1
00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,920
Speaker 1: Well, hello there, friendos. It's Chris Welsh and welcome back

2
00:00:03,920 --> 00:00:09,440
Speaker 1: to Fantasy Pros MLB. This week it's positive vibes only.

3
00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:11,920
Speaker 1: We're in the buying mood and we're looking at the

4
00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:15,200
Speaker 1: bright side of five players we're going to buy and why.

5
00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:17,560
Speaker 1: But before we get to it, though, this is your

6
00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,400
Speaker 1: chance to win a free premium account with Fantasy Pros

7
00:00:20,480 --> 00:00:25,079
Speaker 1: on Fantasy Pros's Dime Free ninety nine. My friends, all

8
00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:27,400
Speaker 1: you've got to do is subscribe and comment on the

9
00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:29,480
Speaker 1: video below. Guess what. I don't know if this is

10
00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:31,480
Speaker 1: a fact, but we're gonna pretend it is. You say

11
00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:34,519
Speaker 1: something nice, even better opportunity for you to win. I'm

12
00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:37,519
Speaker 1: gonna pretend that that's real. You can get a Fantasy

13
00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:40,400
Speaker 1: Pro's premium account right now. They've got the tools to

14
00:00:40,440 --> 00:00:43,240
Speaker 1: help you win. It's the most powerful fantasy tools in

15
00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:46,080
Speaker 1: the industry. So go and get it today or just

16
00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:49,400
Speaker 1: comment below for your opportunity to win. One. Let's talk

17
00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:52,040
Speaker 1: about some trades. Who are we buying, because that's what

18
00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:55,280
Speaker 1: we're doing this week. We ain't selling anybody. We've got

19
00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:57,600
Speaker 1: five guys that I think you should target in some

20
00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:01,600
Speaker 1: trade talks in this early season coming in at number five.

21
00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:06,840
Speaker 1: Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder James Outman. Bet you didn't expect

22
00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:10,000
Speaker 1: that name. There's a lot of talk about some awesome

23
00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:13,520
Speaker 1: and fun rookies, but it's tough to get Jordan Walker,

24
00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:16,759
Speaker 1: who's hit in eight straight games. Gonna imagine even though

25
00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:19,160
Speaker 1: Corbyn Carroll has had some struggles and still has not

26
00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:22,920
Speaker 1: generated a walk those second in the league stolen bases,

27
00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,440
Speaker 1: it's gonna be pretty hard to acquire James Outman, though

28
00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:29,560
Speaker 1: he is quietly setting himself up to play close to

29
00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:33,240
Speaker 1: every day with the Dodgers. Outman already has a top

30
00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:35,840
Speaker 1: five WAR in the league as a rookie. Now he

31
00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:38,880
Speaker 1: could and will see platoons as far as lefties go,

32
00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:40,959
Speaker 1: but so far it's been so good and having a

33
00:01:40,959 --> 00:01:42,639
Speaker 1: top five WAR in the league that kind of speaks

34
00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:46,120
Speaker 1: for itself. Outman also has a fifty eight point three

35
00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:49,480
Speaker 1: percent hard hit rate, which is top ten percentile in

36
00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:53,320
Speaker 1: the league, as well a top five percentile x lug

37
00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:56,680
Speaker 1: wOBA and x wOBA. Now, I would mind you when

38
00:01:56,720 --> 00:01:59,280
Speaker 1: you're listening to this, you know, Penning, when we record this,

39
00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:01,440
Speaker 1: those can chain and alter a little bit because it's

40
00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:04,000
Speaker 1: very early in the season. And one game can push

41
00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:06,640
Speaker 1: them up and down. But regardless of the point, more

42
00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:08,639
Speaker 1: than a week end of the season, that is very,

43
00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:12,480
Speaker 1: very impressive. His contact numbers have put up three homers

44
00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:15,240
Speaker 1: on the board already, and he's got a stolen base

45
00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:18,320
Speaker 1: where he has a high worrisome ish k percentage, which

46
00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:21,480
Speaker 1: is around thirty one percent. He also has a twenty

47
00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,880
Speaker 1: percent walk rate, raising the floor a little bit. Outman's

48
00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:28,400
Speaker 1: a cheap by maybe somewhere he's even hanging around on

49
00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:31,520
Speaker 1: the wire, but he's got the potential to be a

50
00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:34,880
Speaker 1: twenty ten, maybe even a twenty five to fifteen guy

51
00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:37,919
Speaker 1: that can be had for very little on a Dodgers team.

