1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:18,759 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. 3 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 3: Anthropic gets a warning from the US Common Secretary saying 4 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 3: it needs government permission to grant foreign nationals access to 5 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 3: its most advanced AI models. Plus, after three days of soaring, 6 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 3: SpaceX shares come back down to earth and drop for 7 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 3: the first time in the company's fourth trading day, and 8 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:46,519 Speaker 3: Bloomberg reports Apple's upcoming camera equipped AirPods will launch in 9 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,519 Speaker 3: late twenty twenty seven as part of a flurry of 10 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 3: new releases. There is a lot going on in the 11 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 3: world of technology, and that's playing out inequity markets, and 12 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:57,040 Speaker 3: as that one hundred. 13 00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 2: Is seen a lot of churn and chop. We're up modestly, 14 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 2: few tenths percent. 15 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 3: Chip stocks are rebounding, but we had a really big 16 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 3: drop in yesterday's session. 17 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:07,320 Speaker 2: But remember as an. 18 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 3: Index, as a bucket, chip stocks are up like ninety 19 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 3: percent year today and SpaceX that's a pretty reasonable pullback 20 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 3: down to one hundred and ninety three dollars per share, 21 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 3: down four percent, but had added nine hundred and thirty 22 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 3: billion dollars of market cap in the first three days 23 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:24,400 Speaker 3: of its life as a public company. 24 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 2: Let's get to the new stories and. 25 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 3: An extraordinary escalation in Washington's conflict with Anthropic. Bloomberg's obtained 26 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 3: a copy of the letter from Cover Secretary Howard Lutnik, 27 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:41,319 Speaker 3: dated last Friday, warning that Enenthropic faces severe civil and 28 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 3: criminal penalties if it grants foreign nationals access to its 29 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 3: most advanced AI models. Bloomberg's editor in DC, Mike Shephard, 30 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 3: is with us for more. So, what do we learn 31 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 3: from the letter that's start there? 32 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 4: Well, one of the things we actually didn't learn ed 33 00:01:56,720 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 4: was the rationale. What was the underlying security concer learn 34 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 4: that drove Howard Lutneck and the US government to take 35 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:07,360 Speaker 4: such a drastic step as to order and impose export 36 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 4: controls on shipments and sharing of this sensitive technology. But 37 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 4: what we did learned was this that the government is 38 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:19,359 Speaker 4: using authorities that are typically reserved for dual use technology, 39 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 4: that is, products that could be applied for both civilian 40 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 4: and military purposes, and the government is invoking these authorities 41 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 4: in a way to try to prevent foreign nationals, perhaps 42 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 4: from leaking either intentionally or unintentionally, these whares, these products, 43 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 4: the top two AI models from Anthropic to foreign adversaries 44 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:43,000 Speaker 4: of the US, and they are preparing to impose these 45 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 4: export controls and have them in place until further notice, 46 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:49,880 Speaker 4: and they're warning it of criminal penalties and civil penalties 47 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 4: if Anthropic fails to comply. 48 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:55,639 Speaker 3: Shep just very quickly. Let's re recap the reporting of 49 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 3: the show. Yesterday, technical staff of Anthropic went to DC 50 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 3: met with the administration. 51 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:05,239 Speaker 4: What do we know, Well, we haven't seen any further 52 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:10,079 Speaker 4: signs of progress in the negotiations between the two sides. 53 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 4: We do, however, have today at the G seven Evion 54 00:03:14,639 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 4: Dario Amidae, the Anthropic CEO, and President Donald Trump in 55 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:21,079 Speaker 4: the same room for an AI lunch hosted by French 56 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 4: President Emmanuel Macron. Now, at the lunch, the two men 57 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:27,120 Speaker 4: did not sit anywhere near each other, and it's unclear 58 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 4: whether they had any interactions or cydebars. But after his 59 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 4: bilateral meeting with Indian Prime Minister and Arundromodi, President Donald 60 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:38,320 Speaker 4: Trump was asked well, how are things going with Anthropic, 61 00:03:38,440 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 4: and all he could say was going fine. We may 62 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 4: hear more from the President on this, but clearly it's 63 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 4: something that's on the mind of G seven leaders, and 64 00:03:45,720 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 4: Macron himself is pushing this idea of trusted partners for 65 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 4: sensitive technologies like anthropics AI models in which these partners 66 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:58,320 Speaker 4: allied countries would be vetted by security authorities so that 67 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 4: they too could perhaps re access to centretive tech like 68 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 4: these two models. 69 00:04:03,640 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 3: Bloomboks Mike Shepard, thank you very much. I want to 70 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 3: go deeper on that story. The G seven is underway 71 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 3: in vy On, France this week, and beyond geopolitical and 72 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 3: economic debates, AI is in the spotlight. The chief executives 73 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 3: of Open Ai, Anthropic and Google all on hand, joining 74 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 3: world leaders to discuss the global. 75 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:22,200 Speaker 2: Future of AI. 76 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:25,600 Speaker 3: The conversation comes as the US government indicates its willingness 77 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:30,520 Speaker 3: to use emergency powers forcing private developers into compliance over 78 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 3: national security threats. The President of the United States also 79 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:36,599 Speaker 3: in Evyon, and we expect to hear from him today. 80 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 3: Bloombirs Kle lines co hosts of Balance of Powers with US, 81 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:44,480 Speaker 3: such an interesting dynamic, right power players, World leaders, AI 82 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:46,599 Speaker 3: leaders recap. 83 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, well and Mike spoke to some of this incredibly 84 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 5: well ed. Basically, what we have here is countries who 85 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 5: are all calling for a regulatory regime around AI. The 86 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 5: German Chancellor Friedrich Marks talked about the need for and 87 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 5: intensive discussion around that, also saying that all countries need 88 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:05,280 Speaker 5: to have access to this technology and admitting fridrim Mertz 89 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:08,040 Speaker 5: did that Europe needs to play catchup. And that's really 90 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 5: what's that issue here is we consider anthropic and these 91 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:14,840 Speaker 5: export controls being slapped on in particular, is that Europe 92 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 5: doesn't have its own AI juggernauts such as those in 93 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 5: the United States. This is somewhere and we heard President 94 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:23,440 Speaker 5: Trump speak to this earlier as well, that the United 95 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 5: States is leading in and Europe wants to be able 96 00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:29,280 Speaker 5: to trust that it can access the technology. Thus the 97 00:05:29,279 --> 00:05:32,720 Speaker 5: push to have Europe considered some of these trusted partners 98 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 5: who would be able to access this technology versus adversaries 99 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 5: like China for example, when we're considering things like Mythos 100 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:42,839 Speaker 5: and Fable five. So this is obviously an active discussion. 