: they're like, you just paid for my daughter's dance recitals 252 00:13:58,280 --> 00:14:00,920 Speaker 1: for the next year. Like I can't even put into words, 253 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 1: I can't believe. I don't even know how I found 254 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:04,400 Speaker 1: you on Twitter, and I'm like, that's amazing, you know, 255 00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:07,280 Speaker 1: Like it's the best feeling in the world. But when 256 00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 1: they lose and people are frustrated, you deal with that 257 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:13,280 Speaker 1: side of it too, and it's hard. It's hard because 258 00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:15,319 Speaker 1: even thought Blair is really good at this and has 259 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 1: earned his following through some big wins. It's a risky business. 260 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 1: I'm definitely a big parlay guy, and I'm not from 261 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:24,520 Speaker 1: the future, so like I lose all the time, like 262 00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 1: anyone who bets parlays loses all the time. But if 263 00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:32,080 Speaker 1: your win right on a twelve like parlay is point 264 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 1: to five and you can hit that two or three 265 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 1: percent of the time, you're gonna be math massively profitable. 266 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 1: So it's just a manitor of bankroll management and not 267 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:46,120 Speaker 1: getting too crazy. He's never lost more than on a bet, 268 00:14:46,560 --> 00:14:48,680 Speaker 1: but he told me about one time when he missed 269 00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 1: a parley by one leg that could have netted him 270 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 1: upwards of two d and twenty dollars. I cried a 271 00:14:54,760 --> 00:14:58,800 Speaker 1: little bit that night because that would have been ridiculous, right, 272 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 1: I mean, truly just insane. At another time, when he 273 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 1: missed out on close to eighty grand I was like, 274 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:08,760 Speaker 1: oh my god, I could feel like I wanted to 275 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:12,520 Speaker 1: throw up. But each loss for Blair is a learning opportunity. 276 00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:15,800 Speaker 1: I try to always the day after look back at 277 00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:19,560 Speaker 1: the ones that lost and take in some whatever information 278 00:15:19,600 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 1: I can kind of soak in what happened, and that's 279 00:15:22,960 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: how I know that player is really a pro at sports. Gambling. 280 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:29,560 Speaker 1: He's not blindly putting money on games or props. He 281 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 1: does his research and he has a strategy. He listens 282 00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:35,440 Speaker 1: to the commentary during the games to learn as much 283 00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 1: as he can. He tracks stats and historical data online. 284 00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:43,520 Speaker 1: He really thinks this through. He showed me one of 285 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:45,640 Speaker 1: the websites he uses a sort through all of the 286 00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:49,000 Speaker 1: data when he's thinking about his bets. The site's called 287 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 1: props dot cash. It was founded only a year ago by, 288 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 1: of all people, an aspiring elementary school math teacher. He 289 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:00,320 Speaker 1: wanted to use sports data to make math more fun 290 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 1: and accessible for students. He quickly learned he can make 291 00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 1: more money selling it as a service for gamblers. You 292 00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 1: have to remember, deep real time analytics like this weren't 293 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 1: available to most gamblers for the entire history of sports betting. Now, 294 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:21,360 Speaker 1: guys like Blair can operate like hardcore statisticians. The screen 295 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 1: in front of Blair is a sea of fever charts, 296 00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:28,360 Speaker 1: bar graphs, league team and player names, all awash and 297 00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:33,359 Speaker 1: lots and lots of data. All this data is publicly available, 298 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 1: but to be able to slice and dice it this 299 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:41,400 Speaker 1: way that quickly is what makes this super helpful. You 300 00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 1: don't need a super analytical mind to be able to 301 00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 1: like look at this and formulate a point of view. 302 00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:48,680 Speaker 1: And so I think it's helped a lot of like 303 00:16:48,760 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 1: your average sports bettors could just sharpen your sort of 304 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:56,840 Speaker 1: statistical sensibility about where the value lies. He's also pretty fearless. 305 00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,840 Speaker 1: He's not afraid to go with gut instincts, even if 306 00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:03,080 Speaker 1: that means backing an underdog. One of his big Parley 307 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 1: wins last year included an NFL bet that the notoriously 308 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 1: bad Jets would beat the pretty good Titans. His followers 309 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 1: really questioned that one realistically, any given night, anyone can win, 310 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 1: and that is true. These guys are professionals and they're 311 00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,680 Speaker 1: all good, no matter who's on your fantasy team and 312 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 1: who didn't throw for a three yards or get you 313 00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:28,240 Speaker 1: a touchdown that week, and you're like, this guy sucks. 314 00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:31,800 Speaker 1: I'm never I'm never taking this guy again. That guy 315 00:17:31,960 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 1: is elite and he is in the pent of the 316 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:37,800 Speaker 1: one percent and what he does in the entire world. 317 00:17:38,240 --> 00:17:41,160 Speaker 1: And so if you don't think the Jets can beat 318 00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 1: the Titans, I promise you they can and those games 319 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 1: do happen. That strategy is paying off. If I can 320 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:52,720 Speaker 1: come closer to winning more than I throw up air balls, 321 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:54,639 Speaker 1: then I'm going to make money off of this or 322 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:58,159 Speaker 1: at minimum break even. And again, just keep kind of 323 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:01,280 Speaker 1: treading water until I get close to hitting a huge parlay, 324 00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:04,120 Speaker 1: because that's kind of my goal with this is just 325 00:18:04,119 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 1: just do okay, small winds here and there, don't do 326 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:11,919 Speaker 1: anything too crazy, and then put yourself in the spot 327 00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:17,200 Speaker 1: where you could win. What did you net in lash? Overall? 