WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2024 NFL Week 8 Guessing Lines Show 0:00:00.320 --> 0:00:02.560 Betting on sports can be hard, but hiring Morgan and 0:00:02.560 --> 0:00:05.880 Morgan is easy. Morgan and Morgan is America's largest injury 0:00:05.960 --> 0:00:08.640 law firm. They have over one hundred offices nationwide and 0:00:08.680 --> 0:00:12.000 more than one thousand lawyers. Their fee is free unless 0:00:12.039 --> 0:00:14.600 they win. For more information, go to forour the People 0:00:14.680 --> 0:00:18.000 dot com slash Best Bets, or dial pound law pound 0:00:18.040 --> 0:00:20.239 five two nine from your cell phone. That's f o 0:00:20.400 --> 0:00:23.360 R the People dot com slash best Bets. This is 0:00:23.400 --> 0:00:24.360 a paid advertisement. 0:00:25.920 --> 0:00:31.600 Come check it in, man, and I'm just told this 0:00:31.680 --> 0:00:34.960 story now issos idiots who believe in analytics. 0:00:35.040 --> 0:00:38.599 This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander, gone vis. 0:00:38.720 --> 0:00:40.800 Good Monday morning to you. It is a numbers game 0:00:40.800 --> 0:00:44.360 at Visa, the sports betting network, Visa dot Com. Game plus, iHeartRadio, 0:00:44.600 --> 0:00:46.839 YouTube TV. Every you take it is in. 0:00:46.920 --> 0:00:47.559 We appreciate it. 0:00:47.560 --> 0:00:51.839 It's Gil Alexander, It's Kelly Bedlin, producer number nine, so 0:00:51.920 --> 0:00:53.040 much more than a producer. 0:00:53.120 --> 0:00:55.000 How you doing, man? Do it great? How about you go? 0:00:55.160 --> 0:00:59.000 Well, we just got here months ago. There's this guy 0:00:59.040 --> 0:01:01.520 outside of actually in the place I know, I know 0:01:01.720 --> 0:01:02.560 stopped usn't. 0:01:02.360 --> 0:01:04.679 We forgot a bottle of Larcenai bourbon for me. I 0:01:04.720 --> 0:01:05.800 see yea is. 0:01:05.720 --> 0:01:11.000 He supposed to bring you? So I was promised guessing 0:01:11.080 --> 0:01:14.400 lines for week number eight in the National Football League 0:01:14.440 --> 0:01:16.120 coming up, and Kelly, I don't know about you, but 0:01:16.160 --> 0:01:20.039 week number seven, uh, the hot streak was stopped for me. 0:01:20.800 --> 0:01:23.759 Yeah it was. It was an OK week, but uh, 0:01:23.920 --> 0:01:26.600 when you're in it in circum millions, Gilly better than 0:01:26.640 --> 0:01:27.479 an OK week. 0:01:27.520 --> 0:01:29.080 Okay, I was the whole time I was bigging you 0:01:29.160 --> 0:01:30.520 up at nine and when I was drifting you at 0:01:30.560 --> 0:01:32.520 eight and two taking all my pressure off. 0:01:32.600 --> 0:01:34.880 Yeah, that's subtly what Gil was doing all last week. 0:01:34.920 --> 0:01:38.400 By the way, Kelly is so good at this, and 0:01:38.480 --> 0:01:40.640 I crashed. I got it two and three. 0:01:41.200 --> 0:01:43.679 I went three and two, three and two, and then 0:01:43.720 --> 0:01:46.760 a two and two with the Cardinals pending today. So yeah, 0:01:46.840 --> 0:01:49.160 the Packers got me. That was the one that should 0:01:49.160 --> 0:01:51.000 have won and didn't. And we'll get it all that 0:01:51.160 --> 0:01:53.240 we've done on both entries. Gross. 0:01:53.320 --> 0:01:56.120 Yeah. If you're if you're wondering what this is, guessing lines, 0:01:56.160 --> 0:01:57.680 we do this every week. We've done it for years 0:01:57.720 --> 0:01:59.640 and years. What it is is, Uh, I'm in a cocoon. 0:01:59.680 --> 0:02:01.600 I don't know the lines. This is sort of interactive, 0:02:01.600 --> 0:02:04.920 you're supposed to play along. The first reaction is usually 0:02:05.280 --> 0:02:07.560 the best reaction, not this past week, but usually the 0:02:07.600 --> 0:02:11.080 best reaction to this. We'll go through the games from yesterday. 