WEBVTT - 3/3/26: Rubio Admits War For Israel, US Embassies Burn, Tucker Claims Mossad Captured In Gulf Countries 0:00:00.080 --> 0:00:01.599 Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here. 0:00:01.680 --> 0:00:05.240 Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, 0:00:05.360 --> 0:00:07.840 and we are so excited about what that means for 0:00:07.880 --> 0:00:08.720 the future of this show. 0:00:08.880 --> 0:00:10.760 This is the only place where you can find honest 0:00:10.760 --> 0:00:13.239 perspectives from the left and the right that simply does 0:00:13.320 --> 0:00:14.680 not exist anywhere else. 0:00:14.760 --> 0:00:17.080 So if that is something that's important to you, please 0:00:17.120 --> 0:00:19.599 go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and 0:00:19.640 --> 0:00:22.800 you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free, 0:00:22.800 --> 0:00:25.600 and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. 0:00:25.680 --> 0:00:27.560 We need your help to build the future of independent 0:00:27.560 --> 0:00:29.920 news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints 0:00:29.960 --> 0:00:33.519 dot com. 0:00:33.760 --> 0:00:35.760 Good morning, everybody, Happy Tuesday. Have a great show for 0:00:35.800 --> 0:00:36.519 everybody today. 0:00:36.320 --> 0:00:37.600 Where we have Prissel a load to get to. 0:00:37.680 --> 0:00:41.400 You will not be surprised to learn Marco Rubio claiming 0:00:41.520 --> 0:00:45.000 that the preemptive threat against the US was actually from Israel. 0:00:45.320 --> 0:00:47.560 I'm not kidding. No, we will break you off, and 0:00:47.640 --> 0:00:49.320 not just him, Mike Johnson too. I mean this is 0:00:49.400 --> 0:00:51.919 crazy stuff that they're saying this out loud. Break all 0:00:51.960 --> 0:00:53.800 of that down for you, baby. Was on Fox News 0:00:53.840 --> 0:00:57.480 last night celebrating, of course, the golf States are in chaos. 0:00:57.760 --> 0:01:00.600 Our embassies are being attacked. Par Arcie is going to 0:01:00.680 --> 0:01:03.000 join to break down what is going on. Scott Horton 0:01:03.080 --> 0:01:05.520 is also going to join to break down his larger 0:01:05.959 --> 0:01:07.200 historical perspective of how. 0:01:07.160 --> 0:01:08.000 We got to this place. 0:01:08.360 --> 0:01:12.679 Media is propagandizing during their pro war propaganda on overtime. 0:01:12.720 --> 0:01:14.920 We've got some low lights for you there, and we're 0:01:14.920 --> 0:01:17.040 going to take a little trip back and the very 0:01:17.080 --> 0:01:19.679 recent trip back down memory lane of all the lies 0:01:19.720 --> 0:01:22.680 that we're told from Jade Vance and Tulci Gabber and 0:01:22.680 --> 0:01:25.319 An RFK Junior and Steven Miller and Donald Trump himself 0:01:25.360 --> 0:01:27.440 about how they did not want war with Iran, and 0:01:27.520 --> 0:01:30.520 yet here we are. Also Ryan and I are going 0:01:30.560 --> 0:01:33.560 to record an interview with kat Abogazella. You'll recall last 0:01:33.560 --> 0:01:36.039 week Ryan had some reporting about her foreign policy views, 0:01:36.040 --> 0:01:37.360 so we thought the best thing to do would be 0:01:37.400 --> 0:01:38.960 to have her on and just ask her directly what 0:01:38.959 --> 0:01:41.880 she thinks about various issues, including the Iran war of course, 0:01:41.959 --> 0:01:43.039 so we will have that for. 0:01:42.920 --> 0:01:43.520 You as well. 0:01:43.560 --> 0:01:45.639 I'm interested to follow that been a lot of drama 0:01:45.720 --> 0:01:48.960 before the Iran war entire out number. 0:01:49.040 --> 0:01:50.400 Rian's always starting some shit, you know. 0:01:50.520 --> 0:01:53.720 We love Ryan Ran is and remains the goat no 0:01:53.760 --> 0:01:56.520 matter what his detractors may say. Thank you to everybody 0:01:56.560 --> 0:01:59.520 who has been supporting our show for visibility to our audience. 0:01:59.600 --> 0:02:02.000 Yesterday it was the single biggest day in the history 0:02:02.040 --> 0:02:04.560 of our show on all platforms, both on YouTube and 0:02:04.600 --> 0:02:07.960 on Spotify, podcast, Apple, et cetera. So we do have 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:11.560 an introductory free month trial for our premium subscription. Let's 0:02:11.600 --> 0:02:13.480 go and put this up here on the screen. You 0:02:13.480 --> 0:02:15.959 can go to Breakingpoints dot com and use the promo 0:02:16.040 --> 0:02:19.160 code BP free twenty six for a free month of 0:02:19.200 --> 0:02:21.480 our service. You get the free show, You get the 0:02:21.480 --> 0:02:24.240 full show, uncut ad free, you get to listen to 0:02:24.280 --> 0:02:26.520 it fully so that which is really the way it's 0:02:26.600 --> 0:02:28.960 designed to be listened to, and you also get to 0:02:29.080 --> 0:02:31.600 of course participate in our ama, which we will be 0:02:31.639 --> 0:02:33.000 doing later today. 0:02:33.080 --> 0:02:34.120 So really thank you. 0:02:34.200 --> 0:02:36.200 We have millions of people who have been joining the 0:02:36.240 --> 0:02:38.440 show literally just in the last seventy two hours, very 0:02:38.480 --> 0:02:41.240 glad to have you, and then untold number as well 0:02:41.240 --> 0:02:43.200 who joined us for our Epstein coverage, So the show 0:02:43.240 --> 0:02:45.800 has significantly expanded literally just in the last month or so. 0:02:45.880 --> 0:02:47.320 We want to say thank you, and then we also 0:02:47.320 --> 0:02:49.519 want to say thank you to our existing viewers on 0:02:49.600 --> 0:02:52.840 our podcast listeners, our premium subscribers of course more than others, 0:02:52.840 --> 0:02:54.760 who enable all of our work to be able to 0:02:54.760 --> 0:02:57.280 bring it to you as all of this crazy stuff 0:02:57.320 --> 0:03:00.120 happens live. So thank you deeply to all of you 0:03:00.160 --> 0:03:02.680 who support the show. And if you can, we would 0:03:02.680 --> 0:03:04.840 really appreciate it. Can't afford it, Please no worries his 0:03:04.960 --> 0:03:07.239 subscribe to our YouTube channel, and if you're listening to 0:03:07.320 --> 0:03:10.480 this on a podcast, please share an episode with a friend. 0:03:10.520 --> 0:03:13.000 It really helps other people find the show. But with that, 0:03:13.160 --> 0:03:15.520 let's go ahead and kick it off with what Donald 0:03:15.560 --> 0:03:18.480 Trump and his administration are saying is the reason why 0:03:18.720 --> 0:03:20.519 that we are in this war in the first place. 0:03:21.000 --> 0:03:24.120 You if I said it three days ago, it would 0:03:24.120 --> 0:03:27.080 have been the anti Semitic conspiracy, And now it is 0:03:27.120 --> 0:03:29.960 coming out of the mouth of the United States Secretary 0:03:29.960 --> 0:03:30.280 of State. 0:03:30.360 --> 0:03:30.760 That's right. 0:03:30.960 --> 0:03:34.160 So not only Marco Rubio, but also Mike Johnson saying 0:03:34.200 --> 0:03:37.400 that the reason, because everyone's saying why are we doing this? 0:03:37.880 --> 0:03:41.640 That the reason, according to them, is that Israel is 0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:44.600 going to strike around no matter what that that would 0:03:44.640 --> 0:03:47.440 put our US service members at risk, and so we 0:03:47.600 --> 0:03:50.560 calculated while we may as well be involved, because maybe 0:03:50.560 --> 0:03:53.280 that will help us to be able to control the outcome. Here, 0:03:53.400 --> 0:03:54.920 let's go ahead and take a listen to how they 0:03:55.000 --> 0:03:55.400 framed that. 0:03:56.000 --> 0:03:58.760 Why now, Well, there's two reasons why now. The first 0:03:58.840 --> 0:04:01.480 is it was abundantly clear that if Iran came under 0:04:01.480 --> 0:04:04.720 attack by anyone, the United States or Israel or anyone, 0:04:04.760 --> 0:04:07.680 they were going to respond and respond against the United States. 0:04:07.800 --> 0:04:10.280 The third is the assessment that was made that if 0:04:10.320 --> 0:04:12.720 we stood and waited for that attack to come first 0:04:13.080 --> 0:04:16.719 before we get them, we would suffer much higher casualties, 0:04:17.040 --> 0:04:19.839 and so the President made the very wise decision. We 0:04:19.880 --> 0:04:21.840 knew that there was going to be an Israeli action, 0:04:22.080 --> 0:04:25.200 we knew that that would precipitate an attack against American forces, 0:04:25.400 --> 0:04:27.600 and we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after 0:04:27.640 --> 0:04:30.640 them before they launched those attacks, we would suffer higher 0:04:30.640 --> 0:04:33.880 casualties and perhaps even high those killed, And then we 0:04:33.920 --> 0:04:36.159 would all be here answering questions about why we knew that. 0:04:36.200 --> 0:04:41.040 Indeed, they had to evaluate the threats to the US, 0:04:41.400 --> 0:04:44.040 to our troops, to our installations, to our assets in 0:04:44.080 --> 0:04:47.840 the region and beyond, and they determined, because of the 0:04:48.320 --> 0:04:54.720 exquisite intelligence that we had that if Israel fired upon Iran, 0:04:54.760 --> 0:04:56.839 it took action against Iran to take out the missiles, 0:04:57.360 --> 0:05:02.760 then they would have immediately retaliated against US personnel and assets. 0:05:02.920 --> 0:05:06.520 The consequences of inaction on our part would have been 0:05:06.760 --> 0:05:09.680 could have been devastating. We don't know at what magnitude, 0:05:09.720 --> 0:05:13.200 but you can assume, because it is common sense that 0:05:13.279 --> 0:05:16.480 if Iran had begun to fire all of their missile 0:05:16.560 --> 0:05:21.240 arsenal short and in mid range missiles at our personnel 0:05:21.279 --> 0:05:24.039 and our assets and our installations, we would have suffered 0:05:24.440 --> 0:05:25.359 staggering losses. 0:05:25.800 --> 0:05:26.360 I mean sager. 0:05:26.600 --> 0:05:30.800 Taken at face value, this is utterly humiliating and insane 0:05:31.360 --> 0:05:35.200 and obviously begs one really clear question, which is okay, 0:05:35.360 --> 0:05:38.960 If Israel striking Iran was going to create all of 0:05:39.000 --> 0:05:42.600 these problems and put our service members at risk, why 0:05:42.600 --> 0:05:45.200 don't we stop Israel from striking Iran? 0:05:45.680 --> 0:05:46.799 This is our client state. 0:05:47.040 --> 0:05:51.160 They can't function without our protection, our weaponry, our support, etc. 0:05:51.960 --> 0:05:56.680 So why did we just get coerced into this rather 0:05:56.760 --> 0:05:59.440 than going to our client vassal state and saying, no, 0:05:59.640 --> 0:06:02.000 you're not going to strike Iran because this is against 0:06:02.040 --> 0:06:02.680 our interests. 0:06:02.760 --> 0:06:06.400 We need to This is the most extraordinary admission probably 0:06:06.440 --> 0:06:08.800 in modern history by the United States Secretary of State. 0:06:09.040 --> 0:06:11.279 They claimed that this war was preemptive, and it was 0:06:11.360 --> 0:06:15.320 preemptive in the sense that we had to preempt Iranian 0:06:15.560 --> 0:06:19.320 reaction to Israel's preemption. Are you here with me now? 0:06:19.440 --> 0:06:23.320 We are not a sovereignty is threat threat. We have 0:06:23.400 --> 0:06:26.680 sacrificed our sovereignty. We are a non sovereign nation. If 0:06:26.680 --> 0:06:30.080 the world's superpower is subject to a country the size 0:06:30.120 --> 0:06:34.280 of New Jersey, which basically makes nothing and is controlling 0:06:34.360 --> 0:06:38.160 our politicians such that, despite being the largest single recipient 0:06:38.200 --> 0:06:41.080 of military aid in the history of the United States, 0:06:41.200 --> 0:06:43.920 that we are not capable of telling them no. And 0:06:44.000 --> 0:06:46.599 it is now documented history from the New York Times 0:06:46.640 --> 0:06:49.359 now to the open mouth of the comments of the 0:06:49.440 --> 0:06:51.359 U s Secretary of State and the Speaker of the 0:06:51.360 --> 0:06:52.000 House that. 0:06:51.880 --> 0:06:55.240 This is Israel's war. Israel's war. 0:06:55.400 --> 0:06:58.400 Now, Donald Trump has agency, but he never once was 0:06:58.440 --> 0:07:01.240 able apparently it even entered his mind to say, Hey, 0:07:01.520 --> 0:07:03.719 you're not going to do that. We're going to cut 0:07:03.760 --> 0:07:06.680 off weapons. We're going to make you a global pariah, 0:07:06.760 --> 0:07:09.640 and good luck defending yourself without all of our missile 0:07:09.680 --> 0:07:12.320 defense systems. That never once entered their minds. And you 0:07:12.360 --> 0:07:14.160 know what I also I was thinking about. You have 0:07:14.240 --> 0:07:18.120 to think even the Iranians. Iranian strategic calculus was, guys, 0:07:19.040 --> 0:07:21.440 they won't want to hit us, or Israel's not going 0:07:21.480 --> 0:07:23.480 to want to hit us because we'll hit US bases. 0:07:23.720 --> 0:07:26.800 And the theory behind that was by threatening US basis, 0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:30.520 it would mean that we would constrain or restrain Israel 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:33.360 from striking them from their belliger inaction. They never could 0:07:33.360 --> 0:07:37.200 have imagined the world where the client state is actually 0:07:37.240 --> 0:07:40.440 dictating and dragging policy of the United States and the 0:07:40.480 --> 0:07:44.440 global Empire actually enter the war on their very behalf. 