1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:04,440 Speaker 1: Boomer bust Welcome to the Fantasy Pros podcast. It's me 2 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:07,520 Speaker 1: Joey b Joe Pi Zapia, and with me is Derek 3 00:00:07,560 --> 00:00:12,280 Speaker 1: Brown and Andrew Erickson. Today we're gonna talk about wide receivers, 4 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,320 Speaker 1: what could go right and what could go not so 5 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:18,120 Speaker 1: right right here on the podcast. And again, make sure 6 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 1: you subscribe to the YouTube channel Fantasy Pros, and make 7 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:23,320 Speaker 1: sure you also ring the belt to the ghost ding 8 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 1: so you never miss a piece of content here on 9 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 1: the channel. I hope I have your attention with that 10 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: boom er bust up. Sorry to be so dramatic, but look, 11 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:34,839 Speaker 1: we live in very, very delicate times, and there's a 12 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:37,919 Speaker 1: moment in every person's life when you have to make 13 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: a decision on a wide receiver in draft. And I 14 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 1: want you all to make the right decision. That's it, 15 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 1: That's all I want you to do. So let's start 16 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 1: here with the Booms, all right. So when I think 17 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 1: about the Booms, I think about Derek Brown and his 18 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 1: loud Southern voice. So let's talk about the boom wide 19 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,959 Speaker 1: receiver that you're looking for potentially in twenty twenty six. 20 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 1: Who is it, Derek Brown, He's. 21 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 2: Either gonna be Boom or bus Joey to Mecca Buca 22 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 2: and we can go back to last year table two seasons. 23 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 2: We all know what happened Weeks one through five, wide 24 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 2: receiver three and fantasy points per game well, and then 25 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:11,959 Speaker 2: he had the hamstring issue. In week six through eighteen, 26 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 2: he fell apart. Baker Mayfield fell apart. He was the 27 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:17,400 Speaker 2: wide receiver fifty five and fantasy points per game. Volume 28 00:01:17,480 --> 00:01:22,039 Speaker 2: was still there, just productivity fantasy points not so much. 29 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 3: So. 30 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:25,760 Speaker 2: Which version of a Mecca book are we getting? I'm 31 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 2: closer to thinking that he is going to boom. I 32 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 2: think that the entire passing attack is set up to 33 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:33,759 Speaker 2: where he is going to be the focal point of it. 34 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 2: The question is real, what does Chris Godwin have left 35 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 2: in the tank at this point in his career? So 36 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 2: I'm more closer to boom for a Mecca Buka. But 37 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 2: I'm curious where you guys are. 38 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 1: I'm boom as well. I think a Mecca Buka is 39 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: going to have a great season. I think you saw 40 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 1: the beginning pathway to it. Yes, it did help to 41 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 1: have Mike Evans there. I also think Chris Godwin, if healthy, 42 00:01:55,560 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 1: is not to be dismissed in this offense. I do 43 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:00,640 Speaker 1: think we get a big year at Baker Maye here. 44 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: I think he does show up in a big way 45 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 1: and he gets back to what he was doing a 46 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 1: couple of years ago. But I will say this, I 47 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 1: understand why people are concerned about the upside of a 48 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:12,920 Speaker 1: mechag Buca because the first six weeks were so great 49 00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 1: and the rest of the season was not so great. 50 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:17,519 Speaker 1: But Andrew, I think I'm going to bet on the talent. 51 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 1: This is another wide receiver, you guy. I mean, I 52 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 1: think that we've seen enough Ohio State guys really just 53 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:25,959 Speaker 1: take this league over at wide receiver. To buy in 54 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: on the boom of a Mecca, how about you. 55 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 3: Andrew, I'm buying in on the boom the breakout potential 56 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 3: from Egbuco because we saw the ceiling to start the 57 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:36,400 Speaker 3: year when everybody was healthy on the Buccaneers. The injuries 58 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 3: kind of derailed everything, not just him, it was the 59 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 3: offensive line's Baker Mayfield. Nobody was good for the Buccaneers 60 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 3: in the second half of the season for the most part. 61 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:47,640 Speaker 3: So I like buying into Egbuca because you think back 62 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 3: to his prospect profile coming out of Ohio state. He 63 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 3: was kind of projected to be this maybe not a 64 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 3: ceiling guy, but a really high floor player that is 65 00:02:54,560 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 3: just going to catch one hundred balls every single year. 66 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 3: So I think that last year was he showed the ceiling. 