1 00:00:01,720 --> 00:00:04,640 Speaker 1: I see the Tucker Carlson and Senator Ted Cruz interview. 2 00:00:04,680 --> 00:00:06,280 Speaker 2: It seems like this issue on whether or not the 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 2: United States should strike is kind of dividing a lot 4 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:13,160 Speaker 2: of your supporters. No, my supporters for me, My supporters 5 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 2: are America first. They make America great again. My supporters 6 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 2: don't want to see around have a nuclear weapon. Tucker's 7 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:21,960 Speaker 2: a nice guy. He called and apologized the other day. 8 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:24,120 Speaker 2: Ted Cruz is a nice guy. I mean, he's been 9 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:25,160 Speaker 2: with me for a whole time. 10 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 3: But very simple. 11 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 2: If they think that it's okay for Iran to have 12 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 2: a nuclear weapon, and then they should oppose me. But 13 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 2: nobody thinks it's okay. 14 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 1: You're listening to the forty seven Morning Update with Ben ferguson. 15 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:40,840 Speaker 3: Good Friday morning. It's the forty seven Morning Update. Nice 16 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 3: to have you with us, and we've got two big 17 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 3: stories for you this morning. First up, Donald Trump giving 18 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:50,480 Speaker 3: diplomacy more time when it comes to Iran, as there's 19 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 3: major meetings in Geneva directly with European countries and Iran. Also, 20 00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 3: the former leadership of Iran's Sun telling the people in 21 00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 3: Iran it is time for you to rise up and 22 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 3: topple the current regime. Is there a real chance that 23 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:12,839 Speaker 3: Iran's leadership could collapse? We'll explain that for you as well. 24 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 3: It's the forty seven Morning Update and it starts right now. 25 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:19,559 Speaker 3: Story Number one major news coming out of the White House, 26 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:22,039 Speaker 3: and that is that Donald Trump is now saying that 27 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 3: he may take up to two weeks to side whether 28 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 3: he is going to hit the main site of Iran's 29 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:32,840 Speaker 3: nuclear program. Now what does this mean, Well, multiple different things. 30 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 3: Number One, it's shifting towards diplomacy. According to the Washington Post, 31 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 3: has temporarily stepped back from immediate military action, allowing up 32 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 3: to two weeks to exploit a new opportunity for diplomacy 33 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 3: ahead of the planned talks in Geneva with European foreign 34 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 3: ministers and Iran's foreign minister. That is happening, by the 35 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:55,560 Speaker 3: way today. One of the reasons why the President said, okay, 36 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 3: I can maybe wait another twenty four forty eight hours, 37 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 3: see if you guys can talk. So sends into Iran's leadership. Now, 38 00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 3: these European led negotiations could be significant. The Financial Times 39 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 3: right now reporting the European powers, including the UK, France 40 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:17,239 Speaker 3: and Germany. We'll meet with the Iranian officials in Geneva. 41 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 3: This is the first quote formal diplomatic engagement since Israel's strike, 42 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:28,320 Speaker 3: and Trump is giving diplomacy this window before deciding. Now, 43 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 3: there are some that are criticizing Donald Trump in the 44 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 3: media on the left, saying, oh, he's lying, he's you know, 45 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 3: he was telling the people who ran that they must 46 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:38,120 Speaker 3: leave now, and now he's backing down. He's being a 47 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:42,520 Speaker 3: ws No, he's being responsible president that is allowing for 48 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 3: negotiations while also having pressure on them to hurry up 49 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 3: and get a deal done. You have to remember that 50 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 3: Donald Trump gave them sixty days referring to Iran to 51 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:55,919 Speaker 3: get a deal done, and they didn't. In what happened 52 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:59,519 Speaker 3: on day sixty one, their site started to be attacked 53 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,800 Speaker 3: when the Wall Street journal is also noting that Trump's 54 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:06,239 Speaker 3: two week deadline is a strategic delay aiming to compel 55 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 3: Rand towards negotiations or collapse under mounting global pressure. Now, 56 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 3: this timeframe also shifts immediate responsibility to Israel. That is 57 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:18,960 Speaker 3: something that Israel is more than happy to have because 58 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:21,960 Speaker 3: it's clear that their work and hitting certain targets they 59 00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:25,080 Speaker 3: believe is not done yet. And this also reflects Donald 60 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 3: Trump's campaign promise to avoid US war commitments. Now, the 61 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 3: White House signals are also very clear. At this hour. 62 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 3: The AP is confirming the White House via the pre 63 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 3: Secretary Caroline Levitt framing this two week period as driven 64 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 3: by quote a substantial chance of negotiations and Geneva. Trump 65 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 3: emphasized he's always interested in a diplomatic solution while maintaining 66 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 3: military strength as a backup. Now, why is this a 67 00:03:56,560 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 3: positive development? Is the question that many of you may 68 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 3: be asking. Well, it's diplomacy over force. That is something 69 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 3: Donald Trump's been in favor of the entire time he's 70 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:09,560 Speaker 3: been in office, and the paws marks they move away 71 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 3: from immediate military escalation, something we were expecting honestly over 72 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:16,320 Speaker 3: the last twenty four to forty eight hours, and it 73 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 3: signals Trump's openness to diplomatic engagement, especially through the European mediation, 74 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 3: where America is going to be waiting by the phone 75 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:28,800 Speaker 3: but not actually involved in it. We also know there's 76 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 3: no immediate US strike at least at this moment. Military 77 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:36,359 Speaker 3: options we have been told have been laid out and 78 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:40,240 Speaker 3: are on the table, but there's no authorization for immediate 79 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 3: action from Donald Trump. That does a break from prior 80 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 3: posturing and also media reports. And then there's the global 81 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:54,280 Speaker 3: coordination President Trump working with our allies in Europe. This 82 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:59,919 Speaker 3: move is synchronizing US policy with active European diplomatic efforts 83 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 3: directly with a RAN's leadership, and it's reinforcing a more 84 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:08,800 Speaker 3: unified and multilateral approach. Again, it's clear that Donald Trump 85 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 3: wants to avoid war. The bottom line is this. Donald 86 00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:16,919 Speaker 3: Trump's announcement of a two week decision window reflects a 87 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,599 Speaker 3: major pivot. It's a pivot from what we thought was 88 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 3: going to be in an immediate strike to diplomacy, providing 89 00:05:25,839 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 3: breathing room for these ongoing talks in Geneva. It also 90 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:35,279 Speaker 3: demonstrates a strategic recalibration by the Trump team from brinksmanship 91 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:39,559 Speaker 3: to negotiations, and without that brinksmanship and without that threat 92 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:42,160 Speaker 3: of a real attack in the next twelve or twenty 93 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 3: four hours from Donald Trump, it is bringing a RAND 94 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 3: to the table quickly, and it also lines the US 95 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 3: with international efforts to de escalate the tensions over the issue, 96 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:57,360 Speaker 3: and it allows for breathing room for Israel to continue 97 00:05:57,400 --> 00:06:00,600 Speaker 3: to do what they need to do to protect their country. 98 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 3: So if you take a step back and you look 99 00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 3: at what's happened over the last twenty four hours. This 100 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 3: is good news for America and our interests. I think 101 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 3: at the end of the day, many Americans don't want 102 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 3: to be involved in an attack on Iran. But there's 103 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:20,840 Speaker 3: also overwhelming support in new polling for making sure that 104 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 3: Iran never gets a nuclear weapon. And the only person 105 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 3: that can stop Iran from getting that nuclear weapon is 106 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 3: clearly the United States of America with our bunker busting bombs. 107 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 3: Now there's also one other person that can admit, defeat, 108 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 3: and stop all of this insanity that is Iran. And 109 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 3: that's the hope in these meetings is that diplomacy will 110 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 3: seem very real to them and also a real option 111 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 3: to get off this path to well chaos and destruction. 112 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:53,440 Speaker 1: Now story number two. 113 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 3: The exiled Crown Prince is now saying the Islamic Republic 114 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 3: is collapsing as we speak in Iran. The exile Crown 115 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,960 Speaker 3: Prince of Iran and son of the last Persian shaw 116 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:09,479 Speaker 3: urged Iranians on Tuesday to prepare for the impeding fall 117 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:13,800 Speaker 3: of the Supreme Leader and the Islamic Republic as the 118 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 3: country struggles to fight off attacks from Israel, saying this 119 00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 3: the Islamic Republic has reached its end and is in 120 00:07:21,040 --> 00:07:24,920 Speaker 3: the process of collapsing. The Supreme Leader is like a 121 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 3: frightened rat. He has gone into hiding underground and has 122 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 3: lost control of the situation. What has begun is irreversible. 123 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 3: The future is bright and together we will pass through 124 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:39,880 Speaker 3: this sharp turn in history. Now, the military conflict between 125 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 3: Iran and Israel stretched into its sixth day, with little 126 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 3: signs of slowing down, as Israel is continuing to hammer 127 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:51,720 Speaker 3: Tehran's nuclear pursuits. Now, the former shaw of Iran sun 128 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:54,200 Speaker 3: and he knows a lot about when your time's up. 129 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:58,160 Speaker 3: They ruled Iran from nineteen twenty five to nineteen seventy nine. 130 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:01,680 Speaker 3: That's when it was overthrown in the Islamic Revolution. That 131 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 3: is when the around hostage crisis also happened when they 132 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 3: took American hostages in our embassy. And he went on 133 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 3: to social media in English and Farsi and directed the 134 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 3: messages to his fellow countrymen and encouraged a full out uprising, 135 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 3: saying this now is the time to rise, the time 136 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:24,160 Speaker 3: to reclaim Iran. Let us all come forward and bring 137 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 3: about the end of this regime. He also advised that 138 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 3: there is a plan to establish a democratic government in 139 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:32,520 Speaker 3: Iran within one hundred days of the collapse of the 140 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 3: Islamic Republic. He also urged military, law enforcement, security forces, 141 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 3: and state employees to join the effort to topple the 142 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 3: government under the leadership that is currently there in Iran, 143 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 3: saying this, do not stand against the Iranian people for 144 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 3: the sake of a regime whose fall has begun and 145 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:58,440 Speaker 3: is inevitable. Do not sacrifice yourselves for a decaying regime. 146 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:02,199 Speaker 3: By standing with the peace, you can save your lives, 147 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 3: play an historic role in the transformation of the Islamic Republic, 148 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 3: and take part in building the future of Iran. Now 149 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 3: you hear this and is it real? There's a chance 150 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:15,800 Speaker 3: that all of it could come cut tumbling down around 151 00:09:15,800 --> 00:09:19,160 Speaker 3: the leadership in Iran. Yes. Why because we know that 152 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:22,840 Speaker 3: the leader of Iran is in hiding. We also know 153 00:09:22,920 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 3: that millions of people in Iran fled Tehran when Donald 154 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 3: Trump said you need to leave. Now another example of 155 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 3: just how fragile the current regime may be. And finally, 156 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 3: a lot of the people that were afraid of the 157 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:41,600 Speaker 3: regime may realize they're not as powerful as they thought, 158 00:09:41,960 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 3: especially knowing the air superiority was toppled in a matter 159 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:50,960 Speaker 3: of hours by Israel, and Israel can do basically whatever 160 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:54,560 Speaker 3: they want to do from the skies right now. So yes, 161 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:58,680 Speaker 3: there's a lot of reasons to give diplomacy and other 162 00:09:58,760 --> 00:10:02,320 Speaker 3: things like this few more days before the present makes 163 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:06,560 Speaker 3: a decision, and that clearly is good for all Americans 164 00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:08,080 Speaker 3: and also the Middle East. 165 00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:10,880 Speaker 1: Thank you for listening to the forty seven Morning Update 166 00:10:11,040 --> 00:10:15,120 Speaker 1: with Ben Ferguson. Please make sure you hit subscribe wherever 167 00:10:15,160 --> 00:10:18,200 Speaker 1: you're listening to this podcast right now and for more 168 00:10:18,240 --> 00:10:22,000 Speaker 1: in depth news, also subscribe to the Ben Ferguson podcast 169 00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 1: and we will see you back here tomorrow