0:07:44.640 --> 0:07:46.360 We are beyond screwed. 0:07:46.400 --> 0:07:49.040 Also, at a certain point, is it even useful to 0:07:49.280 --> 0:07:52.160 play comments here? At this point from Donald Trump, Israel's 0:07:52.160 --> 0:07:55.000 in the driver's seat. They're the ones who killed Iatola Kamani. 0:07:55.120 --> 0:07:57.120 We're the ones, apparently who gave them the intelligence. There 0:07:57.120 --> 0:07:59.280 are the ones who do it. All of the strikes 0:07:59.320 --> 0:08:02.400 now so far are for regime collapse. The ingredients for 0:08:02.480 --> 0:08:07.320 civil war are happening. They're already job bb Netanyahu got 0:08:07.360 --> 0:08:09.760 Donald Trump, maybe got Donald Trump made Donald Trump, I 0:08:09.760 --> 0:08:11.440 don't know, got Donald Trump on the phone with a 0:08:11.440 --> 0:08:13.400 bunch of Kurdish leaders in Iraq and they're like, hey, 0:08:13.440 --> 0:08:15.880 go on in there, let's let's stoke a little civilrties. 0:08:15.880 --> 0:08:19.280 This hill border guards they killed all the come in 0:08:19.320 --> 0:08:20.520 over the Portvity is. 0:08:20.480 --> 0:08:23.360 Really stressed by their own admission they are new. They're 0:08:23.480 --> 0:08:26.200 going after and blowing up all the police stations. You 0:08:26.280 --> 0:08:29.840 only do that to collapse the civil society. And they're 0:08:29.880 --> 0:08:30.600 in the country. 0:08:30.440 --> 0:08:34.280 Nine different hospitals, obviously murdered those schoolgirls, et cetera. And 0:08:34.400 --> 0:08:36.960 here's the thing is, you know, I keep bringing up 0:08:36.960 --> 0:08:39.800 the Epstein files because you have to look at this 0:08:40.240 --> 0:08:44.400 and go, Okay, this is insane. You know, Trump clearly 0:08:44.840 --> 0:08:48.680 had resistant reluctance to go into a full blown war 0:08:48.920 --> 0:08:51.440 with a run, and yet nevertheless he did it. And 0:08:51.480 --> 0:08:53.360 it never occurred to him, or it never seemed to 0:08:53.400 --> 0:08:55.000 be an option to him to go tos Roun and 0:08:55.000 --> 0:08:57.040 say no, we will cut you off. 0:08:57.280 --> 0:08:59.840 Here will be the you know, here will be the reaper. 0:09:00.640 --> 0:09:03.240 This is something that previous American presidents have been able 0:09:03.280 --> 0:09:05.520 to do. It's not like Israel's so out of control 0:09:05.559 --> 0:09:08.000 and they have so much autonomy that they're able to 0:09:08.040 --> 0:09:10.200 do all of these things on there. No, they're fully 0:09:10.240 --> 0:09:13.840 and completely enabled by us. So why is that not 0:09:13.920 --> 0:09:17.000 an option on the table? Why and you have I mean, 0:09:17.080 --> 0:09:20.120 you can't help but ask yourself. Maybe it is Epstein files, right? 0:09:20.720 --> 0:09:23.280 Is it just the money from Miriam Addelson? Like there's 0:09:23.280 --> 0:09:25.920 lots of people who give Trump money for his campaign. 0:09:25.960 --> 0:09:28.880 There's all sorts of interests that are you know, at 0:09:28.920 --> 0:09:32.559 filling his both campaign and personal coffers with cash. So 0:09:32.760 --> 0:09:36.679 that really it, it's just about the Israel lobby cash. 0:09:36.720 --> 0:09:39.280 There's some piece of this that is missing that just 0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:44.000 does not add up. Because listen, Donald Trump is extremely belligerent, right, 0:09:44.320 --> 0:09:47.240 He's bombed more countries in you know, his presidency than 0:09:47.280 --> 0:09:50.040 like any other American president. He has no problem taking 0:09:50.280 --> 0:09:54.160 a hawkish military action. But it did seem like the 0:09:54.200 --> 0:09:56.600 one thing that he was reluctant to do was get 0:09:56.600 --> 0:10:01.440 embroiled in a long, large scale war, particularly in the 0:10:01.480 --> 0:10:04.679 Middle East. And yet here we are and you've got 0:10:04.679 --> 0:10:07.600 the Secretary of State saying, well, Israel made us do it. 0:10:07.600 --> 0:10:10.640 It does not add up. It does not make sense. 0:10:10.679 --> 0:10:13.480 There is some piece of this that is missing. And 0:10:13.520 --> 0:10:16.000 so you cannot call people crazy when they look at 0:10:16.040 --> 0:10:17.880 the Epstein files, cover up and go, I. 0:10:17.800 --> 0:10:20.640 Don't know, maybe maybe that's it. Maybe that's what's going 0:10:20.679 --> 0:10:21.000 on here. 0:10:21.320 --> 0:10:26.440 Yeah, the to quote Dave Smith, think about this, George W. 0:10:26.520 --> 0:10:29.280 Bush had the wisdom not to do what Donald Trump 0:10:29.559 --> 0:10:30.960 is doing. I mean I said it before, you're going 0:10:31.000 --> 0:10:33.920 to launch a so called war of choice, preemption, whatever 0:10:34.160 --> 0:10:36.559 you want to call it, now admitting openly nin with 0:10:36.720 --> 0:10:39.600 ten months or whatever before the midterm elections in your 0:10:39.640 --> 0:10:41.679 first year. If we think back to the history of 0:10:41.679 --> 0:10:44.720 the Bush presidency, we're we're all on the right track. 0:10:44.880 --> 0:10:47.680 You've got an unpopular war in the Middle East. You're 0:10:47.679 --> 0:10:50.000 going to have what a w call the two thousand 0:10:50.000 --> 0:10:51.240 and six midterms a thumping? 0:10:51.559 --> 0:10:54.920 Is that what he said? It's a thumping whenever they democraticking? 0:10:55.080 --> 0:10:55.800 And then yeah, that. 0:10:55.760 --> 0:10:58.120 Was Obama's Yeah, I think I think a Bush called 0:10:58.120 --> 0:11:02.120 it a thumping. Then we have a massive financial crash. 0:11:02.160 --> 0:11:04.480 So we're on track. Okay, oh yeah, we're all on track. 0:11:04.600 --> 0:11:07.120 This thing is is down of control. I mean, we've 0:11:07.160 --> 0:11:11.400 got embassies that are being attacked. We're telling Americans now 0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:14.480 in twelve different countries in the region, like, oh, use 0:11:14.559 --> 0:11:17.760 commercial means and get out of the region. Well, there 0:11:17.800 --> 0:11:21.439 are no commercial means. The air lines are all shut down. 0:11:21.480 --> 0:11:24.719 The airports are all virtually shut down. You know, there 0:11:24.760 --> 0:11:28.559 was an article yesterday about how Americans, mostly wealthy Americans, 0:11:28.600 --> 0:11:30.360 and the UAE, we're trying to get the heck out 0:11:30.400 --> 0:11:33.120 of Dubai and there's no way to get out of 0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:36.960 that area. The busiest airport in the entire world, and 0:11:37.000 --> 0:11:40.320 it's all but closed down. So you've got this thing 0:11:40.480 --> 0:11:44.880 already completely spiraling out of control. And you know, apparently 0:11:44.920 --> 0:11:47.320 they thought maybe if we take out the Ayatola and 0:11:47.400 --> 0:11:49.400 we hit them pretty hard in the front, maybe this 0:11:49.440 --> 0:11:51.920 whole thing will collapse and the IRGC will just hold 0:11:51.960 --> 0:11:55.239 a hand over their arms and we can declare mission accomplish. 0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:59.520 This is delusional, obviously, and now they realize this is delusional, 0:11:59.559 --> 0:12:01.160 which is why Donald Trump is not going out and 0:12:01.160 --> 0:12:04.040 talking to anybody. Yesterday sent he said, oh, everybody, go 0:12:04.120 --> 0:12:07.000 listen to beb Nanyahu on Fox News because apparently this 0:12:07.080 --> 0:12:08.480 is the person who's actually calling the shop. 0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:10.439 We'll get to that, but yeah, Trump is out to 0:12:10.520 --> 0:12:13.800 lunch like completely. Let's take a listen to him yesterday 0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:16.960 at the White House during a Medal of Honor ceremony. 0:12:17.000 --> 0:12:17.559 We're in he. 0:12:17.559 --> 0:12:20.840 Spent I watched the entire thing. He began with maybe 0:12:20.840 --> 0:12:24.560 a four minute segment on Iran, where he was extremely tired, 0:12:24.640 --> 0:12:27.760 he seemed distracted, his heart really didn't seem in it 0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:30.760 at all, and he immediately pivoted to start talking about 0:12:30.760 --> 0:12:32.079 the fucking ballroom. 0:12:32.160 --> 0:12:32.959 Let's take a listen. 0:12:33.400 --> 0:12:39.800 Our objectives are clear. First, were destroying orens missile capabilities, 0:12:39.800 --> 0:12:42.280 and you see that happening on an hourly basis, and 0:12:42.360 --> 0:12:46.000 their capacity to produce brand new ones and pretty good 0:12:46.040 --> 0:12:51.000 ones they make. Second, we're annihilating their navy. We've knocked 0:12:51.000 --> 0:12:55.400 out already ten ships. They're at the bottom of the c. Third, 0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:59.880 we're ensuring that the world's number one sponsor of TARA 0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:03.520 can never obtain a nuclear weapon, never going to have 0:13:03.520 --> 0:13:09.960 a nuclear weapon. We're already substantially ahead of our time projections. 0:13:10.000 --> 0:13:12.959 But whatever the time is, it's okay. Whatever it takes, 0:13:13.040 --> 0:13:17.920 we will always and we have right from the beginning, 0:13:17.960 --> 0:13:23.480 we projected four to five weeks, but we have capability 0:13:23.520 --> 0:13:24.720 to go far longer than that. 0:13:24.880 --> 0:13:25.320 We'll do it. 0:13:25.360 --> 0:13:29.560 Whatever somebody said today, they said, oh, well, the president 0:13:29.600 --> 0:13:31.960 wants to do it really quickly. After that, he'll get bored. 0:13:31.960 --> 0:13:35.400 I don't get bored. There's nothing boring about this to 0:13:35.600 --> 0:13:38.720 that nice drape. When that comes down right now, you 0:13:38.760 --> 0:13:42.079 see a very very deep hole. But in about a 0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:43.520 year and a half from now, you're going to see 0:13:43.520 --> 0:13:46.920 a very very beautiful building. And there's your entrance to 0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:48.679 it right there. In fact, it looks so nice, I 0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:50.480 don't think i'll even I think I'll save money on 0:13:50.520 --> 0:13:53.280 the doors, because you can't get more beautiful than that. 0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:57.680 I picked those drapes in my first term. I always 0:13:57.760 --> 0:14:00.480 like gold. But I think we can and save a 0:14:00.480 --> 0:14:03.240 lot of money. I just saved I just saved curtains. 0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:07.960 But and it will be It'll be spectacular, be the 0:14:08.000 --> 0:14:10.240 most beautiful ballroom. I believe it's because I built many 0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:10.800 a ballroom. 0:14:10.880 --> 0:14:11.960 I believe it's. 0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:14.000 Going to be the most beautiful ballroom. 0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:16.360 That was not an unfair cut. That literally happened. 0:14:16.400 --> 0:14:18.880 I watched the entire thing, not joking, like we only 0:14:18.920 --> 0:14:21.360 spared you about two to three minutes in between Iran 0:14:21.480 --> 0:14:23.760 and all of that. In addition, by the way, Trump 0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:26.040 continues this thing where he'll take his and will answer 0:14:26.040 --> 0:14:28.280 his cell phone for anybody who calls. Let's put this 0:14:28.400 --> 0:14:30.840 up here on the screen from the New York Post 0:14:31.040 --> 0:14:34.040 where yesterday he refused to rule out sending US troops 0:14:34.040 --> 0:14:36.680 to Iran if necessary, saying, quote, I don't have the 0:14:36.840 --> 0:14:39.240 YIPS with respective boots on the ground. Like every president 0:14:39.280 --> 0:14:41.160 says there will be no boots, I don't say it, 0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:44.880 Trump said after launching strike Saturday to decapitate Iran's military 0:14:44.920 --> 0:14:47.800 and political leadership. I say, probably don't need them or 0:14:48.120 --> 0:14:52.080 if they were necessary. So that is the situation as 0:14:52.120 --> 0:14:54.160 we currently have it. And Crystal, you know that civil 0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:57.400 war point that we made earlier. At every time that 0:14:57.440 --> 0:14:59.880 we have to try and launch some insurgency to over 0:15:00.120 --> 0:15:03.560 throw or destabilize a government, there are US special forces 0:15:03.560 --> 0:15:05.960 that accompany them on the ground. And look, no hate 0:15:06.000 --> 0:15:08.240 to the Kurds. You know they've been screwed around by 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:11.280 the United States now probably decades. But we did a 0:15:11.320 --> 0:15:14.000 lot of work together in the counter Isis campaign, So 0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:16.160 these forces know exactly how to work together as a 0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:19.720 basin air bill, right, you know where they are, and look. 0:15:19.560 --> 0:15:20.400 It's all ready to go. 0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:23.000 The weapons are there, will be the most well armed 0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:25.920 insurgents in history, that's all. They need a little bit 0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:28.720 of a forward deployment from a couple special advisors. It's 0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:32.440 going to look like the special operations that went in 0:15:32.440 --> 0:15:35.040 in October two thousand and one with the Taliban, or 0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:36.680 to defeat the Taliban. 