328 00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:20,800 Speaker 1: It was close close to It was close to two, 329 00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:23,959 Speaker 1: and he was like a hundred thousand, So I mean 330 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:27,159 Speaker 1: it was a incredible year. And that was that your 331 00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:30,600 Speaker 1: best year ever? Absolutely? Yeah. He says his gambling winnings 332 00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 1: last year earned him about as much as his day job. 333 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:36,880 Speaker 1: He's a regional manager at Salesforce. Blair says he loves 334 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:39,879 Speaker 1: his job, but he also logs off right at five 335 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,680 Speaker 1: and switches to his side hustle. Beside hustle. This quickly 336 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:48,640 Speaker 1: approaching full time status. Now it feels like a second job, 337 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 1: you know, it really does. I'm definitely doing this and 338 00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:55,639 Speaker 1: minimum at minimum thirty hours a week, if not forty, 339 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:59,560 Speaker 1: every single week, and it it never ends. There's sports 340 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:03,200 Speaker 1: on every single day. He also has a life outside 341 00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:06,520 Speaker 1: of his two gigs. His wife, Sarah is really supportive 342 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 1: of his side hustle. She talks about his work and 343 00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:12,399 Speaker 1: his skill like he's an entrepreneur and he basically is. 344 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:15,600 Speaker 1: She's clearly proud of him that she supports him, and 345 00:19:15,600 --> 00:19:18,320 Speaker 1: she trusts that he's not going to make any decisions 346 00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:21,879 Speaker 1: that could hurt their family, and yet all of the 347 00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:25,280 Speaker 1: gambling takes away from their time together. He's very focused, 348 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:27,159 Speaker 1: I would say that's the best way to describe it. 349 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 1: Very locked in, kind of in his own element. And 350 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,359 Speaker 1: then he'll come out, like thirty minutes later, he's like, 351 00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,000 Speaker 1: all right, sorry, what did you ask me? I was 352 00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:37,880 Speaker 1: a little preoccupied. Um, I should know better enough by now. 353 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:43,240 Speaker 1: But yeah, he's he's pretty locked in today. Well the most, 354 00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:45,960 Speaker 1: just a few more basketball games and then you're free. 355 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:50,160 Speaker 1: I'm looking forward to having my husband back, but there's 356 00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 1: always another sport to distract Blair and he and Sarah 357 00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:56,720 Speaker 1: had a major change soon after my trip. Their son 358 00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:00,480 Speaker 1: Tommy was born in August. When I visited them in June, 359 00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:04,879 Speaker 1: Sarah was trying to figure out how they would juggle work, gambling, 360 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,800 Speaker 1: and a new baby. I think it's something that We're 361 00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,159 Speaker 1: still going to have to navigate just because it is 362 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 1: so new, especially when the baby comes, like right now, 363 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:17,040 Speaker 1: it's just me that he has to worry about, And 364 00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:21,120 Speaker 1: especially during peak NBA season when there's like fifteen games on, 365 00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:24,119 Speaker 1: it's very time consuming for him to be monitoring all 366 00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 1: of those all night, and honestly, we don't spend that 367 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 1: much time together on those nights. Sarah and Blair have 368 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:32,000 Speaker 1: been together for ten years and have been through some 369 00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:35,880 Speaker 1: ups and downs. They clearly trust one another, so much 370 00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:39,120 Speaker 1: so that Sarah's considering using her marketing chops to help 371 00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:42,160 Speaker 1: Blair build a bigger gambling brand for himself. There are 372 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 1: downsides to having a bigger brand, though. Blair says wagering 373 00:20:45,560 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 1: takes a physical toll, and what began as a hobby 374 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,560 Speaker 1: morphs at times into an obsession. It can leave him 375 00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 1: little time for anything else. Relationships with his friends and 376 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 1: family are affected research embedding and true on vacation time. 377 00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:02,080 Speaker 1: It's even changed how we watch his games. He very 378 00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:05,400 Speaker 1: rarely just tunes in for fun anymore because he always 379 00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 1: has money on the line, which asserts its own sort 380 00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:11,600 Speaker 1: of pull. So here's the thing. Every sporting event that 381 00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:15,800 Speaker 1: I can watch is an opportunity to take in information 382 00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:19,040 Speaker 1: and learn. I'm like, yeah, I'm not gonna bet on this, 383 00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:22,840 Speaker 1: but I'll watch. Then all of a sudden, I'm scrolling 384 00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:25,480 Speaker 1: on Twitter or Instagram and I'm not paying attention. But 385 00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:27,600 Speaker 1: if I bet on it, I'm gonna pay attention to it, 386 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:29,679 Speaker 1: you know. So to be honest, that's why I like 387 00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 1: doing it, even if it's something just nothing crazy. If 388 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 1: I just bet on one of the teams to win 389 00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:37,160 Speaker 1: or cover the spread or whatever, it just it helps 390 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,560 Speaker 1: me treat it like work, where I'm trying to get 391 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 1: better at like a craft than just sitting here and 392 00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:47,560 Speaker 1: watching a sporting event. And like you said, nothing beats 393 00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:50,840 Speaker 1: the rush of gambling in terms of like my own life, 394 00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:55,159 Speaker 1: my own like well being. Doing anything that involves like 395 00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:57,639 Speaker 1: risk gets my blood flowing and gets me excited and 396 00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:01,399 Speaker 1: I feel fulfilled and a lot. I'van it's a great feeling. 397 00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 1: So that explains why Blair signed up for fan Duel 398 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:07,560 Speaker 1: and DraftKings, the two titans in the field of sports 399 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:11,280 Speaker 1: betting apps, as soon as digital gambling became legal in Illinois. 