1
00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:15,440
Speaker 1: Good Saturday morning, everybody. Welcome to the Daily Jews. I'm

2
00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,720
Speaker 1: your host, Mapp baroltire off of Bettingpros dot com, and

3
00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,520
Speaker 1: we are back for another Saturday of picks. And boy,

4
00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:26,319
Speaker 1: it's beginning to get busy. It's beginning to be a

5
00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:28,880
Speaker 1: lot of work. It's awesome. I love the grind. The

6
00:00:28,920 --> 00:00:32,159
Speaker 1: grind so important. You gotta find your edges. You gotta

7
00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:34,479
Speaker 1: believe in your systems, and you gotta believe in yourself

8
00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:36,960
Speaker 1: and it's tons of fun to make picks. And so

9
00:00:37,080 --> 00:00:40,320
Speaker 1: yesterday we go one in one in baseball, after going

10
00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:42,960
Speaker 1: three and oho on opening Day. On Thursday, we go

11
00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:45,760
Speaker 1: one in one. Look, if you're gonna get a bet wrong,

12
00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:48,080
Speaker 1: it's good to get a bet really wrong. I had

13
00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:51,280
Speaker 1: the under in the Twins and the White Sox game,

14
00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:56,000
Speaker 1: and boy did that go way way over. In fact,

15
00:00:56,120 --> 00:01:00,000
Speaker 1: by the third inning that had already gone over. So yikes,

16
00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:02,200
Speaker 1: that was not good on my part. Ten to five

17
00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:04,840
Speaker 1: was the final the Twins with the win, Fifteen runs

18
00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:08,560
Speaker 1: were scored. Nine was the total. It was steamed from

19
00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:10,400
Speaker 1: seven and a half and it went up. I really

20
00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:12,600
Speaker 1: thought we would see a good pitching matchup and we

21
00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:16,319
Speaker 1: did not. We saw a really bad pitching matchup. Lucas

22
00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:19,840
Speaker 1: Giolito gave up seven earned runs in three and two

23
00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:23,039
Speaker 1: thirds yesterday. I was pretty surprised at that. And then

24
00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:26,440
Speaker 1: Jose Barrios gave up seven hits, five earned runs in

25
00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:28,600
Speaker 1: four innings of pitch. Those are I mean, those were

26
00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:30,920
Speaker 1: supposed to be the best pitchers the aces of those teams.

27
00:01:31,040 --> 00:01:35,360
Speaker 1: So again, though the White Sox telling you fade the

28
00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:38,360
Speaker 1: White Sox. The White Socks are not going to be

29
00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:40,720
Speaker 1: a good baseball team this year. Although I do think

30
00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:43,640
Speaker 1: that we're gonna see Luis Robert win the Rookie of

31
00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:45,400
Speaker 1: the Year. Like I told you at plus four hundred,

32
00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:47,559
Speaker 1: he hit a ball yesterday one hundred and fifteen miles

33
00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:52,040
Speaker 1: per hour. Yeah, that kid is strong. That kid can

34
00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:54,880
Speaker 1: swing some lumber. All right. So we got three plays

35
00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:58,040
Speaker 1: for you. I've got one play on the UFC card

36
00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:01,320
Speaker 1: coming up in the main event for Whitaker versus Till,

37
00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:03,720
Speaker 1: And I got two baseball games that I'm gonna bet

38
00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:06,639
Speaker 1: on coming up here on Saturday. I'm gonna pass on golf.

39
00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:09,880
Speaker 1: I'm gonna pass on NASCAR for the Xfinity Series. I'm

40
00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:12,120
Speaker 1: passing on golf because I gotta stop betting on golf.

41
00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:15,440
Speaker 1: So we're doing really well except for golf. One in

42
00:02:15,639 --> 00:02:19,680
Speaker 1: five on our last six bets on golf. After well,

43
00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:23,519
Speaker 1: brooks Kepka misses the cut, as did Tommy Fleetwood. They

44
00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:26,880
Speaker 1: both missed the cut at the three m and it's

45
00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:30,639
Speaker 1: just a frustration because we saw we called it right.

