WEBVTT -  Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Steven Englander & Michael Green

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>A single best idea, what a great Monday, an eclectic

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<v Speaker 2>set of conversations, really interesting. I want to single out

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<v Speaker 2>Michael Purvis of Tallbecken who just flat out said mag

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<v Speaker 2>six is your friend. He said into earnings here and

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<v Speaker 2>into the end of the year. He says, you can't

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<v Speaker 2>ignore the might of that revenue, that cash generation and

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<v Speaker 2>all the I guess excitement over AI. Thank you Michael

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<v Speaker 2>Purvis for that Stephen England are in with us, and

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<v Speaker 2>it was wrapped around the headlines on Argentina. That's not

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<v Speaker 2>his area. We thank him at Standard Charter for their

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<v Speaker 2>perspective on a US Argentina swap. But much more was

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<v Speaker 2>his arch call for a res resilient and stronger dollar

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<v Speaker 2>and a weaker Euro. Here Englander of Standard Charter.

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<v Speaker 3>We like our euroview euro weakness, and we think and

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<v Speaker 3>dollar strength. We think it will play out over that

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<v Speaker 3>time horizon, and we think that it's you know, we

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<v Speaker 3>think that the market consensus is still very dollar bearish.

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<v Speaker 3>You mentioned dollar strength, So if the US is overstating

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<v Speaker 3>it's labor growth and market growth strength, then is the

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<v Speaker 3>US dollar miss price? The dollar is mispriced but not

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<v Speaker 3>for that reason. I think, I think what you know,

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<v Speaker 3>what we're seeing. I mean, if you think of it,

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<v Speaker 3>the GDP now before the shutdown was running three eight

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<v Speaker 3>three nine, it looks like labor input and correctly measured

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<v Speaker 3>was probably down one percent. So productivity is booming. Historically,

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<v Speaker 3>that's been a very dollar positive development.

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<v Speaker 2>Stephen Englander the Standard Charter bank, Michael Green got us

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<v Speaker 2>started this morning simplify Michael Green with a really eclectic view.

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<v Speaker 2>We didn't do enough on this today, I promise folks,

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<v Speaker 2>into the coming days, we'll spend much more time on

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<v Speaker 2>the upset in the credit and derivative and what are

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<v Speaker 2>called colo credit loan obligations markets. Michael Green on the

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<v Speaker 2>private moment.

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<v Speaker 1>This is actually indicative of a much broader problem we've

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<v Speaker 1>been seeing. Bankruptcies themselves have actually been elevated in the

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<v Speaker 1>corporate space those with assets above fifty million dollars. Bankruptcies

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<v Speaker 1>for assets above fifty million dollars have actually been surging,

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<v Speaker 1>and our levels that are consistent with a much higher

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<v Speaker 1>level of credit spreads. The biggest story in credit spreads

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<v Speaker 1>continues to be exactly what you guys were referring earlier

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<v Speaker 1>to from the soft gen observation, people are piling money in.

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<v Speaker 1>There's not a lot of issues, particularly in high yield,

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<v Speaker 1>because they resist the higher yields. That means they're chasing

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<v Speaker 1>the secondary of securities and pressuring credit spreads.

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<v Speaker 2>Michael Green, there are so many different ways to go

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<v Speaker 2>on this, and of course with the leadership of Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 2>News looking at many of the different smaller angles in

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<v Speaker 2>the bigger story of the ankst that we're seeing in

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<v Speaker 2>the derivative space. We're out on podcasts on Apple, on Spotify,

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<v Speaker 2>at YouTube podcasts. Single best idea