52
00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:41,000
Speaker 1: Outman is a fun by, cheap guy right now, but

53
00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:45,440
Speaker 1: watch it start to creep up very very soon. Coming

54
00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:49,079
Speaker 1: in at number four, Los Angeles Angels starting pitcher read

55
00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:53,440
Speaker 1: debt Meres read debtmers line from Sunday wasn't great. He

56
00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:56,560
Speaker 1: gave up four and runs five total. It was the

57
00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:58,600
Speaker 1: sixth inning though, of the did him in. He went

58
00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:01,919
Speaker 1: into the six with no Hoyarren runs. He had five strikeouts,

59
00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:06,040
Speaker 1: then he got blasted overall, though his slider got five

60
00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:08,440
Speaker 1: whiffs in the game, but that six inning hurt the

61
00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:10,919
Speaker 1: percentile because he ended up only having a twenty five

62
00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:13,760
Speaker 1: percent whiff rate on that slider, and some of those

63
00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:16,760
Speaker 1: came into that six inning. The positives outside of going

64
00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:19,840
Speaker 1: five though and getting blown up where all the velo

65
00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,040
Speaker 1: numbers were still way up. This is something I think

66
00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:25,080
Speaker 1: that's really important, especially for potential recovery, and that's one

67
00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:27,040
Speaker 1: of the reasons we really loved him coming into the

68
00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:30,400
Speaker 1: year almost two miles per hour on the fastball, up

69
00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:34,079
Speaker 1: from last year four miles prower on the slider. That slider,

70
00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:37,680
Speaker 1: by the way, also touched almost thirty one hundred spin

71
00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:40,920
Speaker 1: as a max. That's crazy. There was a lot of

72
00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:43,000
Speaker 1: buzz coming into this year, but for him to have

73
00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:46,400
Speaker 1: a five era through two starts, you are going to

74
00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:48,880
Speaker 1: have people that are going to start to panic and

75
00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:51,480
Speaker 1: start to sell the walk numbers. They've got to come

76
00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:53,840
Speaker 1: down as well as to homer numbers. But an eleven

77
00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:56,360
Speaker 1: k per nine is great, and a fifty one percent

78
00:03:56,440 --> 00:04:00,440
Speaker 1: left on base percentage is in no way sustainable. It's

79
00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:02,720
Speaker 1: a great time to buy debt mers before he makes

80
00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:05,880
Speaker 1: those walking homer changers. Go and get yourself some cheap

81
00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:09,080
Speaker 1: starting pitcher buys because not everybody may have watched that

82
00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:11,360
Speaker 1: whole game and see what he did through five. They're

83
00:04:11,400 --> 00:04:14,520
Speaker 1: just gonna see the afterlne so go and get read

84
00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:17,359
Speaker 1: deebt meers right now. Coming in at number three is

85
00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:22,320
Speaker 1: San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Logan Web. Web is currently

86
00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:25,120
Speaker 1: sporting an oh and two record with a sixty five

87
00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:30,520
Speaker 1: to five ERA bough. But Web has also been babbitped

88
00:04:30,520 --> 00:04:33,640
Speaker 1: to death with a four to twenty three babbitb against

89
00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:36,880
Speaker 1: and that left on base percentage. We're talking about fifty

90
00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:40,000
Speaker 1: seven point one percent. That babbeb and that left on

91
00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:44,760
Speaker 1: base percentage not sustainable in a good way. Those numbers, though,

92
00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:47,640
Speaker 1: oh and two sixty five five ERA seems like in

93
00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:51,040
Speaker 1: neil thanks right well. Web also has one of the

94
00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:55,400
Speaker 1: biggest ERA to XCRA differences in baseball, as his XCRA

95
00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:59,000
Speaker 1: sits at two eight eight with an x FIP at

96
00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:02,039
Speaker 1: two one eight. To mind you again, that ERA that

97
00:05:02,200 --> 00:05:05,360
Speaker 1: was six five five. That's a two eight eight expected era.

