1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:05,119 Speaker 1: Live from our nation's capital. How do we reopen this economy? 2 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: The latest on how this pandemic is impacting farmers. What 3 00:00:08,440 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 1: does this do for the United States relationship with China? 4 00:00:11,600 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Sound on, the insiders, the influencers, the insides. We're 5 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:19,759 Speaker 1: responding to this crisis and manufacturers are stepping up like 6 00:00:19,880 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: never before. You're looking at seventy Kennedys for different vaccines. 7 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 1: How do we make sure a pandemic of this scale 8 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 1: never happens again? This is Bloomberg Sound on with Kevin's 9 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:34,480 Speaker 1: You relate on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven 10 00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:37,520 Speaker 1: f m HD two Big Tech back in the spotlight. 11 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 1: The Debate Commission says they're gonna tweak some rules. All 12 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: of that plus what happened in the markets, and they've 13 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 1: got Brian Lanza and Roger Fisk and the next hour 14 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,960 Speaker 1: lots to get through, jam packed. We've got lots to 15 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: get through today and tomorrow. And I want to note 16 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 1: something at the at the start of this program because tomorrow, 17 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 1: and I'm putting this on your right now, tomorrow is 18 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: the last US jobs report before November's presidential uh election 19 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 1: uh and it's set to it's it's projected to show 20 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: a sharp deceleration and labor market gains, suggesting the winner 21 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 1: will inherit an increasingly shaky economic rebound. Employers probably added 22 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 1: eight hundred and seventy five thousand workers in September, following 23 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:31,680 Speaker 1: one point three seven million in August, according to the 24 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 1: median projection of analysts ahead of Friday's Labor Department data, 25 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: and the jobless rate likely fell only slightly to eight 26 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:45,319 Speaker 1: point two percent. I'm reading for the bloomber terminal. These 27 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:50,320 Speaker 1: figures would represent the smallest improvement of the recovery, the 28 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 1: smallest improvement of the recovery, and the pace of future 29 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: gains could slow further or even reverse. Meanwhile, the stimulus talk, 30 00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: the stimulus talks are still still no deal, and earlier 31 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 1: today Speaker Pelosi, who spoke with our David weston we're 32 00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: gonna play some of that coming up. She met with 33 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:17,080 Speaker 1: Secretary Minution. No immediate breakthrough, No immediate breakthrough on a 34 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: deal for the new pandemic relief package. The House is 35 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 1: going to vote on a Democrat only plan, but it's 36 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: it's little to know to no avail. So we're gonna 37 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,240 Speaker 1: dive into that. That sets the backdrop to this dizzying 38 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 1: day in Washington, d C. Meanwhile, we're gonna start though 39 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: with the House Anti Trust Committee because they held a 40 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 1: hearing today and they're expected to release a report with 41 00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 1: recommendations that will take aim at the power of big 42 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:49,959 Speaker 1: tech and this could lead to the overhaul of anti 43 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 1: trust laws. So earlier today I just got back, actually 44 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 1: stepped back into the bureau. I was on Capitol Hill 45 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 1: and I caught up with Congressman Ken Buck. He's a 46 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: Republican from Colorado, and I asked him about big tech. 47 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: I also asked him about the stimulus talks, because these 48 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 1: are the two driving market forces and the volatility, not 49 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,399 Speaker 1: to speak of coming from politics, but he's a member 50 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:13,360 Speaker 1: of the subcommittee on the Anti Trust, on the anti 51 00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:15,360 Speaker 1: trust issue, and I tried to find out what happened 52 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 1: at the hearing and when the report's going to be 53 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 1: released on big tech. Take a listen. So the Antitrust 54 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 1: Subcommittee will be issuing a report next week. Um, it 55 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 1: may be bipartisan, it may not be. We haven't had 56 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 1: a chance to read the report at this point. UM. 57 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:31,520 Speaker 1: I think what we learned today was that the experts, 58 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: the professors, the former regulators, the people who really studied 59 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 1: this area to see a problem with high tech and 60 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 1: the anti competitive behavior of at least five of the 61 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 1: platforms in high tech. We also learned that while most 62 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 1: return on capital for most industries have stayed pretty stagnant 63 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 1: for the last fifty sixty years, big farm and high 64 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: tech have really exploded, and we've got to make sure 65 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 1: that we keep high tech competitive so that smaller innovative 66 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: companies can compete. There's been so many conversations just about 67 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 1: freedom of speech as well as just how big these 68 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 1: tech companies are and what how they're able to navigate 69 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 1: sections to thirty for example, where does that fall into this, 70 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: especially as you get ready to release your report. So 71 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:20,160 Speaker 1: I think there there are issues that are more talked 72 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 1: about on the left and more talked about on the right, 73 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 1: and bias and the regulation of speech on these platforms 74 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 1: is certainly talked about a lot by conservatives because they 75 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:32,280 Speaker 1: feel like they are being discriminated. Should say, we feel 76 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 1: like we are being discriminated against. Um. On the left, 77 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:37,359 Speaker 1: they talk about the size of these companies and the 78 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 1: danger of having companies that are that are that big. 79 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 1: UM My view is that if we do the right thing. 80 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:47,279 Speaker 1: With reducing the company the anti competitive behavior of these companies, 81 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 1: we will see an impact on free speech. We have 82 00:04:49,880 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: a lot of different sources of TV and a newspaper 83 00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 1: for our information. We don't complain about bias in those 84 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 1: areas because we know when we look at one or 85 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:01,360 Speaker 1: the other we're gonna get a from viewpoint. It's when 86 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:04,839 Speaker 1: one one platform controls and there's no other platform that 87 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 1: can give a different viewpoint that we really have a problem. 88 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 1: Our is opinion is going to be necessary. Um. I 89 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:14,159 Speaker 1: think the the investigation side at this point is over 90 00:05:14,160 --> 00:05:16,720 Speaker 1: because we're dealing with a new Congress starting January three, 91 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 1: and so what we're gonna see are probably some legislative 92 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:24,040 Speaker 1: proposals that will be made in the November December time frame, 93 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:27,719 Speaker 1: and then really in January three, the results of this 94 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 1: investigation will move forward depending on who controls the White House, 95 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:34,320 Speaker 1: who controls the Senate, who controls the US House. You know, 96 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 1: you look at some of the within the big tech industry. 97 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 1: You've got Spotify and other companies engaging in in an 98 00:05:42,160 --> 00:05:44,479 Speaker 1: alliance for lack of a better term, in terms of 99 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:46,840 Speaker 1: going after some of these big tech tech companies on 100 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:50,040 Speaker 1: their on their app platforms and and just where apps 101 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:53,159 Speaker 1: are placed. I mean, how do how do you navigate 102 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:58,320 Speaker 1: the quickly evolving world of technology and keep pace with it? 103 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 1: And this is something that conservatives and talking about for forever, 104 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 1: and keep pace with that evolving world and also make 105 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 1: sure that it's fair for small business and entrepreneurs to 106 00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:11,120 Speaker 1: create more a new Yeah, I think what's really essentialist 107 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:14,479 Speaker 1: to understand the separation of powers in our government. The 108 00:06:14,480 --> 00:06:16,839 Speaker 1: Congress's role is to make sure that the executive branch 109 00:06:16,880 --> 00:06:19,599 Speaker 1: has the resources they need to move forward and that 110 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 1: the laws are applicable to the current economy. If we 111 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,360 Speaker 1: do those two things, that's our job. We can't say 112 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:27,359 Speaker 1: that this company should be broken up or that the 113 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:30,919 Speaker 1: result the remedy should be uh, this particular remedy for 114 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 1: this situation. I want to switch gears now, just to 115 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 1: to go geopolitical for a second. It's one thing to 116 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 1: look at the domestic big tech companies. It's an entirely 117 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:40,239 Speaker 1: different to look at China's big tech companies and the 118 00:06:40,279 --> 00:06:42,919 Speaker 1: infiltration that they have in penetration that they're having not 119 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:45,840 Speaker 1: just in the US marketplace, but also in Europe as 120 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:47,799 Speaker 1: well as other as well as all around the world. 