1 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 1: Welcome them to the Favorites the podcast from the Volume 2 00:00:12,160 --> 00:00:16,439 Speaker 1: Podcast Network. I am Chad moment. It's Thursday, which means 3 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 1: it is time to narrow down the NFL board. Me 4 00:00:22,680 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 1: and my bff, my companion, my compadre Professional Better Simon Hunter. 5 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:30,040 Speaker 1: That's what we're going to do. We're trying to narrow 6 00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:33,840 Speaker 1: down the board to get to the five, six, seven 7 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:36,720 Speaker 1: picks that we love. Come Sunday morning, those will be 8 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 1: our five best. We're going to put them in the 9 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 1: free award winning Action Network app. Simon will also share 10 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: them on Twitter. Simon, you are a professional. Better. Action 11 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:49,960 Speaker 1: Network is a company that serves people interested in sports 12 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 1: betting with content, data, research picks. As I said, download 13 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 1: a free award winning Action Network app. Such an interesting week, Simon, 14 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:01,560 Speaker 1: how are you buddy? Good buddy? Yeah, this is an 15 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:03,319 Speaker 1: ugly week, but it's one of those weeks I kind 16 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 1: of love where I opened up my you know, my 17 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 1: different apps Someday night I saw these lines and I 18 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 1: was like, uh, and now here we're on Thursday. I'm 19 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:13,479 Speaker 1: just like, man, I kind of love these games. So 20 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: that's usually how it goes with these week five weeks 21 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 1: six kind of bets. Yeah, I've been thinking the same thing, 22 00:01:19,120 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: like Sunday night, Monday morning, I didn't like anything, and 23 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 1: now all of a sudden, I'm seeing opportunities galore. I 24 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:26,800 Speaker 1: want to remind people we've been talking about this book 25 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: It's Better to Be Feared on the podcast for the 26 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 1: past few months. Seth Wickersham wrote, it's about the Patriots dynasty, 27 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:36,639 Speaker 1: Brady Belichick craft. I'm saying this as a seven time author, 28 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:41,360 Speaker 1: four time bestseller. Chad Melman wrote a book It's as 29 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 1: good a sports book as you were going to read. 30 00:01:43,400 --> 00:01:45,120 Speaker 1: We had Seth in the podcast. He's going to come 31 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:46,880 Speaker 1: up later in the show. We're going to talk about 32 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: it signon, and I spoke to him what was really 33 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 1: interesting to me and why I think Betters would be 34 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: interested in this. In the book, he talks a lot 35 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 1: about mental strength, mental training, discipline, all the things that 36 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 1: Tom Brady has built his career on. I think there's 37 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: some credible opportunity to hear about that. We got a 38 00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 1: lot to discuss, Like we said, that board is turning 39 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 1: our way. We had six, seven, eight games that we 40 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 1: liked on Thursday. We will get to the big balls 41 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: bet of the week. We will get to a money 42 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:23,079 Speaker 1: line parlay the foxhole game from this past week where 43 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 1: we're jumping into the foxhole. Miami is a double digit dogs. 44 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 1: We will discuss that in more depth. Our Simon says 45 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 1: game was the Giants meeting. Just go bet it right away. 46 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:33,639 Speaker 1: That line has already moved from seven and a half 47 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:35,919 Speaker 1: down to seven. Still opportunity. We're going to talk about 48 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:37,959 Speaker 1: that too, and told the people heading us up site 49 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:39,640 Speaker 1: they're not getting the best of the number because they 50 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,360 Speaker 1: don't listen to the show until Saturday. Go to the 51 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:46,080 Speaker 1: favorite podcast, subscribe and download on Tuesdays. What can we 52 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:48,600 Speaker 1: do people, We're giving these numbers out on Tuesday. Subscribe 53 00:02:48,600 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 1: to the show and download the show on Tuesday. Man, 54 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: before we get to anything else, we gotta do sharp calls. Hello, 55 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: I'm there, I'm talking Simon. Please tell us the calls 56 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 1: you received this week from your professional betting buddies and 57 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 1: how they responded to some of what we discussed on Tuesday. 58 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 1: A lot of shit talking. They hate me that I 59 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 1: didn't say I love the Bengals. Apparently this has to 60 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:26,679 Speaker 1: be one of our five chat I say a good 61 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:28,919 Speaker 1: A good ass kicking for me is maybe three or 62 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:30,520 Speaker 1: four pros are calling me up and tell me I'm 63 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 1: an idiot. I had ten ten different ones hit me 64 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 1: up either email, phone, call, or text tell me I'm 65 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:39,080 Speaker 1: an amateur, that I'm a coward, that I said I 66 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 1: need to Bengals three and a half. I didn't give 67 00:03:40,640 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 1: out Bengals out of three, Simon Hunter, professional coward. That's 68 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 1: shaping up to be to me, the biggest pros VERSU 69 00:03:48,200 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 1: Show's game. The pros. I love this number. That's why 70 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 1: it's not going back to the three and a half. 71 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 1: That's why all the money in the world's coming in 72 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:57,480 Speaker 1: on Green Bay and it's not moving. It's just sitting 73 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:00,960 Speaker 1: there at three. So this this, this ain't gonna be 74 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 1: a choice. Chad. I think we have to put it 75 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: in just because my honor is being put on the line. 76 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 1: And the second one was you were right. It's hard 77 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 1: for me to say that, Chad, but the pros were 78 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 1: with you on the Chargers. Chad Millman got something right. 79 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 1: They hated my Browns pick. They think Baker was hurt. 80 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:22,960 Speaker 1: Came out today. Baker is hurt pretty much. Gave me 81 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 1: a good ass kick in saying that. How did I 82 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 1: not know that? How did I not reach out the sources. 83 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:30,359 Speaker 1: I'm kind of missing one here on the charges, but 84 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:32,040 Speaker 1: I just thought it was a fishy line. That was 85 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 1: the only reason I was so scared of it. But yeah, 86 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:37,120 Speaker 1: now we've had a point now where Chargers might be 87 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,440 Speaker 1: one of our five. But I need to hear more 88 00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:41,560 Speaker 1: and learn more about this Baker injury because if this 89 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 1: is for real and he's going against that defense of 90 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:46,720 Speaker 1: the Chargers, yeah, I have no doubt. Me and Chat 91 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 1: are gonna love this comes Unda, Oh my god, dude, 92 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:51,840 Speaker 1: so we're gonna let's dig in deeper. I had come 93 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 1: around to the Browns and was all over the Bengals 94 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 1: with you even at three, So I'm glad to see 95 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:59,720 Speaker 1: everybody's still thinking about it that way. Let's first talk 96 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 1: about the Texans and the Patriots. That number right now, 97 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 1: Texans plus nine and a half. Yeah, so ugly. But look, 98 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:12,840 Speaker 1: here's a system for you, right are you ready? Here's something. 99 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 1: I know you love the systems, Simon, so I'm going 100 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:17,599 Speaker 1: to give you one. Here's a system right now. Since 101 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:22,680 Speaker 1: two thousand and three NFL underdogs coming off of three 102 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 1: straight losses are covering at a fifty eight percent rate. 103 00:05:28,080 --> 00:05:30,719 Speaker 1: It's a sample size of well north of three hundred 104 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 1: games covers the Texans, Dolphins, Eagles this week, and we 105 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:38,679 Speaker 1: like it. For the Texans for sure, home doog. Only 106 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:42,720 Speaker 1: one offensive lineman starter is practicing right now. For the Patriots, 107 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:46,600 Speaker 1: they have injuries across the board. Again, they sold out 108 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 1: completely to beat that Tom Brady in that game. I know, people, 109 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:53,240 Speaker 1: I see the quarterback of Houston MLS is not that good. 110 00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:55,840 Speaker 1: The kids terrible. He's not a starter. This is more 111 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:59,479 Speaker 1: a bet on Houston's defense and them having home field advantage, 112 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 1: where I know historically Belichick has owned the Houston team, 113 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 1: but that was with Brady. This is a rookie quarterback 114 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 1: on the road going against a team that's not as 115 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:10,840 Speaker 1: terrible as they've looked the last couple of weeks. How 116 00:06:10,839 --> 00:06:12,719 Speaker 1: can we not chat? How can we not take this 117 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 1: big of a number again? If this was less than 118 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 1: a touchdown, maybe I'd hesitate about it, But no crazy value. 119 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 1: This is going to be in my money line, parlay 120 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:23,720 Speaker 1: my round, Robin. This is gross, it's ugly. You love 121 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:25,680 Speaker 1: to bet these ones because you get the right opportunity. 122 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:27,640 Speaker 1: It's a rookie on the road that's favored by more 123 00:06:27,680 --> 00:06:30,919 Speaker 1: than a touchdown. You just Historically, you need to fade 124 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 1: these positions. So nothing's Shane still love Houston. Feel them 125 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:37,279 Speaker 1: better about it now that the Patriots have all these 126 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: injuries to their offensive line. Yeah, Patriots have a lot 127 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:44,600 Speaker 1: of offensive line injuries. Professional betters especially had been unpacking 128 00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 1: the Bucks game seeing a lot more holes in that 129 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:51,680 Speaker 1: offense than what was revealed during the game. You wash 130 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 1: away some of the hype. You get back to reality 131 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 1: that it's Mac Jones with a banged up offensive line, 132 00:06:57,000 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 1: and I think that people can't run the ball either. Yeah, 133 00:06:59,520 --> 00:07:02,200 Speaker 1: that's a dread flag. Yeah, so people really strut to 134 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:04,800 Speaker 1: like it. I also feel like we're seeing right now, 135 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: Sean Payton, Mike Tomlin, Bill Belichick. They have historically been 136 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:13,800 Speaker 1: these guys who break the rules. Right. You want to 137 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: back Sean Payton off of a loss. You want to 138 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: back Mike Tomlin in a raw rod Mike Tomlin spot. 139 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 1: You want to back Bill Belichick in these huge road 140 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 1: favorite spots. Make the commitment towards a championship, that's what 141 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 1: our goal is eight hundred and sixty third time. But 142 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 1: they're anomalies because those guys also had Drew Brees since 143 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 1: two thousand and six, Ben Roethlisberger for the entirety of 144 00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:43,520 Speaker 1: his career. They had Tom Brady since two thousand and one, 145 00:07:43,960 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 1: So the numbers are all going to be skewed. So 146 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 1: now we're really going to find out this year. Are 147 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:50,760 Speaker 1: these numbers because of the coaches in their scheme or 148 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 1: were they just riding the tale of a long tale 149 00:07:53,960 --> 00:07:56,120 Speaker 1: of these quarterbacks who put them in really good spots 150 00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 1: in otherwise untenable positions for most coaches and most quarterbacks. 151 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:01,760 Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna be trying to take advantage of 152 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 1: all these situations where people are gonna be betting on 153 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:06,200 Speaker 1: old trends and things they used to see, and we're 154 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:09,080 Speaker 1: hopefully going to catch them, you know, in these positions 155 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 1: where it's like, no, this number for this Patriots Houston 156 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 1: game should be seven, six and a half, it's eight 157 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 1: and a half. Nine because the respect of Belichick and 158 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 1: what he's done historically against rookie quarterbacks. But man's that's 159 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:25,080 Speaker 1: a big, big number to back Mac Jones and no 160 00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: run game. Yeah, all right. Well, the other game that 161 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 1: I think we're not have to talk about for the 162 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:33,680 Speaker 1: money line and plays into this conversation, the Dolphins against 163 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:37,440 Speaker 1: the Buccaneers Dolphins plus ten. We're gonna want to parlay 164 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: the Dolphins in the Texans. I know it's gross. Give 165 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: me the odds on parlaying right now, the Dolphins and 166 00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 1: the Texans on the money line, it was twenty. It 167 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:47,480 Speaker 1: was like twenty to one to their money line. Parlay again, 168 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:49,760 Speaker 1: we're gonna go. We're gonna go over a round robin 169 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:51,520 Speaker 1: this week. Those two are definitely gonna be in there. 170 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 1: I just just situational plays like you just talked about. 171 00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:58,480 Speaker 1: We have Miami coming off three straight losses. I mean, 172 00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:02,200 Speaker 1: say what you want about per set against these cornerbacks, 173 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 1: he might he might look like an All star. I mean, 174 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 1: this is this is a bad group right now for 175 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. So ten points. Miami's defense is way better. 176 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:17,080 Speaker 1: They're getting credit for Brady doesn't have Gronk. I feel 177 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 1: like people don't get how big of a deal that is. 178 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 1: We saw it affect him in the red zone. They 179 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:22,480 Speaker 1: could not finish these drives last week. If we have 180 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 1: Xavier Howard on Mike Evans or you know, Godwin. I 181 00:09:26,480 --> 00:09:28,560 Speaker 1: just feel like there's enough pieces for this. Miami deame 182 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 1: to keep us close. Where again, I had this power 183 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:33,439 Speaker 1: rate at seven and a half. It opened at ten 184 00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:35,160 Speaker 1: and a half eleven, I thought I was getting three 185 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:37,400 Speaker 1: points of value that you know, to me, that's huge. 186 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 1: So yeah, I've been on Miami. Gonna keep betting him. 187 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:42,240 Speaker 1: I'll take him down to eight and a half at 188 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:44,760 Speaker 1: this point. Of course, Chad, we're gonna have their money 189 00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:47,120 Speaker 1: line a couple of bets because again, this is a 190 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 1: last possession kind of game. We respect the hell out 191 00:09:50,120 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 1: of time Brady in the Buccaneers, but we don't respect 192 00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:55,240 Speaker 1: that defense. And we see the pieces that Miami has 193 00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:57,080 Speaker 1: an offense. They could get Wattle right in this game, 194 00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:59,079 Speaker 1: they get Davante Parker right in this game. This is 195 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:02,199 Speaker 1: just a nice match for this Miami team. So give 196 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:04,720 Speaker 1: me those points. Chat We love it it, fellas. I 197 00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 1: am sick of it. Okay, I can't stand much more 198 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:11,960 Speaker 1: of this. It's a joke. It's a joke. Love it, 199 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 1: love it. I am feeling so confident putting both the 200 00:10:14,840 --> 00:10:17,440 Speaker 1: Texans and the Dolphins in our final five, and that's 201 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:20,360 Speaker 1: a recipe for disaster, truly, it truly is. That's why 202 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:22,160 Speaker 1: I like, I'm happy now if we do end up 203 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:23,719 Speaker 1: with the Chargers in there, because least we'll have one 204 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 1: smart favorite in there. And by the way, we're gonna 205 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 1: end up with the Giants, Browns, Texans, Dolphins, and Bengals. 206 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:32,880 Speaker 1: I guarantee that's what we're going to end up. I mean, 207 00:10:32,920 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: we should just put it out there now. Bengals is 208 00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 1: that's our big ball is better the week big balls 209 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:42,640 Speaker 1: better the week. We're going in order. You have a 210 00:10:42,640 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 1: piece of paper, Yeah, I got all on a piece 211 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 1: of paper right here. Listen to me. My Thursday mornings 212 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:52,720 Speaker 1: have become my favorite morning of the week because it's 213 00:10:52,760 --> 00:10:55,680 Speaker 1: not a morning where I work out. I've I've got 214 00:10:55,720 --> 00:10:59,280 Speaker 1: my workouts to Monday, Wednesday and Friday. So I and 215 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 1: I have blocked out my calendar. I have blocked out 216 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 1: eight am to ten am on my calendar, and it 217 00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 1: just says pod prep all I'm doing reading, listening to 218 00:11:10,400 --> 00:11:13,640 Speaker 1: podcasts like the Action Network podcast with Raybond and Stucky, 219 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:18,320 Speaker 1: which I love, reading Brandon Anderson's column on Action network 220 00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 1: dot com about his leans for every game, just sort 221 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 1: of getting in the headspace so I can start to 222 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:27,840 Speaker 1: refine and be ready for this podcast and also get 223 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 1: ready for talking to her later on on the Volume 224 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: podcast with him. I get notes, I get organized, I've 225 00:11:33,520 --> 00:11:35,720 Speaker 1: got things in the Google doc I've got things on paper. 226 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 1: It's my favorite. It's my favorite. Two hours a week 227 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 1: sounds amazing. It is so much fun. Here's a game 228 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:44,440 Speaker 1: that we talked a lot about a lot of action 229 00:11:44,520 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 1: going the other way, and I'm wondering if you're still 230 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 1: on the right side here. You loved Carolina minus three 231 00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 1: and a half. You know that sometimes I can be 232 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 1: influenced by Raybon and Stucky on their podcast. They've so 233 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 1: loved the goals in this spot for every single for 234 00:12:03,920 --> 00:12:07,360 Speaker 1: for on the field, for systems, for precedent, for Jalen Hurts, 235 00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 1: for matchups. Do you still love the Panthers? They probably 236 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:12,760 Speaker 1: just our number of nerds and they just saw, you 237 00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 1: know what, Hurts is unbelievable against the blitz Carolina Panthers, 238 00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 1: the highest blitzing team, about exactly what it was. No, 239 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:24,600 Speaker 1: So like I saw that number two. Um, yeah, that's 240 00:12:25,679 --> 00:12:28,840 Speaker 1: that's great. But that's like saying that, Okay, the Carolina 241 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 1: coach that coaches their defense is an idiot and he 242 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:32,679 Speaker 1: can't look at the same data that all of us 243 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 1: nerds can pull up online and see. So okay, that's 244 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:39,959 Speaker 1: that's a fair reason to back them mine more fading 245 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 1: the Eagles here is just if you believe in Carolina, 246 00:12:43,360 --> 00:12:45,840 Speaker 1: you think they're a good team. They bounce back after 247 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 1: that loss. The Eagles a team we don't think that's good, 248 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:51,760 Speaker 1: that has major holes on their defense. Again, I think 249 00:12:51,800 --> 00:12:53,960 Speaker 1: Hurts is a good quarterback. We talked. I bet him 250 00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 1: to win MVB just because I saw him putting up 251 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 1: these fantasy numbers. The guy he can put up crazy 252 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:02,440 Speaker 1: numbers every week. This defense has major issues on this 253 00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:04,960 Speaker 1: Eagles team. Dallas, I think they gave up forty one 254 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:07,080 Speaker 1: and then they just gave up forty again last week 255 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:11,680 Speaker 1: to Kansas City. Scary, scary, scary scary. So I'm fine, 256 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:13,199 Speaker 1: I'm not putting it as one of our best five, 257 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 1: but I will still be back in the Panthers. Just 258 00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:19,000 Speaker 1: feels like a professional trap for the Eagles this week, 259 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 1: just like I think it opened up four and a 260 00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:22,439 Speaker 1: half five and now it's only down to three and 261 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:24,560 Speaker 1: a half. So the pro money is coming heavy on 262 00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:28,840 Speaker 1: it a little bit like they're overlooking the major issues 263 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:31,040 Speaker 1: on this Eagles team. So I can't hate it because 264 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:33,160 Speaker 1: they literally just played Dallas and then they just played 265 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:36,600 Speaker 1: since Kansas City Chiefs so of course you would see 266 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 1: the Eagles bouncing back here. This is just a bet 267 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 1: on Carolina team. They played great at home, and I 268 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 1: like them in this position, so I'm still still been 269 00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:45,680 Speaker 1: in Carolina. All right, this is a past for me. 270 00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:48,120 Speaker 1: This cannot be in our final five. I'm much more 271 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:52,040 Speaker 1: comfortable going with teams that haven't won any games and 272 00:13:52,400 --> 00:13:56,720 Speaker 1: have unproven quarterbacks and not very good coaches than going 273 00:13:56,720 --> 00:13:58,560 Speaker 1: with a team that I actually think could end up 274 00:13:58,880 --> 00:14:01,439 Speaker 1: representing the NFC in this Super Bowl, in the Carolina Panthers. 275 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 1: So let me make that decision. Let me be that rational. Yeah, 276 00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:06,080 Speaker 1: I won't fight you on You know, I love dogs, 277 00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 1: so anytime we pass on a favorite, I'm fine with it. 278 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:16,240 Speaker 1: All right, let's get too big balls better the week. 279 00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 1: I'm taking the Bengals plus three against the Packers. Everything 280 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:24,800 Speaker 1: lines up here. You're getting calls from your buddies saying 281 00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 1: you're a coward for not taking the Bengals at three 282 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 1: and saying you gotta wait to get him at three 283 00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: and a half. We got eighty one percent of the 284 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 1: action coming in on the Packers right now. This is 285 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 1: telling us every system, every matchup is saying take Joe Burrow. 286 00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:47,000 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, who says I want the ball in my 287 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:51,080 Speaker 1: hands against the Patters. Secondary is now without Jager Alexander, 288 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 1: who's the only guy who's really keeping that thing together. 289 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 1: I think the Bengals going the money line parly. I 290 00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 1: don't know what the thing. I'm just terrified of this matchup. 291 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:01,160 Speaker 1: I love the angles, I love the number. Like we 292 00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:03,680 Speaker 1: talked about, I wanted three and a half. Them calling 293 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:05,800 Speaker 1: me a coward, that's putting it nicely. It was much 294 00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:08,440 Speaker 1: harsher than that. They wanted to check my credentials at 295 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 1: the door. It was kind of one of those calls, Um, 296 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 1: what did you say? It's my nerves, sir. I just 297 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:18,120 Speaker 1: can't stand anymore. Yeah, you're just a goddamn color. I 298 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:21,000 Speaker 1: won't have something to pitches. We're afraid to fight staking 299 00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:26,840 Speaker 1: up this place of honor. Yeah, we love we love 300 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 1: this number. It's a home dog. I had this weird 301 00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:33,440 Speaker 1: view of the Bengals that it's skewed because of Zach Taylor. 302 00:15:33,520 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 1: I just do not like Zach Taylor. We talked about 303 00:15:35,520 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 1: that coming into the year. Jogo Burrow looks like the 304 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:41,480 Speaker 1: saving grace of that team. We just talked about all 305 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:45,320 Speaker 1: the injuries the Packers after that defense, I have faith 306 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:47,280 Speaker 1: that if this guy has the ball and all we 307 00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 1: need is him to drive the field, kick a field 308 00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:51,800 Speaker 1: will either win it or at least give us the push. 309 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: I like it. I just it's a smart number taking 310 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 1: this plus three. Maybe we'll see it this year with 311 00:15:57,200 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 1: green Bay that you know, they're a better at home 312 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,240 Speaker 1: then on the road kind of team. And we saw 313 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:04,440 Speaker 1: them play a really close game with the forty nine ers. 314 00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:06,360 Speaker 1: Forty nine ers now looking like they might be that 315 00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:09,480 Speaker 1: good of a team. Same with that Saints game, but 316 00:16:09,560 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 1: that was that was glaring. They literally got blown up 317 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 1: of the Saints weak one. Then the following week Detroit 318 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 1: was beating them at halftime and then fell apart in 319 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 1: the second half. So again there's a bunch of little 320 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 1: red flags here with this green Bay team. And I 321 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:23,520 Speaker 1: have no issue back in this Bengals team at home 322 00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:26,000 Speaker 1: and you know at halftime, mean you were down twenty 323 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 1: four to ten to Green Bay, and we just take 324 00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:29,800 Speaker 1: a service like God, damn it, Chad, why do we 325 00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:31,640 Speaker 1: do that to ourselves? But you know what, we're not 326 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,360 Speaker 1: going to say that. You know, why tell me? Because 327 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:37,440 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow's magic and he's going to come back. Then 328 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 1: it's just a pro number. Like I just feel like 329 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:41,840 Speaker 1: this is a smart bet. This is one of these 330 00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:44,520 Speaker 1: you make year and year out and you're gonna hit 331 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:47,000 Speaker 1: it a higher clip than sixty percent. So got no 332 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 1: problem making this our big balls. But of the week 333 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:52,880 Speaker 1: me neither. I'm excited about it. Here's another one, really 334 00:16:52,880 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 1: interesting Saints Washington football team. We talked about this the 335 00:16:56,280 --> 00:17:00,680 Speaker 1: other day. Game opened it pick immediately the Saints got 336 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:03,120 Speaker 1: bet up. We said we liked the Washington football team 337 00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 1: a plus one and a half. It is now at 338 00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:08,159 Speaker 1: two in a lot of places. The lines moved up. 339 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:11,680 Speaker 1: We're forty eight hours later. Have we reconsidered our position, 340 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:14,240 Speaker 1: because there's a lot of things about the Saints and 341 00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 1: the Saints defense that make me think maybe we're spending 342 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:22,959 Speaker 1: too much time thinking about Jameis Winston and what he 343 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 1: can do to fuck up a bet, and not enough 344 00:17:25,600 --> 00:17:29,719 Speaker 1: about like you said, Sean Payton, like coaches are pretty smart. 345 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:33,000 Speaker 1: Sean Payton is not letting Jamis Winston lose the game. 346 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:35,840 Speaker 1: He is putting the ball in Taysom Hill's hand inside 347 00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:40,159 Speaker 1: the red zone. Their defense is scary good. Washington football 348 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:43,240 Speaker 1: team's defense is twenty ninth in the league and much much, much, 349 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:46,120 Speaker 1: much much much worse than we thought. And Taylor heiniky. 350 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:48,040 Speaker 1: We don't know what he is yet. Is he a 351 00:17:48,240 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 1: rocket ship Kurt Warner undiscovered gem or is he like 352 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:58,159 Speaker 1: Ryan Fitzpatrick? You know, magic moments mixed with crazy turnovers. 353 00:17:58,520 --> 00:18:01,040 Speaker 1: Now do you think Daniel Jones is a good quarterback 354 00:18:01,080 --> 00:18:04,560 Speaker 1: at all? Chad? I think he's mediocre. I think he's mediocre, 355 00:18:04,600 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 1: and it has moments, and I would still bet him 356 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:09,880 Speaker 1: on the road, and I wouldn't mind putting in our five. 357 00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:11,399 Speaker 1: And we're gonna talk about that, but I know the 358 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 1: comparison you're gonna make. Go ahead. No, My big point 359 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,280 Speaker 1: is that this Saints team that's supposed to be good, 360 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 1: they just gave up the most passing yards last week 361 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:21,080 Speaker 1: to the one Daniel Jones. So he had I think 362 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 1: four undred yards passing last week against the Saints defense. 363 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:27,600 Speaker 1: Something's going on there. They got issues the fact that 364 00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:30,280 Speaker 1: they didn't get up at home in that game after 365 00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:33,000 Speaker 1: the hurricane, like that was our home opener, and they 366 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:37,439 Speaker 1: let the Giants come back ended up beating them in overtime. Scary, scary, 367 00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 1: scary with the Saints team I guess you're right. Maybe 368 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,600 Speaker 1: I won't be putting too much on this Washington team 369 00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 1: at plus two, but I guarantee this is gonna be 370 00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:46,880 Speaker 1: a lot of a lot of teaser to love. This 371 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 1: is a great number to tease up. So give me 372 00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:51,320 Speaker 1: the six points, get it up to eight. This is 373 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 1: this is great. I'm happy to take Washington this position. 374 00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:56,600 Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm fine staying away from it. Were way 375 00:18:56,640 --> 00:18:59,520 Speaker 1: too many questions Washington front four. They just have not 376 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:01,840 Speaker 1: gotten home home. They have not been the disruptors they 377 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:05,480 Speaker 1: were last year. You got to have major balls Betton 378 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:08,440 Speaker 1: Ben Winston on the road here after what we saw 379 00:19:08,520 --> 00:19:10,880 Speaker 1: last week where he got replaced by Taysom Hill. So 380 00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:14,120 Speaker 1: I'm cool in my position in Washington, but yeah, as 381 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 1: our best five. Now I've moved this out of probably 382 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:19,479 Speaker 1: my top ten of bets on making this weekend. I agree, 383 00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:23,399 Speaker 1: it's not it's it's it's an ugly, ugly game. Yeah, ugly. 384 00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:26,320 Speaker 1: Like I'm so much more comfortable betting ugly with the 385 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,480 Speaker 1: Bengals and Joe Burrow than I am betting ugly with 386 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:34,520 Speaker 1: Taylor Heinike or Jameis Winston. That's fair. I'm more comfortable 387 00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:40,399 Speaker 1: speaking of betting ugly with Daniel Jones at plus seven 388 00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 1: on the road against the Cowboys in an overinflated line. 389 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:47,399 Speaker 1: I'm putting that in our top five. I'm getting like 390 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:50,680 Speaker 1: Dejabu flashbacks and then losing by ten to Dallas, and 391 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:52,679 Speaker 1: I needed Danny Jones to drive the field to give 392 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:54,440 Speaker 1: me a field goal and he couldn't do it. Because 393 00:19:54,480 --> 00:19:57,240 Speaker 1: it's Daniel Jones. He turned back into a pumpkin. But 394 00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,280 Speaker 1: still still betting. It's still taking the seven. Had to 395 00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:03,480 Speaker 1: said six, So it's a good number. Divisional game. We 396 00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:05,479 Speaker 1: always take the Giants in the road. This is what 397 00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:08,359 Speaker 1: we do with them. So yeah, we're inflated in the 398 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 1: fact that Dallas has just looked unstoppable the last couple 399 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 1: of weeks. So we might be stepping in front of 400 00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: a train here, Chad, but at this number in a 401 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:19,520 Speaker 1: divisional matchup, got no issue taking the Giants here. Well, 402 00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:21,320 Speaker 1: this is one of those spots. Look, we talked about 403 00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:27,040 Speaker 1: this on Tuesday you Sunday night, Monday morning at the 404 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:29,320 Speaker 1: Cowboys twenty to one to win the Super Bowl. But 405 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:32,960 Speaker 1: the Cowboys at some odds to have the best record 406 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 1: in the NFL, and we got the Giants in the 407 00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:38,479 Speaker 1: same night at seven and a half. Right, well, there 408 00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 1: we go, and like this, this is one of those 409 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: weeks where you start to learn a little bit about 410 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:47,400 Speaker 1: who the cowboys are. You learn a little bit more 411 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:51,560 Speaker 1: about what models and numbers mean in the long haul 412 00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:53,919 Speaker 1: and in the long haul, if you're doing this, then 413 00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,280 Speaker 1: you got to bed this number. You can't just base 414 00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:58,760 Speaker 1: it on what you think the situation is this week. 415 00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:02,960 Speaker 1: This is how these games play out. Divisional games, the 416 00:21:03,080 --> 00:21:06,480 Speaker 1: Giants on the road the past couple of years, bigger 417 00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:10,200 Speaker 1: numbers than normal. Everything says bet the Giants plus seven. 418 00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:12,520 Speaker 1: We're gonna do it. We said it to sign and 419 00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:16,440 Speaker 1: says bet stick with it. All right, let's talk about 420 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 1: this Browns Chargers game, because when we talked about it 421 00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:23,080 Speaker 1: on Tuesday, I said to you, we're betting the Chargers. 422 00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:25,880 Speaker 1: You said, the bookmakers are telling us something. If everyone 423 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:27,520 Speaker 1: is looking at this with an eye test of the 424 00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:30,439 Speaker 1: Chargers of the right side of the bookmakers are telling 425 00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:34,720 Speaker 1: you something. And now you're getting feedback from your buddies 426 00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:38,399 Speaker 1: that we're idiots. Meanwhile, I've been doing more research and 427 00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 1: feeling more and more comfortable with the Browns. That's hilarious. 428 00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:44,359 Speaker 1: I love the Browns in this position just because I 429 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 1: love their defense and I just love the way they've 430 00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:49,240 Speaker 1: been playing and how this game was going to set up. 431 00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:52,280 Speaker 1: But I can't do with the Baker injury because again, 432 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,200 Speaker 1: the reason I like the Browns so much wasn't because 433 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:55,840 Speaker 1: of Baker, is because of their running style and how 434 00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:58,400 Speaker 1: it is going to perform against this Chargers defense. You've 435 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,480 Speaker 1: literally tied the team with an arm behind their back. 436 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,240 Speaker 1: So all we need to do for the Chargers just 437 00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 1: stack the box and try and make Baker with one 438 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:08,200 Speaker 1: arm pass against us, which again it's just throwing arm 439 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 1: that got injured, I believe. So I'm with you, chat 440 00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:13,680 Speaker 1: like that's the thing. Like the pros they reached out 441 00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:15,560 Speaker 1: to me. They love this number and they're saying we 442 00:22:15,560 --> 00:22:17,960 Speaker 1: should take this up to three. That's my job, Like, 443 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 1: it's my job isn't to just be so into my 444 00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:22,480 Speaker 1: own system. I don't listen anyone else. It's when I 445 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:24,480 Speaker 1: get this information and pass it along and say, you 446 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 1: know what, I was missing something here. Sure enough, it 447 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:29,520 Speaker 1: came out today that Baker had the injury. So that's 448 00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:31,280 Speaker 1: the thing. I don't have the resources a lot of 449 00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:33,600 Speaker 1: these old time guys have. When they're reaching out to me, 450 00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,439 Speaker 1: they're giving me information. I need to really listen to 451 00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:37,360 Speaker 1: it because obviously they're hitting it from you know, good 452 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 1: information themselves. So I don't like doing it, but I'm 453 00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:42,680 Speaker 1: with you. This is like now becoming one of my 454 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,679 Speaker 1: favorite players. If we haven't banged up Baker Mayfield going 455 00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 1: against argably a top three defense and the Chargers. We 456 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:52,440 Speaker 1: have to take the charges here, don't we. Well, the 457 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:57,120 Speaker 1: problem is, even if the Chargers stacked the box, their 458 00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:01,119 Speaker 1: run defense is terrible, and that's the That is the 459 00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,120 Speaker 1: one thing we know the Browns will be able to do. 460 00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:07,080 Speaker 1: So I love them. You love them because you're saying 461 00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:10,399 Speaker 1: the Browns will be one dimensional and the Chargers have 462 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,520 Speaker 1: a chance to only focus on doing that. Love the 463 00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 1: Browns coming in just because of that run game, the 464 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:16,480 Speaker 1: fact that that that's all that Staley needs a prep 465 00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:19,800 Speaker 1: for now against this team, that's just again it shifts 466 00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:21,399 Speaker 1: it back to the Chargers where this is just a 467 00:23:21,480 --> 00:23:24,520 Speaker 1: big advantage, especially now they know that Baker's hurt, like 468 00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:27,640 Speaker 1: that's out in public information. Now. It's just a bad 469 00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:30,080 Speaker 1: It's just a bad setup for this Browns team. So 470 00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:33,240 Speaker 1: are we saying we want to put the Chargers in yeah, yeah, 471 00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:37,520 Speaker 1: wow to oh my goodness, all right. I love that 472 00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:39,800 Speaker 1: we are making a wise guy play here. We are 473 00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:41,679 Speaker 1: making the wise guy play because this is what the 474 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,640 Speaker 1: guides in Vegas are telling us to do. I can't 475 00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,600 Speaker 1: believe it. Those are the games that we all that 476 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:52,919 Speaker 1: we talked about the most Dolphins, Texans, Giants, Chargers, Bengals, 477 00:23:53,359 --> 00:24:00,600 Speaker 1: the Cincinnati Bengals game roaring back right now? Are five 478 00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:03,880 Speaker 1: am I am I misinterpreting anything? I like that far? 479 00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:06,919 Speaker 1: Or five Bills Chiefs. You said you liked the Chiefs 480 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:08,479 Speaker 1: at two and a half. We liked the Bills at 481 00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:10,080 Speaker 1: three and a half. If it's on three, then there's 482 00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 1: no real advantage getting a lot of research and rumblings 483 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,160 Speaker 1: listening to Stucky and Raybund on the Action Network pod 484 00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:19,920 Speaker 1: Go subscribe, go download rate review of five stars about Umps. 485 00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:22,800 Speaker 1: They loved Bills in this spot, of course they do. 486 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,199 Speaker 1: Everyone loves the fucking Bills on the spot set. The 487 00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,840 Speaker 1: Bills have looked better, they've played better, they have the 488 00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:35,600 Speaker 1: better offense. The Bills make me throw your hand on something. 489 00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:40,159 Speaker 1: Throw your hand now, the Bills. I'm making it happen. 490 00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 1: Mantri can attest to it Josh Allen just has not 491 00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:46,879 Speaker 1: looked right yet this year. Again, their team has been winning, 492 00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:49,520 Speaker 1: but he's had little hiccups, like again that game they 493 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:52,199 Speaker 1: started against Houston, his first pass was interception. He just 494 00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:54,840 Speaker 1: had little things like that where I love Josh. I 495 00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:57,600 Speaker 1: love this Bills team. I think they are much better 496 00:24:57,640 --> 00:24:59,200 Speaker 1: this year. I thought they were gonna because I thought 497 00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:01,119 Speaker 1: he was gonna have a major Russian and Josh Allen, 498 00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 1: but that team has just built so smart with so 499 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,520 Speaker 1: many weapons that they're gonna be fine this year. This 500 00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:08,560 Speaker 1: is just a bad position for them to be in. 501 00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:10,760 Speaker 1: I flip flop every day because, like we just talked 502 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:11,960 Speaker 1: about it, if this is three and a half, I 503 00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:13,720 Speaker 1: would like the Bills because I think this is that 504 00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:15,800 Speaker 1: close to the matchup. But if you're gonna give it 505 00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:17,560 Speaker 1: me and under a field goal, and this Chiefs team 506 00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:20,359 Speaker 1: at home homes, I take that every time, just because 507 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:22,640 Speaker 1: I believe that much of my homes. So I get 508 00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:25,960 Speaker 1: what they're thinking. They're stucky, but I don't have the 509 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:27,760 Speaker 1: gohonies to make this kind of bet like this is 510 00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:29,320 Speaker 1: one of my smaller bets of the week, bet in 511 00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 1: the Chiefs because there just isn't that much value in 512 00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:34,440 Speaker 1: my opinion on this game, I think your are plenty 513 00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:37,720 Speaker 1: big buddy, Well, he's the only person I knew that 514 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,119 Speaker 1: would would took the Patriots money line last week. So 515 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,919 Speaker 1: Stucky's a legend his own right. The Survivor Pool pick 516 00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:55,760 Speaker 1: of the week. Let's talk about a Survivors Oh, I 517 00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 1: fucking hate it. Like there's a couple of teams we 518 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 1: could choose, but when else will we use the Vikes. 519 00:26:00,359 --> 00:26:02,080 Speaker 1: This is the only time they get a home game 520 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:05,840 Speaker 1: against Detroit, the worst team in their division. I hate it. 521 00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 1: Chat By the way, this is the team everybody's gonna choose, 522 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:12,000 Speaker 1: so everyone is. That's why I hated so much. And 523 00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:14,119 Speaker 1: like we lost last year on the Vikings in this 524 00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 1: exact spot, playing the third string quarterback and the Cowboys, 525 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 1: and they lost at home, but we have to. It's 526 00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:23,800 Speaker 1: the fact that they lost so bad last week against 527 00:26:23,840 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 1: the Cleveland only against seven points at home the only 528 00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:28,960 Speaker 1: reason I feel that much better about taking this number. 529 00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:31,600 Speaker 1: So I'm I'm gonna be trying to middle man here 530 00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:34,240 Speaker 1: because I'm taking Detroit's number, but I will be playing 531 00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,960 Speaker 1: the Vikings and our survivor contest because that's just we 532 00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:39,920 Speaker 1: have to do. We have to get rid of the Vikings. 533 00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:41,800 Speaker 1: We'll tweet it out Sunday morning, but I would say 534 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:43,800 Speaker 1: it's a ninety eight percent chance that we end up 535 00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:50,680 Speaker 1: with the Vikings as a survivor pick. And now a 536 00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:53,560 Speaker 1: word from our friends at FanDuel. The NFL is back, 537 00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,040 Speaker 1: and FanDuel's sportsbook wants you to get the most out 538 00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 1: of every play. That's why they're giving everyone a ten 539 00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:03,399 Speaker 1: dollars or risk free bet every week. All you have 540 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,600 Speaker 1: to do is better same game parlay bet with three 541 00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 1: legs or more, and if your bet doesn't win, FanDuel 542 00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:12,760 Speaker 1: will pay you back up to ten dollars. For example, 543 00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,200 Speaker 1: this Sunday, I'm considering the Bengals money line, the under 544 00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,639 Speaker 1: and Jamar Chase to score a touchdown. I love betting 545 00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:22,919 Speaker 1: at FanDuel because it's America's number one sportsbook app. I 546 00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:24,720 Speaker 1: get paid out fast line and I win, and there's 547 00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:28,439 Speaker 1: no feeling like nailing the same game parlay bet. So 548 00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:31,240 Speaker 1: locking your best today, I'm FanDuel's sports book and get 549 00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:34,880 Speaker 1: up to ten backs back if your bet doesn't win. 550 00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:39,440 Speaker 1: New to FanDuel's Sportsbook, they're also offering a risk free 551 00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:42,120 Speaker 1: one thousand dollars bet if you prefer that, just sign 552 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,400 Speaker 1: up with Promo Code Favorites, and if your first bet loses, 553 00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,960 Speaker 1: you get up to one thousand dollars back in cite 554 00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:52,919 Speaker 1: credit at Promo Code Favorites must be twenty one and 555 00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:56,720 Speaker 1: over and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey 556 00:27:56,720 --> 00:28:00,440 Speaker 1: to Tennessee, Virginia or West Virginia. Refunds issued as non 557 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:04,160 Speaker 1: withdrawal site credit that expires in seven days max refund 558 00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:07,560 Speaker 1: ten dollars. Restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel 559 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:11,159 Speaker 1: dot com. Same game parlays available for multiple sports in 560 00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:13,800 Speaker 1: all states on both mobile and web. Gambling problem called 561 00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:16,200 Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash 562 00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:19,640 Speaker 1: RG in Colorado, New Jersey, Virginia one eight hundred nine 563 00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:22,240 Speaker 1: with it in Indiana one eight hundred two seven zero 564 00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:25,399 Speaker 1: seven one seven for confidential help. In Michigan one eight 565 00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:27,960 Speaker 1: hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine in Tennessee. 566 00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:31,119 Speaker 1: Visit what eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia 567 00:28:31,280 --> 00:28:33,680 Speaker 1: or call one eight hundred next step for a text 568 00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:37,520 Speaker 1: next step to five three three four two in Arizona. 569 00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:40,400 Speaker 1: Let's get back to the show. Money line. Ron Robin, 570 00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:45,560 Speaker 1: who's in there all right, buddy? Texans, Dolphins, Bengals, yep, 571 00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:48,360 Speaker 1: I got an issue putting the Bengals in there. We're 572 00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:51,280 Speaker 1: just looking for literally just to shock the world, and 573 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:54,560 Speaker 1: things that don't make sense but will after the fact, 574 00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:58,120 Speaker 1: like the Jets and the Giants last week exactly that 575 00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:00,240 Speaker 1: did not make sense to bet at the time, but 576 00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:02,320 Speaker 1: afterwards people going, you know what, actually, now looking at 577 00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:04,680 Speaker 1: it kind of makes sense. Forty nine ers. We got 578 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,120 Speaker 1: a Cardinals team hyped up to the you know, the 579 00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:09,960 Speaker 1: highest of highs. Cardinals E they're gonna blow this team 580 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:11,640 Speaker 1: out in the forty nine ers or forty hours, are 581 00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:14,720 Speaker 1: gonna win this game, So let me fade the hype train. 582 00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:18,240 Speaker 1: Love love love. Divisional matchups like this. We got a 583 00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:20,760 Speaker 1: rookie quarterback plane in Trey Lands, so the Cardinals, I 584 00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:22,760 Speaker 1: really aren't gonna to defend this guy. Prepare for him. 585 00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:24,719 Speaker 1: Give it to me. That's a big number plus one 586 00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,360 Speaker 1: ninety on the money line right now, so that could 587 00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:29,840 Speaker 1: be our fourth leg and then I'm sorry to do it. 588 00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,160 Speaker 1: I'm sorry to do it to people, but we have 589 00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:34,360 Speaker 1: to do it because it's it's a home dog value. 590 00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,600 Speaker 1: Give me the Jacksonville Jaguars money line. They haven't won. 591 00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 1: I think they're going on nineteen or twenty weeks. Ye, 592 00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:43,520 Speaker 1: I will keep losing money betting their home money line. 593 00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:46,160 Speaker 1: But this, this is what I have to do. Tennessee, 594 00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:48,560 Speaker 1: I believe have twenty one players on the injury list 595 00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:50,640 Speaker 1: right now. There's only twenty two starters on the team 596 00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:54,280 Speaker 1: twenty one injuries, so a lot of this round robin 597 00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,960 Speaker 1: is fading teams with injuries right now. So Tennessee Titians 598 00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:00,880 Speaker 1: is really a heavily injury team or fading them. Patriots 599 00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:02,960 Speaker 1: injured team, were fading them, and the Buccaneers are very 600 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,000 Speaker 1: heavily injured team. We're fading them. So we're just trying 601 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:06,760 Speaker 1: to find value in the team's playing a lot of 602 00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:09,760 Speaker 1: these backups at key positions. So I get it a 603 00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:12,480 Speaker 1: lot of drama in Jacksonville, but this is one of 604 00:30:12,520 --> 00:30:14,480 Speaker 1: these games where the team could come together if they 605 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,000 Speaker 1: like urban a win and if it keeps staying this 606 00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:19,480 Speaker 1: love at four it kind of feels like Vegas is 607 00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:22,120 Speaker 1: town is something here. So I got new issue throw 608 00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 1: on the end of our fifth, fifth play in our 609 00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:27,160 Speaker 1: round robin. Big Balls bet of the Week Bengals plus 610 00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,200 Speaker 1: three from earlier this week. On Tuesday, the Sun says 611 00:30:30,240 --> 00:30:32,920 Speaker 1: bet was the Giants plus seven. Our Foxhold bet was 612 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:37,000 Speaker 1: Miami plus ten against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the five 613 00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:38,960 Speaker 1: that we're thinking about right now, but again we will 614 00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:44,480 Speaker 1: update on Sunday. Look in the Action Network cap Dolphins, Texans, Bengals, Giants, Chargers. 615 00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:52,280 Speaker 1: The money line round Robin Parlay will include Dolphins, Jags, Texans, Bengals, Niners. Wow, 616 00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:55,680 Speaker 1: we ask so much of people to do really gross, 617 00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,880 Speaker 1: disgusting things, but look, it pays off. Right Week one 618 00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:01,960 Speaker 1: we had a couple of money line round Robin Parlay's one. 619 00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,000 Speaker 1: Yeah last week. Last week we had the Jets and 620 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:06,800 Speaker 1: the Giants in a money line round. Probably we had 621 00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:10,040 Speaker 1: Seattle in there too, Like sometimes it works, Yeah, it 622 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:14,200 Speaker 1: hits ugly dogs win. So it's looking crazy right now, 623 00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:16,160 Speaker 1: but it just feels like we're up for another wonky 624 00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:18,479 Speaker 1: week where there's just a lot of big, big dogs 625 00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 1: that shouldn't be these bigger dogs. All right, listen, stick 626 00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:24,000 Speaker 1: around because Seth Wickersham Simon and I have a great 627 00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:27,920 Speaker 1: conversation about his book is Better to Be Feared Enjoy? 628 00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:32,400 Speaker 1: All Right, I've been talking about this book, It's Better 629 00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:35,560 Speaker 1: to Be Feared. For months, we've mentioned on the podcast 630 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:39,120 Speaker 1: several times. We talked about it on Tuesday. Finally we 631 00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 1: have the author, Seth Wickersham, long time senior writer at ESPN. 632 00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:47,440 Speaker 1: You've seen him all over the airwaves promoting It's Better 633 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:53,040 Speaker 1: to Be Feared, his genius opus on the New England 634 00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:57,480 Speaker 1: Patriots Dynasty. He's a very close friend, one of my 635 00:31:57,520 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 1: closest friends. I'll say that off the top, SETTI, without 636 00:32:05,040 --> 00:32:07,719 Speaker 1: a doubt, one of the best sports books ever written. 637 00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:11,080 Speaker 1: Can't even you can't even deny it, like you got 638 00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:13,800 Speaker 1: so inside one of the most difficult subjects to get inside, 639 00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:17,880 Speaker 1: which is a mysterious secretive team in a mysterious secretive 640 00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:21,440 Speaker 1: league that is run by mysterious secretive people who don't 641 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:25,479 Speaker 1: want anyone snooping around their business. And you fucking nailed it. 642 00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:29,760 Speaker 1: So nice job. The past ten days, it's been the 643 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:32,080 Speaker 1: only thing people in the sports world they're talking about. 644 00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:37,239 Speaker 1: And I'll say this, I feel like with all the 645 00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:39,520 Speaker 1: news that's going on with the book, and everyone's been 646 00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 1: talking about it, especially in the lead up to the 647 00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:46,560 Speaker 1: Patriots Bucks game, about the Brady Belichick relationship and sort 648 00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:49,840 Speaker 1: of those moments that are very inside about their breakup 649 00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:52,120 Speaker 1: or how they felt about each other. It's kind of 650 00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:54,920 Speaker 1: missing the point because to me, like this is as 651 00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:58,040 Speaker 1: intimate a portrait of three people in Belichick, Brady and 652 00:32:58,080 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 1: Craft that have been keeping their lives very, very secret 653 00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:04,400 Speaker 1: for a very long time. I feel like people aren't 654 00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:07,200 Speaker 1: talking about that enough. Do you feel the same way. 655 00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:10,320 Speaker 1: Do you feel like there's intimacy here that is being 656 00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:13,600 Speaker 1: overlooked and because of the sort of sensational aspects of 657 00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:17,080 Speaker 1: the reporting. I think it's thanks man. First of all, 658 00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:19,760 Speaker 1: I think it's both. I think that look number one, 659 00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:23,720 Speaker 1: when you have you know, dialogue in there that includes 660 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:28,080 Speaker 1: swear words, you know, from those people maybe sometimes even 661 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:33,440 Speaker 1: about each other in moments of you know, exhaustion and 662 00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:36,360 Speaker 1: out of patience. Um, you know, I think that that 663 00:33:36,440 --> 00:33:39,040 Speaker 1: stuff obviously people gravitate, gravitate too, but I think it 664 00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:42,880 Speaker 1: actually speaks to the themes you were talking about. And 665 00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:46,440 Speaker 1: let's pick one of them for instance. M A quote 666 00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:48,959 Speaker 1: they got a lot of attention was from Robert Craft. 