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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: All right. Time to bring in Chad Millman, co host

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Speaker 2: of the Favorites. We always call this sharp or square,

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Speaker 2: all of our odds provided by DraftKings. We will start

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Speaker 2: because Chad and I were texting the other day on

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Speaker 2: the wildfires and the devastating damage in southern California. You know,

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Speaker 2: it's interesting, Chad. One of the things I try not

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Speaker 2: to fall into, and it's just rampant on the internet,

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Speaker 2: is making things political when they don't necessarily need to be,

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Speaker 2: you know, and the areas that were devastated, Malibu and Palisades,

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Speaker 2: specific Palisades. I've actually driven around a lot over the

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Speaker 2: last several years because I was looking to buy a

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Speaker 2: home in Pacific Palisades. And one of the reasons I didn't,

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Speaker 2: and my wife and I didn't is because the inaccessibility

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Speaker 2: of these windy roads and canyons. And I had said

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Speaker 2: to my wife, if I got into trouble or had

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Speaker 2: a heart attack, I mean it could take forty minutes

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Speaker 2: for somebody to get here you an ambulance. And so

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Speaker 2: you had this, You had four concurrent wildfires, eighty mile

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Speaker 2: an hour winds, which meant planes were not allowed to

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Speaker 2: fly over and drop water. So two things happened. Four

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Speaker 2: concurrent wildfires historically bad wins, not even in fire season,

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Speaker 2: and you couldn't use planes. It's like the world's worst tsunami.

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Speaker 2: You can blame the Coastguard. You can't prepare for it.

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Speaker 2: And if people don't know this area and Topanga Canyon

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Speaker 2: and Malibu, they have no idea what this place is

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Speaker 2: like like most people that work nine to five. You

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Speaker 2: can't live in Malibu because you can't get in and

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Speaker 2: out of it in the morning. So you know, people

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Speaker 2: are making this to completely. And I voted for Rick

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Speaker 2: Caruso over Karen Bass, you know, because I thought the

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Speaker 2: city needed somebody who was a development a builder for

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Speaker 2: their homeless issues. I thought he could really solve that

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Speaker 2: and he had a real detailed plan on this and

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Speaker 2: I got nothing four against Karen Bass. But sometimes things

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Speaker 2: happened historically and you can't prepare or solve it. And

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Speaker 2: I'm not saying I mean they had these water tanks available.

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Speaker 2: They blew through three of them, millions of gallons of water,

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Speaker 2: very very quickly. They could have had six of those reservoirs,

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Speaker 2: not three. It wouldn't have solved it. So it's one

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Speaker 2: of those things for people asking me, do we have

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Speaker 2: to make it political? Like this thing was historical. People

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Speaker 2: don't understand the day of those They told you a

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Speaker 2: day out in Los Angeles two days before there was

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Speaker 2: a weather warning and they put the list of how

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Speaker 2: strong the winds would be, and everybody in town was like, Oh,

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Speaker 2: this is trouble. This is big trouble. So there was

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Speaker 2: some sense it could be, it could be happening. But

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Speaker 2: and now there's arson. There's there's discussions of arson on

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Speaker 2: some of these later fires. But I'm okay. The firefighters

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Speaker 2: are amazing, but I don't think people understand this region.

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Speaker 2: This area is a jungle. It is trees and canyons

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Speaker 2: and narrow roads. And the fires were so intense on

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Speaker 2: the flat lower levels it made it very difficult to

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Speaker 2: get up and solve the upper tier, the upper parts

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Speaker 2: of it. So that's my rant on it. I'm fine.

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Speaker 2: I've got friends who have lost homes. It's gutting, it's awful,

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Speaker 2: it's terrible. But I just wish people sometimes not everything

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Speaker 2: would have to be about politics.

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Speaker 3: This was a historically bad two days of four concurrent wildfires,

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Speaker 3: an eighty mile an hour winds.

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Speaker 1: And four concurrent wildfires. By the way, if you look

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Speaker 1: at the maps, it's not isolated to four sections of

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Speaker 1: Greater Los Angeles that are all right next to each other.

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Speaker 1: You can go from the Palisades to Pasadena, which are

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Speaker 1: not on top of each other, and you're getting massive

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Speaker 1: fires in both places. I, like you, have been struck

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Speaker 1: by people who are saying this isn't global warming, this

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Speaker 1: is the City of Los Angeles' inability to manage the

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Speaker 1: catastrophe by not having water or not having police and

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Speaker 1: fire where they need to have them. It all strikes

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Speaker 1: me as a little disingenuous, because in either capacity, something

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Speaker 1: is causing this. It's not the police and fire and

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Speaker 1: lack of water that are causing eighty to one hundred

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Speaker 1: mile and how or winds. And I don't really understand

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Speaker 1: why it has to get political at all. Like you,

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Speaker 1: someone's got to get people out, someone's got to go

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Speaker 1: manage the fire. They are doing the best job they

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Speaker 1: possibly can. I'm always struck by when I'm driving around LA,

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Speaker 1: especially in the hills, how the entire area is constructed

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Speaker 1: like a Jenga set. Right. You see, there's a house

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Speaker 1: on every single inch of property going up these winding roads.

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Speaker 1: I know Palisades a little bit less and it's astonishing

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Speaker 1: to me the way the city and the hills, especially

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Speaker 1: houses have been constructed there. It's not surprising when you're

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Speaker 1: seeing an area that is so compact with housing. The

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Speaker 1: fire is jumping from one place to the next. There's

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Speaker 1: no opportunity for it to stop because there's so much

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Speaker 1: fuel there. It is as someone who's three, you know,

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Speaker 1: a thousand miles away and has a lot of friends

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Speaker 1: like you who are in the area, it's frightening to watch.