121 00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 1: What does the US need to be doing to make 122 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 1: sure that our own intellectual property is protected from the 123 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: Communist Party of China. Well, I think we need to 124 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:58,719 Speaker 1: do two things. One, regardless who the president is, we 125 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:00,960 Speaker 1: need to make sure that if China to bars US 126 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 1: companies from entering its marketplace, like Google, like Amazon, like 127 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 1: some other high tech companies, we need to make sure 128 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 1: we take reciprocal action and that that China doesn't have 129 00:07:10,080 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 1: a free pass with TikTok or other apps in this 130 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 1: country when they're barring us. So the first thing is 131 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: fair trade policy. The second thing is we need to 132 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: do a lot better job in the world needs to 133 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,679 Speaker 1: do a lot better job of protecting intellectual property from China. 134 00:07:23,920 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 1: They have been predators, they have cheated in the marketplace, 135 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: and we need to get a consensus around the world 136 00:07:29,200 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: that China has to come into the fee and fair 137 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 1: trade areas and not allow them to continue to cheat. 138 00:07:35,760 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 1: It's a fascinating a bit. Finally, Speaker Pelosi, Secretary venution, 139 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 1: are we gonna get to some type of fiscal stimulus 140 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:44,119 Speaker 1: before the election? I hope we do, and I hope 141 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 1: that it is as small as possible and yet it 142 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 1: takes into account those who are unemployed and hurting and 143 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 1: those small businesses that really need a hand. At this point, 144 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 1: what we can't do is the blue state bailout that 145 00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:57,600 Speaker 1: that Speaker Pelosi is talking about right now. We cannot 146 00:07:58,080 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 1: continue to try to fund state governments who have been 147 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 1: acting irresponsibly, the blue state billout. I haven't heard it 148 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 1: called that in a while. That's my interview from earlier 149 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 1: today with Congressman ken Buck. He's a Democrat from the 150 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 1: fourth District of Colorado, and he's all over this big tech, 151 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 1: big tech story. And I want to note something. You know, 152 00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 1: yesterday I was reading the Cleveland Playing Dealer. I was 153 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 1: in Cleveland in the hotel lobby and reading the paper, 154 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: and big tech was was localized there as a as 155 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:32,559 Speaker 1: a big story local government's about Facebook funding some poll workers, 156 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:34,680 Speaker 1: and this whole initiative that the that the big tech 157 00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 1: industry has in terms of in terms of doing that 158 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:44,240 Speaker 1: a funding sort some some of these localized issues. So 159 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 1: a fascinating, fascinating conversation with Congressman KEM Buck, who is 160 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 1: Colorado's forced congressional district. All right, let's keep talking about 161 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:56,360 Speaker 1: the stimulus because Earlier today, my colleague David Weston spoke 162 00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 1: with Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi about whether or 163 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:00,160 Speaker 1: not they're going to reach an agreement. Take a us 164 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: in what she told him, Well, I'm hopeful actually doesn't 165 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:08,200 Speaker 1: mean I'm positive, but i am hopeful. We do have 166 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:12,760 Speaker 1: some areas of disagreement that are broad and uh, but 167 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: we're so alive and we're still talking, and I'm hopeful 168 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 1: that we can reach an agreement. And so meanwhile, all 169 00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 1: of this comes as she also went on to talk 170 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 1: about just how the coronavirus testing is also wrapped in 171 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 1: to these negotiations, the uh, we're testing being an issue 172 00:09:32,440 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 1: as a part of these negotiations. Take a listen to 173 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 1: what she said about that we have a big, big 174 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:45,640 Speaker 1: pillar of this bill about testing, tracing, treatment, mask wearing, space, sanitation, 175 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 1: all of that. It's very specific in the language, and 176 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:51,959 Speaker 1: that's why it's not just the money, it's the language 177 00:09:51,960 --> 00:09:54,400 Speaker 1: as well. To make sure this gets done, because it 178 00:09:54,600 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 1: is the way to crush the virus so that we 179 00:09:56,880 --> 00:10:00,920 Speaker 1: can open our economy more broadly and our cool more 180 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:04,320 Speaker 1: both more safely. So we're gonna dive into all of 181 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:06,679 Speaker 1: the differences between the Democrats and the Republicans as they 182 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 1: lower to two point to two point four trillion, and 183 00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:11,600 Speaker 1: of course Republicans are still holding firm at one point 184 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:14,200 Speaker 1: four trillion, so there's still a trillion dollars apart. That's 185 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 1: coming up. I'm Kevin Cirelli, Chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg 186 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 1: Television and for Bloomberg Radio. More from that exclusive interview 187 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:22,800 Speaker 1: that David Weston did with Speaker Pelosi. Coming up. This 188 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:37,000 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin 189 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:40,960 Speaker 1: Surrele on Bloomberg and one oh five point seven f 190 00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:43,679 Speaker 1: M h D two. My name is Kevin CURRELLI I'm 191 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:49,319 Speaker 1: the chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. 192 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:55,360 Speaker 1: I was telling our our our sound technician, Maestro Maistro Reggie, 193 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,040 Speaker 1: I said, I said, Reggie, now I want to burger. 194 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: We're always talking about what we're gonna have for dinner. 195 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,959 Speaker 1: I said, Reggie, I want a double cheeseburger with bacon. 196 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:05,520 Speaker 1: And I think Reggie told me he's gonna do that 197 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: with fries, and I'm gonna dip him an ice cream. 198 00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:11,439 Speaker 1: Because nothing, there's no there's no bad day. There's one 199 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:16,440 Speaker 1: thing I've learned being a Washington correspondent. There is no 200 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:20,920 Speaker 1: news cycle too rough or too hard that French fries 201 00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:24,080 Speaker 1: dipped an ice cream can't cure. I'm telling you, it 202 00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 1: is the best thing in the world. Nothing. You're having 203 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:31,160 Speaker 1: a bad day, get yourself some fries, dip it in 204 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:34,199 Speaker 1: ice cream and keep going. keV one foot in front 205 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 1: of the other. All right, Now, let's check in on 206 00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:39,080 Speaker 1: the market's. US stocks advanced, led by gains and the 207 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 1: biggest technology companies as investors weighed the chances Democratic lawmakers 208 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:45,840 Speaker 1: and the White House will reach a deal for a 209 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:51,120 Speaker 1: fiscal stimulus package. Oil tumbled on concern the market maybe oversupplied. 210 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:53,880 Speaker 1: The NAZDAC one hundred reached the highest and almost a 211 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:58,040 Speaker 1: month as Amazon, dot Com, Microsoft, and Tesla rose. The 212 00:11:58,160 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 1: SMP five hundred in next advance was limited by declines 213 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,560 Speaker 1: and energy producers joining US now to help us navigate 214 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:08,520 Speaker 1: through what happened in the markets today? Lindsay she is 215 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:13,240 Speaker 1: chief economist at Stifle Nikolaus. Lindsay, did I say all 216 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:17,240 Speaker 1: that right? You did? You did on that one? Thank you, Lindsay. 