101 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 5: We could hear more from President Trump about this, but 102 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 5: it also feeds into another issue that was raised at 103 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:52,040 Speaker 5: the G seven summit. At as we consider the technology 104 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 5: questions that leaders are grappling with, it is also inputs 105 00:05:55,240 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 5: into certain technologies like rare earth and permanent magnets, and 106 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 5: we actually saw the G seven countries agreeing today to 107 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:06,880 Speaker 5: cap their imported supply from China to sixty percent of 108 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 5: rares and permanent magnets by the year twenty thirty. 109 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 2: The ultimate goal, as soon. 110 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:14,279 Speaker 5: As possible is to get those imports down to fifty percent, 111 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:15,720 Speaker 5: and they're going to by the end of this year 112 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 5: have a separate discussion around other critical minerals, but the 113 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,279 Speaker 5: idea is reducing the dependence on China, which has shown 114 00:06:21,320 --> 00:06:24,679 Speaker 5: a willingness to restrict exports of this market in which 115 00:06:24,839 --> 00:06:27,880 Speaker 5: they are dominant, not just in terms of mining these 116 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:31,000 Speaker 5: rare earths, but also in the refining of them. This 117 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:33,160 Speaker 5: is going to be a really ambitious target for these 118 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 5: countries to meet at is they have to work on 119 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:38,760 Speaker 5: their own supply chains. Even officials of the G seven 120 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:42,480 Speaker 5: are admitting that may mean imposing quotas on certain industries 121 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:45,080 Speaker 5: like defense, for example. But this is actually one of 122 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:48,080 Speaker 5: the big tangible items that is emerging from the G 123 00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:50,960 Speaker 5: seven summit, the sixty percent cap on rare earths from 124 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:52,560 Speaker 5: China again by twenty thirty. 125 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 3: The mss kaye lyones, thank you very much, and of 126 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,599 Speaker 3: course we expect to hear from the President about the 127 00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:01,840 Speaker 3: status of an agreement with Iran other topic that has 128 00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:05,400 Speaker 3: had direct impact on supply chains in tech, including semiconductors. 129 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:08,479 Speaker 3: Stick with AI and video founder and CEO Jensen Wog 130 00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 3: sat down with the AP to discuss the need to 131 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 3: build AI in a safe and responsible way. But beyond that, 132 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 3: he says, the US needs to harness the new technology 133 00:07:17,560 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 3: to stay ahead of the curve globally. 134 00:07:19,080 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 2: Listen to this, We. 135 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 6: Have to be very careful that artificial intelligence, this new 136 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 6: next generation of technology revolution, that we're also enthusiastic about 137 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 6: the adopting it and make sure that we don't get left. 138 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 2: Behind joining us now. 139 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:34,480 Speaker 3: Udecha Revu, a member of the portfolio management team for 140 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:38,080 Speaker 3: the International Equity Strategy Desk at Harding Lovner. You know 141 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 3: something that's come up actually very recently yesterday's show was 142 00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 3: what is the kind of black swan for this market 143 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 3: where we are right now? 144 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 2: And it might just be regulatory risk. 145 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 3: Listening to what Jensen Wong had to say there, extrapolate 146 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 3: on that a little bit. You know, we're still unresolved 147 00:07:57,120 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 3: with China. Supply chains are impacted by the war, and 148 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 3: what's tep of mind for you right now? 149 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 6: Top of mind for us is a productivity gain. So 150 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 6: the return on equity that can be generated from AI 151 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 6: and how much people are embracing it and what purposes 152 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 6: are they using and what is the adoption curve and 153 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,440 Speaker 6: the return on that adoption curve is what's on top 154 00:08:18,480 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 6: of our mind. And when we point out a less 155 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 6: regulatory risk might be less of an issue. The bigger 156 00:08:23,760 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 6: issue is going to be people have to take time 157 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 6: to digest what they're included, what AI they've started using 158 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:33,080 Speaker 6: in their workplaces, and then understand the returns of it 159 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 6: before they can generate additional demand. And to us, the 160 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 6: timing of that is where the market might get moist, 161 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 6: might get most confused about, And to us, that's that 162 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:48,200 Speaker 6: Blacks fundament. Short term risk might be extrapolated as long 163 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:51,559 Speaker 6: term risk, and that's where the market might overreact. 164 00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:56,360 Speaker 3: Where do you look for the evidence of productivity's impact 165 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 3: from AI? You know, very recently and I think you're 166 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:02,319 Speaker 3: talking about in team markets, right. We had a conversation 167 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:05,559 Speaker 3: ten days ago with San Francisco Fair president Mary Daily 168 00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:08,959 Speaker 3: saying I don't see any evidence of productivity in this 169 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 3: country being impacted by AI, for better or worse. 170 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 6: Yeah, So from that, I think there's a number ways 171 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:16,080 Speaker 6: to look at it. The first thing we do is 172 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 6: to talk to companies. 173 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 7: At the individual levels how they're adopting AI and what 174 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 7: impact that AI is having on either their cost management 175 00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 7: or the sales that they're generating, or the activity that 176 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:28,439 Speaker 7: they're doing. 177 00:09:28,760 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 6: So one clear evidence that we find is people are 178 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,439 Speaker 6: able to do a lot more with a lot less 179 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 6: human resources or keeping human resources versus the same. What 180 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:44,040 Speaker 6: we yet to see is that translate into profit growth 181 00:09:44,040 --> 00:09:47,040 Speaker 6: for anyone either, And that's to us is what the 182 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:49,719 Speaker 6: next step is going to be and trying to understand 183 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:53,480 Speaker 6: where that profit growth is coming from. Most immediate is 184 00:09:53,520 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 6: that some costs can come down, but that cost is 185 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:59,560 Speaker 6: being reinvested into AI, and to us, that's where that 186 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:01,480 Speaker 6: discript in a secret come from. 187 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 3: We started the program saying there's been some choppy trading 188 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:08,720 Speaker 3: and churn inequities in this morning session, at least remind 189 00:10:08,800 --> 00:10:12,280 Speaker 3: the audience that we have a FED decision and meeting today. 190 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:13,479 Speaker 2: The first of Kevin. 191 00:10:13,240 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 3: WASH's chair is that a factor for technology investors right now? 192 00:10:18,559 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 6: I don't think it's a factor for technology investors from 193 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:23,560 Speaker 6: a fundamental perspective. We still are focused on what's happening 194 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 6: in the fundamental markets, and the market is reacting to 195 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 6: a lot of the fundamental news that's coming out. So 196 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:32,480 Speaker 6: the investors, in my mind, have become more and more 197 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:37,040 Speaker 6: sensitive to profit and what impact by AI is having 198 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:41,800 Speaker 6: on profit versus revenue. Over the last two years, revenues, backlogs, 199 00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 6: bookings was what the market's reacted to. It started to 200 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:48,440 Speaker 6: turn in the last two quarters where revenue growth is 201 00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 6: being given less of interest and more interesting into profit growth. 