0:02:11.200 --> 0:02:13.560 We'll take stabs at next week. We'll find out how 0:02:13.560 --> 0:02:15.400 off we are or how close we are to what 0:02:15.440 --> 0:02:17.400 the actual line is, and within that process we look 0:02:17.480 --> 0:02:21.040 to extract value. That's what we do here. First though, 0:02:21.400 --> 0:02:26.040 a Survivor update Circus Survivor after five weeks of michugas 0:02:26.240 --> 0:02:30.400 technical term in two weeks now of just stopping cold, 0:02:31.160 --> 0:02:35.960 five entries last week out of to twenty one, and 0:02:36.000 --> 0:02:39.680 then two entries this week out of two sixteen gone, 0:02:39.880 --> 0:02:42.400 so seven in the last two weeks we got all 0:02:42.400 --> 0:02:45.400 away from fourteen two hundred and sixty six to two 0:02:45.480 --> 0:02:48.000 hundred twenty one in five weeks, and in the last 0:02:48.000 --> 0:02:50.040 two weeks we've gone from two twenty one to two fourteen. 0:02:50.760 --> 0:02:51.440 So there we are. 0:02:52.639 --> 0:02:54.440 We knew it was going to happen at some point, Yes, 0:02:54.520 --> 0:02:54.880 we did. 0:02:55.040 --> 0:02:57.760 Actual intrinsic value of each remaining of the two hundred 0:02:57.760 --> 0:03:01.480 and fourteen remaining is but poo, poo, poo, poop sixty 0:03:01.520 --> 0:03:04.480 six and sixty three dollars and fifty five cents. 0:03:04.560 --> 0:03:06.840 Yeah, still doesn't get any easier to hear every week 0:03:06.919 --> 0:03:08.960 you'l for you, for. 0:03:08.880 --> 0:03:11.239 You and me both. Yes, yeah, only one entry on 0:03:11.280 --> 0:03:13.840 the Falcons won. On the Vikings, those were taken out 0:03:13.880 --> 0:03:17.720 here this past week. Somebody was going for uh so 0:03:17.919 --> 0:03:20.160 someone I don't know what they're you know, we can 0:03:20.200 --> 0:03:23.639 always speculate, right obviously where they're multiple entries. Did they 0:03:23.680 --> 0:03:25.400 think that the other side of those was going to 0:03:25.480 --> 0:03:28.320 be heavily played? I don't think you can make that 0:03:28.400 --> 0:03:30.919 case for either of those, Yeah, Falcons or Viking. So 0:03:30.919 --> 0:03:33.000 I don't know what what was going on with those two. 0:03:33.040 --> 0:03:35.240 But nonetheless, know what, let's put it this way. You 0:03:35.240 --> 0:03:38.600 know what stopped this year? People failing to submit? Have 0:03:38.680 --> 0:03:42.240 you noticed that? Oh? Really, finally, finally we got to 0:03:42.280 --> 0:03:45.040 a year where people figured out, oh this is actually I. 0:03:45.400 --> 0:03:47.120 Feel like we were still ripping on at the beginning 0:03:47.120 --> 0:03:48.680 of the year. But now that we've gotten into the 0:03:49.200 --> 0:03:51.760 real money, people have stopped. I guess, yeah, well maybe 0:03:51.800 --> 0:03:55.400 that's maybe, maybe that's correlated. Maybe because it crashed so quickly, 0:03:56.040 --> 0:03:58.920 it was obvious that you couldn't you know, people who 0:03:58.920 --> 0:04:01.200 are still in that had to be locked in and 0:04:01.240 --> 0:04:05.080 again I'll say it beforehand into week one, I don't 0:04:05.120 --> 0:04:07.880 go crazy over people not submitting because people have lives. 0:04:07.920 --> 0:04:11.920 They forget that they you know, and they're doing thousand. 0:04:12.280 --> 0:04:14.280 They're doing the sign up earlier and earlier. You know 0:04:14.280 --> 0:04:15.720 what I mean. If your you're out here with your 0:04:15.720 --> 0:04:18.200 bros partying in May and then sign up for some 0:04:18.240 --> 0:04:20.880 contests and then completely just forget on it. 0:04:21.160 --> 0:04:23.160 Yeah, I could see that happening. I go the other 0:04:23.200 --> 0:04:24.720 way on the first week. But yeah, good, so at 0:04:24.960 --> 0:04:28.000 at least people are submitting. So again, sixty six thousand strong, 0:04:28.920 --> 0:04:32.000 one thousand dollars per of the remaining two hundred and 0:04:32.000 --> 0:04:35.480 fourteen entries. And now it's time for guessing lines week 0:04:35.560 --> 0:04:40.080 number eight in the National Football League. That's not guessing. 0:04:41.440 --> 0:04:42.719 Not a sickle buy in. 0:04:42.800 --> 0:04:46.560 Week an't killed not a buye Have they ever done 0:04:46.600 --> 0:04:47.039 that before? 0:04:47.200 --> 0:04:48.839 I don't know. Doesn't it feel like a weird week 0:04:48.880 --> 0:04:49.480 for they're not to. 0:04:49.440 --> 0:04:52.039 Be buys Once the buys start, they kind of go 0:04:52.200 --> 0:04:54.040 till the end, right, Yeah, that's interesting. 0:04:54.080 --> 0:04:56.479 There's another one, like I think the week after Thanksgiving. 0:04:56.560 --> 0:04:58.760 Like Thanksgiving, in the week after there's no buy. What 0:04:58.760 --> 0:05:01.360 you're telling me is there was a buy Island, Yes, 0:05:01.640 --> 0:05:04.240 bye island, by island, the bye Island spot. What do 0:05:04.279 --> 0:05:05.560 we get on Thursday? There we go, all right? 0:05:05.600 --> 0:05:10.360 Thursday night Vikings at the Rams. Ooh okay, it's a 0:05:10.360 --> 0:05:12.680 pretty good game. But this is this gives us opportunity 0:05:12.720 --> 0:05:14.120 to talk about a couple of things here with the 0:05:14.920 --> 0:05:20.080 with the respective games. Yesterday, Minnesota loses to Detroit thirty 0:05:20.200 --> 0:05:23.039 one to twenty nine. It would ended up being a 0:05:23.080 --> 0:05:26.200 really dramatic finish in this game. I don't know what 0:05:26.200 --> 0:05:28.360 Detroit was thinking. Early fourth and seven at their own 0:05:28.400 --> 0:05:30.120 thirty three. They faked a punch. 0:05:30.200 --> 0:05:31.000 God, that was so bad. 0:05:31.080 --> 0:05:33.480 Yeah, Jayalen Reeves maybe on fourth and seven only gained 0:05:33.520 --> 0:05:37.040 a yard set up Minnesota. Second play of that drive, 0:05:37.240 --> 0:05:39.840 Aaron Jones in from thirty four, touchdown seven and nothing 0:05:39.839 --> 0:05:42.120 Minnesota early and you're like, what were you doing? Dan 0:05:42.200 --> 0:05:45.320 Galble ten to nothing? Then Vikings and then it was 0:05:45.360 --> 0:05:48.800 the Detroit Lion show. Five plays, sixty nine yards, Gibbs 0:05:48.839 --> 0:05:50.640 in from forty five to make it ten to seven, 0:05:51.400 --> 0:05:53.000 three and out or excuse me, at least a punt 0:05:53.000 --> 0:05:56.239 for Minnesota. Next Detroit drive five plays eighty three yards, 0:05:56.279 --> 0:05:58.720 go off to Saint Brown for thirty five fourteen to 0:05:58.760 --> 0:06:03.240 ten Detroit, and then Darnald under threw a pass badly 0:06:03.279 --> 0:06:06.760 picked by Brian Branch. By the way, Brian Branch, what 0:06:06.880 --> 0:06:10.000 a season he is. Yes, every week he comes up 0:06:10.000 --> 0:06:11.680 in this exercise. 0:06:11.720 --> 0:06:13.040 I mean, that's one of those that would have been 0:06:13.040 --> 0:06:15.839 a ridiculous catch if it was a star wide receiver, 0:06:16.240 --> 0:06:17.840 and he lays out for it's amazing. 0:06:18.040 --> 0:06:20.960 Detroit nine plays seventy two yards Jamirian from eight twenty 0:06:20.960 --> 0:06:23.599 one to ten and a half, and then they started trading. 0:06:23.600 --> 0:06:26.000 At the beginning of the third quarter. Vikings big drive 0:06:26.080 --> 0:06:28.160 Darnald to Jefferson for twenty five. By the way, justin 0:06:28.200 --> 0:06:31.120 Jefferson just as good as ever. Cut it to twenty 0:06:31.200 --> 0:06:33.720 one seventeen, but the Lions right back nine play seventy 0:06:33.800 --> 0:06:36.000 yards go off to Raymond Khalif Raymond for twenty one 0:06:36.200 --> 0:06:38.960 twenty eight seventeen. It would get to twenty eight twenty 0:06:39.000 --> 0:06:41.600 three after a couple of will Reiker field goals. By 0:06:41.640 --> 0:06:44.520 the way, he never misses another nine, Yeah, it doesn't. 0:06:44.839 --> 0:06:47.560 Twenty eight to twenty three Detroit. Then Detroit was so 0:06:47.600 --> 0:06:49.360 that's was six ozh four left in the fourth quarter. 