217 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:19,360 Speaker 1: I I appreciate that what happened in the markets today 218 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 1: lends well, you know, I think the market is pretty 219 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:25,640 Speaker 1: optimistic that we are going to see a fifth round 220 00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:28,560 Speaker 1: aid package eventually trickle down the pipeline. Now, we know 221 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 1: negotiations have been going on for quite some time, but 222 00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:35,200 Speaker 1: there's ample political pressure now on both sides. With the 223 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 1: November election just thirty five days away. Neither side wants 224 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:42,520 Speaker 1: to be seen as the one putting up a barrier 225 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:46,760 Speaker 1: to providing additional funding to families and businesses that need 226 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:50,959 Speaker 1: aid to really bridge the gap that continues to pose 227 00:12:51,080 --> 00:12:54,199 Speaker 1: hardship for putting food on the table and covering expenses. 228 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:56,840 Speaker 1: So I think the market is relatively optimistic that we 229 00:12:56,920 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 1: will see additional aid UH in the near term, you know. 230 00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:03,840 Speaker 1: And it's really remarkable because I'm up there on Capitol 231 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:06,720 Speaker 1: Hill right I spoke to Kembuck Congress M. Keembuck earlier today. 232 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:09,679 Speaker 1: I spoke to Jim Jordan when I was out in Cleveland, 233 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:14,000 Speaker 1: Connor Lamb I saw, you know, I speak, I speak 234 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:16,760 Speaker 1: to these people, and they actually do agree on the baseline. 235 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:20,040 Speaker 1: They agree, Lindsay on the on the baseline of providing 236 00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:24,280 Speaker 1: some targeted relief. It's it's all of these other issues 237 00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 1: that get in the way. And so the strategy that 238 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:32,440 Speaker 1: sent a majority leader Rich McConnell is saying is Okay, 239 00:13:32,480 --> 00:13:35,560 Speaker 1: eventually you're going to take what we all agree on 240 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:37,480 Speaker 1: and and that and that you're going to do that. 241 00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:40,840 Speaker 1: And the strategy that Speaker Pelosi outlined to our David 242 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 1: Weston today in that interview was well, now we can 243 00:13:44,280 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 1: get more. And it just is it's really remarkable to 244 00:13:47,559 --> 00:13:53,440 Speaker 1: watch these two masterful politicians have their their ideologies on 245 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 1: on such a collision course. But it all comes down 246 00:13:56,600 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 1: to the data. And tomorrow we're getting incredibly important and 247 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:04,559 Speaker 1: incredibly important jobs report, and this is the last job's 248 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,880 Speaker 1: report before of the election, and it's it's set to 249 00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:11,719 Speaker 1: show a very slowing recovery. Give us a preview, Lindsay 250 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:15,520 Speaker 1: of tomorrow's jobs report, Well, I think the September jobs 251 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 1: report is going to show that the US labor market 252 00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 1: continues to improve in terms of positive job creation. We're 253 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:25,160 Speaker 1: looking for roughly fill around eight hundred and seventy thousand 254 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:29,640 Speaker 1: new jobs. But since the pandemic, we've actually recaptured or 255 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:33,960 Speaker 1: reclaimed roughly eleven million jobs. So that is a sizeable 256 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 1: step in the right direction. On the other hand, what 257 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:39,720 Speaker 1: we see is that even with the progress made a 258 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 1: number of Americans now put back to work, at this point, 259 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:46,320 Speaker 1: there remains considerable ground yet to recapture before we can 260 00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:50,400 Speaker 1: talk about returning to solid labor market conditions, particularly as 261 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 1: monthly hiring momentum slows. So if we do see a 262 00:14:53,440 --> 00:14:55,840 Speaker 1: gain of about eight hundred and seventy thousand, well that's 263 00:14:55,920 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 1: down from roughly one point four million the previous month. 264 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,480 Speaker 1: So we are seeing that second derivative decline or slower 265 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 1: pace of positive hiring. So that's so that's so interesting 266 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 1: because I mean, especially in terms of the expectations game, 267 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:11,920 Speaker 1: and and every city in America is trying to figure out, 268 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 1: you know, what does this mean. You look at New 269 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:16,040 Speaker 1: York and the data that they've got, you know, an 270 00:15:16,080 --> 00:15:19,480 Speaker 1: uptick uh in New York and New York City, and 271 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:21,960 Speaker 1: they're and they're opening restaurants. They're all up on edge 272 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 1: on that. You know. I Governor Hogan of Maryland and 273 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 1: Republican Governor Larry Hogan. Uh. He said that there was 274 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 1: no new cases today, so they had some positive news 275 00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 1: in terms of Maryland. But everyone it's like a patchwork 276 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 1: of data on the virus front. And then economists like 277 00:15:37,040 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 1: you are have to piece this all together. So how 278 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 1: is the anxiety and the uncertainty around this, the potential 279 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 1: of a second wave. How has that impacted market reaction 280 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:52,160 Speaker 1: and more importantly, job creation. Oh, it's huge because what 281 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:55,160 Speaker 1: we see is that many businesses were optimistic that they 282 00:15:55,160 --> 00:15:57,680 Speaker 1: would be able to bridge the gap within a couple 283 00:15:57,720 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 1: of months, but the timeline for the pan Emmich has 284 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:04,600 Speaker 1: been extended so precipitously that many businesses are fearful that 285 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 1: they will be forced to close their doors for good 286 00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:09,240 Speaker 1: as we look out to the end of the year. 287 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:12,160 Speaker 1: In fact, there's a great report that shows twenty of 288 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:15,760 Speaker 1: small businesses have already closed their doors at least temporarily, 289 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:18,880 Speaker 1: but nearly two thirds are worried or are at risk 290 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:22,400 Speaker 1: of permanent closure by year end. So this suggests that 291 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:25,680 Speaker 1: there could be another round of layoffs coming as we 292 00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:28,040 Speaker 1: look out into the future. Yes, again, we have taken 293 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 1: steps in the right direction putting people back to work, 294 00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:33,000 Speaker 1: But if businesses aren't able to remain open, if we 295 00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:36,120 Speaker 1: see more restaurants, if we see more retailers, more bars 296 00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:39,880 Speaker 1: and nightclubs, clothes, that means that they're not employing Americans 297 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 1: and that's going to put downward pressure on that jobless 298 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 1: number and make it more difficult for Americans to get 299 00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:50,520 Speaker 1: a boost of income and again cover expenses put food 300 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 1: on the family table. All right, So it's on the 301 00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg terminal before I came on the show, and I 302 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:59,680 Speaker 1: love this. It's called the Misery Index. It's calculated using 303 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:03,800 Speaker 1: the official U three unemployment rate and the year over 304 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 1: year change in the headline cp I. So the change 305 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:09,560 Speaker 1: in the index is based on the six month rolling 306 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: average through the month preceding the election October compared with 307 00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 1: year earlier levels. Okay, ready for this. A record high 308 00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:21,199 Speaker 1: reading for the Misery Index suggests economic factors will not 309 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:24,680 Speaker 1: be working in President Trump's favor at the November election. Now, 310 00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:27,720 Speaker 1: the biggest unknown here, folks, is that there's a pandemic. 311 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:32,879 Speaker 1: Excluding Democratic nominee Jimmy Carter's win in nineteen seventy six 312 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:37,560 Speaker 1: and accounting for World War Two hero Dwight Eisenhower's popularity 313 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:40,720 Speaker 1: in ninety two and nineteen fifty six, the Misery Index 314 00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:45,200 Speaker 1: has got it wrong only twice, Bill Clinton win in 315 00:17:46,560 --> 00:17:49,120 Speaker 1: and George W. Bush. So it's it's it's been wrong 316 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:51,320 Speaker 1: with the misery signal was weak, but you look at 317 00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:55,159 Speaker 1: the data, the market is now baking in. Lindsay, I'm 318 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:56,960 Speaker 1: not gonna ask you to pick a pick a president. 