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Speaker 1: It's frightening to see the stories that are coming out

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Speaker 1: of there. It's frightened to see the images. It's it

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Speaker 1: really truly is apocalyptic. It's yeah, it's astonished.

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Speaker 2: I ended up buying a home in an area that

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Speaker 2: is easy to access, get in and out of, about

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Speaker 2: you know, five miles away from Palisades, but it's a

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Speaker 2: jungle when you drive through it, it's this lush, gorgeous trees,

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Speaker 2: brush canyons. It's it's my first take driving through it was, oh,

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Speaker 2: I can't live here. It's just too hard to access.

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Speaker 2: So you're asking these brave and courageous firefighters and these

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Speaker 2: people of La County, who are remarkably courageous, strident, tough.

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Speaker 2: You're asking them you can't use planes. The winds are

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Speaker 2: eighty miles an hour. People are running out of their cars.

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Speaker 2: It was it was a scene from an awful movie.

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Speaker 2: And listen, it's it's just when you get these natural disasters. Boy,

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Speaker 2: everybody's looking for perfection and everybody's pointing fingers. There are

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Speaker 2: so many people, a thousand homes. I mean, you will

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Speaker 2: look at area aerial footage now, you cannot believe, Chad,

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Speaker 2: what it looks like. It is literally like a zip code,

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Speaker 2: every house burnt down.

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Speaker 1: It's awful. It looks like it looks like what we

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Speaker 1: see when we get images from war torn countries where

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Speaker 1: it's just buildings and cars that are completely burned out,

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Speaker 1: except it's in the middle of one of the wealthiest

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Speaker 1: areas in the entire country. It's it's astonishing and devastating

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Speaker 1: to look at it, truly is. It's stunning. Yeah. So

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Speaker 1: just just I'm glad you're okay. I'm glad you're okay.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And I know this is a somber tone, but

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Speaker 2: I just you know, I thought about this today. People,

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Speaker 2: I've gotten I've gotten fifty texts in the last two days,

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Speaker 2: and I'm more of the lucky I'm one of the

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Speaker 2: lucky key ones I've got. You know, some kids around

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Speaker 2: that you know, have kind of been on pins and needles.

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Speaker 2: But it is, uh, there's there are some heroes and

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Speaker 2: all this stuff because there were houses.

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Speaker 1: It ever make you want to leave California.

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Speaker 2: You know, my wife's not a fan for a lot

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Speaker 2: of reasons. Uh the expense. You know, it's every place

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Speaker 2: has their issues, as that's pretty been pretty well documented.

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Speaker 2: I have purchased a place in Chicago, and so I'm

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Speaker 2: spending more and more time in Chicago because my wife

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Speaker 2: has given so much to me in our relationship and

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Speaker 2: sacrificed and I've never sacrificed for her and living by

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Speaker 2: her family, and I love the people that's out in California.

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Speaker 2: There's so many things I love about it. But you know,

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Speaker 2: my wife's not as big a fan, and she misses

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Speaker 2: her sister and her family in the Midwest. And by

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Speaker 2: the way, I love Chicago and I still love la

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Speaker 2: but you know, it's just just just one of those

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Speaker 2: things where I don't want to ever use a singular

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Speaker 2: reason for being mobile. I like Connecticut. You know, people

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Speaker 2: always used to poke fun at Connecticut. It's boring, and

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Speaker 2: I'm like.

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Speaker 1: I was there a decade. It was fine.

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Speaker 2: I had great friends, great neighbors, high schools were great.

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Speaker 2: My kids loved it. So I think there's a lot

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Speaker 2: of places in this country to live. And I think

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Speaker 2: the people in every place I've lived in Nevada, Oregon, Washington, California, Connecticut.

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Speaker 2: I spent a lot of time in Rhode Island. Everywhere

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Speaker 2: I go people are great. Sometimes the politicians aren't, sometimes

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Speaker 2: the regulations aren't, but the people are amazing everywhere I go.

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Speaker 1: Well, look, you know how much I left Chicago as

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Speaker 1: a Chicago in or you know, kid from the suburbs

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Speaker 1: of Chicago. I did see your picture the other day

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Speaker 1: wearing your new fancy winner coat, and I felt like

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Speaker 1: he needs to wear a hat, Like it's you can't

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Speaker 1: just go with a coat. You got a layer and

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Speaker 1: you got to wear a hat. Yeah I did. It's

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Speaker 1: really important, especially like we're you live in the city.

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Speaker 1: Where are your places? You got wind tunnels coming down there.

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Speaker 1: I know that's dangerous right there.

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Speaker 2: I know I wore a hat later in the day. Okay,

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Speaker 2: let's start.

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Speaker 1: I will tell you one thing and you'll appreciate this.

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Speaker 1: I know people don't want to hear weather talk, but

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Speaker 1: I will. I will tell you one story and people

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Speaker 1: will like this. So you know, when we on the

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Speaker 1: Favorites on the Volume Podcast Network, we do a contest

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Speaker 1: every year, a season long pick of contest. We give

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Speaker 1: away one hundred thousand dollars over the course of the year.

