1 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 1: Head. Everybody. 2 00:00:14,360 --> 00:00:16,279 Speaker 2: Welcome back to the Betting Pros podcast, brought to you 3 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,479 Speaker 2: by bet MGM. I'm your host, Dan Harris. Find me 4 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:21,960 Speaker 2: on Twitter at Dan Harris eighty. It is entering week fourteen. 5 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:24,119 Speaker 2: It is time to take an early look at the 6 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:26,639 Speaker 2: NFL lines for this weekend. With me to do that 7 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 2: is Joe PiZZ at PA from Betting Pros right here. 8 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 2: Find him on Twitter at what Joe P's at PA seventeen? 9 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:33,239 Speaker 1: Is that right? 10 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 2: I've only done seventeen thousand podcasts with you, I should 11 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 2: know your Twitter handle. 12 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: But anyway, welcome Joe. 13 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 2: How are you riding insanely high after that grotesque Patriots 14 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 2: win last night? 15 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 3: It was a game of chess last night, Danny boy, 16 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:46,239 Speaker 3: it was a game of chess in the wind. And 17 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 3: I'm about you, but when I played chess in the wind, 18 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:50,480 Speaker 3: I always like to have Bill Belichick with me right 19 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 3: next to me. And yeah, you know, two out of 20 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 3: three and bad is that old meat Loaf song? And 21 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 3: that was pretty much Mac Jones's statline last night. Two 22 00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 3: out of three passes and that was good enough. Some 23 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 3: very good defense at the end. Next man up there after, 24 00:01:03,640 --> 00:01:06,759 Speaker 3: Adrian Phillips comes off the field, and what a great 25 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:10,680 Speaker 3: play by a backup defensive back there to kind of 26 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:13,040 Speaker 3: save the game at the end. So certainly not a 27 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 3: high scoring affair. But if you love old timey defense football, 28 00:01:17,720 --> 00:01:20,119 Speaker 3: then you enjoyed it. And if you're a Patriots fan 29 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:22,319 Speaker 3: like me, you definitely enjoyed it. 30 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:25,399 Speaker 2: I apparently engage in hyperbole too much, because when my 31 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:27,399 Speaker 2: wife asked, oh, how was the game? I was like, 32 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:29,560 Speaker 2: it was the most amazing game I've ever seen, Like, 33 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 2: not in a great way, but justin ay, you don't 34 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 2: see a quarterback of ten three passes And she basically says, 35 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:38,039 Speaker 2: I say that like one out of. 36 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 1: Every three or four games. 37 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: So I need to tone it down because that really 38 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 2: was something where you're not going to see that again, 39 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 2: you know, absent. 40 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 3: There will be more passes in the third and fourth 41 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 3: grade flag football teams that I coach in January, when 42 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 3: that league starts up the third and fourth graders, they 43 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 3: will be more passing than there was in this game. 44 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 2: Absolutely nuts, but enjoyable. Get to watch nonethe last. All right, 45 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 2: let's get into it. Joe got a lot of lines 46 00:02:00,640 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 2: to talk about, a lot of good stuff coming in. 47 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:04,120 Speaker 2: But first let me give you the latest offer from 48 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:07,960 Speaker 2: bet MGM. New customers with the code Juice one hundred 49 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 2: can bet ten dollars and win two hundred dollars. If 50 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 2: your team that you bet on scores a touchdown, that's it. 51 00:02:13,360 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 2: Ten dollars, win two hundred dollars in free bets. If 52 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 2: the team you bet on scores a touchdown. That is 53 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 2: available in New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia, Iowa, Washington, 54 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 2: d C, Arizona, Nyoming. Let's go to Thursday game, Joe. 55 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 2: Let's start it there. The Steelers are visiting the Vikings. 56 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 2: The Vikings are laying three points here and the total 57 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,639 Speaker 2: is forty four and a half. Steelers off the big 58 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 2: win here over the Ravens, which you and I were 59 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 2: just talking about as investors in Lamar Jackson for our 60 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,080 Speaker 2: MVP and the Vikings. 61 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: You know, they give the Lions their first win. 62 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:49,760 Speaker 2: They lose Adam Thielen, so they are favored though here, 63 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:51,799 Speaker 2: and it is I will say again the consensus line 64 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 2: is three, Joe, but it is three and a half 65 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 2: and a lot of books here. 66 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 1: So how are you feeling about this one? 67 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:58,920 Speaker 3: Yeah? Well, I mean Look, this is the bare minimum, 68 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:00,800 Speaker 3: right Whenever you have a home team you don't believe in, 69 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 3: you just kind of throw the three on them. That's 70 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 3: what Vegas does typically. And I gotta be honest with you. 71 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 3: I mean, this is the journey of the Viking season 72 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 3: where they're in every game, every game is closed, every 73 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 3: game they have a lead, the games they lose, they 74 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 3: blow the lead. And in this one, who would not 75 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 3: shock me whatsoever to get back to Minnesota here in 76 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 3: this one and have them get a w against the Steelers, 77 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 3: who have not played great football, who seem very sluggish, 78 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:25,079 Speaker 3: who should not have won in my opinion against the 79 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 3: Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore Ravens got a little too big for 80 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:29,720 Speaker 3: their breeches in that last game. So I actually like 81 00:03:29,720 --> 00:03:33,080 Speaker 3: the Minnesota side of this game to win. And I 82 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 3: think that they still got plenty of weapons here, justin 83 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 3: Jefferson plays out of his mind. They've still got Osbourne 84 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 3: and still got Conkland, they still got Madison, all are 85 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 3: very useful. So whether or not that defense can show 86 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 3: up enough here and really at the stage, how much 87 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 3: is left in the tank for the running game of 88 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 3: the Pittsburgh Steelers. So in my opinion, I actually would 89 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:51,640 Speaker 3: lean towards Minnesota and this one in the minus three 90 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 3: because I feel like this is exactly what it is 91 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 3: to bet Minnesota every time you think it's done, Oh 92 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 3: they just lost to the Lions. Oh well, I can't 93 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 3: bet them anymore. Where I'm gonna go against them, No, 94 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 3: it's the opposite. So just continue with that trend because 95 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 3: that's who they've been all season long. Dan, But what 96 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:07,160 Speaker 3: do you think about them? And what do you think 97 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 3: about this forty four and a half? 98 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: I like the over a little bit, Joe. 99 00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 2: I do think that the Steelers when they went to 100 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 2: a little bit of the no huddle in the second half, 101 00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 2: they were able to move the ball a little more effectively, 102 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 2: just sort of get it out quickly. Downtay Johnson obviously 103 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:22,479 Speaker 2: had a big game, so I do think that they 104 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 2: are going to be points in this game. The Steelers 105 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:25,880 Speaker 2: defense has shown a lot of cracks. They've been dealing 106 00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 2: with injuries, so I think both teams can put up 107 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 2: points here. 108 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 1: I don't mind the over. 109 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,159 Speaker 2: I don't really have a great feel for the spread. 110 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 2: As I look at this, this I guess feels about right. 111 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:37,160 Speaker 2: But you're correct. The Vikings are always going to play 112 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 2: a very close game here and the Steelers coming off 113 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:41,840 Speaker 2: that win, you feel like there could easily be. 114 00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 1: A letdown spot right here and the Vikings. 115 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 2: Every time you basically want to be out on the Vikings, 116 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 2: that's when they come through, right So I think for me, Jo, 117 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 2: it's to stay away here on the side just you know, 118 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:54,480 Speaker 2: three points. 119 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:56,800 Speaker 1: But on the tuttal I like the over. 120 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 2: I am wondering though, Joe, if it's three and a 121 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 2: half as it is at our sponsored bet MGM Fandel 122 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 2: it's three, but at three and a half. 123 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 1: Do you does that change how you feel about it 124 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:07,479 Speaker 1: one way or another? 125 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:10,000 Speaker 3: It does with the half, I think with the hook, 126 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:11,799 Speaker 3: then you start to look a little bit on Pittsburgh 127 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:13,840 Speaker 3: to cover there, because it probably will be a little bit. 128 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:16,239 Speaker 3: You know it's going to be in that range at least, 129 00:05:16,640 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 3: But look at this point in time, on the short 130 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 3: week two, whenever you have to travel, that's always hard. 131 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:25,360 Speaker 3: It's a very emotional game. And what we've learned too 132 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 3: is when these teams have these big emotional rivalry games 133 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,279 Speaker 3: in their division, they come out flat the next week, 134 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 3: and they come out flat a couple days later. Is 135 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:34,160 Speaker 3: not gonna be surprised. Look at Cincinnati last week. That's 136 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 3: what the game that you and I talked about. They're 137 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:38,720 Speaker 3: gonna come out flat. They came out flat and they 138 00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 3: got their doors blow enough by the Chargers, basically. So 139 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:43,120 Speaker 3: I see that same kind of thing happening here to 140 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 3: Pittsburgh because Pittsburgh just ekes out wins anyway. And with 141 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:48,039 Speaker 3: the Minnesota Vikings, it's just this is the trend of 142 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:50,719 Speaker 3: this team this year until further notice, and this is 143 00:05:50,760 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 3: the perfect time to get in on it because I 144 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 3: think everybody will be pounding the Steelers side of this game. 145 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, I do expect that. 146 00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:58,240 Speaker 2: I expect more people to come in on the Steelers, 147 00:05:58,240 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 2: which is why I'm a little surprised. 148 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:00,760 Speaker 1: Again, this is one of those. 149 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:03,000 Speaker 2: Where it looks like the books are completely fine with 150 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:05,200 Speaker 2: you taking the Steelers in this one, and that does 151 00:06:05,240 --> 00:06:07,039 Speaker 2: make me a little nervous. So, Joe, have you looked 152 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 2: I know what we talked about when we do this 153 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 2: show together, because it's probably the third time we've done it, 154 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 2: which is we come in fresh, like we don't look 155 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 2: at the Lions whatsoever before we start. 156 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:18,040 Speaker 1: Have you looked at any of the lines before we. 157 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 3: A single line. My friend, I'm. 158 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 1: Gonna ask you. I'm going to ask you something. There's 159 00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 1: no wrong answer here. 160 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 2: What do you expect with the Ravens coming off that 161 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 2: loss and obviously now you know, losing Marlon Humphreys for 162 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 2: the season, Ravens visiting the Browns, what would you expect 163 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:33,600 Speaker 2: the spread to be in that game? 164 00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 3: Because answer, it's it's in Cleveland. I would expect Cleveland 165 00:06:39,360 --> 00:06:42,159 Speaker 3: to be favored by not by the full three, That's 166 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 3: what I would think. So it's probably two and a 167 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 3: half or two. 168 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 2: Right, it is two and a half. Yeah, it is 169 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:48,599 Speaker 2: two and a half. The total is a low forty 170 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:50,840 Speaker 2: two and a half. So again, the Ravens here, they 171 00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:54,279 Speaker 2: just look out of sort. You know, they don't look 172 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:57,480 Speaker 2: they don't have everything working. They're still eight and four, 173 00:06:57,600 --> 00:07:00,480 Speaker 2: obviously they're leading the division. The Browns, you know, Baker 174 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 2: looks like his body is holding on by a thread. 