319 00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 1: I I that's not your job, but I will. I 320 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,080 Speaker 1: will because now I get it. But I really ask you, 321 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:05,640 Speaker 1: is the market they're baked in that this is gonna 322 00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:10,639 Speaker 1: be not election day but election month well, and that 323 00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:12,840 Speaker 1: that is something that we have to consider. We we 324 00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 1: are anticipating some sort of a contested election result, which 325 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 1: will cause ample volatility in the market. But as far 326 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:22,600 Speaker 1: as the misery index, I think that it's very important 327 00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:26,679 Speaker 1: to how the president spins the current data because we 328 00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:29,439 Speaker 1: don't have the counter factual. We don't know what shape 329 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:32,359 Speaker 1: the economy would be in if he hadn't taken taken 330 00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:35,560 Speaker 1: the steps that he has, if states haven't hadn't taken 331 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:38,160 Speaker 1: the steps that they have, So we could have seen 332 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:41,639 Speaker 1: a fifty sixty percent drop in GDP as opposed to 333 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:44,119 Speaker 1: a thirty percent drop in Q two. So I do 334 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,280 Speaker 1: think that politicians are going to take that data. They're 335 00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 1: gonna spin it. They're they're very clever, and they're going 336 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:51,680 Speaker 1: to pander to their constituents. And the thing that's that 337 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:54,000 Speaker 1: the biggest unknown. And this is why. And I say 338 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:56,400 Speaker 1: this respectful to economists like Lindsay because you know, I'm 339 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:59,520 Speaker 1: not listen. I respect that the data, the numbers, I 340 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:01,480 Speaker 1: get it, the asks the church up and down. But 341 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:04,359 Speaker 1: we've never had a pandemic in a hundred years, so 342 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 1: you know, it's almost like it's difficult to to to 343 00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 1: use the typical analysis for politics because we've never been 344 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 1: here before. All Right, Lindsay Peggs, I really appreciate your time, 345 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:19,359 Speaker 1: excellent analysis on helping us navigate through what happened in 346 00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:22,200 Speaker 1: the market today. She's the chief economist at Stifel nikolaus 347 00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:24,640 Speaker 1: Uh and I appreciate it, Lindsay, Thanks you so much. 348 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:26,920 Speaker 1: All right, coming up, you can download the Bloomberg Sound 349 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:29,560 Speaker 1: on podcast on Apple iTunes, at Bloomberg dot com, or 350 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:32,119 Speaker 1: by downloading the Bloomberg Business app. You can also find 351 00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:36,359 Speaker 1: me on Radio dot com, I Heart Radio, and Spotify. 352 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:38,760 Speaker 1: My name is Kevin Cirillium, the chief Washington correspondent for 353 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:43,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Television and for Bloomberg Radio. You're listening to Bloomberg one. 354 00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:07,159 Speaker 1: Why how do we reopen this economy? The latest on 355 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:10,199 Speaker 1: how this pandemic is impacting farmers. What does this do 356 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:14,199 Speaker 1: for the United States relationship with China? Bloomberg Sound On, 357 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:18,520 Speaker 1: The Insiders, the influencers, the insides. We're responding to this 358 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:22,160 Speaker 1: crisis and manufacturers are stepping up like never before. We're 359 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:25,159 Speaker 1: looking at seventy Kennedys for different vaccines. How do we 360 00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:28,440 Speaker 1: make sure a pandemic of this scale never happens again? 361 00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:33,159 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Sound On with Kevin Surrelate on Bloomberg 362 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 1: and one oh five point seven f m h D 363 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:40,119 Speaker 1: two Jobs Day Eve and it's an important jobs report. 364 00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 1: We're going to dive into how the fiscal stimulus talks 365 00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:47,800 Speaker 1: could be impacted by the economic data. Plus watch now. 366 00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:49,920 Speaker 1: Both sides are trying to talk about the economy, but 367 00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:53,360 Speaker 1: the fallout from that brutal debate in Cleveland still casting 368 00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 1: a large shadow over the election. And Congressman Steve Chabitt 369 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,720 Speaker 1: calls us from Indiana all of that this hour for 370 00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:04,760 Speaker 1: a live look at what's happening on Capitol Hill. Coming up, 371 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:09,520 Speaker 1: We've got a jam packed our to walk through the 372 00:21:09,520 --> 00:21:11,440 Speaker 1: politics and everything going on from the debate. But I 373 00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:13,560 Speaker 1: want to start with policy, especially on a day like today, 374 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:17,440 Speaker 1: because Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi as well as 375 00:21:17,560 --> 00:21:21,680 Speaker 1: Treasury Secretary Steven manution they've been continuing their negotiations, and 376 00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:25,280 Speaker 1: Speaker Pelosi spoke to our very own David Weston. It 377 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:28,080 Speaker 1: was a wide ranging interview. I really encourage you to 378 00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:30,800 Speaker 1: go check it out on the terminal or cross platform 379 00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 1: anywhere on Bloombird. But I want to play some of 380 00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:38,359 Speaker 1: it now, in particular about where the negotiations are, because 381 00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 1: they're going to vote in the House on a two 382 00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:45,480 Speaker 1: point to two point four trillion dollar stimulus package and 383 00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:47,840 Speaker 1: no Republicans are gonna get on board with it. Now. 384 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:51,080 Speaker 1: Leader McConnell is pushing for a one point for max 385 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:55,720 Speaker 1: trillion dollar plan, and they agree on one point for 386 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:58,280 Speaker 1: a trillion dollars, which, mind you, is no small feat 387 00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:02,639 Speaker 1: to have Republicans and Democrats agree with a trillion plus dollars. 388 00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:06,600 Speaker 1: But there's two very different political calculations that are being 389 00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,200 Speaker 1: made here, and that's really where I want to begin tonight. 390 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:13,240 Speaker 1: Leader McConnell is saying, we agree on one point for 391 00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:16,359 Speaker 1: a trillion dollars, so let's just get that done and 392 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:20,199 Speaker 1: let's make it targeted and approached to to the various communities. 393 00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 1: Speaker Pelosi is saying, I have the political capital, I've 394 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:28,280 Speaker 1: got time on my side. So no, we're gonna do 395 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:32,360 Speaker 1: a trillion dollars more. That's what she wants. So take 396 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,359 Speaker 1: a listen to what she told David Weston about this 397 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:39,760 Speaker 1: specific piece of legislation and the need for fiscal stimulus. 398 00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:43,800 Speaker 1: Here she is, we've come down very far in the negotiations, 399 00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:48,040 Speaker 1: not abandoning any priorities about shortening the timetable and putting 400 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:51,600 Speaker 1: some things off to the appropriations for four and a 401 00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:54,640 Speaker 1: half months since we introduced the heroes at for three 402 00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:56,800 Speaker 1: and a half months until we're torn in as a 403 00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 1: new Congress, in less than four months until we inaugurate 404 00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:04,439 Speaker 1: the President of the United States. So the horizon, and 405 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,879 Speaker 1: we're approaching that horizon, and hopefully in doing so, we 406 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,919 Speaker 1: can be well prepared by coming to agreement now on 407 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:14,560 Speaker 1: this legislation. Now, the markets have been moving in every 408 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:17,840 Speaker 1: word as it relates to the stimulus, and she says 409 00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:20,800 Speaker 1: she's got consumer confidence on her mind. Here she is, 410 00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:25,760 Speaker 1: this is a consumer confidence. These people spend this money immediately, 411 00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:29,800 Speaker 1: it's urgently needed and jack demand into the economy, create jobs. 412 00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:33,440 Speaker 1: It's a stimulus, and I want to just also play 413 00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:38,640 Speaker 1: here what she had to say about how testing and 414 00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:42,720 Speaker 1: contact tracing and the funding for more testing is a 415 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:45,760 Speaker 1: part of this. Here's her pitch to David Weston. We 416 00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 1: have a big, big pillar of this bill about testing, tracing, treatment, 417 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:57,800 Speaker 1: mask wearing, space, sanitation. All of that is very specific 418 00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:00,600 Speaker 1: in the language. And that's why it's not the money, 419 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:03,320 Speaker 1: it's the language as well, to make sure this gets done, 420 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,239 Speaker 1: because it is the way to crush the virus so 421 00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:09,440 Speaker 1: that we can open our economy more broadly and our 422 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:13,720 Speaker 1: schools more both more safely. So I wanted to play 423 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:16,480 Speaker 1: that because David Wesson did a great job in terms 424 00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:19,680 Speaker 1: of really getting an understanding of the strategy as well 425 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 1: as the policy that Speaker Pelosi is trying to push 426 00:24:22,520 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: forward this weekend. But earlier in this week, when I 427 00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:27,280 Speaker 1: was in Cleveland, I spoke with one of the most 428 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:30,800 Speaker 1: influential conservatives in the House right now, and that's Congressman 429 00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:34,480 Speaker 1: Jim Jordan's. He's a Republican from Ohio, and he's got 430 00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:36,720 Speaker 1: Mark Meadows here, he's got the White House ear and 431 00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:41,080 Speaker 1: he understands the political landscape of the Republican Party and 432 00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 1: the Caucus right now and the dynamics of it better 433 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:47,520 Speaker 1: than anyone. He is in many ways the conservative in 434 00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:50,720 Speaker 1: the House of Representatives. And I spoke with him about 435 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,199 Speaker 1: just how much they were willing to spend. Here's a 436 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 1: guy in the Freedom Caucus about how much they were 437 00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:58,760 Speaker 1: willing to spend. Lect roll the tape purious best and 438 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:00,439 Speaker 1: this let people go back to work. Let me think 439 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:02,720 Speaker 1: about it. Our economy that the v shape recoveries happened, 440 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:06,560 Speaker 1: the Great American comeback is happening. But imagine if New Jersey, 441 00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:10,399 Speaker 1: New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, California, and Michigan, six of the 442 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:12,600 Speaker 1: largest ten states and population wise in the country, six 443 00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:14,560 Speaker 1: of the top ten. Imagine that they were fully opened. 