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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Peralt.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials.

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Speaker 2: At Sports Talk Matt and we are back after Nope,

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Speaker 2: a bad Friday. So we would have had a decent

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Speaker 2: Friday if I had just left the Astros off the parlay.

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Speaker 2: And I thought about doing that because the parlay was

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Speaker 2: like minus one forty, but I couldn't stomach a four

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Speaker 2: leg parlay moneyline parlay in which we were laying minus

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Speaker 2: one forty, so I added the Astros and that killed

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Speaker 2: the whole day Celtics.

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Speaker 1: It fell fifty seven for the Celtics.

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Speaker 2: They were a bucket shit of going over their first

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Speaker 2: half team total. I still like that bet. And then

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Speaker 2: the Savers got destroyed. I was toying with the idea

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Speaker 2: of betting the Red Wings on the puck line catching

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Speaker 2: one and a half goals because they're now eight and

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Speaker 2: three over their last eleven games on the puck line

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Speaker 2: catching one and a half goals. They destroyed the Sabers,

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Speaker 2: so that was it was. It was two dollars, so

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Speaker 2: it was way too expensive, so I went the other way,

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Speaker 2: and I was like, all right, it's only a unit.

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Speaker 2: We'll just go ahead and see if the Sabers could

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Speaker 2: win the game and actually do what they did in

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Speaker 2: the previous home game, which was a four to two win.

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Speaker 1: So didn't happen. Unfortunately, So oh and three.

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Speaker 2: Losing week unless we have a very good day here today.

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Speaker 2: The college basketball show from Wednesday wound up going two

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Speaker 2: and two, but it was slightly down because I laid

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Speaker 2: heavy juice with Iowa State last night on the money

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Speaker 2: line and that did not come in.

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Speaker 1: Iowa State lost.

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Speaker 2: Outright, I bet it though, thinking that Joshua Jefferson was

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Speaker 2: going to play. He didn't play, and they couldn't score

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Speaker 2: and being without their best player. That was a brutal

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Speaker 2: loss for Iowa State and really an unfortunate injury that

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Speaker 2: could have I mean, if Jefferson plays in that game,

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Speaker 2: and like I thought he was going to play in

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Speaker 2: that game, I thought there could have been a decent shot.

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Speaker 2: But unfortunately we don't get that right. Both futures went down.

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Speaker 2: We'll recap that and we'll track that once the tournament

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Speaker 2: is over. But Michigan State did not win. Michigan State

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Speaker 2: does not win the bracket that seven plus seven to

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Speaker 2: twenty bet goes down plus three point fifty. I think

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Speaker 2: it was on Iowa State to win. Their bracket also

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Speaker 2: went down. We still have if eight and a half

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Speaker 2: is the total add up all the final four teams,

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Speaker 2: eight and a half is still there, so cross our

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Speaker 2: fingers coming up on that. But we have a hard

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Speaker 2: rock bet of the Day play in three other wagers

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Speaker 2: to give you guys here on a Saturday. But let's

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Speaker 2: go ahead and talk about the offer that we have

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Speaker 2: six percent off Betting pros Premium. Okay, let's start in

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Speaker 2: baseball with the Boston Red Sox and their game today

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Speaker 2: up against the Cincinnati Reds. Three to nothing was the

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Speaker 2: final score on opening Day. They were off yesterday. Here's

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Speaker 2: the thing about the Red Sox offense early in this season.

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Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to score very much. Sonny

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Speaker 2: Gray had one start against the Reds last year and

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Speaker 2: he was very good in that one start. Brady Singer

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Speaker 2: was a much better pitcher at home last year than

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Speaker 2: he was on the road. He did get touched up

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Speaker 2: pretty badly in his last start in spring training, but

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Speaker 2: who knows what he was working on. We can't really

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Speaker 2: go by that, to be quite honest. It's just what

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Speaker 2: are you gonna be doing? But at home last year he

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Speaker 2: had a three point twenty nine ERA in an opposing

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Speaker 2: batting average of two sixteen. He only gave up thirty

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Speaker 2: three earned runs in ninety and a third innings worth

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Speaker 2: of work. That's pretty good. And this is Sonny Gray's

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Speaker 2: first start with his new team with the Red Sox,

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Speaker 2: so you know he's gonna want to get off to

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Speaker 2: a good start. He is the number two pitcher for

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Speaker 2: the Red Sox and even though he went you know,

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Speaker 2: fourteen and eight with a four point two eight era

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Speaker 2: later in the year, I think Sonny Gray could get

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Speaker 2: touched up. And yes, the Reds offense at home is

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Speaker 2: much better than on the road. But I you just

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Speaker 2: don't think the Red Sox score. I think Sony Freddy

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Speaker 2: Gray pitch is well enough to get into the fifth

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Speaker 2: inning and the Red Sox bullpen. I mean, Whitlock is

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Speaker 2: very talented day off yesterday, he should be available today

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Speaker 2: for the Red Sox in a role of this. Chapman

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Speaker 2: as well should be available. So your big arms in

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Speaker 2: the pen, your high leverage arms are still available. I

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Speaker 2: think we come in here. I think we go ahead

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Speaker 2: and play the under under eight minus one twenty for

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Speaker 2: the Red Sox at the Reds for one point two units.