667 00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:51,640 Speaker 1: It was in the fall of twenty eighteen. He was 668 00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:53,400 Speaker 1: at a business conference, one of these kind of rich 669 00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:56,160 Speaker 1: guys business conferences, and Aspen and he's in the hotel 670 00:33:56,200 --> 00:34:00,960 Speaker 1: lobby and you know, he says, paraphrasing, here you come 671 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:03,080 Speaker 1: here and you meet the most brilliant minds. I really 672 00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:05,040 Speaker 1: hate to leave this place because you know, I have 673 00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:07,320 Speaker 1: to go to Detroit and be with the biggest effing 674 00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:11,759 Speaker 1: a hole in my life, my head coach. And you know, 675 00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:14,359 Speaker 1: that got a lot of attention. But when you look 676 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:18,560 Speaker 1: at it within the context of Robert Kraft, who for 677 00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:22,720 Speaker 1: the most part, masterfully kept the band together for twenty 678 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:26,240 Speaker 1: years despite all of the polls of ego and fame 679 00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:30,160 Speaker 1: and entitlement that might come with winning as much as 680 00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:32,319 Speaker 1: they did, you know, it's probably the thing that's going 681 00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:34,239 Speaker 1: to get him into the Hall of Fame. And that 682 00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:37,840 Speaker 1: doesn't mean that it didn't come without managerial challenges at times. 683 00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:39,799 Speaker 1: And I think that was one of those times where 684 00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:41,719 Speaker 1: he was just feeling a little tired about it all. 685 00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:45,040 Speaker 1: I have so many favorite parts of the book. I 686 00:34:45,080 --> 00:34:48,399 Speaker 1: want to hear from you. What was your favorite part 687 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:51,320 Speaker 1: of the book to report? My favorite part of the 688 00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:54,520 Speaker 1: book generally is so it's divided into three parts. Part 689 00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:57,359 Speaker 1: one is kind of the joy of the Rise. It's 690 00:34:57,360 --> 00:35:00,600 Speaker 1: the first three Super Bowls and you know, kind of 691 00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:04,279 Speaker 1: plateauing in that two thousand and sixth season, you know, 692 00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:08,640 Speaker 1: ending around there where you know, the Patriots in a 693 00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:11,640 Speaker 1: lot of ways, we're just we're a version of America's team. 694 00:35:11,680 --> 00:35:15,359 Speaker 1: I mean, there really wasn't the hatred that you sort 695 00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:18,879 Speaker 1: of see right now for that team. So that's part one. 696 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,320 Speaker 1: Part two is the ten year gap that they didn't 697 00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:25,759 Speaker 1: win a Super Bowl, and Part three is the reclamation 698 00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:28,719 Speaker 1: of the dynasty and how it kind of ended up 699 00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:32,440 Speaker 1: dissipating in. My favorite part of the book, generally speaking, 700 00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:35,240 Speaker 1: is part two because and that goes from two thousand 701 00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:38,080 Speaker 1: and seven to midway through the third quarter of January 702 00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:40,719 Speaker 1: of twenty and fifteen, because you had Tom Brady and 703 00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:44,360 Speaker 1: Bill Belichick who had already established Hall of Fame careers 704 00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:47,719 Speaker 1: at that point, but they weren't quite able to accomplish 705 00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:52,120 Speaker 1: their goal. They had plateaued at the highest possible level 706 00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:55,600 Speaker 1: you can without plateauing as Super Bowl champions, and how 707 00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:58,879 Speaker 1: they decided and the ways that they chose to try 708 00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:00,920 Speaker 1: to get better and to dig a little bit deeper 709 00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:04,680 Speaker 1: and to be a little bit more imaginative and creative 710 00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:06,920 Speaker 1: and think outside the box about how they could get 711 00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:09,799 Speaker 1: back to that status that they had attained. To me, 712 00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:11,799 Speaker 1: is the most interesting part of things, because you just 713 00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:14,200 Speaker 1: don't see that that often in professional sports. I think 714 00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:17,080 Speaker 1: that that drive that they showed during that time and 715 00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:19,839 Speaker 1: the fact that it ended up working is about as 716 00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:24,960 Speaker 1: rare as their six championships together. What specifically did they 717 00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:29,600 Speaker 1: do in that time that helped them transform? Well? With 718 00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:32,760 Speaker 1: Tom Brady, it's it's now a business, but it's essentially 719 00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:37,719 Speaker 1: when he founded his program, his TV twelve method. I 720 00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:40,200 Speaker 1: write about in the book being in his apartment and 721 00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:42,840 Speaker 1: we were sitting in his living room talking in March 722 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:48,239 Speaker 1: of twenty thirteen, and this guy walks into the living room. 723 00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:51,480 Speaker 1: He had this elevator that just opened right into his house, 724 00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:55,959 Speaker 1: his apartment in downtown Boston, and this guy just enters 725 00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:58,799 Speaker 1: the living room behind me, and I look around and 726 00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:04,600 Speaker 1: Brady's Alejandro. And they get up and they hug and 727 00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:06,759 Speaker 1: they make small talk. And you know, I had seen 728 00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:09,160 Speaker 1: Alex Guerrero around Tom Brady a little bit, but I'd 729 00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:10,600 Speaker 1: never talked to him about it. So I was like, well, 730 00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:14,719 Speaker 1: what's his role? And I remember, and I wrote about it. 731 00:37:14,719 --> 00:37:16,960 Speaker 1: Brady was like, you know, it's it's really hard to 732 00:37:16,960 --> 00:37:22,520 Speaker 1: describe what he does, and in fact it wasn't you know, 733 00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:24,480 Speaker 1: Brady at that time was making clear that he wanted 734 00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:27,160 Speaker 1: to play into his forties, and Alex Guerrero's job, more 735 00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:29,640 Speaker 1: than anything was to make it happen. He was the 736 00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:32,080 Speaker 1: one who to never say no to Tom Brady, to 737 00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:34,480 Speaker 1: never say you can't do this, and so they obviously 738 00:37:34,480 --> 00:37:37,479 Speaker 1: developed their own methodology that, by the way, was also 739 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:41,600 Speaker 1: at odds with the Patriot way, the Belichick way, and 740 00:37:41,640 --> 00:37:45,640 Speaker 1: then with Belichick, I think that one of my one 741 00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:47,480 Speaker 1: of my favorite moments that I kind of got into 742 00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:50,320 Speaker 1: was midway through the third quarter of the twenty fifteen 743 00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:53,960 Speaker 1: divisional round. They're hosting the Baltimore Ravens. They're down by 744 00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:56,799 Speaker 1: fourteen points against a team that's just not afraid of them, 745 00:37:57,680 --> 00:38:00,879 Speaker 1: and it looks like they're gonna lose. You know, it's 746 00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 1: going to get them bounced once again in the first 747 00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:05,880 Speaker 1: round of the playoffs. Jimmy Garoppolo had just finished his 748 00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:07,759 Speaker 1: rookie year. You wonder if, like, if they had been 749 00:38:07,760 --> 00:38:11,239 Speaker 1: bounced again, you know, what would that of dynamic look like. 750 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:15,200 Speaker 1: Would Tom Brady had been back who knows? And Belichick 751 00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:18,160 Speaker 1: dust off the play the funky formations and the play 752 00:38:18,200 --> 00:38:20,960 Speaker 1: called Baltimore and Ravens. There was two different versions of it, 753 00:38:21,600 --> 00:38:26,520 Speaker 1: and the original name of that play was called fight Song, 754 00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:28,719 Speaker 1: and it was originated by Lane Kiffin, and he called 755 00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:30,640 Speaker 1: it fight Song because he said, when we run it, 756 00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:35,080 Speaker 1: we're going to score. And they lifted it Nick's Lane 757 00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:38,600 Speaker 1: Kiffin brought it with him to Alabama. Alabama ran it. 758 00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:41,040 Speaker 1: The Patriots lifted it and kind of changed it a 759 00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:44,680 Speaker 1: little bit. So they deployed this these two plays midway 760 00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:48,000 Speaker 1: through the third quarter, and it not only worked in 761 00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:50,439 Speaker 1: the sense that it got them back in the game, 762 00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:53,440 Speaker 1: re energized the crowd. But one of the themes that 763 00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:55,879 Speaker 1: I write about in the book is how Belichick gets 764 00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,160 Speaker 1: inside the heads of the best coaches in the league 765 00:38:58,160 --> 00:39:02,200 Speaker 1: and often finds ways to use their traits and personalities 766 00:39:02,200 --> 00:39:06,279 Speaker 1: and confidence against them. He knew that John Harbaugh, great 767 00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:08,200 Speaker 1: coach of the Ravens, but someone who's kind of known 768 00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:13,400 Speaker 1: for having a quick fuse, would lose his shi over 769 00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:17,160 Speaker 1: this play, especially when they ran a no huddle, because 770 00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:19,560 Speaker 1: the Ravens wouldn't have a ton of time to adjust. 771 00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,360 Speaker 1: And sure enough, John and Harbaugh had a meltdown and 772 00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:24,319 Speaker 1: got into sports and my conduct penalty in the third 773 00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,560 Speaker 1: quarter of that game. So when a matter of minutes 774 00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:31,480 Speaker 1: Belichick had had closed, Belichick and Brady really and Josh 775 00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:35,680 Speaker 1: McDaniels had closed a fourteen point score, re energized the crowd, 776 00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:38,560 Speaker 1: sent the opposing head coach into a tailspin, and they 777 00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:40,520 Speaker 1: end up winning that game, which kind of ends up 778 00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:44,960 Speaker 1: reigniting the dynasty. John Harboh is a living about this one. 779 00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:47,560 Speaker 1: They would now Sales were player, then Tom would take 780 00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:49,160 Speaker 1: him to line right where and snapped the ball before 781 00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:50,480 Speaker 1: we had a chance to even figure out who was 782 00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:53,040 Speaker 1: lined up where. And that was a deception part of it, 783 00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:56,480 Speaker 1: and was clearly deception. I don't know it's deceiving about that. Hey, 784 00:39:56,480 --> 00:39:58,560 Speaker 1: those guys got to study the rulebook and you know, 785 00:39:58,640 --> 00:40:02,400 Speaker 1: figure it out. We obviously knew what we were doing. Okay. 786 00:40:02,400 --> 00:40:05,080 Speaker 1: So there's two things in there. One you talk about 787 00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:12,160 Speaker 1: Brady and the chapter about Guerrero in twenty thirteen. To me, 788 00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:17,120 Speaker 1: Brady for many, many years, comes across in this book 789 00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:22,440 Speaker 1: as so self aware. And there's a couple scenes very early. 790 00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:27,160 Speaker 1: It's when he is willing to meet with the sports 791 00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:31,200 Speaker 1: psychologists at Michigan. It's when he's living with his buddies 792 00:40:31,520 --> 00:40:35,600 Speaker 1: as a backup quarterback in a condo near Foxborough. It's 793 00:40:35,640 --> 00:40:40,560 Speaker 1: when he signs that new deal and is playing air 794 00:40:40,640 --> 00:40:46,440 Speaker 1: guitar with Nugent, the offensive lineman, and like recognizing he's 795 00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:49,920 Speaker 1: a multi millionaire and screaming it out loud. It's so 796 00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:52,520 Speaker 1: like joyful and innocent. And you talk about that and 797 00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:55,879 Speaker 1: like telling his parents after the Super Bowl, everything's going 798 00:40:55,880 --> 00:41:00,160 Speaker 1: to change. I'm going to change, You're going to change. 