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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: It's the most wonderful time.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 2: College Football Bowl Betting Preview, Part one. I'm stuck in

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Speaker 2: Joining me as always is Colin Wilson. We're gonna go

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Speaker 2: through the first eight bowls here, from the Myrtle Beach

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Speaker 2: Bowl through the Frisco Bowl. Excited to get into some

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Speaker 2: of this nonsense.

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Speaker 4: I'm excited to talk about transfer portal stuff that's going

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Speaker 4: to be so stale and old in like forty eight hours.

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Speaker 4: Like I mean, we have to give a parameter on

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Speaker 4: every single bet because it's like, well, if this person's out,

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Speaker 4: if this person's in, if this person's coach does this

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Speaker 4: transfer portal has been interesting so far. I mean, Haalen

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Speaker 4: Green being a razorback, Tyler Van Dyke being at Wisconsin.

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Speaker 4: I mean, twenty twenty four is going to be wild.

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Speaker 2: The amount of names that are in the transportal and

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Speaker 2: can keep going in the transportal every hour. And then

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Speaker 2: here's the thing, just their mind everyone, just because you're

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Speaker 2: going too the transfer portal doesn't mean you can't play

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Speaker 2: in the Bowl. Some guys might come out of it

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Speaker 2: depending on the team, like Western Kentucky last year, like

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Speaker 2: some guys who were in the Transportal played. There's already

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Speaker 2: been some teams that said, like, if you're in the

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Speaker 2: tresspol you're not playing. But things could change, and then

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Speaker 2: we just you just know that you're gonna have some

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Speaker 2: Bowl games where there's a graphic that pops up and

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Speaker 2: it was never even public, and it's like, these seven

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Speaker 2: guys are out and you just gotta live with it

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Speaker 2: and hope that you're on the right side of those

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Speaker 2: more times than not. But here's the thing, even if

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Speaker 2: you are on the wrong side of this is you

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Speaker 2: can still win because the other team might just not

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Speaker 2: show up, which is something that we'll always touch on here.

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Speaker 2: You know, the full season. It's what are our power ratings?

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Speaker 2: The text we're going to focus on, what is there

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Speaker 2: a matchup advantage for one of the teams? Coaches are important,

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Speaker 2: and then motivation. Every single Bowl is is a unique entity, right,

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Speaker 2: and like there's gonna be some teas that are in

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Speaker 2: their first bowling forever. Not pure science, a lot of

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Speaker 2: it's art We'll try to touch on that.

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Speaker 4: If you have a hard take on something and you've

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Speaker 4: got money on it, but new information comes in, don't

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Speaker 4: have takelock. Be willing to pivot and move, especially when

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Speaker 4: you know the market's gonna move with it, even though

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Speaker 4: it might not be the right move. If you can

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Speaker 4: get ahead of a number, it's always best.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I think that's a good introduction. So let's kick

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Speaker 2: things off. Like I said, we're gonna go to the

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Speaker 2: first eight balls, and I guess I should give people

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Speaker 2: a heads up of what the schedule looks like. If

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Speaker 2: you weren't already familiar. The Group of five ball preview

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Speaker 2: will already be out by the time you listen to

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Speaker 2: this our ball season High Level quick Fire Best Bets episode,

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Speaker 2: which is new this year to help any of you

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Speaker 2: if you're filling out any bullpulls. Part one this is out.

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Speaker 2: This came out Thursday, December fourteenth. Part two we come

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Speaker 2: out Wednesday, December twentieth. Part three December twenty sixth, Part

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Speaker 2: four December twenty eighth, and then the National Championship preview

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Speaker 2: on January fifth. Go to my Twitter or at axat

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Speaker 2: Stuckey two. I'll always tweet out updates and when anything new,

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Speaker 2: when any new episodes are coming out. But let's kick

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Speaker 2: things all. Oh and by the way, just a quick reminder,

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Speaker 2: if you, as I have said for six years, if

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Speaker 2: you don't bet on the Bowl, does the Bowl even exist?

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Speaker 2: All right, let's get into it. Let's start with the

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Speaker 2: first Bowl, the Myrtle Beach Bowl in Conway, South Carolina,

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Speaker 2: home of Coastal Carolina who will not be here. They

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Speaker 2: will be heading many miles away to Hawaii, between Georgia

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Speaker 2: Southern and Ohio. Georgia Southern is a three and a

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Speaker 2: half to four point favorite here over under forty eight.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be played kick off at eleven am Eastern.

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Speaker 2: Get things started nice and early on Saturday, December sixteenth.

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Speaker 2: I think a lot of people from Ohio go to

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Speaker 2: Myrtle Beach the vacation there. I think there's a percent.

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Speaker 2: I'm not sure how many Ohio lumber fans are going

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Speaker 2: to travel down here, considering Ohio's roster is decimated. Curtis Rourke,

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Speaker 2: they're starting quarterback. Hit the transfer portal. He's gonna get

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Speaker 2: some looks from some Power five teams.

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Speaker 1: Hope.

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Speaker 2: I'm hoping Indiana. I would like to bet their win

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Speaker 2: total with Signetti and Rourke, they're starting wide receiver Miles

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Speaker 2: Cross hit the portal. You gotta remember earlier this season

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Speaker 2: they already lost one of their most explosive receivers, Jacoby Jones.

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Speaker 2: They're two starting running backs, Bangora and Allison also hit

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Speaker 2: the portal, and one of their best linebackers, Key Thompson.

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Speaker 2: We'll probably get some Power five looks. He hit the portal.

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Speaker 2: So this is a team that from they could be

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Speaker 2: down and their backup quarterback is already out, so they

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Speaker 2: could be down from running the season. They're top two quarterbacks,

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Speaker 2: their top two running backs, and two of their top

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Speaker 2: three receivers, So with CJ. Harris to back up out,

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Speaker 2: that means Parker Navarro is going to get the start.

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Speaker 2: He's first on the depth chart, so there's no questions

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Speaker 2: about work potentially playing here. He's when they line up

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Speaker 2: on the field on Saturday, he comes out. He's going

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Speaker 2: to be the team's leading rusher on the roster with

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Speaker 2: one hundred and seven yards, so he's gotten in some

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Speaker 2: garbage time, and the leading passer with sixty five yards.

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Speaker 2: So this offense, which is already just there's zero explosiveness,

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Speaker 2: one of the least explosive offenses in the country. Now

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Speaker 2: you're down to a shell unit Georgia Southern. Meanwhile, they're

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Speaker 2: leading rusher Jalen White didn't play in the season finales

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Speaker 2: well and neither did. They're outside linebacker Isaac Walker, but

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Speaker 2: they don't have any meaningful opt outs, so it looks

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Speaker 2: like they care here. Georgia Southern ended the season with

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Speaker 2: four straight losses. They start out the season four and two,

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Speaker 2: finished two and four is a bad finished the year.

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Speaker 2: But if you look historically, you actually want to bet

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Speaker 2: these teams that don't get there on losing streaks, non

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Speaker 2: covering streaks, and the opposite's true for teams that are

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Speaker 2: on against the spread and winning streaks high level. Generally speaking,

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Speaker 2: those teams have been good bets historically. Georgia Southern's defense

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Speaker 2: is bad. You know, if you look like, for example,

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Speaker 2: points p opportunity, anytime anyone gets a chance to score,

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Speaker 2: they score. However, I just look, I can't see this.

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Speaker 2: So this Ohio offense, it's hard to project with so

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Speaker 2: many backups this they could look like Iowa, like a

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Speaker 2: mac Iowa from who I'm projecting to be out there

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Speaker 2: now there's some element of surprise, and Georgia Southern's defense

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Speaker 2: isn't any good. But I mean this is an Ohio offense.

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Speaker 2: I couldn't do much even games against really bad MAC defenses,

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Speaker 2: and you know Georgia Southern is going to get their points.

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Speaker 2: So even at three and a half, I still like

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Speaker 2: Georgia Southern. I like the favorite here. The other thing

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Speaker 2: to mention with the with the motivation all these guys

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Speaker 2: for Ohio, who a team that was supposed to be

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Speaker 2: in the MAC Championship right favor to get to the

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Speaker 2: MAC Championship signals maybe a lack of motivation, lack of

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Speaker 2: care here? Do they really care about this game? So

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Speaker 2: I like the favorite here to kick things off? What

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Speaker 2: are you seeing here? Yeah?

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Speaker 4: I mean this is taken a lot of movement. This

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Speaker 4: opened up with Georgia Southern being an underdog. If you've

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Speaker 4: got that number, great, we're in the driver's seat. If

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Speaker 4: you got it a pick, great. I think if you

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Speaker 4: got Georgia Southern minus three great. At some point you

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Speaker 4: have to ask, when have I gone a little bit

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Speaker 4: too far? Because you know, full rosters, full health, I

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Speaker 4: would have made this Ohio minus five. So how many

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Speaker 4: points are we going to run through here before it's

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Speaker 4: time and and you're right, it's a shell team right now.

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Speaker 4: I think the one thing that worries me also is,

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Speaker 4: you know, George Southern's gonna bring a lot of fans.

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Speaker 4: They always bring a lot of fans to Bulls. But

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Speaker 4: Clayhilton's zero to five against the spread and Bulls, he

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Speaker 4: just can't seem to get it done. But now we're

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Speaker 4: in favorite territory here, so they could win the game

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Speaker 4: but actually not cover. And you mentioned teams that are

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Speaker 4: on losing streaks coming into bowl season. Georgia Southern lost

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Speaker 4: four straight to end the season, but it came to

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Speaker 4: all Bowl teams as different than Ohio who won three

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Speaker 4: straight at the end of the year, but it was

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Speaker 4: to non Bowl teams, so you know, a little bit

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Speaker 4: different here on who's hot and who's not. You know,

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Speaker 4: you mentioned Georgia Southern's leading rusher, Jalen White, expected to

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Speaker 4: be healthy for this game. And then Davis Brinn also

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Speaker 4: played in this Very twenty twenty.

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Speaker 2: He was the mvpay of the Beach.

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Speaker 4: He was the MVP thirty one seventeen victory for Tulsa

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Speaker 4: over Old Dominion so there is some familiarity there. He

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Speaker 4: asked Tim Alban, what are we playing for for Ohio?

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Speaker 4: He says, we need a tenth win. But that's about it.

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Speaker 4: I mean that there's really no positive news here. I

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Speaker 4: mean Curtis Rourke not only tweeting about Indiana. You know,

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Speaker 4: mentioning BYU is also a destination going on here. I

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Speaker 4: don't expect any of these guys to play. The offense

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Speaker 4: is going to be lifeless. I mean, what are we

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Speaker 4: going to get out of Parker and Navarrow. I have

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Speaker 4: no clue because the best part of this Ohio defense

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Speaker 4: all year was their passing success rate at nineteenth. Their

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Speaker 4: quality drives were twenty ninth. That was all on the

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Speaker 4: arm of Rourke. He's not going to be there. There's

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Speaker 4: minimal losses on the Georgia southern side. They have a

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Speaker 4: safety in the portal, and you know, the offense goes

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Speaker 4: as Davis brim does. His numbers were actually kind of

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Speaker 4: wild this year compared to what he's posted before. He

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Speaker 4: had nineteen big time throws and twenty nine turnover worthy plays,

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Speaker 4: a really low average depth of target. He likes to

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Speaker 4: throw behind the line of scrimmage, but when he does

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Speaker 4: go beyond the line of scrimmag It's really been a

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Speaker 4: gamble this year. He's made more mistakes than he ever

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Speaker 4: has in his entire life. There's no pass explosiveness, and

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Speaker 4: this Georgia Southern team whatsoever. They're one hundred and thirty

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Speaker 4: second and pass epa. But I mean you can attack

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Speaker 4: this Ohio defense just about anywhere. They have serious issues tackling.

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Speaker 4: They're one hundred and third and broken tackles allowed. And

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Speaker 4: Davis Brn's been pretty decent against quarters and that's what

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Speaker 4: Ohio uses. So when he looks downfield, that was about

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Speaker 4: eighty percent zone and they almost always use quarters and

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Speaker 4: cover three, So Davis Bryn should be okay there. The

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Speaker 4: pace is going to be really slow. I agree. I'm

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Speaker 4: on Georgia Southern. I've got that. But if you're just

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Speaker 4: listening to this, I like the under.

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Speaker 2: I like the under too, even I know that Georgia

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Speaker 2: has a semi fast like relatively speaking, but Ohio is

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Speaker 2: an absolute snail and I don't see many. What do

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Speaker 2: you really want with an under in a Bowl game?

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Speaker 2: Is you want? You do not want a ton of

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Speaker 2: explosive plays, right, And I don't think there's going to

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Speaker 2: be many in this game.

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Speaker 4: You know, neither of these teams are going to have

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Speaker 4: chunk plays whatsoever. So forty eight right now, there are

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Speaker 4: forty nine to forty eight and halves out there. Forty

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Speaker 4: eight is a very key number. Under his suggested if

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Speaker 4: you're just waking up a look of the board, now,

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Speaker 4: I would do under forty eight.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, all, let's be one to the second Bowl game Saturday,

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Speaker 2: December sixteen, two fifteen pm Eastern in the New Orleans Superdome.

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Speaker 2: The RNL carriers New Orleans Bowl Rich the.

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Speaker 5: Dream years, dreams do come true In New All, Jacksonville

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Speaker 5: State will take on Louisiana.

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville State had a couple defensive injuries. Jabari Mack hasn't

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Speaker 2: played since we eight at their cornerback. One of their

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Speaker 2: better defenders Jalen Swain, he didn't play in the finale ull.

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Speaker 2: They're one of their best linebackers in the portal Kendre Gant,

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Speaker 2: he's a really good player in matters. And then they're

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Speaker 2: starting left tackle Nathan Thomas, really really good player. He's

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Speaker 2: gonna miss the Bowl due to a offseason surgery. Other

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Speaker 2: than that, looks like there's not a lot of opt

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Speaker 2: outs on either team. Head coach for Louisiana Michael Desormo,

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Speaker 2: he did say he's hopeful that they're starting safety Courtland

225
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Speaker 2: Flowers and they're starting center Landon Burton, who both missed

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Speaker 2: time at the end of the season. He's hoping that

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Speaker 2: they'll get both of those players back, So there's a

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Speaker 2: chance that Louisiana might be without two starting offensive linemen,

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Speaker 2: a starting linebacker, and they're starting safety. One of the

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Speaker 2: first bets I think that you made, and one of

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Speaker 2: the first bets that I made is Jacksonville State now

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Speaker 2: three to three and a half point favorite here over

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Speaker 2: under fifty nine and a half. Got to keep it

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Speaker 2: on Jacksville State. It's one of the fastest teams in

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Speaker 2: the country. One of the reasons why this total is high.

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Speaker 2: But Jacksonville State was circled before I even knewho they were

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Speaker 2: going to play as one of the teams that I

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Speaker 2: assumed would be have the highest motivation of any bowl

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Speaker 2: team not in the College fotball playoffs. This is a

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Speaker 2: team that they didn't know if they were going to

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Speaker 2: go to a bowl because of the stupid rules it

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Speaker 2: ended up breaking for them, and this is their first

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Speaker 2: year at the FBS level. Everything lines up for Jacksonville

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Speaker 2: State really caring about this game. And then you look

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Speaker 2: and you say, okay, let's see who's opting out nothing.

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Speaker 2: The news is there's no news there. So yeah, I

247
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Speaker 2: like Jacksonville State here. I don't know, I can't really

248
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Speaker 2: lay over three and a half, but I think anything

249
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Speaker 2: at a field goal or below. Not a fan of

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Speaker 2: this Louisiana defense, and especially without Gant. I'm not sure

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Speaker 2: if you know where Louisiana is there. I know I

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Speaker 2: know they're going to be in New Orleans, which maybe

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Speaker 2: it matters a little bit just from a proximity perspective,

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Speaker 2: but Jacksonville State's not too far away either. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: is Louisiana a team that's, you know, a program that's

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Speaker 2: used to being in conference championships. Are they really going

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Speaker 2: to be excited to playing against, you know, a transitioning

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Speaker 2: FBS team. I'm not so sure, But I think Jacksonville

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Speaker 2: State will have success on the ground here. I know

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Speaker 2: that they will be fully motivated. I like the game Cocks.

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Speaker 4: You agree, I do, absolutely. I am not hedging off

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Speaker 4: the underdog bet that well. When Jacksonville State was an underdog.

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Speaker 4: I'm definitely not going to hedge off of that, but

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Speaker 4: there is some sharp buyback in the market when it

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Speaker 4: gets to three and a half. There are some I

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Speaker 4: think there is one book. I saw a touch four

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Speaker 4: and then it completely got gobbled up. So I think

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Speaker 4: there's going to be a battle here at three and

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Speaker 4: a half. Because if you would have projected this game

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Speaker 4: in the season with the rosters full, it had been

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Speaker 4: Louisiana minus three. So you know, again, how many points

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Speaker 4: can you go before you find out it's too much

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Speaker 4: and they come back? You know the ulo you mentioned

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Speaker 4: the portal losses for both sides. Linebacker Kendrick Grant's pretty

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Speaker 4: big fifth and pressures, fourth and tackles for Louisiana. Nothing

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Speaker 4: real big on Jacksonville State. Just the injury for Jay

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Speaker 4: Rock Jalen Swain, who's second in pressures. He's doubtful here.

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Speaker 4: There's backup edges Kamari Stevens and Curly Young who posted

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Speaker 4: seventeen pressures a piece, So I don't think it's that

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Speaker 4: big of a drop off for them. One eye would

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Speaker 4: look at one thing I wuld keep a eye on,

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Speaker 4: is Jacksonville State corner Derek Carter six PBUs on the season,

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Speaker 4: that would be a loss. Plus quarterback Zion Webb has

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Speaker 4: been landing punts at the one yard line in practice,

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Speaker 4: so I wouldn't be surprised to see rich Rod get

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Speaker 4: into his bag and try to do something a little

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Speaker 4: crazy here. You know, this is Michael Desormo's first game

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Speaker 4: that he ever coached was in this Bowl. They won

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Speaker 4: thirty six to twenty one over Marshall. Didn't win their

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Speaker 4: bowl game last year, so he's looking to be two

291
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Speaker 4: and one against the spread. Chandler Fields took over the

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Speaker 4: starting quarterback duty for ULL and Week eleven versus Southern Miss.

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Speaker 4: Since then, he's had a seven to one TD to

294
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Speaker 4: I in t ratio being the starter. He's been on

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Speaker 4: this roster since the days of Sundell Billion twenty nineteen,

296
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Speaker 4: so he knows, you know, he knows the playbook, he

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Speaker 4: knows the program, he knows the system inside and out.

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Speaker 4: And the strength of the Jacksonville the strength of both

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Speaker 4: defenses is really against the rush. Horror strength of schedule

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Speaker 4: for both of these teams. Jacksonville State has been excellent

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Speaker 4: at stopping huge explosive runs. Their fifteenth in defensive rush

302
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Speaker 4: EPA really it's good on good with both of these teams.

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Speaker 4: The Steam did go you know, pretty high above three.

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Speaker 4: I'm not sure if there's that big of an advantage

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Speaker 4: to say that they should be up by four.

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Speaker 2: But the Jacksonville wait, I think I agree that you're

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Speaker 2: going to get buy back and you'll probably be able to

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Speaker 2: get a three or maybe two and a half. I

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Speaker 2: wouldn't lay over three. I would wait, I don't think.

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Speaker 2: I don't. I think there's a it's gonna go. I

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Speaker 2: don't think it'll close over a field goal.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think they're all gonna get eaten up. I mean,

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Speaker 4: the biggest gap in this game is ULL can't defend

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Speaker 4: the rush as well as Jacksonville State does.

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Speaker 2: Yep.

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Speaker 4: If again, if you're holding Jacksonville State at any number

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Speaker 4: three or lower than you're doing, you're you're gonna be fine.

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Speaker 2: Let's go on to the Third Bowl. This kicks off

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Speaker 2: three point thirty eastern on ABC in Orlando, Florida. This

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Speaker 2: is my, uh my favorite bowl name, so we're gonna

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Speaker 2: we always say all the sponsor names, but this is

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Speaker 2: the Avocados from Mexico Cure Bowl between My Ohio and Appalachian.

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Speaker 3: State abogaddles from Mexico.

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Speaker 2: Apple Lachian State up to the six six and a

325
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Speaker 2: half point favorite over under forty four and a half.

326
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Speaker 2: I started handicapping this game, wrote down the bowl name,

327
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Speaker 2: and for two days straight was singing, that's that stupid

328
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Speaker 2: great commercial catchy jingle. Yes, but it's an amazing catchy.

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Speaker 3: Jingle, abogaddles from Mexico.

330
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Speaker 2: But now I think it's so dumb because I can't

331
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Speaker 2: get out of my head and I just walk around

332
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Speaker 2: the house saying it Mexico.

333
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Speaker 4: Do you know the dre in avocado in California, Mexico

334
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Speaker 4: and like everywhere else the United States, it's not even close.

335
00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:12,000
Speaker 4: Like it's so much pressure, so much bigger.

336
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Speaker 2: It's like fantas agreed, big big, big avocado ban from Mexico.

337
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Speaker 2: But big news here miam Ohio starting quarterback. Well, they're

338
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Speaker 2: starting quarterback for the Matt Championship. Baby On Smith. He

339
00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:26,240
Speaker 2: hit the portal earlier in the season. They're a really

340
00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:29,200
Speaker 2: good starting quarterback. Brett Gabbert. He got hurt for this

341
00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:33,120
Speaker 2: second straight year, out for the year. So the starting

342
00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:36,600
Speaker 2: quarterback for Myama Ohio is going to be Henry Hessen,

343
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Speaker 2: red shirt sophomore. I just I watched his Indiana highlights

344
00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:42,080
Speaker 2: the other day.

345
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Speaker 4: He's got Robert Morris highlights.

346
00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:45,480
Speaker 2: I didn't. I didn't get into them. I just wanted

347
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Speaker 2: to see how mobile he was, which he's not. He's

348
00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:49,560
Speaker 2: like a pro style quarterback. Look. Ail Smith was not

349
00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:52,280
Speaker 2: a great quarterback. Again they won the Mac title. He

350
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:54,840
Speaker 2: went like six to sixteen for ninety yards. He would

351
00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:56,880
Speaker 2: but he was mobile, and they changed like he would

352
00:16:56,880 --> 00:16:58,640
Speaker 2: give you rushing yards and they would run read options.

353
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Speaker 2: So they got to go back to like the Gabbard offense.

354
00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:03,480
Speaker 2: I should mentioned app State one of their better running backs,

355
00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:07,440
Speaker 2: State Noel their leading rusher. He's in the portal. Donovan's

356
00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:10,280
Speaker 2: Spellman and edge not too important. And then a couple

357
00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:13,320
Speaker 2: of their depth receivers to Sean Davis and Lant Tucker

358
00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:16,159
Speaker 2: in the portal, so pretty close to full strength teams.

359
00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:18,359
Speaker 2: Miami's depth chart just came out. Every other starter is

360
00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:22,120
Speaker 2: playing my boy Graham Nicholson. He's Action Network All American.

361
00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:24,440
Speaker 2: He went into the portal plan and came back, so

362
00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:26,639
Speaker 2: he's going to be there miam Ohio. How they have

363
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Speaker 2: to win this game is how they have to win

364
00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:31,320
Speaker 2: every game that they've won this year Defense, which is

365
00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:34,159
Speaker 2: elite for a group of five team and special teams

366
00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:38,919
Speaker 2: and app States run day is poverty. We thought it

367
00:17:38,960 --> 00:17:41,000
Speaker 2: was getting better. We saw that it really wasn't last week.

368
00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:43,280
Speaker 2: So ba Olehio, what I think their game plan is

369
00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:45,920
Speaker 2: going to be is they're going to come out. They're

370
00:17:45,960 --> 00:17:49,639
Speaker 2: going to run, run, run, punt, run, run, maybe a

371
00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:55,639
Speaker 2: shotdown field to Gage Labordine punt, and I think that

372
00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:58,120
Speaker 2: can work here. I don't look, there's a lot of uncertainty.

373
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Speaker 2: I think if you were playing a bollpool, Miyama Ohio

374
00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:02,840
Speaker 2: is a decent pick, just because there's a ton of uncertainty.

375
00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:04,359
Speaker 2: I also think that they're really going to show up.

376
00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:06,520
Speaker 2: They're going for their their They're going for their twelfth

377
00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:08,880
Speaker 2: win and their first time. That would be the first

378
00:18:08,880 --> 00:18:12,040
Speaker 2: time this program's won twelve games since Big Ben was

379
00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:15,359
Speaker 2: there in two thousand and three. App State used to

380
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:19,359
Speaker 2: playing in bigger games than this. So you know, they

381
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:22,400
Speaker 2: had a pretty devastating loss to end the year. Where

382
00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,159
Speaker 2: is miam Ohio kind of riding high? So I know

383
00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:26,200
Speaker 2: Avian Smith went in the portal, their quarterback is the portal,

384
00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:28,639
Speaker 2: but everyone else is playing. Everyone else came out all

385
00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:30,720
Speaker 2: their star defenders that were playing. There's no question the

386
00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:35,240
Speaker 2: kicker was one of their best players. Uh said he's

387
00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:36,720
Speaker 2: coming back and they're playing, So I think Mia I

388
00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:39,880
Speaker 2: was excited to be here. I also think Mina, Ohio's

389
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,320
Speaker 2: defense is so sound and they're playing. They're going up

390
00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:46,280
Speaker 2: against a gunslinger. He's gonna you know, he makes risky throws.

391
00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:48,399
Speaker 2: I think that's going to lead to turnovers. So I

392
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:49,960
Speaker 2: have a bad number here. I took five and alf

393
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Speaker 2: one of the first bets I made. I love this

394
00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:53,720
Speaker 2: Man Ohio team. I didn't expect daviy On Smith to

395
00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:56,159
Speaker 2: hit the portal. I can't imagine how much interest he's

396
00:18:56,160 --> 00:18:59,520
Speaker 2: gonna get. But I will add at seven if it

397
00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:02,639
Speaker 2: gets there. I still like six and a half. I

398
00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:04,879
Speaker 2: will say I'm higher on everyone in my Ohio But

399
00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:06,560
Speaker 2: I love their special teams. I love their defense. You're

400
00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:10,520
Speaker 2: gonna get a running dog here. Historically, running dogs with

401
00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:14,280
Speaker 2: good special teams and good defenses in Bowl games are

402
00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:17,280
Speaker 2: have been very profitable. So I like my voice. I

403
00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:20,040
Speaker 2: like my RedHawks catching the points. I think they can

404
00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:22,239
Speaker 2: have success on the ground, maybe hit one or two

405
00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:24,800
Speaker 2: explosive passes, but they can win this game with their

406
00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:27,040
Speaker 2: defense and special teams, and I think they can get

407
00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:29,280
Speaker 2: a push on this app Stated line. What do you

408
00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:29,680
Speaker 2: see here?

409
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:31,879
Speaker 4: Yeah, I went back and forth on this one. Now

410
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:34,320
Speaker 4: I have Appstate minus five that I got real early,

411
00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:36,280
Speaker 4: and I am going to come back. If I can

412
00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:38,440
Speaker 4: get a Miami Ohio seven and a half, I'll probably

413
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:41,240
Speaker 4: even consider it at seven because there's some other factors

414
00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:43,159
Speaker 4: going on outside of the field that I think is

415
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,720
Speaker 4: going to make this a lower scoring game. Now for

416
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,000
Speaker 4: Miami Ohio, running back for shot Amos is the key

417
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:51,439
Speaker 4: against this really poor app State rush defense. The problem

418
00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:54,000
Speaker 4: is is app State's best run concept. They go up

419
00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:56,560
Speaker 4: against his inside zone. That's what all the Miami of

420
00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:59,080
Speaker 4: Ohio runs. But I kind of question, like, is that

421
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:01,520
Speaker 4: what we're going to do with Henry Hessen at quarterback

422
00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:02,040
Speaker 4: a pro style?

423
00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:04,040
Speaker 2: You'll probably get it. You might get a different and look,

424
00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:05,760
Speaker 2: the omen of surprise works in your favorite here too.

425
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:07,879
Speaker 4: You know, they might just wind up and run power

426
00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:09,800
Speaker 4: or run man block it because I just don't see

427
00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:11,960
Speaker 4: inside and being the key here, so you can't take

428
00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:14,040
Speaker 4: advantage of app States. So that was one reason why

429
00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:15,800
Speaker 4: I got a little nervous about the app State minus

430
00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:17,720
Speaker 4: five and then you go and look at that box

431
00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:21,760
Speaker 4: score against Troy, and Troy just dominated app State in

432
00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:24,679
Speaker 4: standard downs eight point two yards per play, even though

433
00:20:24,720 --> 00:20:27,480
Speaker 4: app States defense is twentieth in defensive finishing drives. Troy

434
00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:31,640
Speaker 4: logged a touchdown on every drive that crossed the forty. So, man,

435
00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:33,680
Speaker 4: this app State's just been hot and cold when we've

436
00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:35,600
Speaker 4: been betting them. And so the question is can app

437
00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,520
Speaker 4: State offense run or pass on this defense of Miamo Ohio.

438
00:20:38,520 --> 00:20:41,600
Speaker 4: Because Stuck is right, the Mayo Ohio has a huge,

439
00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:45,200
Speaker 4: huge leg up in special teams. They're number one app

440
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:48,600
Speaker 4: States forty first. Third down defense Mayohaus twelve, app States

441
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:50,960
Speaker 4: ninety second. I don't have a lot of faith in

442
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:55,080
Speaker 4: Joey Aguilarica. Sometimes he's on. Sometimes there's seven turnover worthy plays.

443
00:20:55,280 --> 00:20:58,480
Speaker 4: Now the total in this game is dropping open forty

444
00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 4: seven some shops. Now it's below forty five in some places.

445
00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:06,640
Speaker 4: The Saturday forecast for your avocados from Mexico Cure Bowl.

446
00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 3: I will go those from Mexico.

447
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:11,840
Speaker 4: Fifty percent rain in Orlando nearly twenty mile an hour winds.

448
00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:13,760
Speaker 4: Forget the rain, it rains in Florida all the time.

449
00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:16,160
Speaker 4: Twenty mile an hour winds would effect.

450
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:16,919
Speaker 2: Take advantage by Ohio.

451
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:18,920
Speaker 4: By the way, huge advances from my Ohio because they're

452
00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:20,680
Speaker 4: not going to pass the ball down the field. But

453
00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:23,719
Speaker 4: Joey Aguilar is going to try kicking game that affects

454
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:25,960
Speaker 4: app state, right, I mean, so heavy wind is I

455
00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 4: think going to affect the Mountaineers way more. I will

456
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:30,439
Speaker 4: get out of my app state at five if I

457
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:32,440
Speaker 4: can get a seven or a seven half, which we

458
00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 4: might get, but I will be looking for seven.

459
00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:40,879
Speaker 2: All right. Let's move on to the fourth bowl of

460
00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 2: the day on Saturday, December sixteenth, and this one will

461
00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:50,080
Speaker 2: kick off five forty five Eastern on ESPN. It's the

462
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:54,560
Speaker 2: Iletta New Mexico Bowl and Albuquerque, New Mexico. Iletta is

463
00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:58,359
Speaker 2: a casino in Albuquerqueben. There no as a resort in

464
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:00,200
Speaker 2: casino and Albacqerie. It's all I know about it. I've

465
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:04,720
Speaker 2: never been either. I heard Albuquerque Albuquerque is a underrated

466
00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,040
Speaker 2: food city from a couple of people, but I've never

467
00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 2: been to Albuquerque.

468
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:09,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's what I was going to say. I want

469
00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:11,359
Speaker 4: to go to the hot dog shop that Jesse Pinkman

470
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:15,600
Speaker 4: sold drugs at. Uh oh, it's the doghouse. I want

471
00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 4: to go to the doghouse pretty bad. I want to

472
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,640
Speaker 4: have some some hot dogs and talk to some bikers.

473
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,000
Speaker 2: Yeah. Anyways, I go out on the West Coast a

474
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,440
Speaker 2: couple of times a year, and I want to make

475
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:24,680
Speaker 2: it there.

476
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,160
Speaker 4: But there's u's a good trivia for Triple A too.

477
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:28,360
Speaker 4: What's your Triple A mascot?

478
00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:34,680
Speaker 2: Albuquerque's Triple A mascott? Come on, you know this the isotopes, Yes, isotopes.

479
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 2: But it was a football game outside of the Triple

480
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,800
Speaker 2: A team and food between New Mexico State and Fresno State.

481
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:45,360
Speaker 2: Of note here, Fresno State head coach Jeff Tepford stepping

482
00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:49,679
Speaker 2: away due to health concerns. The linebacker coach Tim Skipper

483
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,880
Speaker 2: will serve as interim Fresno. A couple portal guys here,

484
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,440
Speaker 2: linebacker Tanner Blunt are not really important. Christian Gordon. There's

485
00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:57,960
Speaker 2: safety at about three hundred snaps.

486
00:22:58,840 --> 00:22:59,680
Speaker 4: Where's the logan?

487
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:02,119
Speaker 2: He's hit the portal? So but Mikey Kean should be

488
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,399
Speaker 2: good enough to go, but that is worth knowing if

489
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:05,919
Speaker 2: he goes down with an injury. He's been dealing with

490
00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:13,920
Speaker 2: injuries all year. Diego, Diego, Diego looks like he will play.

491
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:17,280
Speaker 2: He injured his elbow in the conference title. Reports are

492
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:20,200
Speaker 2: that he is expected to play. It's also worth mentioning

493
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:23,280
Speaker 2: that New Mexico State will be playing in New Mexico,

494
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,879
Speaker 2: so I'm assuming that they're going to have a home

495
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 2: crowd edge and this game is probably important to them.

496
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 2: A team that is on the rise and not so sure,

497
00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:36,720
Speaker 2: I guess New Mexico State. I should have mentioned the

498
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,239
Speaker 2: a cornerback Reggie Agles four and that snaps he hit

499
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:43,160
Speaker 2: the portal wide receiver Trent Hudson. He had ten touchdowns

500
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,200
Speaker 2: this year. He hit the portal first and State also

501
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 2: the lost or left tackle for the season a couple

502
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,800
Speaker 2: of games ago. They're one of their better defensive tackles,

503
00:23:50,800 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 2: also been dealing with the injury, only played four snaps

504
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:54,920
Speaker 2: over the final two games. Other than that, it looks

505
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 2: like these two teams should be close to full health.

506
00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:01,359
Speaker 2: I am not sure that Fresno State really gives a

507
00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:03,639
Speaker 2: shit about this game, to be honest. They were in

508
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,119
Speaker 2: the thick of the Mountain West Race and they're like

509
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:08,280
Speaker 2: control their own destiny. At one point I thought they

510
00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:10,760
Speaker 2: were a fraud. Anyway, I faded them a bunch down

511
00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:13,840
Speaker 2: the stretch. They want some lucky games. But now you

512
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,080
Speaker 2: go from potentially you were in the Mountain West the

513
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 2: thick of it, like you're thinking, let's win the mount

514
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,240
Speaker 2: West New York six Bowl. Like now you're going to

515
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:23,200
Speaker 2: play bowl in Albuquerque against.

516
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 4: Mexico as a road team.