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Speaker 2: Now let's go to the UFC Fight Night card tonight

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Speaker 2: in Seattle for Israel Adasania up against Joe Pifer. Now,

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Speaker 2: look at this is a fight where for Feiffer, I

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Speaker 2: think this is a huge step up in competition. For Adasanya,

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Speaker 2: it is somewhat of a do or die moment for him.

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Speaker 2: He did not look good on the scale yesterday.

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Speaker 1: I will give you.

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Speaker 2: That didn't look good, made weight, didn't look good. Adasagnja

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Speaker 2: has been of late. He lost his last fight. He

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Speaker 2: lost his last title fight. He lost the title fight

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Speaker 2: before that against Sean Strickland he lost. He beat Alex Pereira.

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Speaker 2: After he lost to Alex Pereira. This has been some

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Speaker 2: pretty high level competition for Israel out of Sonya, but

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Speaker 2: he has lost four of his last five fights.

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Speaker 1: Kind of do or die for him.

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Speaker 2: Joe Piper is a pretty much unknown type of fighter

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Speaker 2: in term of this step up. Mark Andre Burriolt probably

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Speaker 2: the best. Jack Hermanson, those probably the two best opponents

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Speaker 2: he's had. He lost to her Manson, he lost. He

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Speaker 2: beat Mark Andre Barriolt knocked him out in the first round.

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Speaker 2: He got a decision against Kelvin Gastolim Mega Metoff his

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Speaker 2: last opponent. He choked him out in the second round.

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Speaker 2: But the total for this fight is three and a half.

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Speaker 2: And here is the theory. Most often when it comes

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Speaker 2: to at Asanya, he's perfectly comfortable winning on the cards

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Speaker 2: if he needs to, if he's got to dance, and

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Speaker 2: if he's got to move. His average fight time is

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Speaker 2: seventeen minutes and thirty five seconds. For that reason, I

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Speaker 2: could very easily see this fight going to the cards.

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Speaker 2: Maybe this fight stays on the feet, but maybe it

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Speaker 2: goes to the ground. I think that, you know, Feifer

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Speaker 2: probably will look to take at Asianna down, but he

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Speaker 2: averages one point two to three takedowns per every fifteen

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Speaker 2: minutes in the octagon. Takedown defense from ad Asannia seventy

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Speaker 2: six percent is pretty good. I don't think he'll be

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Speaker 2: taken down easily, but I think he'll stay away from

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Speaker 2: damage and I think he'll just try to win this

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Speaker 2: fight without having to put himself into harm's way. Sure,

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Speaker 2: maybe he gets a spectacular knockout and everyone's talking about

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Speaker 2: at Asania the next day. But I think the best

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Speaker 2: way to approach this fight is just to bet the

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Speaker 2: over three and a half rounds. That means we got

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Speaker 2: to go three into the fourth round, halfway into the

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Speaker 2: fourth round, so most likely we go all the way

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Speaker 2: to the cards. So inside distance no sorry, yes, sorry, no,

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Speaker 2: it will not be inside the distance. It'll go the

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Speaker 2: full five rounds. So it's the main event, it's in Seattle.

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Speaker 2: I just don't think Adasagnya puts himself into a position

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Speaker 2: where he could get hurt, and I don't think he's

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Speaker 2: gonna really get after it aggressively on offense. I think

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Speaker 2: the over is the best play in the fight over

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Speaker 2: three and a half rounds with Israel, Ali, Sonia and

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Speaker 2: Joe Fighter going up in the main event of UFC

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Speaker 2: Fight Night for Seattle. That's at minus one point fifteen

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Speaker 2: for Adasaannya's return to the octagon for the first time

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Speaker 2: in a year. Two basketball plays left to go. Let's

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Speaker 2: talk about Arizona. Look, Arizona to me is the best

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Speaker 2: team left in this tournament. I have not been that

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Speaker 2: big of a fan of Perdue. Perdue did not cover

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Speaker 2: in their last game against Texas. They were laying eight

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Speaker 2: and a half points. They won on a tip in

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Speaker 2: we were on Texas. I'm going to continue to fade

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Speaker 2: Perdue here. I just don't love them. A twenty one point,

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Speaker 2: a twelve point in a thirty four point victory for

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Speaker 2: Arizona so far in this tournament, taking apart Arkansas in

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Speaker 2: their last game, blowing them out as eight and a

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Speaker 2: half point favorites. This number now is six for Arizona.