67 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 3: And that's what I care about the most because I 68 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 3: think that his talent is going to raise the floor 69 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 3: for him. You have vacated targets without Mike Evans anymore 70 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,400 Speaker 3: in the lineup, so I like a Buka lot. I 71 00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 3: think that he's going to smash and he is a 72 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:14,519 Speaker 3: second year primed breakout player. 73 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:18,960 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about boom wide receivers from your perspective, Andrew, 74 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 1: who's in the boom boom room. 75 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 3: Jamison Williams is definitely on the presidence chair of the 76 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 3: boom or Bust wide receiver club because nobody was more 77 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 3: boom er bust than he was last season. He had 78 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 3: the highest bus rate among any receiver that finished inside 79 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 3: the top twenty last season. First half of the year, 80 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 3: weeks one through seven, he was outside the top fifty 81 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 3: wide receivers. He was getting dropped in several different leagues. 82 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 3: I remember I strategically dropped him and then pick him 83 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 3: up because when it changed right, Dan Campbell took over 84 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 3: as the offensive play caller, and that's when we saw 85 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:52,840 Speaker 3: James Willimings really cook in the second half of the season. 86 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 3: What also helped him see more targets in the lines 87 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 3: offense was Sam Laporta was also put on injured reserve 88 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 3: midway through the season, and that's when you really saw 89 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 3: Jamison Williams take off. So this is where I get 90 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 3: concerned about him as more of a bust potential in 91 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 3: twenty twenty six versus a boom because of the two 92 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 3: factors I just laid out. Dan Campbell again is not 93 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:17,040 Speaker 3: calling place. It's Drew Petsying, so he's not John Morton. 94 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 3: So it's still possible that he does involve Jameson Williams 95 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:22,280 Speaker 3: more on the offense and just the offense overall has 96 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:25,119 Speaker 3: better play calling, So that does work in Jameson Williams favor. 97 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 3: But Sam Laporta being back and healthy, presuming from this 98 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:33,120 Speaker 3: back injury, what we saw last year the splits with 99 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 3: Jamison Williams. His points per game in full PPR fell 100 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:40,159 Speaker 3: off by more than four points per game when Sam 101 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:42,720 Speaker 3: Laporta was in the lineup, and who is really good 102 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 3: and Drew petsing offense. Last year with Arizona, this guy 103 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 3: talked about I guess that I buried on the polarizing 104 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 3: players show earlier or make your break show Trey McBride. 105 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 3: So if this is a more tight end centric offensive 106 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 3: passing game, maybe that hurts Jamison Williams and he continues 107 00:04:57,640 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 3: to be really boom or busts. Yes, he's gonna have 108 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 3: games where he's going to score thirty points. He's gonna 109 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 3: have monster performances, but he's also gonna have games where 110 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:06,920 Speaker 3: he disappears and kills you in your lineup. So for me, 111 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 3: just based on those two main factors of a new 112 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:12,479 Speaker 3: play caller and Samo Porter being back, Eileen George James 113 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 3: Willims being more of a bust than a boom in 114 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 3: twenty twenty six. 115 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about another wide receiver. DJ Moore 116 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 1: Debro obviously a very steady veteran wide receiver. He's playing 117 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 1: with Josh Allen, the best quarterback he's ever played with 118 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:26,719 Speaker 1: is his career by a country mile in my opinion, 119 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 1: So are we looking at him to be a boom 120 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: or a bust in twenty twenty six? 121 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 2: I think he is going to be a boom for 122 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:37,279 Speaker 2: what it's worth, I agree wholeheartedly with Ericsson with JMO 123 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 2: being a bust. By the way, Dj Moore, I'm closer 124 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 2: to him being a boom. And I understand a lot 125 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 2: of the counting stats. The fact that he was wide 126 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:47,480 Speaker 2: receiver forty one and fantasy points per game, he had 127 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 2: a fourteen point three percent target cheer one point three 128 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 2: three yards per route run. None of that's good. I 129 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:55,719 Speaker 2: think a lot of that comes back to it's