0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:37.920 That's the theory at least. 0:15:37.960 --> 0:15:41.680 But that is the recipe for quagmire, for disaster, for 0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:44.920 civil war, for collapse, and that is Look, if we 0:15:44.960 --> 0:15:48.000 are to acknowledged this is Israel's war. It is almost 0:15:48.080 --> 0:15:51.000 irrelevant to what Donald Trump wants. Only he can pull 0:15:51.040 --> 0:15:53.640 the plug. At least he did in the Twelve Day War. 0:15:53.720 --> 0:15:55.760 But of course that was just a lead up to 0:15:55.760 --> 0:15:56.640 do this entire thing. 0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:57.320 It was a pause. 0:15:57.320 --> 0:15:59.480 Then we tried all of the internal you know, let's 0:15:59.480 --> 0:16:02.720 collapse therency, let's stoke the protests, you know, let's see 0:16:02.760 --> 0:16:04.920 if that will work. And then when that failed, then 0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:07.520 we're back to a war. And yeah, I mean you 0:16:07.800 --> 0:16:10.400 and with all of them, obviously they all lie, you know, 0:16:10.440 --> 0:16:12.160 when if they're breathing, they're lying. 0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:15.040 But you can look at what they're doing. 0:16:15.320 --> 0:16:17.600 And to your point, we see these reporting about oh, 0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:20.040 let's let's talk to the Kurds, let's kill the border 0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:22.640 guards and you know, open up that border so people 0:16:22.640 --> 0:16:24.680 can flood in. And then you also see in the 0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:28.600 targeting they targeted Akmadnazad, you know, previous president of Iran. 0:16:28.680 --> 0:16:33.120 They targeted a jailed opposition leader who was under house arrest, 0:16:33.480 --> 0:16:36.360 so they wanted to make sure that this actually wasn't 0:16:36.400 --> 0:16:38.920 a regime change, that there was no other person who 0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:41.200 had any sort of legitimate base of support who could 0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:44.240 come in and take the reins, because Israel's goal is 0:16:44.320 --> 0:16:45.400 regime collapse. 0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:46.720 They don't want a strong Iran. 0:16:46.920 --> 0:16:49.600 They want they don't I apparently don't believe they can 0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:51.800 really successfully install a puppet, so they just want it 0:16:51.840 --> 0:16:56.200 to be chaos, death, insanity, civil war, et cetera, so 0:16:56.240 --> 0:16:59.840 that they can, you know, extend their region regional hegemony. 0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:02.440 With that being said, we've got a lot more to 0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:04.520 get to and we've got doctor Tree to Parsi standing by, 0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:09.000 so let's go ahead and bring him in. All right, everyone, 0:17:09.080 --> 0:17:10.920 we are fortunate to be joined by front of the show, 0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:12.520 doctor Tree to Parcy of. 0:17:12.400 --> 0:17:14.600 The Quincy Institute for Responsible state Craft. 0:17:14.600 --> 0:17:16.479 Great to see, Sir good, Deseasir good to be with 0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:17.040 you guys. 0:17:17.280 --> 0:17:19.600 So we just played for the audience, Marco Ruvio and 0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:22.960 Mike Johnson both saying no, the imminent threat came from 0:17:22.960 --> 0:17:26.080 the fact that we knew Israel was going to attack Iran. 0:17:26.280 --> 0:17:29.160 Regardless of whether we involved ourselves, we knew that would 0:17:29.160 --> 0:17:32.639 put our US service members at risk. Therefore, we felt 0:17:32.640 --> 0:17:38.520 compelled to strike Iran first. Your reaction to those extraordinary revelations. 0:17:38.440 --> 0:17:41.680 I'm delighted that he has spelled it out that this 0:17:41.760 --> 0:17:43.360 is the reason that, at the end of the day, 0:17:43.400 --> 0:17:46.240 the Israelis have been driving the boat on this one, 0:17:46.480 --> 0:17:48.639 and that the United States has followed their lead and 0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:51.000 let them decide when the US goes to war and 0:17:51.000 --> 0:17:53.640 when it doesn't. This is, at the end of the day, 0:17:53.720 --> 0:17:56.720 a decision they made. They made a decision to let 0:17:56.760 --> 0:17:59.480 the Israelis decide, and now they're trying to hide behind 0:17:59.480 --> 0:18:01.560 that as if is some sort of a self defense. 0:18:02.000 --> 0:18:05.360 At this point, there's no speculation value any longer as 0:18:05.359 --> 0:18:07.480 to whether that Israel is the driving force behind this 0:18:07.640 --> 0:18:10.320 or not. It is coming out of the mouth of Rubio, 0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:12.000 and it's coming out of the mouth of the Speaker 0:18:12.000 --> 0:18:14.040 of the House as well. It is now clear this 0:18:14.119 --> 0:18:16.760 is what they decided. This is not by any definition 0:18:17.400 --> 0:18:19.240 America first. This is Israel first. 0:18:20.200 --> 0:18:23.720 This is probably the most consequential Kinsley gaff in American 0:18:23.800 --> 0:18:27.399 history where they accidentally tell the trilogy, and that is 0:18:27.440 --> 0:18:29.919 one where I really don't even know where to go 0:18:30.080 --> 0:18:33.439 from here. I do think it is worth noting that 0:18:33.520 --> 0:18:36.920 the administration has laid out the most maximalist goals and 0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:40.040 it's now making a mockery of America. First, let's say 0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:42.520 put a six let's say up there on the screen. 0:18:42.600 --> 0:18:45.520 I really loved this exchange. So Matt wall Show over 0:18:45.520 --> 0:18:46.240 at the Daily Wire. 0:18:46.320 --> 0:18:47.840 He put out a tweet, He's like, I've got some 0:18:47.960 --> 0:18:52.040 questions about this whole operation, and Press Secretary Caroline Levitt 0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:55.520 released a statement and said, let me reiterate all of 0:18:55.560 --> 0:18:58.640 the objectives. We're going to destroy the regime's missile raise 0:18:58.680 --> 0:19:01.080 our missile industry to the ground. We're going to annihilate 0:19:01.119 --> 0:19:04.160 the navy. We're going to ensure the regime's terrorist proxies 0:19:04.160 --> 0:19:06.840 can no longer operate. We will stop them from making 0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:09.800 and using IEDs and when, by the way, ID literally 0:19:09.880 --> 0:19:13.479 means improvised, So okay, guarantee that Iran can never obtain 0:19:13.520 --> 0:19:17.520 a nuclear weapon. Preventing the regime from threatening America killing 0:19:17.600 --> 0:19:18.520 terrorists is good. 0:19:18.760 --> 0:19:21.200 And there's a long continued diet tribe. 0:19:21.200 --> 0:19:23.879 I was like, you know, whenever she was meant to 0:19:23.920 --> 0:19:28.600 address concerns about regime change. This is a regime change manifesto. 0:19:28.720 --> 0:19:31.000 I don't see any way that there could be a 0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:34.679 realistic off ramp without effective surrender from the Trump administration. 0:19:34.920 --> 0:19:35.879 Curious for your review. 0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:38.280 So here's what I think has happened. I think, first 0:19:38.280 --> 0:19:40.199 of all, you're right. But here's I think how we 0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:43.439 got there. The administration was led by these Raelis to 0:19:43.480 --> 0:19:45.760 believe that this is going to be a very simple operation. 0:19:46.320 --> 0:19:49.239 They thought that by Sunday evening this would have been 0:19:49.240 --> 0:19:51.879 wrapped up, that the regime would have imploded as a 0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:55.320 result of the assassination of the Supreme Leader. That obviously 0:19:55.359 --> 0:19:58.920 did not work. Twice reportedly, perhaps even three times, from 0:19:58.960 --> 0:20:00.520 preached out and trying to see if he could get 0:20:00.520 --> 0:20:03.639 a ceasefire from the Vannius. The Vannius rejected it, and 0:20:03.680 --> 0:20:05.960 I can go into as to why the Iranians rejected it. 0:20:06.000 --> 0:20:08.600 So now they're stuck in a situation in which they 0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:11.080 understand that the Iranian game plan is to prolong this 0:20:11.200 --> 0:20:14.560 and expand this war and play to what their relative 0:20:14.560 --> 0:20:17.240 strength is, which is they can withstand this, whereas Trump 0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:21.840 probably cannot, not militarily but politically, he cannot withstand this. 0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:24.280 For a couple of weeks. So now the Trump administration 0:20:24.440 --> 0:20:29.400 is trying to essentially convince the Iranians that no, no, no, no, 0:20:29.880 --> 0:20:32.480 the United States is more than ready to withstand this 0:20:32.560 --> 0:20:35.000 for a long time. He suddenly said four weeks and 0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:38.879 that now as a result of the Iranians refusing a ceasefire, 0:20:39.160 --> 0:20:42.040 he is going even more maximalism. So he is throwing 0:20:42.119 --> 0:20:46.320 good money after bad money after his first completely unrealistic 0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:50.320 expectation was not met. And this is the very definition 0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:54.240 of losing control. We're not even two or three days 0:20:54.240 --> 0:20:57.400 into the war and it's already clear they have lost control. 0:20:57.640 --> 0:21:00.679 Look at how they are grasping for straws, not just 0:21:00.720 --> 0:21:03.400 to find what objectives they should have, but also how 0:21:03.480 --> 0:21:06.680 to justify them. And in that effort they have gone 0:21:06.720 --> 0:21:08.400 as far as to say that Iran is at war 0:21:08.440 --> 0:21:11.720 with civilization, to actually admitting that all of this was 0:21:11.720 --> 0:21:15.560 done because Israel decided it was time to go there. 0:21:15.760 --> 0:21:19.959 So I want to go back to why Trump let 0:21:20.040 --> 0:21:23.639 himself be led around by the nose by Israel, Because 0:21:23.840 --> 0:21:27.400 clearly there was some reluctance from the administration. You know, 0:21:27.520 --> 0:21:30.359 they were concerned you had the top military brass here 0:21:30.440 --> 0:21:33.040 leaking to basically every newspaper they could get a hold 0:21:33.080 --> 0:21:35.520 of to say, this is a real problem. We are 0:21:35.520 --> 0:21:38.640 not ready, there's an interceptor issue, this is not going 0:21:38.680 --> 0:21:40.760 to go well, there's tremendous risks here. 0:21:41.240 --> 0:21:41.920 And yet, in. 0:21:41.840 --> 0:21:44.000 Spite of all of that, and in spite of all 0:21:44.040 --> 0:21:46.479 of the very clear campaign promises that you know, we're 0:21:46.480 --> 0:21:48.920 going to play them later, he made Jadvan's made, Toulci 0:21:48.960 --> 0:21:52.000 Gabbard made RFK junior maid Steven Miller made like every 0:21:52.080 --> 0:21:55.320 top person in this administration said oh, of course, we're 0:21:55.359 --> 0:21:57.520 not going to go to war with Iran. In spite 0:21:57.520 --> 0:22:00.560 of all of that, he still ends up making the 0:22:00.560 --> 0:22:03.240 decision to do Israel's bidding. 0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:05.399 Like, what can explain that? 0:22:05.840 --> 0:22:07.679 Is it just the power of the Israel Is that 0:22:07.800 --> 0:22:11.680 Miriam Addelson money? Like how does this calculation get made 0:22:12.000 --> 0:22:14.200 when you have so many people, from the political people 0:22:14.200 --> 0:22:16.560 to the military people, warning that this is going to 0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:17.440 be a disaster. 0:22:18.240 --> 0:22:21.240 It's really difficult to explain that. I absolutely cannot claim 0:22:21.320 --> 0:22:24.440 to have an answer. I think a part of the answer, though, 0:22:24.600 --> 0:22:29.280 is he has been lulled into this belief that everything 0:22:29.320 --> 0:22:32.480 he has done has been an absolutely amazing success, and 0:22:32.520 --> 0:22:36.240 everything he would did was in contradiction to the conventional 0:22:36.240 --> 0:22:39.000 wisdom and their advice. They told him that he can't 0:22:39.040 --> 0:22:42.160 move the embassy. He did, nothing happen. They told him 0:22:42.160 --> 0:22:45.399 that he couldn't recognize the Golan highs. He did, nothing happen. 