1 00:00:00,600 --> 00:00:04,320 Speaker 1: Hi everyone. Today we're going to talk about composites, specifically 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,680 Speaker 1: an insight titled Advanced Materials Primer Series Carbon and Glass 3 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 1: Fiber Composites by Leilang Zhang and Julia Atwood published on 4 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: March nineteenth. You can find it through a quick search 5 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:16,200 Speaker 1: on beanef dot com, the benef mobile app or on 6 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:20,080 Speaker 1: beanof gu on terminal. So what is a composite? According 7 00:00:20,079 --> 00:00:22,479 Speaker 1: to the report, it's a material composed of at least 8 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:25,759 Speaker 1: two distinct components that work together to provide superior performance 9 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: than either of them individually. Typically, the primary component is 10 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 1: the feedstock or matrix, which provides support, while the secondary 11 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 1: component is a reinforcement, which provides strength and stiffness. Okay, 12 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:38,560 Speaker 1: so when I read this, I thought of two things, 13 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: The Ten Commandments and Star Wars, you know, the movies. 14 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 1: In the nineteen fifty six epic paroh a k a 15 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:47,839 Speaker 1: eule Brenner commands that no straw can be used to 16 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 1: make bricks. The reply to that was, how can people 17 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 1: make bricks without straw? The combination of mud and straw 18 00:00:53,680 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: to make bricks is actually the first known composite in 19 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 1: Star Wars. That's obviously when Han Solo was frozen in 20 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 1: carbonite in the Empire strikes back. Okay, well I got 21 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 1: that one wrong. Carbonite isn't actually a composite but a 22 00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:07,959 Speaker 1: flash frozen carbon gas. But it's not real either, so 23 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: maybe I wasn't wrong. Um Anyway, Today we're going to 24 00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 1: talk with Dr Julia Atwood, who leads BENFS cover to 25 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: Advanced Materials. She's going to introduce us to composites, which 26 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 1: seem to be growing in importance as they make their 27 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: way into more and more areas of industry. We'll go 28 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 1: over the uses for composites, which ones you'd use for 29 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 1: a given job, their advantages and limitations, costs, and future demand. 30 00:01:29,400 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 1: We'll also talk about what's next for BENF and this 31 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 1: new research channel. Please note that BENIF does not provide 32 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:36,200 Speaker 1: investment or strategy advice, and you can hear a full 33 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 1: disclaimer at the end of the show. I'm Mark Taylor, 34 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 1: out of product for BENF and you're listening to switch 35 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 1: on the BENF Client Podcast. Hi, Julia, how you doing good? Thanks? Mark? 36 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 1: How are you good? Good? Thanks for coming in. Can 37 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: you start us off today by telling us a bit 38 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: about the Advanced materials coverage? Absolutely so, advanced Materials is 39 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 1: a new topic for BENU because we're really interested in 40 00:02:01,640 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: what's going on in the world of materials. There's broadly 41 00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:09,079 Speaker 1: three things that we want to cover. The first is composites, 42 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:11,919 Speaker 1: which we're going to be talking about today. The second 43 00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: is cool new forms of manufacturing like three D printing 44 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 1: or how we can make the whole indistinct greener. And 45 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: then the last is around sustainable materials in the circular economy. 46 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 1: That's driving a lot of change in materials for companies, 47 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: so that's why we're really interested in it. How did 48 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 1: you get into this? I have been in materials for 49 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 1: a long time, so I'm an engineer by training, but 50 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:38,560 Speaker 1: I always loved chemistry. So when I was studying engineering, 51 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 1: I decided I wanted to specialize in materials because it 52 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: gave me the best of both worlds. I could be 53 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 1: a chemistry nerd one day and be talking to you 54 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:49,960 Speaker 1: about a turbine engine next. You're based here in London. Yes, 55 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 1: I don't know why I asked as a question. I 56 00:02:52,680 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 1: sit near you, m so how do you How do 57 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 1: you get to work? I'm really lucky. I concycle to 58 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,080 Speaker 1: work and I have this gorgeous along the river, so 59 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:02,919 Speaker 1: I get to kind of see the sun rising every 60 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 1: morning over the buildings of London. Okay, that was also 61 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 1: a loaded question. Everybody Julius cycles to work and I 62 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 1: wanted to talk about her bike. Is your bike carbon fiber? 63 00:03:10,840 --> 00:03:12,720 Speaker 1: Is it made out of carbon fiber? It is not. 64 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 1: I'm sad to say that's the topic of today's conversation. 65 00:03:16,160 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 1: We're gonna be talking about Compositi, as we said, and 66 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 1: we're gonna frame it in terms of Julia's bicycle. Would 67 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:25,079 Speaker 1: you want a carbon fiber bicycle? I absolutely would. The 68 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:28,080 Speaker 1: only reason I don't have one is because I have 69 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 1: this emotional connection to my bike right now because I 70 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 1: got it for fifteen pounds from one of the technicians 71 00:03:34,600 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: in my old lab at university. Okay, but why would 72 00:03:37,760 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 1: you want a carbon fiber bible? Because they're just so cool. Mark, 73 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 1: They're cool because they have this gorgeous shape. Carbon fiber 74 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 1: you often see as a woven material, so it's got 75 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 1: this beautiful like um basket weave on the materials. And 76 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 1: the other thing is like, I'm not a big person. 77 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: It's pretty hard for me to lift my massive steal 78 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 1: commuter bicycle that I have right now. Whereas a carbon 79 00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 1: fiber frame super light. One of our colleagues, Yonus, he 80 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 1: is very much into his bicycles, and he was telling 81 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: me that the frame of his racing bike was less 82 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 1: than a kilo and even I could lift that. Yeah, 83 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 1: that's pretty impressive. So weight is one advantage of carbon fiber, 84 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 1: what's a what's another. While the other great thing about 85 00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:30,160 Speaker 1: it is because it's primarily plastic, you can leave it 86 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:32,480 Speaker 1: outside and it's not going to rest. I saw a 87 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 1: lot of bikes at university just deteriorating because they had 88 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 1: to be left outside because none of us had garages exactly. 89 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 1: So it's it's much more durable. So that's a big 90 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,279 Speaker 1: advantage if you're going through the daily wear and tear, 91 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 1: you're leaving your bike out in the rain. And then 92 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 1: the other thing is that it feels much stiffer um 93 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 1: So a lot of people don't notice because they ride 94 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:57,040 Speaker 1: the same bike all the time, but if you change 95 00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:59,640 Speaker 1: too a much stiffer bike, everything just feels better. You 96 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 1: can turn corner is more easily, it doesn't feel as wobbly. 97 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:05,279 Speaker 1: So in the in the note in the primer, you 98 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 1: talk about weight, you talk about mechanical properties, stiffness, the durability. 99 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:10,680 Speaker 1: One thing we're not going to talk about in relation 100 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:13,479 Speaker 1: to bicycles is the electrical and thermal properties. Could you 101 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:15,919 Speaker 1: touch on those just a little bit, Yeah, for sure. 102 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:20,040 Speaker 1: So carbon fiber is it can be a lot of 103 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 1: things as a material. It's very easily tailored to one 104 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 1: thing or the other, and different applications want different things. So, 105 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: for example, in an aircraft, you do not want your 106 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 1: material to be electrically conductive. So that's why carbon fiber 107 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 1: is great because it can be an insulator. Now in 108 00:05:36,720 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 1: some cases if you manufacture the material in a certain way, 109 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,600 Speaker 1: then because carbon in the same way as graphite can 110 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 1: use as an electrode, it can be electrically conductive. So 111 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:49,680 Speaker 1: that's That's another one of the benefits of composites is 112 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 1: that you can kind of make them what you want 113 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:56,840 Speaker 1: by changing how you're manufacturing them. And designers love that 114 00:05:57,000 --> 00:05:59,239 Speaker 1: because it means they don't have to have access material. 115 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 1: They can just to have what they need in the 116 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:04,000 Speaker 1: place where they need it. So it's efficient, which every 117 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: engineer loves. Actually. Okay, so what would we use the 118 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 1: term carbon fiber loosely? But but what would a carbon 119 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: fiber quote unquote bicycle be made of and why composite 120 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 1: would you choose. You would definitely choose a carbon fiber, 121 00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:25,240 Speaker 1: so you could. Right now, most bicycles are made from 122 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:30,479 Speaker 1: either steel or aluminum or carbon fiber. So steel is 123 00:06:30,560 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 1: your like retro super heavy, I don't care about weight 124 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:37,200 Speaker 1: kind of bike. Um, it's cheap, it's cheerful, it'll do 125 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 1: the job. Aluminum is in the seventies and eighties, when 126 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,719 Speaker 1: people thought they were fancy, they would get an aluminum bike. 127 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 1: It's a bit lighter, still the same basic manufacturing techniques, 128 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 1: so nothing big had to change for the people making it. 129 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 1: Or you have carbon fiber, and that's very specialized, pretty expensive. 130 00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 1: You're talking about like five or six thousand dollars for 131 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:07,279 Speaker 1: a bike rather than my fifteen pounds, which is about um. 132 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 1: But it's much more difficult to manufacturer. You have to 133 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:14,080 Speaker 1: do it by hand. And what's in there is really 134 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 1: interesting because there are a few different ways that you 135 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: can use composites to make something. The basic constituent materials 136 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:26,440 Speaker 1: are carbon fibers, which just basically look like threads, and 137 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 1: you can weave them. You can place them next to 138 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:30,800 Speaker 1: each other in the same way as you would deal 139 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 1: with like a fabric. So when you're making something with 140 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:36,200 Speaker 1: a composite, what they do is they take these fibers 141 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:38,600 Speaker 1: which are the strong bit, and then they coat them 142 00:07:38,640 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 1: in a plastic and normally for carbon fiber that's in epoxy. 143 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: And so when you combine these two, the fibers and 144 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 1: the polymer, then you get a prepreg and then you've 145 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 1: got like a sheet of something that you then want 146 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:57,239 Speaker 1: to place in a mold. Most of this is done 147 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 1: by hand and it's incredibly t idious. Basically, what you 148 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 1: do is you put the preprag in the mold and 149 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 1: then you get a big roller and then you roll 150 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:10,520 Speaker 1: more of the polymer resin. That's the matrix on top 151 00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:13,120 Speaker 1: of it. It's like putting up wallpaper, but you have 152 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:15,560 Speaker 1: to put up layer upon layer upon layer. It's like 153 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 1: wallpaper that you have to put up fifty times in 154 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:20,200 Speaker 1: order to get the pattern that you want. Is that 155 00:08:20,240 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 1: why it's so expensive. Yes, that's one of the big reasons. 156 00:08:24,200 --> 00:08:28,679 Speaker 1: The other one is scale um and that's just about 157 00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 1: getting more people using carbon fibers so that we make 158 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:34,000 Speaker 1: more of it so that it gets cheaper. What are 159 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:37,520 Speaker 1: the what other limitations are there besides cost? I mean, 160 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:40,720 Speaker 1: cost is the big one because it's just such a difference. 161 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:45,600 Speaker 1: Like carbon fiber cost kilogram. Steel is like less than 162 00:08:45,640 --> 00:08:48,319 Speaker 1: a dollar, and then aluminum is around two and a 163 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:51,439 Speaker 1: half dollars a kilogram. So cost is what the whole 164 00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 1: industry is focusing on. The manufacturing is important as well, 165 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 1: because if you have to make something by hand that's expensive, 166 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:03,840 Speaker 1: you normally make big things out of carbon fiber, so 167 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 1: you'll make a wing for an airplane, or you'll make 168 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:10,319 Speaker 1: the body frame of a car. Because if you're going 169 00:09:10,360 --> 00:09:12,560 Speaker 1: to go to the trouble of making this mold, you 170 00:09:12,600 --> 00:09:14,719 Speaker 1: want to be able to use it multiple times and 171 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 1: have it be a big proportion of what you're making. 172 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 1: But the one of the other problems is that everybody 173 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:22,920 Speaker 1: knows how to deal with metal. You have design standards, 174 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 1: you know what's going to happen to it as it ages, 175 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,959 Speaker 1: you know how to recycle it. One of the big 176 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 1: big problems with carbon fibers that there's not much recycling capacity. 177 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:35,679 Speaker 1: And I'm sure you've seen all this stuff around plastic waste. 178 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 1: Nobody wants to be creating any more plastic waste these days. 179 00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:42,880 Speaker 1: That's pretty bad for pr. So when you come to 180 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:45,160 Speaker 1: the industry and say I want to use this material 181 00:09:45,280 --> 00:09:49,120 Speaker 1: that's made from petro chemicals and we don't recycle a 182 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 1: lot of it. Everyone's like, whoa hold the phone? Is 183 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 1: this the environmentally friendly thing that we want to be doing. 184 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 1: My answer to that is two fold. One is when 185 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:05,120 Speaker 1: you're thinking about cars and airplanes, super light high performance 186 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 1: materials like composites, it's going to help you in the 187 00:10:07,440 --> 00:10:10,440 Speaker 1: short term to reduce your emissions. And that's kind of 188 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 1: like a problem number one. At the end of the day, 189 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: Even if you have to collect up and store all 190 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 1: the carbon fiber waste in the world, there's not that 191 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 1: much of it because we've only been using it in 192 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:25,000 Speaker 1: serious quantities since the eighties or nineties, and a lot 193 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:28,800 Speaker 1: of it is in things that we're still using, like airplanes. 194 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:33,840 Speaker 1: These were specialty, high performance goods that nobody wants to 195 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:35,880 Speaker 1: throw away. You have a chart in there that shows 196 00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 1: like when carbon fibers started to appear somewhere around the eighties, 197 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:43,520 Speaker 1: and that that was mostly in airplanes. Yes, the aerospace 198 00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:46,280 Speaker 1: industry has been one of the first people to adopt it, 199 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:50,080 Speaker 1: partly because you don't make that many planes a year. 200 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:53,320 Speaker 1: You know, it's a few thousand um so it's reasonable 201 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: to spend a lot of money on your materials and 202 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 1: your manufacturing. And also because fuel is such a huge 203 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:01,400 Speaker 1: cost for them, so they can cut their costs by 204 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:04,640 Speaker 1: using this light material plant can go the same distance 205 00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:07,640 Speaker 1: less fuel. You mentioned the pets are the feed stock 206 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:12,439 Speaker 1: for these carbon fibers. What about for the end composite 207 00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:15,560 Speaker 1: UM But in the note you had a single few 208 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 1: words in there they talked about bio based feed stocks. 209 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 1: Where is that and what might goes be? So the 210 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 1: bio based feedstocks can be used for both the fiber 211 00:11:27,040 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 1: and the polymer that goes in the matrix, the polymer matrix. 212 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:34,000 Speaker 1: That's a more developed area for biofeed stocks, and we're 213 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:37,000 Speaker 1: actually writing a note on that as we speak, So 214 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 1: look out for the bioplastics word people. UM. For the 215 00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 1: fibers themselves, that's much earlier stage. It's either made from 216 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:47,880 Speaker 1: oil products to get what we call a pan fiber, 217 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:50,840 Speaker 1: or from coal to get what we call it pitch fiber. 218 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:55,200 Speaker 1: Pitch is a little bit better. It's a slightly stronger material, 219 00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:58,360 Speaker 1: so it is coming from these oil products. But at 220 00:11:58,400 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: the end of the day, all you need is carbon 221 00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:04,160 Speaker 1: in some form, and carbon isn't everything. So I've heard 222 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:09,200 Speaker 1: of some people trying to make carbon fibers from coconut residue. Um, 223 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:13,480 Speaker 1: but any kind of biomass could in theory be used. 224 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:16,320 Speaker 1: It's just a question of figuring out the processing route 225 00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 1: and convincing enough people to build the factories. So we've 226 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 1: talked about the manufacturing a little bit. We've talked about 227 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 1: the choices you have in making a carbon fiber or 228 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:28,320 Speaker 1: an f RP is that what you call it, fiber 229 00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 1: reinforced plasta. There you go, what applications are there out 230 00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 1: there besides aerospace and what else? We say cars? So 231 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 1: the big one that really bicycles. Naturally, the bicycles thing 232 00:12:40,440 --> 00:12:43,560 Speaker 1: kind of leads into what sort of nurtured the composite 233 00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:45,720 Speaker 1: industry when it first came out, and that was really 234 00:12:45,760 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 1: sporting goods, so like tennis, rackets, golf clubs, bicycles. So 235 00:12:51,640 --> 00:12:54,080 Speaker 1: the applications you have aerospace, you have sporting goods, you 236 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 1: have automotive. What else we have, Well, there are a 237 00:12:56,800 --> 00:13:00,360 Speaker 1: bunch of companies that are trying to combine composite and 238 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: three D printing because they think that what that is 239 00:13:03,200 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 1: going to do is to allow carbon fiber to move 240 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:08,280 Speaker 1: into a bunch of sectors that it never could before. 241 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,199 Speaker 1: So an example would be a robotic arm. A robotic 242 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:15,720 Speaker 1: arm has a ton of small, awkward pieces because the 243 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 1: manufacturing is so difficult and specific for carbon fiber, you 244 00:13:20,040 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 1: wouldn't really want a guy there trying to like lay 245 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:24,840 Speaker 1: up teeny weeny bits of carbon fiber in order to 246 00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:27,360 Speaker 1: make a gear. But what you could do is three 247 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:30,840 Speaker 1: D printed. So that's how we think carbon fiber is 248 00:13:30,880 --> 00:13:34,679 Speaker 1: going to move into other sectors is by improving the 249 00:13:34,720 --> 00:13:38,479 Speaker 1: way it's manufactured um and by using a lot more automation. 250 00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:40,840 Speaker 1: Another one you mentioned in the in the report was wind. 251 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,360 Speaker 1: Can you comment a little bit on that. Yeah, so 252 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 1: the wind industry has been a pretty big user of composites. 253 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:51,160 Speaker 1: The differences we've been talking mostly about carbon fiber composites, 254 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:54,959 Speaker 1: whereas what the wind industry uses is mostly glass fiber composites. 255 00:13:55,960 --> 00:14:00,080 Speaker 1: Big difference is that it's much cheaper, So carbon i 256 00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 1: was like twenty, glass fibers like four. It's still pretty light, 257 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:07,440 Speaker 1: it's just not quite as strong and not quite as stiff. 258 00:14:08,400 --> 00:14:11,280 Speaker 1: But it's been serving the wind industry pretty well, and 259 00:14:11,400 --> 00:14:14,040 Speaker 1: even as their blades have been getting longer, and longer 260 00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:17,640 Speaker 1: and longer. The glass fiber manufacturers have just been adapting 261 00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 1: and they've been using all of these sort of properties 262 00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 1: that you can change by changing the direction of the 263 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:27,960 Speaker 1: fibers to make it work. So people have been talking 264 00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:30,240 Speaker 1: about when is the industry you're going to move to 265 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:33,200 Speaker 1: carbon fiber for a long time and the answer is 266 00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 1: they only will once the glass fiber people put their 267 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 1: hands up and say, this is a limit of what 268 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:44,360 Speaker 1: we can do. This is kind of the fundamental end 269 00:14:44,360 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 1: of the road. Can't squeeze anymore from this material. And 270 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 1: if I were the glass industry, I would say never. 271 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 1: I would never say that. Yeah, and that's what they 272 00:14:53,960 --> 00:14:56,920 Speaker 1: do say. So what they've started to say now is Okay, 273 00:14:57,160 --> 00:14:59,880 Speaker 1: maybe you need carbon fiber at this one bit close 274 00:15:00,040 --> 00:15:02,520 Speaker 1: to the base of the wind turbine where it's going 275 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: to connect. Um, Yeah, where the blade connects to the hub. 276 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:10,400 Speaker 1: But most of it you're good with glass fiber. And 277 00:15:10,520 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 1: was a similar thing, you know, when when they were 278 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:16,920 Speaker 1: moving from say wood to glass fiber. It was like 279 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:22,040 Speaker 1: replace things iteratively. That happens so much in materials. I 280 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:25,480 Speaker 1: always talk about materials. It's like the performance enhancement of 281 00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 1: last resort because it means you have to change your supplier, 282 00:15:28,560 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 1: you have to change your manufacturing technique. But what it 283 00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 1: gives you is a step change in performance, and that's 284 00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 1: why people change that or sustainability. Yeah, the landscape, though 285 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 1: you mentioned you kind of alluded to it. You have 286 00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 1: to change your supplier, you have to change your whole 287 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 1: way of doing things. I think we might have saved 288 00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 1: this for another day. But the supply chain for carbon 289 00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 1: fiber can't be that deep, can it. It's very much consolidated, 290 00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 1: so the biggest producers of carbon fiber are really a 291 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:03,760 Speaker 1: few Japanese is in US companies. The interesting thing is 292 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 1: that China has actually designated carbon fiber is a strategic industry. 293 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:11,640 Speaker 1: So while most of the oh I think it was 294 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:15,400 Speaker 1: in there made plans, so it was a few years 295 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:17,560 Speaker 1: ago and that's really when we started to see a 296 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:21,680 Speaker 1: jump in capacity from the Chinese manufacturers. So they have 297 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 1: big ambitions. Even though most carbon fiber is now made 298 00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:29,640 Speaker 1: in either Japan or the US, if China meets the 299 00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:32,960 Speaker 1: kind of targets that they have for installing new capacity, 300 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 1: they'll leap frog the Japanese suppliers. That would be huge 301 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 1: for the market. So right now capacity is about a 302 00:16:41,480 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty thousand metric tons per year, and China 303 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:49,400 Speaker 1: wants to install like one Chinese company wants to install 304 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 1: sixty thousand metric tons of capacity, so big, big things 305 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:59,240 Speaker 1: could happen in carbon fiber. Yeah, two more questions. One, 306 00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 1: let's say I'm a benof client. What is the one 307 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:05,560 Speaker 1: thing that you want me to take away from this report? 308 00:17:05,840 --> 00:17:09,400 Speaker 1: What I want you to take away is carbon fiber 309 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,680 Speaker 1: is the material of the future, and it's getting better 310 00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 1: in every way. The material of the future or a 311 00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 1: materially a material of the future. Then okay, because we 312 00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:26,400 Speaker 1: can't make computer chips out of it. But yeah, it's 313 00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:29,880 Speaker 1: like in every way I see in my job how 314 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:33,439 Speaker 1: it's getting better. Manufacturing is getting better. People are starting 315 00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 1: to recycle it in large quantities. Costs are coming down. 316 00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:39,640 Speaker 1: As soon as cost comes down the rest of it, 317 00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:42,720 Speaker 1: it's like a no brainer, right, And the cost will 318 00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 1: come down from more and more companies like this one 319 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:47,720 Speaker 1: in China building more of it or doing more of 320 00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:51,320 Speaker 1: it exactly. And as much as you can standardize parts, 321 00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:54,880 Speaker 1: that helps a lot. That's what the aerospace industry did. 322 00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 1: They said, we want this tube of this dimension make 323 00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:01,600 Speaker 1: a lot of them for us, and they were able 324 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:04,160 Speaker 1: to bring costs down to like ten dollars a kill gram. 325 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:08,640 Speaker 1: So it's hugely important to standardize and make lots. Very cool, 326 00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 1: very cool. Final question, what's next in this, uh this 327 00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:13,879 Speaker 1: research pipeline. So what we're going to be writing on 328 00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:18,119 Speaker 1: next is around company and country strategy. We're going to 329 00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:21,240 Speaker 1: write a note on China's plans for the composites industry, 330 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:23,920 Speaker 1: and we're going to release some company profiles. To your 331 00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,360 Speaker 1: question about the supply chain, we're going to show where 332 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:29,639 Speaker 1: all the manufacturing capacity is, who's making it, and what 333 00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:33,160 Speaker 1: they're going to do next. Excellent. Thanks for joining us, Julia, 334 00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:35,359 Speaker 1: thanks for having me, and thanks everybody for listening. 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