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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Or radio show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association

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Speaker 2: and the number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go fifteen, twenty, twenty five, thirty

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Speaker 2: thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 1: Get a kickers block look college football world stander, Oh

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Speaker 1: by goodness and stumble the football, the lateral to a

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Speaker 1: corner of the side.

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Speaker 2: Get you the lad table off the field tonight. It's

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Speaker 2: not the sage of the game the it's the.

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Speaker 1: Sage of the fight.

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Speaker 2: What's up, the general nation? Welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: This is the week eleven college football betting preview. I'm

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Speaker 2: stuck in with me as always as Colin Wilson. Let's

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Speaker 2: hope we have some games this weekend. We still have

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Speaker 2: some left to get to. It's only nine canceled so far.

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Speaker 2: You ready to go listen?

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Speaker 3: You know COVID's taking a toll on college football when

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Speaker 3: Arkansas has almost ascended to the top of the list

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Speaker 3: of must watch games for the week.

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Speaker 2: Right, It's been like a little over a decade since

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Speaker 2: I was in college. But I'd have to imagine Halloween

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Speaker 2: parties played a little role in on SEC campuses on

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Speaker 2: some of these outbreaks.

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Speaker 3: Just a guess that's interesting because I think we need

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Speaker 3: to start a segment I don't give a shit factor? Right,

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Speaker 3: we had all these Halloween parties, the COVID breakouts really

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Speaker 3: hit college football hard. But what happens when these kids

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Speaker 3: go home for Thanksgiving? Remember, the season is going to

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Speaker 3: go on. The regular season is going to go through

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Speaker 3: December twelfth, and then apparently everybody from like the Big Ten,

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Speaker 3: if you're a six seed, you're gonna play six seeds

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Speaker 3: on the weekend of December nineteenth. So and if you're

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Speaker 3: a pinn State and you're hanging out at zero to three, like,

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Speaker 3: what's your give.

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Speaker 4: A shit factor? I think it's something we're gonna have

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Speaker 4: to keep tracking.

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Speaker 3: College football is getting weird.

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Speaker 2: Well, we have the football to get to. We still

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Speaker 2: have a huge guard. Think about when we first started

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Speaker 2: Week one, Week two, we only had you know, twenty

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Speaker 2: thirty games, So we still have plenty to get to,

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Speaker 2: plenty of winners to find across the board. Last week

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Speaker 2: we had our money on underdog parlay, which was nice.

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Speaker 2: We'll get to that later. We'll get to some Friday

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Speaker 2: night lights. We'll cover a lot of games here today.

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Speaker 2: There are a couple of market games that we're gonna

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Speaker 2: get to. But before we get to those, let's start

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Speaker 2: out with a few situational spots that are really jumping out.

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Speaker 2: Let's get to a little look ahead or look.

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Speaker 5: Away hangovers, sleepers, and the dread and sandwich spot.

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Speaker 2: Is it time to look ahead or look away? All right?

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Speaker 2: So for those not familiar for new listeners, we do

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Speaker 2: look at situational angles and you know, ultimately comes down

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Speaker 2: to our number, and I will adjust my number for

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Speaker 2: certain situational spots. If a team is coming off of

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Speaker 2: a big game where they have a big game on deck,

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Speaker 2: maybe they're not as focused, maybe they come out flat,

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Speaker 2: maybe they pull their starters a little early, can play

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Speaker 2: a role, especially with college kids, especially in college basketball.

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Speaker 2: Can't wait to start talking college basketball over they soon.

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Speaker 2: So we have a couple that are huge this weekend,

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Speaker 2: the first of which we'll start with Indiana, the number

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Speaker 2: ten ranked Indiana Hoosiers, the three and h undefeated number

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Speaker 2: ten are sounds odd to say in college football, are

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Speaker 2: at bet MGM right now are seven and a half

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Speaker 2: and plus one hundred. There's seven seven and a half

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Speaker 2: out there at Michigan State over under fifty one and

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Speaker 2: a half. Indiana is obviously coming off that huge Michigan

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Speaker 2: and win just in dominant fashionbo Michigan's down, that's still

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Speaker 2: a big win for that program, and they have Ohio

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Speaker 2: State on deck. Imagine if Indiana wins this game, beats

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Speaker 2: Ohio State, I mean, all of a sudden, they're a

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Speaker 2: favorite to go to the College Football Play. Obviously there'll

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Speaker 2: be a big underdog against Ohio State. But these are

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Speaker 2: some of the things that the Indiana kids might be

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Speaker 2: starting to think about. So they had to East Lansing

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Speaker 2: to play Michigan State. Michigan State coming off just an

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Speaker 2: absolute waxing against Iowa. I mean they got hammered forty

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Speaker 2: nine to seven. It was that was thirty five nothing

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Speaker 2: at the half. Result was never in doubt. The week

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Speaker 2: before Michigan State beat Michigan maybe they had a little

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Speaker 2: bit of a letdown. It is over three touchdown underdogs.

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Speaker 2: Week one, Michigan State lost to Rutgers, but they had

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Speaker 2: seven turnovers. So it's kind of a tough team to

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Speaker 2: figure out here. Indiana. Look, I was on them against

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Speaker 2: Penn State. They got kind of lucky. They some of

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Speaker 2: their metrics this year. Disappointed they've been running lucky in

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Speaker 2: the turnover department all year long. Tough team for me

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Speaker 2: to kind of power rate judging by who I thought

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Speaker 2: they were, and then some of their wearing metrics and

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Speaker 2: kind of how lucky they've been. And then Michigan State

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Speaker 2: very odd results too. I ended up making the six

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Speaker 2: and a half. I know others that made it nine

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Speaker 2: nine and a half. But with the spot just as

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Speaker 2: a huge chance that Indiana comes out really flat here.

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Speaker 2: I took some seven and a half with SPARTI maybe

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Speaker 2: I'm crazy, Maybe they get hammered again like they did

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Speaker 2: against Iowa last week. What do you see here?

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Speaker 3: Well, the numbers low, and like you said, it's a

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Speaker 3: reflection of the spot. You know, Indiana's they just got

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Speaker 3: a ton of steam around the program. Now they're you know,

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Speaker 3: taking it to a road show and got an awfully

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Speaker 3: big showdown coming up next week. So it's definitely the

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Speaker 3: spot that you're supposed to take Michigan State. But you know,

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Speaker 3: do you trust them with your money? The biggest question

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Speaker 3: here is if there's going to be regression in the

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Speaker 3: finishing drives rank of sixth on offense for Indiana and

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Speaker 3: sixteen red zone trips. They've had sixteen scores, twelve is

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Speaker 3: a TD. Michigan State not so good in defense of

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Speaker 3: finishing drives. On defense, Michigan States allowed thirteen scores and

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Speaker 3: fifteen opponent red zone attempts.

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Speaker 4: Twelve of those were touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: So you know, I think everybody gets watches that Michigan

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Speaker 3: game and they kind of fall in love with what

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Speaker 3: they saw with Sparti and maybe we don't see that

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Speaker 3: team again because turnovers are the biggest issue for them.

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Speaker 3: No turnovers against Michigan. They win as a three TD

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Speaker 3: dog minus seven net turnovers to Iowa and Rutgers and

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Speaker 3: ugly losses. Indiana's twenty third and havoc, but that's really

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Speaker 3: twenty pass breakups and seven interceptions. It's nothing to do

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Speaker 3: with force fumbles. They've only had one force fumble on

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Speaker 3: the season. Tough to predictive. Rocky Lombardi is going to

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Speaker 3: throw it iNTS. I think Indiana is the play at seven,

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Speaker 3: and if it dips down to your power rating at

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Speaker 3: six and a half, I definitely think it's worth of play.

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Speaker 3: I think the under is worth a look. It's something

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Speaker 3: that I have projected around forty nine ish. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: I mean the spots screams Michigan State. But I mean

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Speaker 3: just Indiana is forcing turnovers through PBUs and I iNTS,

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Speaker 3: and if that's going to happen against Umbar already, than

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Speaker 3: Indiana's going to cover this number.

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Speaker 2: If there ever was a turnover regression game, though it

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Speaker 2: is this one. I mean, Michigan State is averaging negative

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Speaker 2: two point three to three turnover margin per game. That's

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Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty first in the nation out of

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Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty three teams, just ahead of Akron

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Speaker 2: and UCLA's only played one game, and Indiana is averaging

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Speaker 2: plus two per game that I believe is second. Yes,

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Speaker 2: it's tied for third in the nation, just below Colorado

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Speaker 2: who's only played one game, and wake Forest, who we're fading.

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Speaker 2: I'll get to that later. We probably disagree. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I might be waiting the spot too much, and it

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Speaker 2: was a tough game for me to line, but I'm

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Speaker 2: on some SPARTI plus seven and a half, I wouldn't

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Speaker 2: I'd be a little more hesitant at seven. Definitely would

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Speaker 2: not take it at six and a half, but that

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Speaker 2: touchdown is obviously key. All right, Moving on, to another. Well,

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Speaker 2: it's kind of a combo spot here, we'll do we

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Speaker 2: got to talk some chance. Hope our chant friend calls

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Speaker 2: in on the voicemail this week.

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Speaker 3: Roll fucking seawance baby.

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Speaker 6: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Next week, Coastal Carolina and apple Achian State will face

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Speaker 2: off essentially for the division in the sun Belt. Don't

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Speaker 2: let the latest come between you and the bill. And

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Speaker 2: before that, each team has to take on an inferior opponent.

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Speaker 2: This week, maybe they get caught looking ahead a little bit.

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Speaker 2: Coastal Carolina goes to to Troy again. It feels just

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Speaker 2: very trappy, but Coastal Carolina has just shown up and

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Speaker 2: blown out teams in the spot. But Coastal Carolina is

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Speaker 2: laying ten and a half at bet MGM. You can

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Speaker 2: find some eleven and eleven and a half's out there. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: shop around if you like Troy, which I'm thinking about

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Speaker 2: pulling the trigger, maybe you'll convince me to go one

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Speaker 2: way or the other. And then apple Achian State hosts

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Speaker 2: Georgia's State. They're laying sixteen over under sixty two and

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Speaker 2: a half. An interest in fading either of these two

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Speaker 2: Sun Belt favorites or are you back in either or

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Speaker 2: are you staying away? What are your thoughts?

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Speaker 3: Well, I'll start off with Coastal and Troy because it

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Speaker 3: is the spot to try to go against Coastal considering

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Speaker 3: the biggest game maybe of their Sun Belt life is

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Speaker 3: lining up for next week. It's tough to say this

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Speaker 3: is a look aheadline though, because of their performance against

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Speaker 3: South Alabama they won twenty three to six, which Jamie

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Speaker 3: Chadwell came out in a press conference I think on

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Speaker 3: Monday and said this was an ugly win, not the

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Speaker 3: performance that he wanted it whatsoever. Coastal Carolina, But what

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Speaker 3: a stat this is. Coastal Carolina is not allowed a

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Speaker 3: touchdown in ten quarters.

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Speaker 4: It's crazy.

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Speaker 3: The biggest issue with the chance defense is that they're

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Speaker 3: eighty fourth in tackling and there are a hundredth in

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Speaker 3: opponent explosive rush. That isn't something that Troy can expose.

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Speaker 3: That's the problem with this game and the spot. You

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Speaker 3: would think you'd want to take Troy, but they don't

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Speaker 3: have the tools. Where the chance are the weakness or

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Speaker 3: the weakest. Coastal's eighth then adjusted sac rate they're thirty

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Speaker 3: eighth and PFF coverage grading they have a top twenty

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Speaker 3: rank and opponent passing success rate, and that's going to

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Speaker 3: keep Troy's up tempo offense off the field. There's no

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Speaker 3: word yet on whether quarterback Gunner Watson is going to

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Speaker 3: play if he's available here at least I haven't seen

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Speaker 3: it at this time of recording. If he's available, then

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Speaker 3: the number in double digits is worth a play because

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Speaker 3: this is something to even high power rate lower. So

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Speaker 3: you know, Troy's defensive strength is pass coverage. We've played

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Speaker 3: them in the past. Because of their pass coverage, they're

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Speaker 3: able to stop people through the air. You know, the

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Speaker 3: Chrosen's are fifth coverage and grading. They're thirty first in

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Speaker 3: opponent past EPA. They're not going to get beat deep.

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Speaker 3: Coastal is one hundred and twentieth in pace. Now that

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Speaker 3: one hundred and twentieth pace is important because Troy may

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Speaker 3: not have it to beat them, But this number is

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Speaker 3: completely inflated if Coastal's going to run a slow pace

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Speaker 3: and a week before their Super Bowl, I think more

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Speaker 3: steam on Troy gives them the value, and I think

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Speaker 3: there's even more on the under. I don't expect a

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Speaker 3: lot of points out of Troy, and I expect them

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Speaker 3: to be able to end rupt what Coaster wants to

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Speaker 3: do through the air.

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Speaker 2: They an app State, Georgia State, Yeah, you know.

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Speaker 4: App State.

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Speaker 3: Georgia State is you know, I feel like I got

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Speaker 3: away with taking app State last week in Texas State

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Speaker 3: and taking them, you know, to cover that seventeen number.

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Speaker 4: And they did.

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Speaker 3: But Georgia State's defense they have their hands full in

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Speaker 3: this one with the app State rush offense that's seventeenth

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Speaker 3: in success rate, twelfth in line yards by the numbers,

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Speaker 3: Georgia State, can you know they their defense in this

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Speaker 3: one should be able to hang around their twenty fifth

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Speaker 3: in opponent rush success rate. There's sixth in power success

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Speaker 3: fourth and stuff.

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Speaker 6: Right.

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Speaker 3: What I'm trying to say is both these defensive trenches

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Speaker 3: are able to stop the opposing team's offensive rush a

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Speaker 3: little bit. You know, Georgia State may bend a little bit.

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Speaker 3: The problem is is that Georgia State can't cover the

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Speaker 3: pass whatsoever. Let's look at some results Georgia State's games lately.

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Speaker 3: The last three Panthers gave up these passing yards three

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Speaker 3: hundred and thirty nine to law Monroe three zero seven

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Speaker 3: DE Troy five hundred and fifty one to ARC State

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Speaker 3: Zach Thomas passing attack is twentieth and explosiveness.

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Speaker 4: That is a real problem.

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Speaker 3: If you think you want to lay money on State,

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Speaker 3: I'm not sure reculd buy Georgia State in an inflated number.

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Speaker 3: I mean, if you are buying them, you're assuming the

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Speaker 3: defense stops the rush on first and second down, gets

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Speaker 3: app State into passing downs. And you know still even

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Speaker 3: then app State's thirty third passing down success rate and

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Speaker 3: their twenty them explosiveness on passing downs. I will say this,

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Speaker 3: if you don't partake in this game, I think app

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Speaker 3: State is the side. I don't think Georgia State can

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Speaker 3: do anything to stop them, especially in the air. Let

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Speaker 3: me say this for next week. Everything app State does,

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Speaker 3: especially on the ground, is going to be a problem

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Speaker 3: for Coastal. The Coastal love the Sharps love them, the

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Speaker 3: squares love them, grandmothers love them. Everybody loves the chance,

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Speaker 3: but when they face app State, they do not have

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Speaker 3: the rush defense to hang around the.

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Speaker 2: Triple C dynasty Coastal Carolina Chance. All right, fair enough,

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Speaker 2: let's move on to a huge potential letdown and Notre

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Speaker 2: Dame flight And I actually came through in the Monderdog

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Speaker 2: winning line parlay last week after that huge win against Clemson,

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame heads two Austin College. They are thirteen and

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Speaker 2: a half point favorites at bet MGM over under forty

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Speaker 2: nine and a half. I can tell you right now,

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Speaker 2: right off the bat, I saw BC pop at plus

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Speaker 2: fourteen minus one ten during the weekend. I grabbed it.

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Speaker 2: I didn't think it would last long. I love the spot.

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Speaker 2: I think Notre Dame is gonna come out really flat.

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Speaker 2: A really interesting matchup with Phil Yerkovic, your Kovich. I'd

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Speaker 2: still call him Jerkovich, but he's a Notre Dame transfer.

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Speaker 2: I remember tweeting about him in the summer and some

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Speaker 2: Boston College fan answer me, I said, is Jerkovich gonna play? Said,

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Speaker 2: BC's a different team if he could play a quarterback

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Speaker 2: compared to not And he's played, and he's played very well.

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Speaker 2: I think he leads the ACC in passing. And look,

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Speaker 2: if you look back last week at that Notre Dame

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Speaker 2: Clemson game, and book played well. We had zero point

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Speaker 2: two epa per play, thirty eight percent success rate. You

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Speaker 2: know he played well, especially down the stretch. If you

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Speaker 2: look at DJ ugilele epa per play point four to four,

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Speaker 2: success rate fifty two percent. The problem is, you know

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Speaker 2: what do you average nine yards per play? The problem

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Speaker 2: is his average depth of target was six point nine

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Speaker 2: yards and Clemson just kept trying to run the ball

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Speaker 2: into Notre Dame a jam Notre Dame box Travis CTN

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Speaker 2: EPA PRI played negative point five to seven Travis ETN

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Speaker 2: and they just didn't let him throw. If Trevor Lawrence

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Speaker 2: plays that game, I think Clemson wins because he's probably

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Speaker 2: throwing the ball down field much more. That's where I

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Speaker 2: think BC can potentially get Notre Dame. Look, the Notre

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Speaker 2: Dame defense is great. BC's put up some points on

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Speaker 2: the Clemson defense in the first half. I think they

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Speaker 2: can put up enough points here potentially catch Notre Dame

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Speaker 2: flat out of the gates. It's just such a letdown

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Speaker 2: spot for Notre Dame. So I took the fourteen and

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Speaker 2: I'm curious to see if you agree or disagree.

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Speaker 3: Well, flat out of the gates being the key term there.

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Speaker 3: This is the reason why I haven't played Notre Dame yet,

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Speaker 3: because I want Notre Dame minus thirteen in this game.

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Speaker 3: If I can get something lower than that. I'm willing

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Speaker 3: to wait. I'm willing to guess that they are going

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Speaker 3: to be a little bit flat after a humongous victory.

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Speaker 3: Let's pivot to story time here. So in twenty eighteen,

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Speaker 3: offensive coordinator Chip Loong for Notre Dame was the Broyles

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Speaker 3: Award runner up, which awards the best coordinator in the country.

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Speaker 3: Twelve months later, he's being chased out of South Bend

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Speaker 3: to let a baby face Tommy Rees call the plays

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Speaker 3: in a bowl game. Tommy Rees did well, kept his job,

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Speaker 3: but chip Loong moved on, you know, reading between the

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Speaker 3: lines and things that Yorukovic doesn't want to talk about

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Speaker 3: and Chiplong doesn't like to reference either. The entire struggle

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Speaker 3: was Brian Kelly and Chiplong in a complete disagreement about

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Speaker 3: Ian Book and Philly Yerkovic. Chiplong lobbied for Yerukovic to

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Speaker 3: be the starter, for him to get more playing time,

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Speaker 3: thought that he was ready to go. Brian Kelly didn't

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Speaker 3: think he was ever ready to leave the offense. Didn't

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Speaker 3: want ian Book to ever lose a single snap. Brian

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Speaker 3: Kelly never saw the development that he needed. Essentially cemented

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Speaker 3: ian Book's job. Yergovic soon moved on, transferred Chip Long

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Speaker 3: out of the you know, out of Notre Dame before

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Speaker 3: they played their bull game last year. Ervik moves on

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Speaker 3: to BC, and everybody's mum about it.

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Speaker 4: So what does that mean for this game?

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Speaker 2: Right?

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Speaker 3: Because Chiplong's out of the picture. I bet the house

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Speaker 3: that Brian Kelly went to defensive coordinator Clark Lee and said,

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Speaker 3: do everything you can to shut down this BC offense

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Speaker 3: because I can't be made to look stupid. If it

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Speaker 3: looks like Ergovic leaves and then he torches me, that'll

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Speaker 3: be the worst. That's all that I'll hear about for

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Speaker 3: the entire year.

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Speaker 4: No matter what we do.

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Speaker 3: We make the College Football Playoff, but we won't wait

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Speaker 3: to college fotble PLAYFF. But if Phil Yergovic, you know,

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Speaker 3: torches me after I essentially blocked him from ever playing,

331
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Speaker 3: it's gonna look bad on Brian Kelly. So you get

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Speaker 3: a max effort here out of Notre Dame's defense. Now,

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Speaker 3: does that mean it could be a twelve to seven

334
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Speaker 3: game like it was Louisville?

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Speaker 4: Could be?

336
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Speaker 3: BC has been pretty fortunate the last three games or

337
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Speaker 3: plus six and net turnovers. They certainly played a factor

338
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Speaker 3: in their three point went over Syracuse and they kept

339
00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:03,080
Speaker 3: close with Clemson two weeks ago. Ugly yeah, kept it

340
00:17:03,120 --> 00:17:05,320
Speaker 3: close with Clemson two weeks ago because of some turnovers.

341
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Speaker 3: BC isn't going to get anywhere on the ground with

342
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Speaker 3: a Notre Dame defense. It's second in line yards first

343
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Speaker 3: and stuff rate and yorgovic face is a Notre Dame

344
00:17:12,840 --> 00:17:16,040
Speaker 3: secondary that's eleventh in PFF and coverage grading and eighteenth

345
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Speaker 3: in opponent pass passing success rate. Could there be a

346
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Speaker 3: what we call here a shutout a pitcher and a

347
00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:25,600
Speaker 3: shutout in baseball could be for the Notre Dame defense here.

348
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,600
Speaker 3: I would certainly bet a small prop on it. On

349
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Speaker 3: the flip side, BC can't stop the Notre Dame rush

350
00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:33,560
Speaker 3: not whatsoever. And you know the Eagles are ninety six

351
00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:35,800
Speaker 3: and tackling their eighty ninth and opponent rushing success rate.

352
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Speaker 3: The real question is does Tommy rees a band in

353
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Speaker 3: the playbook that was used for Clemson and go back

354
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Speaker 3: to the like sixty seven percent rush rate which was

355
00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:47,160
Speaker 3: all just a gimmick to not give anything on tape

356
00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:49,840
Speaker 3: to Clemson. Is Ian booking to be allowed to throw

357
00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:51,600
Speaker 3: the ball or are we going back to straight rushes.

358
00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:55,520
Speaker 3: This isn't nineteen ninety three. In my opinion, BC would

359
00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:58,520
Speaker 3: need turnovers, busted plays, and a sleepy Notre Dame offense

360
00:17:58,600 --> 00:17:59,400
Speaker 3: to cover this number.

361
00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:01,159
Speaker 4: So the decision is on me.

362
00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:03,600
Speaker 3: Now, do I want to buy into a number that

363
00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:06,240
Speaker 3: should be higher than thirteen on Notre Dame or do

364
00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:07,680
Speaker 3: I want to wait to see if they're sleepy and

365
00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:10,800
Speaker 3: possibly get something in the single digits. That's a decision

366
00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:11,840
Speaker 3: I'll make between now and kick.

367
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,399
Speaker 2: Weird things can happen in Chestnut Hill, which is what

368
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,120
Speaker 2: I'll be hoping for. But you do make some valid points.

369
00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,280
Speaker 2: I mean, I described the fourteen, didn't think it would last,

370
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:24,160
Speaker 2: and oh yeah, I love the spot and we shall

371
00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:25,400
Speaker 2: see how it plays out.

372
00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,200
Speaker 3: Any interest in the under there by any chance I

373
00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:29,879
Speaker 3: think Tommy Reeves is going to come out and go

374
00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:33,399
Speaker 3: max rush offense. I'm sure Brian Kelly has made it

375
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Speaker 3: very clear this quarterback is to not beat me.

376
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Speaker 4: Yeah.

377
00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:39,840
Speaker 3: I think it's an undergame all the way, especially if

378
00:18:39,920 --> 00:18:41,880
Speaker 3: Tommy Reeve comes out and he's running on third and nine.

379
00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:43,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean this thing is going way under.

380
00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:48,399
Speaker 2: Good stuff there on. Some of the major situational spots

381
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:50,600
Speaker 2: of the weekend but it's time now to move on

382
00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:57,400
Speaker 2: to our semi marquee games of the week. It's another

383
00:18:57,720 --> 00:19:01,920
Speaker 2: fabulous weekend of college foot ball. Let's check out the

384
00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:06,080
Speaker 2: marquee matchups we'll all end up betting for Week eleven.

385
00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:10,760
Speaker 2: We've had We've had Alabama LSU canceled, we had a

386
00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:14,200
Speaker 2: couple other ranked teams. Ohio State of Maryland was going

387
00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:17,960
Speaker 2: to be interesting. I mean, baby Oi State wins by forty,

388
00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:21,200
Speaker 2: but just Maryland gets blown out by Northwestern the first

389
00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:23,280
Speaker 2: game and then they come back and they beat Minnesota

390
00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:25,960
Speaker 2: and they beat Penn State. Maryland fans were getting excited

391
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:27,399
Speaker 2: for that game. So we had a lot of games

392
00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:30,639
Speaker 2: that canceled, but we have what we what we have.

393
00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:32,840
Speaker 2: So one of the marquee games the weekend to me

394
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,920
Speaker 2: at least, and I wrote this game up is in

395
00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:42,240
Speaker 2: your Backyard SMU at Tulsa at bet MGM. Right now,

396
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:44,480
Speaker 2: Tulsa is a two and a half point favorite over

397
00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:49,200
Speaker 2: Under sixty four and a half. This game is could

398
00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:53,040
Speaker 2: basically determine who goes to the American Championship to face Sincy.

399
00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:58,480
Speaker 2: There's no divisions now since Yukonton left still Yukon is

400
00:19:58,480 --> 00:19:59,920
Speaker 2: the new umus U Messa is still the new U

401
00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:03,840
Speaker 2: con would Ackron maybe Bowling Green, whatever, But right now

402
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:09,919
Speaker 2: Tulsa's unbeaten in league play. They beat UCF and SMU

403
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:12,800
Speaker 2: is the only team that has one loss, and obviously

404
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,200
Speaker 2: Cincinnati and I came to Cincinnati who was undefeated. So

405
00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:17,000
Speaker 2: the winner of this game is in the driver's seat

406
00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:19,720
Speaker 2: to get to the championship game to play Cincinnati. SOULSA

407
00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:21,480
Speaker 2: is a two and a half point favorite. There really

408
00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:23,640
Speaker 2: intriguing game, all right. So when I looked at this game,

409
00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:25,880
Speaker 2: you know, the first thing you look at SMU obviously

410
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:30,200
Speaker 2: Shane Bouchell back at quarterback. They lost Roberson, they lost

411
00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,080
Speaker 2: their wide receiver for the year, they lost their starting

412
00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:34,760
Speaker 2: running back for the year. But their running game has

413
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:38,560
Speaker 2: been fine with Bentley. They're a fast paced air raid offense.

414
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:40,879
Speaker 2: Their defense is man. They get a lot of pressure,

415
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:44,240
Speaker 2: they'll get sacks, but their secondary can be really exploited.

416
00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:46,880
Speaker 2: On the other side, the Tulsa offense not really efficient

417
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:49,639
Speaker 2: with another transfer from a Power five school in Texas

418
00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:52,119
Speaker 2: and Dack Smith from Baylor, but they can hit some

419
00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:55,639
Speaker 2: big plays through the air with Stokes and company. They

420
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:58,359
Speaker 2: can't really run the ball. They also lost their starting

421
00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:00,479
Speaker 2: running back for the year. So I'm trying to look

422
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 2: at SMU and I'm trying to say to myself, all right,

423
00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 2: it is sm Who is this SMU team because they're

424
00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 2: passing numbers, you know, just on their system with Sunny Dykes.

425
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:11,680
Speaker 2: Their passing offense is probably usually gonna be really good

426
00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:15,159
Speaker 2: if they have a good quarterback, which Bochelle is, and

427
00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:18,239
Speaker 2: they just find receivers on trees. But I do think

428
00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 2: that losing Groverson, losing Bouchet is going to have a

429
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,840
Speaker 2: big impact. When they played better defenses, which Tulsa is.

430
00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 2: I think it's a top thirty defense. And if you

431
00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:29,359
Speaker 2: look at some of these SMU numbers, let's take a

432
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:32,919
Speaker 2: look at their wins. North Texas outside the top one

433
00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:37,479
Speaker 2: hundred in passing efficiency defense, Texas State like ninetieth, Memphis

434
00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,720
Speaker 2: outside the top one hundred, two Lane like ninety eighth,

435
00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 2: Navy like eighty second, Temple one hundred and thirteenth steven f.

436
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:47,720
Speaker 2: Austin FCS. Those are their seven wins. The only lost

437
00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:50,240
Speaker 2: game against CINCI was obviously elite and they scored thirteen

438
00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:53,560
Speaker 2: points and got blown out. So I think some of

439
00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:56,280
Speaker 2: their numbers are are inflated on the offensive side of

440
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,200
Speaker 2: the ball. Tulsa they run a three to three five,

441
00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:02,159
Speaker 2: which is built to stop these types of offenses. They

442
00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:05,080
Speaker 2: switched the three to three five into twenty eighteen. Look,

443
00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:07,840
Speaker 2: they held UCF to twenty six points in the last

444
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 2: forty five UCF games since the beginning of twenty seventeen,

445
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 2: UCF hasn't gotten to thirty twice. Last year against Cincy

446
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:20,480
Speaker 2: elite pass d and this year against Tulsa. Tulsa also,

447
00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:23,640
Speaker 2: you know, held Oklahoma State, another explosive offense, to only

448
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,880
Speaker 2: sixteen points. They did have an effort against ECU, who

449
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,600
Speaker 2: can't explode for points, just randomly did it against Cincy

450
00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:32,359
Speaker 2: last year. So but I think this Tulsa defense is

451
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 2: really good. They're led by Jackson player up front in

452
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:37,600
Speaker 2: their three man front. They don't get any pressure. They're

453
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:40,440
Speaker 2: not gonna get any sacks, but they stuff they'll they'll

454
00:22:40,520 --> 00:22:43,880
Speaker 2: eat blocks, they'll stuff runs. They're third in the nation

455
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:47,359
Speaker 2: and tackles for loss, and they open up lanes for

456
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:51,600
Speaker 2: their linebackers, which is where they're really elite to get

457
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:54,520
Speaker 2: pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Have Dadon Collins, who's one of

458
00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:56,399
Speaker 2: the best linebackers in the country. He'll play at the

459
00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:59,440
Speaker 2: next level. He's top twenty in a lot of pressure rates,

460
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:02,560
Speaker 2: and he's just gonna make plays all over the field.

461
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:07,080
Speaker 2: And when you pressure Bushelle, that is how you get

462
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,240
Speaker 2: to him. That's when he makes mistakes. He gets a

463
00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:12,760
Speaker 2: little jittery under pressure. This year, he's seventy fourth out

464
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,800
Speaker 2: of ninety three quarterbacks minimum one hundred dropbacks with a

465
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:20,159
Speaker 2: thirty seven quarterback rating, one touchdown, three picks, thirty eight

466
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,880
Speaker 2: percent completion percentage. So I think, look, Tulsa is gonna

467
00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:27,400
Speaker 2: be able to shut down the SMU run. And I think, look,

468
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 2: it's the SMU offense. They're gonna be able to move

469
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,639
Speaker 2: the ball some. They're gonna move the ball up and

470
00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 2: down the field, but Tulsa gives up nothing explosive with

471
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 2: their five d backs. They're really good in the red

472
00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:40,680
Speaker 2: zone and that's where SME's spread attack and struggle. So

473
00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 2: I think finishing drives. Sm is gonna struggle. I think

474
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:46,720
Speaker 2: their pressure and Collins is going to force Bouschelle into

475
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 2: a couple mistakes. And on the other side of the ball,

476
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:52,359
Speaker 2: this explosive tulse, it's not gonna it's not gonna be

477
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,760
Speaker 2: a great efficient Tulsa offense, but they're gonnahit some explosive

478
00:23:55,840 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 2: pass plays against a secondary of SMU that's really vulnerable.

479
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,359
Speaker 2: So I think finishing drives turnovers is gonna work in

480
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 2: Tulsa's favor. Situationally, Tulsa coming off of a bye, second

481
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 2: straight road game for SMU, Tulsa enormous revenge. They're gonna

482
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:15,200
Speaker 2: be fired up for this one. Last year they lost

483
00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:19,120
Speaker 2: in three overtimes at SMU in a game they should

484
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:22,200
Speaker 2: have won fifty times. They missed all kinds of kicks

485
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 2: to win it. They were up twenty one in the

486
00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:26,840
Speaker 2: fourth quarter, and think about that. They lost forty three

487
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 2: thirty seven in three overtimes. Up twenty one in the

488
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:33,240
Speaker 2: fourth quarter, they shut down this SMU offense through three

489
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,680
Speaker 2: and a half quarters. It's what this defense can do.

490
00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 2: So I like Tulsa. Here, anything under three. I think

491
00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:45,000
Speaker 2: in your backyard the Golden Hurricane, great name, great mascot name.

492
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 2: By the way, Who're gonna be the Golden Tornadoes? But

493
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:49,760
Speaker 2: then they found out that Georgia Tech took the nickname

494
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:53,720
Speaker 2: back in the nineteen tens. Anyway, I like Tulsa.

495
00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:56,360
Speaker 3: You disagree, I may have to go to this game live.

496
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:58,159
Speaker 3: It's a couple of miles down the road from the

497
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:00,680
Speaker 3: house here, and you know they serve beer. At least

498
00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:02,639
Speaker 3: last time I was in Scully they served beer. So

499
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 3: the problem is Arkansas Florida plays at the same time,

500
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:07,159
Speaker 3: so I'd have to bring all my streaming device. Is

501
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:11,919
Speaker 3: I completely disagree with you, and I can see your

502
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:13,920
Speaker 3: points and all your angles, and I see all the stats.

503
00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:16,439
Speaker 3: And there was something just eating at me and bugging

504
00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:18,600
Speaker 3: me about this game, and I had to I had

505
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 3: to do a deep dive on some stuff to.

506
00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 4: Figure out what it was that was bothering me.

507
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 3: So s'm used a team I jumped off of after

508
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,320
Speaker 3: losing Reggie Roberson and TJ McDaniel. You know, I thought

509
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 3: they would struggle against Cincinnati.

510
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:31,919
Speaker 4: They did, but then.

511
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 3: Something happened, something clicked since then, fifty one points on

512
00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:39,280
Speaker 3: five hundred and fifty five yards against Navy, forty seven

513
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,359
Speaker 3: points five hundred and forty nine yards against Temple, those.

514
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:44,840
Speaker 2: Defense again two again, yeah Temple, And.

515
00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:48,520
Speaker 3: I mean those aren't Tulsa defenses. But what the hell

516
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:51,760
Speaker 3: happened with Tulsa against Eastern Carolina?

517
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,399
Speaker 2: We explosions it did against Cincy.

518
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:58,920
Speaker 3: I'm just saying East Carolina had three hundred and thirty

519
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,320
Speaker 3: passing yards and made that game interesting, and it shouldn't

520
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:04,560
Speaker 3: have been interesting. It shouldn't have been close. And the

521
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 3: thing was is I tried to blame it on Zaman Collins,

522
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:08,360
Speaker 3: but he actually was not out that much in the game.

523
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:09,399
Speaker 4: I don't know how heard he was.

524
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 3: And I'm just saying for East Carolina to put up

525
00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:16,240
Speaker 3: that many yards and the score the final score, world

526
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 3: it was, and it was a legit score and a

527
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:20,440
Speaker 3: legit box. It wasn't a fraud. I kind of made

528
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:21,959
Speaker 3: me step back a little bit and say, okay, well,

529
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,880
Speaker 3: what is Tulsa's big problem? Where did East Carolina give

530
00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:28,879
Speaker 3: Tulsa so many issues? So I went and did a

531
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:33,440
Speaker 3: deep dive on the box. East Carolina was successful not

532
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,000
Speaker 3: in passing downs. Never in passing downs. And what I

533
00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:38,040
Speaker 3: mean by that is anything bigger than first and ten,

534
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,840
Speaker 3: anything longer than second and seven, anything longer than third

535
00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:43,679
Speaker 3: and four. That's a passing down. That isn't where ECU struck.

536
00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:47,880
Speaker 3: Ec was fifty eight percent success rate and passing plays

537
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:52,800
Speaker 3: and fifty seven percent success rate in standard downs, and

538
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 3: they were throwing in standard downs. The Wholt Naylor's pass

539
00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:59,920
Speaker 3: and first and second down was absolutely deadly. So I

540
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:02,560
Speaker 3: went and did a deep dive on Tulsa's season long numbers.

541
00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 3: I said, well, is this a real problem? Turns out

542
00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 3: Tulsa and standard downs. Now, I remember what a standard

543
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:10,320
Speaker 3: down is, right, first and ten, second and seven, third

544
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:13,919
Speaker 3: and four. Tulsa and standard downs is fourteenth and success rate.

545
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 3: They're doing a really good job at keeping teams from

546
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:18,000
Speaker 3: getting the yards they need. They're one hundred and first

547
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:21,760
Speaker 3: in opponent explosiveness and standard downs and that is where

548
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 3: ECU bit them. ECU bit them hard because they passed

549
00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:27,680
Speaker 3: in standard downs and put up three hundred and thirty

550
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:30,320
Speaker 3: yards and almost won the game. Went and looked at

551
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:36,359
Speaker 3: SMU's numbers, SMU thirty sixth and standard downs explosiveness, and

552
00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:39,200
Speaker 3: they like to pass in first and second down. They

553
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:44,200
Speaker 3: have a formula that ECU used to give Tulsa trouble

554
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 3: and they do it better than ECU. I took SMU

555
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:50,080
Speaker 3: plus three. I would still take it at plus two

556
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 3: and a half. I think if anybody's smart enough with

557
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 3: the SMU, with the ponies and the analytics department and

558
00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 3: figures out that you need to pass on first and

559
00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 3: second down, no matter what the distance is, the short

560
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 3: you'll find out you'll have explosive plays because you know,

561
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,480
Speaker 3: I just that was the key, that was the element

562
00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:08,240
Speaker 3: how East Carolina almost won that game.

563
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:10,960
Speaker 2: I mean, but you have to, I mean, East Carolina

564
00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:14,439
Speaker 2: can be an explosive offense. Theave Tulsa's only played by

565
00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:17,879
Speaker 2: the way to only played four games's played eight Tulsa

566
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,080
Speaker 2: like two of their four games. Two of Tulsa's four

567
00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:23,600
Speaker 2: games came against teams ranked number eleven with pretty good

568
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:25,560
Speaker 2: players on offense. And you see if you see us

569
00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:29,040
Speaker 2: putting up what sixty points a game now and Oklahoma

570
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 2: State now Oklahoma State at its backup quarterback, but they

571
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:35,159
Speaker 2: still have really good players on that team, and it was,

572
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:37,840
Speaker 2: you know, a team ranked number eleven at the time.

573
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,680
Speaker 2: I know the Oklahoma State offense has been disappointing compared

574
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 2: to expectations, but you know, they still have played East Caro.

575
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 2: You know, they haven't had a joke schedule, like three

576
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 2: two of their four games game against rank teams, and

577
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:52,560
Speaker 2: East Carolina has these explosions. It'll be interesting to see. Yeah,

578
00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:55,880
Speaker 2: because I don't necessarily disagree with your angles, but I

579
00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 2: trust mine more and that's why this is not in

580
00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:00,320
Speaker 2: an exact science which makes the fun.

581
00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:02,840
Speaker 4: Tulsa's defense should not be getting lit up like that.

582
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 3: That's what made me do all this gumshoe investigative reporting

583
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 3: because I was like, how is this happening?

584
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:08,840
Speaker 4: So we'll see.

585
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:10,959
Speaker 3: If SMU isn't passing on first and second down, then

586
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:12,200
Speaker 3: I probably lose this bet.

587
00:29:12,760 --> 00:29:16,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the ECU game to me was concerning,

588
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 2: but I like, I trusted the Oklahoma like what I

589
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:24,480
Speaker 2: saw against Oklahoma State and against UCF. And you know

590
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:29,760
Speaker 2: last year when randomly ECU should have beat since he

591
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:32,840
Speaker 2: they lost forty six forty three. Remember this in Cincinnati's

592
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 2: an elite defense last year, in elite defense. This year,

593
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:39,000
Speaker 2: East Carolina has these random explosions. That was on November second.

594
00:29:39,040 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 2: By the way, this was the ECU Tulsi was on

595
00:29:42,520 --> 00:29:45,920
Speaker 2: October Thirtif close enough for Aylers, close enough to November,

596
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:49,400
Speaker 2: you don't want to play ACU in November. Anyway, Moving on,

597
00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:52,440
Speaker 2: we'll be against each other there in your backyard. Hopefully

598
00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 2: Colin does not run under the field and interrupt any

599
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:01,080
Speaker 2: it caused any shenanigan, So Mac like shenanigans, you go

600
00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 2: be kidding me.

601
00:30:02,760 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 4: Now, this is peak maction. It is peak faction, all right.

602
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:12,240
Speaker 2: Moving on to our second marquee game of the weekend,

603
00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:16,200
Speaker 2: Let's go to the ACC. We'll go back to the

604
00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:20,400
Speaker 2: ACC here. Talk a little Miami number nine team in

605
00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 2: the country at six and one. Kind of been flying

606
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:26,640
Speaker 2: under the radar since that Clemson loss. Yeah, kind of

607
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:29,880
Speaker 2: picking up some ugly wins. Kings played really well and

608
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:33,080
Speaker 2: had to kind of be heroic to get these wins. There.

609
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 2: Go to Va Tech Votex with a tough team to

610
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 2: figure out Voutex four and three loss to Liberty last week.

611
00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:40,840
Speaker 2: Votex a two and a half point favorite here over

612
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:44,960
Speaker 2: under sixty six and a half. I took look, I

613
00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:47,840
Speaker 2: took some Va Tech minus two. I just haven't liked

614
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 2: what I've been seeing from Miami lately. I am counting

615
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 2: on Khalil Herbert playing. That's huge. It's up in the

616
00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 2: air right now. He's been from an EPA perspective, the

617
00:30:58,080 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 2: only running back it's been more valuable this year in

618
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 2: the country. Drum roll. Javonte Williams at U n C.

619
00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:08,960
Speaker 2: He's been amazing. He's averaging eight and a half yards

620
00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:12,640
Speaker 2: per Carrie Herbert it's Kansas just kicked him to the

621
00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:14,720
Speaker 2: curb and now he's like the best back in the country,

622
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:18,640
Speaker 2: and then Pooka opped it out to so Kansas. So

623
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:22,280
Speaker 2: Votech obviously has defensive issues. They've been dealing with personnel

624
00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 2: in COVID all year. A quarterback shuffle this is I mean,

625
00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:29,600
Speaker 2: this is a great spot to catch vo Tech. The

626
00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 2: difference between Herbert and there not is big though, and

627
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 2: then they got to move black Ch here from slot.

628
00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 2: He's playing a lot of slot to running back is

629
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:38,800
Speaker 2: they had to do with Liberty last week. So I'm

630
00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:41,000
Speaker 2: putting some faith that Herbert's going to be able to go.

631
00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:44,040
Speaker 2: But I'm also kind of fading Miami. I mean, like,

632
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:46,280
Speaker 2: can we look at some of the and I'm gonna

633
00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:48,160
Speaker 2: turn to you to tell me what's going on with Miami.

634
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:50,920
Speaker 2: But they need to come back to beat NC State

635
00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:53,960
Speaker 2: forty four forty one with the NC State's backup QB.

636
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:58,320
Speaker 2: They beat Uva than nineteen fourteen. I mean it was

637
00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 2: ugly against Pitt two and Pitt had its backup quarterback

638
00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:05,640
Speaker 2: in there. So I mean they've and their pits backup

639
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,040
Speaker 2: quarterback's been awful. Yes, they've gone three and oh since

640
00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:12,040
Speaker 2: the Clemson loss, but very questionable, and King has played

641
00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 2: out of his mind in a couple of these games.

642
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:17,000
Speaker 2: It's particularly last week to get that win that he

643
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 2: probably should have lost NC State. So this is kind

644
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 2: of a fate of Miami as well. What are your

645
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:22,880
Speaker 2: thoughts here?

646
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:26,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, Mimi, Miami's ninety seventh and graded in

647
00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:30,440
Speaker 3: past coverage by PFF and their sixty third defensive finishing drives.

648
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 4: They just just I mean that that's a tough defense

649
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 4: to trust.

650
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,880
Speaker 3: For me. Virginia Tech's just been one of the toughest

651
00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:38,800
Speaker 3: teams to make a power rating on. There's just COVID

652
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:41,440
Speaker 3: all over the defense. We've got thirty something players sitting out.

653
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 3: They've been terrible and tackling. They're still, you know, eighty

654
00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:48,680
Speaker 3: fourth graded by PFF and Khalil Herbert is the real deal.

655
00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:51,520
Speaker 3: But the problem is he's had that hamstring issue and

656
00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:53,760
Speaker 3: we don't know just you know, exactly how healthy he is.

657
00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:56,880
Speaker 3: There's a lot of hamstring issues out there that everybody's

658
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:58,920
Speaker 3: wondering about. Now we got injuries on top of COVID,

659
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:01,960
Speaker 3: Oh my god, you know, so, you know, it's just

660
00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:04,520
Speaker 3: tough with Miami tight end Brevin Jordan, who I thought

661
00:33:04,600 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 3: was cleared last week, didn't play.

662
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:07,680
Speaker 4: I don't know if he's going to be back this week.

663
00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 3: He's huge for deer King, especially in third down situations,

664
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 3: especially because offensive coordinator Rhet Lashley likes to run twelve

665
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:17,160
Speaker 3: personnel and about thirty three percent of snap so you

666
00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:20,600
Speaker 3: need two healthy tight ends. Virginia Tech loses to Liberty

667
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 3: and now they're a favorite to Miami. I think I've

668
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:28,320
Speaker 3: already heard this a bunch of times ever since Sunday.

669
00:33:28,720 --> 00:33:30,640
Speaker 4: Oh, this is a spot. This is a spot.

670
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:33,960
Speaker 3: It's a dirty line because you know, Virginia Tech loses

671
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:35,400
Speaker 3: the Liberty and now they're favored over.

672
00:33:35,360 --> 00:33:37,239
Speaker 4: A team that could make the a SEC Championship. Well,

673
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:38,040
Speaker 4: I got news for you.

674
00:33:38,120 --> 00:33:40,959
Speaker 3: The Hopies could make the AEC Championship too. It's kind

675
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 3: of a cloudy, murky path, but they can still make it,

676
00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:45,440
Speaker 3: you know. And you can see the canes. You know

677
00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:47,080
Speaker 3: that they opened up plus four, it's come down to

678
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 3: plus two. So it is taking in Miami money. The

679
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 3: number of the odds makers is sent has done what

680
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:53,800
Speaker 3: they wanted, which is to get money in on Miami.

681
00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:56,520
Speaker 3: So I think the thing with Virginia Tech that bothers

682
00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,560
Speaker 3: me is that Twins has said many times that to

683
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:01,800
Speaker 3: come back Covid on the defense that he hasn't had

684
00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:04,040
Speaker 3: any of his players. He's willing to give up like

685
00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 3: eight yards a run. He's willing to pull people as

686
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:07,800
Speaker 3: many people as he can out of the box, give

687
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:10,040
Speaker 3: up the run and prevent the big pass. And it's

688
00:34:10,120 --> 00:34:12,279
Speaker 3: just turned into this. You know, he wants to be

689
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 3: a bend, don't break like you could push me down

690
00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:15,640
Speaker 3: to the twenty and then I'm gonna try to stand up.

691
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:18,759
Speaker 3: And you know that hasn't worked either. Their eighty ninth

692
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:20,240
Speaker 3: in the defensive finishing drives.

693
00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:21,040
Speaker 4: You look at.

694
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:22,880
Speaker 3: Liberty, they averaged five yards per rush and they had

695
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,759
Speaker 3: two undred and forty nine total rushing yards. They were

696
00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 3: able to torch Virginia Tech on the ground. I don't

697
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:31,040
Speaker 3: see why, you know Derek King can't do the same.

698
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:34,040
Speaker 3: I don't have a play on the side. I said

699
00:34:34,040 --> 00:34:35,759
Speaker 3: this a couple of podcasts ago, and I'm gonna stick

700
00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:37,600
Speaker 3: to it. I don't trust Virginia Tech's defense because I

701
00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:39,080
Speaker 3: never know who's in and out. I never know when

702
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 3: they're just gonna turn up the volume and be better.

703
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:44,800
Speaker 3: Because everybody's healthy, right, I mean, this team can score points.

704
00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:48,160
Speaker 3: Obviously losing my under last week when it's just most

705
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 3: crazy circus act shit that was on SVP bad beats,

706
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:54,799
Speaker 3: I felt like I was just aflated when that under.

707
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:56,279
Speaker 3: I didn't catch that under. I didn't know it was

708
00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:59,400
Speaker 3: going to be featured. But you know that as far

709
00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:01,200
Speaker 3: as the total, here we go again. I'm not going

710
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:15,560
Speaker 3: to take it under here right now, the number steam

711
00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:17,719
Speaker 3: to sixty seven. I projected at sixty put out the

712
00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:20,279
Speaker 3: Pace report on Monday. This numbers moved all the way

713
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:22,560
Speaker 3: up to sixty seven. But it has all the elements

714
00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:24,359
Speaker 3: for an over for the things that I just said.

715
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 3: Miami's twenty first and seconds per play very fast. You

716
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 3: know from offensive coordinator Rent Lashley, both offenses have explosive

717
00:35:31,840 --> 00:35:35,640
Speaker 3: advantages over the opposing defenses. I mean in rush and

718
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:40,680
Speaker 3: in past both offenses outrank their opponent. So you know,

719
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:43,400
Speaker 3: both teams are top thirty five in offensive finishing drives,

720
00:35:43,719 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 3: both defenses are sixty third and eighty ninth, and the

721
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:47,400
Speaker 3: defensive finishing drives.

722
00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 4: There should be a ton of points here.

723
00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:50,960
Speaker 3: I like the over I mean it's over the number

724
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:52,200
Speaker 3: that I got, but I like the over here.

725
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:53,440
Speaker 4: I would love it.

726
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:55,479
Speaker 3: Maybe if I played it live and a drive miss

727
00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:57,360
Speaker 3: or two and I got it down closer for my

728
00:35:57,440 --> 00:35:59,759
Speaker 3: projection at sixty, the over is the only way to

729
00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:02,319
Speaker 3: look here. I don't know how to play the side.

730
00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 3: Virginia Tech conteams to be a mystery amongst COVID injuries,

731
00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:08,799
Speaker 3: hamstrings pulling people out of the box, and we'll put

732
00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:09,680
Speaker 3: people back in the box.

733
00:36:10,280 --> 00:36:10,440
Speaker 1: You know.

734
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:12,239
Speaker 4: I may not play aside on Virginia Tech the rest

735
00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:12,560
Speaker 4: of the year.

736
00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:15,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, keep your eye on Herbert status. He's obviously huge

737
00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:19,040
Speaker 2: for vo Tech. But I did take some minus too

738
00:36:19,120 --> 00:36:21,840
Speaker 2: flat earlier in the week. All right, moving on to

739
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:25,000
Speaker 2: our final marquee game of the day, Let's go back

740
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:28,920
Speaker 2: to the Big ten. Talk a little Wisconsin Michigan. Wisconsin's

741
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:32,480
Speaker 2: a four and a half point favorite at Michigan over

742
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:36,600
Speaker 2: under fifty three and a half at bet MGM. Let's

743
00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 2: check in with their friend Boat.

744
00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:44,160
Speaker 3: Okay, don't gamble, don't associate with gamblers, avoid it.

745
00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:48,799
Speaker 2: Like the plague. Let's check in with bot dog Jim.

746
00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:53,560
Speaker 2: I mean, Michigan has just been lost. But then again,

747
00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:56,080
Speaker 2: I don't know what you're gonna get from Wisconsin here.

748
00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:59,520
Speaker 2: I assume Graham Mertz is playing from people that I

749
00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 2: talked to, that's the word on the street. Is there

750
00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 2: gonna be other people out? I don't know. I mean,

751
00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:06,600
Speaker 2: a couple of these guys haven't practiced for three weeks.

752
00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:08,760
Speaker 2: What are you gonna get here? Wisconsin is a snail.

753
00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:13,120
Speaker 2: Mertz looked incredible in his first start against Illinois, but

754
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:16,480
Speaker 2: Illinoy has been like the worst pass defense in the

755
00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:20,359
Speaker 2: country all year. So I don't know. And I still

756
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:23,680
Speaker 2: don't trust Wisconsin's running backs. We said that all last year.

757
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:26,600
Speaker 2: They're backup running backs, and we know they're a snail,

758
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:30,799
Speaker 2: but we know Michigan's defense struggles. So I was thinking

759
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:32,319
Speaker 2: about an underard of this game is just so hard

760
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,240
Speaker 2: to get a read on. Is Michigan now getting value

761
00:37:35,280 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 2: in the market, especially with all of the questions surrounding Wisconsin?

762
00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:41,200
Speaker 2: What you're gonna get here? And are you gonna buy

763
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:43,920
Speaker 2: low on bowtog Jim thoughts here? Help me out here.

764
00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:46,399
Speaker 3: I took Wisconsin at the very beginning of the week

765
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:47,920
Speaker 3: on the money line when it was priced around like

766
00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:52,600
Speaker 3: Mius one fifteen. I knew the timeline for Graham Mertz.

767
00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 3: So for those of you that don't know Graham Mertz

768
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 3: was cleared to practice Tuesday or Wednesday this week, but

769
00:37:58,560 --> 00:38:01,200
Speaker 3: he's eligible to play in a Big Ten game as

770
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:03,880
Speaker 3: of Friday. That would be his twenty one days. So

771
00:38:04,280 --> 00:38:06,960
Speaker 3: I knew the Graham Mertz would be practicing. And now

772
00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:10,440
Speaker 3: the whole story out of camp, out of Wisconsin is,

773
00:38:10,960 --> 00:38:12,840
Speaker 3: we don't know if he'll be up to speed, We

774
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:14,640
Speaker 3: don't know if he'll be sinking with the offense. We

775
00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:18,200
Speaker 3: don't know if a bullshit Graham Mertz is worth six

776
00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:21,400
Speaker 3: points to the spread easily, especially considering what you have

777
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:24,680
Speaker 3: at running back. If Graham Mertz can walk and he's cleared,

778
00:38:24,920 --> 00:38:28,760
Speaker 3: he's playing. But the market went and jumped ahead of itself.

779
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:32,200
Speaker 3: This thing, you know, opened up, you know as Michigan

780
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,520
Speaker 3: as a favorite once there was you know, I'd say,

781
00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:38,480
Speaker 3: around Monday morning, this thing finally started taking off, and

782
00:38:38,640 --> 00:38:40,800
Speaker 3: it started taking off with a whole bunch of Wisconsin

783
00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:43,600
Speaker 3: money in the market because the expectation is that Mertz

784
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:45,239
Speaker 3: is going to play that number out there right now,

785
00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:48,359
Speaker 3: that's a number if Mertz plays. If Mertz doesn't play,

786
00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:49,960
Speaker 3: it's gonna come firing right back down.

787
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:50,640
Speaker 4: Now.

788
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:54,080
Speaker 3: My suggestion to everybody else with this whole is Mertz

789
00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:56,319
Speaker 3: gonna play, Yes, I think he will be easy going,

790
00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:58,000
Speaker 3: to be up to speed. It doesn't matter. He's still

791
00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:00,400
Speaker 3: better than everybody else. I don't think you want to

792
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:03,120
Speaker 3: bet Wisconsin minus four and a half and be stuck

793
00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:06,360
Speaker 3: with Danny Vanderboom as your quarterback. I think that's the

794
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:07,160
Speaker 3: worst thing you could do.

795
00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:11,520
Speaker 2: A legacy he's a legacy walk on was the fourth string,

796
00:39:11,680 --> 00:39:14,920
Speaker 2: Like he's only there because his dad went to Wisconsin.

797
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:18,680
Speaker 2: May he played there. That legacy preferred walk On like

798
00:39:19,400 --> 00:39:23,880
Speaker 2: probably would be a backup for Western Illinois. I think

799
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 2: that's like the only other school offered him. Yeah.

800
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:29,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, can imagine holding a Wisconsin minus four and a

801
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:32,480
Speaker 3: half ticket with Danny Vanderboom a legacy player.

802
00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:36,359
Speaker 2: I retweeted. I retweeted someone last week, a Michigan fan

803
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:39,000
Speaker 2: that I found searching for info and vander Boom, and

804
00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:43,400
Speaker 2: it was he just tweeted, if Michigan loses to Danny Vanderboom,

805
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:46,120
Speaker 2: I'm jumping off the roof of my building.

806
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:48,520
Speaker 3: Boat on Jim should I mean, he really should just

807
00:39:48,680 --> 00:39:50,600
Speaker 3: hop in a car and head on out of the

808
00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:54,359
Speaker 3: state of Michigan. You know that that honestly, Or maybe

809
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:56,440
Speaker 3: he should just go hang out in one of the

810
00:39:56,520 --> 00:39:58,520
Speaker 3: maction towns and wait for a job to open up.

811
00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:00,520
Speaker 3: You know, probably northern Illinois for that shit I.

812
00:40:00,520 --> 00:40:05,040
Speaker 4: Saw last night. I love match love match.

813
00:40:05,680 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 3: Listen stuff mentioned it. The running backs here is not good.

814
00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:13,080
Speaker 3: Breakaway speed is an issue here. Nikiah Watson one point

815
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:16,480
Speaker 3: nine to five yards after contact not good. Garrett go

816
00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:19,560
Speaker 3: Groeschek three point one to five yards after contact. That's okay,

817
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:21,960
Speaker 3: it's better, but there's not a lot of rushing attempts here.

818
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:27,560
Speaker 3: They combined, they have combined against Illinois Illinois defense, They

819
00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:28,160
Speaker 3: combined for.

820
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:31,640
Speaker 4: Only three avoided tackles. That's not good.

821
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:35,719
Speaker 3: If Mertz can dice up the Michigan secondary, listen, he's

822
00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:37,799
Speaker 3: gonna Mertz is gonna be fine. Mertz is gonna play,

823
00:40:38,200 --> 00:40:40,880
Speaker 3: and everybody except for the name Gammon Green and the

824
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:43,880
Speaker 3: Michigan secondary should be on alert because everybody in that

825
00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:46,719
Speaker 3: secondary has been torched except for Green. Green has four

826
00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:50,160
Speaker 3: PBUs pass blocks and on twenty five targeted throws. The

827
00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:53,400
Speaker 3: rest of the defense for Michigan, remember this, Green has

828
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:56,720
Speaker 3: four PBUs the rest of the defense I combined three.

829
00:40:57,400 --> 00:41:00,920
Speaker 3: The Michigan secondary is terrible outside of Green. So the

830
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:02,759
Speaker 3: story is all the same with Joe Milton on offense.

831
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:05,239
Speaker 3: Let's talk about Michigan's offense. The story is the same

832
00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:10,000
Speaker 3: with Joe Milton. Accuracy issues, win, pressure, no pressure, He's

833
00:41:10,040 --> 00:41:12,640
Speaker 3: seventy six percent adjust to completion. What is adjust to

834
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:16,920
Speaker 3: completion completions plus drops divided by aimed passes. He's seventy

835
00:41:16,920 --> 00:41:20,960
Speaker 3: six percent with no pressure, fifty seven percent adjust to

836
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:24,360
Speaker 3: completion When there is pressure, a huge drop off. Is

837
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:26,839
Speaker 3: Wisconsin going to be able to get into the face

838
00:41:27,000 --> 00:41:29,239
Speaker 3: of Joe Milton? I think the answer is no. They

839
00:41:29,280 --> 00:41:33,000
Speaker 3: only had two quarterback hurries against an Illinois offensive line.

840
00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:35,440
Speaker 4: Uh, you know, they got a couple. They got one.

841
00:41:35,480 --> 00:41:37,480
Speaker 4: The center on there should be up for the NFL draft, But.

842
00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:39,120
Speaker 3: I you know, I mean it's still he didn't playing

843
00:41:39,160 --> 00:41:42,160
Speaker 3: that game, though he's coming back, that's right, Dan, Dan Kramer, right.

844
00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 3: And two quarterback hurries, So you expect Wisconsin to get

845
00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:48,080
Speaker 3: pressure on Joe Milton here. So ultimately a play on

846
00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:50,480
Speaker 3: Michigan if Mertz is out. I don't think Mertz will

847
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:51,879
Speaker 3: be out, but you can't lay four and a half

848
00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 3: until you know Mertz is playing. Uh, And even if

849
00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:56,520
Speaker 3: you do, the market's caught up the market is telling

850
00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:58,640
Speaker 3: you Mertz is going to play. It's at the number

851
00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:01,040
Speaker 3: it should be. You know, if Mertz is in, we're

852
00:42:01,080 --> 00:42:04,160
Speaker 3: looking at take in Michigan fifteen minutes before kickoff, you know,

853
00:42:04,239 --> 00:42:06,440
Speaker 3: with steam on Wisconsin. And that's the thing is when

854
00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:08,640
Speaker 3: Mertz is made official, when he's on the field. Another

855
00:42:08,680 --> 00:42:10,440
Speaker 3: reason that I can't go down to Tulsa and drink

856
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:13,319
Speaker 3: beer and enjoy my life is because that's when warm

857
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:15,520
Speaker 3: ups are gonna be going on for Wisconsin and Michigan.

858
00:42:16,080 --> 00:42:19,400
Speaker 3: Once Mertz is announced playing, I expect her to be

859
00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 3: Steam to go even higher on this number, maybe a six,

860
00:42:22,640 --> 00:42:25,640
Speaker 3: and I think in a six it's it's outrageously too high.

861
00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:28,560
Speaker 3: And that's the time that you would want to back Michigan.

862
00:42:28,560 --> 00:42:30,600
Speaker 3: So if yourenna back Michigan, you're gonna wait till Merz's official.

863
00:42:31,080 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 3: If you want to back Wisconsin, you've missed the train.

864
00:42:34,280 --> 00:42:36,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, as you were talking and as I think about,

865
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:39,680
Speaker 2: I convinced myself to play some under under fifty four

866
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:47,640
Speaker 2: wanh wah under recommendation on the podcast. You know, look,

867
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:51,440
Speaker 2: Wisconsin is a dead snail, dead snail, as slow as

868
00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:54,960
Speaker 2: it comes. Maybe Mertz play. If Mert doesn't play this

869
00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:58,959
Speaker 2: under is lock it off. If Mertz does play, maybe

870
00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:01,400
Speaker 2: there's some rust here, right, maybe it takes them a

871
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:04,760
Speaker 2: little bit to get going. And you know, the Michigan

872
00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:09,959
Speaker 2: offense with their accuracy issues, doesn't really scare me that much. Also,

873
00:43:10,080 --> 00:43:13,880
Speaker 2: could be some wins here, some forecast ten, some fifteen,

874
00:43:14,120 --> 00:43:15,839
Speaker 2: so we'll see where it is. So that could only help.

875
00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:19,640
Speaker 2: So at fifty four, a lot of external factors that

876
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:22,120
Speaker 2: could come in here and help. You know, Mertz is

877
00:43:22,160 --> 00:43:26,480
Speaker 2: out at the wind is high, and look, Wisconsin offense

878
00:43:26,520 --> 00:43:27,600
Speaker 2: is not gonna be as good as they'd look to

879
00:43:27,600 --> 00:43:30,480
Speaker 2: getst Illinois and Michigs. Defe's been bad, but not Illinois bad.

880
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:33,320
Speaker 2: And I'm still not total on in the Wisconsin runners

881
00:43:33,360 --> 00:43:34,799
Speaker 2: and receivers. So we'll see.

882
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:37,520
Speaker 3: And I as we're as we're recording this and we're

883
00:43:37,520 --> 00:43:40,560
Speaker 3: talking about this, I am going to hit under twenty

884
00:43:40,600 --> 00:43:44,640
Speaker 3: seven first half. I agree with everything Stuck just said.

885
00:43:44,760 --> 00:43:46,879
Speaker 3: And if Mertz does play, I think there's gonna be russ.

886
00:43:47,520 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 3: And you know when he says that they're a snail,

887
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:52,719
Speaker 3: what he's talking about is that Wisconsin is one hundred

888
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:55,359
Speaker 3: and twenty third and seconds per play, no breakaway speed

889
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:56,400
Speaker 3: at the running back position.

890
00:43:56,880 --> 00:43:58,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go in and hit a first half

891
00:43:58,480 --> 00:44:00,120
Speaker 4: under here while we're recording now.

892
00:44:00,640 --> 00:44:04,600
Speaker 2: The last time wiscontemplate, I played under twenty seven and

893
00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:06,560
Speaker 2: a half in the first half and it was the

894
00:44:06,600 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 2: biggest news of all time. Here we go again, I'll

895
00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:10,600
Speaker 2: hit it with you.

896
00:44:10,920 --> 00:44:13,120
Speaker 3: Oh, by the way, have you had the voicemails programmed

897
00:44:13,120 --> 00:44:15,239
Speaker 3: into your phone for all the unders that aren't going

898
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:17,400
Speaker 3: to cash this weekend? Make sure you get them ready.

899
00:44:17,280 --> 00:44:19,640
Speaker 2: All right before we run through a couple other games

900
00:44:20,120 --> 00:44:23,160
Speaker 2: in the rundown throughout the rest of the conferences. Here's

901
00:44:23,200 --> 00:44:26,439
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902
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914
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915
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916
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918
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:20,040
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920
00:45:23,640 --> 00:45:24,359
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921
00:45:26,760 --> 00:45:30,480
Speaker 2: All right, let's let's start with the acc There is

922
00:45:30,520 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 2: a game I wanted to touch on. I have Louisville

923
00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:36,040
Speaker 2: as a pick, but who who the hell knows who's playing?

924
00:45:36,080 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 2: They have COVID issues and a tough game to read.

925
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:42,840
Speaker 2: Maybe I'll look at that game time. Florida State's catching

926
00:45:42,880 --> 00:45:45,360
Speaker 2: ten at NC State mess I mean Terry left the program?

927
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:48,040
Speaker 2: Is Travis playing? I don't know. The game that I

928
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:53,680
Speaker 2: did play is unc. I laid thirteen and a half.

929
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:55,239
Speaker 2: I could actually get thirteen now, so it was a

930
00:45:55,280 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 2: bad line that I took. I laid seven in the

931
00:45:57,160 --> 00:46:01,360
Speaker 2: first half. I make this like eighteen. Call me crazy.

932
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:03,040
Speaker 2: I have view and sees the number ten team in

933
00:46:03,080 --> 00:46:05,320
Speaker 2: the country of my power ratings right now? Is that crazy?

934
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:09,120
Speaker 2: I don't know. Their offense has now just exploded. You know,

935
00:46:09,320 --> 00:46:11,920
Speaker 2: the issues that they had earlier in the year no longer.

936
00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:15,640
Speaker 2: They put up forty eight against n Z State, forty

937
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:18,839
Speaker 2: one against Virginia, and then fifty six last week against Duke.

938
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:22,520
Speaker 2: Their offense has figured it out. But this is mainly

939
00:46:22,600 --> 00:46:25,080
Speaker 2: a fade of wake Forest, who went undefeated. I know

940
00:46:25,160 --> 00:46:27,800
Speaker 2: they're coming off of a bye. They went undefeated in October.

941
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:33,600
Speaker 2: They beat Campbell shout out, roll humps, check it out.

942
00:46:34,040 --> 00:46:38,600
Speaker 2: They beat Virginia with its backup quarterback Brendan Armstrong didn't

943
00:46:38,600 --> 00:46:41,359
Speaker 2: even play in that game. And then they beat VA Tech.

944
00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:43,960
Speaker 2: Remember box score frauds. How lucky they got in that game.

945
00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:48,040
Speaker 2: And then they beat Syracuse. Like I don't care about

946
00:46:48,040 --> 00:46:49,600
Speaker 2: any of those wins. They got blown up by Clemson

947
00:46:49,640 --> 00:46:53,360
Speaker 2: and they lost NC State in September. Lake Forest, you

948
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:57,920
Speaker 2: want to talk about turnover lock and turnover regression. Holy moly,

949
00:46:58,800 --> 00:47:03,760
Speaker 2: this isn't Lake Forest in some crazy havoc producing defense.

950
00:47:04,600 --> 00:47:07,440
Speaker 2: I mean, come on and and right now for the year,

951
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:10,880
Speaker 2: they're averaging a turnover margin of plus two point three

952
00:47:10,920 --> 00:47:13,520
Speaker 2: to three per game. That's second the nation only and

953
00:47:13,600 --> 00:47:16,920
Speaker 2: they played six games. Only Colorado is higher than that

954
00:47:16,960 --> 00:47:18,799
Speaker 2: they just because they played one game and we're plus

955
00:47:18,880 --> 00:47:22,319
Speaker 2: four in the tournament department. Extreme aggression coming. I don't

956
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:25,080
Speaker 2: see how wake fart stops you. And see once I

957
00:47:25,160 --> 00:47:28,680
Speaker 2: took MINEUS seven first half and laid anything under fourteenth

958
00:47:28,719 --> 00:47:29,080
Speaker 2: of the game.

959
00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 3: Wake Force is going to push tempo against an extremely

960
00:47:32,560 --> 00:47:34,320
Speaker 3: explosive North Carolina offense.

961
00:47:34,800 --> 00:47:38,000
Speaker 2: So that's I think that's a dumb that's gonna backfire.

962
00:47:38,560 --> 00:47:40,560
Speaker 3: Yeah. And the other thing is is you know, maybe

963
00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:43,239
Speaker 3: wake Forest can get some points there. I mean North

964
00:47:43,280 --> 00:47:45,440
Speaker 3: Carolina on defense is one hundred and tenth and tackling

965
00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:48,000
Speaker 3: and there are one hundreds. They're outside the top one

966
00:47:48,120 --> 00:47:49,880
Speaker 3: hundred line yards and stuff rates. So I mean, I

967
00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:52,600
Speaker 3: don't know if wake Force is essentially gonna be I mean,

968
00:47:52,680 --> 00:47:54,680
Speaker 3: they do rush the ball to sixty percent clip, but

969
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:56,040
Speaker 3: are you gonna be able to keep up with North

970
00:47:56,080 --> 00:47:58,759
Speaker 3: Carolina's high octane scoring by rushing the ball all the time?

971
00:47:59,560 --> 00:48:02,200
Speaker 4: So yeah, I think definitely what you said is the look.

972
00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:04,719
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to the big ten. I'll

973
00:48:04,800 --> 00:48:07,319
Speaker 2: cover a game I played. Help me out of here.

974
00:48:07,360 --> 00:48:14,040
Speaker 2: On this line, Rutgers at bet MGM, Illinois's seven point favorite.

975
00:48:14,160 --> 00:48:16,840
Speaker 2: That's what I played. I got seven, thought, hey, this

976
00:48:16,960 --> 00:48:19,080
Speaker 2: isn't gonna last. Now you can get seven's out there.

977
00:48:20,000 --> 00:48:24,440
Speaker 2: I'd make this like a two. I know Illinois stinks,

978
00:48:24,520 --> 00:48:27,040
Speaker 2: but their defense stakes, they've been the worst pass defense

979
00:48:27,120 --> 00:48:30,319
Speaker 2: in by a lot of metrics in college football. They

980
00:48:30,400 --> 00:48:33,640
Speaker 2: got blown out by Illinois last week. You know they lost.

981
00:48:33,640 --> 00:48:35,360
Speaker 2: They got blown out by Wisconsin. If they hung and

982
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:37,560
Speaker 2: hung tight with Purdue, they're down to like their four

983
00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:40,560
Speaker 2: string quarterback Corn Taylor. But they actually get some guys

984
00:48:40,600 --> 00:48:42,760
Speaker 2: back this week. They get Kramer back, their best offensive

985
00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:45,399
Speaker 2: lineman at center. They'll get their kicker back. They get

986
00:48:45,400 --> 00:48:47,800
Speaker 2: their third string quarterback, Isaia Williams, so they could go

987
00:48:47,880 --> 00:48:50,480
Speaker 2: to him or they could start him. Peters is still out.

988
00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:53,680
Speaker 2: But the biggest they've actually been able to run the

989
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:55,279
Speaker 2: ball a little bit. The biggest probably the Illinois's been

990
00:48:55,320 --> 00:48:58,080
Speaker 2: their defense. I mean, Lovey Smith's a dinosaur. He just

991
00:48:58,160 --> 00:49:01,480
Speaker 2: sits in this four to three cover two and these

992
00:49:01,520 --> 00:49:04,719
Speaker 2: teams spread them out and throw over them. That's not Rutgers. Look,

993
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:07,040
Speaker 2: Rutgers is playing a little better. Shiano has this program

994
00:49:07,160 --> 00:49:10,400
Speaker 2: headed in the right direction. The offense is still a

995
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:13,160
Speaker 2: raging dumpster fire. They can't move the ball some of

996
00:49:13,200 --> 00:49:14,680
Speaker 2: the word. I mean, it's one of the worst offenses

997
00:49:14,719 --> 00:49:16,600
Speaker 2: in the country still. I although I should get a

998
00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:18,560
Speaker 2: defensive end back that will help with their with their

999
00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:20,560
Speaker 2: defensive line as well. They had a couple guys that

1000
00:49:20,640 --> 00:49:22,360
Speaker 2: have been out for COVID, So I'm not really afraid

1001
00:49:22,400 --> 00:49:26,160
Speaker 2: of this Rutgers offense shredding Illinois. So I think Illinois

1002
00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:29,279
Speaker 2: can hang around here and this game will probably be

1003
00:49:30,120 --> 00:49:32,839
Speaker 2: I played some under two. I think this game will

1004
00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:35,280
Speaker 2: be just an ugly, ugly game of this s gutaway

1005
00:49:35,360 --> 00:49:37,480
Speaker 2: come down to just random turnovers. Both teams have been

1006
00:49:37,560 --> 00:49:39,759
Speaker 2: lucky in the turnover department. I took the seven. I

1007
00:49:39,800 --> 00:49:42,560
Speaker 2: think this line is crazy. You can't trust ill this

1008
00:49:42,800 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 2: last year. Rutgers is like the one of the worst

1009
00:49:44,719 --> 00:49:46,319
Speaker 2: teams in the country. All of a sudden, now they're

1010
00:49:46,400 --> 00:49:47,920
Speaker 2: laying seven at home to Illinois.

1011
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:51,440
Speaker 3: This is crazy, right, I absolutely think so. I mean,

1012
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:53,120
Speaker 3: I'm looking at it now and it's it's gross. Let's

1013
00:49:53,120 --> 00:49:55,160
Speaker 3: talk about Rutgers offense one hundred and fourth and rushing

1014
00:49:55,200 --> 00:49:56,840
Speaker 3: success or eight one hundred and seventeenth the.

1015
00:49:56,880 --> 00:49:57,920
Speaker 4: Passing success rate.

1016
00:49:58,560 --> 00:50:01,160
Speaker 3: I mean, they've had some explosive play, but this they're

1017
00:50:01,400 --> 00:50:06,200
Speaker 3: not sustaining drives whatsoever. Now it does say from football

1018
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:09,520
Speaker 3: outsiders they're number one in power success rate. Illinois defense

1019
00:50:09,520 --> 00:50:11,120
Speaker 3: is one hundred and tenth power success rate. But you're

1020
00:50:11,120 --> 00:50:12,759
Speaker 3: not gonna win a football game just based on you know,

1021
00:50:12,880 --> 00:50:16,880
Speaker 3: two three yard games and short yards third downs.

1022
00:50:17,360 --> 00:50:18,160
Speaker 4: I think the more.

1023
00:50:18,040 --> 00:50:22,040
Speaker 3: Interesting thing in this is that they both are really fast,

1024
00:50:22,520 --> 00:50:25,520
Speaker 3: Illinois nineteen seconds per play, Rutgers twenty eighth and seconds

1025
00:50:25,520 --> 00:50:28,880
Speaker 3: per play. But they're finishing drives offense on both teams.

1026
00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:31,840
Speaker 3: Illinois hundred and seventeenth. That's almost dead last out of

1027
00:50:31,880 --> 00:50:35,800
Speaker 3: one twenty two, and Rutgers is seventieth. Listen, I'm not

1028
00:50:35,840 --> 00:50:38,080
Speaker 3: afraid to play Illinois either. Obviously I did last week.

1029
00:50:38,120 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 3: I had no problem throwing them in a money line

1030
00:50:39,600 --> 00:50:41,680
Speaker 3: round Robin Parlay. I just you know, they were missing

1031
00:50:41,760 --> 00:50:44,279
Speaker 3: half the goddamn team, so you know, COVID strikes again.

1032
00:50:44,360 --> 00:50:46,200
Speaker 4: I don't think that there. I think this numbers should

1033
00:50:46,200 --> 00:50:48,319
Speaker 4: be closer to say a pick.

1034
00:50:48,760 --> 00:50:49,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I make it two.

1035
00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:52,600
Speaker 3: So our action Network projection. You know, I put this

1036
00:50:52,719 --> 00:50:55,680
Speaker 3: out there at Rutgers minus two and a half. I

1037
00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:59,520
Speaker 3: think the seven out there is really assuming that what

1038
00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:01,319
Speaker 3: you're missing seeing half the Illinois roster.

1039
00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:04,080
Speaker 2: I don't know. If there's COVID news, I don't know about.

1040
00:51:04,120 --> 00:51:07,720
Speaker 2: That's always scary in twenty twenty. But yeah, Illinois supposed

1041
00:51:07,760 --> 00:51:10,239
Speaker 2: to get guys back. That's like and I've confirmed that,

1042
00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:13,720
Speaker 2: Like Kramer's coming back, their kicker, McCourt's coming back, Williams

1043
00:51:13,840 --> 00:51:14,399
Speaker 2: is coming back.

1044
00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:17,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, Dan Kramer replays center. I mean if he's if

1045
00:51:17,080 --> 00:51:19,319
Speaker 3: he's there, that that's a huge boost the offensive line.

1046
00:51:19,360 --> 00:51:19,880
Speaker 4: He's the captain.

1047
00:51:19,920 --> 00:51:22,960
Speaker 3: If they get some of their defensive lineback, that's that's big.

1048
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:25,279
Speaker 3: H You know, records should not be favored by seven

1049
00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:28,200
Speaker 3: over power five teams. So I'm going to do my

1050
00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:30,160
Speaker 3: research on COVID and if you guys see a play

1051
00:51:30,280 --> 00:51:33,640
Speaker 3: come through on the app, the best betting app in

1052
00:51:33,760 --> 00:51:36,600
Speaker 3: the world, then you know that I have found no

1053
00:51:36,719 --> 00:51:37,239
Speaker 3: COVID news.

1054
00:51:39,040 --> 00:51:41,399
Speaker 5: Hope you're enjoying this great Action network podcast. I want

1055
00:51:41,400 --> 00:51:43,520
Speaker 5: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast

1056
00:51:43,600 --> 00:51:46,879
Speaker 5: network Locked On as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

1057
00:51:47,080 --> 00:51:49,319
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

1058
00:51:49,320 --> 00:51:51,080
Speaker 2: down of the Dallas matriage. Well came everybody to the

1059
00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:52,960
Speaker 2: Lockdown Lakers podcast. Let's go.

1060
00:51:53,400 --> 00:51:56,279
Speaker 5: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

1061
00:51:56,360 --> 00:51:58,520
Speaker 5: know your team better than anyone and give you the

1062
00:51:58,600 --> 00:52:01,360
Speaker 5: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

1063
00:52:01,600 --> 00:52:05,880
Speaker 5: locked On your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

1064
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:19,360
Speaker 2: Let's move on to Conference USA. It's fight. We have

1065
00:52:19,480 --> 00:52:21,680
Speaker 2: to talk about it because two of the podcast favorite

1066
00:52:21,680 --> 00:52:25,080
Speaker 2: teams face each other. I'm getting I'm getting dms, I'm

1067
00:52:25,080 --> 00:52:27,640
Speaker 2: getting people are mentioned saying what do we do about

1068
00:52:27,680 --> 00:52:30,600
Speaker 2: this game? We're not talking about Middle Tennessee state. By

1069
00:52:30,640 --> 00:52:34,399
Speaker 2: the way, at BETAMGM right now, UTSA is a six

1070
00:52:34,440 --> 00:52:36,480
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite over Under forty five and

1071
00:52:36,520 --> 00:52:39,760
Speaker 2: a half. There's also COVID questions of this game. UTSA

1072
00:52:39,840 --> 00:52:42,960
Speaker 2: had a breakout. U TEP is I mean, Alpaso is

1073
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:45,959
Speaker 2: like the the COVID capital of the country right now.

1074
00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:50,959
Speaker 3: We're talking minor nation out in the west dixas town

1075
00:52:51,080 --> 00:52:52,080
Speaker 3: of l past.

1076
00:52:51,920 --> 00:52:56,359
Speaker 2: So picks up, So I don't. I mean this game

1077
00:52:56,600 --> 00:52:59,279
Speaker 2: is very difficult to I mean, when's the last time

1078
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:03,280
Speaker 2: you tip? The last time UTEP played was October twenty

1079
00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:06,279
Speaker 2: fourth and the last time UTSA played. I mean, these

1080
00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:07,040
Speaker 2: teams get canceled.

1081
00:53:07,040 --> 00:53:09,839
Speaker 3: Everybody keeps canceling against him, and Dana Demmo's like, well shit,

1082
00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:11,200
Speaker 3: we'll load up the bus and we'll come to you.

1083
00:53:11,400 --> 00:53:12,960
Speaker 4: I mean, UTEP's dying to play a game.

1084
00:53:13,440 --> 00:53:15,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this game could get canceled. So it's

1085
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:20,440
Speaker 2: meat meat meat versus our boys and albouts. I hope

1086
00:53:20,480 --> 00:53:22,480
Speaker 2: it gets played for no other reason than we can

1087
00:53:22,560 --> 00:53:25,480
Speaker 2: hear from our friend and al Paso, one of my

1088
00:53:25,560 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 2: favorite voicemail callers. Help us out here, anything here.

1089
00:53:29,000 --> 00:53:30,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I want this game to be played.

1090
00:53:30,600 --> 00:53:33,280
Speaker 3: I badly want this game to be played. But UTSA

1091
00:53:33,480 --> 00:53:36,560
Speaker 3: is struggling with some COVID. To be more specific, they

1092
00:53:36,640 --> 00:53:39,600
Speaker 3: have two offensive linemen that have tested positive and so

1093
00:53:39,680 --> 00:53:42,520
Speaker 3: that's what's putting this game into question. The game literally

1094
00:53:42,640 --> 00:53:45,200
Speaker 3: may not be called until Friday afternoon. They're gonna wait

1095
00:53:45,280 --> 00:53:46,960
Speaker 3: till the buses are firing up getting ready to move

1096
00:53:47,000 --> 00:53:49,360
Speaker 3: the team when they're gonna call this game. So it

1097
00:53:49,440 --> 00:53:51,080
Speaker 3: could be a moot point. But for those of you

1098
00:53:51,160 --> 00:53:55,879
Speaker 3: Friday morning listeners, I make this game UTSA minus nine

1099
00:53:55,880 --> 00:53:57,680
Speaker 3: and a half. I think this number at seven or

1100
00:53:57,719 --> 00:53:59,560
Speaker 3: six and a half should be a play on meat

1101
00:53:59,600 --> 00:54:01,920
Speaker 3: beep and say, well, Colin, you just told me that

1102
00:54:01,960 --> 00:54:04,360
Speaker 3: they're missing two offensive linemen. Then there could be other stuff.

1103
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:07,960
Speaker 3: There's one name that I haven't heard that has covid

1104
00:54:08,000 --> 00:54:10,799
Speaker 3: and his name is Sincere McCormick. If he's suiting up

1105
00:54:10,800 --> 00:54:14,279
Speaker 3: for UTSA, by far and away, he is way better

1106
00:54:14,400 --> 00:54:17,000
Speaker 3: than anybody else that is stepping on this field. I

1107
00:54:17,040 --> 00:54:19,359
Speaker 3: would venture to say that this guy doesn't even need

1108
00:54:19,440 --> 00:54:21,400
Speaker 3: five offensive line in front of me because the way

1109
00:54:21,440 --> 00:54:24,680
Speaker 3: that he's able to juke himself out of tackles, UTEP

1110
00:54:24,840 --> 00:54:26,799
Speaker 3: is going to need all hands on deck and Dana

1111
00:54:26,840 --> 00:54:28,480
Speaker 3: Demo if you go and dig into some of the

1112
00:54:29,080 --> 00:54:32,520
Speaker 3: interviews he's given with the El Paso Press and his

1113
00:54:32,600 --> 00:54:35,120
Speaker 3: press are. On Monday, he said, flat out, all we

1114
00:54:35,239 --> 00:54:37,200
Speaker 3: focused on. I gave the team off on Tuesday, which

1115
00:54:37,239 --> 00:54:38,960
Speaker 3: was the weirdest damn thing I've ever seen. The team

1116
00:54:39,000 --> 00:54:42,720
Speaker 3: had off on Tuesday, then on Wednesday yesterday, he said,

1117
00:54:43,080 --> 00:54:45,279
Speaker 3: all we've done is practice tackling. We know it's the

1118
00:54:45,400 --> 00:54:48,680
Speaker 3: worst part of our team, which they're ninety first grading

1119
00:54:48,719 --> 00:54:51,520
Speaker 3: and pff tackling. We know that that's all we have

1120
00:54:51,600 --> 00:54:54,080
Speaker 3: to do. Is stop McCormick. We have to tackle, and

1121
00:54:54,160 --> 00:54:56,560
Speaker 3: I'm not sure we can get it done. Even Dana Demmo,

1122
00:54:56,960 --> 00:54:59,080
Speaker 3: the head coach, and maybe he's trying to pep his

1123
00:54:59,120 --> 00:55:01,359
Speaker 3: team up right, you gotta look into coach speak. Don't

1124
00:55:01,360 --> 00:55:03,719
Speaker 3: put too much into it. But he's acknowledging the fact

1125
00:55:03,760 --> 00:55:06,680
Speaker 3: that Cecere McCormick is going to run all over them.

1126
00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:09,560
Speaker 3: And if you look at his numbers, I mean they're asinine.

1127
00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:11,839
Speaker 3: That's why we love meat meep right. McCormick is nine

1128
00:55:11,960 --> 00:55:15,040
Speaker 3: hundred and ten rushing yards on the season, five hundred

1129
00:55:15,040 --> 00:55:20,360
Speaker 3: and fifty one of those have come after contact. It's insane.

1130
00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:23,920
Speaker 3: You touch him and he's gone. He literally is a

1131
00:55:24,040 --> 00:55:24,600
Speaker 3: road runner.

1132
00:55:25,120 --> 00:55:25,279
Speaker 4: You know.

1133
00:55:25,400 --> 00:55:27,560
Speaker 3: Everybody else is wiley coyote trying to get the dann

1134
00:55:27,600 --> 00:55:30,440
Speaker 3: fork and knife around him. UTSA runs a fast tempo

1135
00:55:30,480 --> 00:55:34,120
Speaker 3: twenty second and seconds per play. UTEP complete opposite snails.

1136
00:55:34,480 --> 00:55:37,200
Speaker 3: If UTSA gets a lead in this game, UTEP is

1137
00:55:37,360 --> 00:55:40,080
Speaker 3: not built to come back whatsoever. I mean, they were

1138
00:55:40,120 --> 00:55:42,439
Speaker 3: down eleven points to Stephen F. Austin and they came back.

1139
00:55:42,520 --> 00:55:45,360
Speaker 3: But I mean that was Stephen F. Austin, not UTSA.

1140
00:55:46,160 --> 00:55:50,080
Speaker 3: I like UTSA. I'll swallow the points here. Just McCormick.

1141
00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:52,560
Speaker 3: That's all you need to know. McCormick doesn't have COVID problems.

1142
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:54,919
Speaker 3: He doesn't need his first string offensive line.

1143
00:55:55,719 --> 00:56:01,160
Speaker 2: Fair enough. Mountain West some ugly, ugly games all week.

1144
00:56:01,200 --> 00:56:03,879
Speaker 2: I mean, the spreads are all double digits. The most

1145
00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:07,600
Speaker 2: interesting game maybe is San Diego State hosting Hawaii. San

1146
00:56:07,640 --> 00:56:09,480
Speaker 2: Diego State's an eleven and a half point favorite at

1147
00:56:09,520 --> 00:56:12,200
Speaker 2: BETMGM over under fifty two and a half. Any thoughts there.

1148
00:56:13,160 --> 00:56:15,000
Speaker 3: The number is a little bit too high at eleven

1149
00:56:15,040 --> 00:56:16,440
Speaker 3: in the market, But I think there's a couple of

1150
00:56:16,480 --> 00:56:20,080
Speaker 3: reasons why San Diego State's identity is still rushing the ball.

1151
00:56:20,560 --> 00:56:24,080
Speaker 3: Even after Rocky Long left Brady Hoaks there, they are

1152
00:56:24,200 --> 00:56:26,040
Speaker 3: still running the ball and doing it well. They're thirty

1153
00:56:26,080 --> 00:56:28,360
Speaker 3: fifth and success rate in their twenty seventh in explosiveness.

1154
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:32,439
Speaker 3: That's after their coordinator Jeff had Klinsky came in and said,

1155
00:56:32,440 --> 00:56:33,960
Speaker 3: I want us to be vertical, I want.

1156
00:56:33,880 --> 00:56:34,640
Speaker 4: Us to be electric.

1157
00:56:34,960 --> 00:56:37,000
Speaker 3: That's an issue for a Hawaii team that's outside the

1158
00:56:37,040 --> 00:56:40,360
Speaker 3: top one hundred an opponent rushing success rate and tackling.

1159
00:56:40,560 --> 00:56:43,080
Speaker 3: They can't tackle, they can't stop the rush. That's a

1160
00:56:43,120 --> 00:56:45,360
Speaker 3: bad combination against San Diego State, which is why we

1161
00:56:45,440 --> 00:56:48,719
Speaker 3: probably have an inflated line. Hawaii has been stout in

1162
00:56:48,840 --> 00:56:52,320
Speaker 3: the red zone, but opponents so far have been Fresno

1163
00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:54,080
Speaker 3: in Game one. If you know anything about Fresno, they

1164
00:56:54,120 --> 00:56:55,799
Speaker 3: were locked out of their own facilities because of COVID.

1165
00:56:56,600 --> 00:57:00,720
Speaker 3: They weren't prepared Wyoming New Mexico. This is who Hawaii

1166
00:57:00,800 --> 00:57:03,360
Speaker 3: has gotten to play so far, and that's why the

1167
00:57:03,480 --> 00:57:05,560
Speaker 3: red zone numbers kind of, you know, show that they're

1168
00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:07,960
Speaker 3: actually playing some defense. The go go offense has been

1169
00:57:08,000 --> 00:57:09,879
Speaker 3: well balanced so far between the rush and the past,

1170
00:57:09,960 --> 00:57:12,000
Speaker 3: but the success has all come in the rushing game.

1171
00:57:12,360 --> 00:57:16,640
Speaker 3: The San Diego State defense has been fantastic. Their fifth

1172
00:57:16,760 --> 00:57:19,360
Speaker 3: in Havoc, their eighth and coverage, their top twenty and

1173
00:57:19,480 --> 00:57:23,000
Speaker 3: success rate. Both the pass and the rush numbers inflated

1174
00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:25,160
Speaker 3: at eleven. But I can't find a reason to take Hawaii.

1175
00:57:25,520 --> 00:57:28,600
Speaker 3: They're just they're not getting it done. Chavon Cordero that

1176
00:57:28,680 --> 00:57:29,920
Speaker 3: I don't think he's gonna be able to run. I

1177
00:57:30,000 --> 00:57:31,680
Speaker 3: think he's being able to scape the pocket and get

1178
00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:34,600
Speaker 3: any yards against San Diego State. And let's not forget

1179
00:57:35,240 --> 00:57:37,720
Speaker 3: this game isn't a night. This game is being played

1180
00:57:37,800 --> 00:57:40,000
Speaker 3: in the mainland, and it's being played around a nine

1181
00:57:40,000 --> 00:57:41,240
Speaker 3: am local time for Hawaii.

1182
00:57:41,560 --> 00:57:43,080
Speaker 4: I think all that's factored into the number.

1183
00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:46,360
Speaker 3: Though San Diego State is decided that I want to play,

1184
00:57:46,480 --> 00:57:47,680
Speaker 3: it'll be a game time decision.

1185
00:57:48,120 --> 00:57:51,360
Speaker 2: That's on the PAC twelve. Still learning a lot about

1186
00:57:51,400 --> 00:57:54,720
Speaker 2: some of these teams, Oregon one of them. I don't

1187
00:57:54,760 --> 00:57:56,840
Speaker 2: really take too much from that game against Stanford, who

1188
00:57:56,840 --> 00:57:59,760
Speaker 2: had their quarterback and top receiver ruled out right before

1189
00:57:59,800 --> 00:58:03,360
Speaker 2: that game. Washington State and the true freshman quarterback did

1190
00:58:03,400 --> 00:58:05,400
Speaker 2: impress me. It was a good call by you. I

1191
00:58:05,680 --> 00:58:09,000
Speaker 2: lost on Lota one in Oregon State. Oregon is a

1192
00:58:09,040 --> 00:58:10,880
Speaker 2: ten and a half point favorite at at MGM over

1193
00:58:11,000 --> 00:58:13,720
Speaker 2: under fifty seven and a half on the polouse sat

1194
00:58:13,840 --> 00:58:17,240
Speaker 2: Washington State and Pullman. Any thoughts there elsewhere in the

1195
00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:19,080
Speaker 2: PAC twelve, you won a on I was.

1196
00:58:19,080 --> 00:58:21,640
Speaker 3: Writing the Sunday Morning piece with the projections for Week eleven,

1197
00:58:21,680 --> 00:58:23,520
Speaker 3: and it's not like I wasn't sweating that game out

1198
00:58:23,520 --> 00:58:24,880
Speaker 3: because the Washington State defense.

1199
00:58:26,040 --> 00:58:28,600
Speaker 4: I thought Oregon State was gonna get him, but you know,

1200
00:58:28,760 --> 00:58:29,640
Speaker 4: they held on Washington.

1201
00:58:29,640 --> 00:58:31,480
Speaker 3: I mean, it was a good game. I'm glad Pack

1202
00:58:31,560 --> 00:58:34,880
Speaker 3: twelve's back, but you know, I thought Oregon. I thought

1203
00:58:34,920 --> 00:58:36,800
Speaker 3: they left some meat on the bone. The results were

1204
00:58:36,840 --> 00:58:39,560
Speaker 3: positive for Joe Morehead and Tyler show shout, we'll get

1205
00:58:39,600 --> 00:58:42,800
Speaker 3: it right, especially taking the top ranking and passing success

1206
00:58:42,840 --> 00:58:45,840
Speaker 3: rate just after a minimal sample size of one game.

1207
00:58:46,120 --> 00:58:48,280
Speaker 3: Oregon State had a ton of success running and passing

1208
00:58:48,280 --> 00:58:51,200
Speaker 3: against the Wazoo defense that left the Coups outside the

1209
00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:55,400
Speaker 3: top one hundred and categories, like you know, lineyards, finishing drives,

1210
00:58:56,360 --> 00:58:58,720
Speaker 3: tackling certainly in favor of the Ducks in this They

1211
00:58:58,800 --> 00:59:00,960
Speaker 3: finished up with a grade of eight the FBS versus

1212
00:59:01,040 --> 00:59:04,680
Speaker 3: the Cougars over eightieth. Oregon took a ton of losses

1213
00:59:04,720 --> 00:59:07,320
Speaker 3: on defense, especially in the secondary. That was our big preview.

1214
00:59:07,800 --> 00:59:10,160
Speaker 3: I think the reason that we kind of veered towards

1215
00:59:10,200 --> 00:59:12,320
Speaker 3: Stanford last week before we do about the COVID and

1216
00:59:12,360 --> 00:59:15,880
Speaker 3: the quarterback, and they were passed on by backup quarterbacks

1217
00:59:15,960 --> 00:59:20,160
Speaker 3: Jack West and Tanner McKee. Stanford had three different receivers

1218
00:59:20,200 --> 00:59:23,240
Speaker 3: with a catch of at least twenty seven yards, So

1219
00:59:23,360 --> 00:59:26,440
Speaker 3: the Oregon secondary still a little bit suspect. As for

1220
00:59:26,520 --> 00:59:27,920
Speaker 3: the side in this game, I think the numbers right

1221
00:59:27,920 --> 00:59:30,480
Speaker 3: at ten. It's right where I project it. I can't

1222
00:59:30,560 --> 00:59:32,840
Speaker 3: see how in the world this stays under fifty eight

1223
00:59:33,160 --> 00:59:36,520
Speaker 3: considering what I saw from Nick Rolovich game one, what

1224
00:59:36,680 --> 00:59:38,720
Speaker 3: I saw from Joe Morehead, and I've actually thought that

1225
00:59:38,800 --> 00:59:42,760
Speaker 3: they left some play. I think that there's potential for

1226
00:59:42,880 --> 00:59:45,880
Speaker 3: Oregon to be even more explosive on offense. I don't

1227
00:59:45,880 --> 00:59:48,640
Speaker 3: see how this thing stays under fifty eight. I think

1228
00:59:48,680 --> 00:59:50,280
Speaker 3: an over is what we should be looking for, and

1229
00:59:50,320 --> 00:59:50,960
Speaker 3: it'll come through on.

1230
00:59:50,960 --> 00:59:54,880
Speaker 2: The app, all right, last one before we go three

1231
00:59:54,880 --> 00:59:58,680
Speaker 2: and out, a revenge spot Felipe Franks, maybe a flat

1232
00:59:58,800 --> 01:00:03,600
Speaker 2: spot for Florida after that big win, chump chomp, Kyle Pitts.

1233
01:00:03,920 --> 01:00:06,040
Speaker 2: I don't know if he's gonna go obviously, that'd be big.

1234
01:00:06,520 --> 01:00:10,240
Speaker 2: I'll step away. Colin, we have a big silly baby.

1235
01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:15,280
Speaker 2: Woo Pig Sulley absolute dumpster fine, dumpster fine.

1236
01:00:15,360 --> 01:00:16,680
Speaker 4: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1237
01:00:16,680 --> 01:00:18,880
Speaker 4: of the year. Just blow the program up, give us.

1238
01:00:18,840 --> 01:00:22,360
Speaker 3: A death sentence, Collins talking razorback football.

1239
01:00:24,240 --> 01:00:26,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, wo big siy baby. I love my Hogs here.

1240
01:00:26,560 --> 01:00:28,240
Speaker 3: And you know, the only team in the country that's

1241
01:00:28,240 --> 01:00:30,160
Speaker 3: played at least three games and has covered every single

1242
01:00:30,240 --> 01:00:33,320
Speaker 3: game six and zero against the spread. And you know Dan,

1243
01:00:34,360 --> 01:00:36,440
Speaker 3: Dan Mullin really kind of came out. He said in

1244
01:00:36,480 --> 01:00:39,760
Speaker 3: his presser on Monday that he mentioned that the hustle

1245
01:00:39,960 --> 01:00:42,200
Speaker 3: that is inside of Arkansas doesn't show up in the

1246
01:00:42,240 --> 01:00:45,440
Speaker 3: stat line. That's one correct. If you look in their

1247
01:00:45,480 --> 01:00:47,600
Speaker 3: stat line. There are some things that are just absolutely

1248
01:00:47,720 --> 01:00:51,000
Speaker 3: terrible outside the top one hundred and things like tackling,

1249
01:00:51,520 --> 01:00:56,280
Speaker 3: sack rate, lineyards, rushing explosiveness and things are I mean,

1250
01:00:56,400 --> 01:00:58,520
Speaker 3: it's not a pretty picture for Arkansas when you look

1251
01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:00,920
Speaker 3: at the advanced stats, but yeah, they keep covering. Is

1252
01:01:01,040 --> 01:01:05,240
Speaker 3: Vegas just missing out or is Arkansas exceeding expectations week

1253
01:01:05,240 --> 01:01:05,760
Speaker 3: after weekend.

1254
01:01:05,800 --> 01:01:06,760
Speaker 4: It's a little bit of both.

1255
01:01:07,200 --> 01:01:09,760
Speaker 3: And so when you look at this, you think, well,

1256
01:01:09,920 --> 01:01:13,880
Speaker 3: I should play Arkansas because Felipe Franks, b Sam Pittman,

1257
01:01:14,280 --> 01:01:16,840
Speaker 3: Ce Kyle Pitts. Let's wipe a and be off the board.

1258
01:01:17,200 --> 01:01:19,200
Speaker 3: And let me be real clear about this, this is

1259
01:01:19,280 --> 01:01:22,439
Speaker 3: not a revenge game for Felipe Franks. If you happen

1260
01:01:22,520 --> 01:01:26,480
Speaker 3: to watch some of that twenty nineteen HBO special they

1261
01:01:26,480 --> 01:01:29,760
Speaker 3: put out where they featured four college football teams, god

1262
01:01:29,840 --> 01:01:31,880
Speaker 3: Mike Leaches at WAZU did, but one of them was

1263
01:01:31,960 --> 01:01:34,800
Speaker 3: Dan Mullen in the Florida program for a game that

1264
01:01:34,840 --> 01:01:38,480
Speaker 3: they played against FCS. If you watch that special, Dan

1265
01:01:38,560 --> 01:01:42,080
Speaker 3: Mullen and his wife loved Felipe Franks. Felipe Franks loves

1266
01:01:42,120 --> 01:01:45,600
Speaker 3: the Mullen family. There was no hard feelings about this transfer.