444 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 1: So I mean that six big states, uh where where 445 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,960 Speaker 1: they're still largely locked down. So imagine what we would see. 446 00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 1: So the best stimulus is to let the economy open up. 447 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,200 Speaker 1: Do it in a safe way, but let the economy 448 00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 1: open up like so many other states have done. That 449 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:30,720 Speaker 1: would be the best imulus versus just throwing more money 450 00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:32,439 Speaker 1: like the Democrats want to do. I hear you on 451 00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:34,720 Speaker 1: that point. But even when I talk to people like 452 00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:38,239 Speaker 1: Congressman Matt Gates, for example, they're saying that there is 453 00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 1: a foundation of agreements in terms of some more economic stimulus. 454 00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:46,880 Speaker 1: Do you think that's possible by the end of the year. 455 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:50,960 Speaker 1: It's targeted to too small business. How we'd have to 456 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:52,280 Speaker 1: we have to look at what that is. What I 457 00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:53,480 Speaker 1: don't want to do is bail I don't want to 458 00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,760 Speaker 1: how A taxpayers having to bail out the Illinois state 459 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:59,200 Speaker 1: government for for ridiculous spending over the years. I don't 460 00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:01,000 Speaker 1: want to hio A taxpayers to have to bail out 461 00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:03,800 Speaker 1: in New York and California. California got rolling blackouts and 462 00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:05,680 Speaker 1: all kinds of crazy policies going there. I don't I 463 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:07,840 Speaker 1: don't want that. So what we should do is free 464 00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:09,879 Speaker 1: of the money that's already out the door for for 465 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,280 Speaker 1: local governments. Money is already out there, and give some 466 00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:14,320 Speaker 1: freedom there. That's a that's a Republican bill sponsored by 467 00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:17,359 Speaker 1: Ohio when Warren Davidson, uh, that makes that makes sense. 468 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,639 Speaker 1: And then if we can do something on PPP, the 469 00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:22,120 Speaker 1: program that helps small businesses, I think there'd be some 470 00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:24,520 Speaker 1: some common ground there that Conservatives might be willing to 471 00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:25,680 Speaker 1: work with them. But they don't want that. They just 472 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:27,840 Speaker 1: want to throw money. They want to bail out States. 473 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,000 Speaker 1: So right there, folks. You just heard from Speaker Peloso, 474 00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:33,480 Speaker 1: you heard from Jim Jordan's, and I think it's an 475 00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:38,280 Speaker 1: illustration of why these talks are taking so long. And 476 00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:41,320 Speaker 1: unfortunately we're on the eve of a jobs report. We're 477 00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:43,959 Speaker 1: gonna talk about the job support coming up. Roger fiskus 478 00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:47,280 Speaker 1: with me. He's a Democratic strategist, longtime aid to President Obama, 479 00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:49,879 Speaker 1: and a principle of New Day Strategy and president or 480 00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 1: a principle of I almost introduced Brian Lanza as President. 481 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:56,879 Speaker 1: Brian Lanza. Brian Lanz is also with us. He is 482 00:26:56,920 --> 00:27:00,560 Speaker 1: a Republican strategist and former deputy communications director for President 483 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 1: Trump's campaign. Roger, I want to go with you. We 484 00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:07,080 Speaker 1: just heard from Congressman Jim Jordan's, I mean, and and 485 00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 1: and earlier before that, Speaker Pelosi. This is why this 486 00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:15,920 Speaker 1: is taking so long. Is their world's apart? Yeah, Kevin, 487 00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 1: first off, thanks so much for having me, and and 488 00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:21,199 Speaker 1: it's great to be here with Brian. You know, it's frustrating. 489 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:24,080 Speaker 1: I wish we had a president who fashioned himself as 490 00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:26,840 Speaker 1: a great dealmaker, because ostensibly we could just have a 491 00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:30,239 Speaker 1: president like that swoop in here, and and and and 492 00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:33,520 Speaker 1: bring these parties together. I mean, it's joking aside. It 493 00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:37,800 Speaker 1: is shocking to me that he is completely m I 494 00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:40,520 Speaker 1: A in this whole equation, and in fact, whole news 495 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:44,119 Speaker 1: stories come and go without even wondering, you know, where 496 00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:47,280 Speaker 1: where he is. And then and let me switch now 497 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:50,199 Speaker 1: to how this could have gone in the President's favor 498 00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:53,439 Speaker 1: if he had not taken his foot off the gas 499 00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:56,919 Speaker 1: on testing months ago, And say, if you took the 500 00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,480 Speaker 1: content of that press conference in the White House Rose 501 00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:01,920 Speaker 1: Garden March, when he was like, oh, there's going to 502 00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,399 Speaker 1: be drive through testing locations and all the box store 503 00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:06,680 Speaker 1: parking lots, and we're going to move you know, driving 504 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:10,320 Speaker 1: movie theaters and all this other stuff. And and then 505 00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:14,360 Speaker 1: you also mobilize full mobilization of the federal government around testing, 506 00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,280 Speaker 1: which of course he decided not to do because he 507 00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:18,280 Speaker 1: didn't want his numbers to go. That would have been 508 00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:21,600 Speaker 1: put in place the infrastructure so that you had a 509 00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:24,800 Speaker 1: delivery mechanism when a vaccine comes, right, it would be 510 00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:28,640 Speaker 1: very easy to have all those testing locations that could 511 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,720 Speaker 1: have been built sitting there and basically waiting for the 512 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:33,800 Speaker 1: arrival of a vaccine, and then you just push it 513 00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,440 Speaker 1: out and you can plug it right into the American bloodstream, 514 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 1: but he chose a different route. Um. And that's why 515 00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:43,160 Speaker 1: I think that the Speaker is is making the points 516 00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:47,080 Speaker 1: that she is and then ultimately the reality. They're basically 517 00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:51,240 Speaker 1: on two escalators right now. Speaker Pelosi's political capital goes 518 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:55,200 Speaker 1: up every day, and Manutans and Meadows goes down every day, 519 00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:58,120 Speaker 1: especially while you know the premits that there and undermines 520 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,560 Speaker 1: his own government's response. Brian, I don't wanna, Brian, You're 521 00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:03,160 Speaker 1: gonna get the first word coming up next, because I 522 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 1: want to. I want to get to you on the 523 00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:06,840 Speaker 1: other side of this. I'm Kevin Sireley. You're listening to 524 00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg nine and N one. I don't want my name. 525 00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:37,480 Speaker 1: My name is Kevin SIRELEI. I'm the chief Washington correspondent 526 00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:40,960 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Television, for Bloomberg Radio. That's my oldest sister, 527 00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:47,479 Speaker 1: Mar's favorite Bruce song. And uh, my niece Annie switched 528 00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:50,840 Speaker 1: preschools and today was the first day at a new preschool. 529 00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:55,480 Speaker 1: And uh apparently she was, you know, talking to everybody. 530 00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:57,640 Speaker 1: It was like the chip that right to just drop 531 00:29:57,680 --> 00:29:59,640 Speaker 1: herridge talking to everybody. I said, she must take half 532 00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:02,360 Speaker 1: for me, She'll talk to anybody joining us for the 533 00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:07,520 Speaker 1: also are are esteemed Washington. Booker was telling us about 534 00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:10,840 Speaker 1: his his high school football days and and in the break, 535 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:15,360 Speaker 1: Matt Matthew Shirley was a tackler and he was wearing 536 00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,040 Speaker 1: his high school his high school jersey. So that's for you, 537 00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:20,560 Speaker 1: Matt uh joining us on the line. Roger Fisk, a 538 00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:24,560 Speaker 1: Democratic strategist. Brian Lanza, Republican strategist, former deputy COMPS director 539 00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:27,720 Speaker 1: for President Trumpe campaign. Brian, did you play football in 540 00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:33,960 Speaker 1: high school? It was the outside linebacker and outside line backer. 