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Speaker 1: Don't worry, it's not your money, Colin. I just want

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Speaker 1: you to know we're not giving away your money, but

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Speaker 1: we do give away. The winner of the season long

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Speaker 1: contest gets forty thousand dollars first place prize. So we

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Speaker 1: had the winner on the show today. The winner, by

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Speaker 1: the way, discovered the Favorites podcast because he's a fan

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Speaker 1: of Colin Cowherd and over the years he has seen

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Speaker 1: me either on television with you at ESPN or on

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Speaker 1: this show with you through the Volume and the various

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Speaker 1: things that you've been kind enough to have me on

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Speaker 1: and now with The Favorites on the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: So that's how we discovered us. His job, he is

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Speaker 1: a farmer in bow Bell's, North Dakota, which is a

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Speaker 1: speck of a town with three hundred people. And he

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Speaker 1: lives outside bow Bells, which is within the Canadian border

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Speaker 1: shouting distance, right. So of course I'm like, you don't

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Speaker 1: get I said to him, you don't get days off

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Speaker 1: as a farmer. And North Dakota gets cold. What kind

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Speaker 1: of coat are you wearing it to stay warm? And

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Speaker 1: so we went through he's layering. He's got a good

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Speaker 1: car heart coat. That's how he stays warm when he's

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Speaker 1: in the tractor and he's watching red Zone while he's

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Speaker 1: making bets. That's how he's doing it. I feel like

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Speaker 1: you need to make sure you're layering. I just want

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Speaker 1: you to be comfortable when you're in Chicago. I don't

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Speaker 1: want you to find any reason.

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Speaker 2: People also like those two cities in the country get

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Speaker 2: criticized more but are more fun to be in than

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Speaker 2: Los Angeles. To Chicago, La can be a ball. I

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Speaker 2: absolutely love Chicago. I've said my favorite city in the

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Speaker 2: world is London. My second favorite city is Chicago.

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Speaker 1: Dude, my favorite city in the world is London. Oh,

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Speaker 1: my second favorite city is Chicago.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you're the fourth person in the last month who

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Speaker 2: has said the exact same thing. I was just talking

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Speaker 2: to a lady the other day about something. She said

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Speaker 2: the same thing. She was a director in Hollywood who

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Speaker 2: was on the Fox lot. And I, my wife couldn't

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Speaker 2: live in London. It's a bit dreary and gray. But

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Speaker 2: I grew up in the coast of Washington. I could

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Speaker 2: live in London tomorrow. If if I retire tomorrow and

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Speaker 2: just it's over, I would be in London in Chicago,

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Speaker 2: and you know, I would occasionally go for a sunny

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Speaker 2: week in Miami or something. But I for those listening,

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Speaker 2: if you've never gone to London, do it in your lifetime.

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Speaker 1: It is historic.

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Speaker 2: It is beautiful. The architecture, the people, the parks, their

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Speaker 2: taxi system, the food's gotten much better, the nightlife, the pubs.

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Speaker 2: It's just fantastic.

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Speaker 1: I love it. It's every alley you can imagine, oh

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Speaker 1: history that happened there. It's you know, I met Stacey,

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Speaker 1: I met my wife in London. We were both students,

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Speaker 1: and I wanted to move back. For the past thirty years,

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Speaker 1: I'm dying to go back. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: And if you if you save up enough money and

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Speaker 2: you have a budget. Kensington, Paddington, maryle Born, Oh.

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Speaker 1: My god, oh god, this we can do a whole

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Speaker 1: podcast just about we're to live in London. Oh I

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Speaker 1: love it all right. People would love that too.

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Speaker 2: All of our odds provided by DraftKings. I'm gonna take

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Speaker 2: Ohio State minus six against Texas, and I think Chip

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Speaker 2: Kelly's a big advantage for Ohio State this season. So

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Speaker 2: it's the first time college football playoffs or the NFL.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna play sixteen games, and I think over the

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Speaker 2: course of a season Ohio State we think about that

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Speaker 2: Michigan game, but they've really changed their offense, added layers

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Speaker 2: to it. And like the NFL, the Chiefs lost to

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Speaker 2: the Raid late last year, that's okay, Well, it's now

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Speaker 2: okay in college football you can be awful at home

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Speaker 2: against Michigan and get into the playoffs. I have watched

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Speaker 2: Ohio State's last two games and the games before Michigan.

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Speaker 2: I think they're unbeatable at the college level. I think

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Speaker 2: they're playing with a violence on defense, an explosion, and

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Speaker 2: a consistency on offense. I think Will Howard had one

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Speaker 2: awful game and a couple other average ones. I think

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Speaker 2: he's really good. And my problem with Texas is always

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Speaker 2: the same thing. They're a splash offense. They will score,

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Speaker 2: but they are not consistent penalties pass blocking when yours

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Speaker 2: is hot and cold. I think Ohio State is going

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Speaker 2: to run through this thing to the national championship. What

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Speaker 2: do the guys say, sharper square.

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Speaker 1: It's a little bit square, and there's some recency bias

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Speaker 1: that is going into your thinking. I'm with you. I

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Speaker 1: think that the way Ohio State has played. We talked

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Speaker 1: about this heading into the playff the Ohio State fans

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Speaker 1: were so caught up in losing to Michigan. They had

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Speaker 1: kind of lost the forest for the trees and didn't

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Speaker 1: understand the new dynamic in college football, which is doesn't

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Speaker 1: matter who you lose to during the regular season. You

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Speaker 1: just got to get to the playoffs and then you

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Speaker 1: got to dominate, and then you can judge success based

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Speaker 1: on that. Winning or losing That one game against Michigan

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Speaker 1: is not the key factor in whether or not your

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Speaker 1: season has been successful. So kudos to Ryan Day, Kudos

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Speaker 1: to Chip Kelly, Kudos to that staff for turning around

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Speaker 1: their season and coming out of the playoffs into the

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Speaker 1: playoffs so hot, so dominant, doing things that they hadn't

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Speaker 1: been doing during the regular season. Really utilizing Jeremiah Smith

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Speaker 1: in a way that makes him look like a man

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Speaker 1: amongst boys. However, the same recency bias that is making

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Speaker 1: you think Ohio State is the right side is also

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Speaker 1: making this number leak a little bit higher than it should. Right.