Caleb 130 00:05:55,760 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 2: Williams conversation, the areas of the field. How many weapons 131 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 2: could Caleb support throughout the season. And honestly, if you 132 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 2: look at just the totality of that season last year, 133 00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 2: there wasn't anybody in that offense outside of the running 134 00:06:09,440 --> 00:06:12,280 Speaker 2: backs that were consistent in that offense week to week 135 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:14,520 Speaker 2: as far as the receiving weapons. But what gives me 136 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 2: hope in that djmore can go back to being what 137 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:21,560 Speaker 2: we saw at previous stages of his career with Joe 138 00:06:21,600 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 2: Brady as well, is the fact that last year, amongst 139 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 2: one hundred and nine qualifying wide receivers, he was forty 140 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 2: seventh forty ninth in separation score and route win rate. 141 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:32,560 Speaker 2: You look at that sample, even zooming in further as 142 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 2: an outside perimeter wide receiver, which I think in the 143 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 2: Buffalo offense, he's going to be a seventy to eighty 144 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:42,520 Speaker 2: percent outside perimeter wide receiver. In that same sample, he 145 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:45,160 Speaker 2: was thirty six in separation twenty ninth in route win rate. 146 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:47,599 Speaker 2: So you look at the deeper metrics. 147 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 1: While a lot of. 148 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:51,400 Speaker 2: The surface level stuff doesn't paint a pretty picture for 149 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 2: DJ Moore, the deeper stuff says, Okay, he still got talent, 150 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:57,359 Speaker 2: he can get open. They don't make the move for 151 00:06:57,440 --> 00:07:00,719 Speaker 2: djmore this offseason. If one, they think he's cooked, giving 152 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:04,400 Speaker 2: up what they gave up in two with this offense, 153 00:07:04,600 --> 00:07:06,840 Speaker 2: needing to go back to They need a guy they 154 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 2: can lean on. They need a step on Diggs in 155 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:11,480 Speaker 2: this offense, and they think the DJ Moore can be 156 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 2: that this year, and I agree with them. 157 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:17,239 Speaker 1: I'm buying into the DJ Moore boom. But it seems 158 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 1: like the ECR isn't Andrew floating around, And I'm not 159 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 1: sure why. Maybe you have a different take, maybe you're 160 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 1: not pro DJ Moore, but it feels like the number 161 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 1: one wide receiver for an MVP quarterback should be somebody 162 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 1: that people want to invest in. And it's funny because 163 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:36,000 Speaker 1: nobody wanted to invest in James Cook last year except me, 164 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:39,160 Speaker 1: And I'm like, well, he's in the Bills offense. They're 165 00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 1: gonna score points. I think we want guys on offenses 166 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 1: that score points and move the football with an MVP quarterback. 167 00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:46,840 Speaker 1: So what am I missing here with DJ Moore? Well? 168 00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 3: What is his ECR because I think it's a little 169 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 3: bit different too from what his ADP is, because I'm 170 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 3: pretty sure his ADP is around top twenty twenty one two. 171 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: Is PPR his ECR trimes and is fun to say 172 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 1: it is the twenty eighth wide receiver. 173 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:06,520 Speaker 3: Off four, so ECR is a little bit lower, So 174 00:08:06,600 --> 00:08:10,440 Speaker 3: I'm more in line with closer to the ADP bestall ADP. 175 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 2: By the way, he is wide receiver twenty three, so 176 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 2: best ball drafters are putting more respect on his name, 177 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:15,520 Speaker 2: by the way. 178 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 3: So and I think that's chasing the upside case of Okay, 179 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 3: don't overthink it. He's playing with the best quarterback of 180 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 3: his career. Right if you had just made that simple 181 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 3: analysis last year with George Pickens and Dak Prescott, Okay, 182 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 3: sick top five wide receiver like that's the result you got. 183 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:31,360 Speaker 3: So I like leaning more into that case with DJ Moore, 184 00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:35,199 Speaker 3: while also acknowledging that, hey, sometimes this Stewberry offense doesn't 185 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 3: just funnel through one guy. I still think if healthy 186 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 3: Dalton King Kate can also be a big factor of 187 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:41,679 Speaker 3: this offense. We know Shakiir is going to be involved 188 00:08:41,880 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 3: as a reliable asset for Josh Allen, but I think 189 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 3: the floor is highing up with DJ Moore just based 190 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 3: on his body of work. That worst case scenario. Okay, 191 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:52,240 Speaker 3: he's a wide receiver three. You know, it's not like 192 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:54,679 Speaker 3: a huge loss if you draft overdraft that a little bit. 193 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 3: But at the chance that he does boom in a 194 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 3: big way, like debro outlined, yeah, I would, I like 195 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 3: to say I'm more in on Dj more than out. 196 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about a guy who's a little 197 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: bit higher in the expert consensus rankings. Mike Evans, another 198 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 1: wide receiver, finds melf in a new place for the 199 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: first time ever. Actually now he finds himself with the 200 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: San Francisco forty nine ers. So obviously we know what 201 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:17,319 Speaker 1: the boom potential is. He's a Hall of Fame wide receiver. 202 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:19,839 Speaker 1: He's all time great, right, he's winning that conversation the 203 00:09:20,040 --> 00:09:23,520 Speaker 1: model of consistency. But he's an older player. He's had 204 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 1: some hamstring issues in his career. He's had more of 205 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 1: them lately. So is he a boom or a bust? 206 00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 1: And which way are you going? Are you drafting Mike 207 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: Evans or you're passing on a manager? 208 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:35,679 Speaker 3: I really think that this requires the most nuanced that 209 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 3: of all the players we've talked about, where I think 210 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 3: he booms and busts all in the same year. Where 211 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 3: you want to draft Mike Evans. You want to take 212 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 3: advantage of him while he's healthy, scoring a bunch of touchdowns, 213 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:48,040 Speaker 3: and then when your trade deadline's coming up, you got 214 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:49,839 Speaker 3: to be like, all right, I know this hamster. He's 215 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 3: gonna pop sooner rather than later. And then you've got 216 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 3: to move on from this particular player because I love 217 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 3: buying into the upside case of him. It's so easy 218 00:09:57,400 --> 00:09:59,680 Speaker 3: to see, Okay, this is this year's Devonte Adams, right, 219 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:02,640 Speaker 3: score a boatload of touchdowns. Rock Purty was second in 220 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:05,280 Speaker 3: the NFL in passing touchdowns per game last season. Mike 221 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 3: Evans was put on this earth to score touchdowns and 222 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:11,120 Speaker 3: go for over one thousand receiving yards. So in last 223 00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:13,360 Speaker 3: year when he was healthy on the field, he was 224 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 3: a target hawk twenty eight percent target rate perrett run. 225 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 3: That was eight highs at the position. But it was 226 00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 3: a limited sample size because he missed so many games 227 00:10:20,520 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 3: because of hamstring injury. Also had this weird classical injury 228 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:26,320 Speaker 3: which I'm not really worried about long term, but thirty 229 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:29,400 Speaker 3: three years old, he only had one game last year 230 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:31,200 Speaker 3: where he went over one hundred yards. He only had 231 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 3: one game where he had sixty receiving yards. Ricky Pearsall 232 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 3: had more games of sixty or more receiving yards last 233 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 3: year than Mike Evans did, so I still think he 234 00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:42,080 Speaker 3: commands a lot of defensive attention, which is why he 235 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 3: is very boom or bust even when he is healthy, 236 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:46,200 Speaker 3: because teams are worried about Mike Evans because he can 237 00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 3: still ball out, so they throw a lot of defense 238 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:50,200 Speaker 3: attention in his way. And sometimes he has games where 239 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 3: even in his prime, he would have games where he 240 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:54,520 Speaker 3: wouldn't do a lot in a particular week, but he 241 00:10:54,520 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 3: can offer a week winning upside, which is why I 242 00:10:56,800 --> 00:10:58,840 Speaker 3: like him a lot. But I also want to acknowledge 243 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:00,800 Speaker 3: that he comes with a lot of and I think 244 00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:03,520 Speaker 3: it's important to highlight in the projections we have on 245 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:06,839 Speaker 3: the site from Mike Clay, He's wide receiver thirty eight 246 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:10,080 Speaker 3: in the projections, kind of like forecasting. What can go 247 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:12,160 Speaker 3: wrong with Mike Evans when you're drafting is a locked 248 00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 3: and loaded top twenty four guy. This may not sustain 249 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:17,840 Speaker 3: for the entire twenty twenty six season for a much 250 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:20,240 Speaker 3: older player at thirty three years old playing on a 251 00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:22,240 Speaker 3: new team. Right, He's never played with Rock Prairie before, 252 00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:24,199 Speaker 3: so this is all a new environment for him. So 253 00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 3: I know that we all like to get excited about 254 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 3: greener pastures, sometimes the grass isn't always greener, especially when 255 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 3: you're going from Tampa Bay to Santa Clara. 