541 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:37,000 Speaker 1: I was a soccer player. You know, I should challenge Socker, 542 00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:40,200 Speaker 1: I should challenge Jonathan Farroh to a soccer match or 543 00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:43,400 Speaker 1: is he calls it football? But you know, anyway, all right, Brian, 544 00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:47,720 Speaker 1: why okay? So in the earlier Roger Fisk said, I 545 00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:51,040 Speaker 1: he said, essentially, where's President Trump in these negotiations? So 546 00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:52,800 Speaker 1: let me let me ask you that where is President 547 00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:56,120 Speaker 1: Trump and these fiscal stimulus negotiations? Because he did run 548 00:30:56,120 --> 00:30:58,480 Speaker 1: as a deal maker, and you know, why not why 549 00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:02,000 Speaker 1: not you know, get up there, Speaker Pelosi, you know, 550 00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:04,160 Speaker 1: get or bring over the White House and say, hey, 551 00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,320 Speaker 1: we need a deal, we need stimulus. Listen. I think 552 00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:09,760 Speaker 1: he's being strategic. And that's what all negotiators do. I 553 00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:12,640 Speaker 1: mean they have, you know, not that minutions and underlanting, 554 00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 1: but they have an under leaning sort of handle the details. 555 00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:17,560 Speaker 1: Uh and when we're closer and they come in and 556 00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:19,680 Speaker 1: close the finish line. And I think that's what's going 557 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:21,880 Speaker 1: to happen here. I mean, you know, tread listen. I 558 00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:23,800 Speaker 1: think if you're negotiating, the last thing you want to 559 00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,080 Speaker 1: do is president put President Trump in the room when 560 00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,480 Speaker 1: you're trying to get billions of dollars for more state government. 561 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:31,320 Speaker 1: I mean that is the number one priority of the Democrats. 562 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,480 Speaker 1: I mean, they want to fund the failures to California, 563 00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:35,200 Speaker 1: they want to fund the failures of New York, and 564 00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:37,560 Speaker 1: they want to push that tax burden onto the rest 565 00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 1: of us. And Trump wants nothing to do with it. 566 00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:40,840 Speaker 1: So he's not going to go in the room and 567 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,120 Speaker 1: entertain that because it's just a waste of his time 568 00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:45,080 Speaker 1: and it's a waste of Pelosi times. And they know that. 569 00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:47,880 Speaker 1: So I think he's being smart by handed off the minution. 570 00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:51,000 Speaker 1: Let them work well, let them work well together to 571 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:52,760 Speaker 1: get it done, and he'll come in when it's time 572 00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:54,760 Speaker 1: to close. But I just don't think we're there. And 573 00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:57,680 Speaker 1: all of this comes and I get it, you know, 574 00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,200 Speaker 1: I talked to our publican talking to a Democratic. I 575 00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:03,240 Speaker 1: get the divide, and you know, and I respect both 576 00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:05,880 Speaker 1: of you because we talked so much about policy and 577 00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,320 Speaker 1: and and the economy, the economics of all this. But 578 00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:11,600 Speaker 1: all of this comes as tomorrow we're gonna get the 579 00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:17,360 Speaker 1: last job support before the election. And the employers probably 580 00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:20,160 Speaker 1: if you look at the terminal, probably added eight hundred 581 00:32:20,200 --> 00:32:24,120 Speaker 1: and seventy five thousand workers in September, following one point 582 00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:27,760 Speaker 1: three seven million in August. According to the medium projection 583 00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:31,880 Speaker 1: of analysts. Ahead of Friday's Labor Department data, the job 584 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:35,520 Speaker 1: was rate likely felt only slightly to eight point two percent. 585 00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:37,720 Speaker 1: You know, we were speaking about this in the last 586 00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:39,719 Speaker 1: half hour, Brian and then Roger. I want to get 587 00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:42,800 Speaker 1: you away in on this. But Brian, I mean, if 588 00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,680 Speaker 1: you look at I don't think you can look and 589 00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:49,800 Speaker 1: compare this upcoming election from an economic standpoint with the 590 00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:54,080 Speaker 1: economic indicators like the misery index, for example, based upon 591 00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:57,280 Speaker 1: when you've got the pandemic in the back in the background, 592 00:32:57,760 --> 00:32:59,840 Speaker 1: because you can't look at eight point two percent on 593 00:32:59,880 --> 00:33:01,840 Speaker 1: a deployment and say, okay, well it's it's a super 594 00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:05,000 Speaker 1: high unemployment number because of the backdrop of the pandemic. 595 00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:10,760 Speaker 1: But here we are, and so you know, when if 596 00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:13,120 Speaker 1: you look at polls, the President is still polling above 597 00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,800 Speaker 1: Biden on the economy. But the conversation on the trail 598 00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:22,760 Speaker 1: has not been about the economy. Brian, Yeah, and listen 599 00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:25,200 Speaker 1: enough to challenge they have. I mean, elections are about tomorrow. 600 00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:27,960 Speaker 1: They're about the future. And every person sitting in their 601 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 1: home today is worried about their future. They're wondering what 602 00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,840 Speaker 1: it's gonna take to get to the economy of or 603 00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:37,800 Speaker 1: January in February. And I think that's the case. That's 604 00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:40,400 Speaker 1: the President Trump and his campaign team have to make. 605 00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:43,280 Speaker 1: They have to say, listen, guys, listen to America. And 606 00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 1: the last four months, my administration created ten point four 607 00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:50,520 Speaker 1: million jobs. Four months, you know, as a response to 608 00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:54,200 Speaker 1: this crisis. The entire eight years of Obama administration, they 609 00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:57,520 Speaker 1: only created eight point four So who do you trust 610 00:33:57,960 --> 00:33:59,840 Speaker 1: that's going to restore your job while you're sitting at 611 00:33:59,840 --> 00:34:02,320 Speaker 1: home wondering what the future looks like. The one who 612 00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:05,000 Speaker 1: created this great economy and that was the envy of 613 00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:07,280 Speaker 1: the world, in the envy of world economic history. In 614 00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:12,280 Speaker 1: January or Joe Biden and his team, which which resulted 615 00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:15,359 Speaker 1: in the slowest economic recovery from a great recession ever. 616 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:17,719 Speaker 1: And then I'd had the final point and we were 617 00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:20,719 Speaker 1: talking about a great depression in in May of this year. 618 00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:23,600 Speaker 1: We were talking about it every you know, news stories 619 00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:26,479 Speaker 1: were there, Bloomberg was writing about it. We're far from 620 00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:29,000 Speaker 1: that great depression. That is not on accident. That is 621 00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:32,200 Speaker 1: a result of the President's Trump's policies and leaderships on 622 00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:34,560 Speaker 1: these issues. And so it's not that we're here on accident. 623 00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,840 Speaker 1: Eight point four is still high, but it's not that 624 00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,720 Speaker 1: everybody was predicting. And so it's a twelve point difference, 625 00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,560 Speaker 1: and that's full of point difference. Is a response, is 626 00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:47,040 Speaker 1: a direct responsibility. There is President Trump's leadership and guidance 627 00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:53,200 Speaker 1: on the economy. Go ahead, Roger, Well, you know that's 628 00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:56,319 Speaker 1: it's it's that's a long list. First off, you know, 629 00:34:56,800 --> 00:34:59,200 Speaker 1: in the last two years of the Obama administration, four 630 00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,799 Speaker 1: point four million jobs were created, and the first two 631 00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,600 Speaker 1: years of the Trump administration four point one million jobs 632 00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:10,759 Speaker 1: were created. So President for Matra this whole mantra of 633 00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:13,520 Speaker 1: the greatest economy in the history of the galaxy and 634 00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:16,719 Speaker 1: stuff like that is just ludicrous and a four year 635 00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:18,840 Speaker 1: old can prove it wrong on Google and in about 636 00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:24,840 Speaker 1: thirty seconds. Um. The vexing question um that that Brian 637 00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:29,319 Speaker 1: does not put in his laundry list. Is why the 638 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:32,719 Speaker 1: President couldn't have shared with the American people in February 639 00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:36,840 Speaker 1: what he shared with Bob Woodward. Like, for me, a 640 