799 00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:03,400 Speaker 1: And the twenty thirteen to me feels like when he 800 00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:09,480 Speaker 1: completely loses that self awareness. What happened. I think his 801 00:41:09,640 --> 00:41:12,640 Speaker 1: fame exploded to a level that and has continued to 802 00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:15,959 Speaker 1: explode to a level that warps the mind so much 803 00:41:16,000 --> 00:41:20,640 Speaker 1: that you know, he's almost become a version of that 804 00:41:20,719 --> 00:41:25,400 Speaker 1: global elite for whom human longevity is human destiny. Um, 805 00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:27,520 Speaker 1: you know, I think that when you reach a certain 806 00:41:27,560 --> 00:41:31,960 Speaker 1: level of fame. I'm not saying that he's disconnected from 807 00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:35,719 Speaker 1: who he used to be, but you're kind of disconnected 808 00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:39,440 Speaker 1: from the realities of a lot of a lot of people, 809 00:41:39,480 --> 00:41:41,960 Speaker 1: no matter how hard you try to retain that. And yeah, 810 00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:43,719 Speaker 1: you know, it's one of the kind of character arcs 811 00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:47,600 Speaker 1: that I tried to show with him um, and you know, 812 00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:49,920 Speaker 1: he talks a lot about his mental toughness and how 813 00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:52,480 Speaker 1: he acquired this mental toughness. He's very proud of that, 814 00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:54,480 Speaker 1: and so I wanted to try to figure out, like 815 00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:56,279 Speaker 1: how he did this. When you're trying to talk about 816 00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:58,360 Speaker 1: Tom Brady's greatness, you're asking like, well, how did he 817 00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:03,600 Speaker 1: get mentally tough? And it goes back to one night 818 00:42:03,640 --> 00:42:06,160 Speaker 1: he had in Michigan. He was buried on the depth 819 00:42:06,239 --> 00:42:08,360 Speaker 1: chart and he tells Lloyd Carr that he's going to 820 00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:11,120 Speaker 1: transfer to cal where he can you know, basically play 821 00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:14,239 Speaker 1: almost a right away as soon as he's eligible. And 822 00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:16,879 Speaker 1: that night he meets with Greg Harden, his sports psychologist, 823 00:42:17,040 --> 00:42:18,560 Speaker 1: and he says, yeah, I'm gonna go to Cal. I'm 824 00:42:18,560 --> 00:42:20,600 Speaker 1: not seeing the field here. I mean I ever play. 825 00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,920 Speaker 1: And you think about all the ways that a sports 826 00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:29,360 Speaker 1: psychologist could react. He could give him a hug, he 827 00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:33,000 Speaker 1: could reply with tough love. And Brady at the time 828 00:42:33,080 --> 00:42:37,840 Speaker 1: was a self described winer. And Greg Harden starts laughing 829 00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:41,440 Speaker 1: at him in the office and he starts laughing and 830 00:42:41,480 --> 00:42:44,680 Speaker 1: he says, if you leave, no one's gonna care anyway, 831 00:42:44,719 --> 00:42:47,359 Speaker 1: because you haven't done anything here. You want to leave 832 00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:53,280 Speaker 1: go ahead, and that really kind of reignited Brady's competitive spirit. 833 00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:56,960 Speaker 1: And his dad later told me, once he decided to 834 00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:58,799 Speaker 1: stay at Michigan, he had to kind of own that 835 00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:03,560 Speaker 1: decision and lose some of those, you know, traits that 836 00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:07,080 Speaker 1: he came in and become more mature. And I love 837 00:43:07,120 --> 00:43:09,040 Speaker 1: that you just talked on that where that's one of 838 00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:11,920 Speaker 1: my favorite things about Brady. He might have been disconnected 839 00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:13,640 Speaker 1: at that point chat from what he used to be, 840 00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:17,399 Speaker 1: but that competitive edge, that killer instinct, like the thing 841 00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:20,719 Speaker 1: that we talk about. You just he's not the mouth athletic, 842 00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:24,040 Speaker 1: he's not the smartest quarterback ever to play. He outworked 843 00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:27,359 Speaker 1: everyone that's ever played the game. I mean, we still 844 00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:30,600 Speaker 1: hear stories about this guy. Again, he's forty forty four 845 00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:33,640 Speaker 1: at this point or forty five, and he's still in 846 00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:37,360 Speaker 1: the off season reaching out to receivers throwing patterns. My 847 00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:40,160 Speaker 1: biggest takeaway from your book this seems like a man 848 00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:45,239 Speaker 1: that is not just so obsessive, but just a man 849 00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:47,480 Speaker 1: that literally his life. Again. He has a wife, he 850 00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:49,480 Speaker 1: has kids, he loves them, he spends time with them. 851 00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:53,480 Speaker 1: It's football like this man. Literally he's watching film at 852 00:43:53,480 --> 00:43:56,560 Speaker 1: the dinner table in his twenty first season, Like this guy, 853 00:43:57,320 --> 00:43:59,040 Speaker 1: I feel like we're never gonna see another player like 854 00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:02,000 Speaker 1: him where he put his whole life into it. Again, 855 00:44:02,120 --> 00:44:05,279 Speaker 1: we talked about his regiment with Alex Guerrera, the man 856 00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:08,200 Speaker 1: won't eat the wrong calorie in the last ten years 857 00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:10,640 Speaker 1: because he is just down to the wire about everything 858 00:44:10,640 --> 00:44:12,719 Speaker 1: he does. Has there ever been a player that you've 859 00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:15,240 Speaker 1: studied and been around that has these kind of qualities? 860 00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:18,120 Speaker 1: Are he truly one of the kind? Oh? It's both. 861 00:44:18,160 --> 00:44:19,800 Speaker 1: I mean, I think that's one of the most interesting 862 00:44:19,840 --> 00:44:23,120 Speaker 1: things about Brady is for as like global and worldly 863 00:44:23,160 --> 00:44:26,320 Speaker 1: as he is, he's not exactly the most well rounded person. 864 00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:30,600 Speaker 1: He has no hobbies, and as he said, he has 865 00:44:30,600 --> 00:44:32,719 Speaker 1: this little sickness inside him that makes him want to 866 00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:36,400 Speaker 1: throw a spiral. And I remember when Chat and I 867 00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:40,400 Speaker 1: worked together at ESPN in twenty thirteen, I believe we 868 00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:42,640 Speaker 1: published you know, one of the greatest stories of all 869 00:44:42,680 --> 00:44:45,279 Speaker 1: time by Right Thompson on Michael Jordan, and it was 870 00:44:45,320 --> 00:44:48,040 Speaker 1: in time for his fiftieth birthday, and the entire story 871 00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:51,880 Speaker 1: was a fascinating read, just because it was such a 872 00:44:52,000 --> 00:44:55,080 Speaker 1: raw look at what it's like to be around Jordan 873 00:44:55,160 --> 00:44:57,960 Speaker 1: on a day to day basis when this thing that 874 00:44:58,080 --> 00:45:01,160 Speaker 1: you have, this this intense competitor veness that's both kind 875 00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:04,520 Speaker 1: of enriched and subtracted from your lives, refuses to go out. 876 00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:07,480 Speaker 1: But he also had a line in there where Jordan said, 877 00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:09,960 Speaker 1: you know, I would give everything away to go back 878 00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:11,839 Speaker 1: and be able to play the game of basketball. I 879 00:45:11,880 --> 00:45:16,000 Speaker 1: think that when Brady's fifty years old, assuming he's retired 880 00:45:16,040 --> 00:45:18,920 Speaker 1: by then, whether he admits it or not, I think 881 00:45:18,920 --> 00:45:23,799 Speaker 1: that he'll probably have those thoughts you mentioned, Simon. I'm 882 00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:26,080 Speaker 1: glad you bring that up because you mentioned Giselle and 883 00:45:26,160 --> 00:45:29,279 Speaker 1: having a family. She's one of my favorite characters in 884 00:45:29,320 --> 00:45:35,680 Speaker 1: the book because she is so fiery and passionate and 885 00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:39,759 Speaker 1: protective and it's not sort of the stuff that is 886 00:45:39,760 --> 00:45:43,400 Speaker 1: well reported about when she goes off on Wes Welker 887 00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,239 Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl against that second Super Bowl against 888 00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:48,520 Speaker 1: the Giants and he should have caught that pass or 889 00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:54,080 Speaker 1: whatever it's when she meets the Michigan sports psychologist, like 890 00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:58,120 Speaker 1: the warmth that she has for him. Explain sort of 891 00:45:58,160 --> 00:46:02,399 Speaker 1: that scene, because it's really to me that defines the book, 892 00:46:02,440 --> 00:46:04,239 Speaker 1: Like that's the intimacy that is at the core of 893 00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:06,440 Speaker 1: this book, is how she reacts to this person who 894 00:46:06,480 --> 00:46:11,120 Speaker 1: was so important to her husband. Yeah, Brady and his 895 00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:13,919 Speaker 1: wife were in ann Arbor and there was an anniversary 896 00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:18,520 Speaker 1: event for the Michigan National Championship team of nineteen ninety seven, 897 00:46:18,520 --> 00:46:22,680 Speaker 1: which Brady of course was a backup on, and they 898 00:46:22,680 --> 00:46:27,240 Speaker 1: were at a steakhouse and it was interesting because obviously 899 00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:30,240 Speaker 1: Brady's a backup on that team. Charles Woodson and Brian 900 00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:34,879 Speaker 1: Greasy were the superstars, and even in two thousand and seven, 901 00:46:34,880 --> 00:46:39,200 Speaker 1: at this dinner, Brady's fame and success is many magnitudes 902 00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:42,239 Speaker 1: greater than anybody else who was on that team. And 903 00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:46,000 Speaker 1: he's sitting at a table with Giselle and Greg Harden 904 00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:50,560 Speaker 1: comes over and they make eye contact and she goes, oh, 905 00:46:50,600 --> 00:46:53,400 Speaker 1: I know who you are because he had told her 906 00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:56,799 Speaker 1: about him. And frankly, you know Tom still talks to 907 00:46:57,040 --> 00:47:00,920 Speaker 1: Greg Harden, and Greg Harden still does you know what 908 00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:05,720 Speaker 1: he does. In twenty thirteen, for instance, you know, Brady 909 00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:08,200 Speaker 1: had won one Super Bowl and his entire life had changed, 910 00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:10,400 Speaker 1: and it, you know, fame had come to him the 911 00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:13,239 Speaker 1: way that it always does at warp speed, with no 912 00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:16,040 Speaker 1: time to adjust or think about it or strategize. You're 913 00:47:16,080 --> 00:47:18,000 Speaker 1: just kind of a kite in the wind, and he 914 00:47:18,040 --> 00:47:20,120 Speaker 1: was struggling to adjust to it, and you know, he 915 00:47:20,160 --> 00:47:23,160 Speaker 1: was giving into some of those whiny impulses that, of 916 00:47:23,200 --> 00:47:26,040 Speaker 1: course Chad when he managed me, saw in me sometimes. 917 00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:29,319 Speaker 1: And he's complaining to Greg Harden about all these things 918 00:47:29,360 --> 00:47:30,840 Speaker 1: he can't do. He can't go to the cast station, 919 00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:33,520 Speaker 1: he can't do this. People are following him home, or 920 00:47:33,560 --> 00:47:35,480 Speaker 1: he thinks people are following him home, so he has 921 00:47:35,520 --> 00:47:39,440 Speaker 1: to drive long ways anyway. And Greg Harden again starts 922 00:47:39,520 --> 00:47:42,200 Speaker 1: laughing at him, and he says, you know, you want 923 00:47:42,200 --> 00:47:44,400 Speaker 1: to be the best in the world or what you do, 924 00:47:44,440 --> 00:47:46,560 Speaker 1: but you you don't want all this stuff that comes 925 00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:49,960 Speaker 1: with it. And he was like, right now, you can 926 00:47:50,000 --> 00:47:52,480 Speaker 1: pick up a phone and change a kid's life in 927 00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:54,920 Speaker 1: five minutes. You're the hot cookie right now, and you're 928 00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:56,680 Speaker 1: not going to be the hot cookie forever, so you 929 00:47:56,680 --> 00:47:59,480 Speaker 1: should take advantage of this wall you've got it. Of course, 930 00:47:59,480 --> 00:48:01,520 Speaker 1: it turns out Brady has been like the hottest cookie 931 00:48:01,520 --> 00:48:04,439 Speaker 1: ever and he's still a hot cookie twenty years later, 932 00:48:05,320 --> 00:48:07,520 Speaker 1: and he'll never stop being a hot cookie. He's a 933 00:48:07,560 --> 00:48:10,359 Speaker 1: hot cookie you mentioned earlier, sort of the Robert Kraft 934 00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:13,520 Speaker 1: moment where he you know, says, I got to go 935 00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:17,560 Speaker 1: deal with this fucking asshole. And part of the reason 936 00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:20,320 Speaker 1: it feels sensation was because he's swearing. Right. There is 937 00:48:20,360 --> 00:48:23,160 Speaker 1: a chapter of this book that is just called that's 938 00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:25,600 Speaker 1: a lot of fuck use. I think the secondary through 939 00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:28,319 Speaker 1: line of this book is, and that you've done this 940 