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Speaker 1: The power ratings on this are basically Ohio State minus three,

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Speaker 1: maybe minus four. It's at minus six and as good

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Speaker 1: as the Ohio State defense is, Texas defense has been

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Speaker 1: as good all season long. Some people will say the

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Speaker 1: best defense we've seen that defense and what they've done

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Speaker 1: quin yours. Yes, he's been inconsistent and we saw sort

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Speaker 1: of the peak of their inability to move the ball

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Speaker 1: offensively when they played Georgia in that SEC title game,

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Speaker 1: but their defense kept them in that game the entire time.

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Speaker 1: Wise guys will tell you, sure, quin Ewers hasn't been consistent,

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Speaker 1: but he did get hurt in the last couple of games.

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Speaker 1: He's been much much better than he had been as

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Speaker 1: he was coming back from the injury. So I do

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Speaker 1: think that the wise guys here are looking at Texas

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Speaker 1: because the number has gotten a little too big. It's

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Speaker 1: almost a touchdown. Six points. That's that's just a lot

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Speaker 1: of points.

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Speaker 2: So it's been a year in which I tend to

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Speaker 2: play underdogs, and it's been a favorite year. And so

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Speaker 2: I've had a really bad year betting NFL. And if

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Speaker 2: you look at college football and pro football this year,

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Speaker 2: it's look at the playoff. It's been the year of

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Speaker 2: the favorites. Now, some people tell you because of the

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Speaker 2: new kickoff in the NFL, where the ball can get

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Speaker 2: put at the thirty five yard line, it's giving good

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks an advantage over the course of a game on

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Speaker 2: possessions that they didn't necessarily need to win. All eight

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00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:28,600
Speaker 2: divisions were won by the eight best quarterbacks in their division.

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Speaker 2: It had become a quarterback centric league a decade ago.

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Speaker 2: That was an edge the new kickoff rules that new

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Speaker 2: that the better quarterbacks didn't need. They were winning despite that,

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Speaker 2: and now they're winning in clear fashion. That said, I'm

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Speaker 2: going to take the Steelers plus nine and a half

307
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Speaker 2: against the Ravens. Zay Flowers is out. I know Pittsburgh

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00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:55,280
Speaker 2: hasn't been playing well, but I I just watched Baltimore

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Speaker 2: klobber Pittsburgh. I do know this. Pittsburgh has a ton

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Speaker 2: of pride, very good on defense. Baltimore in the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Memo to nobody to everybody that's watched them the last

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Speaker 2: six years. They tend to play better in the regular

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Speaker 2: season than the postseason. This number is out of whack

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Speaker 2: to me. I'll take Pittsburgh plus nine and a half

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Speaker 2: sharper square.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's sharp. The number got to ten and now

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Speaker 1: it got back down to nine and a half, so

318
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Speaker 1: there was some buyback there. I wouldn't be surprised if

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Speaker 1: it goes a little bit lower. It was much higher.

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Speaker 1: It was much lower. Earlier in the week it was

321
00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:34,520
Speaker 1: just seven and a half, and when it was seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, it got meed up quite a bit

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Speaker 1: by the wise guys. You mentioned a couple of really

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Speaker 1: important things, and this is something I'm going to spend

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Speaker 1: a lot of time in the offseason doing. Is really

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Speaker 1: taking a look at the impact of the new kickoff

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Speaker 1: rules on how teams covered or didn't cover, and did

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Speaker 1: it really favor the favorites, because I think there was

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Speaker 1: sort of some unintended consequence here. If you have a

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Speaker 1: good quarterback and you're at the third you complete two passes,

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden you're on the other side of

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Speaker 1: the field. If it's fourth and short, you might be

333
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Speaker 1: more inclined to go for it earlier in the game

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Speaker 1: on fourth down because you feel like, well, I might

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00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:16,520
Speaker 1: have a chance to get back here more quickly because

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00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:19,120
Speaker 1: of the way the kickoff rules are, and I also

337
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:21,159
Speaker 1: think coaches are just more inclined to go for it

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Speaker 1: on fourth down. So a combination of the kickoff rules

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Speaker 1: and more aggressive decision making based on the analytics has

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Speaker 1: made it easier and more likely that favorites are going

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Speaker 1: to cover. Will that be a trend that goes forward,

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Speaker 1: We don't know yet. I want to have a year's

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Speaker 1: worth of data now that we have it, to look

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Speaker 1: at it and review, because I think it's fascinating and

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Speaker 1: I think it will be something that people have to

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Speaker 1: make adjustments for going into next year. On this game,

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Speaker 1: you mentioned the game they played on the twenty first

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Speaker 1: of December. That game was pretty close through about three quarters.

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Speaker 1: It was the last ninety seconds of the quarter when

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Speaker 1: things started to go out of control for the Steelers, right,

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Speaker 1: But one of the big factors in that game, Joey Porter,

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Speaker 1: missed the entire second half. When he was out, it

353
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:09,399
Speaker 1: went from the Steelers having a little bit of wiggle

354
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Speaker 1: room to stay close to meeting to all of a

355
00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:17,640
Speaker 1: sudden be perfect, and they couldn't be perfect rustled through

356
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Speaker 1: that pick six. They lost thirty four to seventeen. So

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Speaker 1: this is a huge number in a game where people

358
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Speaker 1: are thinking about the Steelers, who, by the way, that

359
00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:32,400
Speaker 1: was the second game of what became a four game

360
00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:36,080
Speaker 1: losing streak in which they didn't score more than seventeen points.