00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,480 Speaker 1: lot of this stuff, you know, politics and campaigns and stuff, 641 00:35:39,520 --> 00:35:42,200 Speaker 1: all gets down to really simple stuff. And if he 642 00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:46,360 Speaker 1: had just been straight and transparent with the people that 643 00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:49,480 Speaker 1: this is an airborne pathogen and that children, you know, 644 00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:52,080 Speaker 1: might have the caring capacity and things like that, we 645 00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:55,080 Speaker 1: would be in a much much different situation. My last point, 646 00:35:55,160 --> 00:35:57,640 Speaker 1: very quickly is to say that he's going out in 647 00:35:57,760 --> 00:36:00,560 Speaker 1: creating jobs right now when people are just clawing their 648 00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:03,239 Speaker 1: way back to the surface. I think it's playing very 649 00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:06,080 Speaker 1: fast and loose with it. I think, but I want 650 00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,279 Speaker 1: to keep this focus in this sense, and I and 651 00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:11,040 Speaker 1: I it's hard to do in this climate. Lord, if 652 00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:13,319 Speaker 1: I know how hard this is, especially to talk to 653 00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:15,160 Speaker 1: to want to do a policy show in the middle 654 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:17,759 Speaker 1: of all of this, This noise. But let me ask you, 655 00:36:17,840 --> 00:36:24,720 Speaker 1: this is Joe Biden. Is he say stating clearly what 656 00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:28,560 Speaker 1: he would do in the first one hundred days as 657 00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:31,120 Speaker 1: it relates to getting the economy And don't don't answer 658 00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:33,680 Speaker 1: with a comparison to the other guy, to the president. 659 00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:35,920 Speaker 1: And I'm saying that respect like to to the opponent 660 00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:40,520 Speaker 1: of whatever, because I want to know truthfully what Abiden 661 00:36:40,560 --> 00:36:44,080 Speaker 1: administration would would look like in terms of energy policy, 662 00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:47,280 Speaker 1: I don't know. And and what balance he would strike 663 00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:52,520 Speaker 1: on fracking and new energy in terms of US infrastructure spending, 664 00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,120 Speaker 1: I don't know. And that's what I think I want 665 00:36:55,120 --> 00:36:56,759 Speaker 1: to dive into. That's what we are going to dive 666 00:36:56,800 --> 00:37:00,319 Speaker 1: into coming up, and both sides, both sides. I'm Kevin Really, 667 00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:03,759 Speaker 1: Chief Washington corresponded for Bloomberg Television, for Bloomberg Radio. You're 668 00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:24,320 Speaker 1: listening to Bloomberg Night and on one this is Bloomberg's 669 00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:29,040 Speaker 1: Sound On with Kevin Surreley on Bloomberg and one oh 670 00:37:29,120 --> 00:37:33,000 Speaker 1: five point seven F M H D two. I'm Kevin Surreally. 671 00:37:33,120 --> 00:37:37,920 Speaker 1: I'm the chief Washington correspondent for Bloomberg Television and for 672 00:37:38,440 --> 00:37:42,759 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio. And tomorrow, folks, we're gonna have a continuing 673 00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:47,319 Speaker 1: coverage of Jobs Day. It's an incredibly, incredibly important important 674 00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:51,239 Speaker 1: jobs Day, uh, last one before before the election, and 675 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:54,520 Speaker 1: we got to use these economic indicators in order to 676 00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:59,720 Speaker 1: in order to to really go into all of the 677 00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:02,839 Speaker 1: cifics and maybe it'll put some pressure on these lawmakers 678 00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:07,279 Speaker 1: to get to a fiscal stimulus deal. Joining us on 679 00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:10,560 Speaker 1: the line. Somebody's wrapped up in these negotiations. He's the 680 00:38:10,640 --> 00:38:14,440 Speaker 1: ranking member of the House Small Business Committee. He's Congressman 681 00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:18,799 Speaker 1: Steve Chabitt, and he is UH. He represents Ohio's first 682 00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:22,680 Speaker 1: congressional district. He is a member of the Republican Party. Congressman, 683 00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:23,799 Speaker 1: Are we going to get to a deal in the 684 00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:28,800 Speaker 1: fiscal talks? I certainly hope so. Um. Obviously, this is Washington, 685 00:38:28,920 --> 00:38:33,279 Speaker 1: so politics, uh gets in the way everywhere. But this 686 00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:35,319 Speaker 1: is something we really ought to be working on in 687 00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:38,120 Speaker 1: a bipartisan manner. Um. And the jury is still out 688 00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:41,720 Speaker 1: whether that's gonna get done. Um, it's possible yet tonight, 689 00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:46,920 Speaker 1: it's possible tomorrow. I'm cautiously optimistic because the American people 690 00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:50,160 Speaker 1: needed and both Republicans and Democrats are saying they want 691 00:38:50,160 --> 00:38:52,600 Speaker 1: to help. Now, let's see if we can actually get 692 00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:54,680 Speaker 1: it done. I certainly hope we will. So to me, 693 00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:58,359 Speaker 1: what I really cannot understand. Maybe it's because I'm young, 694 00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:02,480 Speaker 1: but I cannot understand. And why for the life of me, 695 00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:05,839 Speaker 1: you and your Democratic friends on the other across the aisle, 696 00:39:06,160 --> 00:39:10,200 Speaker 1: you you agree on about a trillion dollars. You agree 697 00:39:10,680 --> 00:39:14,080 Speaker 1: on many different things, So why can't you just pass 698 00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:16,080 Speaker 1: that what you agree on and fight about the other 699 00:39:16,120 --> 00:39:19,480 Speaker 1: for lack of a better word, stuff another day. Because 700 00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:22,720 Speaker 1: on main Street, in small businesses, families across the country, 701 00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:25,040 Speaker 1: they can't operate the way the House of Representatives or 702 00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:27,640 Speaker 1: the Senate, or the politics in general, the way it 703 00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:30,719 Speaker 1: works in this town. Yeah, you're you're right, that is 704 00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:34,200 Speaker 1: what should happen. Sometimes it does. UM. I actually on 705 00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:36,759 Speaker 1: the lead Republican or the ranking member of the House 706 00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:39,040 Speaker 1: Small Business Committee. The last two conferences, I was the 707 00:39:39,080 --> 00:39:41,240 Speaker 1: chairman of the committee. We have a very good working 708 00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:45,160 Speaker 1: relationship on that committee, the Democrats and Republicans working, we 709 00:39:45,200 --> 00:39:47,879 Speaker 1: get a lot done on the committee. So we we 710 00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:51,000 Speaker 1: were instrumental in passing the p p P program back 711 00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:54,759 Speaker 1: in the Cares Act earlier this year, the paycheck Protection Program, 712 00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:58,520 Speaker 1: and so many jobs were saved across the country. Over 713 00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:02,359 Speaker 1: fifty million job jobs were saved. Uh. It's about half 714 00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:05,080 Speaker 1: the people who work in America work for a small business, 715 00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:08,200 Speaker 1: and about half of those jobs were saved due to this. 716 00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:11,280 Speaker 1: Now the funding is there's still a hundred and thirty 717 00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:14,399 Speaker 1: seven billion dollars in there, but the time ran out 718 00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:19,160 Speaker 1: back in August August eight. And I've introduced a bill 719 00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:22,319 Speaker 1: that would allow let's we all agree on that both 720 00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:25,279 Speaker 1: republic let's do that now. And the things we don't 721 00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:29,200 Speaker 1: agree on, we can save those. And and uh, Nancy 722 00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:34,280 Speaker 1: Pelosi thus far is refused to allow. A speaker of course, 723 00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:36,759 Speaker 1: has allowed has refused to allow it to come up 724 00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:39,839 Speaker 1: for a vote. So the last couple of weeks we've 725 00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:43,120 Speaker 1: been doing something called a discharge petition. You need to 726 00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:45,879 Speaker 1: have half of the members of Congress sign it, and 727 00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,080 Speaker 1: the bill will come up even if the Speaker opposes it, 728 00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:53,239 Speaker 1: it would pass. Virtually all Republicans would would vote for it, 729 00:40:53,320 --> 00:40:55,960 Speaker 1: and a large number of Democrats would vote for it. 730 00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:58,239 Speaker 1: We'd at least get that done because we agree on 731 00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,880 Speaker 1: that um. But we were not there yet even on that, 732 00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:03,440 Speaker 1: because we're still trying to collect the signatures. But I 733 00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:05,760 Speaker 1: would like to see an overall bill done that would 734 00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:09,000 Speaker 1: help people and direct payments again that would do something 735 00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:12,520 Speaker 1: for those that are still unemployed. H to do something 736 00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:15,879 Speaker 1: more testing. So there's I'd like to see a bigger bill. 737 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:18,120 Speaker 1: But if we can't get there, like like you said, Kevin, 738 00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:21,200 Speaker 1: let's at least pass what we agree on. So, I 739 00:41:21,200 --> 00:41:23,800 Speaker 1: mean Steve Chavis with us. He is a Republican from Ohio, 740 00:41:24,200 --> 00:41:26,319 Speaker 1: and uh, you know, I want to talk about I 741 00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:30,000 Speaker 1: want to switch gears actually, uh and talk about just 742 00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:34,120 Speaker 1: a geopolitical competition, because it's not just small businesses on 743 00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:35,799 Speaker 1: Main Street. They are having to claw their way out 744 00:41:35,920 --> 00:41:39,200 Speaker 1: of this this economy and the job's day numbers coming 745 00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:42,480 Speaker 1: tomorrow and a point to likely unemployment eight point two 746 00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:45,640 Speaker 1: percent unemployment. I mean, there are reopenings and the pace 747 00:41:45,640 --> 00:41:48,240 Speaker 1: of reopenings, and the pace of of of the data 748 00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:52,080 Speaker 1: on the coronavirus impacting all around the country. And and 749 00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:53,799 Speaker 1: you look at China, and you, of course are a 750 00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:56,120 Speaker 1: member of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs. We're in 751 00:41:56,160 --> 00:42:00,640 Speaker 1: a direct competition right now for our goods being provided 752 00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:03,040 Speaker 1: all over the world. And so I know that that 753 00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:07,280 Speaker 1: a group of House members just released a strategy Republican 754 00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:09,000 Speaker 1: House members at least a strategy on how to deal 755 00:42:09,040 --> 00:42:13,279 Speaker 1: with China, uh, yesterday. But when you look at your 756 00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:16,319 Speaker 1: and you look at the competition, not just from an 757 00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:19,520 Speaker 1: economic standpoint, but on national security as well. But China, 758 00:42:20,080 --> 00:42:22,480 Speaker 1: I mean, this is this isn't a problem down the road. 759 00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:26,160 Speaker 1: This is a problem right now. Oh, it absolutely is. Yeah, 760 00:42:26,200 --> 00:42:28,279 Speaker 1: they are if you look down the road. Yeah, it's 761 00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:30,080 Speaker 1: for the next hundred years, they're going to be our 762 00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:34,799 Speaker 1: principal rival. But they're there now. Um. Jobs have been 763 00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:38,719 Speaker 1: going over there for such a long time. Um. And basically, 764 00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:40,719 Speaker 1: what we've allowed to happen, you know, we're we have 765 00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:44,279 Speaker 1: free trade more or less since you know the uh, 766 00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:49,000 Speaker 1: the Clinton administration through the Bush administration that this president 767 00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:52,320 Speaker 1: has felt a little differently and he's more favorite teriffs, etcetera. 768 00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:56,640 Speaker 1: But basically, what we've allowed is China to get their 769 00:42:56,680 --> 00:43:00,320 Speaker 1: products into our country. On the show, all ofs just 770 00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:02,359 Speaker 1: look at Walmart. I mean, if you pick something up, 771 00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:04,080 Speaker 1: you look on it, there's pretty darn good chance that's 772 00:43:04,080 --> 00:43:06,239 Speaker 1: gonna say made in China. Underneathan, we make it very 773 00:43:06,280 --> 00:43:09,239 Speaker 1: easy for them, uh to sell their products here. But 774 00:43:09,360 --> 00:43:12,800 Speaker 1: our businesses, our companies have a hard time getting into China. 775 00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:14,719 Speaker 1: And if they want to locate there, they have to 776 00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:18,560 Speaker 1: partner up with the Chinese entity, and oftentimes they have 777 00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:21,759 Speaker 1: some connection to the Chinese Communist Party. So we've got 778 00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:24,040 Speaker 1: to be a lot smarter in our trade deals. And 779 00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:26,560 Speaker 1: the President has been very outspoken on that. He's made 780 00:43:26,640 --> 00:43:29,719 Speaker 1: some progress, um, but we've got a long way to 781 00:43:29,760 --> 00:43:32,359 Speaker 1: go with respect to China, and they've been eating our 782 00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:34,879 Speaker 1: lunch and a whole range of areas for far too long. 783 00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:38,879 Speaker 1: They're stealing our intellectual property. You know, we're quite good 784 00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:43,840 Speaker 1: our our tech companies are good at making complex and 785 00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:47,160 Speaker 1: and things that they can't even necessarily make over there. 786 00:43:47,320 --> 00:43:50,400 Speaker 1: But what happens is they go over they reverse engineer 787 00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:53,840 Speaker 1: this stuff, and they end up stealing our copyrights and 788 00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:57,520 Speaker 1: making the product over there cheaper because labor costs are cheaper, 789 00:43:57,520 --> 00:43:59,520 Speaker 1: and then selling them back here in the United States. 790 00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:01,120 Speaker 1: So that's the kind of thing we have to be 791 00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:04,360 Speaker 1: a lot smarter about to bring those jobs back to 792 00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:06,920 Speaker 1: this country. Congressman Steve Shavits on the line. He is 793 00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:13,200 Speaker 1: a Republican representing Ohio's first congressional district, he which is 794 00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:16,640 Speaker 1: near Cincinnati, And I was just in Ohio Congressman for 795 00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:18,040 Speaker 1: that for that debate. Did you hear about the debate? 796 00:44:19,200 --> 00:44:21,359 Speaker 1: I did hear something about a debate. I guess they 797 00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:24,080 Speaker 1: called a debate. I'm not sure if it was. Did 798 00:44:24,080 --> 00:44:26,840 Speaker 1: you watch it? Be honest, I did. I watched it 799 00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:29,680 Speaker 1: from beginning to end, and it suffered like the rest 800 00:44:29,680 --> 00:44:32,480 Speaker 1: of us, right, I'm telling you my my mom taught 801 00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:34,640 Speaker 1: me not to be rude and not to interrupt. She 802 00:44:34,680 --> 00:44:37,200 Speaker 1: also told me not to call names. Um. And there 803 00:44:37,239 --> 00:44:39,160 Speaker 1: was a lot of name calling and a lot of rudeness, 804 00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:42,160 Speaker 1: and it was on both sides, um. And it's unfortunate 805 00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:44,759 Speaker 1: because I think there's so many issues and there are 806 00:44:44,840 --> 00:44:47,840 Speaker 1: real disagreements with with both candid I don't agree with 807 00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:50,640 Speaker 1: each other on most policies, but you know, when you're 808 00:44:50,640 --> 00:44:52,759 Speaker 1: trying to talk over somebody and yell at each other 809 00:44:52,840 --> 00:44:55,520 Speaker 1: and call each other names, I think a lot of 810 00:44:55,520 --> 00:44:58,319 Speaker 1: people are really turned off by that exhibition. Well. And 811 00:44:58,560 --> 00:45:01,000 Speaker 1: the thing that I just I don't like when the 812 00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:03,960 Speaker 1: pundits over the past twenty four and forty eight hours, 813 00:45:04,080 --> 00:45:06,080 Speaker 1: what they've been saying is, oh, it's not going to 814 00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:11,040 Speaker 1: change anything. You don't watch a debate to necessarily that you. 815 00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,080 Speaker 1: I mean, you get to be informed, but you also 816 00:45:13,160 --> 00:45:15,279 Speaker 1: have a right as an American citizen to watch the 817 00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:19,040 Speaker 1: debate to say, Okay, even if the person who I 818 00:45:19,120 --> 00:45:21,560 Speaker 1: support doesn't win, I still want to know the direction 819 00:45:21,600 --> 00:45:24,680 Speaker 1: of the country that the other person, the other candidate, 820 00:45:25,000 --> 00:45:27,520 Speaker 1: is taking the direction of the country. And I don't 821 00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:30,080 Speaker 1: think that was informative at all, you know what I mean? 822 00:45:30,160 --> 00:45:34,120 Speaker 1: And yeah, I don't think it was very informative. I 823 00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:38,000 Speaker 1: think the American people were not served well in that debate, 824 00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:39,840 Speaker 1: and that goes for both sides. And I happen to 825 00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:43,279 Speaker 1: be a Republican, UM I objected to the behavior of 826 00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:47,279 Speaker 1: both candidates. There was more rudeness on one side, there 827 00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:50,080 Speaker 1: was more name calling on the other side. I hope 828 00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:53,280 Speaker 1: that in the next couple of debates, assuming they actually happen, 829 00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,640 Speaker 1: that there's a lot more respect not only for each other, 830 00:45:56,680 --> 00:45:58,560 Speaker 1: but for the American people who have to watch this 831 00:45:58,640 --> 00:46:02,279 Speaker 1: thing well. And honestly, Congressman Steve Shabbert, who's on the line, 832 00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:07,000 Speaker 1: he's a Republican representing Ohio's first congressional district, Uh, honestly, 833 00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:12,600 Speaker 1: it was. It was so toxic. I don't even know 834 00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:14,480 Speaker 1: how you would even change the rules, you know. I 835 00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:17,080 Speaker 1: I I personally think Chris Wallace did a great job. 836 00:46:17,320 --> 00:46:19,080 Speaker 1: I think he did all that he could have done 837 00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:21,719 Speaker 1: in that situation. I'm definitely not one to weigh in 838 00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:25,160 Speaker 1: on critiquing, you know, the media. It's I think there's 839 00:46:25,239 --> 00:46:28,040 Speaker 1: enough millennial reporters out there who do who do that. 840 00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:30,320 Speaker 1: But it was it was absolutely just, you know, hopefully 841 00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:33,200 Speaker 1: it's something needs to be done, uh to to to 842 00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:35,400 Speaker 1: allow people to be informed, because people have a right 843 00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:38,759 Speaker 1: to be informed. Are you a Bengals fan? Oh? Absolutely, 844 00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:45,839 Speaker 1: indeed on the wrong they could tie. That was the 845 00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:49,920 Speaker 1: worst football game I know against my Philadelphia Eagles. They 846 00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:52,440 Speaker 1: should have benched Wentz. You know, I mean, it was. 847 00:46:52,520 --> 00:46:55,800 Speaker 1: It was absolutely deplorable. I thought it was the worst 848 00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:57,680 Speaker 1: part of my week. And then I got to Cleveland 849 00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:00,319 Speaker 1: and I go through that debate. All right, Congressman Steve 850 00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:02,719 Speaker 1: schab and I really appreciate your time coming on, but listen, 851 00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:05,320 Speaker 1: I don't like the Bengals, Congressman, I don't like the Bengals. 852 00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:07,879 Speaker 1: And and after that terrible game, if you can even 853 00:47:08,120 --> 00:47:09,880 Speaker 1: can't call it a debate, you can't call that a 854 00:47:09,880 --> 00:47:15,080 Speaker 1: football game. Congressman Steve Chabant, Republican congressman representing Ohio's first District, 855 00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:19,040 Speaker 1: uh and uh. He represents a bunch of Cincinnati Bengals fans. 856 00:47:19,080 --> 00:47:22,720 Speaker 1: I guess I'm Kevin Cirelli. What a week you're listening 857 00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:23,280 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg