WEBVTT - NFL PLAYOFF BETTING PREDICTIONS 0:00:00.800 --> 0:00:05.760 Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock bet. We 0:00:05.800 --> 0:00:08.760 are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the 0:00:08.800 --> 0:00:11.600 betting show that makes the squares. Sharper makes the wise 0:00:11.600 --> 0:00:14.360 guys pay attention. I am Chad Milman. I am joined 0:00:15.000 --> 0:00:17.840 as I am for every show by my co host, 0:00:17.840 --> 0:00:21.800 my bff, my companion, mikeel Padre professional Better Simon Hunter 0:00:22.520 --> 0:00:25.440 Eto Simon Chad. 0:00:25.480 --> 0:00:28.319 As we turn this page after our brutal World Cup 0:00:28.360 --> 0:00:31.840 loss last night, thank god for only what four weeks 0:00:31.840 --> 0:00:34.280 away from our first preseason the game, I think Adam 0:00:34.280 --> 0:00:37.040 Schefter tweeted, so it did what it needed to do. 0:00:37.120 --> 0:00:39.159 It killed us a month of time and we only 0:00:39.200 --> 0:00:41.000 have to make another month work until we have some. 0:00:41.280 --> 0:00:44.800 Look, it's been amazing and like, I really love the 0:00:44.880 --> 0:00:48.120 collective experience that everyone's been sharing with the World Cup. 0:00:48.159 --> 0:00:50.400 It's been so much fun to watch such a brutal 0:00:50.440 --> 0:00:56.000 loss last night. Bad bad mistakes, you know what I 0:00:56.000 --> 0:00:59.800 love about it. I don't know if you can see this, Simon. 0:01:00.160 --> 0:01:03.279 I know you're wearing World Cup paraphernalia. I right now 0:01:03.320 --> 0:01:07.400 am wearing a Tottenham Hotspur T shirt and I'm going 0:01:07.440 --> 0:01:09.399 to tell you why I'm wearing that, Because I was 0:01:09.440 --> 0:01:12.520 with my family, my sister and her family and my 0:01:12.600 --> 0:01:15.280 wife and our two boys went away for a few 0:01:15.319 --> 0:01:21.080 days and me and my two guys were hanging out 0:01:21.240 --> 0:01:23.679 and we were all talking about the World Cup. And 0:01:23.920 --> 0:01:26.200 you know, my younger son is a huge sports fan. 0:01:26.520 --> 0:01:29.280 My other son has never been a sports fan, but 0:01:29.319 --> 0:01:31.679 he's gotten really into the World Cup. Even before he 0:01:31.840 --> 0:01:34.840 was like, I feel like, I love soccer. I want 0:01:34.840 --> 0:01:36.600 to know more about the World Cups. We've been talking 0:01:36.600 --> 0:01:38.800 about it for a while. And then we were all 0:01:38.840 --> 0:01:42.440 hanging out while we were away and they were both like, 0:01:42.480 --> 0:01:46.160 I wish we had a way to engage with soccer, 0:01:46.280 --> 0:01:49.480 like a soccer team to root for all year long. 0:01:49.600 --> 0:01:52.880 And we settled on you know, EPL and we decided 0:01:52.920 --> 0:01:54.440 these were the criteria. You can tell me what you 0:01:54.440 --> 0:01:56.960 think of this. We decided we had to go with 0:01:56.960 --> 0:01:59.240 a team in London because if we visit London, we 0:01:59.280 --> 0:02:01.320 want to be able to go watch the game. We 0:02:01.400 --> 0:02:05.440 decided we didn't want to do like you know, Arsenal 0:02:05.600 --> 0:02:08.760 or Chelsea, because we want to root for teams that 0:02:08.960 --> 0:02:12.800 like our bandwagon teams. That's like rooting for the Cowboys 0:02:12.840 --> 0:02:15.440 in the US. We wanted a team that was a 0:02:15.440 --> 0:02:18.600 lot like rooting for the Cubs or the Bears. And 0:02:19.320 --> 0:02:24.400 so we settled on Tottenham Hotspur and I've gone through 0:02:24.400 --> 0:02:27.040 the history. I love the history. I love that hot 0:02:27.040 --> 0:02:31.200 Spur is the name of a knight from Shakespeare. I 0:02:31.280 --> 0:02:34.520 love that it was started by schoolboys hanging out together. 