175 00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:03,920 Speaker 1: At this point. 176 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 2: They are coming off the buy, so maybe a little healthier. 177 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:07,920 Speaker 2: What do you think, Joe under the three? 178 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:08,480 Speaker 1: You had it right? 179 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 2: It's two at DraftKings where I bet, But it's pretty 180 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 2: much two and a half everywhere else in a low 181 00:07:13,280 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 2: total forty two and a half. 182 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 3: Well, now that I'm going to look at it right here, 183 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 3: and I see the money line is plus one fifteen 184 00:07:18,960 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 3: on Baltimore. I think that is your best bet right there. 185 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 3: And I see eighty three percent of the bets have 186 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 3: already come on that side of that, So that tells 187 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:28,720 Speaker 3: you a lot right there. And I don't think that 188 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 3: the Baltimore Ravens anticipated how much they were going to 189 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 3: miss Matthew Judon in that pass rush. And I think 190 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 3: that's the one thing that you're not seeing. This team's 191 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 3: not getting to the quarterback. And that's a bad commodation 192 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 3: because when you lose Marlon Humphrey, right, who plays so 193 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:42,679 Speaker 3: well in the secondary, then you lose a good corner 194 00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 3: and then at the same time you're not getting to 195 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 3: the cornerback. That's a bad situation. Now, the good news 196 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 3: is Cleveland can't throw the ball, so that is the 197 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:52,360 Speaker 3: saving grace here in this particular game, which is why 198 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 3: I prefer just an outright win for Baltimore here, Like, 199 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 3: forget the spreads, forget everything. Take the plus one fifteen 200 00:07:57,960 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 3: on the money line. That's gonna be their best bet here, 201 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 3: I think in any of these because Baltimore should have 202 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 3: won that game. Baltimore is a I still think a 203 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 3: better team than the Cleveland Browns. Now, we'll see if 204 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 3: Cleveland Browns can get you know, Nick Chubb and Kareem 205 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 3: Hunt in that duo working again, and if they can, 206 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 3: this game is going to be very tight. But these 207 00:08:15,640 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 3: tight individual games are typically once I stay away from. 208 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 3: I would rather just pick a side rather than mess 209 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:22,160 Speaker 3: around with anything else. And I think picking the side 210 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 3: of the Baltimore Ravens is what I would do because 211 00:08:24,880 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 3: they have that one difference maker guy in Lamar Jackson, 212 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:28,800 Speaker 3: who could just take over a game, and I think 213 00:08:28,840 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 3: that ends up becoming the difference of this one. 214 00:08:30,640 --> 00:08:32,520 Speaker 1: What do you think, Dah, Yeah, I like the Ravens. 215 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 1: I do. 216 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 2: I think that the loss of Humphrey is big, but 217 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 2: not as much in this game right as you mentioned, 218 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 2: because they don't really you know, they're the passing game 219 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 2: is not really you know, you don't rely on the 220 00:08:41,920 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 2: dominant wide receiver or anything like that. 221 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:44,080 Speaker 1: They're going to run the ball. 222 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:45,920 Speaker 2: They're going to run it a ton, and they are 223 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:47,959 Speaker 2: off the by and the Ravens are probably going to 224 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 2: be a little tired, but they're also going to be 225 00:08:49,520 --> 00:08:51,839 Speaker 2: pissed they're going to be pissed off at losing that game, 226 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:53,839 Speaker 2: and I am going to take the two and a half. 227 00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:55,320 Speaker 2: By the way, I mean, the money line is fine, 228 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:57,960 Speaker 2: but again, you see right now, a lot of these games. 229 00:08:58,000 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 1: I was watching it last night. I was on the. 230 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:03,360 Speaker 2: The the Bills laying two and a half yesterday and 231 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:07,520 Speaker 2: I remember thinking that, you know, oh man, you know 232 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:10,440 Speaker 2: if Bass hits that first field goal, the one that 233 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 2: went up and then just start of you know, leak 234 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 2: to the right, that it was like, this is gonna 235 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 2: be a two point game because half the you know, 236 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:18,480 Speaker 2: so many of these games right now, especially with the 237 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:20,679 Speaker 2: way the Ravens go for two, like the two and 238 00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:23,719 Speaker 2: a half, it's more meaningful to me than it used 239 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 2: to be, where it's just like all right, you're underfield goal, 240 00:09:25,559 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 2: like you know whatever. But like a lot of games 241 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 2: at this point, I feel like fall within the two 242 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 2: or something like that, or even the one. So I'll 243 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:33,559 Speaker 2: probably be a coward and take the two and a 244 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:35,480 Speaker 2: half right now. But I do think that the Ravens 245 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 2: went out right, so I don't have any problem with 246 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 2: necessarily the uh, the money line. 247 00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 1: Bet. What do you think about the total show? It's 248 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:42,959 Speaker 1: forty two and a half. 249 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 2: That's low, but you know, neither one of these teams 250 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:47,319 Speaker 2: is exactly piling up the points. They're going to run 251 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:47,559 Speaker 2: a ton. 252 00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, Look, this was a really tough one to gauge 253 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:52,200 Speaker 3: because last time the total was in this game was 254 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:56,439 Speaker 3: you know, very underwhelming, and then last year it was 255 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:58,600 Speaker 3: out of this world, right that they hit like sixty 256 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 3: five I think last year and then Giant was it 257 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 3: the Sunday Night or Monday Night game whatever it was 258 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 3: last year that they played together. So I'm out on 259 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:08,439 Speaker 3: the total because there's so many outcomes between these offenses. 260 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 3: You just don't know what you're gonna see. If these 261 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 3: guys start breaking off big plays like Chubb and Haunt 262 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:16,680 Speaker 3: or Lamar, that changes the dynamic quite a bit. Or look, 263 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:18,520 Speaker 3: if anything, I would lean towards the under because of 264 00:10:18,520 --> 00:10:20,440 Speaker 3: what Baker Mayfield has been unable to do in the 265 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 3: passing game and his health. And we'll see what happens 266 00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:24,800 Speaker 3: when they come out of the by if that rest 267 00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:28,079 Speaker 3: time has any any help whatsoever to him. But I 268 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 3: don't know at this point in time. To me, like 269 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 3: I said, I think the best money you're getting is 270 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 3: that plus money on the money line with the Ravens, 271 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 3: so I wouldn't even screw around with anything else. Game. 272 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:38,400 Speaker 2: Only a mother could love the Falcons visiting the Panthers. 273 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 2: The Panthers are laying three, and the total at forty 274 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:43,520 Speaker 2: three and a half sounds like Cam is still gonna 275 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:46,160 Speaker 2: be the starter, which does make sense. I mean, putting 276 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:49,640 Speaker 2: aside that terrible game Falcons, you know they fight. I'll 277 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:52,559 Speaker 2: give that to the Falcons there they fight Panthers off 278 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 2: of by both teams sort of still in the playoff 279 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 2: hunt at five and seven, so this is kind of 280 00:10:57,200 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 2: a make or break game for both of them. Again, 281 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 2: Panthers out home off the by laying three small total 282 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 2: forty three and a half. 283 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a very small total. And I really like 284 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:10,080 Speaker 3: the Carolina defense. I still do. And it's just a 285 00:11:10,080 --> 00:11:11,679 Speaker 3: matter of how much offense you're going to get from 286 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 3: Cam Newton. So we had a two plays in one game, 287 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 3: then he had a good game, and then he had 288 00:11:16,840 --> 00:11:19,280 Speaker 3: a wretched game. So does he have more time with 289 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:21,360 Speaker 3: the playbook, more time to practice, more time to figure 290 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 3: things out? Theoretically, yes, and you have a lesser opponent 291 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 3: here in the Falcons in my opinion, So I think 292 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 3: the Carolina defense probably gets a touchdown or at least 293 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:30,959 Speaker 3: puts them in position for a touchdown this game. I 294 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 3: think that to me is the big difference maker. So 295 00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 3: the three on the side of the Carolina Panthers is 296 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:37,560 Speaker 3: where I would lean in this game. The forty three 297 00:11:37,600 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 3: and a half seems about right to me though. That's 298 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:43,520 Speaker 3: why I don't care for the over under in this game. 299 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 3: So I would just take Carolina with the three because 300 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:48,600 Speaker 3: I do think that they can probably you know, end 301 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 3: up with something looking like a twenty seven to twenty 302 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:53,080 Speaker 3: kind of game in this one, and that would go over. 303 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 3: But once again, you know, we could also see Atlanta 304 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:58,319 Speaker 3: score you know, thirteen in this game and all of 305 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:00,600 Speaker 3: a sudden not nearly as excited of it. Over. 306 00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:03,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I do lean a little bit towards the under, 307 00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 2: just because I mean, basically, why would you know. 308 00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:09,720 Speaker 1: The word is that Brady was fired because he didn't run. 309 00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 2: The ball enough, And you know, I feel like, you've 310 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:13,679 Speaker 2: got Cam and you've got Hubbard, and I just think 311 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 2: they're going to run the ball NonStop. They're not going 312 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 2: to want to put this in Cam's hands here to 313 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:21,000 Speaker 2: try to make something happen that's going to lean itself 314 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:23,120 Speaker 2: towards the under a little bit as the clock continues 315 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 2: to wind, and I don't really have faith that the 316 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:26,000 Speaker 2: Falcons are going to be able to put up a 317 00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 2: ton of points here against they rested in angry Panthers defense, 318 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 2: So I leaned the under. I'm not going to back 319 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 2: either side on this one. It's just to stay away 320 00:12:32,960 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 2: in a divisional game with Cam coming off, you know, 321 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:38,480 Speaker 2: a game that made you know, Mac Jones look like, 322 00:12:38,559 --> 00:12:41,440 Speaker 2: you know, the greatest passer in the world. So I'm 323 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:43,800 Speaker 2: staying away from that. Cam Newton, what did you think. 324 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:45,080 Speaker 3: Of the Joe Brady firing? 325 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:47,439 Speaker 1: By the way, curious where did I what? 326 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 3: What do you think about the Joe Brady situation? There 327 00:12:49,679 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 3: don't no man like its veruzzling to me. 328 00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 2: It was, yeah, I was surprised that you got to 329 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 2: blame somebody, I think right, like, you know you the 330 00:12:56,960 --> 00:13:00,559 Speaker 2: Panthers are all in on this year, like that's a thing, 331 00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:02,720 Speaker 2: like when they traded for Gilmore and they you know, 332 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:05,240 Speaker 2: they make signings every single time they've got anything. 