1267
01:01:46,080 --> 01:01:49,760
Speaker 3: There was nothing in between Franks and the Mullen family

1268
01:01:50,320 --> 01:01:53,080
Speaker 3: when it came to this move. As a matter of fact,

1269
01:01:53,280 --> 01:01:55,120
Speaker 3: Dan Mullen came out on Monday and mentioned that you

1270
01:01:55,160 --> 01:01:57,760
Speaker 3: know how much he cares about Felipe Franks. So there's

1271
01:01:57,840 --> 01:02:01,959
Speaker 3: none of this angst or what I said about Brian

1272
01:02:02,080 --> 01:02:03,920
Speaker 3: Kelly wanting to make sure you're Kovic has a really

1273
01:02:03,960 --> 01:02:06,280
Speaker 3: bad day for BC. That doesn't exist here. So we

1274
01:02:06,320 --> 01:02:08,440
Speaker 3: can wipe that narrative off the board. What we need

1275
01:02:08,520 --> 01:02:10,200
Speaker 3: to focus on what this point spread is about.

1276
01:02:10,600 --> 01:02:11,160
Speaker 4: Kyle Pitts.

1277
01:02:11,400 --> 01:02:13,800
Speaker 3: Really, this entire game, this entire point spread which I

1278
01:02:13,920 --> 01:02:15,760
Speaker 3: make seventeen and a half, it's sitting in seventeen.

1279
01:02:16,000 --> 01:02:17,040
Speaker 4: It's all about Kyle Pitts.

1280
01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:20,760
Speaker 3: Every third down target, every red zone attempt, it all

1281
01:02:20,840 --> 01:02:23,440
Speaker 3: has to do with Kyle Pitts and Kyle Trask. So

1282
01:02:23,840 --> 01:02:26,240
Speaker 3: you know, Kyle Pitts is it's a monster loss. If

1283
01:02:26,280 --> 01:02:30,040
Speaker 3: he can't go, he's still in concussion protocol. We don't

1284
01:02:30,040 --> 01:02:31,760
Speaker 3: know if he's going to get out of that. Kyle

1285
01:02:31,840 --> 01:02:34,800
Speaker 3: Trast's first look on any passes pits and it leaves

1286
01:02:34,880 --> 01:02:37,720
Speaker 3: really the Gators with no third down options. Arkansas's ranked

1287
01:02:37,760 --> 01:02:41,240
Speaker 3: sixth in defending pass explosiveness and their ninth and PFF

1288
01:02:41,600 --> 01:02:44,800
Speaker 3: coverage grading. Now they're terrible at tackling. You say, how

1289
01:02:45,000 --> 01:02:47,400
Speaker 3: is it that they're ninth and coverage because they hustle.

1290
01:02:47,560 --> 01:02:50,440
Speaker 3: They hustle their ass off. And if Kadarius Tony's like,

1291
01:02:50,480 --> 01:02:52,640
Speaker 3: really the only one you got a key on because

1292
01:02:52,680 --> 01:02:55,320
Speaker 3: Kyle Pitts isn't there, then that makes Arkansas's life pretty easy.

1293
01:02:55,760 --> 01:02:58,160
Speaker 3: So really, for me, the game comes down to pits.

1294
01:02:58,240 --> 01:03:00,439
Speaker 3: You know, for the spread and with the red zone

1295
01:03:00,480 --> 01:03:03,000
Speaker 3: and third down target there there's value in Arkansas seventeen

1296
01:03:03,000 --> 01:03:05,400
Speaker 3: and a half. There's value in Arkansas seventeen. And you

1297
01:03:05,480 --> 01:03:07,920
Speaker 3: know what, Traylon Burks, We'll see if Florida, you know,

1298
01:03:07,960 --> 01:03:09,920
Speaker 3: they did good on shutting Georgia down on third downs.

1299
01:03:09,960 --> 01:03:12,640
Speaker 3: But this Felipe Franks to Traylon Burks, I mean, it's

1300
01:03:12,640 --> 01:03:16,360
Speaker 3: a pretty explosive. It's the only factor that Arkansas has

1301
01:03:16,480 --> 01:03:18,200
Speaker 3: going for him. But trail On Burks is one of

1302
01:03:18,200 --> 01:03:20,760
Speaker 3: the best in the nation. He's close to seven yards

1303
01:03:20,840 --> 01:03:23,040
Speaker 3: after contact. I mean, that's the only thing that Florida

1304
01:03:23,040 --> 01:03:24,120
Speaker 3: has to stop. We'll see if they.

1305
01:03:24,000 --> 01:03:24,320
Speaker 4: Can do it.

1306
01:03:24,400 --> 01:03:27,400
Speaker 3: But like I said, focus on Kyle Pitts. Check ninety

1307
01:03:27,400 --> 01:03:30,000
Speaker 3: minutes for the game, see if concussion protocols cleared. That'll

1308
01:03:30,000 --> 01:03:31,320
Speaker 3: help you make your decision on this one.

1309
01:03:31,760 --> 01:03:33,960
Speaker 2: Fair enough, before we go three and out, I want

1310
01:03:34,000 --> 01:03:37,240
Speaker 2: to remind every one of the Action Network podcast Tournament

1311
01:03:37,280 --> 01:03:41,600
Speaker 2: of Champions presented by bet MGM. It's live. It's been

1312
01:03:41,760 --> 01:03:46,360
Speaker 2: live all year to free weekly Yahoo DFS tournaments specifically

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01:03:46,440 --> 01:03:48,880
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01:03:48,920 --> 01:03:51,320
Speaker 2: by clicking on the link in our episode description. Top

1315
01:03:51,400 --> 01:03:54,360
Speaker 2: ten weekly finishers receive over one thousand dollars worth of

1316
01:03:54,560 --> 01:03:58,160
Speaker 2: Action Network prizes, and the top five finishers each week

1317
01:03:58,240 --> 01:04:01,240
Speaker 2: punch their ticket to the wild Card Weekend Grand Finale,

1318
01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:04,040
Speaker 2: where they'll compete for the grand prize of Las Vegas

1319
01:04:04,080 --> 01:04:07,600
Speaker 2: Trip four two, valued at over five gee's courtesy of BETMGM,

1320
01:04:07,640 --> 01:04:09,440
Speaker 2: the official arts provider of the Action of our podcast.

1321
01:04:09,480 --> 01:04:12,640
Speaker 2: So again, you can join tournament for free every week.

1322
01:04:13,560 --> 01:04:15,720
Speaker 2: You can join it one week and not the next,

1323
01:04:15,840 --> 01:04:19,200
Speaker 2: and then the next We'll join it every week of

1324
01:04:19,280 --> 01:04:21,120
Speaker 2: the NFL regular season. Just click on the link in

1325
01:04:21,200 --> 01:04:23,800
Speaker 2: our episode description. All right, Oh, and by the way,

1326
01:04:23,960 --> 01:04:26,440
Speaker 2: leave reviews five star reviews. I didn't get time to

1327
01:04:26,560 --> 01:04:28,360
Speaker 2: go through them today. I'm gonna do them every week

1328
01:04:28,400 --> 01:04:30,800
Speaker 2: to give away prizes. I'll go through them and give

1329
01:04:30,840 --> 01:04:34,040
Speaker 2: way prizes on Sunday's recap episode. All right, before we

1330
01:04:34,040 --> 01:04:37,919
Speaker 2: get out of here, let's go three and out. Let's

1331
01:04:38,000 --> 01:04:41,240
Speaker 2: make it a quick three and out. All right, first down,

1332
01:04:41,320 --> 01:04:43,520
Speaker 2: we got to cover some Friday night lights.

1333
01:04:44,400 --> 01:04:47,240
Speaker 4: Let's hear a gentlemen clears full hearts.

1334
01:04:48,080 --> 01:04:52,440
Speaker 2: Let's go play some football. We have three college football

1335
01:04:52,560 --> 01:04:57,520
Speaker 2: games on Friday night. We have Florida Atlantic at Florida International,

1336
01:04:57,840 --> 01:04:59,520
Speaker 2: Florida LANTICX a nine and a half point favorite over

1337
01:04:59,600 --> 01:05:02,640
Speaker 2: under forty and a half at bet MGM. I'll tell

1338
01:05:02,640 --> 01:05:05,080
Speaker 2: you I played that under already. I played under forty two,

1339
01:05:06,000 --> 01:05:09,200
Speaker 2: just like last week. What FAU we talked about. We

1340
01:05:09,280 --> 01:05:12,080
Speaker 2: talked about Jim Levitt last week at three four defense.

1341
01:05:12,120 --> 01:05:14,680
Speaker 2: He has that d playing so well. If you're a smart,

1342
01:05:14,800 --> 01:05:17,560
Speaker 2: really advanced smart quarterback, you can beat it because it's

1343
01:05:17,600 --> 01:05:19,600
Speaker 2: kind of simple on the back end. If not the

1344
01:05:19,640 --> 01:05:21,760
Speaker 2: way that he blitzed his linebackers. And you know who

1345
01:05:21,760 --> 01:05:24,160
Speaker 2: doesn't have a quarterback FIU, and you know also doesn't

1346
01:05:24,160 --> 01:05:28,400
Speaker 2: have a quarterback FAU. This game should be ugly. FIU

1347
01:05:28,520 --> 01:05:31,080
Speaker 2: might be a bottom five ten team in the country.

1348
01:05:31,240 --> 01:05:35,680
Speaker 2: They they're really bad. We also have East Carolina it's November,

1349
01:05:36,320 --> 01:05:39,240
Speaker 2: Taylor saylors yep catching twenty seven and a half. I

1350
01:05:39,320 --> 01:05:40,840
Speaker 2: bet them GM over under fifty six and a half

1351
01:05:40,920 --> 01:05:44,600
Speaker 2: at Cincy. It's just been rolling. And we also have

1352
01:05:44,680 --> 01:05:47,960
Speaker 2: Iowa playing three and a half at Minnesota got off

1353
01:05:48,000 --> 01:05:50,560
Speaker 2: the snout last week with that big win over Illinois.

1354
01:05:52,320 --> 01:05:54,880
Speaker 2: Any thoughts if you disagree with that, FAU, or any

1355
01:05:54,920 --> 01:05:55,919
Speaker 2: thoughts on those other two games.

1356
01:05:56,320 --> 01:05:56,960
Speaker 4: Oh, I know.

1357
01:05:57,080 --> 01:05:58,840
Speaker 3: I mean I was in the action app as quick

1358
01:05:58,840 --> 01:06:00,280
Speaker 3: as I could get it in the under in the game.

1359
01:06:00,480 --> 01:06:02,280
Speaker 3: It would have really helped it. I shouldn't say that

1360
01:06:02,320 --> 01:06:04,760
Speaker 3: I have helped. But there was a hurricane tropical storm

1361
01:06:05,160 --> 01:06:08,880
Speaker 3: you know, Eta passed through, so you know that the

1362
01:06:08,960 --> 01:06:10,520
Speaker 3: wind here is still gonna be high. It's still going

1363
01:06:10,560 --> 01:06:12,080
Speaker 3: to be ten mile an hour wins. I'm not sure

1364
01:06:12,120 --> 01:06:14,520
Speaker 3: what kind of practice time went on between FAU and FIU,

1365
01:06:14,640 --> 01:06:17,520
Speaker 3: but like like Stuck said, there's no quarterback options here,

1366
01:06:17,880 --> 01:06:21,160
Speaker 3: Florida Atlantic is moving pretty much going to be moving

1367
01:06:21,200 --> 01:06:24,480
Speaker 3: on to a quarterback that has one passing attempt and

1368
01:06:24,640 --> 01:06:27,360
Speaker 3: one interception. They are going to be probably a one

1369
01:06:27,440 --> 01:06:30,120
Speaker 3: hundred percent rush team. Yeah, so under under under here

1370
01:06:30,120 --> 01:06:32,760
Speaker 3: projector that D is good. Levet has that D rolling

1371
01:06:33,280 --> 01:06:35,320
Speaker 3: the D is great. I have an I have a

1372
01:06:35,360 --> 01:06:37,280
Speaker 3: write up out on Action Network. You can go and

1373
01:06:37,400 --> 01:06:39,840
Speaker 3: look and see how FAU is one hundred and fifth

1374
01:06:39,840 --> 01:06:43,040
Speaker 3: and finishing drives there are one hundred outside the top

1375
01:06:43,120 --> 01:06:45,080
Speaker 3: one hundred and success rate, and then you can go

1376
01:06:45,120 --> 01:06:47,600
Speaker 3: and see the FIU is also outside the top one

1377
01:06:47,640 --> 01:06:51,960
Speaker 3: hundred and success rate for passing defenses should reign supreme here,

1378
01:06:52,920 --> 01:06:55,240
Speaker 3: you know, slow paced eighty first of sixty seven of

1379
01:06:55,240 --> 01:06:56,000
Speaker 3: the seconds per play.

1380
01:06:56,720 --> 01:07:00,520
Speaker 4: Just look at the under here. As far as I goes,

1381
01:07:00,640 --> 01:07:01,720
Speaker 4: I did do the ride up on that.

1382
01:07:01,960 --> 01:07:03,880
Speaker 3: You'll be able to get that over on action and

1383
01:07:04,000 --> 01:07:06,720
Speaker 3: I'll just leave it and say I think I was

1384
01:07:06,720 --> 01:07:09,800
Speaker 3: gonna be able to score their share of points. This

1385
01:07:09,960 --> 01:07:12,640
Speaker 3: Minnesota defense. There are specific areas where they are being

1386
01:07:13,200 --> 01:07:16,640
Speaker 3: putrid horrible Iowa. I think they're trying to put it together.

1387
01:07:16,680 --> 01:07:19,520
Speaker 3: Spencer Petris, their quarterback, the right up wild be on action.

1388
01:07:19,760 --> 01:07:23,000
Speaker 3: I do think I was going to score their fair share. Yeah,

1389
01:07:23,120 --> 01:07:26,080
Speaker 3: ECU right, I mean really does this is what it

1390
01:07:26,160 --> 01:07:27,800
Speaker 3: kind of debated all week? Is this a sleepy spot

1391
01:07:27,880 --> 01:07:31,760
Speaker 3: for Cincinnati? They play Central Florida next week. I think

1392
01:07:31,840 --> 01:07:34,720
Speaker 3: in their brains they make that a big game. The

1393
01:07:34,840 --> 01:07:37,200
Speaker 3: records say it's not right Central Florida with a couple

1394
01:07:37,200 --> 01:07:40,000
Speaker 3: of losses already, but Cincinnati knows they got to put

1395
01:07:40,040 --> 01:07:43,560
Speaker 3: on a show next week. This one East Carolina primetime,

1396
01:07:43,840 --> 01:07:46,160
Speaker 3: but there's also a big ten game going on, so

1397
01:07:46,360 --> 01:07:48,640
Speaker 3: not really gonna be a whole bunch of eyeballs. I'm

1398
01:07:48,680 --> 01:07:51,080
Speaker 3: not sure how serious they're taking. East Carolina is Desmond

1399
01:07:51,120 --> 01:07:54,240
Speaker 3: Ritter and the explosive run gonna be able to bust

1400
01:07:54,320 --> 01:07:56,480
Speaker 3: out like he has Desmond Ridder in that offense is

1401
01:07:56,520 --> 01:08:00,400
Speaker 3: now sixth and rush explosiveness. East Carolina's ninetieth and defending

1402
01:08:00,480 --> 01:08:03,880
Speaker 3: opponent rush explosiveness. Holt Naylor is going to do his thing.

1403
01:08:04,160 --> 01:08:05,080
Speaker 3: Is it going to be able to get away with

1404
01:08:05,080 --> 01:08:05,840
Speaker 3: it against Cincinnati?

1405
01:08:06,480 --> 01:08:07,320
Speaker 4: It's a large number.

1406
01:08:07,400 --> 01:08:10,280
Speaker 3: I would feel better with Ailers at twenty eight. Twenty

1407
01:08:10,320 --> 01:08:11,760
Speaker 3: seven and a half gives me a little heartburn.

1408
01:08:12,400 --> 01:08:14,520
Speaker 2: Aalor's number. They put Up we talked about earlier put

1409
01:08:14,560 --> 01:08:16,880
Speaker 2: Up four. It should almost beat since he's get through

1410
01:08:16,960 --> 01:08:19,000
Speaker 2: like five hours forty points last year.

1411
01:08:19,520 --> 01:08:21,320
Speaker 4: Well, is that the game? The lights went out? That

1412
01:08:21,479 --> 01:08:24,800
Speaker 4: was maction type level? Shit right? How beautiful is maction?

1413
01:08:25,200 --> 01:08:26,679
Speaker 4: How beautiful is maction?

1414
01:08:27,240 --> 01:08:29,880
Speaker 3: Oh man, just when we thought we had peak maction.

1415
01:08:30,280 --> 01:08:32,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, that was the game. I think the lights went out.