0:22:45.640 --> 0:22:48.080 They told him, you can't kill Suleimani. He did, in 0:22:48.119 --> 0:22:50.800 his view, nothing happened. They told him that he can't 0:22:50.840 --> 0:22:53.600 take out Foordo. He did. In his view, nothing happened. 0:22:53.680 --> 0:22:56.400 And then of course he did Venezuela. He's on this 0:22:56.560 --> 0:23:00.199 massive sugar high, the mother of all sugar highs. It's 0:23:00.280 --> 0:23:04.280 easier for the Israelis under those circumstances to tell him, Look, 0:23:04.280 --> 0:23:07.000 the Iranians are just so weak. All you need to 0:23:07.000 --> 0:23:09.359 do is push a little bit. You're going to be 0:23:09.400 --> 0:23:11.800 the hero. You're going to be the president that finally 0:23:11.840 --> 0:23:14.600 puts an end to this regime. Everyone said that you 0:23:14.640 --> 0:23:17.040 can't do it. That's precisely why you should do it, 0:23:17.080 --> 0:23:19.120 because only you can prove them wrong. 0:23:19.520 --> 0:23:21.639 So what you may see, maybe they mocked up a 0:23:21.680 --> 0:23:24.040 newspaper cover like us, or I. 0:23:23.960 --> 0:23:26.960 Mean, they played to his psychology. The Aonians did not. 0:23:27.560 --> 0:23:29.960 Right, yeah, right, and we shouldn't we should say that is, 0:23:30.000 --> 0:23:32.119 we should fault to their negotiating team as well. But 0:23:32.200 --> 0:23:34.359 now we are where we are, and so you know, 0:23:34.440 --> 0:23:37.840 what do you see? You said that the Iranians have 0:23:37.960 --> 0:23:43.400 rejected two, maybe three diplomatic overtures from the Trump administration. 0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:47.560 What is the internal logic inside of the regime right now? 0:23:47.920 --> 0:23:50.560 It seems pretty clear that they expected to take mass 0:23:50.600 --> 0:23:54.720 casualties at the top, They have decentralized military command. What 0:23:54.920 --> 0:23:57.399 is their internal assessment right now? From far as you 0:23:57.440 --> 0:23:59.840 can tell, from how they're doing and for what they're planning. 0:24:00.640 --> 0:24:03.439 The first thing we have to say to truly understand 0:24:03.640 --> 0:24:06.480 how they're thinking is that they truly unlike these Raelis 0:24:06.480 --> 0:24:09.600 who oftentimes throughout and say, oh, this is existential. For them, 0:24:09.840 --> 0:24:12.720 this truly is existential, and this is why they're making 0:24:12.720 --> 0:24:15.399 the decision of the way they're making it. They believe 0:24:15.600 --> 0:24:19.560 that a premature ceasefire, one in which after the US 0:24:19.600 --> 0:24:22.520 has scored a major victory, if they were to accept it, 0:24:22.640 --> 0:24:25.280 all it would do. It would allow the US and 0:24:25.440 --> 0:24:29.600 Israel to regroup, remobilize, and then six months later relaunch 0:24:29.640 --> 0:24:32.000 a war. If there's to be a ceasefire, it has 0:24:32.040 --> 0:24:35.080 to be a prolonged and durable one. The only way 0:24:35.119 --> 0:24:38.400 the ceasefire could be durable, they believe, is if this 0:24:38.480 --> 0:24:42.520 war ends up being tremendously costly to all sides, so 0:24:42.560 --> 0:24:45.080 that all sides believe it was a mistake to start it, 0:24:45.280 --> 0:24:47.360 and as a result, believe it would be a mistake 0:24:47.440 --> 0:24:50.439 to restart it if they agreed to a ceasefire too 0:24:50.520 --> 0:24:54.119 quickly without that cost actually being felt. They believe that 0:24:54.160 --> 0:24:56.760 it will only give the other side, the US and Israel, 0:24:56.960 --> 0:25:00.399 time to be able to regroup and then once again attack, Yvonne. 0:25:00.920 --> 0:25:04.000 This is the conclusion they drew after agreeing to ceasefire 0:25:04.080 --> 0:25:06.800 in June. Many of them believe that it was premature. 0:25:07.080 --> 0:25:09.159 Many of them believe that these Radis were in a very, 0:25:09.240 --> 0:25:12.000 very bad situation because they had run out of interceptors, 0:25:12.200 --> 0:25:14.240 and it was a mistake for the Iranians to agree 0:25:14.240 --> 0:25:16.840 to that ceasefire and they're paying for that mistake now. 0:25:17.520 --> 0:25:19.760 I mean, that was another incredible moment for Rubio as 0:25:19.800 --> 0:25:22.560 he also talked about that interceptor you'd made it. Yeah, 0:25:22.640 --> 0:25:24.639 he talked about, you know, they've got these drones and 0:25:24.640 --> 0:25:27.320 they're very inexpensive, and meanwhile we're shooting all these intercepts 0:25:27.359 --> 0:25:29.480 or we can't. They can make the drones much more 0:25:29.560 --> 0:25:32.560 quickly than we can make the interceptors. It's like, okay, 0:25:32.600 --> 0:25:34.960 then why are we doing this if that's not thing. 0:25:35.080 --> 0:25:37.840 Once you're in this situation and you recognize that logic, 0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:41.240 which they should have recognized before, it actually pushes them 0:25:41.320 --> 0:25:44.000 to go all out as well. And that is what 0:25:44.040 --> 0:25:45.600 I think we're going to see in the next couple 0:25:45.600 --> 0:25:47.000 of days. Trump is going to. 0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:49.480 Throw it where about what you yeah, tell me more 0:25:49.520 --> 0:25:51.959 about what you mean by that, And just to you know, 0:25:52.080 --> 0:25:53.760 as a little preamble here, we can put a nine 0:25:53.840 --> 0:25:56.040 up on the screen. We now know at least six 0:25:56.200 --> 0:26:00.240 Americans have been killed in action, at least eighteen have 0:26:00.359 --> 0:26:05.200 been seriously wounded. You have US embassies that are being 0:26:05.240 --> 0:26:07.879 attacked in a number of countries, both by Iran and 0:26:07.920 --> 0:26:11.320 also by local people. We know now we have confirmation 0:26:11.440 --> 0:26:15.200 that US Marines we're shooting at civilian rioters at the 0:26:15.560 --> 0:26:19.040 US embassy in Karachi in Pakistan. We can put a 0:26:19.080 --> 0:26:22.760 eleven up on the screen. So already this straight up 0:26:22.760 --> 0:26:24.760 horror moves was sort of de facto closed because the 0:26:24.800 --> 0:26:28.240 insurers pulled the plug on shipping traffics, and basically we're 0:26:28.240 --> 0:26:29.399 not going to injure you, or we're going to jack 0:26:29.480 --> 0:26:33.080 up the price extraordinarily. Now Reuter's is reporting Iran is 0:26:33.160 --> 0:26:36.680 notifying vessels it is officially closing the Straight of Hormus. 0:26:36.960 --> 0:26:39.400 If officially closed, twenty plus million barrels of oil per 0:26:39.480 --> 0:26:43.040 day will be impacted, twenty percent of global supply. Qatar 0:26:43.200 --> 0:26:46.840 has cut off their LNG production. Gas prices in Europe 0:26:46.960 --> 0:26:51.040 have already skyrocketed some fifty percent. So when you say 0:26:51.240 --> 0:26:53.959 we're going to throw everything that we have at it 0:26:54.040 --> 0:26:56.160 and we're going to go big, you know what does 0:26:56.200 --> 0:26:57.919 that actually in effect look like. 0:26:58.480 --> 0:26:59.960 Let me start off by just saying one of the 0:27:00.040 --> 0:27:01.960 thing that I think is important. Just a couple of days, 0:27:02.000 --> 0:27:05.240 about three days before Trump decided to start this war, 0:27:05.720 --> 0:27:07.959 I was in a closed meeting with a bunch of 0:27:08.160 --> 0:27:14.639 former officials, analysts, military people, and the general view in 0:27:14.680 --> 0:27:17.239 the room was the Vonians would never do this. They 0:27:17.240 --> 0:27:19.800 will never close the straits, they would never attack the 0:27:19.840 --> 0:27:22.560 GCC states. It would be too costly for them. And 0:27:22.640 --> 0:27:25.959 I think it reflected the fact that this had not 0:27:26.080 --> 0:27:29.280 really dawned upon people. The manner in which Trump is 0:27:29.320 --> 0:27:32.880 doing this is making a clear signal to Devonians. This 0:27:32.960 --> 0:27:35.960 is an existential fight, and in an existential fight, they're 0:27:36.000 --> 0:27:38.120 not going to think about tomorrow. They're not going to 0:27:38.160 --> 0:27:40.960 think about what GCC round relations are going to be 0:27:41.200 --> 0:27:42.919 a year from now. They're going to think about how 0:27:42.920 --> 0:27:45.679 they survive this war. And as a result, decisions that 0:27:45.760 --> 0:27:49.080 were perceived to be unthinkable just empty threats from the 0:27:49.240 --> 0:27:52.120 Varnians we are now seeing happening on a daily basis. 0:27:52.280 --> 0:27:56.199 As you pointed out the closing of the straits, and 0:27:56.240 --> 0:27:59.680 again I think it shows the profound miscalculation, although of 0:27:59.760 --> 0:28:01.840 course those people in the room were not the decision makers. 0:28:01.920 --> 0:28:05.520 I think it reflects what also decision makers have been 0:28:05.560 --> 0:28:08.320 thinking about this. I think what is happening now is 0:28:08.359 --> 0:28:12.119 that because of this essential I wouldn't call it panic, 0:28:12.160 --> 0:28:16.200 but really scrambling to try to figure out a new plan. 0:28:17.040 --> 0:28:19.680 The emphasis is going to be to throw everything at 0:28:19.720 --> 0:28:22.560 the Iranians. I think we're going to see significant bombardment. 0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:25.520 We're going to see an effort to use the Kurds 0:28:25.560 --> 0:28:29.399 in order to launch attacks in the Kurdish areas in 0:28:29.480 --> 0:28:31.920 the absence of other ground troops, although I wouldn't be 0:28:32.000 --> 0:28:34.879 surprised if there may be some Israeli ground troops with 0:28:35.119 --> 0:28:38.600 the Kurds, although the Kurdish numbers are not very high. 0:28:38.640 --> 0:28:40.719 It's not so much that this actually would end up 0:28:40.720 --> 0:28:43.800 becoming like a real invasion, but something that would be 0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:48.520 further effort to try to cause Tehran to lose control 0:28:48.560 --> 0:28:50.640 of the largest situation. If the Iranians are trying to 0:28:50.640 --> 0:28:53.200 expand the theater of war into areas that the US 0:28:53.280 --> 0:28:55.800 wasn't ready for. The US is responding in kind. But 0:28:55.880 --> 0:28:59.360 bottom line is we're seeing that the original plans didn't 0:28:59.360 --> 0:29:01.840 even survive the first five seconds of reality. 0:29:02.120 --> 0:29:04.400 Yeah right, yeah, I mean already this is a full 0:29:04.440 --> 0:29:06.960 blown regional conflict, which, as you said, and by the way, 0:29:07.000 --> 0:29:08.600 Trump admitted, you don't just have to listen to you. 0:29:08.680 --> 0:29:11.440 We were surprised that they attacked the golf countries. He 0:29:11.520 --> 0:29:14.880 has caused absolute chaos. The State Department saying this morning, 0:29:15.200 --> 0:29:18.760 all citizens in the Golf should leave, all of them, 0:29:19.000 --> 0:29:21.560 by the way, good luck leaving. All of the airports 0:29:21.560 --> 0:29:24.640 are closed. The US Ambassador Mike Huckabee is putting out 0:29:24.640 --> 0:29:27.400 guidance about how to get on a bus from Israel 0:29:27.640 --> 0:29:30.320 to the Sinai Peninsula and then hopefully be able to 0:29:30.320 --> 0:29:33.479 catch a flight from there to somewhere else before they 0:29:33.480 --> 0:29:35.880 can eventually get the hell out. There's over a million 0:29:35.920 --> 0:29:38.320 Americans who live in the region. I used to be 0:29:38.640 --> 0:29:40.760 one of them. But sticking with that, sir, let's put 0:29:40.760 --> 0:29:43.080 a ten up here on the screen, just so you 0:29:43.120 --> 0:29:46.800 can already see huge strikes in the middle of Tehran 0:29:47.160 --> 0:29:49.920 in the middle of daylight. I mean, God only knows 0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:52.600 the number of people that have already been killed. But 0:29:52.960 --> 0:29:55.480 many of the reports coming out of Iran saying that 0:29:55.520 --> 0:29:59.920 the Israeli strikes are specifically targeting these police stations. As 0:30:00.000 --> 0:30:03.280 as you said, the internal logic right now for the 0:30:03.280 --> 0:30:05.360 golf and for the United States is that this is 0:30:05.440 --> 0:30:10.080 already intolerable from a munition's depletion standpoint for interceptors, which 0:30:10.120 --> 0:30:12.720 means that they have to go all out bombard the 0:30:12.760 --> 0:30:16.440 country as much as humanly possible and try to basically 0:30:16.480 --> 0:30:19.600 erode their capacity to fight. This is the North Vietnam 0:30:19.720 --> 0:30:24.200 bombing strategic logic of many, many decades. Of course, it 0:30:24.240 --> 0:30:26.800 doesn't work if you have a population and a regime 0:30:27.000 --> 0:30:30.880 which is hardened in its belief that it is completely existential. 0:30:30.920 --> 0:30:34.320 So let's say we do get this massive bombardment an 0:30:34.320 --> 0:30:38.320 effect effective trying for to collapse the state. Let's say 0:30:38.360 --> 0:30:41.440 they do take out the missile launchers, what's next from 0:30:41.520 --> 0:30:44.440 that point because the regime itself will still be intact, 0:30:44.440 --> 0:30:47.920 and it's not like Trump and Israel can just declare victory. 0:30:47.960 --> 0:30:49.960 Again. I don't think there is much of a plan. 0:30:50.640 --> 0:30:53.000 The hope was that now they're targeting a lot of 0:30:53.000 --> 0:30:59.080 police stations, IRGC headquarters, besiege headquarters. The hope is that 0:30:59.160 --> 0:31:01.840 this eventually will lead to a regime implosion, because the 0:31:01.960 --> 0:31:05.120 repressive capabilities of the state will be eroded, and then 0:31:05.160 --> 0:31:08.920 magically people will rise up and take over. And you know, 0:31:09.640 --> 0:31:12.440 there is some basis to believe that something like this 0:31:12.640 --> 0:31:16.120 could happen. To bet an entire war. That it will 0:31:16.160 --> 0:31:19.000 happen is a completely different story. I go back to 0:31:19.040 --> 0:31:21.480 what I said on this show several times. I repeated 0:31:21.480 --> 0:31:24.120 it as often as I could in every interview. Trump 0:31:24.160 --> 0:31:26.800 has been led to believe that Iran is much weaker 0:31:26.840 --> 0:31:29.320 than it is, and as a result, he's gone down 0:31:29.360 --> 0:31:31.640 this path. And now we're discovering that it is not 0:31:31.760 --> 0:31:34.760 that simple. As you mentioned, the problems for people for 0:31:34.800 --> 0:31:38.240 Americans to leave the GCC states, even leaving Israel. At 0:31:38.240 --> 0:31:40.520 this point, I spoke to a friend who was traveling. 0:31:40.560 --> 0:31:43.640 He was in Dubai, can't get out, had to take 0:31:43.640 --> 0:31:46.360 a cab all the way to Oman. That border to 0:31:46.440 --> 0:31:49.240 Oman between the U and of Oman was just completely 0:31:49.320 --> 0:31:52.480 overloaded with people trying to escape Dubai and try to 0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:56.920 find a flight out of the Arabian Peninsula. Clearly no 0:31:57.080 --> 0:31:59.720 planning whatsoever from any side for this to be able 0:31:59.720 --> 0:32:01.920 to have, and yet the riding was on the wall. 0:32:02.440 --> 0:32:05.800 Well, I mean, we've been listening to Professor Robert Pape, 0:32:05.800 --> 0:32:08.680 who's expert on warfare and airpower in particular. In one 0:32:08.760 --> 0:32:12.080 hundred years of trying this, there's never been a successful, 0:32:12.080 --> 0:32:16.320 a successful regime change just using air power. We also 0:32:16.360 --> 0:32:19.280 have the recent example of Gaza, which obviously is much 0:32:19.520 --> 0:32:24.080 smaller and where the Israelis with our assistance, bombed the 0:32:24.120 --> 0:32:26.440 hell of it out of it, reduced it all to 0:32:26.520 --> 0:32:30.080 rubble effectively, and had a ground invasion and still were 0:32:30.080 --> 0:32:34.760 not able to dislodge Humas from power. So the you know, 0:32:34.800 --> 0:32:38.520 the arrogance, the delusion here is just extraordinary to me 0:32:38.600 --> 0:32:41.480 as someone who was not expert on these things whatsoever. 0:32:42.280 --> 0:32:44.080 Last question I had for you is, you know, I 0:32:44.120 --> 0:32:47.680 was watching that bombardment of Tehran, looking at the fact 0:32:47.720 --> 0:32:49.560 that they've already targeted. 0:32:49.120 --> 0:32:50.280 Some nine hospitals. 0:32:50.560 --> 0:32:53.720 Obviously, little girls massacred, over one hundred and sixty of 0:32:53.760 --> 0:32:56.320 them at a school. Another school, I think a girl's 0:32:56.400 --> 0:33:01.640 volleyball team was killed. Are they since the initial let's 0:33:01.880 --> 0:33:05.240 try to collapse the regime didn't work out, are they 0:33:05.280 --> 0:33:08.480 now going to pursue effectively the same strategy they pursued 0:33:08.520 --> 0:33:09.040 in Gaza. 0:33:09.960 --> 0:33:12.080 It appears that at least on a couple of occasions 0:33:12.080 --> 0:33:15.160 that has happened, we've seen evidence of double tap attacks. 0:33:15.480 --> 0:33:17.720 There's a video of an Iranian woman who actually doesn't 0:33:17.760 --> 0:33:19.760 live in Iran, I don't know if she's Iranian American, 0:33:20.720 --> 0:33:22.920 who is crying and said that they struck this hotel. 0:33:23.280 --> 0:33:25.320 When people rushed in to try to help it, they 0:33:25.360 --> 0:33:28.480 struck again. So evidence of these double taps are now emerging. 0:33:29.040 --> 0:33:31.720 One thing I have to say, though, I'm sorry to 0:33:31.800 --> 0:33:33.840 raise this, but I was on BBC last night and 0:33:33.920 --> 0:33:38.600 they aired tapes or reconstruction of tapes of three voices 0:33:38.600 --> 0:33:41.880 from Iran that they claim to have spoken to, who 0:33:42.080 --> 0:33:44.360 all were praising these bombings. I mean, one of them 0:33:44.480 --> 0:33:46.920 was saying that you know, we're applauding every time to 0:33:47.040 --> 0:33:49.680 hear a bomb without a doubt. I do believe that 0:33:49.720 --> 0:33:53.200 there is some level of support inside of Iran for 0:33:53.360 --> 0:33:56.480 this campaign. Certainly there's a degree of support, although I 0:33:56.480 --> 0:34:00.960 think it's exaggerated in the diaspora. But BBC aired three 0:34:01.040 --> 0:34:04.520 voices who all said the same thing, given the viewers 0:34:04.520 --> 0:34:06.880 the impression that this is a liberation board, that the 0:34:06.880 --> 0:34:09.480 people inside of Iran are just yearning to be bombed. 0:34:09.760 --> 0:34:11.359 And I had to call them out on and I said, 0:34:11.400 --> 0:34:13.839 this is worse than the Iraq war propaganda that I've seen, 0:34:13.880 --> 0:34:16.239 because you know very well that there's a diversity of 0:34:16.320 --> 0:34:19.440 us inside the country, yet you only aired one type 0:34:19.440 --> 0:34:22.200 of a voice and give people the impression that everyone 0:34:22.280 --> 0:34:24.640 is welcoming this for which is absolutely not the case. 0:34:24.920 --> 0:34:27.480 Yeah, that's outrageous. And we've been watching this happen in 0:34:27.480 --> 0:34:31.240 our own There are ninety two million people in Iran. 0:34:31.360 --> 0:34:35.800 Ninety two million? Did three? Maybe what about the rest? 0:34:36.120 --> 0:34:38.640 How do we have any idea and how have we 0:34:38.719 --> 0:34:41.799 not seen this story? I've seen plenty of videos. Yeah, 0:34:42.160 --> 0:34:44.399 I've seen plenty videos. I'm sure you have too, of 0:34:44.440 --> 0:34:46.920 like secular looking people who are like we will stand 0:34:46.960 --> 0:34:49.480 and fight to the death against the United States and 0:34:49.520 --> 0:34:52.840 against Israel in the streets of Tehran could be selective 0:34:52.880 --> 0:34:55.640 regime propaganda. I'm not going to take that fully as 0:34:55.680 --> 0:34:58.680 the only voice, but of course that voice exists too. 0:34:58.680 --> 0:35:01.920 It's completely irresponsible to say that it doesn't. And at 0:35:01.920 --> 0:35:04.880 this point, I mean the history of nationalism. Even in 0:35:04.960 --> 0:35:08.360 countries which are being externally bombed with you know, external 0:35:08.400 --> 0:35:11.759 pressure to be applied, many are not willing to just 0:35:11.800 --> 0:35:15.239 play ball with the imperial aggressor. But as you know, 0:35:15.320 --> 0:35:18.399 even if they do disagree with the internal politics, which 0:35:18.440 --> 0:35:20.719 is quite literally the story of Iraq. I mean, I 0:35:20.719 --> 0:35:23.279 guess the final thing that we wanted to I guess 0:35:23.280 --> 0:35:25.440 wanted to talk to you a little bit about here 0:35:25.880 --> 0:35:30.080 is with this logic up along the escalation ladder, the 0:35:30.200 --> 0:35:34.760 consuming of the Gulf States, every story Top Wall Street, Journal, 0:35:34.760 --> 0:35:37.600 Bloomberg is interceptors are running out in the golf by 0:35:37.600 --> 0:35:39.680 the way, even these golf got I mean, I'm reading 0:35:39.680 --> 0:35:44.120 stories they're shooting Patriot four million dollar missiles at Shahad drones, 0:35:44.160 --> 0:35:45.719 which cost twenty thousand dollars. 0:35:45.719 --> 0:35:48.359 They're going to be out within a week, maybe a month. 0:35:48.400 --> 0:35:51.520 We don't exactly know the number if that happens, and 0:35:51.560 --> 0:35:55.360 we see a conflagration. Already, Saudi Ramco is under threat. 0:35:55.560 --> 0:35:57.640 They're saying that they're going to avoid the Straits of Hormuz, 0:35:57.719 --> 0:36:01.800 move oil through the Red Sea via pipeline. Qatar LNG 0:36:02.000 --> 0:36:04.839 has already shut down Iran, saying this morning they may 0:36:04.920 --> 0:36:07.440 even attack Europe. When we see a depletion of that 0:36:07.520 --> 0:36:11.000 and we see this actually globalized into a major war, 0:36:11.360 --> 0:36:14.719 what does that look like from a global perspective, not 0:36:14.760 --> 0:36:17.320 only impact on the United States, but broadly for a 0:36:17.400 --> 0:36:20.480 regional and global picture for our geopolitics. 0:36:21.520 --> 0:36:24.479 We don't know, because the planner who didn't think this through. 0:36:25.000 --> 0:36:28.280 I mean, this is truly unprecedented. The Iranians have struck 0:36:28.880 --> 0:36:32.880 or tried to strike Cyprus, where the Brits have been 0:36:32.960 --> 0:36:35.719 using a base that was extremely active in the genocide 0:36:35.719 --> 0:36:38.600 against Gaza, but apparently also had played a role in 0:36:38.640 --> 0:36:40.360 some of the attacks on Iran. It may also be 0:36:40.440 --> 0:36:45.680 a retaliation for the Brits allowing Garcia to be used 0:36:45.680 --> 0:36:48.360 by the United States after first having resisted. The Iranians 0:36:48.440 --> 0:36:52.040 cannot reach out, so perhaps deystruckt the Cypress base short 0:36:52.040 --> 0:36:54.000 of that, But we also see what's now happening between 0:36:54.000 --> 0:36:56.640 Europe and Russia. Europe is now putting pressure on the 0:36:56.719 --> 0:36:59.319 Ukrainians to allow Russian gas and oil to come into 0:36:59.320 --> 0:37:04.440 Europe because now they're suffering from an astute fuel shortage 0:37:04.560 --> 0:37:07.080 that has been made much much worse because of this war. 0:37:07.840 --> 0:37:10.720 I mean, life as a vassal is clearly not particularly easy, 0:37:10.880 --> 0:37:13.359 since you have put your own destiny in the hands 0:37:13.400 --> 0:37:16.319 of someone else. But the Europeans, to chose to become 0:37:16.400 --> 0:37:18.319 vassals of the United States in this matter, are not 0:37:18.360 --> 0:37:21.440 paying the price for it now. Will this then eventually 0:37:21.520 --> 0:37:23.960 lead to a scenario in which the Russians and the Chinese, 0:37:23.960 --> 0:37:26.560 one way or another, are also dragged into it. The 0:37:26.600 --> 0:37:29.879 conventional wisdom has always been that the Russians, at least 0:37:29.880 --> 0:37:32.080 the Chinese will do everything they can to stay out 0:37:32.080 --> 0:37:35.040 of this. The Russians are not going to jeopardize their 0:37:35.080 --> 0:37:37.680 prospects for a deal to end the Ukraine Wars in 0:37:37.760 --> 0:37:40.799 order to help the Iranians. But if this expands in 0:37:40.840 --> 0:37:45.279 an uncontrolla uncontrollable way, then we cannot say exactly what 0:37:45.400 --> 0:37:47.560 the response of some of these other countries will be. 0:37:47.800 --> 0:37:50.520 We're also seeing right now other things. We're seeing that 0:37:50.560 --> 0:37:53.680 in Bahrain there are riots taking place. There's some reports 0:37:53.680 --> 0:37:56.600 that the Saudis have stepped in into Bahrain again to 0:37:56.640 --> 0:38:00.600 clamp down on those protests, as they did in twenty eleven. Rain, 0:38:00.680 --> 0:38:04.080 of course, used to be Iranian territory. It's majority Shia, 0:38:04.160 --> 0:38:07.399 so we're already seeing the kind of repercussions that most 0:38:07.400 --> 0:38:10.200 people thought would only happen in the worst case scenario. 0:38:10.200 --> 0:38:12.160 We're three days into it. We're already in the worst 0:38:12.200 --> 0:38:13.280 case scenario in that sense. 0:38:13.800 --> 0:38:17.920 Unbelievable, just absolutely unbelievable, Doctor Parsi, thank you as always. 0:38:17.640 --> 0:38:19.200 Thank you, sir, thank you so much for having me. 0:38:22.280 --> 0:38:24.560 Turning now to the Golf situation, which we just talked 0:38:24.560 --> 0:38:28.560 about with doctor Trita Parsi, the entire region and flame 0:38:28.840 --> 0:38:31.719 and also deeply afraid of what it means if they 0:38:31.800 --> 0:38:34.319 run out of interceptors. We did want to start though, 0:38:34.480 --> 0:38:38.640 with this extraordinary accusation by Tucker Carlson reporting that there 0:38:38.680 --> 0:38:42.840 were MOSAD plots and agents arrested by two different golf 0:38:42.840 --> 0:38:46.400 countries trying to foment terror and chaos in these countries. 0:38:46.520 --> 0:38:47.279 Let's take a listen. 0:38:47.600 --> 0:38:49.880 It really really hurts these countries, and Israel wanted to 0:38:49.920 --> 0:38:52.840 hurt these countries. That's the point, wanted to hurt these countries, 0:38:53.520 --> 0:38:56.640 wanted to show chaos and disorder because they are rivals 0:38:56.760 --> 0:38:59.799 of Israel. So it's probably not hasn't been reported, but 0:38:59.760 --> 0:39:05.160 it's fact that last night in Qatar and Saudi Arabia, 0:39:05.200 --> 0:39:10.160 authorities arrested MASAD agents planning on committing bombings in those countries. 