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Speaker 1: Red Line at one eight eight eight nine, or visit

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Speaker 1: one eight hundred Gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome

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Speaker 1: to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I'm Chad Moment, Chief content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: It is Tuesday. We are heading into the divisional round

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Speaker 1: of the NFL Playoffs. A lot of people would say

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Speaker 1: this is the best sports weekend of the year. You

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Speaker 1: get two amazing games on Saturday, two amazing games on Sunday. Uh.

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Speaker 1: It is truly a remarkable experience to just bathe and

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Speaker 1: all that football excellence. I am joined as always by

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Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, my Hadre professional better Simon Hunter.

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Speaker 1: Thank god we won moning this weekend chat because as

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Speaker 1: an Eagles fan, only ship to that that weekend kind

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Speaker 1: of suck. But what did you tell me? What did

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Speaker 1: you tell me the other day? I'm like, I just

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Speaker 1: don't like the Eagles in this game. And when that

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Speaker 1: game got down to seven and a half and seven,

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Speaker 1: I'm like, it's even worse. I don't know why we

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Speaker 1: would even discuss it. You're like that the courage of

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Speaker 1: your convictions. So it was a very interesting weekend. We

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Speaker 1: have a lot to discuss and we're gonna get to

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Speaker 1: a lot on the show. We're gonna talk about all

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Speaker 1: four games. It's not like we're gonna narrow down like

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Speaker 1: we love everything on the board. We're gonna have a

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Speaker 1: conversation about everything on the board. We will narrow down,

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Speaker 1: like from sides and totals, where our five faves are

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Speaker 1: going to be, and we'll dig in a little bit

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Speaker 1: deeper on Thursday and get get down to those. Reminder,

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Speaker 1: download the Action Network Gap. It's free, it's award winning.

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Speaker 1: You can track everything we're doing. You can track what

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Speaker 1: we're going to ultimately pick in the faves five handle

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Speaker 1: in the Action Network. Just follow it. Look for the phase. Five.

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Speaker 1: Were three and two this past week. Lost on the

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Speaker 1: Eagles and the Patriots. We won on the Niners, Bengals

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Speaker 1: and the Chiefs. We did exactly what we do every year.

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Speaker 1: We're just a three and two podcasts. We live the dream.

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Speaker 1: That's why. I mean, you are living on the beach,

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Speaker 1: retired somewhere, honest to God, somehow we always just get there.

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Speaker 1: That is the total dream. People don't understand. That is

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Speaker 1: literally the dream. You can quit your day job right now,

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Speaker 1: if you can just go three and two every weekend.

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Speaker 1: We've talked about this a lot on the podcast. There

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Speaker 1: are very few things I admire more or lend more

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Speaker 1: credence to then people whose success comes from the grind, right,

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Speaker 1: the people who like they're doing the work, they're succeeding

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Speaker 1: because of the quality of that work, and they're consistent

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Speaker 1: and sometimes it's sexy, sometimes it's not. I'm not sing

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Speaker 1: I don't admire or respect the people who blow up

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Speaker 1: and are supernovas. I think that's awesome too. But for me,

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Speaker 1: and this goes to like how we build our team,

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Speaker 1: to the people we hire, to the company we're building,

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Speaker 1: Like I just like people who fucking grind and our

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Speaker 1: winners from that in every aspect. I love the fucking grind.

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Speaker 1: But speaking of the grind, can we just get right

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Speaker 1: into it? I'm dying to hear from our guy, Matt Mitchell,

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Speaker 1: I just got, I got. We keep saying we gotta

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Speaker 1: save it for the show. Matt Mitchell had the greatest

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Speaker 1: let me say that, Matt Mitchell hass of his life.

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Speaker 1: As we know, that's a huge Bills fan very specifically

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Speaker 1: set up a wonderful evening for himself. Matt is a

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Speaker 1: huge anti Cliff Kingsbury. One of the best videos we've

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Speaker 1: done a couple of years ago was Matt Mitchell just

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Speaker 1: going off on Cliff Kingsbury. He reached weeded it this morning, Matt,

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Speaker 1: I need you to set every detail of this scene

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Speaker 1: because you and I talked about it the other day.

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Speaker 1: I think people are really gonna enjoy it well. As

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Speaker 1: you know. I've got two small children. We've got a

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Speaker 1: four and a half year old and two month old.

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Speaker 1: The dominant every asked back to my personal professional life,

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Speaker 1: but the bill's got to play a primetime playoff game.

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Speaker 1: Very rare, got very excited, So I set up a

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Speaker 1: whole kind of sexy evening for myself in party of one.

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Speaker 1: Got the lobat Blues chilling in the snow bank outside

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Speaker 1: where they start forming the ice crystals. I went out

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Speaker 1: and got twenty five the largest wings in the city

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Speaker 1: of Milwaukee, got the game ready to go, got the

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Speaker 1: kids down just before kick off, I sit down, get

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Speaker 1: the little TV trail like a fifties sitcom, and I

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Speaker 1: took out the box of surgical bloves that I took

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Speaker 1: from my daughter's delivery room. Which was born. I put

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Speaker 1: on the gloves like a serial killer, every single one

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Speaker 1: of those wings. I drink every single one of those beers,

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Speaker 1: and I watched the NFL's first perfect game unfold. It

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Speaker 1: was almost pornographic, the nature of that beat down, the

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Speaker 1: Bills doing every single thing that they wanted to do.

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Speaker 1: I told my wife I might never eat or drinking

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Speaker 1: a bat again, because I'll just be chasing the high

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Speaker 1: of that experience. I'm so jaded and black and hollowed

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Speaker 1: out inside that I can't imagine that Bill's winning a

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Speaker 1: super Bowl, So right now, I don't know how it

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Speaker 1: gets a lot better than that short of winning a

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Speaker 1: super Bowl. That's a member. They'll stay warm in my

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Speaker 1: heart forever. My favorite part of that story is the

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Speaker 1: surgical gloves. Saucy foods stay in my fingers forever. Even

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Speaker 1: if I wash, my answer can never seem to get

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Speaker 1: the smell out, which just drives me crazy crazy from hunger.

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Speaker 1: I started wearing gloves a little while ago to try

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Speaker 1: to just kind of save a couple of steps. Plus

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Speaker 1: then I don't get my gross handle over the furniture,

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Speaker 1: and then when you're done, you just kind of unsnap

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Speaker 1: them pretending you just finished taking a gall bladder out

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Speaker 1: and boone you thrown away. There there goes all your

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Speaker 1: problems as someone that did bet on the Patriots like

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Speaker 1: an idiot, like Magic said, it's arguably when the best

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Speaker 1: performances we ever seen it. To me, the only other

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Speaker 1: one I can think of the tops that is the

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Speaker 1: Mahomes come back against Houston. They were down twenty one nothing.

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Speaker 1: He put points and I don't even think I think

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Speaker 1: it was less than three minutes. So the fact that

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen did that to Belichick, I think is just

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Speaker 1: that's even more of a reason that the Bills fans

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Speaker 1: were just losing their minds because we all agree he's

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Speaker 1: the greatest coach ever and his specialties defense and Josh

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Speaker 1: Allen was playing at that highball level. It did not

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Speaker 1: matter what they were thrown at him, what what kind

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Speaker 1: of blitz package, what kind of zone they're running. That

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Speaker 1: was That was incredible. And now let's get to the

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Speaker 1: second part that the best part. Cliff, I would consider

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Speaker 1: myself one of, you know, the leading researchers. I'm on

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Speaker 1: the cutting edge of Hayden Cliff Kingsbury have for years

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Speaker 1: as a big college football gambler. I love, love, and

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Speaker 1: deeply respect Cliff Kingsbury. As a player, I'm old enough

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Speaker 1: to have played in the college football fantasy league in

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Speaker 1: which Cliff Kingsbury, the quarterback wanted for me. I think

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Speaker 1: that was oh too. But as a coach, he's just

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Speaker 1: been all sizzle, no steak. Took over a Texas Tech.

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Speaker 1: He's great at finding college quarterback he just can't do

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Speaker 1: anything with them. But he's the one that gave America

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Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield. He had Patrick Mahomes like. He was good

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Speaker 1: at finding these guys, and they're just doing nothing with them.

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Speaker 1: And he always ends his seasons sliding into the abyss

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Speaker 1: and it seems like nobody was noticing this. He left

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech worse than he found it and gets fired.

