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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how Ari, It's a Monday, a very unique

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Speaker 1: Monday for the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: We're here every morning on Bettingpros dot Com, across all

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Speaker 1: your favorite podcast platforms, and now on YouTube with video

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice each and every morning. All Right,

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Speaker 1: So i went two and two yesterday, but I'm in

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Speaker 1: a good mood. I'm in a good mood because last

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Speaker 1: night I ended or two nights ago now, I ended

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Speaker 1: by winning two bets, two bets that I made that

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Speaker 1: helped to save the bankroll even though we went one

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Speaker 1: and four. Officially, I got a couple of in game

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Speaker 1: bets that I like, two bets in a Texas game

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Speaker 1: that I liked and that I was able to cash.

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Speaker 2: So that was great.

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Speaker 1: And then last night I jumped on with you guys

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Speaker 1: on the Discord channel got me involved in this first

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Speaker 1: half under with Texas Tech in Arkansas sixty five. I

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Speaker 1: played the under sixty five sixty four. I don't know

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Speaker 1: how it did no scoring. It was thirty three thirty

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Speaker 1: one for like a minute and ten seconds at the

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Speaker 1: end of the first half. Nobody scored, so the underhit,

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Speaker 1: so I.

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Speaker 2: Thought I was feeling good. I thought my luck might

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Speaker 2: have been changing a little bit.

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Speaker 1: So I decided to take the winnings from that and

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Speaker 1: roll that over to Oral Roberts money line at plus

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Speaker 1: three forty five.

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Speaker 2: That cashed. So that was nice.

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Speaker 1: I mean when you end a day like that, so

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Speaker 1: two and two for officially on the day of juice.

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Speaker 1: But I put it in the discord channel and I

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Speaker 1: put it on Twitter that I was doing that that hey,

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Speaker 1: I was joining in on the first half and then

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Speaker 1: joining in on the Oral Roberts rush at plus you know,

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Speaker 1: three forty five, and there were better numbers out there,

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Speaker 1: but I got it, you know, a little bit before

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Speaker 1: kit tip off.

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Speaker 2: And so a win over Florida for Oral.

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Speaker 1: Roberts in the fifteen seeded Oral Roberts Golden Eagles are.

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Speaker 2: Headed to the sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 1: And that's a nice, nice plus three forty five cash.

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Speaker 1: So I mean it wasn't large, I well, it turned

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Speaker 1: into being. No, it was a quarter unit that I

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Speaker 1: bet that I won. I took the money that I

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Speaker 1: won from the first half under and bet that on

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Speaker 1: Oral Roberts at plus three forty five.

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Speaker 2: So not bad.

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Speaker 1: Right, you get that, you get the two and two

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Speaker 1: mark from yesterday.

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Speaker 2: Illinois just I mean, I talked about it last night.

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Speaker 1: I said Illinois might be a problem, and I said

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Speaker 1: Illinois could be a problem because of who they were playing.

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Speaker 1: I thought they win the game between four and eight points,

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Speaker 1: and don't think they lose a game.

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Speaker 2: By double digits.

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Speaker 1: Basically Poter Mosar, I mean, my goodness, gracious, Mike Creighton, dude,

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Speaker 1: all right, somebody back up a Brinks truck and go

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Speaker 1: hire that dude. I mean, my goodness, what a coach

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Speaker 1: he is. Great, great job again into the Sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 1: They beat Illinois, La Chicago and Sister Jean. They're still

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Speaker 1: in the dance and they're still doing big things. Baylor

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Speaker 1: did what Baylor was supposed to do. Baylor won and

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Speaker 1: Baylor covered. That was the right play, just Baylor minus

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Speaker 1: the points. But Hindsight's twenty twenty. We got the over

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Speaker 1: for Oral Roberts in Florida. Why I was involved with

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Speaker 1: the with or Roberts on the money line was because

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Speaker 1: I had bet the over. So I was already watching

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Speaker 1: the game, so I was like, all right, let's just

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Speaker 1: see if or Roberts can pull off the upset, so

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Speaker 1: I bet the money line on that, and that went

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Speaker 1: up hitting for US. Houston wins but does not cover

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Speaker 1: hell of a comeback for Houston Mass eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: They win by three, so they advance to the Sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 1: Rutgers probably should have beaten them in that game. But

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Speaker 1: Big ten has not been great here. Big Ten's been

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Speaker 1: PAC twelve has been amazing, I mean absolutely amazing so far.

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Speaker 1: And we got our only hockey bet right because I'm

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Speaker 1: a hockey guy, Florida Tampa Bay over six goals.

