WEBVTT - Global Warming Is Pushing Humanity Toward Hunger. Can It Be Stopped?

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another special edition of Stephanomics from

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg New Economy Forum in Singapore. Today, we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to play you a wide ranging debate I had on

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<v Speaker 1>a pretty fundamental question, how do we feed the world

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<v Speaker 1>and also save the planet? The speakers were all able

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<v Speaker 1>to provide a different piece of the answer. You'll get

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<v Speaker 1>a better sense of that from my introduction to the session,

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<v Speaker 1>which we're going to play in a second. But just

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<v Speaker 1>so you know who you're listening to, I should say

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<v Speaker 1>the first speaker was Aloysius Atta, co founder and CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of farmer Line, company that works with hundreds of thousands

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<v Speaker 1>of farmers across Africa. And then next it was David mcclennan,

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<v Speaker 1>chairman and CEO of Cargill, one of the world's biggest

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<v Speaker 1>agricultural conglomerates. Then Walter Bowman, chairman and CEO of the

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<v Speaker 1>German pharmaceutical giant Bayer, and finally Sarah Menka, CEO and

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<v Speaker 1>founder of the data intelligence company grow Intelligence. How do

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<v Speaker 1>we feed the world? The tools we have as a

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<v Speaker 1>planet for answering that question, like so much else we've

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<v Speaker 1>been discussing over the last few days, has had changed

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<v Speaker 1>radically in the last ten or twenty years. The technology,

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<v Speaker 1>the underlying technology, the data, the intricate global supply networks

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<v Speaker 1>have all changed. But we know that the climate, the

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<v Speaker 1>environment has also been changing before our eyes, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>changing almost by the day, making the challenge harder in

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<v Speaker 1>in many ways, we've already got crop yields affected, severely

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<v Speaker 1>affected by climate change, and some of the most vulnerable

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<v Speaker 1>economies in the United Nations predicts average crop yields could

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<v Speaker 1>fall by thirty if we don't change, even as the

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<v Speaker 1>demand for food by increases by So that's the long

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<v Speaker 1>term challenge. But as I've increasingly realized talking to our panelists,

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<v Speaker 1>there is a short term crisis in the agricultural supply

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<v Speaker 1>chain that has just unfolded in the last few months.

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<v Speaker 1>Is now raising real questions, particularly for for farmers on

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<v Speaker 1>the ground, not just for thirty percent rise in food

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<v Speaker 1>prices that we know about, but fertilizer prices going to

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<v Speaker 1>an all time hi how do we feed the world

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<v Speaker 1>in this changing environment. We've got all pieces of that

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<v Speaker 1>agricultural supply chain represented here, the science behind the resources

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<v Speaker 1>that farmers use. Someone who works closely with farmers, the

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<v Speaker 1>businesses that get the food the crops from farms around

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<v Speaker 1>the world, and now the data we have to try

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<v Speaker 1>and solve that question more intelligently. Eloss I mentioned at

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<v Speaker 1>the start this this crisis related to fertilizer prices that

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<v Speaker 1>I think some people at least in this room would

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<v Speaker 1>not be fully aware of. Just paints a picture of that.

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<v Speaker 1>What's the situation right now, what's the challenge that farmers

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<v Speaker 1>are facing today? Thanks thanks for the question, um so

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<v Speaker 1>our focuse my opinion on small skill farmers in places

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<v Speaker 1>like Africa. The reason is that they are often not

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<v Speaker 1>in the middle of most conversations and they struggle to

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<v Speaker 1>ask us high quality fertilizing seeds just to give contest.

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<v Speaker 1>Fertilizers like mp GE were invented like of our hundred

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<v Speaker 1>years ago. African farmers currently only able to apply about

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<v Speaker 1>wing kilograms pertector while their counterparts in the rest of

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<v Speaker 1>the world apply overwhelming twenty kilograms. So they struggle, but

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time they are tasked with this in

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<v Speaker 1>the most responsibility of feeding one tail of the world today.

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<v Speaker 1>If you look at the situation happening in Madagascar right now,

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<v Speaker 1>where for the first time in our modern history where

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<v Speaker 1>there is farming and there is a fear of food

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<v Speaker 1>insecurity for close to a million people. And this is

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<v Speaker 1>not caused by war, but it's caused entirely by climate change.

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<v Speaker 1>The time is now to come up with innovation and

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<v Speaker 1>services that actually ensures that small scale farmers in places

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<v Speaker 1>like Africa actually get high quality of tidence is on

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<v Speaker 1>time and the support that they need to grow more

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<v Speaker 1>food to feed the future. And Davian mclearend just thinking

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<v Speaker 1>about to say that the short term situation, how how

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<v Speaker 1>bad is it? I think the food and egg system

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<v Speaker 1>has proven to be very resilient, perhaps surprisingly resilient. I

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<v Speaker 1>think it underscores the importance and the benefits of an

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<v Speaker 1>interconnected food supply system. So we've been able to get

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<v Speaker 1>food from where it's produced to where it's needed, with

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<v Speaker 1>some exceptions that have been spot shortages. There's been disruptions.

