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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Sunday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Matt Parraltire off of Bettingpros dot Com.

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Speaker 1: We're back for a Sunday to wrap another week. It

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Speaker 1: is our second week here in the month of August,

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Speaker 1: week number six. So last night we wound up going

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Speaker 1: two and one. If it wasn't for well, we didn't

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Speaker 1: get the over in the main event that we thought

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Speaker 1: that we're going to get. And unfortunately, I got a

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Speaker 1: text message about two minutes before the fight began, and

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Speaker 1: it was from a sportsbook friend of mine who told

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Speaker 1: me that they had not taken at this one particular sportsbook,

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Speaker 1: they had not taken a single bet on the under

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Speaker 1: for Derek Lewis's fight against against Alexiolnik. Now the single

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Speaker 1: bet not one. Everyone was on the over at even money.

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Speaker 1: And I saw that, I said, we're in real trouble

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Speaker 1: and I hate rolling with the public. And as we

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Speaker 1: go through here on the Daily Jews, from time to time,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna have conversations about not wanting to bet with

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Speaker 1: the public. And yes, the public does win at times,

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Speaker 1: but for the vast majority of times, the public is

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Speaker 1: going to lose. That's why Vegas is Vegas, and the

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Speaker 1: sports books are in business because the running with the

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Speaker 1: masses is not a very good philosophy in my opinion,

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Speaker 1: and I've always looked to fade the public. So when

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Speaker 1: that text message popped up, I went, uh no, we

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Speaker 1: got to the second round, and then Derek Lewis does

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Speaker 1: what Derek Lewis does, and he wanted to end the

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Speaker 1: fight quickly, both at the start of the first round

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Speaker 1: and the start of the second round. If Olinic had

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Speaker 1: just survived that barrage early like he did in the

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Speaker 1: first round, I think we would have cashed. It was

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Speaker 1: just too difficult to stop Derek Lewis, and once he

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Speaker 1: got on top, Olnic just turtled and that was it.

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Speaker 1: He couldn't do anything about it. He was just getting

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Speaker 1: rained down upon. And that's one of the things with

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Speaker 1: mixed martial arts that you know a referee will step

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Speaker 1: in and stop a fight if you're not defending yourself,

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Speaker 1: and a guy like Olenick wants to move around. So

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Speaker 1: that was our one loss that was unfortunate. The Vegas

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Speaker 1: Golden Knights got us a pretty easy over two and

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Speaker 1: a half goals. They scored four goals in their victory

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Speaker 1: on Saturday. A nice victory for the Vegas gold Knights

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Speaker 1: over the Colorado Avalanche that secures the number one seed

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Speaker 1: in the Western Conference, so that was good. Robin Lerner

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Speaker 1: was pretty good. Just give up a couple of goals

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Speaker 1: and Vegas got it on a penalty shot of all things.

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Speaker 1: And then they added a goal late to win the

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Speaker 1: game four to three. So fun hockey game, really really

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Speaker 1: cool hockey game. Enjoyable hockey game for sure. And then

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Speaker 1: we got the Wideman pick correctly. He goes the distance

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Speaker 1: with his fight, but he gets the victory. Chris Widman

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Speaker 1: was desperate for a victory. He won two rounds to one.

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Speaker 1: It was pretty clear to everyone watching that fight the

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Speaker 1: Widman won it on the cards two to one. So

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Speaker 1: he cash is there at minus one p forty get

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Speaker 1: the victory with the Vegas goal. The nights at minus

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Speaker 1: one thirty and even money loss in the main event

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Speaker 1: for UFC Fight Night six does not cash for us.

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Speaker 1: So overall, good day, winning day, positive day, will take

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Speaker 1: it every time two and one and given the week, yes,

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Speaker 1: I will one hundred take a two and one day,

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Speaker 1: given the fact that the week's been pretty bad, so

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Speaker 1: here's where we stand as we head towards a Sunday.

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Speaker 1: We are nine and fourteen, so we're five games under

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Speaker 1: five hundred. How can we get back to five hundred?