400 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:16,240 Speaker 1: He prefers FanDuel. Their user interface is significantly better, It's cleaner, 401 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,359 Speaker 1: it's easier to manage, and it's owned by one of 402 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:22,760 Speaker 1: the world's biggest gambling companies, one that has brought all 403 00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:25,960 Speaker 1: of the insights and tools of a consumer products juggernaut 404 00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:30,080 Speaker 1: to digital sports wagering. It towers over the industry like 405 00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:33,320 Speaker 1: the Wizard of Oz, and most gamblers don't understand who's 406 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:35,679 Speaker 1: spinning all of the wheels behind the curtain. I was 407 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 1: familiar with it, but I didn't know how much of 408 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:42,040 Speaker 1: a role they had played in all this. After the Break, 409 00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:44,440 Speaker 1: I'll take a closer look at that company and talk 410 00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:46,480 Speaker 1: to some of the people playing a role in making 411 00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:51,840 Speaker 1: those gambling apps almost addicting lye fun. Then later I'll 412 00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:54,199 Speaker 1: sit with Blair to watch him in action and do 413 00:22:54,280 --> 00:23:03,840 Speaker 1: some gambling of my own. So that company we were 414 00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 1: talking about before the Break, its name is Flutter Entertainment. 415 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:11,560 Speaker 1: It's one of the world's biggest gambling operations. While gamblers 416 00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:15,680 Speaker 1: like Blair, we're dreaming of sixty pay days, Flutter, which 417 00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:19,160 Speaker 1: owns FanDuel and other big brands, hauled in seven point 418 00:23:19,280 --> 00:23:23,879 Speaker 1: six billion in revenue. As the old saying goes in 419 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 1: the casino business, the house always wins. Then Flutter cashed 420 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:31,040 Speaker 1: in when the sports betting landscape shifted in the US 421 00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:34,360 Speaker 1: back it was the full steenth of May and one 422 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:40,600 Speaker 1: day it will be a company holiday. The day the 423 00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 1: Supreme Court opened gamblings floodgates by allowing individual states to 424 00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:48,680 Speaker 1: legalize sports betting if they wanted, And that was Peter 425 00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:53,919 Speaker 1: Jackson Flutter CEO, the origins of foots slang in the 426 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:57,520 Speaker 1: UK for having a bat having a flutter, says Peter, 427 00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:01,720 Speaker 1: as an ancient indulgence. Gambling is something that people have 428 00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,639 Speaker 1: done for a very very long time, actually not just 429 00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:06,840 Speaker 1: around sports. You know, people bet on dice and you 430 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 1: look at the history of gambling and it's a very 431 00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:14,080 Speaker 1: very well established thing and there are psychological reasons why 432 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:17,960 Speaker 1: people enjoy taking that risk. Flutter is a collection of 433 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,840 Speaker 1: gambling companies in Ireland in the UK that includes old 434 00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:24,760 Speaker 1: fashioned bookmakers and newer digital ventures. It has a big 435 00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:28,560 Speaker 1: footprint in Europe and around the globe. It's reach expanded 436 00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:32,840 Speaker 1: when it bought FanDuel, that app that gamblers like Blair 437 00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:36,160 Speaker 1: love to use. It's a U S company that originally 438 00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:39,879 Speaker 1: made a big splash and fantasy sports leagues. Flutter's timing 439 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:42,520 Speaker 1: was good. It broke into the US Right before that 440 00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:46,879 Speaker 1: Supreme Court ruling was announced, Peter had just become CEO, 441 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: armed with an engineering degree from Cambridge and a blue 442 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:53,360 Speaker 1: chip pedigree in banking and consulting. That sort of makes 443 00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:56,880 Speaker 1: him the perfect leader for a modern gambling company, less 444 00:24:56,880 --> 00:25:00,080 Speaker 1: a bookmaker and more of a consumer products champion. In 445 00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:04,320 Speaker 1: adept at reeling in digital customers, what was really clear 446 00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:08,200 Speaker 1: to me was that the economics in a digital batting environment, 447 00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:10,920 Speaker 1: we're going to be no different to any other digital business. 448 00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:14,600 Speaker 1: And we know that if you pick any category, the 449 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:19,480 Speaker 1: economics flow disproportionate to the scale player. A very big 450 00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,600 Speaker 1: part of what I thought we need to do at 451 00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:26,000 Speaker 1: that time was to build scale. More than seven point 452 00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:30,679 Speaker 1: five million people visit Flutters various gambling platforms every month. 453 00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 1: It's stock priced sword more than between, and it competes 454 00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 1: with draft Kings for all of the advertising space you 455 00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,960 Speaker 1: see chewed up on your TV screens and in bus, 456 00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:46,359 Speaker 1: subway and train stations. It's partnered with sports leagues and 457 00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:49,840 Speaker 1: traditional media companies. As the boundaries that once separated those 458 00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:54,399 Speaker 1: businesses have dissolved. Amy how who runs vanduel for Flutter, 459 00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:57,840 Speaker 1: so she's offering her customers more than just gambling. At 460 00:25:57,840 --> 00:25:59,280 Speaker 1: the end of the day, we actually view what we 461 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:02,480 Speaker 1: do is we're an entertainment platform, and so there really 462 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:05,280 Speaker 1: are quite a few commonalities as you think about what 463 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:08,159 Speaker 1: we built and what we deliver every day to consumers 464 00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:10,080 Speaker 1: and what we're trying to do here at vandel as well. 465 00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:14,040 Speaker 1: Like Peter Amy isn't a gambling veteran. She was a 466 00:26:14,080 --> 00:26:18,440 Speaker 1: senior executive at Ticketmaster, the entertainment company before coming to FanDuel. 