1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: Two News Global business news twenty four hours a day 2 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:08,200 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot Com, the Radio plus Mobile Act and 3 00:00:08,360 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: on your radio. This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and 4 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: I'm Karen Monscowe Futures are trading lower this morning. Let's 5 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: go to the First Word Breaking news desk for today's 6 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:21,160 Speaker 1: morning call, and here's Bill Maloney. Good morning, Bill, Good 7 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 1: morning Karen. Us features have paired some of their losses 8 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:26,920 Speaker 1: since the last time we spoke. Death futures now lower 9 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:29,480 Speaker 1: by forty four point says bees drop five and as 10 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 1: the futures are lower by sixteen, the US ten niel 11 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 1: falls to one point eight six percent and the dollar 12 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: yen hit a seventeen month low. Main eupay markets are falling, 13 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: led by one point six losses in Germany and Norway. 14 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:46,080 Speaker 1: Cut rates on the US Economic Frinday thirty Current account Balance, 15 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: Philly FED and initial jobs claims and Attend thirty natural 16 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 1: gas story change after the bellas Night, Fed X Beat, 17 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: guest pass outlook, missed estimates and Jabil circuit cut your 18 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 1: views and other news person square blow of twenty million, 19 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 1: Mondaly shares set a price at and Caterpillar sees Q 20 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 1: one and just ADPs sixty to seventy cents. Estimate was cents. 21 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: Shares a down three point four percent pre market. Finally, 22 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 1: some of your Walshet upgrades and downgrades. Restoration hardware cuts 23 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:19,480 Speaker 1: a hold over at BB and T L Brands, cut 24 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: the neutral I trade sweez Chapulti cut to underperform at 25 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 1: Jeffrey's High Hotels, cut the ego weight how Mark and 26 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:29,080 Speaker 1: Paint cut to underweight over at Morgan Stanley, and finally, 27 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:31,679 Speaker 1: Norwegian truz Line raised to buy a sun Trust price 28 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: target sixty four. Live from the First Breaking News desk 29 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,960 Speaker 1: on Boo Maloney Karen, thanks Bill to hear live breaking 30 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 1: news over your Bloomberg type squawk and go on your terminal. 31 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: That's squ a w K go and that's a Bloomberg 32 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 1: business flash. Tom and Mike Karen, thanks so much Bloomberg 33 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 1: surveillance this morning bunch, you buy investco. Looking for investment views, 34 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 1: experienced experts are just to click away. Go to investco 35 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:59,559 Speaker 1: dot com slash us to subscribe to the investco blog 36 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 1: and follow at investco us out on Twitter. Michael McKee 37 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 1: and Tom Keane on a eventful day of economics and 38 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 1: investment with a Stephen Ratner will advisors. We've been talking 39 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:19,360 Speaker 1: investment and economics. Can I digress you were employed for 40 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:22,640 Speaker 1: nine years at the New York Times. You sound like 41 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:27,359 Speaker 1: shocked or surprised or whatever. I know, And I want 42 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:29,959 Speaker 1: to know what my illegitimate jobs put that. Leave that 43 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:33,320 Speaker 1: for another day doing economics in that. And I say 44 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:35,519 Speaker 1: this with a men's respect, because I'm in a room, folks, 45 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 1: full disclosure, I'm not a journalist. McKee is the real deal, 46 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:41,920 Speaker 1: and Ratner was the real deal and his time there. 47 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: Where is your industry in ten years? I look at 48 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: the cell phone, they get bigger, faster. You're just on 49 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 1: your iPad or whatever you you got your Where is 50 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:57,679 Speaker 1: journalism is um in ten years? You have to separate 51 00:02:57,760 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 1: journalism from print. Print is clear like a diminishing dying 52 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 1: The Independent in London, well, no, I don't mean. I 53 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:06,800 Speaker 1: don't mean the enterprise. I mean the product. I mean 54 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 1: the idea of cutting down trees and turning them into 55 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: paper and putting ink on them. That is clearly a 56 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:13,880 Speaker 1: diminishing business that will be gone at some point. I 57 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:17,239 Speaker 1: don't know exactly when, but the business of journalism is 58 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: flourishing in a way like it has never been done before. 59 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:24,400 Speaker 1: The New York Times has tens of millions more people 60 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 1: who read what their journalists right every day than they've 61 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 1: ever had before because of the Internet. It's all it's 62 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,639 Speaker 1: it's available all over the world the touch of a button, 63 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: and the same with all these other publications. And then 64 00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: you have the the internet only the publications that that 65 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 1: don't even appear in print that have a voice in 66 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 1: all this. And so I think it is in a 67 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: way the golden age of journalism, the one of the only. 68 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: The only problem, and it's not a small problem, is 69 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: is the revenue model, which is how do you make 70 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 1: money on these things? Because traditional advertising is not going 71 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: to work in the same to the same extent and 72 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 1: yield the same kinds of revenue. So that's a tricky 73 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 1: bit of business and I don't want to minimize it. 74 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 1: But I think the availability of information on one device, 75 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 1: anywhere you go and in time you want it is 76 00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: is incredible. How do you filter through the advice? There's 77 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 1: been a lot of studies uh that suggests, uh, we 78 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 1: get so much new that what people really develop as 79 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 1: a confirmation bias. They're not open to new information. And 80 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:26,560 Speaker 1: there's so much that is inaccurate out there. How how 81 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 1: do you deal with it? It put that's a good point. 