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<v Speaker 1>But you talk Stephanie about the impact of climate change

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<v Speaker 1>and you think about reduced yields, there's also the components

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<v Speaker 1>of climate volatility, for example, increased hurricanes. So one disruptive

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<v Speaker 1>event that we were impacted by was the hurricane that

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<v Speaker 1>hit the Gulf of Mexico and Louisiana early in the fall,

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<v Speaker 1>which we lost two of our facilities where we load

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<v Speaker 1>the grain that comes down the Mississippi River put it

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<v Speaker 1>onto barges or two ships to get it out, and

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<v Speaker 1>we were shut down for several weeks. We have one

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<v Speaker 1>facility that is still getting up and running. So, notwithstanding

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<v Speaker 1>the inevitable natural disasters coming from climate volatility, by and large,

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<v Speaker 1>the food supply chain has worked pretty well in the

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<v Speaker 1>last year or so with COVID, But nonetheless it's something

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<v Speaker 1>we cannot take for granted. Berna Berman, I've talked about

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<v Speaker 1>people at different stages of the fire chain. New fundamental

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<v Speaker 1>to the science, the products that farmers are putting into

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<v Speaker 1>their ground. How is how is that piece of the

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<v Speaker 1>challenge changed in recent years. There are three things that

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<v Speaker 1>are really important. Number one is that agriculture has become

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<v Speaker 1>more sustainable. Yeah, now more than ever if you look

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<v Speaker 1>at the massive impacts that climate change is going to

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<v Speaker 1>have on all of us, and that means that climate

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<v Speaker 1>that agriculture has to contribute its part to remove of

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<v Speaker 1>greenhouse gases. So we have to find these solutions. The

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<v Speaker 1>second one is um that we have to reduce the

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<v Speaker 1>footprint that is being used by agriculture while at the

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<v Speaker 1>same time increasing yields because as you mentioned, we need

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<v Speaker 1>to produce much more food in the next twenty thirty

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<v Speaker 1>years in order to feed to growing population. So increase

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<v Speaker 1>while at the same time, as a minimum, not increasing acreage,

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<v Speaker 1>but ideally bringing more intensification on existing acreage, while at

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<v Speaker 1>the same time freeing up acreage for reforestation and comments aquestration.

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<v Speaker 1>And the last thing is that we have to find

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<v Speaker 1>much more resilience in agriculture systems, which means, um you know,

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<v Speaker 1>better varieties that can stand drought, your other properties that

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<v Speaker 1>will plan make plants more resilient, and with that create

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<v Speaker 1>your better and more predictable harvards all together. So the

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<v Speaker 1>two examples I would give, since you also touched on

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<v Speaker 1>on fertilizer, is that your fertilizer has been a real

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<v Speaker 1>blessing to modern society because without the invention of nitrogen

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<v Speaker 1>fertilizer about hundred years ago, we wouldn't be able to

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<v Speaker 1>feed the people that we have on the planet today.

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<v Speaker 1>Having said that, after a hundred years, there may be

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the next big revolution coming that is informed

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<v Speaker 1>by biology on one side and bio technology and on

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<v Speaker 1>the other side by artificially intelligence. That's what people call

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<v Speaker 1>the bio revolution. And what we're working on specifically is

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<v Speaker 1>to find ways to teach plants to fixate nitrogen out

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<v Speaker 1>of the year rather than having it produced and then

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<v Speaker 1>put on the acre, which is a huge contributor to

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<v Speaker 1>global warming because that alone accounts for about four percent

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<v Speaker 1>of greenhouse gas production annually. The second piece that is

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<v Speaker 1>equally important is when it comes to resilience of plants. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, in the sixties there was you know, one

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<v Speaker 1>of the big then called green revolutions that was driven

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<v Speaker 1>by the inventions of sir normal bollock with a shorter

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<v Speaker 1>growing and more resilient wheat that tripled the yield in India.

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<v Speaker 1>Today we are working on something similar in corn. We

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<v Speaker 1>are a short statue of corn which is less susceptible

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<v Speaker 1>to lodging and which can be planted much more denser, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>and can also yield Other agriculture practice is the next

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<v Speaker 1>big thing to come, and you know we've started that

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<v Speaker 1>with your some preproduction launches in um in Mexico and

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<v Speaker 1>we are scaling up over the next years to come.

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<v Speaker 1>So those are the answers that we're working on with

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<v Speaker 1>with our people, Saramanca. When we think about sort of

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<v Speaker 1>squaring the circle, where does where does data and where

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<v Speaker 1>does where does grave intelligence come in? Yeah, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>in some ways, I think the answer is capital. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>all of this is going to cost money, and that

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<v Speaker 1>money comes with risk, and you have to price the

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<v Speaker 1>risk associated with the capital that gets deployed. And uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the example I gave you was I was

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<v Speaker 1>in my past life and an energy trader, and when

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<v Speaker 1>I first started trading oil and gas, if a producer

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<v Speaker 1>came and wanted to hedge oil two years forward, it

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<v Speaker 1>was very difficult for us to go out into the

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<v Speaker 1>market and sell that two years forward. By the time

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<v Speaker 1>I left to start grow, we could sell it ten

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<v Speaker 1>twenty years forward. That funded all sorts of innovations in

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<v Speaker 1>the energy market that made things like shale oil, shale

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<v Speaker 1>gas possible. Gas prices went down, coal got priced out

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<v Speaker 1>of the market, renewables became a possibility, so that there

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<v Speaker 1>was really long term changes that happened because capital flowed well.