467 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:21,000 Speaker 1: One of the critical things for me is how do 468 00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:24,240 Speaker 1: I acquire as many customers as I can as efficiently 469 00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:27,679 Speaker 1: as possible. Right so, we have built i would say, 470 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:30,920 Speaker 1: by far, the most efficient marketing acquisition engine in the industry, 471 00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:32,960 Speaker 1: and that's really one of the things that's been a 472 00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,960 Speaker 1: huge driver of our success so far. Another of Flutters 473 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:39,359 Speaker 1: advantages it learned the sports gambling ropes in Ireland and 474 00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:42,560 Speaker 1: the UK long before the US betting boom took off, 475 00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,000 Speaker 1: and how all of that rolled out in the UK 476 00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:49,320 Speaker 1: has lessons for the US. I tracked down Rob Davis 477 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:52,159 Speaker 1: to talk a little bit about that. He's a business 478 00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:54,760 Speaker 1: reporter for The Guardian and the author of a new book, 479 00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:59,560 Speaker 1: Jack Pott, How Gambling Conquered Britain. He's watched the UK 480 00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:02,000 Speaker 1: gambling bomb from a front row seat and he was 481 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:05,280 Speaker 1: able to walk through exactly how gambling took over his country. 482 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:09,960 Speaker 1: The boom there started when professional Premier League soccer began 483 00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:13,480 Speaker 1: appearing on everybody's TV. I think it last counted something 484 00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,640 Speaker 1: like a billion people watched the Premier League. So there 485 00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:20,800 Speaker 1: is really no advertising platform like it, and so it's 486 00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:24,760 Speaker 1: no surprise that over time gambling companies become very interested 487 00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 1: in that, and then that essentially gets put on steroids 488 00:27:27,760 --> 00:27:30,480 Speaker 1: with the arrival of the Internet and then the second 489 00:27:30,560 --> 00:27:33,959 Speaker 1: leg mobile devices. Right, yeah, absolutely, there is a there 490 00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:36,040 Speaker 1: are a number of things all going on at once, 491 00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:39,679 Speaker 1: kind of confluence of events that creates a sort of 492 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:43,159 Speaker 1: a perfect breeding ground for gambling to thrive and for 493 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,480 Speaker 1: football to thrive on. It's as well because a lot 494 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:49,879 Speaker 1: of money that goes into football from gambling. Gambling is 495 00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:53,720 Speaker 1: an unusual business. Much of it is just pure entertainment 496 00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 1: for most people, but because it taps so directly into 497 00:27:57,040 --> 00:28:00,160 Speaker 1: primal urges around greed and risk, it can all will 498 00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 1: be a powder keg. Compulsive gambling is one of its 499 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:07,159 Speaker 1: most overt problems. The British government was alarmed by all 500 00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:11,920 Speaker 1: of that, so it gathered politicians, gambling operators, even religious 501 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:15,840 Speaker 1: organizations to figure out a response. The two thousand and 502 00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:19,600 Speaker 1: five Gambling Act was born. It offered a regulatory structure 503 00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:22,800 Speaker 1: in the UK that was meant to last for decades. 504 00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,160 Speaker 1: They were thinking, well, this is a leisure pursuit, people 505 00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:28,320 Speaker 1: want to do it. We shouldn't be a nanny state. 506 00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:30,679 Speaker 1: We shouldn't try and intervene and stop them doing it. 507 00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:32,640 Speaker 1: And in fact, we can raise huge amounts of tax 508 00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:35,359 Speaker 1: revenue and create jobs. And you know, there's some logic 509 00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:37,520 Speaker 1: in that. But they dropped the Gambling Act in two 510 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:40,040 Speaker 1: thousand and five. It comes into force in two thousand 511 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,160 Speaker 1: and seven. And the thing that happens in the middle 512 00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:44,080 Speaker 1: of those two things is the invention of the iPhone. 513 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,200 Speaker 1: The Gambling Act was built for a brick and mortar world, 514 00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:52,480 Speaker 1: but mobile devices didn't need buildings. Like everyone else, including me, 515 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:57,640 Speaker 1: British politicians didn't fully understand the implications of the technology revolution. 516 00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 1: Within a year, everyone was going to have Sisto a 517 00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,720 Speaker 1: casino in their pockets. And one of the things that 518 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:04,520 Speaker 1: I've found a lot when I've talked to people who 519 00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:07,720 Speaker 1: do struggle with their gambling is that it helps them 520 00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:10,720 Speaker 1: if there's some degree of friction between the urge to 521 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:14,040 Speaker 1: gamble and the ability to actually do it. Less friction, 522 00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:19,720 Speaker 1: more gambling, more gambling, more fun, and more money. But 523 00:29:19,760 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 1: the Brits had also learned that sports gambling was so 524 00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:25,600 Speaker 1: explosive and ubiquitous that their regulations turned out to be 525 00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:29,440 Speaker 1: backward looking. So far, the US hasn't appeared to have 526 00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:33,080 Speaker 1: learned any of those lessons, and states are legalizing gambling 527 00:29:33,080 --> 00:29:36,600 Speaker 1: at a rapid clip. Annual revenues from online sports betting 528 00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:40,640 Speaker 1: are currently about a billion dollars. Goldman Sachs estimates that 529 00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:43,920 Speaker 1: that figure will soar to about thirty nine billion, by 530 00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:47,440 Speaker 1: far more than what people spend on other forms of 531 00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:51,720 Speaker 1: entertainment such as movies and booze. All that action could 532 00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:55,280 Speaker 1: also lead to more blow ups. You could be in 533 00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:57,760 Speaker 1: bed at night at three am with your partners sleep 534 00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:00,600 Speaker 1: beside you, and you're losing the mortgage, you're losing the 535 00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 1: child's university fund, and you know, I spoken to lots 536 00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,160 Speaker 1: of people have done that. That's not scam hungering. I mean, 537 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:08,320 Speaker 1: that's what guys on. I've looked at research indicating only 538 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:11,200 Speaker 1: about two percent of the gambling population winds up with 539 00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:14,880 Speaker 1: an addiction. Most people do gamble for fun, But all 540 00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 1: those studies largely rely on data that predates the more 541 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:21,880 Speaker 1: recent gambling boom. I imagine that number might sore now 542 00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:25,800 Speaker 1: that everyone can have a casino in their pocket. That 543 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,920 Speaker 1: also got me thinking, could Blair be a self destructive, 544 00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:32,960 Speaker 1: compulsive gambler. I'm not an expert, but I don't think so. 545 00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:35,120 Speaker 1: He's learned the hard way what he has to watch 546 00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:38,360 Speaker 1: out for. Back when he was big into poker, he 547 00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:42,120 Speaker 1: found himself betting money he didn't have. Now he makes 548 00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:45,000 Speaker 1: it a point to talk openly about his losses. He 549 00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:47,920 Speaker 1: says that keeps him from glamorizing gambling. You need to 550 00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,600 Speaker 1: be humbled and you need to be brought back down 551 00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:53,240 Speaker 1: to earth, and you need to know that like, hey, 552 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,840 Speaker 1: you can't dodge bullets. But I don't mind going through 553 00:30:56,840 --> 00:31:00,920 Speaker 1: those downswings because it just helps me put things in 554 00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:05,040 Speaker 1: their perspective. Do you think gamblers have a different relationship 555 00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:08,440 Speaker 1: to money than other people? Yeah, I mean I think 556 00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:12,920 Speaker 1: with the way that gamblers do this, there's an obsession 557 00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:16,600 Speaker 1: to money and too for whatever reason. You know, Well, 558 00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:18,360 Speaker 1: but what's the root of it. Do you think. I 559 00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:20,440 Speaker 1: don't know if I think it depends on the person. 560 00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:24,400 Speaker 1: Like for me, the root of my passion with all this, 561 00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:27,200 Speaker 1: it's not greed. Blair was still in high school when 562 00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:29,800 Speaker 1: the recession hit in two thousand and eight. Both of 563 00:31:29,840 --> 00:31:32,560 Speaker 1: his parents were real estate agents in Detroit and they 564 00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:36,080 Speaker 1: lost their house. They moved down to Florida, but Blair 565 00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:38,880 Speaker 1: stayed in Michigan to finish out high school. Then he 566 00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:42,000 Speaker 1: went to Michigan State. He worked his way through college, 567 00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:44,880 Speaker 1: maxed out student loans, and he had to pay for 568 00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:50,280 Speaker 1: his senior year using credit cards. I've seen how money can, 569 00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:58,320 Speaker 1: unfortunately hurt a family right, and it doesn't solve all problems, 570 00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:05,960 Speaker 1: but avoiding financial problems can create an environment to have 571 00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:09,400 Speaker 1: a healthy family and a good marriage and everything. It's 572 00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:12,719 Speaker 1: not everything, but being able to avoid that stuff is 573 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:18,000 Speaker 1: where it comes from. With me, is like security. I 574 00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:20,200 Speaker 1: want to be able to invest and make good money 575 00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:24,000 Speaker 1: and do fun things and help my kids get through 576 00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:28,440 Speaker 1: college and start their lives because I learned everything that 577 00:32:28,480 --> 00:32:32,480 Speaker 1: I learned the hard way. So he's careful. He keeps 578 00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 1: his gambling money in a different account and doesn't touch 579 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,000 Speaker 1: the savings he shares with Sarah While the Titans of 580 00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:42,160 Speaker 1: Mobile Gambling don't offer money management tutorials to gamblers, they 581 00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:44,680 Speaker 1: say they're trying to monitor their customers for signs of 582 00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:48,800 Speaker 1: problem gambling. Here's fandual CEO Amy how again, I have 583 00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 1: a compliance team of well over a hundred people. This 584 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,720 Speaker 1: focus on everything from risky play to to anti money laundering. 585 00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:59,480 Speaker 1: I've got clear metrics and targets. So my entire organization 586 00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:02,680 Speaker 1: is entered based on making sure that we're not just 587 00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 1: developing the products to be able to let consumers manage 588 00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:10,959 Speaker 1: within appropriate limits, but they were really driving those numbers flutter. 589 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,960 Speaker 1: CEO Peter Jackson sums that up simply, we want to 590 00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:17,640 Speaker 1: make sure that our customers can have some fun, but 591 00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:21,120 Speaker 1: actually when the fund stops, we want them to stop betting. 592 00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:24,040 Speaker 1: And Peter says he takes responsibility for the fact that 593 00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:27,080 Speaker 1: it's not all on the gambler to stop betting. The 594 00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,160 Speaker 1: onus isn't on the customer, is a lot of it's 595 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:32,120 Speaker 1: on us. We can see how much time someone's spending 596 00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:35,120 Speaker 1: on our site. We can see their patterns of play. 597 00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,760 Speaker 1: If someone's been depositing a hundred dollars a month and 598 00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:41,040 Speaker 1: suddenly they put five hundred dollars in and suddenly they 599 00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:43,880 Speaker 1: put two thousand dollars in. We need to be on 600 00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 1: red alert. And actually it doesn't matter how much money 601 00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:50,200 Speaker 1: people have. If people are spending a huge amount of 602 00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:53,440 Speaker 1: time on our site and they hadn't in the past, 603 00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:56,360 Speaker 1: that's also something we need to be really thoughtful about 604 00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:59,160 Speaker 1: as well. So there's lots of signals and signs that 605 00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:03,760 Speaker 1: we look for in terms of our customers on our platform. Well, well, 606 00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:06,480 Speaker 1: then reach out and engage in talk talk customers to 607 00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:09,440 Speaker 1: check their okay. I want to take Amy and Peter's 608 00:34:09,480 --> 00:34:12,560 Speaker 1: responses here at face value, but there's a long history 609 00:34:12,560 --> 00:34:15,879 Speaker 1: of companies peddling vice who claim to be concerned about 610 00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,439 Speaker 1: the impact of what they sell and then can't really 611 00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:22,120 Speaker 1: knuckle down and change their behavior. The tobacco industry comes 612 00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:25,160 Speaker 1: to mind. I also wonder how much of their valuable 613 00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:29,200 Speaker 1: corporate resources they really want to spend looking after wayward gamblers. 614 00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:33,600 Speaker 1: FanDuel's website does offer a nifty tools for setting limits 615 00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:36,880 Speaker 1: on wagers, but the onus certainly is on the customer 616 00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:40,440 Speaker 1: to take advantage of them. Gamblers themselves are required to 617 00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:44,280 Speaker 1: set the limits. FanDuel stays out of the way After 618 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:46,560 Speaker 1: I signed up as a FanDuel newbie for this story, 619 00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:50,240 Speaker 1: the company flooded my inbox, encouraging me to do anything 620 00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:53,359 Speaker 1: but set limits on my gambling. I was offered lots 621 00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:56,799 Speaker 1: of exclusives and free bets. I may not be the 622 00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,839 Speaker 1: sharpest gambler in the world, but I also know there's 623 00:34:59,880 --> 00:35:02,359 Speaker 1: no oh such thing as a free bet, and I'm 624 00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,880 Speaker 1: just a gambling voyeur. For others more attached to their betting, 625 00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:10,600 Speaker 1: fan Duel, Draft Kings and other companies, persistent messaging might 626 00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:15,600 Speaker 1: encourage something that becomes much more life shattering. Fortunately, my 627 00:35:15,680 --> 00:35:18,920 Speaker 1: new friend Blair is not in that category. I sincerely 628 00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:21,440 Speaker 1: hope he stays in the safe zone and continues to 629 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:23,720 Speaker 1: have fun and make some good money on the side, 630 00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:27,000 Speaker 1: because it really is fun to watch him in action. 631 00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:31,120 Speaker 1: After the break, Blair and I will crack open some beers, 632 00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:34,480 Speaker 1: dig into some pretzels and cheese dip, and over analyze 633 00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:37,120 Speaker 1: some games, all in the hopes of making a little 634 00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:44,879 Speaker 1: bit of money. We'll be right back. Let's go back 635 00:35:44,920 --> 00:35:47,160 Speaker 1: to that Dodgers Mets game Blair was betting on at 636 00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:50,400 Speaker 1: the beginning of this episode. Get through. Oh Let's go, 637 00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:56,120 Speaker 1: Oh my god, Oh my God. It's unbelievable, all right. Now, 638 00:35:56,160 --> 00:35:58,840 Speaker 1: this baseball game is very important to me. Here's the 639 00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:03,120 Speaker 1: bet Blair made for two fifty dollars. He chose the 640 00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:06,280 Speaker 1: winner of three baseball games that day and one player 641 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:09,560 Speaker 1: who would hit a home run in each one of them. 642 00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:12,920 Speaker 1: By the third game, his bed is still alive. He 643 00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:16,719 Speaker 1: just needs one more player to hit a homer, but 644 00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:19,760 Speaker 1: it's never that easy. By the end of the ninth inning, 645 00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:23,880 Speaker 1: his guy, a Dodger named Freddie Freeman, still hasn't delivered 646 00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:27,920 Speaker 1: the goods. Then the game goes into extra innings. Blair's 647 00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:31,040 Speaker 1: hopes are kept alive. As a better I could not 648 00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,799 Speaker 1: be asking for a better situation right now. It's an 649 00:36:34,200 --> 00:36:36,200 Speaker 1: extreme long shot that he hits a home run to 650 00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 1: win the game, you know, on the bottom of tenth, 651 00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:40,400 Speaker 1: But I have a chance, which again, he's all I'm 652 00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:44,200 Speaker 1: asking for. So now, Freddie Freeman is a Mets are beating, 653 00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:47,799 Speaker 1: leading the Dodgers five to four, and Blair would love 654 00:36:47,800 --> 00:36:50,839 Speaker 1: for Freddie Freeman a walk off home run that would 655 00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:56,480 Speaker 1: be worth sixty dollars to Blair. Of course, he slings 656 00:36:56,600 --> 00:37:00,920 Speaker 1: the first pitch that's disappointing and grounds out. Yeah. Well, 657 00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:05,120 Speaker 1: it's not by any means over um, but it would 658 00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:08,320 Speaker 1: realistically probably have to go two mornings for him to 659 00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:10,799 Speaker 1: get another right bad I'm honestly pretty surprised he swung 660 00:37:10,840 --> 00:37:14,680 Speaker 1: at the first pitch. Ever, the optimist Blair saying it's 661 00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:18,080 Speaker 1: not over until it's over, and even when it is over, 662 00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:21,000 Speaker 1: he's hedged enough that he still has a chance to 663 00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:23,640 Speaker 1: make money off the game. Wow, he struck him out 664 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:30,600 Speaker 1: games over employer. So I'm not upset about it. I'm 665 00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:33,279 Speaker 1: not upset about it by any means. I'll take that 666 00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:37,279 Speaker 1: all day long. But he sounds pretty dejected and he's 667 00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:40,480 Speaker 1: thinking aloud about what might have been. I had a 668 00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:44,640 Speaker 1: chance for my guy to do what I needed him 669 00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:47,960 Speaker 1: to do, to literally end the game and win my 670 00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:50,560 Speaker 1: bet in the bottom of the tenth inning. So it's again, 671 00:37:50,560 --> 00:37:53,520 Speaker 1: those are good scenarios. That means I had a long odds, 672 00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:56,360 Speaker 1: right long odds, but a good scenario, and you have 673 00:37:56,520 --> 00:38:00,319 Speaker 1: to find yourself, like I almost picked this guy trade 674 00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:02,600 Speaker 1: Turner to home run today, and he did. I ended 675 00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:05,560 Speaker 1: upon with Freeman because the starting pitcher for the Mets 676 00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:09,680 Speaker 1: was statistically worse against lefties than he is against righties, 677 00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:12,319 Speaker 1: so I went with Freeman over Turner, and of course 678 00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:13,879 Speaker 1: Turner was the one that you know, you know, we're 679 00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:18,000 Speaker 1: on the first inning too, So unfortunately just picked the 680 00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:21,880 Speaker 1: wrong guy. Even if he's disappointed, Lair takes comfort in 681 00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:23,759 Speaker 1: the fact that he's in it for the long haul. 682 00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:26,759 Speaker 1: My theory a lot of the time is just live 683 00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:31,200 Speaker 1: to fight another day, because you cannot beat sports betting. 684 00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:36,160 Speaker 1: There's always gonna be another game, another match, whatever, it's 685 00:38:36,160 --> 00:38:38,880 Speaker 1: always going to be there, and what you're trying to 686 00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:42,040 Speaker 1: do ultimately is just it's just just keep making money 687 00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:45,600 Speaker 1: and keep profiting off of this stuff. And you've got 688 00:38:45,600 --> 00:38:48,600 Speaker 1: to understand that you're gonna get to the last leg 689 00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:51,000 Speaker 1: of parlays a decent amount of time and that's gonna 690 00:38:51,040 --> 00:38:53,320 Speaker 1: be the one that you were wrong on and it sucks. 