WEBVTT - Drive Time: Dolphins Raiders Week 11 Preview

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<v Speaker 1>Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins.

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<v Speaker 2>Now let me check your pulse if you're not. What

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<v Speaker 2>is up? Dolphins?

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<v Speaker 1>And welcome to the Draft Time Podcast, part of the

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<v Speaker 1>Miami Dolphins podcast network covering your team, your Miami Dolphins.

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<v Speaker 2>How's it going to everybody?

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<v Speaker 1>I am your host, Travis Wingfield And on today's show,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a preview day.

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<v Speaker 2>Feels good to get back to the actual football. The

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<v Speaker 2>bye week is bye bye.

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<v Speaker 1>Now it's eight games to the finish line and then

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<v Speaker 1>three or four more. We'll see how it goes, but

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<v Speaker 1>it starts Sunday at home versus the Raiders. We'll look

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<v Speaker 1>at the lineups, the matchups, the scheme, the keys to victory,

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<v Speaker 1>and a whole lot more from the Baptist Health Studios

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<v Speaker 1>inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.

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<v Speaker 2>This is the Draft Time Podcast. May Daffe.

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<v Speaker 1>Finally a Dolphins game back in our lives and the

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<v Speaker 1>bye week was awesome. I got a chance to spend

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<v Speaker 1>more time with the family. I got a chance to

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<v Speaker 1>just watch some movies and be alone for a little bit,

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<v Speaker 1>which you fathers of multiple kids know how difficult that

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<v Speaker 1>is to find that kind of time. But like didn't

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<v Speaker 1>really I missed talking Dolphins football, especially like relevant, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>prevalent things that are coming up down the pike. It

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<v Speaker 1>was great to talk to jt. O.

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<v Speaker 2>Sullivan.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh missed out on the guest for the Potential Tuesday podcast,

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<v Speaker 1>wound up taking that day off as far as the

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<v Speaker 1>podcast goes.

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<v Speaker 2>But on top of that.

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<v Speaker 1>The bye week was as sweet as it could have been,

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<v Speaker 1>right even though it was the longest week of the

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<v Speaker 1>year in terms of how slow it went by, since

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<v Speaker 1>for me, July probably feeled that way for anybody else,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure it did. But even though it took forever,

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<v Speaker 1>the Dolphins will now play every single Sunday except for

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<v Speaker 1>a Monday game and a Friday game, I suppose, for

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<v Speaker 1>the next two months plus, so we have that in

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<v Speaker 1>our lives. Plus, the bye week was absolutely fantastic. I

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<v Speaker 1>think I last left you guys saying I hope the

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<v Speaker 1>Bills can lose tonight, and now that they have lost

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<v Speaker 1>that game, you know, we'll talk about that scenario here

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<v Speaker 1>once again, because I talked about in the podcast last

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<v Speaker 1>week that if you know, Miami takes care of business

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<v Speaker 1>over the next five games, Buffalo has to find their

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<v Speaker 1>way to a five hundred record against really good slate

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<v Speaker 1>of competition just to prevent Miami from clinching the division

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<v Speaker 1>before the Christmas Eve game against Dallas. We'll get back

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<v Speaker 1>into that. Let's go ahead and start here. Excuse me,

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<v Speaker 1>with the raiders in town and the locals know, the

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<v Speaker 1>rain and lower temperatures this week have been welcome. In fact,

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<v Speaker 1>as I record this, it is a downpour on Wednesday.

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<v Speaker 1>I doubt practice goes outside today. But the good news

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<v Speaker 1>for those coming into town looking for a nice little

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<v Speaker 1>late fall get away from your cold weather is the

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<v Speaker 1>sunshine comes back for Sundayenen, the rain ceases on Thursday,

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<v Speaker 1>and then we head right into an absolutely beautiful weekend

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<v Speaker 1>and week of South Florida weather. We wait all year

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<v Speaker 1>for this, starting on Friday through next Thursday, Thanksgiving, when

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<v Speaker 1>the team leaves for New York. It's sunny every day,

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<v Speaker 1>and the high never eclipses eighty three, and most days

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<v Speaker 1>it does not eclipse eighty and the lows are pretty

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<v Speaker 1>much sixty three, sixty four, sixty five across the board

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<v Speaker 1>every single day.

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<v Speaker 2>This is the payoff for those six.

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<v Speaker 1>Months we have of boiling heat down here. Let's go

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<v Speaker 1>ahead and get to know these raiders who come from

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<v Speaker 1>a very warm climate themselves.

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<v Speaker 2>Turnover and tumultuous.

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<v Speaker 1>Times have been the theme for the Raiders since they

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<v Speaker 1>moved to Vegas, and it's kind of a bummer. I

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<v Speaker 1>think the league is better when the Raiders are good,

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<v Speaker 1>and they're a team that I don't have any ill

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<v Speaker 1>will towards, you know, in general. I think some folks

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<v Speaker 1>that maybe grew up as fans of the league in

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<v Speaker 1>the eighties.

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<v Speaker 2>Feel that way.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, it's hard to hate a team that's

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<v Speaker 1>you know, won three or four games a year for

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<v Speaker 1>like fifteen years straight, and like, if you want to

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<v Speaker 1>talk about all time pain rankings, that twenty sixteen season

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<v Speaker 1>where they finally got off the mat and made something

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<v Speaker 1>of themselves and had like I think they won twelve

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<v Speaker 1>games that year, but their quarterback, Derek Carr, he got

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<v Speaker 1>injured I think the penultimate game of the season, and

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<v Speaker 1>they wind up starting Connor Cook in a playoff game

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<v Speaker 1>and lose to the Brock aust Weiler led Texans.

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<v Speaker 2>That would be like if the Bills started.

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<v Speaker 1>Kyle Allen in that game last January and we still

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<v Speaker 1>lost it with Skaler Thompson playing in that game, But

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<v Speaker 1>then they revert right back to the prior thirteen years

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<v Speaker 1>that they had had before that, a period where they

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<v Speaker 1>averaged just four point nine wins a year, and they

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<v Speaker 1>had back to back eight win seasons in that mix.

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<v Speaker 1>That really propped up what was annually two three four

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<v Speaker 1>wins a year, so twelve and four and twenty sixteen

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<v Speaker 1>and then six wins, four wins, seven wins, eight wins

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<v Speaker 1>the next four years. Then back to the playoffs with

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<v Speaker 1>an interim coach, which is where they're at right now,

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<v Speaker 1>trying to make that same push for the second time

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<v Speaker 1>in three years, and they're throwing into the end zone

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<v Speaker 1>in Cincinnati to tie that game in the wild card

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<v Speaker 1>round to the eventual AFC champions They wind up going

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<v Speaker 1>four and out and followed that up with a six

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<v Speaker 1>and eleven season last year. But now they're five and five.

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<v Speaker 1>They've beaten the Giants and Jets. Yeah, get a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit of context there to get Antonio Pierce's career off

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<v Speaker 1>to a two and zero star as head coach, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you can talk about the opponents all you want,

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<v Speaker 1>but they did what they had to do to put

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<v Speaker 1>themselves in position to maybe make a run with this

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<v Speaker 1>saying down the stretch, but they have a big, big,

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<v Speaker 1>big road test down here in Miami Gardens. Thirteen point

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<v Speaker 1>dogs in this game, So that's those games usually don't

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<v Speaker 1>go in your favor. But let's go ahead and keep

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<v Speaker 1>this intro rolling. How was this roster assembled for LV, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's cobbled together by multiple decision makers and that's usually

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<v Speaker 1>when you get.

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<v Speaker 2>A pretty rough roster. Right.

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<v Speaker 1>They're still in the post Gruden Mayock era in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of holdovers from those rosters, and now they'll be in

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<v Speaker 1>the midst of another turnover with a dismissal of Josh

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<v Speaker 1>McDaniels just one and a half years into his run there.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a tough way to make.

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<v Speaker 1>A living when you consistently turn over your coaching staff

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<v Speaker 1>because everybody has different flavors, right. But a good example

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<v Speaker 1>is they signed Jimmy Garoppolo to a three year contract

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<v Speaker 1>with a ton of guaranteed money to reunite with his

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<v Speaker 1>former OC in New England, McDaniels, And now he's gone,

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<v Speaker 1>and they make the switch to Aidan O'Connell, a fourth

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<v Speaker 1>round pick this year, and his top target is an

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<v Speaker 1>All Pro receiver who signed to play with the previous

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<v Speaker 1>quarterback his former college teammate at Fresno State, Derek Carr.

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<v Speaker 1>You see how this is all kind of getting muddled together,

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<v Speaker 1>Jacoby Myers. I'm sure a lot of that his acquisition

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<v Speaker 1>had to do with Josh McDaniels coming from the Patriots.

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<v Speaker 1>I thought he was their best offseason move. And why

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<v Speaker 1>the hell the Patriots let that guy go for that

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<v Speaker 1>cost to bring in Juju Smith Schuster is beyond me,

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<v Speaker 1>but we'll take it maybe their best move besides drafting

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<v Speaker 1>Michael Mayer in the first round from Notre Dame, who

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<v Speaker 1>I think is gonna be pretty good player. But their

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<v Speaker 1>offensive line has also seen a ton of turnover. That

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<v Speaker 1>twenty sixteen team I talked about, that team was good

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<v Speaker 1>because of an awesome offensive line, and I thought they

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<v Speaker 1>really propped up like Derek Carr year that year. But

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<v Speaker 1>it hasn't been the same for a couple of years.

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<v Speaker 1>They voluntarily cut off pieces like Rodney Hudson, and all

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<v Speaker 1>of a sudden they have this cobbled together offensive line

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<v Speaker 1>that's not playing very well. Their best player was a

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<v Speaker 1>Day three pick in Max Crosby out of Eastern Michigan.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you follow the Lockdown Dolphins podcast back in

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<v Speaker 1>my time, He was a guy that when I was

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<v Speaker 1>watching four college football games every single window, every single Saturday,

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<v Speaker 1>I would watch, you know, Purdue versus Eastern Michigan because

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<v Speaker 1>a little scratch on the game, and I was like, damn,

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<v Speaker 1>miss Max Crosby. Guys pretty good. And he turned out

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<v Speaker 1>to be pretty good. But he anchors a defensive line

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<v Speaker 1>that was again built through free agency. John Jenkins, you

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<v Speaker 1>guys know about him. Adam Butler you know about him.

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<v Speaker 1>Jerry Tillery, a former first round draft pick that didn't

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<v Speaker 1>pan out for the Chargers, but then also the sixth

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<v Speaker 1>pick in the draft, and Tyree Wilson who has not

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<v Speaker 1>played well or barely played it all this year. That's

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<v Speaker 1>how it goes all the way to the back seven.

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<v Speaker 1>This is a roster where you can just see the

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<v Speaker 1>lack of draft hits from that previous regime because almost

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<v Speaker 1>every major contributor is a recent free agent signing, and

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<v Speaker 1>you've already dismissed the half of the pieces in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of where the scheme was supposed to match up with

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<v Speaker 1>those players coming in, or for instance, a guy that

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<v Speaker 1>was a free agent acquisition that's playing one of their

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<v Speaker 1>playing one of the best on the team right now

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<v Speaker 1>is linebacker Robert Splaine, who I know all you guys

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<v Speaker 1>know about because you watched that Jets game and loved

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<v Speaker 1>that pick that he had on Zach Wilson to put

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<v Speaker 1>that game to rest. In the defensive backfield, Marcus Epps,

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<v Speaker 1>again brought in from Philly, might be the next guy

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of the best offseason acquisitions. They did a

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<v Speaker 1>good job of remaking a defense that has struggle for

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<v Speaker 1>years with this free agency period. But we'll see how

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<v Speaker 1>long they can hold up at the course of the

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<v Speaker 1>season because it's not deep in a lot of areas.