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Speaker 2: Okay, So here's how today is gonna go.

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Speaker 1: All Right, We've got eight games today on a Monday,

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Speaker 1: I will have live betting going on, but I'm going

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Speaker 1: to do a radio show at the same time the

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Speaker 1: games are being played. Okay, So I'm gonna bet four

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Speaker 1: games here in college basketball during the day. There's a

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Speaker 1: good chance I'm gonna add, depending on how the bets

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Speaker 1: are going. If we're having a horrible day, I won't add.

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Speaker 1: For having in a decent day, I will look to add,

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Speaker 1: and I'll probably add hockey, probably a hockey.

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Speaker 2: Or player, maybe an NBA play.

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Speaker 1: But really, it's so awkward to have a Monday, not

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Speaker 1: a I mean normally this is this is not a

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Speaker 1: tournament day for us normally on a Monday, so it's

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Speaker 1: a little weird. So I'll probably add something with hockey,

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Speaker 1: but just four plays half a unit, and today is Monday.

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Speaker 1: That means we have the Discord channel play, right, So

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Speaker 1: I've got three plays on my own plus the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel play that we'll get to here in just one second,

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Speaker 1: as voted on by you guys in the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: If you need a link to the Discord channel below

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Speaker 1: me here on YouTube, there's a Discord link. You can

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Speaker 1: go ahead and hit that and be entered. B a

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Speaker 1: part of the Discord community, which has been really special

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Speaker 1: and really fun. And I talked about this a bit

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Speaker 1: on Twitter last night.

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Speaker 2: You guys.

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Speaker 1: The dms you guys were sending me were awesome. I mean,

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Speaker 1: if anybody needs like a hype machine, you guys are

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Speaker 1: like my hype machine, my hype coach, you know, the

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Speaker 1: guy in the sideline that pumps up everybody. You know.

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Speaker 1: I maybe having a bad day, a bad week, whatever,

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Speaker 1: but you guys are like, just keep firing, man, We're

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Speaker 1: with you. Don't worry about it.

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Speaker 2: It's just it's really nice.

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Speaker 1: It's cool. You know, this roller coaster ride I got,

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Speaker 1: you know, of course I got the DMS I got.

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Speaker 1: I got one dude coming after me over my bracket.

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Speaker 1: I was like, really, dude, like you you're mad at

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Speaker 1: me about my bracket because my bracket was horrible. My

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Speaker 1: bracket's awful. Okay, yeah, I'll own that. Three of my

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Speaker 1: four final four teams are gone. Ohio State is gone,

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Speaker 1: Illinois and my champion is gone. Okay, Texas is gone.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, my.

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Speaker 1: Brackets more horrible. But that's the beauty of gambling, right,

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Speaker 1: your brackets. I'm not locked in. I can go back

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Speaker 1: and I can change up, and I can bet. If

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Speaker 1: I'm going picking against a team and I'm wrong, I

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Speaker 1: they can go bet on that team.

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Speaker 2: Like that's just the way this works.

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Speaker 1: So I don't understand that type of flex when you're

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Speaker 1: coming after me about my bracket.

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Speaker 2: But okay, fine, you know it is what it is.

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Speaker 1: Let's remind you that bet MGM offer is out there

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Speaker 1: right now for one hundred and sixty dollars in free

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Speaker 1: bets in the second round. It's twenty dollars per game.

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Speaker 1: You bet, you get twenty bucks on a bet down,

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Speaker 1: you get twenty bucks for free to bet on every

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Speaker 1: game that day. Very cool from bet MGM. With that

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Speaker 1: promo code juice one hundred, twenty dollars bet on any game,

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Speaker 1: you get a free twenty dollars bet on every game

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Speaker 1: that day. Okay, it's really really cool, very fun. One

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Speaker 1: bet of twenty dollars on any game and you get

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Speaker 1: a free twenty buck bet on every game that day.

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Speaker 1: All right, today, so today's second round. Founday of the

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Speaker 1: second round, you bet one twenty bucks. They can give

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Speaker 1: you one hundred and sixty bucks in free bets at

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Speaker 1: bet mgm when you use the promo code juice one

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Speaker 1: hundred when you sign them for a new account with

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Speaker 1: bet mgm.

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Speaker 2: Okay, let's get to the picks.

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Speaker 1: In the plays here today, and let's start with the

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Speaker 1: Creighton Blue Jays. You guys are probably going, oh, matt

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Speaker 1: Ton Creighton.

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Speaker 2: No, I'm actually not.