202 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 6: So I don't think we're there the point where the 203 00:10:56,520 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 6: interest rate changes itself will have a big impact on 204 00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 6: it a longer run. It will because that's it's a 205 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:04,320 Speaker 6: discount rated which you mpv the future edge. 206 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 3: Yes, it's been it's been a long time since I've 207 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:09,320 Speaker 3: said this out loud on Bloomberg Tech. But higher rates 208 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:12,320 Speaker 3: discount the present value of future cash flows and continue 209 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 3: to remind ourselves at that point. Look, I won't ask 210 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:18,839 Speaker 3: you about SpaceX specifically, but there's this idea that that 211 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:23,560 Speaker 3: presages a big i PO window, but more sophisticated than that. 212 00:11:23,920 --> 00:11:28,120 Speaker 3: After a long era of buybacks and other shareholder friendly policies, 213 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:32,440 Speaker 3: lots of new equity will hit the market maybe this year. 214 00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:34,680 Speaker 2: How does that go for you? Sorry? 215 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:38,040 Speaker 6: Go ahead, So that's that creates a technical risk in 216 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 6: terms of where if anthropic and open AI come to 217 00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 6: the market, the equity that's raised for that, and the 218 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:47,000 Speaker 6: funding that's which that, where is that going to come from, 219 00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:49,400 Speaker 6: Which which sick does the market? Which part of the market. 220 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:51,600 Speaker 6: And we've seen some of the some of the reason 221 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:54,360 Speaker 6: why the semi conductors have done so well is softly 222 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 6: it has underperformed. So what are the segments of the 223 00:11:57,640 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 6: markets are going to underform? So they are going to 224 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:02,320 Speaker 6: be technical factors and they'll become even more important in 225 00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:03,760 Speaker 6: the market in the next six months. 226 00:12:04,960 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 3: Just very quickly, French President Makran saying in his own 227 00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:12,440 Speaker 3: presser in Avon, it's good that the US realizes the 228 00:12:12,559 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 3: dangers of frontier AI models. We're showing live pictures of 229 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:19,840 Speaker 3: him speaking at the G seven. This idea of government 230 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:23,880 Speaker 3: intervention and dictation on how technology can or can't be used. 231 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:26,320 Speaker 3: How is that playing out in the market mood right now? 232 00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:30,240 Speaker 6: I think it's not as important to the market at 233 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:33,040 Speaker 6: this point in time because we're still trying to understand 234 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:36,640 Speaker 6: what are the capabilities of AI, and there's so much 235 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:40,840 Speaker 6: latent demand in even the previous generational models that we're 236 00:12:40,880 --> 00:12:43,280 Speaker 6: less concerned about is there going to be the next 237 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,439 Speaker 6: generation going to be restricted? Well, we're still having used 238 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 6: the full capacity or the previous generations, So let's do 239 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 6: that and understand what the teram of that is before 240 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 6: we're worried about the next generation. 241 00:12:53,920 --> 00:12:55,920 Speaker 3: Like I said, there is a lot going on in 242 00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:57,760 Speaker 3: the world of technology this morning, Harding Love and a 243 00:12:57,760 --> 00:12:59,679 Speaker 3: portfolio manager who they threw a great to have you 244 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:02,360 Speaker 3: back on show, Thank you very much. Coming up, we're 245 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:06,680 Speaker 3: going to hear from HPECO Antonio Neeri story about let's 246 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 3: make networking great again in the world of AI. 247 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 2: That's next. This is Prittberg Tech. 248 00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:30,880 Speaker 3: As AI infrastructure scales attention shifting beyond the chips to networking. 249 00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:34,560 Speaker 3: HPE is betting the demand and its Juniper acquisition will 250 00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:37,080 Speaker 3: be a major growth driver. I sat down with HPE 251 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:39,800 Speaker 3: President and CEO Antonio and Ery listen to this. 252 00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:44,680 Speaker 8: We believe and has been for now three years plus, 253 00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 8: that networking is the core foundation to deliver AI across 254 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:52,760 Speaker 8: many aspects of the market, not just the enterprise, but 255 00:13:52,840 --> 00:13:56,120 Speaker 8: obviously to train these models because networking is also the 256 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 8: bottleneck to get the best productivities for all the GPUs 257 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:03,000 Speaker 8: of the point all over the world, and so Juniper 258 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 8: has been a key thesis of that. We understood in 259 00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:10,239 Speaker 8: twenty twenty three when we start thinking about the acquisition 260 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 8: of Juniper with Rami, which was the CEO of Juniper 261 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 8: and now leading our combined networking business, that this is 262 00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 8: a massive opportunity and the combination of Juniper and HPE 263 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:26,760 Speaker 8: and particularly with compute storage general green Lake platform will 264 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 8: allows us to differentiate the market. So clearly is going 265 00:14:29,680 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 8: to be the driving force as we go forward, because 266 00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 8: enterprises need to put that foundation in place and then 267 00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 8: the cloud experience around it. Because AI is the definition 268 00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 8: of a hybrid world load and tarry. 269 00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 3: That's pretend for a moment that the Bloomberg Tech audience 270 00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 3: is not familiar with networking. They know all about the GPUs, 271 00:14:49,720 --> 00:14:53,960 Speaker 3: they know all about the high bandwidth memory, But what 272 00:14:54,200 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 3: is it that we're talking about materially here. 273 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 8: Yeah, when we think about AI and we think about 274 00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:03,520 Speaker 8: the amount of accelerating computing through the GPUs we are 275 00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 8: plowing today, you have to connect all of them together 276 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:12,200 Speaker 8: in a parallel process. And that connectivity is the networking fabric, 277 00:15:12,240 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 8: and there are three. 278 00:15:12,880 --> 00:15:13,720 Speaker 9: Aspects of that. 279 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:17,080 Speaker 8: One is in a raq think about the cabinet you 280 00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 8: bring together seventy two or one hundred and forty four, 281 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:23,200 Speaker 8: that requires a lot of networking connectivity. That's what we 282 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 8: call scale up. That's where Juniper is going to play 283 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 8: a bigger role with the introduction of AMD helios in 284 00:15:29,880 --> 00:15:33,359 Speaker 8: the fall, where Juniper will be the de facto networking 285 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 8: fabric inside that architecture. And then when you start putting 286 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 8: cabinets together in large data centers, you need to connect 287 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:42,920 Speaker 8: these cabinets all together, and that's what we'll scale out 288 00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:46,480 Speaker 8: and that's also Juniper. And then finally, as we build 289 00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:49,440 Speaker 8: these amazing data centers all over the world, you have 290 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:51,920 Speaker 8: to connect them with each other, and that's what we 291 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:55,800 Speaker 8: call scale across. And that's where our Juniper routing business 292 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:58,600 Speaker 8: excel because we have one of the best platforms in 293 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,720 Speaker 8: the world. So that's why networking so relevant to train 294 00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:03,760 Speaker 8: models and to influence models. 295 00:16:04,560 --> 00:16:07,280 Speaker 3: That was Hpe CEO, Antnio and Ery. There is a 296 00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:09,920 Speaker 3: lot going on the world of technology, so many news stories. 297 00:16:09,960 --> 00:16:11,920 Speaker 3: Let's get out to New York and Bloombergs. You hire 298 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 3: and and you hire a HI I. 299 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 10: Ed it's time out for talking tech. First up AI 300 00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:20,640 Speaker 10: creditors are taking over software company Medalia. It's an effort 301 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 10: led by Blackstone after owner Toma Bravo said it would 302 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 10: not inject fresh cash into the struggling SaaS company creditors 303 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:30,560 Speaker 10: will invest one hundred and fifty million dollars into the 304 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 10: company to curb it's debt and accelerate AI efforts. Plus 305 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:39,360 Speaker 10: SoftBank says it's becoming harder to find Latin American startups 306 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 10: that are ready for major investments. 307 00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:43,280 Speaker 9: The company says fewer. 308 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:45,320 Speaker 10: Firms in the region are meeting the requirements for its 309 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 10: preferred investments of fifty million. 310 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:47,920 Speaker 9: Dollars or more. 311 00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:50,680 Speaker 10: It's a big shift from just a few years ago 312 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 10: when Latin American startups were attracting record amounts of venture 313 00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,800 Speaker 10: capital and we end on Lenovo it is the latest 314 00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:01,080 Speaker 10: company tapping the debt market look to raise two billion 315 00:17:01,120 --> 00:17:04,240 Speaker 10: dollars through a convertible bond sale. The Beijing base, maker 316 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:07,320 Speaker 10: of PCs and AI servers, is returning to the market 317 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:11,640 Speaker 10: just two years after securing a similar size investment from 318 00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 10: Saudi Arabia's sovereign Wealth Fund. It says the money will 319 00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:17,479 Speaker 10: be used to refinance debts and buy back shares. 320 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:21,400 Speaker 3: Ed thank you, Hira as we discussed earlier, the US 321 00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:24,720 Speaker 3: is total anthropic not to give foreign nationals access to 322 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:28,040 Speaker 3: its most powerful models, but CEO Dario Amiday says the 323 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:31,919 Speaker 3: best defense against those risks is getting the technology to 324 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:35,800 Speaker 3: cyber defenders. He spoke with Billiomberg's Emily Chang for the circuit. 325 00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:41,119 Speaker 11: If this helps defenders, it also helps attackers. 326 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:42,720 Speaker 12: Can we defend anything anymore? 327 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 13: What I would say is that the reason that we're 328 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 13: giving Mythos to defenders before we give it to attackers 329 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,200 Speaker 13: is to patch all the bugs. I don't know, as 330 00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 13: the models get better, there may be more and more 331 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:55,400 Speaker 13: bugs to be found, but there's only so many. They're finite, right. 332 00:17:55,440 --> 00:17:57,760 Speaker 13: It's like you have this surface and there's only so 333 00:17:57,800 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 13: many holes in it. 334 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 2: You patch all the holes. 335 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:02,760 Speaker 13: And then the surface becomes very hard to attack as 336 00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:06,080 Speaker 13: well as the code itself is written with the powerful models, 337 00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:09,560 Speaker 13: so it's it's then becomes very hard to find flaws 338 00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:11,400 Speaker 13: in or break into. So I think on the other 339 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:15,120 Speaker 13: side of this, hopefully six months or a year from now, 340 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:18,399 Speaker 13: we have a much more secure Internet ecosystem than we 341 00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:21,080 Speaker 13: had in the past. We're trying to get to that 342 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 13: world and we're doing the best we can to open 343 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:28,679 Speaker 13: up Mythos to new cyber defenders. We've been talking to 344 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:32,000 Speaker 13: the government. We're very respectful of their recommendations. They're slowing 345 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:33,800 Speaker 13: the pace at which we open it up because they're 346 00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 13: worried about counterintelligence risk. I think that's sensible. I think 347 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:41,480 Speaker 13: all serious people here understand that there's real trade offs here. 348 00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:42,600 Speaker 2: We see a lot of. 349 00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:45,880 Speaker 13: Sniping from people on Twitter and from you know, from 350 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:49,359 Speaker 13: other AI companies. You look at what they're saying and 351 00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:50,640 Speaker 13: the inconsistency with. 352 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:51,200 Speaker 2: What they're doing. 353 00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:53,439 Speaker 9: It's not they're not serious people. 354 00:18:53,600 --> 00:18:58,879 Speaker 13: They're not seriously engaging with the the serious trade offs 355 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 13: that that that that we have here. Look, I have 356 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,639 Speaker 13: customers calling me up every day saying I want access 357 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:07,159 Speaker 13: to Mythos. I have countries calling me up scene I 358 00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:09,880 Speaker 13: want access to Mythos. And I have the US government 359 00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:13,120 Speaker 13: and my security team saying no, wait a minute, there's 360 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,640 Speaker 13: risk to it. You know, I'm not saying one side 361 00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:18,840 Speaker 13: or the other is right. I think it's somewhere in between. 362 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,719 Speaker 13: Both sides have valid points, but there's a real challenge 363 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:25,800 Speaker 13: here and we need to face it together as a society. 364 00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:29,560 Speaker 3: That was Anthropics CEO Dario ami Day, speaking with Bloomberg's 365 00:19:29,560 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 3: Emily Chang. 366 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:31,440 Speaker 2: You can catch that full. 367 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:35,040 Speaker 3: Episode of the circuit later today on Bloomberg TV and 368 00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:39,679 Speaker 3: on Bloomberg dot com. SpaceX shares come back down to 369 00:19:39,760 --> 00:19:43,200 Speaker 3: earth dropping for the first time. It's only the company's 370 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:46,639 Speaker 3: fourth trading day since that blockbuster ipo, puts the stock 371 00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:50,359 Speaker 3: on track to snap three days of gains, where the 372 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 3: shares had pushed nearly fifty percent above the IPO price 373 00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:56,840 Speaker 3: and added almost to trillion dollars of market cap. Bloomberg 374 00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,480 Speaker 3: Actacies reporter common Rhyanikey is trying to keep track of 375 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:03,280 Speaker 3: numbers that in real time keep changing. I mean, what 376 00:20:03,520 --> 00:20:06,760 Speaker 3: is the what is happening right now? Right there is scarcity. 377 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:09,600 Speaker 3: There is only four percent of this company available for 378 00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:10,440 Speaker 3: trade on the float. 379 00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 2: What's the big thing here? 380 00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 12: Yeah, So I think we're seeing some of the keynote, 381 00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:18,520 Speaker 12: you know, volatility that can be associated with new IPOs 382 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,399 Speaker 12: in their earliest days of trading right here today, I mean, 383 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:23,359 Speaker 12: shares are down six percent right now, We're a little 384 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,000 Speaker 12: bit off the lows of the day for SpaceX, but 385 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 12: this is a pretty extreme drop. It was up about 386 00:20:28,960 --> 00:20:31,399 Speaker 12: six percent earlier in the session. Has paired all of 387 00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:33,880 Speaker 12: that to decline here, we know that there's a low 388 00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:36,960 Speaker 12: flow that can make swings in the stock price look 389 00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:40,399 Speaker 12: extra large or bigger than maybe than they usually would, 390 00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:43,560 Speaker 12: and that can also then have an impact on market caps. 391 00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:47,480 Speaker 12: So yesterday we reported that SpaceX had jumped over Amazon 392 00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 12: in market value and that's a little bit up in 393 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,760 Speaker 12: the air today. We'll see where it ends at today's close. 394 00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:58,280 Speaker 3: There's also like the listed options right the options market 395 00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:00,600 Speaker 3: came into play over the last time for hours. Is 396 00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 3: that a factor in the volatility? 397 00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:05,680 Speaker 12: It definitely can be. I mean, you know, traders are 398 00:21:05,720 --> 00:21:09,640 Speaker 12: obviously now making bets on where SpaceX shares go next. 399 00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,639 Speaker 12: You know, they're buying puts and calls. They're trying to 400 00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 12: additionally sort of game this system or see if they 401 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:18,639 Speaker 12: there's extra you know alpha here. One thing that we 402 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:21,239 Speaker 12: have heard or seen that is that options contracts are 403 00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:24,359 Speaker 12: that are pretty expensive. You know, investor Michael Burry wrote 404 00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:27,840 Speaker 12: in a sub stack note yesterday that he was looking 405 00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:31,000 Speaker 12: at puts and they were just too expensive to buy 406 00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:33,159 Speaker 12: right now. So I think we have a lot of 407 00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:36,960 Speaker 12: traders looking there. We have more options trading actually coming 408 00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,120 Speaker 12: online in the next few weeks from other pens. 409 00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:42,400 Speaker 3: That's a that's a volatility premium, just really really quick. 410 00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 2: And I know this is unfair. 411 00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:46,400 Speaker 3: Do we even look at price to sales ratio for SpaceX? 412 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 2: What's the point? 413 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 12: That's a great question. I mean, I think the point 414 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:52,960 Speaker 12: is just in comparing it to some of these other 415 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 12: large companies where it now has a similar market value, right. 416 00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 12: I mean, it brought in about nineteen billion dollars in 417 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:02,800 Speaker 12: revenue last and if you compare that to Microsoft, that is, 418 00:22:02,880 --> 00:22:05,919 Speaker 12: you know, it's fifteen times hire. So it's good to 419 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:07,919 Speaker 12: keep that in mind sort of as we look at 420 00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:09,160 Speaker 12: the value of this company. 421 00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:11,959 Speaker 3: We hope to talk a lot more about the company 422 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:14,280 Speaker 3: a little later in the program. Bloomber's corm Ryanikey, thank 423 00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:16,440 Speaker 3: you very much. Indeed, there's a lot of news from 424 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:21,479 Speaker 3: Bloomberg as well. Apple's investors are frustrated the iPhone maker 425 00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:25,080 Speaker 3: has been slow to deliver on AI promises, even with 426 00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:28,560 Speaker 3: its latest Serie AI features, and after a disappointing performance 427 00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 3: at its annual Worldwide Developers Conference last week, investors are 428 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 3: becoming a little bit impatient. Bloomber's Michael Reagan leads the 429 00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:37,920 Speaker 3: team that's been writing about this. It's interesting, right, Actually, 430 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:40,719 Speaker 3: I was staring at the chart and being like, what 431 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:42,719 Speaker 3: are the shares telling me? In the days since I 432 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:46,680 Speaker 3: was in Coopertino. But that's still the same story. Everyone 433 00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:48,320 Speaker 3: wants to see a little bit more from Apple. 434 00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:51,240 Speaker 14: Yeah, I think that's pretty much it. You know, as 435 00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:54,000 Speaker 14: you're familiar with, it's not uncommon for there to be 436 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:57,560 Speaker 14: a lot of optimism ahead of the Developers conference from 437 00:22:57,600 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 14: Apple and then a little bit of a letdown and 438 00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:03,560 Speaker 14: there's not really a big bang product announcement. So yeah, 439 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:07,080 Speaker 14: the investors we've talked to are basically saying we're just 440 00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:11,240 Speaker 14: hoping for a little bit more oomph from their AI offerings, 441 00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:13,480 Speaker 14: their Apple Intelligence offerings. So there's a little bit of 442 00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:18,320 Speaker 14: disappointment that Siri will only be in beta mode in September, 443 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:23,160 Speaker 14: only available in English, not available in Europe or Asia. 444 00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:27,080 Speaker 14: So a bit of a disappointment there. But I would say, 445 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:29,720 Speaker 14: you know, Apple stock is still it's up ten percent 446 00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:32,399 Speaker 14: this year, It's right in line with S and P 447 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:33,119 Speaker 14: five hundred. 448 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:33,680 Speaker 2: But I think it. 449 00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:36,040 Speaker 14: Goes back to those chip makers. You're just talking to people, 450 00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:38,639 Speaker 14: are you know, turning their head over there and seeing 451 00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:41,520 Speaker 14: these triple digit gains. You know, there's something like a 452 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:44,879 Speaker 14: dozen chip makers in the Nasdaq one hundred with triple 453 00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,879 Speaker 14: digit gains this year and just saying, you know what, 454 00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:50,639 Speaker 14: we wish Apple had been a little bit more ahead 455 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:53,879 Speaker 14: of the curve, a little bit more aggressive with AI. 456 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:56,119 Speaker 14: Now that said, we do have these days in the 457 00:23:56,160 --> 00:23:59,960 Speaker 14: market where everybody starts second guessing all the capex involved it, 458 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:03,520 Speaker 14: and that's when Apple sort of becomes almost your defensive 459 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:07,280 Speaker 14: tech stock play. So there is a little bit disappointment, 460 00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:08,560 Speaker 14: But you know, at the end of the day, this 461 00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:12,440 Speaker 14: is Apple with this fortress balance sheet, still looking at 462 00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:16,719 Speaker 14: fifteen percent revenue growth for this physical year. So you know, 463 00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:18,720 Speaker 14: I don't think we can make too much out of 464 00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:21,119 Speaker 14: the disappointment from the from the developers conference. 465 00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:23,840 Speaker 3: Just very quick, Mike, there was there was a part 466 00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,679 Speaker 3: of our report on this that basically seems to indicate 467 00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,719 Speaker 3: the market's more focused on the next hardware upgrade cycle. 468 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:31,800 Speaker 3: Just real quick, what are they talking about? 469 00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:32,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly. 470 00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,600 Speaker 14: I mean when you're looking at the iPhone that's coming 471 00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,840 Speaker 14: out in September, you know what is sort of baked 472 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:44,119 Speaker 14: into the assumptions about, you know, how much growth we 473 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,760 Speaker 14: can we can see because of people refreshing buying new iPhones. 474 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,440 Speaker 14: Just because they're excited about the new one. So far, 475 00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:52,960 Speaker 14: the you know, the the revenue estimates are pretty much 476 00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 14: staying where they are, so it doesn't seem like they've 477 00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:57,440 Speaker 14: really adding onto the estimates. 478 00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:01,920 Speaker 3: Following the conference, Michael Reagan with the Apple Stock story, 479 00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:05,199 Speaker 3: Thank you very much. Meanwhile, the company holds steady with 480 00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:10,480 Speaker 3: its AI ambitions, planning camera equipped AirPods, smart glasses, and 481 00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:14,200 Speaker 3: new foldable iPhones as part of this major product push, 482 00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:16,680 Speaker 3: which will span the next two years. Bloomberg to Apple 483 00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:19,240 Speaker 3: and Consumer Tech editor Mark German is with us with 484 00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:21,640 Speaker 3: the latest reporting. I just I read it a few times. 485 00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:24,720 Speaker 3: AirPods with camera and the new bit I think is 486 00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:28,119 Speaker 3: the kind of timeline for launch. Go with that, Like, 487 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,720 Speaker 3: what was the important bit of what you reported, Mark? 488 00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,800 Speaker 15: So these new camera AirPods are going to launch at 489 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:36,800 Speaker 15: the end of twenty twenty seven. It's going to be 490 00:25:36,840 --> 00:25:40,600 Speaker 15: a pretty blockbuster Fall of next year, that's the twentieth 491 00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:42,360 Speaker 15: anniversary of the iPhone. 492 00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:44,160 Speaker 9: So they're planning a lot of stuff to go hand 493 00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:44,800 Speaker 9: in hand with that. 494 00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 15: In addition to these AirPods with cameras, And just to 495 00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:51,160 Speaker 15: give you some context, these are not for facial recognition. 