517
00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:27,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, as a road team without your coach. And you

518
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 2: know Jerry Kill is going to have this Mexico State

519
00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:31,639
Speaker 2: team fired up. How many wins would they get to

520
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:34,359
Speaker 2: if they win this game? They played an extra game

521
00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:36,480
Speaker 2: New Mexico State, we get to eleven wins, Like, that's

522
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:38,159
Speaker 2: huge for this program. So I think they're going to

523
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:41,280
Speaker 2: they'll shop here. The problem is I can't get there

524
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:43,320
Speaker 2: with my number. Now, granted I've been I'm always lower

525
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 2: on New Mexico States. I can't lay three and a

526
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:49,440
Speaker 2: half in this game. The Mexico State D is bad,

527
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:52,760
Speaker 2: like so Presdent should be able to score. I think this,

528
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 2: and I think the Fresno State D doesn't do much

529
00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:57,639
Speaker 2: for me. And if they don't really care, New Mexico

530
00:24:57,680 --> 00:24:59,879
Speaker 2: State's going to move up and down the field, this

531
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:02,440
Speaker 2: could end up being a fun shootout. I know we've

532
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:05,720
Speaker 2: talked about nothing, but under so far this would be

533
00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:09,960
Speaker 2: an over that I would look at on Saturday. Like

534
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:12,280
Speaker 2: for my bullpools, I'm picking New Mexico State to win.

535
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 2: I just can't lay over three and a half because

536
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:16,920
Speaker 2: I'm so far off with my actual number. What do

537
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:17,480
Speaker 2: you see here?

538
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:19,640
Speaker 4: This is a New Mexico State play all the way.

539
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:21,640
Speaker 4: I think you're taking it to six, and I don't

540
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 4: think it's done moving as you and I are here

541
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:26,040
Speaker 4: podcasting at three and a half. I think it's gonna

542
00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:28,120
Speaker 4: I think it's gonna blow through the neutral numbers here.

543
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:31,119
Speaker 4: I mean, look at our situation. They limped into this

544
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:34,520
Speaker 4: Bowl lost three straight, two of them to non bowl

545
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:37,160
Speaker 4: teams in New Mexico and San Diego State. I mean

546
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 4: there's losses and then there's New Mexico loss in San

547
00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:42,680
Speaker 4: Diego State loss, you know. I mean it's pretty bad

548
00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:44,840
Speaker 4: getting into this bowl game. And you mentioned they have

549
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 4: no depth behind Mikey Keane, who's hurt all the time.

550
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 4: You know, when you look at some other things, Fresno

551
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 4: has no success running the ball. Me Leaks shared his

552
00:25:51,760 --> 00:25:56,200
Speaker 4: decent numbers ninetyds, thirty one missed tackles created three point

553
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 4: six yards after contact, but the Bulldogs are one hundred

554
00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:00,399
Speaker 4: and twelve and rushing success right now one hundred and

555
00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 4: fifth and stuff. It's just not going to work against

556
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 4: this New Mexico State defense. Mikey Keem finished the season

557
00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:08,119
Speaker 4: with twenty tds and nine im ts his A dot

558
00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:10,640
Speaker 4: I don't know if he's still hurt. His average depth

559
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:13,320
Speaker 4: of target was less than six yards, average less than

560
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:15,800
Speaker 4: six yards the final three games. Then you look at

561
00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:18,000
Speaker 4: what he's going to throw against. He excels against Cover three,

562
00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:20,280
Speaker 4: but he's going to get Cover one against New Mexico State.

563
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:22,480
Speaker 4: So I think the total is completely spot on. I

564
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:25,080
Speaker 4: make it fifty two. But there's just no answer that

565
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:28,760
Speaker 4: Fresno defense has for the Pavia power rush concepts. They

566
00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 4: use power, which is they'll take you. They'll overload one

567
00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:34,840
Speaker 4: side of the offensive lineman with tight ends, they'll use

568
00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 4: a guard from the weak side, and they will just

569
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:39,200
Speaker 4: put Pavia right there behind it and plow over people.

570
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:42,560
Speaker 4: And Fresno State has no way to stop that in

571
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:45,119
Speaker 4: a home game in Albuquerque. And why I say this

572
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:46,720
Speaker 4: is a big deal with them, It might be bigger

573
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 4: than people think unless you're a part of the Aggi's program.

574
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 4: Last year, New Mexico State desperately wanted to be in

575
00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 4: this game, desperately wanted to be in this game. They

576
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 4: put Jerry Kill up in the Quick Lane Bowl in Detroit.

577
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:01,120
Speaker 4: Now a few fans traveled. They won the game. They

578
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 4: were elated. It was Jerry Kill's first ever winning a Bowl.

579
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,880
Speaker 4: Even made comments after, I still want to be back

580
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 4: in albut Querque in the New Mexico Bowl. Well guess

581
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,560
Speaker 4: what now, you're in Albegeria in New Mexico. I think

582
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,040
Speaker 4: I'm not gonna tell anybody to take Fresno. I would

583
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:16,399
Speaker 4: just say stop buying at six because I was a

584
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:17,440
Speaker 4: New Mexico state party.

585
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:19,520
Speaker 2: All Right, we don't have to come to this game anymore.

586
00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:21,720
Speaker 2: You made a great case. So I'm sure a group

587
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:26,159
Speaker 2: of five guys. I'm assuming that they touted Diego Diego.

588
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,240
Speaker 4: So I went I Andell to name his kid Diego.

589
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:29,600
Speaker 4: So we'll see how that turns out.

590
00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:35,320
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to our fifth Bowl of Saturday.

591
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:41,359
Speaker 2: You're gonna hate me, and that's the Starco Brands La Bowl.

592
00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:44,119
Speaker 2: I don't I don't even know what star Starco Brands

593
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:46,000
Speaker 2: is probably a consumer, is.

594
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:48,199
Speaker 4: It like a hot dog? Jeez? I know I know

595
00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:49,920
Speaker 4: a lot of things in global supply chain.

596
00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:52,240
Speaker 2: What is a star coo It used to be the

597
00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 2: Jimmy Kimmel Bowl. Let me see what's hosted by Gronk.

598
00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 2: Gronk now sponsors at Gronk and Starco brands. He will

599
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 2: be singing the national anthem, grinding. This is what this

600
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 2: The article says at LA times. He's gonna be dancing.

601
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:07,600
Speaker 2: What the hell is twerking? He says. He says's gonna

602
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:10,240
Speaker 2: be twirking. He was on the mass singer Apparently he

603
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:12,600
Speaker 2: can sing, he says, What is what is going on

604
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:13,200
Speaker 2: with this bowl?

605
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:15,359
Speaker 4: Looking at their products? I never heard of any of

606
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:15,920
Speaker 4: this stuff.

607
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:18,679
Speaker 2: This is amazing. There will be a signature drink, the

608
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:23,000
Speaker 2: Gronk Cooler, available to spectators. What's in the drink I

609
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:24,879
Speaker 2: don't know, but if anyone knows how to make a beverage,

610
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,560
Speaker 2: it's Gronk all right now, you know, tune in for

611
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:33,240
Speaker 2: Gronk singing the National anthem at SOFI RPM yeah RP

612
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:39,560
Speaker 2: Jimmy Kimmel seven thirty Eastern Saturday night on ABC Boys UCLA.

613
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 2: So look, there's a lot of news here for UCLA.

614
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 2: One of the best defenders, the PAC twelve Player of

615
00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 2: the Year, her boy lau La Tou he opted out.

616
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,400
Speaker 2: He's going to the NFL. One of their best corners,

617
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 2: John Humphrey hit the portal. One of the best safeties,

618
00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:58,880
Speaker 2: Kamari Ramsby, he hit the portal. One of the other safeties,

619
00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:02,280
Speaker 2: William Nemo hit the poor Their tight end, Carson Ryan,

620
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:05,480
Speaker 2: portal wide receiver Cam Brown, although hesn't played since Week nine.

621
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 2: Portal Dante Moore, quarterback, were talked about him. He was

622
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 2: part of the rotation. You have Ethan Garber as a quarterback.

623
00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:14,400
Speaker 2: Chip Kelly said he should be okay if they're suffering

624
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:18,120
Speaker 2: injury in week thirteen. UC also has defensive tackle Gary Smith,

625
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:20,240
Speaker 2: who missed the final two regular season games with an injury.

626
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:23,600
Speaker 2: We'll see if he is available. Starting running back Carson

627
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:26,160
Speaker 2: Steel hasn't been a practice the past two days. I

628
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,720
Speaker 2: don't know what's going on with him. Why. Defensive coordinator

629
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 2: Danton Lynn he went to USC. Their quarterback coach Ryan

630
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:36,360
Speaker 2: Gunderson went to Oregon State as the OC. And look,

631
00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,479
Speaker 2: this UCLA team had high aspirations. They are they do

632
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:42,240
Speaker 2: get to play in you know, so far in Englewood,

633
00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,240
Speaker 2: but you know, down the stretch they lost to what

634
00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 2: Cal and Arizona State at home. All these guys are

635
00:29:48,120 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 2: opting out how much they really care to play Boise.

636
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 2: I will say, and this line, by the way, is

637
00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,960
Speaker 2: out to at the time we're recording, it is out

638
00:29:56,000 --> 00:30:00,600
Speaker 2: to UCLA minus four, and there was a couple services

639
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:02,440
Speaker 2: that released it, which is why that took money. I

640
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:05,080
Speaker 2: don't necessarily, I don't necessarily agree with that move over

641
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 2: under forty nine and a half now Boise. On Boise side,

642
00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:11,240
Speaker 2: you have Spencer Danielson, the new head coach who came

643
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,480
Speaker 2: in promoted to he was the interim promoted the full

644
00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,760
Speaker 2: time head coach. They don't have a quarterback, though, which

645
00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:19,960
Speaker 2: is why is their starting quarterback Taylor Green hit the

646
00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:21,880
Speaker 2: portal He's going to Arkansas. Gets your thoughts on that

647
00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:24,320
Speaker 2: in a second. Their other quarterback, Maddox Matson, they were

648
00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:26,280
Speaker 2: split in time during the year. He's out for the

649
00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:31,320
Speaker 2: year with an injury, so true freshman CJ. Tiller is

650
00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:33,440
Speaker 2: going to get the start. Everyone else that was with

651
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 2: the team looks like they're gonna play. And look I

652
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:37,200
Speaker 2: talked to I know a couple of people that are

653
00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:39,360
Speaker 2: really close to the Boise program. You could tell how

654
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:42,600
Speaker 2: they closed the year. This team really cares and really

655
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:46,040
Speaker 2: wants to win, and like Gent coming back to the team.

656
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:47,240
Speaker 2: I think it was a huge sign he could have

657
00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:50,440
Speaker 2: went anywhere. So I don't It's really hard to know

658
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:53,200
Speaker 2: what you're gonna get with Tiller. What Bois I think

659
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 2: is going to do here. And they were already doing

660
00:30:54,520 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 2: this down the stretch. They were running get like seventy

661
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:57,600
Speaker 2: seventy five percent of the time. They're gonna run this.

662
00:30:57,600 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 2: They're gonna do the ball eighty nine percent of the

663
00:30:59,040 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 2: time in this game. They have a healthy Jilani, they

664
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:05,360
Speaker 2: got a healthy Gent. Can you do that against Ucla? No,

665
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 2: in a vacuum during the regular season, I don't think

666
00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 2: they would be able to do that. But without Lawtu

667
00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 2: and with some of these other opt outs, and I

668
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:17,040
Speaker 2: Fule doesn't really care, they might have some success there.

669
00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:20,760
Speaker 2: The Boise State defense isn't anything there right home about

670
00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:23,560
Speaker 2: they played better down the stretch or secondary is still bad,

671
00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 2: but I don't think that's something UCLA can really exploit.

672
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 2: So I'm just not sure Ucla really cares here. I

673
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 2: think Boise does running dog with really good like with

674
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,440
Speaker 2: a pro running back and a you know, two really

675
00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:37,800
Speaker 2: good running backs. In this game, I'm I'm leaving Boise.

676
00:31:37,880 --> 00:31:41,600
Speaker 2: Definitely have them in a in a round robin. I

677
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:44,560
Speaker 2: think there's a huge care differential here. I believe in this.

678
00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:48,120
Speaker 2: This Boise team really wants it. Not sure with UCLA

679
00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 2: and these opt outs are big and long. What do

680
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:51,280
Speaker 2: you see here?

681
00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 4: Well, the opt outs are really would make the handicap

682
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:56,480
Speaker 4: in this game because when you look at who is

683
00:31:56,560 --> 00:31:59,440
Speaker 4: out their best corner John Humphrey, and these couple of

684
00:31:59,480 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 4: these are just hitting the last like thirty six hours.

685
00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 4: So I have no clue why it's all of a

686
00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 4: sudden starting to trickle. But corner John Humphrey hit the

687
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:10,200
Speaker 4: portal yesterday four PBUs on the year. Safety Kamari Ramsey,

688
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:12,440
Speaker 4: you mentioned him, three PBUs on the air. But these

689
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:16,120
Speaker 4: are guys in the secondary, and even without Laotu Latu,

690
00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 4: they still have a very stingy front seven that can

691
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:23,720
Speaker 4: stop the run. And that is the entire handicap of

692
00:32:23,760 --> 00:32:27,080
Speaker 4: this Bowl game is can you stop Ashton Genty, George Halanie.

693
00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:30,480
Speaker 4: Everything's gonna happen on the ground because UCLA is missing

694
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:33,120
Speaker 4: their secondary. But who's going to throw into that secondary?

695
00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 4: Now that Tailing Green's not there? Now I saw that

696
00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:37,360
Speaker 4: Colt Fulton was most likely going to get the start

697
00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:39,720
Speaker 4: at quarterback, a six or four kid that Bush Hampden

698
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:44,000
Speaker 4: called an assistant coach. So, I mean, nobody's throwing deep

699
00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:47,040
Speaker 4: on this UCLA team that's on this roster. So really

700
00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:50,080
Speaker 4: the handicap all comes down to can you stop Ashton Genty.

701
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 4: Boise runs a high success rate and explosiveness out of

702
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,800
Speaker 4: man and outside zone as far as UCLA goes. I

703
00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:58,960
Speaker 4: just I don't see Collin sleve Ethan Garber is getting

704
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:01,120
Speaker 4: anything going here against quarters and cover one, which is

705
00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:04,520
Speaker 4: what Boise runs. The total is down for legitimate reasons here.

706
00:33:04,600 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 2: I mean this should be another under.

707
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 4: I like this under Yeah, no Boise quarterback. You see

708
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 4: a quarterback situation has been a dumpster fire since day one.

709
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 4: UCLA rush defense is intact and can stop Genty as

710
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:16,880
Speaker 4: of now. That could change after we get done podcasting.

711
00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:19,920
Speaker 4: Boisese defense is just forty third in havoc. The way

712
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:22,800
Speaker 4: to beat UCLA's put havoc in the backfield, and Boise

713
00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:26,240
Speaker 4: has been so so ondoing that this year. So to me,

714
00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:29,520
Speaker 4: if Gronk's gonna come out there and dance and sing

715
00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:32,280
Speaker 4: and have so many breaks and like get these teams

716
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:34,120
Speaker 4: out of rhythm. Give me a first half under here.

717
00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 4: This thing sounds like a circus show anyway, so I

718
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:38,680
Speaker 4: want a first half under, full game under.

719
00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 2: You know, well, I also just don't know if you say, like, well,

720
00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:43,320
Speaker 2: care U saw has the more talented team, and now

721
00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 2: I gotta account for the opt outs team that had

722
00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 2: high expectations. These opt outs kind of signal that, like

723
00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:52,760
Speaker 2: and they coaches that have left to do they really care.

724
00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:54,840
Speaker 2: But the boys, I mean Boise just they might not

725
00:33:54,840 --> 00:33:56,280
Speaker 2: be able to run it, and then their quarterback might

726
00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:57,840
Speaker 2: not be able to put a pass and then they're done.

727
00:33:57,960 --> 00:33:59,560
Speaker 4: I mean a lot of people like to use that

728
00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:01,440
Speaker 4: care thing and run with it, but I think it

729
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:04,280
Speaker 4: actually applies here because I go back to PACTOL media

730
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:08,440
Speaker 4: days and I still remember this when Chip Kelly I

731
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 4: asked him about what was the process of getting Carson Steel.

732
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:13,839
Speaker 4: The second he said, the second we saw his name

733
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:16,640
Speaker 4: fallen transfer portal, I was on a flight out to Munsey, Indiana.

734
00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:18,880
Speaker 4: That is where his priority is. If you go and

735
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:21,320
Speaker 4: look at the transfer portal right now, they've already pulled

736
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 4: a safety from San Diego State, and if a name

737
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:25,960
Speaker 4: comes up in the transfer portal. Is he going to

738
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:27,719
Speaker 4: hop on a plane and go out immediately, like to

739
00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:29,360
Speaker 4: sacrifice bowl preparations?

740
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 2: Yeah he is, because really good DC has gone too.

741
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:34,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, and I dance on Len being gone? Is what

742
00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:37,520
Speaker 4: a get for USC that it might make me like

743
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:39,319
Speaker 4: them next year, which already makes me want to throw

744
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 4: up in my mouth.

745
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:46,759
Speaker 2: Yep, I left. You want to the final game on Saturday,

746
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:50,879
Speaker 2: and that is the Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl.

747
00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 4: I mean that is you got to come to share report.

748
00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:53,839
Speaker 4: I've been there.

749
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:58,120
Speaker 2: That is inst report. Texas Tech will take on Cal

750
00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:01,520
Speaker 2: too and a half point favorit the Red Raiders over

751
00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:04,719
Speaker 2: under fifty seven A. That is a boring bull sponsor?

752
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 2: Like what what what are you getting out of? They

753
00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:11,520
Speaker 2: do like technology solutions, Like what you're what are you

754
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:13,279
Speaker 2: getting out of sponsoring a bowl? Now? Shout to all

755
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:15,240
Speaker 2: the bull sponsors. They allow for all these bulls to happen.

756
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:20,000
Speaker 2: Like avocados from Mexico, that's you got. You already have

757
00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:24,800
Speaker 2: your jingles from Mexico. I've been singing around my house.

758
00:35:24,840 --> 00:35:27,359
Speaker 2: I've been I went to the grocery store and then

759
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:29,919
Speaker 2: I bought like extra avocados because I was craving them

760
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:33,839
Speaker 2: from Mexico. That's how it worked. Like what radios technologies?

761
00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:36,080
Speaker 2: What are you getting by sponsoring a bowl? I don't know.

762
00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:39,520
Speaker 4: All right, uncomfortable commercial at the start. I'm sure from

763
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 4: the border back.

764
00:35:41,080 --> 00:35:43,839
Speaker 2: Yeah. What what's your favorite thing about Streetport? Yeah? I've

765
00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 2: never been to Streetport.

766
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:46,840
Speaker 4: Oh wait, sorry, I saw Arkansas, Missouri. I believe it

767
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:49,279
Speaker 4: was two thousand and three in the Eye Bowl. It's

768
00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:51,160
Speaker 4: like a town that I called checkered because it's like

769
00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:52,799
Speaker 4: you can be at a million dollar home and then

770
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:54,839
Speaker 4: you could be uh in a place where you can

771
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:57,120
Speaker 4: get shot, like block to block to block. Shreatport is

772
00:35:57,320 --> 00:35:58,600
Speaker 4: a hell of a lot of fun to get and

773
00:35:58,600 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 4: a lot of dive bars there. You love it.

774
00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:04,400
Speaker 2: I'll have to get down to the uh what is

775
00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:08,399
Speaker 2: the Red River down there? All right? This a lot

776
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:11,680
Speaker 2: of news on Texas Tech. They're starting left tackle Monroe

777
00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:15,239
Speaker 2: Mills hit the portal. Only allowed two sacks on eight

778
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 2: hundred and ninety four snaps this year. Two of their

779
00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:21,000
Speaker 2: starting receivers Miles Price, Jared Bradley, they hit the portal.

780
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:24,600
Speaker 2: They're starting defensive tackle really good one. Jalen Hunching he

781
00:36:24,640 --> 00:36:28,200
Speaker 2: had surgery. He'll missed the bowl and then you have

782
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:30,480
Speaker 2: I mean, if you go back to that Texas game,

783
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 2: one of the reasons Texas took money late there is

784
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:35,719
Speaker 2: Texas Tech had a ton of injuries. You have your

785
00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:39,000
Speaker 2: starting safety Tyler Owens was out. Defensive end Steve Linton

786
00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 2: was out. They're starting middle linebacker Jacob Rodriguez didn't Pikes,

787
00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:44,520
Speaker 2: they're red shirting him. They're starting left guard. Cole Spencer

788
00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 2: hasn't played since weak five. So the good news is

789
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:51,759
Speaker 2: Maguire said that he expects Morton to finally be at

790
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,600
Speaker 2: one said he's been closed, but it wasn't, so we'll

791
00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:58,120
Speaker 2: see if he looks any better. And most importantly, Todd

792
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,399
Speaker 2: Brooks announced he's coming back and he's there or Bell

793
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 2: Coal back. In regards to Cal, you had a number

794
00:37:05,120 --> 00:37:07,319
Speaker 2: of their backup quarterbacks at the portal, but it looks

795
00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:09,239
Speaker 2: like they found their guy in Mendoza, the freshman. So

796
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:12,440
Speaker 2: he's going to start off, he goes down. It's pretty

797
00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:17,400
Speaker 2: problematic as far as transfer portal's concerned. Yeah, your leading

798
00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:22,720
Speaker 2: tackler at linebacker and one of your starting corners hit.

799
00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:25,200
Speaker 4: The and the top safety get in there today too,

800
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:26,160
Speaker 4: Jeremiah Irby.

801
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, Taj Davis. Their receivers no longer with the program.

802
00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:32,160
Speaker 2: One of their starting receivers, Willcox announced I think that

803
00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 2: was today or yesterday. So there's some news to figure

804
00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:39,719
Speaker 2: out here with both of these teams. Cal. We just

805
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:46,360
Speaker 2: mentioned that Cal game. Cal beat Ucla in the final

806
00:37:46,920 --> 00:37:49,040
Speaker 2: in their final game to get to six and six

807
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:53,680
Speaker 2: to get to Bowl eligibility, so obviously that was probably important.

808
00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:55,719
Speaker 2: I mean, it is UCLA kind of a rival too,

809
00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:58,880
Speaker 2: But seems like they were still They beat Stanford by twelve,

810
00:37:58,880 --> 00:38:01,160
Speaker 2: were that to beat Washington State where that they closed

811
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:04,239
Speaker 2: the year pretty strong. I would think that their care

812
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:09,040
Speaker 2: level is pretty reliable. Texas Tech. I don't necessarily know

813
00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:10,760
Speaker 2: where they're at mentally, because it's one of those teams

814
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:12,959
Speaker 2: that you know the end of the season by getting

815
00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:16,080
Speaker 2: curb stopped by Texas. But they had high expectations. A

816
00:38:16,120 --> 00:38:17,600
Speaker 2: lot of people had them as a sleeper in the

817
00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:20,480
Speaker 2: Big Twelve. You know, now you're playing in the Radiance

818
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:23,839
Speaker 2: Technologies Independence Bowl against the six and six cow team?

819
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:28,040
Speaker 2: Are they that excited? From a numbers perspective, I show

820
00:38:28,080 --> 00:38:30,640
Speaker 2: a little bit of value on the Red Raiders. I

821
00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 2: just don't have a great feel for them. I don't

822
00:38:32,080 --> 00:38:34,560
Speaker 2: love backing this cow team as a I like back

823
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:37,279
Speaker 2: of them as a bigger dog. I'm leaning Texas Tech here,

824
00:38:37,600 --> 00:38:38,799
Speaker 2: but Texas Tech are nothing for me.

825
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:43,760
Speaker 4: Well, Texas Tech losing their offensive lineman Monroe Mills is huge.

826
00:38:44,680 --> 00:38:48,400
Speaker 4: There's only three snaps that were taken at left tackle,

827
00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 4: blindside tackle this year. It was it wasn't Monroe Mills

828
00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:55,080
Speaker 4: and Cayle ranks thirty first and pass rush for PFF.

