1 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:12,840 Speaker 1: And welcome in late Kick on the air. It is 2 00:00:12,920 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: Tuesday Night, November twenty fourth, the year of Our Lord, 3 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: twenty twenty. It is Tuesday. Doesn't matter if it's Thanksgiving Week. 4 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 1: Well it does in one sense, which I'll touch on 5 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:23,319 Speaker 1: in a second. But in this sense it doesn't matter 6 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 1: because we're doing predictions just like we do every Tuesday night. 7 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: Got three games we're gonna specifically break down tonight. Now. 8 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 1: As for the other hand, yes, it does matter that 9 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:34,839 Speaker 1: it's Thanksgiving week. Thank you so much for joining us. 10 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: Please subscribe to the twenty four to seven Sports YouTube 11 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 1: channel right before you travel to wherever you're gonna travel 12 00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 1: and eat whatever you're gonna eat. Really thankful you're here 13 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 1: with us and have been with us all year. Thank you, 14 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: thank you, thank you. All right, what are we doing tonight? Well, 15 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 1: as I said, it's Tuesday night, it's prediction night. I 16 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 1: didn't need to tell you that. You already knew that. 17 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 1: But also we've got instead of Thursday, Tuesday Night, our 18 00:00:55,720 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: Ramann Noddle Express Best bets of the week. I've already 19 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:01,480 Speaker 1: given out several on Twitter. It is imperative, probably this 20 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:03,840 Speaker 1: week even more so than any other week. But it's imperative. 21 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: Every week you're following me on Twitter at Late Kick, Josh, 22 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 1: I put a lot out that you don't see on 23 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 1: the show. There's a lot that happens. For instance, this week, 24 00:01:12,880 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 1: after the last show of the week airs, this is 25 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 1: our last Late Kick live of this week. It's Tuesday. 26 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 1: Well that means Wednesday and Thursday and Friday some games start. 27 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: But it could be four days between now and when 28 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: Toe meets Leather. A lot could happen. I could change, 29 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 1: we could have injuries, we could have COVID suspensions, we 30 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 1: could have all kinds of different deals. So make sure 31 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 1: you're following me there because I can virtually guarantee you 32 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 1: we're going to have more plays towards the end of 33 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:38,399 Speaker 1: the week than what I'm going to give you towards 34 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: the end of the show tonight. Also, I want to 35 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,120 Speaker 1: reiterate I am in Georgia right now. That's why this 36 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 1: looks like it does. The college football playoff rankings have 37 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 1: come out and it's the first batch of rankings of 38 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:54,120 Speaker 1: this season twenty twenty. We're going to react to that separately, 39 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 1: so that's not going to be in this show. We're 40 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: going to react to that separately. I also wanted to 41 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 1: let you know another little caveat before we dive into 42 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: predictions tonight, the South Carolina Coaching Search. I think we've 43 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: had an element of the South Carolina Coaching Search in 44 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:09,760 Speaker 1: every show that we've done over the past. However long 45 00:02:09,760 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: it's been since much Champ has been fired, it feels 46 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:14,960 Speaker 1: like a lot longer than it has been actually. Anyway, 47 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 1: there is nothing that I would call groundbreaking, lean new 48 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 1: information to the point where I thought that we needed 49 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:24,240 Speaker 1: to include it tonight. However, as I say that, I 50 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 1: want to tell you this stuff is moving there, I 51 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:28,960 Speaker 1: mean it's obviously moving every day. It could be that 52 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: we get news or I get a text message or 53 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 1: whatever in five minutes and we need to record a 54 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 1: video point being. If that happens, we will put individual 55 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 1: recordings out on the YouTube channel. So make sure you're 56 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 1: subscribed there again, if you haven't already, great time to 57 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:44,839 Speaker 1: do it. It's always free, So it's free this time 58 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: of year or two. It's just like it's free in 59 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:49,679 Speaker 1: March and April, and may just subscribe. We've had really 60 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 1: good traffic there, really good numbers. It always allows us 61 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 1: more freedom to do what we want to do on 62 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 1: there if we have good numbers, and we can point 63 00:02:57,560 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 1: to those numbers and say, hey, excuse me, management, Hello, 64 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: look over here. Look there they are. Here are our people. 65 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 1: Here is our audience. They want it, They're there, they're 66 00:03:06,720 --> 00:03:09,959 Speaker 1: waiting for it. So please subscribe, because I know that 67 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 1: there may be one or two or a dozen of 68 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:13,200 Speaker 1: you who just come to watch the shows, but you 69 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 1: don't subscribe. It doesn't hurt you to do that, and 70 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:19,359 Speaker 1: it actually helps you because it helps us help yourselves, 71 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:22,800 Speaker 1: help us help you, which should have been the Jerry 72 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: maguire line all along. All right, so let's dive into 73 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:28,640 Speaker 1: some games here, and we have got three that I'm 74 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 1: going to break down specifically. I also wanted to remind 75 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 1: you I touched on some other stuff on the Late 76 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 1: Kick Extra podcast. We released a new one of those 77 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 1: this morning, and that's all Q and A. That was 78 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:41,120 Speaker 1: a really good one. There was some We took a 79 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: deep dive on several topics this morning that typically we 80 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 1: don't hit on, and it was good all that. Plus 81 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 1: talked about liquifying turkey and a smoothie. I'm apparently the 82 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 1: only person on planet Earth who does that, but that's fine. 83 00:03:53,080 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: I'll live my life the way I want to over here. 84 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 1: It is America and they are still allowing you to 85 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:01,360 Speaker 1: liquify turkey and mix it with chocolate. Pro team. And 86 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 1: as long as they're doing that, this country is worth 87 00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 1: fighting for. Let's dive into this Iron Bowl Saturday, first 88 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 1: one I haven't been to in like seven or eight years. 89 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: I realized when I was putting this together. Auburn at 90 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 1: Bama Bama minus twenty four and a half. That's the 91 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:18,600 Speaker 1: current line on this. It is a three point thirty 92 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 1: kickoff Eastern Time as always Saturday on CBS Auburn. I'll 93 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 1: put it to you like this, this is the best 94 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: team Alabama's played since they played Georgia. It seems like 95 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:30,720 Speaker 1: a long time ago, right, They had a couple of 96 00:04:30,720 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: off weeks. They who else did they play? They played Kentucky, 97 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: They've played Mississippi State and Tennessee. So I mean, this 98 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:40,039 Speaker 1: is it. This is the best test that they've had, 99 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:43,960 Speaker 1: I'll say since then. Consider how many head coaches Nick 100 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:47,600 Speaker 1: Saban has for lack of a better term, destroyed during 101 00:04:47,640 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 1: his reign for again lack of a better term, in Alabama. 102 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: All these coaches have come through, some of them, not 103 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 1: even in the SEC. He's done so much damage in 104 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 1: some out of conference games. It's put programs out of 105 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:01,200 Speaker 1: kilter to the point where they ended up making changes. 106 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:04,799 Speaker 1: And yet through with all the smoke, there's Gus Malson 107 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 1: just motoring right along in his eighth year at Auburn. 108 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:10,320 Speaker 1: It is a testament. I know a lot of you 109 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: are well, very few of you are indifferent on him, 110 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:15,640 Speaker 1: and in Auburn circles there are some people who don't 111 00:05:15,720 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 1: like him. I've understood the frustration at times. I've just 112 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 1: never understood why people hesitate. Some people at least hesitate 113 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,000 Speaker 1: to give this guy credit. How many other folks are 114 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 1: staying employed for eight years in the same state as 115 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,719 Speaker 1: Nick Saban is, I don't know many of them. Even 116 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:35,359 Speaker 1: when Saban's not there. Not many folks hanging around in 117 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 1: this conference for eight years. So there's a lot of 118 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 1: crazy stuff that happened last year in this game. I 119 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 1: was on the field for that one down in Jordan 120 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:43,880 Speaker 1: Hare Stadium. Crazy stuff that was Mac Jones getting the 121 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 1: star at TUA had been knocked out and you had 122 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 1: the two pick sixes. They need it to happen again. 123 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:52,039 Speaker 1: Auburn needs it to happen again. Now they've won two 124 00:05:52,360 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 1: of the last three in this series. They need it 125 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:58,159 Speaker 1: to happen here. So I was looking through some data 126 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: yesterday and I can't upon a stat that I thought 127 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 1: was wrong. I should have known better, but I thought 128 00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 1: it was wrong. So I hit a little refresh and 129 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 1: I resorted the categories, but it was right. Do you 130 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: know Alabama has the number one scoring defense in the 131 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: SEC right now? It just seems so crazy because it's 132 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 1: not that long ago. At least, it doesn't feel that 133 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:19,160 Speaker 1: way that we were watching that Old Miss game going 134 00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:21,359 Speaker 1: can they get off the field a single time? Like 135 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 1: are they going to be able to ever get a stop? 136 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 1: And yet here they are number one scoring defense in 137 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 1: the SEC. Now, there are a few little caveats there 138 00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 1: that have a lot to do with that. One of 139 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 1: them is Stetson Bennett, one is Jared Garantano, one is 140 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: kJ Costello, and one is Terry Wilson. Blessed their hearts, 141 00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:43,359 Speaker 1: But Matt Carrall and that Old Miss offense they are not. 142 00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 1: So Yes, bo Nicks is certainly the best quarterback that 143 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:50,320 Speaker 1: Pete Golding and Nick Saban and this defense will have 144 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 1: faced since really early in the year. But two things 145 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:55,039 Speaker 1: can be true. It can be true that they haven't 146 00:06:55,080 --> 00:06:56,720 Speaker 1: been tested like they were early in the year, and 147 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: it can also be true that they've improved. And I 148 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: think they have improved. Now, if your Gus Malson, and 149 00:07:01,720 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 1: you understand what you have but also what your limitations are, 150 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 1: you certainly have to take a lot of risk here, 151 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:08,960 Speaker 1: and I think you've got to be comfortable just accepting 152 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 1: the risk factor. This is not a game much as 153 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: you may want it to be where you can say 154 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 1: we're taking the air out of the ball here and 155 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:18,240 Speaker 1: we're going to lower our risk factor there, and we're 156 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 1: going to control. You're not controlling this game. You may 157 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 1: win it, you could win it. You're not controlling it, though, 158 00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 1: So you just have to make them chase instead of controlling, 159 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 1: because that team in Crimson's really good at controlling. Malson 160 00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: needs to win first down, I say Malson his team, 161 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 1: the players on the field to Auburn, they need to 162 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 1: win first down. Now, that's important for a couple of reasons. 163 00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 1: The first is obvious, Hey, the better you do on 164 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 1: first down, the better you could do on the consequent downs. 165 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 1: Consequent I don't know if you guys ever do that. 166 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 1: But there's some times where you know exactly where your 167 00:07:47,480 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 1: sentence is going, and you know exactly what you want 168 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 1: to say, and then this word randomly comes out of 169 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 1: your mouth, like I wanted to say subsequent there obviously, 170 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 1: and I said consequent, And I don't know where it 171 00:07:57,440 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: comes from. I don't know how that works. I'm not 172 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 1: a neurosur but I just wish I could lessen that 173 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: because I do a lot of live radio, I do 174 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 1: a lot of live webcasts, and it doesn't exactly bode 175 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 1: well for random words to be coming out because that's 176 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 1: an FCC violation waiting to happen, because they're not all 177 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 1: as innocent as consequent. But anyway, you want to do 178 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:18,120 Speaker 1: good on first down, Auburn has to do good on 179 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 1: first down here they got to win them, and that 180 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:22,800 Speaker 1: is to stay on schedule, obviously. But here's what Alabama 181 00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:26,400 Speaker 1: has been quietly improving. They've quietly improved their third down defense. 182 00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:28,360 Speaker 1: Here's a nightmare for him. In fact, it's been a 183 00:08:28,360 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 1: problem several years running for them. Well, they've improved week 184 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 1: over week this particular year. But the detractor could say, okay, 185 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:38,200 Speaker 1: well go back, go back and list those names Agains, 186 00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 1: Stetson and Bennett, Jered Garantano, kJ Costello, Terry Wilson. You 187 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 1: haven't faced a quarterback who makes you really concerned on 188 00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:47,120 Speaker 1: any down, much less third down. Well, now maybe you 189 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:49,160 Speaker 1: have one. Bo Nicks played out of his mind in 190 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:50,640 Speaker 1: this game. Last year. It was an up and down 191 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:52,280 Speaker 1: year last year. It's been an up and down year 192 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 1: this year for him. But if you're going to pop one, 193 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:56,720 Speaker 1: this is where you want to pop him. And if 194 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:59,080 Speaker 1: you can get to third down and you're not looking 195 00:08:59,160 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: at third and eight constantly, I mean, if you're looking 196 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:04,080 Speaker 1: at third and three, third and two, everything's on the table. 197 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:06,400 Speaker 1: That's how you start to tilt the game a little 198 00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 1: bit early on. Moving papers around here, if you hear 199 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: that sound sorry about that, but that's how you tilt 200 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:14,160 Speaker 1: the game early on. And that's how they hang around. 201 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 1: And that's really the entire goal with Auburn or anybody 202 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:20,559 Speaker 1: anytime they play one of these big favorites. You can 203 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:23,319 Speaker 1: look at a game and it's four quarters. But if 204 00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 1: you can start shaving a quarter or two off and 205 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 1: you get to halftime and it's competitive, we all right, 206 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 1: then it's not a football game anymore. Then it's a 207 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:32,640 Speaker 1: half that's thirty minutes, and then if you can get 208 00:09:32,640 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 1: it mid to late third quarter, and these coaches will 209 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 1: tell you, I've heard Malzon talk about it. Before you 210 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:39,320 Speaker 1: can get a game out early into the fourth quarter. 211 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: All that stuff's irrelevant. Who the big favorite was, who's 212 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 1: got more talent. That stuff you don't worry about as 213 00:09:45,960 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 1: much because really, what it's going to come down to 214 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:51,200 Speaker 1: instead of thirty or forty plays is you got a 215 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 1: handful of plays you got to win, and at that 216 00:09:53,440 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 1: point you'll just take your chances. Now, if you go 217 00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:58,679 Speaker 1: back and watch Auburn this year, I've watched every game 218 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: they've played. I may have watched every snap of every 219 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:03,600 Speaker 1: game they've played. Early in the year, they played Kentucky. 220 00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 1: Week one, they played Georgia. Week two, they just played 221 00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:09,959 Speaker 1: Tennessee And the point is that spans their entire season. 222 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:12,280 Speaker 1: But there's something that the more physical teams have been 223 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:15,440 Speaker 1: able to do on them normally to the degree that 224 00:10:15,480 --> 00:10:18,319 Speaker 1: you wouldn't see done against Auburn, and that's just kind 225 00:10:18,360 --> 00:10:20,079 Speaker 1: of run the ball right at them. Now, their run 226 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:21,920 Speaker 1: defense has gotten better because they've gotten a little bit 227 00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:24,720 Speaker 1: healthier as the season's gone on, but they can still 228 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:26,880 Speaker 1: be had a little bit in the ground game. Eric 229 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 1: Gray averaged right at eight yards per carrie against him 230 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:32,160 Speaker 1: last week. The stat I saw and I kind of 231 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:34,840 Speaker 1: threw it around. I saw it bouncing around the college 232 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 1: football ether. This week, Eric Gray averaged more yards per 233 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:41,440 Speaker 1: carrie than Georgia had total yards or as many. It 234 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: was right there at eight, which was a crazy number. 235 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:46,000 Speaker 1: He had a good day against Auburn. It didn't matter 236 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 1: because I picked six in the end zone on the gate. 237 00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 1: All that and Tennessee happily obliged. But they ran the 238 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 1: ball well against Auburn. Now Here is what you have 239 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:57,720 Speaker 1: to think about Tennessee, Kentucky, Georgia, those teams, what are 240 00:10:57,720 --> 00:11:00,800 Speaker 1: they have in common? Lackluster quarterback played and yet they 241 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 1: still ran the ball on you. If you're Auburn. So 242 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:05,840 Speaker 1: now you've got a better offensive line in Alabama, you 243 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:07,880 Speaker 1: got a better tailback than any of them you face 244 00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 1: so far this year, and you have to throw into 245 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 1: the equation an elite passing game. I think Alabama's going 246 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:16,959 Speaker 1: to have a quiet a fair amount of success running here, 247 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:19,959 Speaker 1: and it's gonna be a situation where you got to 248 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:22,200 Speaker 1: be opportunistic. You got to defend the red zone because 249 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 1: they're going to get down there several times. You got 250 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 1: to defend the red zone. If you can count on 251 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 1: two pick six's showing up again, that'd be wonderful. But 252 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:32,040 Speaker 1: I don't necessarily know that you can count on that. 253 00:11:32,040 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 1: That was last year, and that stuff happens at Jorden 254 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:36,400 Speaker 1: Hare Stadium doesn't really happen as much for Auburn on 255 00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:39,640 Speaker 1: the road. So how many points do you think Auburn 256 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 1: needs if I were to tell you, well, here we are, 257 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 1: it's before game time. So if I tell you before 258 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 1: the game, name the number that Auburn has to score 259 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:51,439 Speaker 1: to win. I think it's forty minimum. I think it's 260 00:11:51,520 --> 00:11:53,880 Speaker 1: in the forties. If you're able to push Bama to 261 00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 1: the wire and they're actually keeping their foot on the 262 00:11:56,440 --> 00:11:59,680 Speaker 1: gas offensively for four quarters, I think they're scoring over 263 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:02,079 Speaker 1: for four points. I think they're approaching that. So you 264 00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:03,959 Speaker 1: got to get into the forties to have a shot here. 265 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 1: And again, what could potentially derail that is if you 266 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:10,440 Speaker 1: end up forcing a lot of turnovers. Now, Alabama has 267 00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:12,480 Speaker 1: not been any kind of turnover machine this year, so 268 00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 1: you would have to have some things happen really to 269 00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: the degree that we haven't seen happen all year. So 270 00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 1: in light of that, and let's just assume that's not 271 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:24,480 Speaker 1: going to happen. I think forties the number. So Colin, 272 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:26,839 Speaker 1: let's go ahead and show the game capsule. Here. The 273 00:12:26,920 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 1: Vegas number, as I told you, is twenty four and 274 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:32,120 Speaker 1: a half. That's what we thought it would be. I 275 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 1: thought it would be twenty three and a half, and 276 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:36,200 Speaker 1: so it's moved up in over twenty four to twenty 277 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 1: four and a half, and we agree we got it 278 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 1: a little bit fatter than that. Even we've got Alabama 279 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 1: minus twenty five. So here's the way I see this going. 280 00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:48,319 Speaker 1: I see you know, Ubama fans, you'll love this. I'm 281 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:51,120 Speaker 1: looking at a missed call right now. I'm ignoring Tim 282 00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:55,480 Speaker 1: Watt's phone call because I am talking about his team 283 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:58,719 Speaker 1: right now. So we're hitting ignore and I'm going to 284 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:01,120 Speaker 1: clip that for individual use. I'm going to send him later. 285 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:03,160 Speaker 1: All right, that was fun. I'm glad you all got 286 00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:05,080 Speaker 1: to witness that with me. So Auburn, I think it's 287 00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 1: going to be very competitive in this game. Kentucky, when 288 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:10,400 Speaker 1: they played Alabama, you probably saw the final score and 289 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 1: it was sixty three to three. Kentucky was very competitive 290 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 1: with Bama early on. They were heavily tilting time of possession. 291 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 1: I mean they were really they were doing some good things. 292 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:23,280 Speaker 1: It didn't matter. I don't think Auburn's losing by sixty Saturday. 293 00:13:23,280 --> 00:13:24,559 Speaker 1: But what I think will happen is is going to 294 00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:27,280 Speaker 1: be very competitive early on. You know, if you're watching 295 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:29,720 Speaker 1: midway through the second quarter, you may be texting your 296 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:31,920 Speaker 1: buddies saying, hey, this may be worth a look. Auburn's 297 00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 1: really giving Bama a fight. But then what's gonna happen is, well, 298 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 1: halftime's going to occur. But in general, what's gonna happen 299 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:41,480 Speaker 1: is you're gonna realize, Man, these sixty minute football games 300 00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:44,360 Speaker 1: are long, aren't they O? This thing's forever. Do you 301 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 1: remember back it didn't seem like all that long ago 302 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:49,320 Speaker 1: Auburn was competitive here, and now all of a sudden, man, 303 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 1: Bama's broken and open. I think that's what's gonna happen. 304 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Alabama to win. I think they'll also 305 00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 1: end up covering the twenty five in a manner in 306 00:13:57,400 --> 00:13:59,480 Speaker 1: which you say, man, I know they covered, but this 307 00:13:59,559 --> 00:14:02,200 Speaker 1: game just felt so much more competitive than that didn't 308 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:04,840 Speaker 1: it give me Bama to win. We're gonna lay the 309 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:07,240 Speaker 1: twenty four to two. I think I may have said 310 00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 1: twenty five. That's cause that's the number in front of 311 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:12,079 Speaker 1: me right now that I wrote down. So that's a 312 00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 1: bat on me. All right, Let's move on. Iowa State 313 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 1: at Texas. This is a Friday noon, Eastern time kickoff 314 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 1: on ABC. Heavy bias here, and I'm just gonna tell 315 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 1: you it is implied heavy bias from yours truly, Iowa State. 316 00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 1: We at Iowa State, as the Horns are one point favorite. 317 00:14:31,400 --> 00:14:34,440 Speaker 1: By the way, we are trying to win our first 318 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:38,240 Speaker 1: outright Conference title since nineteen twelve. Friends, that's the year 319 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 1: the Titanic saying it's been a little while since the 320 00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 1: outright Conference title found it hanging itself in a rafter 321 00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:48,240 Speaker 1: in Ames, Iowa. They got to win out I mean, 322 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 1: that's kind of what's in front of them right now. 323 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: They got Texas this week and then West Virginia Big 324 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 1: twelve championship game, so it could happen. JP Angels in 325 00:14:56,400 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 1: the outfield always loved that kid's initials. It could happen. 326 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 1: I'm waving my arms as we speak. There's some strange 327 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 1: mojo around Texas right now, because on one hand, they've 328 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:07,160 Speaker 1: won three straight games, and then they had last week 329 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:11,360 Speaker 1: off involuntarily, and so a lot of the bad juju 330 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: that was around the program, at least on the surface 331 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:17,920 Speaker 1: after the Oklahoma loss. Rather, it's kind of subsided for 332 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 1: a time being. They've won three in a row. As 333 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:22,560 Speaker 1: I said, But here's the bad part. This is why 334 00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: I said it was strange. Bad part is have you 335 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 1: noticed what's happening in recruiting? They're just bleeding Quenn You 336 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 1: weers left and that was bad enough. Well, now you've 337 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:34,880 Speaker 1: got more five stars leaving the state of Texas. And 338 00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 1: my Texas buddies don't even want to talk about football 339 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 1: right now. When they text me, they just say, man, 340 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 1: is Herman ever going to be able to keep kids 341 00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:45,800 Speaker 1: in state? And to them I answer, I have no clue, 342 00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 1: in fact would I don't necessarily have a ton of 343 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:51,440 Speaker 1: confidence that it's going to happen, and we talked about 344 00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 1: that earlier in the year. There's not a whole lot 345 00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:55,440 Speaker 1: of hot seat talk with Tom Herman right now because 346 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 1: they're winning at the moment. But trust me, if they 347 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 1: lose Saturday, that stuff will be turned right back up. 348 00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: So I'm never, you know, wildly swinging on that. I've 349 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:07,800 Speaker 1: stated my opinion several times on Tom Harmon. So let's 350 00:16:07,840 --> 00:16:10,880 Speaker 1: talk about this game, and let's ask I'll ask you 351 00:16:10,960 --> 00:16:13,080 Speaker 1: because I was asking myself this, what do you value? 352 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 1: Because we've got two factors in play here. So on 353 00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 1: one hand, Texas of course didn't play last week, so 354 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 1: they have the extra week of preparation. And then I 355 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 1: look at Iowa State. Now, i Was State defensively had 356 00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 1: some troubles early in the year. Last three weeks, last 357 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 1: three games, they have rectified a lot of that, at 358 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 1: least in terms of percentages and data. They're given up 359 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:36,920 Speaker 1: seventeen point seven points per game defensively over the past 360 00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:40,360 Speaker 1: three games, So that's not nearly as poor as things 361 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 1: had been at times earlier in the year. And to 362 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 1: be honest, that's a theme with a lot of teams, 363 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 1: even good even teams we're talking about in the national 364 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 1: title picture right now, Ohio State, am Oregon is dealing 365 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:53,200 Speaker 1: with this at the moment. I mean, a lot of 366 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 1: teams this year. For whatever reason, it was kind of 367 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 1: a common theme even amongst the good ones, they struggled 368 00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 1: defensively earlier in the year. But the good to great 369 00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:03,240 Speaker 1: ones they have improved. The mediocre ones are just terrible 370 00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:07,320 Speaker 1: from wire to wire. Texas has to fuse their season. 371 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:10,880 Speaker 1: That's the term that I chose to describe what Texas 372 00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 1: needs to happen here. They have to have a fusion 373 00:17:13,920 --> 00:17:16,840 Speaker 1: of the season because it's been disjointed. There have been 374 00:17:16,920 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 1: portions of twenty twenty where Texas has done A right 375 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:22,880 Speaker 1: and then a's gone by the wayside, and then they've 376 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:25,639 Speaker 1: done B right. So remember those losses early in the 377 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:27,480 Speaker 1: year when all the hot seat talk it was cranked 378 00:17:27,520 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 1: up full throttle. Do you remember what Texas was doing 379 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:34,960 Speaker 1: to lose games, whether it be TCU or Oklahoma. They 380 00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:38,480 Speaker 1: had mental error after mental airr penalties all over the place, 381 00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:41,119 Speaker 1: but it was just self inflicted a lot of it, 382 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 1: special teams miscues. It was disastrous and they were playing 383 00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 1: bad defense. Now offensively, I mean they could score, they 384 00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 1: weren't terrible there, but that's what was happening. Well, they've 385 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:56,400 Speaker 1: cleaned up a lot of the problem areas there. They've 386 00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,560 Speaker 1: cleaned up a lot of that. But here's what's happened. 387 00:17:58,600 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: As they've cleaned it up, offense has kind of gone 388 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 1: into a little bit of a shell, and so you 389 00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:06,359 Speaker 1: got to be sitting there wondering to yourself, how hard 390 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:08,879 Speaker 1: is it just to put complete games together. I mean, 391 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:11,240 Speaker 1: I'm watching some of these elite teams. I watch Alabama. 392 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 1: They look like a transformer. Every week. There's a machine. 393 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:16,160 Speaker 1: They just to operate the same every week. Why can't 394 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,120 Speaker 1: we do that? Well, this is the week you need 395 00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:21,240 Speaker 1: to have it happen because Texas has still got a 396 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:23,880 Speaker 1: lot to play for here too, and they just need 397 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 1: to fuse. I mean, if they could fuse that, that 398 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 1: could be they could win by double digit Saturday, if 399 00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 1: they were to fuse all that together. Now do we 400 00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:32,879 Speaker 1: expect it? Well, I found there's not a lot of 401 00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:35,560 Speaker 1: skill in predicting when the fusion is going to happen 402 00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:38,919 Speaker 1: with Texas football. Iowa State's gonna need Brock Purdy to 403 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:42,000 Speaker 1: have a really, really good game Saturday, possibly need him 404 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:44,360 Speaker 1: to have the best game he plays all season. Said 405 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:46,840 Speaker 1: that about Ian Book against Clemson. Now, this is not 406 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,439 Speaker 1: nearly as tall a task for the Cyclones as it 407 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,560 Speaker 1: was for the Irish against Clemson, even though they won. 408 00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:54,879 Speaker 1: But that's kind of what you need to happen. And 409 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,520 Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you why Texas if you've watched them 410 00:18:57,520 --> 00:19:00,960 Speaker 1: from AFAR or you've just seen final score, maybe highlights, 411 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,280 Speaker 1: but you haven't really watched them. There are some strengths 412 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:05,760 Speaker 1: on this team, and one of them is they got 413 00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:08,440 Speaker 1: a darn good run defense. I mean Shoba Hubbard for 414 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 1: Oklahoma State, Letty Brown for West Virginia. I think both 415 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:15,359 Speaker 1: of those guys were held under three point one or 416 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,280 Speaker 1: three point two yards per carry. I mean, they did 417 00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:19,959 Speaker 1: not have a high yards per carry average against Texas, 418 00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:22,160 Speaker 1: So there was There's been no point this year where 419 00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:24,280 Speaker 1: you turn TV on and a running back just running 420 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:26,200 Speaker 1: up and down the field on Texas. That's not the 421 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,200 Speaker 1: way it's been so Breese Hall, I know at Iowa 422 00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 1: State he's in the Heisman conversation. I'm happy to contribute 423 00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 1: to that, but I'm gonna tell you right now, it 424 00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 1: had really surprised me if we turned it on and 425 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 1: you know, he's just churning up one hundred and fifty 426 00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,960 Speaker 1: hundred and seventy five yards on the ground Saturday. It 427 00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 1: needs to be brought Purdy's game. He's gonna have to 428 00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:46,200 Speaker 1: do it, and he's gonna have to avoid the turnovers 429 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:48,080 Speaker 1: in order to do it. He's got to avoid a 430 00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:51,760 Speaker 1: lot of the mistakes that Texas has made at various 431 00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:54,440 Speaker 1: points this year. So Colin, let's throw up the game 432 00:19:54,480 --> 00:19:57,439 Speaker 1: capsule for this one. It is Iowa State Texas. So 433 00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:00,160 Speaker 1: many ramifications here. I'm glad this is on a Friday. 434 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:02,080 Speaker 1: I don't know if they're glad, but I'm glad it's 435 00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:05,560 Speaker 1: on a Friday, because I, oh man, the two day 436 00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:10,240 Speaker 1: splits after Thanksgiving. Always love that the capsule looks like this. 437 00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,119 Speaker 1: We have got the Vegas number. As I said, with 438 00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:16,040 Speaker 1: Texas minus one. Now here's what I expected you would think. 439 00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:18,760 Speaker 1: I mean, if I'm running this model and I lean 440 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 1: Iowa State as much as I do, I thought there 441 00:20:21,080 --> 00:20:22,880 Speaker 1: was going to be a lot of cyclone bias here. 442 00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:24,879 Speaker 1: But you know, I'm halfway proud of myself that my 443 00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:27,520 Speaker 1: own model spit out a result that I don't want 444 00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:30,800 Speaker 1: to happen necessarily. It's nothing against Texas. In fact, I 445 00:20:30,840 --> 00:20:33,720 Speaker 1: pull for Texas. I long for Texas to be great. 