Speaker 1: Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins.
Speaker 2: Now let me check your pulse if you're not. What
Speaker 2: is up? Dolphins?
Speaker 1: And welcome to the Draft Time Podcast, part of the
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins podcast network covering your team, your Miami Dolphins.
Speaker 2: How's it going to everybody?
Speaker 1: I am your host, Travis Wingfield And on today's show,
Speaker 1: it's a preview day.
Speaker 2: Feels good to get back to the actual football. The
Speaker 2: bye week is bye bye.
Speaker 1: Now it's eight games to the finish line and then
Speaker 1: three or four more. We'll see how it goes, but
Speaker 1: it starts Sunday at home versus the Raiders. We'll look
Speaker 1: at the lineups, the matchups, the scheme, the keys to victory,
Speaker 1: and a whole lot more from the Baptist Health Studios
Speaker 1: inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 2: This is the Draft Time Podcast. May Daffe.
Speaker 1: Finally a Dolphins game back in our lives and the
Speaker 1: bye week was awesome. I got a chance to spend
Speaker 1: more time with the family. I got a chance to
Speaker 1: just watch some movies and be alone for a little bit,
Speaker 1: which you fathers of multiple kids know how difficult that
Speaker 1: is to find that kind of time. But like didn't
Speaker 1: really I missed talking Dolphins football, especially like relevant, you know,
Speaker 1: prevalent things that are coming up down the pike. It
Speaker 1: was great to talk to jt. O.
Speaker 2: Sullivan.
Speaker 1: Uh missed out on the guest for the Potential Tuesday podcast,
Speaker 1: wound up taking that day off as far as the
Speaker 1: podcast goes.
Speaker 2: But on top of that.
Speaker 1: The bye week was as sweet as it could have been,
Speaker 1: right even though it was the longest week of the
Speaker 1: year in terms of how slow it went by, since
Speaker 1: for me, July probably feeled that way for anybody else,
Speaker 1: I'm sure it did. But even though it took forever,
Speaker 1: the Dolphins will now play every single Sunday except for
Speaker 1: a Monday game and a Friday game, I suppose, for
Speaker 1: the next two months plus, so we have that in
Speaker 1: our lives. Plus, the bye week was absolutely fantastic. I
Speaker 1: think I last left you guys saying I hope the
Speaker 1: Bills can lose tonight, and now that they have lost
Speaker 1: that game, you know, we'll talk about that scenario here
Speaker 1: once again, because I talked about in the podcast last
Speaker 1: week that if you know, Miami takes care of business
Speaker 1: over the next five games, Buffalo has to find their
Speaker 1: way to a five hundred record against really good slate
Speaker 1: of competition just to prevent Miami from clinching the division
Speaker 1: before the Christmas Eve game against Dallas. We'll get back
Speaker 1: into that. Let's go ahead and start here. Excuse me,
Speaker 1: with the raiders in town and the locals know, the
Speaker 1: rain and lower temperatures this week have been welcome. In fact,
Speaker 1: as I record this, it is a downpour on Wednesday.
Speaker 1: I doubt practice goes outside today. But the good news
Speaker 1: for those coming into town looking for a nice little
Speaker 1: late fall get away from your cold weather is the
Speaker 1: sunshine comes back for Sundayenen, the rain ceases on Thursday,
Speaker 1: and then we head right into an absolutely beautiful weekend
Speaker 1: and week of South Florida weather. We wait all year
Speaker 1: for this, starting on Friday through next Thursday, Thanksgiving, when
Speaker 1: the team leaves for New York. It's sunny every day,
Speaker 1: and the high never eclipses eighty three, and most days
Speaker 1: it does not eclipse eighty and the lows are pretty
Speaker 1: much sixty three, sixty four, sixty five across the board
Speaker 1: every single day.
Speaker 2: This is the payoff for those six.
Speaker 1: Months we have of boiling heat down here. Let's go
Speaker 1: ahead and get to know these raiders who come from
Speaker 1: a very warm climate themselves.
Speaker 2: Turnover and tumultuous.
Speaker 1: Times have been the theme for the Raiders since they
Speaker 1: moved to Vegas, and it's kind of a bummer. I
Speaker 1: think the league is better when the Raiders are good,
Speaker 1: and they're a team that I don't have any ill
Speaker 1: will towards, you know, in general. I think some folks
Speaker 1: that maybe grew up as fans of the league in
Speaker 1: the eighties.
Speaker 2: Feel that way.
Speaker 1: But you know, it's hard to hate a team that's
Speaker 1: you know, won three or four games a year for
Speaker 1: like fifteen years straight, and like, if you want to
Speaker 1: talk about all time pain rankings, that twenty sixteen season
Speaker 1: where they finally got off the mat and made something
Speaker 1: of themselves and had like I think they won twelve
Speaker 1: games that year, but their quarterback, Derek Carr, he got
Speaker 1: injured I think the penultimate game of the season, and
Speaker 1: they wind up starting Connor Cook in a playoff game
Speaker 1: and lose to the Brock aust Weiler led Texans.
Speaker 2: That would be like if the Bills started.
Speaker 1: Kyle Allen in that game last January and we still
Speaker 1: lost it with Skaler Thompson playing in that game, But
Speaker 1: then they revert right back to the prior thirteen years
Speaker 1: that they had had before that, a period where they
Speaker 1: averaged just four point nine wins a year, and they
Speaker 1: had back to back eight win seasons in that mix.
Speaker 1: That really propped up what was annually two three four
Speaker 1: wins a year, so twelve and four and twenty sixteen
Speaker 1: and then six wins, four wins, seven wins, eight wins
Speaker 1: the next four years. Then back to the playoffs with
Speaker 1: an interim coach, which is where they're at right now,
Speaker 1: trying to make that same push for the second time
Speaker 1: in three years, and they're throwing into the end zone
Speaker 1: in Cincinnati to tie that game in the wild card
Speaker 1: round to the eventual AFC champions They wind up going
Speaker 1: four and out and followed that up with a six
Speaker 1: and eleven season last year. But now they're five and five.
Speaker 1: They've beaten the Giants and Jets. Yeah, get a little
Speaker 1: bit of context there to get Antonio Pierce's career off
Speaker 1: to a two and zero star as head coach, and
Speaker 1: you know, you can talk about the opponents all you want,
Speaker 1: but they did what they had to do to put
Speaker 1: themselves in position to maybe make a run with this
Speaker 1: saying down the stretch, but they have a big, big,
Speaker 1: big road test down here in Miami Gardens. Thirteen point
Speaker 1: dogs in this game, So that's those games usually don't
Speaker 1: go in your favor. But let's go ahead and keep
Speaker 1: this intro rolling. How was this roster assembled for LV, Well,
Speaker 1: it's cobbled together by multiple decision makers and that's usually
Speaker 1: when you get.
Speaker 2: A pretty rough roster. Right.
Speaker 1: They're still in the post Gruden Mayock era in terms
Speaker 1: of holdovers from those rosters, and now they'll be in
Speaker 1: the midst of another turnover with a dismissal of Josh
Speaker 1: McDaniels just one and a half years into his run there.