00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:32,440 Speaker 1: incredibly well for the past six seven years, is reporting 941 00:48:32,440 --> 00:48:35,840 Speaker 1: on the power dynamic of the NFL. Like you've turned 942 00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:41,680 Speaker 1: NFL ownership, NFL management, NFL senior levels at the league 943 00:48:41,760 --> 00:48:44,760 Speaker 1: level into a beat and have gotten all this behind 944 00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:48,359 Speaker 1: the scenes stuff and some of these things are to 945 00:48:48,480 --> 00:48:51,200 Speaker 1: me as fascinating and interesting and then pulled back the 946 00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:55,560 Speaker 1: curtain on the league as anything about the Brady Craft 947 00:48:55,800 --> 00:49:01,040 Speaker 1: Belichick dynamic. When you're reporting that stuff, how much fun 948 00:49:01,160 --> 00:49:04,239 Speaker 1: is it to get it and know that you have it. 949 00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:06,640 Speaker 1: It's a ton of fun. The NFL is the game 950 00:49:06,960 --> 00:49:09,680 Speaker 1: that fans in America care about the most and they 951 00:49:09,719 --> 00:49:12,959 Speaker 1: know about the least, and so anytime you can sort 952 00:49:12,960 --> 00:49:16,520 Speaker 1: of show how these meetings go, it's awesome. I mean, 953 00:49:17,040 --> 00:49:18,880 Speaker 1: I've been doing it for years, especially with my co 954 00:49:18,960 --> 00:49:21,440 Speaker 1: author Don Van Dada. You know, we did it a 955 00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:24,920 Speaker 1: lot during the anthem protests in twenty seventeen with the 956 00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:27,520 Speaker 1: print with President Trump, and you know that stuff is 957 00:49:27,560 --> 00:49:29,880 Speaker 1: just cool and I really enjoyed. And there's actually a 958 00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:32,960 Speaker 1: really interesting Craft moment that chapter you alluded to was 959 00:49:33,000 --> 00:49:36,520 Speaker 1: during the twenty eleven collective bargaining agreement negotiations where there 960 00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:40,240 Speaker 1: was the lockout and Myra Craft was on her deathbed 961 00:49:40,280 --> 00:49:43,200 Speaker 1: and Robert Craft was leaving Myra to go try to negotiate, 962 00:49:43,320 --> 00:49:46,759 Speaker 1: and she died, and some of the owners at her 963 00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:49,520 Speaker 1: funeral were coming up to the Union chief, to Morris 964 00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:52,560 Speaker 1: Smith and trying to negotiate the deal with him at 965 00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:56,080 Speaker 1: a funeral, and then later they're all in a room together. 966 00:49:56,600 --> 00:49:59,520 Speaker 1: The negotiations are down to offseason workout time. As we 967 00:49:59,560 --> 00:50:02,200 Speaker 1: all know, that's been reduced with almost all of these 968 00:50:02,200 --> 00:50:05,240 Speaker 1: collective art agreements, and so the union wanted to reduce 969 00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:09,000 Speaker 1: it drastically the offseason practice workload. And John Mara, the 970 00:50:09,440 --> 00:50:12,239 Speaker 1: owner of the Giants, protest this and he's like, well, 971 00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:14,080 Speaker 1: the coaches and the gms are going to be pissed 972 00:50:14,120 --> 00:50:16,359 Speaker 1: off about this, and Kraft kind of looks at him 973 00:50:16,400 --> 00:50:18,959 Speaker 1: and he's just like, I'm paraphrasing here. I don't care 974 00:50:19,000 --> 00:50:21,440 Speaker 1: if they're upset. We're not going to kill a deal 975 00:50:21,520 --> 00:50:24,240 Speaker 1: this well because some head coaches and gms are upset 976 00:50:24,280 --> 00:50:27,080 Speaker 1: about offseason practices, and it was kind of a watershed 977 00:50:27,120 --> 00:50:30,080 Speaker 1: moment because the players realized that Robert Kraft was truly 978 00:50:30,080 --> 00:50:33,280 Speaker 1: trying to broke her a deal and took their side 979 00:50:33,320 --> 00:50:36,720 Speaker 1: on a key issue. It's amazing. The whole book is amazing. 980 00:50:37,360 --> 00:50:39,759 Speaker 1: I wanted to do really well, Steph. I would love 981 00:50:39,760 --> 00:50:41,960 Speaker 1: to get your view on the most recent game. Me 982 00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:45,160 Speaker 1: and Chad talked, yes about the Patriots Buccaneers game. There's 983 00:50:45,320 --> 00:50:47,960 Speaker 1: fifty seven seconds left. I believe the Tampa Bay had 984 00:50:47,960 --> 00:50:50,759 Speaker 1: two timeouts. It's fourth and three. He's about to kick 985 00:50:50,760 --> 00:50:53,520 Speaker 1: a fifty six yard field goal. Do you believe Belichick 986 00:50:53,600 --> 00:50:57,279 Speaker 1: fell on his sword? That normal Belichick situations, he goes 987 00:50:57,320 --> 00:50:59,440 Speaker 1: for that. But because of the respect for Brady and 988 00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:01,040 Speaker 1: I kind of like he was setting Brady up for 989 00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:04,640 Speaker 1: that moment. He was really gonna give Brady fifty three 990 00:51:04,719 --> 00:51:07,400 Speaker 1: seconds in that stadium with two time out to go 991 00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:09,560 Speaker 1: down the field and kick a field goal. I would 992 00:51:09,560 --> 00:51:11,120 Speaker 1: love to hear because you're so close to it. I 993 00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:13,200 Speaker 1: would love to see what your view is of. Was 994 00:51:13,480 --> 00:51:16,160 Speaker 1: what was Belichick's thaw process in that final You know 995 00:51:16,280 --> 00:51:19,600 Speaker 1: fourth and three moment. What was he really thinking there? Oh, 996 00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:21,279 Speaker 1: I think he wanted to win the game, and I 997 00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:23,920 Speaker 1: mean he came six inches from winning it. That's obviously 998 00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:26,200 Speaker 1: debated decision at the time. I guess I didn't really 999 00:51:26,239 --> 00:51:28,680 Speaker 1: think about it because, I mean the field goal went 1000 00:51:28,680 --> 00:51:31,440 Speaker 1: off the upright, it was so close to me, Like 1001 00:51:31,440 --> 00:51:34,200 Speaker 1: how close it was kind of validated his decision. It 1002 00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:37,160 Speaker 1: was literally a tsunami. That's why. That's why I thought 1003 00:51:37,160 --> 00:51:39,000 Speaker 1: it was such a bizarre move by him, because, yeah, 1004 00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:41,359 Speaker 1: if it's a nice sunny day kick a fifty six 1005 00:51:41,480 --> 00:51:44,640 Speaker 1: yard it was literally sideways ring. That was That's what 1006 00:51:44,760 --> 00:51:47,000 Speaker 1: was so crazy to me. I love the game. I mean, 1007 00:51:47,040 --> 00:51:49,040 Speaker 1: I thought it was just fascinating to watch those two 1008 00:51:49,080 --> 00:51:52,600 Speaker 1: minds battle against each other on a public stage. It 1009 00:51:52,680 --> 00:51:55,279 Speaker 1: was I mean, Belichick, it reminded me a lot of 1010 00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:57,640 Speaker 1: like the old school, like two thousand and one Patriots, 1011 00:51:57,719 --> 00:52:00,640 Speaker 1: right where you have a pretty good defense, let's teams 1012 00:52:00,640 --> 00:52:03,640 Speaker 1: move the ball, but you know, gets tough in the 1013 00:52:03,680 --> 00:52:05,799 Speaker 1: red zone and forces a lot of these quarterbacks to 1014 00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:08,080 Speaker 1: settle in a lot of these great teams and offenses 1015 00:52:08,120 --> 00:52:10,600 Speaker 1: to settle for field goals, and then on offense, you 1016 00:52:10,640 --> 00:52:12,680 Speaker 1: just kind of have a ball control offense, right, and 1017 00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:15,560 Speaker 1: you're trying to like figure out the geometry of that 1018 00:52:15,719 --> 00:52:18,400 Speaker 1: and throw a screen pass or a short pass every 1019 00:52:18,400 --> 00:52:21,359 Speaker 1: which way you possibly can. None with the fact that, 1020 00:52:21,440 --> 00:52:24,320 Speaker 1: like mac Jones came out, it hit nineteenth straight passes 1021 00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:27,200 Speaker 1: at one point, you know, driving rain like that against 1022 00:52:27,200 --> 00:52:30,399 Speaker 1: the defending Super Bowl champions, And it really took all 1023 00:52:30,440 --> 00:52:35,160 Speaker 1: of Tom Brady, to all of his ingenuity to beat Bill. 1024 00:52:35,280 --> 00:52:37,279 Speaker 1: I mean they had him a couple of times. And 1025 00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:39,600 Speaker 1: now that first down run, that first down and run 1026 00:52:39,640 --> 00:52:42,040 Speaker 1: where he spiled like a little kid, that was that 1027 00:52:42,080 --> 00:52:43,879 Speaker 1: literally summed up that game. To me. It was like, 1028 00:52:44,200 --> 00:52:45,759 Speaker 1: that's how you know how much it meant to both 1029 00:52:45,800 --> 00:52:48,280 Speaker 1: of them. Yeah, his legs ended up kind of winning 1030 00:52:48,320 --> 00:52:50,319 Speaker 1: the game for them. I think the Tampa offensive line 1031 00:52:50,320 --> 00:52:53,280 Speaker 1: played great, but weirdly enough, Brady's forty four year old legs, 1032 00:52:53,480 --> 00:52:55,759 Speaker 1: in his ability to kind of extend plays ended up 1033 00:52:55,800 --> 00:52:57,960 Speaker 1: I think, you know, kind of being the difference. And 1034 00:52:58,480 --> 00:53:00,840 Speaker 1: so I loved it. I loved every of it. I 1035 00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:02,279 Speaker 1: have one more question before we let you go. I 1036 00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:05,279 Speaker 1: one more question. Belichick is so different in this book 1037 00:53:05,320 --> 00:53:07,759 Speaker 1: to me than he is in real life. Right, He's 1038 00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:11,800 Speaker 1: so you know, ogreish and not wanting to communicate and 1039 00:53:11,840 --> 00:53:14,920 Speaker 1: all that kind of stuff. You've got great detail about 1040 00:53:14,920 --> 00:53:17,520 Speaker 1: what it's like to communicate with him one on one, 1041 00:53:17,600 --> 00:53:21,000 Speaker 1: and how he likes to communicate with reporters or when 1042 00:53:21,080 --> 00:53:24,600 Speaker 1: he is at his most unguarded. Reveal some of that 1043 00:53:24,840 --> 00:53:28,200 Speaker 1: right now, and how he communicated directly with you. Yeah, 1044 00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:29,960 Speaker 1: one of the times that I one of the things 1045 00:53:30,000 --> 00:53:31,759 Speaker 1: I loved in the book was just trying to learn 1046 00:53:31,760 --> 00:53:33,719 Speaker 1: about what it's like to work for him, right and 1047 00:53:33,840 --> 00:53:35,759 Speaker 1: you know, these days that started four thirty in the 1048 00:53:35,800 --> 00:53:38,000 Speaker 1: morning and go until eleven at night, in these meetings 1049 00:53:38,040 --> 00:53:41,680 Speaker 1: where he drives the coach is crazy because you know 1050 00:53:41,719 --> 00:53:45,680 Speaker 1: he's he's asking about decisions over and over and over again, 1051 00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:48,360 Speaker 1: and you know they're kind of running out of patience, 1052 00:53:48,800 --> 00:53:51,480 Speaker 1: but you know, he's just making sure that every that 1053 00:53:51,560 --> 00:53:55,240 Speaker 1: there's not any screws loose, and you know, the media 1054 00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:56,960 Speaker 1: was part of that. I thought it was interesting that, 1055 00:53:57,600 --> 00:54:00,799 Speaker 1: you know, I think there was a moment for him 1056 00:54:00,840 --> 00:54:03,000 Speaker 1: maybe in the years after Spygate, where he was really 1057 00:54:03,040 --> 00:54:06,880 Speaker 1: interested in letting people see the staggering depth of knowledge 1058 00:54:06,880 --> 00:54:08,920 Speaker 1: that he had accumulated throughout his career. And so with 1059 00:54:08,960 --> 00:54:11,640 Speaker 1: myself and others. You know, he'd give windows into that, 1060 00:54:11,680 --> 00:54:14,120 Speaker 1: and he would often you know, wait until eleven or 1061 00:54:14,160 --> 00:54:16,600 Speaker 1: eleven thirty, until his workday was done before he would 1062 00:54:16,640 --> 00:54:18,720 Speaker 1: talk to people. Or if he was in his office, 1063 00:54:18,719 --> 00:54:20,600 Speaker 1: he would kick his feet up and take his shoes in, 1064 00:54:20,600 --> 00:54:24,319 Speaker 1: his socks off. And the coaches would talk about that 1065 00:54:24,320 --> 00:54:26,279 Speaker 1: in meetings. How like, sometimes they were in meetings where 1066 00:54:26,280 --> 00:54:30,480 Speaker 1: he was upset about about games or whatever it happened, 1067 00:54:30,520 --> 00:54:32,200 Speaker 1: and he would kick his feet up on the desk 1068 00:54:32,239 --> 00:54:35,040 Speaker 1: and have untied his shoes and have his socks up there, 1069 00:54:35,080 --> 00:54:38,160 Speaker 1: and they're just going like, oh my god, his feet stink. 1070 00:54:38,320 --> 00:54:41,640 Speaker 1: We're in this stuffy room, we're going through the game, 1071 00:54:41,719 --> 00:54:44,560 Speaker 1: a game that we lost, and he is drilling in 1072 00:54:44,640 --> 00:54:48,160 Speaker 1: and critiquing every bad decision that we made. All the 1073 00:54:48,200 --> 00:54:51,000 Speaker 1: food in the cafeteria is gone. We still haven't done 1074 00:54:51,000 --> 00:54:53,840 Speaker 1: our work for the night, and this thing is you know, 1075 00:54:53,880 --> 00:54:56,759 Speaker 1: it's it's almost the beginning of it with hours to 1076 00:54:56,800 --> 00:54:59,280 Speaker 1: go and no end in sight. And you know, so anyway, 1077 00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:01,400 Speaker 1: I just enjoyed kind of like trying to show what 1078 00:55:01,440 --> 00:55:05,120 Speaker 1: it was like to work for him because his football genius. 1079 00:55:05,719 --> 00:55:08,440 Speaker 1: You know, you can't be polite all the time, and 1080 00:55:08,480 --> 00:55:11,759 Speaker 1: you can't be a nice guy all the time to 1081 00:55:12,560 --> 00:55:14,719 Speaker 1: you know, accomplish what he has. I mean, you have 1082 00:55:14,760 --> 00:55:16,879 Speaker 1: to be hard on people and you have to coach 1083 00:55:16,880 --> 00:55:19,120 Speaker 1: them hard and critique them hard, you know, doing it 1084 00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:21,279 Speaker 1: from a perspective that we're all in it together, because, 1085 00:55:21,280 --> 00:55:23,600 Speaker 1: as he said many times, nobody makes more mistakes than 1086 00:55:23,640 --> 00:55:26,480 Speaker 1: he does. Well, listen, it's a great book. That's a 1087 00:55:26,480 --> 00:55:31,480 Speaker 1: great story. It's revealing how inside the book is to 1088 00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:38,920 Speaker 1: Brady Belichick, Craft, the Dynasty, the Mystery Capital are reporting, 1089 00:55:39,160 --> 00:55:43,359 Speaker 1: Seth Wickersham, It's better to be feared. Thanks for joining us, buddy, 1090 00:55:43,400 --> 00:55:46,000 Speaker 1: Thank you guys so much. All Right, this has been 1091 00:55:46,239 --> 00:55:49,279 Speaker 1: the favorite podcast from the Volume podcast network. Guy in 1092 00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:53,560 Speaker 1: Chad Moelman. He's Simon Hunter. Download, subscribe, Apple Podcast, Spotify, 1093 00:55:53,600 --> 00:55:57,319 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts until Tuesday. Love you