82 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:32,160 Speaker 1: It It certainly puts more responsibility on the individual to 83 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 1: to take the time to find the right things and 84 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: so on. But I I would argue, that's still a 85 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: better situation than when you say, you go back twenty 86 00:04:42,080 --> 00:04:44,720 Speaker 1: or thirty years in a typical city in America or 87 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 1: anywhere in the world, there might be one daily newspaper, 88 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 1: there might be three television stations and maybe six or 89 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:53,240 Speaker 1: seven radio stations, and that was it, and you had 90 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:55,719 Speaker 1: no other real source of information. Now you now you 91 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,280 Speaker 1: have available so much. So, yeah, it does take more work, 92 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 1: it does take more care, But but but I still think 93 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 1: we're in a much much better place. Is it easier 94 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:06,479 Speaker 1: for you as an investor to get the information whatever 95 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,159 Speaker 1: it may be that you need. When I started in 96 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: investment banking in nine two, if I wanted to know 97 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 1: some companies revenues the previous year, I had to go 98 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:19,920 Speaker 1: down to the library. I had to go get somebody 99 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: to find me the ten K which was on micro 100 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 1: feast or something like that, and print it out and 101 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 1: give it to me and so on. Now, as you 102 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,039 Speaker 1: guys know, better than I do, thanks to Bloomberg and 103 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:35,640 Speaker 1: many other providers. Very good. You gotta have a terminal. 104 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:39,120 Speaker 1: How can you operate terminal? Um? You can instantly find 105 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:42,600 Speaker 1: this information out and so so. Yeah, in my life 106 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:44,719 Speaker 1: is very different because I now can find out a 107 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: lot of what I want to know just by myself. 108 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 1: I don't have to get some research analyst or something 109 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:50,159 Speaker 1: and send her off and say go do this, go 110 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:51,839 Speaker 1: do that and so on. And so did you ever 111 00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 1: fall flat in your face getting up from your desk 112 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 1: and tripping over the value line on the floor. Well, 113 00:05:57,000 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 1: we had big piles of stuff. And my colleagues still 114 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 1: do enough. But but for for most of us, you know, 115 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 1: we're almost paperless in our office, and and it's it's 116 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:09,480 Speaker 1: a much better world. Are you just one final question? 117 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: Do you have a long field of the market cautious? 118 00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:15,880 Speaker 1: Are you in cash? No? No, we're not ninety two. 119 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 1: We're mostly invested. Look, we we we believe. I'm I'm 120 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:22,599 Speaker 1: a total believer in the Buffett view of all this. 121 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 1: I'm not smart enough to time markets. Uh, you know 122 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 1: at the edges if you think something is an incredibly 123 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:30,480 Speaker 1: buying moment by moment, or you if you feel like 124 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:33,360 Speaker 1: you're the year two thousand again. Sure, you you try 125 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: to take some risk off. We did take some risk 126 00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:37,039 Speaker 1: off at the end of last year, and I'm glad 127 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: we did. But for the most part, our view is 128 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:43,480 Speaker 1: market squop. Over time, you invest in solid companies where 129 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:45,600 Speaker 1: in effect you own some tiny little piece of their 130 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,359 Speaker 1: assets in which they earn a return and over a 131 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 1: long period of time. And fortunately we are the ultimate 132 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 1: long term investors. We're hopefully gonna make a lot of 133 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:55,840 Speaker 1: money quickly. Use of cash. Does it continued share by 134 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: actividen growth them onto the pressure and CEOs. But it's 135 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 1: not pretty because because it's right back to where we started, 136 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:06,120 Speaker 1: because in a slow growth environment, they're simply not the 137 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 1: obvious capex investments in these companies to make, and so 138 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 1: in the absence of that they should use they should 139 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 1: and they are using their cash to boost their EPs. 140 00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 1: That's what they get paid for, and that's what they 141 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 1: should be doing. Because you know, the principal owner of 142 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: the company in the hunderdea, do you get a pass 143 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: so you can cross if they have a new on St. 144 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 1: Patrick's Day, I'm gonna be. I'm gonna be. In fact, 145 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 1: my office is as a block away. I'm gonna be 146 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 1: stuck in this message all day, Steve Ratner on St. 147 00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: Patrick's Day. As we are, there are a lot of 148 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 1: people glad of that you can't get home. Is that 149 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: headline from New York on St. Patrick's Day? Bloomberg Surveillance 150 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:47,920 Speaker 1: drive safe coming up there with all due respect. Highlight 151 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 1: brought you by Landrover. If it's in your nature to 152 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: cast off the every day and seek adventure, Discovery Sport 153 00:07:52,400 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 1: was built to help your search. 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