WEBVTT - Buck Brief - What Happened to Biden's 6 Million Votes

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<v Speaker 1>Hey guys, welcome to the Buck Brief. On this episode,

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<v Speaker 1>Ryan Gradusky back in the mixed National Populist newsletter is

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<v Speaker 1>his sub stack plus very exciting announcement here on the program,

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<v Speaker 1>Ryan is joining the Klanbuck podcast network next year with

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<v Speaker 1>the show it's called It's.

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<v Speaker 2>A Numbers Game with Ryan Gardusky. I'm very excited. Thank

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<v Speaker 2>you for letting me in on your Marvel universe of

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<v Speaker 2>podcast hosts.

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<v Speaker 1>It'll be awesome. That's right, we got, we got Ryan,

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<v Speaker 1>Carol Tutor, Sean Parnell. Great great stuff going on there.

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<v Speaker 1>But let's since it's a numbers game, talk me. Talk

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<v Speaker 1>me through this number. The seven million votes that Biden

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<v Speaker 1>got in twenty twenty that we are now at one point,

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<v Speaker 1>it was fifteen million, right, but they had to count

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<v Speaker 1>California and a few other places. But it's seven millions a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of votes. And Trump went up a couple million

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<v Speaker 1>from twenty twenty two, Kamala dropped seven million. What can

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<v Speaker 1>you tell us about this gap? Because people got questions,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of questions right right now.

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<v Speaker 2>I get it, I mean, I get the questions. I

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<v Speaker 2>was actually looking for the exact number as of today,

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<v Speaker 2>the exactly because they just threw in, you know, two

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<v Speaker 2>hundred and fifty thousand votes from New York that it

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<v Speaker 2>was delayed in counting. So right now Trump is seventy

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<v Speaker 2>seven point one nine three million votes, Kamala Harris is

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<v Speaker 2>seventy four point nine million, so she's about seventy five

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<v Speaker 2>and he's about seventy seven point two. Biden got eighty

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<v Speaker 2>one point two, so she's about six point two million under. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>what that's a lot of voats, that's a lot of votes.

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<v Speaker 2>It was at one point fifteen million. As you said,

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<v Speaker 2>blue states are very slow accounting the votes, so it

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<v Speaker 2>was going to get lower and lower. But there's really

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<v Speaker 2>nothing left to count unless they pull out a big

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<v Speaker 2>number out like New Jersey or whatever. But I think

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<v Speaker 2>they certified New Jersey. So where you see the drop,

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<v Speaker 2>the tremendous drop in votes is in places like New York,

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<v Speaker 2>New Jersey, California, These very very blue states, Georgia, Michigan,

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<v Speaker 2>North Carolina, Florida, Texas, Arizona, Big surgeon voting, Big surgeon

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<v Speaker 2>New voting. So what Washington State and Oregon you dropped Portland,

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<v Speaker 2>you drop out of the city of Portland, and in

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<v Speaker 2>the early vote going into election day, you saw Portland

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<v Speaker 2>was not showing up. So what it says to me

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<v Speaker 2>is two things. One, it was a big drop of

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<v Speaker 2>minorities turning up. The reason I thought that Trump was

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<v Speaker 2>probably gonna win at seven thirty on election night was

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<v Speaker 2>the minority vote. The Black vote, which is usually thirteen

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<v Speaker 2>percent of the national vote, was eleven percent, two percent dropage. Overall,

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<v Speaker 2>Hispanic vote was usually thirteen percent. I think it was

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<v Speaker 2>a twelve percent. And the white vote had actually climbed

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<v Speaker 2>three to four points of the overall national vote. If

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<v Speaker 2>you look at where the votes were coming from, it's

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<v Speaker 2>in these very, very blue states. So two things may

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<v Speaker 2>have happened. One, they left the states during COVID and

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<v Speaker 2>they never registered to vote, which is very very possible

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<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty, they moved out of New York, New Jersey

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<v Speaker 2>and California when these draconian laws were happening, they didn't vote,

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<v Speaker 2>or the access to early easy voting with mail and

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<v Speaker 2>voters propelled a lot of the vote that didn't shop

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<v Speaker 2>the second time or lastly, a lot of minorities. And

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<v Speaker 2>this is what the New York Times Nate com is

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<v Speaker 2>saying today. The minorities who were most likely to vote

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<v Speaker 2>for Donald Trump didn't show up. So I think there

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<v Speaker 2>was the black voters on like sixty six percent of

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<v Speaker 2>blacks who wanted to vote for Trump, or sixty people

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<v Speaker 2>blacks who did not vote wanted to overcome with thirty

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<v Speaker 2>four percent want to vote for Trump, so one in

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<v Speaker 2>three versus sixteen percent that they got nationally, and feeling conflicted,

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<v Speaker 2>they chose the couch. I think that I really do

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<v Speaker 2>believe that they're because the idea that Trump was this

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<v Speaker 2>existential crisis that they had been propelling and pushing for years.

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<v Speaker 2>And we'd had four years from being president, and you know,

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<v Speaker 2>we didn't get involved in World War Three, and you know,

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<v Speaker 2>everyone didn't go into interming camps and all these lies

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<v Speaker 2>the Democrats had for all these years. I think a

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<v Speaker 2>lot of people were okay with Trump being president, even

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<v Speaker 2>if they didn't like him, and they didn't show up.

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<v Speaker 2>But they didn't come out of swing states. They didn't

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<v Speaker 2>come out of Michigan or Pennsylvania or Georgia. And it

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<v Speaker 2>wasn't like any of the states that were responsible for

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<v Speaker 2>giving Biden to seventy saw this dipping pulling voting. They

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<v Speaker 2>all actually saw a surgeon voting. I think that it

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<v Speaker 2>was a combination maybe of all three things.

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<v Speaker 1>So the number six point two million, Kamala underperformed the

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<v Speaker 1>white working class vote in the Swing States. What can

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<v Speaker 1>we say about the role that that played?

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<v Speaker 2>Now, well, it was very big. But I think the

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<v Speaker 2>bigger question is is, and we're going to know more

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<v Speaker 2>as time goes on, was how if you look at

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<v Speaker 2>if you look at Hillary Hillary.