829
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:58,359
Speaker 4: So expecting Morton to be in some pressure here. And

830
00:38:58,440 --> 00:38:59,880
Speaker 4: you know, I know he was a freshman last year,

831
00:38:59,880 --> 00:39:01,880
Speaker 4: but he had some pretty terrible numbers when he had

832
00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:05,560
Speaker 4: a pressure pocket and the injury to Texas Tech's defensive

833
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:08,840
Speaker 4: interior Jalen Hutchings, that's a big loss. Twenty pressures this season,

834
00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:11,640
Speaker 4: he was third on the team. But Wyatt's so important

835
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:13,839
Speaker 4: for Texas Tech to get a pass rush is because

836
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:17,280
Speaker 4: quarterback Fernando Mendozo for Cal has just a completion percentage

837
00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:21,239
Speaker 4: drops nearly twenty five percent with pressure. Without pressure and

838
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:22,919
Speaker 4: a clean pocket, he had a ten to four TD

839
00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:25,120
Speaker 4: to it in ratio, So it's really important that they

840
00:39:25,160 --> 00:39:27,640
Speaker 4: get some hands on him. We'll see if they can here.

841
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 4: Now the Cal offense, I mean, who's coaching this thing.

842
00:39:31,160 --> 00:39:34,160
Speaker 4: The offensive The offensive coordinator Jake Saviotol is left. He's

843
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:36,279
Speaker 4: going to take that position at Baylor. Good luck with

844
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 4: that next year. The offensive line coach Mike Bloch, he's

845
00:39:40,080 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 4: going to take on the OC role here just for

846
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:44,640
Speaker 4: this game. But there's a vacant quarterback coach, there's a

847
00:39:44,680 --> 00:39:47,640
Speaker 4: vacant tight end coach. Tim Plow is off. He's back

848
00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:49,799
Speaker 4: to UC Davis now as a head coach. So you

849
00:39:49,880 --> 00:39:52,120
Speaker 4: have to ask yourself, like the game plan going in

850
00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,080
Speaker 4: is not going to change at halftime. This offensive loss,

851
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 4: this offensive staff is like one guy right now. Texas

852
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,960
Speaker 4: Tech dominates rushing attacks us the inside zone. But Cal's

853
00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:04,840
Speaker 4: second option of man concepts is great for jayd and Not.

854
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:06,840
Speaker 4: I think jayde Not is gonna have success when he

855
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:10,040
Speaker 4: runs that until Texas Tech makes a change. Now, rush

856
00:40:10,080 --> 00:40:12,080
Speaker 4: EPA is on the table here for Cal. They're fourth

857
00:40:12,120 --> 00:40:14,800
Speaker 4: and creating broken tackles and Texas Tech has been pretty

858
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:17,960
Speaker 4: bad a first and broken tackles allowed. For that reason alone,

859
00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:20,560
Speaker 4: I'm going to play Cal on the first half, but

860
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:24,759
Speaker 4: with this offensive coaching situation, there's no way that I'm

861
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:26,600
Speaker 4: going to play them for the full game. The total

862
00:40:26,600 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 4: move from fifty six and a half up to fifty eight.

863
00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:31,040
Speaker 4: These two teams are lightning quick. I mean the pace

864
00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 4: is going to be twenty three and twenty four seconds

865
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,680
Speaker 4: per play, but there's not a lot of explosives like

866
00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 4: what you would think out of these teams. They have

867
00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:41,160
Speaker 4: zero epa run or pass. So I think at fifty nine,

868
00:40:41,239 --> 00:40:43,720
Speaker 4: which it's steaming that way, which is a big key number,

869
00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:45,960
Speaker 4: you're looking to take an under here with two offenses

870
00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:48,520
Speaker 4: that struggle to put together quality drives and they just

871
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 4: don't have any juice in the passing game for either

872
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:52,880
Speaker 4: one of them. So at fifty nine, I'm going to

873
00:40:52,920 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 4: be looking hardcore at the under.

874
00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:56,040
Speaker 2: Yeah. The other thing to keep in mind is that

875
00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 2: who did Texas Tech plat Ole miss in the Bowl

876
00:40:58,200 --> 00:40:58,920
Speaker 2: last year? Right?

877
00:40:59,080 --> 00:40:59,360
Speaker 4: Yeah?

878
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:03,480
Speaker 2: So Joey maguire goes score on fourth down as much

879
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:06,279
Speaker 2: as any coach in the country in a Bowl game,

880
00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:09,000
Speaker 2: it's gonna go forward even more so. That introduces a

881
00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:11,480
Speaker 2: lot of variance into this game. Another reason why I

882
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:14,080
Speaker 2: just this is this is a tough game to andandicap.

883
00:41:14,120 --> 00:41:16,440
Speaker 2: In my opinion, this is one of the tougher balls

884
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:18,879
Speaker 2: to handicap. But if I see, like if I see

885
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:21,520
Speaker 2: Texas Tech go down the field and they don't get

886
00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:24,239
Speaker 2: a fourth down or a couple early, I might look

887
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,400
Speaker 2: for a live over. They're just gonna keep going for it,

888
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:28,120
Speaker 2: and like if they don't get a couple early, they'll

889
00:41:28,120 --> 00:41:29,839
Speaker 2: get a couple. They might even go like a couple

890
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:32,960
Speaker 2: times as their own territory. So yeah, and you mentioned

891
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:35,759
Speaker 2: the pace. I also want to run circles around them

892
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:38,800
Speaker 2: after halftime. This this cow offensive staff is zero.

893
00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:40,160
Speaker 4: There's nobody there.

894
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:42,680
Speaker 2: I'm gonna look for a live Texas Tech if they

895
00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:43,440
Speaker 2: go down early.

896
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:44,360
Speaker 4: I'm there with you.

897
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:47,920
Speaker 2: Okay, all right, let's move on to Monday. The Seventh

898
00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:53,240
Speaker 2: Bowl will cover in this episode the famous Toastery Bowl

899
00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:56,960
Speaker 2: between Western Kentucky and Old Dominion and Charlotte, North Carolina.

900
00:41:57,800 --> 00:41:59,960
Speaker 2: Old Dominion was a dog now two and a half

901
00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:02,400
Speaker 2: point favorite over Under fifty five and a half. A

902
00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:05,080
Speaker 2: ton of news here. It's really difficult game in handicapp

903
00:42:05,480 --> 00:42:08,439
Speaker 2: tell you what, but one Western Kentucky played their guys

904
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:10,640
Speaker 2: that were in the portal before, so that's something to

905
00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:11,880
Speaker 2: keep mind. And they have a lot of guys in

906
00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:16,240
Speaker 2: the portal, starting left guard Quintavious Leslie, who is amazing

907
00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:20,200
Speaker 2: two time first team Portal starting center Vincent Murphy, Portal,

908
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:24,480
Speaker 2: starting right tackle WESTERR. Dorsey Portal. They're starting corner up

909
00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:28,880
Speaker 2: in Stout Portal, starting linebacker Desmond Baker Portal, starting safety

910
00:42:29,120 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 2: Tyler Gallen Portal. One of their other cornerback contributors, TJ.

911
00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:37,760
Speaker 2: Springer Portal. Malkay Corley is going to play in the NFL.

912
00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:41,680
Speaker 2: Get drafted. Don't know wide receiver. Nothing's come out yet.

913
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:44,319
Speaker 2: I've heard from people close to the Brugaby's going to play.

914
00:42:44,680 --> 00:42:47,400
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be shocked. I also have heard it's not

915
00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:50,160
Speaker 2: confirmed that Austin Reid is out. He's done, He's not playing,

916
00:42:50,239 --> 00:42:53,840
Speaker 2: which I think this line pretty much implies his backup

917
00:42:53,920 --> 00:42:56,239
Speaker 2: Caden delt Camp's also in the Portal but gonna stay

918
00:42:56,239 --> 00:42:58,399
Speaker 2: with the team. But apparently they're not going to play

919
00:42:58,440 --> 00:43:01,200
Speaker 2: in So what I've heard is it's Turner Helton is

920
00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 2: going to start this game. I think I assume that's

921
00:43:03,640 --> 00:43:08,200
Speaker 2: Helton's son, So yeah, Turner Helton is starting this game.

922
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:09,560
Speaker 2: And then on the other side, with the old dominion,

923
00:43:10,040 --> 00:43:12,719
Speaker 2: you have Javon Harvey, a wide receiver pretty good when

924
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 2: he's out Portal they're starting safety Cherry Jones, he's pretty good,

925
00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:20,040
Speaker 2: one hundred plus tackles as your portal. And then Jason Anderson,

926
00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:23,200
Speaker 2: he's out there star linebacker. Who I mean, this guy

927
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:29,200
Speaker 2: not only was the nation's leading tackler, he allowed I mean,

928
00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:33,000
Speaker 2: this is pretty shocking. He allowed sixty seven yards in

929
00:43:33,040 --> 00:43:35,960
Speaker 2: three hundred and forty three covered snaps. That is the

930
00:43:35,960 --> 00:43:38,799
Speaker 2: best of the nation for any linebacker. Then I'm talking

931
00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:41,480
Speaker 2: so that look, you could have three defensive starters out,

932
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:45,279
Speaker 2: three or four, three of your starting offensive lineman, you're

933
00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:48,719
Speaker 2: stud quarterback, who's gonna play in the East West Shrine Game,

934
00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:51,840
Speaker 2: maybe your NFL wide receiver, and then you're down to

935
00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 2: the coaches snic quarterback. But then again, it's the team

936
00:43:54,160 --> 00:43:56,759
Speaker 2: that played all the guys in the portal before. And

937
00:43:57,640 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 2: then talk to someone who said, well, here's a twee

938
00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 2: right now that I'm looking at as we're doing this

939
00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:04,439
Speaker 2: other news. Malci Corley WI one hundred percent be playing,

940
00:44:04,560 --> 00:44:07,320
Speaker 2: said he's all in. I'm reading this right now. Yesterday,

941
00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:08,840
Speaker 2: when asked the Wuston Rea will be starting a quarterback

942
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:11,120
Speaker 2: the ball game, head coach Tyson Olton said, everybody's getting

943
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:13,920
Speaker 2: reps and everybody's at practice, but in terms of replaying,

944
00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:16,160
Speaker 2: he has no comment. He did say most of the other

945
00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:18,560
Speaker 2: guys in the portal will play in the game, but

946
00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:21,239
Speaker 2: wouldn't specify who that would be. He said, if guys

947
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:23,400
Speaker 2: are sitting out to do the health issues more than anything.

948
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:25,840
Speaker 2: So I don't know, that's huge. You're talking about four starters,

949
00:44:26,000 --> 00:44:32,640
Speaker 2: the star quarterback, three offensive linemen, your NFL receiver. So, uh,

950
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:34,640
Speaker 2: I don't know. I think the Western kN tuck team stinks.

951
00:44:34,680 --> 00:44:36,799
Speaker 2: I know their defense stinks. So I want to play

952
00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:37,400
Speaker 2: old Dominion.

953
00:44:37,760 --> 00:44:38,120
Speaker 4: I don't know.

954
00:44:38,360 --> 00:44:40,040
Speaker 2: I don't know if half the team's playing Western talking.

955
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:42,000
Speaker 2: I don't know for sure, if their quarterback's playing. I

956
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:44,440
Speaker 2: don't I was told originally no, but then reading that,

957
00:44:44,480 --> 00:44:46,040
Speaker 2: I don't even know for sure. Now I don't know.

958
00:44:46,160 --> 00:44:48,200
Speaker 2: This game's tough. Makes sense of this?

959
00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:50,560
Speaker 4: I mean did in Austin Reid getting the portal before

960
00:44:50,600 --> 00:44:51,439
Speaker 4: and trying to get some money.

961
00:44:51,480 --> 00:44:52,719
Speaker 2: Then he came back in, and then he came back

962
00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:54,040
Speaker 2: in and played the Bowl and he threw for like

963
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,120
Speaker 2: seven billion yards Again South Alabama.

