1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,560 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna start with the ones that are obvious, 2 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:05,199 Speaker 1: that are in the portfolio that will remain in the portfolio. 3 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:09,959 Speaker 1: So TSM, we kind of highlighted that already am D 4 00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:12,119 Speaker 1: is still in the portfolio. It will remain in the 5 00:00:12,160 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: portfolio for twenty twenty six. 6 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 2: Meta. 7 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: And I'm gonna stop on Meta really quickly because I 8 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:20,119 Speaker 1: didn't highlight it in the last class and I wanted 9 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:22,320 Speaker 1: to save it for the top of twenty twenty six. 10 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 2: Meta is a very interesting stock. 11 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:29,160 Speaker 1: We already know all the things in terms of social 12 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: media and all of. 13 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 2: The assets that it has. 14 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 1: We talked about spending the CAPEC spend, but I think 15 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: the most important spend that they had, and it kind 16 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 1: of got overlooked, was this two billion dollar acquisition of Mannas. 17 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:47,319 Speaker 2: And so if that happened over the time we were off, you. 18 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:49,960 Speaker 1: Probably overlooked it, probably like all that doesn't even make 19 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:51,919 Speaker 1: What are they doing? I don't even know what that is? 20 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 1: So why is that important? Well, Meta has spent a 21 00:00:56,200 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 1: lot of money on shore. Part of it is the problem, 22 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: and why we've seen to stop pulled back, is that 23 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 1: the spend hasn't equated to actually making money, right, like 24 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:12,840 Speaker 1: you have to yet Yeah, keyword. Yet the Mannus acquisition 25 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 1: changes all that. Right, It's like when Durant went to 26 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 1: the Warriors bro. 27 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 2: So what does what does Manus do? 28 00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 1: They actually create AI agents that do real time work 29 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:26,320 Speaker 1: like they do work now, right, and so why is 30 00:01:26,360 --> 00:01:30,040 Speaker 1: that important that? Because people were actually paying for those services, 31 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:33,640 Speaker 1: and so you purchase a company that has revenue, now 32 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 1: you bring that revenue into your company. 33 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 2: Well, how much revenue were they doing? Well, Mannus was the. 34 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 1: First, and not the first, the fastest fastest company in 35 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 1: history to have one hundred million dollars of annual rate 36 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: of return one hundred million fastest ever. They saw what 37 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: they were doing, they said, look, we've spent a lot 38 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: of money, we have some debt, well a lot of 39 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 1: debt that we're building. 40 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:56,920 Speaker 2: We need to get some revenue coming in. 41 00:01:57,200 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: Let's figure out an AI company that is actually making 42 00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: money right now. Man, this was that they acquired it. 43 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: I think that was a huge deal. So Meta is 44 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: definitely on the list. We got GeV. We highlighted that 45 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:09,959 Speaker 1: a few months ago. 46 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:10,480 Speaker 2: Lily. 47 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:13,079 Speaker 1: What you talked about ian hood we spoke about on 48 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: the last episode Visa and then I go into my 49 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:20,359 Speaker 1: memory sector with Micron, and Micron is a company I've 50 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 1: been talking about for probably like I know, yeah, it's 51 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 1: tired of it now three years, three years. But you 52 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:28,399 Speaker 1: know a lot of people are like, well, well Microns run, 53 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:32,079 Speaker 1: is it over? I mean it went up two And 54 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:37,679 Speaker 1: my answer is no. And here's why. When we think 55 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 1: about TSM and then manufacturing, Right, they're doing that for Broadcom, 56 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 1: they're doing that, for Google, they're doing f meta. Obviously 57 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,079 Speaker 1: they're doing f in video and a m D. Right, 58 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:51,639 Speaker 1: we're talking about GPUs and CPUs. But inside of that 59 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 1: component needs it needs to have memory, right, all of them. 60 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 1: I don't care if Google says they're doing TPUs, you 61 00:02:57,240 --> 00:02:59,360 Speaker 1: still need a memory component. 62 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 2: Now. 63 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:01,800 Speaker 1: I know Samsung will play a role in that, and 64 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 1: we saw Samsung their numbers went up today, s k 65 00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 1: highex right. This, this is the reason. If you look 66 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:13,119 Speaker 1: at the history of what these tech CEOs are doing, 67 00:03:14,200 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 1: once a year they make a trip and they go 68 00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 1: to South Korea to sit down and figure out how 69 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 1: they're going to get memory components. In fact, well I'll 70 00:03:22,720 --> 00:03:25,959 Speaker 1: save that for the next company, so that growth is 71 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 1: still going to happen. In fact, they're projecting a top 72 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 1: line growth of ninety three percent for the fiscal year 73 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:33,080 Speaker 1: of twenty twenty six. So Micron remains on a list 74 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 1: as well as Western Digital and that kind of goes 75 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: into my send disk. So we got TSM and video. 76 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: We'll go that, AMD, Meta, Micron, GV, Lily Hood visa 77 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: Western Digital. Now in video, if you watched and I 78 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 1: know Ian you were watching it today, we saw Jensen 79 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:56,080 Speaker 1: scs physical AI is a real thing. Physically I is 80 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:59,119 Speaker 1: a real thing, and he went over it and in detail. 