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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Paroltz, following me on Twitter at sports tuk maatt

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Speaker 1: here on bettingpros dot com. We are always being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM. All Right, last night we

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Speaker 1: wound up up because we hit on our money line

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Speaker 1: two leg parlay that cashed at plus one forty in hockey,

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Speaker 1: which was nice. Colorado ate nothing, whoa well ate nothing.

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Speaker 1: At the time of taping, it may have they may

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Speaker 1: have scored more. That was incredible, ate nothing for them.

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Speaker 1: They bounced back in a big way. That was great.

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Speaker 1: We knew the lightning we're gonna beat the Blackhawks. That happened,

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Speaker 1: so nice win there five to two for Tampa. So

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Speaker 1: we hit that at plus one forty. That was nice.

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Speaker 1: That saved our half a unit loss on Liberty, which

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Speaker 1: was just pathetic. It saved me from staying up late

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Speaker 1: watching Nevada because I game didn't because Liberty did not

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Speaker 1: cover against Stetson. I've got a lot going here. I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to spend too much time dillydallying today because

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Speaker 1: I got to get into a lot of plays and

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Speaker 1: break down a lot of games here, so I don't

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Speaker 1: want to go too long for the podcast. So right

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Speaker 1: here at the top, I want to tell you about

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Speaker 1: the bet MGM offer because I got to get this

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Speaker 1: out of the way because we got a boatload of

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Speaker 1: picks coming. I've already told you about the Max Holloway

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Speaker 1: pick from last night that goes off today this afternoon

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Speaker 1: in Abu Dhabi. It is a minus one sixty five

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Speaker 1: on the money line. Just a win for Max Holloway

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Speaker 1: over at Calvin Cator. I don't know how he gets

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Speaker 1: it done. There's all sorts of different things you can

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Speaker 1: get into about how Max does it. Not going to

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Speaker 1: worry about it. Just Max Holloway to win. That is

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Speaker 1: all you guys know. The offer from bet MGM is

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Speaker 1: one dollar on the money line if a touchdown is scored.

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia. It is not available in Pennsylvania, The

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Speaker 1: PA one is a dollar on the money line. Your

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Speaker 1: team's gotta win for you to win one hundred dollars.

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Speaker 1: That's the Pennsylvania one that is on the money line

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Speaker 1: as well. For Pennsylvania bet MGM users using the promo

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Speaker 1: must be physically located in the states of New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee, Iowa,

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia. For the Pennsylvania one, you've got to

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Speaker 1: be physically located in the state of Pennsylvania. Juice one

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Speaker 1: hundreds of promo code. Please gamble responsibly get a gambling

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Speaker 1: problem called one hundred five to two two forty seven

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Speaker 1: hundred in Colorado, one hundred gambler in New Jersey, in

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Speaker 1: West Virginia, or one hundred nine with it in Indiana.

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Speaker 1: So Holloway one unit Football Rams and the Green Bay Packers.

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Speaker 1: Here is how I'm going to approach this game. This

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Speaker 1: is the most public of public games. This is the

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Speaker 1: most public game maybe of the weekend, and that's saying something.

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Speaker 1: Because of the Bucks and the Saints going off on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Everyone is on Green Bay. Everyone. The money keeps pouring

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Speaker 1: in on the packers minus six and a half and

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Speaker 1: the numbers not moving. It went to seven for a

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Speaker 1: second and the money came pouring in on the rams.

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Speaker 1: This is just like last week with Tampa in Washington,

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Speaker 1: the line was nine. When it went to nine, big

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Speaker 1: money came in. Now ultimately the game closed at ten

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Speaker 1: because of all the money that kept on coming in.

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Speaker 1: But what happened Tapa one by eight that nine was

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Speaker 1: the right number. I feel the same way about seven.

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Speaker 1: Seven's the right number. I know there are people who

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Speaker 1: tell you never to buy points, Okay, I believe in

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Speaker 1: buying points. I believe in hedging on parlays. If you

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Speaker 1: had the I don't bet a parlay parlay last night

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Speaker 1: and you were going into the final leg with the

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Speaker 1: Avs against Saint Louis Blues, you should have bet the

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Speaker 1: over to at least get your initial wager back six

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Speaker 1: to one return. We had one leg going bet to

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Speaker 1: win your unit, back your money back, whatever you did,

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Speaker 1: or bet to win, because you know you're gonna guarantee

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Speaker 1: if you bet fifty bucks in that parlay, you were

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Speaker 1: going to return six three hundred bucks, right, six to one,

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Speaker 1: return three hundred bucks. So you could have bet fifty

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Speaker 1: bucks one hundred and ten bucks on the over and

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Speaker 1: you would have won one hundred dollars. Now, you would

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Speaker 1: have cut into your winnings at the under hit, but

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Speaker 1: you would have guaranteed yourself at least one hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: you would have won. You would have doubled your money guaranteed.

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Speaker 1: That's how you make money. If you're going to bet parlays,

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Speaker 1: always hedge. I don't care how confident you are about

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Speaker 1: that final leg. Always always hedge. That's how you guarantee money.

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Speaker 1: This is about cashing tickets, not writing and sweating out games. Okay,

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Speaker 1: a guaranteed when they are going into the final leg.

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Speaker 1: If you have a cash out feature, it's the exact

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Speaker 1: same thing. Okay, cash out of it. You're going into

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Speaker 1: the final leg if you were offered eighty percent of that.

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Speaker 1: So if you were offered like two hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: bucks for you know, not the three hundred you would

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Speaker 1: have won, but two fifty, take it every single time. Okay,

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Speaker 1: every time it's offered, take it the cash out feature.

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Speaker 1: I'm extremely jealous. I wish I had it, But I

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Speaker 1: can do my own version of it because I can hedge,

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Speaker 1: and I believe in hedging like crazy. Now, I didn't

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Speaker 1: bet that last night because I don't bet parlays really,

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Speaker 1: like though three or more legs. I'll bet two play parlays,

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Speaker 1: but that's it. I don't do three legs or more.

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Speaker 1: And that's why you see the first two legs over

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Speaker 1: Philly over Tampa, boom boom, both hit glorious. Right, you

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Speaker 1: go onto that under and you're going, all right, let's

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Speaker 1: see no score in the first period. You're thinking you

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Speaker 1: got it right. Then four goals in the second, you're like,

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Speaker 1: all right, I can survive. A couple of goals in

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Speaker 1: the third, and then four goals plus in the third period,

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Speaker 1: and there you go. You've now lost. So your fifty

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Speaker 1: bucks instead of turning it into a profit, is now zero.

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Speaker 1: So always cash out, always hedge when it comes to

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Speaker 1: parlays going into the last leg. I don't care how

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Speaker 1: confident you are into the last leg of a multi

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Speaker 1: three or more leg parlay. So that didn't hit. Now

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Speaker 1: two and three on the don't bet a parlay parlay,

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Speaker 1: but I don't bet them, so you know you shouldn't either.

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Speaker 1: But if you do, I get it. You guys like them.

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Speaker 1: I don't, and that's why last night. But again, if

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Speaker 1: you hedged, you won, or you cashed out, you won,

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Speaker 1: and you wound it up. You wanted up, so you know,

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Speaker 1: not that bad. All right? So the Rams are seven.

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Speaker 1: I am buying the half a point Rams plus seven

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Speaker 1: on the road at lambeau Field. If you want to

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Speaker 1: sprinkle on the money line, go ahead. I'm probably not.

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Speaker 1: Here's what I think this game is gonna come down to.

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Speaker 1: I think Aaron Rodgers will make a couple of more

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Speaker 1: plays than what the Rams are capable of. Jared Goff

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Speaker 1: everyone's hating him, right Ah, he sucks. He can't play

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Speaker 1: the thumbs a problem. It's cold weather, YadA, YadA, YadA.

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Speaker 1: I don't care, okay. I think cam Akers has a

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Speaker 1: big game running the football. I think they should to

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Speaker 1: bleed the clock and keep the football away. I think

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Speaker 1: Aaron Donald's healthy enough to wreak havoc. And I think

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Speaker 1: you're gonna see a very interesting matchup where they're gonna

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Speaker 1: put Jalen Dyllen Ramsey on MBS and then double team

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Speaker 1: DeVante Adams. If that happens, trouble time for the Packers.

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Speaker 1: And they got to run the football against that defensive front,

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Speaker 1: good luck. Not going to be easy to do at all.

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Speaker 1: And I know everyone is saying, how are the Rams

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Speaker 1: going to score? Special teams, kick return, punt return? Do

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Speaker 1: you put it past them? Because I don't. Okay, the

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Speaker 1: Rams are ten and seven to the number this year.

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Speaker 1: The Packers are ten and six. Okay, last two weeks

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Speaker 1: the Rams have covered Okay, last two weeks, Packers have

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Speaker 1: covered two. But I think the Rams are going to

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Speaker 1: be in the game. I don't think this is a blowout.