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<v Speaker 1>Can John banjes the better question? Better question? Why did

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<v Speaker 1>Trump win the Swing States by the numbers?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, there's so if you look at AP vote cast, right,

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<v Speaker 2>which is the best source we have so far on

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<v Speaker 2>all the data in the Swing States. One, Republicans did

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<v Speaker 2>an amazing job of registering voters for the last four years.

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<v Speaker 2>In Pennsylvania they reduced number by like four hundred thousand.

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<v Speaker 2>In Arizona it was like a quarter of a million.

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<v Speaker 2>They worked for four years, actually enrolled registering new Republicans

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<v Speaker 2>in states that had registered Republicans. One, the female vote

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<v Speaker 2>was not this month mon like monstrosity towards Harris Like.

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<v Speaker 2>It wasn't this tidal wave of female support that. But

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<v Speaker 2>you know what, the polls never said that. The media

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<v Speaker 2>said that, But the polling literally never had her at

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<v Speaker 2>a bigger point with women and Hillary or Biden. She

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<v Speaker 2>was always in performing, but she underperformed even what the

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<v Speaker 2>polls were saying. She lost. She won women by six points.

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<v Speaker 2>The polling had her winning women by ten or eleven

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<v Speaker 2>versus Hillary is like fourteen. So she underperforming women was

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<v Speaker 2>a big, big, big part of it. The polls were

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<v Speaker 2>dead right when it came to minorities. I mean they

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<v Speaker 2>hit almost exactly where they said then already vote would

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<v Speaker 2>be was actually what showed up. They were off on

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<v Speaker 2>the youth vote. Young voters did show up for Trump

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<v Speaker 2>in a very big way. Young women showed up for

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<v Speaker 2>Trump in a bigger way than people think. Over forty

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<v Speaker 2>percent of young women voted for Trump, which they did

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<v Speaker 2>not expect. I did not expect. And the senior vote,

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<v Speaker 2>which I talked about a lot, Trump wonted, Trump wanted,

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<v Speaker 2>didn't win it by five or four points, but he

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<v Speaker 2>won it by three. Polster said he was going to

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<v Speaker 2>lose it by six, so he didn't lose too much

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<v Speaker 2>ground with senior citizens. We're going to get more data

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<v Speaker 2>on that later on, especially as retired communities are coming in.

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<v Speaker 2>But he didn't lose that much support with them. He won.

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<v Speaker 2>He gained support in the suburbs, he gained support among minorities,

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<v Speaker 2>and he gained support among women. And I think that

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<v Speaker 2>a combination. And he didn't he didn't lose anything with

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<v Speaker 2>the white working class and didn't lose anything with the

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<v Speaker 2>college educated white voters. So I think all of those,

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, those were the That's why he won. That's

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<v Speaker 2>why he got within six That and the drop of

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<v Speaker 2>Democrats support in Democratic states is why he came within

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<v Speaker 2>five points in New Jersey. Is why you won all

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<v Speaker 2>seven swing states. It's why he's within two points in

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<v Speaker 2>Minnesota and New Hampshire. I mean, and you know what

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<v Speaker 2>is incredible when you think about it, if Joe Biden

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<v Speaker 2>had been the nominee as things had progressed and how

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<v Speaker 2>bad as he got mentally, there's no question that New

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<v Speaker 2>York would have been, you know, within a few monks.

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<v Speaker 2>I think that New Jersey would have been Republican. I

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<v Speaker 2>think that Minnesota would have been republican. New Hampshire in

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<v Speaker 2>republican Virginia and New Mexico. I think that you would

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<v Speaker 2>have seen a cataclysmic election day result that is even

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<v Speaker 2>worse than how combol it did.

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<v Speaker 1>But I want to ask you when we come back

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<v Speaker 1>here from our sponsor in a second, what the who

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<v Speaker 1>is the leader of the Democrat resistance or what do

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<v Speaker 1>you think that's going to look like going into the

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<v Speaker 1>beginning of Trump's term? You know, who are the people

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<v Speaker 1>that are waiting to sort of step in as the

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<v Speaker 1>big guns, if you will, of the Democrat Party. But

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<v Speaker 1>first up our sponsor's wide mote research here. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty sixteen, Brad Thomas was tapped to become an

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<v Speaker 1>advisor to President Trump because he's an expert in the

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<v Speaker 1>world's largest asset, an asset that's bigger than stocks and

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<v Speaker 1>as Trump takes the White House. You gotta move though

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0:09:04.297 --> 0:09:09.057
<v Speaker 1>wide Mote Research. Is it going to be nominee AOC

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty eight? Take out the crystal ball? Who's because

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<v Speaker 1>here's me. Let me just preface this a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>I think Obama did a lot of damage. And I

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<v Speaker 1>know Joe Rogan spoke about this, but I think Obama

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<v Speaker 1>Obama did a lot of damage to his brand among

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<v Speaker 1>sort of center and central left people with the whole

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<v Speaker 1>very fine people lie that he tried against Trump. At

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<v Speaker 1>the end, it's just a lie. And Obama's a smart guy.

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<v Speaker 1>He knows it's a lie. He didn't care. He just

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<v Speaker 1>tried to smear Trump. So he's not above it at all.

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<v Speaker 1>I never thought he was. But Obama's not above the

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<v Speaker 1>most you know, obvious and gross lies, and he can't

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<v Speaker 1>run again, I think finally, unless some boomers start yelling

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<v Speaker 1>at me for this, I don't think Michelle Obama's running.

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<v Speaker 1>That's not happening.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think Michelle Obama will ever do another political

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<v Speaker 2>event again. Yeah, I'll ever speak another DNC. I don't

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<v Speaker 2>think she will ever do anything political ever again.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. The people who've been saying that you know that

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<v Speaker 1>she's not interested, we were.

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<v Speaker 3>Toed, we were we were tard and feather for telling

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<v Speaker 3>people that you're that she would not be the nominee

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<v Speaker 3>and some other political commentators on the right word where

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<v Speaker 3>they were burning that flame for.