964
00:44:56,280 --> 00:44:58,000
Speaker 4: Uh, I mean, we's you'renna tell you had a really

965
00:44:58,080 --> 00:45:00,440
Speaker 4: terrible year. He only had one win were a bowl

966
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:01,640
Speaker 4: team this year. That was south Fold.

967
00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:02,200
Speaker 2: They're awful.

968
00:45:02,400 --> 00:45:02,879
Speaker 4: They're awful.

969
00:45:02,920 --> 00:45:06,160
Speaker 2: They should have lost a fucking you tap, they should

970
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 2: have lost to Sam Houston.

971
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:10,400
Speaker 4: Well, Old Dominion had wins over four Bowl teams, So

972
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:13,080
Speaker 4: there's a big difference for the right there. Now, when

973
00:45:13,120 --> 00:45:15,960
Speaker 4: Western Kentucky is on offense, they're gonna be able to

974
00:45:15,960 --> 00:45:17,600
Speaker 4: get yards and move down the field. I don't care

975
00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:20,399
Speaker 4: who's on the field for him, because Old Dominion does

976
00:45:20,440 --> 00:45:23,080
Speaker 4: not have any kind of defense until they get down

977
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:25,600
Speaker 4: into scoring position where they really shore up. Now they

978
00:45:25,719 --> 00:45:27,399
Speaker 4: run a three three five, a three to two six

979
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:30,160
Speaker 4: the defensive seals. When opponents get into the scoring position,

980
00:45:30,440 --> 00:45:33,279
Speaker 4: they're top twenty five into finishing drives, their twenty fifth

981
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 4: in red zone efficiency that is generally where Western Kentucky

982
00:45:36,640 --> 00:45:39,279
Speaker 4: has all of their problems offense this year, ninety sixth.

983
00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:41,600
Speaker 4: Then quality drives. You know, they get the shorter fit.

984
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:46,840
Speaker 2: They can't run the ball, and field shrinks, red zone efficiency, plumbing.

985
00:45:47,040 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 4: So I think Old Dominion is going to be able

986
00:45:48,480 --> 00:45:50,399
Speaker 4: to hold their own when when Western Kentucky gets into

987
00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:52,320
Speaker 4: scoring position. Now on the other side of the ball,

988
00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:54,799
Speaker 4: it's as clear as day to me what this what

989
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:58,360
Speaker 4: this handicap is all about. Western Kentucky cannot defend inside

990
00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:01,399
Speaker 4: zone a forty four percent success, which is horrible. Old

991
00:46:01,440 --> 00:46:04,960
Speaker 4: Dominion EPA is the winner here. They are rush explosive

992
00:46:05,520 --> 00:46:09,000
Speaker 4: crazy Oho. There's seventh in rush EPA to Western Kentucky's

993
00:46:09,000 --> 00:46:12,000
Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty fifth. And defending rush explosives that

994
00:46:12,040 --> 00:46:14,200
Speaker 4: means you're gonna get a big night from Keishawn Wicks,

995
00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:18,040
Speaker 4: Kadarius Callaway, who averages four point six yards after contact,

996
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:20,840
Speaker 4: And let's not forget Old Dominion's quarterback Grant Wilson. He

997
00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:23,799
Speaker 4: has nineteen runs over ten yards this year. They are

998
00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:26,839
Speaker 4: going to run that inside zone against a very poor

999
00:46:26,880 --> 00:46:29,040
Speaker 4: Western Kentucky defense that has not been able to defend

1000
00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:31,279
Speaker 4: inside zone all year, and all three of the names

1001
00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:33,759
Speaker 4: that I just mentioned are going to have huge chunk

1002
00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:37,080
Speaker 4: yard plays. I'm sticking with my Old Dominion bet that

1003
00:46:37,120 --> 00:46:38,920
Speaker 4: I made on open I would still play it at

1004
00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:42,879
Speaker 4: minus two and a half. I think three. I guess

1005
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:44,799
Speaker 4: maybe three would be the last place. I mean, Old

1006
00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:46,200
Speaker 4: Dominion got hot at the end of the season, but

1007
00:46:46,200 --> 00:46:49,720
Speaker 4: you're right, in Western Kentucky's best form, they should probably

1008
00:46:49,719 --> 00:46:52,279
Speaker 4: have six scoring opportunities and could keep up here. I'll

1009
00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:55,239
Speaker 4: say three is the last number, but old dominion for me. Now, Oh,

1010
00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:57,839
Speaker 4: by the way, total I made fifty two. These two

1011
00:46:57,880 --> 00:47:00,320
Speaker 4: teams are really fast, twenty five to twenty three seconds

1012
00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:03,080
Speaker 4: per play. Yeah, fifty five is key here, So I

1013
00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 4: would wait to see who Western Kentucky plays.

1014
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:06,839
Speaker 2: I just don't know where the market's going to go either,

1015
00:47:06,840 --> 00:47:08,440
Speaker 2: because I'm not sure because like the market will move

1016
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,360
Speaker 2: all these Western Kentucky's play then I get a better number.

1017
00:47:11,719 --> 00:47:13,879
Speaker 2: But like if the if Corley and Reid are out

1018
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:16,719
Speaker 2: and you're down the Helton Sun, then this will go

1019
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:19,400
Speaker 2: to like four four and a half. Well, there's already moved.

1020
00:47:19,640 --> 00:47:21,880
Speaker 4: There's nobody playing for Western Kentucky's defense. It's going to

1021
00:47:21,920 --> 00:47:24,360
Speaker 4: be able to stop Odu's run explosives period.

1022
00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:27,839
Speaker 2: Oh by the way, this was the famous toastery Bowl.

1023
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:29,560
Speaker 2: Have you ever been to a famous toaster?

1024
00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:31,759
Speaker 4: Well, so what it is? No, I haven't because it's

1025
00:47:31,800 --> 00:47:32,360
Speaker 4: over and I have.

1026
00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:35,280
Speaker 2: I've been to one. Actually it was decent chain in Virginia.

1027
00:47:36,200 --> 00:47:39,040
Speaker 2: I went to one in Virginia once. Reason to get

1028
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:41,839
Speaker 2: drunk during breakfast on Sunday? Right, is that what it is?

1029
00:47:42,440 --> 00:47:44,879
Speaker 2: I don't know. I stopped I just stopped in there

1030
00:47:45,719 --> 00:47:47,960
Speaker 2: on a road trip. And eight, and it was decent

1031
00:47:48,040 --> 00:47:50,880
Speaker 2: for a chain. I just remember being like, oh, this

1032
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:52,880
Speaker 2: is decent for a chain. But this was again, this

1033
00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:55,120
Speaker 2: is like pre COVID. So like some of these restaurants

1034
00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:56,799
Speaker 2: after COVID, you know, you cut a lot of costs,

1035
00:47:56,800 --> 00:47:59,480
Speaker 2: are not the same quality. But have you been to one? No?

1036
00:47:59,600 --> 00:48:01,879
Speaker 4: I haven't. It's I mean, it just kind of fell

1037
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:03,239
Speaker 4: in their lap, right, because this is supposed to be

1038
00:48:03,280 --> 00:48:05,319
Speaker 4: in the Bahamas. Where not in the Bahamas is being

1039
00:48:05,320 --> 00:48:08,600
Speaker 4: played in Charlotte. It's in Jerry Richardson Stadium where the Niners,

1040
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:12,400
Speaker 4: the forty nine ers play forty nine ers, the Charlotte

1041
00:48:12,440 --> 00:48:13,120
Speaker 4: forty nine ers.

1042
00:48:13,200 --> 00:48:17,640
Speaker 2: Oh that's in the Charlotte's in the Charlotte Staium. Yes, yeah, wow,

1043
00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:19,880
Speaker 2: I didn't even know. I didn't even note that here. Okay,

1044
00:48:20,440 --> 00:48:24,879
Speaker 2: I'm bis Pogi and I'm a forty nine er. Nothing

1045
00:48:24,920 --> 00:48:28,319
Speaker 2: like the Bahamas Rip Bahamas Bowl for one year. We

1046
00:48:28,440 --> 00:48:30,160
Speaker 2: know there will be wind if it was played there.

1047
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 2: But all right, let's cover our final bowl of this

1048
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:41,040
Speaker 2: part one episode, and it's the Scooters Coffee Frisco Bowl,

1049
00:48:41,320 --> 00:48:46,040
Speaker 2: Frisco Texas between Utsa and Marshall. Okay, there's Scooters Coffee

1050
00:48:46,080 --> 00:48:48,840
Speaker 2: is in Kentucky where I live. If you're new to

1051
00:48:48,880 --> 00:48:51,279
Speaker 2: the show, I did not know this. I've never been

1052
00:48:51,360 --> 00:48:54,239
Speaker 2: to a Scooters coffee. It's a drive through coffee chain.

1053
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:57,800
Speaker 2: They're all over the place, like founded in Nebraska.

1054
00:48:58,040 --> 00:49:00,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're all over here in Arkansas, there's seven brus.

1055
00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:01,640
Speaker 4: You're in Arkansas. But if you go up to Seattle

1056
00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:03,719
Speaker 4: like they do it, it's like a little shack, right

1057
00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:05,279
Speaker 4: do they have them in Lexington? They have a little

1058
00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:06,520
Speaker 4: shack you pull through to get your.

1059
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:09,200
Speaker 2: Coffee and not in Lexington, but there aren't Kentucky. There

1060
00:49:09,200 --> 00:49:11,480
Speaker 2: have been to him Scooter's Coffee. Maybe about to check

1061
00:49:11,520 --> 00:49:13,800
Speaker 2: it out between Utsa and Marshall. Utsa is up to

1062
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:15,560
Speaker 2: twelve and a half point favorite ear when or fifty

1063
00:49:15,600 --> 00:49:18,960
Speaker 2: two and a half. This game will be played nine

1064
00:49:19,160 --> 00:49:23,560
Speaker 2: pm Eastern on ESPN on Tuesday night in Frisco, Texas

1065
00:49:23,920 --> 00:49:29,359
Speaker 2: News here for Utsa. Pretty quiet except DAC defensive player

1066
00:49:29,360 --> 00:49:31,840
Speaker 2: of the Year, big one their edge. Tray More was

1067
00:49:31,880 --> 00:49:33,360
Speaker 2: a stud I think he's gonna go to Texas. I

1068
00:49:33,360 --> 00:49:35,240
Speaker 2: don't know if that's been announced yet.

1069
00:49:34,840 --> 00:49:37,440
Speaker 4: He's visiting Ohio State and Texas.

1070
00:49:37,680 --> 00:49:40,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolute monster off the edge. They will miss him,

1071
00:49:41,000 --> 00:49:44,680
Speaker 2: but everyone else looks like it's gonna go. Marshall some

1072
00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:47,480
Speaker 2: more news and you have your wide receiver Kaylea comes,

1073
00:49:47,960 --> 00:49:51,359
Speaker 2: you're at anchor on the offensive line, Trent Holler both

1074
00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:54,320
Speaker 2: at the portal, and then their starting quarterback Cam Fancher,

1075
00:49:55,080 --> 00:49:59,040
Speaker 2: he hit the portal. I I'm not a big fan

1076
00:49:59,080 --> 00:50:03,120
Speaker 2: of Cam Fancher. They're down to like Cole Pennington, he's

1077
00:50:03,160 --> 00:50:05,960
Speaker 2: not good. I watched some of them this year, just checking.

1078
00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:07,200
Speaker 2: He's just a checkdown artist.

1079
00:50:07,440 --> 00:50:09,920
Speaker 4: Now, Rashina Ali accepted the East West Shrine Bowl in.