691 00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:56,000 Speaker 1: So if you take your win, you take your cash 692 00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,759 Speaker 1: out and hedge, you move on. There's nothing wrong with that. 693 00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:01,319 Speaker 1: You just keep building your bank roll, pay off a bill, 694 00:39:01,440 --> 00:39:03,400 Speaker 1: go on a vacation, you know, something like that, go 695 00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:06,040 Speaker 1: out to dinner with your your spouse, your significant other. 696 00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:08,880 Speaker 1: There's nothing wrong with that at all. But that's hard, 697 00:39:09,680 --> 00:39:12,600 Speaker 1: especially because so much of gambling is a solitary pursuit. 698 00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:15,480 Speaker 1: Sarah says she wishes she could help Lair with some 699 00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:17,960 Speaker 1: of his research so they could work on this together, 700 00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:20,440 Speaker 1: but Blair really needs to keep it all in his 701 00:39:20,520 --> 00:39:23,839 Speaker 1: own head. His friends are supportive and try to bet 702 00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:27,640 Speaker 1: with him, but they also don't really get it. I'll 703 00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:31,680 Speaker 1: do it with my friends, and my friends will participate, 704 00:39:32,800 --> 00:39:35,640 Speaker 1: but they'll mostly just take whatever it is that I 705 00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:38,800 Speaker 1: did and then put significantly less money on it, and 706 00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:40,239 Speaker 1: then when the game's going on, they might not even 707 00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:42,520 Speaker 1: be paying attention in the sense that I am. And 708 00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:44,360 Speaker 1: if you watching a guy miss a three pointer in 709 00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:46,000 Speaker 1: the first quarter and be like furious, and they're like, 710 00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:47,239 Speaker 1: what's the big deal, it's the first quarter. I'm like, 711 00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:49,000 Speaker 1: because he's only gonna shoot two more. I needed to 712 00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:51,520 Speaker 1: make two and now he's got to go and they're 713 00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:55,960 Speaker 1: like what. That's what prop betting specifically will do to you. 714 00:39:55,960 --> 00:40:00,719 Speaker 1: You will pay attention to the dumbest and the tiniest 715 00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:04,879 Speaker 1: little details that will impact your bet at some point 716 00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:06,880 Speaker 1: throughout the game, and it will change the way that 717 00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:09,840 Speaker 1: you feel about certain players because they'll miss a layup, 718 00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:12,400 Speaker 1: or they'll drop a pass in the end zone or something, 719 00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:16,080 Speaker 1: and you're just like like, like, what's wrong with you? 720 00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:19,160 Speaker 1: You know? But in reality, like they're humans, they're gonna 721 00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:22,960 Speaker 1: make mistakes. But it's hard not to get frustrated when 722 00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:25,760 Speaker 1: stuff like that happens. I laughed to myself as player 723 00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:28,720 Speaker 1: told me this, but I wouldn't truly understand until later 724 00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:31,840 Speaker 1: when I had my own bet on the line. You see, 725 00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,400 Speaker 1: I had the Fan Duel app open for most of 726 00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:38,040 Speaker 1: the weekend watching the lines along with Blair, and Fan 727 00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:41,080 Speaker 1: Duel kept nudging me. I just got a reality check 728 00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:44,200 Speaker 1: from my Fan Duel app saying, we're glad you're enjoying 729 00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:47,200 Speaker 1: FanDuel Sports Book. Just so you know, you've been playing 730 00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:50,759 Speaker 1: for thirty three minutes. You have wagered zero dollars since 731 00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:54,280 Speaker 1: you logged in. Okay, So I do get the feeling 732 00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:56,840 Speaker 1: that the app is getting mad at me. Isn't this 733 00:40:56,920 --> 00:40:58,920 Speaker 1: the company that was telling me they wanted to make 734 00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:02,000 Speaker 1: sure I went about this nice and easy. Well, they 735 00:41:02,040 --> 00:41:04,319 Speaker 1: sure made it easy for me since it was my 736 00:41:04,360 --> 00:41:07,360 Speaker 1: first prop bet. They gave me twenty five dollars to wager. 737 00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:11,360 Speaker 1: So during the Warriors Celtics playoff game, I put it 738 00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:14,280 Speaker 1: on one of their promotions, what they call a boost bet. 739 00:41:15,040 --> 00:41:18,239 Speaker 1: I bet that Steph Curry and Jayson Tatum would each 740 00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:22,040 Speaker 1: score over thirty points during the game. At first, I 741 00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:25,080 Speaker 1: was really proud of myself. I thought I would nail it. 742 00:41:25,400 --> 00:41:28,160 Speaker 1: You're a pretty good shape on that boost. Bet, you're 743 00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:30,560 Speaker 1: really good shape. Yeah. I think he's a twenty now 744 00:41:31,280 --> 00:41:34,840 Speaker 1: and uh Tatum's got twenty one. I mean, in a 745 00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:37,480 Speaker 1: close game, Steph Curry needs ten points and Jayson Tatum 746 00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:41,280 Speaker 1: needs nine. You're in a You're in a good spot. 747 00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:47,759 Speaker 1: Step Crey to sport game. Good job, Steph. See I've 748 00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:52,279 Speaker 1: now got a different relationship to this game. Yeah. Now 749 00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:55,200 Speaker 1: you paying attention to it differently. You can feel it right, Yeah, 750 00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:57,360 Speaker 1: totally where he's like in a normal game, you'd like, 751 00:41:57,400 --> 00:41:59,879 Speaker 1: oh wheriors are up twelve. You know this is great? 752 00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:05,080 Speaker 1: Missed the lay up. Then all of a sudden, the 753 00:42:05,120 --> 00:42:09,320 Speaker 1: game turned into a blowout. The Warriors began pounding the Celtics. 754 00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:13,239 Speaker 1: Blair spotted that development right away before I even knew 755 00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:16,719 Speaker 1: what it meant. Blows is where all the parleys where 756 00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:22,240 Speaker 1: they all go to die? All parley's even my parley. Yep. 757 00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:26,280 Speaker 1: Although Steph Curry needed just one more point and Jayson 758 00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:28,560 Speaker 1: Tatum needed just two from I bet to pay off 759 00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:32,160 Speaker 1: the blowout met their coaches might take them off the court. 