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Speaker 1: The Arizona Cardinals say this is just the kind of

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Speaker 1: guy we need. They bring him in, and all he's

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Speaker 1: done is exactly what he's always done. It's ending every

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Speaker 1: season once he's you know, people have film on him,

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Speaker 1: other teams adjust, he's incapable of adjusting. I've done this

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Speaker 1: ran a million times. But after Halloween every year, that

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Speaker 1: against Cliff Kingsbury because it's there's no there's no season

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Speaker 1: since which he has not done it. Does it every

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Speaker 1: single year with no exceptions. And to to have been

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Speaker 1: able to fade him this entire second half has been

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Speaker 1: so much fun. And then just topping it off with

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Speaker 1: warning everybody that this is gonna happen, and then he

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Speaker 1: just he has one of I go from the Bills,

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Speaker 1: one of the best opposite performances of NFL history to

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Speaker 1: one of the worst playoffs performances in terms of yards

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Speaker 1: per play. I believe ever in the NFL postseason. It

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Speaker 1: just doesn't get me better than that. It's so interesting

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Speaker 1: because I do think there is a little bit to

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Speaker 1: unpack here that if we if we pulled back the

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Speaker 1: lens and look at sixty ft, the Rams Cardinals game

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Speaker 1: and the Bengals Raiders game book ended two interesting trends. Simon,

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Speaker 1: you and I were both on the opposite side of

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Speaker 1: and we stuck to our convictions. Short underdogs in the

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Speaker 1: NFL playoffs over the past five years have won it

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Speaker 1: like a sixty pc clip. So the money moved on

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Speaker 1: the Raiders from five and a half down to four

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Speaker 1: and a half. The money moved on the Rams from

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Speaker 1: from the Cardinals from four and a half down to

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Speaker 1: three and a half. You and I love the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: You and I liked the Rams. We didn't really love

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Speaker 1: either side in the Rams Cardinals, but we with the

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Speaker 1: Rams a little bit more, even though every metric said

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Speaker 1: take the Cardinals. A lot of it is because of

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Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury, Like we just think the guy's a joke

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Speaker 1: of a coach and did not see a way in

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Speaker 1: which he was going to be able to execute um.

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Speaker 1: It's also why we bet James Conner anytime touchdown because

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Speaker 1: that seemed like this out of everything, forget about the sides,

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Speaker 1: that just seemed like the safest total. And again, I

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Speaker 1: don't want to put myself out there. I'm not a

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Speaker 1: huge donation guy. Again, I'll donate the charities, but I

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Speaker 1: don't trust charities because who knows what these people do

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Speaker 1: with the money. But the charities I do trust that

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Speaker 1: do donate to that James Connor money. I donated it

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Speaker 1: that they literally got one touchdown in that game. I

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Speaker 1: didn't deserve that win, didn't deserve that money. The main

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Speaker 1: reason I picked it, though, is I was on the Rams.

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Speaker 1: I just like you just said, I believe in the Rams.

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Speaker 1: But it was Stafford that's my whole pause, the guy,

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Speaker 1: what do you do? Thirteen of seventeen completions? Like they

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Speaker 1: were good, big completions. He played well, but I mean

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Speaker 1: we could I've into that Arizona game, like you just said,

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Speaker 1: that's that's cliff what they have. I think it was

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Speaker 1: like minus one yards in the first half, something bizarre

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Speaker 1: like that. Odell Beckham was out passing Kyler Murray midway

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Speaker 1: through the third quarter. It was just a very bizarre games,

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Speaker 1: Is that what it was. I remember my kids said

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Speaker 1: it to me because when James Connor scored, I said

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Speaker 1: to my kid, I'm going to bed, and he goes.

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Speaker 1: Odell Beckham has more passing yards right now than Kyler Mury. Insane.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, like, thank god for man Mitchell when we

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Speaker 1: was a twenty nineteen man like you brought this to

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Speaker 1: my attention at least because you knew him from college.

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Speaker 1: I didn't really know it about him, Like I knew

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Speaker 1: he produced these college quarterbacks that were studs. They never

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Speaker 1: won anything. I mean that trend what burned us this year.

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Speaker 1: We I think I faded them in the Bears game.

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Speaker 1: I lost faith in the next week, I won fade

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Speaker 1: them against Dallas lost because apparently Dallas or frauds too.

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Speaker 1: And every week since then we faded m against Seattle,

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Speaker 1: we faded like this past week. That trend, it's it's

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Speaker 1: hard to knock it. At this point, it's been multiple,

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Speaker 1: multiple years of this. I fall apart so Arizona. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what they're gonna do, but I wouldn't want

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Speaker 1: this guy coaching my team. He just continuously falls apart.

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Speaker 1: It's really interesting. So I mentioned the Bengals, I mentioned

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Speaker 1: the Rams. Uh, we were on the wrong side of

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Speaker 1: the Patriots, but the wise guys moved the lines on

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Speaker 1: the Raiders as dogs on the Eagles, as dogs on

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Speaker 1: the Niners, as dogs on the Cardinals, as dogs on

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Speaker 1: the Steelers, as dogs. You and I love the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: we liked the Rams, we love the Bengals. I liked

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Speaker 1: the Bucks, and we both like the Niners. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I know multiple groups, but one in particular, I want

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Speaker 1: one in five. They got absolutely crushed this past weekend.

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Speaker 1: They got crushed on that Eagles game, they got crushed

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Speaker 1: on Pittsburgh, and then they got crushed last night in

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals. So again, pros lose, but more often that

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Speaker 1: that's what people were saying, like, aren't you scared of

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Speaker 1: this different line movement? And it's like, you know, you

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Speaker 1: can talk. We can talk all the ship we want

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Speaker 1: about that Eagles pick. There were a touchdown a two

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Speaker 1: point conversion away from covering the eight and a half

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Speaker 1: somehow after being down thirty one and nothing. So it's

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Speaker 1: like it doesn't make sense. It doesn't always work out,

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Speaker 1: but that's what I do. I play a system where, yeah,

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Speaker 1: if I could build a model that predict Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 1: throwing red zone interceptions, probably wouldn't be betting the Eagles.

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Speaker 1: That's that's a big deal. But I can't. I just

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Speaker 1: have to take the information I have at hand and

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Speaker 1: try to make the best number out of it. So

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Speaker 1: again that Cowboys game, Like if they would have won

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Speaker 1: by a point, that's when I made the line. I

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Speaker 1: made the Cowboys minus one, so they had a chance

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Speaker 1: to do that. It didn't work out. I look like

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Speaker 1: a genius because I took it fourty niners, but simply

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Speaker 1: I just thought there was better value on the fourty niners.

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Speaker 1: It wasn't that I thought that they were gonna actually

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Speaker 1: win the game. So it's it's good for our futures again,

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Speaker 1: we gave out one. They're down to tend to one

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Speaker 1: playing Green Bay again. We'll dive that come in sleep.

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Speaker 1: But this past weekend was kind of awesome where and

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Speaker 1: kind of lucky that we went against what we usually do.

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Speaker 1: We love taking dogs chat and we did in yeah

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Speaker 1: when four and two or three and two on the show.

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Speaker 1: So it's like we adjust. We don't always take the dogs.

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Speaker 1: It's just I just prefer the dogs because I always

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Speaker 1: think there's more value. My system doesn't skew that way.

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Speaker 1: During the playoffs, we talked about I skew more towards

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Speaker 1: the favorites just because home field such a big deal.

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Speaker 1: What do we see home field advantage teams from five

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Speaker 1: and one at home? The only win on the road

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Speaker 1: was the wonderdog we gave out on the money line,

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Speaker 1: the for Niners. As much as I admire professionalism and

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Speaker 1: people that grind, I also love people who are intellectually flexible,

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Speaker 1: meaning you don't just say it's going to be this

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Speaker 1: way and this is the way it's going to be.

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Speaker 1: You look at everything, you adjust to the entirety of

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Speaker 1: the landscape, and you make your decision based on that.

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Speaker 1: Playoffs different season. We don't just blindly Like as much

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Speaker 1: as I love to fade the public, we don't just

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Speaker 1: blindly do that. You can't. That's not sustainable when it

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Speaker 1: matches up by numbers. Me and try to talk about

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Speaker 1: the time we like you, because usually we're gonna point

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Speaker 1: or to a value when we're fade in the public playoffs,

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Speaker 1: the books a pretty smart. They don't really give away

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Speaker 1: that much value. Like that's why that Tampa Bay movement

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Speaker 1: was so surprising. Where I don't have the kind of

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Speaker 1: money move a line like that. My group doesn't move

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Speaker 1: lines like that. That's that's a big time, multiple groups

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Speaker 1: moving that Eagles number again. The money and the bets

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Speaker 1: were coming in on Tampa, and we talk all the time.