81 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 1: We can't run from that all the times. Vehicles are 82 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 1: real thing and they've been working on that and presentation 83 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 1: wasn't impressive, I think equally as impressive. And this happened 84 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 1: at that last week of December is their acquisition of Gron. 85 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 1: And we talked about this on people like what grog 86 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 1: isn't that what what Elon has? Well, same a different company. 87 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 2: The company was valued at six point nine billion. 88 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:26,040 Speaker 1: Dollars six point nine they weren't even for sale, right 89 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:29,719 Speaker 1: and Video offered them and they actually took it twenty billion, 90 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:34,360 Speaker 1: so almost three times what the company was actually valued at. 91 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 1: Why they were finding mastery in an area that in 92 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 1: Nvidia wasn't finding mastery and that is language processing units LPUS. 93 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:48,480 Speaker 1: So add that to your PUS, right, we talked about CPUs, GPUs, TPUs, XPUS, 94 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:53,520 Speaker 1: LPUS language lot processing units, So those do it's a 95 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 1: different approach in the GPU. It's a different design and 96 00:04:55,880 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: it makes specific models. Right, So why I say let's 97 00:05:00,800 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 1: try to create when we have a cash load of money, 98 00:05:03,839 --> 00:05:05,960 Speaker 1: let's go acquire. And so they acquired Gronk. I thought 99 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:08,160 Speaker 1: that was a very big acquisition. And video is still 100 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 1: going to be the lead in the GPU market. We 101 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:13,239 Speaker 1: know that they talked about Rubin today, I mean. 102 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:14,839 Speaker 2: Shipping out Oh my god. 103 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, but that isn't my number one company of 104 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 1: the year. My number one company is going to be Google. 105 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:26,720 Speaker 1: You motherfuck, It's going to be Google. Well, on the 106 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:27,720 Speaker 1: same page. 107 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 2: I got. So the TPU performance. 108 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:36,239 Speaker 1: We've seen with Gemini, I mean Gemini has now rivaled, 109 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:39,880 Speaker 1: if not passed open Ai for the time being in 110 00:05:39,960 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: terms of gbts and it's being powered by those tbus 111 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:47,520 Speaker 1: So first thing, I think the SpaceX investment comes into 112 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 1: play this year, right. 113 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 2: The SpaceX investment is very important. 114 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 1: In twenty fifteen, when people weren't looking, they were like, 115 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:58,840 Speaker 1: why are they investing in SpaceX. This company that is aerospace, 116 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:02,559 Speaker 1: Well they had vision, Sundar has vision and the vision 117 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 1: is coming to life. Why we talked about this on 118 00:06:04,880 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 1: class right, when we think about that CAPEC spend for AI, Well, 119 00:06:09,120 --> 00:06:10,360 Speaker 1: there's a couple of places it goes. 120 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:13,839 Speaker 2: Number one, it goes to infrastructure. Okay, Well, if. 121 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:19,360 Speaker 1: We can't build here, can we build outer space? Well yeah, 122 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 1: we can send satellites out there. 123 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:23,720 Speaker 2: Okay. Well the next thing that compounds is energy. 124 00:06:24,279 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: Well, it cost us energy here, liquid cooling, nuclear power plants, 125 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 1: all this infrastructure we got to put online. Well, if 126 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 1: we're not in this atmosphere, where do we get our 127 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:39,280 Speaker 1: energy from the sun? 128 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 2: Right? So you got infinite energy, you got infrastructure. 129 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 1: The next thing is cooling, right, Like, these chips don't 130 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 1: work without liquid cooling. If you watch Jensen's presentation today 131 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,719 Speaker 1: when he talked about that rubenship, he talked about the 132 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:55,040 Speaker 1: liquid cooling that was inside, right, because it's necessary. If 133 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 1: it's not at that temperature, the chips will shut down, 134 00:06:57,160 --> 00:07:00,880 Speaker 1: they won't work. But out of space, you're talking about 135 00:07:00,880 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: a temperature that's stagnan, it stays remaining, it's cool. So 136 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:07,359 Speaker 1: from that standpoint, now I look at the twenty fifteen acquisition. 137 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 1: I'm saying, oh my gosh, they're working with Tesla. There's 138 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 1: something here. 139 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 2: It's perfect. That's going to turn into a billion dollar investment. 140 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 1: We already know when SpaceX has its IPO at some 141 00:07:18,160 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 1: point this year, they'll add to the revenue for Google. 142 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 1: And then the last piece is this Samsung part. So 143 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 1: last year Samsung confirmed that they had they had Gemini 144 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 1: and forty no, four hundred million devices, right, four hundred 145 00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 1: million Samsung devices had Gemini. They are projecting and have 146 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 1: confirmed that that number is going to double in twenty 147 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: twenty six. They're going to have Gemini in eight hundred 148 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 1: million devices. Why is that important? Well, you got Apple 149 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: already on your books, right, because you've already done the 150 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:53,680 Speaker 1: deal with Surri. Anytime you do a search engine on 151 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 1: Apple and they renewed that that's going to be Google. 152 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: Now you've got Samsung, which is the other competitor, eight 153 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:02,400 Speaker 1: hundred million devices that are going to be using your 154 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 1: Gemini product. You add that into it. It's like, okay, 155 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 1: I see what they've done here, right, you'd add all 156 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:11,280 Speaker 1: those things up. 157 00:08:13,960 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 2: I'm taking they took away from and they took away 158 00:08:17,640 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 2: everything Apple should have done. Yeah, well we'll play it. 159 00:08:24,680 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 2: There you go, fellas,