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Speaker 2: I think it's going to be all Wildcats. I think

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Speaker 2: that there is a lot to like here, four consecutive

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Speaker 2: covers seven and three over their last ten, fourteen and

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Speaker 2: six away from home, and yes, Perdue is twelve and nine.

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Speaker 2: But the size of Purdue, oftentimes they're just more physically

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Speaker 2: dominant than their opponent. That's not happening tonight against Arizona. Sorry,

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Speaker 2: not this team. This Arizona team is big, strong and physical,

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Speaker 2: and I think the guard play for Arizona also will

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Speaker 2: be a big difference here.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay it.

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Speaker 2: I'll lay the six points Arizona minus six up against

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Speaker 2: Perdue here. Arizona punches their ticket to the final four here,

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Speaker 2: and they get in as a one seed. That's good

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Speaker 2: news for our under eight and a half for the

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Speaker 2: total seeds of the four teams, we're going under. Sorry,

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Speaker 2: we're playing minus six for Arizona, So three plays before

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Speaker 2: the hard Rock Bet of the Day Red Sox under

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Speaker 2: against the Reds under eight Arizona minus six and over

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Speaker 2: three and a half rounds in the main event of

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Speaker 2: UFC Seattle coming up here for tonight the hard Rock

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Speaker 2: Bet of the Day. In hard Rock, being the title

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Speaker 2: And if you get a heart stopper, a zero on

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Speaker 2: the clock, if you get a buzzer beater that pays

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Speaker 2: dollars bonus bet if that happens for the team that

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Speaker 2: you bet to win or to cover and a buzzer beater.

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Speaker 1: Buzzer Beater, don't sit on the bench.

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Speaker 2: Download hardrock Bet app today and let's get the party started.

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Speaker 2: I am done questioning Ben McCollum and Iowa.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So if Iowa wins this game, Iowa will.

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Speaker 2: Automatically kill our bet because they will be in the

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Speaker 2: final four and our under eight and a half is

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Speaker 2: dead because Iowa is a nine seed.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So this is a little bit of a hedge, but

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Speaker 2: it's also a good play because I think Iowa is

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Speaker 2: live here in this game.

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Speaker 1: So this These two teams played.

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Speaker 2: Back earlier in the year in Iowa City, but the

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Speaker 2: Hawkeys were sick with the flu. Their team was not

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Speaker 2: one hundred percent for that game. And Illinois walked into

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Speaker 2: Carver Hawkeye and they were favored by six and a half,

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Speaker 2: sorry by one and a half, and they won the

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Speaker 2: game by six. Three straight wins, three straight covers for

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Speaker 2: both teams. Iowa's now twenty one and fifteen against the

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Speaker 2: number illinoi is twenty and fourteen against the number.

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Speaker 1: On the road.

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Speaker 2: Away from home, Iowa is ten and eight ats eleven

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Speaker 2: and seven for Illinois. This is Brad Underwood. These are

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Speaker 2: two Big ten teams. I think it's about tempo, and

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Speaker 2: I think it's really about the style of play. Whoever

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Speaker 2: imposes their will on this game, it could very well

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Speaker 2: be a very good bet on the under. But one

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Speaker 2: thirty seven and a half an Elite eight game, seems

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Speaker 2: to be stupid low, just way too low.

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Speaker 1: But let's say that's right.

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Speaker 2: Let's say we're gonna be run around one thirty, one,

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Speaker 2: thirty five, one forty, somewhere in that range. You take

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Speaker 2: the dog in those situations, when points are at a premium,

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Speaker 2: you take the dog. Hard rock bet of the day.

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Speaker 2: Ben McCollum continues to be a magician in tournament setting.

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Speaker 2: I think he's got Iowa in the game late. Illinois

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Speaker 2: most likely wins, but I think Iowa covers it. We're

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Speaker 2: gonna go ahead and lay this, sorry, and take the

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Speaker 2: seven points Iowa plus seven and against Illinois. The hard

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Speaker 2: rock bet of the day now is twenty one and

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Speaker 2: seventeen and one. After the loss with Iowa State that

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Speaker 2: we took on the money line for Iowa State last night,

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Speaker 2: now we're taking Iowa plus seven up against Illinois.

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Speaker 1: Mine is Matt Parol.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice