WEBVTT - Early Look at Week 14 NFL Lines (Ep. 138) 0:00:13.680 --> 0:00:14.360 Head. Everybody. 0:00:14.360 --> 0:00:16.279 Welcome back to the Betting Pros podcast, brought to you 0:00:16.280 --> 0:00:18.479 by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris. Find me 0:00:18.520 --> 0:00:21.960 on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. It is entering week fourteen. 0:00:22.079 --> 0:00:24.119 It is time to take an early look at the 0:00:24.200 --> 0:00:26.639 NFL lines for this weekend. With me to do that 0:00:26.800 --> 0:00:29.880 is Joe PiZZ at PA from Betting Pros right here. 0:00:29.920 --> 0:00:32.720 Find him on Twitter at what Joe P's at PA seventeen? 0:00:32.880 --> 0:00:33.239 Is that right? 0:00:33.240 --> 0:00:35.320 I've only done seventeen thousand podcasts with you, I should 0:00:35.320 --> 0:00:36.000 know your Twitter handle. 0:00:36.040 --> 0:00:37.200 But anyway, welcome Joe. 0:00:37.240 --> 0:00:41.400 How are you riding insanely high after that grotesque Patriots 0:00:41.440 --> 0:00:42.120 win last night? 0:00:42.720 --> 0:00:44.600 It was a game of chess last night, Danny boy, 0:00:44.640 --> 0:00:46.239 it was a game of chess in the wind. And 0:00:46.280 --> 0:00:48.159 I'm about you, but when I played chess in the wind, 0:00:48.200 --> 0:00:50.480 I always like to have Bill Belichick with me right 0:00:50.520 --> 0:00:53.120 next to me. And yeah, you know, two out of 0:00:53.159 --> 0:00:54.920 three and bad is that old meat Loaf song? And 0:00:54.920 --> 0:00:57.440 that was pretty much Mac Jones's statline last night. Two 0:00:57.440 --> 0:01:00.400 out of three passes and that was good enough. Some 0:01:00.520 --> 0:01:03.600 very good defense at the end. Next man up there after, 0:01:03.640 --> 0:01:06.759 Adrian Phillips comes off the field, and what a great 0:01:06.760 --> 0:01:10.680 play by a backup defensive back there to kind of 0:01:10.720 --> 0:01:13.040 save the game at the end. So certainly not a 0:01:13.160 --> 0:01:17.640 high scoring affair. But if you love old timey defense football, 0:01:17.720 --> 0:01:20.119 then you enjoyed it. And if you're a Patriots fan 0:01:20.640 --> 0:01:22.319 like me, you definitely enjoyed it. 0:01:22.600 --> 0:01:25.399 I apparently engage in hyperbole too much, because when my 0:01:25.440 --> 0:01:27.399 wife asked, oh, how was the game? I was like, 0:01:27.480 --> 0:01:29.560 it was the most amazing game I've ever seen, Like, 0:01:30.000 --> 0:01:32.720 not in a great way, but justin ay, you don't 0:01:32.760 --> 0:01:36.520 see a quarterback of ten three passes And she basically says, 0:01:36.560 --> 0:01:38.039 I say that like one out of. 0:01:37.959 --> 0:01:39.000 Every three or four games. 0:01:39.000 --> 0:01:40.600 So I need to tone it down because that really 0:01:40.720 --> 0:01:43.280 was something where you're not going to see that again, 0:01:43.480 --> 0:01:44.360 you know, absent. 0:01:44.760 --> 0:01:47.360 There will be more passes in the third and fourth 0:01:47.400 --> 0:01:51.400 grade flag football teams that I coach in January, when 0:01:51.480 --> 0:01:53.520 that league starts up the third and fourth graders, they 0:01:53.560 --> 0:01:55.200 will be more passing than there was in this game. 0:01:55.520 --> 0:01:58.960 Absolutely nuts, but enjoyable. Get to watch nonethe last. All right, 0:01:59.000 --> 0:02:00.600 let's get into it. Joe got a lot of lines 0:02:00.640 --> 0:02:02.320 to talk about, a lot of good stuff coming in. 0:02:02.480 --> 0:02:04.120 But first let me give you the latest offer from 0:02:04.120 --> 0:02:07.960 bet MGM. New customers with the code Juice one hundred 0:02:08.240 --> 0:02:10.320 can bet ten dollars and win two hundred dollars. If 0:02:10.320 --> 0:02:13.280 your team that you bet on scores a touchdown, that's it. 0:02:13.360 --> 0:02:15.840 Ten dollars, win two hundred dollars in free bets. If 0:02:15.840 --> 0:02:18.040 the team you bet on scores a touchdown. That is 0:02:18.080 --> 0:02:24.960 available in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia, Iowa, Washington, 0:02:25.000 --> 0:02:28.160 d C, Arizona, Nyoming. Let's go to Thursday game, Joe. 0:02:28.240 --> 0:02:30.560 Let's start it there. The Steelers are visiting the Vikings. 0:02:30.960 --> 0:02:34.200 The Vikings are laying three points here and the total 0:02:34.280 --> 0:02:36.639 is forty four and a half. Steelers off the big 0:02:36.680 --> 0:02:38.880 win here over the Ravens, which you and I were 0:02:38.919 --> 0:02:41.560 just talking about as investors in Lamar Jackson for our 0:02:41.720 --> 0:02:44.080 MVP and the Vikings. 0:02:44.120 --> 0:02:46.600 You know, they give the Lions their first win. 0:02:46.919 --> 0:02:49.760 They lose Adam Thielen, so they are favored though here, 0:02:49.760 --> 0:02:51.799 and it is I will say again the consensus line 0:02:51.840 --> 0:02:53.600 is three, Joe, but it is three and a half 0:02:53.600 --> 0:02:54.520 and a lot of books here. 0:02:54.560 --> 0:02:55.880 So how are you feeling about this one? 0:02:56.360 --> 0:02:58.920 Yeah? Well, I mean Look, this is the bare minimum, 0:02:59.000 --> 0:03:00.800 right Whenever you have a home team you don't believe in, 0:03:00.880 --> 0:03:02.360 you just kind of throw the three on them. That's 0:03:02.400 --> 0:03:05.200 what Vegas does typically. And I gotta be honest with you. 0:03:05.240 --> 0:03:08.200 I mean, this is the journey of the Viking season 0:03:08.240 --> 0:03:10.720 where they're in every game, every game is closed, every 0:03:10.760 --> 0:03:12.440 game they have a lead, the games they lose, they 0:03:12.440 --> 0:03:14.480 blow the lead. And in this one, who would not 0:03:14.480 --> 0:03:17.400 shock me whatsoever to get back to Minnesota here in 0:03:17.400 --> 0:03:19.480 this one and have them get a w against the Steelers, 0:03:19.520 --> 0:03:22.400 who have not played great football, who seem very sluggish, 0:03:22.400 --> 0:03:25.079 who should not have won in my opinion against the 0:03:25.120 --> 0:03:27.320 Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore Ravens got a little too big for 0:03:27.360 --> 0:03:29.720 their breeches in that last game. So I actually like 0:03:29.720 --> 0:03:33.080 the Minnesota side of this game to win. And I 0:03:33.080 --> 0:03:35.280 think that they still got plenty of weapons here, justin 0:03:35.360 --> 0:03:38.160 Jefferson plays out of his mind. They've still got Osbourne 0:03:38.160 --> 0:03:40.080 and still got Conkland, they still got Madison, all are 0:03:40.160 --> 0:03:42.480 very useful. So whether or not that defense can show 0:03:42.560 --> 0:03:45.040 up enough here and really at the stage, how much 0:03:45.080 --> 0:03:47.080 is left in the tank for the running game of 0:03:47.160 --> 0:03:49.800 the Pittsburgh Steelers. So in my opinion, I actually would 0:03:49.840 --> 0:03:51.640 lean towards Minnesota and this one in the minus three 0:03:51.680 --> 0:03:54.440 because I feel like this is exactly what it is 0:03:54.480 --> 0:03:56.720 to bet Minnesota every time you think it's done, Oh 0:03:56.720 --> 0:03:58.720 they just lost to the Lions. Oh well, I can't 0:03:58.720 --> 0:04:00.880 bet them anymore. Where I'm gonna go against them, No, 0:04:01.120 --> 0:04:03.680 it's the opposite. So just continue with that trend because 0:04:03.680 --> 0:04:06.040 that's who they've been all season long. Dan, But what 0:04:06.080 --> 0:04:07.160 do you think about them? And what do you think 0:04:07.160 --> 0:04:08.320 about this forty four and a half? 0:04:09.120 --> 0:04:10.560 I like the over a little bit, Joe. 0:04:10.600 --> 0:04:13.560 I do think that the Steelers when they went to 0:04:13.600 --> 0:04:15.640 a little bit of the no huddle in the second half, 0:04:15.680 --> 0:04:17.640 they were able to move the ball a little more effectively, 0:04:17.760 --> 0:04:20.200 just sort of get it out quickly. Downtay Johnson obviously 0:04:20.520 --> 0:04:22.479 had a big game, so I do think that they 0:04:22.520 --> 0:04:24.000 are going to be points in this game. The Steelers 0:04:24.080 --> 0:04:25.880 defense has shown a lot of cracks. They've been dealing 0:04:25.880 --> 0:04:27.640 with injuries, so I think both teams can put up 0:04:27.640 --> 0:04:28.080 points here. 0:04:28.120 --> 0:04:29.000 I don't mind the over. 0:04:29.279 --> 0:04:31.159 I don't really have a great feel for the spread. 0:04:31.200 --> 0:04:33.520 As I look at this, this I guess feels about right. 0:04:33.560 --> 0:04:37.160 But you're correct. The Vikings are always going to play 0:04:37.200 --> 0:04:40.000 a very close game here and the Steelers coming off 0:04:40.000 --> 0:04:41.840 that win, you feel like there could easily be. 0:04:41.839 --> 0:04:44.360 A letdown spot right here and the Vikings. 0:04:44.400 --> 0:04:48.039 Every time you basically want to be out on the Vikings, 0:04:48.240 --> 0:04:51.080 that's when they come through, right So I think for me, Jo, 0:04:51.200 --> 0:04:53.680 it's to stay away here on the side just you know, 0:04:53.920 --> 0:04:54.480 three points. 0:04:55.240 --> 0:04:56.800 But on the tuttal I like the over. 0:04:56.880 --> 0:04:58.440 I am wondering though, Joe, if it's three and a 0:04:58.480 --> 0:05:02.240 half as it is at our sponsored bet MGM Fandel 0:05:02.400 --> 0:05:04.560 it's three, but at three and a half. 0:05:04.640 --> 0:05:06.680 Do you does that change how you feel about it 0:05:06.800 --> 0:05:07.479 one way or another? 0:05:07.720 --> 0:05:10.000 It does with the half, I think with the hook, 0:05:10.040 --> 0:05:11.799 then you start to look a little bit on Pittsburgh 0:05:11.800 --> 0:05:13.840 to cover there, because it probably will be a little bit. 0:05:14.000 --> 0:05:16.239 You know it's going to be in that range at least, 0:05:16.640 --> 0:05:19.800 But look at this point in time, on the short 0:05:19.800 --> 0:05:22.400 week two, whenever you have to travel, that's always hard. 0:05:22.480 --> 0:05:25.360 It's a very emotional game. And what we've learned too 0:05:25.400 --> 0:05:27.880 is when these teams have these big emotional rivalry games 0:05:27.880 --> 0:05:30.279 in their division, they come out flat the next week, 0:05:30.279 --> 0:05:32.000 and they come out flat a couple days later. Is 0:05:32.040 --> 0:05:34.160 not gonna be surprised. Look at Cincinnati last week. That's 0:05:34.160 --> 0:05:36.200 what the game that you and I talked about. They're 0:05:36.200 --> 0:05:38.720 gonna come out flat. They came out flat and they 0:05:38.800 --> 0:05:41.159 got their doors blow enough by the Chargers, basically. So 0:05:41.600 --> 0:05:43.120 I see that same kind of thing happening here to 0:05:43.120 --> 0:05:45.960 Pittsburgh because Pittsburgh just ekes out wins anyway. And with 0:05:45.960 --> 0:05:48.039 the Minnesota Vikings, it's just this is the trend of 0:05:48.080 --> 0:05:50.719 this team this year until further notice, and this is 0:05:50.760 --> 0:05:52.080 the perfect time to get in on it because I 0:05:52.120 --> 0:05:54.440 think everybody will be pounding the Steelers side of this game. 0:05:55.000 --> 0:05:56.400 Yeah, I do expect that. 0:05:56.480 --> 0:05:58.240 I expect more people to come in on the Steelers, 0:05:58.240 --> 0:05:59.440 which is why I'm a little surprised. 0:05:59.680 --> 0:06:00.760 Again, this is one of those. 0:06:00.680 --> 0:06:03.000 Where it looks like the books are completely fine with 0:06:03.120 --> 0:06:05.200 you taking the Steelers in this one, and that does 0:06:05.240 --> 0:06:07.039 make me a little nervous. So, Joe, have you looked 0:06:07.040 --> 0:06:08.400 I know what we talked about when we do this 0:06:08.440 --> 0:06:10.400 show together, because it's probably the third time we've done it, 0:06:10.440 --> 0:06:13.520 which is we come in fresh, like we don't look 0:06:13.520 --> 0:06:15.800 at the Lions whatsoever before we start. 0:06:15.839 --> 0:06:18.040 Have you looked at any of the lines before we. 0:06:18.200 --> 0:06:20.080 A single line. My friend, I'm. 0:06:19.920 --> 0:06:22.440 Gonna ask you. I'm going to ask you something. There's 0:06:22.440 --> 0:06:23.360 no wrong answer here. 0:06:23.520 --> 0:06:25.640 What do you expect with the Ravens coming off that 0:06:25.720 --> 0:06:28.520 loss and obviously now you know, losing Marlon Humphreys for 0:06:28.600 --> 0:06:32.400 the season, Ravens visiting the Browns, what would you expect 0:06:32.440 --> 0:06:33.600 the spread to be in that game? 0:06:35.160 --> 0:06:39.320 Because answer, it's it's in Cleveland. I would expect Cleveland 0:06:39.360 --> 0:06:42.159 to be favored by not by the full three, That's 0:06:42.160 --> 0:06:43.560 what I would think. So it's probably two and a 0:06:43.600 --> 0:06:44.080 half or two. 0:06:44.279 --> 0:06:46.400 Right, it is two and a half. Yeah, it is 0:06:46.440 --> 0:06:48.599 two and a half. The total is a low forty 0:06:48.600 --> 0:06:50.840 two and a half. So again, the Ravens here, they 0:06:50.960 --> 0:06:54.279 just look out of sort. You know, they don't look 0:06:55.520 --> 0:06:57.480 they don't have everything working. They're still eight and four, 0:06:57.600 --> 0:07:00.480 obviously they're leading the division. The Browns, you know, Baker 0:07:00.560 --> 0:07:03.200 looks like his body is holding on by a thread. 0:07:03.279 --> 0:07:03.920 At this point. 0:07:03.920 --> 0:07:06.320 They are coming off the buy, so maybe a little healthier. 0:07:06.600 --> 0:07:07.920 What do you think, Joe under the three? 0:07:07.960 --> 0:07:08.480 You had it right? 0:07:08.520 --> 0:07:11.760 It's two at DraftKings where I bet, But it's pretty 0:07:11.840 --> 0:07:13.280 much two and a half everywhere else in a low 0:07:13.280 --> 0:07:14.400 total forty two and a half. 0:07:15.160 --> 0:07:17.080 Well, now that I'm going to look at it right here, 0:07:17.120 --> 0:07:18.960 and I see the money line is plus one fifteen 0:07:18.960 --> 0:07:21.280 on Baltimore. I think that is your best bet right there. 0:07:21.320 --> 0:07:23.120 And I see eighty three percent of the bets have 0:07:23.120 --> 0:07:26.000 already come on that side of that, So that tells 0:07:26.040 --> 0:07:28.720 you a lot right there. And I don't think that 0:07:28.720 --> 0:07:31.040 the Baltimore Ravens anticipated how much they were going to 0:07:31.080 --> 0:07:32.960 miss Matthew Judon in that pass rush. And I think 0:07:32.960 --> 0:07:35.000 that's the one thing that you're not seeing. This team's 0:07:35.040 --> 0:07:37.280 not getting to the quarterback. And that's a bad commodation 0:07:37.320 --> 0:07:39.280 because when you lose Marlon Humphrey, right, who plays so 0:07:39.320 --> 0:07:42.679 well in the secondary, then you lose a good corner 0:07:42.720 --> 0:07:44.240 and then at the same time you're not getting to 0:07:44.280 --> 0:07:47.160 the cornerback. That's a bad situation. Now, the good news 0:07:47.240 --> 0:07:49.960 is Cleveland can't throw the ball, so that is the 0:07:50.000 --> 0:07:52.360 saving grace here in this particular game, which is why 0:07:52.400 --> 0:07:55.360 I prefer just an outright win for Baltimore here, Like, 0:07:55.440 --> 0:07:57.960 forget the spreads, forget everything. Take the plus one fifteen 0:07:57.960 --> 0:07:59.760 on the money line. That's gonna be their best bet here, 0:08:00.040 --> 0:08:03.360 I think in any of these because Baltimore should have 0:08:03.400 --> 0:08:05.560 won that game. Baltimore is a I still think a 0:08:05.560 --> 0:08:08.000 better team than the Cleveland Browns. Now, we'll see if 0:08:08.000 --> 0:08:11.160 Cleveland Browns can get you know, Nick Chubb and Kareem 0:08:11.240 --> 0:08:13.640 Hunt in that duo working again, and if they can, 0:08:13.680 --> 0:08:15.600 this game is going to be very tight. But these 0:08:15.640 --> 0:08:17.840 tight individual games are typically once I stay away from. 0:08:17.840 --> 0:08:20.320 I would rather just pick a side rather than mess 0:08:20.320 --> 0:08:22.160 around with anything else. And I think picking the side 0:08:22.160 --> 0:08:24.800 of the Baltimore Ravens is what I would do because 0:08:24.880 --> 0:08:27.360 they have that one difference maker guy in Lamar Jackson, 0:08:27.360 --> 0:08:28.800 who could just take over a game, and I think 0:08:28.840 --> 0:08:30.600 that ends up becoming the difference of this one. 0:08:30.640 --> 0:08:32.520 What do you think, Dah, Yeah, I like the Ravens. 0:08:32.840 --> 0:08:33.160 I do. 0:08:33.200 --> 0:08:35.240 I think that the loss of Humphrey is big, but 0:08:35.440 --> 0:08:37.600 not as much in this game right as you mentioned, 0:08:37.600 --> 0:08:40.160 because they don't really you know, they're the passing game 0:08:40.280 --> 0:08:41.920 is not really you know, you don't rely on the 0:08:41.920 --> 0:08:43.320 dominant wide receiver or anything like that. 0:08:43.320 --> 0:08:44.080 They're going to run the ball. 0:08:44.120 --> 0:08:45.920 They're going to run it a ton, and they are 0:08:45.960 --> 0:08:47.959 off the by and the Ravens are probably going to 0:08:48.000 --> 0:08:49.520 be a little tired, but they're also going to be 0:08:49.520 --> 0:08:51.839 pissed they're going to be pissed off at losing that game, 0:08:52.559 --> 0:08:53.839 and I am going to take the two and a half. 0:08:53.880 --> 0:08:55.320 By the way, I mean, the money line is fine, 0:08:55.559 --> 0:08:57.960 but again, you see right now, a lot of these games. 0:08:58.000 --> 0:08:59.360 I was watching it last night. I was on the. 0:08:59.559 --> 0:09:03.360 The the Bills laying two and a half yesterday and 0:09:03.440 --> 0:09:07.520 I remember thinking that, you know, oh man, you know 0:09:07.679 --> 0:09:10.440 if Bass hits that first field goal, the one that 0:09:10.480 --> 0:09:12.600 went up and then just start of you know, leak 0:09:12.679 --> 0:09:15.080 to the right, that it was like, this is gonna 0:09:15.080 --> 0:09:16.640 be a two point game because half the you know, 0:09:16.720 --> 0:09:18.480 so many of these games right now, especially with the 0:09:18.480 --> 0:09:20.679 way the Ravens go for two, like the two and 0:09:20.720 --> 0:09:23.719 a half, it's more meaningful to me than it used 0:09:23.720 --> 0:09:25.520 to be, where it's just like all right, you're underfield goal, 0:09:25.559 --> 0:09:27.720 like you know whatever. But like a lot of games 0:09:27.720 --> 0:09:29.440 at this point, I feel like fall within the two 0:09:29.520 --> 0:09:31.240 or something like that, or even the one. So I'll 0:09:31.240 --> 0:09:33.559 probably be a coward and take the two and a 0:09:33.600 --> 0:09:35.480 half right now. But I do think that the Ravens 0:09:35.480 --> 0:09:37.480 went out right, so I don't have any problem with 0:09:37.679 --> 0:09:40.240 necessarily the uh, the money line. 0:09:40.280 --> 0:09:42.280 Bet. What do you think about the total show? It's 0:09:42.320 --> 0:09:42.959 forty two and a half. 0:09:43.000 --> 0:09:45.320 That's low, but you know, neither one of these teams 0:09:45.320 --> 0:09:47.319 is exactly piling up the points. They're going to run 0:09:47.320 --> 0:09:47.559 a ton. 0:09:48.559 --> 0:09:50.520 Yeah, Look, this was a really tough one to gauge 0:09:50.520 --> 0:09:52.200 because last time the total was in this game was 0:09:52.320 --> 0:09:56.439 you know, very underwhelming, and then last year it was 0:09:56.640 --> 0:09:58.600 out of this world, right that they hit like sixty 0:09:58.600 --> 0:10:01.080 five I think last year and then Giant was it 0:10:01.120 --> 0:10:03.240 the Sunday Night or Monday Night game whatever it was 0:10:03.320 --> 0:10:05.240 last year that they played together. So I'm out on 0:10:05.280 --> 0:10:08.439 the total because there's so many outcomes between these offenses. 0:10:08.440 --> 0:10:10.120 You just don't know what you're gonna see. If these 0:10:10.120 --> 0:10:12.920 guys start breaking off big plays like Chubb and Haunt 0:10:13.000 --> 0:10:16.680 or Lamar, that changes the dynamic quite a bit. Or look, 0:10:16.720 --> 0:10:18.520 if anything, I would lean towards the under because of 0:10:18.520 --> 0:10:20.440 what Baker Mayfield has been unable to do in the 0:10:20.440 --> 0:10:23.120 passing game and his health. And we'll see what happens 0:10:23.160 --> 0:10:24.800 when they come out of the by if that rest 0:10:24.840 --> 0:10:28.079 time has any any help whatsoever to him. But I 0:10:28.080 --> 0:10:29.760 don't know at this point in time. To me, like 0:10:29.800 --> 0:10:31.520 I said, I think the best money you're getting is 0:10:31.520 --> 0:10:33.040 that plus money on the money line with the Ravens, 0:10:33.040 --> 0:10:35.520 so I wouldn't even screw around with anything else. Game. 0:10:35.600 --> 0:10:38.400 Only a mother could love the Falcons visiting the Panthers. 0:10:38.480 --> 0:10:41.160 The Panthers are laying three, and the total at forty 0:10:41.160 --> 0:10:43.520 three and a half sounds like Cam is still gonna 0:10:43.520 --> 0:10:46.160 be the starter, which does make sense. I mean, putting 0:10:46.200 --> 0:10:49.640 aside that terrible game Falcons, you know they fight. I'll 0:10:49.640 --> 0:10:52.559 give that to the Falcons there they fight Panthers off 0:10:52.559 --> 0:10:55.120 of by both teams sort of still in the playoff 0:10:55.200 --> 0:10:57.200 hunt at five and seven, so this is kind of 0:10:57.200 --> 0:10:59.040 a make or break game for both of them. Again, 0:10:59.440 --> 0:11:02.760 Panthers out home off the by laying three small total 0:11:02.800 --> 0:11:03.640 forty three and a half. 0:11:03.840 --> 0:11:06.920 Yeah, it's a very small total. And I really like 0:11:07.000 --> 0:11:10.080 the Carolina defense. I still do. And it's just a 0:11:10.080 --> 0:11:11.679 matter of how much offense you're going to get from 0:11:11.679 --> 0:11:15.280 Cam Newton. So we had a two plays in one game, 0:11:15.360 --> 0:11:16.840 then he had a good game, and then he had 0:11:16.840 --> 0:11:19.280 a wretched game. So does he have more time with 0:11:19.280 --> 0:11:21.360 the playbook, more time to practice, more time to figure 0:11:21.400 --> 0:11:24.400 things out? Theoretically, yes, and you have a lesser opponent 0:11:24.440 --> 0:11:26.360 here in the Falcons in my opinion, So I think 0:11:26.360 --> 0:11:29.120 the Carolina defense probably gets a touchdown or at least 0:11:29.120 --> 0:11:30.959 puts them in position for a touchdown this game. I 0:11:31.000 --> 0:11:32.760 think that to me is the big difference maker. So 0:11:33.080 --> 0:11:35.000 the three on the side of the Carolina Panthers is 0:11:35.040 --> 0:11:37.560 where I would lean in this game. The forty three 0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:41.120 and a half seems about right to me though. That's 0:11:41.160 --> 0:11:43.520 why I don't care for the over under in this game. 0:11:43.600 --> 0:11:45.600 So I would just take Carolina with the three because 0:11:45.600 --> 0:11:48.600 I do think that they can probably you know, end 0:11:48.679 --> 0:11:50.640 up with something looking like a twenty seven to twenty 0:11:50.720 --> 0:11:53.080 kind of game in this one, and that would go over. 0:11:53.400 --> 0:11:56.040 But once again, you know, we could also see Atlanta 0:11:56.040 --> 0:11:58.319 score you know, thirteen in this game and all of 0:11:58.320 --> 0:12:00.600 a sudden not nearly as excited of it. Over. 0:12:01.120 --> 0:12:03.480 Yeah, I do lean a little bit towards the under, 0:12:03.559 --> 0:12:06.360 just because I mean, basically, why would you know. 0:12:06.440 --> 0:12:09.720 The word is that Brady was fired because he didn't run. 0:12:09.559 --> 0:12:11.480 The ball enough, And you know, I feel like, you've 0:12:11.480 --> 0:12:13.679 got Cam and you've got Hubbard, and I just think 0:12:13.720 --> 0:12:16.400 they're going to run the ball NonStop. They're not going 0:12:16.440 --> 0:12:18.640 to want to put this in Cam's hands here to 0:12:18.720 --> 0:12:21.000 try to make something happen that's going to lean itself 0:12:21.040 --> 0:12:23.120 towards the under a little bit as the clock continues 0:12:23.160 --> 0:12:24.640 to wind, and I don't really have faith that the 0:12:24.640 --> 0:12:26.000 Falcons are going to be able to put up a 0:12:26.000 --> 0:12:29.160 ton of points here against they rested in angry Panthers defense, 0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:30.880 So I leaned the under. I'm not going to back 0:12:30.920 --> 0:12:32.960 either side on this one. It's just to stay away 0:12:32.960 --> 0:12:35.840 in a divisional game with Cam coming off, you know, 0:12:36.000 --> 0:12:38.480 a game that made you know, Mac Jones look like, 0:12:38.559 --> 0:12:41.440 you know, the greatest passer in the world. So I'm 0:12:41.520 --> 0:12:43.800 staying away from that. Cam Newton, what did you think. 0:12:43.640 --> 0:12:45.080 Of the Joe Brady firing? 0:12:45.120 --> 0:12:47.439 By the way, curious where did I what? 0:12:47.440 --> 0:12:49.400 What do you think about the Joe Brady situation? There 0:12:49.679 --> 0:12:51.720 don't no man like its veruzzling to me. 0:12:52.160 --> 0:12:54.520 It was, yeah, I was surprised that you got to 0:12:54.520 --> 0:12:56.920 blame somebody, I think right, like, you know you the 0:12:56.960 --> 0:13:00.559 Panthers are all in on this year, like that's a thing, 0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:02.720 like when they traded for Gilmore and they you know, 0:13:02.800 --> 0:13:05.240 they make signings every single time they've got anything. 0:13:05.240 --> 0:13:06.120 They've been all in. 0:13:06.200 --> 0:13:08.640 And the bottom line is, I don't really know what 0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:12.520 you can expect to do when your greatest offensive asset 0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:15.400 me and Christian McCaffrey misses the entire game, and you 0:13:15.480 --> 0:13:18.400 have a poo poo platter of revolving quarterbacks like Sam 0:13:18.480 --> 0:13:21.360 Donald played very well the first few games, and I 0:13:21.400 --> 0:13:24.439 think that tricked them into thinking that Sam Donald was 0:13:24.480 --> 0:13:26.960 the answer. And I think you and I probably you 0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:30.280 live in Jersey. I'm a jer you probably understood that 0:13:30.320 --> 0:13:34.040 he wasn't. So I think it seems a little strange 0:13:34.040 --> 0:13:36.000 to me to fire him midseason. But they really do 0:13:36.080 --> 0:13:38.800 seem like a team that had playoff aspirations, which they did, 0:13:38.840 --> 0:13:41.080 of course, and I have a sprinkle on them to 0:13:41.160 --> 0:13:44.920 make the playoffs, and they just got They got to 0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:45.719 blame somebody, man. 0:13:45.880 --> 0:13:47.599 So that's how we have a college coaching job. In 0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:48.600 about two seconds, yeah. 0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:53.679 Sure, absolutely, Jaguars visiting the Titans. The Titans are laying 0:13:53.920 --> 0:13:55.360 nine and a half total forty four. 0:13:56.920 --> 0:13:58.960 Let's see, let's bring this one of the Titans. 0:13:59.800 --> 0:14:00.360 This is the game. 0:14:00.360 --> 0:14:01.760 If you're the Titans, you kind of win this and 0:14:01.760 --> 0:14:04.040 you control your destiny no matter how many injuries you've had. 0:14:04.840 --> 0:14:06.400 Nine and a half seems like a big number for 0:14:06.440 --> 0:14:09.079 an offense that's this gross. At this point in time, 0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:12.400 I know they're talking about getting Julio Jones back. I 0:14:12.600 --> 0:14:15.480 just I just look, the Titans should win this game. 0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:18.679 I'm sure the Titans will win this game. Nine and 0:14:18.679 --> 0:14:20.120 a half just seems like a really big number for 0:14:20.160 --> 0:14:22.200 this offense right now. So I would actually lean to 0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:24.040 the Jacksonville side of this that did take the points 0:14:24.040 --> 0:14:25.760 with the nine and a half, just because and it's 0:14:25.960 --> 0:14:28.240 it's not because I have any confidence in Jacksonville whatsoever, 0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:31.560 but it just feels as though the Tennessee Titans offense 0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:34.920 right now is not equipped for that kind of a spreads. 0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:36.400 That's my problem here. 0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:38.840 It's actually eight and a half for you, Joe at Fandel, 0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:41.560 it's nine and a half everywhere else. So Fandel's sort 0:14:41.600 --> 0:14:43.280 of drawn a line in the said, yeah, nine and 0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:43.560 a half. 0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:44.000 I agree. 0:14:44.040 --> 0:14:45.800 I like the Jaguars as well, which is it's the 0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:48.480 first time, Joe that I think I've said I'm willing 0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:49.000 to back. 0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:51.400 The Jaguars this right now. And again, yeah, Julio has 0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:53.160 been designated to return from injured reserve. 0:14:53.200 --> 0:14:55.200 That doesn't mean he's gonna play this weekend, but it 0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:56.760 does mean that he is twenty one days and it's 0:14:56.760 --> 0:14:57.360 a good sign. 0:14:57.200 --> 0:14:58.080 For his availability. 0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:00.840 And yeah, this is a game. Titans need to win 0:15:00.880 --> 0:15:02.640 this game, like, I mean, there's no doubt about it. 0:15:02.680 --> 0:15:05.160 At this point, we're joking about the Colts and what 0:15:05.200 --> 0:15:07.720 they were to win the division right at this point there, 0:15:07.840 --> 0:15:09.360 what was it, Joe, seventy to one. 0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:11.680 Yeah, seventy to one for the Colts. Now, look, if 0:15:11.880 --> 0:15:15.240 Jacksonville somehow pulls off a huge upside here against Tennessee, 0:15:15.280 --> 0:15:17.840 things we go very dicey, very quickly. It's fascinating that 0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:19.600 eighty percent of the money is on the Tennessee side 0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:20.560 of this game early on. 0:15:21.000 --> 0:15:24.800 That I'm sure the Lakes haven't hit it yet right the. 0:15:24.840 --> 0:15:27.280 Last No, they haven't. But I'm saying that it's the 0:15:27.360 --> 0:15:31.000 lazy of the general public just saying Titans Jaguar. That's 0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:32.760 exactly why you take this nine and a half when you. 0:15:32.680 --> 0:15:34.440 Got it's going to be a pros Joe's game, man, 0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:36.280 Like it really is, right. I think people are going 0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:38.880 to be like the Titans that you know, they're coming 0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:41.160 off the by they're going to get things right, and 0:15:41.200 --> 0:15:43.920