98
00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:08,719
Speaker 1: Web also has got a thirteen K per nine with

99
00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:13,240
Speaker 1: a thirty four point seven CSW percentage. In fact, he's

100
00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:17,520
Speaker 1: also got the league's fifth best K minus walk percentage

101
00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:21,560
Speaker 1: at thirty point four. San Francisco Giants are not sexy.

102
00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:25,360
Speaker 1: Logan Web is not sexy. But those underlying stats two

103
00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:28,760
Speaker 1: really bad ones that are in everyone's face, seem like

104
00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:31,560
Speaker 1: he is an ultimate buy right now that no one

105
00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:36,040
Speaker 1: might really feel too locked into keeping so high strikeout percentage,

106
00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:40,240
Speaker 1: great expected dra to era numbers. Logan Web is a

107
00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:42,880
Speaker 1: killer buy early on in the season, and go and

108
00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:44,720
Speaker 1: tell them about that zh to two and sixty five

109
00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:48,159
Speaker 1: to five era and get yourself an SP three coming

110
00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:52,400
Speaker 1: in at number two. Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Zach Gallon. We

111
00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:55,159
Speaker 1: are keeping with the trend because guess what, it is

112
00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:57,880
Speaker 1: a good time to buy some pitchers. It's not gonna

113
00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:01,200
Speaker 1: be easy, though, because how many great pitchers can struggle

114
00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:04,880
Speaker 1: and how many people are all gonna want to sell Gallon, though,

115
00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:06,800
Speaker 1: seems to be creating a lot of chatter, at least

116
00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,839
Speaker 1: as far as concerns go. The strikeouts are down, the

117
00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:13,440
Speaker 1: walks are up, and that era sitting over seven through

118
00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:16,280
Speaker 1: the first two starts. One of the big main problems

119
00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:19,159
Speaker 1: has been his curveball, which doesn't help as it's the

120
00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:22,679
Speaker 1: second most used pitch in his arsenal. A bigger reason

121
00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:25,159
Speaker 1: may be that he started off the year, though against

122
00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:29,320
Speaker 1: the Dodgers and the Padres, both also on the road.

123
00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:33,480
Speaker 1: Positives on Gallon Well, he's registered a one to ten

124
00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:37,599
Speaker 1: stuff plus, a one oh six location plus, and a

125
00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:40,560
Speaker 1: one oh six pitching plus. What's all that well that

126
00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,080
Speaker 1: is Ineno Serris's stuff plus pitching model, which you can

127
00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:47,440
Speaker 1: check out on Fangraphs. A fun thing to note with

128
00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:51,360
Speaker 1: that each of his four pitches that Zach Gallen throws

129
00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:55,760
Speaker 1: all registered a one hundred or higher grade one hundred

130
00:06:55,760 --> 00:07:00,280
Speaker 1: and above being plus stuff well. Only six others who

131
00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:03,839
Speaker 1: had a one to ten stuff plus grade also had

132
00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:07,679
Speaker 1: four pitches that graded out one hundred or higher. Gallen

133
00:07:07,839 --> 00:07:10,400
Speaker 1: is going to get right. He's got two gold Glovers

134
00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:13,800
Speaker 1: on the infield, the fastest outfield in the league, and

135
00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:16,960
Speaker 1: with an offense that the team leads the league in

136
00:07:17,080 --> 00:07:20,600
Speaker 1: steals by Zach Gallen before he starts rattling off some

137
00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:24,280
Speaker 1: good starts no pun intended with the Diamondbacks and enjoy

138
00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:27,960
Speaker 1: the benefits of the crazy, crazy starting pitcher chaos that

139
00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:32,040
Speaker 1: is April number one though on the biggest buy this

140
00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:36,720
Speaker 1: week is Kansas City Royal shortstop Bobby Witt Junior uh

141
00:07:36,840 --> 00:07:39,360
Speaker 1: Wel who's selling Bobby Witt. Well, let me tell you

142
00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:42,400
Speaker 1: a lot of worried people who are seeing their first

143
00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:45,120
Speaker 1: round or hitting a buck twenty to start the year.

144
00:07:45,560 --> 00:07:47,960
Speaker 1: And he's also the guy that has only hit in

145
00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:51,760
Speaker 1: three of ten games played. Now, this probably falls along

146
00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:54,680
Speaker 1: the lines of you know, league mates who wouldn't listen

147
00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:58,400
Speaker 1: on WIT. They're now entertaining offers, maybe even at a

148
00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:01,080
Speaker 1: slight discount. The reason he can be okay with paying

149
00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:05,000
Speaker 1: market value, he's a couple one. He's a top ten

150
00:08:05,120 --> 00:08:08,680
Speaker 1: league low babbit, which sits at one twenty. This was

151
00:08:08,680 --> 00:08:11,720
Speaker 1: compared to last year which was two ninety five. Another,

152
00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:14,160
Speaker 1: he's got a hard hit percentage which was thirty eight

153
00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:17,160
Speaker 1: point six percent last year as of Sunday, it was

154
00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:20,880
Speaker 1: up at fifty four point two percent this year. Going

155
00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:25,160
Speaker 1: with it an average EV at ninety four miles per hour.

156
00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:28,480
Speaker 1: That's a huge average EV number so far. He actually

157
00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:31,560
Speaker 1: hasn't even gotten a hit off a breaking ball this year,

158
00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:36,240
Speaker 1: and only two off fastballs, but the average EV ninety

159
00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:39,640
Speaker 1: four point seven off of breakers in contact he doesn't

160
00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:42,000
Speaker 1: have a hit but the contact and a ninety two

161
00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:45,120
Speaker 1: point five off of fastballs. So those are some big

162
00:08:45,160 --> 00:08:48,280
Speaker 1: hard hit numbers with some really really bad luck even

163
00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:51,080
Speaker 1: in his struggles though he's got two homers and a

164
00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:54,600
Speaker 1: stolen base. It's going to come to mister Robert Wit

165
00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:57,319
Speaker 1: Junior soon, and you, my friends, could get a nice

166
00:08:57,320 --> 00:09:00,400
Speaker 1: little discount if you act now. It's never easy to

167
00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:03,040
Speaker 1: get stars, but if you're ever going to get them,

168
00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:06,400
Speaker 1: it is in April, and you gotta have the kahonas

169
00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:09,400
Speaker 1: to feel comfortable to buy in on those superstars. This

170
00:09:09,520 --> 00:09:12,440
Speaker 1: is your opportunity, and there you have at friends, Just

171
00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:16,280
Speaker 1: like I told you, positive trade vibes only guys, we're

172
00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:18,800
Speaker 1: trading four. Did you go in trade for Bobby Wood Junior?

173
00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:21,720
Speaker 1: Did you maybe get a discount on Zach Gallen? I

174
00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:23,760
Speaker 1: want to hear about it. I want to hear how

175
00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:27,080
Speaker 1: awesome that trade was and how good it's looking in

176
00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:29,600
Speaker 1: the comments below. So go and make a comment right now,

177
00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:31,240
Speaker 1: tell us about that. You can also tell us about

178
00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:33,000
Speaker 1: any of the great biload trade you might have done

179
00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:35,560
Speaker 1: this week or last and guess what. When you do so,

180
00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:38,360
Speaker 1: you will automatically be entered in to win a premium

181
00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:41,679
Speaker 1: account with Fantasy Pros, assuming you have subscribed to the

182
00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:44,280
Speaker 1: channel My Friends for more trade videos, as well as

183
00:09:44,360 --> 00:09:48,000
Speaker 1: Joe Pisapia's waiver ads video. Make sure you are subscribed

184
00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:50,800
Speaker 1: and you will be notified when we drop them. You

185
00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:52,520
Speaker 1: can find me on Twitter at is it the Welsh

186
00:09:52,520 --> 00:09:54,000
Speaker 1: and if I don't see you on Leading Off, which

187
00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:56,640
Speaker 1: is Monday through Friday live streaming, I will see you

188
00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:59,800
Speaker 1: right here on Fantasy Pros MLB channel. Until next time, friends,

189
00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:04,280
Speaker 1: May our trades be bountiful and glorious and I'm excited

190
00:10:04,280 --> 00:10:07,240
Speaker 1: to hear about them by friends. Thanks for listening to

191
00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:11,040
Speaker 1: the Fantasy Pros Baseball podcast. Follow us on Twitter at

192
00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:14,800
Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros MLB and subscribe to our YouTube channel at

193
00:10:14,880 --> 00:10:17,720
Speaker 1: YouTube dot com slash FANTASYPROSMLB