0:06:49.480 --> 0:06:51.919 But Detroit with the ball up five second attend at 0:06:51.960 --> 0:06:54.400 their own thirty, Montgomery hit by Joshua and Tellis he 0:06:54.520 --> 0:06:57.760 fumbles Ivan Pace Junior thirty six yards scoop and score 0:06:58.040 --> 0:07:01.239 two point. Trive fails, but Minnesota as the lead twenty 0:07:01.279 --> 0:07:03.040 nine to twenty eight with five point fifty left, and 0:07:03.080 --> 0:07:06.719 then teams would trade three and outs after that, So 0:07:06.800 --> 0:07:08.719 Minnesota actually had the ball with the lead at one point, 0:07:08.720 --> 0:07:11.240 but they couldn't do anything with it. And then Detroit, 0:07:11.240 --> 0:07:13.160 starting at their own thirty with two thirty two left, 0:07:13.240 --> 0:07:15.080 Jake baits forty four yard field goal thirty one to 0:07:15.080 --> 0:07:18.720 twenty nine with fifteen seconds left that would hold Lions win. 0:07:18.840 --> 0:07:21.920 Let me just ask you this. Noted Vikings fan Will 0:07:22.040 --> 0:07:27.440 Hill thought that the Vikings should have gone for it 0:07:28.840 --> 0:07:31.120 in this ballgame when it was what was it fourth 0:07:31.160 --> 0:07:33.440 and one? I believe was it fourth and one on 0:07:33.480 --> 0:07:35.200 that last three And I don't have to Jake exactly, 0:07:35.320 --> 0:07:38.840 but it was fourth and very short, and he thought 0:07:38.880 --> 0:07:42.200 they should go for it, and even if they failed that, 0:07:42.560 --> 0:07:45.400 even if Detroit scored at that point, there would be 0:07:45.480 --> 0:07:47.480 enough time on the clock for the Vikings to do 0:07:47.520 --> 0:07:49.680 something about it at that point. But instead they go 0:07:49.720 --> 0:07:52.160 ahead and they punt Detroit can milk it and get 0:07:52.160 --> 0:07:53.200 the game winning field goal. 0:07:53.280 --> 0:07:53.440 Yeah. 0:07:53.440 --> 0:07:54.000 I wasn't thinking. 0:07:54.480 --> 0:07:55.520 I didn't think much time. 0:07:55.640 --> 0:07:58.040 Yeah, I'm not gonna say it was the wrong thought, 0:07:58.120 --> 0:08:00.160 I guess. I just it did not stick out to 0:08:00.200 --> 0:08:02.600 me at that moment. Yeah, and nor did it to me. 0:08:02.680 --> 0:08:05.280 Great job missing a two point conversion though, Minnesota we 0:08:05.320 --> 0:08:07.360 needed that one. Yes, we needed that one. So some 0:08:07.360 --> 0:08:08.360 of us needed that one. 0:08:08.880 --> 0:08:11.720 The Brahs more interesting the Rams yesterday they beat the Raiders, 0:08:11.760 --> 0:08:15.160 not that game being interesting because you know that game 0:08:15.200 --> 0:08:19.200 was three to nothing Raiders. And then Minshew picked by 0:08:19.280 --> 0:08:23.080 Kobe Durant in the in the first half we're talking, 0:08:23.160 --> 0:08:25.320 that led to a Rams four play, forty seven yard 0:08:25.440 --> 0:08:28.160 drive kyroen in from thirteen seven to three Rams with 0:08:28.160 --> 0:08:30.679 three minutes left to the second quarter. Then the Raiders 0:08:30.720 --> 0:08:35.080 next drive, Minshew hit by Kobe Durant, fumbles former Skins 0:08:35.120 --> 0:08:37.599 great Cameron Curl with a thirty three yard scoop and 0:08:37.640 --> 0:08:40.240 score fourteen to three Rams. It would be fourteen to 0:08:40.280 --> 0:08:43.000 six of the half, and then what do you know, 0:08:43.280 --> 0:08:45.360 Raiders third and six of their own twenty four Minshew 0:08:45.480 --> 0:08:48.440 picked by Jalen McCullough. That set up the Rams at 0:08:48.480 --> 0:08:51.160 the Raiders twenty six, Xavier Smith for twenty four, kyroen 0:08:51.200 --> 0:08:54.880 In from two, twenty to six Rams Joshua Cardy would 0:08:54.880 --> 0:08:57.600 miss the extra point. So then it got to twenty 0:08:57.640 --> 0:08:59.439 to nine and then twenty to twelve with a couple 0:08:59.480 --> 0:09:02.480 of Carls in field goals. Then Cardy doinked a thirty 0:09:02.480 --> 0:09:04.600 five yard field goal try. So it was still a 0:09:04.600 --> 0:09:06.839 one score game. And here's where it got. 0:09:06.880 --> 0:09:08.320 It said, here we go. 0:09:09.040 --> 0:09:10.800 This has more to do with the Raiders and the Rams, 0:09:10.800 --> 0:09:14.079 so just play along with it. Here Raiders have fourth 0:09:14.160 --> 0:09:16.719 and goals. So the Raiders are down eight, fourth and 0:09:16.880 --> 0:09:20.560 goal at the Rams nine with two fifty left in 0:09:20.600 --> 0:09:24.240 the