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Speaker 1: I think seven points is too heavy. Okay, six and

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Speaker 1: a half. They may, you know, it's possible. Six might

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Speaker 1: be the number, right, they may win. My six and

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Speaker 1: the hook beats you. So I'm going to seven. Okay,

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Speaker 1: going to seven and give myself a little more cushion.

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Speaker 1: Six point win for Green Bay, Fine with it. Give

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Speaker 1: me the Rams plus seven, and I got to push potential.

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Speaker 1: Maybe the Ramo Rams lose by seven. I got to

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Speaker 1: push potential. With seven, We're going one unit Rams plus

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Speaker 1: seven second game tomorrow, Baltimore at Buffalo. I think the

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Speaker 1: Ravens are coming into their own I really do. I

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Speaker 1: think they're starting to play. I am going to be

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Speaker 1: sprinkling on the money line here. Now that's not unofficial play,

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Speaker 1: but I will take the Baltimore Ravens to win this

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Speaker 1: game outrights money line. Okay, but eleven five and one

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Speaker 1: Baltimore to the number. Buffalo is eleven and six. Buffalo

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Speaker 1: is at home, Buffalo is laying two and a half points,

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Speaker 1: and there could be weather. I hope there is weather.

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Speaker 1: I hope it rains. I hope it snows. I hope

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Speaker 1: it's nasty, because then I get to see if I

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Speaker 1: am right about the Buffalo Bills being a warm weather team.

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Speaker 1: Not where they play the style they need pristine conditions

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Speaker 1: to be real good. They don't have an offense that

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Speaker 1: can grind it run the football. Don't see it. I

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Speaker 1: just don't see it. They don't run the ball well.

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen is their best runner. They throw a ton.

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Speaker 1: Cole Beasley's knee is a big question. They need cold

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Speaker 1: Beasley healthy. If he's not, if it's kind of a

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Speaker 1: you know, tough game because it's cold, and your knee hurts.

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Speaker 1: That's not good. Stefan Giggs gigs digs. Stefan Diggs again, Humphries.

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Speaker 1: I like the secondary for the Ravens. I like their

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Speaker 1: pass rush, I like their defense. I like their running game.

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Speaker 1: I think they run the ball straight down the Buffalo

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Speaker 1: Bill's throat. I don't think Buffalo can stop them running

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Speaker 1: the football, and I think Lamar Jackson has a monster

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Speaker 1: game running the football. They got a big, big question

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Speaker 1: mark off their back last week coming back from a

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Speaker 1: ten point deficit on the road. You know the the

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Speaker 1: Ravens can't win on the road. Check. They can't come

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Speaker 1: from behind, check, and they can't play in big, pressure

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Speaker 1: packed games. Check. They answered all those questions. I don't

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Speaker 1: think the Bills are going to be able to stop

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Speaker 1: the Baltimore rushing attack. They give up four point seven

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Speaker 1: yards per rush. That's twenty fifth in the NFL. This

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Speaker 1: is the number one rushing offense in the NFL. Number

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Speaker 1: one for rushes, called number one for rush yards, number

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Speaker 1: two for rushing touchdowns. Lamar Jackson has a big day

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Speaker 1: and he beats the Buffalo Bills in Buffalo Ravens outright, However,

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Speaker 1: I will take the plus three. I will buy it

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Speaker 1: at minus one twenty five. I will buy it off

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Speaker 1: of two and a half to three. I'm gonna give

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Speaker 1: myself a cushion Ravens plus three second play for one

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Speaker 1: unit Rams plus seven Ravens plus three the teaser. I'm

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Speaker 1: going to give myself a little bit of an insurance policy.

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Speaker 1: Here's my insurance policy in case the green Bay Packers

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Speaker 1: destroy the of the Rams, and that could happen. I'm

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Speaker 1: not saying it can't. That could happen. My teaser is

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Speaker 1: going to be everyone's teaser. This will be the play

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Speaker 1: that the books will need to destroy, and if the

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Speaker 1: Rams win outright, this destroys the teaser. But basically, because

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Speaker 1: I have the Rams at plus seven, teasing green Bay

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Speaker 1: down to a half a point is a little bit

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Speaker 1: of insurance. I could hit them both, but I'm guaranteed

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Speaker 1: to hit one leg. Either either the green Bay Packers

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Speaker 1: win and win big and this leg is fine, or

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Speaker 1: the Rams win outright in my plus seven hits, So

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Speaker 1: green Bay plus five sorry point five teas down from

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Speaker 1: six and a half to half a point, taking green

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Speaker 1: Bay just to win the game. And then the Ravens