496 00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:54,439 Speaker 15: These are not for taking pictures and video. These are 497 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:56,720 Speaker 15: for being able to see the world around you and 498 00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 15: feed that information into Siri, so you can see things 499 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,119 Speaker 15: sort of like what can I make with the food 500 00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 15: on this table right? 501 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,000 Speaker 9: What recipes? Can you can talk for me? 502 00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,439 Speaker 15: Tell me more information about that object or that plant 503 00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:11,800 Speaker 15: or what have you, or things for visual reminders or 504 00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:15,080 Speaker 15: more specific turn by turn directions. And in addition to that, 505 00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:17,360 Speaker 15: you're going to see the second generation of the foldable 506 00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:21,000 Speaker 15: iPhone as well as the twentieth anniversary iPhone something I'm 507 00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 15: calling the iPhone twenty or the iPhone twenty Pro coming. 508 00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:25,879 Speaker 9: Out at the end of next year. So it's going 509 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:27,000 Speaker 9: to be pretty jam packed. 510 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:29,800 Speaker 15: And if you look at the more near term, this 511 00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:32,639 Speaker 15: year is going to be pretty extensive as well. You 512 00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:36,080 Speaker 15: have several new iPads, you have several new Macs, new 513 00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 15: Apple Watches, and of course you have the first foldable 514 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:42,199 Speaker 15: iPhone as well as the iPhone eighteen Pro eighteen Promax 515 00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:45,520 Speaker 15: and if you recall, Apple made that big design change 516 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:49,760 Speaker 15: with the seventeen Pro and Promax last year. Typically when 517 00:26:49,800 --> 00:26:52,640 Speaker 15: Apple does a new design change, the first two years 518 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,639 Speaker 15: of that design are extremely successful in terms of upgraders. 519 00:26:55,880 --> 00:26:57,399 Speaker 15: Some people don't do it in year one. They like 520 00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:59,199 Speaker 15: to wait for year two, and so I think the 521 00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:01,959 Speaker 15: eighteen pro prom are going to be pretty hot sellers 522 00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:02,640 Speaker 15: this fall as well. 523 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,800 Speaker 3: Another big story that played out in markets, it played 524 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 3: out on social media in a huge way in the 525 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:13,080 Speaker 3: last twenty four hours is Snap and Snap specs augmented 526 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:14,080 Speaker 3: reality glasses. 527 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:17,320 Speaker 2: You know what the stock reaction was. You spoke to. 528 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:21,200 Speaker 3: The CEO yourself, summarize everything we need to know about this, please. 529 00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,239 Speaker 15: I think the stock reaction is more in response to 530 00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:28,440 Speaker 15: how much we're spent on this product and investors in 531 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:30,400 Speaker 15: Wall Street knowing that this is not going to be 532 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:34,240 Speaker 15: a hit out the gate. This is a conceptual product 533 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,680 Speaker 15: right now. This is something like when the Vision pro 534 00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:38,879 Speaker 15: launched a couple of years ago. This is going to 535 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:42,280 Speaker 15: be for developers, for the biggest tech fans, for the 536 00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,960 Speaker 15: earliest of early adopters. This is not something that's going 537 00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:48,760 Speaker 15: to like the world on fire from the get go. 538 00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:51,399 Speaker 15: But this is the future of computing, I believe as well, 539 00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:53,640 Speaker 15: and this is what Evan Spiegel has been saying. These 540 00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:57,960 Speaker 15: are augmented reality glasses that allow you to overlay applications, 541 00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:02,679 Speaker 15: your work notifications on top of the real world. Eventually, 542 00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:05,240 Speaker 15: this is a product category that is going to click, 543 00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:07,199 Speaker 15: but it needs to get a little bit later, and 544 00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:10,280 Speaker 15: it needs to get a lot less expensive. These are 545 00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:13,359 Speaker 15: about twenty two hundred dollars right now, certainly not the 546 00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:16,120 Speaker 15: priciest device in the category. The vision pro obviously being 547 00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:19,479 Speaker 15: over one thousand dollars more expensive than that, but there 548 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 15: is some work to be done. But this is another 549 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,240 Speaker 15: stepping stone towards that vision that Snap and several other 550 00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:27,520 Speaker 15: companies have. So maybe I'm not optimistic about this first 551 00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:30,119 Speaker 15: generation of the product from Snap, but in terms of 552 00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:33,240 Speaker 15: the category, this is going to be the future, and 553 00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:35,400 Speaker 15: Snap clearly is placing a foothold there. 554 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:38,560 Speaker 3: The most Mark German, who leads all of our coverage 555 00:28:38,560 --> 00:28:40,680 Speaker 3: of consumer technology, thank you very much. 556 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 2: Did you see this one? 557 00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:47,400 Speaker 3: All Birds is now smart Bird, completing its pivot from 558 00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:51,560 Speaker 3: footwear to AI infrastructure after selling off its shoe business 559 00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:55,719 Speaker 3: and the brand's assets. The company tapped former DCAIICEO Nadia 560 00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:57,840 Speaker 3: Carlston to lead the next chapter. 561 00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:00,920 Speaker 2: Smart Bird also doubled its convertible. 562 00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:03,640 Speaker 3: Financing facility to one hundred million dollars and says it's 563 00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:08,280 Speaker 3: ready already talking with potential customers as it builds out 564 00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:11,320 Speaker 3: its first AI computing clusters. 565 00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:14,760 Speaker 2: Wow, okay, coming up, we're going to. 566 00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 3: Talk about the challenges facing space based data centers, including 567 00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:22,480 Speaker 3: satellite to satellite communication, the deep dive. Next, this is 568 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:35,600 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Tech. The US is the clear winner in the 569 00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:39,360 Speaker 3: AI race. That's according to ASML CEO Christophe Fouque. He 570 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:42,920 Speaker 3: sat down with Bloomberg Tech Europe's Tom McKenzie earlier today 571 00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 3: on the sidelines of the Viva Tech conference in Paris. 572 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,040 Speaker 3: Here's what he had to say about his thoughts on 573 00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:49,200 Speaker 3: the global AI race. 574 00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 16: If we compare all we do on the entire chrisystem 575 00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,000 Speaker 16: versus the US and China, I think today the US 576 00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:01,800 Speaker 16: is a clear winners in DR looking at champion across 577 00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:04,880 Speaker 16: the entire AI so my ECO system. I think the 578 00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:08,400 Speaker 16: one place they were missing a bit out was manufacturing, 579 00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,800 Speaker 16: and I think they have been extremely aggressive in bringing 580 00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:14,560 Speaker 16: some key company to manufacturing in the US. They can 581 00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:16,080 Speaker 16: do that because they buy chips. 582 00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:22,960 Speaker 3: ASMLCO Christophe Fouquet. Back to SpaceX. Despite today's decline, SpaceX 583 00:30:23,080 --> 00:30:27,280 Speaker 3: has sowed since its IPO four days ago. A big 584 00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:31,080 Speaker 3: part of investor enthusiasm stems from Elon Musk goal to 585 00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:35,040 Speaker 3: put data centers in space starting in twenty twenty eight. 586 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:39,040 Speaker 3: We've heard from those bullish on the prospect, including SpaceX 587 00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:42,960 Speaker 3: investor Sean Maguire, who said this about orbital compute. 588 00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:49,880 Speaker 6: Every individual component here is kind of fully fully proven 589 00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:51,680 Speaker 6: by SpaceX, except. 590 00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:55,960 Speaker 2: For the compute sign but that is not It's just 591 00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:56,920 Speaker 2: not that hart. 592 00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:03,360 Speaker 3: But space does present specific challenges for compute, including communication 593 00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:07,680 Speaker 3: between satellites and with the ground. That's an issue Den Rocker, 594 00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:10,720 Speaker 3: former head of software engineering at SpaceX, set out to 595 00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:14,760 Speaker 3: address when he co founded Observable Space, and Dan joins 596 00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:17,080 Speaker 3: us now and really grateful for you to come in 597 00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:20,160 Speaker 3: with your expertise. Right when you read the SpaceX prospectus, 598 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:25,440 Speaker 3: it's like, okay, the big picture, get it space data 599 00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:27,280 Speaker 3: center in space as early as twenty twenty eight. 600 00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:28,320 Speaker 2: One of the things we. 601 00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:31,840 Speaker 3: Focus on the show is the ability for communication RF 602 00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:36,520 Speaker 3: but also laser Try and summarize the challenge for us. 603 00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:40,480 Speaker 17: Yeah, you know, like everyone's known for a long time 604 00:31:40,520 --> 00:31:44,120 Speaker 17: that laser communication is the next generation of communication for space. 605 00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:47,440 Speaker 17: You saw that really as Starlink was getting built with 606 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,120 Speaker 17: the isl links between satellites that are in orbit. 607 00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:52,640 Speaker 9: It's you know, because it's in space. 608 00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:57,400 Speaker 17: There's no like atmosphere conditions or challenges really establishing optical links. 609 00:31:57,600 --> 00:31:59,440 Speaker 17: One of the big challenges you kind of have though 610 00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:01,840 Speaker 17: going from space to ground and ground to space is 611 00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:05,320 Speaker 17: obviously the atmosphere. But everyone kind of knows that solving 612 00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:08,600 Speaker 17: those technical challenges or what's going to provide they're really 613 00:32:08,680 --> 00:32:11,240 Speaker 17: like ten to one hundred times the bandwidth throughput that 614 00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:13,560 Speaker 17: you're going to want and continue to like low latency 615 00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:16,080 Speaker 17: that we need for kind of expanding the space. 616 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:17,960 Speaker 9: That's what what are they doing here? 617 00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 2: Yeah? Good, no, no, no, no, I'm sorry to interrupt you. 618 00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,240 Speaker 3: I guess that the easy way to help themIn with 619 00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:24,680 Speaker 3: tech audience on the side is like what are the 620 00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:29,560 Speaker 3: current limitations of existing generations of hardware and software in 621 00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:30,840 Speaker 3: that environment in space? 622 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:35,480 Speaker 17: Yeah, so, you know, I think from being able to 623 00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:39,280 Speaker 17: deploy these ground stations for laser communications at scale on 624 00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:43,200 Speaker 17: Earth to communicate is definitely one of the challenges. There's 625 00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:46,080 Speaker 17: a lot of technical challenges as well around being more 626 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:49,280 Speaker 17: to correct like the kind of waveform and wayfront for 627 00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:53,720 Speaker 17: laser communication, and around like adaptive optics as you're basically 628 00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 17: receiving the light on our ground stations. These are all 629 00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:59,520 Speaker 17: like very active challenges, but we've actually made as a 630 00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:04,720 Speaker 17: as a is an industry, a lot of like advancements 631 00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:07,680 Speaker 17: to make this feasible at this point. The data centers 632 00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:11,640 Speaker 17: in space now is really going to require laser com 633 00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:14,880 Speaker 17: to be the primary mechanism of communication moving forward. 634 00:33:14,960 --> 00:33:16,760 Speaker 9: So the timing works out really well. 635 00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:20,200 Speaker 17: They're still challenges ahead, but it is i'd say, like 636 00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,960 Speaker 17: commercially viable at this point, and so that's why we're 637 00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:27,000 Speaker 17: really excited about being able to get these deployed at 638 00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:29,320 Speaker 17: scale over the next six to twelve months. 639 00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:36,040 Speaker 3: Observable Space the world's largest vertically integrated hardware and software 640 00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:39,160 Speaker 3: company for space observation. But you are working on the 641 00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:43,240 Speaker 3: laser component. That's why is laser the best technology. 642 00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:48,280 Speaker 17: There's a few different things that make it clearly the 643 00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:52,000 Speaker 17: winner over RF. First, just pure speed, it's ten to 644 00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:56,160 Speaker 17: one hundred times faster. The second is there's no spectrum management. 645 00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:58,520 Speaker 17: You know a lot of times with the RF bans 646 00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:00,520 Speaker 17: you have to work with different countries to be able 647 00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:04,640 Speaker 17: to manage who owns the spectrum and how that's kind 648 00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,440 Speaker 17: of being used and service from space. And then the 649 00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:10,920 Speaker 17: other one that is really important, especially for kind of 650 00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:14,440 Speaker 17: military defense purposes is the privacy of it. It's a 651 00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:17,560 Speaker 17: very point to point communication, so it's extremely hard to 652 00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:21,040 Speaker 17: ease drop on and be able to collect that communication. 653 00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:24,399 Speaker 17: You have to be in a very specific area where 654 00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:26,840 Speaker 17: the ground station is located at in order to collect 655 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:30,360 Speaker 17: any signals. So from a military perspective, this is like 656 00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:34,200 Speaker 17: a clear winner, and most future constellations for defense purposes 657 00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:36,240 Speaker 17: are going to be optical first and to do forward. 658 00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:40,480 Speaker 3: The basic idea of SpaceX going public is also that 659 00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:43,360 Speaker 3: it will shine a light on commercial space. You know, 660 00:34:43,640 --> 00:34:46,319 Speaker 3: SpaceX likes to do a lot of stuff itself, but 661 00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:48,200 Speaker 3: do you see a kind of ripple effect or even 662 00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:51,120 Speaker 3: an opportunity to work with SpaceX on those technologies. 663 00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:56,760 Speaker 17: Yeah, totally, Like you know SpaceX, like we're we love SpaceX. 664 00:34:57,520 --> 00:35:01,240 Speaker 17: It's really the company that's defining the future of space, 665 00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:03,680 Speaker 17: so you know, partnerships with them, like we we work 666 00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:06,040 Speaker 17: with them and we will continue to like would love 667 00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:09,279 Speaker 17: to expand our relationship with SpaceX moving forward. I do 668 00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:12,360 Speaker 17: think you're going to see over this next phase of 669 00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:17,560 Speaker 17: space technology development. You know, people starting to unstack kind 670 00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:22,360 Speaker 17: of pull out the different stacks in the space technology spectrum. 671 00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:24,560 Speaker 17: It's kind of similar to like how this happened in 672 00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:26,480 Speaker 17: the early days of the Internet, when if you were 673 00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:28,480 Speaker 17: going to be an Internet company, you had to do 674 00:35:28,600 --> 00:35:30,440 Speaker 17: all the things. You know, you were a data center, 675 00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:32,880 Speaker 17: you were like a website, you were doing networking. 676 00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:33,440 Speaker 9: You know. 677 00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:38,320 Speaker 17: As the space economy and kind of space technology matures, 678 00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:41,040 Speaker 17: you're going to see these different layers being pulled out. 679 00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:45,600 Speaker 17: We're that communication optical communication infrastructure layer that is now 680 00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:48,560 Speaker 17: pulled out and people can just buy our products off 681 00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:53,160 Speaker 17: the shelf, turn key solutions to establish optical cons from 682 00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:54,239 Speaker 17: Earth to space and space. 683 00:35:54,320 --> 00:36:00,399 Speaker 3: Serve lasers in space no longer special see of space, 684 00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:03,760 Speaker 3: Thank you so much. Blue Origin is rebuilding the launch 685 00:36:03,800 --> 00:36:06,840 Speaker 3: site where it's New Glen rocket exploded last month, aiming 686 00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:09,680 Speaker 3: to fly again later this year. New Glen is a 687 00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:12,920 Speaker 3: key part of Blue Origin's plans for space exploration, but 688 00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:16,799 Speaker 3: also NASA's Artemis program, but it's years behind schedule, and 689 00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:20,080 Speaker 3: as Blue Origin founder Jeff Bezos said earlier today, this 690 00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:23,120 Speaker 3: is not a sector where it is easy to move fast. 691 00:36:23,960 --> 00:36:29,640 Speaker 18: Traditional aerospace, I think often suffers from slow decision making speed, 692 00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:33,400 Speaker 18: and it's and I know how aerospace gets there, but 693 00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:35,520 Speaker 18: I mean, you know, you're building things that often have 694 00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:40,440 Speaker 18: you know, hazardous operations, life safety critical missions, and so 695 00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:44,520 Speaker 18: again not every decision is like that though, so you 696 00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:47,800 Speaker 18: end up making every decision as if it's life safety critical. 697 00:36:49,560 --> 00:36:52,280 Speaker 3: Let's talk more about the challenges space presents, the things 698 00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:54,960 Speaker 3: we send up into it. Mackenzie Listrop joins us a 699 00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:57,719 Speaker 3: former director for the godd Space Flight Center, which is 700 00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:01,640 Speaker 3: NASA's primary hub for building up lating scientific satellites, now 701 00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:07,000 Speaker 3: principal consultant Paradise Services and just an absolute expert in 702 00:37:07,080 --> 00:37:11,799 Speaker 3: space systems. So there are different degrees of orbital compute, right, 703 00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:15,520 Speaker 3: different variations of a space based data center. But at 704 00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:19,719 Speaker 3: the extreme SpaceX is presenting, it is at hyperscale. It 705 00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:25,440 Speaker 3: is running massive AI workloads inference. Explain the distinction between 706 00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:28,400 Speaker 3: those three grades of compute and why it's hard. 707 00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:32,759 Speaker 11: Absolutely. So the first is really on orbit edge computing. 708 00:37:33,080 --> 00:37:38,040 Speaker 11: So this is about taking you know, imagery data, radar, weather, maritime, 709 00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:41,759 Speaker 11: climate or defense data that's collected in space and then 710 00:37:41,960 --> 00:37:48,600 Speaker 11: using AI edge computing, some kind of inference, some kind 711 00:37:48,600 --> 00:37:52,440 Speaker 11: of processing in the space system itself before sending it 712 00:37:52,520 --> 00:37:55,360 Speaker 11: down to Earth. So this is real, this is near term. 713 00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:59,000 Speaker 11: So satellite sends raw data to an orbital compute node. 714 00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:02,680 Speaker 11: The node perform filtering or aiml inference and then only 715 00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:05,760 Speaker 11: the higher value or smaller data products get sent to Earth. 716 00:38:06,120 --> 00:38:10,279 Speaker 11: So this is a process that the company Axiom, says 717 00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:12,960 Speaker 11: that it deployed as a prototype unit on the International 718 00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:18,040 Speaker 11: Space Station and has an orbital data center node as well. Now, 719 00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:21,880 Speaker 11: the second is really resilient or sovereign storage and computing, 720 00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:28,279 Speaker 11: so infrastructure that is physically separated from terrestrial threats so disasters, 721 00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:31,640 Speaker 11: political borders, or ground based attacks. That also has some 722 00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:35,440 Speaker 11: real defense, continuity of government, and critical infrastructure use cases, 723 00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:39,160 Speaker 11: but still not entirely explored. Now, the third is hyper 724 00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:42,520 Speaker 11: scale AI work in orbit, and this is really the moonshot. 725 00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:47,000 Speaker 11: It's potentially enormous, but it is not merely about the 726 00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:51,800 Speaker 11: launch cost or even the orbital downlink nodes. It really 727 00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:56,720 Speaker 11: requires some challenges to be met in power in heat, rejection, 728 00:38:57,120 --> 00:39:02,600 Speaker 11: in radiation, tolerant computing, high band with optical networking, orbital reliability, 729 00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:06,160 Speaker 11: and other issues. So it's a real challenge. 730 00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:09,359 Speaker 2: So let's zero in on some of the challenges. Right. 731 00:39:09,440 --> 00:39:12,080 Speaker 3: Your job was to get systems ready to be in 732 00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:15,440 Speaker 3: the environment of space. The Sci Fi nerd in methinks 733 00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:19,120 Speaker 3: about the vast coldness of space. But in thermal it's 734 00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:20,840 Speaker 3: a very different challenge, right. 735 00:39:21,680 --> 00:39:26,240 Speaker 11: It is, So you know, space is not cold sometimes 736 00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,640 Speaker 11: in the way that people think. And I would say 737 00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:32,000 Speaker 11: that in orbit, a data center is a heat engine 738 00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:35,680 Speaker 11: first and foremost, and a compute platform second. So a 739 00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:40,440 Speaker 11: terrestrial data center rejects heat through chillers, through air water 740 00:39:40,680 --> 00:39:45,120 Speaker 11: or liquid cooling through evaporative systems as well. Now in 741 00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:48,960 Speaker 11: orbit there is no convective air heat sinc. So heat 742 00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:52,840 Speaker 11: has to be moved through the spacecraft and then radiated away. 743 00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:58,080 Speaker 11: So this means that radiator area, radiator emissivity, the attitude 744 00:39:58,080 --> 00:40:02,160 Speaker 11: control of the spacecraft, can tampa degradation. These are all 745 00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:05,920 Speaker 11: effects that have now become first order economic variables. 746 00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:10,800 Speaker 3: And then there is the power challenge. There's the belief 747 00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:14,359 Speaker 3: that the sun is always on infinite solar panel as 748 00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:17,480 Speaker 3: long as there's nothing blocking the path. But again it's 749 00:40:17,520 --> 00:40:19,759 Speaker 3: not as simple about that as that when it comes 750 00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:20,440 Speaker 3: to access to. 751 00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:22,200 Speaker 9: That power correct. 752 00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:25,480 Speaker 11: So you know, the pitch for orbital data centers is 753 00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:28,239 Speaker 11: often that, hey, sunlight is stronger and more continuous in 754 00:40:28,280 --> 00:40:32,560 Speaker 11: the right orbit. Google's Project Suncatcher argues that solar panels 755 00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:34,520 Speaker 11: in the right orbit can be up to eight times 756 00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:38,120 Speaker 11: more productive than on Earth. So that is true. But 757 00:40:38,320 --> 00:40:41,520 Speaker 11: just because you have space energy access doesn't mean that 758 00:40:41,560 --> 00:40:45,279 Speaker 11: you have space energy infrastructure. So you're going to have 759 00:40:45,320 --> 00:40:48,719 Speaker 11: to deal with some real constraints, and that means the 760 00:40:48,840 --> 00:40:53,040 Speaker 11: close formation, orbital dynamics, the radiation effects, the thermal management, 761 00:40:53,160 --> 00:40:57,800 Speaker 11: the ground communications. All of this depends on a reliable 762 00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:04,279 Speaker 11: access to power in power generation, but also power storage distribution. 763 00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:09,520 Speaker 11: Again that thermal issue of rejection and also redundancy. Now 764 00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:12,680 Speaker 11: this has to be flight qualified. It also has to 765 00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:16,640 Speaker 11: be able to be reliably operated in space and maintained, 766 00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:18,840 Speaker 11: and maintenance is one of these hidden costs. 767 00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:20,760 Speaker 9: Right now that we're not talking a lot. 768 00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:23,880 Speaker 3: About McKenzie, we have literally ten seconds. Do you think 769 00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:26,200 Speaker 3: SpaceX can do it well. 770 00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:30,280 Speaker 11: They're a vertically integrated company that has demonstrated many technical 771 00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:32,120 Speaker 11: challenges before, so I wouldn't count them out. 772 00:41:33,239 --> 00:41:33,759 Speaker 2: Mackenzie. 773 00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:38,040 Speaker 3: Listrap principal consultant, a paradoct services, former director to NASA's 774 00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:40,680 Speaker 3: god and Space Flight Center, and a top expert in 775 00:41:40,719 --> 00:41:43,200 Speaker 3: space based systems, and get used to that. We're going 776 00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:45,440 Speaker 3: to be talking about it a lot. That does it 777 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:49,200 Speaker 3: for this edition of Bloomberg Tech. Really interesting mix of 778 00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:52,799 Speaker 3: market news, political news, but the technology sector has a 779 00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:57,279 Speaker 3: lot going on right now. Recap on the podcast, Apple, Spotify, iHeart, 780 00:41:57,480 --> 00:42:00,240 Speaker 3: and all of the Bloomberg platforms from San Francisco. 781 00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:03,680 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Tech. M hm 782 00:42:06,840 --> 00:42:06,920 Speaker 17: Hm