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Speaker 1: I've seen quite a few people on Ohio plus five

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Speaker 1: plus five and a half, and I think that's probably

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Speaker 1: a good bet.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: I have a hard time betting against the Creaton Blue Jays.

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Speaker 1: I have bet against Creighton in the tournament. I have

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Speaker 1: a tough time, but if you want to tell me

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Speaker 1: Ohio wins this game. I've got two radio friends of

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Speaker 1: mine who are Ohio graduates who I'm gonna hear from.

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Speaker 1: I'm not a creaton graduate, but I'm known as a

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Speaker 1: creating guy. So I am not going to bet aside

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Speaker 1: in this game. But Ohio plus five and a half,

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Speaker 1: I don't think it's a bad play. I don't, okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna fight to you. I think that's probably

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Speaker 1: a good play to make. However, I was gonna play

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Speaker 1: the over in this game, and then I started to

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Speaker 1: go to dig a little deeper in the analytics. So

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Speaker 1: Ohio is thirteen and ten to the over and Creighton

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Speaker 1: is thirteen fifteen and.

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Speaker 2: One to the over.

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Speaker 1: The Jay's having covered in their last three games, all

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Speaker 1: tournament games, the last two games for Ohio. In the

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Speaker 1: last four out of five for Ohio, they haven't covered. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so the number is one forty nine right now for

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Speaker 1: this shop around here, depending on you're you and you're

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Speaker 1: hearing this, but numbers one forty nine. The one thing

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Speaker 1: that really jumped out. I went and look at this.

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Speaker 1: So for the season, the Creighton Blue Jays are averaging

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Speaker 1: seventy one point five possessions per game. But over their

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Speaker 1: last three games, the Creighton Blue Jays are averaging sixty

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Speaker 1: five point seven possessions per game. That is six nearly

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Speaker 1: seven possessions fewer than what they normally were doing. That

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Speaker 1: number for the Creighton Blue Jays right now puts them

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Speaker 1: in a category that's one of the slowest teams in

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Speaker 1: the entire country right now. I mean we're talking about

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Speaker 1: in the three twenties for possessions per game. They are

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Speaker 1: playing at a stupid slow pace. And even in their

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Speaker 1: last game it was sixty three.

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Speaker 2: Now, that had a lot to do with UCSB.

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Speaker 1: Okay, but it all can't be usb when look at

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Speaker 1: the teams the Jas have played. Georgetown likes to shoot

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Speaker 1: and run. They got killed in that game. Connecticut up

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Speaker 1: and down team that wants to shoot and run two two.

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Speaker 1: The Unders came in by thirteen, twenty two and a

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Speaker 1: half and twenty eight and a half over the last

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Speaker 1: three games involving the Creyton Blue Jays. The game against

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Speaker 1: Virginia typical Virginia basketball, one hundred and thirty and a half.

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Speaker 2: Right, I'm gonna go a half unit here.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet the under in this game, and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna expect the Jays to be tight. I'm gonna expect

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Speaker 1: neither team to bomb threes. That's my one fear. Because

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Speaker 1: Ohio can get up and down, they can run, but

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Speaker 1: a lot of the games in which they went over

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Speaker 1: it wasn't so much them. Although they scored ninety on Akram,

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Speaker 1: that's the team that plays no defense whatsoever. They scored

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Speaker 1: I mean the average, I mean points per game for Ohio.

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Speaker 1: They're not the most explosive team. Offensively, they're decents, but

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Speaker 1: their nonine team that's gonna like blow you off the court.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the seventy nine point nine points per game

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Speaker 1: for Ohio was seventeenth best in the country, but a

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Speaker 1: lot of those numbers came in the MAC and earlier

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Speaker 1: in the year against teams that don't play defense. The

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Speaker 1: Jays scored seventy six point five points per game. Creyton's defense,

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Speaker 1: though ninety fifth in the country, it's highly under rage.

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Speaker 1: Sixty eight point one points per game. Ohio gives up

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Speaker 1: seventy two point seven. But the Jays haven't been shooting

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Speaker 1: all that well from behind the arc, and I think

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Speaker 1: in a tournament game, I think They're going to be tight.

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Speaker 1: Considering how many big seeds have lost, I think this

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Speaker 1: is a slower game. I'm going under one forty nine

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Speaker 1: here for the Creighton Blue Jays and Ohio in the

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Speaker 1: round of thirty two. If the Jays win, it's their

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Speaker 1: first ever trip to the Sweet sixteen. Okay, So that's

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Speaker 1: a pretty big game today for the Creaton Blue Jays,

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Speaker 1: who are laying five to five and a half against Ohio. Okay,

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Speaker 1: second play LSU and Michigan. So I got this number

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Speaker 1: at five and a half. Okay, this number is coming down.

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Speaker 1: At the time of taping, William Hill is still at

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Speaker 1: five and a half for LSU and Michigan.

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Speaker 2: The Livers injury is significant. Okay.

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Speaker 1: Michigan is seventeen and eight to the number. The public

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Speaker 1: is going to be all over Michigan today, Okay, number

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Speaker 1: one seeded Michigan, and I mean a lot of people

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Speaker 1: have them in their brackets still to win it all.

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Speaker 1: So their brackets were still alive. I really like Michigan.

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Speaker 1: I really like Michigan a lot. They're one of our teams.

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Speaker 1: But without Livers, they haven't covered in three of their

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Speaker 1: last four games. Didn't cover against Texas Southern as twenty

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Speaker 1: four and a half point favorites. They won by sixteen.

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Speaker 1: That's surprising and worrisome. And then they lost to Ohio

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Speaker 1: State by one as five point dogs, sorry, five point

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Speaker 1: favorites in the Big Ten semi finals. You know, this

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Speaker 1: is a team that might be running out of gas.

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Speaker 1: I didn't like when Juwan Howard got ejected in the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten tournament. I thought that kind of symbol that

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Speaker 1: was a sign of something that didn't really make me

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Speaker 1: feel all that great. And LSU has just been phenomenal.

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Speaker 1: I mean, LSU's just been simply absolutely tremendous. And in

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Speaker 1: their first game against Saint Bonametcher two point favorites win

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Speaker 1: by fifteen. They covered against Alabama in the SEC championship

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Speaker 1: game by six point dogs.

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Speaker 2: They lost by one.

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Speaker 1: They beat Arkansas as three and a half point favorites

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Speaker 1: one by seven in the tournament. Arkansas is a team

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Speaker 1: now in the sweet sixteen. We've already seen one one

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Speaker 1: seed go down. I think LSU can win this game outright,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna take the five and a half points here.

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Speaker 1: I took five and a half for LSU in Michigan,

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Speaker 1: and let's see about these guards.

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Speaker 2: Let's see Watford.

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Speaker 1: Let's see them if they can handle the inside power

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Speaker 1: of Michigan. If the guards for LSU can simply outplay Michigan.

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Speaker 1: LSU's got a three headed monster that could take them

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Speaker 1: to the Final four. They've got that type of talent,

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Speaker 1: they really do. And Will Wade's a really good coach.

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Speaker 1: This is a bad matchup for Michigan without Livers. I

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Speaker 1: think this is tough for them. Michigan might win, but

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Speaker 1: I think this is a barn Burner game, one possession game.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking LSU plus five and a half coming up

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Speaker 1: against Michigan half a unit. Third play of the day.

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Speaker 1: This play has been talked about for a long time.

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Speaker 1: Number opened up Iowa minus five. It is still Iowa

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Speaker 1: minus five. The Oregon Ducks did not play their first game.

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Speaker 1: Why because VCU had COVID issues. So Oregon has not

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Speaker 1: played yet in the NAA tournament. That is concerning to me. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but I made this bet. As soon as the line

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Speaker 1: came out. I made this bet. The line hasn't moved

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Speaker 1: like it's just it's just stapled, it's painted, it's it's

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Speaker 1: just there. Five. It's been five in Vegas pretty much,

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Speaker 1: you know, pretty much, it's been there the only.

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Speaker 2: Move in Vegas.

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Speaker 1: There were some books that opened up at three and

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Speaker 1: a half and it's moved to five. I think you

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Speaker 1: might get a five and a half here or there

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Speaker 1: when it comes to Oregon against Iowa. But this is

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Speaker 1: Dana Altman against Fran McCaffrey. This is Oregon's offense against

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Speaker 1: Iowa's offense.

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Speaker 2: I could see an.

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Speaker 1: Overplay here and I talked, I was kind of looking

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Speaker 1: at myself with one forty seven and a half. I

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Speaker 1: was thinking, I was thinking, I was thinking, but the

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Speaker 1: last seven games have gone over for Oregon. I and

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Speaker 1: you go, man, it's Iowa's Iowa, It's Iowa. But Dana Altman,

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Speaker 1: I don't think Dana Allman's gonna want to run with Iowa,

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Speaker 1: and Iowa has two of the last three games have

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Speaker 1: gone under. Now, the totals have been one fifty four

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Speaker 1: and one forty three against Wisconsin and Illinois. But in

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Speaker 1: the total here is one forty eight for Oregon in Iowa.

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Speaker 2: I'm just.

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Speaker 1: I'll probably personally be on the over. I'll probably have

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Speaker 1: a play on this myself on the over in this game.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna take the points and I'm gonna take Oregon.

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Speaker 1: And if Oregon wins this game outright, it will not

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Speaker 1: surprise me in the least. I've been saying I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: always gonna fade Iowa in the second round, and here

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Speaker 1: I go to fade Iowa in the second round. Why

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Speaker 1: because Oregon's really good. The PAC twelve has been phenomenal,

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Speaker 1: I mean just incredible, and I think I go into

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Speaker 1: the tournament I thought Oregon was the best team in

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Speaker 1: the PAC twelve. So I mean Iowa has not covered.

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Speaker 1: In the last four games, both against Wisconsin, Illinois and

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Speaker 1: Grand Canyon, they have not covered. They're laying five here

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Speaker 1: against Oregon, one possession game Iowa might win. I think

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Speaker 1: Oregon keeps it close. I'm taking Oregon plus the five

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Speaker 1: here today for the third play and the final play

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Speaker 1: of the day on the podcast, at least the Discord bet.

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Speaker 1: You guys voted, you guys on the Discord voted.

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Speaker 2: I gave you three different options.

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Speaker 1: Colorado money line was one option, Alabama minus five was

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Speaker 1: one option, and I can't remember the third option.

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Speaker 2: It was a five point dog, which I can't oh.

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Speaker 1: Abilien Christian that was the other one for the dog

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Speaker 1: bet to go up against UCLA, and there was some

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Speaker 1: dispute over which side to be on UCLA or a

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Speaker 1: Belien Christian. A lot of people are on UCLA today, Okay,

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Speaker 1: there are a lot of people who are going to

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Speaker 1: a mound UCLA, So you guys couldn't determine it. So

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Speaker 1: those were the three options for the discord bet, and

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Speaker 1: you guys all voted overwhelmingly to ride the Crimson tie today.

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Speaker 1: And I don't hate this play would have been one

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Speaker 1: of my own if I had made it against Maryland.

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Speaker 1: The line opened up a three and a half here

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Speaker 1: in Vegas. It's been bet up quickly to five. It's

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Speaker 1: been pretty stagnant at five for a while here. But

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Speaker 1: I like Alabama's matchups here. I like Alabama's defense here.

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Speaker 1: This is the one thing with Maryland in their last

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Speaker 1: game where if you look at the way Maryland was

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Speaker 1: able to play defensively, they were just a real matchup nightmare.

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Speaker 2: And we faded Maryland.

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Speaker 1: If you remember, in the last game, we ferried that

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Speaker 1: I had Yukon and Yukon really had a tough time

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Speaker 1: with Maryland's overall defense. In Connecticut, it's a team is

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Speaker 1: gonna get out on the perimeter and really guard you

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Speaker 1: and take away the three and be tough and physical

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Speaker 1: on the glass. That is what you're going to see

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Speaker 1: out of Alabama defensively. Just tremendous, great offense, great leadership.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they are one of the best teams in

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Speaker 1: the country. They have been one of the best teams

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Speaker 1: in the country all year. And you guys laid five

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Speaker 1: with Alabama up against Maryland today for this discord bet,

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Speaker 1: which is two and two historically.

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Speaker 2: Speaking on the daily chew Okay.

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Speaker 1: Four plays for US under one forty nine for creating

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Speaker 1: in Ohio LSU plus five and a half against Michigan,

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Speaker 1: Oregon plus five against Iowa, and Alabama minus five up

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Speaker 1: against Maryland, or the four plays.

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Speaker 2: Today all for a half of units. My name is

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Speaker 2: Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt's

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Speaker 1: same name in the discord channel because I will most

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Speaker 1: likely have something else a hockey bet or something going

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Speaker 1: spending how the day goes. But I only have three

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Speaker 1: bets going, so we don't leave a half a unit hanging.

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Speaker 1: I'll probably have a half a unit in play coming

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Speaker 1: up here tonight, depending on how the day goes with

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Speaker 1: the two units my three in the discord one Bet,

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Speaker 1: let's see how things go for the final second round day,

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Speaker 1: the fourth day of the dance technically fifth day of

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Speaker 1: the Dance.

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Speaker 2: Coming up here today on a Monday, It's the Deal

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast, brought to you by bet MGM every morning

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Speaker 1: here on bettingpros dot com