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Speaker 1: How can we potentially wind up even on a plus

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Speaker 1: winning week? Units wise, there is a path for us. Now.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be tough, it's going to be difficult.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna happen, but here is

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Speaker 1: the way that it happens. Brooks Kepka needs to come

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Speaker 1: in the top ten today at the PGA Championship. Brooks

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Speaker 1: Kepka starts the day near the top of the leaderboard.

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Speaker 1: We don't need him to win the event. Just come

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Speaker 1: in the top ten, okay. So he is a guy

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Speaker 1: to watch for sure. He thinks he's got a great

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Speaker 1: chance at winning the tournament. It would be great. Let

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Speaker 1: him win it. Fine, We will be fine with Persceptca

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Speaker 1: winning the tournament. Just come in the top ten. So

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Speaker 1: that at plus one point fifty will help us out

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Speaker 1: a lot if he can wind up getting to the

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Speaker 1: top ten or staying in the top ten. Patrick cantlay

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Speaker 1: at plus one twenty to get into the top twenty.

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Speaker 1: He starts the day in twenty first place. Okay, he's

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Speaker 1: just outside where we need him to beat. Now, there's

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Speaker 1: a lot of golf to go and he's gonna have

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Speaker 1: to play well, but he played both Saturday. So we

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Speaker 1: need Patrick Cantelay to have another big round, another good

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Speaker 1: solid performance at TPC Harding Park. And if he does

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Speaker 1: that and winds up in the top ten, all right,

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Speaker 1: So then we're eleven and fourteen and we get two

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Speaker 1: plus money victories there, so that would be really nice

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Speaker 1: if we got that. I got three plays for us

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Speaker 1: coming up on Sunday, two in hockey in one in baseball.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna start with the baseball play and then I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna get to the two hockey plays. And we've been

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Speaker 1: doing pretty well in hockey. So the NBA, I know

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Speaker 1: a lot of you guys want to bet the NBA

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Speaker 1: right now, but the NBA is so crazy. I'm not

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Speaker 1: so sure I'm gonna bet much with the NBA until

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Speaker 1: we get to the playoffs because now we're getting to

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Speaker 1: the point where these games don't matter. Guys are sitting out.

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Speaker 1: Yesterday we saw Kawhi Leonard not play, but the Clippers win.

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Speaker 1: Everybody was like, oh yeah, I'm a genius. Let's go

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Speaker 1: ahead and hammer coming in here on the Portland Trailblazers,

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Speaker 1: and Portland went from plus three to minus three because

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Speaker 1: everyone was hammering on Dame saying dam against a Kawhi

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Speaker 1: less Clippers team, and what happens Dame missus big free

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Speaker 1: throws late, winds up a five point win for the Clippers.

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Speaker 1: Just nuts. So there's some crazy games going on. And

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Speaker 1: I was thinking about betting on the Celtics today. I

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Speaker 1: was thinking about betting on the Rockets today. I mean

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Speaker 1: I was just looking up and down, going what do

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Speaker 1: I know? I mean, I might and if you follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter, I might add this. I could not

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Speaker 1: find a number here at the time of taping. I

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Speaker 1: could not find a team total for the Rockets it.

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Speaker 1: If it's a decent number, I'm probably going to play

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Speaker 1: it because the Kings defense is pathetic. I don't know

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Speaker 1: who wins the game. I just know the Rockets are

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Speaker 1: gonna score a ton of points. So if the team

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Speaker 1: total for the Rockets is like minus one twenty somewhere

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Speaker 1: in there, I probably will bet the over. So I

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Speaker 1: may have a non daily juice addition just to play here.

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Speaker 1: If I wake up on Sunday morning, and I see

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Speaker 1: that bet there, I'm probably gonna fire on it myself.

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Speaker 1: It won't count for the podcast because I can't tell

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Speaker 1: you the number because nobody has posted it yet. It's

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Speaker 1: really frustrating. Fandul DraftKings all the Vegas books here at

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Speaker 1: the time of taping, nobody has posted a Rockets team

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Speaker 1: total for Sunday night, So that's annoying. But if that

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Speaker 1: number is decent, I'm probably gonna play that number because

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Speaker 1: I think the Rockets are gonna score a ton against Sacramento.