361
00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:41,920
Speaker 1: The Ravens haven't scored fewer than thirty points since early December,

362
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Speaker 1: so there is a huge We're talking about recency bias

363
00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:48,199
Speaker 1: right with Texas and Iowa State. The recency bias in

364
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:52,680
Speaker 1: this game is massively in favor of the Ravens, which

365
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:57,399
Speaker 1: is when you want to play the Steelers. Also, this series, historically,

366
00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:02,159
Speaker 1: it's never this big even number and it's always a

367
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Speaker 1: game that's within the spread. So that's another reason why

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Speaker 1: you might want to think about the Steelers.

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Speaker 2: My favorite bet of the weekend is Eagles at home

399
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:38,680
Speaker 2: minus four and a half. Jordan Love is not healthy,

400
00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:43,480
Speaker 2: Christian Watson is not available. Now they have depth at

401
00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:47,879
Speaker 2: wide receiver. But I thought before the concussion, I really

402
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 2: thought Jalen Hurts was playing for about a month straight.

403
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:52,480
Speaker 2: I thought the offense was about as good as it

404
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 2: could be.

405
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:54,360
Speaker 1: I thought, the.

406
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,040
Speaker 2: First of all, they are good enough to just run

407
00:22:57,080 --> 00:23:00,880
Speaker 2: between the tackles, and they were doing that. Plus outside

408
00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 2: the tackles, plush, throwing deep. Everything was humming. Green Bay

409
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:08,600
Speaker 2: is a team Jordan Love us cut down on mistakes.

410
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 2: But the organization told you in the offseason we're gonna

411
00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,719
Speaker 2: we're gonna pivot off our identity. It's a little too

412
00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:16,240
Speaker 2: much Jordan Love and he can be.

413
00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:17,040
Speaker 1: A bit reckless.

414
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:19,720
Speaker 2: So they become a team kind of built to play

415
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:23,359
Speaker 2: with the lead power, run game, control the clock. You

416
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:28,400
Speaker 2: will not do that against Philadelphia. Their best hope as

417
00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:31,560
Speaker 2: a good first quarter offense is to score early, control

418
00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:36,440
Speaker 2: the tempo. But I think this is a game where

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00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:41,199
Speaker 2: Philadelphia will control the clock and Green Bay will be

420
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:45,360
Speaker 2: forced into situations to make splash plays, and Jordan Love

421
00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:48,400
Speaker 2: and I like him, can get a little Sam Darnold

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00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:52,560
Speaker 2: on you really fast. I like Philadelphia a lot in

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00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:54,199
Speaker 2: this spot. Sharper square.

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Speaker 1: So the wise guys were with you when the line

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00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:00,280
Speaker 1: opened at three and a half. There's a three and half.

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00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:02,399
Speaker 1: I betted at three and a half. At four, I

427
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 1: bet it at four four and a half. It's getting into

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00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,199
Speaker 1: that range where you're still going to find professional betters

429
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 1: who love the Eagles for everything you just said. But

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00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:15,920
Speaker 1: Matt Lafleur has a lot of respect in the betting community.

431
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,639
Speaker 1: He has been one of the better coaches against the

432
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 1: spread during his tenure, especially as a dog. They are

433
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 1: starting to see him as Mike Tomlin asking the way

434
00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:28,360
Speaker 1: he can scheme not just the first fifteen scripted plays,

435
00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:32,000
Speaker 1: but throughout a game and keep his team in a

436
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:34,880
Speaker 1: very close game, especially like four and a half points

437
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 1: in a playoff game between these two teams is a lot.

438
00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,439
Speaker 1: So there is a portion of the betting community that

439
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:44,080
Speaker 1: is looking to buy the Packers at plus four and

440
00:24:44,119 --> 00:24:46,800
Speaker 1: a half from an on the field scheme point of view,

441
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 1: everyone who's betting on the Eagles is doing it because

442
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:54,200
Speaker 1: of what you just said. Their defensive line, Jalen Carter,

443
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:59,199
Speaker 1: Jalen Carter. If you pull the players, which happens, you

444
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:02,200
Speaker 1: are allowed to vote for All Pro as a player.

445
00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:04,440
Speaker 1: You can't vote for yourself or anyone on your team

446
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 1: to play with the second most votes with Jalen Carter, like,

447
00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:12,720
Speaker 1: he is just so good right now and so dominant

448
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:15,560
Speaker 1: and the one thing we know the Packers want to do,

449
00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:17,680
Speaker 1: We've seen him do it all year. You see every

450
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 1: graphic for every game that is televised with the Packers,

451
00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:26,200
Speaker 1: some point in the first fifteen minutes of game time,

452
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:28,680
Speaker 1: you're going to see a graphic about how well the

453
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 1: Packers do with Josh Jacobs and how dominant he is

454
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:33,159
Speaker 1: running the ball early in the game, and then all

455
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 1: of a sudden, teams adjust, he doesn't run as well

456
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 1: later in the game. It's left up to Jordan Love

457
00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,440
Speaker 1: and they can't execute as well in the second half.