game. What do you do? Al CoA presents, what 0:09:24.400 --> 0:09:26.280 do you do? I know it's a cola thing, but 0:09:26.320 --> 0:09:28.480 you don't what to talk about. Uh, we'll tell you 0:09:28.480 --> 0:09:31.400 what Antonio Pierce decided to do. He decided to kick 0:09:31.400 --> 0:09:34.480 a field goal Carlson twenty seven yard chip shot field goal. 0:09:34.520 --> 0:09:37.160 Because when you get a chance to cut a one 0:09:37.240 --> 0:09:41.679 score game to a one score game with two fifty left, 0:09:41.960 --> 0:09:43.080 I mean you gotta take that. 0:09:43.320 --> 0:09:46.160 I mean. The weirdest part about it was it was 0:09:46.440 --> 0:09:48.080 or not maybe not the weird The weirdest part is 0:09:48.080 --> 0:09:51.080 what you just described, but it was pass pass pass 0:09:51.720 --> 0:09:55.040 field goal like if you usually go with like, that 0:09:55.080 --> 0:09:56.800 means you're going for it on fourth yeusure. 0:09:56.800 --> 0:09:59.040 The weirdest part about it is that I learned that 0:09:59.040 --> 0:10:02.440 the Raiders have a game management person. Well, of course 0:10:02.480 --> 0:10:05.600 they do, every team should, uh, but apparently theirs was 0:10:05.640 --> 0:10:09.199 out yesterday or something. No, he wasn't to say, because 0:10:09.200 --> 0:10:12.120 if this was your choice, what are we doing? So, 0:10:12.280 --> 0:10:15.040 by the way, they make the field goal rams, they 0:10:15.080 --> 0:10:19.439 do have all three of their timeouts. Kyroen got fourteen. 0:10:19.480 --> 0:10:20.960 They went to the two minute warning, so the Raiders 0:10:21.000 --> 0:10:22.920 still had all three of their timeouts. They do use them, 0:10:22.920 --> 0:10:26.000 they do force a punt, but you end up down 0:10:26.280 --> 0:10:31.000 five at your own eleven with one thirty nine left, 0:10:31.040 --> 0:10:33.560 no timeouts, and then Minshew, by the way, was picked 0:10:33.600 --> 0:10:36.440 again third and ten at eleven by McCullough, and that 0:10:36.559 --> 0:10:38.920 was the ballgame. Katie bar the door. But essentially what 0:10:38.960 --> 0:10:42.400 you did was you traded a fourth and goal at 0:10:42.440 --> 0:10:47.600 the nine, down eight with all three timeouts, four a 0:10:47.880 --> 0:10:50.920 first and ten at your own eleven with no timeouts, 0:10:50.960 --> 0:10:53.920 down five with one thirty nine left, and you can 0:10:53.920 --> 0:10:56.079 say to yourself. Hey, but Gillet, it worked out. They 0:10:56.160 --> 0:10:58.240 used their three timeouts and so they did get the 0:10:58.280 --> 0:11:01.480 ball back. Yeah, but there was no gear. First of all, 0:11:01.480 --> 0:11:03.760 there was no guarantee that it was going to work. 0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:05.199 That worked out perfectly. 0:11:05.320 --> 0:11:08.000 It worked out perfectly for them, right, so they got 0:11:08.040 --> 0:11:10.079 over a part that they had to get over. It 0:11:10.200 --> 0:11:12.440 still worked out for them. But the trade then is 0:11:12.480 --> 0:11:17.320 still again, take one shot at nine yards, yes, and 0:11:17.320 --> 0:11:18.880 then a two point conversion to try to tie it 0:11:19.360 --> 0:11:21.480 versus Yeah, we'll take it all the way back and 0:11:21.480 --> 0:11:23.440 we get to win this time though if we get there. 0:11:24.000 --> 0:11:25.600 You know, that's the trade off. We get to win 0:11:25.640 --> 0:11:27.160 if we score a touch, But you still have to 0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:29.800 go eighty nine yards with no timeouts. And there is 0:11:29.880 --> 0:11:33.280 nothing about your offense quite frankly, that suggests that this 0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:34.720 is a good proposition. 0:11:34.920 --> 0:11:38.640 Yes, correct, And I mean Minshew filling in in that game, Yes, 0:11:38.920 --> 0:11:41.600 there's nothing. That was the perfect example though, Like, why 0:11:41.679 --> 0:11:43.400 why do you always go for it there? 0:11:43.480 --> 0:11:43.600 Right? 0:11:43.640 --> 0:11:46.400 It's because it played out exactly the best. 0:11:46.160 --> 0:11:49.040 Win could have, unlike the Vikings thing. In real time. 0:11:49.080 --> 0:11:51.920 I was losing my mind on this, as everyone does. Yeah, 0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:54.360 that was really anyway, that's the Raiders that's later Minnesota 0:11:54.400 --> 0:11:56.400 at the Rams, I said, Minnesota minus three and. 0:11:56.320 --> 0:11:58.400 A half, Yeah, a little high. Right now it is 0:11:58.960 --> 0:12:01.679 three on the open are pretty much everywhere in LA 0:12:02.440 --> 0:12:04.840 all interesting. Thank he's taking money though right now so 0:12:04.960 --> 0:12:07.360 juiced threes. I think Chrissy would say, I like your 0:12:07.440 --> 0:12:10.440 number better at that. We'll come back. We're guessing lines. 0:12:10.480 --> 0:12:11.839 We'll get the Sunday's games for. 0:12:11.880 --> 0:12:14.080 Week eight in the National Football League right here on 0:12:14.120 --> 0:12:16.439 a Numbers game at vis these Sports Betting Network. 0:12:28.080 --> 0:12:31.360 Numbers game on Sports Betting Network. 0:12:31.480 --> 0:12:34.000 Back on a Numbers game live from Circu Resort Casino, 0:12:34.040 --> 0:12:37.720 downtown Las Vegas, Kill Alexander. It's my buddy, Kelly Biddley. Everybody, 0:12:37.840 --> 0:12:45.640 Kelly Biddley there he is. He's waving way Dodgers Yankees 0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:48.439 after all. Huh yeah, yeah, I believe that. 0:12:48.600 --> 0:12:50.000 I mean, I can't wait for it. Yeah. 0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:51.880 I said that every time I said, this is the 0:12:51.920 --> 0:12:53.960 one year to do all these different matchups, and then 0:12:53.960 --> 0:12:56.559 I would end it always by saying, watch it'll be the. 0:12:56.640 --> 0:12:58.960 Game if you if you just bet like ten dollars 0:12:59.000 --> 0:13:00.760 on the on the exact matchup. 0:13:00.760 --> 0:13:02.040 Every time I said that. 0:13:02.120 --> 0:13:04.160 Yeah, no, I guess who didn't do that? 0:13:04.160 --> 0:13:06.319 That'd be me. We get tweets at beating the book. 0:13:06.440 --> 0:13:09.679 Bob c Dash one thirty seven sounds like a city ordinance. 0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:13.520 He says, got killed by the hook this weekend, anyone else, 0:13:13.880 --> 0:13:15.960 These lines are getting tighter and tighter. 0:13:15.920 --> 0:13:17.680 Las Vegas five to one, four yo. 0:13:18.160 --> 0:13:19.960 Have you ever gotten that heart in your throat feeling 0:13:20.200 --> 0:13:22.920 I did yesterday when our quarterback went out. Let me 0:13:22.960 --> 0:13:25.760 tell you a sheesh. Let's dust off the old flackjack 0:13:25.800 --> 0:13:28.120 and get ready for Chicago. He's obviously referring to Jade 0:13:28.120 --> 0:13:31.680 and Daniels of the DC Skins, who uh, Can I 0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:34.160 be honest with you because everybody was I appreciate everybody 0:13:34.240 --> 0:13:36.640 checking in on my mental health yesterday after this. This 0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:39.240 was always the you know, Jayden Daniels with the RG 0:13:39.360 --> 0:13:41.679 three vibes, and part of the RG three vibes is 0:13:41.720 --> 0:13:44.360 also worried that Jade and Daniels is gonna get hurt. 0:13:44.600 --> 0:13:47.320 And RGIE three's first injury the year that he blew 0:13:47.320 --> 0:13:49.960 out his knee in the playoffs against Seattle was actually 0:13:49.960 --> 0:13:52.920 a sprain knee against Baltimore. So if whatever happened to 0:13:53.000 --> 0:13:55.160 him yesterday, and we don't know exactly, we don't think 0:13:55.160 --> 0:13:58.600 it's broken based on all sort of indications X ray's negative, 0:13:58.720 --> 0:14:02.720 X raysed negatives. Yes, ray negative, but undergoing more tests 0:14:02.720 --> 0:14:04.480 today apparently. Yeah, I don't know what all that, so 0:14:04.480 --> 0:14:07.520 we don't know completely what the extent is. But weirdly 0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:10.000 I sort of related that that to RG three and 0:14:10.080 --> 0:14:13.240 felt good that, Okay, if this is the injury he gets, 0:14:13.679 --> 0:14:16.080 we got away with one, right, Like that's the that's 0:14:16.120 --> 0:14:18.040 the PTSD I have about it. 0:14:18.160 --> 0:14:20.960 Yeah, it's It's really interesting because it just left me 0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:24.640 thinking yesterday of how many times we've warned about thinner, 0:14:24.720 --> 0:14:27.760 smaller quarterbacks this stuff happening to and then like Lamar 0:14:27.880 --> 0:14:31.720 Jackson has somehow like basically gone on skates for so 0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:33.400 much of his career through this stuff. 0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:35.920 He hasn't. He hasn't, right, but he has mostly guy 0:14:36.000 --> 0:14:38.720 and large. Yeah, it's luck of the draw man, but eventually, 0:14:39.280 --> 0:14:42.120 eventually it'll get you. Riley grannin the idea of an 0:14:42.120 --> 0:14:45.600 apolitical betting segment with Gil's show here two weeks prior 0:14:45.600 --> 0:14:49.160 to election, seems impossible better to explain where US betters 0:14:49.160 --> 0:14:52.760 can participate difference in poll slash election model slash betting markets, 0:14:52.760 --> 0:14:55.160 and then have two guests taking different positions. It seems 0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:57.840 like Riley, seems like Riley does want to want a segment. 0:14:57.880 --> 0:15:00.960 He goes on to say other potential elections betting topics 0:15:00.960 --> 0:15:04.280 for Gil one bipolar nature of national polls or sustate poles, 0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:07.000 lack of high quality public state polling. Two why betting 0:15:07.040 --> 0:15:10.680 on trends, polling historical results results makes sense in election betting, 0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:14.040 and three manipulation of betting markets. That third one, how 0:15:14.040 --> 0:15:17.160 about manipulation of polling? Also, this is gonna be fascinating. 0:15:19.000 --> 0:15:20.320 Talk yourself into it. 0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:22.040 Sounds like you sounds like you want to be on 0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:25.280 Ben Handorf Gilly regarding the megapod discussion, I would love 0:15:25.280 --> 0:15:27.800 to see a video version. Audio downloads be damned. I'd 0:15:27.840 --> 0:15:29.840 particularly love to see the veins popping out of your 0:15:29.840 --> 0:15:32.640 forehead yelling at Todd to stop interrupting, and seeing the 0:15:32.680 --> 0:15:34.840 guests face during this would also be great. 0:15:36.000 --> 0:15:38.560 Oh yeah, the guess what is classic? 0:15:38.600 --> 0:15:40.640 What are you talking about? I don't get frustrated at 0:15:40.640 --> 0:15:42.320 all with Todd Gills at. 0:15:42.280 --> 0:15:44.440 Lee's used to it. It is the guest face is 0:15:44.480 --> 0:15:46.560 always uh, that's always the one to watch out. 0:15:46.720 --> 0:15:48.680 Todd has never met a sentence of mind that he 0:15:48.720 --> 0:15:51.000 doesn't feel like he has something more important to say, 0:15:51.000 --> 0:15:54.360 and that should be ended prematurely. Sam Ginsberg, you guys 0:15:54.360 --> 0:15:56.280 are being very unfair to the Raiders coaches. They were 0:15:56.280 --> 0:15:58.520 actually planning on winning with three field goals in the 0:15:58.600 --> 0:16:00.240 last two fifty. 0:16:00.640 --> 0:16:03.520 I mean, hey, there's all the Vegas jokes, right, great 0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:07.920 Las Vegas coach there, Gil covers the spread work. I'm 0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:10.080 working up the courage if I run into coach at 0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:10.840 the building to. 0:16:10.960 --> 0:16:15.120 Say something, Yeah, God, good luck on that one. Hey, coach, 0:16:16.120 --> 0:16:18.920 can we jet how about these mints? Huh? 0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:20.560 You know what I would say to a great job 0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:23.840 of Brock Bowers, coach, That's true, you really coached Bok. 0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:25.760 Wow, he's your best receiver. Right? 0:16:25.920 --> 0:16:26.200 All right? 0:16:26.240 --> 0:16:26.680 What's next? 0:16:26.680 --> 0:16:30.240 All right? Sunday, early slate, No London, no overseas games 0:16:30.520 --> 0:16:35.040 this week. This is one pm Eastern Eagles at Bengals. 0:16:35.200 --> 0:16:37.160 Eagles crush the Giants. I mean, I don't know how 0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:39.880 much of this. Where does Eagles goods start an end 0:16:39.880 --> 0:16:42.480 and where does Giants bad starting in? I don't know. 0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:45.680 Twenty eight to three Eagles. Eagles roll the Giants. 0:16:45.680 --> 0:16:47.680 It was kind of like it was just a punt 0:16:47.720 --> 0:16:49.800 fest early and then Philly. 0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:51.680 But by the way, this it was a sacrifice all 0:16:51.720 --> 0:16:54.200 the quarterbacks. Yeah, we're watching red zone at all. Oh, yes, 0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:56.160 it's like the craziest red zone game I've ever seen. 0:16:56.200 --> 0:16:58.440 In the first half, it was zero zero in the 0:16:58.480 --> 0:17:01.880 first quarter and both quarterback had already been sacked three 0:17:01.920 --> 0:17:05.000 times each. I'm not making that wild. Philly then went 0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:07.560 five play seventy four yards Saquon in from three. That 0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:10.000 was set up by Saquon for fifty five or as 0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:12.200 Scott Hansen calls him, siquan. 0:17:13.240 --> 0:17:14.880 I did not catch that all day. 0:17:15.000 --> 0:17:16.439 I didn't know it was Brown's that way, but all 0:17:16.440 --> 0:17:20.480 he's like a sequan. Seven to nothing Philly second quarter, 0:17:20.640 --> 0:17:22.840 like eight to fifty eight left second quarter, then g 0:17:23.040 --> 0:17:25.679 then the fourth sack of Daniel Jones. Philly got the 0:17:25.680 --> 0:17:27.800 ball back fourth and three at the Giants forty one 0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:30.920 Hurts to Brown for all of it fourteen to nothing 0:17:31.000 --> 0:17:34.080 Philly and the route was on. Jones then got sacked 0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:36.879 a fifth time. Hurts got sacked a fourth time. This 0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:39.600 is still in the first half. Giants, we get a 0:17:39.640 --> 0:17:42.399 touchdown nullified off of a PI and they would have 0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:44.199 to settle for a Joseph thirty eight yard field goal 0:17:44.240 --> 0:17:46.600 fourteen to three at the half. Then in the second half, 0:17:46.640 --> 0:17:48.920 Philly ten play seventy seven yards Hurts in from one 0:17:48.960 --> 0:17:51.840 on a on a Touks bush set up by a 0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:55.040 Sequan thirty eight yards scamper earlier twenty one to three, 0:17:55.320 --> 0:17:58.240 and then Jones was sacked for a sixth time, Sequan 0:17:58.320 --> 0:18:01.480 for forty one to start the drive the revenge sequon game. 0:18:02.000 --> 0:18:02.600 Yeah, that's right. 0:18:03.040 --> 0:18:05.119 Spread a ten play ninety two yard drive, Hurts in 0:18:05.160 --> 0:18:07.119 on another Tilkens push fourth and goal from the one, 0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:07.920 twenty eight to three. 0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:09.080