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<v Speaker 1>Capital flows well when there is good information, and so

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<v Speaker 1>data becomes necessary infrastructure for driving transformation and change, because

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<v Speaker 1>this change is going to require lots and lots of

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<v Speaker 1>capital and lots of long term capital, and agriculture capital

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<v Speaker 1>today is too short term. I mean I think that

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<v Speaker 1>and and data is infrastructure, which is just view it

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<v Speaker 1>as a highway. Probably Bloomberg is the one company that

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<v Speaker 1>you don't have to give elected to about the importance

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<v Speaker 1>of data and the impact the power of data and

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<v Speaker 1>transparency in pricing, in in fueling a whole global company.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's lean anything else that the capital piece. I know, Alosius,

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<v Speaker 1>you're that's one of the things that you're focused on

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<v Speaker 1>trying to bring to farmers, So just explain that. But well,

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<v Speaker 1>so the lists of funding for most farmers, and you

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<v Speaker 1>know in place like Ghana is mostly banks. Banks required

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<v Speaker 1>farmas to bring some form of cola trying in order

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<v Speaker 1>to ask as capital. That alone is a limiting FATA

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<v Speaker 1>on how much money farmas can get. And farmasing need

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<v Speaker 1>money for front a few things they need money to

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<v Speaker 1>ask as deferiti, Lisa and seats um and without affordable capital,

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<v Speaker 1>without enough blended capital around, farmers alre often constrained on

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<v Speaker 1>the amount of fertilize that they can get to tell

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<v Speaker 1>the alliance grow more food and make more money. So

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<v Speaker 1>there's a massive opportunity, you know, to food a gap

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<v Speaker 1>and that's what farmer Line does. We digitized O by

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<v Speaker 1>million farmers and we finance farmers and we use alternative

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<v Speaker 1>data sources to give us information about the farmer and

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<v Speaker 1>that allows us to take risk in giving them money

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<v Speaker 1>to purchase fertililliance seeds. That allows us to purchase their

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<v Speaker 1>food cross at the end of the season so that

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<v Speaker 1>they can make more money. But were one company, we

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<v Speaker 1>can't do it all. So there's a need for governments.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a need for BEERFCE corporations to come together and

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<v Speaker 1>find new ways to make capital affordable for farmers so

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<v Speaker 1>they can be able to get all the tools that

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<v Speaker 1>they need in order to grow more food, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>to feed the future. But how much is so when

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<v Speaker 1>Berna Berman talks about the technological solutions of how do

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<v Speaker 1>you use you want to use less acred, you want

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<v Speaker 1>to reforest, you want to have the how much does

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<v Speaker 1>that figure in the day to day calculations of the

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<v Speaker 1>farmers that you work with, your your count down to

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<v Speaker 1>training you know, and and giving our information to farmers. Right, So,

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest challenge today is that the information that actually

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<v Speaker 1>exists is in it's in English, it's in its online,

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<v Speaker 1>it's not informers that farmers can easily understand. And if

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<v Speaker 1>you pass information down to a farmer and you don't

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<v Speaker 1>train them properly, um, if there's no proper training, there

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<v Speaker 1>can be in a change in behavior, and there's no

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<v Speaker 1>training in behavior, they will not be any adoption. So

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<v Speaker 1>the transition from both practices to climate smart practices actually

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<v Speaker 1>slows down. So there is massive room to figure out

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<v Speaker 1>a way to use digital tools to offer information to

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<v Speaker 1>farmers in the language and the format that they can

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<v Speaker 1>easily understand. GNA alone has fifty eight local languages, fifty

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<v Speaker 1>Nigeria has two hundred. So if you want to be

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<v Speaker 1>able to communicate, um, you know, you know how to

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<v Speaker 1>use SIS well, how to uh you know plants to

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<v Speaker 1>reduce the impacts of climates on the soil, and you

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<v Speaker 1>need to be able to meet it from a way

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<v Speaker 1>they are and look, our language is one of the

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<v Speaker 1>ways to go giving them information in the language I

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<v Speaker 1>understand and leriaging. They trust network that is around farm

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<v Speaker 1>is the agents in their community destination officers. Those are

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<v Speaker 1>still very relevant. David, I mean I think that the

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<v Speaker 1>problem is often that the resources will go to the

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<v Speaker 1>developed markets. You go where the money is. And actually

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to something certainly we know the environmental

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<v Speaker 1>challenges is the greatest in the places where perhaps the

0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:31.040
<v Speaker 1>market opportunity has been smallest in the past or less obvious.

0:14:31.240 --> 0:14:33.520
<v Speaker 1>So how I mean, are we doing enough to help

0:14:34.400 --> 0:14:38.560
<v Speaker 1>farmers do this kind of innovation? Are we spending enough

0:14:38.640 --> 0:14:41.040
<v Speaker 1>time in capital where it's near the most answers know?

0:14:42.240 --> 0:14:46.040
<v Speaker 1>And particularly in Africa, I mean Ala Wishes a very

0:14:46.040 --> 0:14:50.200
<v Speaker 1>descriptive spokesperson of what can be done in Africa for example,

0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:53.880
<v Speaker 1>So years of guys in Zambia where we are, we

0:14:53.920 --> 0:14:56.320
<v Speaker 1>have we had a farmer training program at the time

0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:59.640
<v Speaker 1>and they apply their fertilizer with a bottle cap from

0:14:59.800 --> 0:15:03.080
<v Speaker 1>a soda bottle, and so you can, you can and

0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:08.720
<v Speaker 1>you can triple and quadruple yields by here's modern fertilizer technique.

0:15:08.760 --> 0:15:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Here's when you should bring your crops to market, Here's

0:15:11.560 --> 0:15:14.840
<v Speaker 1>how you can store them effectively. Here's modern watering techniques,

0:15:14.880 --> 0:15:19.040
<v Speaker 1>building up burms so to prevent erosion. But the scalability

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:23.360
<v Speaker 1>at a small scale, working with farmers, and so I've

0:15:23.400 --> 0:15:26.240
<v Speaker 1>listened to each one of the panelists, it all comes

0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:29.840
<v Speaker 1>back to the farmer, whether it's data or seed technology.

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:32.800
<v Speaker 1>To Sarah's point about getting better data to help to

0:15:32.880 --> 0:15:37.600
<v Speaker 1>allowish is talking about training. That's where it begins. It's

0:15:37.640 --> 0:15:41.200
<v Speaker 1>not just yields, but it's also in terms of sustainability,

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:43.720
<v Speaker 1>which is a topic I would imagine we'll start we'll

0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:47.240
<v Speaker 1>talk about in a few minutes. I feel like we're

0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:52.320
<v Speaker 1>talking about it now. Um. But then you mentioned the

0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:56.200
<v Speaker 1>revel green Revolution, and obviously there's been at stages in

0:15:56.240 --> 0:15:58.960
<v Speaker 1>the last thursy or forty years where that kind of

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:01.920
<v Speaker 1>innovation has been called introversial. That's been questions about the

0:16:02.240 --> 0:16:09.840
<v Speaker 1>impact of it GMOs whether sort of latest round of that. UM.

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:12.120
<v Speaker 1>I would say the debate has been reopened by the

0:16:12.240 --> 0:16:15.720
<v Speaker 1>urgency of some of the challenges that we're facing on

0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:19.280
<v Speaker 1>the climate front. Yeah. Yeah, that that that's an interesting one. Stephanie.

0:16:19.320 --> 0:16:23.080
<v Speaker 1>The first question is has that controversy been going on

0:16:23.160 --> 0:16:25.680
<v Speaker 1>for the right reasons or not? And if you die

0:16:25.760 --> 0:16:30.360
<v Speaker 1>back to when the controversy around GMO began, it was

0:16:30.400 --> 0:16:34.760
<v Speaker 1>actually a discussion that originated a green piece when it

0:16:34.840 --> 0:16:37.240
<v Speaker 1>came to the next big campaign, yea that you could

0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:40.760
<v Speaker 1>spook most people with, Yeah, and which better area to

0:16:40.840 --> 0:16:45.000
<v Speaker 1>do that. Then with food that's where had started. You said, hey,

0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:47.520
<v Speaker 1>we have to go after that or against that technology

0:16:48.320 --> 0:16:51.600
<v Speaker 1>because that's a frank and foods that's that's a fantastic

0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:54.440
<v Speaker 1>fundraising opportunity. And what they did with it. Yeah, and

0:16:54.800 --> 0:16:56.840
<v Speaker 1>depending on who you talked to today, they will also

0:16:56.880 --> 0:17:00.400
<v Speaker 1>acknowledge it is that they prevented an awful lot of people,

0:17:00.520 --> 0:17:02.680
<v Speaker 1>you are, from having the benefits of that technology. In

0:17:02.720 --> 0:17:06.080
<v Speaker 1>particularly if you look at, for example, vitamin A and

0:17:06.240 --> 0:17:09.880
<v Speaker 1>rich rice golden rice that has been deregulated and improved

0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:12.080
<v Speaker 1>in a number of countries by now, that would have

0:17:12.160 --> 0:17:15.240
<v Speaker 1>prevented many, many many kids from you know, getting blind

0:17:15.840 --> 0:17:19.720
<v Speaker 1>because of that vitamin deficiency. So having said that, I

0:17:19.760 --> 0:17:23.359
<v Speaker 1>think there's an increasing acknowledgement of how important that technology

0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:25.480
<v Speaker 1>is for a number of reasons. Also when it comes

0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:30.600
<v Speaker 1>to so standable farming practices and obviously today both with

0:17:30.880 --> 0:17:36.000
<v Speaker 1>traditional gmore and then on the horizon new modern breeding technologies,

0:17:36.080 --> 0:17:39.880
<v Speaker 1>which means applying new technology such as crisper cass gene

0:17:40.000 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 1>editing for position breeding that is quote unquote nature identical

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:48.639
<v Speaker 1>and not translandic. Uh. This is something that we see

0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:54.240
<v Speaker 1>with let's say renewed openness also when it comes to deregulation.

0:17:54.920 --> 0:17:57.639
<v Speaker 1>And before we entered the stage, I was talking to

0:17:57.680 --> 0:18:00.320
<v Speaker 1>a large use that we see that now happening in Frica,

0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:03.919
<v Speaker 1>which is interesting that Africa takes the lead here is

0:18:04.080 --> 0:18:06.800
<v Speaker 1>some of these approvals now in in Ghana and I

0:18:07.040 --> 0:18:10.879
<v Speaker 1>area were actually Europe is falling behind. We have it

0:18:11.040 --> 0:18:14.200
<v Speaker 1>in North America, we have been Latin America, and Europe

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:16.919
<v Speaker 1>has been which has been a little bit agnostic to

0:18:16.960 --> 0:18:19.239
<v Speaker 1>some of these modern technologies for the wrong reasons. It's

0:18:19.280 --> 0:18:22.440
<v Speaker 1>falling behind. But there's hope that we'll catch up also

0:18:22.480 --> 0:18:25.800
<v Speaker 1>with new legislation that might be uh, you know, coming

0:18:25.800 --> 0:18:28.840
<v Speaker 1>over the next years. David on the just on the

0:18:28.920 --> 0:18:31.520
<v Speaker 1>g M A piece and if it's not everyone's popular

0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:35.520
<v Speaker 1>favorite subject, but when you think when you talk about

0:18:35.600 --> 0:18:37.919
<v Speaker 1>the long term picture is it does it have to

0:18:37.960 --> 0:18:41.399
<v Speaker 1>be part of the story for all of the discomfort

0:18:41.480 --> 0:18:45.879
<v Speaker 1>somehow it absolutely does. So, I mean, I'm about to

0:18:45.920 --> 0:18:48.159
<v Speaker 1>start my ninth year in this job. So when I

0:18:48.200 --> 0:18:54.560
<v Speaker 1>first started in this role, GMOs were the hot topic,

0:18:54.640 --> 0:18:59.240
<v Speaker 1>whether it be protesters and literature, and we could not

0:18:59.320 --> 0:19:03.840
<v Speaker 1>figure out why because ultimately GMOs I mean they got

0:19:03.880 --> 0:19:07.159
<v Speaker 1>branded frank and food, but Ultimately, they have been behind

0:19:07.280 --> 0:19:10.600
<v Speaker 1>since the ninth you know, early part of the of

0:19:10.640 --> 0:19:16.520
<v Speaker 1>the twentieth century, increased yields, increased access to food, increased

0:19:16.520 --> 0:19:20.320
<v Speaker 1>farmer livelihoods around the world, and they're a tool for sustainability.

0:19:20.320 --> 0:19:24.200
<v Speaker 1>But that the dialogue, the storyline got into the system,

0:19:24.240 --> 0:19:28.200
<v Speaker 1>which is they're bad for you. There you shouldn't consume them.

0:19:28.240 --> 0:19:31.480
<v Speaker 1>But things like um, you know what Warner talked about

0:19:31.560 --> 0:19:35.160
<v Speaker 1>cross breeding or you know, they're mangoes have been gmo

0:19:35.240 --> 0:19:38.919
<v Speaker 1>engineers since the nineteen sixties, but I think people became

0:19:39.000 --> 0:19:42.800
<v Speaker 1>fearful of them. To the follow up, Stephanie about soil health,

0:19:42.920 --> 0:19:47.120
<v Speaker 1>you're absolutely right, and this next iteration or I'll say,

0:19:47.119 --> 0:19:52.600
<v Speaker 1>the current iteration of sustainability in farming has to include

0:19:52.640 --> 0:19:56.919
<v Speaker 1>regenerative agriculture, whether it be no till, whether it be

0:19:57.040 --> 0:20:00.439
<v Speaker 1>crop rotation, but to improve soil health, and you soil

0:20:00.480 --> 0:20:05.520
<v Speaker 1>for carbon sequestration is becoming more so and will become

0:20:05.560 --> 0:20:09.400
<v Speaker 1>more so part of the solution to improve farmer livelihoods

0:20:09.440 --> 0:20:15.919
<v Speaker 1>and to improve the greenhouse gas footprint of farming. Sustainability

0:20:15.920 --> 0:20:20.080
<v Speaker 1>has been part of agriculture since agriculture ever started, right

0:20:20.080 --> 0:20:24.240
<v Speaker 1>like since the Neolithic revolution. Essentially and so I think

0:20:24.240 --> 0:20:30.560
<v Speaker 1>sustainability is is is a core part of the agricultural ecosystem,

0:20:30.640 --> 0:20:33.800
<v Speaker 1>and so it's not the data as an answer, but

0:20:33.880 --> 0:20:38.520
<v Speaker 1>that it is actually agriculture and people who understand agricultural markets,

0:20:38.720 --> 0:20:42.879
<v Speaker 1>I would argue, probably understand our earth, the environment, and

0:20:43.040 --> 0:20:46.840
<v Speaker 1>climate in ways that the average person in this world

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:51.520
<v Speaker 1>don't understand because their reality. Every single day. There was

0:20:51.560 --> 0:20:53.680
<v Speaker 1>a there was a famous quote I had seen once

0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:57.840
<v Speaker 1>that said eating is an agricultural act. And it was

0:20:57.840 --> 0:21:00.040
<v Speaker 1>a T shirt actually at a coffee shop, and I

0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:02.119
<v Speaker 1>I bought it. Then I went and I got my

0:21:02.160 --> 0:21:04.000
<v Speaker 1>team to make a new version of that t shirt,

0:21:04.280 --> 0:21:08.800
<v Speaker 1>which was living as an agricultural act. Because if you

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:12.680
<v Speaker 1>ask people the question what's your first interaction with agriculture

0:21:13.560 --> 0:21:15.760
<v Speaker 1>when you wake up in the morning, most people say

0:21:15.960 --> 0:21:19.159
<v Speaker 1>my cup of coffee. They forget about the sheet of

0:21:19.240 --> 0:21:22.000
<v Speaker 1>cotton they slept in, They forget about the fact that

0:21:22.040 --> 0:21:25.359
<v Speaker 1>the soaps they used have oils, they forget about the

0:21:25.359 --> 0:21:28.520
<v Speaker 1>mint in their toothpaste. It is so a core part