256 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:36,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, he did miss significant time last year. We all 257 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:37,680 Speaker 1: know that, but it is. 258 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:40,120 Speaker 2: The most of that was the collarbone, not a hamstring, 259 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:41,360 Speaker 2: but that was the collarbone. 260 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:42,240 Speaker 1: You're right, you're right. 261 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 3: So the Hampshire has happened every year he literally misses 262 00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 3: the game. 263 00:11:46,800 --> 00:11:48,840 Speaker 1: Going back, talk talk to me about Evans. Where are 264 00:11:48,880 --> 00:11:51,240 Speaker 1: you at? Are you some to Andrew's point, are you 265 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 1: drafting and trading him or are you drafting him and 266 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:54,920 Speaker 1: keeping him? Or are you just fading them all together. 267 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:57,240 Speaker 2: I'm drafting him, and I think he's gonna boom. I 268 00:11:57,240 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 2: think he's gonna boom in this offense because the Mike 269 00:12:00,280 --> 00:12:02,440 Speaker 2: Evans problem was not a Mike Evans problem last year, 270 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:04,199 Speaker 2: and it's not because he's washed. It was a Baker 271 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:06,319 Speaker 2: Mayfield problem. If you look at all of the things 272 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:09,160 Speaker 2: that Mike Evans could control, Mike Evans was still freaking 273 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:12,400 Speaker 2: awesome last year. Like uh, he earned a twenty four 274 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:14,720 Speaker 2: point four percent target chare, He got a thirty point 275 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 2: six percent first read cheer. He got zero point one 276 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:19,520 Speaker 2: one six first downs per route run. All of those 277 00:12:19,559 --> 00:12:22,800 Speaker 2: metrics were thirteenth best amongst a hundred nine qualifying wide receivers. 278 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,760 Speaker 2: You look even deeper, he was second best in separation 279 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:29,800 Speaker 2: score and route win rate. The problem for Mike Evans, 280 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 2: and to Andrew's point, was the fact that Baker Mayfield 281 00:12:32,960 --> 00:12:35,560 Speaker 2: could hit the broadside of a damn barne. Evans had 282 00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:39,440 Speaker 2: a seventy point nine percent catchable target rate amongst those 283 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 2: one hundred and nine wide receivers, that was eighty fourth. 284 00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 2: So the things that Mike Evans can control, earning targets, 285 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:50,520 Speaker 2: winning in his routes he was still doing. And by 286 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:52,679 Speaker 2: the way, with Mike Evans, for all the injury stuff 287 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 2: since twenty twenty, he's played at least fourteen games and 288 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:58,400 Speaker 2: every single freaking season, so some of the injury stuff 289 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 2: also kind of gets overblown. And we're talking about Mike Evans. 290 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 1: All right, fair enough, everybody, what are you doing with 291 00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:07,080 Speaker 1: Mike Evans? You drafted him, you traded him, you keeping 292 00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 1: them all year? What's your plan? Drop your comments below, 293 00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:11,960 Speaker 1: subscribe to the YouTube channel here Fantasy Pros, and of course, 294 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:14,480 Speaker 1: don't forget use the tools. Don't be a tool. Draft 295 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:16,240 Speaker 1: Assistant is here to make sure that you can get 296 00:13:16,520 --> 00:13:20,640 Speaker 1: all these players that you want onto your leagues. Busts, booms, 297 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:23,440 Speaker 1: whatever you think is best for your roster here and 298 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 1: how you want to build that roster. Practice building your 299 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:28,920 Speaker 1: roster with the Draft Assistant, with all the tools with 300 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:31,200 Speaker 1: draft Wizard, and make sure you go to fantasypros dot com, 301 00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 1: Slash Assistant or just download the Fantasy Pros app so 302 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:37,000 Speaker 1: that way you can track how you're building your rosters. 303 00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:39,520 Speaker 1: And of course it'll help you in all of your drafts, 304 00:13:39,600 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: sync up to them, all to your scoring, give you suggestions, 305 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 1: give you all the right moves that you need to 306 00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:48,080 Speaker 1: make for all of your fantasy leagues. That'll do it 307 00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 1: for us, but the story of the game goes on 308 00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:52,120 Speaker 1: for Debro and ericson I'm Joey p. We'll see you 309 00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:52,920 Speaker 1: next time. Kids. 310 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:56,280 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football podcast. 311 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:58,559 Speaker 2: If you love the show, the best free way to 312 00:13:58,600 --> 00:14:01,440 Speaker 2: support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple 313 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:05,520 Speaker 2: podcasts at Fantasypros dot com, slash review, or on Spotify. 314 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 2: Follow us on x, Instagram and TikTok at Fantasy Pros, 315 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:12,079 Speaker 2: and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com 316 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:13,160 Speaker 2: slash Fantasypros.