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Speaker 1: Hey guys, welcome to the Buck Brief. On this episode,

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Speaker 1: Ryan Gradusky back in the mixed National Populist newsletter is

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Speaker 1: his sub stack plus very exciting announcement here on the program,

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Speaker 1: Ryan is joining the Klanbuck podcast network next year with

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Speaker 1: the show it's called It's.

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Speaker 2: A Numbers Game with Ryan Gardusky. I'm very excited. Thank

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Speaker 2: you for letting me in on your Marvel universe of

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Speaker 2: podcast hosts.

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Speaker 1: It'll be awesome. That's right, we got, we got Ryan,

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Speaker 1: Carol Tutor, Sean Parnell. Great great stuff going on there.

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Speaker 1: But let's since it's a numbers game, talk me. Talk

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Speaker 1: me through this number. The seven million votes that Biden

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Speaker 1: got in twenty twenty that we are now at one point,

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Speaker 1: it was fifteen million, right, but they had to count

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Speaker 1: California and a few other places. But it's seven millions a

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Speaker 1: lot of votes. And Trump went up a couple million

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Speaker 1: from twenty twenty two, Kamala dropped seven million. What can

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Speaker 1: you tell us about this gap? Because people got questions,

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Speaker 1: a lot of questions right right now.

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Speaker 2: I get it, I mean, I get the questions. I

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Speaker 2: was actually looking for the exact number as of today,

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Speaker 2: the exactly because they just threw in, you know, two

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Speaker 2: hundred and fifty thousand votes from New York that it

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Speaker 2: was delayed in counting. So right now Trump is seventy

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Speaker 2: seven point one nine three million votes, Kamala Harris is

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Speaker 2: seventy four point nine million, so she's about seventy five

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Speaker 2: and he's about seventy seven point two. Biden got eighty

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Speaker 2: one point two, so she's about six point two million under. Okay,

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Speaker 2: what that's a lot of voats, that's a lot of votes.

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Speaker 2: It was at one point fifteen million. As you said,

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Speaker 2: blue states are very slow accounting the votes, so it

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Speaker 2: was going to get lower and lower. But there's really

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Speaker 2: nothing left to count unless they pull out a big

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Speaker 2: number out like New Jersey or whatever. But I think

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Speaker 2: they certified New Jersey. So where you see the drop,

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Speaker 2: the tremendous drop in votes is in places like New York,

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Speaker 2: New Jersey, California, These very very blue states, Georgia, Michigan,

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Speaker 2: North Carolina, Florida, Texas, Arizona, Big surgeon voting, Big surgeon

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Speaker 2: New voting. So what Washington State and Oregon you dropped Portland,

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Speaker 2: you drop out of the city of Portland, and in

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Speaker 2: the early vote going into election day, you saw Portland

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Speaker 2: was not showing up. So what it says to me

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Speaker 2: is two things. One, it was a big drop of

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Speaker 2: minorities turning up. The reason I thought that Trump was

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Speaker 2: probably gonna win at seven thirty on election night was

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Speaker 2: the minority vote. The Black vote, which is usually thirteen

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Speaker 2: percent of the national vote, was eleven percent, two percent dropage. Overall,

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Speaker 2: Hispanic vote was usually thirteen percent. I think it was

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Speaker 2: a twelve percent. And the white vote had actually climbed

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Speaker 2: three to four points of the overall national vote. If

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Speaker 2: you look at where the votes were coming from, it's

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Speaker 2: in these very, very blue states. So two things may

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Speaker 2: have happened. One, they left the states during COVID and

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Speaker 2: they never registered to vote, which is very very possible

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty, they moved out of New York, New Jersey

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Speaker 2: and California when these draconian laws were happening, they didn't vote,

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Speaker 2: or the access to early easy voting with mail and

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Speaker 2: voters propelled a lot of the vote that didn't shop

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Speaker 2: the second time or lastly, a lot of minorities. And

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Speaker 2: this is what the New York Times Nate com is

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Speaker 2: saying today. The minorities who were most likely to vote

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Speaker 2: for Donald Trump didn't show up. So I think there

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Speaker 2: was the black voters on like sixty six percent of

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Speaker 2: blacks who wanted to vote for Trump, or sixty people

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Speaker 2: blacks who did not vote wanted to overcome with thirty

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Speaker 2: four percent want to vote for Trump, so one in

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Speaker 2: three versus sixteen percent that they got nationally, and feeling conflicted,

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Speaker 2: they chose the couch. I think that I really do

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Speaker 2: believe that they're because the idea that Trump was this

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Speaker 2: existential crisis that they had been propelling and pushing for years.

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Speaker 2: And we'd had four years from being president, and you know,

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Speaker 2: we didn't get involved in World War Three, and you know,

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Speaker 2: everyone didn't go into interming camps and all these lies

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Speaker 2: the Democrats had for all these years. I think a

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Speaker 2: lot of people were okay with Trump being president, even

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Speaker 2: if they didn't like him, and they didn't show up.

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Speaker 2: But they didn't come out of swing states. They didn't

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Speaker 2: come out of Michigan or Pennsylvania or Georgia. And it

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Speaker 2: wasn't like any of the states that were responsible for

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Speaker 2: giving Biden to seventy saw this dipping pulling voting. They

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Speaker 2: all actually saw a surgeon voting. I think that it

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Speaker 2: was a combination maybe of all three things.

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Speaker 1: So the number six point two million, Kamala underperformed the

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Speaker 1: white working class vote in the Swing States. What can

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Speaker 1: we say about the role that that played?

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Speaker 2: Now, well, it was very big. But I think the

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Speaker 2: bigger question is is, and we're going to know more

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Speaker 2: as time goes on, was how if you look at

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Speaker 2: if you look at Hillary Hillary.

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Speaker 1: Can John banjes the better question? Better question? Why did

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Speaker 1: Trump win the Swing States by the numbers?

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Speaker 2: I mean, there's so if you look at AP vote cast, right,

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Speaker 2: which is the best source we have so far on

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Speaker 2: all the data in the Swing States. One, Republicans did

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Speaker 2: an amazing job of registering voters for the last four years.

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Speaker 2: In Pennsylvania they reduced number by like four hundred thousand.

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Speaker 2: In Arizona it was like a quarter of a million.

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Speaker 2: They worked for four years, actually enrolled registering new Republicans

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Speaker 2: in states that had registered Republicans. One, the female vote

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Speaker 2: was not this month mon like monstrosity towards Harris Like.

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Speaker 2: It wasn't this tidal wave of female support that. But

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Speaker 2: you know what, the polls never said that. The media

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Speaker 2: said that, But the polling literally never had her at

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Speaker 2: a bigger point with women and Hillary or Biden. She

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Speaker 2: was always in performing, but she underperformed even what the

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Speaker 2: polls were saying. She lost. She won women by six points.

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Speaker 2: The polling had her winning women by ten or eleven

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Speaker 2: versus Hillary is like fourteen. So she underperforming women was

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Speaker 2: a big, big, big part of it. The polls were

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Speaker 2: dead right when it came to minorities. I mean they

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Speaker 2: hit almost exactly where they said then already vote would

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Speaker 2: be was actually what showed up. They were off on

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Speaker 2: the youth vote. Young voters did show up for Trump

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Speaker 2: in a very big way. Young women showed up for

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Speaker 2: Trump in a bigger way than people think. Over forty

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Speaker 2: percent of young women voted for Trump, which they did

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Speaker 2: not expect. I did not expect. And the senior vote,

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Speaker 2: which I talked about a lot, Trump wonted, Trump wanted,

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Speaker 2: didn't win it by five or four points, but he

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Speaker 2: won it by three. Polster said he was going to

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Speaker 2: lose it by six, so he didn't lose too much

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Speaker 2: ground with senior citizens. We're going to get more data

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Speaker 2: on that later on, especially as retired communities are coming in.

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Speaker 2: But he didn't lose that much support with them. He won.

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Speaker 2: He gained support in the suburbs, he gained support among minorities,

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Speaker 2: and he gained support among women. And I think that

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Speaker 2: a combination. And he didn't he didn't lose anything with

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Speaker 2: the white working class and didn't lose anything with the

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Speaker 2: college educated white voters. So I think all of those,

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Speaker 2: I mean, those were the That's why he won. That's

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Speaker 2: why he got within six That and the drop of

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Speaker 2: Democrats support in Democratic states is why he came within

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Speaker 2: five points in New Jersey. Is why you won all

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Speaker 2: seven swing states. It's why he's within two points in

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Speaker 2: Minnesota and New Hampshire. I mean, and you know what

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Speaker 2: is incredible when you think about it, if Joe Biden

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Speaker 2: had been the nominee as things had progressed and how

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Speaker 2: bad as he got mentally, there's no question that New

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Speaker 2: York would have been, you know, within a few monks.

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Speaker 2: I think that New Jersey would have been Republican. I

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Speaker 2: think that Minnesota would have been republican. New Hampshire in

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Speaker 2: republican Virginia and New Mexico. I think that you would

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Speaker 2: have seen a cataclysmic election day result that is even

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Speaker 2: worse than how combol it did.

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Speaker 1: But I want to ask you when we come back

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Speaker 1: you think that's going to look like going into the

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Speaker 1: beginning of Trump's term? You know, who are the people

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Speaker 1: wide Mote Research. Is it going to be nominee AOC

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Speaker 1: in twenty eight? Take out the crystal ball? Who's because

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Speaker 1: here's me. Let me just preface this a little bit.

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Speaker 1: I think Obama did a lot of damage. And I

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Speaker 1: know Joe Rogan spoke about this, but I think Obama

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Speaker 1: Obama did a lot of damage to his brand among

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Speaker 1: sort of center and central left people with the whole

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Speaker 1: very fine people lie that he tried against Trump. At

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Speaker 1: the end, it's just a lie. And Obama's a smart guy.

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Speaker 1: He knows it's a lie. He didn't care. He just

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Speaker 1: tried to smear Trump. So he's not above it at all.

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Speaker 1: I never thought he was. But Obama's not above the

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Speaker 1: most you know, obvious and gross lies, and he can't

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Speaker 1: run again, I think finally, unless some boomers start yelling

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Speaker 1: at me for this, I don't think Michelle Obama's running.

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Speaker 1: That's not happening.

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Speaker 2: I don't think Michelle Obama will ever do another political

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Speaker 2: event again. Yeah, I'll ever speak another DNC. I don't

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Speaker 2: think she will ever do anything political ever again.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. The people who've been saying that you know that

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Speaker 1: she's not interested, we were.

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Speaker 3: Toed, we were we were tard and feather for telling

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Speaker 3: people that you're that she would not be the nominee

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Speaker 3: and some other political commentators on the right word where

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Speaker 3: they were burning that flame for.

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Speaker 2: A long time.

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Speaker 1: Oh that is true. So here's what I want to know.

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Speaker 1: Who steps in? Who is? You know, you got these

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Speaker 1: people like Shift and that other guy, a Goldman who

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Speaker 1: are very big and kind of impeachment legal, Russia Trump stuff,

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Speaker 1: you know all this. They don't have it right. They

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Speaker 1: don't have any X factor, they don't have any national

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Speaker 1: level charisma. Is the list really Whitmer, Newsome, the stout

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Speaker 1: fellow from Illinois and you know who?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, Shapiro, Yeah, I think that one. The resistance

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Speaker 2: as it is looks a lot different than it did

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Speaker 2: in twenty sixteen. You're not seeing Democrats act the same way.

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Speaker 2: You're not seeing Democrats lose their minds so publicly as

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Speaker 2: they did there. I guess the nervous breakdowns are more

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Speaker 2: inside the house than outside in public. I don't know

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Speaker 2: if you're going to have another women's march where you know,

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Speaker 2: millions of women take to the streets. I think Trump

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Speaker 2: winning the popular vote really took the wind out of

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Speaker 2: their sales in a big, big way. They can say

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Speaker 2: it was an illegitimately elected president by their standards. Also,

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Speaker 2: there's thing called a Popular Vote Compact where these states

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Speaker 2: got together and said, who everyone's a popul vote, We're

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Speaker 2: going to give them all their electoral college votes. I

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Speaker 2: would love to see if they actually They include California

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Speaker 2: and New York. So let's see if they actually give

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Speaker 2: their electoral college votes to Donald Trump. But that's neither

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Speaker 2: here nor there. I think that when it comes to

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Speaker 2: the resistance or the next leadership, look look at Hillary's convention,

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Speaker 2: look at Biden's convention, and look at Harris's convention. When

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Speaker 2: you look at the way they approach the Democratic Party,

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Speaker 2: they really their goal has always been to win over

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Speaker 2: center right, independence, military people, moderates, They've they've made an

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Speaker 2: open gesture towards them, even if the party has been unhinged.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if that's going to happen anymore. I

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Speaker 2: don't think and this is what I truly think. I

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Speaker 2: don't think Democrats will nominate another woman to be president

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Speaker 2: for a very very long time. I just don't see

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Speaker 2: how that's going to happen at this point, given the

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Speaker 2: two the only two to lose, you know, I lose

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Speaker 2: to Trump or women. I just don't see that happening.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that Whitmer has it. I think Shapiro

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Speaker 2: is somebody to look out for. I think Wes Moore

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Speaker 2: or somebody to watch out for. I think Wes Moore

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Speaker 2: has a lot of what they're looking for. He's the

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Speaker 2: governor of Maryland right now. But it will be a

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Speaker 2: fight over the more sensibly approach Democrats, Democrats who actually

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Speaker 2: like look like they're normal, and then that like that

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Speaker 2: congressman from Texas, I forget her name now. She just

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Speaker 2: comes off as completely unhinged and nutty and screaming all

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Speaker 2: the time. She feeds the base like what Corey Bush

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Speaker 2: fed the base and but what the party wants is

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Speaker 2: a much different approach to it. But I would guess

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Speaker 2: a Wes Moore or a Jos Shapiro is who they're

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Speaker 2: going to turn their eyes to. There's not a lot

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Speaker 2: of senate talent and real least slock and I'm not

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Speaker 2: exactly sure there's not a ton of senate talent where

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Speaker 2: they're going to sit there and pull front.

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Speaker 1: I feel like this is we We've gone in a

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Speaker 1: couple of election cycles from which Democrat dynasty is going

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Speaker 1: to elbow out the other one to what Democrat dynasty

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Speaker 1: Like there really isn't one in the mix right now.

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Speaker 1: I mean RFK Junior is part of Trump world right right.

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Speaker 2: And you know the big the funny thing is, and

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Speaker 2: the interesting thing is is that there is like once

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Speaker 2: and you know, our buddy and cultises all the time,

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Speaker 2: once all the white men were phased out of the party,

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Speaker 2: that Joe Biden generation, the Nancy Pelosi generation, Senny Hoyers generation.

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Speaker 2: It is the craziest people left. There is not you know,

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Speaker 2: a normal one. There is not a power broker like

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Speaker 2: her their in their wings right now. I mean the

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Speaker 2: average voter would still say Nancy Pelosi leads the House Democrats,

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Speaker 2: and it's not Akeem Jefferies from New York. I mean,

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Speaker 2: no one really believes that Hakim is calling more shots

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Speaker 2: than Nancy is, and I think that that's evidence. So

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Speaker 2: I think that they don't have I think the reason,

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Speaker 2: like Nancy Pelosi is still around at eighty two, eighty

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Speaker 2: four years old and still calling all the shots is

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Speaker 2: there isn't a natural successor in the I don't think

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Speaker 2: that there is, and I don't Maybe there will be,

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Speaker 2: but I don't see it. And you know what, they

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Speaker 2: didn't like Obama that much either as being a quote

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Speaker 2: unquote successor because they had a lot of people from

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Speaker 2: the Chicago machine and machine Democrats running his White House

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Speaker 2: and his administration. They weren't like, they didn't think that

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Speaker 2: he was going to be the power broker. Could you

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Speaker 2: I read an article about this. Can you name one

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Speaker 2: thing politically Obama has done since leaving the White House?

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Speaker 1: No, not one he does.

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Speaker 2: He's all been about Netflix and documentaries and living. I mean, good,

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Speaker 2: good for him. He's making money. You have a nice life.

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Speaker 2: But his legacy is pretty horrendous. When you really look

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Speaker 2: back at the political legacy of Barack Obama after his

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Speaker 2: first two years when he got Obamacare and everything through.

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Speaker 2: You have the downfall the Democratic Party where they lost

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Speaker 2: a thousand legislative seats the House and the Senate, the

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Speaker 2: election of Donald Trump, I guess, the election of Joe Biden,

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Speaker 2: where he had some policy goals whatever, but it was

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Speaker 2: horribly unpopular. And then Kamala Harris, the woman that he

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Speaker 2: pushed Biden to pick a his VP, loses against Donald

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Speaker 2: Trump again, and Republicans have a trifector in Congress, and

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Speaker 2: Democrats have never been so leadershipless really going back to

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Speaker 2: like when Clinton was first running in the nineties.

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Speaker 1: Well, that's what I mean. It feels like you have

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Speaker 1: the most wide open Democrat field in my adult lifetime.

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Speaker 1: I've never seen anything like this. So that's why I

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Speaker 1: asked you question. It feels like Trump's, you know, Trump's agenda.

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Speaker 1: I mean, They've never never been in a better position

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Speaker 1: to make big gains and big changes. But right well

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Speaker 1: they can.

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Speaker 2: If they can do it, if they can do it,

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Speaker 2: and they can do it. But also I mean, like

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Speaker 2: there is we're in a moment right now where we're

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Speaker 2: at the last act of the Trump Show, Like this

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Speaker 2: is it like this is his last term. Hopefully he

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Speaker 2: I mean, he configured a electoral map that may ultimately

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Speaker 2: change politics in the same way that Richard Nixon did

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Speaker 2: in nineteen sixty eight when he brought Southern Democrats and

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Speaker 2: Neo Cohns and ethnic whites into the party. Trump Trump

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Speaker 2: did that in twenty twenty four, and if they're smart,

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Speaker 2: they can do it again and they can keep it

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Speaker 2: and grow the party in that In that fashion, Trump's

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Speaker 2: legacy to a large degree, is going to be made

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Speaker 2: in the next three and a half years. And then

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Speaker 2: once that's over, it's is an absence of what we

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Speaker 2: haven't had in twelve years. We will not have. We

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Speaker 2: will never have a man like Donald Trump run for

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Speaker 2: and again in our lifetimes, but we because he is

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Speaker 2: such a special individual figure. But the whole Trump Ethos

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Speaker 2: show is going to come to an end, and it

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Speaker 2: is a big question as to what follows, because I

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Speaker 2: would say seventy percent of Republicans in Congress are more

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Speaker 2: like George Bush Republicans than Donald Trump Republicans. We have

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Speaker 2: a great vice president, but we have a lot of

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Speaker 2: people who very much are like build the Wall. But

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Speaker 2: here's my George Bush bumper stick or over under my

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Speaker 2: Donald Trump.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the party, you know, the sort of Cheney Bush

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Speaker 1: party might might have a resurgence anyway. Well, let's not

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Speaker 1: make everybody sad with that quite yet. Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: Eric Adams. Let's talk about Eric Adams in New York City.

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Speaker 1: What's going on there? But first up, you know, the

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Speaker 1: holidays can be especially difficult for children who've lost a

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Speaker 1: mother or father in the line of duty. When Sergeant

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Speaker 1: Stevens Plan suffered a heart attack while on fire duty,

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Speaker 1: you were there to lift his family during the Tunnel

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Speaker 1: the Towers Foundation Season of Hope. With your help, dozens

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Speaker 1: of families like his are receiving the gift of a

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Speaker 1: mortgage free home or a specially adapted smart home this

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Speaker 1: holiday season. Through Tunnel the Towers, heroes and their families

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Speaker 1: who have sacrificed so much for us are having the

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Speaker 1: burden of a mortgage lifted off their shoulders and a

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Speaker 1: place to call home. Your gift to the Foundation during

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Speaker 1: the Season of Hope maybe the most meaningful gift you

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Speaker 1: give this holiday season. Your kindness will bring help and

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Speaker 1: hope to heroes and their families who are so deserving

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Speaker 1: of our gratitude. And yes, they absolutely are doing it

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Speaker 1: eleven dollars a month. The TUNLT the towers at T

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Speaker 1: two T dot org. That's t the number two T

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Speaker 1: dot org. Eric Adams is being indicted by the or

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Speaker 1: has been indicted by the Feds, right, so they're coming

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Speaker 1: after him for some To me, it looks like some nonsense.

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Speaker 1: Now we're saying criminal illegals, which I know this is

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Speaker 1: kind of this is like, what does that even mean?

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Speaker 1: Illegal alien status in the country, plus committing additional crimes.

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Speaker 1: He says he's going to kick him out and help

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Speaker 1: deport them, like pass them all along to Ice.

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Speaker 2: And so is Kathy Hopal.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so does the governor New York all of a

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Speaker 1: sudden what's going on here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I think that well, and I don't I think

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Speaker 2: that he I think that he would love a pardon

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Speaker 2: right now. I don't think there's a chance he wins

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Speaker 2: reelection as of right now, especially because New York has

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Speaker 2: that stupid system where you vote for your second place

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Speaker 2: in the third place, but a voter choice rank choice.

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Speaker 2: If he was very strong, Andrew Cuomo would not be

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Speaker 2: prepping to run, which he is, and he's going to

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Speaker 2: be outflying from the progressive. So I think that right

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Speaker 2: now he's looking at his best bet for how he

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Speaker 2: gets through this, and I think that it's I think

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Speaker 2: it's I mean, it's good politics, good policy ahead of

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Speaker 2: a reelection. So maybe he's trying to win over some

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Speaker 2: support from, you know, communities affected by crime. And the

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Speaker 2: fact that Katy Holpe was agreeing with him. I think

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Speaker 2: there's a lot of I think there's a lot of

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Speaker 2: people looking at the tea leaves in New York City,

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Speaker 2: in New York State and saying, how of the state

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Speaker 2: that was as left as California become more to the

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Speaker 2: right than Texas is to the left, Like Texas is

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Speaker 2: more is less of a swing state than New York

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Speaker 2: is in the last election, and that elections have become

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Speaker 2: tighter and tighter and tighter every election for the last

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Speaker 2: three successive elections, right for mayor, New York City for

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Speaker 2: governor for two elections, those things have been working in

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Speaker 2: Republicans favor, and I think that they're I think they're nervous.

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Speaker 2: I think they're genuinely nervous. There's a seed change in

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Speaker 2: New York happening, and Eric Adams needs a place to land.

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Speaker 2: I think that's he's thinking. I think I have to

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Speaker 2: I have to be different. I can't be you know,

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Speaker 2: I have to move to the middle in order to

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Speaker 2: secure an election victory, because you know, there's a couple

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Speaker 2: of bole allegedly looking at running are going to be

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Speaker 2: serious that we'll have serious money and lots of money

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Speaker 2: and a lot a real campaign against her if they run.

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Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to take New York governor

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Speaker 2: races like they did in the mid ods, where they

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Speaker 2: would just you know, not back anybody.

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Speaker 1: So yes, you think that New York politics in New

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Speaker 1: York has gotten a bit of a shakeup because to me,

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Speaker 1: to me, it's interesting that you know, the biggest city

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Speaker 1: in America has and the state of New York, as

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Speaker 1: you point out, the governor changing their tune on immigration

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Speaker 1: right before. The biggest challenge that I see, imminent challenge

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Speaker 1: that I see Trump facing is if they're really going

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Speaker 1: to ramp up deportations in a way that people know,

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Speaker 1: you know that they're not just talking about but you're

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Speaker 1: aware of it. That's going to get that's going to

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Speaker 1: get very interesting and very heated, right.

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Speaker 2: And listen, I mean, if they can go to rikers

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Speaker 2: and start bringing them out, and there's some amount Rikers

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Speaker 2: waiting for them one hundred percent. But look, here's the thing.

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Speaker 2: It's uf Al County before Trump in twenty sixteen had

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Speaker 2: not voted a Republican since I think nineteen eighty eight.

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Speaker 2: It went for Republicans by eleven points. Saddn Island, which

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Speaker 2: you would think is a Republican place, went for Obama

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Speaker 2: over Romney. In twenty twelve, it went by thirty points

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Speaker 2: for Trump. Queens count is more Republican than Westchester County,

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Speaker 2: which I that is that is like you know, waking

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Speaker 2: up one day and speaking Japanese, if like that is unbelievable,

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Speaker 2: that that is all happening. The numbers are just wild.

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Speaker 2: Places in like New York City that I would have

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Speaker 2: never ever assumed a Republican would ever get a vote.

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Speaker 2: Jesus Christ could have ran as Republican and lost. Donald

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Speaker 2: Trump won like Jackson Heights, Queen's That's an area that

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Speaker 2: there was no There was never a question that was

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Speaker 2: going to happen. The Bronx and Brooklyn being even as

433
00:22:43,857 --> 00:22:48,737
Speaker 2: far as Republican vote is wild and it's all organic,

434
00:22:49,177 --> 00:22:52,657
Speaker 2: there is no functioning Republican party in New York State.

435
00:22:52,737 --> 00:22:55,817
Speaker 2: Outside the Congression elections, no one puts money in this state.

436
00:22:56,057 --> 00:22:59,617
Speaker 2: The media market's so expensive. There's no Republican as being

437
00:22:59,697 --> 00:23:03,897
Speaker 2: streamed into New York City. It's wildly costly. This is

438
00:23:04,297 --> 00:23:09,057
Speaker 2: one hundred percent organic, and that is what's making them nervous.

439
00:23:09,097 --> 00:23:12,577
Speaker 2: And they want to know why why did Adams have

440
00:23:12,657 --> 00:23:16,577
Speaker 2: a tighter election for mayor last time against Curtis Lee? Well,

441
00:23:16,617 --> 00:23:18,657
Speaker 2: who I like Curtis and nothing no problem with them,

442
00:23:18,697 --> 00:23:20,777
Speaker 2: but it was a bit of a joe campaign. And

443
00:23:21,137 --> 00:23:24,097
Speaker 2: why is it gonna Why is why? You know any

444
00:23:24,257 --> 00:23:27,017
Speaker 2: Democrat is going to face the same uphill battle where

445
00:23:27,017 --> 00:23:27,497
Speaker 2: things are.

446
00:23:27,737 --> 00:23:30,417
Speaker 1: Do you think a Republican remember Romney was governor of

447
00:23:30,457 --> 00:23:34,217
Speaker 1: Massachusetts back in the day. Do you think that a

448
00:23:34,217 --> 00:23:39,177
Speaker 1: a centrist Republican UH would be in a position to

449
00:23:39,737 --> 00:23:42,297
Speaker 1: run against and beat hocel Or? You know, do you

450
00:23:42,337 --> 00:23:44,017
Speaker 1: think that's you think that could happening one.

451
00:23:43,937 --> 00:23:46,697
Speaker 2: Hundred percent true. I think, especially as they moved to

452
00:23:46,697 --> 00:23:48,697
Speaker 2: the center, they're saying in New York. In New York,

453
00:23:48,697 --> 00:23:51,457
Speaker 2: there's something called a Wilson bakula, which means that you

454
00:23:51,577 --> 00:23:54,857
Speaker 2: can run as more than one party, So you can

455
00:23:54,937 --> 00:23:57,457
Speaker 2: run as a Republican an independent and a conservative, and

456
00:23:57,577 --> 00:24:00,177
Speaker 2: all those votes are tabulated together and that's what you get.

457
00:24:01,057 --> 00:24:03,377
Speaker 2: And that's often what happens. There's something called the Working

458
00:24:03,457 --> 00:24:07,417
Speaker 2: Families Party, which is a very far left liberal party

459
00:24:07,457 --> 00:24:10,697
Speaker 2: in New York State. They never like endorsed or the

460
00:24:10,697 --> 00:24:12,817
Speaker 2: Green Party never indored dors Andrew Plomo. I don't think

461
00:24:12,817 --> 00:24:16,977
Speaker 2: the Working Failey Party ever endorsed Andrew Plomo either. If so,

462
00:24:17,177 --> 00:24:21,737
Speaker 2: like Jimani Williams ran for mayor or some other very

463
00:24:21,857 --> 00:24:25,537
Speaker 2: far left liberal New Yorker ran for governor. As Kathy

464
00:24:25,577 --> 00:24:27,777
Speaker 2: Hlchal's moving to the right, I could see the Working

465
00:24:27,777 --> 00:24:30,497
Speaker 2: Family Party endorsing against her and running a third party

466
00:24:30,777 --> 00:24:33,337
Speaker 2: person against her. And they actually have registered voters. They

467
00:24:33,337 --> 00:24:36,777
Speaker 2: have over one hundred thousand plus registered voters. That would

468
00:24:36,817 --> 00:24:40,817
Speaker 2: mean something, that would really really mean something in a

469
00:24:40,937 --> 00:24:43,217
Speaker 2: very tight election. If like a Mike Lawler, who who

470
00:24:43,257 --> 00:24:46,097
Speaker 2: was clearly a very serious candidate who outran Trump by

471
00:24:46,097 --> 00:24:49,097
Speaker 2: seven points in his district, ran and won in a

472
00:24:49,577 --> 00:24:52,497
Speaker 2: seat that Harris won, if he ran, I think it's

473
00:24:52,497 --> 00:24:55,737
Speaker 2: a very serious thing, especially as Long Island's becoming red

474
00:24:55,777 --> 00:24:59,217
Speaker 2: red red. You know, Queens is close to forty percents

475
00:24:59,257 --> 00:25:01,817
Speaker 2: Daden Island is the most second most red county in

476
00:25:02,017 --> 00:25:05,897
Speaker 2: all the mid Atlantic outside of Ocean County. New Jersey

477
00:25:06,257 --> 00:25:08,457
Speaker 2: and upstate is bloining a little bit, but it's a

478
00:25:08,497 --> 00:25:12,417
Speaker 2: lot of mixed manhatmites moving up there, so you never know.

479
00:25:12,497 --> 00:25:14,697
Speaker 2: I mean, it's a far different thing of New York

480
00:25:14,737 --> 00:25:18,217
Speaker 2: City is changing in a way that makes it much

481
00:25:18,217 --> 00:25:19,817
Speaker 2: more competitive than the state is changing to.

482
00:25:19,977 --> 00:25:22,177
Speaker 1: So, I mean it sounds like just to close us

483
00:25:22,217 --> 00:25:26,137
Speaker 1: up here, Ryan, the sense of political devastation that some

484
00:25:26,177 --> 00:25:29,777
Speaker 1: of us believe the Democrats must be feeling. They are

485
00:25:29,857 --> 00:25:32,097
Speaker 1: kind of feeling it right now. I mean that things are.

486
00:25:33,177 --> 00:25:36,977
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're going through a social thing. Listen, seven years

487
00:25:37,177 --> 00:25:40,937
Speaker 2: of saying the most insane things did not work for them.

488
00:25:41,177 --> 00:25:43,217
Speaker 2: Boys can be girls in preschool, they all can play

489
00:25:43,217 --> 00:25:45,617
Speaker 2: sports together, and then we'll do Black Lives Matter, and

490
00:25:45,657 --> 00:25:48,337
Speaker 2: then we'll do DEI and no one gets grades and

491
00:25:48,537 --> 00:25:51,337
Speaker 2: no one gets policed, and everything's gonna be the most wonderful, happy,

492
00:25:51,377 --> 00:25:54,537
Speaker 2: magical place. It didn't really work for them. So now

493
00:25:54,617 --> 00:25:56,737
Speaker 2: you're sitting here and seeing a bunch of Democrats saying, hey,

494
00:25:57,337 --> 00:26:01,377
Speaker 2: let's do something different, Let's find that sweet spot. Is it?

495
00:26:01,417 --> 00:26:03,577
Speaker 2: Like John Fetterman, who is moderated on a lot of things.

496
00:26:03,697 --> 00:26:05,977
Speaker 2: Is it just being pro Israel like Richie Torres is doing.

497
00:26:06,257 --> 00:26:09,537
Speaker 2: Is it doing some kind of immigration enforcement? Is it

498
00:26:09,577 --> 00:26:12,737
Speaker 2: the girls and boys sports like Seth Mouland from Massachusetts

499
00:26:12,777 --> 00:26:16,537
Speaker 2: is doing. They're all looking for how do I get

500
00:26:16,577 --> 00:26:21,417
Speaker 2: back to the middle by cutting off these very insane

501
00:26:21,577 --> 00:26:25,337
Speaker 2: fringe parts of the Democratic Party? Is is that going

502
00:26:25,377 --> 00:26:27,177
Speaker 2: to cost you more than when? And they're all taking

503
00:26:27,217 --> 00:26:29,657
Speaker 2: a different approach to it to find themselves where they

504
00:26:29,657 --> 00:26:31,937
Speaker 2: should be because they lost their minds in twenty twenty

505
00:26:32,297 --> 00:26:34,657
Speaker 2: and now they're waking up to smell the coffee.

506
00:26:35,537 --> 00:26:38,897
Speaker 1: Our sponsor here is done with debt. Look, costs are

507
00:26:38,937 --> 00:26:40,937
Speaker 1: still really high. Trump's coming in is going to do

508
00:26:40,937 --> 00:26:43,137
Speaker 1: good things, But in the meantime, you're still paying for

509
00:26:43,217 --> 00:26:46,537
Speaker 1: all that overspending at the pump at the grocery store,

510
00:26:46,617 --> 00:26:49,497
Speaker 1: and there's a growing stack of unpaid bills that are

511
00:26:49,537 --> 00:26:52,377
Speaker 1: really affecting millions of Americans day in and day out.

512
00:26:52,617 --> 00:26:55,737
Speaker 1: That's why Dumb with Debt created new aggressive strategies designed

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515
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516
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Speaker 1: money in your pocket. Month one and Dumb with Debt

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Speaker 1: done with debt dot Com. That's done with debt dot Com. Ryan.

526
00:27:30,377 --> 00:27:32,657
Speaker 1: When does the Numbers Game with Ryan Grodski launch on

527
00:27:32,697 --> 00:27:35,417
Speaker 1: the network. Everyone's very excited. I'm very excited.

528
00:27:35,977 --> 00:27:38,937
Speaker 2: You know, well, January twenty twenty five. I don't know

529
00:27:39,017 --> 00:27:41,577
Speaker 2: the exact date yet, but it is coming next month

530
00:27:41,577 --> 00:27:44,617
Speaker 2: and a half, so we'll not in a month, in

531
00:27:44,657 --> 00:27:46,577
Speaker 2: one month, so I will infront one month that it

532
00:27:46,617 --> 00:27:49,017
Speaker 2: was there. But yeah, in one month and January twenty

533
00:27:49,017 --> 00:27:51,617
Speaker 2: twenty five, it's a numbers game that Ryan Gourdeski comes

534
00:27:51,617 --> 00:27:54,537
Speaker 2: out our first episode. I believe we are going to

535
00:27:54,577 --> 00:27:58,057
Speaker 2: discuss what is a new swing district? What are the

536
00:27:58,097 --> 00:28:00,617
Speaker 2: new areas that change because of this election? And I

537
00:28:00,697 --> 00:28:03,337
Speaker 2: will go break down numbers every week. I'm going to

538
00:28:03,377 --> 00:28:06,537
Speaker 2: have a new piece of data that everyone should hear

539
00:28:06,577 --> 00:28:08,657
Speaker 2: about and know about, and I will dive into it.

540
00:28:08,657 --> 00:28:11,897
Speaker 2: It'll be political, it'll be economic, it'll be cultural, and

541
00:28:11,977 --> 00:28:13,737
Speaker 2: it will be the thing that you should know about.

542
00:28:14,057 --> 00:28:17,097
Speaker 1: Fantastic Ryan or Dusk everybody. Ryan, thanks so much, Thank you,