1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:15,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:16,760 Speaker 2: A single best idea, what a great Monday, an eclectic 3 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 2: set of conversations, really interesting. I want to single out 4 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 2: Michael Purvis of Tallbecken who just flat out said mag 5 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:30,640 Speaker 2: six is your friend. He said into earnings here and 6 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:33,640 Speaker 2: into the end of the year. He says, you can't 7 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 2: ignore the might of that revenue, that cash generation and 8 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:42,240 Speaker 2: all the I guess excitement over AI. Thank you Michael 9 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:45,479 Speaker 2: Purvis for that Stephen England are in with us, and 10 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:48,879 Speaker 2: it was wrapped around the headlines on Argentina. That's not 11 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:52,479 Speaker 2: his area. We thank him at Standard Charter for their 12 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 2: perspective on a US Argentina swap. But much more was 13 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 2: his arch call for a res resilient and stronger dollar 14 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 2: and a weaker Euro. Here Englander of Standard Charter. 15 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 3: We like our euroview euro weakness, and we think and 16 00:01:10,680 --> 00:01:12,760 Speaker 3: dollar strength. We think it will play out over that 17 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 3: time horizon, and we think that it's you know, we 18 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 3: think that the market consensus is still very dollar bearish. 19 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:24,680 Speaker 3: You mentioned dollar strength, So if the US is overstating 20 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:28,320 Speaker 3: it's labor growth and market growth strength, then is the 21 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 3: US dollar miss price? The dollar is mispriced but not 22 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:35,679 Speaker 3: for that reason. I think, I think what you know, 23 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 3: what we're seeing. I mean, if you think of it, 24 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:41,680 Speaker 3: the GDP now before the shutdown was running three eight 25 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:46,400 Speaker 3: three nine, it looks like labor input and correctly measured 26 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 3: was probably down one percent. So productivity is booming. Historically, 27 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:54,640 Speaker 3: that's been a very dollar positive development. 28 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 2: Stephen Englander the Standard Charter bank, Michael Green got us 29 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 2: started this morning simplify Michael Green with a really eclectic view. 30 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 2: We didn't do enough on this today, I promise folks, 31 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 2: into the coming days, we'll spend much more time on 32 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 2: the upset in the credit and derivative and what are 33 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 2: called colo credit loan obligations markets. Michael Green on the 34 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:20,679 Speaker 2: private moment. 35 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 1: This is actually indicative of a much broader problem we've 36 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: been seeing. Bankruptcies themselves have actually been elevated in the 37 00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:31,239 Speaker 1: corporate space those with assets above fifty million dollars. Bankruptcies 38 00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 1: for assets above fifty million dollars have actually been surging, 39 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:36,160 Speaker 1: and our levels that are consistent with a much higher 40 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 1: level of credit spreads. The biggest story in credit spreads 41 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 1: continues to be exactly what you guys were referring earlier 42 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 1: to from the soft gen observation, people are piling money in. 43 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,280 Speaker 1: There's not a lot of issues, particularly in high yield, 44 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:50,079 Speaker 1: because they resist the higher yields. That means they're chasing 45 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 1: the secondary of securities and pressuring credit spreads. 46 00:02:53,040 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 2: Michael Green, there are so many different ways to go 47 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 2: on this, and of course with the leadership of Bloomberg 48 00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:01,519 Speaker 2: News looking at many of the different smaller angles in 49 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 2: the bigger story of the ankst that we're seeing in 50 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 2: the derivative space. We're out on podcasts on Apple, on Spotify, 51 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 2: at YouTube podcasts. Single best idea