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Speaker 1: Twenty dollar bet from a sharp is way different than

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Speaker 1: two million dollars of public money. Like, the books won't

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Speaker 1: move up number off two million public bets. A pro

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Speaker 1: they trust comes in, he bets twenty k, and then

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Speaker 1: it hits him again for another, you know, fifteen, another

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Speaker 1: twenty k. An hour later. They moved at a whole

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Speaker 1: point in a half so crazy movement. That's that's what's

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Speaker 1: so fun about these playoff lines, is like we're talking

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Speaker 1: this upcoming schedule. There's not gonna be too much movement

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Speaker 1: this week like there was last week. These are these

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Speaker 1: are a bunch of key numbers. We're gonna be talking

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Speaker 1: about upcoming these numbers. So to me, it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: not as violatile. But still trust your gut. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: be giving you info. I'll be giving you what guys

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Speaker 1: we believe in and what teams we believe in. Chad

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Speaker 1: trust has got on the Buccaneers worked out for the

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Speaker 1: guy that was That was a smart move by him.

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Speaker 1: I got sucked in. So that's the biggest thing. Take

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Speaker 1: all the info, all the different shows you listened to,

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Speaker 1: and trying to make your own judgment because it is

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Speaker 1: it's the playoffs. It's like that forty Niners game is

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Speaker 1: perfect example. It's all going perfect and all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: ship just hits the fan. Teams start feeling the pressure

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Speaker 1: and they just started doing dumb ship. So that's why

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Speaker 1: I try to get two people. Just trust your gut.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's all gonna it's all little bit of

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Speaker 1: chaos come to the playoffs. Alright, enough talk, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: get to the games. But first a quick commercial break.

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Speaker 1: get to the games. Divisional weekend first game, Cincinnati Bengals

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Speaker 1: at Tennessee Titans. Dude, Joe Joe Burrow is so fucking cool.

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Speaker 1: I love that guy. There are three and a half

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Speaker 1: point hunderdogs on the road at the number one seated

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Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans, and the total in this game is about

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Speaker 1: forty seven. Um, we will talk about both. My first

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Speaker 1: instinct on this, I don't have one, huh. I would

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Speaker 1: say my gut would always say to me, take sensing

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Speaker 1: the points. You're getting three and a half on a dog,

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Speaker 1: very competitive offense. Who this Tennessee really have to make

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Speaker 1: these stops on the defense against this kind of high

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Speaker 1: powered offensive the Bengals. But luckily we have numbers and

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Speaker 1: data and you can dive into this stuff as I better.

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Speaker 1: I'm always looking for a little bit of advantage, and

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Speaker 1: where I find my advantage is always on the d line,

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Speaker 1: the offensive line. It's a place that's not sexy. People

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Speaker 1: don't care about it, but to me, it's one of

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Speaker 1: the most important areas of football, and I can I

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Speaker 1: find a lot of value in that position. Looking at

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Speaker 1: this game since he just lost their number one run

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Speaker 1: defender at the middle on their d tackles. So when

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Speaker 1: I look at this game and I throw the numbers in,

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Speaker 1: people get bored by the numbers. That's why I tried

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Speaker 1: to talk about numbers too much, because some of it

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Speaker 1: doesn't even make sense. And you can make any numbers

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Speaker 1: sound the way you wanted to to make whatever point

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Speaker 1: you're trying to make sound right. But this is a

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Speaker 1: big deal. This guy is their number one run stuffer

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00:20:01,280 --> 00:20:04,560
Speaker 1: and he is worth one point seven yards per game

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Speaker 1: to that defense. That means every time now Derrick Henry

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Speaker 1: is getting the ball, he's gonna be getting extra one

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Speaker 1: and a half yards per carry this guy. Already the

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Speaker 1: average is four yards. The five yards per carry Derrick Henry.

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Speaker 1: So now you're telling me this guy is an average

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Speaker 1: six yards per carrying this matchup. When I first saw

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Speaker 1: this number, I really didn't get it because I thought

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Speaker 1: it should just be three. We want to start diving

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Speaker 1: into it. Holy sh it, there's a big advance for

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Speaker 1: his Tennessee team. So that's why I'm hearing professionals. I'm

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00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:32,040
Speaker 1: seeing the pro money coming on Tennessee early right now.

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00:20:32,280 --> 00:20:33,840
Speaker 1: It's gonna bounce out a little because I know the

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00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 1: public will come on Joe Burrow because they're like Chad,

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00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:39,560
Speaker 1: they like Joe. Joe is a cool dude. What are

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Speaker 1: the thirty one years? First? When Cincinnati coaches going around

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00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,200
Speaker 1: to the different bars giving out game balls and ship

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Speaker 1: it's like, awesome story. That's their super Bowl. I'm happy

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00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:52,520
Speaker 1: for you, Cincinnati, but you're you're going up against just

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00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:55,600
Speaker 1: the perfect storm here in the Tennessee team that is

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Speaker 1: just proved just a true bruiser team that they're not

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Speaker 1: going let tanneholl funked us up for them. They're gonna

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Speaker 1: rely on Derrick kind of refresh legs. They've rested them

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Speaker 1: for this whole point. It's just it's bad luck for

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Speaker 1: the city Cincinnati team running into them. Because against the

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Speaker 1: Bills or the Chiefs, I could see this offense kind

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Speaker 1: of going toe to toell. Not with this kind of

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Speaker 1: style that Tennessee plays. Tennessee just wears out your defense.

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Speaker 1: They ball control. If Joe Burrow has one or two

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Speaker 1: three and outs, it's over for Sincy. So I made

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Speaker 1: this number four. I still think you're getting a good

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Speaker 1: number if it hits four for Tennessee I would take

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Speaker 1: a three and a half, but I'm cool with people waiting.

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00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:32,800
Speaker 1: You can you can wait and get the three. But

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Speaker 1: I don't know what the public's gonna do this number.

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Speaker 1: I can tell you professionals are gonna take Tennessee in

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Speaker 1: the spot. Yeah, well, that that's what I was confused about,

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Speaker 1: to be honest, because I saw the three and a

428
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:46,440
Speaker 1: half and I'm thinking to myself, there's no way the

429
00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:50,080
Speaker 1: sports books would post this as three and a half

430
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:56,159
Speaker 1: unless they really really felt good about the Titans, because

431
00:21:56,720 --> 00:22:00,119
Speaker 1: they know that the public is gonna come in and

432
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:04,000
Speaker 1: want to take the Bengals um and it they will,

433
00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:06,919
Speaker 1: I think eventually on the half point. Right now, the

434
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 1: money is on the Titans. The bets are on the Titans,

435
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 1: but the discrepancy between the money and the bets is

436
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:16,640
Speaker 1: very large. Meaning of the money is on the Titans

437
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:19,600
Speaker 1: of the bets. And that's just because they opened it

438
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,440
Speaker 1: a two and a half, like they hung a bad

439
00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,080
Speaker 1: line with Tennessee and they just got bet up real quick. Again.

440
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 1: It's a soft open when they give out those lines

441
00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 1: like they're not gonna take k bets on that they're

442
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:32,080
Speaker 1: gonna maybe taking the top ten k. But That's probably

443
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,760
Speaker 1: why you're seeing the money screpancy because we talk all

444
00:22:34,760 --> 00:22:37,120
Speaker 1: the time. The public use doesn't bet until Saturday nights

445
00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 1: Sunday morning, that's usually when they come in. So that

446
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 1: makes sense that so much money is coming early on

447
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:50,200
Speaker 1: in Tennessee. Larry Ogan Joeb that's the defensive tackle who's out. Yeah.

448
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:51,760
Speaker 1: If I don't try to pronounce the name, there's a

449
00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:54,320
Speaker 1: there's a reason. Thank you, Chap. Because I saw that.

450
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:56,640
Speaker 1: I was just like, maybe I can just get away

451
00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:58,399
Speaker 1: of telling them about talking about the best D tackle.

452
00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:02,240
Speaker 1: But yeah, he's Seriously, he's one of the most important

453
00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:04,800
Speaker 1: players that since the defense. But no one cares because

454
00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:06,640
Speaker 1: it's a D tackles. So people don't even know anything

455
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 1: about this guy. I'm telling you to that run defense.

