WEBVTT - Cliff Notes: COMPUTER CHIP SHORTAGE - STOCKS THAT COULD RISE

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<v Speaker 1>An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child

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<v Speaker 2>Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security.

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<v Speaker 3>Joy, you was talking about today that you shent me

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<v Speaker 3>an articles, an article that was interesting that everybody knows

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<v Speaker 3>how I feel about these chip stocks Semiconductors. Yes, yep,

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<v Speaker 3>and you know been very vocal about a lot of them.

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<v Speaker 3>And but you were saying that a lot of these

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<v Speaker 3>tech companies you sent the article, a lot of these

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<v Speaker 3>tech companies are starting to explore doing it themselves, or at

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<v Speaker 3>least a portion of it themselves. So that's interesting because

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<v Speaker 3>in my brain, that would hurt the industry that's been

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<v Speaker 3>doing extremely well SMH, been on fire, you know, the

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<v Speaker 3>Taiwan Semiconductor a m B. All of these have done

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<v Speaker 3>extremely well for you know, the last five ten years.

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<v Speaker 2>So what's what's the deal with that?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So obviously, and even in November, I think on

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<v Speaker 4>market money as we talked about, and it's happened already

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<v Speaker 4>with Apple making their own and one chip they put

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<v Speaker 4>it in the new iPads, they put it in the

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<v Speaker 4>new MacBook. So they've made their own chip. Tesla and

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<v Speaker 4>said they're gonna be making their own chip. The Dojo

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<v Speaker 4>chip by do which is the Chinese version of Google,

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<v Speaker 4>has made their own chip. We just put up a

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<v Speaker 4>post last week about Google creating their own chip and

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<v Speaker 4>Amazon working on something and so it's interesting, right, And

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<v Speaker 4>I thought the same thing as you. I'm like, wait

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<v Speaker 4>if they start making O chips. Some of these companies

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<v Speaker 4>are gonna get pulled back. But what they're going to do,

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<v Speaker 4>and they're making their chips, but the key is who's

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<v Speaker 4>manufacturing the chip? Right, Because to invest in that is

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<v Speaker 4>going to be the key, right Because to create a

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<v Speaker 4>factory that has manufacturing, it's like a I think, like

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<v Speaker 4>fifteen billion dollar operation and it takes like seven years

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<v Speaker 4>to do it. So they don't have that type of

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<v Speaker 4>time right, right, So because business moves every day, and

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<v Speaker 4>so the manufacturing piece is going to be key. And

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<v Speaker 4>so who's the number one manufacturer of the chips? TSM,

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<v Speaker 4>right or Intel?

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<v Speaker 2>Right? Right now? I give the notch to TSM in

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<v Speaker 2>that category.

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<v Speaker 4>So that's a company obviously with the chip shortage that

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<v Speaker 4>we've said this so.

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<v Speaker 2>Many times, I love TSM. I love TSM.

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<v Speaker 4>When companies need to have manufacturing which is going to

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<v Speaker 4>be on a high demand sense, there is a shortage,

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<v Speaker 4>I want to find a person.

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<v Speaker 2>That's manufacturing it.

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<v Speaker 4>But I dug a little deeper into the research, right,

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<v Speaker 4>And so I keep hearing we keep paying chip shorts,

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<v Speaker 4>keep shitting chip shorts.

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<v Speaker 2>What is the problem? And so I think.

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<v Speaker 4>Wall Street Journal, it might have been Wall Street Join

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<v Speaker 4>and I put the article in the chat they wrote a

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<v Speaker 4>very good article and explaining what happened. And so there's

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<v Speaker 4>a piece inside of these ships called the substrate, right,

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<v Speaker 4>So the sub it's called the substrate, right.

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<v Speaker 2>Sub s T R A T E.

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<v Speaker 4>So when I'm like, yo, do your research, like I

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<v Speaker 4>really was reading this all weekend, I'm like, damn, oh,

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<v Speaker 4>I get it. And so the substrate is pretty much

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<v Speaker 4>what connects the chips to communicate with each other.

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<v Speaker 2>And so they've been having a problem producing those.

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<v Speaker 4>And so this is interesting because substrates are something that

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<v Speaker 4>people don't really invest in, even if you look now

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<v Speaker 4>that put the people that produce them.

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<v Speaker 2>Even in the articles, it's like three companies, but they're.

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<v Speaker 4>All in Southeast Asia, not heavily invested in because it's

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<v Speaker 4>not a lot of money. Until now, right before, it

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<v Speaker 4>was like we can get these ships, it's cool, we

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<v Speaker 4>put it in all our devices.