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<v Speaker 1>And his counterpart, Trayvon Merrig was a guy they did

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<v Speaker 1>draft in the second round under Mike Mayock, an absolute

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<v Speaker 1>stud from TCU. Marcus Peters another guy they signed in

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<v Speaker 1>free agency this summer. I imagine you'll see rookie Jacory

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<v Speaker 1>and Bennett along with Nate Hobbs riding out the secondary,

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<v Speaker 1>and those are two of the guys that play a

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<v Speaker 1>lot or Bennett will in the absence of a meek Robertson,

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<v Speaker 1>who went into the fencing posture on Sunday night against

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<v Speaker 1>the Jets, the same posture that Tua took when he

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<v Speaker 1>was injured against the Bengals. I can't imagine he plays

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<v Speaker 1>because that would seem to be.

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<v Speaker 2>Crazy to me. So if it is Jacoreyan.

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<v Speaker 1>Bennett and and Nate Hobbs, sorry, that would be two

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<v Speaker 1>guys in their defensive backle they actually drafted that are

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<v Speaker 1>back there. So and along with treyvon merreg gives them

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<v Speaker 1>a three. But you get the idea. It's a roster

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<v Speaker 1>that is gonna see a ton more change over next year,

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<v Speaker 1>in a couple of years in the future, because you'll

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<v Speaker 1>get a new head coach.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is a what's the word I'm looking for?

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<v Speaker 2>A merry go round? A you know, musical chairs that

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<v Speaker 2>you just don't want to be on.

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<v Speaker 1>Man tough to make a living that way. How about

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<v Speaker 1>some storylines for this game? This feels like we don't

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<v Speaker 1>talk about this as much as we used to. Maybe

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<v Speaker 1>it's because air travel has gotten better, and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>sports science has gotten better. But the cross country eleven

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<v Speaker 1>am body clock off of a short week used to

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<v Speaker 1>be ten am. But they're in the Mountain time zone now,

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<v Speaker 1>I believe, I think. But you're probably saying to yourself,

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<v Speaker 1>trave a short week, not exactly, but you know Sunday

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<v Speaker 1>night is seven hours later than a one pm kickoff,

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<v Speaker 1>and that just kind of pushes things back a few hours.

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<v Speaker 1>So you get the game finished, let's say local time

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<v Speaker 1>in Vegas by ten pm. You're not gonna unwind after

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<v Speaker 1>playing an NFL football game for a few hours. So

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<v Speaker 1>maybe you go out and you get some dinner, maybe

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<v Speaker 1>you go back home and ice up and watch you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Scott van Pelton.

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<v Speaker 2>You don't get to bed until one or two o'clock.

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<v Speaker 1>In the morning, and so your Monday morning alarm clock

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<v Speaker 1>comes a little bit earlier than you want. Corrections on Monday,

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<v Speaker 1>can you kind of get pushed back a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>But the real data point here is just the one

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<v Speaker 1>pm kick for a West Coast operation or again formerly

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<v Speaker 1>West Coast, now I guess Southwest.

0:10:03.600 --> 0:10:06.240
<v Speaker 2>But how have the Raiders fared in such games this year?

0:10:06.280 --> 0:10:09.840
<v Speaker 1>They played one East Coast game in the one o'clock window,

0:10:09.920 --> 0:10:13.200
<v Speaker 1>a thirty eight to ten drubbing up in Buffalo. Last

0:10:13.280 --> 0:10:16.160
<v Speaker 1>year Eastern time zone at one pm, they were zero

0:10:16.200 --> 0:10:18.400
<v Speaker 1>to three, oh to four in total because they played

0:10:18.400 --> 0:10:21.920
<v Speaker 1>a Saturday night game against Pittsburgh. But now I'm curious

0:10:21.960 --> 0:10:23.520
<v Speaker 1>to go back further, because this seems to be a

0:10:23.520 --> 0:10:26.959
<v Speaker 1>thing right. They beat Pittsburgh in Week two in Pittsburgh

0:10:27.000 --> 0:10:28.800
<v Speaker 1>back in twenty twenty one, that was the last time

0:10:28.840 --> 0:10:31.920
<v Speaker 1>they won a one o'clock kickoff on the East Coast,

0:10:31.920 --> 0:10:34.160
<v Speaker 1>but since then they have lost five straight one.

0:10:34.080 --> 0:10:36.760
<v Speaker 2>Pm kicks in the Eastern time zone. And also, the

0:10:36.800 --> 0:10:37.679
<v Speaker 2>heat used to be a thing.

0:10:37.720 --> 0:10:40.240
<v Speaker 1>And though Vegas is a dry heat, this isn't the

0:10:40.280 --> 0:10:43.760
<v Speaker 1>old Bay Area climate right, so acclamation will be there,

0:10:43.800 --> 0:10:45.760
<v Speaker 1>but not as it is for other teams. I think

0:10:46.000 --> 0:10:48.480
<v Speaker 1>another storyline here is the former Finns connections. Did you

0:10:48.520 --> 0:10:50.679
<v Speaker 1>guys realize how many former Dolphins they have on their

0:10:50.679 --> 0:10:54.440
<v Speaker 1>coaching staff. I bet you didn't because their interimc slash

0:10:54.520 --> 0:10:57.720
<v Speaker 1>QB's coach Bo hart Agree spent some time here. I'm

0:10:58.080 --> 0:10:59.880
<v Speaker 1>pretty sure that most you guys remember the name Jerry

0:10:59.880 --> 0:11:02.320
<v Speaker 1>sh Plinsky. He was the first quarterbacks coach that Brian

0:11:02.360 --> 0:11:04.960
<v Speaker 1>Flores brought in. He coaches the tight ends out there.

0:11:05.160 --> 0:11:07.839
<v Speaker 1>Matt Lombardi is an assistant receivers coach. He was here

0:11:07.880 --> 0:11:10.080
<v Speaker 1>for a minute. Patrick Graham, I know you guys know

0:11:10.120 --> 0:11:12.880
<v Speaker 1>about him. He's the DC out there. Rob Leonard coached

0:11:12.880 --> 0:11:15.440
<v Speaker 1>our outside linebackers last year. He's on the defensive line

0:11:15.440 --> 0:11:17.960
<v Speaker 1>out there and then Danny am Mondola is also an

0:11:18.000 --> 0:11:21.520
<v Speaker 1>assistant on their staff to the roster. Brandon Bolden Germaine

0:11:21.520 --> 0:11:24.280
<v Speaker 1>Iluminor spent a camp here. John Jenkins has had a

0:11:24.320 --> 0:11:27.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of stops here. Adam Butler. There's ten total guys

0:11:27.320 --> 0:11:30.760
<v Speaker 1>here that used to be in the Dolphins program. Another storyline,

0:11:31.120 --> 0:11:33.640
<v Speaker 1>the bye week broke in our favor. Can we capitalized?

0:11:33.880 --> 0:11:36.920
<v Speaker 1>I've quite literally never experienced a weekend that good in

0:11:36.960 --> 0:11:40.560
<v Speaker 1>which the Dolphins didn't play. The entire division lost. The

0:11:40.600 --> 0:11:42.920
<v Speaker 1>North and South leaders lost the team I think is

0:11:42.960 --> 0:11:46.280
<v Speaker 1>the biggest challenge to that. North leader also lost the

0:11:46.360 --> 0:11:48.480
<v Speaker 1>Ravens and Bengals. We found out today that Shawn Watson

0:11:48.520 --> 0:11:51.080
<v Speaker 1>has a shoulder season ending shoulder injury.

0:11:51.400 --> 0:11:56.480
<v Speaker 2>That's so sad for him. Man, I that sucks. That's sarcasm.

0:11:57.000 --> 0:11:57.880
<v Speaker 2>So we'll see about them.

0:11:57.880 --> 0:12:00.679
<v Speaker 1>But Casey was idle or else they had lost, it

0:12:00.720 --> 0:12:03.280
<v Speaker 1>would have nearly undone the loss we had the previous week,

0:12:03.320 --> 0:12:06.360
<v Speaker 1>because you basically catch a game on literally everybody you're.

0:12:06.200 --> 0:12:07.880
<v Speaker 2>Contending with in the standings.

0:12:07.920 --> 0:12:10.360
<v Speaker 1>But now you've spin it forward to the Dolphins playing

0:12:10.360 --> 0:12:13.240
<v Speaker 1>a football game and capitalizing. Miami's in a position to

0:12:13.280 --> 0:12:16.559
<v Speaker 1>take care of business. And you know, scoreboard watching to me,

0:12:16.640 --> 0:12:19.000
<v Speaker 1>it makes the game way more fun. I love having

0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:21.960
<v Speaker 1>multiple games, like having the Jets and Bills in primetime

0:12:22.040 --> 0:12:25.160
<v Speaker 1>was awesome, like having invested interest there, and that Bill's game,

0:12:25.200 --> 0:12:27.199
<v Speaker 1>Like my heart sank when that field goal missed man

0:12:27.280 --> 0:12:28.800
<v Speaker 1>then then the flag came out and I went back

0:12:28.840 --> 0:12:31.120
<v Speaker 1>the other direction. Those emotions are so much fun, and

0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:33.520
<v Speaker 1>it kind of reminds you, Like I was really down

0:12:33.600 --> 0:12:35.680
<v Speaker 1>to dumps after that Chief's loss, right, I just couldn't

0:12:35.679 --> 0:12:37.840
<v Speaker 1>get over the fact that I still think it's going

0:12:37.920 --> 0:12:40.160
<v Speaker 1>to cost us the one seed I really do, which sucks.

0:12:40.200 --> 0:12:42.920
<v Speaker 1>But you know, I was really down to dumps about that.

0:12:42.960 --> 0:12:46.920
<v Speaker 1>But that Bill's game, you appreciate that those lows make

0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:49.560
<v Speaker 1>you realize that those highs are around the corner as well,

0:12:49.640 --> 0:12:50.959
<v Speaker 1>especially when you have a good football team like the

0:12:50.960 --> 0:12:51.599
<v Speaker 1>Miami Dolphins do.

0:12:51.760 --> 0:12:53.720
<v Speaker 2>So that was a great, great week.

0:12:53.760 --> 0:12:55.599
<v Speaker 1>We'll start scoreboard watching more and more as we go

0:12:55.640 --> 0:12:58.400
<v Speaker 1>along with the whole idea here is if the Dolphins

0:12:58.440 --> 0:12:59.720
<v Speaker 1>just handle their business.

0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:01.400
<v Speaker 2>Over the next month, the AFC East is going to

0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:01.800
<v Speaker 2>be theirs.