46
00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:33,720
Speaker 1: We said that golf right now is not important for

47
00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:36,800
Speaker 1: brooks Kepka, I just picked the wrong guy. Tony Fenow

48
00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:41,840
Speaker 1: is in second place at eleven under. Tommy Fleetwood is

49
00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,680
Speaker 1: now watching at home because well, he missed the cut.

50
00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:46,880
Speaker 1: So Fleetwood did not play well so at seventy one

51
00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:50,880
Speaker 1: seventy two, so he's watching as did you know with

52
00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:53,400
Speaker 1: brooks Kopka, he's gonna be watching as well. He shot

53
00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:57,480
Speaker 1: seventy seventy one, soots one forty one. Fleetwood shoots one

54
00:02:57,520 --> 00:03:00,160
Speaker 1: forty two, and so we lose our wager and in

55
00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:02,119
Speaker 1: our head to head, which is a really crummy way.

56
00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:04,480
Speaker 1: And you definitely look at your own sports books and

57
00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:07,080
Speaker 1: figure out how they wind up ranking things because some

58
00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:08,880
Speaker 1: maybe you might get a push out of that because

59
00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:11,680
Speaker 1: they both didn't make the cut. But at Circus Sports

60
00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:14,639
Speaker 1: where I bet, unfortunately, that is considered a loss because

61
00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:16,799
Speaker 1: you go head to head and whoever had the best record,

62
00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:19,520
Speaker 1: the best score is a loss. So we got that wrong.

63
00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:22,240
Speaker 1: We got the Reds right, though, Okay, so that was great.

64
00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:25,360
Speaker 1: We got the Reds right for their win on opening day.

65
00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:27,919
Speaker 1: Sunny Gray pitched very well and that was good to see.

66
00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:30,240
Speaker 1: So we called that correctly and watched that game go

67
00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:33,359
Speaker 1: out where the Reds winning quite easily seven to one

68
00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:36,240
Speaker 1: for Cincinnati over the Tigers. And the Tigers are not

69
00:03:36,400 --> 00:03:39,320
Speaker 1: a good baseball team by any stretch of the imagination.

70
00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:42,040
Speaker 1: And again we're gonna fade bad teams early here in

71
00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:45,040
Speaker 1: this Sprints because good teams cannot lose focus. They got

72
00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:46,680
Speaker 1: to stay on the ball, they got to get going,

73
00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:48,000
Speaker 1: and they got to be good out of the gate.

74
00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:51,680
Speaker 1: Sonny Gray six innings, three hits, one earned run, two walks,

75
00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,160
Speaker 1: nine strikeouts, give up one home run. But Sunny Gray

76
00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:58,920
Speaker 1: again extended his major league leading appearances without giving up

77
00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:01,960
Speaker 1: six hits or more so, three hits. Giving up six

78
00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:04,480
Speaker 1: innings for Sonny Gray. Now, I believe that's number thirty

79
00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:06,880
Speaker 1: nine for consecutive starts. I believe that's right. I think

80
00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:09,200
Speaker 1: maybe we talked about it yesterday. I forget the exact number,

81
00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:11,040
Speaker 1: but Sonny Gray has been very, very good, So watch

82
00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,840
Speaker 1: him when he's out there pitching for Cincinnati Reds. Win.

83
00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:16,080
Speaker 1: They go to one, and oh, all right, let's start

84
00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:18,200
Speaker 1: in baseball and then we'll end with the UFC for

85
00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:21,160
Speaker 1: our picks here on a Saturday's Daily Juice. We've got

86
00:04:21,160 --> 00:04:23,520
Speaker 1: two of them, and we're gonna start again going back

87
00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:26,479
Speaker 1: to the well here with bad baseball teams. And I

88
00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:29,160
Speaker 1: don't know how good the Mets are. Okay, they aren't

89
00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:31,400
Speaker 1: as bad as the second pick we're gonna make on