1416
01:08:32,280 --> 01:08:34,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're just gonna shut the lights off with six

1417
01:08:34,400 --> 01:08:36,880
Speaker 3: minutes left and let everybody regroup here. I don't know

1418
01:08:36,920 --> 01:08:38,840
Speaker 3: how he's not in the Mac. Can we lobby to

1419
01:08:38,880 --> 01:08:40,040
Speaker 3: get East Carolina.

1420
01:08:39,640 --> 01:08:40,040
Speaker 4: In the MAC?

1421
01:08:40,320 --> 01:08:43,080
Speaker 2: That'd be great, they would fit well. All right, Yeah,

1422
01:08:43,120 --> 01:08:44,880
Speaker 2: make sure you check out the actionework dot com and

1423
01:08:44,960 --> 01:08:47,400
Speaker 2: the Action Network app, the only app that you should

1424
01:08:47,400 --> 01:08:51,639
Speaker 2: have to track your bets and for betting content. I'd

1425
01:08:51,680 --> 01:08:53,800
Speaker 2: live on it if I couldn't imagine a Saturday or

1426
01:08:53,800 --> 01:08:58,519
Speaker 2: Sunday without it. Just the green to red transitions, nothing

1427
01:08:58,600 --> 01:08:59,080
Speaker 2: so gray.

1428
01:08:59,360 --> 01:09:01,840
Speaker 4: There's some gray. When COVID carries up, you get some grays.

1429
01:09:01,960 --> 01:09:04,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, let's move on a second down here and

1430
01:09:05,200 --> 01:09:08,360
Speaker 2: talk about our favorite overdogs.

1431
01:09:08,800 --> 01:09:10,400
Speaker 4: It's called the Overdog Parlay.

1432
01:09:10,960 --> 01:09:13,080
Speaker 2: All right, let's get the prices right music in here.

1433
01:09:13,120 --> 01:09:19,519
Speaker 2: We'll go through these quickly. All right, our first one,

1434
01:09:19,800 --> 01:09:21,640
Speaker 2: you're gonna tell me if the price is right or

1435
01:09:21,680 --> 01:09:25,360
Speaker 2: if we're biting UCF. You just mentioned them twenty five

1436
01:09:25,439 --> 01:09:28,360
Speaker 2: and a half. Now if at MGM favorites at home

1437
01:09:28,400 --> 01:09:32,360
Speaker 2: against Temple, price is right or back to the overdog listen.

1438
01:09:32,439 --> 01:09:33,920
Speaker 4: I think such a Florida might have a little bit

1439
01:09:33,920 --> 01:09:34,760
Speaker 4: of overlook here too.

1440
01:09:35,080 --> 01:09:37,120
Speaker 3: I have no love for Temple, I have no love

1441
01:09:37,200 --> 01:09:39,400
Speaker 3: for their head coach, and I think the price is

1442
01:09:39,520 --> 01:09:42,080
Speaker 3: right is something I projected twenty six, So twenty five,

1443
01:09:42,200 --> 01:09:44,040
Speaker 3: twenty five and a half kind of sitting in a

1444
01:09:44,120 --> 01:09:46,479
Speaker 3: dead zone. I just don't see how Temple is able

1445
01:09:46,520 --> 01:09:49,280
Speaker 3: to compete that defense. One hundred and fifteenth in tackling,

1446
01:09:49,800 --> 01:09:51,639
Speaker 3: forget it. I mean, I don't care what the best

1447
01:09:51,680 --> 01:09:53,280
Speaker 3: splits are. I don't care if the numbers in a

1448
01:09:53,360 --> 01:09:55,280
Speaker 3: dead zone. I'm not back on a Temple team. It's

1449
01:09:55,280 --> 01:09:56,679
Speaker 3: one hundred and fifteenth in tackling.

1450
01:09:57,000 --> 01:09:58,519
Speaker 2: You have to also take a look to see if

1451
01:09:58,520 --> 01:10:01,760
Speaker 2: Anthony Russo and David and Robinson are back. They've been

1452
01:10:01,800 --> 01:10:04,920
Speaker 2: shorthanded the last two games, so the price is right

1453
01:10:05,080 --> 01:10:09,240
Speaker 2: on the nights there you have down. Oh gosh, all right,

1454
01:10:09,280 --> 01:10:12,880
Speaker 2: the next one. What we have here is Marshall minus

1455
01:10:12,920 --> 01:10:14,519
Speaker 2: twenty three and a half min it's one to fifteen.

1456
01:10:14,520 --> 01:10:18,000
Speaker 2: They're basically mine. It's twenty four everywhere at home against

1457
01:10:18,800 --> 01:10:21,960
Speaker 2: I can't even say their name without vomiting. The Middle

1458
01:10:22,080 --> 01:10:24,400
Speaker 2: Tennessee is the price right here?

1459
01:10:25,080 --> 01:10:27,519
Speaker 3: Then you get COVID by going to Murphysborough. Isn't that

1460
01:10:27,560 --> 01:10:28,040
Speaker 3: the same time?

1461
01:10:28,640 --> 01:10:30,240
Speaker 2: Is that where you go to Potential? Yeah?

1462
01:10:30,360 --> 01:10:33,040
Speaker 4: That's all right? So is the price right? Okay?

1463
01:10:33,160 --> 01:10:36,400
Speaker 3: So I say that the projected spread should be seventeen.

1464
01:10:36,560 --> 01:10:39,120
Speaker 3: This is a touchdown higher. So I would say that

1465
01:10:39,200 --> 01:10:41,360
Speaker 3: we would need to back Middle Tennessee. But there's other

1466
01:10:41,439 --> 01:10:45,559
Speaker 3: things going on here. Marshall is playing for style points.

1467
01:10:45,920 --> 01:10:49,040
Speaker 3: It's the fiftieth anniversary of something very large in their program.

1468
01:10:49,400 --> 01:10:51,960
Speaker 3: This is a very special it's a very special year

1469
01:10:52,040 --> 01:10:54,719
Speaker 3: for the program. It is foot down on the pedal,

1470
01:10:54,760 --> 01:10:58,439
Speaker 3: hammer down. I think the price is right. I'm going

1471
01:10:58,479 --> 01:11:01,400
Speaker 3: to bid a dollar and hopefully i'm under everybody else,

1472
01:11:01,439 --> 01:11:03,400
Speaker 3: and everybody else'll bust and hopefully I get to come

1473
01:11:03,479 --> 01:11:03,880
Speaker 3: on down.

1474
01:11:04,000 --> 01:11:05,120
Speaker 4: I'm gonna take Marshall.

1475
01:11:04,920 --> 01:11:07,439
Speaker 2: Here, all right. And the last one we have here

1476
01:11:08,160 --> 01:11:11,040
Speaker 2: we get some fcs or no in the prices right segment.

1477
01:11:11,760 --> 01:11:16,960
Speaker 2: We have Liberty, I have for that huge win. They

1478
01:11:17,120 --> 01:11:20,120
Speaker 2: are over about Tech. Liberty is seven to zero right

1479
01:11:20,280 --> 01:11:23,000
Speaker 2: twenty seconds to Nazie this coming. Hugh Freeze just signed

1480
01:11:23,040 --> 01:11:25,559
Speaker 2: an extension. They are thirty two and a half point

1481
01:11:25,600 --> 01:11:28,479
Speaker 2: favorites at home over Western Carolina, who has yet to

1482
01:11:28,520 --> 01:11:30,120
Speaker 2: play a game this year. Help us out at the

1483
01:11:30,160 --> 01:11:31,200
Speaker 2: price right, The.

1484
01:11:31,280 --> 01:11:32,080
Speaker 4: Price is right.

1485
01:11:32,240 --> 01:11:36,439
Speaker 3: Sagurd makes this game forty six, forty six, and I'm

1486
01:11:36,479 --> 01:11:38,759
Speaker 3: staring at these numbers in the mid to low thirties.

1487
01:11:39,000 --> 01:11:40,639
Speaker 4: Yeah, sign me up Liberty all day.

1488
01:11:40,920 --> 01:11:43,840
Speaker 2: All right, thanks for playing some prices. Right before we

1489
01:11:43,920 --> 01:11:46,600
Speaker 2: get out of here, we have one last thing to

1490
01:11:46,680 --> 01:11:48,559
Speaker 2: do and hopefully we can make it back to back weeks.

1491
01:11:49,000 --> 01:11:56,360
Speaker 2: That's our favorite money line underdogs, turning good weekends into

1492
01:11:56,600 --> 01:12:02,640
Speaker 2: great weekends. It's time for the money line parlay. All right.

1493
01:12:02,800 --> 01:12:06,080
Speaker 2: I had Notre Dame last week. I'm going this week

1494
01:12:06,280 --> 01:12:11,000
Speaker 2: with a smaller home dog and Purdue. I make Purdue

1495
01:12:11,200 --> 01:12:14,559
Speaker 2: a slight favorite here and a little their their star

1496
01:12:14,720 --> 01:12:18,160
Speaker 2: d end Carlo because he's questionable. Keep your eye on that.

1497
01:12:19,040 --> 01:12:23,519
Speaker 6: But Rondel Moore, little Birdie West Lafayette told me he

1498
01:12:23,680 --> 01:12:28,680
Speaker 6: may or may not. I will not confirm, but just

1499
01:12:28,760 --> 01:12:32,040
Speaker 6: throwing this out there that Rondo More was practicing or

1500
01:12:32,120 --> 01:12:34,200
Speaker 6: may or may not have been practicing with the Ones

1501
01:12:34,280 --> 01:12:38,360
Speaker 6: today and he will be playing on a Saturday alongside

1502
01:12:38,439 --> 01:12:44,000
Speaker 6: David Bell maybe possibly potentially Purdue boiler up where you're

1503
01:12:44,000 --> 01:12:44,439
Speaker 6: gonna call.

1504
01:12:44,400 --> 01:12:47,519
Speaker 3: Them call It's gonna be definitely gonna be in my

1505
01:12:47,720 --> 01:12:50,599
Speaker 3: portfolio comes Saturday. I'm gonna stick in the Big ten,

1506
01:12:51,640 --> 01:12:53,719
Speaker 3: going with the black Shirts. I'm gonna go with Corn.

1507
01:12:54,120 --> 01:12:56,800
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Nebraska. That sounds i Colin never

1508
01:12:56,840 --> 01:12:58,160
Speaker 3: takes Nebraska, so there must be a.

1509
01:12:58,200 --> 01:12:58,760
Speaker 4: Reason for it.

1510
01:12:59,520 --> 01:13:01,840
Speaker 3: This is a loose goes home loser pulls to Oe

1511
01:13:01,840 --> 01:13:03,880
Speaker 3: in three. I'm not I'm not sure what Penn State

1512
01:13:03,920 --> 01:13:07,000
Speaker 3: has to play for. The numbers should be over a touchdown.

1513
01:13:07,120 --> 01:13:09,439
Speaker 4: It's not. It's three. It's hung there all week. It

1514
01:13:09,560 --> 01:13:11,880
Speaker 4: has taken ass loads of money.

1515
01:13:12,439 --> 01:13:16,080
Speaker 3: Every book you can look at is eighty percent Penn

1516
01:13:16,120 --> 01:13:19,560
Speaker 3: State money, ticket count, money count everything. This number is

1517
01:13:19,600 --> 01:13:22,400
Speaker 3: so short. Oddsmakers are dying for action. Is that the

1518
01:13:22,479 --> 01:13:25,000
Speaker 3: reason that you should back Nebraska. It's not the sole reason,

1519
01:13:25,120 --> 01:13:27,960
Speaker 3: but man, is it an indicator about what may happen here?

1520
01:13:28,200 --> 01:13:30,880
Speaker 3: If Nebraska plays a clean game. And I don't care

1521
01:13:30,920 --> 01:13:34,040
Speaker 3: if it comes from adri Martinez for Luke McCaffrey, because

1522
01:13:34,080 --> 01:13:35,360
Speaker 3: I think Frost is dumble Martinez.

1523
01:13:35,400 --> 01:13:37,880
Speaker 4: But we'll see. I think he's going to switch the quarterbacks,

1524
01:13:37,880 --> 01:13:38,800
Speaker 4: so it's a clean game.

1525
01:13:38,960 --> 01:13:41,160
Speaker 3: They play a clean game. They beat Penn State, and

1526
01:13:41,240 --> 01:13:43,200
Speaker 3: I don't think Penn State cares about how the rest

1527
01:13:43,200 --> 01:13:44,200
Speaker 3: of the season is going to play out.

1528
01:13:44,479 --> 01:13:45,720
Speaker 4: Frankly, the whole.

1529
01:13:45,800 --> 01:13:47,719
Speaker 3: I don't give a shit segment in that we should

1530
01:13:47,760 --> 01:13:48,920
Speaker 3: start up here in a couple of weeks.

1531
01:13:49,160 --> 01:13:51,280
Speaker 1: Oh my god, who cash?

1532
01:13:51,840 --> 01:13:53,600
Speaker 4: I think that applies to Penn State right now? What

1533
01:13:53,680 --> 01:13:55,120
Speaker 4: are you playing for? I don't know.

1534
01:13:55,600 --> 01:13:58,640
Speaker 3: Oh in three now, I lost to Maryland and a

1535
01:13:58,760 --> 01:14:01,880
Speaker 3: billion point favorite to Maryland and lost that game. Penn

1536
01:14:01,920 --> 01:14:04,479
Speaker 3: State has absolutely nothing to play for the traveling to

1537
01:14:04,560 --> 01:14:08,400
Speaker 3: the Midwest. This number screams corn outright.

1538
01:14:08,800 --> 01:14:11,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, they'll be my underdog one of the play here,

1539
01:14:11,360 --> 01:14:13,920
Speaker 2: am I round Robin. Check out our piece that'll be

1540
01:14:13,960 --> 01:14:17,280
Speaker 2: out Friday night over write ups for both. I'll include

1541
01:14:17,479 --> 01:14:19,840
Speaker 2: the games I'm including from round Robin's column. I'll have

1542
01:14:19,920 --> 01:14:22,439
Speaker 2: something for his round Robin as well. And yeah, I

1543
01:14:22,560 --> 01:14:24,759
Speaker 2: said it last week. Good thing I didn't play Maryland.

1544
01:14:24,800 --> 01:14:27,519
Speaker 2: But I said Penn State had national title aspirations. They're

1545
01:14:27,600 --> 01:14:30,840
Speaker 2: now O in two and they're playing Maryland Home. There's

1546
01:14:30,880 --> 01:14:33,080
Speaker 2: a good chance they're just we were owing two. Now

1547
01:14:33,120 --> 01:14:35,439
Speaker 2: there's nothing to play for, and yep they lost out

1548
01:14:35,520 --> 01:14:38,639
Speaker 2: right as twenty seven point favorites. Now they're rowing three

1549
01:14:39,040 --> 01:14:40,840
Speaker 2: that are going on the road in Nebraska. What's the

1550
01:14:40,920 --> 01:14:45,200
Speaker 2: incentive now? So I completely agree with you there. I

1551
01:14:45,360 --> 01:14:49,479
Speaker 2: was probably I was. I sent you the the script

1552
01:14:49,880 --> 01:14:52,960
Speaker 2: and an hour before to put and then you put

1553
01:14:53,040 --> 01:14:54,559
Speaker 2: years in. I think I would have had in Nebraska.

1554
01:14:54,600 --> 01:14:56,800
Speaker 2: If you didn't, and you might have had, I.

1555
01:14:56,800 --> 01:14:57,320
Speaker 4: Would have taken.

1556
01:14:57,960 --> 01:14:59,879
Speaker 3: I would have taken for due one hundred percent guarantee.

1557
01:15:00,040 --> 01:15:02,120
Speaker 3: I filmed the round Robin video. It's gonna have both

1558
01:15:02,120 --> 01:15:04,400
Speaker 3: of the teams in it. So yeah, we are fully invested.

1559
01:15:04,080 --> 01:15:04,599
Speaker 4: In the Big Ten.

1560
01:15:04,880 --> 01:15:05,920
Speaker 2: All right, bring back Rondo.

1561
01:15:05,960 --> 01:15:08,519
Speaker 6: I hope hopefully maybe Rondo more plays is Saturday?

1562
01:15:15,880 --> 01:15:19,000
Speaker 2: All right? Uh, that'll do it for us. Don't forget

1563
01:15:19,000 --> 01:15:21,120
Speaker 2: about the voicemail, don't forget about the reviews. We'll hand

1564
01:15:21,200 --> 01:15:25,360
Speaker 2: out some handouts on Sunday night and on a recap

1565
01:15:25,400 --> 01:15:28,760
Speaker 2: episode that will be out Monday morning. Rate review, subscribe,

1566
01:15:29,160 --> 01:15:31,880
Speaker 2: unsubscribe subscribe. You know the drill, Tell a friend telling enemy.

1567
01:15:32,200 --> 01:15:36,400
Speaker 2: Appreciate everyone listening. Let's get some winners this weekend and

1568
01:15:36,640 --> 01:15:39,840
Speaker 2: enjoy the college football that we have. We'll catch you

1569
01:15:39,880 --> 01:15:51,080
Speaker 2: all later. Cheers, peace out, We're finished talking.