0:13:02.080 --> 0:13:06.280
<v Speaker 1>Dolphins. We've talked about it a million times. Raiders, Jets, Commanders, Titans, Jets,

0:13:06.320 --> 0:13:08.199
<v Speaker 1>like you should go five to zero. With the way

0:13:08.200 --> 0:13:10.800
<v Speaker 1>this team plays, the way this quarterback has a super

0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:13.040
<v Speaker 1>high floor. It never seems to lose these games. Really

0:13:13.080 --> 0:13:15.720
<v Speaker 1>pays into your benefit. All of a sudden, the Bills

0:13:15.760 --> 0:13:18.520
<v Speaker 1>now face the Jets, They're at the Eagles bye week

0:13:18.800 --> 0:13:21.520
<v Speaker 1>at the Chiefs home for the Cowboys, and in the

0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:24.360
<v Speaker 1>scenario that Miami does take care of business and wins

0:13:24.400 --> 0:13:26.680
<v Speaker 1>all five of those games, Buffalo has to go.

0:13:26.720 --> 0:13:29.080
<v Speaker 2>At least at least.

0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:33.080
<v Speaker 1>Three and one during that stretch to prevent Miami from

0:13:33.120 --> 0:13:36.520
<v Speaker 1>clinching the division prior to the Dallas game. Now, assuming

0:13:36.600 --> 0:13:39.199
<v Speaker 1>five straight wins, Yeah, may be dumb. I don't think

0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:41.760
<v Speaker 1>it is here, but you can see why all the

0:13:41.840 --> 0:13:46.200
<v Speaker 1>analytics models now have Miami's division title percentage odds over

0:13:46.440 --> 0:13:47.600
<v Speaker 1>seventy five percent.

0:13:47.679 --> 0:13:49.559
<v Speaker 2>Right now, it's our division to lose.

0:13:49.600 --> 0:13:51.240
<v Speaker 1>Baby. We'll see how it plays out, but this could

0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:53.800
<v Speaker 1>potentially be the first time that Buffalo and New England

0:13:53.840 --> 0:13:57.040
<v Speaker 1>don't win eleven plus games one of the two since

0:13:57.120 --> 0:13:59.240
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and two. In fact, the number has been

0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:02.800
<v Speaker 1>twelve plus game every year except for two thousand and eight,

0:14:02.840 --> 0:14:04.880
<v Speaker 1>when we won the division tie with the Patriots at

0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:07.280
<v Speaker 1>eleven and five. And twenty twenty one when the Bills

0:14:07.280 --> 0:14:10.280
<v Speaker 1>went eleven and six. Finally, the AFC East is not

0:14:10.480 --> 0:14:13.400
<v Speaker 1>a juggernaut outside of Miami. Finally, let's go ahead and

0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:15.120
<v Speaker 1>take our first break rate there, come back on the

0:14:15.120 --> 0:14:18.800
<v Speaker 1>other side and preview the Raiders defense against this Dolphins offense.

0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:22.280
<v Speaker 1>That's Next Draft Time podcast, your host Travis Wingfield.

0:14:21.920 --> 0:14:23.160
<v Speaker 2>Brought to you by Auto Nation.

0:14:26.520 --> 0:14:29.160
<v Speaker 1>Recently, I started grabbing my microphone and holding it up

0:14:29.160 --> 0:14:31.200
<v Speaker 1>to my face and sitting back and relaxing, and I

0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:32.960
<v Speaker 1>feel like it makes the podcast better.

0:14:33.120 --> 0:14:34.360
<v Speaker 2>Do you guys notice that at all?

0:14:34.400 --> 0:14:36.760
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, just a little uh trick of the

0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:39.320
<v Speaker 1>trade here inside baseball. Let's go ahead and get to

0:14:39.440 --> 0:14:44.240
<v Speaker 1>this Dolphins offense versus Raiders defense matchup here. And I

0:14:44.720 --> 0:14:47.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, if you guys haven't noticed, the best way

0:14:47.600 --> 0:14:49.280
<v Speaker 1>to make me sensitive on Twitter is to say that

0:14:49.320 --> 0:14:53.400
<v Speaker 1>I'm biased against for the Dolphins, because yeah, I'm a

0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:55.080
<v Speaker 1>fan of the team, and I do tend to see

0:14:55.080 --> 0:14:57.520
<v Speaker 1>things on the positive side of things, but I also

0:14:57.760 --> 0:15:00.400
<v Speaker 1>like the way I feel about this team has been

0:15:00.400 --> 0:15:04.200
<v Speaker 1>a progression going back to twenty twenty because I've always

0:15:04.240 --> 0:15:06.960
<v Speaker 1>thought that Chris twenty nineteen really with the acclamation or

0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:10.640
<v Speaker 1>accumulation of draft picks and just general capital because I

0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:13.320
<v Speaker 1>believed in the process. I believed in the players they had.

0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:15.520
<v Speaker 1>I believe the coaching staff previously had been holding back

0:15:15.560 --> 0:15:17.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot of talent they had, and now you've seen

0:15:17.560 --> 0:15:19.440
<v Speaker 1>that all kind of come to fruition. You've seen the

0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:23.760
<v Speaker 1>current iteration of this, you know, group attack star players

0:15:23.760 --> 0:15:27.040
<v Speaker 1>and round out your team with game changing talent, like

0:15:27.080 --> 0:15:30.040
<v Speaker 1>a Tyreek Hill, like a Toront Armstead, like a Jalen Ramsey,

0:15:30.760 --> 0:15:35.160
<v Speaker 1>and on and on and on. So I get so

0:15:35.200 --> 0:15:38.880
<v Speaker 1>sensitive when I see that on Twitter because it's not true.

0:15:39.120 --> 0:15:41.240
<v Speaker 1>I just think the Dolphins are a damn good football

0:15:41.280 --> 0:15:42.960
<v Speaker 1>team and that's where that comes from. And it's easy

0:15:43.000 --> 0:15:46.240
<v Speaker 1>for detractors to say, like Travis is a homer, Travis

0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:47.760
<v Speaker 1>gets paychecks from the team.

0:15:47.920 --> 0:15:49.000
<v Speaker 2>Those are both true.

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:51.760
<v Speaker 1>But I'll tell you what, in twenty twenty one, when

0:15:51.760 --> 0:15:53.800
<v Speaker 1>this team was one and five, go listen to those podcasts,

0:15:53.840 --> 0:15:56.280
<v Speaker 1>and go listen to the Zacobe Brissette breakdowns, and tell

0:15:56.320 --> 0:15:58.040
<v Speaker 1>me how I felt about the team back then. So

0:15:58.920 --> 0:16:01.080
<v Speaker 1>the reason I bring this up is because I'm going

0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:02.840
<v Speaker 1>to tell you I think the Dolphins are going to

0:16:02.880 --> 0:16:05.360
<v Speaker 1>absolutely roll in this game, and it feels like I

0:16:05.400 --> 0:16:06.800
<v Speaker 1>say that every single week.

0:16:07.160 --> 0:16:08.480
<v Speaker 2>I have picked him every game.

0:16:08.600 --> 0:16:11.760
<v Speaker 1>I flipped the Eagles pick because Connor didn't play, so

0:16:11.800 --> 0:16:14.440
<v Speaker 1>I did win that pick. Technically didn't want to win,

0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:17.800
<v Speaker 1>but I did. I thought they would perform better against

0:16:17.800 --> 0:16:19.640
<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs. They kind of let us down on that one.

0:16:19.800 --> 0:16:21.480
<v Speaker 1>I can think we all can agree on that, even

0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:23.560
<v Speaker 1>though they were close to winning it late. But you're

0:16:23.560 --> 0:16:25.040
<v Speaker 1>gonna get more of the same. Man. I think the

0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Dolphins are gonna roll down the back half of the schedule.

0:16:27.440 --> 0:16:30.000
<v Speaker 2>I think there's.

0:16:28.960 --> 0:16:31.520
<v Speaker 1>Really one game that right now where we're at, I

0:16:31.520 --> 0:16:32.440
<v Speaker 1>would pick us to lose.

0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:33.440
<v Speaker 2>It's the Baltimore game.

0:16:34.280 --> 0:16:36.840
<v Speaker 1>Other than that, I think Miami right now, with the

0:16:36.840 --> 0:16:38.920
<v Speaker 1>way things are, I would predict thirteen and four. I

0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:41.200
<v Speaker 1>told you about that in the podcast already last week.

0:16:41.280 --> 0:16:45.120
<v Speaker 1>So that's just kind of a preamble into why I'm

0:16:45.160 --> 0:16:46.960
<v Speaker 1>gonna tell you how Dolphins are gonna roll in this game.

0:16:47.040 --> 0:16:51.560
<v Speaker 1>So Dolphins offense, so this Raiders defensive backfield's banged up.

0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:51.720
<v Speaker 2>Man.

0:16:51.880 --> 0:16:54.200
<v Speaker 1>I mentioned Trayvon Merrick. He's played every snap in Marcus

0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:56.320
<v Speaker 1>Epps has played ninety eight percent of the snaps. They

0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:58.600
<v Speaker 1>never go three safety, so it's those two guys and

0:16:58.600 --> 0:17:01.120
<v Speaker 1>those two guys only, and then at corner they are

0:17:01.320 --> 0:17:04.960
<v Speaker 1>super super thin. Marcus Peters ninety six percent of the snaps.

0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:07.720
<v Speaker 1>He's he's a great player. He's a gambler. I think

0:17:07.920 --> 0:17:09.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, two on and Tyreek could get him on

0:17:09.640 --> 0:17:11.520
<v Speaker 1>one of those single man coverage plays that we get

0:17:11.520 --> 0:17:13.800
<v Speaker 1>every single week if he takes the cheese on a

0:17:13.920 --> 0:17:14.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, a.

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:15.680
<v Speaker 2>Short move or doesn't get enough depth.

0:17:15.960 --> 0:17:19.199
<v Speaker 1>And then Jacorey and Bennett is kind of next in

0:17:19.280 --> 0:17:22.440
<v Speaker 1>line because Brandon face On is on IR. He was

0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:25.400
<v Speaker 1>supposed to be a perimeter starter as well a safety.

0:17:25.520 --> 0:17:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Roderick Teamer maybe this is why they only run two safeties.

0:17:28.080 --> 0:17:31.240
<v Speaker 1>He's also on IR, so is outside linebacker Darien Butler,

0:17:31.280 --> 0:17:34.520
<v Speaker 1>but a Meek Robertson, their other starting cornerback who plays

0:17:35.040 --> 0:17:39.040
<v Speaker 1>pretty much every snap in the absence of Brandon face On. Again,

0:17:39.080 --> 0:17:41.479
<v Speaker 1>he left Sunday's game in the fencing posture, so I

0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:43.480
<v Speaker 1>just can't imagine he returns to the lineup. It would

0:17:43.520 --> 0:17:46.760
<v Speaker 1>be irresponsible to have that happen. Jackorey and Bennett is

0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:48.960
<v Speaker 1>his replacement. He was also injured in game but came

0:17:49.000 --> 0:17:51.560
<v Speaker 1>back into the lineup, but he's man, I don't know.

0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:54.520
<v Speaker 1>Inside Nate Hobbs plays fifty one percent of the snaps.

0:17:54.640 --> 0:17:56.920
<v Speaker 1>Robertson would kick inside as well, So there's there's a

0:17:56.960 --> 0:18:00.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of fluidity in the back seven of this defense.

0:18:00.000 --> 0:18:01.119
<v Speaker 1>That's what I'm trying to tell you. They're gonna have

0:18:01.119 --> 0:18:04.880
<v Speaker 1>to elevate practice squad corners. I imagine Jack Jones has

0:18:04.920 --> 0:18:08.680
<v Speaker 1>a chance to play because without roberts and the acquisition

0:18:08.720 --> 0:18:11.639
<v Speaker 1>of Jones, he's their fifth cornerback, and they're gonna have

0:18:11.720 --> 0:18:14.280
<v Speaker 1>to go into the practice squad to get special teams reps,

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:17.280
<v Speaker 1>maybe even perimeter snaps if one guy goes down. So

0:18:17.359 --> 0:18:19.840
<v Speaker 1>it's and these are the games where like the Dolphins

0:18:19.960 --> 0:18:22.480
<v Speaker 1>just roll right Like we've seen that that Cardinals game

0:18:22.520 --> 0:18:24.280
<v Speaker 1>back in twenty twenty, they were down a bunch of

0:18:24.280 --> 0:18:26.840
<v Speaker 1>corners to a shred of those guys. Even Ryan Fitzpatrick

0:18:26.880 --> 0:18:28.119
<v Speaker 1>and the Niers game that year, they were down a

0:18:28.160 --> 0:18:30.399
<v Speaker 1>bunch of corners and they shredded those guys. You know

0:18:30.480 --> 0:18:32.639
<v Speaker 1>the Panthers game this year, down safety's got shredded. The

0:18:32.840 --> 0:18:35.120
<v Speaker 1>Giants were down, corners got shredded. It's not a good

0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:39.080
<v Speaker 1>proposition to have missing corners against this Dolphins offense as.

0:18:38.920 --> 0:18:42.919
<v Speaker 2>Far as they're upfront grouping goes Balala.

0:18:43.000 --> 0:18:45.359
<v Speaker 1>Nichols is the leading defensive tackle at fifty eight percent,

0:18:45.480 --> 0:18:49.439
<v Speaker 1>John Jenkins fifty five percent, Jeremy Tillery forty five percent,

0:18:49.480 --> 0:18:51.720
<v Speaker 1>and then Adam Butler forty five So you can that's

0:18:51.760 --> 0:18:54.040
<v Speaker 1>all basically half the snaps, right. Those guys are in

0:18:54.040 --> 0:18:56.920
<v Speaker 1>a pretty consistent rotation. It keeps them fresh, it keeps

0:18:56.920 --> 0:18:58.359
<v Speaker 1>them going, which is a good thing for them here

0:18:58.640 --> 0:19:01.240
<v Speaker 1>playing in Miami, Max Rosby doesn't leave the field ninety

0:19:01.240 --> 0:19:05.040
<v Speaker 1>eight percent of the snaps, Tyree Wilson forty one percent,

0:19:05.080 --> 0:19:08.159
<v Speaker 1>and then Malcolm Coon's thirty six percent. At linebacker, Robert

0:19:08.200 --> 0:19:10.560
<v Speaker 1>Splaine never leaves the field, and then Dion Diablo is

0:19:10.600 --> 0:19:13.600
<v Speaker 1>a sixty percent snap taker. He's a safety linebacker hybrid

0:19:13.800 --> 0:19:16.080
<v Speaker 1>fun player to watch. Back there, they're in their base

0:19:16.119 --> 0:19:18.399
<v Speaker 1>defense two percent of the time. They run a heavy

0:19:18.440 --> 0:19:20.879
<v Speaker 1>box fifteen percent, which could be construed as like a

0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:24.560
<v Speaker 1>four defensive back or rather a base package, but it's

0:19:24.560 --> 0:19:27.119
<v Speaker 1>a lot of short yards like two corners, one safety,

0:19:27.160 --> 0:19:28.760
<v Speaker 1>everyone else up in the box. A lot of that

0:19:28.840 --> 0:19:32.840
<v Speaker 1>has to do with the devine Diablo being one of

0:19:32.880 --> 0:19:35.280
<v Speaker 1>their top guys back there, but their Nickel package is

0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:37.680
<v Speaker 1>eighty one percent at the time, So really the closest

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:40.679
<v Speaker 1>version in terms of lack of diversity and their scheme

0:19:40.800 --> 0:19:43.320
<v Speaker 1>to the bills that we'll see on the schedule just

0:19:43.520 --> 0:19:47.080
<v Speaker 1>crazy splits. But I think that Diablo being unique is

0:19:47.200 --> 0:19:49.520
<v Speaker 1>a big part of that, but also their willingness to

0:19:49.560 --> 0:19:51.560
<v Speaker 1>run a six to two look where they have six

0:19:51.680 --> 0:19:53.359
<v Speaker 1>down line and I mentioned all those guys that play

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:55.639
<v Speaker 1>half the snaps. They're not shy about getting all of

0:19:55.680 --> 0:19:57.639
<v Speaker 1>those guys on the field and then go on like

0:19:57.680 --> 0:20:00.960
<v Speaker 1>Crosby and Wilson off the edge with Splain and Diablo

0:20:01.040 --> 0:20:03.120
<v Speaker 1>in the in the box as well. But then they'll

0:20:03.119 --> 0:20:06.560
<v Speaker 1>go from that to basically skip over their base entirely.

0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:09.040
<v Speaker 2>It's just one of the more unique deployments we'll see

0:20:09.040 --> 0:20:09.440
<v Speaker 2>this year.

0:20:09.560 --> 0:20:12.199
<v Speaker 1>And with eighty five percent of their snaps calling for

0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:14.879
<v Speaker 1>five or six dbs for a team that's banged up

0:20:14.880 --> 0:20:16.840
<v Speaker 1>back there right now, I'm curious to see how they

0:20:16.880 --> 0:20:18.680
<v Speaker 1>adjust to that and how the Dolphins can perhaps try

0:20:18.720 --> 0:20:22.200
<v Speaker 1>to dictate personnel with their own groupings. On offense, Patrick

0:20:22.200 --> 0:20:24.560
<v Speaker 1>Graham's the defensive coordinator, So you Ryder dies here from

0:20:24.600 --> 0:20:27.959
<v Speaker 1>Lockdown know that we did dupe dives on the Patrick

0:20:28.000 --> 0:20:29.800
<v Speaker 1>Graham defense, and that means, you know that slots of

0:20:29.800 --> 0:20:32.560
<v Speaker 1>odd fronts. They love that bear front where you cover

0:20:32.680 --> 0:20:34.679
<v Speaker 1>up the guard center guard with you know, head up

0:20:34.720 --> 0:20:36.960
<v Speaker 1>over the both those guys with a two technique, a

0:20:37.000 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 1>pair of two techniques and a zero technique, and that's

0:20:39.359 --> 0:20:42.400
<v Speaker 1>why you see just one true edge rusher with starter snaps.

0:20:42.640 --> 0:20:45.199
<v Speaker 1>They roll out three defensive tackles and wouldn't you know it,

0:20:45.320 --> 0:20:48.080
<v Speaker 1>John Jenkins was the nose on that team back back

0:20:48.119 --> 0:20:50.200
<v Speaker 1>in twenty nineteen, and here he is with the Raiders

0:20:50.200 --> 0:20:53.240
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty three. But Tillery is a Wilkins stealer type,

0:20:53.240 --> 0:20:56.040
<v Speaker 1>a three hundred pound defensive tackle that plays more four

0:20:56.119 --> 0:20:58.480
<v Speaker 1>io to five technique off the garden tackle than he

0:20:58.520 --> 0:21:01.160
<v Speaker 1>does the one technique the shade off the center.

0:21:01.840 --> 0:21:03.359
<v Speaker 2>And that's kind of how the whole group is built.

0:21:03.400 --> 0:21:05.400
<v Speaker 1>But back to the previous point, I think you're afforded

0:21:05.440 --> 0:21:07.399
<v Speaker 1>a couple of opportunities for how to try to take

0:21:07.440 --> 0:21:10.200
<v Speaker 1>advantage of that approach with one if you get them

0:21:10.240 --> 0:21:13.640
<v Speaker 1>to match you in short yardage defense, we've seen Miami's

0:21:13.680 --> 0:21:15.960
<v Speaker 1>ability to go empty from twenty one or even twenty

0:21:15.960 --> 0:21:19.480
<v Speaker 1>two personnel. The beauty of alec Ingold right or number two,

0:21:19.800 --> 0:21:22.320
<v Speaker 1>get them into those nickel looks and run the football

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:25.879
<v Speaker 1>behind a run oriented package once again, which also is

0:21:25.920 --> 0:21:27.040
<v Speaker 1>your twenty one personnel.

0:21:27.119 --> 0:21:30.240
<v Speaker 2>Alec Ingold is a unicorn right. They play a.

0:21:30.240 --> 0:21:32.720
<v Speaker 1>Dead split between single and two high pre snap, which

0:21:32.760 --> 0:21:34.520
<v Speaker 1>makes sense. Most teams find a way to mix it

0:21:34.600 --> 0:21:37.239
<v Speaker 1>up in terms of what structure you typically get. This

0:21:37.280 --> 0:21:39.320
<v Speaker 1>is where it's different, and this is where it goes

0:21:39.359 --> 0:21:41.439
<v Speaker 1>back to Flores Boyer style defense.

0:21:41.520 --> 0:21:42.399
<v Speaker 2>Thirty seven percent.

0:21:42.440 --> 0:21:44.680
<v Speaker 1>Cover three is one of the highest in the entire league,

0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:47.239
<v Speaker 1>and that almost always pairs with a good deal of

0:21:47.240 --> 0:21:50.280
<v Speaker 1>single high because the conversion off of that the defenses

0:21:50.560 --> 0:21:54.040
<v Speaker 1>will try to confuse opposing quarterbacks with is man free

0:21:54.119 --> 0:21:54.680
<v Speaker 1>cover one.

0:21:54.720 --> 0:21:55.400
<v Speaker 2>What does that mean?

0:21:55.600 --> 0:21:57.840
<v Speaker 1>Cover one is just a single high safety and then

0:21:57.920 --> 0:22:00.720
<v Speaker 1>man coverage all across the board. Times you can zone

0:22:00.760 --> 0:22:03.520
<v Speaker 1>things off in other spots, but typically man free, single

0:22:03.600 --> 0:22:06.119
<v Speaker 1>high man across the board. Cover three is where you

0:22:06.240 --> 0:22:08.800
<v Speaker 1>have a player taking a deep third across the Board's

0:22:08.800 --> 0:22:11.200
<v Speaker 1>that same single high safety can play the middle center field,

0:22:11.359 --> 0:22:12.760
<v Speaker 1>and then you have a left field or right field

0:22:12.800 --> 0:22:14.640
<v Speaker 1>or so to speak, at the cornerback positions that get

0:22:14.640 --> 0:22:17.960
<v Speaker 1>their depth and there's more hook curl flat zones underneath,

0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:22.040
<v Speaker 1>So man, coverage against Miami's not good. But cover three

0:22:22.080 --> 0:22:24.640
<v Speaker 1>there's a playbook, A lot of playbooks out there will

0:22:24.640 --> 0:22:26.520
<v Speaker 1>tell you that everything works against Cover three, and that's

0:22:26.600 --> 0:22:27.199
<v Speaker 1>kind of true.

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:31.239
<v Speaker 2>So good luck, you know, man, Like I don't know,

0:22:31.400 --> 0:22:32.800
<v Speaker 2>they're remaining forty five percent.

0:22:32.840 --> 0:22:36.040
<v Speaker 1>They spend seventeen percent of their snaps in quarters, ten

0:22:36.080 --> 0:22:38.120
<v Speaker 1>percent in cover two. Those are two, you know, kind

0:22:38.119 --> 0:22:41.240
<v Speaker 1>of comparable coverages. We've run a lot of that quarters

0:22:41.240 --> 0:22:43.520
<v Speaker 1>cover two concepts Cover six and then the rest they

0:22:43.520 --> 0:22:45.440
<v Speaker 1>have some zero and Cover six those are both under

0:22:45.480 --> 0:22:48.840
<v Speaker 1>five percent. So basically it's a Cover three Cover one defense.