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Speaker 1: put plus two and a half. I'm going to cross three,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna cross seven and go to eight and

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Speaker 1: a half for the Baltimore Ravens at plus eight and

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Speaker 1: a half for one unit at minus one twenty five teaser. Uh,

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Speaker 1: it's fourteen and seven now on the year for the

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Speaker 1: Parol to team teaser, but that is Parole two team

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Speaker 1: teaser for the NFL. Again my own personal bet, I

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Speaker 1: will sprinkle money line Ravens, but that's not official. So

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Speaker 1: play so far. Mac Holloway to win tonight one sixty

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Speaker 1: five anyway, just win Rams plus seven one unit minus

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Speaker 1: one thirty Ravens plus three one unit minus one twenty

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Speaker 1: five teaser, Green Bay half a point, Ravens plus eight

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Speaker 1: and a half, that for minus one twenty five and

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Speaker 1: finally to basketball. I have not been able to play

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Speaker 1: one of these plays yet, but I did an at

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Speaker 1: everyone on the Discord chat. For this play, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take UNLV on the money line at minus five hundred

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna parlay that with Liberty. Now, the line

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Speaker 1: I don't have for Liberty. Liberty either is going to

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Speaker 1: be minus six or less. If it's more than that,

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Speaker 1: I don't like it. Liberty minus six, and then if

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Speaker 1: it's more than that, I'll take Liberty on the money line.

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Speaker 1: And I'm just trying to win back the half a

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Speaker 1: unit we lost yesterday on Liberty at Stetson. Stetson's horrible.

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Speaker 1: Liberty missed layups and open shots and free throws and

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Speaker 1: they were just pathetic. Okay, that was a bad game,

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Speaker 1: but Stetson's bad, like real bad, no business winning that

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Speaker 1: basketball game. I think Liberty roars back, much like Colorado

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Speaker 1: just did against Saint Louis. I think they roar back.

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Speaker 1: So half a unit two leg parlay for UNLV money line,

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Speaker 1: Liberty minus six or money line. I don't know how

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Speaker 1: that goes off. I'm not sure how exactly that numbers

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Speaker 1: plays out yet because the Liberty line is not out

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Speaker 1: yet at the time of taping. But like I said,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna tape. Take it either at minus six or

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Speaker 1: money line. Okay, whatever gets us a half a unit back, Okay,

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Speaker 1: whatever your half a unit is. If it's fifty bucks,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna win back for whatever you gotta bet to

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Speaker 1: win fifty bucks back, because that's gonna hit. Un lv's

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Speaker 1: gonna beat in New Mexico. Okay, the line is is ten

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Speaker 1: and a half eleven and a half, and me he's ridiculous.

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Speaker 1: New Mexico wants to be horrific. I haven't seen them

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Speaker 1: play yet, but for you U and LB to be

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Speaker 1: favored by double digits over anybody is like what I know,

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Speaker 1: they just beat to NI double A schools, But my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 1: that's a crazy like what So that's like, you know,

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Speaker 1: the lightning against the Blackhawks, that's an automatic. Okay, they're

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Speaker 1: gonna win that game. So you gotta part of that.

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Speaker 1: You to parlay that with something else to get you

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Speaker 1: the odds that you want. So either liberty minus six

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Speaker 1: or money line, whatever gets us where we need. Whatever

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Speaker 1: it gets us even money or more. Okay, whatever one

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Speaker 1: is better, we're gonna play that. If it's seven eight nine,

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Speaker 1: don't like liberty minus six or less, and then I

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Speaker 1: don't leave half a unit hanging right. That's one of

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Speaker 1: the people, one of the real leaders for what goes

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Speaker 1: on the back of the next run for the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice t shirts, which are available right now on Fantasypros

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Speaker 1: dot com slash shop, Fantasypros dot com slash shop, or

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Speaker 1: just go to my Twitter feed and you can see it.

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Speaker 1: My Instagram too has a link on it at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Just link in the bio and you can

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Speaker 1: go right there to go buy the T shirt. You

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Speaker 1: haven't bought one yet. A guy in Australia, by the way,

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Speaker 1: wanted to buy one in Australia. Wanted to buy one,

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Speaker 1: but we don't chip through Australia, I guess, so he said, like, kid,

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Speaker 1: buy one. I'm in Australia like a man. That stinks.

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Speaker 1: But thanks for listening Australia. That's really cool. But uh so, yeah,

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Speaker 1: so that's you know. One of the thing is don't

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Speaker 1: leave half a unit haanging. As a cool back, don't

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Speaker 1: leave half unit hanging. So I can't leave half union haang.

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Speaker 1: So what am I doing with that other half unit?

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Speaker 1: We're going Creighton money line at Butler, and we're going

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Speaker 1: Baylor money line at Texas Tech. Now that Texas Tech

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Speaker 1: game is scary lines four and a half. Tech just

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Speaker 1: won two games on the road to big games, including

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Speaker 1: a big one over Texas. I think they come down

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Speaker 1: to earth here. Baylor's been killing everyone, I mean just everyone.

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Speaker 1: They're the number one team in the country. We haven't

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Speaker 1: jumped on them. We've been betting on good on bad

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Speaker 1: teams that are good against the number. This is a

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Speaker 1: good team who's good against the number. Really, two good

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Speaker 1: teams that are good against the number, both the Blue

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Speaker 1: Jays and the Baylor Bears. So two leg money line

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Speaker 1: parlay for minus one twenty five for a half a

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Speaker 1: unit the Creighton Blue Jays and the Baylor Bears money

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Speaker 1: line for both their games. Two leg parlay at minus

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Speaker 1: one twenty five. I got the minus one twenty five

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Speaker 1: at bet MGM. So in case you're looking around for

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Speaker 1: those odds Creighton money line Baylor money line minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five. You got all that, well, I got more

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Speaker 1: coming at you. It's the morning, Saturday morning, eleven am.

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Speaker 1: We are coming at you for the live stream for

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Speaker 1: the YouTube channel for betting pros eleven am, thirty minute

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Speaker 1: pot thirty minute live stream on our YouTube channel. I

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Speaker 1: will have picks, props, money line and our picks are

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Speaker 1: are props for you coming up. We even have graphics.

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Speaker 1: You've got a graphic package for the prop bets we

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Speaker 1: got going off for you guys coming up tomorrow for

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Speaker 1: the live stream or today for the live stream tomorrow

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Speaker 1: at taping. But it's eleven am this morning Eastern time

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Speaker 1: eight am Pacific time on the YouTube channel. We do

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Speaker 1: one today and one tomorrow, so you can see my

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Speaker 1: face a lot. Sorry, you see a lot of me

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Speaker 1: coming up here on Saturday and Sunday for two live streams.

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Speaker 1: We'll talk about where the money is and I can't

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Speaker 1: wait to see where the line goes before kickoff. If

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Speaker 1: we don't get to seven, just get there. It stays

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Speaker 1: at six and a half and we're a eighty five

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Speaker 1: eighty five percent or more on the money on the

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Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers and the lines not at seven. I

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Speaker 1: smell a huge skunk man, skunk, skunk skunk with that

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Speaker 1: line that they are not going to seven for whatever reason.

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Speaker 1: The books know something. Just saying the books know something,

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Speaker 1: all right. So I'll talk to you for the live

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Speaker 1: stream on our YouTube channel at eleven a m. Eastern

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Speaker 1: time here this morning. So again to recap a lot

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Speaker 1: going on here for a Saturday. Max Holloway to win

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Speaker 1: minus one sixty five one unit rams plus seven buying

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Speaker 1: a half a point one unit Ravens plus three buying

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Speaker 1: half a point one unit money line Sprinkle Ravens to

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Speaker 1: win the game teaser Green Bay half a point Ravens

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Speaker 1: plus eight and a half for the parul two team

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Speaker 1: teaser one unit half a unit play UNLV money line,

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Speaker 1: Liberty minus six or less or the money line depending

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Speaker 1: on when that posts, and the Creighton Blue Jays money

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Speaker 1: line Baylor Bears money line one twenty five for both

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Speaker 1: their road game for two top ten teams on the

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Speaker 1: road on a Saturday for a half a units. My

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Speaker 1: name is Matt parolt Get with me in the live stream.

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Speaker 1: I will talk to you for the playoff games. In

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Speaker 1: the Discord chat for both playoff games as well Saturday

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Speaker 1: and Sunday Bettingpros dot Com slast chat to get the

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00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:20,760
Speaker 1: invites the link to get into the discord approaching three

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Speaker 1: thousand users in the Discord chat for the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: Buy your t shirts DM me when you get them,

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Speaker 1: take pictures and show me. I can't wait to see them.

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Speaker 1: Thank you for buying them. Thank you for supporting the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice. This is so freaking fun. Every single day

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Speaker 1: live stream coming up. I'm Matt Paraltz. Follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every morning it's the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast right here on bettingpros dot Com. Brought you

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Speaker 1: by BETEMGM