456
00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:12,159
Speaker 1: He is huge this this Bengals team. Do we think

457
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:15,040
Speaker 1: there's a shot this line moves down? That's what I'm hoping.

458
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:17,000
Speaker 1: Like again, I took the two and a half, I

459
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:18,360
Speaker 1: took the three. I took the three and a half

460
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:19,880
Speaker 1: just in case it does go up to four, which

461
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 1: is what I make this game. But I do think

462
00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:25,359
Speaker 1: the public will come in. It's just they love Joe Burrow,

463
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:27,800
Speaker 1: they love what they've seen from this offense, and no

464
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:31,160
Speaker 1: one trusts Tennessee. There's a reason Tennessee is plus eight fifty.

465
00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 1: People just don't trust them that they're Super Bowl futures

466
00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:36,199
Speaker 1: plus a fifty. No one just trusts the Tennessee Titans.

467
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,040
Speaker 1: So that's why I'm shocked this wasn't three. I assume

468
00:23:39,080 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 1: they would make this game three. The fact that they

469
00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:42,680
Speaker 1: open a two and a half and then a shot

470
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:44,400
Speaker 1: up to three and a half just shows you that

471
00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:46,399
Speaker 1: they might have hung a bad line. They should have

472
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,480
Speaker 1: just opened that three. So we'll see. It could get

473
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:50,440
Speaker 1: the four, but I don't mind taking the three and

474
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:53,240
Speaker 1: a half because it is a key number. Here's another

475
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:55,119
Speaker 1: question that I think people would be interested to know.

476
00:23:56,320 --> 00:24:00,600
Speaker 1: Do you think people should increase their wage, your size,

477
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 1: their unit size in the playoffs when there are potentially

478
00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:07,320
Speaker 1: fewer bets to make. If you're not an avid props

479
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:10,959
Speaker 1: player and things like that, you're basically just betting sides. Yeah.

480
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,680
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm all about small volume though, Like I

481
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:16,480
Speaker 1: I make sure I might make whatever, hundreds of bets

482
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:20,159
Speaker 1: in a weekend, but in actuality, it's like, you know,

483
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:24,080
Speaker 1: four or five so many weekends even to just really

484
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,000
Speaker 1: large bets and then a bunch of other small bets

485
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,399
Speaker 1: just because I'm playing off the number. So what my

486
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 1: advice to people would be is like, yeah, if you

487
00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 1: really think of a good read on it, I'm all

488
00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:35,360
Speaker 1: about up in the units. But if you're only making

489
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,359
Speaker 1: three bets, yeah, you should be betting more than some

490
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,640
Speaker 1: of that's making fifteen different bets are doing their crazy

491
00:24:40,840 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 1: all their different parlays all weekend. It's like if you're

492
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:45,440
Speaker 1: just bed straight, I always tell people up it. It's

493
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:47,720
Speaker 1: like if I go to casino, I'm doing a fun

494
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:52,399
Speaker 1: parlay of six teams, I might throw thirty bucks on that.

495
00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:54,760
Speaker 1: If I'm making a serious bet on one side, it's

496
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:57,439
Speaker 1: like a couple of thousands. So that there's definitely difference

497
00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:59,360
Speaker 1: where it's like you're mitigating your risk and how much

498
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 1: you wagers. Uh yeah, I don't. I don't want to

499
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:04,119
Speaker 1: tell people how much money to bet, but I would

500
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:07,159
Speaker 1: say if if you're having a good run, like to

501
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:09,520
Speaker 1: start the playoffs, keep trusting your gut. Usually if you

502
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 1: start good in the playoffs, it's gonna keep rolling because

503
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:12,919
Speaker 1: you have a good read on this field and the

504
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:16,160
Speaker 1: different teams. So yeah, if you're comfortable with it. Of course,

505
00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 1: up your up here betting percentage. I would never tell

506
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 1: people to that less in the playoffs because playoffs is

507
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,040
Speaker 1: kind of it's easier. You're just more focused on a

508
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 1: little more samples. Now there's not only as many games

509
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,200
Speaker 1: to get distracted by, but someone like me the regular

510
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:32,520
Speaker 1: seasons easier. It's like I find better value in their

511
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 1: sixteen games rather than this weekend when there's four. So

512
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:38,840
Speaker 1: it is different for ever new person. San Francisco forty

513
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:42,760
Speaker 1: Niners at Green Bay Packers. The line open to four

514
00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:45,399
Speaker 1: and a half, it's up to six. We saw Fred

515
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,840
Speaker 1: Warner injured at the end of that Cowboys game. We

516
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:51,920
Speaker 1: saw um Bosa injured in that Cowboys game. I'm a

517
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,120
Speaker 1: little surprised it's moved that much, and I wonder if

518
00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 1: that's because people are sort of waiting on the news

519
00:25:56,800 --> 00:26:00,919
Speaker 1: we're seeing right now. The money is on Niners and

520
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:04,399
Speaker 1: the bets are on the Packers, and I would favor

521
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:07,639
Speaker 1: the Niners here, of course, and that was the That

522
00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 1: was my first instinct to look at that and set

523
00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,360
Speaker 1: up perfect This was our dream scenario a little bit

524
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 1: where we talked about taking this fort nwhitstea because they're

525
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:16,720
Speaker 1: Si good at running the ball. Green Bay is one

526
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,160
Speaker 1: of the worst run teams in all football. And then

527
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:21,359
Speaker 1: you know, if God willing, if we can get lucky

528
00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:25,040
Speaker 1: the Rams, they would upset Tampa Bay. That's a great

529
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,000
Speaker 1: path for this four Niners team. Now they're going to play.

530
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,159
Speaker 1: It's so far against the Rams, a trip to make

531
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:33,520
Speaker 1: another Super Bowl Shanahan, whose own McVeigh. It all just

532
00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: set up for this fort in our team, and like

533
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,359
Speaker 1: I knew making that bet on the Super Bowl future,

534
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:39,640
Speaker 1: this was the most likely thing. Like no other team

535
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:41,959
Speaker 1: is gonna have an upset except maybe the forty Niners.

536
00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:46,159
Speaker 1: They have to play Green Bay. To me, there's a

537
00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 1: lot of whispers chat that I'm hearing about Jimmy g

538
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:51,679
Speaker 1: being hurt, that he might have a shoulder injury and

539
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:53,400
Speaker 1: he might be playing in this game. And that's why

540
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,680
Speaker 1: that number is up to six now, and I don't

541
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:58,240
Speaker 1: want to bet it. I don't want to risk it

542
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,159
Speaker 1: taking the four nine side yet because I am on

543
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:02,920
Speaker 1: the point is obviously I believe in this team coming

544
00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:06,840
Speaker 1: to the playoffs. I love this matchup for them. What's

545
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:08,600
Speaker 1: going on with Jimmy because that's why I think this

546
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:11,439
Speaker 1: line's movement it's I I feel like we already know

547
00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,199
Speaker 1: Boast is gonna be back. Boss has concussion. If this

548
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:15,960
Speaker 1: is regular season, I don't think both are players. But

549
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:18,480
Speaker 1: because his playoffs, they're gonna find a way. Like we

550
00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:20,919
Speaker 1: joke all the time, playoffs, it's just different. Anyone here

551
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:24,240
Speaker 1: of any COVID tests this past weekend or anyone testing positive. No,

552
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:29,119
Speaker 1: it's just the yes. Like it's the playoffs. So I

553
00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 1: think most of me back. I saw Fred tweeted out

554
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 1: that he was good, like he would be back for

555
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:35,359
Speaker 1: the next game. He was jumping and celebrating on the

556
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:37,159
Speaker 1: sideline when they won it. Like, I don't know what

557
00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:40,080
Speaker 1: his ankle injury was. He looked all right again, that

558
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 1: could have been adrenaline or whatever it was. But those

559
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 1: two I'm not worried about. It's the Jimmy g factor.

560
00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,919
Speaker 1: If Jimmy is really out. I love Trey Lands. This

561
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,919
Speaker 1: is like Kaepernick two point oh. We saw Kaepernick did

562
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,120
Speaker 1: to this Green Bay team. It was like historical how

563
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,680
Speaker 1: good he was against Green Bay. We ran for like

564
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:58,840
Speaker 1: two hundred yards. But he's a rookie and he's making

565
00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:02,880
Speaker 1: a start in Lambeau in the playoffs. I I can't

566
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:05,600
Speaker 1: risk it, so I can't bet this number. If anything,

567
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,440
Speaker 1: if you're worried about what I'm saying, maybe take green Bay.

568
00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,720
Speaker 1: I'm just not gonna do it because I want to bet.

569
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,120
Speaker 1: I want to bet the fort Niners. I'm gonna hope

570
00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:16,160
Speaker 1: these rumors are bullshit and that Jimmy's fine and everyone's

571
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 1: heart at this point of the year, right like, who

572
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:20,280
Speaker 1: is not hurt? That's the whole old saying with football.

573
00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:24,600
Speaker 1: Once you make the playoffs, everyone's hurt. So I'm I'm

574
00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:26,840
Speaker 1: gonna bet obviously the four Niners, and I just put

575
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 1: a live on the money line right now just in

576
00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 1: case the Jimmy news is BS and all of a sudden,

577
00:28:31,280 --> 00:28:32,879
Speaker 1: this line drops back down to four and a half,

578
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:35,280
Speaker 1: because that makes more sense. I made this line three

579
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:38,080
Speaker 1: and a half. Three four and a half for what

580
00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: the public is gonna do with green Bay. That's the

581
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:44,600
Speaker 1: fair number green Bay. Every every reason in the world

582
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:48,040
Speaker 1: they're gonna they're gonna bet on. The public is looking

583
00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 1: at severy reason to bet on green Bay. They're rested,

584
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:54,320
Speaker 1: they have the m v P. They just assumed. You know,

585
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 1: Jimmy g isn't playing cold. He's never played in cold temperatures.

586
00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,360
Speaker 1: Like that before. How is that gonna affect him? It's

587
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 1: it's pretty easy bet for the public on this one,

588
00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 1: so I'm not surprised at all. It's moved up to

589
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 1: what it is just because they're going to protect the books,

590
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:09,960
Speaker 1: are gonna protect against Jimmy g move if if he

591
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:12,160
Speaker 1: is out, this number is probably gonna up to eight

592
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: and a half, seven and a half. I would say

593
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:15,960
Speaker 1: to people, I'm not betting the Green Bay, but if

594
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:18,080
Speaker 1: you want to believe in that news, this is the

595
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 1: time to take green Band. You can buy out later

596
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,480
Speaker 1: on if you want to. This is a really tricky

597
00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:26,440
Speaker 1: game for me. When I saw this game open, I

598
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:32,120
Speaker 1: immediately thought the value was on Green Bay because what

599
00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 1: San Francisco had just done, They're going to get a

600
00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 1: little bit of a bounce. And then it got up

601
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:39,920
Speaker 1: to six and I'm like, well, that's that's too many

602
00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 1: fucking points. I mean, this is a great spot for Shanahan.

603
00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 1: Shanahan is really good on the road as an underdog,

604
00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:49,560
Speaker 1: and he's owned the forty nine. I mean, his own

605
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:52,680
Speaker 1: Green Bay, like Rogers was that this year. Last year

606
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 1: him when he beat them, he had one of the

607
00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:57,600
Speaker 1: most incredible drive slash passes, the upset of for I

608
00:29:57,680 --> 00:29:59,680
Speaker 1: understeem that just wasn't good or healthy at the time.

609
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:03,360
Speaker 1: This is just total animal we saw last week the

610
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:06,040
Speaker 1: forty nine when they're going, when they're when they're pass

611
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,600
Speaker 1: rush is on you and their offenses running the ball

612
00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 1: like they are. That's why we talked about it's so crazy.

613
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:12,680
Speaker 1: They were twenty one and went Super Bowl. They're one

614
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:16,440
Speaker 1: of the best teams of football, no doubt. So yeah,

615
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 1: I'm I'm right there with you each other. That's why

616
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 1: there has to be something. Call on Jimmy. This number,

617
00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:22,720
Speaker 1: it's six is insane. Bros are gonna bet this number

618
00:30:22,760 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 1: every time. We talk all the time about how keen

619
00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:28,479
Speaker 1: of the number six is. At this point, it has

620
00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 1: to be something with Jimmy. That's that's That's what I'm

621
00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:32,720
Speaker 1: gonna go off the rumors. Everything I'm hearing has to

622
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:36,120
Speaker 1: be something with Jimmy. So if we see tomorrow Thursday,

623
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:39,560
Speaker 1: Jimmy's practicing, he's all good, get in on, get on

624
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 1: forty niners. If he misses practice today tomorrow the next day, yeah,

625
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:46,480
Speaker 1: we're we're probably gonn end up on that Green Bay number.

626
00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:49,680
Speaker 1: What do you think in the total and a half

627
00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:52,800
Speaker 1: again comes down to Jimmy. My first all was though,

628
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 1: take the under if if the forty Niners gonna win

629
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:58,280
Speaker 1: this matchup. It's the same way they just dominated the Cowboys.

630
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:01,400
Speaker 1: You have to ball control, keep the offense off the

631
00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 1: field so they never get a rhythm. I mean, Dak

632
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:06,680
Speaker 1: had seven points head into that fourth quarter. Like, that's

633
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 1: how they kind of beat them. They just never let

634
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,920
Speaker 1: them get into a rhythm to establish that offense. That's

635
00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 1: the only way you beat Rodgers. You have to get

636
00:31:12,520 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 1: him off rhythm and run the ball. We saw that

637
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 1: the Saints. What was the first game of the year.

638
00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:19,880
Speaker 1: That's all the Saints did. They just got him at

639
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 1: a rhythm. He was just never got comfortable in that game.

640
00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:23,960
Speaker 1: That's how teams have to beat Rogers. You just have

641
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 1: to keep him off the field and at a rhythm.

642
00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 1: So at this point I leaned towards the under just

643
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:30,440
Speaker 1: because that favors my my pick in the forty Niners

644
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 1: Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Buccaneers there

645
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 1: are three point favorites. I am not a buyer on

646
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 1: this Rams team at all. Peyton Man, who was interesting

647
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:47,520
Speaker 1: last night, he said, you win that first playoff game

648
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 1: and the next week feels so much better because no

649
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:52,160
Speaker 1: one's asking you when are you going to win your

650
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:55,880
Speaker 1: first playoff game. But to me, the flip side is

651
00:31:55,920 --> 00:32:01,000
Speaker 1: that the Bucks don't even because they have Brady, because

652
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:05,120
Speaker 1: they have Gronkowski, class or not. It's like this is

653
00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 1: a regular game for them and they're a very very

654
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:12,440
Speaker 1: short favorite at home as a team that has an

655
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:16,360
Speaker 1: offense that is just as explosive and a coaching staff

656
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:20,760
Speaker 1: to me that does not fear anything. And I do

657
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,480
Speaker 1: think that with the Rams there's a little more volatility

658
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 1: and how they think about game planning. Yeah, this line

659
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 1: stinks though, Like for everything you just said, I didn't

660
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,800
Speaker 1: go why this line wasn't higher. It's like, shouldn't this

661
00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:34,800
Speaker 1: line be at least four maybe four and a half

662
00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:39,040
Speaker 1: with Brady against Matthew Stafford in the playoffs. It's it's

663
00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 1: it's a little bizarre. I mean, so I made the

664
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:42,760
Speaker 1: sign three and a half. So yeah, Chad, you're right.

665
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:47,080
Speaker 1: For me, the value is towards Tampa. Um. I don't

666
00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:48,160
Speaker 1: know I'm want to do with this one yet. I

667
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 1: gotta like this one that this is the only game.

668
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,640
Speaker 1: I don't really have a stance on because I'm just

669
00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:54,440
Speaker 1: so in love with the Rams right now. Like I'm

670
00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 1: I'm a little bit blinded by what they did last night,

671
00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:59,960
Speaker 1: Like their d line going up against this Buccaneers team

672
00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:02,960
Speaker 1: that might be down there, they're they're almost all Pro center.

673
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 1: I think he made second team and a Pro Bowl

674
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:09,560
Speaker 1: left tackle. That's a big deal for this Bucan point

675
00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:12,080
Speaker 1: that I forgot about right again, that's where I make

676
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 1: my money, baby, in the trenches. So it's like, as

677
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,080
Speaker 1: soon as I saw those injuries in the Eagles game,

678
00:33:17,520 --> 00:33:19,080
Speaker 1: we kind of saw that that they're the kind of

679
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:21,840
Speaker 1: turn that offense down. The Eagles have zero PASSI us.