0:22:49.000 --> 0:22:50.680
<v Speaker 1>It's a lot of the same principles we saw under

0:22:50.720 --> 0:22:52.919
<v Speaker 1>floor as in Boyer, but a lot less zero.

0:22:52.960 --> 0:22:54.400
<v Speaker 2>And a lot less blitzing.

0:22:54.680 --> 0:22:57.320
<v Speaker 1>I mentioned less than five percent Cover zero they blitzed

0:22:57.400 --> 0:22:58.920
<v Speaker 1>just twenty three percent of the time, which is the

0:22:58.960 --> 0:23:03.399
<v Speaker 1>sixth lowest in the NFL. Structurally, it's primarily that that

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:06.879
<v Speaker 1>C one C three look that wants to disguise what

0:23:07.000 --> 0:23:09.199
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna show you, and that's where I think the

0:23:09.240 --> 0:23:12.840
<v Speaker 1>attrition at cornerback really really hurts them. It's tough to

0:23:12.880 --> 0:23:16.320
<v Speaker 1>disguise and make changes on the fly and to adapt

0:23:16.320 --> 0:23:18.640
<v Speaker 1>to motion and things that happen in the snap like that,

0:23:18.840 --> 0:23:21.199
<v Speaker 1>when you're working in new pieces of the lineup. You

0:23:21.240 --> 0:23:23.159
<v Speaker 1>see that in coverage, you see it in pass protection,

0:23:23.240 --> 0:23:25.400
<v Speaker 1>you see it in run defense. It's a tough part

0:23:25.440 --> 0:23:27.480
<v Speaker 1>of injuries, which is obviously a big part of the game.

0:23:27.520 --> 0:23:30.960
<v Speaker 1>But how you can employ your system with new pieces,

0:23:31.040 --> 0:23:33.000
<v Speaker 1>that is what truly makes a great coach.

0:23:33.040 --> 0:23:34.800
<v Speaker 2>And it's hard to do. It's very, very very hard

0:23:34.800 --> 0:23:35.840
<v Speaker 2>to do. Up front.

0:23:36.000 --> 0:23:38.040
<v Speaker 1>They want to get one thing done, one thing, and

0:23:38.040 --> 0:23:40.680
<v Speaker 1>one thing. Only find ways to create one v one

0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:45.240
<v Speaker 1>chances for Max two X's Crosby, though he's not someone

0:23:45.280 --> 0:23:47.800
<v Speaker 1>that needs that to be productive. I'm not sure I've

0:23:47.800 --> 0:23:51.720
<v Speaker 1>seen a player who outworks his man of the time

0:23:51.840 --> 0:23:54.080
<v Speaker 1>like this guy. It's it's insane. The motor is crazy.

0:23:54.320 --> 0:23:58.040
<v Speaker 1>He's a phenomenal pass rusher. He's athletic, he's bendy, he's strong,

0:23:58.119 --> 0:24:01.680
<v Speaker 1>he's determined. He's a perfect player. Only Miles Garrett and

0:24:01.720 --> 0:24:04.520
<v Speaker 1>Micah Parsons draw more double teams, and all three of

0:24:04.520 --> 0:24:07.679
<v Speaker 1>those guys still have the pass rush production regardless of

0:24:07.680 --> 0:24:09.600
<v Speaker 1>how you play them. They want to run big body

0:24:09.600 --> 0:24:13.359
<v Speaker 1>defensive tackle DN game packages and pick off pieces and

0:24:13.440 --> 0:24:15.240
<v Speaker 1>attempt to get him those one on one blocks. So

0:24:15.600 --> 0:24:18.680
<v Speaker 1>you have to communicate inside very very well. Patrick Graham

0:24:18.760 --> 0:24:22.280
<v Speaker 1>runs one of the most in depth game schemes up

0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:24.000
<v Speaker 1>front and has big bodies to do it.

0:24:24.040 --> 0:24:25.359
<v Speaker 2>And Adam Butler, who I think.

0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:27.640
<v Speaker 1>Is a big part of that, and the Dolphins interior

0:24:27.720 --> 0:24:30.040
<v Speaker 1>since the injury to Isaiah Win with Connor Williams being

0:24:30.040 --> 0:24:31.880
<v Speaker 1>in and out of the lineup, and we probably won't

0:24:31.880 --> 0:24:35.800
<v Speaker 1>have Rob Hunt. It looks like this game the inactivity

0:24:35.840 --> 0:24:38.320
<v Speaker 1>of in terms of repetition with those three guys on

0:24:38.320 --> 0:24:40.439
<v Speaker 1>the interior, it's kind of defensive line that can give

0:24:40.480 --> 0:24:42.359
<v Speaker 1>you some problems because they can execute those games if

0:24:42.359 --> 0:24:43.360
<v Speaker 1>you don't get him passed off.

0:24:43.440 --> 0:24:45.840
<v Speaker 2>It's quick pressure, it's quick hits. Its sacks in your quarterbacks.

0:24:46.160 --> 0:24:48.680
<v Speaker 1>Max Crosby has nine and a half sacks, fifteen QB hits,

0:24:48.720 --> 0:24:52.320
<v Speaker 1>thirteen tackles for lost, fifty eight quarterback pressures. That's your primary,

0:24:52.359 --> 0:24:54.960
<v Speaker 1>your secondary, and your third priority on this team. I

0:24:55.040 --> 0:24:58.040
<v Speaker 1>doubt you see him rushing Austin Jackson alone very often.

0:24:58.359 --> 0:25:00.000
<v Speaker 1>And the Jets did do a good job getting their

0:25:00.080 --> 0:25:01.960
<v Speaker 1>wide running game going a little bit, and we know

0:25:02.400 --> 0:25:04.560
<v Speaker 1>that Miami can neutralize some of the top pass rushers

0:25:04.600 --> 0:25:06.639
<v Speaker 1>with one of the best wide zone games and crackback

0:25:06.760 --> 0:25:09.520
<v Speaker 1>action in the entire National Football League. So there's always

0:25:09.520 --> 0:25:13.560
<v Speaker 1>an answer solution to those potential issues that you can find.

0:25:13.760 --> 0:25:14.600
<v Speaker 2>But then I think you have.

0:25:14.560 --> 0:25:16.240
<v Speaker 1>To trust the rest of your crew to win the

0:25:16.240 --> 0:25:18.240
<v Speaker 1>one on ones. I would be very surprised if you

0:25:18.240 --> 0:25:22.240
<v Speaker 1>don't see a ton of one slides isolation slides for

0:25:22.359 --> 0:25:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Tron Armstead play in the left tackle position, because whether

0:25:25.400 --> 0:25:27.919
<v Speaker 1>it's Tyree Wilson or Malcolm Coons or whoever, that's not a

0:25:27.920 --> 0:25:28.720
<v Speaker 1>good matchup for them.

0:25:28.840 --> 0:25:29.639
<v Speaker 2>And that's why I think.

0:25:29.480 --> 0:25:31.520
<v Speaker 1>It's important to get practice reps all week for your

0:25:31.520 --> 0:25:34.040
<v Speaker 1>top five because to handle those games, we have to

0:25:34.080 --> 0:25:35.480
<v Speaker 1>make sure we know what's coming and be able to

0:25:35.480 --> 0:25:37.880
<v Speaker 1>prepare for them. It's great to have Connor Willies back

0:25:37.880 --> 0:25:40.719
<v Speaker 1>in the pivot for that main reason again. Adam Butler

0:25:40.800 --> 0:25:42.600
<v Speaker 1>just be ready for his quickness. No one has a

0:25:42.640 --> 0:25:45.199
<v Speaker 1>faster first step at that size than him, and it

0:25:45.240 --> 0:25:46.520
<v Speaker 1>worked for him. He was a big player for us

0:25:46.520 --> 0:25:48.480
<v Speaker 1>the year that we had him. Here's some numbers, real

0:25:48.560 --> 0:25:51.119
<v Speaker 1>quick and some styles, so they're players. Max Crosby fifty

0:25:51.160 --> 0:25:53.080
<v Speaker 1>eight pressures leads the team and I think he's top

0:25:53.119 --> 0:25:53.840
<v Speaker 1>three in the NFL.

0:25:54.000 --> 0:25:55.320
<v Speaker 2>But he's a master of everything.

0:25:55.520 --> 0:25:59.280
<v Speaker 1>Malcolm Coons has twenty, so literally a sixty percent drop

0:25:59.280 --> 0:26:02.320
<v Speaker 1>off there. I think math is correct correct. He's a length,

0:26:02.440 --> 0:26:04.639
<v Speaker 1>get off, speed convert to power guy. He kind of

0:26:04.640 --> 0:26:07.479
<v Speaker 1>reminds me a little bit of like Robert Quinn when

0:26:07.520 --> 0:26:10.840
<v Speaker 1>we had him here. Adam Butler seventeen pressures, quick, quick, quick,

0:26:10.880 --> 0:26:13.600
<v Speaker 1>that's my notes there. And then Jerry Tillery's sixteen pressure

0:26:13.640 --> 0:26:16.119
<v Speaker 1>is long, heavy handed, and a key to their game packages,

0:26:16.200 --> 0:26:18.399
<v Speaker 1>especially when he pairs with Butler because of how just

0:26:18.480 --> 0:26:21.080
<v Speaker 1>physical and heavy handed he is. So it's a well

0:26:21.119 --> 0:26:23.240
<v Speaker 1>balanced group that has played really well together this year.

0:26:23.440 --> 0:26:26.120
<v Speaker 1>And you know, Patrick Graham not a big blitzer all

0:26:26.160 --> 0:26:28.800
<v Speaker 1>time low for him. I wonder if his blitz percentage

0:26:28.800 --> 0:26:31.160
<v Speaker 1>being his lowest in his career is partly because his

0:26:31.200 --> 0:26:33.119
<v Speaker 1>mic linebacker is one of the best in terms of

0:26:33.160 --> 0:26:35.520
<v Speaker 1>coverage in the league. Three hundred and thirty eight snaps

0:26:35.520 --> 0:26:38.560
<v Speaker 1>in coverage forty as a rusher with just thirteen pressures

0:26:38.640 --> 0:26:41.080
<v Speaker 1>just not his game, but three picks and no tds

0:26:41.080 --> 0:26:43.040
<v Speaker 1>allowed and just two hundred and eighty yards allowed in

0:26:43.040 --> 0:26:43.920
<v Speaker 1>those coverage snaps.

0:26:44.040 --> 0:26:45.119
<v Speaker 2>Those are really good numbers.

0:26:45.280 --> 0:26:47.320
<v Speaker 1>He wants to play ford and side to side to

0:26:47.320 --> 0:26:49.439
<v Speaker 1>get in the hook zone. So well I think Miami

0:26:49.480 --> 0:26:52.440
<v Speaker 1>does with how they stretch the hook zone with those

0:26:52.480 --> 0:26:54.920
<v Speaker 1>fifteen to eighteen yard routes. With the threat of the

0:26:55.000 --> 0:26:57.000
<v Speaker 1>running game, it's a big, big asks for a guy

0:26:57.080 --> 0:26:59.560
<v Speaker 1>like Splaine, and he reminds me more of a land

0:26:59.560 --> 0:27:02.040
<v Speaker 1>and robber than David Long, which is why another reason

0:27:02.080 --> 0:27:03.680
<v Speaker 1>why I'm thinking the Dolphins gonna have a lot of

0:27:03.720 --> 0:27:06.560
<v Speaker 1>success in this game. Just to be frank, I don't

0:27:06.560 --> 0:27:08.679
<v Speaker 1>think he can do it. It's a big ass. There

0:27:08.680 --> 0:27:10.880
<v Speaker 1>aren't many guys that can. I think he go after

0:27:10.960 --> 0:27:13.000
<v Speaker 1>him and after him and then pound the middle of

0:27:13.040 --> 0:27:15.960
<v Speaker 1>that defense with the intermediate passing game, And because the

0:27:16.000 --> 0:27:18.560
<v Speaker 1>coverage structure and skill outside, I don't think is up

0:27:18.560 --> 0:27:21.160
<v Speaker 1>for it either. They're thin there, they play off, they

0:27:21.200 --> 0:27:24.040
<v Speaker 1>give up zone access inside. I think our quarterback is

0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:26.639
<v Speaker 1>about to go scorched earth in this one. Three hundred

0:27:26.640 --> 0:27:28.920
<v Speaker 1>and fifty yards, three touchdowns for two a tongue. Bai

0:27:28.920 --> 0:27:30.879
<v Speaker 1>LOOA would be very surprised if he does not have

0:27:30.920 --> 0:27:34.120
<v Speaker 1>a monster day of production here. They've just not had

0:27:34.200 --> 0:27:38.160
<v Speaker 1>that consistent second perimeter guy outside of Marcus Peters. Meek

0:27:38.280 --> 0:27:41.359
<v Speaker 1>Robertson was finding his footing there, but he's not gonna play.

0:27:41.520 --> 0:27:43.880
<v Speaker 1>So it's rookie Jacory and Bennett and PFF has him

0:27:43.880 --> 0:27:46.280
<v Speaker 1>with one hundred and ninety six coverage snaps and two

0:27:46.400 --> 0:27:47.920
<v Speaker 1>hundred and seventy yards allowed. Yikes.

0:27:47.960 --> 0:27:48.880
<v Speaker 2>I think we go after him.

0:27:49.000 --> 0:27:51.919
<v Speaker 1>He tips his leverage and to attacks him choose him up,

0:27:52.000 --> 0:27:54.360
<v Speaker 1>especially when he expects Splain to be there to take

0:27:54.480 --> 0:27:56.600
<v Speaker 1>the inbreakers, but it's just too deep. Those are the

0:27:56.640 --> 0:28:00.520
<v Speaker 1>two guys I'm kind of putting the the uh.

0:28:00.080 --> 0:28:01.040
<v Speaker 2>Sombrero on there.

0:28:01.200 --> 0:28:03.360
<v Speaker 1>I think Miami has a chance to really get both

0:28:03.400 --> 0:28:05.640
<v Speaker 1>Tyreek and Waddle going in this game. They don't travel,

0:28:05.920 --> 0:28:07.919
<v Speaker 1>they zone turn a lot, and I think that inside

0:28:07.960 --> 0:28:09.960
<v Speaker 1>access will be there. The key will be keeping the

0:28:09.960 --> 0:28:12.040
<v Speaker 1>linebackers attention with the running game enough to get them

0:28:12.040 --> 0:28:14.000
<v Speaker 1>to take a step forward. And that's why I'm so

0:28:14.040 --> 0:28:16.119
<v Speaker 1>pumped get devond A Chan back because the way he

0:28:16.200 --> 0:28:18.080
<v Speaker 1>threatens you with big plays in the running game, it

0:28:18.240 --> 0:28:21.040
<v Speaker 1>forces you to not be able to get that depth.

0:28:21.080 --> 0:28:22.840
<v Speaker 1>You just can't afford to let him get free runs

0:28:22.880 --> 0:28:25.040
<v Speaker 1>in the second level. So him being back, I think

0:28:25.080 --> 0:28:26.600
<v Speaker 1>makes for a big day for all three of those

0:28:26.640 --> 0:28:29.679
<v Speaker 1>playmakers Wattle, Reekan e Chan. I love their safety combo,

0:28:29.720 --> 0:28:31.159
<v Speaker 1>but they want to come from depth and fit the

0:28:31.240 --> 0:28:33.280
<v Speaker 1>run or shade one side. If you go back to

0:28:33.320 --> 0:28:35.919
<v Speaker 1>their Giants tape, they frequently would flood one side and

0:28:35.920 --> 0:28:37.879
<v Speaker 1>give you one on one access down the field. So

0:28:38.000 --> 0:28:40.480
<v Speaker 1>deep shots should be there to be there as well.

0:28:41.120 --> 0:28:42.720
<v Speaker 1>I just don't see how Miami isn't score at least

0:28:42.720 --> 0:28:44.080
<v Speaker 1>thirty points in this game. Let's go ahead and take

0:28:44.080 --> 0:28:45.640
<v Speaker 1>our last break right there. Come back on the other

0:28:45.720 --> 0:28:48.560
<v Speaker 1>side and talk about the Dolphins defense versus Aid and

0:28:48.600 --> 0:28:51.840
<v Speaker 1>O'Connell and this Raiders offense. That's next Draft Time podcast,

0:28:51.880 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 1>your host, Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation.

0:28:59.160 --> 0:28:59.880
<v Speaker 2>Wednesday.

0:29:00.080 --> 0:29:03.840
<v Speaker 1>Raiders Dolphins previous Dolphins are thirteen point favorites at hard

0:29:03.920 --> 0:29:06.640
<v Speaker 1>Rock Stadium. It's been a long time since that Chiefs loss.

0:29:06.680 --> 0:29:07.840
<v Speaker 2>I still want that one back.

0:29:07.920 --> 0:29:09.959
<v Speaker 1>Let's go ahead and make it a big victory here

0:29:10.000 --> 0:29:12.920
<v Speaker 1>against the Raiders, and they go with eight and o'connollat quarterback.

0:29:12.960 --> 0:29:15.960
<v Speaker 1>Their top receivers are Devonte Adams, who plays ninety one

0:29:16.000 --> 0:29:19.240
<v Speaker 1>percent of the snaps. Jacoby Myers plays eighty five percent,

0:29:19.280 --> 0:29:21.360
<v Speaker 1>and then there is a big drop off for Trey Tucker,

0:29:21.560 --> 0:29:24.560
<v Speaker 1>who plays twenty five percent, but on the slot slash

0:29:24.640 --> 0:29:27.880
<v Speaker 1>tight end positions. Hunter Renfro has kind of been doghoused

0:29:27.880 --> 0:29:31.160
<v Speaker 1>like until he got until they fired McDaniels, which is crazy,

0:29:31.240 --> 0:29:33.880
<v Speaker 1>right Like Renfro, McDaniels makes a bunch of sense, but

0:29:33.880 --> 0:29:36.040
<v Speaker 1>it didn't really work out for him that way, thirty

0:29:36.080 --> 0:29:38.600
<v Speaker 1>seven percent of the snaps for him, Michael Mayers played

0:29:38.680 --> 0:29:41.320
<v Speaker 1>sixty seven percent the tight end position and Austin Hooper

0:29:41.360 --> 0:29:45.960
<v Speaker 1>forty seven percent, so lots of heavy personnel groupings inside

0:29:45.960 --> 0:29:49.600
<v Speaker 1>for them. And then their guards are Dylan Parham, Andre

0:29:49.800 --> 0:29:52.080
<v Speaker 1>James is the center and Greg Van Rotten is their

0:29:52.320 --> 0:29:56.400
<v Speaker 1>right guard rotent sorry, Their tackles are If Colton Miller

0:29:56.440 --> 0:29:59.200
<v Speaker 1>can't go, that usually means Jermaine Illuminor is in there,

0:29:59.200 --> 0:30:01.400
<v Speaker 1>and then Thayer Month it is also the other tackle

0:30:01.440 --> 0:30:03.680
<v Speaker 1>in there, and then the running back Josh Jacobs playing

0:30:03.680 --> 0:30:05.520
<v Speaker 1>seventy eight percent of the snaps and nobody else really

0:30:05.520 --> 0:30:08.200
<v Speaker 1>gets anywhere close to that. Their personnel usage sixty one

0:30:08.200 --> 0:30:10.920
<v Speaker 1>percent out of eleven personnel, but this has shifted the

0:30:10.960 --> 0:30:14.000
<v Speaker 1>last two weeks to give these numbers more pop. Twelve

0:30:14.080 --> 0:30:17.680
<v Speaker 1>personnel is fourteen percent. Twenty one personnel's fourteen percent, so

0:30:17.760 --> 0:30:20.760
<v Speaker 1>twenty eight percent of your groupings will call for what

0:30:20.880 --> 0:30:22.840
<v Speaker 1>traditionally is your base defense, which.

0:30:22.680 --> 0:30:23.000
<v Speaker 2>Is a lot.

0:30:23.200 --> 0:30:25.640
<v Speaker 1>It's a lot in this league, and I that's actually

0:30:25.680 --> 0:30:28.560
<v Speaker 1>a lot higher because Pierce he told you he wants

0:30:28.600 --> 0:30:29.360
<v Speaker 1>to run the football.

0:30:29.400 --> 0:30:30.600
<v Speaker 2>Good luck with that strategy.

0:30:30.920 --> 0:30:32.400
<v Speaker 1>I hope it works out for you when you're not

0:30:32.400 --> 0:30:35.200
<v Speaker 1>playing Tommy DeVito and Zach Wilson. Some opening notes here,

0:30:35.360 --> 0:30:37.640
<v Speaker 1>Aidan O'Connell has really bad feet man, so when he

0:30:37.840 --> 0:30:39.800
<v Speaker 1>has to like shift or reset, he can kind of

0:30:39.800 --> 0:30:43.240
<v Speaker 1>scattershot his passes. It leads to missus potential picks.

0:30:43.640 --> 0:30:45.280
<v Speaker 2>Take away primary.

0:30:46.320 --> 0:30:49.000
<v Speaker 1>Taking away his primary leads to mistakes because the footwork

0:30:49.040 --> 0:30:52.440
<v Speaker 1>does not get aligned. He throws pre determined shots. I

0:30:52.440 --> 0:30:54.280
<v Speaker 1>think we're gonna turn this guy over a couple times.

0:30:54.440 --> 0:30:57.080
<v Speaker 1>He passes up open one on ones and neglect's coverage,

0:30:57.160 --> 0:30:59.280
<v Speaker 1>rotating to force the ball into what he saw pre snap,

0:30:59.280 --> 0:31:01.760
<v Speaker 1>which is a very rookie to do. Their protections don't

0:31:01.760 --> 0:31:05.720
<v Speaker 1>adjust to the original mic point, so you can really

0:31:05.760 --> 0:31:08.080
<v Speaker 1>confuse their five man protection calls.

0:31:08.200 --> 0:31:10.000
<v Speaker 2>I have to imagine again that's part of a rookie

0:31:10.000 --> 0:31:12.360
<v Speaker 2>and vixed disguise should cook this dude up.

0:31:12.360 --> 0:31:14.040
<v Speaker 1>I came away from you know, the two games study

0:31:14.080 --> 0:31:16.640
<v Speaker 1>of A and O'Connell actually more impressed by his processing

0:31:16.680 --> 0:31:18.360
<v Speaker 1>than I thought I would be. Like, I'm not saying

0:31:18.400 --> 0:31:20.440
<v Speaker 1>it's tua, but for a guy making just his third

0:31:20.440 --> 0:31:22.560
<v Speaker 1>start this week, did not expect him to be at

0:31:22.560 --> 0:31:25.360
<v Speaker 1>the level that he is on that Giants tamp especially

0:31:25.600 --> 0:31:28.000
<v Speaker 1>the Jets got after him. But their front is crazy,

0:31:28.000 --> 0:31:30.040
<v Speaker 1>their coverage is crazy. But you can see that he

0:31:30.120 --> 0:31:32.880
<v Speaker 1>understands the rules and the why behind certain things. He

0:31:32.920 --> 0:31:35.600
<v Speaker 1>does pump the ball to DeVante Adams, and I get it.

0:31:35.760 --> 0:31:37.680
<v Speaker 1>But there are some one on one chances to other

0:31:37.720 --> 0:31:41.200
<v Speaker 1>guys like Jacoby Myers, huge Jacoby Myers fan, and he

0:31:41.240 --> 0:31:43.000
<v Speaker 1>can make those plays, but the ball does not always

0:31:43.040 --> 0:31:44.880
<v Speaker 1>go there. So your first question is what do you

0:31:44.880 --> 0:31:46.960
<v Speaker 1>do with Adams. I think you can mix this a

0:31:47.040 --> 0:31:49.960
<v Speaker 1>la Travis Kelce. We saw him see Ramsey, we saw

0:31:50.040 --> 0:31:53.320
<v Speaker 1>him see double teams, we saw him get constant reroutes underneath.

0:31:53.600 --> 0:31:56.560
<v Speaker 2>I think from there I would just leave X on.

0:31:56.600 --> 0:31:59.640
<v Speaker 1>Jacoby Myers and just go man him up. I always

0:31:59.640 --> 0:32:01.960
<v Speaker 1>like X against a six to two plus receiver like Myers,

0:32:02.000 --> 0:32:04.040
<v Speaker 1>a two hundred and ten pound receiver like Myers. He

0:32:04.080 --> 0:32:05.760
<v Speaker 1>just plays better against those guys than he does the

0:32:05.800 --> 0:32:07.760
<v Speaker 1>shiftier receivers. So that's kind of my matchup.

0:32:07.800 --> 0:32:08.240
<v Speaker 2>I like there.

0:32:08.400 --> 0:32:11.920
<v Speaker 1>And then Cater Kohu with Hunter Renfro. I always like

0:32:11.960 --> 0:32:14.680
<v Speaker 1>Cater against most lot receivers, especially against Renfro. For the

0:32:14.720 --> 0:32:17.320
<v Speaker 1>Dolphins with Vic Fangio, he can change the picture enough

0:32:17.360 --> 0:32:20.080
<v Speaker 1>to confuse a young quarterback and provide, you know, sticky

0:32:20.120 --> 0:32:22.160
<v Speaker 1>coverage with your So nice to have all these guys

0:32:22.160 --> 0:32:24.560
<v Speaker 1>back Man Ex, Ramsey, Cater, Javon.

0:32:24.360 --> 0:32:25.360
<v Speaker 2>Like, it's so nice.

0:32:25.520 --> 0:32:27.920
<v Speaker 1>But a couple of times on that film, O'Connell would

0:32:27.920 --> 0:32:30.240
<v Speaker 1>spray the football because he took away his first read.

0:32:30.480 --> 0:32:32.120
<v Speaker 1>He had to reset and come back, and the feet

0:32:32.160 --> 0:32:35.080
<v Speaker 1>get wonky and the ball flies and it always goes

0:32:35.120 --> 0:32:36.880
<v Speaker 1>back to the feet. And the best way to get

0:32:37.000 --> 0:32:38.200
<v Speaker 1>bad footwork.

0:32:37.840 --> 0:32:38.920
<v Speaker 2>Is to speed things up.

0:32:39.200 --> 0:32:42.640
<v Speaker 1>Generate the bad foot work, generate bad throws, generate pas

0:32:43.080 --> 0:32:45.200
<v Speaker 1>turnovers with your pass rush. So I think you can

0:32:45.240 --> 0:32:47.719
<v Speaker 1>sort of use that processing against him a little bit

0:32:47.720 --> 0:32:49.360
<v Speaker 1>because he kind of makes his mind up a lot,

0:32:49.480 --> 0:32:51.280
<v Speaker 1>and you can play with that because he's so adept

0:32:51.280 --> 0:32:53.240
<v Speaker 1>at getting it out fast. Maybe he puts it in

0:32:53.280 --> 0:32:55.400
<v Speaker 1>Harm's way. The key for the Raiders is getting Colt

0:32:55.400 --> 0:32:58.120
<v Speaker 1>Miller back. Without him, they've struggled with him a lot better.

0:32:58.480 --> 0:33:00.200
<v Speaker 1>We'll see about his stats, but he did not play

0:33:00.200 --> 0:33:02.800
<v Speaker 1>against the Jets on Sunday Night Football. And then just

0:33:02.880 --> 0:33:06.480
<v Speaker 1>some numbers here for them real quick. Jermaine Iluminor ninety

0:33:06.520 --> 0:33:10.400
<v Speaker 1>six pbe is not good at tackle. Dylan Parham ninety

0:33:10.440 --> 0:33:12.240
<v Speaker 1>eight three is pretty good for a left guard, way

0:33:12.320 --> 0:33:13.160
<v Speaker 1>up from ninety.

0:33:12.880 --> 0:33:14.680
<v Speaker 2>Four year ago. He had some rookie struggles.

0:33:14.840 --> 0:33:17.200
<v Speaker 1>Andre James ninety seven point seven is not good for

0:33:17.240 --> 0:33:20.200
<v Speaker 1>a center, Greg van Roten ninety eight it's good enough.

0:33:20.400 --> 0:33:22.680
<v Speaker 1>And then Thayer Munford is ninety four point four right

0:33:22.680 --> 0:33:24.680
<v Speaker 1>tackle the Colt Miller's over ninety eight, so you have

0:33:24.720 --> 0:33:28.160
<v Speaker 1>to get Colton Miller back. Munford has really really struggled

0:33:28.160 --> 0:33:29.920
<v Speaker 1>with speed off the edge, which to me opens doore

0:33:29.960 --> 0:33:33.080
<v Speaker 1>for some possibilities, right. I like Jalen Phillips against anybody,

0:33:33.200 --> 0:33:35.040
<v Speaker 1>but I also like when you can condense him inside

0:33:35.040 --> 0:33:37.240
<v Speaker 1>and just let Van Ginkle use his speed off the edge.

0:33:37.240 --> 0:33:39.680
<v Speaker 1>When you have a matchup like that, you can typically

0:33:39.720 --> 0:33:41.840
<v Speaker 1>get to your NASCAR package, you know, on third and

0:33:41.880 --> 0:33:44.600
<v Speaker 1>long situations, which is why it's so critical to stop

0:33:44.640 --> 0:33:47.280
<v Speaker 1>the run, but to just move Jalen inside let Van

0:33:47.360 --> 0:33:49.600
<v Speaker 1>Ginkle rush off the edge. I don't know if they

0:33:49.640 --> 0:33:51.880
<v Speaker 1>can handle that. Where I like our chances here is

0:33:51.880 --> 0:33:54.560
<v Speaker 1>they blow protections a lot. I think we blitz a

0:33:54.600 --> 0:33:56.360
<v Speaker 1>lot because of our ability to cover up on the

0:33:56.360 --> 0:34:00.520
<v Speaker 1>back end, but because their protection rules inside have been mamblematic,

0:34:00.680 --> 0:34:02.719
<v Speaker 1>and they often try to sneak a running back up

0:34:02.720 --> 0:34:04.280
<v Speaker 1>into the A gap for like you know when they

0:34:04.360 --> 0:34:07.360
<v Speaker 1>mug up their linebackers, and that removes and eligible from

0:34:07.400 --> 0:34:10.040
<v Speaker 1>the equation. That's why I think you see multiple takeaways

0:34:10.040 --> 0:34:11.920
<v Speaker 1>in this game. I think you could potentially hit a

0:34:11.920 --> 0:34:14.600
<v Speaker 1>few explosive plays in the quick passing game, which they'll

0:34:14.600 --> 0:34:15.000
<v Speaker 1>get those.

0:34:15.000 --> 0:34:15.759
<v Speaker 2>Don't get mad on the.

0:34:15.719 --> 0:34:17.439
<v Speaker 1>First drive when the hit like a fourteen yard pass

0:34:17.480 --> 0:34:18.840
<v Speaker 1>on the first third and six of the game.

0:34:18.719 --> 0:34:19.440
<v Speaker 2>Like it might happen.

0:34:19.600 --> 0:34:21.719
<v Speaker 1>But I think we'll get into situations where we tee

0:34:21.719 --> 0:34:24.440
<v Speaker 1>off and really force the issue on this quarterback and

0:34:24.480 --> 0:34:27.560
<v Speaker 1>this offense. Long and Bake should be living in the

0:34:27.600 --> 0:34:29.759
<v Speaker 1>A gaps. That's what I would do, at least extra hats.

0:34:29.760 --> 0:34:31.760
<v Speaker 1>In the running game, they're going to run the football.

0:34:31.960 --> 0:34:33.919
<v Speaker 1>Use your corner skills to match up and just make

0:34:34.000 --> 0:34:36.400
<v Speaker 1>life really tough and make him have to make fast

0:34:36.440 --> 0:34:39.480
<v Speaker 1>decisions against this defense. It's been a bit of a

0:34:39.520 --> 0:34:42.000
<v Speaker 1>work in progress for them in terms of working as

0:34:42.040 --> 0:34:45.120
<v Speaker 1>a singular unit. They just there's always an issue on

0:34:45.160 --> 0:34:46.919
<v Speaker 1>the interior, and that probably goes back to the fact

0:34:46.960 --> 0:34:48.920
<v Speaker 1>that Parham is his first full time as a starter.

0:34:49.280 --> 0:34:51.440
<v Speaker 1>Van Rotten's on his third team in three years. I

0:34:51.520 --> 0:34:54.359
<v Speaker 1>keep saying Rotten rotin, and then Andre James is up

0:34:54.400 --> 0:34:55.879
<v Speaker 1>and down, but he's been there for a while now.

0:34:55.960 --> 0:34:58.760
<v Speaker 1>But Miami has the size and quicks to really challenge

0:34:58.760 --> 0:35:01.959
<v Speaker 1>that communication. Better process it right now because if you don't,

0:35:02.120 --> 0:35:03.919
<v Speaker 1>Steeler and Wilkins will put you on your back.

0:35:04.160 --> 0:35:05.440
<v Speaker 2>I think we just thump them there.

0:35:05.480 --> 0:35:07.799
<v Speaker 1>Man. There aren't many matchups. In fact, there isn't one

0:35:07.800 --> 0:35:09.920
<v Speaker 1>that I like for Las Vegas. Maybe Adams could get

0:35:09.960 --> 0:35:11.840
<v Speaker 1>some of those, but then it's a rookie quarterback, So like,

0:35:11.880 --> 0:35:12.920
<v Speaker 1>am I really worried about that?

0:35:13.040 --> 0:35:17.319
<v Speaker 2>No, I'm not. Finally, how do you create pass rush opportunities?

0:35:17.520 --> 0:35:19.600
<v Speaker 1>Well, you stop the run. They've made no bones about this.

0:35:19.640 --> 0:35:22.520
<v Speaker 1>They want to play Dave Wantstead ball, which again, good luck,

0:35:22.680 --> 0:35:26.000
<v Speaker 1>good luck doing that. In twenty twenty three, first. Jacob's

0:35:26.040 --> 0:35:28.520
<v Speaker 1>leads the NFL and carriers, but the disparity in first down

0:35:28.600 --> 0:35:30.040
<v Speaker 1>runs for the Raiders compared to the rest of the

0:35:30.080 --> 0:35:32.799
<v Speaker 1>league is wild since Pierce took over. You guys watched

0:35:32.800 --> 0:35:35.600
<v Speaker 1>the Bills in Broncos game right, how frustrating was all

0:35:35.600 --> 0:35:37.440
<v Speaker 1>those first down handoffs that would go for two or

0:35:37.440 --> 0:35:39.560
<v Speaker 1>three yards? Like second eight is not a good place

0:35:39.600 --> 0:35:41.840
<v Speaker 1>to be, my man, like, throw the football. It's almost

0:35:41.840 --> 0:35:43.920
<v Speaker 1>every series they give the ball with Jacobs on first down,

0:35:43.960 --> 0:35:47.080
<v Speaker 1>So load it up, stop the run and put O'Connell

0:35:47.080 --> 0:35:50.279
<v Speaker 1>behind the chains. Again. Good luck, man, good luck. They

0:35:50.280 --> 0:35:52.640
<v Speaker 1>believe they can move you, and Jacobs can wear you down.

0:35:52.680 --> 0:35:56.000
<v Speaker 1>But in this heat against this offense, you stop that

0:35:56.080 --> 0:35:58.040
<v Speaker 1>in the first quarter. You score ten points in the

0:35:58.080 --> 0:36:00.720
<v Speaker 1>first quarter. Then this game I think gets off sideways

0:36:00.719 --> 0:36:02.239
<v Speaker 1>and you force the Raiders to play a game they

0:36:02.239 --> 0:36:02.919
<v Speaker 1>don't want to play.

0:36:03.200 --> 0:36:03.760
<v Speaker 2>Start fast.

0:36:03.760 --> 0:36:05.520
<v Speaker 1>That will be one of our keys, but he's a

0:36:05.520 --> 0:36:07.520
<v Speaker 1>physical bruiser. I think you can start with him and

0:36:07.520 --> 0:36:10.560
<v Speaker 1>then play the rush. You know, rush lanes, stop Josh Jacobs,

0:36:10.560 --> 0:36:13.279
<v Speaker 1>you'll stop this offense. Interesting offense, a lot of talent

0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:16.000
<v Speaker 1>at eight, no collumns disposal, But ultimately I don't think

0:36:16.040 --> 0:36:17.920
<v Speaker 1>it has enough juice to compete with Miami.

0:36:18.080 --> 0:36:19.200
<v Speaker 2>What's at stake in this game?

0:36:19.280 --> 0:36:21.680
<v Speaker 1>Every game from here going in is big, but especially

0:36:21.719 --> 0:36:24.360
<v Speaker 1>the conference and division games. This one obviously falling in

0:36:24.440 --> 0:36:27.160
<v Speaker 1>the former category. But you saw how dropping games can

0:36:27.200 --> 0:36:30.080
<v Speaker 1>impact your standing. Literally, you know the rest of the

0:36:30.080 --> 0:36:32.400
<v Speaker 1>conference last week, right all those teams lost games, and

0:36:32.440 --> 0:36:36.080
<v Speaker 1>we're sitting here the advantage or the beneficiary of that.

0:36:36.440 --> 0:36:38.160
<v Speaker 1>Let's not give that right back to the pack by

0:36:38.239 --> 0:36:40.680
<v Speaker 1>dropping a game against a bad football team. The playoff

0:36:40.719 --> 0:36:43.680
<v Speaker 1>slider only has eight percent dispersion this week, more on

0:36:43.719 --> 0:36:46.319
<v Speaker 1>the negative side of things, a six percent loss in

0:36:46.360 --> 0:36:48.800
<v Speaker 1>playoff odds and a two percent gain. But the reason

0:36:48.800 --> 0:36:50.880
<v Speaker 1>for that is because Buffalo is blowing it and we

0:36:50.920 --> 0:36:53.160
<v Speaker 1>are very heavy favorites to win the AFCs right now.

0:36:53.160 --> 0:36:54.920
<v Speaker 2>It's why you're gonna get those high odds.

0:36:55.200 --> 0:36:57.040
<v Speaker 1>You have to be thinking division and then from there

0:36:57.040 --> 0:36:59.800
<v Speaker 1>it comes down to jockeying for top positions in the conference,

0:37:00.120 --> 0:37:02.360
<v Speaker 1>the one through four seed. The goal in the pass

0:37:02.440 --> 0:37:04.319
<v Speaker 1>was always to find your way into the top two,

0:37:04.400 --> 0:37:06.840
<v Speaker 1>right for that first round by that has changed, but

0:37:06.960 --> 0:37:10.040
<v Speaker 1>now a seven has never beaten a two, and so

0:37:10.120 --> 0:37:13.080
<v Speaker 1>that means the only way you're gonna get a home

0:37:13.120 --> 0:37:16.000
<v Speaker 1>divisional game is to get that second seed most likely.

0:37:16.040 --> 0:37:18.799
<v Speaker 1>So that's to say you can't lose this game and

0:37:18.840 --> 0:37:21.719
<v Speaker 1>still obtain a top two seed. I mean mathematically you can,

0:37:22.200 --> 0:37:23.760
<v Speaker 1>but I think you guys get what I'm saying.

0:37:23.840 --> 0:37:26.240
<v Speaker 2>Take care of business. My keys to victory. Start fast.

0:37:26.560 --> 0:37:28.760
<v Speaker 1>Anytime you can make an offense with a rookie quarterback

0:37:28.800 --> 0:37:31.520
<v Speaker 1>one dimensional, that's gonna be tough sledding, especially for a

0:37:31.560 --> 0:37:34.320
<v Speaker 1>team that's advertising they want to pound the football.

0:37:34.360 --> 0:37:34.960
<v Speaker 2>Start fast.

0:37:35.200 --> 0:37:38.160
<v Speaker 1>Hopefully we don't have a quarter rust to shake off

0:37:38.200 --> 0:37:40.319
<v Speaker 1>from the bye week. Just get going early, get that

0:37:40.320 --> 0:37:42.600
<v Speaker 1>confidence going early, and I would feel pretty good about

0:37:42.600 --> 0:37:45.840
<v Speaker 1>this team going forward. Number two, Fine Max Crosby every snap,

0:37:45.920 --> 0:37:48.319
<v Speaker 1>locate him, double him, chip bim, make sure he doesn't

0:37:48.320 --> 0:37:50.680
<v Speaker 1>get a clean runway. He's a game changer. He'll probably

0:37:50.680 --> 0:37:52.640
<v Speaker 1>get one or two game changing plays. Don't let it

0:37:52.680 --> 0:37:55.759
<v Speaker 1>be more than that. Number three feature the playmakers. Eight

0:37:55.880 --> 0:37:59.200
<v Speaker 1>chan Back Waddle looks healthy as hell, Tyreek looks rested.

0:37:59.239 --> 0:38:01.400
<v Speaker 1>First time you had all threes guys together since the

0:38:01.440 --> 0:38:04.160
<v Speaker 1>Giants game. To me, it's the best three skill players

0:38:04.160 --> 0:38:06.560
<v Speaker 1>in the NFL on any football team. Get those guys

0:38:06.600 --> 0:38:08.840
<v Speaker 1>going get the perception of cranking back up, that Miami's

0:38:08.880 --> 0:38:11.560
<v Speaker 1>unstoppable on offense, and let's have some fun. My areas

0:38:11.600 --> 0:38:14.560
<v Speaker 1>of concern, I don't have them. Don't let Crosby hit two.

0:38:14.719 --> 0:38:16.920
<v Speaker 1>That's pretty much it. And then my arias too exploit

0:38:17.000 --> 0:38:20.080
<v Speaker 1>heat up a rookie quarterback, go after the intermediate middle

0:38:20.080 --> 0:38:22.960
<v Speaker 1>of the field passing game against inexperienced secondary, and just

0:38:23.040 --> 0:38:23.920
<v Speaker 1>chew these guys up.

0:38:23.960 --> 0:38:26.200
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna go full bloodbath here on the prediction. Guys.

0:38:26.200 --> 0:38:27.840
<v Speaker 2>I think it's ugly. I think it's ugly for the

0:38:27.920 --> 0:38:28.720
<v Speaker 2>offense for Vegas.

0:38:28.760 --> 0:38:30.920
<v Speaker 1>I think what happens when our offense gets a lot

0:38:30.920 --> 0:38:32.319
<v Speaker 1>of chances in short fields is.

0:38:32.320 --> 0:38:34.120
<v Speaker 2>It gets ugly? Ugly, ugly, ugly.

0:38:34.280 --> 0:38:36.439
<v Speaker 1>I'm taking a fifty burger here, that's right. You heard

0:38:36.480 --> 0:38:39.880
<v Speaker 1>me crazy, but you heard me right. Fifty to thirteen.

0:38:39.960 --> 0:38:42.400
<v Speaker 1>I know it sounds absurd, and I've predicted a lot

0:38:42.440 --> 0:38:44.720
<v Speaker 1>of these this year, but this is a very very

0:38:45.040 --> 0:38:46.000
<v Speaker 1>lop sided matchup.

0:38:46.040 --> 0:38:46.839
<v Speaker 2>It probably comes out.

0:38:46.760 --> 0:38:48.680
<v Speaker 1>To like thirty eight seventeen, which we'll take, right, But

0:38:48.960 --> 0:38:51.319
<v Speaker 1>I'm going fifty thirteen and we'll come back with you

0:38:51.320 --> 0:38:54.840
<v Speaker 1>guys in the podcast tomorrow. The Great Ted Win of

0:38:54.880 --> 0:38:58.040
<v Speaker 1>the Athletic joins me, and then Friday, former Dolphins quarterback

0:38:58.080 --> 0:39:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Trent Green, who's on the call on Sunday with Kevin Hart,

0:39:00.560 --> 0:39:02.719
<v Speaker 1>joins me as well. Great to get back in the

0:39:02.719 --> 0:39:05.000
<v Speaker 1>flow of things. That's my time today on the podcast.

0:39:05.040 --> 0:39:07.600
<v Speaker 1>You all please be sure to subscribe, rate, review all

0:39:07.640 --> 0:39:10.760
<v Speaker 1>that fun stuff. Check me out on social at winkfold NFL.

0:39:11.000 --> 0:39:12.759
<v Speaker 1>Check out Seth and Juice on the Fish Tank and

0:39:12.800 --> 0:39:15.560
<v Speaker 1>the pre and post game show. Also the YouTube channel

0:39:15.560 --> 0:39:18.439
<v Speaker 1>for media availabilities, Dolphins Today and so much more up there,

0:39:18.600 --> 0:39:20.960
<v Speaker 1>and last but not least, Miami Dolphins dot com. Until

0:39:20.960 --> 0:39:23.400
<v Speaker 1>next time, Finns Up, Caroline and Cameron Daddy's