458
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:44,200
Speaker 1: So yeah, if people are betting the Eagles, it's because

459
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:47,199
Speaker 1: of what they can do defensively, not to mention, by

460
00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:50,320
Speaker 1: the way, how good they are in coverage from the

461
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:53,160
Speaker 1: middle linebacker, from the linebacking position all the way through

462
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:58,040
Speaker 1: their secondary. Just powerful. Like if I'm buying a Super

463
00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:00,879
Speaker 1: Bowl future right now, I might by the Eagles at

464
00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 1: plus seven hundred. The Lions are about plus two to eighty.

465
00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:06,119
Speaker 1: Do I think there's that big of a delta between

466
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 1: the lines and the Eagles, given how good the Eagles

467
00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:09,359
Speaker 1: defense is, probably not.

468
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:13,399
Speaker 2: I like the Bucks at home minus three not the

469
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:16,720
Speaker 2: best of the line. But here's the issue. Baker Mayfield

470
00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:21,200
Speaker 2: will have a great run game behind him. The Commander's

471
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 2: run defense below average, The Buccaneers run offense is exceptional.

472
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:31,520
Speaker 2: Jaden Daniels, a rookie quarterback on the road, will have

473
00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:34,880
Speaker 2: a run game that will struggle Vitavia, and the interior

474
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,640
Speaker 2: d line of the Bucks is pretty impenetrable. So if

475
00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:39,160
Speaker 2: I go into a game and I get the veteran

476
00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,000
Speaker 2: quarterback at home, that will have the complement of a

477
00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:45,040
Speaker 2: strong run game that feels like about as good a

478
00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:48,760
Speaker 2: bet as you can have. Bucks minus three sharper square.

479
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:53,360
Speaker 1: Totally sharp wise. Guys love this spot. They love a

480
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:58,000
Speaker 1: ball in Baker Mayfield against a rookie quarterback in the playoffs.

481
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:02,960
Speaker 1: We've got a couple spots here rookie quarterbacks slash quarterbacks

482
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,680
Speaker 1: who are playing in the postseason for the first time. Right,

483
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 1: we've got three spots. We've got sam Donold, we got

484
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:11,800
Speaker 1: bow Knicks, we got Jayden Daniels. The wise guys love

485
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:15,800
Speaker 1: the Bucks here because of Bucky Irving, because of the

486
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,200
Speaker 1: running game, because they think the Commanders have been getting

487
00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:22,160
Speaker 1: by on Jaden Daniels and a little bit of luck,

488
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 1: and they've got six games. They won. In the final

489
00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:28,640
Speaker 1: seconds of the game, they were barely they were losing

490
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:32,720
Speaker 1: to Trey Lance right with Jayden Daniels playing. It was

491
00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:35,400
Speaker 1: Jaden Daniels out of the game. Marcus Mariota comes in

492
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 1: like they were losing to the Eagles. They were going

493
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:42,560
Speaker 1: to get run off the field against the Eagles until

494
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,960
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts got that concussion, and then they still needed

495
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:49,600
Speaker 1: a miracle to win that game because Kenny Pickett played

496
00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:52,600
Speaker 1: well for about five minutes in that game, and it

497
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:55,440
Speaker 1: was the most important five minutes when the Eagles had

498
00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:57,920
Speaker 1: to drive down the field and if not for Devonte

499
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 1: Smith drop, they win that game. So the Commanders have

500
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:05,600
Speaker 1: been brilliant. Dan Quinn, great job. Jadan Daniels, rookie of

501
00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:09,520
Speaker 1: the year. But this is the playoffs are a different ballgame,

502
00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,320
Speaker 1: and the wise guys are seeing so much love from

503
00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 1: the public for the commanders there on the Buccaneers.

504
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:19,159
Speaker 2: So Greg co Sell said something on my show today,

505
00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:21,919
Speaker 2: and Nick Wright made fun of me this week. He

506
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 2: goes in my hurt hierarchy, I had the Rams one

507
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:29,520
Speaker 2: spot below the Vikings, and he said, once you pick

508
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:31,960
Speaker 2: the game, you're going to pick the Rams over the Vikings,

509
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:34,919
Speaker 2: and you have the Vikings over the Rams. I said, no, no, no,

510
00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:37,680
Speaker 2: And then Greg co Sell showed up on my show

511
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:43,040
Speaker 2: today and he said the Rams defensive line against the

512
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 2: Vikings offensive line, the film tells you Minnesota is in

513
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:51,440
Speaker 2: trouble here. Yeah, and so the Rams are getting a

514
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:54,000
Speaker 2: point and a half. I'm going to listen to Greg

515
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,560
Speaker 2: co Sell. I'm going to go against my belief. I

516
00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:59,560
Speaker 2: do get the better quarterback. I think I get as

517
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 2: good a coach. I'm at home, and the Rams are

518
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:06,040
Speaker 2: as healthy as any team in the league right now.

519
00:29:06,280 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 2: They have everybody, which is just remarkably good fortune. They

520
00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:15,240
Speaker 2: were beat up until, like I mean, like November first. Yeah,

521
00:29:15,320 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 2: Rams plus one and a half Sharper square, totally sharp.

522
00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:20,840
Speaker 1: The line moved from two and a half down to

523
00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:25,440
Speaker 1: one and a half. Honestly, it might be Rams minus

524
00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:28,239
Speaker 1: one by kickoffs. So I do encourage people, if you're

525
00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:31,320
Speaker 1: listening to this, try to get the Rams as an

526
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:37,000
Speaker 1: underdog if you can. That scenario, a new quarterback to

527
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:41,880
Speaker 1: the postseason versus a veteran quarterback that is historically at

528
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:45,840
Speaker 1: a very high percentage advantageous from a cover point of

529
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 1: view to the veteran quarterback. And Matthew Stafford to me,

530
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,520
Speaker 1: we've talked about this before. If there are any quarterback

531
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:55,600
Speaker 1: I don't want to have the ball at the end

532
00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:58,040
Speaker 1: of the game if I have bet the other side,

533
00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:01,480
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford is top five, right, Like it's it's Stafford,

534
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:04,720
Speaker 1: it's Mahomes, it's Josh Allen, it's a little bit of

535
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 1: Lamar like those are the quarterbacks that you really are

536
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,800
Speaker 1: a Fred Joe Burrow, like, those are the quarterbacks that

537
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:13,920
Speaker 1: you're afraid of. Whise guys feel the same way. They

538
00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:16,880
Speaker 1: love Matthew Stafford. The thing that gets interesting, and this

539
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:20,400
Speaker 1: helps you justify a little bit the hierarchy and why

540
00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:24,040
Speaker 1: you had the Rams one below the Vikings. If you

541
00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:27,400
Speaker 1: look at the Rams after that Bills game, where Matthew

542
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 1: Stafford was nearly the play perfect and they played perfect football,

543
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:34,719
Speaker 1: and they played the kind of football that everyone who

544
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:37,960
Speaker 1: has been backing the Rams and loves the Rams knows

545
00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:40,760
Speaker 1: they can play. It was a perfect Sean McVay game.

546
00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:43,680
Speaker 1: Kyron Williams has been brilliant this year at top three

547
00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:48,400
Speaker 1: running back in the NFL. Stafford has been very inconsistent

548
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:52,240
Speaker 1: with Pookah Nakua and Cooper Cup Like. There have been

549
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:54,840
Speaker 1: times where you think they're going to be brilliant and

550
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:58,360
Speaker 1: they're good for like a series, and so they lose

551
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:02,960
Speaker 1: to the Dolphins, They they get lucky beating the Niners,

552
00:31:03,360 --> 00:31:07,640
Speaker 1: they struggle against the Jets. Like these things happen over

553
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 1: the last month of the season. I think that's why

554
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:12,760
Speaker 1: you might have had them below the Vikings. But now

555
00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 1: the season has ended, the second season has begun, We're

556
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:18,640
Speaker 1: going to find out do we have the Matthew Stafford

557
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 1: and Sean McVay and Kyron Williams that we all believe

558
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,760
Speaker 1: they can be. Because that's what betters are doing. Professional

559
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 1: betters are saying, yes, we think they will have benefited

560
00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 1: from having this past week off and that the Vikings

561
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:33,560
Speaker 1: are starting on a downward trend, and Sam Donald might

562
00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 1: be a little bit happy feed because his offensive line

563
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 1: isn't as good as it had been.

564
00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:44,200
Speaker 2: There's always a game. I want you to explain to me.

565
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:49,600
Speaker 2: It is very easy to talk yourself into Bills at

566
00:31:49,600 --> 00:31:52,160
Speaker 2: home minus eight and a half against a rookie quarterback.

567
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 2: But Sean Payton has been really good on the road

568
00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:59,080
Speaker 2: in the playoffs in his career. And I've watched Buffalo

569
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:04,520
Speaker 2: at different times year. I've watched their defense get shreded.

570
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:07,360
Speaker 2: I mean, you go back to the Rams game, that's

571
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:10,640
Speaker 2: the best. The Rams offense has been all you're against anybody,

572
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 2: bad teams, good teams. They did whatever they wanted to

573
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 2: do against Buffalo. I watched Drake May and New England

574
00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 2: give them trouble a couple of weeks ago. Something is

575
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 2: telling me eight and a half's too big, But god,

576
00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 2: Buffalo could be such a freight train offensively tell me

577
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:30,240
Speaker 2: where I should go here.

578
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 1: So look the wise guys that are completely split on this.

579
00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:39,840
Speaker 1: It is being a stubborn, stubborn number. It was at

580
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:43,080
Speaker 1: seven and a half on Sunday night when the playoffs

581
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:47,320
Speaker 1: seedings were, you know, just about set for the AFC,

582
00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:52,800
Speaker 1: and it lasted for a hot minute and then it

583
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:54,959
Speaker 1: was at eight and a half. And all these lines

584
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:57,840
Speaker 1: this week they've been bouncing around. You know, the Chargers

585
00:32:57,840 --> 00:32:59,560
Speaker 1: in the Texans was three two and a half, three

586
00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:01,960
Speaker 1: two and a half, and the Rams has gone from

587
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:03,719
Speaker 1: two and a half to one and a half, and

588
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,600
Speaker 1: even the Steelers and the Ravens has gone from seven

589
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:08,120
Speaker 1: and a half to eight and a half, nine, nine

590
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:09,760
Speaker 1: and a half, ten back down in nine and a half.

591
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:13,840
Speaker 1: This one was so stubborn it sat on eight and

592
00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 1: a half literally until late Thursday morning. It finally finally

593
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 1: ticked up to nine. Because what's happening is there's money

594
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:30,000
Speaker 1: coming in from professional betters on both sides for everything

595
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:33,000
Speaker 1: you just said. They're afraid of this Bills defense. Don't

596
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 1: forget the Bills used to do things like blow out

597
00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:39,600
Speaker 1: the Dolphins, right they let the Dolphins stay in it.

598
00:33:39,640 --> 00:33:42,040
Speaker 1: This year, their defense has just not been very good.

599
00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 1: The things that wise guys who want to bet the

600
00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:48,000
Speaker 1: Bills like is that Bonnicks has just been much worse

601
00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,080
Speaker 1: against zone than against man. The Bills play a lot

602
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 1: of zone. A rookie quarterback in the first playoff game

603
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:56,680
Speaker 1: historically does not cover the spread. They feel like this

604
00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:58,960
Speaker 1: is a game where Josh Allen can get everything right,

605
00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:02,760
Speaker 1: and some times the Bills do blow out inferior opponents.

606
00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 1: The Broncos have been terrible against teams with a winning

607
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:10,040
Speaker 1: record one and seven this year minus thirty seven point differential.

608
00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:14,080
Speaker 1: Sean Payton scares a lot of people. He is. He's

609
00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:17,439
Speaker 1: one of those coaches, right Mike Vrabel, Mike Tomlin, Matt

610
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:22,200
Speaker 1: lafor Bill Belichick over the past generation, who guys do

611
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 1: not like to bet against. In a big number, I think,

612
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:27,120
Speaker 1: what did it for me? I bet the Bills eight

613
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:29,600
Speaker 1: and a half. I could be wrong, it's a fifty

614
00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:33,480
Speaker 1: to fifty split. What did it for me is I

615
00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:35,560
Speaker 1: think the Bills are going to be winning, and I

616
00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:37,640
Speaker 1: think Sean Payton's going to have to put Bonnigs in

617
00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:41,200
Speaker 1: a position where he's got to make uncomfortable throws. And

618
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:44,000
Speaker 1: we've seen it often enough this year. Go back to

619
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:46,640
Speaker 1: that Bengals game. He threw the interception right to a

620
00:34:46,680 --> 00:34:50,440
Speaker 1: guy right and they had the game locked up. So

621
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:52,440
Speaker 1: I think that could happen at the end of the game.

622
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,360
Speaker 1: And that's a next factor for me to bet on

623
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:55,800
Speaker 1: the Bills.

624
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:59,120
Speaker 2: Finally, it's stay away game. For me, Chargers minus three

625
00:34:59,160 --> 00:35:02,719
Speaker 2: at the Texans, the Chargers win. Where do you land

626
00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 2: on it?

627
00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:05,960
Speaker 1: I bet the Chargers. I bet the Chargers at two

628
00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,600
Speaker 1: and a half. We talked a lot about this on

629
00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:11,480
Speaker 1: the show today, and the wise guys are lining up

630
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 1: behind Houston. I don't get it. It feels a little

631
00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:18,520
Speaker 1: bit trappy to me. The team that the Texans have

632
00:35:18,640 --> 00:35:20,800
Speaker 1: been all season. They're not going to be a different

633
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 1: team all of.

634
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:24,600
Speaker 2: A sudden, inconsistent week to week, half to half.

635
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:29,600
Speaker 1: All year they've been inconsistent. CJ. Stroud has been terrible

636
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:33,480
Speaker 1: against two high safeties. That's what the Chargers like to play.

637
00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:36,799
Speaker 1: The strength of the Texans defense is the pressure they

638
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 1: can get from their defensive ends. The strength of the

639
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:44,360
Speaker 1: Chargers offensive line are their two Pro Bowl offensive tackles.

640
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:47,960
Speaker 1: Justin Herbert does not turn the ball over. To me,

641
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:50,960
Speaker 1: the key to the season and winning and I have

642
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:54,000
Speaker 1: been betting the Chargers consistently at the end of the season,

643
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:56,759
Speaker 1: and we've seen this over and over again. It's why

644
00:35:56,800 --> 00:36:00,000
Speaker 1: I think favorites have been winning. Good quarterbacks You've talked

645
00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 1: about that whole year, impeccable, unimpeachable decision making. More and

646
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:10,719
Speaker 1: more it used to be. You know this, It used

647
00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:13,680
Speaker 1: to be if you're a head coach, your only job

648
00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:18,719
Speaker 1: on Sunday, manage the timeouts, be there to tell someone

649
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:21,240
Speaker 1: if they're going to go four and fourth down. Those

650
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:24,040
Speaker 1: decisions are becoming more important throughout the game. How you're

651
00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:26,880
Speaker 1: managing the last two minutes of a half, going for

652
00:36:27,040 --> 00:36:29,440
Speaker 1: it more often on fourth down. That used to be

653
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:31,879
Speaker 1: a variance of two to three times a game. Now

654
00:36:31,920 --> 00:36:34,160
Speaker 1: it could be four or five times a game. Jim

655
00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:36,920
Speaker 1: Harbaugh just beat the Broncos by managing the end of

656
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:39,440
Speaker 1: the first half in that game so well. That changed

657
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:41,640
Speaker 1: the game for the Chargers and change the game for

658
00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:44,719
Speaker 1: the Broncos. So I don't want to bet against Jim

659
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:46,759
Speaker 1: Harbough is a short favorite, even though it's on the

660
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:48,560
Speaker 1: road and the wise guys are saying otherwise.

661
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:53,320
Speaker 2: Sharper Square Chad Millman, co host of the Favorites. As always, Buddy,

662
00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:58,000
Speaker 2: I can't wait start starting tonight. We're doing this Thursday afternoon,

663
00:36:58,040 --> 00:37:00,680
Speaker 2: Starting tonight, I'll take Notre Dame close over Penn State,

664
00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:03,319
Speaker 2: low scoring game, probably like the under good talking to.

665
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 1: You, good, talking to you, Glad you saved Buddy.

666
00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:09,520
Speaker 3: The volume