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<v Speaker 2>It's nothing.

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<v Speaker 4>Now there's a shortage, you know, So now the substrate

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<v Speaker 4>that man is about to go up. And so now

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<v Speaker 4>even me I'm looking at it, like, so who makes

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<v Speaker 4>a substrate? So there's like three companies that they list

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<v Speaker 4>in article. I think one of them is Samsung Materials.

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<v Speaker 4>It's not actually Samsung the company, it's like Samsung Materials.

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<v Speaker 4>I'll posted the article so we can see it. But

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<v Speaker 4>these are the type of things that I'm looking into. Now.

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<v Speaker 4>It's like all right, well, all right, so substrates is

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<v Speaker 4>what helps the chips communicate. That's how that's the piece

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<v Speaker 4>that's keeping this as a shortage. There's a low supply

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<v Speaker 4>in it right now, who's going to be making that?

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<v Speaker 4>And so like that, you know what we talked about

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<v Speaker 4>it with Trapp last week, like when somebody's dig gonna

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<v Speaker 4>for go, we got to find the shovels. I'm looking

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<v Speaker 4>into those type of things and so now they might

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<v Speaker 4>be the piece that becomes in demand. But again, who's

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<v Speaker 4>going to manufacture? And so if we look at it

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<v Speaker 4>from that standpoint, I still like companies like Taiwan Semi

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<v Speaker 4>Conductor because they already have the infrastructure to manufacture.

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<v Speaker 5>And your thoughts, we shouldn't even do a follow up.

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<v Speaker 5>You killed that thirty nine off the bench and all

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<v Speaker 5>possessions you killed that. I agree with that. That's yeah,

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<v Speaker 5>all the earned is going crazy.

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<v Speaker 6>Truy teaching, yup, I have nothing to add, might cut

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<v Speaker 6>all my parts out?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah yeah, no, I was like seriously. It's like we

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<v Speaker 4>talk about researching and I'll try to put it in YouTube. Man,

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<v Speaker 4>these are the things that we should be really researching, right,

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<v Speaker 4>Like we keep paring ship choice and you know we

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<v Speaker 4>love that mate that's major has done a lot for us.

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<v Speaker 2>Crazy.

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<v Speaker 4>We're going to thank God for esmate, But if we

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<v Speaker 4>Shortage right, then this could hurt our industry, hit the

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<v Speaker 4>industry right, or hurt our.

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<v Speaker 2>Etf and we don't we don't need that.

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<v Speaker 4>So let's find other ways that we can invest in

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<v Speaker 4>and make a bad situation or a dim situation right.

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<v Speaker 4>Because now it started out by saying it would last

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<v Speaker 4>half of twenty two. Now this talks that it might

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<v Speaker 4>last to twenty twenty five.

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<v Speaker 6>What the chip shortage?

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<v Speaker 4>The chip shortage right, because the automakers are like listen

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<v Speaker 4>we can't produce. The cars are hurting, they're getting killed.

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<v Speaker 2>If you look at who who reported last week, was

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<v Speaker 2>it for.

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<v Speaker 4>One and the one automative reported and it was just

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<v Speaker 4>like they took a hit because they don't have this.

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<v Speaker 4>They can't get the chips in the cars fast enough

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<v Speaker 4>to sell them. And so knowing those things, we just

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<v Speaker 4>gotta dive a little bit deeper into the research and say,

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<v Speaker 4>all right, well this is something that we could look into.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm gonna post article so everybody can have it as well.

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<v Speaker 4>Out to Wall Street Journal. It was a great article.

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<v Speaker 5>Also, in every shortage or in every crisis, there's an

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<v Speaker 5>immense opportunity and the true goal of every company is

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<v Speaker 5>to happen a monopoly.

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<v Speaker 6>So AMDTSM will still be fine.

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<v Speaker 5>Keep your eye on Apple, on Google and see what

0:09:15.840 --> 0:09:18.360
<v Speaker 5>they come up with. Also Amazon with web services.

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<v Speaker 6>That's what I always tell you guys.

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<v Speaker 5>You got to invest in companies that have a bunch

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<v Speaker 5>of cash in case if a crisis comes about and

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<v Speaker 5>these are playing like I put it in stock Club yesterday.

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<v Speaker 5>Notice twenty twenty Health crisis nineteen twenty, Spanish fluid health

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<v Speaker 5>crisis eighteen twenty, What health crisis came about put it

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<v Speaker 5>in Chat seventeen twenty.

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<v Speaker 6>These are change in up the guard. I'll leave it

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<v Speaker 6>at that. Do your research.

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<v Speaker 5>Study every time these economic resets happen, they lead to

0:09:54.720 --> 0:09:57.040
<v Speaker 5>a new wave of companies that normally die off, and

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<v Speaker 5>then some will blossom and do well over the.

0:09:59.640 --> 0:10:04.720
<v Speaker 6>Next fifty years. So be prepared. So that's why I say,

0:10:04.760 --> 0:10:06.600
<v Speaker 6>go do your research and go when I'll be.

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<v Speaker 5>Telling culture hacks for everybody listening by Richard Conrad, go

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<v Speaker 5>read this book. When I tell you guys to go study,

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<v Speaker 5>And when Troy said he studies, he's every time I

0:10:19.920 --> 0:10:22.640
<v Speaker 5>call him like broch, you're reading looking at once. You

0:10:22.760 --> 0:10:25.520
<v Speaker 5>study what happens over one hundred year business cycle. You

0:10:25.559 --> 0:10:29.120
<v Speaker 5>can almost time oil came in. It was a dominant

0:10:29.120 --> 0:10:33.640
<v Speaker 5>force and dominant resource after something else left. These things happen.

0:10:33.679 --> 0:10:35.360
<v Speaker 5>If you go look at those bnner cycles and tied

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<v Speaker 5>all together, you're a happy blueprint.

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<v Speaker 6>All the answers are there. I promise you that's a book.

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<v Speaker 2>That's a book. Tip ladies and gentlemen, we're gonn I'm

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<v Speaker 2>gonna get you another one in the report YouTube, please

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<v Speaker 2>hit the like button.

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<v Speaker 3>Forty one hundred people on YouTube hit the like button,

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<v Speaker 3>don't forget okay, So okay. So the most highs for

0:10:57.679 --> 0:10:59.360
<v Speaker 3>the S and P five hundred over the last one

0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:03.960
<v Speaker 3>hundred years, which is interesting. The most was nineteen ninety five.

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<v Speaker 3>It was seventy seven new highs that was hit that year.

0:11:08.000 --> 0:11:11.440
<v Speaker 3>The next was twenty and seventeen with sixty two. The

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<v Speaker 3>next was nineteen sixty four with sixty two, The next

0:11:14.760 --> 0:11:17.959
<v Speaker 3>was nineteen twenty eight with fifty nine, and the next

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<v Speaker 3>the fifth is twenty twenty one with fifty four. But

0:11:21.679 --> 0:11:23.640
<v Speaker 3>we still have three months left. So what that means

0:11:23.679 --> 0:11:26.600
<v Speaker 3>is that we have hit record highs in the S

0:11:26.640 --> 0:11:31.720
<v Speaker 3>and P five hundred fifty four times this year and

0:11:31.760 --> 0:11:34.120
<v Speaker 3>there is still three months left, so it's already at

0:11:34.200 --> 0:11:38.120
<v Speaker 3>number five. This is already the number fifth year ever

0:11:38.760 --> 0:11:39.880
<v Speaker 3>for most highs hit.

0:11:42.000 --> 0:11:43.120
<v Speaker 2>What do we make of that?

0:11:44.600 --> 0:11:46.400
<v Speaker 6>This is the first time I read some information to

0:11:46.480 --> 0:11:46.880
<v Speaker 6>scare me.

0:11:48.840 --> 0:11:52.560
<v Speaker 5>If it matches or surpasses nineteen twenty nine, it comes

0:11:52.600 --> 0:11:54.719
<v Speaker 5>back to what I say, they being twenty three will

0:11:54.800 --> 0:12:00.800
<v Speaker 5>have a slight drop, but twenty seven would be pretty harsh.

0:12:01.080 --> 0:12:03.240
<v Speaker 5>And if you look at what happened post nineteen sixty

0:12:03.240 --> 0:12:06.400
<v Speaker 5>four and post nineteen ninety five, ninety five kind of

0:12:07.160 --> 0:12:09.880
<v Speaker 5>ushered in that tech wave and then it was great

0:12:09.960 --> 0:12:14.080
<v Speaker 5>until it wasn't and the crashes were immense.

0:12:15.840 --> 0:12:20.079
<v Speaker 3>My graduates from my school being forced bad drop.

0:12:20.400 --> 0:12:23.600
<v Speaker 5>Bag drop, Mike drop Bad drop b.

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