0:39:10.200 --> 0:39:14.160 Now that's weird, that doesn't make any sense. Why would 0:39:14.200 --> 0:39:20.640 the Israelis be committing bombings in two golf countries which 0:39:20.680 --> 0:39:22.920 are also being attacked by Iran. Aren't they on the 0:39:22.960 --> 0:39:23.640 same side. 0:39:24.840 --> 0:39:31.120 No, No, Israel wants to hurt Iran and Qatar and 0:39:31.360 --> 0:39:35.520 Eway and Saudi and Bahrain and Oman and Kuwait. 0:39:36.200 --> 0:39:39.200 Extraordinary claim there by Tucker Carlson and obviously highlighting the 0:39:39.200 --> 0:39:42.080 bigger strategic picture that we picked off our entire show 0:39:42.520 --> 0:39:44.879 is this is Israel's war. There's really not a whole 0:39:44.920 --> 0:39:47.279 lot in here for the United States. We've depleted our 0:39:47.400 --> 0:39:50.239 interceptor stockpile. We've now made a mockery of all of 0:39:50.239 --> 0:39:52.160 these golf country You know how many billions of dollargies 0:39:52.160 --> 0:39:53.680 in golf countries have spent on US. 0:39:53.840 --> 0:39:56.200 I mean it's probably hundreds of billions if. 0:39:56.040 --> 0:39:58.399 You total all of it together where they're like, look, 0:39:58.440 --> 0:40:00.440 we buy all your weapons, you get to keep our 0:40:01.080 --> 0:40:03.040 you get to keep your bases here to support the 0:40:03.040 --> 0:40:06.320 war in Iraq. We get to have a literal monarchy 0:40:06.600 --> 0:40:08.200 and it's all cool, and we have a ton of 0:40:08.200 --> 0:40:09.120 oil and you buy it. 0:40:09.280 --> 0:40:09.719 That's it. 0:40:09.800 --> 0:40:13.360 So it's security in exchange for monarchy. Everybody's kind of 0:40:13.360 --> 0:40:15.879 done a handshake deal around that. That's all being blown 0:40:15.960 --> 0:40:18.879 up their entire vision before the world. Let's go ahead 0:40:18.880 --> 0:40:21.640 and put some of this vo that we have up 0:40:21.680 --> 0:40:24.239 here on the screen. In each of these cases, we're 0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:28.000 showing you the region is literally inflame. So you've got 0:40:28.040 --> 0:40:30.279 Tel Aviv in the middle of last night. This is 0:40:30.280 --> 0:40:32.440 all just from last night. You've got missiles that are 0:40:32.440 --> 0:40:34.520 flying around the screen. You can see some of the 0:40:34.560 --> 0:40:38.360 interceptors that come multiple interceptors that they're having to fire. 0:40:39.040 --> 0:40:40.160 This one was in Doha. 0:40:40.239 --> 0:40:40.520 Guitar. 0:40:40.600 --> 0:40:43.439 I mean, this is genuinely shocking, Like it's crazy. Look 0:40:43.440 --> 0:40:45.319 at the amount of interceptors and all that are being 0:40:45.360 --> 0:40:48.960 fired up into the sky to intercept either drones or 0:40:49.040 --> 0:40:52.360 missiles that are coming in towards them. These people have 0:40:52.640 --> 0:40:56.520 never seen anything like this. This was video which was 0:40:56.560 --> 0:40:59.600 actually on the border of Saudi Arabia and of Bahrain. 0:41:00.280 --> 0:41:02.960 As riots continue to break out in Bahrain, which has 0:41:03.000 --> 0:41:05.880 a large Shia population which you can see in front 0:41:05.920 --> 0:41:08.920 of you, Saudi Arabia is having to dispatch some security 0:41:08.920 --> 0:41:11.880 forces potentially to try and crush those riots, just like 0:41:11.920 --> 0:41:14.520 they did in the middle of the Arab Spring. So 0:41:14.840 --> 0:41:18.560 your foundation of their society is now in question. From Bahrain, 0:41:18.600 --> 0:41:20.200 which is the home of the Fifth Fleet, tens of 0:41:20.200 --> 0:41:24.880 thousands of Americans. Kuwait, of course their long security relationship 0:41:25.080 --> 0:41:25.840 with the US. 0:41:25.840 --> 0:41:26.320 Iraq. 0:41:26.440 --> 0:41:30.560 This morning, which somewhat allegedly was our protectorate or kind 0:41:30.600 --> 0:41:33.320 of was whenever we invaded and occupied it for I 0:41:33.360 --> 0:41:35.600 don't know, like twenty years, just had to shut down 0:41:35.600 --> 0:41:38.640 their largest oil field, Saudi Arabia this morning. The US 0:41:38.680 --> 0:41:43.000 Embassy in Saudi Arabia issuing a explicit notice that they 0:41:43.000 --> 0:41:46.680 have incoming missile and UAV attacks on dah Ran. 0:41:46.840 --> 0:41:48.759 If you don't know what, Doron is, the home of 0:41:48.800 --> 0:41:49.600 the Saudi. 0:41:49.280 --> 0:41:53.720 Aramco compound and of the largest oil facility in the world. 0:41:54.000 --> 0:41:57.520 In addition, we had the Saudi Embassy which was or 0:41:57.560 --> 0:42:00.960 the US Embassy in Riod was hit by drone yesterday 0:42:01.080 --> 0:42:03.919 and apparently the roof was caved in three different drone 0:42:03.960 --> 0:42:05.960 attacks that hit the US. I mean, do you know 0:42:06.000 --> 0:42:09.120 how insane a single attack on a US embassy is 0:42:09.160 --> 0:42:12.040 an international story. The US embassy in Riahat has now 0:42:12.160 --> 0:42:15.560 been hit. The US embassy in Baghdad was basically under 0:42:15.560 --> 0:42:18.520 siege for two days straight. You've got now confirmed reports. 0:42:18.520 --> 0:42:21.160 We were careful. We talked about this yesterday. The United 0:42:21.160 --> 0:42:24.160 States military is now confirming vi A Reuters that marines 0:42:24.400 --> 0:42:28.000 fired on people in Pakistan. Sure that's going to go over. Well, 0:42:28.120 --> 0:42:30.520 That's going to go over real well in Pakistan, isn't it. 0:42:30.560 --> 0:42:34.239 Pakistani protesters killed by American marines in the middle of 0:42:34.239 --> 0:42:37.240 a consulate in a massive protest where people are shooting 0:42:37.280 --> 0:42:40.280 at each other. This is full blown chaos all over 0:42:40.440 --> 0:42:43.719 the entire world, and then bigger. What really belies all 0:42:43.760 --> 0:42:46.239 of this is this story. Let's put B three up 0:42:46.239 --> 0:42:49.480 here on the screen. The UAE and Katar are urging 0:42:49.600 --> 0:42:52.399 allies to urge allies to help Trump find an off 0:42:52.480 --> 0:42:55.799 ramp and largely interceptor stocks. Front page of the Wall 0:42:55.800 --> 0:42:58.640 Street Journal literally this morning is about the number of 0:42:58.680 --> 0:43:02.000 interceptors that these trees are firing. They're four I mean, 0:43:02.080 --> 0:43:04.680 just think about the math here, four million dollar patriot 0:43:04.760 --> 0:43:07.160 against a twenty thousand dollars drone. They say that they 0:43:07.200 --> 0:43:10.520 might be done in a matter of a week, perhaps days. 0:43:10.920 --> 0:43:13.400 And then what the hell is going to happen to 0:43:13.480 --> 0:43:17.640 the Burj Khalifa or the Queen Elizabeth Hotel or in Doha, 0:43:17.760 --> 0:43:21.080 I mean, the Ritz Car, all of these famous hotels. 0:43:21.320 --> 0:43:25.760 What did Professor jeongsay yesterday? Water desalination plants, the dams 0:43:25.880 --> 0:43:28.600 which are all over the country for water supply. What 0:43:28.680 --> 0:43:31.920 about Qatar LNG has already done. Qatar LNG announced this 0:43:32.000 --> 0:43:35.640 morning they're shutting down all downstream production, not just LNG 0:43:35.800 --> 0:43:39.000 production of everything is happening. The Iraq oil field is down, 0:43:39.200 --> 0:43:42.399 The Saudi Aramco is basically notifying its suppliers that they're 0:43:42.440 --> 0:43:43.960 going to have to pick up from somewhere else to 0:43:44.000 --> 0:43:45.319 avoid the straits of the. 0:43:45.280 --> 0:43:46.680 Disruption across the Gulf. 0:43:47.360 --> 0:43:49.640 It will take them years to recover from this, you know, 0:43:49.719 --> 0:43:52.440 structure militarily, what are they going to do? And then 0:43:52.480 --> 0:43:55.880 brand wise, Oh my god, you've got probably a million 0:43:55.920 --> 0:43:59.040 plus maybe two million Americans who are now stranded all 0:43:59.080 --> 0:44:00.520 across the entire golf. 0:44:00.880 --> 0:44:03.359 I mean, these are like very rich people like oil. 0:44:03.560 --> 0:44:06.040 I used to live there. I'm telling you, like, I 0:44:06.040 --> 0:44:07.440 went to the American School of Doha. 0:44:07.680 --> 0:44:09.960 Every other kid is like, oh, my dad works at 0:44:09.960 --> 0:44:12.760 Exon or whatever. Imagine you've been living there for a decade, 0:44:12.960 --> 0:44:16.879 You're drinking Margarita's the Intercontinental Hotel, and the next day 0:44:17.080 --> 0:44:18.880 you are literally trying to get the hell out of 0:44:18.880 --> 0:44:19.320 the country. 0:44:19.520 --> 0:44:21.280 But you can't. You literally can't. 0:44:21.320 --> 0:44:23.759 All the people who go and vacation there, you know, 0:44:23.840 --> 0:44:26.960 again very high end luxury, Like do you think that 0:44:27.000 --> 0:44:29.840 they're going to be rushing back for their Dubai vacation 0:44:30.280 --> 0:44:32.960 after seeing luxury hotels going up and flame? And this 0:44:33.000 --> 0:44:36.440 is what their whole economy and image is built around. 0:44:36.719 --> 0:44:39.319 So that's why it's so long term devastating to them. 0:44:39.719 --> 0:44:41.839 To your point, Zager, about that Wall Street Journal front 0:44:41.840 --> 0:44:45.640 page article on the Interceptor's math math, which again Marco 0:44:45.680 --> 0:44:48.160 Rubio himself came out and was talking about quite openly. 0:44:48.280 --> 0:44:48.800 Yesterday. 0:44:48.920 --> 0:44:51.040 Now, Donald Trump put on a truth social post saying 0:44:51.040 --> 0:44:52.560 that we could do war forever and it wouldn't be 0:44:52.600 --> 0:44:54.799 a problem. I'll ask you to you know which which 0:44:54.880 --> 0:44:57.520 version you'd believe. But in any case, they quote this 0:44:57.600 --> 0:45:01.560 expert who says, the intensity of interceptor usage that we 0:45:01.600 --> 0:45:04.080 have seen over the last couple of days cannot be 0:45:04.200 --> 0:45:08.480 maintained for more than another week, a week, probably a 0:45:08.520 --> 0:45:11.680 couple of days at most, and then they will feel 0:45:11.719 --> 0:45:14.920 the pain of interceptor shortage. That is from Fabian Hoffman, 0:45:14.960 --> 0:45:17.640 a missile expert at the University of Oslo. 0:45:18.320 --> 0:45:20.120 So that's where we're at. 0:45:20.480 --> 0:45:25.320 And the Iranians number one, they have an asymmetric interest 0:45:25.760 --> 0:45:27.840 in this fight. So of course they're outmatched by the 0:45:27.840 --> 0:45:29.840 amount of firepower that we have in Israel and all 0:45:29.880 --> 0:45:31.319 of our allies, all the weapons we sold them over 0:45:31.360 --> 0:45:33.239 the years, blah blah blah. But they have one thing 0:45:33.280 --> 0:45:37.280 going for them, which is that it's truly an existential struggle. 0:45:37.840 --> 0:45:40.719 This means so much more to that. I mean, how 0:45:41.200 --> 0:45:43.080 how much do you care about this? You just probably 0:45:43.080 --> 0:45:44.120 want us to end this war? 0:45:44.480 --> 0:45:44.640 Right? 0:45:44.880 --> 0:45:49.919 They know that this is truly truly existential for them. 0:45:50.520 --> 0:45:53.839 We couldn't defeat the frickin' hoofies right armed with much 0:45:54.120 --> 0:45:57.840 cruder arms and much lower level of supply, because ultimately, 0:45:57.880 --> 0:45:59.440 at the end of the day, we didn't care enough 0:45:59.480 --> 0:46:01.160 to be able to you know, when they saw the 0:46:01.160 --> 0:46:05.240 fight as more important, we spent twenty years in Afghanistan 0:46:05.320 --> 0:46:07.799 with all of our weaponry and a ground invasion. And 0:46:07.880 --> 0:46:09.560 at the end of those twenty years when we left, 0:46:09.560 --> 0:46:12.920 guess who came back into power the Taliban. Why because 0:46:12.920 --> 0:46:15.279 they cared much more than we did at the I mean, 0:46:15.320 --> 0:46:18.760 that's what really has screwed us. That is the lesson 0:46:19.080 --> 0:46:22.160 that should have been learned over all these many years 0:46:22.520 --> 0:46:26.280 when you were attacking people's lives, when you're attacking a government, 0:46:26.320 --> 0:46:30.120 when you're threatening its existence, they will fight to the death. 0:46:30.440 --> 0:46:32.960 And the American people are not bought in for this 0:46:33.120 --> 0:46:33.640 at all. 0:46:33.760 --> 0:46:36.479 They are not willing to accept any of this pain. 0:46:36.840 --> 0:46:39.479 Like the six service members who have already been killed 0:46:39.480 --> 0:46:44.000 in action is six to many, no one, virtually, no 0:46:44.080 --> 0:46:46.719 one outside of this small area and some you know, 0:46:46.800 --> 0:46:50.440 people in the Iranian diaspora here are really excited and 0:46:50.640 --> 0:46:54.120 enthused and motivated to suffer in any sort of way 0:46:54.120 --> 0:46:56.080 for this. And yet we can already see, I mean, 0:46:56.120 --> 0:46:59.759 doctor parties said it. It is already spiraled. 0:46:59.200 --> 0:47:00.000 Out of control. 0:47:00.080 --> 0:47:02.880 And to go back to Israel's motivation here with allegedly 0:47:02.960 --> 0:47:06.799 sending massad agents in to commit terror attacks, which it's 0:47:06.840 --> 0:47:09.319 not confirmed, but I certainly don't put it past them. 0:47:09.800 --> 0:47:12.439 The logic of that is that not only do they 0:47:12.640 --> 0:47:14.799 have an interest in just sewing chaos everywhere. We're going 0:47:14.840 --> 0:47:16.760 to talk to Scott Horton about how they're now openly 0:47:16.760 --> 0:47:19.480 advertising like, eh, Turkey's next, you know, after Iran, next 0:47:19.560 --> 0:47:23.560 threat is Turkey. But also they want to they want 0:47:23.600 --> 0:47:26.360 to create these false flag attacks so that the Golf 0:47:26.400 --> 0:47:29.040 States are fully bought into the war too, that they 0:47:29.160 --> 0:47:33.040 also want to fully engage. So that's what Israel's constantly 0:47:33.040 --> 0:47:36.120 pushing for US and for all of the GCC to 0:47:36.239 --> 0:47:39.480 be fully in to this war. That is what serves 0:47:39.520 --> 0:47:41.600 their interest and so that is what they're trying to foment. 0:47:41.760 --> 0:47:43.480 Right put C four up there on the screen, just 0:47:43.480 --> 0:47:46.040 to highlight again the problem and why this is really 0:47:46.080 --> 0:47:47.480 diminished the United States. 0:47:47.680 --> 0:47:49.000 This is from the Middle East eye. 0:47:49.120 --> 0:47:52.600 US is stonewalling request by Golf States to replenish interceptors. 0:47:52.880 --> 0:47:55.920 One Golf States sought reassurances on US commitment to air 0:47:55.960 --> 0:47:59.319 defense when discussing access to its bases. Again, by the way, 0:47:59.440 --> 0:48:03.720 Katar and the UAE highly dispute that original Bloomberg report. 0:48:03.719 --> 0:48:06.960 They're like, we're fine, we have plenty of interceptors. Apparently 0:48:06.960 --> 0:48:10.160 that's the new line. Donald Trump actually put out a 0:48:10.239 --> 0:48:12.200 truth social in the middle of the night. Let me 0:48:12.239 --> 0:48:13.880 read it to you, because this is actually one of 0:48:13.880 --> 0:48:16.160 the most unhinged, dangerous things that he has said. 0:48:16.239 --> 0:48:17.320 Maybe we'll add this in posts. 0:48:17.480 --> 0:48:20.160 The United States munition stockpiles have at the medium and 0:48:20.239 --> 0:48:23.279 upper grade never been higher or better. Not true, as 0:48:23.320 --> 0:48:25.760 we stated to me today, we have virtually unlimited supply 0:48:25.800 --> 0:48:26.480 of these weapons. 0:48:26.520 --> 0:48:27.000 Not true. 0:48:27.160 --> 0:48:30.480 Wars can be fought forever very successfully, yes, but not 0:48:30.560 --> 0:48:34.040 with interceptors. Maybe with dummy bombs, jade ams and some bullets, 0:48:34.040 --> 0:48:36.239 but in that scenario you're going to be taking a 0:48:36.360 --> 0:48:40.120 shit pot of casualties. Wars can be fought forever using 0:48:40.360 --> 0:48:43.280 just these supplies. At the highest end, we have good supply, 0:48:43.440 --> 0:48:45.920 but we are not where we want to be. Much 0:48:46.000 --> 0:48:49.040 additional high grade weaponry is stored for us in outlying countries. 0:48:49.160 --> 0:48:51.480 That's the most dangerous part. Why because it means we 0:48:51.520 --> 0:48:53.520 have to go all in. We don't have that many 0:48:53.719 --> 0:48:56.520 of these interceptors. If we want to go all in, 0:48:56.880 --> 0:48:59.759 say goodbye to Taiwan, Say goodbye to Ukraine. If you 0:48:59.800 --> 0:49:02.920 care about those places, say goodbye to any place in 0:49:02.960 --> 0:49:06.319 the world which may matter more than this tiny little 0:49:06.320 --> 0:49:08.600 country the size of New Jersey, which literally produces nothing, 0:49:08.600 --> 0:49:10.920 called Israel, and we are done. 0:49:11.000 --> 0:49:14.800 That's it. It's over in terms of US geopolitical projection. 0:49:14.480 --> 0:49:17.400 There aren't they already talking about pulling a sad battery from. 0:49:17.600 --> 0:49:19.640 From South Korea? South Korean state media right now? 0:49:19.719 --> 0:49:22.520 Yeah, anyone want to tell me what trading partner South 0:49:22.600 --> 0:49:25.040 Korea is compared to Israel in terms of its rank. 0:49:25.120 --> 0:49:27.080 South Korea is one of the most developed economies in 0:49:27.120 --> 0:49:30.480 the entire world, one of the most important trading partners. 0:49:30.600 --> 0:49:32.040 Ever heard of this little brand called. 0:49:32.000 --> 0:49:34.839 Samsung or any of these other places or you know, 0:49:35.040 --> 0:49:36.440 oh my god, I mean, I could go on forever 0:49:36.480 --> 0:49:38.880 of it's importance, not that anybody in the US apparently 0:49:38.920 --> 0:49:41.759 even gives a shit, but yeah, fad battery out of 0:49:41.800 --> 0:49:46.440 that against Let's compare threats. One state has one of 0:49:46.440 --> 0:49:50.920 the world's largest standing armies, a literal nuclear tipped ICBM 0:49:51.239 --> 0:49:54.280 capable of hitting the United States, and frequently launches missiles 0:49:54.440 --> 0:49:58.359 against South Korea and Japan, two top trading partners which 0:49:58.360 --> 0:50:00.600 are vitally important to the security of the US. 0:50:00.600 --> 0:50:02.960 That's called North Korea. The other one is called Iran. 0:50:03.160 --> 0:50:05.840 It has short range and medium range ballistic missiles, it 0:50:05.880 --> 0:50:08.000 doesn't have a nuclear weapons program, and it can't hit 0:50:08.040 --> 0:50:10.400 the United States. And if we've done a deal with them, 0:50:10.440 --> 0:50:12.839 pretty much wouldn't have met. And which do you think 0:50:12.920 --> 0:50:14.480 is more important to defend against. 0:50:14.280 --> 0:50:16.080 And has never started a war and has never. 0:50:15.920 --> 0:50:18.960 Started a war or at least directly against the United States? 0:50:19.040 --> 0:50:21.960 So which do you think would you say is more 0:50:22.000 --> 0:50:24.799 important to defend But we're going to strip it from there. 0:50:24.840 --> 0:50:27.359 That's just that's just one example. It's over. 0:50:27.560 --> 0:50:30.160 I mean, let me let me read you my interceptor math, 0:50:30.360 --> 0:50:34.560 because people really do not appreciate how dire all of 0:50:34.560 --> 0:50:36.799 this is. I have the direct numbers. These are from CSIS. 0:50:37.000 --> 0:50:39.320 In the Twelve Day War, the US fired one hundred 0:50:39.320 --> 0:50:41.960 and fifty that interceptors to protect Israel. That was twenty 0:50:41.960 --> 0:50:44.719 five percent of the whole US stockpile. In the last 0:50:44.719 --> 0:50:47.520 forty eight hours, we have fired we don't really know, 0:50:47.800 --> 0:50:51.200 probably you know, several dozen at the very least in 0:50:51.320 --> 0:50:52.239 twenty twenty five. 0:50:52.480 --> 0:50:54.359 How many new interceptors do you think that we. 0:50:54.360 --> 0:51:00.520 Got ten twelve, ten month the year before, so tens 0:51:00.800 --> 0:51:04.080 in the last two years. So we fired more than 0:51:04.160 --> 0:51:08.040 what triple or sorry, Quinn Tipple in a single twelve 0:51:08.080 --> 0:51:11.160 in twelve days, and we'd acquired in a two year period. 0:51:11.280 --> 0:51:14.360 It's over. They can't manufacture these things cost millions of dollars. 0:51:14.440 --> 0:51:16.560 The defense supply chain is screwed. And for all the 0:51:16.560 --> 0:51:18.960 two trillion dollars that we spend on this, you know, 0:51:19.120 --> 0:51:21.440 it's funny. I was listening to the CSIS expert. They 0:51:21.440 --> 0:51:23.680 go The NPR person is like, but where does all 0:51:23.680 --> 0:51:25.320 the money go? And he's like, well, most of the 0:51:25.360 --> 0:51:27.799 money's on Tricare, which is like welfare for all of 0:51:27.800 --> 0:51:31.360 these services and healthcare programs and subsidies. It doesn't actually 0:51:31.360 --> 0:51:34.360 go to a lot of the critical weapons systems, despite 0:51:34.400 --> 0:51:35.560 the fact that people have been. 0:51:35.400 --> 0:51:38.120 Warning about this for years. But Trump's own admission. 0:51:38.280 --> 0:51:41.240 The Patriot missile battery they say in there, the UAE 0:51:41.320 --> 0:51:43.000 and the Katar they were like, can we get more 0:51:43.000 --> 0:51:45.280 Patriots and are like, oh, we gave them all the Ukraine, sorry, 0:51:45.280 --> 0:51:47.680 they're all gone. We literally gave them all away. The 0:51:47.680 --> 0:51:50.760 Europeans can't give you anything. They shipped it all already 0:51:50.760 --> 0:51:52.160 for the Eastern Dunboss region. 0:51:52.480 --> 0:51:53.680 It's this is bad. 0:51:54.400 --> 0:51:56.799 They're like those they're mussling us up with those drones too. 0:51:56.880 --> 0:51:58.320 And I mean that was one of the things Professor 0:51:58.360 --> 0:52:01.040 Jang said yesterday is that our military really was built 0:52:01.040 --> 0:52:03.759 for the Cold War. It was built for flexing, it 0:52:03.800 --> 0:52:07.000 was built for performance of power, and it really has 0:52:07.080 --> 0:52:13.120 not been you know, reimagined for modern warfare. And so look, 0:52:13.160 --> 0:52:15.399 the Iranians learned from the Twelve Day Wars. Okay, we're 0:52:15.440 --> 0:52:19.040 going to shoot off our you know, lower tech missiles 0:52:19.040 --> 0:52:22.480 and use these drones that can you know, evade some 0:52:22.600 --> 0:52:26.160 of them will evade your interceptors, and we're gonna we're 0:52:26.160 --> 0:52:28.440 gonna bet that we can outlast you. Now, let me 0:52:28.480 --> 0:52:29.880 tell you the other side of the other side of 0:52:29.880 --> 0:52:32.279 that is that the US. Look, they're bombing the hell 0:52:32.320 --> 0:52:35.480 out of Tehran right now. Their their goal is to 0:52:35.520 --> 0:52:38.320 destroy all of the missiles, destroy all of the missile launchers, 0:52:38.400 --> 0:52:40.959 so that Iran can never make it to that point 0:52:41.080 --> 0:52:44.279 that Iran is not capable of, you know, outlasting because 0:52:44.320 --> 0:52:47.560 their capabilities have been so severely degraded and destroyed. And 0:52:47.600 --> 0:52:49.759 that is certainly a possibility. That is the bet that 0:52:49.760 --> 0:52:54.480 they're making. But look already already what Iran has been 0:52:54.520 --> 0:52:57.920 able to do by saying basically fuck it, we're throwing 0:52:57.960 --> 0:53:00.359 everything against the wall, where we are putting all our 0:53:00.440 --> 0:53:04.000 chips on the table. We are all in the economic damage, 0:53:04.160 --> 0:53:07.800 the brand damage, and the gulf, the chaos, the attacks 0:53:07.840 --> 0:53:11.560 on the US, the humiliation really truly of the US. 0:53:11.640 --> 0:53:14.040 Our fighter jets are flying or dropping out of. 0:53:13.960 --> 0:53:15.400 The sky, which, by the way, there should still be 0:53:15.440 --> 0:53:17.560 a lot of questions about what the hell exactly happened 0:53:17.600 --> 0:53:19.960 there and whether that was truly friendly fire or not, 0:53:20.080 --> 0:53:23.440 because if it was, I mean the whole it's insane anyway. 0:53:23.719 --> 0:53:26.360 But the level of humiliation the US has already suffered 0:53:26.360 --> 0:53:29.840 here is truly incalculable. And you know, and the Iranians 0:53:29.880 --> 0:53:32.000 are like, no, we're not going to negotiate with you. 0:53:32.400 --> 0:53:36.560 We need to exact some pain because otherwise you will 0:53:36.600 --> 0:53:38.799 never leave us alone. So we are going to do 0:53:38.880 --> 0:53:41.440 everything we can to make you suffer. And there is 0:53:41.520 --> 0:53:43.319 zero appetite for suffering on the US. 0:53:43.320 --> 0:53:45.840 Also, our new update, just while we were filming Donald Trump, 0:53:45.880 --> 0:53:48.440 their Air Defense Air Force NAVAN leadership is gone. They 0:53:48.440 --> 0:53:50.000 want to talk, I said, too late. 0:53:50.680 --> 0:53:53.560 Great, Oh yeah, I'm sure we take his word for it. 0:53:53.600 --> 0:53:54.879 But no, I'm just like said a liar. 0:53:54.960 --> 0:53:57.160 Regardless of what is being you know, maybe they probably 0:53:57.160 --> 0:53:58.640 said no, we don't want to talk at all, but 0:53:59.600 --> 0:54:01.560 him saying Nope, we're not going to talk at all. 0:54:01.560 --> 0:54:03.239 We're going to go full on. So this is it. 0:54:03.280 --> 0:54:06.600 I mean, I mean he's lying they I mean, based 0:54:06.600 --> 0:54:09.120 on other recording, they rejected it. And so he's trying, 0:54:09.160 --> 0:54:11.520 Oh you didn't fire me, I quit you know that's 0:54:11.520 --> 0:54:11.960 what he's doing. 0:54:12.080 --> 0:54:15.080 Yeah, regardless, the situation is the same. There's only one 0:54:15.160 --> 0:54:17.000 logic from here. If you know you're going to run 0:54:17.000 --> 0:54:19.400 out of interceptors, then you've got to bomb the shit 0:54:19.560 --> 0:54:21.600 out of the country and to try and flatten and 0:54:21.640 --> 0:54:25.799 destroy it, collapse it into civil war. Well okay, well 0:54:25.840 --> 0:54:28.680 what comes next? What's going to happen after that massive 0:54:28.719 --> 0:54:33.000 refugee crisis, huge civil war? It could bleed all into 0:54:33.080 --> 0:54:36.160 the rest of the Gulf. These drones aren't going anywhere. 0:54:36.280 --> 0:54:39.680 You've got hundreds of thousands of people with a bunch 0:54:39.680 --> 0:54:42.160 of guns and military training, and we don't have a 0:54:42.160 --> 0:54:43.799 ground force there to do anything about it. 0:54:43.800 --> 0:54:44.800 So what do you think they're going to do? You 0:54:44.840 --> 0:54:46.560 think you're gonna take it, sit and line down. 0:54:46.719 --> 0:54:49.040 By the way, they just attacked the Rocky Curds this morning, 0:54:49.640 --> 0:54:51.839 to try and preempt some sort of attack by them. 0:54:52.239 --> 0:54:53.680 So we're already going cross border. 0:54:53.719 --> 0:54:55.800 Well, and here's the other thing, you know, a bigger 0:54:55.800 --> 0:54:58.720 picture in terms of these So we know public sentiment 0:54:58.760 --> 0:55:01.320 in the US is against this war overwhelmingly. Look, the 0:55:01.360 --> 0:55:03.120 Republican base is going to go along with it by 0:55:03.160 --> 0:55:05.000 and large, but the rest of the populations like, what 0:55:05.040 --> 0:55:05.960 the hell is going on here? 0:55:06.040 --> 0:55:06.200 Right? 0:55:06.360 --> 0:55:09.160 And you even hear democrats, the democratic rhetoric has already 0:55:09.200 --> 0:55:12.239 shifted from being so extremely lame at the you know, 0:55:12.400 --> 0:55:15.520 especially at the top levels, to now after those Rubio comments, 0:55:15.560 --> 0:55:17.879 I'm here in democrats like Mark Warner saying some things 0:55:17.880 --> 0:55:19.960 about Israel I never thought I would hearer in my 0:55:20.239 --> 0:55:23.240 entire life, so that they are already reading the political 0:55:23.239 --> 0:55:25.320 writing on the wall here. But you also have to 0:55:25.320 --> 0:55:28.239 think about the populations in the region where you know, 0:55:28.280 --> 0:55:31.239 to Sager's point, these are monarchies like these are not 0:55:31.280 --> 0:55:32.560 representative democracies. 0:55:32.800 --> 0:55:34.839 And they've made some noise about oh the. 0:55:34.760 --> 0:55:37.319 Palestinians, yes, we support it, to state, but they are 0:55:37.400 --> 0:55:40.759 populations who many of whom truly do support the Palestinian 0:55:40.800 --> 0:55:44.279 cause and truly are disgusted with the genocide in Palestine. 0:55:44.320 --> 0:55:46.440 And the you know, annexation of the West Bank and. 0:55:46.480 --> 0:55:46.920 All of that. 0:55:47.560 --> 0:55:48.720 They do not agree. 0:55:48.800 --> 0:55:51.480 They see the fecklessness, they see the game that their 0:55:51.560 --> 0:55:54.600 leaders are playing. So you also start this war at 0:55:54.600 --> 0:55:58.840 a moment of a low point in regional public opinion, 0:55:59.120 --> 0:56:02.120 both about the UI and about Israel, which is why 0:56:02.200 --> 0:56:05.120 you know, you see multiple of our embassies being attacked, 0:56:05.360 --> 0:56:09.279 you know, in Pakistan, the fact that US marines were 0:56:09.360 --> 0:56:14.080 shooting civilians attacking the US embassy in Karachi. I mean, 0:56:14.360 --> 0:56:17.759 this in and of itself is just that one thing 0:56:18.360 --> 0:56:22.040 is an absolutely insane event. And then you've got you know, 0:56:22.680 --> 0:56:25.560 mobs at the bag Dad embassy as well. I mean, 0:56:25.600 --> 0:56:29.160 this is this is a moment when most of the 0:56:29.200 --> 0:56:32.520 population in the region. Look, they're you know, typically not 0:56:32.600 --> 0:56:35.680 too crazy about US. They hate our freaking guts, and 0:56:35.719 --> 0:56:38.480 they hate the Israelis. And that's the moment when you're 0:56:38.480 --> 0:56:40.520 gonna ask to you know, them to bear the pain 0:56:40.560 --> 0:56:43.560 of their countries getting attacked. They're you know, the luxury 0:56:43.560 --> 0:56:46.720 hotels next to them getting blown up, and their governments 0:56:46.719 --> 0:56:49.000 are on board with all of it. You're gonna have 0:56:49.040 --> 0:56:50.719 some you know, you're gonna have some local and we're 0:56:50.719 --> 0:56:53.360 already seeing that in Bahrain, which is why the riots 0:56:53.480 --> 0:56:54.400 are very significant. 0:56:54.400 --> 0:56:56.359 Development that's going to be the first one to fall 0:56:56.480 --> 0:56:58.879 because they have the Shia population. But the rest of them, 0:56:58.880 --> 0:57:01.600 I mean, look, there's some there is a serious social contract. Right, 0:57:01.880 --> 0:57:05.319 you have no rights literally whatsoever. But you're gonna be rich. 0:57:05.719 --> 0:57:06.399 But that rich. 0:57:06.920 --> 0:57:12.320 Those riches come from oil, natural gas being this global playground. 0:57:12.480 --> 0:57:12.680 Right. 0:57:12.920 --> 0:57:15.560 All of these Indian laborers, I mean, how many of 0:57:15.600 --> 0:57:18.040 them are going to stick around? Like money's worth it 0:57:18.200 --> 0:57:20.280 up to a point before you think you're gonna die. 0:57:20.360 --> 0:57:22.080 And then if you have enough money, do they have 0:57:22.160 --> 0:57:25.360 enough money to continue paying them? I think I mentioned 0:57:25.360 --> 0:57:29.480 earlier the US embassy and riod is issuing this imminent 0:57:29.520 --> 0:57:31.640 threat of a missile attack over dah Ram, which is 0:57:31.680 --> 0:57:33.040 the seat of Saudi Aramco. 0:57:33.440 --> 0:57:35.880 This is the lifeblood of these places. 0:57:35.920 --> 0:57:39.000 The money is the only thing that flattens out all 0:57:39.080 --> 0:57:42.400 of the tensions in these people's societies. If it dries up, 0:57:42.480 --> 0:57:45.320 if it dries up by even thirty percent, it's catastrophe 0:57:45.560 --> 0:57:46.440 for these economies. 0:57:46.640 --> 0:57:49.080 Rock is shut down oil production at the world's second 0:57:49.160 --> 0:57:52.200 largest oil field, which produces one point five million barrels 0:57:52.200 --> 0:57:56.080 of oil per day, amid escalating military activity, and the 0:57:56.880 --> 0:57:59.760 American government is telling Americans in the region you should 0:57:59.760 --> 0:58:01.360 get out, but we're not going to help you. 0:58:01.360 --> 0:58:02.000 You're on your own. 0:58:02.080 --> 0:58:02.280 Good. 0:58:02.480 --> 0:58:04.400 Imagine being stuck in Israel and you're like, hey, how 0:58:04.400 --> 0:58:06.000 do I get out of here? And you have to 0:58:06.000 --> 0:58:08.479 go to the US ambassador's Twitter feed where he's giving 0:58:08.520 --> 0:58:11.160 you these minute instructions about how to catch a bus 0:58:11.360 --> 0:58:14.280 to the Sinai and then when you get to the Sinai, 0:58:14.640 --> 0:58:17.320 use this link which you have to pay to cross 0:58:17.320 --> 0:58:19.720 the border. And then when you cross the border, let's 0:58:19.800 --> 0:58:22.240 hope that you I mean, look, I've only been once, 0:58:22.800 --> 0:58:24.280 but I'm pretty sure that it's not a very big 0:58:24.320 --> 0:58:26.800 airport in the middle of the Sinai peninsula. Are they 0:58:26.800 --> 0:58:29.600 going to be you know, there's seven hundred thousand Americans 0:58:29.600 --> 0:58:31.600 who live in or at least seven hundred thousand American 0:58:31.600 --> 0:58:34.240 citizens who live in Israel. Are they all going to 0:58:34.280 --> 0:58:37.880 be able to get out? And now imagine Dubai Doha. 0:58:38.080 --> 0:58:40.680 What Treta Parsi said there? Do we have that story 0:58:40.720 --> 0:58:43.360 about five times? Yeah, let's put that one up there. 0:58:43.440 --> 0:58:46.400 See five up there on the screen. Half of Dubai 0:58:46.800 --> 0:58:50.840 is booking. Expats are driving to Oman and Saudi Arabia 0:58:51.120 --> 0:58:53.720 to try and to find flights. I said yesterday the 0:58:53.800 --> 0:58:56.240 going rate for a PJ out of Saudi Arabia right 0:58:56.240 --> 0:59:01.640 now is three hundred and fifty thousand for a single 0:59:01.920 --> 0:59:04.560 flight to be able to get out of the country. 0:59:04.720 --> 0:59:09.520 Trump's podcast advisor Alex bruceter Witz from the campaign, he 0:59:09.600 --> 0:59:11.840 got stuck in the Gulf, and he apparently had to 0:59:12.120 --> 0:59:15.520 talk with a bunch of friends, including like TikTok influencers 0:59:15.600 --> 0:59:18.760 or whatever, to charter a PJ to Greece to be 0:59:18.840 --> 0:59:20.720 able to get That's the only way out is you 0:59:20.720 --> 0:59:22.160 have to be able to get a private jet. 0:59:22.200 --> 0:59:22.600 That's it. 0:59:22.680 --> 0:59:25.280 And I bet you the premium is unbelievable. So unless 0:59:25.280 --> 0:59:27.760 you don't have that kind of money, you're stuck. You're 0:59:27.800 --> 0:59:30.920 stuck for a long time down there, and they're basically 0:59:30.960 --> 0:59:34.680 even the ambassador is saying openly he goes flights even 0:59:34.720 --> 0:59:37.440 when they do reopen, will be extremely limited and they 0:59:37.480 --> 0:59:40.480 will be disrupted for a significant period of time. It 0:59:40.480 --> 0:59:43.400 could be months that these people are completely stuck with 0:59:43.480 --> 0:59:44.560 missiles flying all over there. 0:59:44.760 --> 0:59:46.640 Let's just put C seven up on the screen. This 0:59:46.760 --> 0:59:51.960 was some important reporting from drop site. We've got you know, 0:59:52.400 --> 0:59:57.600 we saw Iranian drones I think mostly that attacked various 0:59:57.720 --> 1:00:02.240 hotels throughout the golf And according to you know sources 1:00:02.240 --> 1:00:05.480 that DROPSDE are in touch with, they say some of 1:00:05.520 --> 1:00:08.480 the buildings and hotels that were hit were specifically housing 1:00:08.600 --> 1:00:12.680 Israeli or US personnel or intelligence operations, and that Iran 1:00:12.800 --> 1:00:15.480 pinpoint at the locations has really caught the Americans and 1:00:15.560 --> 1:00:21.160 Israelis off guard, according to an Iranian official. So you know, this, 1:00:21.880 --> 1:00:26.320 that level of intelligence penetration too was apparently shocking to 1:00:26.440 --> 1:00:29.439 the Americans and to the Israelis. And let me say 1:00:29.480 --> 1:00:33.600 something like, you know, the Iranians are obviously attacking civilian infrastructure, 1:00:33.680 --> 1:00:37.840 or they're attacking hotels, they're attacking two data centers now 1:00:37.840 --> 1:00:40.439 have been taken out. They're you know, yeah, they're attack 1:00:40.480 --> 1:00:43.840 and they're attacking the some of the oil infrastructure. You know, 1:00:43.840 --> 1:00:46.280 they're claiming some of that is incidental or they didn't 1:00:46.280 --> 1:00:47.880 mean to or whatever, but there is no doubt they're 1:00:47.880 --> 1:00:51.120 attacking civilian infrastructure. Like we have zero ground. I don't 1:00:51.160 --> 1:00:52.959 even hear anyone complain ABO because we have zero ground 1:00:52.960 --> 1:00:55.400 to stand on. Zero And that's the other thing, like, 1:00:56.000 --> 1:00:58.520 you know, when you talk about the Pandora's box that 1:00:58.640 --> 1:01:00.600 was opened by GASA, And what is now on the 1:01:00.640 --> 1:01:03.800 table right is not just confined to us. We're not 1:01:03.840 --> 1:01:05.720 the only ones who are going to take advantage of 1:01:05.760 --> 1:01:09.160 this new law of the jungle where schools and mosques 1:01:09.240 --> 1:01:14.520 and hospitals and you know water zalinization plants and you 1:01:14.560 --> 1:01:17.640 know wastewater treatment plants, where that is all on the table. 1:01:17.800 --> 1:01:20.160 Our adversaries are going to take advantage of that as well. 1:01:20.320 --> 1:01:23.960 And that has already already right now in this moment, 1:01:24.200 --> 1:01:26.680 that has put Americans at risk, and that's part of 1:01:26.720 --> 1:01:29.880 why they are being urged to flee the region immediately, 1:01:30.640 --> 1:01:31.400 being given no. 1:01:31.560 --> 1:01:33.360 Help, no help in order to do that. 1:01:33.400 --> 1:01:35.680 In those six Americans, you know, I think hag Seth, 1:01:35.720 --> 1:01:37.480 it's oh, they were in a fortified facility. 1:01:37.600 --> 1:01:38.080 No, they weren't. 1:01:38.120 --> 1:01:40.720 Bullshit, we just say they were in a triple wide trailer. 1:01:40.920 --> 1:01:41.720 That's what they were in. 1:01:41.800 --> 1:01:45.720 They were in a triple wide trailer with concrete walls 1:01:45.880 --> 1:01:48.640 that were put in front of them because in their mind, 1:01:48.760 --> 1:01:52.600 they're protecting against suicide car like they called v BITS, 1:01:52.600 --> 1:01:55.840 like vehicle borne IED. It's not two thousand and five anymore, 1:01:56.360 --> 1:01:58.360 you know, the IED it comes from the air with 1:01:58.400 --> 1:02:01.200 a twenty thousand dollars drone which crashed directly into it's 1:02:01.240 --> 1:02:03.919 called a tactile operations center also known as a TALK 1:02:04.160 --> 1:02:07.280 and they all got bowned up. Imagine that a temporary 1:02:07.480 --> 1:02:12.120 trailer totally unfortified. There's now an investigation as to why 1:02:12.120 --> 1:02:15.320 there weren't proper troops or there weren't proper air defenses 1:02:15.520 --> 1:02:18.200 or any of that put around them sitting down, it's 1:02:18.480 --> 1:02:22.880 I mean, it's beyond comprehension. These are six guys, their family. 1:02:22.920 --> 1:02:24.560 I mean, what are you going to tell their families? 1:02:24.840 --> 1:02:26.840 Who did they die for? What did they die? I 1:02:26.880 --> 1:02:28.760 hate to talk to that way, I really do, but 1:02:28.920 --> 1:02:30.600 I do think you know, we have to say it 1:02:30.680 --> 1:02:32.880 viscerally in the middle of a conflict. Otherwise is going 1:02:32.920 --> 1:02:35.560 to get caught up in this Iraq war. Freedom isn't 1:02:35.600 --> 1:02:38.480 free level bullshit, and no, we're not doing that this 1:02:38.560 --> 1:02:40.400 time around. We're not going to let them do that 1:02:40.480 --> 1:02:43.240 to us, because that's how we lost thousands, tens of 1:02:43.240 --> 1:02:45.840 thousands who were maimed as well. It really is just 1:02:45.960 --> 1:02:48.800 absolutely sickening. Okay, we've got Scott Horton standing by. Let's 1:02:48.800 --> 1:02:49.240 get to it.