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<v Speaker 2>A long time.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh that is true. So here's what I want to know.

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<v Speaker 1>Who steps in? Who is? You know, you got these

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<v Speaker 1>people like Shift and that other guy, a Goldman who

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<v Speaker 1>are very big and kind of impeachment legal, Russia Trump stuff,

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<v Speaker 1>you know all this. They don't have it right. They

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<v Speaker 1>don't have any X factor, they don't have any national

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<v Speaker 1>level charisma. Is the list really Whitmer, Newsome, the stout

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<v Speaker 1>fellow from Illinois and you know who?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, Shapiro, Yeah, I think that one. The resistance

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<v Speaker 2>as it is looks a lot different than it did

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<v Speaker 2>in twenty sixteen. You're not seeing Democrats act the same way.

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<v Speaker 2>You're not seeing Democrats lose their minds so publicly as

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<v Speaker 2>they did there. I guess the nervous breakdowns are more

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<v Speaker 2>inside the house than outside in public. I don't know

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<v Speaker 2>if you're going to have another women's march where you know,

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<v Speaker 2>millions of women take to the streets. I think Trump

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<v Speaker 2>winning the popular vote really took the wind out of

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<v Speaker 2>their sales in a big, big way. They can say

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<v Speaker 2>it was an illegitimately elected president by their standards. Also,

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<v Speaker 2>there's thing called a Popular Vote Compact where these states

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<v Speaker 2>got together and said, who everyone's a popul vote, We're

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<v Speaker 2>going to give them all their electoral college votes. I

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<v Speaker 2>would love to see if they actually They include California

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<v Speaker 2>and New York. So let's see if they actually give

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<v Speaker 2>their electoral college votes to Donald Trump. But that's neither

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<v Speaker 2>here nor there. I think that when it comes to

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<v Speaker 2>the resistance or the next leadership, look look at Hillary's convention,

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<v Speaker 2>look at Biden's convention, and look at Harris's convention. When

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<v Speaker 2>you look at the way they approach the Democratic Party,

0:12:06.777 --> 0:12:10.337
<v Speaker 2>they really their goal has always been to win over

0:12:10.857 --> 0:12:16.057
<v Speaker 2>center right, independence, military people, moderates, They've they've made an

0:12:16.217 --> 0:12:20.577
<v Speaker 2>open gesture towards them, even if the party has been unhinged.

0:12:21.057 --> 0:12:22.937
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if that's going to happen anymore. I

0:12:22.977 --> 0:12:25.017
<v Speaker 2>don't think and this is what I truly think. I

0:12:25.057 --> 0:12:29.217
<v Speaker 2>don't think Democrats will nominate another woman to be president

0:12:29.457 --> 0:12:32.897
<v Speaker 2>for a very very long time. I just don't see

0:12:32.897 --> 0:12:35.137
<v Speaker 2>how that's going to happen at this point, given the

0:12:35.297 --> 0:12:39.137
<v Speaker 2>two the only two to lose, you know, I lose

0:12:39.177 --> 0:12:41.497
<v Speaker 2>to Trump or women. I just don't see that happening.

0:12:41.817 --> 0:12:43.977
<v Speaker 2>I don't think that Whitmer has it. I think Shapiro

0:12:43.977 --> 0:12:45.617
<v Speaker 2>is somebody to look out for. I think Wes Moore

0:12:45.697 --> 0:12:47.817
<v Speaker 2>or somebody to watch out for. I think Wes Moore

0:12:47.857 --> 0:12:50.497
<v Speaker 2>has a lot of what they're looking for. He's the

0:12:50.537 --> 0:12:55.217
<v Speaker 2>governor of Maryland right now. But it will be a

0:12:55.217 --> 0:12:59.937
<v Speaker 2>fight over the more sensibly approach Democrats, Democrats who actually

0:12:59.977 --> 0:13:02.017
<v Speaker 2>like look like they're normal, and then that like that

0:13:02.177 --> 0:13:06.057
<v Speaker 2>congressman from Texas, I forget her name now. She just

0:13:06.057 --> 0:13:08.937
<v Speaker 2>comes off as completely unhinged and nutty and screaming all

0:13:08.977 --> 0:13:12.297
<v Speaker 2>the time. She feeds the base like what Corey Bush

0:13:12.337 --> 0:13:16.057
<v Speaker 2>fed the base and but what the party wants is

0:13:16.097 --> 0:13:17.937
<v Speaker 2>a much different approach to it. But I would guess

0:13:17.937 --> 0:13:20.137
<v Speaker 2>a Wes Moore or a Jos Shapiro is who they're

0:13:20.137 --> 0:13:22.057
<v Speaker 2>going to turn their eyes to. There's not a lot

0:13:22.057 --> 0:13:24.937
<v Speaker 2>of senate talent and real least slock and I'm not

0:13:24.977 --> 0:13:27.337
<v Speaker 2>exactly sure there's not a ton of senate talent where

0:13:27.337 --> 0:13:28.617
<v Speaker 2>they're going to sit there and pull front.

0:13:29.217 --> 0:13:31.297
<v Speaker 1>I feel like this is we We've gone in a

0:13:31.337 --> 0:13:36.217
<v Speaker 1>couple of election cycles from which Democrat dynasty is going

0:13:36.297 --> 0:13:40.857
<v Speaker 1>to elbow out the other one to what Democrat dynasty

0:13:41.137 --> 0:13:43.417
<v Speaker 1>Like there really isn't one in the mix right now.

0:13:43.457 --> 0:13:47.337
<v Speaker 1>I mean RFK Junior is part of Trump world right right.

0:13:47.377 --> 0:13:49.777
<v Speaker 2>And you know the big the funny thing is, and

0:13:49.817 --> 0:13:53.017
<v Speaker 2>the interesting thing is is that there is like once

0:13:53.577 --> 0:13:56.177
<v Speaker 2>and you know, our buddy and cultises all the time,

0:13:56.297 --> 0:13:58.577
<v Speaker 2>once all the white men were phased out of the party,

0:13:58.617 --> 0:14:02.977
<v Speaker 2>that Joe Biden generation, the Nancy Pelosi generation, Senny Hoyers generation.

0:14:03.697 --> 0:14:08.617
<v Speaker 2>It is the craziest people left. There is not you know,

0:14:08.977 --> 0:14:12.177
<v Speaker 2>a normal one. There is not a power broker like

0:14:12.297 --> 0:14:16.377
<v Speaker 2>her their in their wings right now. I mean the

0:14:16.417 --> 0:14:19.737
<v Speaker 2>average voter would still say Nancy Pelosi leads the House Democrats,

0:14:19.777 --> 0:14:22.417
<v Speaker 2>and it's not Akeem Jefferies from New York. I mean,

0:14:22.457 --> 0:14:25.217
<v Speaker 2>no one really believes that Hakim is calling more shots

0:14:25.217 --> 0:14:28.537
<v Speaker 2>than Nancy is, and I think that that's evidence. So

0:14:28.577 --> 0:14:30.977
<v Speaker 2>I think that they don't have I think the reason,

0:14:31.017 --> 0:14:34.137
<v Speaker 2>like Nancy Pelosi is still around at eighty two, eighty

0:14:34.297 --> 0:14:37.617
<v Speaker 2>four years old and still calling all the shots is

0:14:37.657 --> 0:14:41.177
<v Speaker 2>there isn't a natural successor in the I don't think

0:14:41.217 --> 0:14:43.537
<v Speaker 2>that there is, and I don't Maybe there will be,

0:14:43.577 --> 0:14:44.817
<v Speaker 2>but I don't see it. And you know what, they

0:14:44.817 --> 0:14:47.217
<v Speaker 2>didn't like Obama that much either as being a quote

0:14:47.297 --> 0:14:50.377
<v Speaker 2>unquote successor because they had a lot of people from

0:14:51.137 --> 0:14:54.737
<v Speaker 2>the Chicago machine and machine Democrats running his White House

0:14:54.737 --> 0:14:58.577
<v Speaker 2>and his administration. They weren't like, they didn't think that

0:14:58.617 --> 0:15:00.177
<v Speaker 2>he was going to be the power broker. Could you

0:15:00.297 --> 0:15:02.817
<v Speaker 2>I read an article about this. Can you name one

0:15:02.897 --> 0:15:06.017
<v Speaker 2>thing politically Obama has done since leaving the White House?

0:15:06.697 --> 0:15:09.417
<v Speaker 1>No, not one he does.

0:15:09.537 --> 0:15:13.217
<v Speaker 2>He's all been about Netflix and documentaries and living. I mean, good,

0:15:13.217 --> 0:15:15.617
<v Speaker 2>good for him. He's making money. You have a nice life.

0:15:16.497 --> 0:15:20.657
<v Speaker 2>But his legacy is pretty horrendous. When you really look

0:15:20.697 --> 0:15:24.817
<v Speaker 2>back at the political legacy of Barack Obama after his

0:15:24.937 --> 0:15:27.337
<v Speaker 2>first two years when he got Obamacare and everything through.

0:15:29.177 --> 0:15:32.257
<v Speaker 2>You have the downfall the Democratic Party where they lost

0:15:32.257 --> 0:15:34.737
<v Speaker 2>a thousand legislative seats the House and the Senate, the

0:15:34.777 --> 0:15:38.857
<v Speaker 2>election of Donald Trump, I guess, the election of Joe Biden,

0:15:38.897 --> 0:15:42.617
<v Speaker 2>where he had some policy goals whatever, but it was

0:15:43.057 --> 0:15:46.897
<v Speaker 2>horribly unpopular. And then Kamala Harris, the woman that he

0:15:46.977 --> 0:15:50.297
<v Speaker 2>pushed Biden to pick a his VP, loses against Donald

0:15:50.337 --> 0:15:54.177
<v Speaker 2>Trump again, and Republicans have a trifector in Congress, and

0:15:54.257 --> 0:15:59.457
<v Speaker 2>Democrats have never been so leadershipless really going back to

0:15:59.577 --> 0:16:02.257
<v Speaker 2>like when Clinton was first running in the nineties.

0:16:02.537 --> 0:16:04.337
<v Speaker 1>Well, that's what I mean. It feels like you have

0:16:04.417 --> 0:16:08.017
<v Speaker 1>the most wide open Democrat field in my adult lifetime.

0:16:08.097 --> 0:16:09.697
<v Speaker 1>I've never seen anything like this. So that's why I

0:16:09.737 --> 0:16:13.657
<v Speaker 1>asked you question. It feels like Trump's, you know, Trump's agenda.

0:16:13.697 --> 0:16:15.537
<v Speaker 1>I mean, They've never never been in a better position

0:16:15.577 --> 0:16:19.297
<v Speaker 1>to make big gains and big changes. But right well

0:16:19.497 --> 0:16:19.937
<v Speaker 1>they can.

0:16:19.817 --> 0:16:21.697
<v Speaker 2>If they can do it, if they can do it,

0:16:21.737 --> 0:16:23.217
<v Speaker 2>and they can do it. But also I mean, like

0:16:23.737 --> 0:16:27.297
<v Speaker 2>there is we're in a moment right now where we're

0:16:27.377 --> 0:16:30.817
<v Speaker 2>at the last act of the Trump Show, Like this

0:16:30.897 --> 0:16:34.217
<v Speaker 2>is it like this is his last term. Hopefully he

0:16:34.377 --> 0:16:40.177
<v Speaker 2>I mean, he configured a electoral map that may ultimately

0:16:40.257 --> 0:16:42.617
<v Speaker 2>change politics in the same way that Richard Nixon did

0:16:42.617 --> 0:16:45.657
<v Speaker 2>in nineteen sixty eight when he brought Southern Democrats and

0:16:45.737 --> 0:16:49.497
<v Speaker 2>Neo Cohns and ethnic whites into the party. Trump Trump

0:16:49.537 --> 0:16:51.777
<v Speaker 2>did that in twenty twenty four, and if they're smart,

0:16:51.777 --> 0:16:53.377
<v Speaker 2>they can do it again and they can keep it

0:16:53.417 --> 0:16:57.857
<v Speaker 2>and grow the party in that In that fashion, Trump's

0:16:57.977 --> 0:17:00.377
<v Speaker 2>legacy to a large degree, is going to be made

0:17:00.417 --> 0:17:02.137
<v Speaker 2>in the next three and a half years. And then

0:17:02.217 --> 0:17:05.817
<v Speaker 2>once that's over, it's is an absence of what we

0:17:05.897 --> 0:17:08.177
<v Speaker 2>haven't had in twelve years. We will not have. We

0:17:08.217 --> 0:17:09.937
<v Speaker 2>will never have a man like Donald Trump run for

0:17:10.217 --> 0:17:12.297
<v Speaker 2>and again in our lifetimes, but we because he is

0:17:12.337 --> 0:17:17.377
<v Speaker 2>such a special individual figure. But the whole Trump Ethos

0:17:17.457 --> 0:17:21.137
<v Speaker 2>show is going to come to an end, and it

0:17:21.217 --> 0:17:24.497
<v Speaker 2>is a big question as to what follows, because I

0:17:24.497 --> 0:17:29.137
<v Speaker 2>would say seventy percent of Republicans in Congress are more

0:17:29.257 --> 0:17:33.137
<v Speaker 2>like George Bush Republicans than Donald Trump Republicans. We have

0:17:33.177 --> 0:17:36.697
<v Speaker 2>a great vice president, but we have a lot of

0:17:36.737 --> 0:17:40.497
<v Speaker 2>people who very much are like build the Wall. But

0:17:40.577 --> 0:17:43.057
<v Speaker 2>here's my George Bush bumper stick or over under my

0:17:43.177 --> 0:17:43.657
<v Speaker 2>Donald Trump.

0:17:43.937 --> 0:17:47.097
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, the party, you know, the sort of Cheney Bush

0:17:47.217 --> 0:17:51.377
<v Speaker 1>party might might have a resurgence anyway. Well, let's not

0:17:51.417 --> 0:17:53.977
<v Speaker 1>make everybody sad with that quite yet. Let's talk about

0:17:54.057 --> 0:17:56.377
<v Speaker 1>Eric Adams. Let's talk about Eric Adams in New York City.

0:17:56.377 --> 0:17:57.777
<v Speaker 1>What's going on there? But first up, you know, the

0:17:57.777 --> 0:18:00.977
<v Speaker 1>holidays can be especially difficult for children who've lost a

0:18:01.057 --> 0:18:03.417
<v Speaker 1>mother or father in the line of duty. When Sergeant

0:18:03.417 --> 0:18:06.057
<v Speaker 1>Stevens Plan suffered a heart attack while on fire duty,

0:18:06.417 --> 0:18:08.177
<v Speaker 1>you were there to lift his family during the Tunnel

0:18:08.217 --> 0:18:11.537
<v Speaker 1>the Towers Foundation Season of Hope. With your help, dozens

0:18:11.577 --> 0:18:13.497
<v Speaker 1>of families like his are receiving the gift of a

0:18:13.537 --> 0:18:16.937
<v Speaker 1>mortgage free home or a specially adapted smart home this

0:18:17.017 --> 0:18:20.017
<v Speaker 1>holiday season. Through Tunnel the Towers, heroes and their families

0:18:20.017 --> 0:18:22.057
<v Speaker 1>who have sacrificed so much for us are having the

0:18:22.097 --> 0:18:24.257
<v Speaker 1>burden of a mortgage lifted off their shoulders and a

0:18:24.297 --> 0:18:27.057
<v Speaker 1>place to call home. Your gift to the Foundation during

0:18:27.057 --> 0:18:29.937
<v Speaker 1>the Season of Hope maybe the most meaningful gift you

0:18:29.937 --> 0:18:33.217
<v Speaker 1>give this holiday season. Your kindness will bring help and

0:18:33.457 --> 0:18:37.177
<v Speaker 1>hope to heroes and their families who are so deserving

0:18:37.297 --> 0:18:39.977
<v Speaker 1>of our gratitude. And yes, they absolutely are doing it

0:18:40.057 --> 0:18:42.137
<v Speaker 1>eleven dollars a month. The TUNLT the towers at T

0:18:42.137 --> 0:18:45.537
<v Speaker 1>two T dot org. That's t the number two T

0:18:46.017 --> 0:18:49.417
<v Speaker 1>dot org. Eric Adams is being indicted by the or

0:18:49.417 --> 0:18:52.897
<v Speaker 1>has been indicted by the Feds, right, so they're coming

0:18:52.937 --> 0:18:55.497
<v Speaker 1>after him for some To me, it looks like some nonsense.

0:18:56.137 --> 0:18:58.977
<v Speaker 1>Now we're saying criminal illegals, which I know this is

0:18:59.057 --> 0:19:01.017
<v Speaker 1>kind of this is like, what does that even mean?

0:19:01.577 --> 0:19:06.177
<v Speaker 1>Illegal alien status in the country, plus committing additional crimes.

0:19:06.577 --> 0:19:08.457
<v Speaker 1>He says he's going to kick him out and help

0:19:08.977 --> 0:19:10.737
<v Speaker 1>deport them, like pass them all along to Ice.

0:19:12.057 --> 0:19:13.217
<v Speaker 2>And so is Kathy Hopal.

0:19:13.817 --> 0:19:15.657
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so does the governor New York all of a

0:19:15.657 --> 0:19:16.697
<v Speaker 1>sudden what's going on here?

0:19:16.777 --> 0:19:20.097
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? I think that well, and I don't I think

0:19:20.097 --> 0:19:22.017
<v Speaker 2>that he I think that he would love a pardon

0:19:22.097 --> 0:19:26.177
<v Speaker 2>right now. I don't think there's a chance he wins

0:19:26.257 --> 0:19:29.337
<v Speaker 2>reelection as of right now, especially because New York has

0:19:29.377 --> 0:19:33.177
<v Speaker 2>that stupid system where you vote for your second place

0:19:33.217 --> 0:19:36.577
<v Speaker 2>in the third place, but a voter choice rank choice.

0:19:36.777 --> 0:19:38.897
<v Speaker 2>If he was very strong, Andrew Cuomo would not be

0:19:39.177 --> 0:19:42.977
<v Speaker 2>prepping to run, which he is, and he's going to

0:19:43.057 --> 0:19:45.377
<v Speaker 2>be outflying from the progressive. So I think that right

0:19:45.417 --> 0:19:47.577
<v Speaker 2>now he's looking at his best bet for how he

0:19:47.577 --> 0:19:50.137
<v Speaker 2>gets through this, and I think that it's I think

0:19:50.177 --> 0:19:53.697
<v Speaker 2>it's I mean, it's good politics, good policy ahead of

0:19:53.697 --> 0:19:56.497
<v Speaker 2>a reelection. So maybe he's trying to win over some

0:19:56.537 --> 0:20:01.577
<v Speaker 2>support from, you know, communities affected by crime. And the

0:20:01.617 --> 0:20:03.857
<v Speaker 2>fact that Katy Holpe was agreeing with him. I think

0:20:03.897 --> 0:20:05.497
<v Speaker 2>there's a lot of I think there's a lot of

0:20:05.537 --> 0:20:07.737
<v Speaker 2>people looking at the tea leaves in New York City,

0:20:08.057 --> 0:20:10.857
<v Speaker 2>in New York State and saying, how of the state

0:20:10.897 --> 0:20:16.657
<v Speaker 2>that was as left as California become more to the

0:20:16.737 --> 0:20:19.377
<v Speaker 2>right than Texas is to the left, Like Texas is

0:20:19.377 --> 0:20:21.417
<v Speaker 2>more is less of a swing state than New York

0:20:21.497 --> 0:20:25.537
<v Speaker 2>is in the last election, and that elections have become

0:20:25.617 --> 0:20:28.537
<v Speaker 2>tighter and tighter and tighter every election for the last

0:20:28.817 --> 0:20:31.737
<v Speaker 2>three successive elections, right for mayor, New York City for

0:20:31.817 --> 0:20:35.537
<v Speaker 2>governor for two elections, those things have been working in

0:20:35.617 --> 0:20:38.497
<v Speaker 2>Republicans favor, and I think that they're I think they're nervous.

0:20:38.497 --> 0:20:40.697
<v Speaker 2>I think they're genuinely nervous. There's a seed change in

0:20:40.737 --> 0:20:43.737
<v Speaker 2>New York happening, and Eric Adams needs a place to land.

0:20:43.737 --> 0:20:46.657
<v Speaker 2>I think that's he's thinking. I think I have to

0:20:47.497 --> 0:20:49.257
<v Speaker 2>I have to be different. I can't be you know,

0:20:49.417 --> 0:20:51.337
<v Speaker 2>I have to move to the middle in order to

0:20:51.457 --> 0:20:55.337
<v Speaker 2>secure an election victory, because you know, there's a couple

0:20:55.377 --> 0:20:57.417
<v Speaker 2>of bole allegedly looking at running are going to be

0:20:57.457 --> 0:21:00.057
<v Speaker 2>serious that we'll have serious money and lots of money

0:21:00.377 --> 0:21:03.377
<v Speaker 2>and a lot a real campaign against her if they run.

0:21:03.457 --> 0:21:05.097
<v Speaker 2>I don't think they're going to take New York governor

0:21:05.177 --> 0:21:07.577
<v Speaker 2>races like they did in the mid ods, where they

0:21:07.577 --> 0:21:09.177
<v Speaker 2>would just you know, not back anybody.

0:21:10.177 --> 0:21:12.697
<v Speaker 1>So yes, you think that New York politics in New

0:21:12.737 --> 0:21:15.137
<v Speaker 1>York has gotten a bit of a shakeup because to me,

0:21:15.897 --> 0:21:19.177
<v Speaker 1>to me, it's interesting that you know, the biggest city

0:21:19.177 --> 0:21:21.897
<v Speaker 1>in America has and the state of New York, as

0:21:21.897 --> 0:21:24.617
<v Speaker 1>you point out, the governor changing their tune on immigration

0:21:24.737 --> 0:21:28.137
<v Speaker 1>right before. The biggest challenge that I see, imminent challenge

0:21:28.137 --> 0:21:30.737
<v Speaker 1>that I see Trump facing is if they're really going

0:21:30.737 --> 0:21:33.177
<v Speaker 1>to ramp up deportations in a way that people know,

0:21:33.497 --> 0:21:35.417
<v Speaker 1>you know that they're not just talking about but you're

0:21:35.457 --> 0:21:39.577
<v Speaker 1>aware of it. That's going to get that's going to

0:21:39.577 --> 0:21:42.817
<v Speaker 1>get very interesting and very heated, right.

0:21:42.737 --> 0:21:45.057
<v Speaker 2>And listen, I mean, if they can go to rikers

0:21:45.177 --> 0:21:47.657
<v Speaker 2>and start bringing them out, and there's some amount Rikers

0:21:47.657 --> 0:21:50.497
<v Speaker 2>waiting for them one hundred percent. But look, here's the thing.

0:21:51.377 --> 0:21:55.057
<v Speaker 2>It's uf Al County before Trump in twenty sixteen had

0:21:55.057 --> 0:21:58.137
<v Speaker 2>not voted a Republican since I think nineteen eighty eight.

0:21:58.377 --> 0:22:02.377
<v Speaker 2>It went for Republicans by eleven points. Saddn Island, which

0:22:02.417 --> 0:22:05.337
<v Speaker 2>you would think is a Republican place, went for Obama

0:22:05.417 --> 0:22:08.337
<v Speaker 2>over Romney. In twenty twelve, it went by thirty points

0:22:08.377 --> 0:22:13.177
<v Speaker 2>for Trump. Queens count is more Republican than Westchester County,

0:22:13.617 --> 0:22:17.657
<v Speaker 2>which I that is that is like you know, waking

0:22:17.737 --> 0:22:21.417
<v Speaker 2>up one day and speaking Japanese, if like that is unbelievable,

0:22:21.457 --> 0:22:26.057
<v Speaker 2>that that is all happening. The numbers are just wild.

0:22:26.137 --> 0:22:28.417
<v Speaker 2>Places in like New York City that I would have

0:22:28.537 --> 0:22:31.657
<v Speaker 2>never ever assumed a Republican would ever get a vote.

0:22:31.737 --> 0:22:35.457
<v Speaker 2>Jesus Christ could have ran as Republican and lost. Donald

0:22:35.497 --> 0:22:37.897
<v Speaker 2>Trump won like Jackson Heights, Queen's That's an area that

0:22:37.937 --> 0:22:40.177
<v Speaker 2>there was no There was never a question that was

0:22:40.217 --> 0:22:43.857
<v Speaker 2>going to happen. The Bronx and Brooklyn being even as

0:22:43.857 --> 0:22:48.737
<v Speaker 2>far as Republican vote is wild and it's all organic,

0:22:49.177 --> 0:22:52.657
<v Speaker 2>there is no functioning Republican party in New York State.

0:22:52.737 --> 0:22:55.817
<v Speaker 2>Outside the Congression elections, no one puts money in this state.

0:22:56.057 --> 0:22:59.617
<v Speaker 2>The media market's so expensive. There's no Republican as being

0:22:59.697 --> 0:23:03.897
<v Speaker 2>streamed into New York City. It's wildly costly. This is

0:23:04.297 --> 0:23:09.057
<v Speaker 2>one hundred percent organic, and that is what's making them nervous.

0:23:09.097 --> 0:23:12.577
<v Speaker 2>And they want to know why why did Adams have

0:23:12.657 --> 0:23:16.577
<v Speaker 2>a tighter election for mayor last time against Curtis Lee? Well,

0:23:16.617 --> 0:23:18.657
<v Speaker 2>who I like Curtis and nothing no problem with them,

0:23:18.697 --> 0:23:20.777
<v Speaker 2>but it was a bit of a joe campaign. And

0:23:21.137 --> 0:23:24.097
<v Speaker 2>why is it gonna Why is why? You know any

0:23:24.257 --> 0:23:27.017
<v Speaker 2>Democrat is going to face the same uphill battle where

0:23:27.017 --> 0:23:27.497
<v Speaker 2>things are.

0:23:27.737 --> 0:23:30.417
<v Speaker 1>Do you think a Republican remember Romney was governor of

0:23:30.457 --> 0:23:34.217
<v Speaker 1>Massachusetts back in the day. Do you think that a

0:23:34.217 --> 0:23:39.177
<v Speaker 1>a centrist Republican UH would be in a position to

0:23:39.737 --> 0:23:42.297
<v Speaker 1>run against and beat hocel Or? You know, do you

0:23:42.337 --> 0:23:44.017
<v Speaker 1>think that's you think that could happening one.

0:23:43.937 --> 0:23:46.697
<v Speaker 2>Hundred percent true. I think, especially as they moved to

0:23:46.697 --> 0:23:48.697
<v Speaker 2>the center, they're saying in New York. In New York,

0:23:48.697 --> 0:23:51.457
<v Speaker 2>there's something called a Wilson bakula, which means that you

0:23:51.577 --> 0:23:54.857
<v Speaker 2>can run as more than one party, So you can

0:23:54.937 --> 0:23:57.457
<v Speaker 2>run as a Republican an independent and a conservative, and

0:23:57.577 --> 0:24:00.177
<v Speaker 2>all those votes are tabulated together and that's what you get.

0:24:01.057 --> 0:24:03.377
<v Speaker 2>And that's often what happens. There's something called the Working

0:24:03.457 --> 0:24:07.417
<v Speaker 2>Families Party, which is a very far left liberal party

0:24:07.457 --> 0:24:10.697
<v Speaker 2>in New York State. They never like endorsed or the

0:24:10.697 --> 0:24:12.817
<v Speaker 2>Green Party never indored dors Andrew Plomo. I don't think

0:24:12.817 --> 0:24:16.977
<v Speaker 2>the Working Failey Party ever endorsed Andrew Plomo either. If so,

0:24:17.177 --> 0:24:21.737
<v Speaker 2>like Jimani Williams ran for mayor or some other very

0:24:21.857 --> 0:24:25.537
<v Speaker 2>far left liberal New Yorker ran for governor. As Kathy

0:24:25.577 --> 0:24:27.777
<v Speaker 2>Hlchal's moving to the right, I could see the Working

0:24:27.777 --> 0:24:30.497
<v Speaker 2>Family Party endorsing against her and running a third party

0:24:30.777 --> 0:24:33.337
<v Speaker 2>person against her. And they actually have registered voters. They

0:24:33.337 --> 0:24:36.777
<v Speaker 2>have over one hundred thousand plus registered voters. That would

0:24:36.817 --> 0:24:40.817
<v Speaker 2>mean something, that would really really mean something in a

0:24:40.937 --> 0:24:43.217
<v Speaker 2>very tight election. If like a Mike Lawler, who who

0:24:43.257 --> 0:24:46.097
<v Speaker 2>was clearly a very serious candidate who outran Trump by

0:24:46.097 --> 0:24:49.097
<v Speaker 2>seven points in his district, ran and won in a

0:24:49.577 --> 0:24:52.497
<v Speaker 2>seat that Harris won, if he ran, I think it's

0:24:52.497 --> 0:24:55.737
<v Speaker 2>a very serious thing, especially as Long Island's becoming red

0:24:55.777 --> 0:24:59.217
<v Speaker 2>red red. You know, Queens is close to forty percents

0:24:59.257 --> 0:25:01.817
<v Speaker 2>Daden Island is the most second most red county in

0:25:02.017 --> 0:25:05.897
<v Speaker 2>all the mid Atlantic outside of Ocean County. New Jersey

0:25:06.257 --> 0:25:08.457
<v Speaker 2>and upstate is bloining a little bit, but it's a

0:25:08.497 --> 0:25:12.417
<v Speaker 2>lot of mixed manhatmites moving up there, so you never know.

0:25:12.497 --> 0:25:14.697
<v Speaker 2>I mean, it's a far different thing of New York

0:25:14.737 --> 0:25:18.217
<v Speaker 2>City is changing in a way that makes it much

0:25:18.217 --> 0:25:19.817
<v Speaker 2>more competitive than the state is changing to.

0:25:19.977 --> 0:25:22.177
<v Speaker 1>So, I mean it sounds like just to close us

0:25:22.217 --> 0:25:26.137
<v Speaker 1>up here, Ryan, the sense of political devastation that some

0:25:26.177 --> 0:25:29.777
<v Speaker 1>of us believe the Democrats must be feeling. They are

0:25:29.857 --> 0:25:32.097
<v Speaker 1>kind of feeling it right now. I mean that things are.

0:25:33.177 --> 0:25:36.977
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, they're going through a social thing. Listen, seven years

0:25:37.177 --> 0:25:40.937
<v Speaker 2>of saying the most insane things did not work for them.

0:25:41.177 --> 0:25:43.217
<v Speaker 2>Boys can be girls in preschool, they all can play

0:25:43.217 --> 0:25:45.617
<v Speaker 2>sports together, and then we'll do Black Lives Matter, and

0:25:45.657 --> 0:25:48.337
<v Speaker 2>then we'll do DEI and no one gets grades and

0:25:48.537 --> 0:25:51.337
<v Speaker 2>no one gets policed, and everything's gonna be the most wonderful, happy,

0:25:51.377 --> 0:25:54.537
<v Speaker 2>magical place. It didn't really work for them. So now

0:25:54.617 --> 0:25:56.737
<v Speaker 2>you're sitting here and seeing a bunch of Democrats saying, hey,

0:25:57.337 --> 0:26:01.377
<v Speaker 2>let's do something different, Let's find that sweet spot. Is it?

0:26:01.417 --> 0:26:03.577
<v Speaker 2>Like John Fetterman, who is moderated on a lot of things.

0:26:03.697 --> 0:26:05.977
<v Speaker 2>Is it just being pro Israel like Richie Torres is doing.

0:26:06.257 --> 0:26:09.537
<v Speaker 2>Is it doing some kind of immigration enforcement? Is it

0:26:09.577 --> 0:26:12.737
<v Speaker 2>the girls and boys sports like Seth Mouland from Massachusetts

0:26:12.777 --> 0:26:16.537
<v Speaker 2>is doing. They're all looking for how do I get

0:26:16.577 --> 0:26:21.417
<v Speaker 2>back to the middle by cutting off these very insane

0:26:21.577 --> 0:26:25.337
<v Speaker 2>fringe parts of the Democratic Party? Is is that going

0:26:25.377 --> 0:26:27.177
<v Speaker 2>to cost you more than when? And they're all taking

0:26:27.217 --> 0:26:29.657
<v Speaker 2>a different approach to it to find themselves where they

0:26:29.657 --> 0:26:31.937
<v Speaker 2>should be because they lost their minds in twenty twenty

0:26:32.297 --> 0:26:34.657
<v Speaker 2>and now they're waking up to smell the coffee.

0:26:35.537 --> 0:26:38.897
<v Speaker 1>Our sponsor here is done with debt. Look, costs are

0:26:38.937 --> 0:26:40.937
<v Speaker 1>still really high. Trump's coming in is going to do

0:26:40.937 --> 0:26:43.137
<v Speaker 1>good things, But in the meantime, you're still paying for

0:26:43.217 --> 0:26:46.537
<v Speaker 1>all that overspending at the pump at the grocery store,

0:26:46.617 --> 0:26:49.497
<v Speaker 1>and there's a growing stack of unpaid bills that are

0:26:49.537 --> 0:26:52.377
<v Speaker 1>really affecting millions of Americans day in and day out.

0:26:52.617 --> 0:26:55.737
<v Speaker 1>That's why Dumb with Debt created new aggressive strategies designed

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0:27:01.057 --> 0:27:03.857
<v Speaker 1>negotiate with your creditors to write off balances, cut interest,

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0:27:06.417 --> 0:27:09.057
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<v Speaker 1>done with debt dot Com. That's done with debt dot Com. Ryan.

0:27:30.377 --> 0:27:32.657
<v Speaker 1>When does the Numbers Game with Ryan Grodski launch on

0:27:32.697 --> 0:27:35.417
<v Speaker 1>the network. Everyone's very excited. I'm very excited.

0:27:35.977 --> 0:27:38.937
<v Speaker 2>You know, well, January twenty twenty five. I don't know

0:27:39.017 --> 0:27:41.577
<v Speaker 2>the exact date yet, but it is coming next month

0:27:41.577 --> 0:27:44.617
<v Speaker 2>and a half, so we'll not in a month, in

0:27:44.657 --> 0:27:46.577
<v Speaker 2>one month, so I will infront one month that it

0:27:46.617 --> 0:27:49.017
<v Speaker 2>was there. But yeah, in one month and January twenty

0:27:49.017 --> 0:27:51.617
<v Speaker 2>twenty five, it's a numbers game that Ryan Gourdeski comes

0:27:51.617 --> 0:27:54.537
<v Speaker 2>out our first episode. I believe we are going to

0:27:54.577 --> 0:27:58.057
<v Speaker 2>discuss what is a new swing district? What are the

0:27:58.097 --> 0:28:00.617
<v Speaker 2>new areas that change because of this election? And I

0:28:00.697 --> 0:28:03.337
<v Speaker 2>will go break down numbers every week. I'm going to

0:28:03.377 --> 0:28:06.537
<v Speaker 2>have a new piece of data that everyone should hear

0:28:06.577 --> 0:28:08.657
<v Speaker 2>about and know about, and I will dive into it.

0:28:08.657 --> 0:28:11.897
<v Speaker 2>It'll be political, it'll be economic, it'll be cultural, and

0:28:11.977 --> 0:28:13.737
<v Speaker 2>it will be the thing that you should know about.

0:28:14.057 --> 0:28:17.097
<v Speaker 1>Fantastic Ryan or Dusk everybody. Ryan, thanks so much, Thank you,