1080
00:50:10,160 --> 00:50:13,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, so rashene A Ley that's big. Yeah. As of

1081
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:17,239
Speaker 2: now hasn't been announced, but he could sit out. They're

1082
00:50:17,239 --> 00:50:19,160
Speaker 2: also they're starting safety J. J. Roberts missed the final

1083
00:50:19,239 --> 00:50:21,239
Speaker 2: two games with an injury. They also hired a new

1084
00:50:21,239 --> 00:50:25,800
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator recently. Marshall's a what a disappointing year they had,

1085
00:50:26,120 --> 00:50:29,279
Speaker 2: but they did get the Bowl eligibility. UTSA, I'm sure

1086
00:50:29,320 --> 00:50:32,880
Speaker 2: they had bigger dreams than this, But I think Trailer

1087
00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:36,279
Speaker 2: will have them ready to play here if that's the

1088
00:50:36,280 --> 00:50:39,920
Speaker 2: case against a backup quarterback. And you gotta remember, I

1089
00:50:39,960 --> 00:50:42,839
Speaker 2: think like Utsa's numbers are a bit like they're power

1090
00:50:42,920 --> 00:50:46,000
Speaker 2: rating is a bit deflated because they played without Frank

1091
00:50:46,040 --> 00:50:47,640
Speaker 2: Harris for a couple of games and it was awful,

1092
00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:51,480
Speaker 2: like they lost the Army and et cetera. So I

1093
00:50:51,520 --> 00:50:54,120
Speaker 2: don't really like laying big numbers in bowl games, but

1094
00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:55,880
Speaker 2: this is one that I would consider. I want no

1095
00:50:55,920 --> 00:50:57,359
Speaker 2: part of Marshall. What do you see here?

1096
00:50:57,760 --> 00:50:59,959
Speaker 4: Absolutely, you're laying it on this one, and I don't

1097
00:50:59,960 --> 00:51:02,600
Speaker 4: know when you would let up, like maybe fourteen, because

1098
00:51:02,640 --> 00:51:04,960
Speaker 4: we're getting there. It's going there, you know. I mean,

1099
00:51:05,040 --> 00:51:08,440
Speaker 4: Marshalls without their quarterback, mistake, prone backup, missing left guard,

1100
00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:10,799
Speaker 4: possibly their star offensive player at running back, and they're

1101
00:51:10,840 --> 00:51:12,920
Speaker 4: going to struggle to get points. Their offense is one

1102
00:51:13,000 --> 00:51:15,080
Speaker 4: hundred and twenty seventh in quality drives, one hundred and

1103
00:51:15,120 --> 00:51:17,200
Speaker 4: twenty eighth and finishing drives. I mean, I don't think

1104
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:19,080
Speaker 4: Seth Deggy's gonna be able to turn that around as

1105
00:51:19,080 --> 00:51:21,640
Speaker 4: oc when he gets in. So you're looking at a

1106
00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:24,279
Speaker 4: high powered offense with our roadrunners going up against a

1107
00:51:24,320 --> 00:51:28,160
Speaker 4: thundering herd that has nothing, no juice, no efficiency, no nothing.

1108
00:51:28,280 --> 00:51:31,040
Speaker 4: So I'm not really what's sure. I'm not sure what

1109
00:51:31,200 --> 00:51:34,160
Speaker 4: number it is that you stop buying on utsa now

1110
00:51:34,520 --> 00:51:38,160
Speaker 4: Marshall is near dead last and creating broken tackles that

1111
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:39,960
Speaker 4: it just goes to show you that the offense just

1112
00:51:40,040 --> 00:51:43,279
Speaker 4: has nothing, like they have no elusiveness or anything. And

1113
00:51:43,400 --> 00:51:46,759
Speaker 4: Utsa's defense is seventh and broken tackles allowed, which I

1114
00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:49,520
Speaker 4: was a little bit shocked by. Now, of course, this

1115
00:51:49,600 --> 00:51:52,279
Speaker 4: offense of the road Runners, there's a huge discrepancy in

1116
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:55,640
Speaker 4: Utsa's offensive explosives on the ground against Marshall's defense Marshal's

1117
00:51:55,640 --> 00:51:58,719
Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty ninth and allowing rush explosives. So

1118
00:51:59,280 --> 00:52:02,080
Speaker 4: they can't defend, they can't defend inside zone, they can't

1119
00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:04,840
Speaker 4: defend a lot of things that Frank Harris, Kvorian Barnes

1120
00:52:04,880 --> 00:52:07,360
Speaker 4: and Robert Henry like to do. So UTSA is a

1121
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:11,080
Speaker 4: side I'd just say for safety purposes, maybe fourteen is

1122
00:52:11,120 --> 00:52:13,560
Speaker 4: the last one you're gonna get. But the total, I

1123
00:52:13,560 --> 00:52:16,120
Speaker 4: think is where people could get fooled. Maybe I'll get fooled.

1124
00:52:16,120 --> 00:52:18,880
Speaker 4: I don't know. So we're all handicapping this and saying,

1125
00:52:19,320 --> 00:52:22,000
Speaker 4: how does Marshall score. We're not sure if Marshall's gonna score.

1126
00:52:22,239 --> 00:52:24,600
Speaker 4: Something crazy is going on down here in this Frisco Bowl.

1127
00:52:24,800 --> 00:52:28,359
Speaker 4: There's always a ton of points on this soccer field. Right,

1128
00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:30,960
Speaker 4: there was seventy two points in the Bowl last year,

1129
00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:33,839
Speaker 4: sixty two the year before. In twenty nineteen there were

1130
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:37,000
Speaker 4: ninety two points between ken State and Utah State, and

1131
00:52:37,040 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 4: then in twenty seventeen there was sixty one points. So

1132
00:52:39,680 --> 00:52:43,479
Speaker 4: this total is creeping down. My question is UTSA gonna

1133
00:52:43,480 --> 00:52:46,239
Speaker 4: put up a fifty burger cover this thing by themselves?

1134
00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:49,400
Speaker 4: Could Marshall actually get fourteen up on the board? Something

1135
00:52:49,440 --> 00:52:52,760
Speaker 4: about this Bowl game? There are a ton of points

1136
00:52:52,800 --> 00:52:55,480
Speaker 4: every single year. Can't say if it's I, can't say

1137
00:52:55,480 --> 00:52:58,480
Speaker 4: I it's field, can't say if it's weather. But how's

1138
00:52:58,480 --> 00:53:01,600
Speaker 4: Marshall gonna score? We'll find out? But USA a side

1139
00:53:01,680 --> 00:53:03,640
Speaker 4: and I might let this thing creep all the way

1140
00:53:03,640 --> 00:53:04,840
Speaker 4: down the total on taking over.

1141
00:53:06,520 --> 00:53:09,399
Speaker 2: All? Right, good stuff there, that's the eight balls from

1142
00:53:09,640 --> 00:53:15,360
Speaker 2: Saturday through Tuesday. We will be back next Wednesday for

1143
00:53:15,440 --> 00:53:19,640
Speaker 2: Part two, the following third Tuesday for Part three, and

1144
00:53:19,680 --> 00:53:21,680
Speaker 2: then on Thursday, the twenty eighth for Part four. Then

1145
00:53:21,880 --> 00:53:24,440
Speaker 2: we will be back for the National Championship Review. So

1146
00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:26,359
Speaker 2: also make sure you check out the Group of Five

1147
00:53:26,400 --> 00:53:29,359
Speaker 2: Bowl preview and then our Best Bets Bowl Preview which

1148
00:53:29,400 --> 00:53:32,160
Speaker 2: is already out to give you a high level book

1149
00:53:32,160 --> 00:53:34,000
Speaker 2: before we get out of here. We'll do this on

1150
00:53:34,120 --> 00:53:37,600
Speaker 2: every bowl show. We'll do our fate. Just one favorite

1151
00:53:37,600 --> 00:53:41,200
Speaker 2: bet from the group of bowls that we covered. I

1152
00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:43,560
Speaker 2: will go. I'm gonna go. I'm gonna go against you.

1153
00:53:43,600 --> 00:53:45,160
Speaker 2: But yeah, I think you're gonna look to buy back.

1154
00:53:45,200 --> 00:53:50,200
Speaker 2: But one last time, we're trusting my Ohio Defense Special

1155
00:53:50,239 --> 00:53:53,839
Speaker 2: Teams running dog down to the thirtieon quarterback. Everyone else

1156
00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:56,080
Speaker 2: is playing now. I note they care app States run

1157
00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:58,520
Speaker 2: defense to the bismal. I think they'll be able to

1158
00:53:58,520 --> 00:54:01,480
Speaker 2: just keep that clock grinding and win this game. How

1159
00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:04,240
Speaker 2: they won the MAC Championship with the backup quarterback already,

1160
00:54:04,560 --> 00:54:08,000
Speaker 2: Defense Special teams give you the RedHawks. I think they

1161
00:54:08,000 --> 00:54:09,040
Speaker 2: find a way to win out right.

1162
00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:12,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going to go to New Mexico for the

1163
00:54:12,760 --> 00:54:15,920
Speaker 4: New Mexico Bowl with New Mexico State hosting Fresno State,

1164
00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:18,480
Speaker 4: who is lifeless right now, losing at the end of

1165
00:54:18,520 --> 00:54:21,720
Speaker 4: the year to both New Mexico and San Diego State.

1166
00:54:21,840 --> 00:54:24,319
Speaker 4: Jeff Tedford is no longer the head coach because of

1167
00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:27,359
Speaker 4: medical reasons. Now they've got a position coach that's going

1168
00:54:27,440 --> 00:54:31,320
Speaker 4: to be in charge of this game. No quarterback depth whatsoever.

1169
00:54:31,360 --> 00:54:34,880
Speaker 4: If Mikey King gets hurt and Fresno has no ability

1170
00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:37,359
Speaker 4: to stop the run schemes at New Mexico State. Once

1171
00:54:37,400 --> 00:54:40,000
Speaker 4: to run with Diego Pavia. I don't think there's any

1172
00:54:40,040 --> 00:54:42,840
Speaker 4: point that I would buy back on Fresno State. So

1173
00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:46,240
Speaker 4: let's go one more time with our guy, Diego Pavia

1174
00:54:46,480 --> 00:54:48,439
Speaker 4: and get to the window with him.

1175
00:54:48,800 --> 00:54:51,399
Speaker 2: All right, that'll do it for the College Football Bowl

1176
00:54:51,440 --> 00:54:56,040
Speaker 2: betting Preview Part one. Make sure that you go grab

1177
00:54:56,080 --> 00:55:01,239
Speaker 2: yourself a coffee from Scooters and then hit up some

1178
00:55:01,320 --> 00:55:05,240
Speaker 2: brunch at famous Toastery. And if you get the side

1179
00:55:05,239 --> 00:55:08,480
Speaker 2: of yeah, get well, that's late night. You gotta get

1180
00:55:08,480 --> 00:55:10,120
Speaker 2: to the side of avocados from Mexico.

1181
00:55:10,600 --> 00:55:12,640
Speaker 3: I will goggles from Mexico.

1182
00:55:12,719 --> 00:55:16,040
Speaker 2: Maybe hit the I let a casino, get some bets in,

1183
00:55:16,520 --> 00:55:19,440
Speaker 2: then end up dancing at night with Gronk. But good

1184
00:55:19,480 --> 00:55:21,759
Speaker 2: luck on all your wagers, good luck on all of

1185
00:55:21,760 --> 00:55:24,680
Speaker 2: your bullpools. Let's have another big Bowl season. Thanks as

1186
00:55:24,719 --> 00:55:26,400
Speaker 2: always for listening, Thanks Colin for joining me. Thanks to

1187
00:55:26,400 --> 00:55:28,799
Speaker 2: our prusers, Thanks, of course, most importantly to all of you.

1188
00:55:28,840 --> 00:55:30,799
Speaker 2: Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe, subscribe to our friend

1189
00:55:30,880 --> 00:55:33,480
Speaker 2: on Enemy, leave a view a five star review. Thanks

1190
00:55:33,480 --> 00:55:36,840
Speaker 2: for tuning in and we will see you for part two. Cheers.

1191
00:55:37,239 --> 00:55:37,920
Speaker 4: Peace Out.

1192
00:55:49,520 --> 00:55:54,080
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1193
00:55:54,080 --> 00:55:56,880
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1194
00:55:56,920 --> 00:55:59,960
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler

1195
00:56:00,719 --> 00:56:02,240
Speaker 3: Avocados from Mexico