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Speaker 1: But and maybe even if there's a Boston first half number,

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Speaker 1: that's okay, I may take that because the Magic are

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Speaker 1: a bad basketball team, and I think Boston's got a

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Speaker 1: chance to put some points up, especially you know in

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Speaker 1: the first half. They can come out of the gate. They'

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Speaker 1: scored a ton of points in their last game, Huge

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Speaker 1: went over the over the Raptors, So Boston in the

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Speaker 1: first half has been playing really, really well. Here in

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Speaker 1: the bubble, couldn't find a number that I like, couldn't

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Speaker 1: find a numb at all for first half Boston, So

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Speaker 1: I'm pretty annoyed right now at the time of taping.

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Speaker 1: I want to make a bunch of plays that I

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Speaker 1: can't and make plays on, So probably adding some MBA,

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Speaker 1: but nothing official for the Daily Juice podcast is on

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Speaker 1: my own on a Sunday. So we got two golf

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Speaker 1: plays going and we're gonna watch a lot of golf

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Speaker 1: on Sunday, and then we've got one play in baseball

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Speaker 1: and two plays in hockey. So here is the play

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Speaker 1: for baseball. And it's a little bit ugly. As I mentioned,

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Speaker 1: there's a path here to get us. If we go

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Speaker 1: five and oh today and get some plus money victories,

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Speaker 1: we could actually wind up wind up up for the week.

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Speaker 1: Which is this a little bit of a chase, And

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Speaker 1: I know it's not always smart to do this, but

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do it anyway. Houston Astros are on the

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Speaker 1: verge of getting swept by the old As Jesus Lizardo

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Speaker 1: goes to the mound for the A's the rookie who

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Speaker 1: very well could wind up being the rookie of the year.

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Speaker 1: It's a great two man race between him and Luis Robert.

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Speaker 1: We knew that was gonna happen. Lozardo had COVID nineteen,

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Speaker 1: so there's some questions about him. But this Dude's a

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Speaker 1: lefty and he was awesome five scoreless in the win

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Speaker 1: over the Rangers. Now facing the Astros, he made his

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Speaker 1: major league debut against the Astros last year. On the

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Speaker 1: other side, Astros are going to Connor with Christian Xavier,

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Speaker 1: who was one to zero with a one point four

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Speaker 1: two era first career went on Tuesday at Arizona, allowing

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Speaker 1: one run in four hits and six innings. In his

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Speaker 1: second career start three outings, He's allowed four point nine

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Speaker 1: seven hits per nine inning, according to MLB dot Com,

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Speaker 1: with eleven strikeouts and two walks. He's not a chump,

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Speaker 1: not by any means. The A's have won eight straight games.

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Speaker 1: The Oakland A's have won eight straight games. They are

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Speaker 1: running away with the division. Have you guys looked at

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Speaker 1: this here? This is crazy to say. The Oakland A's

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Speaker 1: are eleven and four. The Oakland A's have a four

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Speaker 1: and a half game lead on the Houston Astros, and

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Speaker 1: the Oakland A's have had a chance here to get

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Speaker 1: a five and a half game lead on the Astros.

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Speaker 1: And we are already after this game today, right sixteen

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Speaker 1: games through a sixty game season, we're almost a third

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Speaker 1: of the way through, all right, and they're gonna have

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Speaker 1: a five and a half game lead, which is huge

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Speaker 1: for them the Astros. This is a must win game

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Speaker 1: for the Astros, and like I mentioned, we're chasing a bit,

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Speaker 1: but it's plus one forty five on the money line.