0:02:35.000 --> 0:02:37.480 I love that they go up and down, up and down. 0:02:37.480 --> 0:02:41.639 But they're kind of hard luck losers. So I'm all in. 0:02:41.760 --> 0:02:44.760 We're all in, Go Spurs go. 0:02:47.000 --> 0:02:47.280 Yeah. 0:02:47.400 --> 0:02:50.240 I would say that's a pretty American team, the Spurs, 0:02:50.680 --> 0:02:53.120 So I would say you're very on brand most Americans that. 0:02:54.080 --> 0:02:56.799 Yeah, I know. It's it's it's. 0:02:56.720 --> 0:02:59.160 Kind of funny where Americans, for some reason gravitate towards 0:02:59.160 --> 0:02:59.720 the Spurs. 0:02:59.840 --> 0:03:01.840 I don't know if it's further Jerseys or whatever. 0:03:01.960 --> 0:03:03.160 That's so interesting. 0:03:03.720 --> 0:03:05.560 For a second ear they say west Ham, which was 0:03:05.560 --> 0:03:08.400 gonna get me really fired up. That's a true no 0:03:08.440 --> 0:03:12.880 one knows underground, great London club. But yeah, like you 0:03:12.919 --> 0:03:16.359 can't go wrong my Like we talked about this World Cup, 0:03:16.400 --> 0:03:18.760 honestly has been a dream as a fan. I wanted 0:03:18.760 --> 0:03:22.120 the Americans to be engaged. They're heavily engaged. I mean, 0:03:22.160 --> 0:03:27.000 Seeen Coward do forty minutes on soccer insane. I don't 0:03:27.000 --> 0:03:30.400 know if how long people followed Calrot's career, but you 0:03:30.400 --> 0:03:32.239 would have told Coward ten years ago he would spend 0:03:32.280 --> 0:03:35.760 forty minutes breaking out never never, never never. 0:03:35.960 --> 0:03:37.280 So this is what I want. 0:03:37.400 --> 0:03:39.920 This has been my dream, and I talked about it. 0:03:39.960 --> 0:03:43.120 It's a culture thing, right, America. You just got the 0:03:43.280 --> 0:03:45.920 You just got the crappy smack Daddy by Belgium. That 0:03:46.160 --> 0:03:48.360 was the worst game we could possibly play. I wouldn't 0:03:48.360 --> 0:03:50.200 be so upset overrated. 0:03:50.360 --> 0:03:51.200 It just it happens. 0:03:51.280 --> 0:03:53.040 Right, We're playing against a team that has players who 0:03:53.080 --> 0:03:55.080 played in these big games before. You will say it 0:03:55.080 --> 0:03:57.520 doesn't have that. That's part of the growing process, part 0:03:57.520 --> 0:04:00.960 of building the culture. But yeah, aways tell Americans the 0:04:01.000 --> 0:04:04.160 biggest thing America is missing is we don't have our 0:04:04.280 --> 0:04:06.480 Messa yet. We don't have our Harry Kane. We need 0:04:06.560 --> 0:04:09.520 a striker, a top that has this god given ability 0:04:09.520 --> 0:04:09.920 to score. 0:04:10.200 --> 0:04:11.440 And you've seen it. 0:04:11.560 --> 0:04:13.440 There's four or five guys in this World Cup that 0:04:13.920 --> 0:04:15.720 when they have that ball, it just feels like they're 0:04:15.720 --> 0:04:18.760 gonna score. We've never experienced that as a country. So 0:04:18.880 --> 0:04:20.760 that's I don't know if it's twenty years away now, 0:04:20.760 --> 0:04:22.360 if it's ten years away. Maybe it's the next World 0:04:22.360 --> 0:04:24.720 Cup chat, but that's what we need as a country 0:04:24.760 --> 0:04:27.880 to move forward right this round of sixteen. Buffer We're 0:04:27.880 --> 0:04:29.280 gonna keep hitting it. Even if we won this game 0:04:29.279 --> 0:04:31.719 against Belgium, who is our next round against Spain. 0:04:32.240 --> 0:04:35.040 So it's it's a tough. It's tough right now. 0:04:35.080 --> 0:04:38.400 But as a fan seeing American embrace it, see the 0:04:38.440 --> 0:04:41.120 country embrace the World Cup, it's fun as a gambler, 0:04:41.160 --> 0:04:44.640 a ton to bet on. And yeah, it's like you said, 0:04:44.680 --> 0:04:46.360 it's just such heartbreak. I'm still not over it. Like 0:04:46.480 --> 0:04:48.120 even last night I could barely sleep. Or it's like 0:04:48.240 --> 0:04:50.839 I thought we were gonna win. I really thought, honestly 0:04:50.880 --> 0:04:53.200 we're gonna beat Belgium. So it's gonna take me a 0:04:53.240 --> 0:04:55.840 little bit. But like right now, pulse like Christian Poulsik, 0:04:55.880 --> 0:04:58.720 I'm so bitter. I'm just really bitter. I don't want 0:04:58.720 --> 0:05:00.000 to say too much mean stuff and I'm trying to 0:05:00.160 --> 0:05:02.760 positive about it, but they just laid down like a 0:05:03.200 --> 0:05:05.800 dead dog in that game. I'm so mad about how 0:05:05.800 --> 0:05:08.000 they played and how it all worked out. But thank 0:05:08.040 --> 0:05:09.360 god we have football to talk about. 0:05:09.400 --> 0:05:13.760 Brother. You mentioned Harry Kaye, former Tottenham hospital legend, legend. 0:05:14.160 --> 0:05:17.480 Harry Kay, Harry Kay. We do have football to talk about. 0:05:18.320 --> 0:05:21.920 We are going to talk about soccer. Next week We're 0:05:21.960 --> 0:05:25.599 going to have du Bundo back on to talk some soccer. 0:05:25.600 --> 0:05:28.080 We're also going to have Shonzailla to talk about mid 0:05:28.160 --> 0:05:34.720 season baseball. But this week today we are talking about 0:05:34.760 --> 0:05:39.120 some really cool NFL early prediction markets we can lean into. 0:05:39.320 --> 0:05:42.000 I don't mean prediction markets, I mean markets that hard 0:05:42.080 --> 0:05:46.599 Rock bat has up right now, especially some playoff markets 0:05:47.200 --> 0:05:49.960 that we're going to give out some of our favorites 0:05:50.040 --> 0:05:53.800 on today. We have no episode on Thursday. Everyone's taking 0:05:53.800 --> 0:05:56.440 a little bit of a break. Next week. Like I mentioned, 0:05:56.480 --> 0:05:59.320 we have Zarillo, we have Da Bundo. After that, folks, 0:05:59.839 --> 0:06:05.240 all football, all the time, beginning of football beginning July 0:06:05.440 --> 0:06:08.719 twenty first, Ben Solac from ESPN. I love the guy, 0:06:09.080 --> 0:06:11.120 you guys. Last year I mentioned his stuff on the 0:06:11.160 --> 0:06:13.520 show all the time, so I'm excited that he's going 0:06:13.600 --> 0:06:17.080 to be coming on the twenty first. Then it's our 0:06:17.160 --> 0:06:21.359 top ten QBS episode. Then we'll go into our division 0:06:21.400 --> 0:06:28.720 by division preview episodes. Get freaking ready because the other 0:06:28.839 --> 0:06:32.280 football leaves and this football comes in. Like I said, 0:06:32.320 --> 0:06:35.560 Harder Rock has a ton of markets out right now, 0:06:35.960 --> 0:06:40.400 super Bowl Conference, in division futures. Obviously they got win totals. 0:06:40.839 --> 0:06:46.240 You can bet on every team's stage of elimination, you 0:06:46.320 --> 0:06:55.960 can bet on divisional finishing positions, exact order props, all that. So, Simon, 0:06:56.279 --> 0:06:59.039 we don't have to be that organized here. Why don't 0:06:59.080 --> 0:07:01.960 you kick it off? Before we jumped on the show, 0:07:02.040 --> 0:07:04.720 you had some ideas, So what are some things you're 0:07:04.720 --> 0:07:07.480 thinking about? I know you mentioned the Bears. Do you 0:07:07.520 --> 0:07:09.360 want to start with the Bears? I don't know if 0:07:09.400 --> 0:07:14.320 you were just trying to sort of, you know, speak 0:07:14.360 --> 0:07:17.760 to my passions, or was the Bears a real thing? 0:07:17.840 --> 0:07:18.800 Or what do you want to start here? 0:07:19.240 --> 0:07:22.040 Well, let's start with the easiest secor exercise, which is 0:07:22.960 --> 0:07:26.120 every year we look at last year's playoff teams. That 0:07:26.160 --> 0:07:28.320 should always be your baseline, right, this is what the 0:07:28.400 --> 0:07:30.040 league is. There's a lot of turnover, there's a lot 0:07:30.080 --> 0:07:33.520 of who's out exactly who's in, who's out. It's very dumb, 0:07:33.600 --> 0:07:36.520 It sounds very basic, but we have the data. Every 0:07:36.640 --> 0:07:39.440 year three to four teams from the previous year won't 0:07:39.480 --> 0:07:40.880 make it. If you would have told me and Chad 0:07:40.960 --> 0:07:42.320 last year, the Chiefs can be one of those three 0:07:42.360 --> 0:07:44.600 or four teams, I would have been shocked. I think 0:07:44.680 --> 0:07:47.280 Chad would have been shocked. So that's the best part 0:07:47.280 --> 0:07:49.440 about doing this is like you really don't know. Like 0:07:49.800 --> 0:07:52.400 telling me the Chiefs, the Bills, and the Ravens weren't 0:07:52.400 --> 0:07:54.520 going to win their divisions last year, I would have 0:07:54.560 --> 0:07:55.320 been pretty shocked. 0:07:55.440 --> 0:07:56.520 None of them won their divisions. 0:07:56.600 --> 0:07:59.320 So just going back last year the one Seeds, if 0:07:59.360 --> 0:08:02.080 you remember the go in the Seattle, I don't know 0:08:02.080 --> 0:08:03.320 about you. Do you think both of them are gonna 0:08:03.320 --> 0:08:05.080 make it? I think both of them are gonna playoffs, right, 0:08:05.800 --> 0:08:06.040 I do. 0:08:06.320 --> 0:08:10.080 But I will tell you this, I don't have a 0:08:10.120 --> 0:08:13.120 great feeling about the Patriots. I would not be Like 0:08:13.600 --> 0:08:17.680 I'm a big believer in schedule and I'm a big 0:08:17.760 --> 0:08:22.200 believer in the challenges of a new schedule. It's why 0:08:22.280 --> 0:08:24.480 when we talk about the Bears, I'm not that high 0:08:24.520 --> 0:08:27.440 in the Bears going into this season. I think Minnesota's 0:08:27.480 --> 0:08:29.120 gonna be better. I think Detroit's going to be better. 0:08:29.120 --> 0:08:30.720 I think Green Bay is going to be better. I 0:08:30.760 --> 0:08:33.400 think they've got a challenging schedule. I think the same 0:08:33.480 --> 0:08:36.680 thing about the Patriots, Like obviously they got to contend 0:08:36.720 --> 0:08:38.880 with the Bills, but they're gonna have a much harder 0:08:39.000 --> 0:08:42.120 schedule this year. If we're talking right off the top, 0:08:43.360 --> 0:08:47.400 would I would like the Patriots. I got to find their. 0:08:47.440 --> 0:08:49.480 Odds here the miss playoffs. 0:08:51.240 --> 0:08:54.520 I would not be uncomfortable taking a little taste of 0:08:54.559 --> 0:08:55.800 the Patriots of plus one fifty. 0:08:55.880 --> 0:08:57.440 And that's why we're doing this exercise people. 0:08:57.440 --> 0:08:59.760 So yeah, the Patriots a two seat from last year, 0:09:00.120 --> 0:09:02.439 so you have them out and just let's just finish 0:09:02.480 --> 0:09:05.960 the AFC. The Steelers, I think we both agree. If 0:09:05.960 --> 0:09:08.680 we're gonna kick someone out, it's guy. Yes, yes, they're 0:09:08.800 --> 0:09:12.719 they're they're at the back end. Chargers, Jaguars, you want 0:09:12.720 --> 0:09:13.719 to kick either of them out yet? 0:09:13.800 --> 0:09:18.719 Or no? Right, a little tougher on those two, so 0:09:18.880 --> 0:09:19.560 we'll keep a moving. 0:09:20.040 --> 0:09:23.920 Yeah, the space going the NFC also felt tough. It 0:09:24.000 --> 0:09:26.280 felt like the Bears and the Panthers are the really 0:09:26.320 --> 0:09:28.520 two ones that jump out right away. Yeah, teams you 0:09:28.559 --> 0:09:32.319 can easily see missing the playoffs. Now, Packers, you know 0:09:32.440 --> 0:09:35.440 they could, Eagles, they could, right, but just right away 0:09:35.480 --> 0:09:38.600 in the first two I looked at was Panthers, and obviously, 0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:41.320 you know we love the Bears. 0:09:41.520 --> 0:09:42.400 That's what I want to start with. 0:09:42.440 --> 0:09:44.720 You chat with your Bears, they're plus one oh five, 0:09:45.120 --> 0:09:48.080 which again that's the book telling you this is one 0:09:48.120 --> 0:09:49.880 of the teams on the outside looking in because what 0:09:49.920 --> 0:09:52.320 you just talked about, the everything broke their way. They 0:09:52.400 --> 0:09:55.000 got the two seed where you at chat plus one 0:09:55.040 --> 0:09:56.600 oh five to make the playoffs. 0:09:57.240 --> 0:09:59.520 I would be betting against the Bears to make the playoffs. 0:09:59.559 --> 0:10:01.800 I am not high on the Bears. Look, I was 0:10:01.920 --> 0:10:07.920 just in Chicago. Unfortunately a close friend his father passed away, 0:10:08.559 --> 0:10:12.680 and so I was in Chicago and this guy, everyone 0:10:12.760 --> 0:10:14.839 who listens to the show knows, my buddy, Matt. His 0:10:14.960 --> 0:10:19.839 father passed away, and I grew up going to Bears 0:10:19.920 --> 0:10:24.240 games with Matt and his family because they had season 0:10:24.280 --> 0:10:27.840 tickets to the Bears for the entirety of my life, 0:10:28.400 --> 0:10:30.679 and so I went to every home game when I 0:10:30.800 --> 0:10:33.520 was growing up, all through high school with Matt and 0:10:33.679 --> 0:10:36.959 his mom and dad, and his dad was such a 0:10:37.720 --> 0:10:43.120 rabid Bears fan that it was a constant conversation. I know, 0:10:43.280 --> 0:10:47.560 Matt and his dad and one of his three kids, 0:10:47.720 --> 0:10:49.720 who was a massive Bears fan. They would text about 0:10:49.720 --> 0:10:51.599 the games all the time, and so I had a 0:10:51.720 --> 0:10:54.880 lot of Bears talk. This weekend. At one point when 0:10:55.000 --> 0:11:00.560 his Matt's oldest kid was eulogizing his grandfather. He started 0:11:00.640 --> 0:11:04.360 talking about his love for the Bears, and at one 0:11:04.480 --> 0:11:09.640 point the grandson, who did a magnificent job, like everyone 0:11:09.880 --> 0:11:12.040 was just so charmed by his eulogy and how well 0:11:12.120 --> 0:11:16.559 he did, started talking about like he goes, but you know, 0:11:18.000 --> 0:11:20.120 I think we got our quarterback. Now, I think we're 0:11:20.160 --> 0:11:22.439 on the upswing. This could be the year. And it's 0:11:22.440 --> 0:11:24.600 almost like, for a second he lost himself and started 0:11:24.600 --> 0:11:26.719 to give a Bear Scout report in the middle of 0:11:26.800 --> 0:11:29.800 the eulogy for his grandfather. But that's how much passion 0:11:29.840 --> 0:11:32.480 there is for this team in this city right now. 0:11:32.559 --> 0:11:34.559 Everywhere I went, every event I was at over the 0:11:34.600 --> 0:11:37.120 weekend with family, all anyone could do was talk about 0:11:37.120 --> 0:11:40.599 the Bears. I hate to be the guy raining on 0:11:40.679 --> 0:11:43.240 the parade, but I'm worried. I'm worried about this team. 0:11:43.440 --> 0:11:45.480 I think there's too much competition. I think they had 0:11:45.520 --> 0:11:47.040 the exact right spot last year. 0:11:48.640 --> 0:11:50.960 Yeah, I just I couldn't believe I saw the number 0:11:50.960 --> 0:11:52.760 because I think that's very telling him by the books, 0:11:52.800 --> 0:11:56.080 because that's I feel like that's them saying we'll take 0:11:56.200 --> 0:11:58.400 your sucker money because they know how much money they're 0:11:58.400 --> 0:11:59.280 going to get from Bears fans. 0:11:59.320 --> 0:12:01.200 It's one of the biggest fans bases in the world. 0:12:01.720 --> 0:12:03.480 They're gonna get a ton of it. And I'm just 0:12:03.600 --> 0:12:06.560 shocked that they think the first year. Yes, I agree 0:12:06.600 --> 0:12:10.679 they overachieved, but to me, if Caleb keeps progressing in 0:12:10.760 --> 0:12:14.240 this offense, you guys are gonna have a stacked offense. 0:12:14.320 --> 0:12:16.360 My question is your defense when it comes to the Bears, 0:12:16.440 --> 0:12:19.079 like Colos and Lovely might be a top three tight 0:12:19.240 --> 0:12:21.200 end like bro See where Luther can be a wide 0:12:21.200 --> 0:12:24.160 receiver vision. But I am really excited about this Bears 0:12:24.200 --> 0:12:26.440 team if Caleb can take that next step. Because Caleb 0:12:27.000 --> 0:12:28.400 all the time in the world, and you saw all 0:12:28.440 --> 0:12:31.560 those comebacks last year, can he be consistent for those 0:12:31.640 --> 0:12:32.439 first three quarters? 0:12:32.520 --> 0:12:35.040 That's what was lacking. You guys were so inconsistent for 0:12:35.120 --> 0:12:36.200 the first three quarters of those games. 0:12:36.200 --> 0:12:38.240 I think of all the rabbits you pulled out of 0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:40.000 his ass and all, yeah, you guys came back in 0:12:40.080 --> 0:12:42.240 the fourth quarter and that was your defense too. Insane 0:12:42.280 --> 0:12:45.520 amount of turnovers. So Chad's right between the turnover luck 0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:49.240 the overachievement people expecting to miss it. I wouldn't touch 0:12:49.280 --> 0:12:51.720 this one. I'll be honest, I just don't. I don't 0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:53.960 like the number. Uh It's like I wanted to bet 0:12:54.040 --> 0:12:55.520 on the yes. So I'm happy to hear you say no. 0:12:55.960 --> 0:12:58.440 So I'm happy to pass on. So my first first 0:12:58.559 --> 0:12:59.360 one that jumped. 0:12:59.120 --> 0:13:02.079 Out on yes to make the playoffs plus one oh five? 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:05.840 Yes, Yeah, yes to make the playoffs. Okay, we already 0:13:05.840 --> 0:13:08.000 talked about the Rams that missed the playoffs. 0:13:08.240 --> 0:13:11.800 Wait, butit hold on, hold on, because we highlighted the Patriots, 0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:14.560 we highlighted the Bears'. Let's dip in for a second 0:13:14.600 --> 0:13:19.000 on the Panthers because you mentioned them. We've talked about 0:13:19.000 --> 0:13:21.520 them a lot on the show already and their season 0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:25.280 win totals. But it seems like you were hinting at before. 0:13:25.280 --> 0:13:26.760 I just want to close the loop on this before 0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:28.959 we get to the Rams. You were hinting at the 0:13:29.080 --> 0:13:32.280 Panthers being a team that you could see not making 0:13:32.320 --> 0:13:35.679 the playoffs. I'm looking at their odds right now, No, 0:13:37.679 --> 0:13:40.640 to make the playoffs. They are a minus three hundred 0:13:41.280 --> 0:13:44.160 to not make the playoffs, are a plus two thirty 0:13:44.240 --> 0:13:45.120 to make the playoffs. 0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:48.959 This correlates with a bet I want to make off. 0:13:49.000 --> 0:13:50.240 I was gonna go, I was gonna come back the pitch. 0:13:50.240 --> 0:13:51.559 There's a better bet, a team I want to bet 0:13:51.600 --> 0:13:53.320 on making the playoffs, and that's the Saints. 0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:55.800 So everyone knows we love Shuck. 0:13:55.880 --> 0:13:59.240 Here, if we expect this Panthers team with the number 0:13:59.280 --> 0:14:01.440 one they they won their division last years to playing 0:14:01.440 --> 0:14:04.520 a first play schedule, it's easy to think they will 0:14:04.559 --> 0:14:07.640 take regression and miss the playoffs because of that. Who knows, right, 0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:10.679 they've done well this offseason. Maybe Bryce Shung does take 0:14:10.679 --> 0:14:12.079 the next step and they do make the playoffs. But 0:14:12.280 --> 0:14:14.480 just as a betting man, I don't like those odds. 0:14:14.480 --> 0:14:16.320 Like Chad just said, it's minus three hundred to miss. 0:14:16.920 --> 0:14:18.600 I want to take Whenever I'm looking at bet these, 0:14:18.640 --> 0:14:20.400 I want a plus number. If I'm locking my money 0:14:20.560 --> 0:14:22.720 for six months. That's why I go to the Saints 0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:24.880 with Shuck. The Saints have a pretty good defense. 0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:26.920 I liked it. In the draft they went after the 0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:28.040 wide receiver position. 0:14:28.720 --> 0:14:31.040 You know, we've talked a little bit about you know, 0:14:32.160 --> 0:14:36.040 it's who knows if Shuck's the real deal? Right the 0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:38.320 their schedule last year broke very fable with him, but 0:14:38.320 --> 0:14:40.520 he didn't make big time throws. He did get more 0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:43.320 couporbable with Kellen Moore's offenses, He's don't won along at 0:14:43.360 --> 0:14:45.760 plus two hundred. For the fact that they're playing in 0:14:45.760 --> 0:14:47.640 a weak division. The Bucks and still win the division. 0:14:48.040 --> 0:14:50.200 The Saints could steal that seventh seed. I don't hate 0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:52.480 those odds. So that's what as I told the Panthers, 0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:53.680 I could see them being one of the teams that 0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:56.320 move out. The Bucks are a team they easily could 0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:58.280 move in. I think the Saints are sneaky team we 0:14:58.320 --> 0:15:00.120 can move in as well. And the Bucks don't have 0:15:00.200 --> 0:15:02.160 that great of odds, So I prefer if I'm trying 0:15:02.160 --> 0:15:04.280 to play came in this division in the NFC South. 0:15:04.920 --> 0:15:06.800 I like that. I like that Saint's odds that plus 0:15:06.840 --> 0:15:08.080 two hundred. That's actually come down. 0:15:08.240 --> 0:15:09.920 A couple of books were showing up plus two forty 0:15:09.960 --> 0:15:11.400 hard rock now plus two hundred. 0:15:12.160 --> 0:15:12.600 I like that. 0:15:13.280 --> 0:15:18.840 I like that a lot. Would you parlay Saint Tes Panthers? 0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:23.760 No, I don't hate that. That's fun. That is fun. 0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:28.520 I wouldn't. I We'll talk about it. But Chad News 0:15:28.520 --> 0:15:31.080 I like to do. I like the divisional chalk when 0:15:31.120 --> 0:15:32.440 I do these type of parlays. 0:15:32.800 --> 0:15:33.440 Uh, that's right. 0:15:33.520 --> 0:15:34.080 I got burned. 0:15:34.160 --> 0:15:37.000 Last year, but it was the first year and five 0:15:37.120 --> 0:15:38.960 years I got burned by the Chiefs. The Chiefs were 0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:40.080 basically a lock for me. 0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:40.480 Every year. 0:15:40.520 --> 0:15:43.360 I like, say, I liked the Saints to win their division, 0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:45.120 I'd put them in a two team or with the Chiefs. 0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:47.160 The Chiefs were just my anchor, just because every year 0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:49.640 the Chiefs was in the division. Obviously it's a little 0:15:49.640 --> 0:15:51.920 different now, right, that's that's kind of as awesome, So 0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:54.280 we can close out with that those type of bets. 0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:56.280 But yeah, I don't know if I had parlay, you 0:15:56.360 --> 0:15:59.160 are getting great odds. But yeah, just for a standalone, 0:15:59.200 --> 0:16:00.240 I bet that Saints one. 0:16:01.520 --> 0:16:03.080 You were gonna say about the Rams. 0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:06.000 Yeah, the Rams one just jumped out. It's plus three 0:16:06.120 --> 0:16:11.040 fifty to not make the playoffs. Like that's if they're 0:16:11.040 --> 0:16:13.520 plus five hundred to win the Super Bowl or plus 0:16:13.640 --> 0:16:16.240 three fifty to miss the playoffs. That's the better option 0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:19.120 to take every time, is to miss the playoffs. The odds, 0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:22.000 all the things should need to break your away. I 0:16:22.120 --> 0:16:24.120 get the hype is so peak right now. They are 0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:26.119 a studed team. They're incredible. 0:16:26.920 --> 0:16:30.400 Are they really that much better than the Seahawks? The Eagles? 0:16:31.080 --> 0:16:32.920 You know, all a couple of the forty nine ers, 0:16:32.960 --> 0:16:35.040 these other teams in n FC, the gap is not 0:16:35.240 --> 0:16:37.760 that wide and the sports we're gonna make it out 0:16:37.800 --> 0:16:40.000 that be because it's all built on hype and trying 0:16:40.000 --> 0:16:41.280 to get the public to bet into it. 0:16:41.400 --> 0:16:41.520 Right. 0:16:42.160 --> 0:16:45.440 Humans have a weird condition where if the rams were 0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:48.560 ten to one, yes, people were betting it. But because 0:16:48.600 --> 0:16:50.880 it's moved up so much more people are betting it right. 0:16:50.920 --> 0:16:52.400 They're They're like, I don't want to miss it more. 0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:55.120 It's going to keep moving, So to me, the odds 0:16:55.160 --> 0:16:57.040 have totally shifted them missing the playoffs. That's where the 0:16:57.560 --> 0:17:00.320 best money is. And Chad was on the last year 0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:02.840 Stafford as much hype and and much love I give 0:17:02.880 --> 0:17:05.560 the guy. He's one bet hit away. His body has 0:17:05.640 --> 0:17:08.600 been through the ringer in Detroit. He's not he's taking 0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:11.119 hits in the rams as well, and he's had you know, 0:17:11.320 --> 0:17:14.320 this popped out of his back. He's had surgeries. He's 0:17:14.400 --> 0:17:17.360 not this young stud. He's like thirty seven, thirty years old, 0:17:17.400 --> 0:17:19.760 which on football years, he's might as well be fifty 0:17:19.800 --> 0:17:20.720 with all the hits he's taken. 0:17:20.840 --> 0:17:22.560 So I know the hype. 0:17:22.600 --> 0:17:26.040 Aaron Donald's now coming back, supposedly like, it's just building, 0:17:26.119 --> 0:17:28.679 building building. If you don't have a better right now, 0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:31.119 maybe I guess a plus three seventy five before the 0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:33.600 season starts. But I just think the pros are gonna 0:17:33.600 --> 0:17:35.080 come in and bet this down. I just can't see 0:17:35.119 --> 0:17:37.080 this getting more. So if you do want to bet 0:17:37.200 --> 0:17:39.920 them to miss the playoffs, you want to parlay that 0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:42.359 with what Chad just talked about. The Bears or the 0:17:42.520 --> 0:17:45.480 Panthers or maybe the Patriots. Those are all fun bets 0:17:45.480 --> 0:17:48.560 you're getting now. Instead of having, you know, three to one, 0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:50.320 you can make that at ten to one bet making 0:17:50.320 --> 0:17:50.920 it a parlay. 0:17:51.080 --> 0:17:52.520 So there's a lot of fun stuff you can do 0:17:52.600 --> 0:17:53.800 with this. Rams and missed the playoffs. 0:17:53.840 --> 0:17:59.240 But who do we think before we go to the break, 0:17:59.280 --> 0:18:01.120 I just want to I want to run through all 0:18:01.200 --> 0:18:04.399 the playoff teams and make sure we're not missing anyone. 0:18:04.520 --> 0:18:07.840 You mentioned the Chargers, you mentioned the Jags. The Jags 0:18:07.880 --> 0:18:10.880 are I think I'm gonna get my class year. They're 0:18:10.960 --> 0:18:15.080 minus one twenty to make the playoffs. The Chargers are 0:18:15.160 --> 0:18:21.640 minus one eighty. Look, I love the coaches for both teams. 0:18:23.119 --> 0:18:26.120 I like the quarterback for the Chargers better than the Jags. 0:18:26.680 --> 0:18:27.280 I like the. 0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:32.639 Way the Chargers, I think their path to improving is 0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:37.080 a little bit easier because their offensive line will just 0:18:37.200 --> 0:18:41.240 naturally be better because they're getting players back. But their 0:18:41.280 --> 0:18:44.840 division is so hard. And the Jags, I think their 0:18:44.880 --> 0:18:48.720 division is going to be better, and they found their 0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:53.160 way to victories last year and the path to success. 0:18:54.760 --> 0:18:58.040