760 00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:36,959 Speaker 1: What I wouldn't be surprised if Tatum, if this gets 761 00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:40,520 Speaker 1: to like points that he won't come back in and 762 00:42:40,520 --> 00:42:43,520 Speaker 1: then you're like, wow, he needed three points for a 763 00:42:43,640 --> 00:42:46,120 Speaker 1: quarter and a half and he couldn't get it, and 764 00:42:46,200 --> 00:42:50,000 Speaker 1: he just missed a free throw, which is unusual, which 765 00:42:50,040 --> 00:42:52,919 Speaker 1: is making me mad and it should right like it's 766 00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:59,439 Speaker 1: it's it's very frustrated. At this point, it wasn't hard 767 00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:02,280 Speaker 1: for our minds to go cynical, and we started questioning 768 00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:05,960 Speaker 1: FanDuel's motives and offering this particular boost. Did they know 769 00:43:06,040 --> 00:43:08,600 Speaker 1: it was going to be a blowout, because this sort 770 00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:13,160 Speaker 1: of thing with the boost happens all the time. All 771 00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:16,600 Speaker 1: the time. We're like, you're right there, and all of 772 00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:20,960 Speaker 1: a sudden, something weird happens and then it just doesn't finish. Wow. Really, 773 00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,520 Speaker 1: So it's common for boosts not to pay, like right 774 00:43:23,560 --> 00:43:25,560 Speaker 1: at the edge, it's common for them not to hit. 775 00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:28,040 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I mean I get it is common for 776 00:43:28,080 --> 00:43:30,480 Speaker 1: them not to hit, except presumably they wouldn't be offered 777 00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:33,080 Speaker 1: that much. But the thing is that they come right 778 00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:34,879 Speaker 1: up to the edge of it, and then they don't hit. 779 00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:38,120 Speaker 1: We weren't the only ones moaning about how close we got. 780 00:43:38,600 --> 00:43:41,719 Speaker 1: The next day, Pat McAfee brought up that exact same 781 00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:45,680 Speaker 1: parlay on his popular gambling show. McAfee has developed such 782 00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:49,360 Speaker 1: a close following that Banduel reportedly pays him thirty million 783 00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:52,920 Speaker 1: dollars a year just to gab about gambling and fan 784 00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:56,360 Speaker 1: duel representatives go on a show the morning after I 785 00:43:56,400 --> 00:43:59,600 Speaker 1: lost my parlay, he had fan duels. Top odds maker 786 00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:03,279 Speaker 1: John Shearon onto chat, let's just get right into it. 787 00:44:03,360 --> 00:44:07,440 Speaker 1: Last night's boost yea Tatum and Steph to both score thirty? 788 00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:10,960 Speaker 1: How many did Steff have after three quarters? How many 789 00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:14,120 Speaker 1: did Tatum have after three quarters? How many minutes did 790 00:44:14,120 --> 00:44:17,160 Speaker 1: they play in the fourth quarter combined? Zero? How did 791 00:44:17,160 --> 00:44:22,520 Speaker 1: you know? How? How did you know? John? We just 792 00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:24,440 Speaker 1: have a direct line step side. It will be over 793 00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:30,160 Speaker 1: after three quarters and you wouldn't see him again. People. Well, 794 00:44:30,200 --> 00:44:33,200 Speaker 1: I'm not seeing fan duel fix that, bet. I really 795 00:44:33,239 --> 00:44:36,040 Speaker 1: don't think there's any chance that they bribed Katum, Curry 796 00:44:36,160 --> 00:44:39,200 Speaker 1: or their coaches. That's why McAfee and Sharon could joke 797 00:44:39,239 --> 00:44:42,000 Speaker 1: about it now. But whenever you see something like that happened, 798 00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:44,920 Speaker 1: I assume you guys are ecstatic. You would have to 799 00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:48,399 Speaker 1: be whenever the fourth quarter starting, and it's like, neither 800 00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:52,000 Speaker 1: the guys are playing. Oh, isn't that we perfectly put 801 00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:55,319 Speaker 1: this is the perfect boost right there. Third Like that's 802 00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:58,840 Speaker 1: dream for the book, right for that to happen. Honestly 803 00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:01,120 Speaker 1: it is. But like that's not the way that we 804 00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:08,560 Speaker 1: try and think about. We're not sitting there looking to 805 00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:10,880 Speaker 1: try and you know win. All of these boots boosts 806 00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:13,520 Speaker 1: are offered honestly, you know, with genuine good faith. We 807 00:45:13,520 --> 00:45:15,040 Speaker 1: want people have a good experience. I want to give 808 00:45:15,080 --> 00:45:18,560 Speaker 1: them a bit of value. So Fan Duel wasn't manipulating anything. 809 00:45:19,120 --> 00:45:21,560 Speaker 1: All of us gamblers just had bad luck on that one. 810 00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:24,200 Speaker 1: But it did get me thinking about the perils of 811 00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:26,880 Speaker 1: match fixing and about a series of interviews I had 812 00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:30,360 Speaker 1: done earlier in the spring. Next episode, we'll bring you 813 00:45:30,440 --> 00:45:34,520 Speaker 1: that story, the rise of gambling and match fixing. For now, 814 00:45:34,840 --> 00:45:37,239 Speaker 1: I'm still stewing about the hundred and fifty bucks I 815 00:45:37,239 --> 00:45:41,160 Speaker 1: missed out on. Blair, of course, was much more successful. 816 00:45:41,680 --> 00:45:44,960 Speaker 1: Sure he missed out on the sixty three dollar Baseball 817 00:45:45,000 --> 00:45:48,120 Speaker 1: Parley pay out, but in our two days together he 818 00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:51,640 Speaker 1: netted close to two thousand dollars. That's not bad for 819 00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:56,400 Speaker 1: a weekend of watching sports. Tomorrow is another day. Tomorrow's 820 00:45:56,400 --> 00:46:00,840 Speaker 1: another day, and there's hockey, and there's probably some random 821 00:46:00,880 --> 00:46:04,800 Speaker 1: bottom to your tennis matches, and I bet you there's 822 00:46:05,320 --> 00:46:10,320 Speaker 1: twelve baseball games or something. So there's plenty of stuff 823 00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:12,640 Speaker 1: that there's going to be action on, that's for sure. 824 00:46:23,040 --> 00:46:28,560 Speaker 1: Here at Crash Course, we believe the collisions can be messy, impressive, challenging, surprising, 825 00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:33,279 Speaker 1: and always instructive. In today's Crash Course, I learned that 826 00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:35,320 Speaker 1: we are in the very early stages of a huge 827 00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:40,080 Speaker 1: boom that's transforming sports media and the way that people gamble, 828 00:46:40,680 --> 00:46:43,120 Speaker 1: and that the only people who should be gambling lots 829 00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:45,640 Speaker 1: of money a lot of the time are the ones 830 00:46:45,680 --> 00:46:48,799 Speaker 1: who are actually good at it. What did you learn? 831 00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:51,319 Speaker 1: We'd love to hear from you. You can tweet at 832 00:46:51,320 --> 00:46:55,319 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Opinion handle at Opinion or me at Tim 833 00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:59,799 Speaker 1: O'Brien using the hashtag Bloomberg Crash Course. You can also 834 00:47:00,000 --> 00:47:02,960 Speaker 1: subscribed to our show wherever you're listening right now and 835 00:47:03,040 --> 00:47:05,880 Speaker 1: leave us a review. It helps more people find the show. 836 00:47:06,680 --> 00:47:10,279 Speaker 1: This episode was produced by the Indispensable Anamazarakis and me 837 00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:14,680 Speaker 1: are supervising producers Magnus Hendrickson, and we had editing help 838 00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:20,040 Speaker 1: from Katie Boyce, Jed Sandberg, Jeff Grocott, Mikeniezza, Samantha Story 839 00:47:20,320 --> 00:47:23,680 Speaker 1: and Christine Van den Bilart. Blake Maples does our sound 840 00:47:23,680 --> 00:47:27,919 Speaker 1: engineering and our original theme song was composed by Luis Kara. 841 00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:32,319 Speaker 1: I'm Tim O'Brien and this has been crash course. Check 842 00:47:32,360 --> 00:47:35,320 Speaker 1: your feed for the next episode in our gambling series 843 00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:36,560 Speaker 1: about match fixing.