446 00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:37,439 Speaker 1: But in this particular matchup, you know, you know how 447 00:20:37,440 --> 00:20:39,879 Speaker 1: we roll on Lake Cake, Well, we have Texas minus two, 448 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:44,080 Speaker 1: so our model leans Longhorn, and since I don't have 449 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:48,480 Speaker 1: a particularly strong feel on this game personally in terms 450 00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:51,040 Speaker 1: of you know where I would place a wager, I'm 451 00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 1: not betting on this game. In other words, my default 452 00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:55,840 Speaker 1: setting is to roll with the model, and so I 453 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,480 Speaker 1: actually am going to take Texas to win the game. 454 00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:00,719 Speaker 1: It pains me a little bit. It's one of those 455 00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:02,640 Speaker 1: situations where I kind of hope I'm wrong, but I'm 456 00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:04,800 Speaker 1: gonna take Texas to win the game. Now here's the 457 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:07,960 Speaker 1: flip side. The flip side is that's the prediction. But 458 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:10,480 Speaker 1: if it is wrong and if it loses, I can 459 00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:14,200 Speaker 1: almost assure you on our Sunday show, among the other 460 00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:17,360 Speaker 1: games we're talking about, we'll touch on this game and 461 00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:20,159 Speaker 1: I'll wave my yellow and red pomp palm a little bit, 462 00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:22,080 Speaker 1: may even wear an Iowa state T shirt, of which 463 00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 1: I have five now, so thank you. The collection continues 464 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,160 Speaker 1: to grow. But I guarantee you, in some shape, form 465 00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:30,240 Speaker 1: or fashion, we will be talking about Tom Herman hot 466 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:33,000 Speaker 1: Seat talks back, what's going to happen in Austin. All 467 00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:35,159 Speaker 1: that stuff will be turned right back up to eleven 468 00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:37,560 Speaker 1: because it only takes four quarters. You guys know that 469 00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 1: as well as anyone. So give me Texas to win. 470 00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:44,119 Speaker 1: Gimme Texas to cover very little confidence in that. We'll 471 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:46,840 Speaker 1: just see how things going. Don't think for a second 472 00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:50,119 Speaker 1: that because that thing's happening early on a Friday, everyone 473 00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:53,439 Speaker 1: will have forgotten about it. Like last week, that happened 474 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:55,240 Speaker 1: when I paused Colin, that's where we can cut that 475 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:58,120 Speaker 1: video off. So last week it happened on Friday night. 476 00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 1: Purdue got complete and totally railroaded in the Big Ten. 477 00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:05,680 Speaker 1: I mean railroaded and so w there was a passing. 478 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:08,199 Speaker 1: There was a phantom pass interference call that negated a 479 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,080 Speaker 1: go ahead touch now with under a minute to go. 480 00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:13,879 Speaker 1: And when I say phantom, I mean pure phantom call. 481 00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:16,840 Speaker 1: Horrible and I just now remembered it. We didn't touch 482 00:22:16,840 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 1: on it Sunday night, and the reason is cause a 483 00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:21,119 Speaker 1: Haffman on a weeknight instead of on a Saturday. And 484 00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 1: we don't talk a ton of Purdue here, But you 485 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:26,239 Speaker 1: could change that if you ask for it. All right, 486 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:29,080 Speaker 1: let's move on. Notre Dame favored by four and a 487 00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:32,760 Speaker 1: half at North Carolina. This is a three thirty Eastern 488 00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 1: time kickoff on ABC. Yet another Friday special here. This 489 00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:39,040 Speaker 1: is so beautiful. Friday is going to be a good day, guys. 490 00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,800 Speaker 1: I really stressed to you. I can't stress to you 491 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,240 Speaker 1: strong enough terms. You need to clear that schedule off 492 00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:45,800 Speaker 1: because you got a big one at noon when the 493 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:47,399 Speaker 1: Iowa State in Texas. You got a big one at 494 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:50,240 Speaker 1: three thirty Notre Dame North Carolina. You got Oregon playing 495 00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 1: in primetime. So this is great and selfishly for us, 496 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:54,719 Speaker 1: we got that big Central Michigan bed at four o'clock 497 00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 1: Eastern time. So let's dive into this game. As I said, 498 00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:00,720 Speaker 1: Notre Dame favored by four and a half. Oh boy, 499 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:02,639 Speaker 1: I think this spread surprised a lot of people. It 500 00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,640 Speaker 1: surprises them right now. This thing opened around a touchdown 501 00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:08,400 Speaker 1: and it's come down to four four and a half. 502 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:11,320 Speaker 1: Notre Dame is sitting in a great position in terms 503 00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 1: of their season right now. They have not lost a game, 504 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:16,919 Speaker 1: they're already passed the Clemson hurdle, and they are looking 505 00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:20,480 Speaker 1: like a very strong playoff contender at the moment. But 506 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,000 Speaker 1: here's what they need. I noticed some people asking this 507 00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:25,919 Speaker 1: week do they need to win this game? Or you know, 508 00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:27,679 Speaker 1: can they afford to lose this when and do this 509 00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:29,879 Speaker 1: and do that. You got to get rid of that stuff, man. 510 00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:32,680 Speaker 1: You gotta have a killer mentality like Notre Dame. Maybe 511 00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:35,200 Speaker 1: even independent of the fans and whatnot, like the Notre 512 00:23:35,280 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 1: Dame program. And I'm not saying I've heard any players 513 00:23:37,840 --> 00:23:40,480 Speaker 1: talking like that. They got to have a killer mentality. 514 00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:43,120 Speaker 1: If they do, the fan base kind of adopts it. Anyway, 515 00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:47,920 Speaker 1: Win every game, Just win every go undefeated. That's your goal. 516 00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,159 Speaker 1: Win every game. And I'll tell you another thing. If 517 00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 1: that's not enough to motivate you, think about this, Well, 518 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:56,560 Speaker 1: if you lose a game and you're still making the playoff, 519 00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,159 Speaker 1: you may be playing Alabama in the first round versus 520 00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:01,840 Speaker 1: playing a more winnable team in a more winnable matchup. 521 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:03,800 Speaker 1: So if you want to play for seeding, if that's 522 00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 1: where your motivation is, well, then think that way. But 523 00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 1: worry about winning every game. That would be my advice. Now. 524 00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:13,200 Speaker 1: Sixty minutes I was if you're watching the entire show 525 00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:15,520 Speaker 1: sixty minutes I was talking about within the context of 526 00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,240 Speaker 1: the Iron Bowl earlier today, it's such a long time. 527 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,919 Speaker 1: Football games last a long time. You could do a 528 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,520 Speaker 1: lot in the three and a half hours of real 529 00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:25,399 Speaker 1: time that it takes to play most of these things. 530 00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: Boston College found this out. Boston College got up early 531 00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:31,600 Speaker 1: on Notre Dame. I had a buddy who had picked 532 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:33,720 Speaker 1: that upset. You know, it was the week after the 533 00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:36,440 Speaker 1: Clemson game, so everyone was calling that they're upset alert 534 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:38,639 Speaker 1: and Notre name was for everyboy. Thirteen and a half. 535 00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 1: BC gets up early and there come the text messages. 536 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,240 Speaker 1: People texted me saying, hey, this is actually going to happen. 537 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:47,840 Speaker 1: Not only did Notre Dame end up with thirty one 538 00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:51,359 Speaker 1: by halftime and ended up pulling away, that game was 539 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,600 Speaker 1: so long that people went from thinking Boston College is 540 00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 1: going to pull the upset to Notre Dames up comfortably 541 00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:58,960 Speaker 1: at the half. They stretch it. In the third quarter, 542 00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:02,040 Speaker 1: fourth quarter, Boston College is having to fight to score 543 00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:05,840 Speaker 1: garbage time touchdowns to even get back within reach. That's 544 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:07,879 Speaker 1: how long that game. It's like a whole season in 545 00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:11,000 Speaker 1: one game. And I say that because that's exactly where 546 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:13,920 Speaker 1: this game could be headed. I heard Mac Brown North 547 00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:16,000 Speaker 1: Carolina head coach. I heard him talking earlier this week, 548 00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:19,000 Speaker 1: and he said something along the lines of we know 549 00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,360 Speaker 1: where Notre Dame is, like, we know they're a playoff contender. 550 00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 1: I'm looking forward to this game because we get to 551 00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:26,000 Speaker 1: figure out where we are. Well, that's a good question, 552 00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:29,000 Speaker 1: where is North Carolina. They've been a hard team even 553 00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,119 Speaker 1: for the fan base. You tar Hill fans know exactly 554 00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:33,400 Speaker 1: what I'm talking about. Your team's been a hard team 555 00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: to nail down this year. There have been times, you know, 556 00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 1: speaking of Boston College, when North Carolina played Boston College, 557 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:41,960 Speaker 1: I thought that was a game they were going to unload, 558 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 1: and they didn't. It did just flat. Whatever reason, you 559 00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 1: can name a million of them, they just didn't. And 560 00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:49,880 Speaker 1: so you got to be careful here. For obvious reasons, 561 00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 1: North Carolina is not holding Notre Dame unto thirty. I 562 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:57,000 Speaker 1: don't think they have any illusions of doing that. You 563 00:25:57,080 --> 00:25:59,639 Speaker 1: guys in tar Hill Country, you've watched your defense and 564 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:01,960 Speaker 1: so you know what the limitations are there. That's not 565 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:05,399 Speaker 1: the motivation, or that's not rather the confidence. That's not 566 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,919 Speaker 1: where it's inspired from anyone who's leaning North Carolina to 567 00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:10,159 Speaker 1: win this game. They're leaning North Carolina cause they think 568 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:11,760 Speaker 1: they can name the score. They think they can run 569 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:14,760 Speaker 1: the score up. So you're not holding Notre Dame unto thirty. Well, 570 00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:17,760 Speaker 1: how high above thirty can you score? I mean, can 571 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:21,120 Speaker 1: you avoid having a game that's played in the twenties 572 00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:25,320 Speaker 1: or thirties. I think that's your only way. I can 573 00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:27,359 Speaker 1: tell you they're probably going to get theirs. And so 574 00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:29,880 Speaker 1: how do you steal some possessions? How do you make 575 00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:32,960 Speaker 1: sure you're consistently scoring? And that leads me to this 576 00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:37,679 Speaker 1: next question, how do you score in general? Because I 577 00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:39,480 Speaker 1: don't know how many of you have watched a lot 578 00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 1: of North Carolina. You probably again, you may just be 579 00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:45,119 Speaker 1: a highlight watcher. You're not a North Carolina fan, and 580 00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,000 Speaker 1: so you know, they got a really good offense down 581 00:26:47,040 --> 00:26:50,640 Speaker 1: there in Chapel Hill. I see that Howel kid, what's 582 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:53,680 Speaker 1: his name, Sam Howell. I see him all the time 583 00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:55,439 Speaker 1: throwing the ball all over the place. Well, that's in 584 00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:57,360 Speaker 1: highlight culture, and he does throw the ball a lot. 585 00:26:57,400 --> 00:26:58,879 Speaker 1: They do throw the ball a lot. They got a 586 00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:01,679 Speaker 1: really good run game, and they have the ability to 587 00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:04,640 Speaker 1: pop you in explosive runs too. They are right at 588 00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:07,160 Speaker 1: or near the top of the conference and the country 589 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:11,360 Speaker 1: in explosive runs. Do you remember the Clemson Notre Dame game, 590 00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:14,120 Speaker 1: because that's where they held Travis ctnd to I think 591 00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:18,240 Speaker 1: twenty eight total yards actually rushing, and it was well 592 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:19,800 Speaker 1: under three yards per carry. I think it was like 593 00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:22,479 Speaker 1: they're under three yards per Carrie. In fact, they're at 594 00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:24,879 Speaker 1: two point eight seven yards per carry on the season. 595 00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:28,600 Speaker 1: That's getting it done defensively. So something's got to give there. 596 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:32,240 Speaker 1: Either their opposer, which I can promise you they're not 597 00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:34,520 Speaker 1: in terms of the run defense, and you're going to 598 00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 1: run all over him, or you're going to have to 599 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:40,919 Speaker 1: have Sam Howell shoulder maybe an inordinate amount of the 600 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:42,960 Speaker 1: load relative to what he's used to, and he's going 601 00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:44,760 Speaker 1: to have to do it against probably the best defense 602 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:46,919 Speaker 1: that he will play all year and certainly will have 603 00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:50,800 Speaker 1: played all year. This is where I worry really about 604 00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:54,240 Speaker 1: North Carolina because I don't worry about them being able 605 00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:56,720 Speaker 1: to be competitive. I don't think they're gonna get out 606 00:27:56,760 --> 00:27:59,439 Speaker 1: athleted badly. It's not going to be that. It's going 607 00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:02,320 Speaker 1: to be when you get one of your fastballs taken away, 608 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:04,119 Speaker 1: when you get one of your best pitches taken away. 609 00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:07,960 Speaker 1: And I've seen times this year against inferior competition where 610 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:11,320 Speaker 1: you just appear to not have a good change up 611 00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:13,400 Speaker 1: and you don't have a really good slider. It's once 612 00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,160 Speaker 1: they take it away, maybe we can get by. Maybe 613 00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,159 Speaker 1: we can sneak by a team like Boston College. But 614 00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:20,720 Speaker 1: I mean we do not have it in our bag 615 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:23,399 Speaker 1: of tools right now. Well, if Notre Dame, which is 616 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,520 Speaker 1: one of the best teams in America, if they're taking 617 00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:28,600 Speaker 1: away that fastball, and then they're saying, all right, well, 618 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:30,520 Speaker 1: you're going to have to beat us with one leg here, 619 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:33,680 Speaker 1: I don't know that you can do it. And I'll 620 00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,560 Speaker 1: look on the other side too though, with Notre Dame, like, 621 00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:39,280 Speaker 1: I don't think this is a game. There's no excuse. 622 00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:41,520 Speaker 1: I'll put it this way for this game to fall 623 00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:45,640 Speaker 1: totally on the shoulders of Van book. A lot of 624 00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:48,760 Speaker 1: his overall legend, you know, when the book is written 625 00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:51,560 Speaker 1: on him, no pun intended. It'll stem from that Clemson 626 00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 1: game because I think he played the best game I've 627 00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:56,040 Speaker 1: ever seen him play in the biggest moment. I'm not 628 00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:59,280 Speaker 1: saying he carried the whole load, but he played like 629 00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:02,520 Speaker 1: he was ready. There's no reason he should have to 630 00:29:02,560 --> 00:29:05,360 Speaker 1: play that way. Here. They should be able to run 631 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:08,400 Speaker 1: the ball effectively. I mean, they should gash North Carolina. 632 00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:10,840 Speaker 1: They should have really good success running the ball. But 633 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,320 Speaker 1: you don't run the ball when you're trying to keep 634 00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:15,480 Speaker 1: up and you're down two or three touchdowns, And that's 635 00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:17,960 Speaker 1: kind of the situation you hope for if you're North Carolina, 636 00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:20,360 Speaker 1: maybe not a three touchdown lead. You'd love it. It's 637 00:29:20,400 --> 00:29:22,960 Speaker 1: not realistic, but you wonder to yourself, how do we 638 00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:25,360 Speaker 1: make them that uncomfortable? How do we stagger them in 639 00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:28,360 Speaker 1: the early portions of this game to where ian Book's 640 00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:29,840 Speaker 1: having to be the one to beat us. Now he's 641 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:33,400 Speaker 1: capable of it, but you would much rather have that 642 00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:37,080 Speaker 1: as the scenario than just them leaning on you all afternoon, 643 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:40,480 Speaker 1: all evening and night, because you know how that ends eventually. 644 00:29:40,520 --> 00:29:42,560 Speaker 1: So you get it. Maybe a couple three nuts early, 645 00:29:42,560 --> 00:29:45,840 Speaker 1: maybe force turnover special teams, pops them, but whatever you 646 00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,520 Speaker 1: got to do, you need to control it early so 647 00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:51,040 Speaker 1: that it becomes a game that Notre Dame doesn't necessarily 648 00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:53,360 Speaker 1: want it to be. Let's take a look at the 649 00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 1: cops our capsule here, rather, Colin, I don't know what 650 00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,840 Speaker 1: in the world of copsule is, but a capsule is this. 651 00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:02,600 Speaker 1: It is the Vegas and our number combined right next 652 00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:05,800 Speaker 1: to each other. So you can see Notre Dame's favored 653 00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:07,760 Speaker 1: by four and a half by Vegas, and we agree. 654 00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:10,320 Speaker 1: I mean, we've got Notre Dame minus four, so really 655 00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:12,840 Speaker 1: tight lines this week with all the games that we're predicting. 656 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:16,800 Speaker 1: I am kind of on the other side though, in fact, 657 00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:19,240 Speaker 1: I'm not only gonna take Notre Dame to win. I'm 658 00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:21,120 Speaker 1: kind of confident in the cover. It's not going to 659 00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:23,000 Speaker 1: be an official bed. I'm not putting any money on this, 660 00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,160 Speaker 1: but I'm overriding by half a point. It's not a 661 00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:29,040 Speaker 1: big leap. I'm overriding our own system here a little bit. 662 00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:30,800 Speaker 1: So I'm going to take Notre Dame to win, and 663 00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:33,240 Speaker 1: I will take Notre Dame to cover. There. It's a 664 00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:37,239 Speaker 1: game they need to establish a killer mentality in and 665 00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:40,800 Speaker 1: display it if they already have it. All right, flip 666 00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:43,080 Speaker 1: the paper over and let's wrap it up with the 667 00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:46,080 Speaker 1: Rama Noodle Express over fifty eight percent on the season. 668 00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:49,320 Speaker 1: Chug Chug, Chugg, and ride along. We've already released a 669 00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:52,680 Speaker 1: few of these. Make sure you are following me on 670 00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:56,680 Speaker 1: Twitter at late Kick Josh. A perfect example could be 671 00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:59,440 Speaker 1: found in these first two bets, So Colin, let's show 672 00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:02,360 Speaker 1: them to them here. North Texas was plus five and 673 00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:05,200 Speaker 1: a half when I handed the game out. If you 674 00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 1: didn't already get it when I handed the game out, 675 00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:09,360 Speaker 1: they are now plus three and a half. You would 676 00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:12,400 Speaker 1: have had that on Twitter at Lake Kick Josh. North 677 00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 1: Texas is playing at UTSA. By the way, how about 678 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:19,480 Speaker 1: a Friday game Central Michigan. When I handed this game out, 679 00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:22,160 Speaker 1: they were minus five and a half at Eastern Michigan. 680 00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 1: That one's gone up to seven or seven and a half, 681 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:27,040 Speaker 1: which we told you it would in no uncertain terms 682 00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:29,640 Speaker 1: the other night. You got to get them early. Now 683 00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,160 Speaker 1: for some games that I have released and some that 684 00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:35,640 Speaker 1: I haven't released, Virginia minus nine. I released this one 685 00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:38,479 Speaker 1: yesterday on Twitter. It's still the same though as of 686 00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,840 Speaker 1: recording time, it's still the same. They are playing at FSU. 687 00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 1: So we're taking Virginia minus nine. Now. Here are the 688 00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:47,600 Speaker 1: two new ones. Kansas State shut out last week. I 689 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:49,600 Speaker 1: think it was forty five to nothing at the hands 690 00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:51,320 Speaker 1: of IWA State. So we're gonna bet them this week 691 00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:54,480 Speaker 1: Kansas State plus five and a half at Baylor. And 692 00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:57,280 Speaker 1: then we're going to lay the points with a team 693 00:31:57,320 --> 00:31:59,560 Speaker 1: that everyone's avoiding this week because they think they're in 694 00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,520 Speaker 1: letdown and they're emotionally drained, and that's fine. We think 695 00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:04,960 Speaker 1: this number should be sixteen and it's actually ten and 696 00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 1: a half. Oklahoma State minus ten and a half at 697 00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,240 Speaker 1: home against Texas Tech. So the five best bets so 698 00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:13,680 Speaker 1: far North Texas plus five and a half, Central Michigan 699 00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,000 Speaker 1: minus five and a half that's a Friday game, Virginia 700 00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:19,080 Speaker 1: minus nine, Kansas State plus five and a half, and 701 00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 1: Oklahoma State minus ten and a half. Listen from all 702 00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:27,320 Speaker 1: of us to you happy Thanksgiving. Make sure you're following 703 00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:30,040 Speaker 1: me on Twitter. A lot could happen between now and Sunday, 704 00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:32,320 Speaker 1: so at Late Kickjosh where you want to be there. Also, 705 00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:34,760 Speaker 1: I have some slots available still for those of you 706 00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 1: interested in the field of sports media. I've actually got 707 00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:39,360 Speaker 1: a session I'm going to start as soon as I 708 00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:42,600 Speaker 1: hit stock record on this. I think Jeffrey that's who 709 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:44,680 Speaker 1: I have lined up. So if you think you have 710 00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:48,440 Speaker 1: the tools, the talent, the desire, passion, ideas, and you 711 00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:50,800 Speaker 1: just what you're missing is the game plan. How in 712 00:32:50,840 --> 00:32:53,720 Speaker 1: the world do you get in that secretive industry, where's 713 00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:56,880 Speaker 1: the end? Well we'll talk about it at Late Kickjosh 714 00:32:56,960 --> 00:33:00,320 Speaker 1: on Twitter, Josh paid seven zero six at gmail dot com. 715 00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:03,560 Speaker 1: All right for director column for producer Jordan on the 716 00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:06,800 Speaker 1: podcast side of things, I'm Josh Baid. Have a great Thanksgiving, 717 00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:09,680 Speaker 1: Enjoy the games, i'll see you Sunday night, God bless