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Speaker 1: We get plus one forty five on the money line

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Speaker 1: four and a half games back. The Astros offense has

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Speaker 1: been pathetic. I know it's Lozardo. I get it. All

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Speaker 1: signs point towards taking the a's, taking the a's taking

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Speaker 1: the a's when everyone goes one way. As I talked

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Speaker 1: about last night, where we didn't listen to this, I

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Speaker 1: think we fade the public here. I think we fade

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Speaker 1: the public, and I think we go in the Astros

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Speaker 1: and say, okay for a Sunday, these guys are gonna play,

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Speaker 1: and we're gonna take the Astros to beat the Oakland A's.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully the young kid on the mound pitch as well.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully the bullpen can hold, and hopefully the bats come

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Speaker 1: to life here because Astros batters. I mean, what is

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Speaker 1: going on with guys like Jose Atuve. I mean, they

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Speaker 1: just can't score. It's wild. Even when they do score,

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Speaker 1: like they thinkains the Diamondbacks. They scored seven and gave

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Speaker 1: up fourteen. I mean, this is not good for Houston.

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Speaker 1: They've lost four games in a row. Here, the A's

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Speaker 1: have won eight in a row. I think it's time

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Speaker 1: to break a couple of streaks. As the last game

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Speaker 1: of this series, I'm gonna go with the Astros at

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Speaker 1: plus one forty five to get a victory over the A's.

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Speaker 1: All right, we got two plays for you coming up

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Speaker 1: on in hockey. I've been doing pretty well in hockey.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with the early game of the day, and

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Speaker 1: that is the Bruins taking on the Washington Capitals. Both

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Speaker 1: these teams have not looked good. Both these teams just

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Speaker 1: want to go to the playoffs. The Boston Bruins have

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Speaker 1: looked pathetic. I mean, this team was the best team

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Speaker 1: in the NHL. This team was outstanding before the stoppage.

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Speaker 1: They haven't really played with much energy, they haven't played

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Speaker 1: with much enthusiasm, and now they've lost the number one seed.

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Speaker 1: This game really means nothing. Okay, it's for the third

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Speaker 1: or the fourth spot. Okay, does it really matter? I

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Speaker 1: guess maybe it does, But I don't think either team

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Speaker 1: Washington or Boston. I don't think they care about this game.

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Speaker 1: I think this is just kind of like, Okay, let's

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Speaker 1: just go play, let's not get anybody hurt, and let's

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Speaker 1: just get ourselves to the postseason. This is the last game,

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Speaker 1: the last day before we get ourselves into the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: And you look at the way these two teams have scored.

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Speaker 1: Boston scored three goals in two games and Washington scored

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Speaker 1: three goals in two games. I don't know if these

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Speaker 1: guys really want to be throwing themselves around and competing

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Speaker 1: really hard, knowing that they've got the playoffs coming up,

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Speaker 1: and you just tell us who we're gonna play, and

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Speaker 1: then let's just go play, hey, because I don't think

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Speaker 1: they're really interested in what's gonna happen. So this is

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Speaker 1: the end of the qualifying rounds. I just think I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go with the under five and a half goals

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Speaker 1: here for Boston and Washington. At minus one zh five,

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Speaker 1: the over is just a little bit to mins one

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Speaker 1: point fifteen. But I don't know if these offenses really

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Speaker 1: are clicking. I mean, Tukarask needs to play well for Boston.

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Speaker 1: You hope that he goes back and stands on his

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Speaker 1: head a little bit. I'm playing the under here. I

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Speaker 1: think Bruins and the Washington Capitals, I'm going under five

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Speaker 1: and a half goals in this final game because I

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Speaker 1: don't think these guys care all that much and I

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Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna be out there like diving for

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Speaker 1: loose pucks and trying to give up their body. I

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Speaker 1: just don't see it. I think these teams want to

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Speaker 1: get to the playoffs and forget about these round robin

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Speaker 1: games and get into some real playoff hockey. And you

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Speaker 1: could say it's a tune up game, and that's even

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Speaker 1: better because I think they'll experiment with some things coming up.

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Speaker 1: And if it's a you know, one nothing game, two

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Speaker 1: nothing game in the third period, do you see either

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Speaker 1: team really pressing and going crazy? I really don't, So

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the under five and a half goals

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Speaker 1: for Washington and the Boston Bruins here early with a

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Speaker 1: noon Eastern time start. The last hockey game before we

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Speaker 1: go to the full on playoffs. The Columbus Bluejackets taking

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Speaker 1: on the Toronto Maple Leafs, and there's a game five. Somehow,

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Speaker 1: some way, Columbus had this thing they had this thing

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Speaker 1: wrapped up, and somehow they blew it. They gave up

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Speaker 1: three goals in the final four minutes, game goes to overtime,

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Speaker 1: and that's how Toronto winds up winning and sending this

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Speaker 1: thing to a game five. How I have no idea

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Speaker 1: insane right. Toronto is minus one sixty on the money line,

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Speaker 1: Columbus at plus one forty consensus odds off bettingpros dot Com.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna look at this game the way I've looked

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Speaker 1: at the Islanders and the Panthers a bit. There's a

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Speaker 1: streak here that I have not been playing, but a

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Speaker 1: lot of people have been playing. And you could say, Matt,

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Speaker 1: fade this because it's been running hot and you're jumping

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Speaker 1: on this train late. Yeah, but it's a game five,

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Speaker 1: and I don't know if Columbus is gonna be all

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Speaker 1: that willing to go crazy in the first period because

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Speaker 1: it's a game five, and because mentally they thought they

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Speaker 1: may have had it. Now Toronto is gonna come full bore.

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Speaker 1: But only two goals have been scored in the first

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Speaker 1: period so far through four games. The first period total

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Speaker 1: goals of one and a half has hit the under

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Speaker 1: four times. In four games. I'm gonna roll here and

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna ride this wave. It's a little bit scary,

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Speaker 1: I understand because we're hopping on late, but under first

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Speaker 1: period for goals has hit on certain games, and it's

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Speaker 1: juiced up to minus one point fifteen. The overs miss

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Speaker 1: one oh five. You're not paying big money here, not

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Speaker 1: paying big juice on this. So I'm gonna go ahead

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna lay the min as one fifteen Columbus

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Speaker 1: to Toronto first period under in a game five, expecting

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Speaker 1: both teams to be tight, not being all wide open.

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Speaker 1: No one wants to make a mistake. Expect the scoring

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Speaker 1: to start in the second period. Let's hope for a

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Speaker 1: zero zero first period under one and a half goals

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Speaker 1: here in this game five Columbus and Toronto. So in

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Speaker 1: the recap are three plays really five plays going today.

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Speaker 1: Brooks Koepka plus one fifty in the top ten, Patrick

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Speaker 1: cantal A plus one twenty in the top twenty. Astros

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Speaker 1: money line plus one forty five against the Oakland A's.

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Speaker 1: We're taking the Bruins in the Washington Capitals under five

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Speaker 1: and a half goals at minus one oh five, and

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Speaker 1: we're taking the first period under for Columbus in Toronto

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Speaker 1: at minus one fifteen. If we hit all five, five

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Speaker 1: and oh. Most likely we're not hitting five and oh,

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Speaker 1: But if we hit five and oh, we will wind

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Speaker 1: up fourteen and fourteen and we will be up plus

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Speaker 1: money for the week after a whole horrible start. That's

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Speaker 1: our path to getting back. Now, we could go in

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Speaker 1: five and then we're really screwed, but we're gonna be optimistic.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna think positively. We're gonna cross our fingers and

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Speaker 1: hope that on a Sunday we wind up getting ourselves

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Speaker 1: back on track and maybe winding up decent for this week.

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Speaker 1: Let's hope, let's cross our fingers. My name's Matt Perraultz.

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Speaker 1: We're back on Monday with our long form I do

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Speaker 1: have an interview long form interview long form podcast forty

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Speaker 1: five minute edition coming up on the Monday edition of

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast. Come back for it. Follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at sports Talk Matt, and we'll talk to

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Speaker 1: you for a Monday's Daily Juice off a vetting pros

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Speaker 1: dot Com