0:21:28.560 --> 0:21:31.440
<v Speaker 1>of our life and every part of the way we live,

0:21:32.000 --> 0:21:34.359
<v Speaker 1>and we don't understand it. And I think I really

0:21:34.359 --> 0:21:38.160
<v Speaker 1>believe that sort of the contribution that the agricultural industry

0:21:38.200 --> 0:21:41.439
<v Speaker 1>as a whole can have two dialogues around sustainability and

0:21:41.480 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 1>to driving change in sort of the world is large,

0:21:44.840 --> 0:21:49.320
<v Speaker 1>and I think we're only just beginning. Feeding the world

0:21:49.400 --> 0:21:51.200
<v Speaker 1>is partly, but the more you get into this debate

0:21:51.320 --> 0:21:55.119
<v Speaker 1>is partly about not throwing food away. We're throwing away

0:21:55.119 --> 0:21:58.159
<v Speaker 1>a third of our food. I mean, David, isn't that

0:21:58.280 --> 0:22:01.359
<v Speaker 1>a How does a as a business like you would

0:22:01.480 --> 0:22:07.480
<v Speaker 1>address that issue? Yeah, it's I mean food waste exists

0:22:07.520 --> 0:22:11.160
<v Speaker 1>at all parts of the chain, and so if anybody

0:22:11.200 --> 0:22:14.959
<v Speaker 1>who is American or has dying in American food service

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:20.119
<v Speaker 1>knows the portions are obscene um and rarely get fully

0:22:20.160 --> 0:22:24.600
<v Speaker 1>consumed or they shouldn't be consumed for for health purposes.

0:22:25.720 --> 0:22:30.719
<v Speaker 1>But I think it's what we're focusing on is waste

0:22:30.800 --> 0:22:33.800
<v Speaker 1>on the front end of the supply chain. So I

0:22:33.840 --> 0:22:40.160
<v Speaker 1>think when you focus on improving farmer education, modernizing farming techniques,

0:22:40.680 --> 0:22:45.080
<v Speaker 1>the use of GMOs to better utilize the resources that

0:22:45.240 --> 0:22:50.159
<v Speaker 1>go into production of food, to production of everything. To

0:22:50.280 --> 0:22:55.040
<v Speaker 1>Sarah's good point, that's where I think waste can be eliminated,

0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:57.360
<v Speaker 1>and it's not as visible. People don't see the front

0:22:57.480 --> 0:23:00.119
<v Speaker 1>end of the supply chain. They see how a to

0:23:00.160 --> 0:23:02.600
<v Speaker 1>waste they you know, as I said, in food service

0:23:02.600 --> 0:23:05.840
<v Speaker 1>and restaurants, or it might be in food has gone bad.

0:23:06.720 --> 0:23:09.000
<v Speaker 1>But I think there's various parts, and it might be

0:23:09.080 --> 0:23:10.919
<v Speaker 1>in the middle part of the supply chain where it

0:23:11.000 --> 0:23:13.520
<v Speaker 1>gets shipped or processed. But there's a lot of parts

0:23:13.600 --> 0:23:18.119
<v Speaker 1>of the egg and food supply chain where waste contributes

0:23:18.160 --> 0:23:21.040
<v Speaker 1>to inefficiency and high costs. But I think what the

0:23:21.040 --> 0:23:24.679
<v Speaker 1>consumer sees is just one part of it. From Cargio standpoint,

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:27.600
<v Speaker 1>we're focusing where we're gonna have a bigger impact, which

0:23:27.680 --> 0:23:30.120
<v Speaker 1>is on the front end, where where and when it's

0:23:30.160 --> 0:23:39.439
<v Speaker 1>being produced. It couldn't help noticing that Elon Musk had

0:23:39.480 --> 0:23:43.679
<v Speaker 1>a bit of money to spend on solving the problem

0:23:43.680 --> 0:23:48.800
<v Speaker 1>of global hunger. I think it was six billion, six billion,

0:23:49.119 --> 0:23:51.399
<v Speaker 1>So always says, how should he spend his six billion?

0:23:52.600 --> 0:23:54.360
<v Speaker 1>What was your plan for him? I'm sure you sent

0:23:54.400 --> 0:23:57.920
<v Speaker 1>it to him. You tweeted, well, you know, I wish,

0:23:57.960 --> 0:24:03.399
<v Speaker 1>I wish i'd threaten him. Um, I'm sure you tweet back. Yeah, Like,

0:24:03.400 --> 0:24:09.280
<v Speaker 1>if I gets six villain, I would invest in infrastructure,

0:24:10.000 --> 0:24:14.920
<v Speaker 1>right like because fundamentally, like our invest in moving farmers,

0:24:15.040 --> 0:24:19.520
<v Speaker 1>small skill farmers from takers to a place where they

0:24:19.520 --> 0:24:22.720
<v Speaker 1>have more options and choices. You and I we can

0:24:22.760 --> 0:24:25.560
<v Speaker 1>go on Amazon, Google and or whatever we want. Farmers

0:24:25.600 --> 0:24:28.560
<v Speaker 1>are often takets of services. We have one guy in

0:24:28.600 --> 0:24:31.439
<v Speaker 1>the village that specialized and that's it. There will be

0:24:31.480 --> 0:24:34.399
<v Speaker 1>some eight projects that comes and that's good work. That

0:24:34.400 --> 0:24:36.080
<v Speaker 1>would last for three or four years and then they'll

0:24:36.119 --> 0:24:39.159
<v Speaker 1>go away. Right Like, what has to happen is that

0:24:39.200 --> 0:24:41.120
<v Speaker 1>they need to have more options and choices where people

0:24:41.160 --> 0:24:44.040
<v Speaker 1>compete on quality and price. UM. So I will build

0:24:44.040 --> 0:24:47.680
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure that will give them more services on the farm,

0:24:48.040 --> 0:24:50.240
<v Speaker 1>and that will give the more services in life too,

0:24:50.359 --> 0:24:53.560
<v Speaker 1>because farmers are humans and they um In order to

0:24:53.800 --> 0:24:55.760
<v Speaker 1>for them to keep growing food, to take care of us,

0:24:55.760 --> 0:24:57.280
<v Speaker 1>they need to be healthy. They need to be well

0:24:57.320 --> 0:25:00.040
<v Speaker 1>in life. So that's what I will invest money on.

0:25:00.119 --> 0:25:02.960
<v Speaker 1>And if you're build infrastructure, if they have good roads,

0:25:02.960 --> 0:25:05.760
<v Speaker 1>they have good storage facilities, they would be able to

0:25:05.800 --> 0:25:09.080
<v Speaker 1>reduce both others lots. Right, they will maintain quality of food.

0:25:09.119 --> 0:25:11.200
<v Speaker 1>When they maintain quality of the food, they get paid more.

0:25:11.760 --> 0:25:15.040
<v Speaker 1>Right so, and if they want fertilizer like today last year,

0:25:15.080 --> 0:25:16.760
<v Speaker 1>but this time the price of mp K was two

0:25:17.760 --> 0:25:21.800
<v Speaker 1>in two paton today's thousand dollars, right, If they have

0:25:22.440 --> 0:25:26.800
<v Speaker 1>the infrastructures fertilizer, it's gone up five phones exactly right,

0:25:26.920 --> 0:25:29.359
<v Speaker 1>and they did nothing to to contribute to that. If

0:25:29.359 --> 0:25:32.080
<v Speaker 1>they have the if there is an infrastructure that people

0:25:32.440 --> 0:25:34.920
<v Speaker 1>would be able to easily reach them and they'll compete

0:25:34.960 --> 0:25:36.800
<v Speaker 1>on quality and price. So that's what I'll use the

0:25:36.840 --> 0:25:40.240
<v Speaker 1>money for. If given the chance, Day didn't have to

0:25:40.280 --> 0:25:42.760
<v Speaker 1>ask you, also, where do you think it's the market

0:25:42.800 --> 0:25:45.919
<v Speaker 1>failure that six billion would help solve? I would go

0:25:46.000 --> 0:25:48.800
<v Speaker 1>back to what I was saying about farmer education, training,

0:25:48.960 --> 0:25:52.919
<v Speaker 1>regenerative agg the points that we're just made soil health

0:25:53.400 --> 0:25:57.520
<v Speaker 1>to increase syields but also increased livelihoods in places like Africa.

0:25:58.359 --> 0:26:02.920
<v Speaker 1>And then I would also say, uh, infrastructure, so oh yeah,

0:26:03.040 --> 0:26:05.280
<v Speaker 1>the US just passed a bill on that, but does

0:26:05.320 --> 0:26:09.680
<v Speaker 1>it get to places like ports and river ways South

0:26:09.720 --> 0:26:15.240
<v Speaker 1>America as well. So you've got this massive crop growing

0:26:15.480 --> 0:26:18.840
<v Speaker 1>region of the world, South America, which doesn't yet have

0:26:19.080 --> 0:26:22.280
<v Speaker 1>the appropriate infrastructure to get it out of the fields

0:26:22.520 --> 0:26:24.520
<v Speaker 1>and to the consumer. Doesn't do any good if you

0:26:24.560 --> 0:26:27.480
<v Speaker 1>increase yields and increase farmer training and education. If you

0:26:27.480 --> 0:26:30.520
<v Speaker 1>can't get it to where it's needed. And so, but

0:26:30.640 --> 0:26:33.320
<v Speaker 1>that's also true. You know that there's aging infrastructure in

0:26:33.359 --> 0:26:36.879
<v Speaker 1>the US. What does it take It was the disruption

0:26:36.920 --> 0:26:39.600
<v Speaker 1>in the Gulf from that hurricane avoidable because of better

0:26:39.600 --> 0:26:44.000
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure maybe maybe or infrastructure that's going to be able

0:26:44.000 --> 0:26:46.560
<v Speaker 1>to stand up better to the natural disasters which are

0:26:46.600 --> 0:26:51.440
<v Speaker 1>inevitably coming with increasing frequency due to climate of volatility.

0:26:51.520 --> 0:26:54.240
<v Speaker 1>And then I would say whatever is left over to

0:26:54.320 --> 0:26:57.560
<v Speaker 1>give it to Sarah and Aloish's company to help farmers

0:26:57.560 --> 0:27:01.119
<v Speaker 1>and then build the data. Sarah, I suspect a lot

0:27:01.200 --> 0:27:04.119
<v Speaker 1>of the different pieces have been said, But where do

0:27:04.160 --> 0:27:07.160
<v Speaker 1>you think would be a really kind of catalyzing investment

0:27:07.240 --> 0:27:10.160
<v Speaker 1>that Elon could make? Well, I was gonna say, it's

0:27:10.160 --> 0:27:12.360
<v Speaker 1>going to take a lot more than six billion dollars,

0:27:12.400 --> 0:27:15.399
<v Speaker 1>and I don't think we want to trivialize the amount

0:27:15.440 --> 0:27:18.679
<v Speaker 1>of investment it's going to take. When we talk about infrastructure, right,

0:27:18.720 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 1>it's infrastructure in terms of storage of grain for farmers, right.

0:27:22.760 --> 0:27:27.520
<v Speaker 1>And when you are looking at um small scale farming

0:27:28.000 --> 0:27:31.879
<v Speaker 1>scale doesn't existence. So therefore the cost of infrastructure infrastructure

0:27:32.040 --> 0:27:34.639
<v Speaker 1>is artificially too high. So how do you actually create

0:27:34.680 --> 0:27:39.159
<v Speaker 1>aggregation methodologies that help us develop scale in communities and

0:27:39.200 --> 0:27:41.880
<v Speaker 1>in parts of the world where that scale doesn't exist, right,

0:27:41.920 --> 0:27:47.280
<v Speaker 1>I mean, these are really expensive, like undertaking. And so

0:27:47.440 --> 0:27:50.520
<v Speaker 1>my my answer to the six billion dollars is I

0:27:50.560 --> 0:27:55.360
<v Speaker 1>would actually use that to create a financial institution that

0:27:55.440 --> 0:28:00.159
<v Speaker 1>would help create the mechanisms to start financing all the

0:28:00.280 --> 0:28:03.359
<v Speaker 1>changes that then need to be made. Right, And I

0:28:04.000 --> 0:28:07.040
<v Speaker 1>think one of the things to think about when thinking

0:28:07.080 --> 0:28:09.560
<v Speaker 1>about sort of the financial markets as it relates to

0:28:09.560 --> 0:28:13.120
<v Speaker 1>agriculture that I had not fully appreciated when I left

0:28:13.160 --> 0:28:16.800
<v Speaker 1>to start grows. Only a handful of agricultural products are

0:28:16.800 --> 0:28:21.520
<v Speaker 1>even traded on a formal exchange. Most agricultural trades happen

0:28:21.640 --> 0:28:23.919
<v Speaker 1>day to day, week to week. That's it. That's the

0:28:23.920 --> 0:28:27.240
<v Speaker 1>way most of the market works. And we have to

0:28:27.320 --> 0:28:31.080
<v Speaker 1>change that because I think and you change that through capital,

0:28:31.320 --> 0:28:35.159
<v Speaker 1>and I think creating new forms of financial institutions that

0:28:35.240 --> 0:28:39.560
<v Speaker 1>truly innovate new models of financing agriculture is a place

0:28:39.640 --> 0:28:42.160
<v Speaker 1>that I think one could put a lot of good use.

0:28:42.560 --> 0:28:45.280
<v Speaker 1>You know, the six billion dollars could actually realistically create

0:28:45.360 --> 0:28:49.200
<v Speaker 1>that sort of next level infrastructure that I think is necessary.

0:28:49.760 --> 0:28:53.200
<v Speaker 1>You're all in different ways. At the heart of this challenge,

0:28:54.080 --> 0:28:56.200
<v Speaker 1>do you sometimes wonder you think this is actually the

0:28:56.240 --> 0:28:59.160
<v Speaker 1>time we're gonna We're going to fail even without all

0:28:59.200 --> 0:29:04.960
<v Speaker 1>of our expertise. Do you have moments of doubt? No,

0:29:05.120 --> 0:29:09.040
<v Speaker 1>I would rely on the ingenuity of our people and

0:29:09.200 --> 0:29:13.760
<v Speaker 1>the power of science. Has said it earlier, Yeah, that

0:29:13.880 --> 0:29:18.880
<v Speaker 1>level of confraud is currently as high as it's never been. Yeah,

0:29:19.040 --> 0:29:23.120
<v Speaker 1>we just have to plan to ride solutions with science

0:29:23.160 --> 0:29:26.960
<v Speaker 1>and technology to solve the problems of society and the planet.

0:29:27.960 --> 0:29:30.640
<v Speaker 1>And I have absolutely no doubt that we are going

0:29:30.680 --> 0:29:33.200
<v Speaker 1>to succeed. Well, I guess if there was ever a

0:29:33.240 --> 0:29:36.880
<v Speaker 1>twelve months that showed us the rightness of being confident

0:29:36.960 --> 0:29:40.120
<v Speaker 1>in science and the miraculous nature of science, but also

0:29:40.880 --> 0:29:43.200
<v Speaker 1>the humility we need in face with some of these

0:29:43.840 --> 0:29:46.600
<v Speaker 1>rising challenges. It's the last twelve months, but thank you

0:29:46.880 --> 0:29:52.440
<v Speaker 1>to all of you, and thanks for listening. That's it

0:29:52.480 --> 0:29:54.880
<v Speaker 1>from the special edition of Stephonomics. We'll be back next

0:29:54.920 --> 0:29:57.240
<v Speaker 1>week with a bit more from Singapore and from other

0:29:57.280 --> 0:30:00.240
<v Speaker 1>parts of the world. This episode was produced by as

0:30:00.240 --> 0:30:03.440
<v Speaker 1>Hendrickson as Ever and the head of Bloomberg Podcast is

0:30:03.480 --> 0:30:22.720
<v Speaker 1>Francesca Levie m h m hm m m