333 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:06,120 Speaker 1: They've been all in. 334 00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:08,640 Speaker 2: And the bottom line is, I don't really know what 335 00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 2: you can expect to do when your greatest offensive asset 336 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 2: me and Christian McCaffrey misses the entire game, and you 337 00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:18,400 Speaker 2: have a poo poo platter of revolving quarterbacks like Sam 338 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 2: Donald played very well the first few games, and I 339 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,439 Speaker 2: think that tricked them into thinking that Sam Donald was 340 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 2: the answer. And I think you and I probably you 341 00:13:27,040 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 2: live in Jersey. I'm a jer you probably understood that 342 00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 2: he wasn't. So I think it seems a little strange 343 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:36,000 Speaker 2: to me to fire him midseason. But they really do 344 00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:38,800 Speaker 2: seem like a team that had playoff aspirations, which they did, 345 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,080 Speaker 2: of course, and I have a sprinkle on them to 346 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:44,920 Speaker 2: make the playoffs, and they just got They got to 347 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:45,719 Speaker 2: blame somebody, man. 348 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:47,599 Speaker 3: So that's how we have a college coaching job. In 349 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 3: about two seconds, yeah. 350 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:53,679 Speaker 2: Sure, absolutely, Jaguars visiting the Titans. The Titans are laying 351 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:55,360 Speaker 2: nine and a half total forty four. 352 00:13:56,920 --> 00:13:58,960 Speaker 3: Let's see, let's bring this one of the Titans. 353 00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 1: This is the game. 354 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 3: If you're the Titans, you kind of win this and 355 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 3: you control your destiny no matter how many injuries you've had. 356 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:06,400 Speaker 3: Nine and a half seems like a big number for 357 00:14:06,440 --> 00:14:09,079 Speaker 3: an offense that's this gross. At this point in time, 358 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 3: I know they're talking about getting Julio Jones back. I 359 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 3: just I just look, the Titans should win this game. 360 00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:18,679 Speaker 3: I'm sure the Titans will win this game. Nine and 361 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 3: a half just seems like a really big number for 362 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:22,200 Speaker 3: this offense right now. So I would actually lean to 363 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 3: the Jacksonville side of this that did take the points 364 00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:25,760 Speaker 3: with the nine and a half, just because and it's 365 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:28,240 Speaker 3: it's not because I have any confidence in Jacksonville whatsoever, 366 00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:31,560 Speaker 3: but it just feels as though the Tennessee Titans offense 367 00:14:31,640 --> 00:14:34,920 Speaker 3: right now is not equipped for that kind of a spreads. 368 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 3: That's my problem here. 369 00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 2: It's actually eight and a half for you, Joe at Fandel, 370 00:14:39,160 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 2: it's nine and a half everywhere else. So Fandel's sort 371 00:14:41,600 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 2: of drawn a line in the said, yeah, nine and 372 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 2: a half. 373 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 1: I agree. 374 00:14:44,040 --> 00:14:45,800 Speaker 2: I like the Jaguars as well, which is it's the 375 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:48,480 Speaker 2: first time, Joe that I think I've said I'm willing 376 00:14:48,520 --> 00:14:49,000 Speaker 2: to back. 377 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 1: The Jaguars this right now. And again, yeah, Julio has 378 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 1: been designated to return from injured reserve. 379 00:14:53,200 --> 00:14:55,200 Speaker 2: That doesn't mean he's gonna play this weekend, but it 380 00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:56,760 Speaker 2: does mean that he is twenty one days and it's 381 00:14:56,760 --> 00:14:57,360 Speaker 2: a good sign. 382 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:58,080 Speaker 1: For his availability. 383 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:00,840 Speaker 2: And yeah, this is a game. Titans need to win 384 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 2: this game, like, I mean, there's no doubt about it. 385 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 2: At this point, we're joking about the Colts and what 386 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,720 Speaker 2: they were to win the division right at this point there, 387 00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 2: what was it, Joe, seventy to one. 388 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, seventy to one for the Colts. Now, look, if 389 00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 3: Jacksonville somehow pulls off a huge upside here against Tennessee, 390 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 3: things we go very dicey, very quickly. It's fascinating that 391 00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:19,600 Speaker 3: eighty percent of the money is on the Tennessee side 392 00:15:19,600 --> 00:15:20,560 Speaker 3: of this game early on. 393 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 1: That I'm sure the Lakes haven't hit it yet right the. 394 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:27,280 Speaker 3: Last No, they haven't. But I'm saying that it's the 395 00:15:27,360 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 3: lazy of the general public just saying Titans Jaguar. That's 396 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 3: exactly why you take this nine and a half when you. 397 00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:34,440 Speaker 2: Got it's going to be a pros Joe's game, man, 398 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:36,280 Speaker 2: Like it really is, right. I think people are going 399 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:38,880 Speaker 2: to be like the Titans that you know, they're coming 400 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:41,160 Speaker 2: off the by they're going to get things right, and 401 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:43,920 Speaker 2: they are extremely well coached, and the Jaguars are dumpter fire, 402 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 2: but the Titan. 403 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:46,800 Speaker 1: Actually I lean the under as. 404 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:49,920 Speaker 2: Well, Joe, because I do think that the Titans are 405 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 2: going to do in this game is they are not 406 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 2: going to take chances. They're gonna you know, relax, there's 407 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:55,000 Speaker 2: going to be a lot of you know, do you 408 00:15:55,040 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 2: have to foreman, There's going to be a lot of 409 00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:59,080 Speaker 2: Dontrell Hilliard, maybe some Lulio Jones, but they're going to 410 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:02,880 Speaker 2: take their spots again without who even with him man, 411 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:06,000 Speaker 2: like you know he's been battling injury again. What are 412 00:16:06,040 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 2: you looking at him in that? Nick Westbrookakina, right, that's 413 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:09,160 Speaker 2: your guy. 414 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 3: It's twenty thirteen. Gets this done for us? 415 00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:15,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, I I you know the underwear at forty four 416 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 2: and again unders are disgusting, but I'm willing to. 417 00:16:17,920 --> 00:16:19,280 Speaker 3: Be unders on forty four. 418 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:23,280 Speaker 2: It's really cross Saints visiting the Jets. The Saints are 419 00:16:23,320 --> 00:16:25,880 Speaker 2: laying just had dead number here at five and a half. 420 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:27,320 Speaker 2: Another load a lot of all. 421 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:29,640 Speaker 1: Totals this week, Joe forty three and a half here 422 00:16:29,640 --> 00:16:30,000 Speaker 1: for this one. 423 00:16:30,040 --> 00:16:31,720 Speaker 3: So it's a lot of low totals last week too. 424 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:34,000 Speaker 3: And I think it's also indicative of the quarterback player. 425 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:35,680 Speaker 3: You're getting to be getting a lot of backup quarterback, 426 00:16:35,720 --> 00:16:38,520 Speaker 3: secondary quarterback, so you know when that starts to happen 427 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:40,160 Speaker 3: and you're also getting that point in the year too, 428 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,440 Speaker 3: where it's going to change in the next few weeks 429 00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 3: when defenses start checking out and all of a sudden, 430 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:47,800 Speaker 3: these tolls are going to get obliterated because teams are 431 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:50,760 Speaker 3: going to just say, what times my playing reservation? Oh yes, 432 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:52,080 Speaker 3: I'm you know, I'm out of here. 433 00:16:52,160 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 2: And it's also it's also cold, like it's something where 434 00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 2: you know, I think teams get a little more conservative 435 00:16:57,360 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 2: and they run the ball a little bit, a little 436 00:16:58,840 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 2: more smashed. 437 00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:02,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, but this this is gonna flip in two weeks considerably. 438 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:04,880 Speaker 3: So when you're looking at these low numbers. Now, when 439 00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:08,480 Speaker 3: you get two weeks seventeen and eighteen, look for overs. 440 00:17:08,520 --> 00:17:10,000 Speaker 3: Even on games you don't think it's gonna be an 441 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:12,640 Speaker 3: over because, like I said, defenses just kind of start 442 00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:14,679 Speaker 3: two fold of the tense, and nobody wants to get 443 00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:16,440 Speaker 3: hit for no reason, to get hurt when they've got 444 00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 3: contracts coming up in things of that nature. New Orleans 445 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:20,439 Speaker 3: should win this one in a walk. 446 00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:21,080 Speaker 2: Uh. 447 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:24,399 Speaker 3: And defensively, certainly they match up. It's funny because you know, 448 00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:28,240 Speaker 3: the Jets for some reason feel more competitive when Zach 449 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:31,199 Speaker 3: Wilson's not playing quarterback. For me, but I gotta give 450 00:17:31,240 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 3: him credit to have a win a couple weeks ago. 451 00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:35,359 Speaker 3: Both not a good game against the Eagles this past week, I. 452 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:37,000 Speaker 1: Mean over the Texans, Joe, Let's. 453 00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 3: I know, it's still he got a w. You beat 454 00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:39,840 Speaker 3: the Titans, you. 455 00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:42,440 Speaker 1: Beat the Texts. I also, like, I'm not saying anything 456 00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 1: bad about Zach Wilson ninety. 457 00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 2: He has not played well, certainly in the in the 458 00:17:46,080 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 2: second part of the season, but I want to make 459 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:50,840 Speaker 2: it clear, like I'm not drawing any conclusions on him 460 00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:53,480 Speaker 2: long term yet they need a better team around him. 461 00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:55,600 Speaker 2: But yeah, it's really hard to have any confidence in 462 00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:57,919 Speaker 2: against against the decent defense. 463 00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 3: Well, I just think the New Orleans roster right now 464 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,600 Speaker 3: overmatches them. And New Orleans has a lot of problems, granted, 465 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:05,760 Speaker 3: but the biggest problem they have is in the coverage, 466 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 3: and that's something that the Jets are not a prolific 467 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:10,200 Speaker 3: passing team. So to me, it's that five and a 468 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,199 Speaker 3: half is pretty safe with New Orleans. I'm actually surprised 469 00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:14,159 Speaker 3: only fifty six percent of the money early on has 470 00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:16,400 Speaker 3: gone to the New Orleans side of this game at the. 471 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:17,000 Speaker 1: Five and a half. 472 00:18:17,040 --> 00:18:18,480 Speaker 3: That is actually a little surprising to me. 473 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:21,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know, man like, it's probably just a 474 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:22,720 Speaker 2: game I want to stay away from. 475 00:18:22,760 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 1: I could see the Jet. 476 00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:25,840 Speaker 2: I mean, the Saints are really not playing like a 477 00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:27,800 Speaker 2: very good football team here. Joe there, you know, and 478 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 2: Hill obviously is the quarterback. He can run. They should 479 00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:33,200 Speaker 2: just run them, you know, in the wildcat every play. 480 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:35,520 Speaker 2: That's all unless Kamara comes back here, which again we 481 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 2: have question marks about. But they should just run them 482 00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:39,680 Speaker 2: every play, and they could probably put up a touchdown 483 00:18:39,720 --> 00:18:42,040 Speaker 2: on you know, seventy five percent their drives just doing 484 00:18:42,040 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 2: that without throwing the ball at all, little mac jone style. 485 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:47,680 Speaker 2: But it's really as as sort of mediocre as the 486 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,360 Speaker 2: Saints have been of late, it's really difficult to see 487 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,120 Speaker 2: them off the mini by here coming on Thursday, needing 488 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:54,960 Speaker 2: a win again five and seven. It puts you in 489 00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:56,960 Speaker 2: contention for that seventh playoff spot right now. We're just 490 00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 2: talking about it with the Falcons and the Panthers. 491 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:00,440 Speaker 1: They need win. 492 00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:02,880 Speaker 2: They're gonna come out, They're gonna play angry, they're gonna 493 00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 2: play hard. It's just gonna it's tough to see the 494 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 2: Jets keeping it close. At the same time, just this 495 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:09,640 Speaker 2: dead number Matt Prout always has like when it's five 496 00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:10,919 Speaker 2: and a half, four and a half, five and a half, 497 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:12,399 Speaker 2: books are just kind of throwing up their hands and 498 00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:14,280 Speaker 2: being like, I don't really know what we're doing right now, 499 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:17,720 Speaker 2: so I'll probably stay away from it entirely. This next one, though, Joe, 500 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:20,640 Speaker 2: find myself intrigued by is. I just took a look 501 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:22,359 Speaker 2: at it as I looked ahead to our next game. 502 00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 2: The Raiders are visiting the Chiefs. The Chiefs have won 503 00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:28,560 Speaker 2: what five in a row? I think nine and a 504 00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:31,920 Speaker 2: half They are laying to the Raiders. The total is 505 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:35,400 Speaker 2: pretty high, forty eight and a half. What's your gut reaction. 506 00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:36,159 Speaker 1: This one, Joe? Is that about right? 507 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:36,360 Speaker 3: Two? 508 00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:37,000 Speaker 2: Nine and a half? 509 00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:39,600 Speaker 3: You know what? It's The nine and a half is 510 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:42,600 Speaker 3: correct for the Chiefs of yesteryear. For the Chiefs of 511 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:45,879 Speaker 3: this year, it's a little puzzling, but it feels like 512 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:50,159 Speaker 3: something that they could handle. My initial gut reaction is 513 00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:51,879 Speaker 3: the under though in the forty eight and a half, 514 00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:54,520 Speaker 3: because they just haven't looked great. And the hard part 515 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:56,080 Speaker 3: is because now we're gonna go back and look a 516 00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 3: couple weeks ago and how Patrick Mahomes absolutely dismantled this team, right, remember, 517 00:19:59,840 --> 00:20:01,720 Speaker 3: right one hundred yards against him a few weeks ago. 518 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:03,520 Speaker 3: So I think that's why you're seeing this nine and 519 00:20:03,520 --> 00:20:05,600 Speaker 3: a half, and that's why you're seeing all this confidence 520 00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:08,119 Speaker 3: in Patrick Mahomes all of a sudden after it's not 521 00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 3: even Patrick Mahomes, it's really the offense is a unit altogether. 522 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:13,320 Speaker 3: And he says it in the press comp too. You 523 00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:15,480 Speaker 3: saw him this past week. It's like, yeah, we won, 524 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:18,119 Speaker 3: but we're still you know, missing opportunities, and they are 525 00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 3: and the offensive line still has not really gelled together yet. 526 00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:24,520 Speaker 3: And it's week fourteen, So if it hasn't shelled yet, 527 00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:26,560 Speaker 3: I don't know what we're waiting for at this point. 528 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:28,320 Speaker 3: This was the high point in their season though, playing 529 00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:31,400 Speaker 3: the Raiders, it's ken you do it twice, and honestly, 530 00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:34,440 Speaker 3: the way the Kansasity defense has played this year, I 531 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:35,879 Speaker 3: think the safest thing to do is just spent the 532 00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:37,600 Speaker 3: under here in the forty eight and a half, because 533 00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:41,720 Speaker 3: there's two things going in your favor. Number one is 534 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,960 Speaker 3: the Las Vegas offense. Right Derek Waller's injured, you just 535 00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:47,159 Speaker 3: lose Kenny and Drake. They're kind of falling apart here 536 00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 3: at the end. I think they're kind of like paced 537 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 3: together with glue and all kinds of things, and they're 538 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:54,600 Speaker 3: just like glue sticks, not even real Elmer's glue, like 539 00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,240 Speaker 3: glue sticks. Just peel them right apart. And then the 540 00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,440 Speaker 3: other thing is the Kansasity defense, which over the last 541 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,320 Speaker 3: month or so play significantly better. You put those two 542 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:04,199 Speaker 3: things together, and I think you get the Under in 543 00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:05,680 Speaker 3: this game in the forty eight and a half. That's 544 00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:07,080 Speaker 3: what I would go to, and I would not miss 545 00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:07,920 Speaker 3: around with the nine at all. 546 00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:12,399 Speaker 2: I'm gonna die here while I'm coughing, Joe, I think 547 00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:15,880 Speaker 2: I like both the Under and the Raiders. 548 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,680 Speaker 1: You know, it's scary. I agree. 549 00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:22,920 Speaker 2: The Chiefs are content as they should be right now 550 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:25,560 Speaker 2: because their defense has played so much better of late. 551 00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:28,680 Speaker 2: They are content to rely on their defense, which again 552 00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:30,919 Speaker 2: I think we just talked about that that leads us 553 00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:33,800 Speaker 2: towards the Under, both of us. But their offense right now, Joe, 554 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:35,399 Speaker 2: as much as they did that against the Raiders, like 555 00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:38,960 Speaker 2: right now, they just do not look They almost don't 556 00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:42,200 Speaker 2: look interested necessarily and even putting up these giant points, 557 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:45,840 Speaker 2: right they look interested in avoiding taking these too many 558 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,840 Speaker 2: chances and just playing conservatively and not pushing it. And 559 00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:52,679 Speaker 2: you know, Mahomes also still doesn't look like Mahomes like 560 00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:55,440 Speaker 2: that much, at least with the offense, like he's dancing around, 561 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:57,400 Speaker 2: dancing around, and then he's just firing it in there 562 00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 2: and sort of these short throws. I think the Raiders 563 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,280 Speaker 2: were able to keep this close enough, and I think 564 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:03,560 Speaker 2: this is a game. You know, you come off a 565 00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:04,840 Speaker 2: Raiders of poor effort here in. 566 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,760 Speaker 1: This last game. I think they keep it close enough here. 567 00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 2: You know, I'd love it if it got to ten, 568 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:11,800 Speaker 2: of course, but I mean at fox Bet it's nine. 569 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:13,800 Speaker 2: At points Bet it's nine, so probably closer to there 570 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:15,160 Speaker 2: than it would be to ten. I think you'd see 571 00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:16,560 Speaker 2: a lot of Sharp's hammer and if. 572 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:16,960 Speaker 1: It got to there. 573 00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:18,439 Speaker 2: But I still like them at nine and a half. 574 00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:19,880 Speaker 2: But I do like the under as well at forty 575 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,800 Speaker 2: eight and a half. I mean, the Chiefs are content 576 00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:24,680 Speaker 2: to rely on their defense, and their defense is playing 577 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:26,719 Speaker 2: very well right now. So this strikes me as a 578 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:31,800 Speaker 2: not close Joe, but closer than people expect lower scoring games. 579 00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:33,639 Speaker 2: So I think we're on the same sign on the total. 580 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:36,199 Speaker 2: Let's go to the Cowboys visiting the football team. The 581 00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 2: Cowboys on the road are laying four total. Here is 582 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:44,320 Speaker 2: forty eight and a half. Washington is they're on a 583 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:46,960 Speaker 2: roll here, Joe. I mean, they're relying on that run 584 00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:48,919 Speaker 2: game here with Gibson, They're no problem. 585 00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:49,520 Speaker 1: Giving him the ball. 586 00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:52,800 Speaker 2: They've got the defense despite the loss of Chase Young, 587 00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:58,240 Speaker 2: playing pretty well. Overall, well coached. Cowboys here are you know, 588 00:22:58,760 --> 00:23:00,760 Speaker 2: a little hit or myths, but they come off the 589 00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 2: win against the Saints. 590 00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:02,160 Speaker 1: What do you think? 591 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:05,280 Speaker 3: I think this number should be six on the side 592 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:07,680 Speaker 3: of the Dallas Cowboys. I think the line is wrong 593 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:09,840 Speaker 3: here personally, and whenever I think the line is wrong 594 00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 3: and I want to jump on it right away. So 595 00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:13,960 Speaker 3: I actually think the Cowboys with the four is great 596 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:17,879 Speaker 3: because yes, what you're seeing is a Washington team that 597 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,800 Speaker 3: is very competitive and they play hard. But I just 598 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:22,359 Speaker 3: think that they're going to be outmatched here. I think 599 00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:24,200 Speaker 3: if you look at some of these games that Washington's 600 00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:26,119 Speaker 3: played of late, you know, some of the competition, they 601 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:28,480 Speaker 3: always played the Tampa Bay Bucks tough. I don't know why, 602 00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:32,560 Speaker 3: they just do. Some weird teams just have better team's numbers. 603 00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 3: It's just a fact of life. Sometimes. I can't tell 604 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,040 Speaker 3: you how many frustrating times I used to watch amazing 605 00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:39,720 Speaker 3: Patriot teams go into Miami and get their rear ended 606 00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:41,919 Speaker 3: hand into them for no reason, and we all look 607 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:43,920 Speaker 3: at each other, what just happened? Why are we losing 608 00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:46,040 Speaker 3: in Miami. I don't understand that Tom Brady doesn't like 609 00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,640 Speaker 3: the heat. Apparently it's fine because now he plays in Tampa. 610 00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:52,280 Speaker 3: He wins Super Bowl's there. But to me, this Dallas offense, 611 00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,840 Speaker 3: especially with healthy CD Lamb, you can really, you know, 612 00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:58,359 Speaker 3: air it out here. And they've had some injuries to 613 00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:01,440 Speaker 3: this defense of Washington, So Washington it's an outstanding job. 614 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:05,119 Speaker 3: They're well coached team, they have great effort. Antonio Gibson, 615 00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:06,919 Speaker 3: you're right, hows look good. But to me, it's the 616 00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:09,080 Speaker 3: Cowboys and it's the over in this one, and I 617 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:11,080 Speaker 3: think this is actually going to be a very fun 618 00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 3: fantasy game to be a part of. But the forty 619 00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:15,880 Speaker 3: and a half I like the over, and the four 620 00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:17,680 Speaker 3: I like right now because I think the numbers should 621 00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:19,720 Speaker 3: be five and a half or six for the Dallas Cowboys. 622 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:22,000 Speaker 3: I think they are sally be a little bit extra 623 00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 3: time to rest. I think they are favorites in this game, 624 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:25,120 Speaker 3: and I know it's on the road, and that's probably 625 00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:26,920 Speaker 3: why you're getting the four, But I just feel like 626 00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 3: the line's wrong. 627 00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:27,720 Speaker 1: Dan. 628 00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:30,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know, man, I don't love it. I 629 00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,480 Speaker 2: either side of the spread. I'm not running to take 630 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:37,520 Speaker 2: Washington whatsoever. I just don't have a good bead right 631 00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:38,840 Speaker 2: now on the Cowboys. 632 00:24:38,840 --> 00:24:39,920 Speaker 1: They look a little disjointed. 633 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,680 Speaker 2: But what you should have really for the first time, Joe, 634 00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 2: I think is everybody kind of healthy for the Cowboys 635 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:47,560 Speaker 2: on their offense, right, Like, at least in terms of 636 00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:50,399 Speaker 2: the skill players, because Amari Cooper, we knew he'd be 637 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:53,880 Speaker 2: limited last week, right, we knew that he wouldn't be getting. 638 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:54,680 Speaker 1: The normal snap count. 639 00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:58,520 Speaker 2: Zeke at times running looked like me running right like, 640 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:01,320 Speaker 2: just sort of like try to not hurt himself. But 641 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:02,920 Speaker 2: he did loosen up a little bit as the game 642 00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:04,760 Speaker 2: went on, and again Pollard looks good. 643 00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 1: So they should have all their offensive weapons. I could 644 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:07,320 Speaker 1: see that. 645 00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:09,600 Speaker 2: One of the reasons why I don't love the over 646 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:14,040 Speaker 2: is because Washington is so run heavy and so conservative. 647 00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 2: I mean, Washington is able to put together these long 648 00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:20,000 Speaker 2: drives because every single time they gain a first down, 649 00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:23,399 Speaker 2: they're gaining thirteen yards, right, So it's like one of 650 00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:26,760 Speaker 2: these things where they take three plays to gain thirteen yards, 651 00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,560 Speaker 2: three more plays to gain fourteen yards before you know 652 00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:31,679 Speaker 2: they have a ten minute drive going on where they 653 00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,159 Speaker 2: settle for a field goal. So I don't lean the 654 00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 2: over of anything. I lean the under, but it's probably 655 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,080 Speaker 2: more of a stay away but a divisional game, man, 656 00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:40,760 Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't want to bet against Washington 657 00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:41,639 Speaker 2: right now, so I'll just stay. 658 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,919 Speaker 3: With There's more piece to keep in mind for as 659 00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 3: landing Collins being out, because Collins is playing very well 660 00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:48,879 Speaker 3: and he's very fersatile. He's a guy that plays safety 661 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:50,639 Speaker 3: you can play linebacker like. He's a guy that you 662 00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:52,840 Speaker 3: could get a lot out of. I think this is 663 00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,200 Speaker 3: the game where that gets exposed because I don't think 664 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 3: they've hit since that injury. I don't think they've had 665 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:00,720 Speaker 3: somebody on their schedule where they look it and go, okay, 666 00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:03,040 Speaker 3: really got it, Like you gotta worry abou Dallas throw 667 00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,040 Speaker 3: the football on you big time. So I think that's 668 00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:07,640 Speaker 3: where it kind of the rubber meets the road here 669 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:09,199 Speaker 3: in this one. And I think that's where you know 670 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 3: the combination of Chase Young in the past rush of 671 00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:15,440 Speaker 3: the combination of Atlantic Collins being out too, I think 672 00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:17,920 Speaker 3: that's a bad combination for this particular. 673 00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:19,840 Speaker 1: Matchup, Seahawks visiting the Texans. 674 00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 2: The Seahawks are laying seven and a half with the 675 00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:25,359 Speaker 2: toba of forty two and a half. We've got no 676 00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:28,160 Speaker 2: Torod Taylor. It doesn't really matter right now. He's gonna 677 00:26:28,160 --> 00:26:29,760 Speaker 2: be out for this game. So you got David Smells. 678 00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:33,360 Speaker 2: The Seahawks riding high after their big win over the 679 00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:36,440 Speaker 2: forty nine ers, saved quote unquote their season, but laying 680 00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 2: more in a touchdown here. 681 00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:39,760 Speaker 3: What do you think I think Torod Taylor's Charlie Brown. 682 00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:42,679 Speaker 3: I just I feel so terrible for toront telm Nothing 683 00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:47,240 Speaker 3: ever works out for this guy. Good grief, Good grief, 684 00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:49,920 Speaker 3: mister Taylor. I just want something, you know. This one 685 00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 3: scares the hell out of me because theoretically, yeah, Seaws 686 00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:54,400 Speaker 3: should go in there and just blow their doors off. 687 00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:56,720 Speaker 3: But I have zero confidence in Seattle right now, so 688 00:26:57,560 --> 00:26:59,639 Speaker 3: this game feels kind of like a stay away of 689 00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:01,320 Speaker 3: anything to me. Maybe I go to the under on 690 00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:03,119 Speaker 3: the forty two because the inept to suit of the 691 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:06,240 Speaker 3: Houston offense. That's probably the safest thing here, rather than 692 00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:08,440 Speaker 3: to screwn it all with the seven and a half, 693 00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:10,639 Speaker 3: because who knows what happens in garbage time in some 694 00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:13,080 Speaker 3: of these games, or or if Seattle can even hold 695 00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:15,280 Speaker 3: the lead. I don't know. All I know is the 696 00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:16,800 Speaker 3: forty two and a half, even though it's a very 697 00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:19,399 Speaker 3: low number, feels like the safest investment here. But this 698 00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 3: is not a game that I feel good about investing 699 00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:24,040 Speaker 3: because Seattle has given me very little confidence. Despite a 700 00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:26,880 Speaker 3: big win last week, that's great, there's still a lot 701 00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:29,720 Speaker 3: of issues with this team, and once again big Indivision game, 702 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:32,520 Speaker 3: big emotional win. Then you go on the road against Houston, 703 00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:34,720 Speaker 3: do you come out flat? And if you do, that 704 00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:36,320 Speaker 3: certainly helps with this under. 705 00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:39,080 Speaker 2: I think if I'm going to have a plan this game, 706 00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 2: I'll tease the Seahawks down like test Fair one. So 707 00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,199 Speaker 2: I mean at draftings is one, it's seven, so I 708 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,240 Speaker 2: could tease them to one. But at one and a half, 709 00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:49,440 Speaker 2: maybe that's it. That No, I don't want to force 710 00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:51,399 Speaker 2: myself to watch this game. I don't want to have 711 00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,439 Speaker 2: to be relying on the Seahawks to cover more than 712 00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:55,960 Speaker 2: seven points, right even though gun to my head, Joe, 713 00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 2: I mean I'd probably take them at seven and a half, 714 00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:01,720 Speaker 2: just because I think the more plausible that the Texans 715 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:05,680 Speaker 2: are so bad like they're so bad and they look 716 00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:09,800 Speaker 2: disinterested right now, which understandable completely. But it's again that 717 00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:13,240 Speaker 2: I think the Seahawks could as Wilson gets a little healthier, 718 00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:15,320 Speaker 2: a little more accurate, I could see them trying to 719 00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:17,679 Speaker 2: use this as a as a jumping off point for 720 00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:19,600 Speaker 2: DK Metcalf, trying to throw a little bit get their 721 00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:21,320 Speaker 2: passing game right in the game. They should win handily, 722 00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:23,280 Speaker 2: so probably stay away from me if anything else, t 723 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 2: use the Seahawks down. Lions visiting the Broncos. Fresh off 724 00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:31,240 Speaker 2: the giant win for the Lions, the totals forty two. 725 00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:35,040 Speaker 2: They are getting eight points here in Denver from the Broncos. 726 00:28:35,320 --> 00:28:37,680 Speaker 2: You know, the Broncos are again. You know they look 727 00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:41,000 Speaker 2: pretty terrible against the Chiefs. They lost that game Handley. 728 00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,360 Speaker 2: They need to bounce back here. I mean letdown. 729 00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:46,320 Speaker 1: Spot for the Lions, Joe after the big win or what. 730 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,440 Speaker 3: Well, the Lions have been competitive. It happens like they 731 00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 3: play hard. The problem with the Lions is they don't 732 00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:56,320 Speaker 3: have talent, so they don't match up well and then 733 00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:58,440 Speaker 3: they always end up falling short and the quarterback play 734 00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:00,840 Speaker 3: doesn't help them if they don't have weapons. DeAndre Swift's 735 00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:04,520 Speaker 3: injury doesn't help, you know, if you're gonna laugh at this, 736 00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:07,719 Speaker 3: but if Melbourne Gordon's out for this game too, I 737 00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:10,520 Speaker 3: like the Denver side because I think Javonte Williams looks 738 00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 3: that good in this backfield, and they have so much 739 00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 3: trouble there with the run that I think Gavante's can 740 00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:17,800 Speaker 3: just run a muck on them. If Gordon's back in 741 00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:19,960 Speaker 3: this mix and you get more to that sixty to 742 00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,560 Speaker 3: forty fifty to fifty split, I actually like the Detroit side. 743 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:24,360 Speaker 3: So this is a game that I think you wait 744 00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:26,479 Speaker 3: for a little bit more news until you have it. 745 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,160 Speaker 3: But my initial instinct right now is to take the 746 00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:32,080 Speaker 3: eight points in Detroit because Denver is not exactly a 747 00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:36,000 Speaker 3: world beating offense no matter what, and it feels like 748 00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,360 Speaker 3: Detroit once again. You know, they just got rewarded for 749 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,920 Speaker 3: their competitiveness. Yes, a very emotional game, but I think 750 00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:44,640 Speaker 3: that they are better than some of the two and 751 00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:46,440 Speaker 3: three win teams that are out there Detroit, at least 752 00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:48,640 Speaker 3: the way they've played this year in terms of effort level. 753 00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:50,920 Speaker 3: So I'll take the eight points with Detroit right now. 754 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:54,640 Speaker 3: That's my instinct. Dan the forty two, I mean, my 755 00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:58,240 Speaker 3: instinct says over in this one too, because the Denver 756 00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:00,320 Speaker 3: defense can be very inconsistent at times. But what do 757 00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:01,480 Speaker 3: you think about this line so far? 758 00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 1: I think I don't love it. 759 00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:05,880 Speaker 2: But if I had to go one way, it would 760 00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:09,720 Speaker 2: be the Lions, you know, because that just betting on 761 00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:12,480 Speaker 2: the Broncos to beat a team by more than a 762 00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:15,959 Speaker 2: touchdown right now just seems foolhardy, like just that. I mean, 763 00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:18,000 Speaker 2: they can, of course I have, but just to have 764 00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:21,160 Speaker 2: confidence in them being able to do that, I don't 765 00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:23,440 Speaker 2: have it. And the Lions, like, you're right, Joe. The 766 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,680 Speaker 2: biggest thing with the Lions is they will play hard. 767 00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:27,920 Speaker 2: And we make fun of Dan Campbell, but that team 768 00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:31,080 Speaker 2: plays hard to the very quarters four quarters, baby, all 769 00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:31,440 Speaker 2: the time. 770 00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:33,680 Speaker 1: So the total I don't want to get near. 771 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 2: I assume the Broncos are going to win this game, 772 00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:39,200 Speaker 2: but I think the Lions are going to play and 773 00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:42,280 Speaker 2: you know, Teddy looks banged up, you know, you know, 774 00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:45,080 Speaker 2: just generally battling through. They haven't found a way to 775 00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:48,160 Speaker 2: utilize any of their wide receivers. Unfortunately, as good as 776 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:50,760 Speaker 2: you know, all those guys are, so strikes me as 777 00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,320 Speaker 2: a game that the Broncos probably win. By like, you know, 778 00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:56,960 Speaker 2: somewhere between three and seven. So I'd probably take the Lions, 779 00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:58,720 Speaker 2: but not a game I'm running to take. 780 00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:00,240 Speaker 1: What about the charge. 781 00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:05,160 Speaker 2: Joe at home here against the Giants that can census 782 00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:07,160 Speaker 2: ten and a half? There's ten's out there, but there's 783 00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:08,360 Speaker 2: a lot of ten and a half. The total is 784 00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:11,400 Speaker 2: forty five and a half. I guess the thought is 785 00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:15,000 Speaker 2: we're gonna get Jake from I guess because Daniel Jones 786 00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 2: is all but ruled out right now. I've got Mike 787 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:21,280 Speaker 2: Lennon with the concussion, but you have Keenan Allen out 788 00:31:21,840 --> 00:31:24,240 Speaker 2: most likely not he's on the COVID list. He did 789 00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:26,680 Speaker 2: test positive, so I don't know if he's vaccinate or 790 00:31:26,680 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 2: if we've heard anything on that, but I guess he's 791 00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:30,959 Speaker 2: not technically ruled out yet for this weekend, but I 792 00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:32,560 Speaker 2: assume that he's probably gonna be out. 793 00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:33,600 Speaker 1: It's ten and a half. 794 00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:37,040 Speaker 2: I mean, you feel like they could maybe score no 795 00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 2: points offensively Joe and still find a way to win 796 00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:41,000 Speaker 2: this game just based on their defense. 797 00:31:41,040 --> 00:31:42,360 Speaker 1: But what do you think You're a ten and a half? 798 00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:46,560 Speaker 3: You know, I don't usually like these huge numbers, typically speaking, 799 00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:49,800 Speaker 3: But whats going on with the Giants offense. And it's 800 00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:51,560 Speaker 3: not even just the court. I mean the quarterback play's 801 00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:54,960 Speaker 3: enough right now, right yeah, just downgrade potentially to Jake 802 00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:56,800 Speaker 3: from or Mike Lennon RNY of those goods. And then 803 00:31:56,840 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 3: you throw in that Shepherd's been hurt and Tony's been 804 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:03,520 Speaker 3: her and nobody's practicing together, nobody's working together, and Dalladay 805 00:32:03,520 --> 00:32:06,800 Speaker 3: has been a complete bust and Sekwon Barkley is you know, 806 00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:11,080 Speaker 3: just uninspiring at this point in this offense. I think 807 00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:12,840 Speaker 3: the ten, and actually I love to lock in the 808 00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:15,360 Speaker 3: ten wherever I could before you get to the hook. 809 00:32:15,920 --> 00:32:16,840 Speaker 3: That's what I would like to say. 810 00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:18,640 Speaker 1: Spots out there are a couple of spots out there 811 00:32:18,640 --> 00:32:19,160 Speaker 1: where it's ten. 812 00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:21,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, take the ten where you can get the ten, 813 00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:24,080 Speaker 3: and take the Chargers because, like I said, it's just 814 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,760 Speaker 3: there's so many issues here, and when you don't have 815 00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:29,520 Speaker 3: your personnel working together on the field, and then you 816 00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:32,560 Speaker 3: have lesser personnel leading it at quarterback, that is a 817 00:32:32,560 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 3: really tough selle to go on the road across country 818 00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:37,320 Speaker 3: and play a team like the Chargers who has a 819 00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:39,240 Speaker 3: really good pass rush, right like Bosa is going to 820 00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:42,120 Speaker 3: be on top of whoever's playing quarterback most likely. And 821 00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:45,360 Speaker 3: then on top of which, they are very opportunistic secondary, 822 00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:47,800 Speaker 3: like they're they're hit and miss. Which is why the 823 00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:50,160 Speaker 3: Chargers are seven and five and don't have eight or 824 00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,440 Speaker 3: nine wins is because sometimes they play a little fast 825 00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:54,360 Speaker 3: and loose on the defensive side of the football. And 826 00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,200 Speaker 3: because of that, what I believe is that you're gonna 827 00:32:57,280 --> 00:32:58,960 Speaker 3: probably in this game where you don't have a great 828 00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:01,800 Speaker 3: offense and loose is gonna work because the Giants are 829 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:04,320 Speaker 3: gonna make a mistake. So I think i'd lock in 830 00:33:04,360 --> 00:33:06,000 Speaker 3: the ten where I could get rid of the hook 831 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,200 Speaker 3: and take the Chargers. Ignore the overunder because you have 832 00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:11,960 Speaker 3: no idea what you're gonna get out of. That's the thing. 833 00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:13,480 Speaker 3: People would be tempted this, like, oh, it's gonna be 834 00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,000 Speaker 3: a blowout, let's take the Chargers, right. But for this 835 00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:18,640 Speaker 3: to happen, you have to get the New York Giants 836 00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,640 Speaker 3: to do their part. I have concerns if the Giants 837 00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:23,360 Speaker 3: can do their part in this game depending on who's 838 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:26,560 Speaker 3: playing quarterback. Therefore, go to the ten, stay away from 839 00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:27,120 Speaker 3: the over under. 840 00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:31,200 Speaker 2: I agree the ten right now is at BETMGM and 841 00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:33,760 Speaker 2: said Fox. Bet our books Joe are at ten and 842 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:37,200 Speaker 2: a half. Yeah, I'd go with the Chargers, but it's, 843 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:41,120 Speaker 2: you know, such a bizarre game here with everything that's 844 00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:44,040 Speaker 2: going on. People who listen to this podcasts regularly know 845 00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:45,840 Speaker 2: which way I'm going to go in this game, Joe. 846 00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:48,680 Speaker 2: This is the forty nine Ers visiting the Bengals. Both 847 00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:51,720 Speaker 2: teams off tough losses here. You know, the forty nine 848 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:55,400 Speaker 2: Ers kept it close. Bengals just got you know, their 849 00:33:55,400 --> 00:33:58,760 Speaker 2: butts kicked in this game by the Chargers. Forty nine 850 00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:01,040 Speaker 2: Ers here are getting a point in Cincinnati, Joe, and 851 00:34:01,080 --> 00:34:03,360 Speaker 2: then totals forty seven and a half. What do you 852 00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:04,200 Speaker 2: think about this one? 853 00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:06,640 Speaker 3: This is the fascinating game of the week, right this 854 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,680 Speaker 3: this screams run away. But if you want to take 855 00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:11,920 Speaker 3: a stand here, the only thing that even gives me 856 00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:14,880 Speaker 3: pausey at the Bengals is that pinky of Joe Burrow. 857 00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 3: Because it sounds like, oh it's a pinky's it is 858 00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:19,920 Speaker 3: a big deal because you could see the pain that 859 00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:21,640 Speaker 3: he had on the sidelines trying to throw the football 860 00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:25,000 Speaker 3: and work through it. And that's that finger that when 861 00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:28,239 Speaker 3: you throw the football, it really gives you that that 862 00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:31,040 Speaker 3: control at the very end there that helps with that spiral, 863 00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:34,799 Speaker 3: So that is something that is concerning to me. Now, 864 00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 3: is then concerning enough to go to the San Francisco 865 00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:40,279 Speaker 3: side for me? No, because I'm not a big fan 866 00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:41,520 Speaker 3: of the fot and hours this year. I think they've 867 00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:44,560 Speaker 3: fallen into everything breaking right. Deebo Samuel's health has a 868 00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:46,279 Speaker 3: lot to do with this game. If Deebo's back in 869 00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:48,799 Speaker 3: this game, that makes me stay away from it. But 870 00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:50,520 Speaker 3: if he's out of this game, I would, you know, 871 00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:55,640 Speaker 3: favor the Cincinnati side. It's very tricky. I think you're 872 00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:57,359 Speaker 3: looking at the lines too. You're getting the minus one 873 00:34:57,440 --> 00:35:00,239 Speaker 3: ten on the one, and you're getting minus fIF team 874 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:01,880 Speaker 3: for the Bengals to win outright, So you might as 875 00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:03,879 Speaker 3: well just take the point if you think like there's 876 00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:06,520 Speaker 3: no reason, there's no incentive to just take the Bengals 877 00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:08,759 Speaker 3: to win on the money line just doesn't exist. So 878 00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:10,359 Speaker 3: you might as well just go ahead and take the one, 879 00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:13,520 Speaker 3: and go ahead and take Cincinnati at home and take 880 00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:15,680 Speaker 3: because they because they did show up eventually in that 881 00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:18,080 Speaker 3: game against the Chargers, and then there were a couple 882 00:35:18,040 --> 00:35:20,279 Speaker 3: of moments like Jamar Chase didn't come up with that ball. 883 00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:22,000 Speaker 1: If he does, maybe a very different game. 884 00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:24,239 Speaker 3: It's a very right. So there were moments there where 885 00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:26,640 Speaker 3: they did play catch up, but it just they fell short. 886 00:35:27,160 --> 00:35:30,239 Speaker 3: And this is what a young team has, where they 887 00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:32,400 Speaker 3: go through these growing pains where they're really you know, 888 00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:34,839 Speaker 3: they have really good talent. They you know, start beating 889 00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:37,360 Speaker 3: the Pittsburgh Steelers, right, but then they don't understand that 890 00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:39,040 Speaker 3: you have to prepare and let that go for the 891 00:35:39,080 --> 00:35:41,040 Speaker 3: next week and it doesn't matter that team is gonna 892 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:43,480 Speaker 3: come in your building this competitive, they're gonna whoop your ass. 893 00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:46,360 Speaker 3: So I think that San Francisco is a perfect example 894 00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:48,000 Speaker 3: of Okay, now you gotta be ready. You're gonna let 895 00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:50,600 Speaker 3: two West Coast teams here back to back whoop you 896 00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 3: at home. I don't think so. So I like the 897 00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:54,560 Speaker 3: Cincinnati side of this one too. How do you feel 898 00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:56,000 Speaker 3: about this one? Because this one's very close. 899 00:35:56,480 --> 00:36:01,880 Speaker 2: I basically have spent four weeks in a row fading 900 00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:04,920 Speaker 2: the Bengals and it mostly has not worked out. It 901 00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:08,000 Speaker 2: did this bad, it did this past week. I think 902 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:11,239 Speaker 2: the Bengals are a very very overrated team. I think 903 00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:13,120 Speaker 2: the four nine Ers are much better team. Just just 904 00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:17,120 Speaker 2: putting aside everything and again, you know, I look at DVA. 905 00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:18,880 Speaker 2: I think it's just like a very easy, sort of 906 00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:21,360 Speaker 2: just general way to look at the teams. The forty 907 00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:25,240 Speaker 2: nine ers total total DVA seventh, the Bengals are eighteenth. 908 00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:28,399 Speaker 2: Like I think that's just a very very simple way 909 00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:30,000 Speaker 2: to look at the fact that the forty nine ers 910 00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:30,719 Speaker 2: are a much better team. 911 00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:30,840 Speaker 1: Now. 912 00:36:30,840 --> 00:36:32,920 Speaker 2: The forty nine ers, Joe, you noted, don't know if 913 00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:34,560 Speaker 2: we're gonna get Debo back. When you get a one 914 00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:36,359 Speaker 2: to two week injury, Joe, I always take the over, 915 00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 2: so I assume he's gonna be out this week. You 916 00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:41,000 Speaker 2: also have Elijah Mitchell. My guess is he's not gonna 917 00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:43,640 Speaker 2: play this week because he got the big hit, came 918 00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:45,799 Speaker 2: back in the game, and then subsequently the. 919 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:47,360 Speaker 1: Next day has concussion symptoms. 920 00:36:47,600 --> 00:36:51,399 Speaker 2: That's bad. They also don't have Jeff Wilson. That's bad 921 00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:54,000 Speaker 2: because he had then flare up Trey Sermons on IR. 922 00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:56,719 Speaker 2: So you might have Jamichael Hasty and Kyle Uschek and 923 00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:59,120 Speaker 2: that's it in the run game. That really hurts. But 924 00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:01,319 Speaker 2: this is a better team. You got the Pinky Joe, 925 00:37:01,320 --> 00:37:04,400 Speaker 2: which you met. If word is bad, you know what 926 00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:08,239 Speaker 2: I heard about Burrow Joe with the pinky is he's optimistic. 927 00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:10,239 Speaker 2: He can play through it. That's not what you want 928 00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:12,759 Speaker 2: to hear. You want to hear this is nothing. I'm 929 00:37:12,800 --> 00:37:15,719 Speaker 2: totally fine, let's go. So the fact that he does 930 00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:17,800 Speaker 2: have that, I think of word leaks that it's bad. 931 00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:19,280 Speaker 1: That's bad. 932 00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:21,640 Speaker 2: So this is a West Coast team again, as you mentioned, 933 00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:23,960 Speaker 2: Joe coming east. But the Chargers didn't seem to have 934 00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:25,560 Speaker 2: any problem. And also this is a four to twenty 935 00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:27,520 Speaker 2: five game, which I think makes it a lot easier 936 00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:28,440 Speaker 2: for their internal. 937 00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:30,279 Speaker 1: Collaps right to sort of do that. So I'm on 938 00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:31,200 Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers here. 939 00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:33,200 Speaker 2: My guess is I will be taking them on Wednesday 940 00:37:33,280 --> 00:37:36,200 Speaker 2: on Thursday on our Best Bets Show, because I am 941 00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:38,640 Speaker 2: I am at this point fading the Bengals pretty hard. 942 00:37:38,680 --> 00:37:41,560 Speaker 1: But that is just how Dan Harris does it this year, 943 00:37:41,600 --> 00:37:42,920 Speaker 1: and it has not always worked out. 944 00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:45,479 Speaker 3: You and I would have agreed last week on fading 945 00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:45,759 Speaker 3: the Bank. 946 00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:47,040 Speaker 1: You were on the Chargers as well. 947 00:37:47,120 --> 00:37:49,080 Speaker 3: I was very much on the Childcat because whenever you 948 00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:52,280 Speaker 3: have that big emotional victory for an individual apponent, especially 949 00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:54,600 Speaker 3: the Steelers that have the team that's been whooping on you, 950 00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:56,200 Speaker 3: and that was the third time in a row that 951 00:37:56,239 --> 00:37:58,440 Speaker 3: they beat the Pittsburgh Steelers, and they beat them at 952 00:37:58,440 --> 00:37:59,799 Speaker 3: halftime that game was over thirty. 953 00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:02,000 Speaker 2: I was on the Steelers by the way on that 954 00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:04,920 Speaker 2: game too because I I fade the Bengals. 955 00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:07,440 Speaker 1: But yeah, they that's what after that soundspot right? 956 00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:09,080 Speaker 3: You have to know that there's going to be that 957 00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:11,000 Speaker 3: we're going to come out flat at least. Yeah, and 958 00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:12,799 Speaker 3: the Chargers, you know we're not going to come out flat. 959 00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:14,799 Speaker 3: The Chargers are going to are a very well coached team, 960 00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:16,759 Speaker 3: and Staley's inn a really good job there. I really 961 00:38:16,840 --> 00:38:19,680 Speaker 3: like him as a coach. I think that's a team that, 962 00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:21,359 Speaker 3: you know, everyone who makes one of the Chargers are 963 00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:22,680 Speaker 3: going to charge and all that stuff. I think you 964 00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:25,120 Speaker 3: could throw that away. I don't think that's what Brandon 965 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,040 Speaker 3: Stale is about. And the preparation there I think is 966 00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:29,000 Speaker 3: very good. And there's still, in a lot of ways 967 00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:30,839 Speaker 3: a young team that's got to learn how to win. 968 00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:33,719 Speaker 3: And last week I think was a really good, you know, 969 00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:35,200 Speaker 3: fork in the road for them in the right direction. 970 00:38:35,560 --> 00:38:38,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I agree, it's a good one coming up, Joe. 971 00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:40,440 Speaker 1: The Bills are visiting the box. 972 00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:43,440 Speaker 2: The Bucks are Atlanta field goal fifty two and a 973 00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:47,840 Speaker 2: half with the total here, Joe, you know, look the Bills, 974 00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:50,960 Speaker 2: right now are a little bit of crossroads here, Joe. 975 00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:53,640 Speaker 2: They're seven and five, Like they are seven and five 976 00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:56,520 Speaker 2: at this point that that's miraculous to think about. Their 977 00:38:56,560 --> 00:39:00,600 Speaker 2: offense has really not been able to get go side 978 00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:03,759 Speaker 2: but the wind game, and they're gonna be stinging after 979 00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:05,920 Speaker 2: that one. Like their offense has not been able to 980 00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:08,600 Speaker 2: get it done. They obviously lost for Davius White for 981 00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:10,920 Speaker 2: the season. That's a huge loss to their defense. The 982 00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,839 Speaker 2: Bucks nine to three continue to roll no Antonio Brown, 983 00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:14,919 Speaker 2: but it doesn't really matter. 984 00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:16,960 Speaker 1: They can get it done any which way. How do 985 00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:17,799 Speaker 1: you feel about this one? 986 00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:20,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, it doesn't matter because Chris Godwin had fifteen catches. 987 00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:23,840 Speaker 3: Rob Gronkowski had a dozen catches, So what does it matter. 988 00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:27,880 Speaker 3: Hopefully there won't be hurricane wins in Tampa, like hopefully 989 00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:29,600 Speaker 3: they can get rid of any kind of wind yer 990 00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:31,759 Speaker 3: back to back weeks here or then. But the White 991 00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:34,080 Speaker 3: injury is huge because that secondary was really the strength 992 00:39:34,120 --> 00:39:36,200 Speaker 3: of the defense. And we take away your number one corner, 993 00:39:36,360 --> 00:39:38,640 Speaker 3: everybody moves up a slot and number one corners are 994 00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:41,799 Speaker 3: number one corners and the reason and not every team 995 00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:44,200 Speaker 3: has a number one corner. And again, we talk so 996 00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:46,719 Speaker 3: much on the fantasy side of things about offense, and 997 00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:50,280 Speaker 3: I think that filters into so much of our wagering. 998 00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,479 Speaker 3: We don't talk enough about defense on both sides, whether 999 00:39:53,480 --> 00:39:55,080 Speaker 3: it be betting, whether it be fansy. We don't talk 1000 00:39:55,080 --> 00:39:58,360 Speaker 3: about what that impact is. And right now that injury 1001 00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:00,480 Speaker 3: is going to absolutely show up in this game against 1002 00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:02,360 Speaker 3: Tom Brady, because when you have an injury to the 1003 00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:04,880 Speaker 3: secondary like that, when you have a situation where you 1004 00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:07,080 Speaker 3: have a quarterback that's that good in terms of finding 1005 00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:09,839 Speaker 3: the open guy. This could be a really long day here. 1006 00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:12,120 Speaker 3: And Mike Hyde and Jordan Poyer are great players and 1007 00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:13,759 Speaker 3: all of them and I'm not taking anything away from 1008 00:40:13,800 --> 00:40:17,399 Speaker 3: those dudes. I love them. But this is tough here 1009 00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:20,279 Speaker 3: because Buffalo kind of suffers from the same problem that 1010 00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:22,400 Speaker 3: the Chiefs are suffering from, which is when you become 1011 00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:25,719 Speaker 3: one dimensional, you become predictable, and would become predictable, you 1012 00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:28,319 Speaker 3: become beatable in the NFL. And that's what's happened to 1013 00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:31,920 Speaker 3: both of these teams offensively, they become predictable. Now the 1014 00:40:32,000 --> 00:40:34,160 Speaker 3: Chiefs starting to work in cly Wortz a layer more, 1015 00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:36,640 Speaker 3: I think is a good thing, but there is no 1016 00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:40,120 Speaker 3: cech here for the Buffalo Bills. It ain't Matt Brida, okay, 1017 00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:43,919 Speaker 3: And it's not Devin Singletary or Zach Moss. So it's 1018 00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:46,080 Speaker 3: really Josh Allen kind of feeling the load here, and 1019 00:40:46,680 --> 00:40:48,319 Speaker 3: I worry that that's a lot to put on. And 1020 00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:50,600 Speaker 3: because when Josh Allen takes on too much, Josh Allen 1021 00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:54,759 Speaker 3: overplays and tries to get out of three tackles and 1022 00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:57,240 Speaker 3: then chuck the ball, and that's all bad Josh Allen. 1023 00:40:57,239 --> 00:40:59,520 Speaker 3: Those are the old bad habits. And if those habits 1024 00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:04,160 Speaker 3: come out against Tampa, you're gonna see issues here, and 1025 00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:06,560 Speaker 3: you're going to see you know, Tampa can also get 1026 00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:09,200 Speaker 3: to the quarterback a little bit to you. I don't know, 1027 00:41:09,239 --> 00:41:11,520 Speaker 3: man for this one. I feel pretty confident in Tampa 1028 00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:15,239 Speaker 3: at this three and and it's it's sad because I 1029 00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:17,480 Speaker 3: love Josh Allen. I love this Bills team. I was 1030 00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:19,719 Speaker 3: picking them to win the East this year, but this 1031 00:41:19,760 --> 00:41:22,839 Speaker 3: just feels like a seven and six situation when they 1032 00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:24,200 Speaker 3: are on that plane Sunday. 1033 00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:27,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you, Joe. 1034 00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:29,520 Speaker 2: I think you have to go with the Bucks right 1035 00:41:29,560 --> 00:41:31,719 Speaker 2: now at the field goal. And again, it has nothing 1036 00:41:31,760 --> 00:41:33,480 Speaker 2: to do with last night, like they could have very 1037 00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:35,719 Speaker 2: easily won that game obviously, and it was a crazy game. 1038 00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:37,880 Speaker 2: Dawson knock dropped a bunch of passes and stuff like that, 1039 00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:39,680 Speaker 2: but it was just I throw it at it's. 1040 00:41:39,520 --> 00:41:41,600 Speaker 3: The mental state of last night's game. Yeah, that you 1041 00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:43,840 Speaker 3: lost at home to the Patriots, and that was the 1042 00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:46,359 Speaker 3: one you didn't want to lose because it was your 1043 00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:48,640 Speaker 3: home game. If you split, it's fine, but you want 1044 00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:50,560 Speaker 3: to win the one at home because that's the one. 1045 00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:52,200 Speaker 3: It's a lock, and then you feel better going into 1046 00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:54,840 Speaker 3: Tampa because what happens is these losses start to mount 1047 00:41:55,080 --> 00:41:57,520 Speaker 3: and you start you start winning, losing, winning losing, and 1048 00:41:57,560 --> 00:42:00,120 Speaker 3: you start to have there's no confidence built. Yeah, that's 1049 00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:01,480 Speaker 3: the problem. If you go look in this game log 1050 00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:03,520 Speaker 3: for the Buffalo Bills, it's up and down, and that's 1051 00:42:03,600 --> 00:42:05,720 Speaker 3: not a good situation for them from a confidence standpoint. 1052 00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:06,080 Speaker 1: Yeah. 1053 00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:10,479 Speaker 2: To me, they're just playing poorly routinely, right, Like, that's 1054 00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:12,759 Speaker 2: the bottom line. They just they haven't played well in 1055 00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:14,799 Speaker 2: a while offensively as well, and you mentioned it. They 1056 00:42:14,840 --> 00:42:17,480 Speaker 2: have a little bit of the Chiefs syndrome, where you know, 1057 00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,400 Speaker 2: opposing defense has started taking away the explosive plays. 1058 00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:21,160 Speaker 1: They can't run it. 1059 00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:23,320 Speaker 2: They don't like to go short, you know that much, 1060 00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:26,439 Speaker 2: and Alan holds the ball a little too long. So yeah, 1061 00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:29,280 Speaker 2: they are struggling right now, and it's just really difficult 1062 00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:31,560 Speaker 2: to see them on a short week going into Tampa 1063 00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:34,520 Speaker 2: and beating that team. So if you're getting three, like, 1064 00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:36,640 Speaker 2: if you're just laying three, I agree with you, Joe. 1065 00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:37,960 Speaker 2: I think you got to go with the Bucks here. 1066 00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:39,879 Speaker 2: I think the Bills are still overrated in the market 1067 00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:42,839 Speaker 2: right now. Bears are visiting the Packers on Sunday Night 1068 00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:46,640 Speaker 2: football twelve and a half right now at eleven and 1069 00:42:46,640 --> 00:42:50,080 Speaker 2: a half. For me at draftings, it's rare, Joe, I 1070 00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:53,239 Speaker 2: joke about this where you see a giant spread and 1071 00:42:53,320 --> 00:42:58,320 Speaker 2: a total of forty four, Like, it's just it's not often. 1072 00:42:58,680 --> 00:43:00,480 Speaker 2: Don't know who's going to be quarterback now, it's pain 1073 00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:03,200 Speaker 2: tolerance issue for dustin fields at this point. Don't know 1074 00:43:03,200 --> 00:43:05,479 Speaker 2: if Alan Robinson is going to be back. I don't 1075 00:43:05,480 --> 00:43:08,160 Speaker 2: know if it matters. And you've got again the Packers 1076 00:43:08,200 --> 00:43:11,880 Speaker 2: coming off the buy here, Aaron Jones is back, Tota 1077 00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:15,160 Speaker 2: Adams is there, Aaron Rodgers is there and hopefully his 1078 00:43:15,280 --> 00:43:18,320 Speaker 2: foot toe feels a little better here. Twelve and a 1079 00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:19,759 Speaker 2: halfs a very big number. 1080 00:43:19,840 --> 00:43:22,120 Speaker 1: Joe, especially with the total that low, But what do 1081 00:43:22,160 --> 00:43:22,799 Speaker 1: you think about it? 1082 00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:26,640 Speaker 3: Every fiber of my being after Aaron Rodgers keeps talking 1083 00:43:26,640 --> 00:43:29,600 Speaker 3: about how I own you, I own the Bears. I 1084 00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:31,160 Speaker 3: want to take the Bear so bad this in the 1085 00:43:31,160 --> 00:43:33,160 Speaker 3: twelve and a half, but I can't do it. I 1086 00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:36,000 Speaker 3: just can't do it. Like the fact is he does 1087 00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:39,680 Speaker 3: owe them, he owns them until further notice. And this 1088 00:43:39,760 --> 00:43:41,480 Speaker 3: is not the game because of the health as you 1089 00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:44,160 Speaker 3: just point out, the situation a quarterback. Oh, everything going 1090 00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:46,520 Speaker 3: on there, and the defense for the Bears is respectable, 1091 00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:48,440 Speaker 3: but the problem is that the offense just continues to 1092 00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:50,440 Speaker 3: put them on the field too much and in that situation. 1093 00:43:50,600 --> 00:43:52,640 Speaker 3: So it's a bad combination of things. And you can't 1094 00:43:52,680 --> 00:43:54,239 Speaker 3: do that with Aaron Rodgers, and you certainly can't do 1095 00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:55,839 Speaker 3: that on the road, you know, if you're the Bear. 1096 00:43:55,960 --> 00:43:58,359 Speaker 3: So I hate saying twelve and a half is safe, 1097 00:43:58,360 --> 00:43:59,600 Speaker 3: but I feel like twelve and a half is actually 1098 00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,480 Speaker 3: pretty safe. You're in this one, so I would go 1099 00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:02,799 Speaker 3: to twelve and a half. I would stay away from 1100 00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:05,640 Speaker 3: the forty four though. If anything, if anything, the over 1101 00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:08,040 Speaker 3: for the garbage time stuff like forty four is too 1102 00:44:08,080 --> 00:44:09,919 Speaker 3: low in this game, too because I think Green Bay 1103 00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:12,600 Speaker 3: could put up thirty by themselves, and then we're asking 1104 00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:14,840 Speaker 3: a lot of the Bears at all. So that's something 1105 00:44:14,840 --> 00:44:17,360 Speaker 3: to keep in mind. So forty four over twelve and 1106 00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:19,480 Speaker 3: a half, you can get it at twelve somewhere to 1107 00:44:19,480 --> 00:44:20,399 Speaker 3: take it without the hook. 1108 00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:22,840 Speaker 2: It's eleven and a half for me at DraftKings, But 1109 00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:25,759 Speaker 2: I probably it's weird sort of the outlier in the market, 1110 00:44:25,800 --> 00:44:27,080 Speaker 2: which is good, by the way. I like it when 1111 00:44:27,120 --> 00:44:29,799 Speaker 2: books are and just always in Unison here. But yeah, 1112 00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:32,400 Speaker 2: I mean I think there's no way I could take 1113 00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:34,319 Speaker 2: the Bears. I'm not touching the total. There's no way 1114 00:44:34,320 --> 00:44:35,840 Speaker 2: you could take the Bears. Right now, I'm with the 1115 00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:38,880 Speaker 2: Packers at home at Lambeau on Sunday night football, you know, 1116 00:44:38,920 --> 00:44:41,200 Speaker 2: and I naturally televised game like you can just see 1117 00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:43,399 Speaker 2: them sort of, you know, crushing them. 1118 00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:44,719 Speaker 1: So if I go one way or the. 1119 00:44:44,680 --> 00:44:46,920 Speaker 2: Other, I probably will go with the Packers. It's not 1120 00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:49,120 Speaker 2: a game I really I hate the big like spreads 1121 00:44:49,120 --> 00:44:51,319 Speaker 2: like that. I just automatically sort of have an aversion too. 1122 00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:54,919 Speaker 2: But whatever, last game Monday night football, good one Rams 1123 00:44:55,000 --> 00:44:55,880 Speaker 2: visiting the Cardinals. 1124 00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:57,880 Speaker 1: Spread is three totals fifty one and a half. 1125 00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:01,799 Speaker 3: This is a big here, this same playoff game. This 1126 00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:06,719 Speaker 3: is huge because Arizona having Kyler Murray back healthy last week, 1127 00:45:06,840 --> 00:45:08,279 Speaker 3: or healthy enough to play at least last week. We 1128 00:45:08,280 --> 00:45:10,560 Speaker 3: don't know how healthy he really is, but he was 1129 00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:13,359 Speaker 3: on the field and he had four touchdowns. So that's 1130 00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:15,600 Speaker 3: good enough for me, it's good enough for you. So 1131 00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:18,960 Speaker 3: I'm gonna take the Arizona side of this game because 1132 00:45:19,600 --> 00:45:22,640 Speaker 3: what I keep seeing from the Rams is they continue 1133 00:45:22,680 --> 00:45:25,560 Speaker 3: to be their own worst enemy, and it's kind of frustrating. 1134 00:45:25,800 --> 00:45:28,279 Speaker 3: I watched that game against the Packers a few weeks 1135 00:45:28,320 --> 00:45:31,640 Speaker 3: ago where Sean McVay is calling a fourth down, going 1136 00:45:31,680 --> 00:45:33,640 Speaker 3: for it in their own thirty on the road in 1137 00:45:33,680 --> 00:45:35,840 Speaker 3: the first quarter, and I'm thinking to myself, who do 1138 00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:38,919 Speaker 3: you think you are? And this is why really good 1139 00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:41,879 Speaker 3: teams of the NFL sometimes lose because their head coach 1140 00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:43,600 Speaker 3: is too smart for their own goods. Sometimes it makes 1141 00:45:43,600 --> 00:45:46,320 Speaker 3: stupid decisions and puts them behind. Sean McVay can have 1142 00:45:46,360 --> 00:45:48,960 Speaker 3: all the confidence in the world he wants against you know, 1143 00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:52,160 Speaker 3: in his offense, against whoever opponent, all that nonsense, but 1144 00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:54,520 Speaker 3: there's just things you do and things you don't do. 1145 00:45:55,120 --> 00:45:56,799 Speaker 3: And my concern is in this game on the road, 1146 00:45:56,800 --> 00:45:58,960 Speaker 3: Sean McVay is going to make a stupid decision at 1147 00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:00,960 Speaker 3: some point in time, and it's gonna put them in 1148 00:46:01,000 --> 00:46:03,200 Speaker 3: a bad position and the Cardinals are gonna take advantage 1149 00:46:03,239 --> 00:46:04,600 Speaker 3: of it. And I think it's time we start to 1150 00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:07,000 Speaker 3: put some respect on the Cardinals defense too. This team 1151 00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:10,200 Speaker 3: has played very well defensively all year. Despite every week 1152 00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:12,480 Speaker 3: everybody waiting for the other shoot to drop, it just hasn't. 1153 00:46:12,680 --> 00:46:15,280 Speaker 3: And they've lost personnel year over year. I mean, Simmons 1154 00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:18,960 Speaker 3: has played terrific, They've They've had a really good year 1155 00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:22,080 Speaker 3: out of their linebacker corps. The Rams I think are 1156 00:46:22,120 --> 00:46:25,040 Speaker 3: a better team on paper, but it just feels like, 1157 00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:27,520 Speaker 3: for whatever reason, them putting it together. And I don't 1158 00:46:27,520 --> 00:46:29,600 Speaker 3: care what happened this week against Jacksonville. I don't care. 1159 00:46:29,760 --> 00:46:31,560 Speaker 3: You should stomp a mud hole in Jacksonville. You're a 1160 00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:35,120 Speaker 3: significantly better roster than them. That means absolutely nothing to 1161 00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:37,440 Speaker 3: me coming into this game. And I actually like Arizona 1162 00:46:37,480 --> 00:46:40,360 Speaker 3: here to win this game, so I'll take the I 1163 00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:42,399 Speaker 3: will still take the three with Arizona because I think 1164 00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:45,560 Speaker 3: they can win by that much. But Dan, I'm curious, 1165 00:46:45,600 --> 00:46:47,440 Speaker 3: would you take the Rams side and the points in 1166 00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:48,200 Speaker 3: this game. 1167 00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:50,399 Speaker 2: I don't think so. I think you're right. I think 1168 00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:53,200 Speaker 2: I'm on the same size. This is one where you know, 1169 00:46:53,280 --> 00:46:55,759 Speaker 2: sometimes Joe, I don't know about you, but sometimes I 1170 00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:58,440 Speaker 2: have a reaction to games early when I look at 1171 00:46:58,440 --> 00:47:00,839 Speaker 2: them right here, as we do on Monday, and then 1172 00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:02,400 Speaker 2: as I dig into it as the week goes on, 1173 00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:03,600 Speaker 2: sometimes I changed sides. 1174 00:47:03,600 --> 00:47:05,120 Speaker 1: I did that with Pittsburgh and Baltimore. 1175 00:47:05,200 --> 00:47:07,400 Speaker 2: When I first looked at the line it was four 1176 00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:09,520 Speaker 2: four and a half, I said, I just feels like 1177 00:47:09,719 --> 00:47:11,799 Speaker 2: the Ravens are gonna be able to win this game 1178 00:47:11,800 --> 00:47:13,880 Speaker 2: pretty handily. But as I dug into it, by the 1179 00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:15,560 Speaker 2: end of the game, by the end of the week, 1180 00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:17,120 Speaker 2: I was I was on the Steelers, and I had 1181 00:47:17,120 --> 00:47:18,600 Speaker 2: them in our app by the way, our betting pros. 1182 00:47:18,480 --> 00:47:19,720 Speaker 1: App where we can lock our picks. 1183 00:47:20,719 --> 00:47:22,920 Speaker 2: This one, though, it does feel like the Cardinals, and 1184 00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:26,000 Speaker 2: it just feels like with a healthy Kyler Murray, with 1185 00:47:26,080 --> 00:47:29,319 Speaker 2: DeAndre Hopkins getting healthier, James Connor is playing great. 1186 00:47:29,680 --> 00:47:30,880 Speaker 1: The Rams look a little. 1187 00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:34,320 Speaker 2: Lost right now, and I think like they'll probably try 1188 00:47:34,360 --> 00:47:36,280 Speaker 2: to run the ball sort of. You know, you heard 1189 00:47:36,560 --> 00:47:39,760 Speaker 2: McVay talking about the fact that they liked the running 1190 00:47:40,040 --> 00:47:40,759 Speaker 2: style more. 1191 00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:42,520 Speaker 1: You know what they did with Michelle, which was just 1192 00:47:42,520 --> 00:47:42,960 Speaker 1: sort of a. 1193 00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:45,440 Speaker 2: Downhill, you know runner, And maybe Henderson gets back, so 1194 00:47:45,520 --> 00:47:47,560 Speaker 2: maybe they try to do that more. But obviously the 1195 00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:49,640 Speaker 2: loss of Robert Woods, I think is you know, bigger 1196 00:47:49,640 --> 00:47:52,479 Speaker 2: Odell Beckham junior is he's banged up, like he caught 1197 00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:54,680 Speaker 2: the touchdown pass obviously, but he's banged up. Van Jefferson 1198 00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:57,960 Speaker 2: is fine, Cooper Cup's amazing, but I just don't know 1199 00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:00,359 Speaker 2: if they have the firepower right now to stay with 1200 00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:04,200 Speaker 2: the Cardinals offensively, which with Murray fully healthy, and I 1201 00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:07,120 Speaker 2: think they played this correctly, thankfully in giving him so 1202 00:48:07,320 --> 00:48:09,799 Speaker 2: much time off after that ankle spring right because you know, 1203 00:48:09,840 --> 00:48:12,319 Speaker 2: you heard him a game day decision two weeks in 1204 00:48:12,360 --> 00:48:14,280 Speaker 2: a row before the bye, and I was like, please 1205 00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:15,839 Speaker 2: don't play him, Please just. 1206 00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:17,080 Speaker 1: Let him rest. 1207 00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:19,640 Speaker 2: Rely on Colt McCoy to win most of the games 1208 00:48:19,680 --> 00:48:21,960 Speaker 2: would be fun. And then get him to buy and 1209 00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:23,719 Speaker 2: then get him healthy. And man, you saw what he 1210 00:48:23,800 --> 00:48:26,360 Speaker 2: looked like. He just when he gets out of the pocket, 1211 00:48:26,440 --> 00:48:28,759 Speaker 2: he's just impossible to bring down. Right now, this is 1212 00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:31,960 Speaker 2: also it for the division. I mean, if they win 1213 00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:34,719 Speaker 2: this game, the division's over. Like I mean, they'll still 1214 00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:37,239 Speaker 2: have to play because again, the one thing I liked 1215 00:48:37,200 --> 00:48:39,239 Speaker 2: too about these schedule changes, like you got the one 1216 00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:41,319 Speaker 2: team getting the buy Like that's going to mean the 1217 00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,279 Speaker 2: Packers and the Cardinals got to go full out right 1218 00:48:43,320 --> 00:48:45,080 Speaker 2: for the rest of the year. But this is it 1219 00:48:45,080 --> 00:48:47,040 Speaker 2: for the division. The Cardinals will lock up the division 1220 00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:48,960 Speaker 2: with a win. I think they do right now. So 1221 00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:50,839 Speaker 2: I agree with you, Joe. I think if it's field 1222 00:48:50,840 --> 00:48:52,440 Speaker 2: goal and again it's underfield goal at a couple of 1223 00:48:52,440 --> 00:48:54,480 Speaker 2: places Fox bet points bet like it's two and a 1224 00:48:54,520 --> 00:48:57,239 Speaker 2: half that I really like, but at three I think 1225 00:48:57,280 --> 00:48:59,439 Speaker 2: I like it as well. I think I'm with you, Joe. 1226 00:48:59,480 --> 00:49:02,160 Speaker 2: Well done, all right, Joe, what's the uh? That was 1227 00:49:02,160 --> 00:49:04,200 Speaker 2: our last game? What's the schedule here? For the college 1228 00:49:04,200 --> 00:49:05,040 Speaker 2: Football podcast? 1229 00:49:05,080 --> 00:49:06,880 Speaker 1: That's what we're doing. 1230 00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:09,680 Speaker 3: Well. First of all, it's been a glorious college football 1231 00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:12,319 Speaker 3: year for the first Scott Bok and let's just put 1232 00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:15,680 Speaker 3: that out there. But then some really fun games last week. 1233 00:49:15,760 --> 00:49:19,120 Speaker 3: Alabama beating Georgia was a fun game, and beating them 1234 00:49:19,120 --> 00:49:22,080 Speaker 3: handily too. My goodness. That Georgia defense certainly ran up 1235 00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:25,560 Speaker 3: against an offensive line wall who heard all week about 1236 00:49:25,640 --> 00:49:27,760 Speaker 3: how they were going to be overmatched. Well they weren't, 1237 00:49:28,120 --> 00:49:30,239 Speaker 3: and Bryce Young had more time in the pocket and 1238 00:49:30,280 --> 00:49:32,080 Speaker 3: played the game of his career so far, so it 1239 00:49:32,120 --> 00:49:34,319 Speaker 3: was a great game for him. A couple of weeks ago, 1240 00:49:34,320 --> 00:49:36,120 Speaker 3: we had that Michigan game. You know, some great stuff's 1241 00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:37,799 Speaker 3: been going on college football. So this week we're going 1242 00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:40,560 Speaker 3: to take a week off, take a deep breath, and 1243 00:49:40,600 --> 00:49:42,759 Speaker 3: then we're every week here to close the year. We're 1244 00:49:42,800 --> 00:49:44,879 Speaker 3: going to have a bowl preview, so we had think 1245 00:49:45,000 --> 00:49:46,960 Speaker 3: fifteen games the first week or thirteen games and then 1246 00:49:46,960 --> 00:49:49,799 Speaker 3: fifteen I forget which numbers which. So the next couple 1247 00:49:49,800 --> 00:49:51,319 Speaker 3: of weeks we're going to be going week in at 1248 00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:52,920 Speaker 3: time with the bowl games, and then we get to 1249 00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:55,560 Speaker 3: the college football playoffs. We'll do a special to close 1250 00:49:55,600 --> 00:49:57,640 Speaker 3: everything out on the national championship game, so we'll do 1251 00:49:57,920 --> 00:49:59,880 Speaker 3: not only picking the game, we'll probably talk a lit 1252 00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:02,160 Speaker 3: litle bit about all the props inside the game and 1253 00:50:02,200 --> 00:50:03,560 Speaker 3: just have some fun and kind of close out the 1254 00:50:03,560 --> 00:50:05,840 Speaker 3: ear maybe look a little ahead too, because there's already 1255 00:50:05,880 --> 00:50:08,080 Speaker 3: some massive coaching changes that have gone on in the 1256 00:50:08,239 --> 00:50:10,319 Speaker 3: college football world. But it's been a fun season. If 1257 00:50:10,320 --> 00:50:12,760 Speaker 3: you missed it, I don't know. I'm questioning your choices 1258 00:50:12,760 --> 00:50:14,920 Speaker 3: in life. Go check it out, man, get into college football. 1259 00:50:14,960 --> 00:50:15,319 Speaker 3: It's fun. 1260 00:50:15,719 --> 00:50:18,520 Speaker 2: There's a saying when you have kids, Joe, which is 1261 00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:22,120 Speaker 2: the days are long, but the years are short, right, 1262 00:50:22,280 --> 00:50:24,719 Speaker 2: meaning that like when you're going through it, every day 1263 00:50:25,080 --> 00:50:26,759 Speaker 2: like feels forever, but then you wake up and like 1264 00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:28,400 Speaker 2: the kids are like five years older. 1265 00:50:28,520 --> 00:50:28,719 Speaker 3: Right. 1266 00:50:29,239 --> 00:50:31,800 Speaker 2: I feel that way a little bit with this football season, 1267 00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:33,919 Speaker 2: with this college football season, where I felt like every 1268 00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:35,279 Speaker 2: week it was sort of like, you know, all the 1269 00:50:35,320 --> 00:50:37,239 Speaker 2: work that we put in and everything on the betting side, 1270 00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:39,879 Speaker 2: especially just sort of you know, grinding it out each week, 1271 00:50:40,000 --> 00:50:41,680 Speaker 2: going through the shows, blah blah, and then I'm like, 1272 00:50:41,760 --> 00:50:45,279 Speaker 2: oh my god, the season is over, and it just 1273 00:50:45,360 --> 00:50:46,839 Speaker 2: it feels like it went like that. 1274 00:50:47,360 --> 00:50:48,399 Speaker 1: You guys did a great job. 1275 00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:50,279 Speaker 2: I certainly enjoyed Bogwin way more than you, but so 1276 00:50:50,520 --> 00:50:53,239 Speaker 2: Bogwin was fantastic. Obviously in the college football side. We're 1277 00:50:53,239 --> 00:50:54,880 Speaker 2: going to keep going here with the NFL Show of 1278 00:50:54,880 --> 00:50:58,120 Speaker 2: course until the end of the season. So for everybody listening, 1279 00:50:58,200 --> 00:50:59,800 Speaker 2: thank you so much for tuning in, Thank you for 1280 00:50:59,840 --> 00:51:02,480 Speaker 2: t ning into the to the College. 1281 00:51:02,200 --> 00:51:03,560 Speaker 1: Football Podcast as well. 1282 00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:05,360 Speaker 2: Stick with us here. It's gonna be good. We'll be 1283 00:51:05,400 --> 00:51:07,960 Speaker 2: back on Thursday with our best bets. I will talk 1284 00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:08,080 Speaker 2: to