Speaker 2: It's a tough way to make.
Speaker 1: A living when you consistently turn over your coaching staff
Speaker 1: because everybody has different flavors, right. But a good example
Speaker 1: is they signed Jimmy Garoppolo to a three year contract
Speaker 1: with a ton of guaranteed money to reunite with his
Speaker 1: former OC in New England, McDaniels, And now he's gone,
Speaker 1: and they make the switch to Aidan O'Connell, a fourth
Speaker 1: round pick this year, and his top target is an
Speaker 1: All Pro receiver who signed to play with the previous
Speaker 1: quarterback his former college teammate at Fresno State, Derek Carr.
Speaker 1: You see how this is all kind of getting muddled together,
Speaker 1: Jacoby Myers. I'm sure a lot of that his acquisition
Speaker 1: had to do with Josh McDaniels coming from the Patriots.
Speaker 1: I thought he was their best offseason move. And why
Speaker 1: the hell the Patriots let that guy go for that
Speaker 1: cost to bring in Juju Smith Schuster is beyond me,
Speaker 1: but we'll take it maybe their best move besides drafting
Speaker 1: Michael Mayer in the first round from Notre Dame, who
Speaker 1: I think is gonna be pretty good player. But their
Speaker 1: offensive line has also seen a ton of turnover. That
Speaker 1: twenty sixteen team I talked about, that team was good
Speaker 1: because of an awesome offensive line, and I thought they
Speaker 1: really propped up like Derek Carr year that year. But
Speaker 1: it hasn't been the same for a couple of years.
Speaker 1: They voluntarily cut off pieces like Rodney Hudson, and all
Speaker 1: of a sudden they have this cobbled together offensive line
Speaker 1: that's not playing very well. Their best player was a
Speaker 1: Day three pick in Max Crosby out of Eastern Michigan.
Speaker 1: And if you follow the Lockdown Dolphins podcast back in
Speaker 1: my time, He was a guy that when I was
Speaker 1: watching four college football games every single window, every single Saturday,
Speaker 1: I would watch, you know, Purdue versus Eastern Michigan because
Speaker 1: a little scratch on the game, and I was like, damn,
Speaker 1: miss Max Crosby. Guys pretty good. And he turned out
Speaker 1: to be pretty good. But he anchors a defensive line
Speaker 1: that was again built through free agency. John Jenkins, you
Speaker 1: guys know about him. Adam Butler you know about him.
Speaker 1: Jerry Tillery, a former first round draft pick that didn't
Speaker 1: pan out for the Chargers, but then also the sixth
Speaker 1: pick in the draft, and Tyree Wilson who has not
Speaker 1: played well or barely played it all this year. That's
Speaker 1: how it goes all the way to the back seven.
Speaker 1: This is a roster where you can just see the
Speaker 1: lack of draft hits from that previous regime because almost
Speaker 1: every major contributor is a recent free agent signing, and
Speaker 1: you've already dismissed the half of the pieces in terms
Speaker 1: of where the scheme was supposed to match up with
Speaker 1: those players coming in, or for instance, a guy that
Speaker 1: was a free agent acquisition that's playing one of their
Speaker 1: playing one of the best on the team right now
Speaker 1: is linebacker Robert Splaine, who I know all you guys
Speaker 1: know about because you watched that Jets game and loved
Speaker 1: that pick that he had on Zach Wilson to put
Speaker 1: that game to rest. In the defensive backfield, Marcus Epps,
Speaker 1: again brought in from Philly, might be the next guy
Speaker 1: in terms of the best offseason acquisitions. They did a
Speaker 1: good job of remaking a defense that has struggle for
Speaker 1: years with this free agency period. But we'll see how
Speaker 1: long they can hold up at the course of the
Speaker 1: season because it's not deep in a lot of areas.
Speaker 1: And his counterpart, Trayvon Merrig was a guy they did
Speaker 1: draft in the second round under Mike Mayock, an absolute
Speaker 1: stud from TCU. Marcus Peters another guy they signed in
Speaker 1: free agency this summer. I imagine you'll see rookie Jacory
Speaker 1: and Bennett along with Nate Hobbs riding out the secondary,
Speaker 1: and those are two of the guys that play a
Speaker 1: lot or Bennett will in the absence of a meek Robertson,
Speaker 1: who went into the fencing posture on Sunday night against
Speaker 1: the Jets, the same posture that Tua took when he
Speaker 1: was injured against the Bengals. I can't imagine he plays
Speaker 1: because that would seem to be.
Speaker 2: Crazy to me. So if it is Jacoreyan.
Speaker 1: Bennett and and Nate Hobbs, sorry, that would be two
Speaker 1: guys in their defensive backle they actually drafted that are
Speaker 1: back there. So and along with treyvon merreg gives them
Speaker 1: a three. But you get the idea. It's a roster
Speaker 1: that is gonna see a ton more change over next year,
Speaker 1: in a couple of years in the future, because you'll
Speaker 1: get a new head coach.
Speaker 2: And this is a what's the word I'm looking for?
Speaker 2: A merry go round? A you know, musical chairs that
Speaker 2: you just don't want to be on.
Speaker 1: Man tough to make a living that way. How about
Speaker 1: some storylines for this game? This feels like we don't
Speaker 1: talk about this as much as we used to. Maybe
Speaker 1: it's because air travel has gotten better, and you know,
Speaker 1: sports science has gotten better. But the cross country eleven
Speaker 1: am body clock off of a short week used to
Speaker 1: be ten am. But they're in the Mountain time zone now,
Speaker 1: I believe, I think. But you're probably saying to yourself,
Speaker 1: trave a short week, not exactly, but you know Sunday
Speaker 1: night is seven hours later than a one pm kickoff,
Speaker 1: and that just kind of pushes things back a few hours.
Speaker 1: So you get the game finished, let's say local time
Speaker 1: in Vegas by ten pm. You're not gonna unwind after
Speaker 1: playing an NFL football game for a few hours. So
Speaker 1: maybe you go out and you get some dinner, maybe
Speaker 1: you go back home and ice up and watch you know,
Speaker 1: Scott van Pelton.
Speaker 2: You don't get to bed until one or two o'clock.
Speaker 1: In the morning, and so your Monday morning alarm clock
Speaker 1: comes a little bit earlier than you want. Corrections on Monday,
Speaker 1: can you kind of get pushed back a little bit.
Speaker 1: But the real data point here is just the one
Speaker 1: pm kick for a West Coast operation or again formerly
Speaker 1: West Coast, now I guess Southwest.
Speaker 2: But how have the Raiders fared in such games this year?
Speaker 1: They played one East Coast game in the one o'clock window,
Speaker 1: a thirty eight to ten drubbing up in Buffalo. Last
Speaker 1: year Eastern time zone at one pm, they were zero
Speaker 1: to three, oh to four in total because they played
Speaker 1: a Saturday night game against Pittsburgh. But now I'm curious
Speaker 1: to go back further, because this seems to be a
Speaker 1: thing right. They beat Pittsburgh in Week two in Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: back in twenty twenty one, that was the last time
Speaker 1: they won a one o'clock kickoff on the East Coast,
Speaker 1: but since then they have lost five straight one.
Speaker 2: Pm kicks in the Eastern time zone. And also, the
Speaker 2: heat used to be a thing.
Speaker 1: And though Vegas is a dry heat, this isn't the
Speaker 1: old Bay Area climate right, so acclamation will be there,
Speaker 1: but not as it is for other teams. I think
Speaker 1: another storyline here is the former Finns connections. Did you
Speaker 1: guys realize how many former Dolphins they have on their
Speaker 1: coaching staff. I bet you didn't because their interimc slash
Speaker 1: QB's coach Bo hart Agree spent some time here. I'm
Speaker 1: pretty sure that most you guys remember the name Jerry
Speaker 1: sh Plinsky. He was the first quarterbacks coach that Brian
Speaker 1: Flores brought in. He coaches the tight ends out there.
Speaker 1: Matt Lombardi is an assistant receivers coach. He was here
Speaker 1: for a minute. Patrick Graham, I know you guys know
Speaker 1: about him. He's the DC out there. Rob Leonard coached
Speaker 1: our outside linebackers last year. He's on the defensive line
Speaker 1: out there and then Danny am Mondola is also an
Speaker 1: assistant on their staff to the roster. Brandon Bolden Germaine
Speaker 1: Iluminor spent a camp here. John Jenkins has had a
Speaker 1: lot of stops here. Adam Butler. There's ten total guys
Speaker 1: here that used to be in the Dolphins program. Another storyline,
Speaker 1: the bye week broke in our favor. Can we capitalized?
Speaker 1: I've quite literally never experienced a weekend that good in
Speaker 1: which the Dolphins didn't play. The entire division lost. The
Speaker 1: North and South leaders lost the team I think is
Speaker 1: the biggest challenge to that. North leader also lost the
Speaker 1: Ravens and Bengals. We found out today that Shawn Watson
Speaker 1: has a shoulder season ending shoulder injury.
Speaker 2: That's so sad for him. Man, I that sucks. That's sarcasm.
Speaker 2: So we'll see about them.
Speaker 1: But Casey was idle or else they had lost, it
Speaker 1: would have nearly undone the loss we had the previous week,
Speaker 1: because you basically catch a game on literally everybody you're.
Speaker 2: Contending with in the standings.
Speaker 1: But now you've spin it forward to the Dolphins playing
Speaker 1: a football game and capitalizing. Miami's in a position to
Speaker 1: take care of business. And you know, scoreboard watching to me,
Speaker 1: it makes the game way more fun. I love having
Speaker 1: multiple games, like having the Jets and Bills in primetime
Speaker 1: was awesome, like having invested interest there, and that Bill's game,
Speaker 1: Like my heart sank when that field goal missed man
Speaker 1: then then the flag came out and I went back
Speaker 1: the other direction. Those emotions are so much fun, and
Speaker 1: it kind of reminds you, Like I was really down
Speaker 1: to dumps after that Chief's loss, right, I just couldn't
Speaker 1: get over the fact that I still think it's going
Speaker 1: to cost us the one seed I really do, which sucks.
Speaker 1: But you know, I was really down to dumps about that.
Speaker 1: But that Bill's game, you appreciate that those lows make
Speaker 1: you realize that those highs are around the corner as well,
Speaker 1: especially when you have a good football team like the
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins do.
Speaker 2: So that was a great, great week.
Speaker 1: We'll start scoreboard watching more and more as we go
Speaker 1: along with the whole idea here is if the Dolphins
Speaker 1: just handle their business.
Speaker 2: Over the next month, the AFC East is going to
Speaker 2: be theirs.
Speaker 1: Dolphins. We've talked about it a million times. Raiders, Jets, Commanders, Titans, Jets,
Speaker 1: like you should go five to zero. With the way
Speaker 1: this team plays, the way this quarterback has a super
Speaker 1: high floor. It never seems to lose these games. Really
Speaker 1: pays into your benefit. All of a sudden, the Bills
Speaker 1: now face the Jets, They're at the Eagles bye week
Speaker 1: at the Chiefs home for the Cowboys, and in the
Speaker 1: scenario that Miami does take care of business and wins
Speaker 1: all five of those games, Buffalo has to go.
Speaker 2: At least at least.
Speaker 1: Three and one during that stretch to prevent Miami from
Speaker 1: clinching the division prior to the Dallas game. Now, assuming
Speaker 1: five straight wins, Yeah, may be dumb. I don't think
Speaker 1: it is here, but you can see why all the
Speaker 1: analytics models now have Miami's division title percentage odds over
Speaker 1: seventy five percent.
Speaker 2: Right now, it's our division to lose.
Speaker 1: Baby. We'll see how it plays out, but this could
Speaker 1: potentially be the first time that Buffalo and New England
Speaker 1: don't win eleven plus games one of the two since
Speaker 1: two thousand and two. In fact, the number has been
Speaker 1: twelve plus game every year except for two thousand and eight,
Speaker 1: when we won the division tie with the Patriots at
Speaker 1: eleven and five. And twenty twenty one when the Bills
Speaker 1: went eleven and six. Finally, the AFC East is not
Speaker 1: a juggernaut outside of Miami. Finally, let's go ahead and
Speaker 1: take our first break rate there, come back on the
Speaker 1: other side and preview the Raiders defense against this Dolphins offense.
Speaker 1: That's Next Draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield.
Speaker 2: Brought to you by Auto Nation.
Speaker 1: Recently, I started grabbing my microphone and holding it up
Speaker 1: to my face and sitting back and relaxing, and I
Speaker 1: feel like it makes the podcast better.
Speaker 2: Do you guys notice that at all?
Speaker 1: I don't know, just a little uh trick of the
Speaker 1: trade here inside baseball. Let's go ahead and get to
Speaker 1: this Dolphins offense versus Raiders defense matchup here. And I
Speaker 1: you know, if you guys haven't noticed, the best way
Speaker 1: to make me sensitive on Twitter is to say that
Speaker 1: I'm biased against for the Dolphins, because yeah, I'm a
Speaker 1: fan of the team, and I do tend to see
Speaker 1: things on the positive side of things, but I also
Speaker 1: like the way I feel about this team has been
Speaker 1: a progression going back to twenty twenty because I've always
Speaker 1: thought that Chris twenty nineteen really with the acclamation or
Speaker 1: accumulation of draft picks and just general capital because I
Speaker 1: believed in the process. I believed in the players they had.
Speaker 1: I believe the coaching staff previously had been holding back
Speaker 1: a lot of talent they had, and now you've seen
Speaker 1: that all kind of come to fruition. You've seen the
Speaker 1: current iteration of this, you know, group attack star players
Speaker 1: and round out your team with game changing talent, like
Speaker 1: a Tyreek Hill, like a Toront Armstead, like a Jalen Ramsey,
Speaker 1: and on and on and on. So I get so
Speaker 1: sensitive when I see that on Twitter because it's not true.
Speaker 1: I just think the Dolphins are a damn good football
Speaker 1: team and that's where that comes from. And it's easy
Speaker 1: for detractors to say, like Travis is a homer, Travis
Speaker 1: gets paychecks from the team.
Speaker 2: Those are both true.
Speaker 1: But I'll tell you what, in twenty twenty one, when
Speaker 1: this team was one and five, go listen to those podcasts,
Speaker 1: and go listen to the Zacobe Brissette breakdowns, and tell
Speaker 1: me how I felt about the team back then. So
Speaker 1: the reason I bring this up is because I'm going
Speaker 1: to tell you I think the Dolphins are going to
Speaker 1: absolutely roll in this game, and it feels like I
Speaker 1: say that every single week.
Speaker 2: I have picked him every game.
Speaker 1: I flipped the Eagles pick because Connor didn't play, so
Speaker 1: I did win that pick. Technically didn't want to win,
Speaker 1: but I did. I thought they would perform better against
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. They kind of let us down on that one.
Speaker 1: I can think we all can agree on that, even
Speaker 1: though they were close to winning it late. But you're
Speaker 1: gonna get more of the same. Man. I think the
Speaker 1: Dolphins are gonna roll down the back half of the schedule.
Speaker 2: I think there's.
Speaker 1: Really one game that right now where we're at, I
Speaker 1: would pick us to lose.
Speaker 2: It's the Baltimore game.
Speaker 1: Other than that, I think Miami right now, with the
Speaker 1: way things are, I would predict thirteen and four. I
Speaker 1: told you about that in the podcast already last week.
Speaker 1: So that's just kind of a preamble into why I'm
Speaker 1: gonna tell you how Dolphins are gonna roll in this game.
Speaker 1: So Dolphins offense, so this Raiders defensive backfield's banged up.
Speaker 2: Man.
Speaker 1: I mentioned Trayvon Merrick. He's played every snap in Marcus
Speaker 1: Epps has played ninety eight percent of the snaps. They
Speaker 1: never go three safety, so it's those two guys and
Speaker 1: those two guys only, and then at corner they are
Speaker 1: super super thin. Marcus Peters ninety six percent of the snaps.
Speaker 1: He's he's a great player. He's a gambler. I think
Speaker 1: you know, two on and Tyreek could get him on
Speaker 1: one of those single man coverage plays that we get
Speaker 1: every single week if he takes the cheese on a
Speaker 1: you know, a.
Speaker 2: Short move or doesn't get enough depth.
Speaker 1: And then Jacorey and Bennett is kind of next in
Speaker 1: line because Brandon face On is on IR. He was
Speaker 1: supposed to be a perimeter starter as well a safety.
Speaker 1: Roderick Teamer maybe this is why they only run two safeties.
Speaker 1: He's also on IR, so is outside linebacker Darien Butler,
Speaker 1: but a Meek Robertson, their other starting cornerback who plays
Speaker 1: pretty much every snap in the absence of Brandon face On. Again,
Speaker 1: he left Sunday's game in the fencing posture, so I
Speaker 1: just can't imagine he returns to the lineup. It would
Speaker 1: be irresponsible to have that happen. Jackorey and Bennett is
Speaker 1: his replacement. He was also injured in game but came
Speaker 1: back into the lineup, but he's man, I don't know.
Speaker 1: Inside Nate Hobbs plays fifty one percent of the snaps.
Speaker 1: Robertson would kick inside as well, So there's there's a
Speaker 1: lot of fluidity in the back seven of this defense.
Speaker 1: That's what I'm trying to tell you. They're gonna have
Speaker 1: to elevate practice squad corners. I imagine Jack Jones has
Speaker 1: a chance to play because without roberts and the acquisition
Speaker 1: of Jones, he's their fifth cornerback, and they're gonna have
Speaker 1: to go into the practice squad to get special teams reps,
Speaker 1: maybe even perimeter snaps if one guy goes down. So
Speaker 1: it's and these are the games where like the Dolphins
Speaker 1: just roll right Like we've seen that that Cardinals game
Speaker 1: back in twenty twenty, they were down a bunch of
Speaker 1: corners to a shred of those guys. Even Ryan Fitzpatrick
Speaker 1: and the Niers game that year, they were down a
Speaker 1: bunch of corners and they shredded those guys. You know
Speaker 1: the Panthers game this year, down safety's got shredded. The
Speaker 1: Giants were down, corners got shredded. It's not a good
Speaker 1: proposition to have missing corners against this Dolphins offense as.
Speaker 2: Far as they're upfront grouping goes Balala.
Speaker 1: Nichols is the leading defensive tackle at fifty eight percent,
Speaker 1: John Jenkins fifty five percent, Jeremy Tillery forty five percent,
Speaker 1: and then Adam Butler forty five So you can that's
Speaker 1: all basically half the snaps, right. Those guys are in
Speaker 1: a pretty consistent rotation. It keeps them fresh, it keeps
Speaker 1: them going, which is a good thing for them here
Speaker 1: playing in Miami, Max Rosby doesn't leave the field ninety
Speaker 1: eight percent of the snaps, Tyree Wilson forty one percent,
Speaker 1: and then Malcolm Coon's thirty six percent. At linebacker, Robert
Speaker 1: Splaine never leaves the field, and then Dion Diablo is
Speaker 1: a sixty percent snap taker. He's a safety linebacker hybrid
Speaker 1: fun player to watch. Back there, they're in their base
Speaker 1: defense two percent of the time. They run a heavy
Speaker 1: box fifteen percent, which could be construed as like a
Speaker 1: four defensive back or rather a base package, but it's
Speaker 1: a lot of short yards like two corners, one safety,
Speaker 1: everyone else up in the box. A lot of that
Speaker 1: has to do with the devine Diablo being one of
Speaker 1: their top guys back there, but their Nickel package is
Speaker 1: eighty one percent at the time, So really the closest
Speaker 1: version in terms of lack of diversity and their scheme
Speaker 1: to the bills that we'll see on the schedule just
Speaker 1: crazy splits. But I think that Diablo being unique is
Speaker 1: a big part of that, but also their willingness to
Speaker 1: run a six to two look where they have six
Speaker 1: down line and I mentioned all those guys that play
Speaker 1: half the snaps. They're not shy about getting all of
Speaker 1: those guys on the field and then go on like
Speaker 1: Crosby and Wilson off the edge with Splain and Diablo
Speaker 1: in the in the box as well. But then they'll
Speaker 1: go from that to basically skip over their base entirely.
Speaker 2: It's just one of the more unique deployments we'll see
Speaker 2: this year.
Speaker 1: And with eighty five percent of their snaps calling for
Speaker 1: five or six dbs for a team that's banged up
Speaker 1: back there right now, I'm curious to see how they
Speaker 1: adjust to that and how the Dolphins can perhaps try
Speaker 1: to dictate personnel with their own groupings. On offense, Patrick
Speaker 1: Graham's the defensive coordinator, So you Ryder dies here from
Speaker 1: Lockdown know that we did dupe dives on the Patrick
Speaker 1: Graham defense, and that means, you know that slots of
Speaker 1: odd fronts. They love that bear front where you cover
Speaker 1: up the guard center guard with you know, head up
Speaker 1: over the both those guys with a two technique, a
Speaker 1: pair of two techniques and a zero technique, and that's
Speaker 1: why you see just one true edge rusher with starter snaps.
Speaker 1: They roll out three defensive tackles and wouldn't you know it,
Speaker 1: John Jenkins was the nose on that team back back
Speaker 1: in twenty nineteen, and here he is with the Raiders
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three. But Tillery is a Wilkins stealer type,
Speaker 1: a three hundred pound defensive tackle that plays more four
Speaker 1: io to five technique off the garden tackle than he
Speaker 1: does the one technique the shade off the center.
Speaker 2: And that's kind of how the whole group is built.
Speaker 1: But back to the previous point, I think you're afforded
Speaker 1: a couple of opportunities for how to try to take
Speaker 1: advantage of that approach with one if you get them
Speaker 1: to match you in short yardage defense, we've seen Miami's
Speaker 1: ability to go empty from twenty one or even twenty
Speaker 1: two personnel. The beauty of alec Ingold right or number two,
Speaker 1: get them into those nickel looks and run the football
Speaker 1: behind a run oriented package once again, which also is
Speaker 1: your twenty one personnel.
Speaker 2: Alec Ingold is a unicorn right. They play a.
Speaker 1: Dead split between single and two high pre snap, which
Speaker 1: makes sense. Most teams find a way to mix it
Speaker 1: up in terms of what structure you typically get. This
Speaker 1: is where it's different, and this is where it goes
Speaker 1: back to Flores Boyer style defense.
Speaker 2: Thirty seven percent.
Speaker 1: Cover three is one of the highest in the entire league,
Speaker 1: and that almost always pairs with a good deal of
Speaker 1: single high because the conversion off of that the defenses
Speaker 1: will try to confuse opposing quarterbacks with is man free
Speaker 1: cover one.
Speaker 2: What does that mean?
Speaker 1: Cover one is just a single high safety and then
Speaker 1: man coverage all across the board. Times you can zone
Speaker 1: things off in other spots, but typically man free, single
Speaker 1: high man across the board. Cover three is where you
Speaker 1: have a player taking a deep third across the Board's
Speaker 1: that same single high safety can play the middle center field,
Speaker 1: and then you have a left field or right field
Speaker 1: or so to speak, at the cornerback positions that get
Speaker 1: their depth and there's more hook curl flat zones underneath,
Speaker 1: So man, coverage against Miami's not good. But cover three
Speaker 1: there's a playbook, A lot of playbooks out there will
Speaker 1: tell you that everything works against Cover three, and that's
Speaker 1: kind of true.
Speaker 2: So good luck, you know, man, Like I don't know,
Speaker 2: they're remaining forty five percent.
Speaker 1: They spend seventeen percent of their snaps in quarters, ten
Speaker 1: percent in cover two. Those are two, you know, kind
Speaker 1: of comparable coverages. We've run a lot of that quarters
Speaker 1: cover two concepts Cover six and then the rest they
Speaker 1: have some zero and Cover six those are both under
Speaker 1: five percent. So basically it's a Cover three Cover one defense.
Speaker 1: It's a lot of the same principles we saw under
Speaker 1: floor as in Boyer, but a lot less zero.
Speaker 2: And a lot less blitzing.
Speaker 1: I mentioned less than five percent Cover zero they blitzed
Speaker 1: just twenty three percent of the time, which is the
Speaker 1: sixth lowest in the NFL. Structurally, it's primarily that that
Speaker 1: C one C three look that wants to disguise what
Speaker 1: they're gonna show you, and that's where I think the
Speaker 1: attrition at cornerback really really hurts them. It's tough to
Speaker 1: disguise and make changes on the fly and to adapt
Speaker 1: to motion and things that happen in the snap like that,
Speaker 1: when you're working in new pieces of the lineup. You
Speaker 1: see that in coverage, you see it in pass protection,
Speaker 1: you see it in run defense. It's a tough part
Speaker 1: of injuries, which is obviously a big part of the game.
Speaker 1: But how you can employ your system with new pieces,
Speaker 1: that is what truly makes a great coach.
Speaker 2: And it's hard to do. It's very, very very hard
Speaker 2: to do. Up front.
Speaker 1: They want to get one thing done, one thing, and
Speaker 1: one thing. Only find ways to create one v one
Speaker 1: chances for Max two X's Crosby, though he's not someone
Speaker 1: that needs that to be productive. I'm not sure I've
Speaker 1: seen a player who outworks his man of the time
Speaker 1: like this guy. It's it's insane. The motor is crazy.
Speaker 1: He's a phenomenal pass rusher. He's athletic, he's bendy, he's strong,
Speaker 1: he's determined. He's a perfect player. Only Miles Garrett and
Speaker 1: Micah Parsons draw more double teams, and all three of
Speaker 1: those guys still have the pass rush production regardless of
Speaker 1: how you play them. They want to run big body
Speaker 1: defensive tackle DN game packages and pick off pieces and
Speaker 1: attempt to get him those one on one blocks. So
Speaker 1: you have to communicate inside very very well. Patrick Graham
Speaker 1: runs one of the most in depth game schemes up
Speaker 1: front and has big bodies to do it.
Speaker 2: And Adam Butler, who I think.
Speaker 1: Is a big part of that, and the Dolphins interior
Speaker 1: since the injury to Isaiah Win with Connor Williams being
Speaker 1: in and out of the lineup, and we probably won't
Speaker 1: have Rob Hunt. It looks like this game the inactivity
Speaker 1: of in terms of repetition with those three guys on
Speaker 1: the interior, it's kind of defensive line that can give
Speaker 1: you some problems because they can execute those games if
Speaker 1: you don't get him passed off.
Speaker 2: It's quick pressure, it's quick hits. Its sacks in your quarterbacks.
Speaker 1: Max Crosby has nine and a half sacks, fifteen QB hits,
Speaker 1: thirteen tackles for lost, fifty eight quarterback pressures. That's your primary,
Speaker 1: your secondary, and your third priority on this team. I
Speaker 1: doubt you see him rushing Austin Jackson alone very often.
Speaker 1: And the Jets did do a good job getting their
Speaker 1: wide running game going a little bit, and we know
Speaker 1: that Miami can neutralize some of the top pass rushers
Speaker 1: with one of the best wide zone games and crackback
Speaker 1: action in the entire National Football League. So there's always
Speaker 1: an answer solution to those potential issues that you can find.
Speaker 2: But then I think you have.
Speaker 1: To trust the rest of your crew to win the
Speaker 1: one on ones. I would be very surprised if you
Speaker 1: don't see a ton of one slides isolation slides for
Speaker 1: Tron Armstead play in the left tackle position, because whether
Speaker 1: it's Tyree Wilson or Malcolm Coons or whoever, that's not a
Speaker 1: good matchup for them.
Speaker 2: And that's why I think.
Speaker 1: It's important to get practice reps all week for your
Speaker 1: top five because to handle those games, we have to
Speaker 1: make sure we know what's coming and be able to
Speaker 1: prepare for them. It's great to have Connor Willies back
Speaker 1: in the pivot for that main reason again. Adam Butler
Speaker 1: just be ready for his quickness. No one has a
Speaker 1: faster first step at that size than him, and it
Speaker 1: worked for him. He was a big player for us
Speaker 1: the year that we had him. Here's some numbers, real
Speaker 1: quick and some styles, so they're players. Max Crosby fifty
Speaker 1: eight pressures leads the team and I think he's top
Speaker 1: three in the NFL.
Speaker 2: But he's a master of everything.
Speaker 1: Malcolm Coons has twenty, so literally a sixty percent drop
Speaker 1: off there. I think math is correct correct. He's a length,
Speaker 1: get off, speed convert to power guy. He kind of
Speaker 1: reminds me a little bit of like Robert Quinn when
Speaker 1: we had him here. Adam Butler seventeen pressures, quick, quick, quick,
Speaker 1: that's my notes there. And then Jerry Tillery's sixteen pressure
Speaker 1: is long, heavy handed, and a key to their game packages,
Speaker 1: especially when he pairs with Butler because of how just
Speaker 1: physical and heavy handed he is. So it's a well
Speaker 1: balanced group that has played really well together this year.
Speaker 1: And you know, Patrick Graham not a big blitzer all
Speaker 1: time low for him. I wonder if his blitz percentage
Speaker 1: being his lowest in his career is partly because his
Speaker 1: mic linebacker is one of the best in terms of
Speaker 1: coverage in the league. Three hundred and thirty eight snaps
Speaker 1: in coverage forty as a rusher with just thirteen pressures
Speaker 1: just not his game, but three picks and no tds
Speaker 1: allowed and just two hundred and eighty yards allowed in
Speaker 1: those coverage snaps.
Speaker 2: Those are really good numbers.
Speaker 1: He wants to play ford and side to side to
Speaker 1: get in the hook zone. So well I think Miami
Speaker 1: does with how they stretch the hook zone with those
Speaker 1: fifteen to eighteen yard routes. With the threat of the
Speaker 1: running game, it's a big, big asks for a guy
Speaker 1: like Splaine, and he reminds me more of a land
Speaker 1: and robber than David Long, which is why another reason
Speaker 1: why I'm thinking the Dolphins gonna have a lot of
Speaker 1: success in this game. Just to be frank, I don't
Speaker 1: think he can do it. It's a big ass. There
Speaker 1: aren't many guys that can. I think he go after
Speaker 1: him and after him and then pound the middle of
Speaker 1: that defense with the intermediate passing game, And because the
Speaker 1: coverage structure and skill outside, I don't think is up
Speaker 1: for it either. They're thin there, they play off, they
Speaker 1: give up zone access inside. I think our quarterback is
Speaker 1: about to go scorched earth in this one. Three hundred
Speaker 1: and fifty yards, three touchdowns for two a tongue. Bai
Speaker 1: LOOA would be very surprised if he does not have
Speaker 1: a monster day of production here. They've just not had
Speaker 1: that consistent second perimeter guy outside of Marcus Peters. Meek
Speaker 1: Robertson was finding his footing there, but he's not gonna play.
Speaker 1: So it's rookie Jacory and Bennett and PFF has him
Speaker 1: with one hundred and ninety six coverage snaps and two
Speaker 1: hundred and seventy yards allowed. Yikes.
Speaker 2: I think we go after him.
Speaker 1: He tips his leverage and to attacks him choose him up,
Speaker 1: especially when he expects Splain to be there to take
Speaker 1: the inbreakers, but it's just too deep. Those are the
Speaker 1: two guys I'm kind of putting the the uh.
Speaker 2: Sombrero on there.
Speaker 1: I think Miami has a chance to really get both
Speaker 1: Tyreek and Waddle going in this game. They don't travel,
Speaker 1: they zone turn a lot, and I think that inside
Speaker 1: access will be there. The key will be keeping the
Speaker 1: linebackers attention with the running game enough to get them
Speaker 1: to take a step forward. And that's why I'm so
Speaker 1: pumped get devond A Chan back because the way he
Speaker 1: threatens you with big plays in the running game, it
Speaker 1: forces you to not be able to get that depth.
Speaker 1: You just can't afford to let him get free runs
Speaker 1: in the second level. So him being back, I think
Speaker 1: makes for a big day for all three of those
Speaker 1: playmakers Wattle, Reekan e Chan. I love their safety combo,
Speaker 1: but they want to come from depth and fit the
Speaker 1: run or shade one side. If you go back to
Speaker 1: their Giants tape, they frequently would flood one side and
Speaker 1: give you one on one access down the field. So
Speaker 1: deep shots should be there to be there as well.
Speaker 1: I just don't see how Miami isn't score at least
Speaker 1: thirty points in this game. Let's go ahead and take
Speaker 1: our last break right there. Come back on the other
Speaker 1: side and talk about the Dolphins defense versus Aid and
Speaker 1: O'Connell and this Raiders offense. That's next Draft Time podcast,
Speaker 1: your host, Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation.
Speaker 2: Wednesday.
Speaker 1: Raiders Dolphins previous Dolphins are thirteen point favorites at hard
Speaker 1: Rock Stadium. It's been a long time since that Chiefs loss.
Speaker 2: I still want that one back.
Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and make it a big victory here
Speaker 1: against the Raiders, and they go with eight and o'connollat quarterback.
Speaker 1: Their top receivers are Devonte Adams, who plays ninety one
Speaker 1: percent of the snaps. Jacoby Myers plays eighty five percent,
Speaker 1: and then there is a big drop off for Trey Tucker,
Speaker 1: who plays twenty five percent, but on the slot slash
Speaker 1: tight end positions. Hunter Renfro has kind of been doghoused
Speaker 1: like until he got until they fired McDaniels, which is crazy,
Speaker 1: right Like Renfro, McDaniels makes a bunch of sense, but
Speaker 1: it didn't really work out for him that way, thirty
Speaker 1: seven percent of the snaps for him, Michael Mayers played
Speaker 1: sixty seven percent the tight end position and Austin Hooper
Speaker 1: forty seven percent, so lots of heavy personnel groupings inside
Speaker 1: for them. And then their guards are Dylan Parham, Andre
Speaker 1: James is the center and Greg Van Rotten is their
Speaker 1: right guard rotent sorry, Their tackles are If Colton Miller
Speaker 1: can't go, that usually means Jermaine Illuminor is in there,
Speaker 1: and then Thayer Month it is also the other tackle
Speaker 1: in there, and then the running back Josh Jacobs playing
Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of the snaps and nobody else really
Speaker 1: gets anywhere close to that. Their personnel usage sixty one
Speaker 1: percent out of eleven personnel, but this has shifted the
Speaker 1: last two weeks to give these numbers more pop. Twelve
Speaker 1: personnel is fourteen percent. Twenty one personnel's fourteen percent, so
Speaker 1: twenty eight percent of your groupings will call for what
Speaker 1: traditionally is your base defense, which.
Speaker 2: Is a lot.
Speaker 1: It's a lot in this league, and I that's actually
Speaker 1: a lot higher because Pierce he told you he wants
Speaker 1: to run the football.
Speaker 2: Good luck with that strategy.
Speaker 1: I hope it works out for you when you're not
Speaker 1: playing Tommy DeVito and Zach Wilson. Some opening notes here,
Speaker 1: Aidan O'Connell has really bad feet man, so when he
Speaker 1: has to like shift or reset, he can kind of
Speaker 1: scattershot his passes. It leads to missus potential picks.
Speaker 2: Take away primary.
Speaker 1: Taking away his primary leads to mistakes because the footwork
Speaker 1: does not get aligned. He throws pre determined shots. I
Speaker 1: think we're gonna turn this guy over a couple times.
Speaker 1: He passes up open one on ones and neglect's coverage,
Speaker 1: rotating to force the ball into what he saw pre snap,
Speaker 1: which is a very rookie to do. Their protections don't
Speaker 1: adjust to the original mic point, so you can really
Speaker 1: confuse their five man protection calls.
Speaker 2: I have to imagine again that's part of a rookie
Speaker 2: and vixed disguise should cook this dude up.
Speaker 1: I came away from you know, the two games study
Speaker 1: of A and O'Connell actually more impressed by his processing
Speaker 1: than I thought I would be. Like, I'm not saying
Speaker 1: it's tua, but for a guy making just his third
Speaker 1: start this week, did not expect him to be at
Speaker 1: the level that he is on that Giants tamp especially
Speaker 1: the Jets got after him. But their front is crazy,
Speaker 1: their coverage is crazy. But you can see that he
Speaker 1: understands the rules and the why behind certain things. He
Speaker 1: does pump the ball to DeVante Adams, and I get it.
Speaker 1: But there are some one on one chances to other
Speaker 1: guys like Jacoby Myers, huge Jacoby Myers fan, and he
Speaker 1: can make those plays, but the ball does not always
Speaker 1: go there. So your first question is what do you
Speaker 1: do with Adams. I think you can mix this a
Speaker 1: la Travis Kelce. We saw him see Ramsey, we saw
Speaker 1: him see double teams, we saw him get constant reroutes underneath.
Speaker 2: I think from there I would just leave X on.
Speaker 1: Jacoby Myers and just go man him up. I always
Speaker 1: like X against a six to two plus receiver like Myers,
Speaker 1: a two hundred and ten pound receiver like Myers. He
Speaker 1: just plays better against those guys than he does the
Speaker 1: shiftier receivers. So that's kind of my matchup.
Speaker 2: I like there.
Speaker 1: And then Cater Kohu with Hunter Renfro. I always like
Speaker 1: Cater against most lot receivers, especially against Renfro. For the
Speaker 1: Dolphins with Vic Fangio, he can change the picture enough
Speaker 1: to confuse a young quarterback and provide, you know, sticky
Speaker 1: coverage with your So nice to have all these guys
Speaker 1: back Man Ex, Ramsey, Cater, Javon.
Speaker 2: Like, it's so nice.
Speaker 1: But a couple of times on that film, O'Connell would
Speaker 1: spray the football because he took away his first read.
Speaker 1: He had to reset and come back, and the feet
Speaker 1: get wonky and the ball flies and it always goes
Speaker 1: back to the feet. And the best way to get
Speaker 1: bad footwork.
Speaker 2: Is to speed things up.
Speaker 1: Generate the bad foot work, generate bad throws, generate pas
Speaker 1: turnovers with your pass rush. So I think you can
Speaker 1: sort of use that processing against him a little bit
Speaker 1: because he kind of makes his mind up a lot,
Speaker 1: and you can play with that because he's so adept
Speaker 1: at getting it out fast. Maybe he puts it in
Speaker 1: Harm's way. The key for the Raiders is getting Colt
Speaker 1: Miller back. Without him, they've struggled with him a lot better.
Speaker 1: We'll see about his stats, but he did not play
Speaker 1: against the Jets on Sunday Night Football. And then just
Speaker 1: some numbers here for them real quick. Jermaine Iluminor ninety
Speaker 1: six pbe is not good at tackle. Dylan Parham ninety
Speaker 1: eight three is pretty good for a left guard, way
Speaker 1: up from ninety.
Speaker 2: Four year ago. He had some rookie struggles.
Speaker 1: Andre James ninety seven point seven is not good for
Speaker 1: a center, Greg van Roten ninety eight it's good enough.
Speaker 1: And then Thayer Munford is ninety four point four right
Speaker 1: tackle the Colt Miller's over ninety eight, so you have
Speaker 1: to get Colton Miller back. Munford has really really struggled
Speaker 1: with speed off the edge, which to me opens doore
Speaker 1: for some possibilities, right. I like Jalen Phillips against anybody,
Speaker 1: but I also like when you can condense him inside
Speaker 1: and just let Van Ginkle use his speed off the edge.
Speaker 1: When you have a matchup like that, you can typically
Speaker 1: get to your NASCAR package, you know, on third and
Speaker 1: long situations, which is why it's so critical to stop
Speaker 1: the run, but to just move Jalen inside let Van
Speaker 1: Ginkle rush off the edge. I don't know if they
Speaker 1: can handle that. Where I like our chances here is
Speaker 1: they blow protections a lot. I think we blitz a
Speaker 1: lot because of our ability to cover up on the
Speaker 1: back end, but because their protection rules inside have been mamblematic,
Speaker 1: and they often try to sneak a running back up
Speaker 1: into the A gap for like you know when they
Speaker 1: mug up their linebackers, and that removes and eligible from
Speaker 1: the equation. That's why I think you see multiple takeaways
Speaker 1: in this game. I think you could potentially hit a
Speaker 1: few explosive plays in the quick passing game, which they'll
Speaker 1: get those.
Speaker 2: Don't get mad on the.
Speaker 1: First drive when the hit like a fourteen yard pass
Speaker 1: on the first third and six of the game.
Speaker 2: Like it might happen.
Speaker 1: But I think we'll get into situations where we tee
Speaker 1: off and really force the issue on this quarterback and
Speaker 1: this offense. Long and Bake should be living in the
Speaker 1: A gaps. That's what I would do, at least extra hats.
Speaker 1: In the running game, they're going to run the football.
Speaker 1: Use your corner skills to match up and just make
Speaker 1: life really tough and make him have to make fast
Speaker 1: decisions against this defense. It's been a bit of a
Speaker 1: work in progress for them in terms of working as
Speaker 1: a singular unit. They just there's always an issue on
Speaker 1: the interior, and that probably goes back to the fact
Speaker 1: that Parham is his first full time as a starter.
Speaker 1: Van Rotten's on his third team in three years. I
Speaker 1: keep saying Rotten rotin, and then Andre James is up
Speaker 1: and down, but he's been there for a while now.
Speaker 1: But Miami has the size and quicks to really challenge
Speaker 1: that communication. Better process it right now because if you don't,
Speaker 1: Steeler and Wilkins will put you on your back.
Speaker 2: I think we just thump them there.
Speaker 1: Man. There aren't many matchups. In fact, there isn't one
Speaker 1: that I like for Las Vegas. Maybe Adams could get
Speaker 1: some of those, but then it's a rookie quarterback, So like,
Speaker 1: am I really worried about that?
Speaker 2: No, I'm not. Finally, how do you create pass rush opportunities?
Speaker 1: Well, you stop the run. They've made no bones about this.
Speaker 1: They want to play Dave Wantstead ball, which again, good luck,
Speaker 1: good luck doing that. In twenty twenty three, first. Jacob's
Speaker 1: leads the NFL and carriers, but the disparity in first down
Speaker 1: runs for the Raiders compared to the rest of the
Speaker 1: league is wild since Pierce took over. You guys watched
Speaker 1: the Bills in Broncos game right, how frustrating was all
Speaker 1: those first down handoffs that would go for two or
Speaker 1: three yards? Like second eight is not a good place
Speaker 1: to be, my man, like, throw the football. It's almost
Speaker 1: every series they give the ball with Jacobs on first down,
Speaker 1: So load it up, stop the run and put O'Connell
Speaker 1: behind the chains. Again. Good luck, man, good luck. They
Speaker 1: believe they can move you, and Jacobs can wear you down.
Speaker 1: But in this heat against this offense, you stop that
Speaker 1: in the first quarter. You score ten points in the
Speaker 1: first quarter. Then this game I think gets off sideways
Speaker 1: and you force the Raiders to play a game they
Speaker 1: don't want to play.
Speaker 2: Start fast.
Speaker 1: That will be one of our keys, but he's a
Speaker 1: physical bruiser. I think you can start with him and
Speaker 1: then play the rush. You know, rush lanes, stop Josh Jacobs,
Speaker 1: you'll stop this offense. Interesting offense, a lot of talent
Speaker 1: at eight, no collumns disposal, But ultimately I don't think
Speaker 1: it has enough juice to compete with Miami.
Speaker 2: What's at stake in this game?
Speaker 1: Every game from here going in is big, but especially
Speaker 1: the conference and division games. This one obviously falling in
Speaker 1: the former category. But you saw how dropping games can
Speaker 1: impact your standing. Literally, you know the rest of the
Speaker 1: conference last week, right all those teams lost games, and
Speaker 1: we're sitting here the advantage or the beneficiary of that.
Speaker 1: Let's not give that right back to the pack by
Speaker 1: dropping a game against a bad football team. The playoff
Speaker 1: slider only has eight percent dispersion this week, more on
Speaker 1: the negative side of things, a six percent loss in
Speaker 1: playoff odds and a two percent gain. But the reason
Speaker 1: for that is because Buffalo is blowing it and we
Speaker 1: are very heavy favorites to win the AFCs right now.
Speaker 2: It's why you're gonna get those high odds.
Speaker 1: You have to be thinking division and then from there
Speaker 1: it comes down to jockeying for top positions in the conference,
Speaker 1: the one through four seed. The goal in the pass
Speaker 1: was always to find your way into the top two,
Speaker 1: right for that first round by that has changed, but
Speaker 1: now a seven has never beaten a two, and so
Speaker 1: that means the only way you're gonna get a home
Speaker 1: divisional game is to get that second seed most likely.
Speaker 1: So that's to say you can't lose this game and
Speaker 1: still obtain a top two seed. I mean mathematically you can,
Speaker 1: but I think you guys get what I'm saying.
Speaker 2: Take care of business. My keys to victory. Start fast.
Speaker 1: Anytime you can make an offense with a rookie quarterback
Speaker 1: one dimensional, that's gonna be tough sledding, especially for a
Speaker 1: team that's advertising they want to pound the football.
Speaker 2: Start fast.
Speaker 1: Hopefully we don't have a quarter rust to shake off
Speaker 1: from the bye week. Just get going early, get that
Speaker 1: confidence going early, and I would feel pretty good about
Speaker 1: this team going forward. Number two, Fine Max Crosby every snap,
Speaker 1: locate him, double him, chip bim, make sure he doesn't
Speaker 1: get a clean runway. He's a game changer. He'll probably
Speaker 1: get one or two game changing plays. Don't let it
Speaker 1: be more than that. Number three feature the playmakers. Eight
Speaker 1: chan Back Waddle looks healthy as hell, Tyreek looks rested.
Speaker 1: First time you had all threes guys together since the
Speaker 1: Giants game. To me, it's the best three skill players
Speaker 1: in the NFL on any football team. Get those guys
Speaker 1: going get the perception of cranking back up, that Miami's
Speaker 1: unstoppable on offense, and let's have some fun. My areas
Speaker 1: of concern, I don't have them. Don't let Crosby hit two.
Speaker 1: That's pretty much it. And then my arias too exploit
Speaker 1: heat up a rookie quarterback, go after the intermediate middle
Speaker 1: of the field passing game against inexperienced secondary, and just
Speaker 1: chew these guys up.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go full bloodbath here on the prediction. Guys.
Speaker 2: I think it's ugly. I think it's ugly for the
Speaker 2: offense for Vegas.
Speaker 1: I think what happens when our offense gets a lot
Speaker 1: of chances in short fields is.
Speaker 2: It gets ugly? Ugly, ugly, ugly.
Speaker 1: I'm taking a fifty burger here, that's right. You heard
Speaker 1: me crazy, but you heard me right. Fifty to thirteen.
Speaker 1: I know it sounds absurd, and I've predicted a lot
Speaker 1: of these this year, but this is a very very
Speaker 1: lop sided matchup.
Speaker 2: It probably comes out.
Speaker 1: To like thirty eight seventeen, which we'll take, right, But
Speaker 1: I'm going fifty thirteen and we'll come back with you
Speaker 1: guys in the podcast tomorrow. The Great Ted Win of
Speaker 1: the Athletic joins me, and then Friday, former Dolphins quarterback
Speaker 1: Trent Green, who's on the call on Sunday with Kevin Hart,
Speaker 1: joins me as well. Great to get back in the
Speaker 1: flow of things. That's my time today on the podcast.
Speaker 1: You all please be sure to subscribe, rate, review all
Speaker 1: that fun stuff. Check me out on social at winkfold NFL.
Speaker 1: Check out Seth and Juice on the Fish Tank and
Speaker 1: the pre and post game show. Also the YouTube channel
Speaker 1: for media availabilities, Dolphins Today and so much more up there,
Speaker 1: and last but not least, Miami Dolphins dot com. Until
Speaker 1: next time, Finns Up, Caroline and Cameron Daddy's