680
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 1: They're one of the worst front four rushing the QB

681
00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:26,440
Speaker 1: and the football, and they got the time a decent

682
00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 1: amount of that game. Now you're giving me, you know,

683
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 1: von Miller, you're getting You're giving me, uh Aaron Donald

684
00:33:33,000 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 1: up the middle. It is I'm just looking at this

685
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 1: on the matchup basis of the books. Know what they're

686
00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 1: doing here. They're giving you us a really soft line

687
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:42,479
Speaker 1: on this Buccaneers team. They're gonna let the professionals kind

688
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:45,560
Speaker 1: of side this line. I'll do the same. I want

689
00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 1: to take the Rams. I'm just hoping the public will

690
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:50,560
Speaker 1: come on on the simple fact that it's Brady versus

691
00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:53,520
Speaker 1: Statthew Stafford. You're getting good value on Brady. It's minus three.

692
00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 1: Pump that line up a bit. I'll take the three

693
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:57,760
Speaker 1: and a half. But this is the right time where

694
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,280
Speaker 1: it's like, do I think Brady is gonna lose this game?

695
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:01,800
Speaker 1: It's kind of the same with the egos. It's like

696
00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 1: I maybe can see him cover the number. I just

697
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,080
Speaker 1: can't see Brady losing if you give the guy any

698
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:07,560
Speaker 1: type of time, end of the game, he's the guy

699
00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 1: you want. He just is the guy that always can

700
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 1: drive the field and get the points when it's needed.

701
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:14,480
Speaker 1: So I'm hoping to get three and a half. Maybe

702
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,560
Speaker 1: I'll I'll change my view on Thursday. I want to

703
00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:18,759
Speaker 1: take the Rams money line. But as we sit here today,

704
00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:20,560
Speaker 1: I would just wait on this number and hopefully you

705
00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:22,719
Speaker 1: get a better number because to me, there is value

706
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:24,600
Speaker 1: in the three. But I think you'll get a better number.

707
00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:27,560
Speaker 1: What's the week goes along? Well, look, we're doing in

708
00:34:27,640 --> 00:34:31,280
Speaker 1: one game here and we haven't Foxhold or Sigmon says.

709
00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:33,960
Speaker 1: I mean we can do that stuff. It's just tough

710
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,920
Speaker 1: because it's four games. My favorite better right now as Tennessee. Like,

711
00:34:38,120 --> 00:34:39,840
Speaker 1: so the number then we got a Signmon says it,

712
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 1: because I also think that it's possible the number could

713
00:34:42,560 --> 00:34:45,239
Speaker 1: go up. It's possible, so yeah we can. Simon says

714
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 1: that one. So it says also because in the entire

715
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:02,640
Speaker 1: com station, the only game that I felt compelled to

716
00:35:02,680 --> 00:35:06,040
Speaker 1: immediately bet when we were talking about it was Tennessee. Yeah,

717
00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 1: there's only four games. It's a little like more magnified.

718
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:11,400
Speaker 1: I don't think we'll be in the fox Hall until Thursday.

719
00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:13,799
Speaker 1: It's very possible that we go into the Fox Hall

720
00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:17,319
Speaker 1: on San Francisco. That's well, like I just like that

721
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:19,200
Speaker 1: was that was gonna be my favorite bed heading to

722
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:20,480
Speaker 1: this week because I just knew they were gonna be

723
00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,799
Speaker 1: undervalid against the Spring Bay team. But I just need

724
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,440
Speaker 1: to see what the deals of the Jimmy. We're not

725
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:28,040
Speaker 1: talking about the total on that because I don't think

726
00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:29,440
Speaker 1: I think the total was tied to sort of what

727
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:33,760
Speaker 1: we think of the side Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs.

728
00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:40,680
Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs two point favorites at home against the

729
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:48,719
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills, and this line has dropped percent of the

730
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:53,879
Speaker 1: money on the Buffalo Bills of the bets right now

731
00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:57,880
Speaker 1: on the Kansas City Chiefs. You know you make me

732
00:35:57,960 --> 00:36:01,800
Speaker 1: one shot. Two months ago promised our listress I wouldn't

733
00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:04,319
Speaker 1: play the bill shout song until they won a playoff game.

734
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:13,640
Speaker 1: So here we go, the Bills. Make me keeping your

735
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 1: hand something, throw your hand. I'm making it happen. Chad.

736
00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:22,560
Speaker 1: You know what my deal is. I've said it three years.

737
00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:25,120
Speaker 1: My rule of thumb in the playoffs is if Mahome

738
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:28,280
Speaker 1: is playing any other quarterback than Tom Brady, I always

739
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:31,759
Speaker 1: bet Patrick Mahomes. It is worked out swimmingly for me.

740
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:33,600
Speaker 1: I think the only time I haven't covered with him

741
00:36:33,760 --> 00:36:37,440
Speaker 1: was the fucking Browns game where he got hurt and

742
00:36:37,520 --> 00:36:40,960
Speaker 1: Chad hendykman they won. I don't think they covered that.

743
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:42,839
Speaker 1: Like I'm trying off the time I had remember it.

744
00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:45,960
Speaker 1: But I honestly think he's covered every single game I've

745
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:47,719
Speaker 1: ever been on him in the playoffs, except when he

746
00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:50,040
Speaker 1: plays against Tom Brady. He played against Tom brand the

747
00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:53,040
Speaker 1: a FC Championship game he lost to him, but against

748
00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:55,799
Speaker 1: Tom Brandon the Super Bowl, he lost to him. This

749
00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:58,840
Speaker 1: ain't Tom Brady, It's Josh Allen. Josh Allen, do it

750
00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,560
Speaker 1: bro slay the beat this is your second time around.

751
00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 1: It's really fucking hard to beat the same team twice

752
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:06,400
Speaker 1: in a year. That's why we see the divisional matchups.

753
00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:09,400
Speaker 1: It's usually always split like that's just even when the

754
00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:11,799
Speaker 1: teams aren't good, they usually split the divisional matchup because

755
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:13,399
Speaker 1: it's so hard to be the team twice in a year.

756
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:18,200
Speaker 1: The Bills, They've built their entire team for this Chiefs team.

757
00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 1: That's why I like, I've already talked to a couple

758
00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:22,680
Speaker 1: of pros. They're all in on the Bills like that.

759
00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:24,439
Speaker 1: That's not shock. You know how much, Chad you said,

760
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:26,480
Speaker 1: all the money's coming on the Bills. This is got

761
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:28,840
Speaker 1: what this Bilt team is built for. They lost to

762
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:31,480
Speaker 1: this chief team last year. They've been thinking about it

763
00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:33,880
Speaker 1: all off season. That's why they smacked them when they

764
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:36,840
Speaker 1: played earlier this season. Do it if you believe in

765
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:38,920
Speaker 1: the Bills, If you think this is the Bills, yere,

766
00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:42,359
Speaker 1: this is it. Like the Bills win this game. Going

767
00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:45,399
Speaker 1: into last I would say last week the only team

768
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 1: I had Tennessee as an underdog against was the Chiefs

769
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:50,920
Speaker 1: at home. I make the Bills minus one. Now they

770
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:53,200
Speaker 1: played Tennessee that I will have the Bill's favorite. So

771
00:37:54,040 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 1: this is it. Like the Bills, they could be the

772
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:58,239
Speaker 1: best team of football right now. They have arguably the

773
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:01,080
Speaker 1: best all offense, most complete defense. I mean their team.

774
00:38:01,160 --> 00:38:03,920
Speaker 1: Their defense has been great all season. Yeah, you can

775
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:06,919
Speaker 1: say they played an easy conference and who they really play.

776
00:38:07,040 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 1: Even against good teams, their defense was really good. I

777
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:11,640
Speaker 1: just have to get it to this Chief's team. They've

778
00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:13,360
Speaker 1: just been here so many times. Chad just said that

779
00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:16,279
Speaker 1: number is down to two. I cannot take it. I

780
00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:18,319
Speaker 1: can't not take this number under three. So I made

781
00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:22,000
Speaker 1: this minus three. I'm taking the value Chad. He might

782
00:38:22,040 --> 00:38:24,080
Speaker 1: be on the Bills. Man, Mitchell, Please don't hate me.

783
00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:26,680
Speaker 1: It's just it's just business, my friend. How could I

784
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:28,960
Speaker 1: hate you for that? I only had one note. My

785
00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:32,600
Speaker 1: only note was the Bill spent an entire offseason preparing

786
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:35,360
Speaker 1: themselves to play the Chiefs of the playoffs. You've covered

787
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:39,319
Speaker 1: it already. They decided every move to beat this team.

788
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:41,400
Speaker 1: That's exactly why they ran it up as much as

789
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:44,640
Speaker 1: they could in their last meeting. But it is very,

790
00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:48,040
Speaker 1: very difficult to beat the same team, a quality opponent

791
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,879
Speaker 1: on the road twice in the same year. I think

792
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:53,200
Speaker 1: Buffalo will win. I would I bet my own money

793
00:38:53,239 --> 00:38:55,839
Speaker 1: on that. But I'm I'm still right in the high

794
00:38:55,840 --> 00:38:57,960
Speaker 1: of last week, which is probably the worst thing that

795
00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:00,840
Speaker 1: could have happened in terms of this game. It's spend

796
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 1: a whole week of everyone telling you you are the

797
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:06,440
Speaker 1: perfect football team. Definitely not what Buffalo wants to hear.

798
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:09,920
Speaker 1: So I'm really banking on the shame and anger of

799
00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 1: last season. Still those fires still burning, right, and you

800
00:39:13,560 --> 00:39:15,480
Speaker 1: hit it on the head too. That perfect game, I

801
00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:17,479
Speaker 1: would love that if we could find something in that labs.

802
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,759
Speaker 1: I'm definitely gonna try to dive into it. Like again,

803
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:21,520
Speaker 1: it's never happened before, so there's nothing to go off

804
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 1: of that. But when the last time a team played

805
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,160
Speaker 1: that flawless and then the following week just laid the

806
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,680
Speaker 1: negg because not that I remember the bill is doing

807
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:31,280
Speaker 1: it before, but it's like, I feel like this happens

808
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:33,560
Speaker 1: in the playoffs where team plays like that. Where the

809
00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:35,919
Speaker 1: Chiefs they were pretty slappy. I mean, they were down

810
00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:38,600
Speaker 1: seven nothing at Pittsburgh. All of a sudden, my Homes

811
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:39,960
Speaker 1: turned it on. It was twenty one to seven, and

812
00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:42,400
Speaker 1: it's like they needed that. Maybe maybe they need a

813
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:43,799
Speaker 1: little bit of hit in the mouth that woke them

814
00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:46,920
Speaker 1: up where like he just said, the Bills, hopefully they

815
00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:48,759
Speaker 1: had that hunger because they're gonna be feeling damn good

816
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:51,920
Speaker 1: all week. They literally played a flawless game, So I

817
00:39:51,960 --> 00:39:53,640
Speaker 1: feel like we're getting a good number based off that,

818
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:57,160
Speaker 1: like the public perception of they just played a flawless game.

819
00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:59,319
Speaker 1: So I'm interure, you see what you gotta do. Chat

820
00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:01,320
Speaker 1: you you want the chief you're on the Bills. The

821
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:05,520
Speaker 1: Chiefs have gotten better pretty much all season, and their

822
00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:10,080
Speaker 1: offensive line has gotten better all season. Every single week

823
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:13,040
Speaker 1: people are trying to explain why their offense hasn't been

824
00:40:13,080 --> 00:40:17,880
Speaker 1: as explosive. Their offense was pretty fucking explosive this past week,

825
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:20,120
Speaker 1: and we gets one of the best defenses in football

826
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:22,840
Speaker 1: against like a pass rush, not a great Russia, not

827
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:26,239
Speaker 1: a great rush defense, but a pass rush that is

828
00:40:26,280 --> 00:40:27,960
Speaker 1: as good as it gets. Right, they were top ten

829
00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:30,680
Speaker 1: against the past. They may have threw for found yards,

830
00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:35,399
Speaker 1: yeah exactly. Um, you know, who knows if they were

831
00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:38,319
Speaker 1: holding some tricks in the bag for the playoffs and

832
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:41,240
Speaker 1: sort of waiting like you know in Rocky when he's

833
00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:44,359
Speaker 1: fighting right handed and then he unleashes the left hand. Um,

834
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:47,359
Speaker 1: or if it was just the way the matchups played out,

835
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:51,320
Speaker 1: and Mahomes was scrambling and so artistic in the pocket.

836
00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 1: But they looked really good too, and they got a

837
00:40:54,080 --> 00:40:57,680
Speaker 1: run game. When McKinnon, I mean that guy, yeah, player

838
00:40:57,719 --> 00:40:59,839
Speaker 1: with the number one. Yeah, you just think he looks

839
00:40:59,840 --> 00:41:01,200
Speaker 1: to said when they have the number one, and he

840
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:03,960
Speaker 1: really does look fast as ship. At the end of

841
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:07,080
Speaker 1: the day, it comes down to this. Patrick Mahomes is

842
00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:10,160
Speaker 1: a generational talent. He's been in the past two Super

843
00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:14,280
Speaker 1: Bowls a m v P quarterback. He's better than Josh Allen.

844
00:41:14,520 --> 00:41:16,759
Speaker 1: He's playing at home, and he's favored by less than

845
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:19,799
Speaker 1: a field goal. Like, let's not overthink this, right, if

846
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:22,800
Speaker 1: we have the same conversations last week about the Bengals

847
00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:26,040
Speaker 1: and the Raiders, the Bengals are a better team, right

848
00:41:27,000 --> 00:41:30,520
Speaker 1: the Chiefs, even if everything is even, the Chiefs should

849
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 1: be favored by three at home. Now they're favored by two.

850
00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:36,719
Speaker 1: I want the Bills to win. I do. I've got

851
00:41:36,719 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 1: a big futures ticket on the Bills. I've got a

852
00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:41,960
Speaker 1: big futures ticket on the on the Packers. I love

853
00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:44,000
Speaker 1: to see the two of them meeting the Super Bowl together.

854
00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:46,759
Speaker 1: I will probably bet on the Chiefs if only to

855
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:50,440
Speaker 1: have a slight hedge on on that future on that

856
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:54,239
Speaker 1: future ticket. Yeah, chief's minus two, it's gotta be Yeah,

857
00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:56,759
Speaker 1: I'm right there with you. It's just again the number is.

858
00:41:56,800 --> 00:41:58,200
Speaker 1: Luckily the numbers do you back it up. But even

859
00:41:58,200 --> 00:41:59,919
Speaker 1: if they kind of went against it, I probably would

860
00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:02,279
Speaker 1: go against man numbers because what you just said, it's like,

861
00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:05,160
Speaker 1: sometimes the numbers can't take you an account how great

862
00:42:05,640 --> 00:42:08,520
Speaker 1: my homes is and we're gonna get burned events like

863
00:42:08,600 --> 00:42:11,560
Speaker 1: we'll lose games with my homes again. Brady the greatest

864
00:42:11,600 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 1: quarterback ever, what is it nine super Bowls? He's been

865
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 1: to ten super Bowls. It's like we've never seen anything

866
00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:19,680
Speaker 1: like it before. The odds of my homes duplicating it

867
00:42:19,800 --> 00:42:23,319
Speaker 1: are probably less than two percent. But it's like, I

868
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:25,720
Speaker 1: maybe I'll fade him on the road next week against

869
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:27,319
Speaker 1: Tennessee when I'm getting a dog and getting a good

870
00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:29,919
Speaker 1: number of Tennessee. But this week, like Chad just said,

871
00:42:29,960 --> 00:42:33,239
Speaker 1: at home, he just does not lose there unless it's

872
00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:35,600
Speaker 1: Tom Brady. So I'm gonna be taking my homes as

873
00:42:35,600 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 1: well as that with that too. This is the kind

874
00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:42,399
Speaker 1: of game, Um, what I do think it'll probably play

875
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:45,759
Speaker 1: against type the total is really high fifty four and

876
00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:50,600
Speaker 1: a half. I'm actually on that over what I know,

877
00:42:50,719 --> 00:42:53,040
Speaker 1: and like statistically I usually would go on the under.