90
00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:34,760
Speaker 1: a team for fading, but I'm gonna fade the Mets

91
00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:38,520
Speaker 1: here because Max Freed is really good. Max Freed led

92
00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:42,200
Speaker 1: NA left handers last year with seventeen wins, and he

93
00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:44,480
Speaker 1: had a two point nine to six ERA through his

94
00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:48,039
Speaker 1: first ten starts. He had some issues with injuries and

95
00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:49,880
Speaker 1: a little struggling in the middle part of the year,

96
00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:51,680
Speaker 1: but he was very good out of the gate. So

97
00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:54,680
Speaker 1: the Braves get shut out yesterday, one nothing. They get

98
00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:59,120
Speaker 1: shut out one nothing an opening day, and that cannot

99
00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:01,919
Speaker 1: sit well with Atlanta. I mean, this is a team

100
00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:05,680
Speaker 1: that has some real big aspirations, but they've got COVID

101
00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:09,400
Speaker 1: nineteen scares both their catchers, including Travis Darnaut, who were

102
00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:11,880
Speaker 1: back at home because they weren't feeling well. So in

103
00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:15,279
Speaker 1: an abundance of caution, they went ahead and left him behind.

104
00:05:15,400 --> 00:05:18,159
Speaker 1: So that's a little bit of a concern. Clearly the

105
00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:21,479
Speaker 1: team is worried. Freddie Freeman already had COVID nineteen. The

106
00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:24,600
Speaker 1: pitchers working with guys are not used to, so that's

107
00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:27,840
Speaker 1: not good right now for the Braves. But I think

108
00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,160
Speaker 1: the Braves need a need a victory if they're getting

109
00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:32,320
Speaker 1: shut out. I expect the bats to come alive here

110
00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:35,400
Speaker 1: against Steven Mattz, who I mean, this is a guy

111
00:05:35,400 --> 00:05:37,880
Speaker 1: who can get hit hard, right. I mean, Steven Matts

112
00:05:38,040 --> 00:05:42,000
Speaker 1: is good pitcher at times, but he's had that blow up,

113
00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:45,080
Speaker 1: he's had that big number, he's had that you know,

114
00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:47,160
Speaker 1: that start where you're like, oh my gosh, he gave

115
00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:50,680
Speaker 1: up how many runs? So I think this might be

116
00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:53,000
Speaker 1: kind of one of those starts here with the Braves

117
00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:55,600
Speaker 1: coming in and the Braves not happy. Matt's last year

118
00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:57,960
Speaker 1: had an ERA of four point zero five. So after

119
00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:00,760
Speaker 1: getting shut out an opening day, I'm going to the

120
00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,960
Speaker 1: Atlanta Braves to put some runs on the board, to

121
00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:06,800
Speaker 1: get on the board and to get a victory here

122
00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:10,840
Speaker 1: against the New York Mets and Steven Matts. So I'm

123
00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:13,080
Speaker 1: gonna ride the team that lost at zero to one,

124
00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:14,839
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna ride the team with the better pitcher

125
00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:18,560
Speaker 1: in Max Freed, left hander coming in Braves. If you

126
00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:21,400
Speaker 1: look at the consensus odds here for the game, if

127
00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:24,279
Speaker 1: you go to bettingpros dot com, even money is the

128
00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,880
Speaker 1: consensus odd on both sides. Some books have the Braves

129
00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:30,360
Speaker 1: slightly favored. I got them at minus one oh seven

130
00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,240
Speaker 1: Mets minus one oh four. You can figure out where

131
00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:35,360
Speaker 1: you mean minus one eleven, I mean, depending on the

132
00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:37,200
Speaker 1: on the on the book that you're gonna be looking at.

133
00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:40,000
Speaker 1: The consensus is even money. But FanDuel's got the Braves

134
00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:43,200
Speaker 1: slightly favored at minus won ten and bet MGM's got

135
00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:46,000
Speaker 1: them favored at minus one eleven. So I'm gonna take

136
00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:48,679
Speaker 1: the minus one oh seven and the Braves the better

137
00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:51,719
Speaker 1: pitcher for Atlanta to get on the on the right track,

138
00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:53,960
Speaker 1: get on the scoreboard for the first time this year,

139
00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:57,320
Speaker 1: Braves over the Mets Play number one at minus one

140
00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,640
Speaker 1: oh seven. Now for play number two, as I mentioned,

141
00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:03,080
Speaker 1: I'm gonna fade a really bad baseball team. I'm gonna

142
00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:07,560
Speaker 1: fade the Marlins here. Pitching matchup Marlins at Phillies, Caleb

143
00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:11,840
Speaker 1: Smith up against Zach Wheeler yesterday. Kind of a surprise

144
00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:16,080
Speaker 1: here that the Phillies lost an opening day to Miami

145
00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:19,360
Speaker 1: five to two. Kind of an eye opener, kind of

146
00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:22,040
Speaker 1: a huh type of game. Now, it's only one game,

147
00:07:22,440 --> 00:07:26,280
Speaker 1: but there it definitely raised eyebrows that the Marlins won

148
00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:28,480
Speaker 1: an opening day five to two. And the Phillies are

149
00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:30,200
Speaker 1: at home, and I don't think they want to start

150
00:07:30,280 --> 00:07:32,440
Speaker 1: zero to two in a sixty game season, in particular

151
00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:35,360
Speaker 1: at home. So Zach Wheeler will make his Phillies debut

152
00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:39,160
Speaker 1: against the Miami Marlins. Caleb Smith goes on the other side.

153
00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:41,680
Speaker 1: In three starts last year against the Phillies, Smith had

154
00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:44,360
Speaker 1: a three point six to zero ERA. Got up to a

155
00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:46,400
Speaker 1: pretty good start last year, but an injuries kicked in

156
00:07:46,400 --> 00:07:48,560
Speaker 1: and his second half ERA was really bad at five

157
00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:51,760
Speaker 1: point four to two. But Zach Wheeler coming in last

158
00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:54,120
Speaker 1: year with the Mets, now with the Phillies. But Zach

159
00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:56,520
Speaker 1: Wheeler versus the Miami Marlins last year was two to

160
00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:59,320
Speaker 1: one with a one point nine to six ERA twenty

161
00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:02,240
Speaker 1: three innings a one point zero four whip in twenty

162
00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:05,720
Speaker 1: six strikeouts. This team needs to get some runs on

163
00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:07,840
Speaker 1: the board, and I think they're going to get some

164
00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:10,400
Speaker 1: runs on the board against Kaylen Smith and this Miami

165
00:08:10,440 --> 00:08:13,280
Speaker 1: Marlins team. I'm gonna go to the run line here

166
00:08:13,440 --> 00:08:16,480
Speaker 1: because the odds, it's you know, the Phillies are pretty

167
00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:18,800
Speaker 1: heavily favored here. Minus one seventy five is the consensus

168
00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:21,240
Speaker 1: odds of bettingpros dot com. The Marlins are plus one

169
00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:24,040
Speaker 1: sixty five all of it up to one eighty one

170
00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:27,160
Speaker 1: eighty two nine, depending on where you're looking at this.

171
00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:31,280
Speaker 1: So I'm going on the run line here and I'm

172
00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:33,199
Speaker 1: taking the Phillies at plus one oh two. You get

173
00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:35,320
Speaker 1: a little plus money on this depending on the book

174
00:08:35,320 --> 00:08:37,440
Speaker 1: you're looking at. But the Phillies on the run line,

175
00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:39,840
Speaker 1: which is laying one and a half runs against the

176
00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:42,480
Speaker 1: Miami Marlins. I think the Phillies that were scoring two

177
00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:45,760
Speaker 1: runs yesterday and they heat in the summer of Philadelphia,

178
00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:48,120
Speaker 1: the balls fly out of that ballpark. I think they

179
00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:51,240
Speaker 1: get rolling. I think the offense comes to life against Miami.

180
00:08:51,320 --> 00:08:53,960
Speaker 1: The Phillies will put things right for them into the

181
00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:56,800
Speaker 1: win column to get their first victory on the year.

182
00:08:56,920 --> 00:09:00,439
Speaker 1: So two baseball plays Phillies on the run line, and

183
00:09:00,480 --> 00:09:04,080
Speaker 1: we're taking the Braves minus one oh seven to win

184
00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:07,360
Speaker 1: their game against the New York Mets. Let's go to

185
00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:11,960
Speaker 1: UFC Fight Night, Whittaker versus Till, Darren Till Robert Whittaker.

186
00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:15,520
Speaker 1: I have looked at this card up and down. I

187
00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:18,720
Speaker 1: have tried to find angles on this card. I have

188
00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:23,640
Speaker 1: tried to find betible, fun fights, angles that I like,

189
00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:27,400
Speaker 1: and I can't find much on this card. I gotta

190
00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:30,280
Speaker 1: be honest. This is the fourth card on Fight Island.

191
00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,400
Speaker 1: This feels a little bit I don't want to say

192
00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:37,000
Speaker 1: thrown together, but there's some really weird things going on

193
00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:39,360
Speaker 1: here on this card, like the fact that you've got

194
00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:42,640
Speaker 1: a guy who has been almost his whole career, almost

195
00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:46,360
Speaker 1: the entire career, fighting at light heavyweight, now moving up

196
00:09:46,679 --> 00:09:49,320
Speaker 1: to heavyweight. I don't know what to make of Alexander

197
00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:54,240
Speaker 1: Guphison going up to heavyweight to fight Fabricio verdom. I mean,

198
00:09:54,280 --> 00:09:58,120
Speaker 1: this is minus three p thirty five for Gufphison. This

199
00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:00,320
Speaker 1: is a guy you can't beat John Jones at light heyweight,

200
00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:02,240
Speaker 1: so he goes to heavyweight. He wants to try this division.

201
00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:04,240
Speaker 1: He put on thirty five pounds. Looks like a toub

202
00:10:04,280 --> 00:10:07,080
Speaker 1: of gou on the on the scales because he's just

203
00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:10,079
Speaker 1: not used to being the size. It doesn't feel right.

204
00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:13,600
Speaker 1: But he's a massive favorite. Not no, I'm I'm I'm

205
00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:17,680
Speaker 1: not really interested for Hua versus Nogeera. You know. Showgun

206
00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:20,000
Speaker 1: is my AUS one ninety. Okay, that's a lot of

207
00:10:20,080 --> 00:10:21,960
Speaker 1: jews for a fight that might be a toss up.

208
00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:24,959
Speaker 1: The only fight that I thought about betting, and I'm

209
00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:27,920
Speaker 1: a lean here. I'm gonna give you a lean Rodriguez

210
00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:32,679
Speaker 1: and Esparza. I'm leaning towards Rodriguez. She's much taller, much longer, younger.

211
00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:35,880
Speaker 1: I think if she stays away from Carla Esparza on

212
00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:38,280
Speaker 1: the ground, I think she'll win that fight going away.

213
00:10:38,320 --> 00:10:40,680
Speaker 1: She's a heavy miss. One to eighty favorite consentsis odds

214
00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:43,000
Speaker 1: off bettingpros dot Com. I just don't like laying that

215
00:10:43,080 --> 00:10:45,560
Speaker 1: much juice right now on a fight that might be

216
00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:47,800
Speaker 1: somewhat of a toss up if it goes to the ground.

217
00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:50,959
Speaker 1: So I don't like that fight. I don't like Gutison,

218
00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:55,600
Speaker 1: I don't like Showgun. I've gone back and forth and

219
00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:57,520
Speaker 1: looked for angles the only thing I can come up

220
00:10:57,559 --> 00:11:00,360
Speaker 1: with right now that I like is Darren Hill to

221
00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:03,840
Speaker 1: win this fight. I think Darren Till wins because I'm

222
00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:08,480
Speaker 1: not so sure Robert Whittaker is fully healthy and committed

223
00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:11,880
Speaker 1: to fighting anymore. I mean, this guy got into wars

224
00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:14,840
Speaker 1: with Joel Romero back to back fights, and then he

225
00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:18,680
Speaker 1: loses the belt to Atisania, and he said all sorts

226
00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:21,280
Speaker 1: of weird things after that fight about not really wanting

227
00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:23,480
Speaker 1: to fight anymore. And I know he's saying all the

228
00:11:23,559 --> 00:11:26,160
Speaker 1: right things now leading into fight week. I just think

229
00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:30,280
Speaker 1: Darren Till is more hungry here. I think Darren Till

230
00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:34,160
Speaker 1: wants it more than Whittaker. And I think I always

231
00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:36,000
Speaker 1: look for storylines when it comes to these events. I'm

232
00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:38,079
Speaker 1: always looking like, what's happening here? Who they trying to

233
00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:40,560
Speaker 1: show it? Darren Till still still has a lot of

234
00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:43,400
Speaker 1: gas left in the tank. Darren Till still could be

235
00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:46,040
Speaker 1: the guy the UFC thought, I mean, a contender in

236
00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:48,120
Speaker 1: in the one to eighty five division, a guy who

237
00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:50,400
Speaker 1: potentially can pepe for the belt, maybe win the belt.

238
00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:53,840
Speaker 1: Right Whittaker, It's on the back end of his career,

239
00:11:54,280 --> 00:11:57,440
Speaker 1: and Whittaker has taken so much damage I just think

240
00:11:57,440 --> 00:12:00,640
Speaker 1: this is Till's opportunity to get a really big, big win.

241
00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:04,960
Speaker 1: I know Darren Til is a low output fighter. I

242
00:12:05,000 --> 00:12:07,960
Speaker 1: know Darren Till is not the most exciting of fighters.

243
00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,360
Speaker 1: This fight may go five rounds. So I looked at

244
00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:14,080
Speaker 1: the totals four and a half rounds. It's juiced to

245
00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:16,559
Speaker 1: the under, and I was surprised at that it was

246
00:12:16,640 --> 00:12:20,200
Speaker 1: juiced to the under. But I was looking at it going, Okay,

247
00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:22,440
Speaker 1: I think this thing goes to the cards. But I

248
00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:26,679
Speaker 1: don't know because of the chin of Whittaker, and maybe

249
00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,520
Speaker 1: he's not right, maybe he's not focused, Maybe he isn't

250
00:12:29,640 --> 00:12:32,240
Speaker 1: once he gets hit hard. I mean that's the thing

251
00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:35,040
Speaker 1: with fighting, like if your brain starts telling you we

252
00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:37,719
Speaker 1: shouldn't do this anymore, or we don't feel right, or

253
00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:41,200
Speaker 1: we're just not fully committed to the sport. When you

254
00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:44,480
Speaker 1: get tagged, when you get really tattooed in the octagon,

255
00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:47,839
Speaker 1: everything just kind of falls apart for you. So I

256
00:12:48,200 --> 00:12:50,480
Speaker 1: don't know what to do with this fight except take

257
00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:53,280
Speaker 1: Darren until to win. It's kind of a basic fight.

258
00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:55,480
Speaker 1: It is plus money, Okay, depending on what book you're

259
00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:58,160
Speaker 1: looking at, it's plus money. I got it at plus

260
00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:00,520
Speaker 1: one oh nine. It's plus one fifth fifteen on our

261
00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:04,000
Speaker 1: betting odds consensus odds off bettingpros dot Com. But I

262
00:13:04,440 --> 00:13:07,920
Speaker 1: just think that Darren Til can either knockout Winnaker or

263
00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:10,680
Speaker 1: win it on the scorecards. I don't think this fight's

264
00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:13,319
Speaker 1: gonna be exciting. I don't think this fight's gonna be

265
00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:15,840
Speaker 1: all that enjoyable, to be quite honest, I think at

266
00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:18,880
Speaker 1: the beginning, Darren Hill's gonna be very conservative. He's gonna

267
00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:22,240
Speaker 1: stay away. Everyone talks about Darren Till and the Jorge

268
00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:26,439
Speaker 1: Masbittal five second knockout, right, that's the number one narrative

269
00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:28,680
Speaker 1: around him. They got to get rid of that. He

270
00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:31,000
Speaker 1: needs a win, he needs a knockout. It would be

271
00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:33,800
Speaker 1: wonderful with a company if Darren Till wound up knocking

272
00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:37,160
Speaker 1: out Whittaker. But I just don't have a good feel

273
00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:39,600
Speaker 1: on this card. I just don't have a good feel

274
00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,440
Speaker 1: on this entire event nor the main event. But I

275
00:13:42,480 --> 00:13:44,959
Speaker 1: do like Darren Till to win this because I think

276
00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:46,719
Speaker 1: he's got more left in the tank. I think he's

277
00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:49,160
Speaker 1: hunger eer and I think he's a very difficult South

278
00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:51,360
Speaker 1: Paul guy to fight against. He's he's tough, I mean,

279
00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:54,199
Speaker 1: he's very awkward and he's just not that easy to

280
00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:57,160
Speaker 1: figure out. So I think Till could win it on

281
00:13:57,360 --> 00:13:59,600
Speaker 1: the cards. I think Till could win it by knockout.

282
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:02,200
Speaker 1: I don't think he'll win it by submission. But I'm

283
00:14:02,240 --> 00:14:04,480
Speaker 1: just going to do what I think is the safest

284
00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:07,240
Speaker 1: of plays here when I don't really feel great about

285
00:14:07,240 --> 00:14:09,520
Speaker 1: the entire card or this one fight for that matter,

286
00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:12,080
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna take the plus one oh seven Darren

287
00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:15,040
Speaker 1: Till to win over Robert Whittaker in the main event

288
00:14:15,559 --> 00:14:19,080
Speaker 1: over on Fight Island for UFC Fight Night three. So

289
00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:22,480
Speaker 1: three plays for you coming up here on the Saturday

290
00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:27,720
Speaker 1: morning Daily Juice. We've got baseball run line for the Phillies.

291
00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:31,920
Speaker 1: We're taking the Braves to win, and we're taking Darren

292
00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:35,400
Speaker 1: Till to win as well. Four and two week going

293
00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:39,280
Speaker 1: right now, Let's hopefully have another good Saturday, another good day,

294
00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:43,040
Speaker 1: cash some more tickets. We're back tomorrow with more baseball

295
00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:46,040
Speaker 1: plays for sure, and maybe we'll dip our toe into

296
00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:48,160
Speaker 1: the threem a little bit as well. We might bet

297
00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:50,280
Speaker 1: golf if we can't find baseball plays that we like.

298
00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:51,720
Speaker 1: But I'm so bad at golf right now. I'm gonna

299
00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:54,080
Speaker 1: stick with baseball. Doing much better for and one in baseball,

300
00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:58,040
Speaker 1: one in five in golf, So let's stick with baseball

301
00:14:58,040 --> 00:14:59,720
Speaker 1: for a little bit. If you've not subscribed to the

302
00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:02,800
Speaker 1: podcas Ast, please please do so. Leave a review on

303
00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,800
Speaker 1: Stitcher or Apple Podcasts for us. Take a screenshot, send

304
00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:08,480
Speaker 1: it in to contest at Bettingpros dot com and you

305
00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:11,800
Speaker 1: can win an autograph Dalvincook, Jersey. I'm Att Perrault. Follow

306
00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:14,080
Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Maatt. We'll have a

307
00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:17,720
Speaker 1: lot of fun Saturday night watching the fights and watching baseball.

308
00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:21,160
Speaker 1: Let's get after it. We're back tomorrow off Bettingpros dot

309
00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:23,960
Speaker 1: com for a Sunday's edition of the Daily Jeers