878
00:42:54,080 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 1: I just these two offenses. I just can't see either

879
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:59,120
Speaker 1: quarterback given a damn what the scores, They're just gonna

880
00:42:59,120 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 1: be throwing the balls. So whether permitting, I think Stucky

881
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:05,759
Speaker 1: tweeted out it's like playoff total is this high or

882
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,480
Speaker 1: eight and one towards the under. The only over that's

883
00:43:08,520 --> 00:43:11,160
Speaker 1: ever hit in the playoffs with above this number was

884
00:43:11,200 --> 00:43:14,680
Speaker 1: the Chiefs first the Bills. So I'm I'm just looking

885
00:43:14,719 --> 00:43:17,560
Speaker 1: at two offenses that I love, the O C of

886
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:20,160
Speaker 1: the Bills. I love Andy Reid and what he does

887
00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 1: with his offense. I mean again, the end of the

888
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:26,360
Speaker 1: first quarter was zero zero in that Chiefs game against

889
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:29,200
Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh and went over by like two touchdowns or

890
00:43:29,239 --> 00:43:32,319
Speaker 1: the three touchdowns. Maybe, like you just can't, I just

891
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:34,600
Speaker 1: can't bet these unders in these Chiefs kind of games.

892
00:43:34,600 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 1: So I'll take an over in a match between two

893
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:40,799
Speaker 1: generational talents at quarterback. All right, Well, right now you

894
00:43:40,880 --> 00:43:43,800
Speaker 1: and I are both leaning towards favorites. Kansas City minus two,

895
00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 1: Tennessee minus three and a half we're waiting to see

896
00:43:47,680 --> 00:43:50,080
Speaker 1: what the wise guys do with the Bucks in the Rams,

897
00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:53,239
Speaker 1: and if if we think it's a soft three and

898
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,839
Speaker 1: that the books will move it one way or the other.

899
00:43:55,880 --> 00:43:57,080
Speaker 1: And if it gets to three and a half, will

900
00:43:57,120 --> 00:43:58,480
Speaker 1: take the Rams. If it gets to two and a half,

901
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:01,080
Speaker 1: will take the Bucks, and then a Francisco. We like

902
00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:03,319
Speaker 1: the Niners. We think six is a big number to take.

903
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:06,279
Speaker 1: We're a little worried about some rumors, so we're gonna

904
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:08,319
Speaker 1: give it maybe another twenty four hours or so before

905
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:11,719
Speaker 1: we fully dive in. But come Thursday, we'll have a

906
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:15,839
Speaker 1: lot more answers. When all hope is lost, all that's

907
00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:23,719
Speaker 1: left is relief. Well, let's play roulette. Screw roulette. Last

908
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:26,120
Speaker 1: week I had the Bengals minus four and a half.

909
00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:30,000
Speaker 1: You have the Niners plus three. There we go. I

910
00:44:30,040 --> 00:44:35,799
Speaker 1: will give you first choice. I'm gonna take the best

911
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:38,120
Speaker 1: number available. I'll take that. Oh my god, you're such

912
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:41,480
Speaker 1: a dick. I just convinced you on the Chiefs, and

913
00:44:41,560 --> 00:44:43,920
Speaker 1: now I'm taking the Titans. I'm taking the Titans minus

914
00:44:43,920 --> 00:44:45,640
Speaker 1: three and a half. I do love the Titans. I

915
00:44:45,640 --> 00:44:47,279
Speaker 1: just think you about to get a better number later

916
00:44:47,280 --> 00:44:48,919
Speaker 1: in the week, So I know Chad like to change

917
00:44:48,920 --> 00:44:54,400
Speaker 1: his number. I'm an honorable guy. I always take, but

918
00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:56,799
Speaker 1: I'll take the best number available. Take the Chiefs, even

919
00:44:56,840 --> 00:44:59,239
Speaker 1: though I've seen one of the halts in some books. Um,

920
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:01,840
Speaker 1: I'll take the two. Do we think it's gonna go

921
00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:04,680
Speaker 1: down in one and a half? Might? I mean again,

922
00:45:04,719 --> 00:45:07,279
Speaker 1: all it depends what pro groups are hitting it. Like Mad,

923
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:09,360
Speaker 1: I think of throw three different guys who are runners

924
00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:11,800
Speaker 1: in Jersey already hit this number. And Chad, do you

925
00:45:11,800 --> 00:45:14,080
Speaker 1: see the numbers coming out of New Jersey? Remember all

926
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:15,799
Speaker 1: that noise I heard about how much New York Market

927
00:45:15,840 --> 00:45:19,560
Speaker 1: was gonna affect New Jersey's gambling change nothing? Numbers are

928
00:45:19,600 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 1: just the same. New York Market the past uh eight

929
00:45:23,160 --> 00:45:28,399
Speaker 1: days since it launched has just been on fire. It's

930
00:45:28,400 --> 00:45:30,520
Speaker 1: it's big, it's I mean, it's bigger than Jersey obviously,

931
00:45:30,520 --> 00:45:32,359
Speaker 1: but I'm just saying people have said Jersey numbers many

932
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:34,839
Speaker 1: drop way off. The numbers were above what they were

933
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:37,560
Speaker 1: last year at this point. Gonna shock. It's gonna shock

934
00:45:37,640 --> 00:45:41,120
Speaker 1: people to hear this. But people like to bet. When

935
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:44,280
Speaker 1: they have the opportunity to bet, uh from their couch

936
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:47,359
Speaker 1: on their phones, They're gonna fire the funk away Man.

937
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:50,960
Speaker 1: They're gonna be bet in James Connor anytime, touchdowns as

938
00:45:51,000 --> 00:45:53,960
Speaker 1: often as they possibly can. All Right, I want to

939
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:57,640
Speaker 1: remind people to rate and review the podcast because and

940
00:45:57,640 --> 00:45:59,359
Speaker 1: you're gonna give us a tent are you're gonna give

941
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:01,239
Speaker 1: us five stars? I don't give a ship what you say.

942
00:46:01,280 --> 00:46:03,320
Speaker 1: You can be as mean as you want be critical

943
00:46:03,840 --> 00:46:06,839
Speaker 1: feedback as a gift. It is review time here at

944
00:46:06,840 --> 00:46:09,040
Speaker 1: the Action Network. I will be using anything people saying.

945
00:46:09,040 --> 00:46:12,680
Speaker 1: There's reviews in my reviews of both Matt Mitchell and

946
00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:15,640
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter as employees of the Action Network. Here's a

947
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:22,920
Speaker 1: great review from slop Mix. As a listener. Since the

948
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:25,080
Speaker 1: early days, I have to tip my hat to the

949
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:29,359
Speaker 1: success of The Favorites. Creator Bob Scucci and prominent personality

950
00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:32,760
Speaker 1: Tina had no idea what they were setting in motion

951
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:37,399
Speaker 1: when they launched the first iteration of this podcast. Fast

952
00:46:37,440 --> 00:46:40,520
Speaker 1: forward a number of years and the cockpit is manned

953
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:43,480
Speaker 1: by superproducer and Bill's fan Matt Mitchell and the effort

954
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:48,360
Speaker 1: entertaining Simon Hunter. These guys share immense insight into the

955
00:46:48,400 --> 00:46:51,200
Speaker 1: weekly state of the game. Even better, they make it fun.

956
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:58,120
Speaker 1: Occasional guest Chad Hellman. Chad Hellman provides comic relief in

957
00:46:58,120 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 1: a waiting pick from time to time. Thank you, buddy,

958
00:47:01,600 --> 00:47:06,200
Speaker 1: no I spotted just facts five stars. Hey, Slot Mix.

959
00:47:06,320 --> 00:47:12,160
Speaker 1: Please email podcasts at Action network dot com to claim

960
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:14,680
Speaker 1: your prize. Thank you for the kind words. I'll extend

961
00:47:14,719 --> 00:47:21,440
Speaker 1: them to Chad Hilman. This has been the favorite podcast

962
00:47:21,480 --> 00:47:24,080
Speaker 1: from the Volume and Podcast Network. Join us again on Thursday.

963
00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:27,839
Speaker 1: We will dive deeper into the divisional playoff round. We'll

964
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:30,800
Speaker 1: get even more focused on the Niners and the Packers

965
00:47:30,840 --> 00:47:33,439
Speaker 1: and the Bucks and the Rams. Will update on what's

966
00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:36,600
Speaker 1: happening with the Chiefs and the Bills, and the Titans

967
00:47:36,600 --> 00:47:40,000
Speaker 1: and the Bengals. We will get busy with our big balls.

968
00:47:40,080 --> 00:47:45,000
Speaker 1: Better the week for Simon Hunter. I am Chad Hillman.

969
00:47:46,480 --> 00:47:49,359
Speaker 1: Until next time, I love you